Gold (XAU/USD) 3H Technical AnalysisCurrent Price: $4,091.70
Trend: Short-term bullish continuation
Chart Structure: Breakout from descending channel
🔍 Chart Insights
Descending Channel Breakout:
Gold has clearly broken above the yellow descending channel, confirming a bullish breakout from the previous downtrend.
Support Level Zone (Purple Area):
Support Range: $4,000 – $4,050
This zone was a strong resistance earlier and has now flipped into support after the breakout.
Price is expected to retest this area before continuing higher.
Bullish Structure & Retest Pattern:
The yellow zigzag line indicates a likely scenario where price may pull back slightly to the support zone before continuing the upward move toward the next resistance levels.
Target Levels (Resistance zones):
First Target: $4,120 – $4,160
Second Target: $4,200
Main Target (Highlighted): $4,381
This aligns with Fibonacci extension and prior structural highs.
📈 Bullish Scenario
If price holds above $4,050, the uptrend remains intact.
Momentum could push gold toward $4,200 → $4,380 in the next sessions.
Ideal entry area: near $4,050 – $4,070 (on successful retest).
📉 Bearish Scenario
A confirmed break below $4,000 would invalidate the bullish structure.
Downside targets: $3,940 → $3,880.
⚙️ Summary
Bias Entry Zone Support Resistance Target
Bullish $4,050–$4,070 $4,000 $4,200 / $4,380 $4,381 TFEX:GO1! TFEX:GD1! TFEX:GF1! TFEX:AEONTS1! TFEX:BANK1! TFEX:EURUSD1! TFEX:USD1! TFEX:USDJPY1! TFEX:S501! GPW:FW201! GPW:FPCO1! GPW:FPKN1! GPW:FW401! GPW:FUSD1!
Trade ideas
Gold on upswing as expectedAs discussed throughout my Friday's session commentary: 'My position: I have Traded Scalp orders mostly throughout yesterday’s session Buying #4,005.80 on multiple occasions towards #4,015.80 and #3,992.80 aggressively towards #4,000.80 benchmark. I have Bought #3,964.80 as well as I maintain Buying every dips strategy. I have accumulated enough Profits this week and will not Trade today, comfortably taking early weekend break.'
Update: I spot more and more Sellers trapped in attempt to re-Sell Gold, remember that Gold is on undisputed Buying trend and total Bullish domination. I maintain however my #4,100.80 first Target as I am Buying from #4,022.80 last night / Asian session opening as behind us is just on of the many 'Sellers trap' week believing Gold would dip towards #3,900.80 benchmark. I remain solid with my thesis that Gold delivered correction, formed Ultimate Bottom on #4,000.80 benchmark and will continue soaring from this point as #4,000.80 will remain floor for #5,100.80 benchmark test in extension.
Gold Price Balanced Amid Heightened UncertaintyGold Price Balanced Amid Heightened Uncertainty
As the XAU/USD chart shows, last week gold prices fell sharply, interrupting the previous upward trend. This decline was driven by two main factors:
→ End of the US government shutdown. This is believed to have reduced short-term economic risks and lessened demand for gold as a “safe-haven” asset.
→ Hawkish statements from Federal Reserve officials, which lowered market expectations for rate cuts. This pushed up US Treasury yields, traditionally putting downward pressure on non-yielding assets like gold.
This week, the market is awaiting a wave of delayed US economic reports that were postponed during the shutdown, including:
→ Labour market data (Non-Farm Payrolls)
→ Inflation data (CPI)
These releases are expected to give traders greater clarity on the future trajectory of Fed interest rates.
Technical Analysis of XAU/USD
From a technical perspective, the price is currently trading at the intersection of two key lines:
→ Resistance line from the upper boundary of the descending channel originating at the all-time high. Buyers attempted to break through this level last week but were unsuccessful.
→ Support line from the lower boundary of the ascending channel, in place since early autumn.
Given the above, it is reasonable to suggest that:
→ the market is in a balanced position, with traders adopting a wait-and-see approach;
→ a breakout from the symmetrical triangle could indicate the direction of the next significant move in gold prices.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
What I See on Your Chart. xauusd1) Upper Supply Zone – 4211 to 4247
Price has previously reacted strongly here.
Your green projection shows a possible bullish move back into this zone.
If price breaks above 4149–4141, then a move toward 4211–4247 becomes likely.
2) Mid-Level Zone – 4104 to 4097
This is where price is currently hovering (4085 area).
You have three possible projections:
Green arrow: Minor bounce → then bullish continuation.
Red arrow: Sharp drop after a small pullback.
Blue arrow: Deeper drop into lower support.
This means you’re watching for confirmation on whether this zone acts as support or fails.
3) Lower Demand Zone – 4046 to 4038
Blue arrows show the move toward this deeper liquidity pool.
This is your downside target if 4097 fails.
LiamTrading – XAUUSD M45 | Fibonacci Perspective on the ...LiamTrading – XAUUSD M45 | Fibonacci Perspective on the Uptrend: watch for a sell at 2.618 @ 4229–4231, wait to buy at FVG 4174–4172
Quick Context: News about the U.S. government reopening eases tensions, but gold prices in the Asian session this morning only rose slightly before moving sideways – accumulating. On M45, the triangle has broken upwards but the buying momentum hasn't truly exploded; the market might retest the Fair Value Gaps (FVG) before choosing the next direction.
Technical Analysis
Trendline & M45 Structure: The uptrend after the breakout is running along a short-term rising trendline; the old triangle top becomes resistance near 4215.
Fibonacci Extension:
2.272 ≈ 4215: pivot point; staying above this level opens the path to higher levels.
2.618 ≈ 4229–4231: extended resistance – an area prone to rejection/short-term reversal.
FVG & Liquidity Zones:
FVG #1: 4195–4198 – likely to fill before continuing upward.
Liquidity: 4184–4188 – volume attraction zone between FVG and trendline.
Fibo 0.618 + FVG: 4172–4174 – strong confluence for a buy-back scenario following the trend.
Invalidation Level: breaking 4166 weakens the M45 uptrend structure, risking a pullback to lower zones.
Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Trend-following Buy (priority)
Entry: 4172–4174 (Fibo 0.618 + FVG)
SL: 4166
TP: 4190 → 4215 → 4240 → 4280
Note: Prioritize if a clear rejection/long lower wick candle appears at 417x.
Scenario 2 – Counter-trend Sell Scalp at Extended Resistance
Entry: 4229–4231 (Fibo 2.618)
SL: 4236 (above the nearest peak)
TP: 4215 → 4196 → 4186 → 4175
Note: Quick trade; abandon if M45 closes strongly above 4231–4233.
Scenario 3 – Buy on Break & Hold of 4215
Condition: M45 closes above 4215, retest holds 4212–4216
Entry: 4216–4218
SL: 4207
TP: 4229–4231 → 4260 → 4285–4300
Which price zone do you find noteworthy today? Comment below & hit Follow on LiamTrading for the latest updates.
Gold Price Forecast | Smart Money Levels (Nov 12, 2025)OANDA:XAUUSD GOLD ANALYSIS - What’s Moving the Market Today?
(Updated: November 12, 2025)
💠 Trade with DECRYPTERS
We keep it simple - Smart Money zones define the battlefield. Follow institutional footprints, not noise.
🔮 ASTROLOGY INSIGHT
Mercury ♂ Mars = Mixed → Bearish if risk-on
Expect volatility and fake-outs near resistance as sentiment stays uncertain.
📊 MARKET OVERVIEW
Gold trades around $4,135-$4,145, showing resilience despite U.S. dollar swings.
* DXY slips to ~99.35 amid shutdown uncertainty and weaker risk tone.
* Fed holds rates steady at 3.75–4.00%; next cut odds at 55% for December.
* Central banks continue strong buying (+220t in Q3, led by Poland’s +67t).
* ETF inflows remain firm at +222t - investor demand steady.
* Geopolitical tensions (Mideast + US–China tariffs) sustain safe-haven flows.
Gold remains locked between institutional buy/sell blocks, Smart Money setting up heavy positions from 4,028–4,206.
🧭 SMART MONEY LEVELS (LIVE UPDATE)
Smart Money Sell Area: 4206–4191 → Major liquidity zone; rejection likely.
Sell Reaction Zone: 4165–4153 → Intraday resistance, ideal for quick fades.
Smart Money Buy Area: 4028–4011 → Deep liquidity accumulation zone for swing buys.
📍 Millions in pending institutional orders rest within these zones.
📅 WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
* Nov 13 CPI: Expect ~3.0% core, shutdown delays may trigger volatility.
* Dec FOMC: 55% odds of a 25bps cut; Fed cautious until full data returns.
* Geopolitical Risk: Mideast or tariff escalation = 🟢 bullish spike.
Resolution = 🔴 USD rebound → gold pressure.
Break Zones:
🔸 Hold above 4,120 → targets 4,165–4,170
🔸 Break below 4,100 → slide toward 4,050–4,028
🎯 TRADE PLAN
Stay tactical — trade zones, not emotions.
* Buy Dips: 4,090–4,120 → Targets 4,150–4,170
* Sell Rallies: 4,165–4,190 → Stops above 4,206
Bias remains bullish while above 4,120; short-term sentiment may turn mildly bearish if risk appetite improves.
🧠 CONCLUSION
Gold remains supported by central bank demand and geopolitical risk, even as Fed policy and DXY limit major upside.
Expect range-bound volatility with bullish lean above 4,100.
Trade reaction, not prediction.
Pips Eruption! Watch CloselyHello dear traders,
In the analysis I shared with you, we expected a bullish move for gold. Gold has beautifully followed the analysis, bringing us a great profit.
Now, we may see a price correction before continuing the path toward the target. Also, we should stay aware of news regarding the Israel conflict.
Follow me for more accurate and insightful analyses.
Pips Eruption! 📈🔥 – Watch Closely
Gold Technical Rebound to FVG, Prioritise WATCHING FOR SELL at 4📊 Market Structure
Gold has completed a strong decline from the peak of 4.21x, leaving consecutive Break of Structure (BoS), confirming a short-term bearish structure.
The drop through the Breakout zone of 4.10x indicates a dominant selling force.
Currently, the price is bouncing from the Premium Zone 4.05x, aligning with the technical rebound behaviour after a strong sell-off.
The BUY side is merely pulling the price back to the abandoned liquidity zones (FVG 4.12x – 4.15x) before the SELL side can regain control.
The upper FVG zone is where the price often returns to fill after a steep fall. This is also the confluence zone between:
FVG (Fair Value Gap)
Old candle body Breaker
Fibonacci Premium
→ The risk of selling at these zones is very high.
💎 Key Technical Zones
Rebound zone for Sell
FVG 1: 4.101 – 4.126
FVG 2 (Strong Confluence): 4.126 – 4.150
Support zone – target to hit
Premium Zone $$$: 4.050 – 4.052
Lower FVG: 4.030 – 4.035
High probability price scenario: Rebound to FVG → reaction → continue to decline to 4.03x.
🎯 Trading Plan – Prioritise SELL
1️⃣ SELL Setup – High Probability
Wait for price to rebound to the above FVG zones:
Entry SELL:
4.118 – 4.126
Can add orders at higher: 4.140 – 4.150
Stop-loss: above 4.158
TP1: 4.101
TP2: 4.050
TP3: 4.030
✔️ This is a trend-following setup, selling at premium, adhering to SMC principles.
✔️ The current price is just beginning the rebound, not yet meeting BUY conditions.
2️⃣ BUY Setup – Only activate on deep Discount
Entry BUY: 4.030 – 4.035 (Lower FVG)
SL: below 4.020
TP: 4.070 – 4.100
→ BUY is only for counter-trend traders and must wait for a clear discount.
🧠 Vincent’s View
The market is in a distribution – decline phase, every rebound aims to pull liquidity.
As long as the price does not close above 4.150, SELL remains the optimal strategy for the day.
Observe closely when the price hits 4.12x – 4.15x, this is a “high-risk” zone for the BUY side and a “great opportunity” for the SELL side.
“Sell where the liquidity lives — that’s where institutions strike.” ⚜️
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Update: 17/11/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
Head and shoulders pattern Hi guys
Here is attached xau chart with 15 minutes time frame and the trading system show us the famous pattern as head and shoulders.
Please be careful to direct all the approvals sign for getting action
One of them is equally low points that happened nearly of 0.7 Fibonacci retracement
GOLD GOES " ̶T̶R̶I̶P̶L̶E̶ ̶V̶O̶D̶K̶A̶" TRIPLE TOP PATTERNGold has recently exhibited strong technical momentum, rebounding from its $3,900 support and surpassing the 50-day moving average, which marks a bullish reversal after a late-October dip.
Immediate support is at $4100 per ounce.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is rising, confirming buyers have regained control in the short-term and signaling the possibility for further upside.
BUY THE DIP SCENARIO
Current trading strategies suggest buying near support and targeting resistance upward, demonstrating an underlying “buy on dips” scenario as gold consolidates above $4100.
WHAT IS " ̶T̶R̶I̶P̶L̶E̶ ̶V̶O̶D̶K̶A̶" TRIPLE TOP PATTERN
The triple top pattern is a bearish reversal technical chart pattern signaling the potential end of an uptrend and the beginning of a downtrend.
It forms after an asset price hits the same resistance level three times but fails to break above it, creating three distinct peaks at roughly the same price level. Between these peaks are pullbacks or troughs, forming support levels. The pattern is confirmed only when the price breaks below the support (neckline) formed by these troughs.
The psychology behind this pattern shows weakening buying power as the price fails to surpass the resistance level on three attempts. Each peak typically has declining volume, reflecting decreased buying enthusiasm. After the third peak, sellers could gain control, and the price could falls below support with increased volume, confirming the reversal.
CONCLUSION
Traders use the triple top to anticipate the exhaustion of bullish momentum, signaling caution and opportunities to enter short positions or exit longs.
The pattern reflects supply overwhelming demand after repeated failed rallies, indicating a shift from bullish to bearish sentiment. It is considered a reliable indicator after a sustained uptrend and is used with risk management strategies to navigate market turns effectively.
TECHNICAL SUMMARY
Just simply take a look at history of Gold. It says: " ̶T̶R̶I̶P̶L̶E̶ ̶V̶O̶D̶K̶A̶" TRIPLE TOP.
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Best wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team
Gold Forms Higher Low — Potential Upside Toward Resistance LineHello traders, here’s my current outlook on Gold (XAUUSD). Gold has recently transitioned out of a strong bearish phase, where the price moved inside a descending channel and found significant support near the $3,930–$3,950 Buyer Zone. This support zone has proven to be a key reaction level multiple times, with several fake breakouts followed by strong bullish recoveries — confirming the presence of active buyers. After breaking out of the descending channel, the price began forming a higher-low structure, aligning along the Support Line, suggesting that bullish momentum is gradually returning. However, the market remains capped by the Resistance Line, where several strong rejections occurred, indicating that sellers are still defending higher levels. At the moment, Gold is trading between the Buyer Zone and the $4,020–$4,140 Resistance Zone (Seller Zone). If buyers manage to hold support and form another bullish push from the current levels, we could see an upward move targeting the $4,020 area first, and if momentum continues — a potential retest of the key resistance at $4,140. For now, the structure shows accumulation above strong support, suggesting that buyers still have the advantage. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Gold sell set upGold has dropped aggressively to a demand level and closed below 200 ema
.............................. how to trade it :-
#1 Wait for price to break with a full bear candle with volume spike
#2 wait for price to retest the demand
#3 wait for bearish rejection candle at demand or engulfing candle
If nun of the confirmation 👆 show on the price do not take the trade
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Reversal Detected )Status: Active Reversal Protocol
Symbol: Gold
Session: London–New York Overlap (Smart Exit Window)
⚡Base : Hanzo Trading Alpha Algorithm
The algorithm calculates volatility displacement vs liquidity recovery, identifying where probability meets imbalance.
It trades only where precision, volume, and manipulation intersect —only logic.
Reasons To Enter ( 3980 ) Reversal Zone
➕Volume Cluster
➕Delta +
➕$$ Trend
➕Alpha Range Protecting
➕NY +
➕Visible Range LVN
⚙️ Hanzo Alpha Trading Protocol
The Alpha Candle defines the day’s real control zone — the first battle of momentum.
From this origin, the Volume Window reveals where the next precision strike begins.
Gold Analysis H4 - Bullish orderflowAfter gold broke below the 3944.48 level, the market initially showed signs of further downside movement, potentially aiming to sweep more liquidity resting beneath that zone. However, the nature of the breakout suggests that it could itself be a liquidity grab rather than the start of a genuine bearish continuation.
The candle that broke this level was quickly rejected, indicating that selling pressure may have been absorbed by strong buy orders. This kind of price reaction often signals the presence of institutional accumulation or smart money activity.
As a result, the order flow now appears to be shifting, potentially preparing for a bullish move. If momentum continues to build, price may aim to sweep the liquidity resting above the trendline before deciding on the next directional move.
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAP Hey everyone,
Please review our Daily Chart Route Map, now featuring updated levels for tracking Golds movement.
We continue to track our refreshed proprietary Goldturn Channel, our unique method for constructing ascending channels. Price action is now testing the swing range and the swing range seems to be holding support as expected. This swing range support also falls inline with the channel half line providing stronger support.
As long as ema5 remains above the swing zone we expect price to play between this range until the full long term swing is completed into 4183. An ema5 break below the swing range will open the lower channel floor for test, currently sitting at 3824
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX






















