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GOLD trade ideas

XAUUSD – FOMC Rate-Cut Watch (Key Levels & Outlook)Gold is holding around $3,686 as traders brace for the FOMC decision at 8 pm (UTC-2). Markets are increasingly pricing a potential rate cut, which would typically weaken the USD and support gold. Key Levels Upside Resistance: • $3,693–3,695 – first breakout zone • $3,703 – critical resistance, sustained close above opens door to $3,710+ Immediate Support: • $3,682 / 3,678 – intraday demand • $3,676–3,675 – next strong bid area • $3,674 – last major floor before deeper pullback Scenarios Bullish: A dovish Fed or an actual rate cut could spark a rally through $3,695, targeting $3,703 and potentially $3,710–3,720. Bearish: A hawkish surprise or no cut may send price back toward $3,678, with deeper support near $3,674. Fundamentals Rate Cut Probability: Markets are eyeing slowing U.S. labor data and softer inflation as justification for a 25 bps cut. USD & Yields: Lower yields would typically push the dollar lower and gold higher. Risk Events: Watch Fed press conference language for hints of further easing. ⚠️ Trading Plan: Wait for the FOMC announcement before committing. Breakout above $3,695 favors longs; rejection could set up a quick move back to $3,676. This is market commentary, not financial advice—manage risk carefully around high-volatility events. Greetings, MrYounity
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by MrYounity
XAUUSD | London Plan | SEP 15, 2025In technical analysis, maintaining the right order of priority is crucial to avoid information noise: 1️⃣Main Trend The overall trend remains bullish. The supporting trendline from last week is still intact, showing that buyers are in control. 2️⃣ Key Price Zones -PW VAH: 3654 -PW POC: 3645 -PW VAL: 3633 Price is currently hovering around the POC 3645, which also aligns with the trendline. This is an important zone to monitor for reactions. 3️⃣ Price Action During the Asian session, price tested the PW VAL zone at 3632–3635 and bounced upward, confirming strong support. Currently, price is retesting the POC, with potential to break and retest for continuation to the upside. 4️⃣ Candlestick Patterns Candles forming around the trendline and POC indicate strong buying absorption and rejection of downside moves, providing favorable signals for the bullish scenario. 5️⃣ Trading Plan - Buy 3643–3646: when price breaks above POC and retests. - Buy 3632–3635: at PW VAL, where the Asian session bounce already confirmed buying pressure. Target: 3665 – 3675. Signals. Discipline. Profits 👉 If you find this analysis useful, don’t forget to hit like 👍 and drop a comment 💬 to support us in delivering even better insights!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by satoshi_trader_gold
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: With gold continuing it's mission to all time highs again we did manage to get a 200pip rejection from the red box only to the support, get a trade upside and the RIP the from near enough the final target given this morning for the move. Worked out pretty well in our opinion! Now, interesting move here on gold and many will think the retracement has started however, there are a few hurdles here to then confirm the move. First stage is the 3655 resistance which needs to hold us down, while the 3630 support level needs to break. Due to news tomorrow, we would expect this to start a range now between the two levels. For us, we'll stick with the plan in place as that level above 3668 gave us a nice RIP downside. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
8
ARE INVESTORS WAITING FOR OCTOBER RATE CUT?Current Price: $3,658 Resistance: $3,672 Support: $3,628 Bias: Short from $3,660–$3,668 | Target: $3,630 Fundamental Insight: The U.S. Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point rate cut, which was widely anticipated and already priced into the market. As a result, gold initially lacked any bullish momentum post-decision. What changed the sentiment is the lack of dovish forward guidance from Fed Chair Jerome Powell. He did not signal any further rate cuts for the upcoming October meeting, which led to: A strengthening U.S. dollar Weakening demand for gold as a non-yielding asset A shift in short-term sentiment to risk-off for precious metals This macro backdrop aligns well with the potential for a near-term correction in gold prices. Technical Analysis: Resistance Zone: $3,668–$3,672 This area has historically acted as a short-term supply zone. Price action shows signs of rejection near this level. Support Zone: $3,630–$3,628 A significant demand zone from recent sessions, and a possible target for short setups. Price Action Strategy: Currently, the price is consolidating below the $3,660 resistance area. A potential liquidity grab up to $3,668 could be the last push before a bearish move. Bearish Setup (My Trade Plan): I am favoring short entries from the $3,660–$3,668 zone, with tight stops above $3,672. Target: $3,630, potentially lower if momentum builds. Sentiment & Volume: Declining bullish volume near resistance RSI and MACD on lower timeframes are showing bearish divergence Dollar Index (DXY) strength adds to gold's downside pressure
TVC:GOLDShort
by MrOscar18
Are you still holding your short position?Gold broke out of a low-level consolidation phase on Monday and experienced a significant upward movement. The primary drivers of this rally were heightened geopolitical tensions, which enhanced gold’s safe-haven appeal, as well as the weakening of the US dollar and declining US bond yields. During this substantial price surge, many traders have been forced to exit their positions prematurely. While some continue to hold on, a large portion of market participants are making trading decisions based primarily on intuition rather than objective analysis. A common belief among traders is that a significant rise in price will likely be followed by a correction. However, in this case, gold has continued to rise steadily without any notable reversal. Short-term trading strategy for gold: Consider opening a short position near or above the intact resistance level of 3685. For those who are currently holding short positions at lower levels, please feel free to leave a comment and follow for further analysis and tailored guidance. OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD
TVC:GOLDShort
by Martin_transaction
XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHello traders. I have not posted in a week or so, but here is my thoughts for the 4 hour chart. I am leaning more towards a potential short scalp trade right now over going higher. This is just speculation on my part, but as I scan the lower time frames, I will see if a quick scalp postion opens up. If we break and close on the 4 hour above the top line marked on the chart, this idea is invalid. Be well and trade the trend. Big G gets a shout out. Let's see how things play out. Happy Tuesday.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by musclemilk0075
GOLD XAUUSD GOLD during London and newyork session rejected 3672.5 -3673.6 and have kept a pattern by buying on descending trendline ,each touch on the descending trendline a break of demand floor and a lower low with a significant upswing that makes a new lower high (lower 3633 lower high 3673,6), but lower than yesterday higher high....this could easily become a full bearish drop below 3600 mark.considering the DXY AND US10Y REBOUND FROM DAILY CLOSE SUPPORT,the 3months chart shows that the EMA 50 HOLDING PRICE FIRMLY ON SUPPORT. the new federal fund rate is 4.20%- 4.25% from 4,25% - 4.5% , after keeping rate the same since January 2025. US10Y ,the united state 10 year treasury bond yield rebound from multi day low at a retest on 3.993% to claim 4.114% daily gain today after unemployment claims data report from U.S Bureau of labour Statistics came positive with 231k current report beating forecast 241k and previous data 264k.sharp gain in the labor market. The agency responsible for the unemployment report in the United States is the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). The BLS publishes the Employment Situation Summary monthly, which includes key data such as the unemployment rate, job gains or losses, labor force participation, and other labor market indicators. This report is closely watched by policymakers, economists, and investors as an important gauge of the health of the U.S. labor market. The DXY ( dollar index rebound on strong daily support at 96.219 the same level of support on july 2025. dollar rebound is a a sign of confidence in the united states of America economic growth, the federal reserve is expected to keep inflation at 2% and stabilize the job market. GOLD the structure is bullish on daily BUT bearish on 4Hr and if we see Asian session buying into 3657-3654 ,we will look for sell opportunity with the combination of SMA+EMA +STRUCTURE and target 200 EMA on 30min at 3664 resistance and the neckline of the 30min double top strure that sent price down from 3672.6 level during newyork session. should we break all the available resistance structure the higher zone from the ascending trendline in the zone of 3754-3760 newyork session will be watched. if buyers fails to keep demand above the current 30 min descending trendline that reacted at 3633 ,then selling will most definitely take out the buy pattern and sell into 3580 demand floor. if you like the idea share it and let me know your perspective on the new RATE CUT. FOR EURUSD,AUDUSD,GBPUSD,USDJPY. BECAUSE DOLLAR REBOUND SEEMS TO BE A REVERSAL FOR GBPUSD . GOODLUCK.
VANTAGE:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
Gold rebounds, bears should not miss this opportunity!Did gold fall as we expected? Congratulations to those who have been paying attention. We have been emphasizing from the weekend, last weekend, until yesterday that the top of gold is just above the 3700 mark, and the extreme position is in the 3720-30 area. When the Fed cuts interest rates, gold will fall. We have been saying this over and over again. I don’t know if you have listened to us. Gold, the release of yesterday's interest rate decision also made the market experience a shock. The large fluctuations back and forth without a bottom line also made the market abuse the bulls and bears wantonly. The trend was also quite magical, making the market defenseless and not giving the slightest chance. After a small rebound near 3694 when the news was announced, it began to dive rapidly, reaching the lowest point near 3652, and then quickly rose again to near 3707, and then continued to fall rapidly, reaching the lowest point near 3645. After the opening, it rebounded again at 3672 and continued to fall. The current lowest point was near 3634. A series of large-scale back and forth sweeps also made the market more fearful, and the daily line also closed in the form of a large negative line. The market is in a state of decline, directly breaking the support of the short-term moving average. It is currently hovering between the 5-day and 10-day moving averages. Therefore, due to the closing of yesterday's large negative line, it is relatively likely to start a pullback and repair again in the short term, and the effective support below is maintained at around 3630-3620. This area is also the key tactical defense we mentioned earlier. Once this position continues to be lost, the long and short positions may be reversed in the later period. The key pressure above is maintained at around 3675-3690. You can refer to this position to continue to short and wait. If gold rebounds to around 3675-3690 during the day, short it, and the target is around 3630-20.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldenTrack_Daniel
Don’t fight the market, act when the time is right!Driven by rising expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut and a weakening US dollar, gold prices continued to climb this week, reaching a historic high of $3,700 on Tuesday. Market expectations are that the Fed will announce a 25 basis point rate cut in its upcoming meeting. If Chairman Powell further emphasizes concerns about the job market and confirms a path of three rate cuts this year in a subsequent press conference, gold prices are expected to gain renewed upward momentum. From a technical perspective, the hourly chart shows solid support in the 3665-3660 range. If gold prices hold this level before the European session, it will provide a strong defensive foundation for bulls and can also be considered a useful reference area for short-term long positions. Once the price re-establishes itself at the 3700 level, it is expected to further challenge the 3710-3720 resistance level. A breakout with strong volume could open up further upside potential, continuing the bullish trend. Prior to the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, the market is likely to remain volatile at high levels, accumulating momentum for major news releases. We recommend primarily buying on dips. The current bull-bear watershed is 3650; if this level falls, be wary of the risk of a further correction.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldenTrack_Daniel
Gold peaks and continues to fall! Today is Thursday, September 18th. Has gold fallen? We've been emphasizing from the weekend, last weekend, and even yesterday that the peak for gold is just above the 3700 mark, with the upper limit at 3750. The moment the Fed cuts interest rates, gold will fall. We've been saying this over and over again. I wonder if you've listened! I remember emphasizing in videos and articles at the beginning of the month, around September 1st, that gold would remain bullish until the Fed's interest rate decision on September 18th. The turning point for this round of bullish and bearish sentiment was around the September 18th decision. Those who listened carefully definitely made money during this period. Yesterday, after the Fed data was released, gold prices fluctuated wildly, hitting a low of 3651, a high of 3707, and finally a sharp dive to 3646. Are there any investors who are waiting in the wings? The main reason for yesterday's bull-bear market shakeout in gold was the influence of Powell's speech: one moment, he said that job growth has slowed and downside risks are increasing; the next, he said that inflation has recently risen, but remains slightly elevated. Therefore, gold's volatility is erratic. Because such statements are subject to significant uncertainty and contingency, the market is bound to be unstable and risky, so avoid them if possible. Gold is a product driven by both technical and news factors. Experience is crucial. We've seen all sorts of ups and downs, right? When should we trade and when should we not? You've only been in this market for a few days, while we've been in it for years. Don't question my expertise with your speculation. Many people keep asking: Why did gold fall instead of rise after the Fed cut? The key lies in whether this bull market has completed. From 3313 to 3700, the price has risen by nearly $400, exceeding historical gains for the same period. Upside potential is limited. Expectations of a Fed rate cut have already been fulfilled, and the actual implementation will be the time for bulls to take profits. If you're still foolishly waiting for a rate cut to become bullish, it's already too late. Next, gold will undergo a bullish correction. Once the correction is over, the next bullish rally will begin. There are two key support levels to watch below: 3580 and 3550. The extreme retracement level is 3511. As for gold today, a bearish outlook is definitely in order. The rebound to the 382 resistance level at 3670 at 7:30 this morning was a reason to go short, but it was so early in the morning that many people may not have reacted. Now that it has fallen below the early morning low of 3645, a rebound could lead to a second bearish trend, with the possibility of a continued decline. Support below is around 3626-3615, and the potential downside limit for today is estimated to be around 3600.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by BasilAlice
GOLD XAUUSD GOLD during London and newyork session rejected 3672.5 -3673.6 and have kept a pattern by buying on descending trendline ,each touch on the descending trendline a break of demand floor and a lower low with a significant upswing that makes a new lower high (lower 3633 lower high 3673,6), but lower than yesterday higher high....this could easily become a full bearish drop below 3600 mark.considering the DXY AND US10Y REBOUND FROM DAILY CLOSE SUPPORT,the 3months chart shows that the EMA 50 HOLDING PRICE FIRMLY ON SUPPORT. the new federal fund rate is 4.20%- 4.25% from 4,25% - 4.5% , after keeping rate the same since January 2025. US10Y ,the united state 10 year treasury bond yield rebound from multi day low at a retest on 3.993% to claim 4.114% daily gain today after unemployment claims data report from U.S Bureau of labour Statistics came positive with 231k current report beating forecast 241k and previous data 264k.sharp gain in the labor market. The agency responsible for the unemployment report in the United States is the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). The BLS publishes the Employment Situation Summary monthly, which includes key data such as the unemployment rate, job gains or losses, labor force participation, and other labor market indicators. This report is closely watched by policymakers, economists, and investors as an important gauge of the health of the U.S. labor market. The DXY ( dollar index rebound on strong daily support at 96.219 the same level of support on july 2025. dollar rebound is a a sign of confidence in the united states of America economic growth, the federal reserve is expected to keep inflation at 2% and stabilize the job market. GOLD the structure is bullish on daily BUT bearish on 4Hr and if we see Asian session buying into 3657-3654 ,we will look for sell opportunity with the combination of SMA+EMA +STRUCTURE and target 200 EMA on 30min at 3664 resistance and the neckline of the 30min double top strure that sent price down from 3672.6 level during newyork session. should we break all the available resistance structure the higher zone from the ascending trendline in the zone of 3754-3760 newyork session will be watched. if buyers fails to keep demand above the current 30 min descending trendline that reacted at 3633 ,then selling will most definitely take out the buy pattern and sell into 3580 demand floor. if you like the idea share it and let me know your perspective on the new RATE CUT. FOR EURUSD,AUDUSD,GBPUSD,USDJPY. BECAUSE DOLLAR REBOUND SEEMS TO BE A REVERSAL FOR GBPUSD . GOODLUCK.
VANTAGE:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
SMART MONEY CONCEPT (SMC)📊 SMC Analysis – Bullish Opportunity on GOLD 🔎 Technical Context 1. Resistance Zone (OB-15): Price reacted strongly at the 15M Order Block resistance, showing distribution. 2. Fake Out + BOS: After the distribution, the market created a fake out to grab liquidity, followed by a Break of Structure (BOS), signaling bullish intention. 3. Expected Rejection at Support: The plan is to wait for a reaction at the support zone, which aligns with the structure shift after the ChoCh (Change of Character). 4. FVG – 1H: The Fair Value Gap on the 1H chart reinforces the idea that price seeks to rebalance before continuing higher. 🎯 Trade Plan • Entry: At the rejection zone (support + BOS). • Stop Loss (SL): Below the support zone for protection. • Take Profit (TP): Targeting 3,664, with a 2:1 risk-to-reward ratio, aiming for liquidity above the resistance area. 📌 Key Idea The market is likely accumulating orders to push upward, trapping sellers at resistance and reaching the 3,664 target. GOOD LUCK TRADERS…. ;)
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by Fonseca87