Gold :)XAUUSD – 1H Analysis
The price is moving towards the 3659 resistance level. If this zone is broken and confirmed, further bullish continuation can be expected.
🎯 Current Target: 3659
GOLD trade ideas
Gold Breaking Limits – Trend Speaks for ItselfGold Breaking Limits – Trend Speaks for Itself
Gold Market Outlook
Gold continues to demonstrate a well-structured bullish cycle, characterized by steady momentum and clean trend development. The market has transitioned from a prolonged consolidation phase into a sustained directional move, where each breakout is validated by controlled retracements. This reflects strong participation and confidence from larger players.
The sequence of market shifts and break-of-structure signals highlight how short-term pullbacks are consistently absorbed, turning into fuel for further expansion. Price action is orderly, with no signs of erratic volatility, showing that buyers remain in control and liquidity is being managed efficiently.
Overall, gold is moving in line with the broader macro sentiment. The rhythm of accumulation, expansion, and continuation suggests that the current cycle has not yet exhausted its potential. While interim pauses are expected, the structural integrity of the trend continues to favor upside development over the medium term.
XAUUSD--LONG--Bullish bias.
--tp and entry levels are as shown on chart
--for big picture check the weekly chart I published before. (I added below)
GOLD → Consolidation before continued growth FX:XAUUSD is undergoing a correction amid revised unemployment data, but this has not disrupted the overall technical situation. The market is still anticipating an aggressive reduction in interest rates...
The price resumed its growth on Wednesday amid escalating geopolitical tensions and a weakening dollar ahead of the release of US inflation data (PPI). The price is correcting after a record high of $3675, but retains the potential for further growth.
The escalation of the situation in Eastern Europe and the Middle East is increasing demand for safe assets. Expectations of Fed policy easing and a revision of employment data are weighing on the USD.
PPI inflation data: Today's release may temporarily support the USD if the figures exceed forecasts, but the overall trend remains bearish for the dollar.
PPI data is ahead, which may cause short-term volatility, but the long-term bullish trend remains intact.
Support levels: 3640, 3628
Resistance levels: 3657, 3675
Technically, I expect to see a correction from local resistance to the 3645-3640 area, from which growth may continue. A breakout of 3657 could trigger a continuation of the momentum.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold (XAUUSD) 1D TF Symmetrical Triangle BreakoutOANDA:XAUUSD
Symmetrical triangle consolidation (May–Aug 2025). Breakout confirmed in early September with a strong vertical rally. Volume/price action suggests a valid breakout, not a fakeout.
Current Price: $3,635
ATH at $3,674
📌 Target Levels (charted white lines + structure)
1️⃣ $3,605 → Already tested/holding as immediate breakout validation.
This is acting as the first resistance → now turned support.
2️⃣ $3,518 → Previous consolidation resistance.
If price pulls back, this is the first major retest zone.
A healthy retracement could wick into this area before resuming trend.
3️⃣ $3,428 → Secondary support and former supply zone.
This is deeper correction territory.
Break below this weakens momentum but doesn’t kill the bullish structure.
?️ $3,377 → The “?” zone is the triangle apex retest (classic in TA).
If gold corrects sharply, this is the line in the sand where buyers MUST defend.
Losing this would suggest a probable failed breakout and open more downside.
🎯 Forward Outlook
Bullish Path: As long as price stays above $3,518– or a retest at $3,428 / $3,377 continuation toward $3,700+ and eventually $4,000 is very much on the table.
📉 Correction Path: A dip to $3,428–$3,518 would be a healthy reset after the parabolic move.
Invalidation: A daily close below $3,377 would put the breakout at risk.
Gold broke out of its triangle with power. Now, $3,605 is the “make or break” line. Hold above it, and bulls keep control with eyes on $3,700–$4,000. 👀
Lose $3,377, and the breakout fizzles into deeper correction.
What do you think! 💡 let me know your view on this idea ?
Always DYOR,
Trade Safely,
See you on the other side,
-Jova
GOLD HITS RESISTANCE AT 3,703 – SHORT-TERM PROFIT TAKING LIKELY📊 Market Drivers:
- Gold reached a historic high at US$3,703/oz, driven by stronger-than-expected U.S. Retail Sales and Industrial Production data, though a weaker USD continues to provide support.
- Markets are now awaiting the upcoming Fed meeting to gauge potential monetary policy adjustments — creating uncertainty and possible volatility for gold.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: ~ $3,703/oz — the recent peak. A breakout with strong volume could open the way towards US$3,750–3,800.
• Nearest Support: ~ $3,650–3,670/oz. Holding this level is crucial to prevent a deeper pullback.
• EMA-09: Price is fluctuating around the 9-period EMA on the short-term chart. A drop below the EMA could signal a corrective phase.
• Candlestick / Volume / Momentum:
• Clear profit-taking pressure appeared when price touched 3,703.
• RSI is in the overbought zone near the peak — warning of a potential short-term pullback.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may pull back slightly in the short term due to profit-taking after hitting the record high, especially if the USD strengthens or U.S. data continues to surprise on the upside.
However, if support at US$3,650–3,670 holds, gold could rebound and head towards US$3,750–3,800 should the Fed deliver dovish signals.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy
🔻 SELL XAU/USD
Entry: 3,712 – 3,715
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: 3,718
🔺 BUY XAU/USD
Entry: 3,657 – 3,660
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: 3,654
growth, towards new ATH 3715⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) eased slightly on Tuesday after hitting a new record high near $3,690, as traders adjusted positions ahead of key central bank events. The Fed is widely expected to cut rates by 25 bps on Wednesday amid signs of labor market weakness, though attention will center on updated projections and Chair Powell’s remarks for clues on the policy outlook. These signals are likely to shape USD moves and set the next direction for bullion.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price continues to increase, market continues to fomo. Big buying force waiting for interest rate results to pump strongly
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3713- 3715 SL 3720
TP1: $3703
TP2: $3692
TP3: $3680
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3656-$3654 SL $3649
TP1: $3666
TP2: $3678
TP3: $3690
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
This is a follow up update on our 4H chart idea that we shared Sunday stating that we still had the final gap in the range left.
EMA5 cross and cross and lock above 3561 left 3615 open.
- This target was hit this week now completing our 4H chart idea.
Keep an eye out for our NEW 4H chart idea with updated levels and route map.
BULLISH TARGET
3424 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3424 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3499 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3499 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3561 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3561 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3615 - DONE
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold has returned to its upward trendCurrently, the bulls in the gold market have the upper hand. The recent short - term pullback in gold prices is merely an adjustment and does not signal a real trend reversal. After gold broke through the short - term downward trend line on the chart, it rebounded upwards again. As a result, the 3660 level has now transformed into a support level. Any retracement of gold to above 3660 presents an opportunity to go long on dips.
Given that the gold bulls have managed to reverse the situation after multiple downward probes and the price has ultimately continued to rise, it indicates that the strength of the gold bulls is more dominant. Gold has returned to its upward trend, and the short - term adjustment may have ended. Therefore, on any retracement, it is still an opportunity to go long along the trend.
FED slows down: Cuts 25bps, gold stays flat🟡 XAU/USD – 18/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓
🔎 Captain’s Log – News Context
FED : Cut rates by 25bps as expected, hinted at 2 more cuts this year → initially supported Gold to rebound around 3,65x.
Powell turned hawkish :
• “No need to move quickly on rate cuts.”
• “Today’s cut is mainly risk-management.”
This message signaled that the FED is not fully opening the easing door → Gold fluctuated and stalled its upside momentum.
Tonight: Awaiting Jobless Claims & Philly Fed for more clarity on the FED’s path.
⏩ Captain’s Summary
Gold is supported by the rate cut, but Powell’s “braking” caused volatility.
Zone 3,663 – 3,665 has become the pivot support to determine the next move.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis
Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone)
3,684 – 3,686 (strong OB)
3,717 – 3,719 (ATH Zone – very strong, likely heavy selling)
Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone)
Pivot Dock: 3,663 – 3,665 (new pivot support)
Main Harbor: 3,629 – 3,630 (BoS confluence & old sideway)
Market Structure
After breakout and profit-taking, Gold returned to test support.
3,663 – 3,665 : pivot support.
• If it holds → rebound to 3,684 – 3,717.
• If it breaks → deeper correction to 3,629.
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan
✅ Buy (priority)
Buy Zone 1
Entry: 3,663 – 3,665
SL: 3,655
TP: 3,684 – 3,717
Buy Zone 2
Entry: 3,629 – 3,630
SL: 3,618
TP: 3,663 – 3,684 – 3,717
⚡ Sell (only at resistance)
Sell Zone OB
Entry: 3,684 – 3,686
SL: 3,695
TP: 3,665 – 3,645
Sell Zone ATH
Entry: 3,717 – 3,719
SL: 3,727
TP: 3,706 – 3,690 – 3,675
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The Golden sails caught wind as the FED cut rates, but Powell’s headwind slowed the advance. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3,663 – 3,629) is the pivot dock to decide the next course. If it holds, the ship may rebound to test Storm Breaker 🌊 (3,684 – 3,719) . If it breaks, the ship will retreat deeper to gather strength. For now, Quick Boarding 🚤 should only be done at strong resistance, while the larger voyage still leans northward.”
Gold Pulls Back Within UptrendGold pushed higher to the upper side of the triangle this month, and then also broke above the 3450 area, above both waves D and B swing points. This suggests the contracting range since May is finished and we are now in a new bullish phase, likely the fifth wave on the higher time frame chart. We see metal now in the third subwave of this fifth wave, extending now to 261.8% Fib target. So gold is clearly in an uptrend as long as we trade above 3400, but keep in mind that this higher-degree fifth wave could complete the bull run from the 2023 lows within the next few weeks. But we are not in that final stage yet, looks like more upside after intraday sub wave four pullback., First support is at 3579-3600. So after some slow-down, gold is expected to stay up.
Gold Breaks Out of Range, Targeting Higher Resistance📊 Market Developments:
After consolidating in the 3643–3658 range, gold has broken out, moving up to 3665 in the US session. The rally is supported by safe-haven flows as expectations grow for further Fed easing, while the USD shows signs of stabilizing.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: 3672–3675 (a breakout could extend toward 3685–3692).
• Nearest Support: 3658 (the breakout level) — if successfully retested, it may turn into new support.
• EMA 09: Price is now above EMA09 → confirming short-term bullish momentum.
• Candles / Volume / Momentum: A strong H1 breakout candle with higher volume confirms buyer dominance.
📌 Outlook:
• Gold has exited the sideways range and is trending higher in the short term.
• Holding above 3658 keeps the upside bias intact toward 3672–3685.
• Downside risk only emerges if price falls back below 3658.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
• BUY XAU/USD at: 3658–3662 (on a retest after breakout)
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: 3654
• SELL short-term only if a strong reversal signal appears around 3675–3685.
GOLDPreferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
XAUUSD (Gold) Analysis - Bullish Continuation From Support.📍 Current Price: 3658
I am looking bullish from 3651, which aligns with a strong support + trendline zone.
🛑 Stoploss: below 3651 support.
➡️ If price breaks 3651, then the next support is 3640.
🎯 Targets:
First Target: 3685
Second Target: All-Time High (ATH)
📌 Reason for bias:
Price is holding above support.
Technical confirms bullish trend.
Fundamentally, the Federal Rate Cut of 0.25 basis also supports bullish momentum in gold.
If you find this analysis helpful, don’t forget to hit the 👍 Like button and share your thoughts below.
Regards: Forex Insights Pro.
#XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #Trading #PriceAction #DayTrading #Fundamentals #TechnicalAnalysis
GOLD
7:00 PM (WAT):
Federal Funds Rate Announcement: The Federal Reserve is expected to announce a change in the federal funds target rate, currently ranging between 4.25% and 4.50%. Market consensus overwhelmingly anticipates a rate cut of 25 basis points, lowering the range to 4.00%-4.25%. This would be the first rate reduction in 2025, driven by weakening labor market indicators despite ongoing inflation concerns.
FOMC Economic Projections: Updated economic forecasts from the FOMC, including GDP growth, unemployment, and inflation outlooks, will be released.
FOMC Statement: The official policy statement explaining the rationale behind the interest rate decision and economic outlook will be published.
7:30 PM (WAT):
FOMC Press Conference: Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will hold a press conference to discuss the FOMC's decisions, economic conditions, and policy direction, providing additional insights and answering questions.
Context and Expectations:
The rate cut is prompted by signs of a slowing U.S. jobs market and a reassessment of inflation risks amid continued trade uncertainties.
The Fed has maintained rates in the 4.25%-4.5% range since December 2024, amidst political pressure and mixed economic signals.
Markets are pricing in multiple rate cuts this year, with expectations of gradual easing.
This FOMC meeting and its communications will be crucial for understanding the Fed's stance on monetary policy and its implications for markets, inflation, and economic growth.
WATCH 3686 AND 3688 CLOSE OF 15MIN CANDLE above structure.if sellers dont respect the supply zone ,then we look for buy and target 3735-3725 on FOMC DATA REPORT.
#GOLD #XAUUSD
Gold Futures Push Higher Ahead of Fed DecisionGold futures have once again closed at a new high, with the front-month contract settling up 0.9% at $3,682.20 per troy ounce. According to Felipe Barragán of Pepperstone, traders are increasingly pricing in expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut later this week.
“The sensitivity is now less about the move itself and more about the dots and Powell’s guidance on the pace of easing,” Barragan notes. “A benign path—gradual cuts with subdued real yields—tends to underpin bullion; a surprisingly hawkish set of projections could nudge the dollar and sap some of gold’s momentum.”
If gold prices can maintain their upward momentum above 3682, a swift move toward the next resistance level around 3710 is possible. Sustained bullish sentiment—driven by dovish Fed guidance and declining real yields—could accelerate the rally in the short term Bias,
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of Luck.
Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for supporting.
Gold UpdateGold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around the $3684 zone, where it has already tested a strong resistance / Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ). This area has historically acted as a supply zone, and we can observe repeated rejection candles forming here, signaling weakness in bullish momentum.
🔎 Key Observations:
Resistance Zone: Price is consolidating under the $3680–$3700 resistance area. As long as gold remains capped below this level, the probability of a downside move increases.
First Target Zone: If sellers maintain pressure, the first bearish target lies near $3575 – $3560, where the market may attempt a pullback.
Continuation Scenario: A break below this support area opens the path toward the final target near $3330 – $3320, which is a major support point and a critical demand zone on the chart.
PRZ Significance: The Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) highlights an exhaustion point for buyers, and any sustained rejection here could trigger a deeper correction phase.
📚 Educational Note:
The market structure shows how resistance zones act as “ceilings” where price struggles to move higher, while support zones act as “floors” where price stabilizes.
Traders should wait for confirmation (break & retest or rejection patterns) before entering, rather than anticipating moves.
Risk management remains key: never risk more than 1–2% per trade, and always have stop-loss levels aligned with your strategy.
👉 Conclusion:
Gold is at a critical juncture. As long as resistance holds, sellers may push toward the first target ($3575–$3560). A confirmed break of this zone could accelerate the move toward the final support region at $3330–$3320.
GOLD XAUUSD DOLLAR AND US10Y REBOUND ,the yellow metal and silver are in low demand ,we need discount in the price of yellow metal below 3600 for a strong trend.
structure never lies.
#gold #xauusd
Excellent re-Buy opportunities deliveredTechnical analysis: Gold reached my personal maximum of #3,702.80 - #3,705.80 once again as the Price-action didn’t invalidated Daily chart’s solid Ascending Channel to the upside and is now testing the Lower High’s Lower pressure point. However, #3,652.80 benchmark represents very strong Support zone as I see strong possibility of Gold reversing there many times ahead without breaking it (after such decline on late U.S. session / post Fed conference), as Investors, after #4th in a row report announcement which missed their estimate, should draw capital from riskier assets to safe-havens such as Gold / I doubt Gold has more potential to trend Lower on Short-term. Bond Yields are soaring as well due to the Fed’s Repurchase Agreements, which are making Low risk assets such as Bond Yields and Gold counterbalancing the trend on DX. The current Buying accumulation pattern on Hourly 4 chart is now on total Neutrality but attempting to break towards last week’s Higher High's, DX (# +0.02%) is Bearish as well as the Bond Yields (# +1.27%) are rising with every Hourly candle within current recovery which hit local High's and aggressively reversed. Current Fed loan climate is Gold friendly as additional Rate tightening will make commodities (Gold especially) to gain even more regarding Medium-term horizon and DX will suffer. Price-action is on very cautious sentiment.
My position: I continue Trading with my re-Buy orders from my key entry points as I have Bought each local Low's Gold delivered throughout yesterday's session plus Profits Buying Gold before Rate event as I was confident that Rate cut will be delivered where Gold should gain and DX lose.
Excellent Profits on Bull runAs discussed throughout my Friday's session commentary and many past remarks: 'Quick update: My practical suggestion to keep Buying every dip has proven to be excellent recently as wherever you Buy this market, you won't regret the decision. I repeat once again, do not Sell Gold on this market at all costs. I spotted decent opportunity as before to position myself on Long-term towards #3,700.80 as I Bought #3,618.80, #3,625.80 and #3,630.80 towards #3,700.80 benchmark / all orders running with Stop's on breakeven as I maintain my #3,700.80 benchmark Target. This will be excellent addition to my already made Profits from Buying Gold on the Short-term. Well done if you followed.'
I have closed in Profit many scalp-Buying orders throughout Friday's session from #3,640.80 towards #3,645.80 or more while my Medium-term Buying orders are well preserved. I have added another Buy limit last night on market opening with #3,630.80 entry point which was triggered and closed on #3,645.80 Take Profit automatically. I will keep Buying every Low's on Gold from my key entry points as long as Gold is Trading above #3,620.80 Support for the fractal.
XAUUSD CAN FLY HIGHAccording to H1 analysis gold market continuously in fly pressure market break the RESISTANCE LEVEL and create the RBS (RESISTANCE BECAME SUPPORT) now market will be touch the support level if you are interested then go long from here
dont be greedy use money management
TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK
REGARD ALBERT
GOLD (XAUUSD) Wave analysis Update 16/9/2025 (Scenario 2) H4GOLD (XAUUSD) Wave analysis Update 16/9/2025 (Scenario 2) H4
AS SHOWN
