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CFDs on Gold (US$ / OZ)

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GOLD trade ideas

Don’t fight the market, act when the time is right!Driven by rising expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut and a weakening US dollar, gold prices continued to climb this week, reaching a historic high of $3,700 on Tuesday. Market expectations are that the Fed will announce a 25 basis point rate cut in its upcoming meeting. If Chairman Powell further emphasizes concerns about the job market and confirms a path of three rate cuts this year in a subsequent press conference, gold prices are expected to gain renewed upward momentum. From a technical perspective, the hourly chart shows solid support in the 3665-3660 range. If gold prices hold this level before the European session, it will provide a strong defensive foundation for bulls and can also be considered a useful reference area for short-term long positions. Once the price re-establishes itself at the 3700 level, it is expected to further challenge the 3710-3720 resistance level. A breakout with strong volume could open up further upside potential, continuing the bullish trend. Prior to the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, the market is likely to remain volatile at high levels, accumulating momentum for major news releases. We recommend primarily buying on dips. The current bull-bear watershed is 3650; if this level falls, be wary of the risk of a further correction.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldenTrack_Daniel
GOLD WEEKLY SUMMERY.GOLD ,THE daily structure is strongly protected by a demand floor,the daily line chart close at the demand floor level, is 3640,3634,3626 ,the dollar index daily rejection during newyork time at 97.803 was enforced BY 12;00 AND 13;00 that made GOLD to skyrocket from the neckline of the double bottom at 3644 to close 3685 breaking every strategy for sell. The strong double bottom structure from the 4HR line chart ,the neckline was retested at 4HR close in the zone 3644-3647, and GOLD BUYING closed the week 3685 AGAINST ALL ODDS AND STILL looking to reclaim 3700 next week with a possibility of a new all time high at 3723-3725-3730 zone based on the rule of selling from the ascending trendline supply roof on 4HR .THE next touch could be 3730-3725 bound. But at the moment, we have a supply roof from a lower 4-hour cross as a potential rejection zone 3697-3700. If this zone is respected, we could get a correction to keep buying GOLD . I WILL NOT ADVISE ANYONE TO TRY TO SELL GOLD UNTIL THE DAILY BREAK OF DEMAND FLOOR. WE KEEP BUYING AND ALLOW OTHERS TO SELL ,THEN WE LOOK FOR A BUY OPPORTUNITY. GOLD BUY/SELL IS RELATED TO REAL LIFE PHYSICAL GOLD PRICE IN THE MARKET ,SO TAKE IT SERIOUSLY. GOODLUCK #XAUUSD #GOLD #SILVER #COPPER #US10Y #DOLLAR #DXY
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
GOLD XAUUSD GOLD during London and newyork session rejected 3672.5 -3673.6 and have kept a pattern by buying on descending trendline ,each touch on the descending trendline a break of demand floor and a lower low with a significant upswing that makes a new lower high (lower 3633 lower high 3673,6), but lower than yesterday higher high....this could easily become a full bearish drop below 3600 mark.considering the DXY AND US10Y REBOUND FROM DAILY CLOSE SUPPORT,the 3months chart shows that the EMA 50 HOLDING PRICE FIRMLY ON SUPPORT. the new federal fund rate is 4.20%- 4.25% from 4,25% - 4.5% , after keeping rate the same since January 2025. US10Y ,the united state 10 year treasury bond yield rebound from multi day low at a retest on 3.993% to claim 4.114% daily gain today after unemployment claims data report from U.S Bureau of labour Statistics came positive with 231k current report beating forecast 241k and previous data 264k.sharp gain in the labor market. The agency responsible for the unemployment report in the United States is the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). The BLS publishes the Employment Situation Summary monthly, which includes key data such as the unemployment rate, job gains or losses, labor force participation, and other labor market indicators. This report is closely watched by policymakers, economists, and investors as an important gauge of the health of the U.S. labor market. The DXY ( dollar index rebound on strong daily support at 96.219 the same level of support on july 2025. dollar rebound is a a sign of confidence in the united states of America economic growth, the federal reserve is expected to keep inflation at 2% and stabilize the job market. GOLD the structure is bullish on daily BUT bearish on 4Hr and if we see Asian session buying into 3657-3654 ,we will look for sell opportunity with the combination of SMA+EMA +STRUCTURE and target 200 EMA on 30min at 3664 resistance and the neckline of the 30min double top strure that sent price down from 3672.6 level during newyork session. should we break all the available resistance structure the higher zone from the ascending trendline in the zone of 3754-3760 newyork session will be watched. if buyers fails to keep demand above the current 30 min descending trendline that reacted at 3633 ,then selling will most definitely take out the buy pattern and sell into 3580 demand floor. if you like the idea share it and let me know your perspective on the new RATE CUT. FOR EURUSD,AUDUSD,GBPUSD,USDJPY. BECAUSE DOLLAR REBOUND SEEMS TO BE A REVERSAL FOR GBPUSD . GOODLUCK.
VANTAGE:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
Gold (XAUUSD) – Trap, TP1 Hit, and Reaction Play | Case Study 5🔙 Recap Part 2–3: A Head & Shoulders on lower TF acted as a bullish trap, followed by a rally → TP1 at $3,701 achieved. Part 4: Daily chart formed an Evening Star at resistance, hinting at slowing momentum. Yesterday’s reaction (Part 5): Price pulled back into support, retested $3,630–$3,615, and bounced. This shows how market structure continues to respect our zones and case study flow. 📊 Market Context Timeframe: 30M → Daily link Key Observation: $3,701 TP1 achieved ✅ $3,630 tested as support ✅ Evening Star still active on Daily ❗ The market is ranging between $3,630 (support) and $3,702 (resistance) — preparing for the next decisive move. 🧭 Scenarios (with Probabilities) 🟢 Scene 1 – Bullish Push (55%) If $3,630 continues to hold → upside targets: $3,674 → $3,701 → $3,735 → $3,765. 🔴 Scene 2 – Bearish Breakdown (45%) A daily close below $3,615 could trigger a correction toward: $3,604 → $3,579 → $3,540. 📚 Lessons Reinforced Traps are part of smart money behavior – The H&S breakdown lured shorts before reversing. Partial booking is protection – TP1 capture gave us profit before volatility returned. Higher TF candles matter – The Evening Star is still a caution flag until invalidated by a daily close above $3,702. 🎯 Trading Guidance Stay neutral in the $3,630–$3,702 box until a clear breakout. For buyers → protect with stops under $3,615. For sellers → wait for daily confirmation below $3,615 to avoid false breaks. ✅ Conclusion The case study continues to unfold: Trap → Rally → TP1 Hit → Pullback Reaction. Now, Gold is at the decision box ($3,630–$3,702). The next daily close will reveal whether we extend toward $3,765 or slip into deeper correction. 🔖 Tags #XAUUSD #Gold #TradingCaseStudy #PriceAction #RiskManagement #MultiTimeframeAnalysis #Tradyoga #Yogeshonale
ICMARKETS:XAUUSD
by Tradyoga
Gold Trade plan 22/09/2025Dear Traders, XAUUSD (Gold/USD) – 4H Technical Analysis Gold is currently trading inside a rising wedge formation, showing clear interaction with both the upper and lower trendlines: Trendline Reactions Price has tested the upper boundary twice (points 1 & 2), forming lower momentum highs. A possible third test (point 3) could complete the wedge structure, after which a strong correction is expected. Key Support Zone (BUY Level) The 3573–3580 zone has been highlighted as a heavy support area. If price breaks below the rising trendline, this zone becomes the first major demand level for buyers. Bearish Scenario Failure to hold above 3653 may trigger a breakdown toward the strong support zone (3573). This aligns with a potential wedge breakdown and healthy correction within the bullish cycle. Bullish Scenario As long as price respects the rising trendline, gold may push for another attempt at the upper wedge resistance. A confirmed breakout above the wedge would invalidate the bearish outlook and could extend gains toward 3800+. 📌 Conclusion: Gold is approaching a decisive point inside a rising wedge. The 3573–3580 zone will be the key support to watch, while 3660–3680 remains the critical resistance zone. Breakouts from either side will define the next major move. Regards, Alireza!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by alirezak
1
SMART MONEY CONCEPT (SMC)📊 SMC Analysis – Bullish Opportunity on GOLD 🔎 Technical Context 1. Resistance Zone (OB-15): Price reacted strongly at the 15M Order Block resistance, showing distribution. 2. Fake Out + BOS: After the distribution, the market created a fake out to grab liquidity, followed by a Break of Structure (BOS), signaling bullish intention. 3. Expected Rejection at Support: The plan is to wait for a reaction at the support zone, which aligns with the structure shift after the ChoCh (Change of Character). 4. FVG – 1H: The Fair Value Gap on the 1H chart reinforces the idea that price seeks to rebalance before continuing higher. 🎯 Trade Plan • Entry: At the rejection zone (support + BOS). • Stop Loss (SL): Below the support zone for protection. • Take Profit (TP): Targeting 3,664, with a 2:1 risk-to-reward ratio, aiming for liquidity above the resistance area. 📌 Key Idea The market is likely accumulating orders to push upward, trapping sellers at resistance and reaching the 3,664 target. GOOD LUCK TRADERS…. ;)
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by Fonseca87
GOLD 7:00 PM (WAT): Federal Funds Rate Announcement: The Federal Reserve is expected to announce a change in the federal funds target rate, currently ranging between 4.25% and 4.50%. Market consensus overwhelmingly anticipates a rate cut of 25 basis points, lowering the range to 4.00%-4.25%. This would be the first rate reduction in 2025, driven by weakening labor market indicators despite ongoing inflation concerns. FOMC Economic Projections: Updated economic forecasts from the FOMC, including GDP growth, unemployment, and inflation outlooks, will be released. FOMC Statement: The official policy statement explaining the rationale behind the interest rate decision and economic outlook will be published. 7:30 PM (WAT): FOMC Press Conference: Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will hold a press conference to discuss the FOMC's decisions, economic conditions, and policy direction, providing additional insights and answering questions. Context and Expectations: The rate cut is prompted by signs of a slowing U.S. jobs market and a reassessment of inflation risks amid continued trade uncertainties. The Fed has maintained rates in the 4.25%-4.5% range since December 2024, amidst political pressure and mixed economic signals. Markets are pricing in multiple rate cuts this year, with expectations of gradual easing. This FOMC meeting and its communications will be crucial for understanding the Fed's stance on monetary policy and its implications for markets, inflation, and economic growth. WATCH 3686 AND 3688 CLOSE OF 15MIN CANDLE above structure.if sellers dont respect the supply zone ,then we look for buy and target 3735-3725 on FOMC DATA REPORT. #GOLD #XAUUSD
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
XAUUSD KEY ZONE AND MARKET ANALYSIS | SEP.15 ☄️ Gold Market Outlook 9/5 (Based on SMC) ☄️ 📊 Market Structure (H1/H4 perspective) 🔤Recent price action shows multiple CHoCH and BOS signals, confirming strong liquidity sweeps both directions. 🔤Sellers defended the FVG supply zone at 3655–3660, pushing price down. 🔤Buyers stepped in strongly from the demand zone 3630–3635, which aligns with BOS + liquidity grab. 🔤Current price is trading around 3645, sitting between supply above and demand below. 💡 Trading Scenarios 🔼Scenario 1 – Buy Setup Condition: Price retests 3630–3635 demand zone. Reason: Strong BOS + liquidity grab confirming buy-side interest. Entry: Around 3632–3635. 🔽Scenario 2 – Sell Setup Condition: Price taps into 3655–3660 supply FVG and shows rejection. Reason: Prior strong sell-off from this area; liquidity resting above. Entry: 3655–3658. 📌 Whichever side breaks (BOS confirmation) will set the new trend direction. #XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSD
by michael_gold
1
Gold (XAUUSD) – 22 Sep | Key Demand Zones in FocusGold (XAUUSD) Analysis – 22 September As per our Friday analysis , market shifted the structure upside on M15 , which indicates that the H4 pullback phase may be over and the market could be resuming its major bullish trend. Today’s Asian session supported this bullish intent and, with a compact pullback, created a BoS , giving us a clear directional bias towards the upside. Currently, price is trading near the M15 recent HL key level (3687–3685) . There is a high probability that market may respect this level and continue its upside momentum. Key Zones to Watch: • 3687–3685 HL zone → First zone to watch for a potential long setup. • 3673–3666 breaker zone → Could act as a strong support if price retraces deeper. • 3651–3643.8 demand zone → The zone from where market took support on Friday and broke the LH key level. Plan: Wait for price reaction and LTF confirmation at these zones before executing any long trades. Mindset: Stay patient and let the market show its hand before committing. 📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ChartIsMirror
1
GOLD was clearly supported, but Powell stopped shortIn the trading session on September 17 in New York, the US financial market "spinned like a pinwheel" after the Federal Reserve's decision to lower interest rates and Chairman Jerome Powell's speech. The Dollar recovered after Mr. Powell's speech, causing gold to be sold off strongly. As of the time the article was completed (Thursday, September 18), the gold price was trading at 3,662 USD/oz. The Fed officially cut interest rates by 25 basis points, bringing the federal funds rate band down to 4.00% - 4.25%, as expected. This is the first time the Fed has cut interest rates since December last year. This decision immediately caused the USD to plummet to a 4-year low against the euro, while spot gold prices jumped to a new record. However, after Powell's speech, the USD quickly recovered strongly, while gold fell from the peak due to profit-taking pressure. The US stock market also fluctuated violently: all three major indexes rose sharply for a moment and then quickly reversed. Powell emphasized that the Fed was in no hurry to ease further and this move was considered a “risk management cut”. In the statement after the meeting, the FOMC acknowledged that the US economy was “slowing”, employment was weakening, inflation was rising and the downside risks to the labor market were growing. However, the Fed still forecast two more 0.25% rate cuts this year, according to the “dotplot chart” tool showing the expectations of each official. New member Milan was the only one who opposed, wanting a sharp 0.5% cut. Powell said future decisions would be considered “on a meeting-by-meeting basis,” suggesting the Fed is moving cautiously rather than aggressively easing. Officials are also increasingly converging on the idea that the Trump administration’s trade and tariff policies will only have a temporary impact on inflation. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold has not been able to surpass the 3,700 USD price mark, the profit-taking momentum has caused the gold price to drop sharply and very quickly, but with the current position, it still has all the conditions to increase in price. Specifically, the main trend is still stable with the price channel as the medium-term trend, and the support from EMA21 as the main support, followed by the 0.50% Fibonacci extension level as the current nearest support. On the other hand, in terms of momentum, the RSI has not yet signaled the possibility of a more significant downside correction, as the RSI is still operating in the overbought area and is mostly moving sideways, indicating that profit-taking in the market is limited, leading to limited downside momentum. A downward sloping RSI through the 80 level is the best signal for a more significant downside correction. During the day, if gold breaks above the 0.618% Fibonacci extension level again, it will be in a position to retest the $3,700 level, more so the $3,722 level once the original $3,700 level is broken. Finally, the general trend of gold price on the daily chart is bullish and the notable points will be listed as follows. Support: 3,645USD Resistance: 3,677 – 3,700USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3696 - 3694⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3700 →Take Profit 1 3688 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3682 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3616 - 3618⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3612 →Take Profit 1 3624 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3630
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
GOLD price exceeds 3,700 USD, market waits for Fed decisionThe spot price of OANDA:XAUUSD has officially surpassed the $3,700/ounce mark, setting a new record. The main reason comes from the expectation that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates this week. In addition, news that the Trump administration is considering imposing additional tariffs on imported auto parts has further boosted gold's status as a safe haven. Current context: the global economy remains unstable, geopolitical tensions have not cooled down. The US dollar is weakening, falling to its lowest level since July, making gold more attractive. However, some investors have taken advantage of the opportunity to take profits ahead of the important Fed meeting on Wednesday. Since the beginning of the year, gold has increased by more than 40% thanks to: • The risk of a trade war, especially from US tax policy. • Demand for gold from central banks, especially in emerging markets. • A weak dollar and the possibility of further interest rate cuts. According to CME Group’s FedWatch tool, investors are almost certain that the Fed will cut by 25 basis points, although there is still a (small) chance that the Fed will cut by 50 basis points. Personally, I will continue to lean towards the upward trend of gold prices since the beginning of this year because gold has benefited from the low interest rate environment, making gold – which does not yield – more attractive. In addition, with President Trump publicly urging the Fed to “loosen aggressively”, the market is expecting a series of new interest rate cuts to be opened in the near future. Technical outlook analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold briefly crossed the $3,700 mark in yesterday's US session, but then pulled back slightly. Currently, the 0.618% Fibonacci extension level is the nearest support level, if the recovery from this $3,677 support level brings gold back to work above the $3,700 base point, this will be the most suitable condition for a new continued bullish cycle, and the target then is around $3,722 in the short term. The 3,722 USD level is the price point of the 0.786% Fibonacci extension, in which the signal for a possible correction to the downside has not appeared in terms of momentum. The RSI maintains its activity in the overbought area, but it is mostly moving sideways in this area, indicating that the market forces (profit taking/selling) are insignificant. A momentum signal for a possible correction to the downside is the RSI folding down below the 80 mark with a significant slope. In case gold is sold below the 3,677 USD mark, it may fall further to retest the 3,645 USD mark, but the trend and the main bullish conditions will remain unchanged. Finally, the bullish trend of gold prices will be noticed again by the following positions. Support: 3,677 – 3,645 USD Resistance: 3,700 – 3,722 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3729 - 3727⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3735 →Take Profit 1 3721 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3715 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3653 - 3655⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3649 →Take Profit 1 3661 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3667
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
Today's Pure Technical Analysis of GoldToday's Pure Technical Analysis of Gold As shown in Figure 1h, we provide a detailed analysis of the gold price's upward trend. Buying on dips remains the primary trading strategy. Trend-following Day Trading Strategy: Aggressive Buy Zone: 3675-3680 Conservative Buy Zone: 3660-3665 Stop-Loss Zone: 3655-3658 Target Zone: 3700-3715-3730-3740+ The above represents the most reasonable intraday trend-following trading strategy based on technical chart analysis. We can safely conclude that the gold price movements on Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday were all preparations for Thursday's rate cut. Even if gold reaches $3,700, this is not its ultimate target. We set our target range for this week's gold price increase at around $3,750. Buying on dips remains my primary strategy. In fact, as an analyst, buying on dips has been my primary strategy for the past three months. It has proven to be very practical and effective.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Katyusha202509
Perfectly grasp the golden trading opportunity?Last Thursday and Friday, gold continued its range-sweeping pattern as expected. The market fluctuated too quickly, and hesitation basically meant missing out. However, frequent trading can also be a burden. We ambushed both the bulls and the bears in advance and reaped good profits. For today's market, first of all, the gold daily chart combination is a typical "big sun front resistance line" pattern, which is an obvious lure to buy. As long as it does not break through the previous high of 3707, then today we tend to continue to be bearish. From a technical point of view, the high-level continuous negative adjustment state is obvious, and the rebound momentum is gradually weakening. The long upper shadow line of the daily line shows that the upper selling pressure is heavy, and the short-term bullish power is insufficient. The upper track of the Bollinger band in the 4-hour cycle is repeatedly under pressure, the MACD momentum column continues to shrink, and the fast and slow lines show signs of forming a dead cross, indicating that the rise is weak. On the news front, the Fed's expected interest rate cut has been realized, and the realization of positive news has weakened the momentum for gold to rise further. The subsequent market focus will be on "whether there will be another interest rate cut and the extent of the cut." Uncertainty makes funds more inclined to take profits at high levels. At the same time, the US dollar index stabilized and rebounded, and US Treasury yields stopped falling, which continued to suppress gold. At the level of funds and market sentiment, long positions are already at a high level, with limited room for growth. Institutions are more likely to overvalue and undervalue at high levels, and it is difficult for gold to maintain a sustained upward trend under the volatile pattern. Therefore, in terms of operation, it is recommended to look for short opportunities below the previous high of 3707 today, especially above 3685, where short orders can be arranged in batches, positions can be strictly controlled, and stop-loss space can be enlarged to cope with fluctuations. The short-term target will first look at the 3670-3660 area. If it breaks down strongly, it will further look down to the 3650-3635 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldenTrack_Daniel
Gold consolidates around $3,660 after Fed’s rate cut decision🧭 Market Overview Gold is currently trading around $3,660/oz after the Fed announced a 0.25% rate cut. Earlier, prices hit a new all-time high at $3,707/oz but quickly pulled back as the USD rebounded and profit-taking pressure increased. 📈 Technical Analysis • Near Resistance: $3,675 – $3,700 • Key Support: $3,645 – $3,630 • EMA50 (H1): price is moving sideways around this level, indicating consolidation. • Recent H1 candles show long upper wicks, reflecting selling pressure near $3,675. • Trading volume has declined after the spike, suggesting the market is waiting for a new catalyst. 🧐 Outlook • In the short term, gold is likely to consolidate – retrace within the $3,645–$3,675 range. • The broader trend remains bullish, but a clear breakout above $3,675 on H1/H4 closes is needed to confirm further upside. • A break below $3,630 would increase the risk of a deeper move toward $3,600. 🎯 Suggested Trading Strategy 🔺 BUY XAU/USD: $3,647 – $3,650 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips 🛑 SL: $3,643 🔻 SELL XAU/USD Entry: $3,675 – $3,678 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips 🛑 SL: $3,681
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals