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Gold Price Forecast | Smart Money Levels (Nov 12, 2025)OANDA:XAUUSD GOLD ANALYSIS - What’s Moving the Market Today?
(Updated: November 12, 2025) 💠 Trade with DECRYPTERS
We keep it simple - Smart Money zones define the battlefield. Follow institutional footprints, not noise. 🔮 ASTROLOGY INSIGHT Mercury ♂ Mars = Mixed → Bearish if risk-on
Expect volatility and fake-outs near resistance as sentiment stays uncertain. 📊 MARKET OVERVIEW Gold trades around $4,135-$4,145, showing resilience despite U.S. dollar swings. * DXY slips to ~99.35 amid shutdown uncertainty and weaker risk tone. * Fed holds rates steady at 3.75–4.00%; next cut odds at 55% for December. * Central banks continue strong buying (+220t in Q3, led by Poland’s +67t). * ETF inflows remain firm at +222t - investor demand steady. * Geopolitical tensions (Mideast + US–China tariffs) sustain safe-haven flows. Gold remains locked between institutional buy/sell blocks, Smart Money setting up heavy positions from 4,028–4,206. 🧭 SMART MONEY LEVELS (LIVE UPDATE) Smart Money Sell Area: 4206–4191 → Major liquidity zone; rejection likely.
Sell Reaction Zone: 4165–4153 → Intraday resistance, ideal for quick fades.
Smart Money Buy Area: 4028–4011 → Deep liquidity accumulation zone for swing buys. 📍 Millions in pending institutional orders rest within these zones. 📅 WHAT TO WATCH NEXT * Nov 13 CPI: Expect ~3.0% core, shutdown delays may trigger volatility. * Dec FOMC: 55% odds of a 25bps cut; Fed cautious until full data returns. * Geopolitical Risk: Mideast or tariff escalation = 🟢 bullish spike.
Resolution = 🔴 USD rebound → gold pressure. Break Zones:
🔸 Hold above 4,120 → targets 4,165–4,170
🔸 Break below 4,100 → slide toward 4,050–4,028 🎯 TRADE PLAN Stay tactical — trade zones, not emotions. * Buy Dips: 4,090–4,120 → Targets 4,150–4,170 * Sell Rallies: 4,165–4,190 → Stops above 4,206 Bias remains bullish while above 4,120; short-term sentiment may turn mildly bearish if risk appetite improves. 🧠 CONCLUSION Gold remains supported by central bank demand and geopolitical risk, even as Fed policy and DXY limit major upside.
Expect range-bound volatility with bullish lean above 4,100.
Trade reaction, not prediction.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by DECRYPTERS
Gold prices are consolidating on November 7th, awaiting the non-Gold has completed its technical adjustment after a period of consolidation on the hourly chart. Short-term moving averages are starting to turn upwards, and the price is gradually rising above them, suggesting potential for further rebound in the short term. The key resistance level to watch is around 4020-30. On the 4-hour chart, short-term moving averages are largely flat and converging, indicating a potential breakout. The non-farm payroll data is unlikely to be released tonight. On the hourly chart, the price is gradually trending upwards along the short-term moving averages; monitor the short-term correction. Trading Recommendation: Focus on the 4020-30 resistance zone and begin gradually establishing short positions.
TVC:GOLDLong
by AnalystDavid_
Gold struggles below $4KI think it is fair to say that the $4K level is super important in as far as gold’s short-term direction is concerned. A potential breakdown below $3930 would signal gold has decided to stay below this $4K level. The $3930 level is where gold found support from earlier this week, so a break below it would now be quite significant from a technical standpoint. On the upside, $4045 is where gold needs to climb above to trigger technical selling above it. This was the high from last Friday. While gold decides which direction to break, I don’t have too strong a view on the metal currently. Granted, the fresh weakening of the US dollar amid signs of weakness in labour market as reported by Challenger yesterday, and the drop in consumer confidence as reported by the UoM today, both point to potential gains for gold. However, the metal has been trending in the same direction as equity markets. Therein lies the problem. With stocks struggling, gold has been unable to find any fresh haven demand to give it a lift above $4K. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FOREX.com
XAU/USD — Bullish Continuation Setup (4H Chart)Gold (XAU/USD) has been consolidating near US $4,000 after rallying strongly to new highs above US $4,300 earlier this quarter. Price has since formed a falling wedge / triangle pattern, signaling potential bullish continuation if buyers regain control. Technical Outlook Price is compressing between converging trendlines, with clear zones marked on the chart. Buy confirmation: a breakout and close above 4,020–4,040 would signal bullish momentum. If confirmed, price could extend toward 4,120–4,180, followed by 4,250+. Buy invalidation: a breakdown below 3,940 would negate the bullish setup and expose the 3,900–3,860 support zone. The overall structure remains constructive — a breakout above resistance would complete the wedge and potentially resume the broader uptrend channel. Fundamental View (November 2025) Fed policy: The Federal Reserve held rates steady in October but hinted at rate cuts in early 2026, a dovish tilt that supports gold. Macro conditions: U.S. inflation (~3.2%) remains sticky, and bond yields are easing — reducing pressure on non-yielding assets like gold. Safe-haven demand: Continued geopolitical tension in the Middle East and strong central-bank purchases (China, India, Turkey) add structural support. Short-term risk: A brief U.S. dollar rebound may cause intraday volatility, but sentiment remains broadly bullish. Trading Plan Bias: Short-term bullish continuation Breakout trigger: Above 4,020–4,040 (confirmed breakout) Targets: ‣ TP1: 4,120–4,150 ‣ TP2: 4,180–4,250 Invalidation: Below 3,940
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NubisTrader
Wall Street Weekly Outlook - Week 45 2025 [03.11.- 07.11.2025]Wall Street Weekly Outlook - Week 45 2025 📅 November 3 – November 7, 2025 Let’s kick off an exciting new trading week — and a brand-new trading month! 🚀 Seasonal factors often play a major role in November and December, and I’ll break them down for you in this week’s video. 🎥📈 Sit back, enjoy the overview, and dive into the world of banks, hedge funds, and institutional flows — with exclusive insights into how the pros are positioned right now. 🧠💼📊 💡 Bonus segments: Strategies, setups & market psychology — everything you need to know for the week ahead. ⚡️ 📘 Topics covered in this week’s outlook: 🏛 Seasonality in the Nasdaq: 🥇 Seasonality in Gold: ... and many more charts & concepts in the video! 🎬📊 💬 I’m looking forward to your questions, comments, and an active discussion here on TradingView! 👋 Best, Meikel
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WSICapital
24
Busy trading week coming up!!The trading week of November 3–7 is considered a pivotal period for international financial markets. A series of high-level economic data including manufacturing and services PMIs, ADP non-farm payrolls, trade balances, and interest rate decisions from major central banks will create a mixed picture of the global economic cycle. Meanwhile, statements from Federal Reserve officials and geopolitical developments can reinforce or distort monetary policy expectations later in the year. 🔹 Monday – Global PMI: PMI figures from China, Europe, the UK, and the US kick off the week, reflecting the overall health of global manufacturing. Weak data could boost expectations for monetary easing, while stronger results may reinforce inflation-control policies. Additionally, the outcome of the OPEC+ meeting could impact oil prices and inflation trends. 🔹 Tuesday – Monetary Policy & Trade: Focus turns to the RBA (Australia) rate decision and Canada’s trade balance. The market expects the RBA to keep rates unchanged at 3.6%, but a “hawkish” tone could trigger volatility in AUD. Speeches from Fed and BoC officials will also provide further clues on the 2025 rate-cut cycle. 🔹 Wednesday – Services & Employment: The US Services PMI and ADP employment report will take center stage. These data points often provide early hints for the Non-Farm Payrolls report. Crude oil inventories from API and EIA will continue to influence oil prices and inflation expectations. 🔹 Thursday – European Data & BoE Decision: The Bank of England may cut interest rates by 25 basis points to 3.75% amid recession concerns. Germany’s retail sales and industrial production figures will offer insights into the region’s economic health. 🔹 Friday – China & the Fed: China’s trade balance and a series of speeches from five FOMC members will dominate attention. Any comments related to inflation or December rate decisions could cause sharp moves in USD and gold. Three Key Risks to Watch: 1️⃣ Data Divergence: PMI or ADP figures may diverge significantly from official data, sparking volatility in market expectations. 2️⃣ Policy Surprises: Unexpected moves or tone shifts from the RBA or BoE could trigger market shocks. 3️⃣ Geopolitics & Liquidity: Escalating tensions in Russia–Ukraine or the Middle East, along with oil price swings, could drive safe-haven flows into gold and USD. Technical analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD Gold price is hovering around the $4,000/oz mark, after recovering slightly from the 0.382 Fibonacci support zone at $3,972/oz. The recent decline remains within a short-term correction channel, but selling pressure has slowed as the RSI exited the oversold zone and showed signs of forming a technical bottom. The EMA21 (around $4,055/oz) is currently acting as an important resistance. If the price breaks above this level decisively, the short-term correction structure could be completed, opening a new uptrend towards the $4,128–$4,200/oz area (Fibo 0.236 and the most recent old peak). Conversely, if gold fails to surpass the EMA21, the correction could continue towards $3,846 or $3,720/oz – the next two support zones corresponding to the Fibo 0.5 and 0.618 levels, respectively. Note: RSI momentum is still weak, so further confirmation with trading volume and reversal candlestick signals is needed before opening a long position. SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4091 - 4089⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 4095 →Take Profit 1 4083 ↨ →Take Profit 2 4077 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3954 - 3956⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3950 →Take Profit 1 3962 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3968
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
34
The bulls are back, and going long remains the main theme.#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD Although the beginning of the week didn't offer a pullback entry opportunity, gold rallied immediately after the open, breaking through 4030 as expected and continuing its upward trend, officially signaling the return of the bulls to the market. From the hourly chart, gold broke through the resistance of the upward channel at 4055 and continued to fluctuate upwards, indicating that the bullish momentum remains strong in the short term. However, attention should be paid to the resistance at 4080-4100 from the weekly MA5 moving average and the daily middle line, and be wary of a possible pullback after a surge. Therefore, in the short term, avoid blindly chasing the rally, patiently waiting for a pullback to buy remains our main trading strategy. The first support level to watch is the 4055-4045 level, a previous resistance turning point, followed by the important support at 4030-4020. Therefore, if gold prices fall back after encountering resistance during the European session, we can consider going long on gold in batches based on the strength of the pullback.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Miracle-Walker_GC
ElDoradoFx – GOLD ANALYSIS (10/11/2025, ASIA SESSION)1. Market Overview Gold opens the Asian session consolidating near $4,000–$4,003, after the US session’s liquidity sweeps on both sides of the range. Price remains trapped between $3,985 support and $4,016 resistance, showing a symmetrical compression pattern. The market sentiment is currently neutral, awaiting a breakout from this coil — which will likely set the tone for the London continuation. ⸻ 2. Technical Breakdown 🔹 Daily (D1): Price is stabilizing above the 50EMA with RSI around 51 — neutral but slightly leaning bullish. A daily close above $4,016 would reestablish bullish continuation toward $4,036–$4,050, while a drop below $3,975 could shift momentum back to bearish. 🔹 H1: Gold is respecting the descending trendline from $4,027, while creating a higher-low structure from $3,985. The 200EMA near $4,006–$4,010 acts as key intraday resistance, currently rejecting buyers. EMAs are converging, signaling volatility buildup before expansion. 🔹 15M–5M: Short-term CHoCH confirmed after liquidity sweep at $3,985, but momentum faded below $4,010. RSI sits around 48–50 and MACD shows flattening histogram — both suggesting indecision ahead of the Asian liquidity phase. ⸻ 3. Fibonacci Analysis (Last Swing 3,984 → 4,027) • 38.2% = $4,011 • 50.0% = $4,006 • 61.8% = $4,001 🎯 Golden Zone: $4,011 – $4,001 (Potential buy reaction area on retest) ⸻ 4. High-Probability Trade Scenarios 📈 BUY SCENARIO (Primary Bias) • Entry Zone: $4,006 – $4,001 (Golden Zone)** • Targets: $4,016 → $4,027 → $4,036 • Stop Loss: Below $3,992 • Confirmation: Bullish engulfing candle or CHoCH on 5M from Golden Zone. • Confluence: Support trendline + 61.8% Fib + EMA cluster + RSI recovery from 40–45. 📉 SELL SCENARIO (Countertrend) • Entry Zone: $4,010 – $4,016 (Supply + 200EMA + trendline resistance)** • Targets: $4,000 → $3,990 → $3,975 • Stop Loss: Above $4,020 • Confirmation: Bearish rejection candle with RSI divergence (60–65 range). • Confluence: Strong horizontal supply + descending resistance + MACD bearish cross. 💥 BREAKOUT SETUP • Bullish Break: Close above $4,016 → Retest $4,010 → Targets $4,027 → $4,036 → $4,050. • Bearish Break: Close below $3,985 → Retest $3,990 → Targets $3,976 → $3,960. ⸻ 5. Fundamental Watch • Asia session: Low volatility expected before London liquidity expansion. • DXY near 106.0 — holding steady, which could limit upside momentum until London. • No major macro data during Asia; technical levels will dominate. ⸻ 6. Key Technical Levels Resistance: 4,010 / 4,016 / 4,027 / 4,036 Support: 4,001 / 3,992 / 3,985 / 3,975 Golden Zone: 4,011 – 4,001 Breakout Triggers: >4,016 (Bullish) | <3,985 (Bearish) ⸻ 7. Analyst Summary Gold continues to accumulate liquidity within a symmetrical range, trapped between 200EMA resistance and ascending support. A breakout above $4,016 could trigger bullish continuation toward $4,036–$4,050, while a rejection here would likely send price back to $3,992–$3,975 before a new leg forms. ⸻ 8. Final Bias Summary 📊 Bias: Neutral-to-bullish above $3,985; bearish only below $3,975. 🎯 Focus: Monitor reaction at $4,006–$4,010 (EMA cluster) and watch for breakout confirmation beyond $4,016. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🥇 GOLD – ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 – WEEKLY PERFORMANCE (03/11/2025 TO 07/11/2025) 🔥 Massive week for PREMIUM 3.0 — consistent GOLD setups, BTC profits, and double LIVE session wins! ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📅 MONDAY 03/11/2025 🟢 BUY +120 PIPS 🟢 BUY +30 PIPS 🔻 SELL +90 PIPS 🟢 BUY +40 PIPS 🟢 BUY LIMIT +200 PIPS 🔻 SELL +20 PIPS 🟢 BUY +40 PIPS 🟢 BUY +20 PIPS 🟢 BUY +40 PIPS 💰 GOLD TOTAL: +600 PIPS --- 📅 TUESDAY 04/11/2025 🔻 SELL +20 PIPS 🟢 BUY LIMIT +70 PIPS 🔻 SELL +30 PIPS 🟢 BUY +20 PIPS 🟢 BUY +20 PIPS 🔻 SELL +240 PIPS 🎯 LIVE TRADING SESSION 🔻 SELL +20 PIPS 🔻 SELL +20 PIPS 🔻 SELL +170 PIPS 💰 GOLD TOTAL: +400 PIPS --- 📅 WEDNESDAY 05/11/2025 🔻 SELL +40 PIPS 🟢 BUY LIMIT +20 PIPS 🟢 BUY LIMIT +60 PIPS 🔻 SELL +60 PIPS 🟢 BUY +40 PIPS 🟢 BUY +260 PIPS 🔻 SELL +80 PIPS 🟢 BUY +110 PIPS 💎 BTC/USD TRADE: SELL +900 PIPS 💰 TOTAL DAILY GAIN: +1,570 PIPS --- 📅 THURSDAY 06/11/2025 🟢 BUY (Swing) +610 PIPS (from 05/11) 🔻 SELL +40 PIPS 🔻 SELL LIMIT +70 PIPS 🟢 BUY +40 PIPS 🟢 BUY +150 PIPS 🟢 BUY LIMIT +20 PIPS 🟢 BUY +110 PIPS 🔻 SELL +60 PIPS ❌ BUY -20 PIPS (SL) 🟢 BUY +100 PIPS 🎯 LIVE SESSION: BUY +120 PIPS | BUY +50 PIPS 💰 GOLD TOTAL: +1,350 PIPS --- 📅 FRIDAY 07/11/2025 🔻 SELL +60 PIPS 🟢 BUY +40 PIPS 🟢 BUY +90 PIPS ❌ BUY -40 PIPS (SL) 🟢 BUY +120 PIPS 🎯 LIVE SESSION: BUY +100 PIPS | BUY +125 PIPS | BUY +150 PIPS 💰 GOLD TOTAL: +645 PIPS 💎 BTC BONUS TRADES (Weekend): SAT 08/11 → SELL +400 PIPS SUN 09/11 → BUY +1,100 PIPS --- 📊 WEEKLY SUMMARY 🥇 GOLD TOTAL GAIN: +3,315 PIPS 💎 BTC/USD TOTAL GAIN: +2,400 PIPS 🚀 OVERALL TOTAL: +5,715 PIPS ✅ 48 Signals → 46 Wins | 2 SL 📈 Winning Rate: 96% ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🔥 Every setup, every session — verified precision and consistency! Join ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 and level up your trading game. — ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 Team 🚀
VANTAGE:XAUUSDLong
by ELDORADOFX
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 4079 and a gap below at 3985. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 4079 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4079 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 4173 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4173 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 4264 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4264 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 4340 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4340 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 4422 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4422 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 4494 BEARISH TARGETS 3985 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3985 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3873 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3873 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3741 3632 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
7
Is it Black Friday? No need to panic, strategy updateGold has closed. During the latter half of the US session, influenced by news, it fell to around 4180, finding support and reaching a high of 4211. Gold prices then fell sharply again, briefly dropping to 4145 USD before slightly recovering. Having already risen over 200 points this week, this upward move was too rapid, and the consolidation period was too short, resulting in weak upward momentum. While reaching 4250 is only a matter of time, short-term trading requires careful attention to timing. The excessive pullback during the US session has led to a correction, potentially breaking the current uptrend. Therefore, a cautious approach is advised, avoiding blindly chasing the upward trend and patiently waiting for a stabilizing signal after a pullback. This is currently a more prudent and cost-effective choice. Following market rhythm and acting according to the trend is the core principle of investing. From the current structure, the support area to watch is the 4130-40 range. Resistance is at 4175-85, and the closing price is around 4170. Will this be a Black Friday? Don't panic. Our operations will be updated based on the opening market trend and news. Just stay tuned. I focus solely on short-term trading and clear market analysis. In short-term trading, there is no market that goes up or down forever, only the right entry point at any given moment. Find the rhythm and follow the trend. That's the essence of trading. We made 5 trades this trading day, including both long and short positions, all of which were sold at a profit. You can check the historical recommendations to verify their accuracy. For example, we sold a long position at 4193 at 4202, which rose to a high of 4211. Don't regret selling too early at that point. We have our own profit targets and risk management for each trade. Once the profit target is reached, we sell. Although I am a professional trader, it's not necessary for me to buy at the lowest and sell at the highest point in every trade. After all, I'm just a trader; I don't have God's perspective! Therefore, we need to adjust our mindset, only earning what's rightfully ours. Profit and loss are part of trading; focus on overall returns. If you can't execute trades precisely, try the method I teach you: first, use a small position to test the market, then add to your position during pullbacks or rallies. This way, you won't miss any opportunities. If you're truly unsure when, where, and how to proceed, let's work together to flexibly and steadily pursue greater returns in the ever-changing market!
TVC:GOLD
by FIGONRXS
XAUUSD – Gold Holds Its Momentum, Targeting 4,150 USDAfter a period of volatility, gold is gradually regaining its upward momentum as investors shift toward safe-haven assets despite strong U.S. employment data. This indicates that defensive capital flow continues to support the bullish outlook for the precious metal. On the 4H timeframe, price remains well-supported along the ascending trendline, showing that buyers are still in control. Currently, gold is approaching the 4,100 USD zone, and if a breakout occurs, the next target will be around 4,150 USD — a key resistance area that aligns with the previous highs, where potential profit-taking could emerge. Conversely, the 3,970 USD level remains a crucial support zone. As long as price holds above this level, buyers will maintain their short-term advantage. Gold continues to show strength and resilience — a positive sign for its journey toward new highs.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Kairo_Vexen
15
Xau/Usd - Gold Testing Key Resistance, Breakout or Rejection?Gold is currently trading around $4,016, testing a key resistance zone after several rejections in the past sessions. Price action shows a clear ascending trendline support, forming higher lows, indicating a short-term bullish structure. Key Technicals Resistance Zone: $4,015 – $4,025 Trendline Support: Connecting recent higher lows (Nov 5–8) Structure: Ascending channel / uptrend continuation setup Possible Scenarios Bullish Breakout: A confirmed breakout above the resistance zone with strong volume could signal continuation toward the next target levels around $4,060 – $4,100. Bearish Rejection: If price fails to break above resistance and closes below the trendline support, expect a correction toward $3,960 – $3,940 as the next support zone. Trading Plan Buy Breakout: Above $4,025 with confirmation Sell Rejection: Below $4,000 and trendline break Risk Management: Use stop-loss below last swing low or above last swing high depending on entry Note Wait for clear confirmation before entering either direction — this area has been a strong liquidity zone recently.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Hamza_Gold