Gold (XAU/USD) 3H Technical AnalysisCurrent Price: $4,091.70
Trend: Short-term bullish continuation
Chart Structure: Breakout from descending channel
🔍 Chart Insights
Descending Channel Breakout:
Gold has clearly broken above the yellow descending channel, confirming a bullish breakout from the previous downtrend.
Support Level Zone (Purple Area):
Support Range: $4,000 – $4,050
This zone was a strong resistance earlier and has now flipped into support after the breakout.
Price is expected to retest this area before continuing higher.
Bullish Structure & Retest Pattern:
The yellow zigzag line indicates a likely scenario where price may pull back slightly to the support zone before continuing the upward move toward the next resistance levels.
Target Levels (Resistance zones):
First Target: $4,120 – $4,160
Second Target: $4,200
Main Target (Highlighted): $4,381
This aligns with Fibonacci extension and prior structural highs.
📈 Bullish Scenario
If price holds above $4,050, the uptrend remains intact.
Momentum could push gold toward $4,200 → $4,380 in the next sessions.
Ideal entry area: near $4,050 – $4,070 (on successful retest).
📉 Bearish Scenario
A confirmed break below $4,000 would invalidate the bullish structure.
Downside targets: $3,940 → $3,880.
⚙️ Summary
Bias Entry Zone Support Resistance Target
Bullish $4,050–$4,070 $4,000 $4,200 / $4,380 $4,381 TFEX:GO1! TFEX:GD1! TFEX:GF1! TFEX:AEONTS1! TFEX:BANK1! TFEX:EURUSD1! TFEX:USD1! TFEX:USDJPY1! TFEX:S501! GPW:FW201! GPW:FPCO1! GPW:FPKN1! GPW:FW401! GPW:FUSD1!
Trade ideas
XAUUSD - Short-Term Bounce Before the Next Move?Gold has pulled back sharply after completing its latest upward structure. The current drop still looks corrective, not the start of a full bearish reversal. As long as price holds above the lower trendline, we may see a short-term bounce to retest the previous zone before the market decides the next bigger move.
Short-term volatility is expected, but the structure suggests Gold might still push up slightly before any continuation.
Disclosure: We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis
LiamTrading – XAUUSD M45 | Fibonacci Perspective on the ...LiamTrading – XAUUSD M45 | Fibonacci Perspective on the Uptrend: watch for a sell at 2.618 @ 4229–4231, wait to buy at FVG 4174–4172
Quick Context: News about the U.S. government reopening eases tensions, but gold prices in the Asian session this morning only rose slightly before moving sideways – accumulating. On M45, the triangle has broken upwards but the buying momentum hasn't truly exploded; the market might retest the Fair Value Gaps (FVG) before choosing the next direction.
Technical Analysis
Trendline & M45 Structure: The uptrend after the breakout is running along a short-term rising trendline; the old triangle top becomes resistance near 4215.
Fibonacci Extension:
2.272 ≈ 4215: pivot point; staying above this level opens the path to higher levels.
2.618 ≈ 4229–4231: extended resistance – an area prone to rejection/short-term reversal.
FVG & Liquidity Zones:
FVG #1: 4195–4198 – likely to fill before continuing upward.
Liquidity: 4184–4188 – volume attraction zone between FVG and trendline.
Fibo 0.618 + FVG: 4172–4174 – strong confluence for a buy-back scenario following the trend.
Invalidation Level: breaking 4166 weakens the M45 uptrend structure, risking a pullback to lower zones.
Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Trend-following Buy (priority)
Entry: 4172–4174 (Fibo 0.618 + FVG)
SL: 4166
TP: 4190 → 4215 → 4240 → 4280
Note: Prioritize if a clear rejection/long lower wick candle appears at 417x.
Scenario 2 – Counter-trend Sell Scalp at Extended Resistance
Entry: 4229–4231 (Fibo 2.618)
SL: 4236 (above the nearest peak)
TP: 4215 → 4196 → 4186 → 4175
Note: Quick trade; abandon if M45 closes strongly above 4231–4233.
Scenario 3 – Buy on Break & Hold of 4215
Condition: M45 closes above 4215, retest holds 4212–4216
Entry: 4216–4218
SL: 4207
TP: 4229–4231 → 4260 → 4285–4300
Which price zone do you find noteworthy today? Comment below & hit Follow on LiamTrading for the latest updates.
Gold Price Forecast | Smart Money Levels (Nov 12, 2025)OANDA:XAUUSD GOLD ANALYSIS - What’s Moving the Market Today?
(Updated: November 12, 2025)
💠 Trade with DECRYPTERS
We keep it simple - Smart Money zones define the battlefield. Follow institutional footprints, not noise.
🔮 ASTROLOGY INSIGHT
Mercury ♂ Mars = Mixed → Bearish if risk-on
Expect volatility and fake-outs near resistance as sentiment stays uncertain.
📊 MARKET OVERVIEW
Gold trades around $4,135-$4,145, showing resilience despite U.S. dollar swings.
* DXY slips to ~99.35 amid shutdown uncertainty and weaker risk tone.
* Fed holds rates steady at 3.75–4.00%; next cut odds at 55% for December.
* Central banks continue strong buying (+220t in Q3, led by Poland’s +67t).
* ETF inflows remain firm at +222t - investor demand steady.
* Geopolitical tensions (Mideast + US–China tariffs) sustain safe-haven flows.
Gold remains locked between institutional buy/sell blocks, Smart Money setting up heavy positions from 4,028–4,206.
🧭 SMART MONEY LEVELS (LIVE UPDATE)
Smart Money Sell Area: 4206–4191 → Major liquidity zone; rejection likely.
Sell Reaction Zone: 4165–4153 → Intraday resistance, ideal for quick fades.
Smart Money Buy Area: 4028–4011 → Deep liquidity accumulation zone for swing buys.
📍 Millions in pending institutional orders rest within these zones.
📅 WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
* Nov 13 CPI: Expect ~3.0% core, shutdown delays may trigger volatility.
* Dec FOMC: 55% odds of a 25bps cut; Fed cautious until full data returns.
* Geopolitical Risk: Mideast or tariff escalation = 🟢 bullish spike.
Resolution = 🔴 USD rebound → gold pressure.
Break Zones:
🔸 Hold above 4,120 → targets 4,165–4,170
🔸 Break below 4,100 → slide toward 4,050–4,028
🎯 TRADE PLAN
Stay tactical — trade zones, not emotions.
* Buy Dips: 4,090–4,120 → Targets 4,150–4,170
* Sell Rallies: 4,165–4,190 → Stops above 4,206
Bias remains bullish while above 4,120; short-term sentiment may turn mildly bearish if risk appetite improves.
🧠 CONCLUSION
Gold remains supported by central bank demand and geopolitical risk, even as Fed policy and DXY limit major upside.
Expect range-bound volatility with bullish lean above 4,100.
Trade reaction, not prediction.
Pips Eruption! Watch CloselyHello dear traders,
In the analysis I shared with you, we expected a bullish move for gold. Gold has beautifully followed the analysis, bringing us a great profit.
Now, we may see a price correction before continuing the path toward the target. Also, we should stay aware of news regarding the Israel conflict.
Follow me for more accurate and insightful analyses.
Pips Eruption! 📈🔥 – Watch Closely
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (Week 3, November)
1. Momentum
W1 Timeframe
W1 momentum is preparing to turn upward. This suggests that within 1–2 weeks, weekly momentum may reverse, potentially starting a medium-term bullish phase lasting 4–5 weeks. It also signals that the current bearish trend may weaken next week.
D1 Timeframe
D1 momentum has already turned downward, so the primary expectation for next week remains bearish.
H4 Timeframe
H4 momentum is turning upward, meaning that on Monday we may see a corrective bounce or sideways movement before the downtrend resumes.
________________________________________
2. Wave Structure – W1
Price is still in a corrective phase, likely forming wave 4 of the larger cycle.
This wave count remains valid as long as price closes above 3746.
If price closes below 3746, the entire structure must be reassessed.
________________________________________
3. Wave Structure – D1
Wave 4 is unfolding as a W–X–Y (purple) combination.
Friday’s strong decline confirms that D1 momentum has reversed downward, suggesting that purple wave X is complete and price is now developing purple wave Y.
Targets for Wave Y (purple):
• Target 1: Equal to wave W → 3746
• Target 2: 1.618 × W, a very deep zone
o If price reaches this deeper zone, the structure may no longer represent yellow wave 4, and the count must be re-evaluated.
________________________________________
4. Wave Structure – H4
With Friday’s sharp decline, waves (1) and (2) in blue are temporarily labeled.
The decline is steep, clean, and non-overlapping — all characteristics of a 5-wave impulsive structure, supporting the expectation that purple wave Y will also unfold as a 5-wave decline rather than a triangle. Further confirmation is needed next week.
Given the target at 3746, wave (3) is expected to extend. The current pullback remains valid as long as price does not exceed 4211, which still fits as wave 2 within wave (3).
________________________________________
5. Monday Pullback Zones
H4 momentum indicates a likely bullish correction early next week. Two key resistance zones:
Zone 1 – 4096
“This zone aligns with the 0.382 retracement from blue wave (2) to the current low at 4046. It is also an ideal wave (4) zone if price peaks here before continuing downward.”
Zone 2 – 4145
“This level corresponds to the previous wave (1) in blue. If price reaches this zone, the pullback may represent wave 2 within wave (3). I will update this scenario in more detail on Monday.”
________________________________________
6. Conclusion
The main trend remains bearish.
I expect price to reach the 3746 target for purple wave Y next week, aligning with the projected timing shown by the two vertical blue lines on the H4 chart, while D1 momentum moves into oversold territory.
When price reaches this zone and W1 momentum fully turns upward, it may signal the beginning of a new medium-term bullish trend.
Head and shoulders pattern Hi guys
Here is attached xau chart with 15 minutes time frame and the trading system show us the famous pattern as head and shoulders.
Please be careful to direct all the approvals sign for getting action
One of them is equally low points that happened nearly of 0.7 Fibonacci retracement
Gold sell set upGold has dropped aggressively to a demand level and closed below 200 ema
.............................. how to trade it :-
#1 Wait for price to break with a full bear candle with volume spike
#2 wait for price to retest the demand
#3 wait for bearish rejection candle at demand or engulfing candle
If nun of the confirmation 👆 show on the price do not take the trade
GOLD Will Fall! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD smart money tapped into a premium supply zone, engineering liquidity above equal highs before reacting lower. Expect price to deliver downside toward the next demand imbalance. Time Frame 2H.
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold Analysis H4 - Bullish orderflowAfter gold broke below the 3944.48 level, the market initially showed signs of further downside movement, potentially aiming to sweep more liquidity resting beneath that zone. However, the nature of the breakout suggests that it could itself be a liquidity grab rather than the start of a genuine bearish continuation.
The candle that broke this level was quickly rejected, indicating that selling pressure may have been absorbed by strong buy orders. This kind of price reaction often signals the presence of institutional accumulation or smart money activity.
As a result, the order flow now appears to be shifting, potentially preparing for a bullish move. If momentum continues to build, price may aim to sweep the liquidity resting above the trendline before deciding on the next directional move.
The bulls are back, and going long remains the main theme.#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Although the beginning of the week didn't offer a pullback entry opportunity, gold rallied immediately after the open, breaking through 4030 as expected and continuing its upward trend, officially signaling the return of the bulls to the market.
From the hourly chart, gold broke through the resistance of the upward channel at 4055 and continued to fluctuate upwards, indicating that the bullish momentum remains strong in the short term. However, attention should be paid to the resistance at 4080-4100 from the weekly MA5 moving average and the daily middle line, and be wary of a possible pullback after a surge. Therefore, in the short term, avoid blindly chasing the rally, patiently waiting for a pullback to buy remains our main trading strategy. The first support level to watch is the 4055-4045 level, a previous resistance turning point, followed by the important support at 4030-4020.
Therefore, if gold prices fall back after encountering resistance during the European session, we can consider going long on gold in batches based on the strength of the pullback.
ElDoradoFx – GOLD ANALYSIS (10/11/2025, ASIA SESSION)1. Market Overview
Gold opens the Asian session consolidating near $4,000–$4,003, after the US session’s liquidity sweeps on both sides of the range. Price remains trapped between $3,985 support and $4,016 resistance, showing a symmetrical compression pattern.
The market sentiment is currently neutral, awaiting a breakout from this coil — which will likely set the tone for the London continuation.
⸻
2. Technical Breakdown
🔹 Daily (D1):
Price is stabilizing above the 50EMA with RSI around 51 — neutral but slightly leaning bullish. A daily close above $4,016 would reestablish bullish continuation toward $4,036–$4,050, while a drop below $3,975 could shift momentum back to bearish.
🔹 H1:
Gold is respecting the descending trendline from $4,027, while creating a higher-low structure from $3,985. The 200EMA near $4,006–$4,010 acts as key intraday resistance, currently rejecting buyers. EMAs are converging, signaling volatility buildup before expansion.
🔹 15M–5M:
Short-term CHoCH confirmed after liquidity sweep at $3,985, but momentum faded below $4,010. RSI sits around 48–50 and MACD shows flattening histogram — both suggesting indecision ahead of the Asian liquidity phase.
⸻
3. Fibonacci Analysis (Last Swing 3,984 → 4,027)
• 38.2% = $4,011
• 50.0% = $4,006
• 61.8% = $4,001
🎯 Golden Zone: $4,011 – $4,001 (Potential buy reaction area on retest)
⸻
4. High-Probability Trade Scenarios
📈 BUY SCENARIO (Primary Bias)
• Entry Zone: $4,006 – $4,001 (Golden Zone)**
• Targets: $4,016 → $4,027 → $4,036
• Stop Loss: Below $3,992
• Confirmation: Bullish engulfing candle or CHoCH on 5M from Golden Zone.
• Confluence: Support trendline + 61.8% Fib + EMA cluster + RSI recovery from 40–45.
📉 SELL SCENARIO (Countertrend)
• Entry Zone: $4,010 – $4,016 (Supply + 200EMA + trendline resistance)**
• Targets: $4,000 → $3,990 → $3,975
• Stop Loss: Above $4,020
• Confirmation: Bearish rejection candle with RSI divergence (60–65 range).
• Confluence: Strong horizontal supply + descending resistance + MACD bearish cross.
💥 BREAKOUT SETUP
• Bullish Break: Close above $4,016 → Retest $4,010 → Targets $4,027 → $4,036 → $4,050.
• Bearish Break: Close below $3,985 → Retest $3,990 → Targets $3,976 → $3,960.
⸻
5. Fundamental Watch
• Asia session: Low volatility expected before London liquidity expansion.
• DXY near 106.0 — holding steady, which could limit upside momentum until London.
• No major macro data during Asia; technical levels will dominate.
⸻
6. Key Technical Levels
Resistance: 4,010 / 4,016 / 4,027 / 4,036
Support: 4,001 / 3,992 / 3,985 / 3,975
Golden Zone: 4,011 – 4,001
Breakout Triggers: >4,016 (Bullish) | <3,985 (Bearish)
⸻
7. Analyst Summary
Gold continues to accumulate liquidity within a symmetrical range, trapped between 200EMA resistance and ascending support. A breakout above $4,016 could trigger bullish continuation toward $4,036–$4,050, while a rejection here would likely send price back to $3,992–$3,975 before a new leg forms.
⸻
8. Final Bias Summary
📊 Bias: Neutral-to-bullish above $3,985; bearish only below $3,975.
🎯 Focus: Monitor reaction at $4,006–$4,010 (EMA cluster) and watch for breakout confirmation beyond $4,016.
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🥇 GOLD – ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 – WEEKLY PERFORMANCE (03/11/2025 TO 07/11/2025)
🔥 Massive week for PREMIUM 3.0 — consistent GOLD setups, BTC profits, and double LIVE session wins!
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📅 MONDAY 03/11/2025
🟢 BUY +120 PIPS
🟢 BUY +30 PIPS
🔻 SELL +90 PIPS
🟢 BUY +40 PIPS
🟢 BUY LIMIT +200 PIPS
🔻 SELL +20 PIPS
🟢 BUY +40 PIPS
🟢 BUY +20 PIPS
🟢 BUY +40 PIPS
💰 GOLD TOTAL: +600 PIPS
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📅 TUESDAY 04/11/2025
🔻 SELL +20 PIPS
🟢 BUY LIMIT +70 PIPS
🔻 SELL +30 PIPS
🟢 BUY +20 PIPS
🟢 BUY +20 PIPS
🔻 SELL +240 PIPS
🎯 LIVE TRADING SESSION
🔻 SELL +20 PIPS
🔻 SELL +20 PIPS
🔻 SELL +170 PIPS
💰 GOLD TOTAL: +400 PIPS
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📅 WEDNESDAY 05/11/2025
🔻 SELL +40 PIPS
🟢 BUY LIMIT +20 PIPS
🟢 BUY LIMIT +60 PIPS
🔻 SELL +60 PIPS
🟢 BUY +40 PIPS
🟢 BUY +260 PIPS
🔻 SELL +80 PIPS
🟢 BUY +110 PIPS
💎 BTC/USD TRADE: SELL +900 PIPS
💰 TOTAL DAILY GAIN: +1,570 PIPS
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📅 THURSDAY 06/11/2025
🟢 BUY (Swing) +610 PIPS (from 05/11)
🔻 SELL +40 PIPS
🔻 SELL LIMIT +70 PIPS
🟢 BUY +40 PIPS
🟢 BUY +150 PIPS
🟢 BUY LIMIT +20 PIPS
🟢 BUY +110 PIPS
🔻 SELL +60 PIPS
❌ BUY -20 PIPS (SL)
🟢 BUY +100 PIPS
🎯 LIVE SESSION: BUY +120 PIPS | BUY +50 PIPS
💰 GOLD TOTAL: +1,350 PIPS
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📅 FRIDAY 07/11/2025
🔻 SELL +60 PIPS
🟢 BUY +40 PIPS
🟢 BUY +90 PIPS
❌ BUY -40 PIPS (SL)
🟢 BUY +120 PIPS
🎯 LIVE SESSION: BUY +100 PIPS | BUY +125 PIPS | BUY +150 PIPS
💰 GOLD TOTAL: +645 PIPS
💎 BTC BONUS TRADES (Weekend):
SAT 08/11 → SELL +400 PIPS
SUN 09/11 → BUY +1,100 PIPS
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📊 WEEKLY SUMMARY
🥇 GOLD TOTAL GAIN: +3,315 PIPS
💎 BTC/USD TOTAL GAIN: +2,400 PIPS
🚀 OVERALL TOTAL: +5,715 PIPS
✅ 48 Signals → 46 Wins | 2 SL
📈 Winning Rate: 96%
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🔥 Every setup, every session — verified precision and consistency!
Join ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 and level up your trading game.
— ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 Team 🚀
Gold 1H – Pullback Expected as USD Softens After Jobless Claims🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold is trading within a corrective structure today as the U.S. dollar weakens slightly following higher-than-expected Jobless Claims.
Market sentiment remains mixed ahead of upcoming Fed speeches, which could provide clues about December policy expectations.
• A more hawkish tone could trigger a deeper downside move toward unfilled discount zones.
• Conversely, any dovish signals may push gold into a short-term liquidity grab before resuming its corrective trend.
Liquidity remains concentrated near the $4,030 area, where price may tap into resting buy-side liquidity before forming the next bearish leg.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style)
• Structure: Current bias shows corrective bearish intent following recent ChoCH → BOS sequence on H1.
• Premium Zone: The 4030–4028 region aligns with an unmitigated H1 supply — ideal for continuation shorts.
• Liquidity Sweep: Price may reach 4030 to sweep early breakout buyers before confirming downside continuation.
• Discount Zone: Strong demand sits at 3932–3934, overlapping with previous bullish displacement and unmitigated demand.
🔴 Sell Setup
• Entry: 4030 – 4028
• Stop-Loss: 4040
• Take-Profit Targets: → 3980 → 3964 → 3934 (major demand zone)
🟢 Buy Setup (Countertrend Reaction)
• Entry: 3932 – 3934
• Stop-Loss: 3925
• Take-Profit Targets: → 3964→ 3995 → 4020
(Only valid if liquidity sweep and bullish reaction occur at the demand zone)
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Wait for M15 BOS/ChoCH confirmation at both zones to avoid premature entries.
• Avoid trading directly at the minor support around 3964 — it is not a valid SMC entry zone.
• Prioritize the sell setup; intraday bias remains corrective-bearish within a broader range.
• Secure partial profits at the first liquidity target and trail stops according to structure.
✅ Summary
Gold is likely to seek premium liquidity near 4030 before resuming its corrective move lower.
The 4030–4028 supply area offers a clean continuation-short entry, while 3932–3934 remains the strongest discount zone for reactive long setups.
Stay adaptable — the market maintains a mild bearish tone while waiting for further Fed guidance.
FOLLOW RYAN_TITANTRADER for daily SMC setups ⚡
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