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GOLD trade ideas

GOLD price exceeds 3,700 USD, market waits for Fed decisionThe spot price of OANDA:XAUUSD has officially surpassed the $3,700/ounce mark, setting a new record. The main reason comes from the expectation that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates this week. In addition, news that the Trump administration is considering imposing additional tariffs on imported auto parts has further boosted gold's status as a safe haven. Current context: the global economy remains unstable, geopolitical tensions have not cooled down. The US dollar is weakening, falling to its lowest level since July, making gold more attractive. However, some investors have taken advantage of the opportunity to take profits ahead of the important Fed meeting on Wednesday. Since the beginning of the year, gold has increased by more than 40% thanks to: • The risk of a trade war, especially from US tax policy. • Demand for gold from central banks, especially in emerging markets. • A weak dollar and the possibility of further interest rate cuts. According to CME Group’s FedWatch tool, investors are almost certain that the Fed will cut by 25 basis points, although there is still a (small) chance that the Fed will cut by 50 basis points. Personally, I will continue to lean towards the upward trend of gold prices since the beginning of this year because gold has benefited from the low interest rate environment, making gold – which does not yield – more attractive. In addition, with President Trump publicly urging the Fed to “loosen aggressively”, the market is expecting a series of new interest rate cuts to be opened in the near future. Technical outlook analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold briefly crossed the $3,700 mark in yesterday's US session, but then pulled back slightly. Currently, the 0.618% Fibonacci extension level is the nearest support level, if the recovery from this $3,677 support level brings gold back to work above the $3,700 base point, this will be the most suitable condition for a new continued bullish cycle, and the target then is around $3,722 in the short term. The 3,722 USD level is the price point of the 0.786% Fibonacci extension, in which the signal for a possible correction to the downside has not appeared in terms of momentum. The RSI maintains its activity in the overbought area, but it is mostly moving sideways in this area, indicating that the market forces (profit taking/selling) are insignificant. A momentum signal for a possible correction to the downside is the RSI folding down below the 80 mark with a significant slope. In case gold is sold below the 3,677 USD mark, it may fall further to retest the 3,645 USD mark, but the trend and the main bullish conditions will remain unchanged. Finally, the bullish trend of gold prices will be noticed again by the following positions. Support: 3,677 – 3,645 USD Resistance: 3,700 – 3,722 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3729 - 3727⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3735 →Take Profit 1 3721 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3715 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3653 - 3655⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3649 →Take Profit 1 3661 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3667
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
Today's Pure Technical Analysis of GoldToday's Pure Technical Analysis of Gold As shown in Figure 1h, we provide a detailed analysis of the gold price's upward trend. Buying on dips remains the primary trading strategy. Trend-following Day Trading Strategy: Aggressive Buy Zone: 3675-3680 Conservative Buy Zone: 3660-3665 Stop-Loss Zone: 3655-3658 Target Zone: 3700-3715-3730-3740+ The above represents the most reasonable intraday trend-following trading strategy based on technical chart analysis. We can safely conclude that the gold price movements on Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday were all preparations for Thursday's rate cut. Even if gold reaches $3,700, this is not its ultimate target. We set our target range for this week's gold price increase at around $3,750. Buying on dips remains my primary strategy. In fact, as an analyst, buying on dips has been my primary strategy for the past three months. It has proven to be very practical and effective.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Katyusha202509
Gold is Ready For Bull After Forming a Strong SupportHello Traders In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today Gold analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ForexMasters2000
Gold consolidates around $3,660 after Fed’s rate cut decision🧭 Market Overview Gold is currently trading around $3,660/oz after the Fed announced a 0.25% rate cut. Earlier, prices hit a new all-time high at $3,707/oz but quickly pulled back as the USD rebounded and profit-taking pressure increased. 📈 Technical Analysis • Near Resistance: $3,675 – $3,700 • Key Support: $3,645 – $3,630 • EMA50 (H1): price is moving sideways around this level, indicating consolidation. • Recent H1 candles show long upper wicks, reflecting selling pressure near $3,675. • Trading volume has declined after the spike, suggesting the market is waiting for a new catalyst. 🧐 Outlook • In the short term, gold is likely to consolidate – retrace within the $3,645–$3,675 range. • The broader trend remains bullish, but a clear breakout above $3,675 on H1/H4 closes is needed to confirm further upside. • A break below $3,630 would increase the risk of a deeper move toward $3,600. 🎯 Suggested Trading Strategy 🔺 BUY XAU/USD: $3,647 – $3,650 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips 🛑 SL: $3,643 🔻 SELL XAU/USD Entry: $3,675 – $3,678 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips 🛑 SL: $3,681
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
GOLD was clearly supported, but Powell stopped shortIn the trading session on September 17 in New York, the US financial market "spinned like a pinwheel" after the Federal Reserve's decision to lower interest rates and Chairman Jerome Powell's speech. The Dollar recovered after Mr. Powell's speech, causing gold to be sold off strongly. As of the time the article was completed (Thursday, September 18), the gold price was trading at 3,662 USD/oz. The Fed officially cut interest rates by 25 basis points, bringing the federal funds rate band down to 4.00% - 4.25%, as expected. This is the first time the Fed has cut interest rates since December last year. This decision immediately caused the USD to plummet to a 4-year low against the euro, while spot gold prices jumped to a new record. However, after Powell's speech, the USD quickly recovered strongly, while gold fell from the peak due to profit-taking pressure. The US stock market also fluctuated violently: all three major indexes rose sharply for a moment and then quickly reversed. Powell emphasized that the Fed was in no hurry to ease further and this move was considered a “risk management cut”. In the statement after the meeting, the FOMC acknowledged that the US economy was “slowing”, employment was weakening, inflation was rising and the downside risks to the labor market were growing. However, the Fed still forecast two more 0.25% rate cuts this year, according to the “dotplot chart” tool showing the expectations of each official. New member Milan was the only one who opposed, wanting a sharp 0.5% cut. Powell said future decisions would be considered “on a meeting-by-meeting basis,” suggesting the Fed is moving cautiously rather than aggressively easing. Officials are also increasingly converging on the idea that the Trump administration’s trade and tariff policies will only have a temporary impact on inflation. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold has not been able to surpass the 3,700 USD price mark, the profit-taking momentum has caused the gold price to drop sharply and very quickly, but with the current position, it still has all the conditions to increase in price. Specifically, the main trend is still stable with the price channel as the medium-term trend, and the support from EMA21 as the main support, followed by the 0.50% Fibonacci extension level as the current nearest support. On the other hand, in terms of momentum, the RSI has not yet signaled the possibility of a more significant downside correction, as the RSI is still operating in the overbought area and is mostly moving sideways, indicating that profit-taking in the market is limited, leading to limited downside momentum. A downward sloping RSI through the 80 level is the best signal for a more significant downside correction. During the day, if gold breaks above the 0.618% Fibonacci extension level again, it will be in a position to retest the $3,700 level, more so the $3,722 level once the original $3,700 level is broken. Finally, the general trend of gold price on the daily chart is bullish and the notable points will be listed as follows. Support: 3,645USD Resistance: 3,677 – 3,700USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3696 - 3694⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3700 →Take Profit 1 3688 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3682 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3616 - 3618⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3612 →Take Profit 1 3624 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3630
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
Strategy update – H1 retracement & new plan I Sep/17/2025On the H1 timeframe, the market has formed a lower high 🔻. This may indicate a short-term retracement toward 3660 to reinforce the main bullish trend. 👉 Therefore, we’ll adjust our plan: Take a short-term SELL targeting the 3660–3657 zone. From that zone, we’ll look to BUY again with the main bullish trend for the next leg up. 💡 This approach combines short-term trades (SELL) with the bigger picture (BUY) to manage risk and maximize opportunities.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TraderX_68
Where Next for Gold After the BreakoutHaving surged through key resistance earlier this month, gold has firmly reasserted its uptrend. Let’s take a look at what’s driving the move and where the next opportunities may lie. Politics, policy and the perfect storm The latest leg higher has been powered by a potent mix of politics and policy. Softer US jobs data has markets fully pricing a rate cut at this Wednesday’s Federal Reserve meeting, with some even calling for a larger move. At the same time Donald Trump’s attacks on the Fed have unsettled confidence in central bank independence. That combination has left the dollar vulnerable and reinforced gold’s appeal as a safe store of value. Debt and inflation worries are adding another layer of support. Real yields look set to dip negative again, a backdrop in which gold has historically thrived. Concerns over the US fiscal outlook and the risk of stagflation under Trump’s tariff agenda have only intensified the demand for hedges. Meanwhile conviction buyers such as central banks, ETFs and macro funds continue to add to positions, underlining the strength behind this rally. A breakout with fuel in the tank On the daily timeframe the breakout is clear. After months of congestion, gold blasted through resistance and is now consolidating its gains. The next phase will depend on how price behaves around the support zones that have formed below. The first sits around the flip zone where broken resistance has become support and neatly aligns with the VWAP anchored to the pre breakout lows. A second pocket of liquidity lies just beneath at the base of the old resistance band, which is also in confluence with the 50 day moving average. Gold Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Zooming into the hourly chart adds further context. Last week’s surge has settled into a tight trading range. Momentum remains with the bulls, which means another push higher before a deeper pullback is entirely possible. This kind of consolidation is often a healthy pause after a breakout, allowing the market to reset before the next leg. Should the range break lower, those daily support zones are where buyers will be expected to step back in. That would keep the breakout structure intact and provide tactical opportunities for dip buyers to reload. The path of least resistance is still higher, but the market may want to test how deep support runs before driving further into record territory. Gold Hourly Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 85.24% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by Capitalcom
Gold faces early selling pressure | Main trend still Buy🟡 XAU/USD – 15/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓ 🔎 Captain’s Log – News Context FED rate cut probabilities this week : -25bps : 96.4% (up from 89.1%). -50bps : only 3.0% (down sharply from 10.9%). Trump : Announced more sanctions on Russia, urged NATO to stop buying Russian oil; also emphasized “the possibility of significant FED rate cuts.” Key event today : New York Manufacturing Index at 1:30 (US time). ⏩ Captain’s Summary : The sharp drop in -50bps expectations caused early selling pressure on Gold this morning. But overall, FED is still certain to cut rates and inflation is cooling → the bigger trend continues to favor Buy . 📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone) : 3665 – 3670 (Weak High & upper cap). Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone) : 3623 – 3603 – 3587. Market Structure : On H1, Gold is moving within a tightening triangle with EqH and EqL . Main trend stays bullish, but needs a retest of support before rallying toward 3665 – 3670. 🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan ✅ Buy (priority) Buy Zone 1 Entry: 3623 – 3625 SL: 3612 TP: 3640 – 3650 – 3660 – 3665+ Buy Zone 2 (FVG) Entry: 3603 – 3605 SL: 3592 TP: 3620 – 3640 – 3655 – 3665 Deep Buy Zone Entry: 3587 – 3590 SL: 3575 TP: 3610 – 3630 – 3650 ⚡ Sell (short scalp at resistance) Sell Zone Entry: 3665 – 3670 SL: 3678 TP: 3655 – 3645 – 3635 – 36xx ⚓ Captain’s Note “The Golden ship faces headwinds this morning as sailors reduce expectations for a -50bps cut. But the larger sail remains filled with dovish FED winds, steering the voyage north. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3623 – 3603 – 3587) is the safe dock to gather strength. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3665 – 3670) may raise waves, suitable for short Quick Boarding 🚤 . The main journey still favors Buy , waiting for the FED to blow more tailwind into the Golden sails.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Bearish Pressure Mounts: Will 3600 Hold or Collapse?In the short term, gold has not been able to stand above 3655 during multiple rebounds, and even closed below 3650 at the close of last Friday. Although it is far from the level of collapse, there are obvious signs of profit-taking in some chips. As the center of gravity of gold slowly shifts, the short-term resistance area will gradually move down to the 3635-3645 area. If gold cannot break through this area during repeated fluctuations, the market's downward momentum will be further strengthened! It should be noted that although the center of gravity of gold is gradually shifting downward, the overall bullish structure is still maintained; and against the backdrop of interest rate cut expectations, gold's retracement space should be limited before the Federal Reserve announces its interest rate decision. The first thing we need to pay attention to is the support of the recent low point of 3615-3605. Gold is likely to rebound again after testing the support of this area, and take this opportunity to try to intensify short-term volatility! However, once gold falls below the support of this area, it may continue to the 3590-3580 area. Therefore, for short-term trading, since gold is still fluctuating in the support and resistance areas, it can be treated as regional fluctuations for the time being; but as the center of gravity of gold gradually moves downward and 3675 is expected to become a temporary high point, we can maintain the strategy of shorting at high levels as the main strategy, supplemented by the idea of going long at low levels. 1. Consider shorting gold against the resistance zone of 3635-3645, with the primary retracement target at 3620-3610. 2. If gold fails to break below the 3615-3605 area during a pullback, we could consider going long on gold, with the primary rebound target at 3630-3640.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PriceSniper_Steffen
GOLD WEEKLY SUMMERY.GOLD ,THE daily structure is strongly protected by a demand floor,the daily line chart close at the demand floor level, is 3640,3634,3626 ,the dollar index daily rejection during newyork time at 97.803 was enforced BY 12;00 AND 13;00 that made GOLD to skyrocket from the neckline of the double bottom at 3644 to close 3685 breaking every strategy for sell. The strong double bottom structure from the 4HR line chart ,the neckline was retested at 4HR close in the zone 3644-3647, and GOLD BUYING closed the week 3685 AGAINST ALL ODDS AND STILL looking to reclaim 3700 next week with a possibility of a new all time high at 3723-3725-3730 zone based on the rule of selling from the ascending trendline supply roof on 4HR .THE next touch could be 3730-3725 bound. But at the moment, we have a supply roof from a lower 4-hour cross as a potential rejection zone 3697-3700. If this zone is respected, we could get a correction to keep buying GOLD . I WILL NOT ADVISE ANYONE TO TRY TO SELL GOLD UNTIL THE DAILY BREAK OF DEMAND FLOOR. WE KEEP BUYING AND ALLOW OTHERS TO SELL ,THEN WE LOOK FOR A BUY OPPORTUNITY. GOLD BUY/SELL IS RELATED TO REAL LIFE PHYSICAL GOLD PRICE IN THE MARKET ,SO TAKE IT SERIOUSLY. GOODLUCK #XAUUSD #GOLD #SILVER #COPPER #US10Y #DOLLAR #DXY
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
Gold price does not break, bullish News： After the Fed's decision, spot gold prices briefly soared to $3,707.48 per ounce, a record high. However, following Fed Chairman Powell's speech, the dollar rebounded sharply, sending gold prices plummeting to $3,646.00 per ounce. By Wednesday's close, spot gold had fallen 0.8% to $3,659.96 per ounce. With dovish expectations surrounding the Federal Reserve still intact, any dip in gold could be seen as a good opportunity to buy on the dip, thereby maintaining the uptrend. The market now looks forward to the U.S. initial jobless claims data for fresh trading momentum. Furthermore, geopolitical headlines and comments from U.S. President Trump could also drive gold prices in the coming sessions. Technical aspects： The daily chart shows that gold buyers appear to have another opportunity for a sustained rally, as the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) has finally retreated sharply from extreme overbought territory. The RSI has fallen from 80 to 70. If bargain hunting emerges and gathers momentum, gold could retest the record high of $3,708 per ounce. A daily close above that level would open the door to the $3,750 per ounce region. From a 4-hour analysis, effective support remains near 3620, which is currently a key defensive support level. If this level continues to fall, the bullish and bearish biases may shift in the future. Key resistance from above remains at 3700. Strategically, consider long and short positions within this range. In the middle, be cautious and watchful, follow orders carefully, and patiently wait for key entry points. Specific operational strategies will be monitored closely. Strategy： Gold falls back to 3620, 3630 and buys, stop loss at 3610, target 3690-3700, break to 3720
TVC:GOLDLong
by TheodoreSilas