Gold Swing Long Idea (4H Chart)Gold continues to trade in a strong uptrend, creating higher highs and higher lows. After a sharp move, price has pulled back into a major demand zone, where buyers previously showed strong interest. This area is now acting as support.
The plan is to go long from this demand zone, with the stop placed just below the zone to protect against invalidation. The target is the recent swing high, which aligns with the next resistance level.
This trade follows the broader trend direction, combining market structure (HH-HL pattern) with demand zone confluence to build a favorable swing setup.
key levels
Buy Entry : 3620
Take profit : 3635
Take profit : 3650
Target : 3670
Stop Loss :3588
Note: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
GOLD.F trade ideas
How to correctly grasp the gold trading opportunities?Yesterday, the technical side of gold rose first and then fell. The overall gold price continued to rise strongly in the Asian and European sessions, and finally fell back in the U.S. session and fell into repeated fluctuations, and finally closed near 3628. The daily K-line closed at a high and then fell back and fluctuated in the middle. Yesterday, I kept notifying everyone that the technical side needed to retrace and not to be overly bullish on gold. Now everything is perfectly in line with expectations. Friends who follow me can see it. Today we continue to treat it with the idea of going long on retracements. After all, I believe that the trend has not reversed, and going long on retracements is still the general trend. Today, we will first focus on the short-term support at 3620-3610 below, and continue to go long if it retraces and does not break. If you encounter troubles in your current gold operations and want to make your investment journey more stable and avoid detours, please feel free to communicate with us at any time!
From the 4-hour level, today's short-term support for gold will focus on the 3620-3610 area, and the 3600 mark is the core dividing line between the strength of the bulls. If it retraces and stabilizes above this position during the day, the overall bullish thinking will remain unchanged. The main tone is still to go long on the retracement. At the daily level, as long as gold stabilizes above 3600, the low-long thinking will be sustainable. As for the counter-trend short positions, specific reminders will be given according to the pressure on the market at high levels. Brothers just need to pay attention to the bottom in time.
Gold operation strategy: Go long on gold when it retraces to around 3620-3610, target 3650-3660, and continue to hold if it breaks through.
Focus on CPI, beware of unexpected surprisesThe market focuses on CPI data, which is unlikely to fluctuate significantly in the short term. Although it has fallen below the recent support of 3620, buying below is still strong, so don't chase the short position. From the news and other recent data, it can be seen that the weak US employment data has suppressed the economy, forcing the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. The current market basically assumes that 25 basis points has become a reality, so the possibility of positive CPI data is relatively high.
If the CPI data is positive for gold, it will first test the resistance level of 3640-3660. If the data triggers a strong rally, gold could potentially reach new highs, aiming for 3690-3700.
However, the previous NFP data was also crucial, but the result was a surprise. Therefore, we cannot rule out the possibility of a similar surprise with the CPI data. If the CPI data is bearish for gold, it will first test 3600 below. Once it falls below 3600, it will go to 3580.
The above content is just an analysis of the possible trend of gold, which you can refer to. If the European session retreats again to 3620-3610 without breaking, you can try to go long with a light position, and the ideal target is 3640-3660. If it falls below 3600, SL will be adjusted in time.
Gold 1H – Retail Sales Impact Before FedGold on the 1H timeframe is trading near 3,682 after a strong BOS. Liquidity is now stacked above the premium resistance at 3,700 and below the fresh FVG demand at 3,669–3667. With U.S. Retail Sales scheduled today at 19:30 VN time, volatility may spike intraday, but broader positioning remains cautious ahead of the Fed’s rate decision this week. Expect engineered sweeps into premium before retracements back into demand.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,700 – 3,698 (SL 3,707): Premium resistance for engineered sweep/rejection targeting 3,690 → 3,680 → 3,670.
• 🟢 FVG BUY ZONE 3,669 – 3,667 (SL 3,660): Fair Value Gap demand aligned with retracement into structure, targeting 3,680 → 3,690 → 3,700+.
• 🟢 BUY SUPPORT 3,641 – 3,639 (SL 3,632): Deep discount support zone targeting 3,655 → 3,670 → 3,685+.
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📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – FVG Reclaim (3,669–3,667)
• Entry: 3,669 – 3,667
• Stop Loss: 3,660
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,680
TP2: 3,690
TP3: 3,700+
👉 Look for a liquidity sweep into the FVG zone before New York open.
🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Sweep (3,641–3,639)
• Entry: 3,641 – 3,639
• Stop Loss: 3,632
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,655
TP2: 3,670
TP3: 3,685+
👉 Strong R:R if price hunts stops below structure before Retail Sales data.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Liquidity Run (3,700–3,698)
• Entry: 3,700 – 3,698
• Stop Loss: 3,707
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,690
TP2: 3,680
TP3: 3,670
👉 Expect engineered stop-runs into premium supply before fading lower.
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🔑 Strategy Note
Retail Sales may provide short-term volatility, but Fed expectations will dominate the week. Smart money is likely to run both sides of liquidity: fading premium near 3,700–3,698 while protecting buys at 3,669–3,667 and 3,641–3,639. Trade with reduced size and confirm structure on H1 closes.
Gold Price Analysis September 12Gold continues to maintain a strong upward momentum in recent sessions and has not yet shown clear signs of a significant correction. Today's strategy still prioritizes looking for buying opportunities, especially in breakout areas - where buyers' money is waiting to push prices to the historical peak (ATH).
In the Tokyo session, the price broke the downtrend line on the H1 frame and completed the DOW pattern, opening up new upward momentum with a target of 3690.
📌 Important observation area:
Key Level 3340: If the price closes below this area, selling pressure will return and the market may enter short-term corrections.
📈 Trading strategy:
BUY at the newly formed DOW area
BUY when the price rejects support at 3640
BUY DCA when breaking resistance at 3660
🎯 Target: 3690
XAUUSD POSSIBLE OUTCOMES As we head into the second half of the month, gold is at a make-or-break point.
Key zone to watch: 3653 – 3658
If price breaks above this zone, we could see a push toward 3700.
If price fails to break through, be ready for a drop toward 3600 and possibly 3585 support levels.
Stay alert, follow what the price action is telling us, and remember — #MindfulPips is the way to go!
GOLD 5-Minute Smart Money Analysis (Bearish Setup)🔸 OB M5 (Order Block) – A supply zone around 3,652–3,654. This is where institutional sellers may re-enter. Price is expected to retrace here before dropping again.
💧 Liquidity Level marked at 3,638.253 – below recent lows. This is where many stop-loss orders are likely placed. Smart money often targets these zones to fuel bigger moves.
⚙️ Trade Setup Idea
🔄 Wait for price to retrace into OB M5 (yellow zone)
🔻 Look for bearish confirmation (e.g., bearish engulfing or market structure shift)
🎯 Target: Liquidity level at 3,638.253
🛑 Stop Loss: Just above the OB (low-risk entry)
✅ Current Bias: Bearish
As long as price stays below the OB zone, we favor shorts. Break above OB invalidates this setup
Gold Analysis: Key Levels to Watch Ahead of Potential TrendGold is currently trading around the 3641 level, and the near-term price action suggests a mild bullish momentum may persist toward the 3660–3664 resistance zone. This area represents a potential supply zone, where sellers may re-enter the market, leading to a reversal.
Should price action show signs of exhaustion or bearish confirmation in this zone, we anticipate a downward move targeting the 3612 support level — a key structural level on the intraday chart. A decisive break below 3612 would likely trigger further downside pressure, exposing the next support at 3590.
If bearish momentum sustains and price breaches 3590, the 3540 level emerges as the next significant support, where buyers may look to defend the medium-term trend.
⚠️ Risk Factors to Watch:
US Dollar Index (DXY) – Strength could cap gold upside.
US CPI / Fed Announcements – Any hawkish surprise may invalidate bullish setups.
Geopolitical News – Gold tends to react sharply to risk-off sentime
xauusdPYTH:XAUUSD the chart is on a short-term timeframe (probably 15m or 1h).
A Rising Wedge pattern is drawn, which usually signals a bearish reversal.
After breaking below the wedge, price dropped sharply.
Now, the market has pulled back and is consolidating around 3645–3650.
Three levels are marked on the chart:
Risk free (~3630) → meaning if someone entered a short trade, once price reaches this level, they can move the trade to break-even.
TP1 (~3580) → the first bearish target.
TP2 (~3520–3530) → the second bearish target.
Overall takeaway:
The structure suggests that the bearish scenario is more likely (because of the wedge breakdown).
Right now, price is consolidating near a local resistance area.
If sellers step in again, hitting TP1 and possibly TP2 is on the table.
But if price breaks and holds above 3660–3670, that would invalidate the bearish setup.
September 11th Gold AnalysisSeptember 11th Gold Analysis
Waiting for CPI Data to Break the Deadlock
Market Dynamics
Yesterday's gold market exhibited typical pre-data volatility. Following a series of emotional speculation, bulls and bears reached a stalemate, with gold prices fluctuating between $3,618 and $3,657 throughout the day, ultimately closing slightly higher.
This narrow consolidation pattern reflects the market's conflicting sentiment: on the one hand, expectations of a Fed rate cut and geopolitical risks are supporting gold prices; on the other hand, gold prices are already at historical highs, and further upward momentum requires new catalysts.
Gold has risen over 39% so far this year, an astonishing performance that makes it one of the best-performing asset classes in 2025.
Focus Event: US CPI Data
Today's US August CPI data will serve as a bellwether for the market. Market expectations are for the unadjusted CPI to be 2.9% annualized (previous reading: 2.7%) and 0.3% monthly; the core CPI is expected to be 3.1% annualized and 0.3% monthly.
This data will directly influence the Federal Reserve's decision at its September 17-18 meeting. The market currently places a 100% probability on a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed, but the strength of the CPI data will influence the subsequent policy path.
A strong reading could push gold below the $3,600 support level; conversely, a weak reading could see gold prices test or even break through all-time highs.
Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, gold is currently oscillating at a high level, with a tendency toward sideways trading. On the upside, watch for short-term resistance around 3,655-60, while on the downside, focus on support around 3,625-20.
The performance of the previous two trading days suggests that gold bullish sentiment is waning. A break below the 3,620-25 support level could trigger a short-term counterattack by bears, potentially testing support around 3,605-00, and even a pullback to 3,570.
However, such a deep correction would require support from negative fundamental factors. Tonight's US CPI data and the ECB's interest rate decision could contribute to this situation, but the market's current dominant sentiment remains focused on expectations of a Fed rate cut next week.
Trading Strategies and Risk Management
Prior to the data release, gold prices are likely to remain volatile at high levels. Consider adopting a light-weight strategy of buying low and selling high, and then following the market trend after the data is released.
Long: We recommend a light-weight long position in the 3620-3628 area, with a stop-loss below 3615 and a target of 3650-3660.
Short: We recommend a light-weight short position in the 3630-3640 area, with a stop-loss below 3655 and a target of 3620. If the price falls below the 3620 support level, you can increase your short position and target lower support levels.
The market is volatile, especially on trading days with major data releases, when volatility and uncertainty can increase significantly. Investors should respond flexibly based on real-time market conditions, ensure proper risk management, and make prudent decisions.
Thank you for your attention. I hope my analysis can be helpful to you.
Gold Buys And Magic levelsLast week the buy levels i shared here gave us 700 Pips profit. now this week I'm expecting price to go down before testing ath again, this is a usual pattern so don't be a Bear and get all excited and start targeting 3300s and all . the area 3638-3643 and 3653-3658 gold closed between these levels on friday and breakout on either will give a solid entry.
If it breaks below than expect it to go down to levels 3594-3600 and if it goes down further thana very solid support area 3573-3581.I'm expecting a solid rejection at these levels for Buys and if we get it than expect it to retest Ath.
On Monday if it breaks above area 3653-3658 than it'll most probably test Ath and the upper side levels i've given.
Swing TradeBased on 4H analysis
w e have Lower high/Previous high formation within the "Range 3670.9 - 3655.0". It is a sighn where Mkt can reach TP 1 Range 3624.1 - 3620.0 and only when Mkt breakes this range and close below it we can expect a movement which will be considered as retracement.
During the retracement period we can expect Mkt to reach TP 2 & TP 3 Targets. In this TP 2 is solid.
Please wait for Mkt to take a side and take any position accordingly. By today tomorrow we might get a clear idea on which side market has desided to continue.
Gold Hits New ATH, Eyeing $3700 Psychological Barrier📊 Market Developments:
Gold surged sharply and set a new all-time high at $3,697/oz. The main driver comes from expectations that the Fed may soon signal rate cuts, while investors seek gold as a safe haven amid geopolitical uncertainty.
📈 Technical Analysis:
• New Resistance: $3700 (psychological) – $3708 (Fibonacci extension).
• Nearby Support: $3690 – $3685 (previous ATH breakout zone).
• EMA 50 & 100 on H1: Both remain upward sloping, reinforcing the bullish trend.
• H1 Candle: Strong momentum, but a short pullback may occur around 3700.
🔎 Outlook:
The uptrend remains dominant; however, the $3700–$3708 zone is a key psychological barrier where short-term profit-taking may emerge. If price holds above $3685, the bullish momentum is likely to continue.
🎯 Suggested Trading Strategy:
• BUY (safe entry): 3691 – 3688, SL: 3685, TP: 40–80–200 pips.
• SELL short-term (scalping): Around 3700–3705 if H1 reversal candles appear, SL: 3710, TP: 30–60 pips.
Gold Trading Strategy: Buy Long and Continue to Attack
Gold continued its strong performance today, essentially stabilizing and fluctuating upward. Each low has been higher. Buy gold directly at 3635, and gold has surged as expected, achieving two consecutive victories.
Although gold has recently fluctuated within a large range, we have consistently emphasized that gold is still in a bull market. As long as there is no downward breakout, the current fluctuations in gold are merely adjustments to the upward trend. Once it breaks upward, gold will continue its new round of gains.
Trade: Gold bulls remain strong, and the 1-hour moving average will cross upward to form a golden cross, leading to a fluctuating upward trend. If gold falls back to around 3645-3650, continue to buy on dips.
As always, we will keep you updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage our active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments, and follows; we really appreciate it!
GOLD Sideway Waiting for a Strong Breakout on Interest Rate News📊 Timeframe: H1
💡 Technical Analysis:
Gold is currently moving in a sideways structure within a clearly defined range, forming a mild descending channel on the chart.
The market shows signs of a short-term correction, likely to retest key Fibonacci support levels before a potential breakout.
Two important Fibonacci levels to watch: 0.5 (3,593) and 0.618 (3,574) – this could be the final corrective wave before a strong upward move.
Upcoming interest rate news today may act as the catalyst for a significant rally.
🟢 Suggested Trade Plan
BUY zone: 3,593 – 3,690
Stop Loss (SL): 3,580
Take Profit (TP):
Target 1: 3,615
Target 2: 3,630
Target 3: 3,640
Target 4: 3,650
🎯 New ATH: 3,675+ if the channel high is broken
📌 Key Notes
Watch for price reactions near the Fibonacci support zones, especially before and after the interest rate announcement.
Manage your position sizing carefully—avoid over-leveraging during potential high-volatility news events.
This is a personal analysis for sharing trading ideas only, not financial advice.
💬 Feel free to share your thoughts and add your perspective so we can trade more effectively together on TradingView! 📈✨
Gold 16 Sep 2025Chart Analysis (XAUUSD – Gold vs USD, 1H)
Timeframe: 1 Hour (H1).
Elliott Wave Structure:
The previous correction is labeled (A)–(B)–(C).
After that, the market started an impulsive wave: (1) → (2) → (3) → now likely in (4) and preparing for (5).
Key Levels:
Swing High (Resistance): around 3699.48.
Swing Low (Support): around 3677.83 – 3674.54 → potential area for wave (4).
Next support if broken: 3656.82 – 3645.88.
Main Scenario (Bullish):
Price is currently in a wave (4) correction.
If it holds above 3677 – 3674, then wave (5) upside continuation is expected.
Target wave (5): 3710 – 3720 (above the swing high).
Alternative Scenario (Bearish):
If the price breaks and closes below 3674, the correction could extend toward 3656 – 3645.
This would delay the wave (5) formation.
📝 Trading Plan:
Buy on Dip: wait for a pullback to 3677 – 3674 area, look for confirmation (rejection candle / bullish engulfing).
🎯 Target: 3710 – 3720
🛑 Stop Loss: below 3670
Sell Short: if price breaks and closes strongly below 3674,
🎯 Target: 3656 – 3645
🛑 Stop Loss: above 3685
[XAUUSD] Reverse ZoneHi everyone, this is my first outlook. After almost two years of studying the markets, I’ve decided to start sharing some of my views.
Looking at the chart, I noticed a potential reversal zone for a structural long continuation. Since we are near a structural low that supports the long structure, if that zone holds—with confirmations like CHoCH and BOS—I wouldn’t hesitate to take a long position toward new all-time highs.