WE ARE BUYING A buy at 3975-70,sl 3955 an update by 6am UTC on whether to hold or close of invalidity
Trade ideas
Sell XAUUSDXAUUSD liquidity trade towards 3940. A head and shoulders pattern can be used as reference for the sells on the 15-minute chart. With ADP stat release favoring the USD, XAUUSD price could see sharp bears from here
XAUUSD Rangebound Currently XAUUSD Rangebound from 3980-4025 -zone. This Accumulation zone is more volatile as it ready for Implusive Repture.
What are my conditions For This setup?
- I'm expecting then buy trade once any candle closes above 3995 area & expecting the reversal move towards 4028- 4047 target .
Although I already took buy .
✳️Secondly if H4-H1 candle closes below 3980 our buying will be compromised & Market will fall to lower liquidity 3940-3925 zone .
Gold prices are consolidating on November 7th, awaiting the non-Gold has completed its technical adjustment after a period of consolidation on the hourly chart. Short-term moving averages are starting to turn upwards, and the price is gradually rising above them, suggesting potential for further rebound in the short term. The key resistance level to watch is around 4020-30. On the 4-hour chart, short-term moving averages are largely flat and converging, indicating a potential breakout. The non-farm payroll data is unlikely to be released tonight. On the hourly chart, the price is gradually trending upwards along the short-term moving averages; monitor the short-term correction.
Trading Recommendation: Focus on the 4020-30 resistance zone and begin gradually establishing short positions.
GOLD HIGH PROBABILITY SETUPS SOON!!!🚨 XAUUSD HIGH PROBABILITY SELL/BUY SETUP 🚨
* Here We Can See Clearly The Next Potential Moves For GOLD Coming Hours/Days.
* Keep Your Eyes Close On Your Trading Positions.
* Happy PIP Hunting Traders.
FXKILLA.
Gold Rejection at Resistance with Potential Bearish PullbackAnalysis:
The chart shows XAUUSD approaching a strong horizontal resistance zone around 4015–4020, a level where price has previously been rejected multiple times (highlighted in yellow). The market recently broke out of a falling channel, showing short-term bullish momentum, but now price is stalling again at this key resistance.
The grey zone above suggests a supply area, and the white arrow indicates a projected bearish move. As long as gold stays below this resistance, the probability of a downward correction increases.
A potential bearish target appears around 3900–3920 (previous support zone), where buyers may re-enter.
Key Points:
Strong multi-touch resistance at 4015–4020
Price showing early rejection signs
Bearish correction likely if price fails to break above resistance
Downside targets: 3920, possibly 3900
Today's gold trading strategyCurrently, the gold price has entered a critical layout window of "confirmation of breakthrough + acceleration of trend". The technical breakthrough pattern, the expectation of interest rate cut from the policy side, and the incremental intervention from the capital side form a triple resonance. As this price level serves as a dividing line between the bulls and the bears, the downward correction space is limited, while there is a trend-based profit potential after breaking through the integer level. The core operation lies in "relying on the layered support to build positions, following the breakthrough to expand profits, and respecting false breakthroughs while strictly controlling risks": prioritize seizing the support opportunities for the pullback from 3975-3980 USD, quickly establishing trial-and-error positions and some core positions; if the price directly breaks through the integer level of 4000 USD, be cautious and follow up to avoid overtrading; when the price deeply retraces to around 3960 USD, decisively increase the core positions to expand profits.
In the short term, if it can hold above 4000 USD, the gold price is expected to rebound rapidly to 4019.36 USD or even 4050 USD; even if there is a secondary correction, the strong support in the 3960-3970 USD range provides sufficient safety margin for the long position. In the medium and long term, the major logic of global central banks' and the start of the Fed's easing cycle remains unchanged. The breakthrough near 3980 USD can be regarded as an acceleration signal for the long-term upward trend. It is recommended to follow the principle of "buy low and avoid chasing high， stop-loss without holding positions" to flexibly seize the long position opportunities after this breakthrough， while closely tracking the US non-farm payrolls， inflation data， and Fed policy signals， and dynamically adjusting positions and stop-losses.
Today's gold trading strategy
buy：3965-3975
tp:3985-3995
sl:3950
XAU/USD Holds 3,980$ as Bulls Eye Recovery Toward 4,020$🔍 Market Context
Gold steadies near the 3,980$ mark as traders weigh shifting expectations on US interest rates.
The latest ADP employment report showed a modest increase of 42,000 jobs — easing fears of an accelerated slowdown but reinforcing the broader cooling trend in the labor market.
While the Federal Reserve’s rate cuts have supported bullion throughout the year, the prolonged US government shutdown now clouds macro visibility, delaying key economic data.
Despite mixed sentiment, gold remains one of 2025’s strongest-performing assets, up over 50% year-to-date, driven by ETF inflows and central bank demand.
📊 Technical Outlook (H1–H4)
Gold has staged a notable rebound from the 3,947$–3,969$ demand zone, reclaiming short-term structure and approaching the 3,990$–4,000$ liquidity pocket.
This area aligns with the 0.618 Fib retracement and descending trendline resistance — making it the next decision point for intraday traders.
Key Technical Zones:
• 💎 Support: 3,947$ – 3,969$ (Liquidity Base / Re-accumulation)
• 🎯 Resistance: 3,992$ – 4,024$ (Fibo 0.618 + Trendline Confluence)
• ⚙️ Extended Bull Target: 4,028$ – 4,033$ (1.272–1.618 Fibo Expansion)
• ⚠️ Invalidation: Below 3,940$ → shifts bias toward 3,905$ liquidity pool.
🎯 MMFLOW View
Smart money continues to accumulate within the re-accumulation pocket near 3,950$, hinting at latent bullish intent.
If price holds above 3,970$ after today’s consolidation, an extension toward 4,020$–4,033$ remains highly probable.
However, failure to maintain intraday demand could invite another liquidity sweep before a larger push higher.
⚜️ MMFLOW Insight:
“Liquidity reveals intention — structure only confirms it.”
Daily double bottom on daily formed !Bullish momentum is rising again, showing that buyers are not yet ready to give up control
Gold Price has bounced from a key support zone around 3,900 and is now showing signs of recovery. The chart outlines three upside targets based on the breakout from a descending channel
First target near 4,050
Second target near 4,150
Final target around 4,250+
GOLD AWAIT BREAKOUT BEFORE ENTRY#XAUUSD price still bearish unless 2 times breakout occurs above the 3989 limit which will go bullish till 4015.
Now we await for retest above 3974 to sell. Target 3936, stop loss 3989.
Below 3956 on M15-H1 closures holds continuation on sell.
XAUUSD H4 | Bearish Drop OffGold (XAU/USD) has rejected off the sell entry, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to the downside.
Sell entry is at 4,017.82, whic his a pullback resistance that lines up witht he 23.6% Fibonacci retracemnt.
Stop loss is at 4,135.96, whic is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 3,789.94, which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Market Outlook | GU, UJ & Gold Analysis | Nov 10–14In this video, we unpack how structure, sentiment, and events shaped last week’s price action across GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and XAU/USD (Gold) and what these clues reveal about where the market might head next.
The video highlights how the market reacted to the quiet U.S. week caused by the government shutdown, and how traders positioned themselves ahead of the major data coming up, from UK employment and GDP figures to U.S. CPI, PPI, and Retail Sales.
You’ll Learn:
✅Why each market moved the way it did last week in simple, clear terms.
✅How I connect fundamental sentiment with real chart structures.
✅Key price zones and levels I am watching in the coming trading week.
✅How I anticipate reactions to upcoming economic data.
Stay till the end for my outlook and mindset tip, and check the comment section throughout the week for real-time updates as I monitor price action.
Timestamps:
00:01 – Welcome & overview
01:35 – GBP/USD breakdown
06:55 – USD/JPY analysis
11:05 – XAU/USD (Gold) insights
14:05 – Closing outlook & mindset
⚠️ This isn’t a signal service; it’s my personal trading map, shared to help you think and trade smarter.
LiamTrading – Gold compressed at the triangle peak; watch for...LiamTrading – Gold compressed at the triangle peak; watch for a break at 4020 (H2)
After a week of accumulation, the price is pressing into the triangle peak between the descending trendline (from late October) and the ascending trendline (from 11/5). The advantage will lean towards an increase if 4020 is broken and sustained.
Technical Analysis (priority H2, Volume Profile – Trendline – S/R – Fibonacci)
Trendline & Structure
The descending trendline is blocking the recovery waves; the ascending trendline supports the adjustment waves.
Closing the H2 candle above the confluence zone ~4020 will confirm a clear upward movement.
Support / Resistance (S/R)
Main support: 3970–3972 (swing low & “Key level Support”).
Decision zone: 4014–4020 (break–retest zone).
Resistance: 4045 (medium-term), 4050 (supply for scalp orders), upper band 4105–4110.
Volume Profile (recent session / composite)
POC magnet: 4015–4017 → likely to have profit-taking/fluctuations; staying above POC turns this area into a launchpad.
LVN: around 4020 → beautiful break-and-go; failing to hold often pulls back to 4015/4010.
Fibonacci Extension (H2 swing)
1.618 coincides with 4045–4050 → first upward target.
2.272/2.618 creates a liquidity zone 4095–4110 → area may weaken/strong profit-taking.
Today's Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Buy on breakout
Entry: 4020–4022 after closing above trendline + retest holding 4018–4020
SL: 4014
TP: 4045 → 4070 → 4100–4110
Management: Take partial profit at 4045; move SL to break-even when reaching +1R. Staying above 4020 turns POC 4015–4017 into support.
Scenario 1b – Buy on pullback (before breakout, cautious volume)
Entry: 3998–4002 (“400x”) when there is an upward reaction at the ascending trendline
SL: 3988
TP: 4017 → 4045
Note: H2 closes below 3988 → cancel the order.
Scenario 2 – Sell scalp at resistance
Entry: 4048–4052 (confluence of Fibo 1.618 + supply zone)
SL: 4056
TP: 4040 → 4030 → 4020
Note: This is counter-trend. Ignore if H2 closes strongly above 4052.
Summary
The upward bias is confirmed when breaking–holding 4020, opening targets 4045 → 4070 → 4100+. Before that signal, trade within the range respecting POC 4015–4017 and ceiling 4045/4050. Risk per order 0.5–1%, move SL to BE when reaching +1R.
GOLD ForecastGold has broken out of the descending channel, showing early bullish momentum. If price sustains above the breakout zone near 3,960–3,970, it may target the next resistance areas around 4,005 and 4,045. However, failure to hold above the breakout level could trigger a pullback toward 3,940 support. Bulls are gaining strength, but resistance levels remain crucial for confirmation of further upside.
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Excellent Profits on yesterday’s session Selling sequenceAs discussed throughout my yesterday’s commentary: “My position: I have Sold Bought Gold throughout yesterday's session from #3,998.80 especially towards #4,008.80 (aggressive Scalps) and called it for the session. Gold delivered significant Intra-day losses on Asian session and turned timefrimes to Bearish territory. Today is Intra-day Sell session and will continue Selling Gold from my key entry points.”
My position: I have made excellent returns on Selling Gold throughout yesterday’s session taken from #3,995.80 local Top’s. Tide has turned to Sellers reigns and Intra-day sentiment remains turned in Sellers favor. Sequence will stay the same as long as DX is Trading on upside numbers.
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H SELL PROJECTION 04.11.25sell limit projection for XAU/USD (Gold) on the 1-hour timeframe, dated November 4, 2025.
Here’s the breakdown of the setup:
Trend Context:
The blue diagonal line labeled “BROKED 1H UPTREND CHANNEL” indicates that the price has broken below a previous uptrend, suggesting a potential bearish reversal.
Sell Entry Zone:
The “BREAKED ZONE” (around 4,007.863) is the projected sell limit entry area. The trader expects price to retest this level before continuing downward.
Stop Loss:
Placed above the resistance zone at approximately 4,023.449, protecting against a false breakout.
Target / Take Profit Levels:
Support S1: Around 3,984.000, likely the first take-profit (TP1).
Support S2: Around 3,966.380, the main target price (TP2) for the sell setup.
Trade Plan Summary:
Entry: ~4,007.86
Stop Loss: ~4,023.45
Take Profit: ~3,966.38
Bias: Bearish (sell after retest of broken trendline and resistance)
Nov 4, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential Opportunity📈 Intraday Strategy:
SELL: If price breaks below 3994 → target 3987, with further downside toward 3982, 3975, 3971
BUY: If price holds above 4020 → target 4025, with further upside toward 4030, 4035, 4040
📊 Analysis:
Yesterday, price mostly traded within the 3994–4030 range.
For now, the plan remains simple — sell near resistance and buy near support within this range, until a breakout provides clearer direction.
Watch for momentum shifts:
If price breaks and holds above 4020, look for buying opportunities on pullbacks into support.
If price breaks below 3994, look for selling opportunities on pullbacks into resistance.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 4045 – Resistance
• 4030 – Upper boundary of range / resistance
• 4020 – Resistance
• 4000 – Psychological level
• 3994 – Lower boundary of range / support
• 3971–3980 – Support zone
• 3960 – Key support
• 3947 – Support
XAUUSD – PRICE STRUCTURE UPDATE: MAINTAINING THE TRADING...💛 XAUUSD – PRICE STRUCTURE UPDATE: MAINTAINING THE TRADING SCENARIO 🎯
🌤 Overview
Hello everyone 💬
The price structure of gold is still on track as per the previous scenario — those who bought according to the earlier plan might have already profited and should continue to hold their position.
The price in the early Asian session has risen steadily, breaking through the 4021 area, confirming a short-term uptrend and aiming to retest the upper edge of the H4 price channel.
This is a positive signal before the market might enter a deeper correction in the mid-week sessions.
In terms of news, the latest statement from US President Trump indicates that the government shutdown might soon end — this is a factor that could cause significant USD volatility, thereby having a short-term impact on gold prices.
💹 Technical Analysis
📈 On the H4 timeframe, the price remains within the medium-term uptrend channel, maintaining the structure of “higher lows.”
🟣 The break of the 4021 area confirms that bullish momentum is prevailing, and the Sell Zone Liquidity area of 4090–4100 continues to be a short-term target for retesting.
🔹 After reaching this area, a correction is expected towards the 3920 – 3785 area (Buy Zone Fibonacci) – where buyers might return strongly.
💫 The current price signal perfectly aligns with the previous technical scenario, with no need to change the trading plan.
🎯 Reference Trading Plan
💢 SELL Scenario (short-term)
Entry: 4098–4102 ｜ SL: 4112
TP: 4078 – 4025 – 3998 – 3920 – 3875 – 3785
💖 BUY Scenario (long-term strategy)
Entry: 3785–3789 ｜ SL: 3777
TP: 3810 – 3865 – 3925 – 3988
🌷 Conclusion
Gold prices are moving exactly as predicted by the structure 💛
Be patient, stay disciplined, and stick to the key price areas – this is the time when persistence will provide the greatest advantage.
XAU/USD – Gold Retests FVG Preparing for a New Uptrend, Target..📊 Market Structure
Gold has officially broken the bearish structure (BoS + ChoCH) by surpassing the 4,025 USD zone, confirming a significant shift in market momentum.
Following a series of consecutive BoS and a break of the downtrend line, the price is entering a balanced retest phase (FVG 4,030 – 4,040 USD) .
As long as the price maintains above the 4,020 USD support zone, the bullish structure remains intact, and it is expected to target the Liquidity Zone 4,070 – 4,090 USD , further extending to the Order Block 4,118 – 4,125 USD .
💎 Key Technical Zones
• FVG Retest Zone: 4,030 – 4,040 USD
• Trendline Support: around 4,000 USD
• Liquidity Zone: 4,070 – 4,090 USD
• Final Target (OB): 4,118 – 4,125 USD
🎯 Trading Plan
1️⃣ BUY Setup #1 – Main FVG Retest
If the price retraces to the FVG zone of 4,030 – 4,040 USD and forms a bullish confirmation signal (bullish candle / rejection wick):
• Entry: 4,033 – 4,038
• SL: 4,020
• TP1: 4,070
• TP2: 4,090
• TP3: 4,120
→ Enter at the “discount” zone after the market absorbs liquidity.
2️⃣ BUY Setup #2 – Defensive (deep trendline retest)
If the price slightly sweeps the small OB zone around the trendline:
• Entry: 3,998 – 4,004
• SL: 3,985
• TP1: 4,070
• TP2: 4,120
→ The structure remains intact, this entry has a high RR, suitable for mid-term swing.
⚠️ Invalidation:
• If the price closes an H1 candle below 3,985 USD → the short-term uptrend is invalidated.
🧠 Vincent’s View
The buyers are fully controlling the H1 structure after breaking the downtrend line that lasted nearly 2 weeks.
The price is likely to complete the FVG – trendline – breakout retest before continuing to expand towards the liquidity peak of 4,120 USD.
This is the “buy-the-dip” strategic phase for this week.
“Smart money buys the discount while everyone waits for confirmation.” ⚜️🟡
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Updated: 11/10/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
Gold: Support Near 3986, Resistance Near 4030The current market narrative is driven by three key themes:
Volatility in the U.S. Dollar and Treasury yields
U.S. government shutdown risks impacting data releases and market sentiment
Forward guidance from major central banks regarding their policy rate paths
Whether gold can achieve a sustained breakout will primarily depend on:
A persistent decline in USD and Treasury yields
Increased safe-haven demand amid equity market volatility and rising macro uncertainty
Continued net capital inflows into gold, particularly from passive and long-duration allocation funds
If these conditions do not align, gold is likely to remain range-bound, forming a time-based consolidation pattern.
If they do align, resistance near 4100 may weaken, boosting bullish conviction and paving the way for a smoother breakout.
Technically, supply remains around 4030, yet the rising trendline remains intact and the 3948–3921 key support zone continues to attract buyers. Absent a major catalyst, price action is likely to remain consolidative in the near term.
On both the 1H and 4H charts, moving averages are converging, signaling range compression and an imminent direction choice. Upcoming macro headlines will likely act as the catalyst for the next major move.
Trading Plan:
Key intraday levels: 4030 resistance / 3986 support
Trade the range until a breakout occurs
If price breaks out, short-term momentum trades may be considered — but with disciplined targets
Conservative traders may wait for a pullback entry
Medium- to long-term investors can continue accumulating on dips, waiting for the market confirmation
XAUUSDPrice Action Trading is a method of financial market analysis where traders make buying and selling decisions solely based on the asset's price movements over time, without relying on technical indicators.
It's essentially the art of reading a "naked" or clean chart to understand the psychology and behavior of market participants.
