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LiamTrading – XAUUSD M45 | Fibonacci Perspective on the ...LiamTrading – XAUUSD M45 | Fibonacci Perspective on the Uptrend: watch for a sell at 2.618 @ 4229–4231, wait to buy at FVG 4174–4172 Quick Context: News about the U.S. government reopening eases tensions, but gold prices in the Asian session this morning only rose slightly before moving sideways – accumulating. On M45, the triangle has broken upwards but the buying momentum hasn't truly exploded; the market might retest the Fair Value Gaps (FVG) before choosing the next direction. Technical Analysis Trendline & M45 Structure: The uptrend after the breakout is running along a short-term rising trendline; the old triangle top becomes resistance near 4215. Fibonacci Extension: 2.272 ≈ 4215: pivot point; staying above this level opens the path to higher levels. 2.618 ≈ 4229–4231: extended resistance – an area prone to rejection/short-term reversal. FVG & Liquidity Zones: FVG #1: 4195–4198 – likely to fill before continuing upward. Liquidity: 4184–4188 – volume attraction zone between FVG and trendline. Fibo 0.618 + FVG: 4172–4174 – strong confluence for a buy-back scenario following the trend. Invalidation Level: breaking 4166 weakens the M45 uptrend structure, risking a pullback to lower zones. Trading Scenarios Scenario 1 – Trend-following Buy (priority) Entry: 4172–4174 (Fibo 0.618 + FVG) SL: 4166 TP: 4190 → 4215 → 4240 → 4280 Note: Prioritize if a clear rejection/long lower wick candle appears at 417x. Scenario 2 – Counter-trend Sell Scalp at Extended Resistance Entry: 4229–4231 (Fibo 2.618) SL: 4236 (above the nearest peak) TP: 4215 → 4196 → 4186 → 4175 Note: Quick trade; abandon if M45 closes strongly above 4231–4233. Scenario 3 – Buy on Break & Hold of 4215 Condition: M45 closes above 4215, retest holds 4212–4216 Entry: 4216–4218 SL: 4207 TP: 4229–4231 → 4260 → 4285–4300 Which price zone do you find noteworthy today? Comment below & hit Follow on LiamTrading for the latest updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
Gold Price Forecast | Smart Money Levels (Nov 12, 2025)OANDA:XAUUSD GOLD ANALYSIS - What’s Moving the Market Today?
(Updated: November 12, 2025) 💠 Trade with DECRYPTERS
We keep it simple - Smart Money zones define the battlefield. Follow institutional footprints, not noise. 🔮 ASTROLOGY INSIGHT Mercury ♂ Mars = Mixed → Bearish if risk-on
Expect volatility and fake-outs near resistance as sentiment stays uncertain. 📊 MARKET OVERVIEW Gold trades around $4,135-$4,145, showing resilience despite U.S. dollar swings. * DXY slips to ~99.35 amid shutdown uncertainty and weaker risk tone. * Fed holds rates steady at 3.75–4.00%; next cut odds at 55% for December. * Central banks continue strong buying (+220t in Q3, led by Poland’s +67t). * ETF inflows remain firm at +222t - investor demand steady. * Geopolitical tensions (Mideast + US–China tariffs) sustain safe-haven flows. Gold remains locked between institutional buy/sell blocks, Smart Money setting up heavy positions from 4,028–4,206. 🧭 SMART MONEY LEVELS (LIVE UPDATE) Smart Money Sell Area: 4206–4191 → Major liquidity zone; rejection likely.
Sell Reaction Zone: 4165–4153 → Intraday resistance, ideal for quick fades.
Smart Money Buy Area: 4028–4011 → Deep liquidity accumulation zone for swing buys. 📍 Millions in pending institutional orders rest within these zones. 📅 WHAT TO WATCH NEXT * Nov 13 CPI: Expect ~3.0% core, shutdown delays may trigger volatility. * Dec FOMC: 55% odds of a 25bps cut; Fed cautious until full data returns. * Geopolitical Risk: Mideast or tariff escalation = 🟢 bullish spike.
Resolution = 🔴 USD rebound → gold pressure. Break Zones:
🔸 Hold above 4,120 → targets 4,165–4,170
🔸 Break below 4,100 → slide toward 4,050–4,028 🎯 TRADE PLAN Stay tactical — trade zones, not emotions. * Buy Dips: 4,090–4,120 → Targets 4,150–4,170 * Sell Rallies: 4,165–4,190 → Stops above 4,206 Bias remains bullish while above 4,120; short-term sentiment may turn mildly bearish if risk appetite improves. 🧠 CONCLUSION Gold remains supported by central bank demand and geopolitical risk, even as Fed policy and DXY limit major upside.
Expect range-bound volatility with bullish lean above 4,100.
Trade reaction, not prediction.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by DECRYPTERS
Gold price recovers, back to 4100⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold price (XAU/USD) rises to around $4,050 during the Asian trading hours on Monday. The precious metal edges higher amid uncertainty over the US economic outlook. Traders ramped up bets on a US rate cut following weak US private jobs data and a downbeat University of Michigan (UoM) Consumer Sentiment Index survey. Lower interest rates could reduce the opportunity cost of holding Gold, supporting the non-yielding precious metal. On the other hand, signs that the US government shutdown may end could undermine safe-haven assets such as Gold. US senators are voting on a deal on Monday that could end the longest government shutdown in history. Furthermore, easing trade tensions between the US and China, the world’s two largest economies, could also drag the yellow metal lower in the near term. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold prices recovered at the beginning of the week, breaking resistance and increasing in price. ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4085 - 4087 SL 4092 TP1: $4070 TP2: $4060 TP3: $4050 🔥BUY GOLD zone: 3957 - 3955 SL 3950 TP1: $3970 TP2: $3985 TP3: $4000 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
2
GOLD GOES " ̶T̶R̶I̶P̶L̶E̶ ̶V̶O̶D̶K̶A̶" TRIPLE TOP PATTERNGold has recently exhibited strong technical momentum, rebounding from its $3,900 support and surpassing the 50-day moving average, which marks a bullish reversal after a late-October dip. Immediate support is at $4100 per ounce. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is rising, confirming buyers have regained control in the short-term and signaling the possibility for further upside. BUY THE DIP SCENARIO Current trading strategies suggest buying near support and targeting resistance upward, demonstrating an underlying “buy on dips” scenario as gold consolidates above $4100. WHAT IS " ̶T̶R̶I̶P̶L̶E̶ ̶V̶O̶D̶K̶A̶" TRIPLE TOP PATTERN The triple top pattern is a bearish reversal technical chart pattern signaling the potential end of an uptrend and the beginning of a downtrend. It forms after an asset price hits the same resistance level three times but fails to break above it, creating three distinct peaks at roughly the same price level. Between these peaks are pullbacks or troughs, forming support levels. The pattern is confirmed only when the price breaks below the support (neckline) formed by these troughs. The psychology behind this pattern shows weakening buying power as the price fails to surpass the resistance level on three attempts. Each peak typically has declining volume, reflecting decreased buying enthusiasm. After the third peak, sellers could gain control, and the price could falls below support with increased volume, confirming the reversal. CONCLUSION Traders use the triple top to anticipate the exhaustion of bullish momentum, signaling caution and opportunities to enter short positions or exit longs. The pattern reflects supply overwhelming demand after repeated failed rallies, indicating a shift from bullish to bearish sentiment. It is considered a reliable indicator after a sustained uptrend and is used with risk management strategies to navigate market turns effectively. TECHNICAL SUMMARY Just simply take a look at history of Gold. It says: " ̶T̶R̶I̶P̶L̶E̶ ̶V̶O̶D̶K̶A̶" TRIPLE TOP. -- Best wishes, @PandorraResearch Team
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by PandorraResearch
Gold (XAU/USD) – Price Action Retest on Trendline SupportGold continues to hold its bullish momentum after a strong impulsive move from the $3,940 zone, forming a clean uptrend structure on the H1 timeframe. The current setup shows price retesting the broken trendline and holding above minor intraday support at $4,078. A successful retest here could trigger another leg toward the upper resistance at $4,121 – $4,130, aligning with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension zone. RSI remains in the bullish territory, supporting short-term continuation bias as long as price stays above $4,050. Trading Plan: Entry: $4,079 – $4,082 (trendline retest area) Stop Loss: Below $4,050 Target: $4,121 – $4,130 Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:2 If gold maintains structure above EMA20 and the trendline, buyers may dominate intraday. However, a breakdown below $4,050 will invalidate the bullish scenario and signal potential correction toward $4,020. Stay alert for confirmation candles before entry, and remember—reaction at this level will determine the next move. Follow for daily professional gold strategies and chart updates.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
4
XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. USD) on the 2-hour timeframe.XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. USD) on the 2-hour timeframe. From what’s visible: My drawn a descending trendline that has been broken upward, suggesting a potential bullish breakout. There’s also a triangle pattern (descending wedge) visible. My chart already labels a “Target Point” marked around the $4,175 level (based on the y-axis on the right). 🎯 Approximate Target: $4,175 – $4,180 USD per ounce This target seems derived from the height of the wedge projected from the breakout point, which is a common method in technical analysis. ⚙ Quick reasoning: Breakout confirmation: Price has broken above the trendline and the Ichimoku cloud. Retest area: Around $3,980 – $4,000, which might act as support if price pulls back. Upside target projection: Matches the wedge height projected upwards → ≈ $4,175.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by RSI_Trading_point
5
Gold Forms Higher Low — Potential Upside Toward Resistance LineHello traders, here’s my current outlook on Gold (XAUUSD). Gold has recently transitioned out of a strong bearish phase, where the price moved inside a descending channel and found significant support near the $3,930–$3,950 Buyer Zone. This support zone has proven to be a key reaction level multiple times, with several fake breakouts followed by strong bullish recoveries — confirming the presence of active buyers. After breaking out of the descending channel, the price began forming a higher-low structure, aligning along the Support Line, suggesting that bullish momentum is gradually returning. However, the market remains capped by the Resistance Line, where several strong rejections occurred, indicating that sellers are still defending higher levels. At the moment, Gold is trading between the Buyer Zone and the $4,020–$4,140 Resistance Zone (Seller Zone). If buyers manage to hold support and form another bullish push from the current levels, we could see an upward move targeting the $4,020 area first, and if momentum continues — a potential retest of the key resistance at $4,140. For now, the structure shows accumulation above strong support, suggesting that buyers still have the advantage. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by LegionQ8
23
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAP Hey everyone, Please review our Daily Chart Route Map, now featuring updated levels for tracking Golds movement. We continue to track our refreshed proprietary Goldturn Channel, our unique method for constructing ascending channels. Price action is now testing the swing range and the swing range seems to be holding support as expected. This swing range support also falls inline with the channel half line providing stronger support. As long as ema5 remains above the swing zone we expect price to play between this range until the full long term swing is completed into 4183. An ema5 break below the swing range will open the lower channel floor for test, currently sitting at 3824 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
13
Gold Analysis H4 - Bullish orderflowAfter gold broke below the 3944.48 level, the market initially showed signs of further downside movement, potentially aiming to sweep more liquidity resting beneath that zone. However, the nature of the breakout suggests that it could itself be a liquidity grab rather than the start of a genuine bearish continuation. The candle that broke this level was quickly rejected, indicating that selling pressure may have been absorbed by strong buy orders. This kind of price reaction often signals the presence of institutional accumulation or smart money activity. As a result, the order flow now appears to be shifting, potentially preparing for a bullish move. If momentum continues to build, price may aim to sweep the liquidity resting above the trendline before deciding on the next directional move.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Mr_Liquidity1
GOLD volatility, monetary policy and political riskThe global OANDA:XAUUSD went through a volatile trading session on Tuesday, as prices fell more than $50 in the North American session before recovering around $30, ending the day in the green. As of Wednesday morning, November 12, spot gold stood at around $4,128/ounce, up around $2 on the day. The main drivers of this development came from two opposing factors: the prospect of the Federal Reserve (Fed) possibly cutting interest rates in December, and capital withdrawals from gold ETFs after a long rally. Policy pressures and labor market signals U.S. private payrolls data, according to preliminary estimates from ADP Research, showed a weekly average of 11,250 job cuts in the four weeks ended October 25. The weaker-than-expected figure sent the dollar to a low of 99.29, giving gold a chance to rebound. The move comes just as Washington is about to end its longest government shutdown in history, which has stalled the release of economic data. Investors are hoping the reopening of the government will quickly bring a wave of pent-up data that will help better determine the true state of the U.S. economy. “As the government reopens, we’re going to start seeing more cracks in the economy,” said Marc Chandler, chief strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex. This expectation reinforces the belief that the Fed will begin its easing cycle in December. According to the CME FedWatch tool, the probability of a rate cut has risen to 64%, while Fed Governor Milan hinted at the possibility of a 50 basis point cut due to a weak labor market and slowing inflation. ETF Profit Taking, Gold Temporarily Adjusts However, gold’s rally was capped by profit-taking in the ETF market. Bloomberg data shows gold ETFs have seen four straight weeks of outflows, after eight weeks of net buying. “Every 1% move in the gold price translates into about 10 tonnes of ETF outflows,” said Michael Haigh, head of FIC research at Société Générale. The reversal reflects investors’ defensive sentiment after gold peaked at $4,380 an ounce in mid-October, a new record high amid political uncertainty and expectations of lower interest rates. Still, safe-haven demand was strong enough to help prices recover to $4,126.77 by the end of Tuesday’s session, up 0.3%. US Politics: A lull ahead of data The US Senate has passed a deal to reopen the government, while the Republican-controlled House is expected to approve it this week, before it goes to the White House for President Trump to sign into law. The reopening of the government not only ends the government shutdown but also sets the stage for a new cycle of data releases, including official jobs and inflation reports. Medium-term outlook: Gold demand remains strong Despite short-term volatility, fundamentals remain supportive of gold. The precious metal has risen more than 55% year-to-date, on track for its biggest gain since 1979. “The medium-term support from global easing to central bank demand remains intact,” said Christopher Wong, a strategist at OCBC. Summary The gold market is operating in a cycle of monetary policy expectations and geopolitical safe-haven sentiment. As the Fed moves closer to easing and delayed data looms, price volatility is likely to remain high. However, with sustained central bank buying and global risks remaining intact, gold remains a strategic asset in a reshaping global financial landscape. Technical analysis OANDA:XAUUSD Gold prices are maintaining a short-term uptrend channel formed from the October bottom. After a deep correction around $3,970 – $3,850/ounce (corresponding to the Fibonacci levels of 0.382 and 0.5), the price has bounced back and is currently trading around $4,123, close to the technical resistance zone of Fib 0.236 at $4,128. The moving average (MA21) is currently at $4,055, acting as a dynamic support zone in the short term. The recent candlestick structure shows that the bullish momentum is being consolidated with a series of higher lows, while the RSI has recovered towards 55, confirming that the bullish momentum is regaining the upper hand. If gold holds above the $4,055 zone, the next upside targets are: • Near resistance: $4,216 – $4,220 (psychological level and 0.236 Fibonacci resistance zone). • Extended resistance: $4,308 – $4,380 (historic old peak zone). On the contrary, if the price loses $4,055, the $3,972 – $3,846 zone will become the main support zone to watch, corresponding to the lower boundary of the current uptrend channel. The overall trend remains bullish, provided the $4,055 support zone holds. The current phase is a recovery accumulation phase, which could open up a further rally towards $4,300 if US economic data continues to be weak and the Fed reinforces easing expectations. SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4201 - 4199⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 4205 →Take Profit 1 4193 ↨ →Take Profit 2 4187 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 4090 - 4092⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 4086 →Take Profit 1 4098 ↨ →Take Profit 2 4105
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
1