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Buy gold at 4203-4205, and profit from the deep V bottom again! Gold has now bottomed out at 4203 and rebounded to 4240, showing clear signs of short-term pressure. A broad decline could lead to a rapid short-term bull-bear reversal. Avoid chasing the upside or selling the downside. If the price breaks back above 4240, gold will likely continue its upward trend around 4250-4260. For now, avoid chasing the upside while it consolidates. In short, if gold breaks above 4200 again, as long as it doesn't break below, buy at 4205-4210, targeting 4225-4230. Short sellers can try selling with a small position after it breaks below 4240, targeting 4230-4220. (But remember: buying on dips is the key strategy, everyone!)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by PalmerRobert6064
2
XAUUSD detects the Cup and Handle patternThe market context on XAUUSD is still clearly bullish. The latest movement has shown a stable recovery, pushing towards the expected channel top. But let's pay attention to what happens at this price level. The price tested it once... and then bounced down. It’s coming back... And now, for the third time, we’re waiting for buyers to defend this level again... This looks a lot like a Cup and Handle pattern, a strong signal that buyers are building significant bullish momentum. Now, let’s break it down: The real confirmation comes when the price breaks through the neckline, the resistance level connecting the peaks. That breakout tells us the change is real! Strong and clear. And right now, the market is consolidating. This is the Cup and Handle pattern: a continuation pattern signaling an uptrend. When the price breaks out of the handle, it’s the confirmation that buyers are back, and the new bullish trend is starting.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Kiliann_Dang
5
GAMMA SQUEEZE: Why Gold Prices will hit 5 000 + USDBottom line If 1% of Treasuries ($278B) rotates into gold, $5,000/oz is not only plausible—it sits inside the low end of what flow math + today’s market microstructure can deliver. The path (and whether we print $8k+ spikes) hinges on how much of that flow shows up as short-dated calls—because that is what turns steady demand into a self-feeding gamma loop. ________________________________________ Executive summary • A 1% rotation out of U.S. Treasuries is roughly $278B of new gold demand (using SIFMA’s latest estimate that Treasuries outstanding ≈ $27.8T). • At today’s context (gold ~$3.53k/oz on Sep 2–5, 2025), $278B buys ~79.4M oz ≈ 2,471 tonnes; at $5k/oz it buys ~55.6M oz ≈ 1,729 tonnes. For scale, annual mine supply ≈ 3,661 t and total above-ground stocks ≈ 216,265 t (bars/coins+ETFs ≈ 48,634 t). • That flow is huge relative to both quarterly demand value (Q2’25 ≈ $132B) and typical daily trading turnover (~$290B/day across OTC, futures & ETFs). Even spread out, it materially tilts the tape; if concentrated and routed via options, it can produce dealer hedging feedback—i.e., a gamma squeeze. • Price targets (framework, not prophecy): o Conservative flow-only: +40–60% → $4,900–$5,600/oz o Base case (flow + some options reflexivity): +70–110% → $6,000–$7,500/oz o Squeeze/overshoot window (short-dated calls heavy): episodic spikes >$8,000/oz possible, but hard to sustain without continued flow. These bands come from scaling prior ETF-driven episodes (notably ~877 t ETF inflow in 2020 alongside a ~+36% price run) and sizing against current market depth, while layering a realistic options-hedging multiplier (details below). ________________________________________ 1) What a “gamma squeeze” in gold means (and why it can happen) Definition (in one line): When call buying concentrates near-dated, near-the-money strikes, dealers short gamma must buy futures as price rises (and sell if it falls) to keep neutral—this feedback accelerates upside (“gamma squeeze”). Why it’s plausible in gold right now: • The listed derivatives stack is large. As of Fri, Sep 5, 2025, CME’s daily bulletin shows COMEX gold options open interest ~0.80M contracts (calls ~0.49–0.69M; puts ~0.30–0.38M depending on line item), each on 100 oz—i.e., option OI notionally ties to ~2,400–2,800 t of gold. That is the powder keg a call-wave can act on. • Implied vol is moderate (GVZ ~18 for 30-day GLD options), so vega is “affordable,” gamma is punchy in the front end. • CME’s CVOL framework and open-interest tools confirm where strikes/expiries cluster; when OI stacks close to spot and near expiry, market-wide gamma becomes most sensitive. Back-of-envelope hedging math (illustrative): For a 30-day, at-the-money option with σ≈18%, the Black-Scholes gamma is about Γ≈ϕ(0)SσT≈0.399S⋅0.18⋅30/365\Gamma \approx \frac{\phi(0)}{S\sigma\sqrt{T}} \approx \frac{0.399}{S\cdot 0.18 \cdot \sqrt{30/365}}. At S=$3,500/oz, that’s ~0.0022 per $. A +1% move (+$35) bumps delta by ~0.077 per option. If just 150k near-ATM front-tenor calls are held by customers (dealers short gamma), hedge buying ≈ 150,000 × 100 oz × 0.077 ≈ 1.16M oz ≈ 36 t—per 1% price pop. That’s only a slice of total OI; a broader crowding raises this number. Compare with ~2,500 t/day of global turnover and you can see how concentrated dealer hedging can move price intraday. ________________________________________ 2) Sizing a 1% Treasury → gold rotation Treasury base: latest SIFMA comment put U.S. Treasuries outstanding ≈ $27.8T (Q1’25). 1% → $278B. Gold the rotation would buy: • At $3,500/oz: $278B → ~79.4M oz → ~2,471 t • At $5,000/oz: $278B → ~55.6M oz → ~1,729 t For scale: • Annual mine supply (2024): ~3,661 t; total supply (incl. recycling): ~4,974 t. A $278B buy ticket equals 47–67% of a year’s mine output (depending on price), or ~35–50% of total annual supply. • ETF precedent: In 2020, ~877 t net ETF inflow (~$48B) coincided with a ~+36% move from Jan→Aug 2020. Today’s $278B is ~5–6× that dollar size (and ~2–3× the tonnes, depending on price), hinting at large flow-driven upside even before any options reflexivity. • Turnover lens: WGC puts average daily trading across OTC/futures/ETFs at roughly $290B/day recently. A $278B program is ~one day’s global turnover. Pushed quickly (or skewed to options), that’s impactful; stretched over months, the price impact softens but still accumulates. Futures-only lens (capacity check): At $3,500/oz, one COMEX GC contract notionally = $350k (100 oz). $278B equals ~794k GC contracts. Current futures OI is ~0.49M contracts, so this exceeds all COMEX OI—you cannot push that much via futures quickly without major repricing. Even at $5,000/oz (~$500k/contract), it’s ~556k contracts, still comparable to the entire OI. ________________________________________ 3) Price-target framework (with the math that gets you there) Think of the price in layers: (A) base flow impact + (B) options-gamma reflexivity + (C) second-round effects (short-covering, momentum, FX, central banks). A) Flow-only impact (calibrated to 2020) • 2020 anchor: 877 t ETF inflow ↔ ~+36% price. Using a simple proportionality, 1,729–2,471 t (your $278B) maps to ~+71% to +101%. • Apply to spot ≈ $3,532/oz (early Sep 2025): o +71% → ~$6,050/oz o +101% → ~$7,100/oz Caveat: 2020 had unique macro tailwinds, so I treat this as upper-middle of base range. B) Options reflexivity / gamma squeeze overlay If 20–30% of the $278B rotation expresses via short-dated calls (common for levered macro expressions), dealer hedging can amplify flow impact: • From the OI math earlier, a mere 1% up-move can demand ~20–40 t of dealer hedge buying if near-ATM OI is thick. A 3–5% multi-day grind can easily cascade into 100–200 t of incremental buying from hedgers alone. That’s non-trivial vs. mine supply pace, and it pulls forward upside. • Result: add another +10–20% to the flow-only levels during a squeeze while it lasts. C) Second-round effects • Central banks: still persistent net buyers (>1,000 t/yr pace in recent years), tending to fade dips rather than rallies—a structural bid. • FX & rates: the GVZ ~18 regime means bursts of vol aren’t “expensive”; a weakening USD or policy shocks can tilt the target higher. Putting it together—scenario bands Scenario Assumptions Implied move Target Conservative $278B spread over 6–9 months, mostly physical/ETFs; limited options +40–60% $4,900–$5,600 Base case 50–70% to physical/ETFs, 30–50% to futures/options; moderate dealer short-gamma +70–110% $6,000–$7,500 Squeeze / overshoot Short-dated call concentration, dealers persistently short gamma; flow bunches in weeks +120–>150% (episodic) >$8,000 (brief spikes) $5,000 target is well within the conservative band if any meaningful fraction of the $278B pushes through quickly, even without a full-blown gamma loop. ________________________________________ 4) Why the market could mechanically gap higher • Market size vs. flow: Q2’25 total demand value = $132B. Dropping $278B into this ecosystem is a 2× quarterly shock. • Trading capacity: $278B ≈ one full day of global turnover; price impact is convex when the risk-absorption (dealers, miners, recyclers) cannot scale linearly day-by-day. • Derivatives gearing: With ~0.8M options contracts OI outstanding and futures OI ~0.49M, even a partial shift into calls forces hedge-buys on the way up, the hallmark of a squeeze. ________________________________________ 5) Key risks / reality checks • Time profile of the rotation matters. A slow, programmatic shift spreads impact; a front-loaded move can overshoot then mean-revert as gamma decays. • Elasticity is asymmetric. Jewelry/fabrication falls at high prices (demand destruction), recycling rises, both cushioning extremes. That moderates how long >$7k can persist without continued flow. • Volatility regimes change. If GVZ spikes to high-20s/30s, option premia jump, slowing new call demand; conversely, put demand can flip net gamma long for dealers, dampening squeezes. ________________________________________ References (most load-bearing) • Treasury base: SIFMA—Treasuries outstanding $27.8T (Feb 2025). • Gold supply & stocks: WGC—Above-ground stock 216,265 t (end-2024); bars/coins+ETFs 48,634 t; mine supply 2024 ≈ 3,661 t. • Trading turnover: WGC—gold trading ≈ $290B/day. • ETF precedent: WGC—2020 ETF inflows 877 t (~$47.9B) alongside major price rise. • Current price context: Reuters—record highs $3,532/oz set in early Sep 2025. ( • Options/hedging plumbing: CME daily bulletin (Sep 5, 2025) showing gold options OI ~0.8M contracts; CME CVOL/tools; Cboe GVZ ~18 as 30-day IV. ________________________________________
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ProjectSyndicate
41
Gold 1H – Price Reaction Ahead of U.S. Retail Sales & Fed RemarkXAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Market Context Gold is trading around the $4,110 mark, consolidating after a strong impulsive rally earlier this week. Traders are now shifting focus to U.S. Retail Sales data and a series of Federal Reserve remarks due later today — both key drivers that could influence near-term expectations for the next rate decision. After last week’s soft inflation signals, gold initially extended higher, but rising Treasury yields and cautious sentiment ahead of today’s macro releases have slowed momentum. Any hawkish Fed tone or stronger consumer spending data could weigh on XAUUSD, triggering a liquidity sweep from the premium zones before the next accumulation phase begins. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style) • Structure shows a confirmed BOS on lower timeframes, signaling the end of the previous impulsive leg. • Price currently sits within a Mitigation Zone (4117–4110), reacting to prior imbalance after a clean sweep of internal liquidity. • The Premium Liquidity Zone (4217–4215) aligns with a Rejection Block and is likely to act as a short-term Sell Zone. • Below, the 4056–4058 area marks a Buy-Side Support, overlapping with a previous ChoCH and internal discount OB. • Expect a short-term sell reaction from premium zones before a possible bullish mitigation bounce off support. 🔴 Sell Setup: 4217–4215 SL: 4224 TP targets: 4200 → 4175 → 4160 🟢 Buy Setup: 4056–4058 SL: 4050 TP targets: 4070 → 4090 → 4100+ ⚠️ Risk Management Tips • Wait for M15 ChoCH / BOS confirmation before executing either setup. • Be cautious during Fed remarks — volatility spikes are common around liquidity levels. • If price reacts impulsively from 4217 with displacement, partial shorts are favored. • Conversely, if 4056 holds and forms clean bullish structure, it could serve as the base for the next expansion leg. ✅ Summary Gold is likely to engineer a liquidity grab in the premium zone (4217–4215) before retracing into the mitigation area near 4056–4058, where smart money may accumulate long positions. The day’s direction will hinge on how markets interpret upcoming U.S. Retail Sales data and Fed tone — expect volatility and false breaks before the true directional move forms.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
7
Gold Near 4,280 as US–China Tensions Fuel Flight to Safety!Hey Traders, In today’s session, we’re monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around the 4,280 zone. Gold remains in a strong uptrend, with price currently correcting toward a key structural support area where buyers may look to re-enter. From a fundamental standpoint, rising US–China geopolitical tensions have pushed investors toward safe-haven assets. Market sentiment is tilting defensive, and Gold — already hovering near all-time highs — continues to reflect that global risk aversion. A sustained bid above 4,280 could reinforce bullish momentum and potentially open the path toward new highs if uncertainty persists. Key level: 4,280 (support / trend confluence) Bias: Bullish while above this level Trade safe, Joe.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by JoeChampion
8
Gold Bull Markets Long Term Overview and 2025 Market UpdateGold Bull Markets Long Term Overview and 2025 Market Update ________________________________________ • This cycle is different: record central-bank buying + renewed ETF inflows + lower real rates = powerful tailwind. • Price: Gold notched fresh ATHs this month (up to $3,790.82). 2025 is shaping up as the strongest year since the late 1970s. • Relative: Gold is crushing equities YTD (≈+40% vs S&P 500 ≈+13% total return). • Setup: A 13-year “cup-and-handle” breakout in 2024 kick-started the move. • Outlook: Base case from the Street: $3,700 by end-’25 and ~$4,000 by mid-’26; upside to $4,500 if flows accelerate. ________________________________________ 🏆 Historic Gold Bull Markets — Timeline & Stats 1) 1968–1980 “Super Bull” • Start/End: ~$35 → $850 (Jan 1980) • Gain: ~2,330% • Drivers: End of Bretton Woods, oil shocks, double-digit inflation, geopolitical stress. • Drawdown: ~–45% (1974–1976) before the final blow-off run. 2) 1999–2011/12 • Start/Peak: ~$252 (1999) → ~$1,920 (2011–12) • Gain: ~650% • Drivers: Commodities supercycle, EM demand, USD weakness, GFC safe-haven bid. 3) 2016/2018–Present (The “CB-Led” Cycle) • Start Zone: $1,050–$1,200 → New ATH $3,790 (Sep 2025) • Gain: ~215–260% (depending on 2016 vs 2018 anchor) • Drivers: Record central-bank accumulation, sticky inflation/low real rates, geopolitics; 2024 13-yr base breakout. ________________________________________ 📊 At-A-Glance Comparison (Updated 2025) Metric 1968–80 Super Bull 1999–2012 2016/18–2025 Current 🚀 Total Gain ~2,330% ~650% ~215–260% (so far) ⏲️ Duration 12 yrs 13 yrs 7–9 yrs (ongoing) 💔 Max Drawdown ~–45% (’74–’76) ~–30% (’08) ~–20% (2022) 🏦 Main Buyer Retail/Europe Funds/EM Central Banks (dominant) 🏛️ Pattern Secular parabolic Cyclical ramps 13-yr base → breakout (’24) Notes: current cycle characteristics validated by WGC demand trends & technical breakout in Mar 2024. ________________________________________ 📈 Top 10 Stats of the Current Bull (2025) 1. Price & ATHs: Spot $3,75–$3,79k; fresh ATH $3,790.82 on Sep 23, 2025. 2. 2025 YTD: Roughly +40–43% YTD (best since the late ’70s). 3. Central Banks: 1,045 t added in 2024 (3rd straight 1k+ year). H1’25 ≈ 415 t (still elevated). 4. ETF Flows: Strongest half-year inflows since 2020, aiding the surge. 5. Gold vs Equities: Gold ≈+40% vs S&P 500 ≈+13% total return YTD. 6. Jewelry Demand: Price strength is crimping tonnage (2024 down ~11%; Q2’25 –14% y/y), even as value hits records. 7. Gold–Silver Ratio: Now around ~85–88 (silver catching up as it pushes $43–$44). 8. Macro Link: Strong safe-haven bid + rate-cut hopes supporting new highs. 9. Technical: Confirmed cup-and-handle breakout (Mar ’24) underpinning trend. 10. Street Forecasts: DB lifts 2026 to $4,000; GS baseline $4,000 by mid-’26, upside $4,500 with bigger private-investor rotation. ________________________________________ 🔄 What Makes This Bull Different (2025 Edition) • 🏦 Central-Bank Dominance — Official sector is the anchor buyer (3rd straight 1k+ tonne year in 2024; 2025 tracking strong despite Q2 deceleration). • ⚡ Faster Recoveries — Pullbacks have been shallower and shorter vs the 1970s analog. • 📈 Coexisting With Risk Assets — Rare combo: gold ATHs with equities up YTD suggests a macro hedge bid alongside optimism in select risk assets. • 📐 Structural Breakout — The 13-year base cleared in 2024 set multi-year targets. ________________________________________ 🎯 Strategy Ideas (2025 & Beyond) Core • Buy/Hold on Dips: Stagger entries (DCA) into physical (allocated), ETFs (e.g., GLD/IAU), and quality miners/royalties. • Prefer Physical/Allocated where counterparty risk matters; use ETFs for liquidity. Satellite/Leverage • Silver & GSR Mean-Reversion: With the GSR ~85–88, silver historically offers torque in up-legs. Pair with high-quality silver miners. • Factor Tilt in Miners: Focus on low AISC, strong balance sheets, growing reserves, and jurisdictions with rule-of-law. Risk-Management • Define max drawdown tolerance per sleeve; pre-plan trims near parabolic extensions or if macro invalidates (e.g., real-yield spike). ________________________________________ 🧪 Reality Check: What Could Invalidate the Bull? • Real yields + USD rip higher (sustained), dampening non-yielding assets. • Sharp halt in official-sector buying (e.g., policy shifts). • Rapid growth re-acceleration reducing safe-haven & rate-cut expectations. ________________________________________ 🧭 Quick Reference Tables 🧾 Summary: Historic vs Current Feature 1968–80 1999–2012 2016/18–2025 Total Gain ~2,330% ~650% ~215–260% Duration 12 yrs 13 yrs 7–9 yrs (ongoing) Correction ~–45% ~–30% ~–20% (’22) Main Buyer Retail/Europe Funds/EM Central Banks Pattern Parabolic Cyclical Cup & Handle → Secular 🧩 “If-This-Then-That” Playbook • If real yields fall & CB buying persists → Ride trend / add on consolidations. • If USD + real yields jump → Trim beta, keep core hedge. • If GSR stays >80 with silver momentum → Overweight silver sleeve for torque. ________________________________________ 🧠 Outside-the-Box Adds 💼 Role in a Portfolio (example frameworks) • Resilience sleeve (5–10%): Physical + broad ETF. • Offense sleeve (2–5%): Quality miners/royalties; optional silver tilt. • Tactical (0–3%): Trend-following overlay (breakouts/consolidations). 🧭 Decision Checkpoints (quarterly) • Central-bank net purchases (WGC). • ETF flows (Western markets). • Real yields (10y TIPS), USD trend, and GSR. ________________________________________ 🔚 Key Takeaways (Updated) • Relentless official-sector demand + technical breakout are the twin pillars of this cycle. • Macro mix (policy easing expectations, geopolitics, diversification from USD reserves) supports an extended run. • Base case: Street sees $3.7k by end-’25 and ~$4k by mid-’26, with upside to $4.5k if private capital rotation accelerates. Manage risk; embrace volatility.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ProjectSyndicate
87
Gold continues to rise. Bulls and bears clash.Last week, gold prices intensified risk aversion amid Trump's tariff policy. Subsequent rhetoric of peace has tempered risk sentiment, but gold prices haven't fallen. Gold opened the week stronger, hitting new all-time highs. Currently, the market's gains are primarily due to a lack of bearish catalysts, allowing prices to rise by inertia. From an information analysis perspective, as the Federal Reserve continues its dovish policy response, real interest rates may continue to decline, which will support the long-term upward trend of gold. At present, gold is still rising slowly, breaking through highs continuously, and the upward trend is still continuing. It is still unknown whether it can break through 4100. The first retracement point that can be seen at present is 4060. If it unexpectedly falls below, it will test the 4030 line, but it seems a bit difficult at the moment. The 1-hour moving average continues to diverge upward, and gold bulls still have upward momentum, but we need to pay attention to the correction after the price surges. The overall strong upward trend of the hourly line has not changed. There may be small fluctuations in the short term, and you can try to enter the market operation. The short-term resistance level is temporarily focused on the 4100 mark, and the support level is around 4060. Trading Strategy: Go long on a pullback near 4060, with a stop loss at 4050. Profit range: 4085-4090-4100. Short around 4095, with a defense at 4105. Profit range: 4070-4060-4050.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Market_Trader1
2
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update form us here at KOG: WOW! We mentioned yesterday that we will go level to level long in anticipation of a turn and low and behold, the indicators signalled the short and we got a target level of 4197 which was smashed! It was nice to trade this upside and capture every target, but to get the retracement that everyone was waiting for is a delight. Now, we have support 4210 and resistance 4250 which is where we're looking for this to end. We'll be back on Sunday with the KOG report and our view for the week ahead. Wishing you all a great weekend. P.S All targets, bullish and bearish completed. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
4
GOLD (XAUUSD): The Next Resistances Here are the next potentially significant psychological resistances too look at on Gold for pullback. Resistance 1: 2198 - 2203 area Resistance 2: 2248 - 2253 area Resistance 3: 2298 - 2303 area In case of a start of a bearish move, consider the underlined supports for buying. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by VasilyTrader
3
XAU/USD: Consolidating Above Breakout Zone with Bullish MomentumXAU/USD maintains its bullish structure inside the ascending channel, forming a new A-B-C pattern following a clean breakout above the compression zone. Price is currently consolidating above the 4200 level, establishing a potential base for the next impulsive leg. A sustained move above 4200 could open the way for a rally toward 4290, retesting the resistance zone. With higher highs and channel integrity in place, momentum remains strong, supporting the continuation of the broader uptrend.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RTED_Investing
3
Technical Analysis – Rising Wedge Breakdown ProbabilityAnalysis Pattern: A rising wedge has formed with converging trendlines — higher highs and higher lows narrowing into the apex. Volume: Noticeable volume contraction during the formation, which often precedes a breakdown. Current Position: Price appears to have made an upward breakout attempt, which may turn out to be a false breakout, a common precursor to a sharp downside move. Projection: Once the lower trendline breaks decisively, a fast and impulsive decline toward lower support zones is probable — as shown by the projected path in red. Summary The structure suggests bearish momentum building up beneath the surface, with the recent false breakout likely to trap late buyers. If confirmed with a close below the wedge support, this pattern could trigger a strong downside wave, potentially retracing the entire wedge formation. Disclaimer This analysis is for educational and technical discussion purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice or a trading recommendation. Please conduct your own research or consult a certified financial advisor before taking any trading positions.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by shiva560060
5
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Accurate Buy & Sell Reversal Entry DetectedTime Frame: 30-Minute Warfare Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout Bullish Reversal SCENARIO: 3889 ➕ Volume engagement detected below POC ➕ Cluster Shield holding with clean rejection ➕ Delta shift showing early buyer interest ➕ Liquidity swept beneath intraday lows ➕ Session bias aligning with reversal logic 📍 Buy limit placed near lower edge of cluster – expecting retest & volume response. 🔴 Bearish Reversal - 3972 SCENARIO: ➕ Price rejected upper cluster zone sharply ➕ POC flipped into resistance with heavy delta pressure ➕ Liquidity taken above prior highs ➕ Volume decreasing on push-up (distribution signs) ➕ Session structure favoring downside continuation 📍 Sell limit positioned near upper cluster edge – waiting for confirmation wick or retest. Both sides armed — cluster structure formed a dual zone of opportunity. We let price decide which side triggers first. The logic remains the same: Volume + POC + Delta Control = Precision Entry.
TVC:GOLD
by Path_Of_Hanzo
4
GOLD In A New Upward Move Targeting $4000 - $4100GOLD In A New Upward Move Targeting $4000 - $4100 From our previous analysis, GOLD respected the bullish scenario. This came with a confirmation during the night trading session as I explained in the previous post. With this move above 3895, the price confirmed a bullish triangle pattern that shows signs of a strong bullish momentum. From our chart we can observe that it is the same similar move as it was before. The bullish flags show a healthy uptrend and we all know that gold is in a crazy bullish move supported by the geopolitical situation or other factors. Everyone talks about its strength, but I am not sure if we know the Truth. Truth is not a Luxury for ordinary people 😂 The price has broken above the $3,895 - $3,900 resistance area as I explained for the bullish scenario in the previous analysis and may retest it before continuing higher. Targets: $3,950 $4,000 $4,050 $4,100 You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KlejdiCuni
36
When will gold continue to rise? 4300?⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold (XAU/USD) advances toward $4,210 during Thursday’s Asian session, hovering near a fresh record high as Fed rate-cut expectations and renewed trade tensions lift safe-haven demand. Traders now await comments from Fed officials, including Michael Barr, Stephen Miran, Christopher Waller, and Michelle Bowman, for policy cues. Earlier this week, Fed Chair Jerome Powell warned that slowing job growth poses a risk to the US economy, reinforcing prospects for two more rate cuts this year—supportive of the non-yielding yellow metal. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: The buying power shows no signs of stopping, breaking 4217 and continuing to increase in price. The whole market is very excited and focusing on investing in gold as the safest asset. ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4275 - 4277 SL 4282 TP1: $4265 TP2: $4250 TP3: $4240 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $4154-$4152 SL $4147 TP1: $4165 TP2: $4180 TP3: $4190 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
4
Gold Bullish Setup Targeting New ATHThis XAU/USD 1-hour chart shows gold trading around 4039 with a bullish setup. Price is respecting the support trend line, confirming upward momentum. Key support is marked near 4001, providing a strong base for buyers. The chart highlights the previous ATH at 4060 and projects a potential breakout towards a new all-time high at 4115. The structure suggests a possible short-term pullback to retest support before continuing higher. As long as the trend line holds, the bias remains bullish with upside targets at 4058, 4087, and finally 4115.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Forex_ViP_Signalss
19
Gold Analysis: Will Buyers Push the Price to 4,150?Hello everyone, Kilian here! XAUUSD is currently trading within a well-defined ascending channel, with price action consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries of the channel. This stability indicates that the market is following a sustainable uptrend, and it’s no surprise that investors remain confident in the strength of the buyers. Price Action and Growth Potential Recently, price action has clearly shown that buyers are in control. The strong bullish momentum could lead to a significant breakout, potentially breaking through the resistance zone that has been hindering the price's upward movement. If this happens, XAUUSD could continue its uptrend, with a retest of the support level before advancing further. A successful retest would further strengthen the bullish trend and potentially spark a powerful move toward the 4,150 target, which aligns with the upper boundary of the ascending channel. Potential Risks and Key Factors to Watch However, we cannot overlook the possibility that the price might fail to break through the strong resistance zone. If this occurs, it could signal that bullish momentum is weakening. In this case, there might be a retracement, with the next target being the support zone at the lower boundary of the channel. Tips for Traders As always, the most important thing in trading is to confirm your setups and manage your risk properly. Whether or not this scenario plays out, being prepared for every situation will help you minimize risks and optimize your profits.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Kiliann_Dang
4
How to Short Gold as a Stock Trader and Profit on the DropGold is at historically high levels due to several key factors Geopolitical Tensions: Trade disputes, regional conflicts, and global uncertainty are pushing investors toward safe-haven assets like gold Monetary Policy Expectations: Anticipated interest rate cuts reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, making it more attractive compared to bonds or cash Weakening U.S. Dollar: A softer dollar makes gold cheaper for international buyers, boosting demand Central Bank and Institutional Demand: Many central banks are increasing gold reserves, and institutional investors are allocating more to gold as a hedge against economic instability Market Sentiment and Speculation: Bullish sentiment and speculative positioning are adding upward pressure on prices If these factors start to ease, such as trade tensions reducing (highly likely with the next Trump Tweet), interest rates staying the same or even rising (less likely), or the dollar strengthening (likely), gold could start to pull back and given how aggressive its run has been, it could be a significant pull back. For investors looking to profit from declines, inverse gold ETFs provide a way to benefit when prices fall, offering a strategic tool for hedging or directional trading. They are a MUCH riskier type of trade - especially leverage ETFs so please do your research beforehand and definitely do not invest any money you can't do without if it all goes horribly wrong and Gold does indeed continue to head up past $5k. Crazy times - hence probably why Gold is doing so well. Buyer / bear - beware :)
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by zAngus
4
Gold Targeting #4,100.80 - #4,200.80 ahead of #4,500.80 markAs discussed throughout my last week's commentary: 'Technical analysis: Gold reversed on Intra-day basis (even though DX is Trading near multi-session High’s, from now on / main correlation for the fractal) as Price-action was isolated within Neutral Rectangle which has Lower High's / High's - Low's. As I've mentioned before, current slide was nothing more but sweep to cool down Overbought levels however not discontinuation of Ascending Channel on bigger charts.. Hourly 4 chart's timeframe should turn green any minute now and as long as Price-action meets strong Support near #4,000.80 psychological benchmark which is showcasing strong rejection point, I expect test-and-break of the #4,052.80 - #4,057.80 zone which can extend Buying sequence widely above #4,100.80 psychological benchmark, preserving trendline on Hourly 4 chart which is Supporting the uptrend and rejecting every downside attempt since late September / early October fractal. It is worth noting that if #4,052.80 - #4,057.80 Short-term Resistance zone rejects current recovery attempt, #3rd Top on mentioned belt which is guarding the upside will be formed as Gold will be isolated within #2 strong trendlines until one of the levels break and delivers major move on the aftermath (I lean to the Bullish side as well).' My position: I have been Buying Gold throughout Friday's session all along and Buying Gold firstly in #3,972.80 - #3,992.80 Neutral Rectangle waiting for the break-out to the upside. I had reached my Buying Profit Intra-day quota within the belt and started my usual Medium-term Buy orders positioning. I have Bought Gold (Medium-term) on #3,992.80 Support for the fractal as Gold was unable to break above #4,022.80 Resistance however my Stop was triggered on #3,985.80. I Bought Gold again on #3,978.80 again with #3,962.80 Stop and over the weekend / this morning my #4,042.80 Take Profit is hit, confirming my thesis that Traders shouldn't Sell Gold at all cost and turn to Buying this market. Each Selling momentum is just another sweep before Buyers arise and take Gold on upper levels. I do expect #4,100.80 benchmark to be met within #1 - #2 week horizon before #4,200.80 which is posing as my Medium-term Target. I achieved my weekly Profit and will take it easy from now.
TVC:GOLDLong
by goldenBear88
4