XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold has entered a sideways and choppy phase after reaching a new high and undergoing a correction.
The price is now consolidating within a narrow range between support and resistance, showing limited directional momentum in the short term.
In this area, we expect a short-term upward correction before the market resumes its downward move toward the highlighted support zones.
As long as gold remains below the resistance zone, the market is likely to continue its range-bound behavior followed by another bearish leg.
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Trade ideas
XAUUSD (Gold) — 4H Range Base Building for Breakout Gold (XAUUSD) continues to accumulate above the $3,970–$3,980 demand base, forming a tight range after several rejections from this zone. This consolidation signals potential energy buildup for a bullish breakout toward higher key levels.
Technical Breakdown:
Support Zone: $3,970–$3,980 (Accumulation Range)
Immediate Resistance: $3,998–$4,000 (Range High)
Upside Targets:
$4,141 — Previous structural resistance
$4,226 — Fib extension level
$4,379 — Major high / target zone
Market Structure Insight:
Price has successfully tested and respected the range support multiple times, suggesting a strong accumulation phase within a bullish macro backdrop. As long as Gold holds above $3,970, buyers are expected to regain control and drive toward the $4,200 handle.
Trade Plan:
Bullish bias remains intact above $3,970.
A confirmed 4H close above $4,000 signals momentum shift to the upside.
Target sequence: $4,141 → $4,226 → $4,379
A break below $3,950 would temporarily neutralize the setup.
Bias:
🟢 Bullish continuation while holding above $3,970, targeting breakout extension toward $4,200–$4,380 range.
Opportunities are plentiful; what's lacking is patience.Gold Technical Analysis: On Wednesday, a large bullish candlestick broke through the 4150 resistance level during the US session, ending the recent sideways consolidation. The price reached a high of around 4210. As we repeatedly emphasized on Wednesday, after consolidation, further upward movement was expected, opening a new upward channel. The market has largely lived up to expectations. The key focus now is on the sustainability of this upward move. Structurally, with this strong rally, all timeframes are in a bullish alignment. The immediate resistance levels to watch are around the 4-hour upper Bollinger Band at 4215, and the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, around 4275. These two levels are expected to provide some temporary resistance for the bulls. As the price has risen, the support level has gradually moved higher. The primary support level to watch in the short term is 4150. This level is a previous resistance zone that has repeatedly faced downward pressure and is currently a top-to-bottom reversal point. As long as the gold price holds above this level, the bullish trend will continue. The important support level is around 4100. As long as the price stays above this level, the upward trend will not change. Therefore, for the end of the week, we will continue to be bullish with 4150 and 4100 as support levels.
Gold prices have broken through the previous resistance zone around 4150 on the 4-hour chart. Both bulls and bears have made substantial profits over the past few trading days. If the price can hold above 4150, it is highly likely to reach 4250-4270 tomorrow. At the end of the trading day, pay attention to whether there will be a pullback followed by a second upward move. Also, watch for support around 4160-4150 in the final minutes of the trading day. The upward momentum after the recent breakout should continue, although the deviation in the smaller timeframes is slightly large. We should watch for any short-term corrections. On the hourly chart, watch the low of 4097 from Tuesday's pullback. The US session saw a rapid rise above 4150, indicating a low probability of a significant drop; at most, it will only be a pullback. Short-term focus should be on buying on dips, using the 4150 level (a previous support/resistance level) as support, and also looking for opportunities to buy at the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. In summary, today's gold trading strategy should prioritize buying on dips, with selling on rallies as a secondary approach. Key resistance levels to watch are 4250-4275, and key support levels are 4150-4170. Please stay on track.
XAUUSD 2-Hour Breakout Trading Strategy (Long Position) XAUUSD 2-Hour Breakout Trading Strategy (Long Position)
Go long on XAUUSD via breakout entry around the current price of 4051 USD once it breaks above 4051 USD. Set the stop-loss (SL) at 4023 USD.
- First target (TP1): Around 4130 USD – close half the position and trail the stop-loss (TSL).
- Second target (TP2): Around 4230 USD – close half the remaining position and trail the stop-loss.
- Third target (TP3): Around 4330 USD – close half the remaining position and trail the stop-loss.
- Let the residual position run with the trailing stop-loss in place.
Right now, I've discovered another market opportunity.We publicly pointed out that we should pay close attention to the resistance in the 4100-4120 range. After encountering resistance, a pullback was expected. The market trend was largely in line with our expectations, with the lowest point reaching around 4074. We were very satisfied with the substantial profit we achieved.
There was indeed some upward movement during the day. This week, we need to focus on the news: Although the market continued its strong performance at the beginning of the week, it was easy to create the illusion that a "sharp rise was about to happen". However, the government shutdown is now in its final countdown, so we need to be wary of potential risks. Once the shutdown ends, the market may see a significant pullback. Since relevant news has already released signals, we should remain rational about the recent rise and not blindly follow the trend. There is always something fishy going on, so it is better to be cautious. For more detailed instructions, please refer to the notification at the bottom.
From a technical perspective, gold has repeatedly faced resistance near 4110 after breaking through 4100. It is severely overbought in the short term and shows signs of a potential top. I personally do not recommend continuing to buy at this high level to avoid a sharp drop, which is a common market shakeout pattern. Therefore, my strategy remains to prioritize short-term shorting. From the current structure, 4100 has not truly stabilized. Do not blindly and aggressively chase the upward trend. Focus on short-term adjustments and seize opportunities to trade within the time frame. Short positions can be initiated in the 4100-4120 range, with a target of 10-40 USD. The key support level to watch is 4050-4030, which can be considered as a range for buying on dips and medium- to long-term positions. It is best to remain on the sidelines and not participate in positions in the middle range. The 4100-4120 range remains a key focus for short-term bears. Market trends don't only rise or only fall. If you grasp the opportunities well, every phase can be a chance. Generally speaking, don't blindly chase the rise when you're bullish. Flexibly manage the rhythm of primarily long positions and secondarily short positions, and follow the trend to achieve steady success.
XAUUSD: Double-Top Breakdown Targets $3,928 Amid USD StrengthXAUUSD 4H Bearish
**Quick Analysis**
- 3rd test & reject at $4,000 (psych + 1.618 Fib)
- Double-top neckline broken @ $3,985 → $3,928 target
- RSI 72 divergence + bearish engulfing under 200EMA
**Fundamentals**
- FOMC signals 2 cuts in 2026 → DXY 108.50
- Ceasefire + Trump tariffs crush safe-haven bid
- COT: specs max long → squeeze incoming
**Trade**
SELL LIMIT $3,995–$4,005
SL $4,018 | TP $3,928 (1:4 RR)
Risk 1% | BE +25 pips
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
The move from yesterday worked well giving a nice capture early session with price hitting the resistance and then the lower red box. Earlier today, although we got a long indication we only managed to get scalps for it before closing at BE.
We then activated on the boxes and subsequently completed all the red box targets in one swoop.
Now, we have support here at the 3930 level while resistance is at 3970-75 which gives us the levels that need to hold. It's looks like we may break on the box so we'll stick with the original plan from the KOG report on Sunday.
Price: 3994
RED BOXES:
Break above 4001 for 4010, 4016 and 4030 in extension of the move
Break below 3985 for 3979, 3970 and 3958 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Gold Sell Setup AgainHi All,
Attached is a Sell Setup for Gold as of now. (For Educational Purpose Only)
1. SL is mandatory
2. Book 1:1 Profit for half position and rest half let it run (BCZ TREND IS UP) so don't invest huge as we are taking trade against the trend as of now.
3. Lets hope we will earn together good amount of GREEN PIPS.
Amen.
Gold buy idea Gold been traded in a range for the past 10h .
Trade plane :-
#1 Gold has to break the daily swing with FVG with above average volume "spike" wait for market to retest the D swing H and look for engulfing candle or pin bar
#2 if I fail to break D swing H wait for market to drop back to micro demand and wait for the same confirmation engulfing candle or pin bar with above average volume
#3 do not trade NY open market is already trade in a small range NY might fake out just to grab liquidity. Wait 15 to 20 minutes for NY and London liquidity to set first then follow the instructions above.
If market keep traded in the same range then avoid trading for the day
Gold on excellent recoveryTechnical analysis: The Hourly 1 chart's Ascending Channel increases it’s gains towards Overbought levels as #4,152.80 psychological benchmark (so far) is showcasing durability. Both Weekly chart (#1W) and Monthly (#1M) are on encouraging gains (# +4.13% and # +2.48% respectively) and with ranging candles I can't see any rebound possibility before #4,200.80 benchmark test. Yesterday the #4,100.80 benchmark was tested twice and as I mentioned on my remarks balanced MA periods to settle within the #4,122.80 - #4,132.80 range. More and more Buying signs are appearing as I am confident in my Bullish model. Trade accordingly.
My position: As I spotted #4,100.80 benchmark test, I started Buying Gold on each dip towards #4,116.80 first Resistance. On another #4,106.80 Support sweep, I engaged strong Buying orders towards #4,127.80 extension last night. I will continue Buying every dip on Gold from my key entry points. That is my practical suggestion.
GOLD Will make new HighAfter a sharp decline, price enters a sideways consolidation — this is often where smart money (composite operators) begin to accumulate positions before the next bullish move.
Wyckoff Accumulation Phases (Simplified)
Selling Climax (SC):
A sharp decline followed by high volume and a rebound — sellers are exhausted.
Automatic Rally (AR):
Price bounces back sharply, defining the upper range of the accumulation zone.
Secondary Test (ST):
Price retests or slightly breaks below the SC but with lower volume.
Spring (optional):
A final shakeout where price dips below support to trap late sellers.
Sign of Strength (SOS):
Breakout above resistance on higher volume and strong candles.
Last Point of Support (LPS):
Retest of broken resistance — this confirms the bullish reversal.
Excellent Profits on Bull runAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary' : I spot more and more Sellers trapped in attempt to re-Sell Gold, remember that Gold is on undisputed Buying trend and total Bullish domination. I maintain however my #4,100.80 first Target as I am Buying from #4,022.80 last night / Asian session opening as behind us is just on of the many 'Sellers trap' week believing Gold would dip towards #3,900.80 benchmark. I remain solid with my thesis that Gold delivered correction, formed Ultimate Bottom on #4,000.80 benchmark and will continue soaring from this point as #4,000.80 will remain floor for #5,100.80 benchmark test in extension.'
I have closed my #4,022.80 Buying orders on #4,082.80 extension. As Gold formed Support structure on #4,076.80, I have aggressively Bought Gold many times there (cca. #16 re-Buy orders) and all closed near #4,100.80 benchmark. As I spotted that Gold is not delivering any reversal signs, I have added two #25 Lots Buying orders on #4,107.80 with #4,127.80 Target which was hit over-night. I am Highly satisfied with my Profit and will not Trade today's session, with my capital ready for end of the week phase and remember / being Seller on this market will hurt your capital and you are swimming against the tide.
What will gold do in the US trading session?📈 Market Structure
Price Action:
Price has just broken out of the accumulation zone, moving sharply toward the main resistance area.
📊 Trendlines
Lower Trendline (Red): Long-term dynamic support — price has bounced multiple times from this level.
Upper Trendline (Red): Main descending resistance — price is now approaching this zone.
🧱 Support Zones
3,970,000: Confluence of horizontal support and the lower trendline → key reaction area to monitor.
4,030 – 4,050 (Breakout Zone): Intermediate support if price pulls back after the breakout rally.
⚔️ Resistance Zones
4,100 – 4,115: Strong resistance aligning with the upper trendline and previous highs → possible correction zone.
🎯 Scenario
If price gets rejected around 4,115, it could pull back toward the 4,030 – 4,050 breakout zone, or even retest 3,970,000.
A clean breakout above 4,115 would confirm stronger bullish continuation.
🧭 Summary
Trend: Short-term bullish — currently testing major resistance.
Strategy: Watch price action near 4,115; wait for confirmation to re-enter buys around 4,030 – 3,970.
💼 Trading Plan
BUY GOLD: 4,030 – 4,028
Stop Loss: 4,018
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
SELL GOLD: 4,115 – 4,117
Stop Loss: 4,127
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
My predictions and analysis of gold todayMy predictions and analysis of gold today were consistent with the day's market conditions:
1-Accurate judgment on support levels: The key support level at 4100 remained solid, and gold prices rebounded after hitting the bottom at this level, verifying the effectiveness of this support.
2-Consistency between oscillation/breakout forecasts and actual trends: Gold made multiple attempts to break through the 4145 resistance level but pulled back under pressure, with the high-level narrow-range oscillation in line with expectations. It was also clearly indicated that a breakout from the narrow range was likely during the U.S. session.
3-Effective trend and strategy guidance: The trading strategy provided in the morning aligned with gold's price movement, and the core strategy of prioritizing buying on pullbacks was emphasized, which fit the actual market rhythm.
4-Risk reminder: It was advised that one should not blindly chase the upward trend to avoid losses.
GOLD Is Going Up! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for GOLD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 4,087.79.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 4,161.33 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Gold on upswing as expectedAs discussed throughout my Friday's session commentary: 'My position: I have Traded Scalp orders mostly throughout yesterday’s session Buying #4,005.80 on multiple occasions towards #4,015.80 and #3,992.80 aggressively towards #4,000.80 benchmark. I have Bought #3,964.80 as well as I maintain Buying every dips strategy. I have accumulated enough Profits this week and will not Trade today, comfortably taking early weekend break.'
Update: I spot more and more Sellers trapped in attempt to re-Sell Gold, remember that Gold is on undisputed Buying trend and total Bullish domination. I maintain however my #4,100.80 first Target as I am Buying from #4,022.80 last night / Asian session opening as behind us is just on of the many 'Sellers trap' week believing Gold would dip towards #3,900.80 benchmark. I remain solid with my thesis that Gold delivered correction, formed Ultimate Bottom on #4,000.80 benchmark and will continue soaring from this point as #4,000.80 will remain floor for #5,100.80 benchmark test in extension.
Gold Analysis H4 - Bullish orderflowAfter gold broke below the 3944.48 level, the market initially showed signs of further downside movement, potentially aiming to sweep more liquidity resting beneath that zone. However, the nature of the breakout suggests that it could itself be a liquidity grab rather than the start of a genuine bearish continuation.
The candle that broke this level was quickly rejected, indicating that selling pressure may have been absorbed by strong buy orders. This kind of price reaction often signals the presence of institutional accumulation or smart money activity.
As a result, the order flow now appears to be shifting, potentially preparing for a bullish move. If momentum continues to build, price may aim to sweep the liquidity resting above the trendline before deciding on the next directional move.
XAUUSD Eyes 4000$ Breakout as Accumulation Phase Near Completion🔍 Market Context
After a week of sideways consolidation within a broad range, gold (XAU/USD) is showing the first signs of structural recovery.
The market is gradually carving a potential short-term bottom, hinting that the corrective phase may be ending — and a breakout from the range could be imminent.
Despite the lack of new macro catalysts, sentiment remains underpinned by renewed safe-haven flows and expectations that the Fed will maintain its easing stance through early 2026.
Traders are now watching closely whether the 4,000$ handle will finally give way — a key inflection zone that could trigger aggressive momentum buying if reclaimed.
📊 Technical Structure (H1–H4)
Gold is currently trading above the intraday demand zone 3,969$–3,982$, maintaining a short-term bullish structure while compressing under resistance.
The descending trendline and Fibo confluence near 4,019$–4,048$ act as the next critical reaction area for breakout confirmation.
Key Technical Zones:
• 💎 Demand Zone: 3,969$ – 3,982$ (liquidity base + ascending trendline confluence)
• 🎯 Primary Resistance: 4,019$ – 4,048$ (trendline + Fibo 1.272/1.618)
• ⚙️ Bullish Target: 4,046$ → 4,052$ → 4,090$ (extended range liquidity)
• ⚠️ Invalidation: Below 3,960$ → risk of a deeper correction toward 3,940$.
🎯 MMFLOW Outlook
Smart money appears to be absorbing liquidity within the 3,970$ zone, suggesting accumulation before expansion.
If gold can break and sustain above 4,000$, the bias flips decisively bullish — opening the door for a range expansion toward 4,050$+.
This could mark the beginning of a new impulse phase following weeks of compression.
⚜️ MMFLOW Insight:
“When volatility sleeps, liquidity quietly builds the next trend.”
"Short-selling is correct" - Gold consolidation awaits breakout.Gold prices have indeed been somewhat sluggish recently, fluctuating repeatedly within a range. While this volatility can be agonizing, it reflects the market's rhythm. In terms of trading, avoid blindly chasing highs and lows. If you're bearish, don't chase the market down. Patiently wait for a rebound and resistance before entering a position. The recent market rhythm is very clear: sharp rallies are prone to pullbacks, and sharp drops are prone to rebounds – typical characteristics of a range-bound market. Our trading advice remains clear: focus on the 4010-4030 area. If a rebound fails to break through resistance, continue shorting, building positions in batches and proceeding steadily. We have repeatedly emphasized that gold is currently in a range-bound, slightly bearish adjustment phase, with the overall center of gravity continuing to shift downwards. Short-term rallies do not signify a reversal, and so-called signals are often just bull traps. High-level rebounds remain a good opportunity to establish short positions. Market conditions can change rapidly, but there are always patterns to follow. Don't be misled by appearances; look at the underlying logic and structure. Gold is still in a downward continuation phase. Rebounds present opportunities, while false breakouts pose risks. Gold prices fell as expected. Although we exited early and missed the lowest point, a steady exit is a victory in itself. Trading is never about who is more greedy, but about who knows how to control the pace better.
Gold Traders Beware | Sell the Trap, Buy the Expansion💥 GOLD: Smart Money is setting the trap! 💰 Expect a dip to 🟩 3800 before the $5,100 breakout. Don’t chase — position smart. 🚀
Gold has been unstoppable — printing higher highs and leaving emotional traders behind.
But now… the Smart Money trap is loading ⚠️
Price has tapped into the 🟥 4160–4220 premium zone , where liquidity is stacked and institutions quietly prepare their next move. Before the massive bullish rally to $5,100+ , expect one last shakeou t — a dip engineered to flush retail longs and reload institutional buys near 🟩 3880–3800.
The crowd will panic. The pros will accumulate. Stay patient, trade smart. 🧠✨
📊 Smart Money Breakdown:
🧠 Institutional Playbook:
Liquidity resting above recent highs 🧲
🟥 4160–4220 = Smart Money Distribution Zone
🟩 3880–3800 = Discount Reaccumulation Zone
Expect a fake-out drop → explosive bullish reversal
💡 Trade Plan:
🔻 Sell Zone: 🟥 4,161 – 4,219
🎯 Targets: 🟩 3,880 – 3,800 (ideal long re-entry area)
🚀 Ultimate Target: $5,100+ (once discount OB holds)
🟨 Price Action Confluences:
Liquidity sweep above structure highs 🩸
Fair Value Gap + Order Block alignment ⚙️
Higher-timeframe BOS still intact 💪
Elliott-style wave 2 correction before next expansion 🌊
🧭 Bias Overview:
🟥 Short-term: Controlled bearish correction
🟩 Mid-term: Explosive bullish continuation → $5,100+
💭 Mindset: Trade the trap — not the emotion .
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This content is for educational and informational purposes only.
It does not constitute financial advice.
Always apply your own analysis and risk management before trading. 💡
🔥 Follow for Smart Money + Price Action setups the big banks don’t share!
💬 Comment below — are you selling the trap or waiting to buy the dip?
⚡ Let’s ride the Gold move together — with precision, not emotion.
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