Nov 4, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential Opportunity📈 Intraday Strategy:
SELL: If price breaks below 3994 → target 3987, with further downside toward 3982, 3975, 3971
BUY: If price holds above 4020 → target 4025, with further upside toward 4030, 4035, 4040
📊 Analysis:
Yesterday, price mostly traded within the 3994–4030 range.
For now, the plan remains simple — sell near resistance and buy near support within this range, until a breakout provides clearer direction.
Watch for momentum shifts:
If price breaks and holds above 4020, look for buying opportunities on pullbacks into support.
If price breaks below 3994, look for selling opportunities on pullbacks into resistance.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 4045 – Resistance
• 4030 – Upper boundary of range / resistance
• 4020 – Resistance
• 4000 – Psychological level
• 3994 – Lower boundary of range / support
• 3971–3980 – Support zone
• 3960 – Key support
• 3947 – Support
Trade ideas
XAU/USD Daily Structure – Bullish Reversal Targeting BPR ZoneA potential bullish reversal after a recent pullback, aiming for a retest of higher price levels.
Prior Price Action: The price experienced a strong uptrend (sequence of large green candles) leading up to the mid-October high, followed by a sharp pullback (red candles) which broke below a previous low, labeled as BOS (Break of Structure). This BOS confirms a short-term bearish shift or the start of a deep correction within the larger uptrend.
Current Price Level: The price is currently near $4,008.10, having shown recent bullish momentum (the last green candle) off a recent swing low.
Key Levels and Concepts:
D/FVG (Daily Fair Value Gap): There are two Fair Value Gaps marked on the chart.
The lower D/FVG (around $4,000 - $4,060) acted as an initial target or point of interest during the decline. The price has started to move up from this area.
The upper D/FVG (around $4,170 - $4,220) represents a future potential target.
BPR (Balanced Price Range): This blue area (around $4,160 - $4,180) is an area where a previous down move's FVG overlaps with a subsequent up move's FVG (or vice versa), suggesting a zone where the market might find temporary balance or resistance/support.
Projected Path: The black arrow illustrates a bullish projection. The price is expected to continue its upward move, potentially targeting the lower D/FVG for a re-entry/retest before making its way towards the BPR and the upper D/FVG as the final target of this short-term analysis.
XAUUSDPrice Action Trading is a method of financial market analysis where traders make buying and selling decisions solely based on the asset's price movements over time, without relying on technical indicators.
It's essentially the art of reading a "naked" or clean chart to understand the psychology and behavior of market participants.
Gold Buying every local Low'sAs discussed throughout my Friday's session commentary: 'My position: I have been monitoring Gold from sidelines as mentioned throughout yesterday's session Highly satisfied with my Profit, as I spotted that #3,988.80 is showcasing strong durability, I have started Buying Gold with aggressive Scalps from #3,988.80 - #3,992.80 many times with at least #15ish orders delivering excellent Profits. I do believe Gold will continue soaring as long as Support zone is intact with #4,052.80 mark as my next Short-term Target.'
Technical analysis: The current Hourly 4 candle is already too Neutral to deliver continuation of Intra-day Buying sentiment and with Hourly 1 chart’s switch from Neutral to Bullish regarding the Short-term, Price-action limited the uptrend (even though Gold should be Higher, relative to circumstances and debacle on U.S. announcements), as Investors started taking Profits on their Buying orders and finding value within the #3,988.80 - #4,027.80 belt again (confirms U.S. sessions decline on unprecedented Volatility on Gold’s Price-action). The key is the Hourly 4 chart’s Resistance zone priced at #4,027.80 - #4,033.80 which rejected the Price-action twice (current Month) and has already done so throughout last week on multiple occasions. This is the key and if that configuration breaks, Short-term Buyers should take it to #4,052.80 impulse in extension. Otherwise, the #3,975.80 - #3,988.80 Support zone should be re-tested for a potential Double or Triple Bottom as in late September. The DX though got rejected on it’s Hourly 4 chart’s Resistance and it is due to the weak Bond Yields market that Gold isn't near #4,052.80 mark already, and it became obvious that market speculators were manually preventing the meltdown I have been mentioning, knowing that U.S. announcement will revive Buyers as in late June.
My position: I am taking advantage of Buying every local Low's since Friday's session last week, Buying either #3,988.80 Support with set of aggressive orders, or #3,992.80 Support in extension. I have Bought #4,001.80 as well towards #4,012.80 or above and will continue to do so until Gold is presented with a break-out to the upside. I do expect #5,100.80 benchmark on Medium-term.
EXPECTATION FOR THE WEEK/WEEKS AHEAD Gold is in-between two major zones, buy zone at 3998-3980 and a sell zone at 4020-4037 and price can respect any of the two major zones and start moving in either direction but based on last week price action i will still go for sells, although Gold is fundamentally expected to buy again because of reduced rate and higher inflation it would probably sell again this week ahead to create the monthly low and also to test a higher time frame buy zone below before it starts with another massive buys to end the year,
so let target a sell at 4014-4020 when market opens, with sl around 4035/37 and tp not less than 500pips or far below , because this sell is expected to reach somewhere 3870-50, before the long term buy start , i will update you along the way and if it decides to buy midway i will signal or update you but if it reaches 3870-50 and it decides to move below it to sell more too i will update and that will signal a very long term sells so let be on alert mood as i always be .
A lot discovered so always be around, forex is not scary to us anymore it's rather interesting because everything is based on time and price, that's why you see prices plotted against time, very interesting indeed.
Wait for the big correction down on gold to finishHi traders,
Last week gold failed to go up and started making a complex pullback (WXY) now, where wave X was a Triangle. After that it dropped and made a corrective upmove.
So next week we could see another downmove to finish the bigger correction down.
And then the next impulsive wave up.
Let's see what price does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a rejection with an impulse wave up from the Weekly FVG. After a small correction down on a lower timeframe and a change in orderflow to bullish you could trade longs.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
But I react and trade on what I see in the chart, not what I've predicted or expect.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
XAUUSD Rangebound Currently XAUUSD Rangebound from 3980-4025 -zone. This Accumulation zone is more volatile as it ready for Implusive Repture.
What are my conditions For This setup?
- I'm expecting then buy trade once any candle closes above 3995 area & expecting the reversal move towards 4028- 4047 target .
Although I already took buy .
✳️Secondly if H4-H1 candle closes below 3980 our buying will be compromised & Market will fall to lower liquidity 3940-3925 zone .
Gold bulls are strong; is 4100 still far away?
News:
Gold rallied after testing the 3915 area again, breaking through resistance levels at 3975-80 and 4030 throughout the day, closing with a large bullish candlestick and forming a bullish engulfing pattern.
This morning, it rose to around 4046 before falling back and breaking below the key support/resistance level of 4005-10.
Technology manifestation:
From the 1-hour chart, the current short-term resistance level to watch is 4035-4030, with a key resistance level at 4060-4055. If this area is broken, the gold price may reach 4100. The short-term support level to watch is 3960. The recommended strategy is to buy on dips, and to observe more and trade less in the middle, avoiding chasing the market and patiently waiting for key entry points.
I will provide specific operational strategies in the channel, so please pay attention.
Trading strategy:
Buy:3989-3986, SL: 3975, TP: 4010-4020-4030
LiamTrading – Gold compressed at the triangle peak; watch for...LiamTrading – Gold compressed at the triangle peak; watch for a break at 4020 (H2)
After a week of accumulation, the price is pressing into the triangle peak between the descending trendline (from late October) and the ascending trendline (from 11/5). The advantage will lean towards an increase if 4020 is broken and sustained.
Technical Analysis (priority H2, Volume Profile – Trendline – S/R – Fibonacci)
Trendline & Structure
The descending trendline is blocking the recovery waves; the ascending trendline supports the adjustment waves.
Closing the H2 candle above the confluence zone ~4020 will confirm a clear upward movement.
Support / Resistance (S/R)
Main support: 3970–3972 (swing low & “Key level Support”).
Decision zone: 4014–4020 (break–retest zone).
Resistance: 4045 (medium-term), 4050 (supply for scalp orders), upper band 4105–4110.
Volume Profile (recent session / composite)
POC magnet: 4015–4017 → likely to have profit-taking/fluctuations; staying above POC turns this area into a launchpad.
LVN: around 4020 → beautiful break-and-go; failing to hold often pulls back to 4015/4010.
Fibonacci Extension (H2 swing)
1.618 coincides with 4045–4050 → first upward target.
2.272/2.618 creates a liquidity zone 4095–4110 → area may weaken/strong profit-taking.
Today's Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Buy on breakout
Entry: 4020–4022 after closing above trendline + retest holding 4018–4020
SL: 4014
TP: 4045 → 4070 → 4100–4110
Management: Take partial profit at 4045; move SL to break-even when reaching +1R. Staying above 4020 turns POC 4015–4017 into support.
Scenario 1b – Buy on pullback (before breakout, cautious volume)
Entry: 3998–4002 (“400x”) when there is an upward reaction at the ascending trendline
SL: 3988
TP: 4017 → 4045
Note: H2 closes below 3988 → cancel the order.
Scenario 2 – Sell scalp at resistance
Entry: 4048–4052 (confluence of Fibo 1.618 + supply zone)
SL: 4056
TP: 4040 → 4030 → 4020
Note: This is counter-trend. Ignore if H2 closes strongly above 4052.
Summary
The upward bias is confirmed when breaking–holding 4020, opening targets 4045 → 4070 → 4100+. Before that signal, trade within the range respecting POC 4015–4017 and ceiling 4045/4050. Risk per order 0.5–1%, move SL to BE when reaching +1R.
XAUUSD:H1:BUYHello traders,
Gold has formed a clear consolidation range. Price is currently reacting to the lower boundary of this range, where a bullish reversal is possible. As long as this zone holds, my bias remains bullish, expecting an upward continuation in line with the current market structure.
This is a personal market outlook.
Gold & Silver Outlook | Central Bank Buying & Correction (5 Nov)🟡 GOLD & SILVER MARKET ANALYSIS - November 05, 2025
Central Bank Buying:
Global central banks remain in accumulation mode after adding 1,000+ tonnes in 2024.
* China: 2,298t | India: 879t | Russia: 2,335t
* Emerging markets’ gold purchases +30% YoY, driven by de-dollarization and inflation hedging as USD reserves fall below 58%.
Silver Demand & Deficit:
* Industrial use hits 680M oz (+11% YoY) — a record.
* Solar PV: 232M oz | EVs: 90M oz
* Deficit: 215M oz — extending into 2025 as mine output stays flat.
📈 Outlook: Range $47–$55/oz, with potential breakout as green tech ramps.
ETF & Market Sentiment :
* Gold ETFs (GLD): +$3.6B inflows in Oct, but -$2.1B outflows in Nov on profit-taking.
* Silver ETFs: Mixed flows, cautious sentiment.
* Gold RSI: ~68 → short-term pullback risk.
* Forecast: Inflows could rebound in Q1 if Fed resumes easing.
Futures & Positioning :
* CME Gold OI: 528,789 contracts (+WoW)
* Implied Vol (Dec): 21.1% | Call/Put Bias: 60/40 (bullish skew)
* Silver Vol: ~25% — traders shifting to policy-driven long bets.
Macro Drivers :
* Fed: 25bps cut + hawkish tone (CPI 2.6%)
* U.S.–China Truce: Reduces tariffs, softens safe-haven demand.
* BRICS: Advancing gold-backed settlement systems.
* Dollar Share: Falls to 58% of global reserves.
Performance & Forecast :
* Gold: $3,941/oz | -1.5% today | +50% YTD
* Silver: $48/oz | -1.0% today | +66% YTD
📊 Projection: Gold eyes $4,400 | Silver targets $57 by mid-2026.
🕐 Astro Window (UK Time): 1:00 PM–4:30 PM bullish spike expected.
Bias : Short-term correction likely → overall bearish bias until supports retest.
Check chart for buying/selling levels.
Nov 5, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential Opportunity📊 Analysis:
Yesterday formed a solid bearish candle, confirming that downward momentum remains dominant.
The key support lies between 3908–3915 — if this zone breaks, bearish momentum will strengthen further.
During the Asian session, watch the 3927–3930.5 area closely.
If this level holds, a short-term rebound toward 3960–3965 is possible. I’ll be watching that zone for potential short entries from resistance.
If price breaks above 3965, it would signal that bearish pressure is fading — only then will I look for buy setups on pullbacks into support.
For now, the overall bias remains bearish, though small intraday bounces can occur before any continuation.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 4000 – Psychological level
• 3994 – Resistance
• 3971–3980 – Resistance zone
• 3960–3965 – Major resistance
• 3947 – Support
• 3927–3930.5 – Support zone
• 3908–3915 – Key support
• 3900 – Psychological level
📈 Intraday Strategy:
SELL: If price breaks below 3927 → target 3922, with further downside toward 3915, 3908, 3905
BUY: If price holds above 3944 → target 3947, with further upside toward 3950, 3953, 3960
(⚠️ short-term rebound setup only — not a trend reversal signal)
XAUUSD📊 GOLD (XAUUSD) – H4 Bearish Flag Breakout + Daily Bearish Structure
On the H4 timeframe, gold formed a bearish flag between 3,890 and 4,050.
As expected, the flag pushed slightly to the upside, then broke to the downside at 4,006.
Price retested the flag and is now moving lower again — confirming bearish continuation.
On the daily timeframe, we are in a clear downtrend:
Swing high: 4,420
Swing low: 4,400
Lower high: 4,154
New lower low: 3,886
Latest lower high: 4,046
This structure confirms that sellers remain in control.
✅ What I’m waiting for:
1️⃣ A rejection at 3,875 = sell opportunity (H1/H4)
2️⃣ A break and daily close below 3,900 → momentum continuation
📌 Best zone to sell: 3,875
Because at that level:
liquidity below the previous low is cleared
a new lower low forms on daily
bearish trend continues cleanly
Bias stays bearish until we break and close below 3,875.
Lonterm it's looking for 3500
GOLDPreferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
XAU/USD – Range Trading Within Key Supply and Demand ZonesGold (XAU/USD) is currently consolidating in a tight horizontal range between $3,920 – $4,060, showing a clear balance between buyers and sellers on the 1-hour chart. After several failed attempts to break above resistance, momentum appears to be losing strength, hinting at a potential short-term pullback.
The current setup shows price trading near the upper boundary of the range, aligning with a visible supply zone. This offers a risk-reward opportunity for short-term traders anticipating a rejection from resistance.
Key levels to watch:
Resistance zone: $4,050 – $4,060 (range high / supply area)
Support zone: $3,920 – $3,940 (range low / demand area)
Mid-level: $3,990 (balance line)
Trading plan:
If price remains capped below $4,060 and forms a bearish rejection candle, short positions could target $3,940, with stops above $4,065.
However, a confirmed breakout and close above $4,065 may invalidate the short setup, opening the door for a bullish extension toward $4,100 – $4,120.
Technical summary:
Structure: Sideways consolidation within major range
Bias: Bearish while below $4,060
Tools used: Support & resistance, supply-demand zones, price action
Gold continues to trade indecisively within its range — a breakout from either boundary will define the next major move. Traders should stay patient and wait for confirmation before engaging.
Follow for more professional gold analysis and refined intraday trade setups every day.
Can gold prices go long amid a narrow stalemate?#XAUUSD TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold prices continued to fluctuate narrowly throughout the evening⚖️, with the hourly and 2-hour moving averages converging in the 4010-4005 range, as both bulls and bears awaited a clear directional decision from the market.📊
However, from a technical perspective, gold prices have failed to break below the 4-hour moving average support at 3995 and the daily MA5 at 3985📈. These are crucial short-term support levels🚀, and the fact that gold prices haven't broken them confirms strong buying support below💪. This suggests that any short-term decline should be viewed as a technical correction rather than a market reversal.🤔
Therefore, although the short-term direction is not yet clear, considering the support formed by the 4-hour moving average and the daily MA5, I remain bullish and await a breakout from the consolidation pattern in gold prices🐂.
There may not be much clear information tonight, so let's take a look at the performance of gold prices in the Asian session👀. In summary, the current trend is still in an upward channel. As long as the 3995-3985 level holds, I will maintain a bullish view. On the upside, pay attention to the short-term resistance at 4020-4030🤩.
Parallel Channel Observation H1XAUUSD GOLD Update H1 Timeframe 🙌
- This Analysis is based on educational purposes using Technical aspect Parallel Channel 🔋
- Parallel Channel indications for a good bullish opportunities point from 📈
Targets would be at 4026 - 4047 - 4082.00 ✅️
Note : if Channel breaks this idea will be in Invalid ❗️
All you need to stick with one Mentor with Discipline Consistency and Focus Mindset 💯
#XAUUSD
Gold Weekly Summary and Forecast 11/1/2025Gold closed the month with a green bar which signals the bullish run is not over yet. From monthly TF, I am expecting the price to test 78.6% Fibo level and rise up to previous ATH at 4380 at least for the month of Nov.
Weekly candle is not showing bullish continuation yet, as it's still printing a red candle. From daily, the hanging red candle is also suggesting a drop is coming. Therefore, I am expecting a initial drop to 3940 and rise from there at the later stage of next week.
let's see what the market will provide.
Gold trapping both Buyers and SellersTechnical analysis: As I announced possible Selling correction on Gold however Short and Medium-term remains Bullish, Price-action has recovered half of the opening losses on the E.U. session opening as DX was taking big Daily candle hit. However the rise is still not proportional as Bond Yields and global futures are still on Lower levels. This leads me to believe that on the Short-term, there is a stronger connection of Gold to DX, rather than Bond Yields, so I will keep an eye for pressure zones on DX. Technically the Daily chart was isolated within broken / former Descending Channel on it’s Lower High’s, as Resistance has to break since last couple occasions it provided rejection twice (#4,027.80). I am expecting strong move to take place throughout next week. Despite the Bullish Fundamental outcome on announcements last week, Gold continues to Trade near the #2-Week High’s. This indicates that last week's aggressive Buy-off on DX was largely a pre-pricing of those Fed Rate numbers. What's obvious, as the current week will come to a close, is that the consolidation since Friday’s session is just above the Daily chart’s Support Zone (#3,964.80 - #3,977.80) which lifts the probabilities for an aggressive Buying sequence ahead, especially as Weekly chart (#1W) remains marginally Bullish.
My position: I have Traded Scalp orders mostly throughout yesterday’s session Buying #4,005.80 on multiple occasions towards #4,015.80 and #3,992.80 aggressively towards #4,000.80 benchmark. I have Bought #3,964.80 as well as I maintain Buying every dips strategy. I have accumulated enough Profits this week and will not Trade today, comfortably taking early weekend break
Gold in consolidation, what to look out forActually, I'm expecting prices to fall again, but if the chart suggests otherwise...
The price is still moving sideways and consolidating the latest slide.
Support in the USD 3,930 range is holding and the price is rising again within the range. However, volume is lacking.
The falling resistance line has now been broken. Could this be a turning point? We're not there yet, but the picture is brightening somewhat.
A breakout above USD 4,050 would be bullish,
while a break below USD 3,930 would be bearish.
XAUUSD GOLDGold price on the 4H chart is forming a bullish breakout pattern from a descending wedge, trading near the 3,997 zone. A confirmed breakout above the trendline could trigger upward momentum toward the 4,120–4,160 target area, while holding above the 3,960 support will keep the bullish outlook valid.
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