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GOLD.F trade ideas

GOLD: Remains In a Very Risky PositionGOLD: Remains In a Very Risky Position The current price of gold is around 3643. Currently, the price is moving sideways within a triangle pattern (consolidation). The highest price ever reached was at 3675. The current picture is a bit complex, considering that after the Gold reached 3675 without news, it moved down when Israel carried out an airstrike on Doha during the last couple of weeks. Since that moment, GOLD has only been developing a larger correction without direction. Two possible scenarios are ahead but as long as we are in a strong manipulated trend, we have to be careful because it can resume the predominant trend again: If price breaks UP 3675 (blue arrow), gold can first test 3672–3675 (the all-time high). If it breaks that, possible next targets are 3712 and 3750 If price breaks DOWN 3627 (red arrow) It could drop towards these targets: 3612; 3583; 3545 and 3507 Key point: Market is very risky here because it’s close to all-time highs and stuck in a tight pattern. A strong breakout in either direction will decide the next move. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
FX:XAUUSD
by KlejdiCuni
21
Gold Enters a Turbulent Phase In my previous analysis , I noted that OANDA:XAUUSD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! was preparing to break out of a prolonged re-accumulation phase (April–August 2025). This scenario has played out: the market confidently broke above the upper boundaries of the range. At the moment, the price is most likely completing wave 3 of the impulse, which has shown a classic extension (~2.618 of wave 1). Next, I expect a correction in the form of a triangle or a flat correction (lasting 2–3 weeks). During this period, the volume accumulated below will be redistributed, followed by one more final upside climax. The local wave count may look like this:
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by shakatrade1_618
XAUUSD GOLD OUTLOOK CHART ANALYSIS Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Outlook Gold has been trading within an ascending channel, but recent price action suggests weakening bullish momentum near the resistance level around $3,680 – $3,700. 🔎 Key Insights: • Price rejected resistance and is showing signs of bearish momentum. • A breakdown below the channel could open the way to the first support near $3,600. • If selling pressure continues, the next downside target is $3,500. 📊 Trading Plan: • Bearish Bias below $3,680. • Watch for confirmation on the break of $3,600. • Short-term traders may look for selling opportunities toward $3,500. • A sustained move above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. ⚠️ Risk management is key – always use stop losses and adjust position sizes according to your risk tolerance
TVC:GOLD
by BullBear_Expert
2
Next Week's Latest Gold Trend Analysis Strategy: 1. Market Core Logic Analysis News (Negative): Although the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points, Chairman Powell's comments were hawkish (no rush to ease policy and warning of inflation), cooling market expectations for aggressive rate cuts in the future. This move triggered a rebound in the US dollar and a rise in US Treasury yields, directly pressuring dollar-denominated gold, causing prices to surge (reaching a record high) before retreating. Technical Analysis (Bull-Bear Game): The daily chart showed two consecutive declines, the first time since the rally from 3311, indicating weakening short-term bullish momentum and a technical correction. However, the price remains above key trend support at 3615, indicating that the broader bullish trend has not been broken. The current decline should be viewed as a "high-level oscillation correction within the bullish trend." 2. Key Price Level Analysis Upward Pressure: Primary resistance: 3672-3675 (a high tested multiple times this week). This is the key dividing line between strength and weakness at the beginning of next week. If the rebound fails to break through this area, it indicates that bearish pressure remains and the market will fluctuate weakly. Core resistance: 3707 (historical high). This is the strongest bastion for bulls to conquer. Until it effectively breaks through and holds, gold will struggle to gain new upside potential. Downward Support: Short-term support: 3643-3633. This is the first line of defense after the opening of next Monday. If it breaks below, it will retest this week's low. Core Support: 3628 (this week's low) and 3615 (a key trend point). 3615 is the lifeline that determines the future market direction. If the price breaks below this level, it means that the current correction will deepen, potentially targeting the 3600 or even 3580 areas. If it can hold, the bullish trend will be secure. 3. Next Week's Trading Strategy and Layout Key Strategy: Invest in dips on pullbacks to key support levels, and supplement with high-shorts on rebounds to strong resistance levels. Specific Operational Plan: Low-to-Long Opportunities (Primary Strategy): Ideal Entry Area: 3633-3643 (test long positions with a small position), or when the price falls back to 3628-3615 (focus on long positions). Stop-Loss: Below 3610 (A break below the 3615 trend line invalidates the strategy and requires decisive exit). Targets: First target 3660-3670, second target 3680-3690, ultimate target 3707. Position Management: This strategy is a swing-trend strategy, aiming for profits from the continuation of the trend after a correction, requiring patience. High-Level Short-Selling Opportunities (Secondary Strategy): Ideal Entry Area: The first rebound of the price to the 3670-3675 resistance zone, if a clear resistance signal (such as a bearish candlestick pattern) appears. Stop-Loss: Above 3680. Target: 3650-3640 (short-term profit taking). Strategy: This is a short-term counter-trend strategy designed to capture profits during periods of volatility. Enter and exit quickly, and avoid lingering. 4. Market Forecast and Timing Early Week: Focus on the opening price. If it opens below 3650, it will likely test the 3643-3633 support area, or even retest the 3628 low. Opportunities for dips and long positions can be sought after a pullback. Mid-Week: Observe price reaction to support levels. If it stabilizes and rebounds, successfully breaking through the 3672-3675 resistance zone, the short-term weakness will reverse, and prices are expected to launch another push towards the 3700 level. Weekend and Market Outlook: The correction may continue until the end of September. Closely monitor the defense of the key support level of 3615. As long as it remains above, the market correction is expected to end in early October, ushering in a new uptrend. Summary and Risk Management Tips Trend and Rhythm: Understand the relationship between long-term bullishness and short-term corrections. Don't assume that the trend is reversing because of a short-term decline, and don't ignore the strength of the adjustment. In terms of operation, we should follow the general trend (upward trend), but we need to grasp the rhythm of small cycles (small cycle fluctuations).
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Golden_Compas
Which way for Gold after the Fed rate cut 25 bps ?/50 bsp?With retail sales coming in a bit hotter than expected, I guess that the Fed chair will stick to a quarter-point, or 25 basis point, reduction from the current target range of 4.25%-4.5%. will see a more hawkish than Dovish Fed as they think inflation is still sticky. Fed Angle: If Powell goes with a 25bps cut, then gold will likely rally for a bit, then likely consolidate, possibly with a small pullback, since some of it is already priced in. So while the rate decision is pretty much in the bag, what happens from there is anybody’s guess. So my setup will be simple Bearish Scenario (Fed only cuts 25bps or stays hawkish) will see a fake buy @3,720, then gold will drop after the dust settles to this zone Entry: After Gold breaks below 3,680. Targets: TP1: 3,650 unmitigated liquidity Stop-Loss: 3,800 (above breakout fakeout zone). Bullish Scenario (Fed goes 50bps cut, as a more dovish tone ) Entry: Buy above 3,700–3,710 (after confirmation candle closes). Targets: TP1: 3,770 TP2: 3,850 TP3: 3,900 Stop-Loss: 3,680
TVC:GOLD
by que
GOLD hits new all-time high, watch out for FedOANDA:XAUUSD continued to rise sharply, renewing all-time highs, currently trading around 3,678 USD/oz. Gold rose thanks to the weak Dollar and US Treasury yields. In addition, there was new news about Trump's tariffs. The US plans to add steel and aluminum derivatives to the tariff list. Trade uncertainty has contributed to the increase in gold prices. The US Dollar Index TVC:DXY fell 0.3% on Monday and is now down another 0.11% at 97.235, hitting a one-week low, and the 10-year Treasury yield also weakened, reflecting that investors are preparing for a possible rate cut ahead of the Federal Reserve's highly anticipated meeting this week. The weaker dollar makes dollar-denominated gold more attractive because of the inverse correlation between the two assets. Regarding Trump's tariffs, according to a notice issued by the U.S. Department of Commerce on Monday, the U.S. Bureau of Industry and Security (BIS) has established a process to include additional steel and aluminum derivatives in the tariff scope authorized by President Trump under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962. The notice said the filing period for the September 2025 period has begun. The filing period will begin on September 15, 2025, and end at 11:59 p.m. Eastern Time on September 29, 2025. Traders are gearing up for the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) monetary policy meeting on September 16-17. Expectations for a rate cut are high, and as a result, US Treasury yields fell sharply on Monday. Gold prices are reflecting the restart of the Fed's easing cycle amid mixed data. Inflation remains high, but a revised jobs report last Tuesday showed that job growth from April 2024 to March 2025 was overestimated by 911,000, raising concerns about a labor market downturn. As a result, last week’s data and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s abrupt change of heart at the Jackson Hole symposium in late August have opened the door to a 25 basis point rate cut. However, few still expect the Fed to cut by 50 basis points. Along with their decision, Fed officials will also release their latest economic projections and a “dot plot” of interest rates, in which the committee charts the future path of the federal funds rate. Investors will be watching U.S. retail sales data on Tuesday ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy decision on Wednesday, which could shape gold’s price direction ahead of the Fed’s decision. Focus on Federal Reserve Decision The Federal Reserve will meet this week under unusually heavy pressure as US President Trump seeks greater influence over monetary policy and the Senate clears a seat for White House economic adviser Milan to join the rate-setting committee in time for a vote at its policy meeting on Wednesday. On Monday, Trump tweeted that he was calling on Federal Reserve Chairman Powell to cut the benchmark interest rate “much more aggressively,” and hinted at the need for more aggressive monetary easing, citing the housing market as an example. This came just ahead of this week’s Fed meeting. Traders have fully priced in a 25 basis point rate cut at the September 16-17 FOMC meeting and see a 5% chance of a 50 basis point rate cut, according to the Chicago Mercantile Exchange’s (CME) FedWatch tool. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold continues to renew its all-time high, surpassing the 0.618% Fibonacci extension level noted by readers in the previous issue. And now, it is likely to continue towards the full price level of $3,700 with all the technical indicators in place. The RSI is operating in the overbought area (80-100) but has not shown any signal for a possible price decrease, a signal for a corrective price decrease is when the RSI bends down below 80. Therefore, in terms of momentum, gold remains very resilient. The short-term trend is highlighted by the price channel, while the main support is from the EMA21. As long as gold remains above the raw price point of $3,600, the main technical outlook in the short-term is bullish, the dips should only be viewed as a short-term correction or a new buying opportunity. During the day, the bullish outlook for gold will be highlighted again by the following positions. Support: $3,677 – $3,645 Resistance: $3,700 – $3,722 SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3699 - 3697⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3703 →Take Profit 1 3691 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3685 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3645 - 3647⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3641 →Take Profit 1 3653 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3659
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
3
Gold Outlook: Bearish Below 3,676, Bulls Need 3,684 BreakGOLD – Overview Gold remains sensitive ahead of the Federal Reserve rate decision, with volatility also influenced by the potential U.S.–U.K. trade deal. A Fed rate cut typically supports gold, but A successful U.S.–U.K. trade deal would reduce safe-haven demand, adding bearish pressure. Technical Outlook 📉 Bearish scenario Price may first test 3,676, then drop toward 3,666 → 3,657. A sustained break below 3,657 would open deeper downside toward 3,640. 📈 Bullish scenario A confirmed 1H close above 3,684 would signal bullish continuation. Upside targets: 3,693 → 3,700 → 3,711. Key Levels Pivot: 3,676 Resistance: 3,684 – 3,699 – 3,711 Support: 3,666 – 3,657 – 3,640 📌 Market Context: Fed Decision: A dovish Fed or larger cut could lift gold toward 3,693+. U.S.–U.K. Trade Deal: Positive headlines would likely weigh on gold by reducing safe-haven flows.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SroshMayi
1
Gold Correction After ATH – Bearish Waves Ahead?Gold( OANDA:XAUUSD ) has been in a correction mode for the past four days after creating a new All-Time High (ATH) . The question is whether the correction will continue or not. Over the past 4 days, US indices were released, but Gold was not greatly affected by these indices, although the manner in which the US indices were announced was in favor of Gold ( Maybe gold is saturated with buying. ). Gold is currently trading in the Support zone($3,644-$3,636) and near the Support line. In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Gold has completed the Double Three Correction structure(WXY), and we can expect bearish waves . I expect Gold to break the Support zone($3,644-$3,636) AFTER breaking the Support line and fall to at least $3,624(First Target) . Second Target: Support lines Stop Loss (SL) = $3,662 Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 15-minute time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
11
Gold correction still ongoing?After a strong bullish rally, we can see price retracing and presenting an opportunity to the bulls who initially missed out. But it is important to not get caught in the middle. The key to a continuation trade is choosing the right levels for entry, which can be seen clearly highlighted on the chart. The weekly imbalance below current Price Action. It is also important to not that the RSI is heavily diverging on up to the M30 time frame where the market closed last Friday, which may present an opportunity for the sweep of the liquidities price left behind last week. Trade responsibly and adapt to market conditions. Wishing you a profitable week.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by oyemyk
SMART MONEY CONCEPT (SMC)📊 SMC Breakdown – Perfect Bullish Execution on GOLD 🔎 Trade Recap 1. Distribution & Fake Out: Price distributed at the 15M OB and created a fake out to trap sellers and sweep liquidity. 2. BOS + ChoCh: After the liquidity grab, the Break of Structure (BOS) confirmed bullish intent, supported by the Change of Character (ChoCh) at the support zone. 3. Rejection & Entry: Price reacted exactly at the support/rejection zone, providing a clean entry opportunity with minimal risk. 4. Bullish Continuation: Following the reaction, price pushed upward aggressively, respecting structure and heading straight into the target zone. 🎯 Result • Entry: At rejection (support + BOS confirmation). • TP: Target 3,664 ✅ • R:R: About 2:1, clean and efficient trade. 📌 Key Lesson Patience pays off — by waiting for the fake out, BOS confirmation, and rejection, we secured a high-probability entry and captured liquidity right into the target zone.
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by Fonseca87
XAUUSD Forecast – Gold Price Action and Market InsightsGold is showing signs of stabilization after recent fluctuations, with price consolidating around the mid-range levels. The chart highlights repeated sequences of structural breaks and shifts, indicating that liquidity has been actively swept on both the buy and sell side. The latest market move shows a controlled decline, followed by an attempt to absorb selling pressure. Current positioning suggests the possibility of a short-term liquidity grab to the downside, which could fuel a stronger recovery leg in the sessions ahead. The projected outlook favors a scenario where buyers regain momentum, aiming to retest the upper price zones. If this momentum develops, the market may establish a renewed upward leg in alignment with the broader bullish cycle observed across higher timeframes. From a macro perspective, gold continues to be supported by demand for safe-haven assets amid ongoing global financial uncertainty and shifting monetary policies. This backdrop enhances the probability of gold sustaining its mid-term bullish trajectory despite temporary corrective phases.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by XAU_EMPIRE
Gold: Fed Rate Cuts AheadGold: Fed Rate Cuts Ahead Gold trades near record highs at $3,665 as markets brace for the Fed’s policy decision. A 25 bps cut—the first this year—is widely expected amid labor market weakness. While the move is largely priced in, the spotlight is on Powell’s press conference and the updated dot plot for clues on the pace of future easing. A soft tone could pressure the dollar and push XAUUSD toward fresh highs, but underdelivery risks short-term pullbacks. Despite recent profit-taking, gold remains supported by safe-haven demand, strong retail interest, and expectations of further monetary easing. Traders are eyeing resistance near $3,700, while support holds around $3,640.
SAXO:XAUUSDLong
by ProfessorSingapore
Gold: Will It Hold 3,675 for a Bounce?Hello everyone, Looking at OANDA:XAUUSD today, after reaching a peak of 3,690, gold is experiencing a slight pullback, leaving behind a clear Fair Value Gap (FVG) around 3,675–3,680. I see this as the nearest support level. The Ichimoku cloud remains upward, indicating that the bullish trend is intact. However, with significant news coming up, the chances of some sharp volatility are high. The market is eyeing the Fed’s decision. If FOMC cuts rates by 25bps, the USD is likely to weaken, and gold tends to benefit from that. However, I’m also mindful that August Retail Sales exceeded expectations, which raises concerns that the Fed could be more hawkish, meaning they may keep rates high for longer, leading to short-term downside pressure. Therefore, I’m considering two possible scenarios: if gold holds above 3,675–3,680, we could see a bounce back to test 3,700–3,710. However, if it breaks below 3,660, the risk of a deeper correction towards 3,630 increases. Overall, I lean towards a scenario where gold tests 3,675–3,680 before bouncing up, but I’ll be extremely cautious around the news release. What do you think? Could gold break through 3,700 in this move, or will it continue to chop around? Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EmmaChartist
21