Gold on relief rallyTechnical analysis: Gold was close to the important #3,962.80 Hourly 4 chart’s Support zone test (Xau-Usd Spot numbers), as Price-action was rejected on #3,957.80 - #3,962.80 configuration, which shows how slow to reveal major move Gold has become (not taking Fundamental Buying pressure into account) and didn’t even engaged full scale decline sequence / even though that DX is seen Trading on relief rally without Bearish candle sequence and on constant High's (DX remains of course my main correlating instrument). If there wasn’t Bullish DX related developments, Gold would be significantly Higher under the circumstances. Gold eventually didn't even honored the Resistance break on DX and to counterbalance the sequence, delivered Short-term Buying impulse, seen early on regarding E.U. session, reversing again despite Tuesday’s late session decline as DX is Trading near Weekly (#1W) Resistance zone - should reveal an Bearish Short-term sentiment Gold should be Trading under., however Gold is soaring as this is total Buying domination and undisputed Bullish trend. Even though my Medium-term outlook remains Bullish based on fractal analysis of candles, Volume and RSI with the period March - April, I am expecting a Short-term Neutral Rectangle Trading towards the Hourly 4 chart’s Resistance zone first (#4,021.80 - #4,027.80) as the Hourly setting were sitting in Overbought waters approaching the levels of December #27. I am looking closely at this week’s U.S. data to monitor DX movements.
My position: Even though Gold should dip, I was confident in my multi-Month Bullish projection and Bought Gold aggressively many times after my #3,942.80 - #3,946.80 pending Buying orders to the upside. Sold #3,980's on late U.S. session (aggressive Scalps) and waited #3,962.80 to Buy again aggressively towards #4,000.80 benchmark. I do expect #4,027.80 Resistance test extension as I will re-Buy Gold from my entry points.
Trade ideas
Gold Sell Setup AgainHi All,
Attached is a Sell Setup for Gold as of now. (For Educational Purpose Only)
1. SL is mandatory
2. Book 1:1 Profit for half position and rest half let it run (BCZ TREND IS UP) so don't invest huge as we are taking trade against the trend as of now.
3. Lets hope we will earn together good amount of GREEN PIPS.
Amen.
GOLD Will make new HighAfter a sharp decline, price enters a sideways consolidation — this is often where smart money (composite operators) begin to accumulate positions before the next bullish move.
Wyckoff Accumulation Phases (Simplified)
Selling Climax (SC):
A sharp decline followed by high volume and a rebound — sellers are exhausted.
Automatic Rally (AR):
Price bounces back sharply, defining the upper range of the accumulation zone.
Secondary Test (ST):
Price retests or slightly breaks below the SC but with lower volume.
Spring (optional):
A final shakeout where price dips below support to trap late sellers.
Sign of Strength (SOS):
Breakout above resistance on higher volume and strong candles.
Last Point of Support (LPS):
Retest of broken resistance — this confirms the bullish reversal.
XAUUSD Trade Setup: Gold at Resistance, Here's my Trade PlanXAUUSD Gold has seen a strong rally recently, pushing into a key resistance zone 🧱. With capital currently rotating out of safe-haven assets like gold and flowing into the stock markets, we could see a potential pullback from this level. 📉
At the moment, I’m avoiding buying at a premium price. Instead, I’ll be watching for a retracement back into equilibrium — around the 50% level of the recent swing range ⚖️.
If price pulls back, then breaks market structure to the upside, that could confirm renewed bullish momentum, and I’ll be looking for a long entry setup from that point. 🚀
⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
Excellent Profits on Bull runAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary' : I spot more and more Sellers trapped in attempt to re-Sell Gold, remember that Gold is on undisputed Buying trend and total Bullish domination. I maintain however my #4,100.80 first Target as I am Buying from #4,022.80 last night / Asian session opening as behind us is just on of the many 'Sellers trap' week believing Gold would dip towards #3,900.80 benchmark. I remain solid with my thesis that Gold delivered correction, formed Ultimate Bottom on #4,000.80 benchmark and will continue soaring from this point as #4,000.80 will remain floor for #5,100.80 benchmark test in extension.'
I have closed my #4,022.80 Buying orders on #4,082.80 extension. As Gold formed Support structure on #4,076.80, I have aggressively Bought Gold many times there (cca. #16 re-Buy orders) and all closed near #4,100.80 benchmark. As I spotted that Gold is not delivering any reversal signs, I have added two #25 Lots Buying orders on #4,107.80 with #4,127.80 Target which was hit over-night. I am Highly satisfied with my Profit and will not Trade today's session, with my capital ready for end of the week phase and remember / being Seller on this market will hurt your capital and you are swimming against the tide.
XAUUSD- Bullish setupGold is showing early signs of a bullish reversal after finding support around the lower green band and reclaiming the short-term trend zone. Price has broken above the descending structure with increasing momentum, suggesting potential continuation to the upside.
Bullish Confluences:
Bounce from lower volatility band support (oversold zone).
Break above local trend resistance and EMA ribbon.
Higher lows forming, showing renewed buying pressure.
🎯 Fibonacci Targets:
TP1: 38.2% – $4,049
TP2: 61.8% – $4,075
TP3: 100% – $4,117
As long as price holds above the recent breakout zone (~$3,995–$4,000), bulls remain in control. A clean move through the golden zone could confirm continuation toward higher targets.
Gold on excellent recoveryTechnical analysis: The Hourly 1 chart's Ascending Channel increases it’s gains towards Overbought levels as #4,152.80 psychological benchmark (so far) is showcasing durability. Both Weekly chart (#1W) and Monthly (#1M) are on encouraging gains (# +4.13% and # +2.48% respectively) and with ranging candles I can't see any rebound possibility before #4,200.80 benchmark test. Yesterday the #4,100.80 benchmark was tested twice and as I mentioned on my remarks balanced MA periods to settle within the #4,122.80 - #4,132.80 range. More and more Buying signs are appearing as I am confident in my Bullish model. Trade accordingly.
My position: As I spotted #4,100.80 benchmark test, I started Buying Gold on each dip towards #4,116.80 first Resistance. On another #4,106.80 Support sweep, I engaged strong Buying orders towards #4,127.80 extension last night. I will continue Buying every dip on Gold from my key entry points. That is my practical suggestion.
My predictions and analysis of gold todayMy predictions and analysis of gold today were consistent with the day's market conditions:
1-Accurate judgment on support levels: The key support level at 4100 remained solid, and gold prices rebounded after hitting the bottom at this level, verifying the effectiveness of this support.
2-Consistency between oscillation/breakout forecasts and actual trends: Gold made multiple attempts to break through the 4145 resistance level but pulled back under pressure, with the high-level narrow-range oscillation in line with expectations. It was also clearly indicated that a breakout from the narrow range was likely during the U.S. session.
3-Effective trend and strategy guidance: The trading strategy provided in the morning aligned with gold's price movement, and the core strategy of prioritizing buying on pullbacks was emphasized, which fit the actual market rhythm.
4-Risk reminder: It was advised that one should not blindly chase the upward trend to avoid losses.
Gold on upswing as expectedAs discussed throughout my Friday's session commentary: 'My position: I have Traded Scalp orders mostly throughout yesterday’s session Buying #4,005.80 on multiple occasions towards #4,015.80 and #3,992.80 aggressively towards #4,000.80 benchmark. I have Bought #3,964.80 as well as I maintain Buying every dips strategy. I have accumulated enough Profits this week and will not Trade today, comfortably taking early weekend break.'
Update: I spot more and more Sellers trapped in attempt to re-Sell Gold, remember that Gold is on undisputed Buying trend and total Bullish domination. I maintain however my #4,100.80 first Target as I am Buying from #4,022.80 last night / Asian session opening as behind us is just on of the many 'Sellers trap' week believing Gold would dip towards #3,900.80 benchmark. I remain solid with my thesis that Gold delivered correction, formed Ultimate Bottom on #4,000.80 benchmark and will continue soaring from this point as #4,000.80 will remain floor for #5,100.80 benchmark test in extension.
Gold Analysis H4 - Bullish orderflowAfter gold broke below the 3944.48 level, the market initially showed signs of further downside movement, potentially aiming to sweep more liquidity resting beneath that zone. However, the nature of the breakout suggests that it could itself be a liquidity grab rather than the start of a genuine bearish continuation.
The candle that broke this level was quickly rejected, indicating that selling pressure may have been absorbed by strong buy orders. This kind of price reaction often signals the presence of institutional accumulation or smart money activity.
As a result, the order flow now appears to be shifting, potentially preparing for a bullish move. If momentum continues to build, price may aim to sweep the liquidity resting above the trendline before deciding on the next directional move.
XAUUSD Eyes 4000$ Breakout as Accumulation Phase Near Completion🔍 Market Context
After a week of sideways consolidation within a broad range, gold (XAU/USD) is showing the first signs of structural recovery.
The market is gradually carving a potential short-term bottom, hinting that the corrective phase may be ending — and a breakout from the range could be imminent.
Despite the lack of new macro catalysts, sentiment remains underpinned by renewed safe-haven flows and expectations that the Fed will maintain its easing stance through early 2026.
Traders are now watching closely whether the 4,000$ handle will finally give way — a key inflection zone that could trigger aggressive momentum buying if reclaimed.
📊 Technical Structure (H1–H4)
Gold is currently trading above the intraday demand zone 3,969$–3,982$, maintaining a short-term bullish structure while compressing under resistance.
The descending trendline and Fibo confluence near 4,019$–4,048$ act as the next critical reaction area for breakout confirmation.
Key Technical Zones:
• 💎 Demand Zone: 3,969$ – 3,982$ (liquidity base + ascending trendline confluence)
• 🎯 Primary Resistance: 4,019$ – 4,048$ (trendline + Fibo 1.272/1.618)
• ⚙️ Bullish Target: 4,046$ → 4,052$ → 4,090$ (extended range liquidity)
• ⚠️ Invalidation: Below 3,960$ → risk of a deeper correction toward 3,940$.
🎯 MMFLOW Outlook
Smart money appears to be absorbing liquidity within the 3,970$ zone, suggesting accumulation before expansion.
If gold can break and sustain above 4,000$, the bias flips decisively bullish — opening the door for a range expansion toward 4,050$+.
This could mark the beginning of a new impulse phase following weeks of compression.
⚜️ MMFLOW Insight:
“When volatility sleeps, liquidity quietly builds the next trend.”
"Short-selling is correct" - Gold consolidation awaits breakout.Gold prices have indeed been somewhat sluggish recently, fluctuating repeatedly within a range. While this volatility can be agonizing, it reflects the market's rhythm. In terms of trading, avoid blindly chasing highs and lows. If you're bearish, don't chase the market down. Patiently wait for a rebound and resistance before entering a position. The recent market rhythm is very clear: sharp rallies are prone to pullbacks, and sharp drops are prone to rebounds – typical characteristics of a range-bound market. Our trading advice remains clear: focus on the 4010-4030 area. If a rebound fails to break through resistance, continue shorting, building positions in batches and proceeding steadily. We have repeatedly emphasized that gold is currently in a range-bound, slightly bearish adjustment phase, with the overall center of gravity continuing to shift downwards. Short-term rallies do not signify a reversal, and so-called signals are often just bull traps. High-level rebounds remain a good opportunity to establish short positions. Market conditions can change rapidly, but there are always patterns to follow. Don't be misled by appearances; look at the underlying logic and structure. Gold is still in a downward continuation phase. Rebounds present opportunities, while false breakouts pose risks. Gold prices fell as expected. Although we exited early and missed the lowest point, a steady exit is a victory in itself. Trading is never about who is more greedy, but about who knows how to control the pace better.
Gold Traders Beware | Sell the Trap, Buy the Expansion💥 GOLD: Smart Money is setting the trap! 💰 Expect a dip to 🟩 3800 before the $5,100 breakout. Don’t chase — position smart. 🚀
Gold has been unstoppable — printing higher highs and leaving emotional traders behind.
But now… the Smart Money trap is loading ⚠️
Price has tapped into the 🟥 4160–4220 premium zone , where liquidity is stacked and institutions quietly prepare their next move. Before the massive bullish rally to $5,100+ , expect one last shakeou t — a dip engineered to flush retail longs and reload institutional buys near 🟩 3880–3800.
The crowd will panic. The pros will accumulate. Stay patient, trade smart. 🧠✨
📊 Smart Money Breakdown:
🧠 Institutional Playbook:
Liquidity resting above recent highs 🧲
🟥 4160–4220 = Smart Money Distribution Zone
🟩 3880–3800 = Discount Reaccumulation Zone
Expect a fake-out drop → explosive bullish reversal
💡 Trade Plan:
🔻 Sell Zone: 🟥 4,161 – 4,219
🎯 Targets: 🟩 3,880 – 3,800 (ideal long re-entry area)
🚀 Ultimate Target: $5,100+ (once discount OB holds)
🟨 Price Action Confluences:
Liquidity sweep above structure highs 🩸
Fair Value Gap + Order Block alignment ⚙️
Higher-timeframe BOS still intact 💪
Elliott-style wave 2 correction before next expansion 🌊
🧭 Bias Overview:
🟥 Short-term: Controlled bearish correction
🟩 Mid-term: Explosive bullish continuation → $5,100+
💭 Mindset: Trade the trap — not the emotion .
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This content is for educational and informational purposes only.
It does not constitute financial advice.
Always apply your own analysis and risk management before trading. 💡
🔥 Follow for Smart Money + Price Action setups the big banks don’t share!
💬 Comment below — are you selling the trap or waiting to buy the dip?
⚡ Let’s ride the Gold move together — with precision, not emotion.
#Gold #XAUUSD #SmartMoneyConcepts #PriceAction #LiquiditySweep #OrderBlock #SwingTrading #Commodities #GoldAnalysis #FVG #TradingView #InstitutionalTrading #MarketStructure #GoldForecast #Forex
XAUUSD | Educational Sell Setup on Gold – Watching for Reversal Gold is currently approaching a major resistance area around 4165 – 4185, a level that has repeatedly acted as a short-term supply zone in recent sessions.
This region remains crucial for determining the next directional move — whether price confirms rejection or breaks through toward higher targets.
We are closely monitoring this zone for bearish reversal confirmation, preferably a bearish engulfing candle or any strong rejection structure on the 4H or 1H timeframe.
Once a clear reversal candle forms, short positions may be considered with strict money and risk management.
📊 Trade Overview
Type: Educational Sell Setup
Entry Zone: 4165 – 4185 (confirmation required)
Stop Loss: 4195 (4H candle close above)
Setup Context: Price testing resistance; potential corrective move expected upon rejection.
🎯 Target Map (Risk–Reward Structure) (SL: 4195)
Entry Risk ($) TP1 (1:1) TP2 (1:2) TP3 (1:3) TP4 (1:4) TP5 (Extended) R:R Ratio
4165 30 4135 4105 4075 4045 — 1 : 4
4175 20 4155 4135 4115 4095 4045 1 : 6.5
4185 10 4175 4165 4155 4145 4045 1 : 14
Each position is managed independently.
Partial profits are taken at each milestone (1:1, 1:2, 1:3, 1:4), and stop-loss is moved to break-even after TP1 is reached.
Remaining exposure may target the extended level at $4045 if bearish momentum continues.
⚙️ Trade Management Rules
1:1 (First Target): Partial profit + move SL to entry.
1:2 and 1:3: Gradually reduce exposure while protecting capital.
1:4: Full closure unless strong momentum remains.
Extended TP5 (1:6.5–1:14): Optional trailing continuation only under sustained bearish structure.
📈 Technical Notes
The 4165–4185 range is a confirmed supply area on the 4H structure.
4H close above 4195 invalidates this setup and shifts bias toward 4205 → 4285.
Rejection within this resistance zone keeps the short bias valid toward 4045 as an extended target.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
All entries, targets, and risk parameters are provided for learning purposes within structured trading frameworks.
GOLD Is Going Up! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for GOLD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 4,087.79.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 4,161.33 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
XAUUSD: Daily OTE & CRT Setup - Targeting the DrawdownTimeframe: Daily (1D) Chart Analysis: Smart Money Concepts (SMC) / ICT
Gold (XAUUSD) is setting up a high-probability move as it consolidates beneath the recent Daily OTE High. The daily candle is painting a potential CRT Manipulation phase before a distribution down to clear liquidity.
The Setup: Targeting the CRT Drawdown
Current Range (CRT): Price is currently held within the range of the last major daily candle, suggesting Accumulation/Distribution is in progress.
OTE High Resistance: The overhead resistance at $3,991.82 (OTE High) is critical. A potential short-term sweep above this level (the Manipulation phase of CRT) could occur to grab liquidity before the main move.
The Liquidity Target: The projected path indicates a clear run to the Daily OTE Major Low at $3,929.78. This level is a major magnet for liquidity and represents an excellent area for the next Accumulation phase and a potential long entry.
🎯 Trade Plan:
Bearish Bias: Favor a move down toward the $3,929.78 zone.
High-Probability Entry: Wait for price to enter the lower OTE zone at $3,929.78 and look for a lower-timeframe Market Structure Shift (MSS) or bullish Displacement for a long entry confirmation.
The path of least resistance is lower to mitigate the recent Daily high and collect the sell-side liquidity.
Greetings,
MrYounity
What will gold do in the US trading session?📈 Market Structure
Price Action:
Price has just broken out of the accumulation zone, moving sharply toward the main resistance area.
📊 Trendlines
Lower Trendline (Red): Long-term dynamic support — price has bounced multiple times from this level.
Upper Trendline (Red): Main descending resistance — price is now approaching this zone.
🧱 Support Zones
3,970,000: Confluence of horizontal support and the lower trendline → key reaction area to monitor.
4,030 – 4,050 (Breakout Zone): Intermediate support if price pulls back after the breakout rally.
⚔️ Resistance Zones
4,100 – 4,115: Strong resistance aligning with the upper trendline and previous highs → possible correction zone.
🎯 Scenario
If price gets rejected around 4,115, it could pull back toward the 4,030 – 4,050 breakout zone, or even retest 3,970,000.
A clean breakout above 4,115 would confirm stronger bullish continuation.
🧭 Summary
Trend: Short-term bullish — currently testing major resistance.
Strategy: Watch price action near 4,115; wait for confirmation to re-enter buys around 4,030 – 3,970.
💼 Trading Plan
BUY GOLD: 4,030 – 4,028
Stop Loss: 4,018
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
SELL GOLD: 4,115 – 4,117
Stop Loss: 4,127
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips






















