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Gold Sell Setup AgainHi All,
Attached is a Sell Setup for Gold as of now. (For Educational Purpose Only)
1. SL is mandatory
2. Book 1:1 Profit for half position and rest half let it run (BCZ TREND IS UP) so don't invest huge as we are taking trade against the trend as of now.
3. Lets hope we will earn together good amount of GREEN PIPS.
Amen.
GOLD Remains Bullish and a Little TrickyGOLD Remains Bullish and a Little Tricky
Also, today gold remains without any clear momentum. Despite being in a strong uptrend, the price is still not taking direction.
We have to be very careful with this long pause because it is not usual for Gold.
However, so far we have no sign of a change in trend.
Only whoever created the big bullish wave that doubled the price of gold can push it down. I see no other reason for gold to move down.
It has been a long time since it served as a hedge against inflation, war, and difficult times.
However, this is only my personal opinion.
Overal,l Gold is in a big mess.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Excellent Profits on Bull runAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary' : I spot more and more Sellers trapped in attempt to re-Sell Gold, remember that Gold is on undisputed Buying trend and total Bullish domination. I maintain however my #4,100.80 first Target as I am Buying from #4,022.80 last night / Asian session opening as behind us is just on of the many 'Sellers trap' week believing Gold would dip towards #3,900.80 benchmark. I remain solid with my thesis that Gold delivered correction, formed Ultimate Bottom on #4,000.80 benchmark and will continue soaring from this point as #4,000.80 will remain floor for #5,100.80 benchmark test in extension.'
I have closed my #4,022.80 Buying orders on #4,082.80 extension. As Gold formed Support structure on #4,076.80, I have aggressively Bought Gold many times there (cca. #16 re-Buy orders) and all closed near #4,100.80 benchmark. As I spotted that Gold is not delivering any reversal signs, I have added two #25 Lots Buying orders on #4,107.80 with #4,127.80 Target which was hit over-night. I am Highly satisfied with my Profit and will not Trade today's session, with my capital ready for end of the week phase and remember / being Seller on this market will hurt your capital and you are swimming against the tide.
XAUUSD- Bullish setupGold is showing early signs of a bullish reversal after finding support around the lower green band and reclaiming the short-term trend zone. Price has broken above the descending structure with increasing momentum, suggesting potential continuation to the upside.
Bullish Confluences:
Bounce from lower volatility band support (oversold zone).
Break above local trend resistance and EMA ribbon.
Higher lows forming, showing renewed buying pressure.
🎯 Fibonacci Targets:
TP1: 38.2% – $4,049
TP2: 61.8% – $4,075
TP3: 100% – $4,117
As long as price holds above the recent breakout zone (~$3,995–$4,000), bulls remain in control. A clean move through the golden zone could confirm continuation toward higher targets.
My predictions and analysis of gold todayMy predictions and analysis of gold today were consistent with the day's market conditions:
1-Accurate judgment on support levels: The key support level at 4100 remained solid, and gold prices rebounded after hitting the bottom at this level, verifying the effectiveness of this support.
2-Consistency between oscillation/breakout forecasts and actual trends: Gold made multiple attempts to break through the 4145 resistance level but pulled back under pressure, with the high-level narrow-range oscillation in line with expectations. It was also clearly indicated that a breakout from the narrow range was likely during the U.S. session.
3-Effective trend and strategy guidance: The trading strategy provided in the morning aligned with gold's price movement, and the core strategy of prioritizing buying on pullbacks was emphasized, which fit the actual market rhythm.
4-Risk reminder: It was advised that one should not blindly chase the upward trend to avoid losses.
Gold on upswing as expectedAs discussed throughout my Friday's session commentary: 'My position: I have Traded Scalp orders mostly throughout yesterday’s session Buying #4,005.80 on multiple occasions towards #4,015.80 and #3,992.80 aggressively towards #4,000.80 benchmark. I have Bought #3,964.80 as well as I maintain Buying every dips strategy. I have accumulated enough Profits this week and will not Trade today, comfortably taking early weekend break.'
Update: I spot more and more Sellers trapped in attempt to re-Sell Gold, remember that Gold is on undisputed Buying trend and total Bullish domination. I maintain however my #4,100.80 first Target as I am Buying from #4,022.80 last night / Asian session opening as behind us is just on of the many 'Sellers trap' week believing Gold would dip towards #3,900.80 benchmark. I remain solid with my thesis that Gold delivered correction, formed Ultimate Bottom on #4,000.80 benchmark and will continue soaring from this point as #4,000.80 will remain floor for #5,100.80 benchmark test in extension.
GOLD Will make new HighAfter a sharp decline, price enters a sideways consolidation — this is often where smart money (composite operators) begin to accumulate positions before the next bullish move.
Wyckoff Accumulation Phases (Simplified)
Selling Climax (SC):
A sharp decline followed by high volume and a rebound — sellers are exhausted.
Automatic Rally (AR):
Price bounces back sharply, defining the upper range of the accumulation zone.
Secondary Test (ST):
Price retests or slightly breaks below the SC but with lower volume.
Spring (optional):
A final shakeout where price dips below support to trap late sellers.
Sign of Strength (SOS):
Breakout above resistance on higher volume and strong candles.
Last Point of Support (LPS):
Retest of broken resistance — this confirms the bullish reversal.
Gold Analysis H4 - Bullish orderflowAfter gold broke below the 3944.48 level, the market initially showed signs of further downside movement, potentially aiming to sweep more liquidity resting beneath that zone. However, the nature of the breakout suggests that it could itself be a liquidity grab rather than the start of a genuine bearish continuation.
The candle that broke this level was quickly rejected, indicating that selling pressure may have been absorbed by strong buy orders. This kind of price reaction often signals the presence of institutional accumulation or smart money activity.
As a result, the order flow now appears to be shifting, potentially preparing for a bullish move. If momentum continues to build, price may aim to sweep the liquidity resting above the trendline before deciding on the next directional move.
XAUUSD Eyes 4000$ Breakout as Accumulation Phase Near Completion🔍 Market Context
After a week of sideways consolidation within a broad range, gold (XAU/USD) is showing the first signs of structural recovery.
The market is gradually carving a potential short-term bottom, hinting that the corrective phase may be ending — and a breakout from the range could be imminent.
Despite the lack of new macro catalysts, sentiment remains underpinned by renewed safe-haven flows and expectations that the Fed will maintain its easing stance through early 2026.
Traders are now watching closely whether the 4,000$ handle will finally give way — a key inflection zone that could trigger aggressive momentum buying if reclaimed.
📊 Technical Structure (H1–H4)
Gold is currently trading above the intraday demand zone 3,969$–3,982$, maintaining a short-term bullish structure while compressing under resistance.
The descending trendline and Fibo confluence near 4,019$–4,048$ act as the next critical reaction area for breakout confirmation.
Key Technical Zones:
• 💎 Demand Zone: 3,969$ – 3,982$ (liquidity base + ascending trendline confluence)
• 🎯 Primary Resistance: 4,019$ – 4,048$ (trendline + Fibo 1.272/1.618)
• ⚙️ Bullish Target: 4,046$ → 4,052$ → 4,090$ (extended range liquidity)
• ⚠️ Invalidation: Below 3,960$ → risk of a deeper correction toward 3,940$.
🎯 MMFLOW Outlook
Smart money appears to be absorbing liquidity within the 3,970$ zone, suggesting accumulation before expansion.
If gold can break and sustain above 4,000$, the bias flips decisively bullish — opening the door for a range expansion toward 4,050$+.
This could mark the beginning of a new impulse phase following weeks of compression.
⚜️ MMFLOW Insight:
“When volatility sleeps, liquidity quietly builds the next trend.”
Gold/Oil Signaling Market Is In A Super Bubble Gold = Fear
Oil = how strong the economy is.
Except for COVID we have never seen such an extreme reading. Yet people are buying up stocks like we will never again be able to produce another stock again as long as we live!
Tulips!
Here are just a few of the factors to consider that make this indicator important.
Why This Indicator Matters: Key Factors at a Glance
Gold’s Surge Signals a Shift
Gold has soared nearly 60% year-to-date, adding a staggering $10 trillion in market capitalization. This rally effectively erases all the stock market gains made since May 2021, including those driven by AI enthusiasm and speculative tech runs.
USD Can Only Be Measured Against Gold
As the world’s reserve currency, the U.S. dollar’s real value is best gauged in terms of gold. This is a critical point—because when gold rises this dramatically, it reflects monetary inflation. A large part of the stock market rally has been driven by an expanding money supply, not true value creation.
Curiously, this inflation hasn’t shown up in oil prices, which have collapsed, despite geopolitical risks. More on that below.
The Dollar’s Worst Year in Decades
2025 marks one of the most significant declines for the U.S. dollar in recent history. Its role as the world reserve currency (WRC) has diminished—from 85% in the 1970s to just 50% today. Trade wars and tariffs are only accelerating this trend.
Monetary Inflation Drives Stock Prices
Stock markets are being lifted by monetary inflation, not organic growth. Stocks can be created endlessly—unlike gold. That makes gold a true inflation benchmark. The stock market’s rise is, in large part, a mirage, reflecting debased currency, not real productivity.
Oil Isn’t Behaving as Expected—Why?
Typically, when the dollar weakens, oil prices rise—because more dollars are needed to buy the same barrel of oil. But right now, oil prices are soft. Why?
Global demand is weak, outpaced by supply. Even the Russia-Ukraine war hasn’t changed that dynamic. In fact, Russia is now importing gasoline, as Ukrainian forces continue to target and disable refining capacity.
Here’s why this matters: when oil wells are opened, they can't just be turned off. If the refiners are destroyed and the oil has nowhere to go—it’s wasted. That’s a strategic win for Ukraine.
The Disconnect Between Stock Prices and Profits
While inflation has pushed stock prices higher, it hasn’t translated into equivalent profit growth.
Example: If a stock goes from $10 to $20 due to inflation, you'd expect earnings to go from $1 to $2 to maintain the same P/E ratio. Instead, the earnings yield is just 3.2%—a historical low. That’s a major red flag.
As pilots would say: WTF, over?
Here’s the likely explanation:
The money hasn’t reached consumers—it's concentrated in the hands of wealthy savers and leveraged investors, who are buying more stocks to sell to the next buyer willing to lever up even more. It’s a classic feedback loop—and a superbubble reminiscent of the tulip mania era.
The Smart Money Knows What's Coming
As this imbalance grows more obvious, central banks and institutional investors are quietly increasing their gold holdings—well above the pace of supply growth.
So when Gold/Oil (two important commodities) completely disconnect like this, and Gold explodes up like this, you'd better take notice!
Lastly, it takes 100 ounces to buy a new home. Last time this occurred was in 1978 ish, 2011, and now!
Debt to GDP in 76 was 33%, 2011 was 99% and today 126% It is not the same animal as the past.
GTFO & STFO! No matter where the prices for stocks go!
CAUTION!!!
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 11/6/2025Although gold dropped to 3930 on Tuesday, yesterday it didn't continue the momentum but rose to 3980. I am switching my view to my weekly prediction. Gold should continue to rise this week. Currently, bull's strength is not strong enough. It will face resistance of 4000. I will buy from 3960. If 4000 is broken, I will have more confidence on hitting 4028 target or even 4050.
Today's gold trading strategy1.The technical breakout feature is highly significant, and the risk of a top divergence is imminent. The so-called "breakout trend" currently actually has fatal flaws: Although the London gold price has reached $3990.24, it has not stabilized above the 10-day moving average (4008 USD), and the 30-minute chart has formed a top divergence structure of "new price high + shortened MACD red bar", which is a typical trend reversal signal. More importantly, the increase in trading volume during the breakout has "water" - the highest daily increase was only 0.41%, while the trading volume has shrunk by 22% compared to the peak of the previous trading day, and although the active buy orders accounted for 61%, they were concentrated in the $3980 - $3985 USD range, and the buy volume above $3990 USD dropped sharply, confirming "insufficient willingness to buy at the high price". Historical data shows that when gold does not break through the key moving average, a top divergence occurs, and the probability of a 24-hour subsequent decline is 81%, with an average decline of over 1.2%.
2.Institutional funds have hidden differences, and the sustainability of ETF's increase in holdings is questionable. The "institutional increase in holdings" logic that is overly dependent on it has obvious flaws: The latest addition to SPDR gold ETF holdings data was on November 4th (increased by 2.58 tons), and there has been no new increase in holdings record since November 5th. Moreover, the main contract position of New York gold futures shows that the long position only increased slightly by 0.3%, while the short position increased by 1.8%, the ratio of long to short positions dropped from 1.2:1 to 1.17:1, and the institutional differences have already emerged. What is more alarming is that the gold sector index has been in a 3-day correction, with a single-day decline of 4.06% on November 4th, and the trading volume has also shrunk simultaneously, indicating that the precious metal funds in the stock market are accelerating their withdrawal, and this "cross-market capital flight" often precedes the decline in the spot market.
Today's gold trading strategy
sell:3985~3995
tp:3975~3965
sl:4005
XAUUSD - Time to buy...XAUUSD was in a short term downtrend for a few weeks but has now shown some clear bullish movements ahead. XAUUSD (Gold) has broken out of a downward trend channel that was acting as strong resistance, The price is very likely to head to the next resistance level which is market as the take profit zone (green line). Time to buy!
GOLD Is Going Up! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for GOLD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 4,087.79.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 4,161.33 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
"Short-selling is correct" - Gold consolidation awaits breakout.Gold prices have indeed been somewhat sluggish recently, fluctuating repeatedly within a range. While this volatility can be agonizing, it reflects the market's rhythm. In terms of trading, avoid blindly chasing highs and lows. If you're bearish, don't chase the market down. Patiently wait for a rebound and resistance before entering a position. The recent market rhythm is very clear: sharp rallies are prone to pullbacks, and sharp drops are prone to rebounds – typical characteristics of a range-bound market. Our trading advice remains clear: focus on the 4010-4030 area. If a rebound fails to break through resistance, continue shorting, building positions in batches and proceeding steadily. We have repeatedly emphasized that gold is currently in a range-bound, slightly bearish adjustment phase, with the overall center of gravity continuing to shift downwards. Short-term rallies do not signify a reversal, and so-called signals are often just bull traps. High-level rebounds remain a good opportunity to establish short positions. Market conditions can change rapidly, but there are always patterns to follow. Don't be misled by appearances; look at the underlying logic and structure. Gold is still in a downward continuation phase. Rebounds present opportunities, while false breakouts pose risks. Gold prices fell as expected. Although we exited early and missed the lowest point, a steady exit is a victory in itself. Trading is never about who is more greedy, but about who knows how to control the pace better.
XAUUSD | Educational Sell Setup on Gold – Watching for Reversal Gold is currently approaching a major resistance area around 4165 – 4185, a level that has repeatedly acted as a short-term supply zone in recent sessions.
This region remains crucial for determining the next directional move — whether price confirms rejection or breaks through toward higher targets.
We are closely monitoring this zone for bearish reversal confirmation, preferably a bearish engulfing candle or any strong rejection structure on the 4H or 1H timeframe.
Once a clear reversal candle forms, short positions may be considered with strict money and risk management.
📊 Trade Overview
Type: Educational Sell Setup
Entry Zone: 4165 – 4185 (confirmation required)
Stop Loss: 4195 (4H candle close above)
Setup Context: Price testing resistance; potential corrective move expected upon rejection.
🎯 Target Map (Risk–Reward Structure) (SL: 4195)
Entry Risk ($) TP1 (1:1) TP2 (1:2) TP3 (1:3) TP4 (1:4) TP5 (Extended) R:R Ratio
4165 30 4135 4105 4075 4045 — 1 : 4
4175 20 4155 4135 4115 4095 4045 1 : 6.5
4185 10 4175 4165 4155 4145 4045 1 : 14
Each position is managed independently.
Partial profits are taken at each milestone (1:1, 1:2, 1:3, 1:4), and stop-loss is moved to break-even after TP1 is reached.
Remaining exposure may target the extended level at $4045 if bearish momentum continues.
⚙️ Trade Management Rules
1:1 (First Target): Partial profit + move SL to entry.
1:2 and 1:3: Gradually reduce exposure while protecting capital.
1:4: Full closure unless strong momentum remains.
Extended TP5 (1:6.5–1:14): Optional trailing continuation only under sustained bearish structure.
📈 Technical Notes
The 4165–4185 range is a confirmed supply area on the 4H structure.
4H close above 4195 invalidates this setup and shifts bias toward 4205 → 4285.
Rejection within this resistance zone keeps the short bias valid toward 4045 as an extended target.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
All entries, targets, and risk parameters are provided for learning purposes within structured trading frameworks.






















