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THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: The move from yesterday worked well giving a nice capture early session with price hitting the resistance and then the lower red box. Earlier today, although we got a long indication we only managed to get scalps for it before closing at BE. We then activated on the boxes and subsequently completed all the red box targets in one swoop. Now, we have support here at the 3930 level while resistance is at 3970-75 which gives us the levels that need to hold. It's looks like we may break on the box so we'll stick with the original plan from the KOG report on Sunday. Price: 3994 RED BOXES: Break above 4001 for 4010, 4016 and 4030 in extension of the move Break below 3985 for 3979, 3970 and 3958 in extension of the move As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
4
GOLD I Weekly CLS I Model 2 - Target 50% I Eventually ATH...Hi friends, new range created. As always we are looking for the manipulation in to the key level around the range. Don't forget confirmation switch from manipulation phase to the distribution phase to make the setup valid. Stay patient and enter only after change in order flow. If price reaches 50% of the range take partial or full close. 📌 HTF - Higher Timeframe view 🧩 Complete proces and Strategy explained 👇 Click Below 🎯 Why your market approach also should be mechanical ? NO Fixed Mechanical Trading Logic - You are guessing random patterns NO Defined trading plan - Every trade different logic NO Same logic in each trade - Not possible to backtest NO Backtests on at least 300 trades - Not knowing Statistics ➡️ No Statistics ➡️ No Edge ➡️ Mindset ProblemS 🧠 Core of mindset problems If you don't know your statistics on large enough data sample. You don't know your probabilities of win rate once the losing streak happen and it happens to every strategy. You will start doubting, hesitating to take next trade because you don't know statistics of your losses. In the end you will be doubting strategy and then jump to different one. You will be in the endless loop for years, looking for new better strategy. 👊 Your ultimate goal as a trader is not to be a generalist who knows 10 000 patterns. But rather create one system with narrowed criteria of each element of the trade to remove subjective and emotional decisions as much as possible and stick to this system no matter what. Practice it 10 000 times become a MASTER. ✨ Trading Mastery is reflection of your life Have a longterm plan, No Alcohol & Drugs, Ignore others, Focus on your journey , Backtest regularly, Review your weeks, Journal mistakes, Exercise, Sleep well, Read books, Walks in nature (no phone) , Meditate, Reduce social media time, Spend time with family, Live Life. Trading is hard, but not impossible. I believe in you 💪 David Perk aka Dave Fx Hunter
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by David_Perk
27
XAU/USD — Bullish Continuation Setup (4H Chart)Gold (XAU/USD) has been consolidating near US $4,000 after rallying strongly to new highs above US $4,300 earlier this quarter. Price has since formed a falling wedge / triangle pattern, signaling potential bullish continuation if buyers regain control. Technical Outlook Price is compressing between converging trendlines, with clear zones marked on the chart. Buy confirmation: a breakout and close above 4,020–4,040 would signal bullish momentum. If confirmed, price could extend toward 4,120–4,180, followed by 4,250+. Buy invalidation: a breakdown below 3,940 would negate the bullish setup and expose the 3,900–3,860 support zone. The overall structure remains constructive — a breakout above resistance would complete the wedge and potentially resume the broader uptrend channel. Fundamental View (November 2025) Fed policy: The Federal Reserve held rates steady in October but hinted at rate cuts in early 2026, a dovish tilt that supports gold. Macro conditions: U.S. inflation (~3.2%) remains sticky, and bond yields are easing — reducing pressure on non-yielding assets like gold. Safe-haven demand: Continued geopolitical tension in the Middle East and strong central-bank purchases (China, India, Turkey) add structural support. Short-term risk: A brief U.S. dollar rebound may cause intraday volatility, but sentiment remains broadly bullish. Trading Plan Bias: Short-term bullish continuation Breakout trigger: Above 4,020–4,040 (confirmed breakout) Targets: ‣ TP1: 4,120–4,150 ‣ TP2: 4,180–4,250 Invalidation: Below 3,940
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NubisTrader
ElDoradoFx – GOLD ANALYSIS (10/11/2025, ASIA SESSION)1. Market Overview Gold opens the Asian session consolidating near $4,000–$4,003, after the US session’s liquidity sweeps on both sides of the range. Price remains trapped between $3,985 support and $4,016 resistance, showing a symmetrical compression pattern. The market sentiment is currently neutral, awaiting a breakout from this coil — which will likely set the tone for the London continuation. ⸻ 2. Technical Breakdown 🔹 Daily (D1): Price is stabilizing above the 50EMA with RSI around 51 — neutral but slightly leaning bullish. A daily close above $4,016 would reestablish bullish continuation toward $4,036–$4,050, while a drop below $3,975 could shift momentum back to bearish. 🔹 H1: Gold is respecting the descending trendline from $4,027, while creating a higher-low structure from $3,985. The 200EMA near $4,006–$4,010 acts as key intraday resistance, currently rejecting buyers. EMAs are converging, signaling volatility buildup before expansion. 🔹 15M–5M: Short-term CHoCH confirmed after liquidity sweep at $3,985, but momentum faded below $4,010. RSI sits around 48–50 and MACD shows flattening histogram — both suggesting indecision ahead of the Asian liquidity phase. ⸻ 3. Fibonacci Analysis (Last Swing 3,984 → 4,027) • 38.2% = $4,011 • 50.0% = $4,006 • 61.8% = $4,001 🎯 Golden Zone: $4,011 – $4,001 (Potential buy reaction area on retest) ⸻ 4. High-Probability Trade Scenarios 📈 BUY SCENARIO (Primary Bias) • Entry Zone: $4,006 – $4,001 (Golden Zone)** • Targets: $4,016 → $4,027 → $4,036 • Stop Loss: Below $3,992 • Confirmation: Bullish engulfing candle or CHoCH on 5M from Golden Zone. • Confluence: Support trendline + 61.8% Fib + EMA cluster + RSI recovery from 40–45. 📉 SELL SCENARIO (Countertrend) • Entry Zone: $4,010 – $4,016 (Supply + 200EMA + trendline resistance)** • Targets: $4,000 → $3,990 → $3,975 • Stop Loss: Above $4,020 • Confirmation: Bearish rejection candle with RSI divergence (60–65 range). • Confluence: Strong horizontal supply + descending resistance + MACD bearish cross. 💥 BREAKOUT SETUP • Bullish Break: Close above $4,016 → Retest $4,010 → Targets $4,027 → $4,036 → $4,050. • Bearish Break: Close below $3,985 → Retest $3,990 → Targets $3,976 → $3,960. ⸻ 5. Fundamental Watch • Asia session: Low volatility expected before London liquidity expansion. • DXY near 106.0 — holding steady, which could limit upside momentum until London. • No major macro data during Asia; technical levels will dominate. ⸻ 6. Key Technical Levels Resistance: 4,010 / 4,016 / 4,027 / 4,036 Support: 4,001 / 3,992 / 3,985 / 3,975 Golden Zone: 4,011 – 4,001 Breakout Triggers: >4,016 (Bullish) | <3,985 (Bearish) ⸻ 7. Analyst Summary Gold continues to accumulate liquidity within a symmetrical range, trapped between 200EMA resistance and ascending support. A breakout above $4,016 could trigger bullish continuation toward $4,036–$4,050, while a rejection here would likely send price back to $3,992–$3,975 before a new leg forms. ⸻ 8. Final Bias Summary 📊 Bias: Neutral-to-bullish above $3,985; bearish only below $3,975. 🎯 Focus: Monitor reaction at $4,006–$4,010 (EMA cluster) and watch for breakout confirmation beyond $4,016. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🥇 GOLD – ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 – WEEKLY PERFORMANCE (03/11/2025 TO 07/11/2025) 🔥 Massive week for PREMIUM 3.0 — consistent GOLD setups, BTC profits, and double LIVE session wins! ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📅 MONDAY 03/11/2025 🟢 BUY +120 PIPS 🟢 BUY +30 PIPS 🔻 SELL +90 PIPS 🟢 BUY +40 PIPS 🟢 BUY LIMIT +200 PIPS 🔻 SELL +20 PIPS 🟢 BUY +40 PIPS 🟢 BUY +20 PIPS 🟢 BUY +40 PIPS 💰 GOLD TOTAL: +600 PIPS --- 📅 TUESDAY 04/11/2025 🔻 SELL +20 PIPS 🟢 BUY LIMIT +70 PIPS 🔻 SELL +30 PIPS 🟢 BUY +20 PIPS 🟢 BUY +20 PIPS 🔻 SELL +240 PIPS 🎯 LIVE TRADING SESSION 🔻 SELL +20 PIPS 🔻 SELL +20 PIPS 🔻 SELL +170 PIPS 💰 GOLD TOTAL: +400 PIPS --- 📅 WEDNESDAY 05/11/2025 🔻 SELL +40 PIPS 🟢 BUY LIMIT +20 PIPS 🟢 BUY LIMIT +60 PIPS 🔻 SELL +60 PIPS 🟢 BUY +40 PIPS 🟢 BUY +260 PIPS 🔻 SELL +80 PIPS 🟢 BUY +110 PIPS 💎 BTC/USD TRADE: SELL +900 PIPS 💰 TOTAL DAILY GAIN: +1,570 PIPS --- 📅 THURSDAY 06/11/2025 🟢 BUY (Swing) +610 PIPS (from 05/11) 🔻 SELL +40 PIPS 🔻 SELL LIMIT +70 PIPS 🟢 BUY +40 PIPS 🟢 BUY +150 PIPS 🟢 BUY LIMIT +20 PIPS 🟢 BUY +110 PIPS 🔻 SELL +60 PIPS ❌ BUY -20 PIPS (SL) 🟢 BUY +100 PIPS 🎯 LIVE SESSION: BUY +120 PIPS | BUY +50 PIPS 💰 GOLD TOTAL: +1,350 PIPS --- 📅 FRIDAY 07/11/2025 🔻 SELL +60 PIPS 🟢 BUY +40 PIPS 🟢 BUY +90 PIPS ❌ BUY -40 PIPS (SL) 🟢 BUY +120 PIPS 🎯 LIVE SESSION: BUY +100 PIPS | BUY +125 PIPS | BUY +150 PIPS 💰 GOLD TOTAL: +645 PIPS 💎 BTC BONUS TRADES (Weekend): SAT 08/11 → SELL +400 PIPS SUN 09/11 → BUY +1,100 PIPS --- 📊 WEEKLY SUMMARY 🥇 GOLD TOTAL GAIN: +3,315 PIPS 💎 BTC/USD TOTAL GAIN: +2,400 PIPS 🚀 OVERALL TOTAL: +5,715 PIPS ✅ 48 Signals → 46 Wins | 2 SL 📈 Winning Rate: 96% ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🔥 Every setup, every session — verified precision and consistency! Join ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 and level up your trading game. — ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 Team 🚀
VANTAGE:XAUUSDLong
by ELDORADOFX
The bulls are back, and going long remains the main theme.#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD Although the beginning of the week didn't offer a pullback entry opportunity, gold rallied immediately after the open, breaking through 4030 as expected and continuing its upward trend, officially signaling the return of the bulls to the market. From the hourly chart, gold broke through the resistance of the upward channel at 4055 and continued to fluctuate upwards, indicating that the bullish momentum remains strong in the short term. However, attention should be paid to the resistance at 4080-4100 from the weekly MA5 moving average and the daily middle line, and be wary of a possible pullback after a surge. Therefore, in the short term, avoid blindly chasing the rally, patiently waiting for a pullback to buy remains our main trading strategy. The first support level to watch is the 4055-4045 level, a previous resistance turning point, followed by the important support at 4030-4020. Therefore, if gold prices fall back after encountering resistance during the European session, we can consider going long on gold in batches based on the strength of the pullback.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Miracle-Walker_GC
Is it Black Friday? No need to panic, strategy updateGold has closed. During the latter half of the US session, influenced by news, it fell to around 4180, finding support and reaching a high of 4211. Gold prices then fell sharply again, briefly dropping to 4145 USD before slightly recovering. Having already risen over 200 points this week, this upward move was too rapid, and the consolidation period was too short, resulting in weak upward momentum. While reaching 4250 is only a matter of time, short-term trading requires careful attention to timing. The excessive pullback during the US session has led to a correction, potentially breaking the current uptrend. Therefore, a cautious approach is advised, avoiding blindly chasing the upward trend and patiently waiting for a stabilizing signal after a pullback. This is currently a more prudent and cost-effective choice. Following market rhythm and acting according to the trend is the core principle of investing. From the current structure, the support area to watch is the 4130-40 range. Resistance is at 4175-85, and the closing price is around 4170. Will this be a Black Friday? Don't panic. Our operations will be updated based on the opening market trend and news. Just stay tuned. I focus solely on short-term trading and clear market analysis. In short-term trading, there is no market that goes up or down forever, only the right entry point at any given moment. Find the rhythm and follow the trend. That's the essence of trading. We made 5 trades this trading day, including both long and short positions, all of which were sold at a profit. You can check the historical recommendations to verify their accuracy. For example, we sold a long position at 4193 at 4202, which rose to a high of 4211. Don't regret selling too early at that point. We have our own profit targets and risk management for each trade. Once the profit target is reached, we sell. Although I am a professional trader, it's not necessary for me to buy at the lowest and sell at the highest point in every trade. After all, I'm just a trader; I don't have God's perspective! Therefore, we need to adjust our mindset, only earning what's rightfully ours. Profit and loss are part of trading; focus on overall returns. If you can't execute trades precisely, try the method I teach you: first, use a small position to test the market, then add to your position during pullbacks or rallies. This way, you won't miss any opportunities. If you're truly unsure when, where, and how to proceed, let's work together to flexibly and steadily pursue greater returns in the ever-changing market!
TVC:GOLD
by FIGONRXS
Xau/Usd - Gold Testing Key Resistance, Breakout or Rejection?Gold is currently trading around $4,016, testing a key resistance zone after several rejections in the past sessions. Price action shows a clear ascending trendline support, forming higher lows, indicating a short-term bullish structure. Key Technicals Resistance Zone: $4,015 – $4,025 Trendline Support: Connecting recent higher lows (Nov 5–8) Structure: Ascending channel / uptrend continuation setup Possible Scenarios Bullish Breakout: A confirmed breakout above the resistance zone with strong volume could signal continuation toward the next target levels around $4,060 – $4,100. Bearish Rejection: If price fails to break above resistance and closes below the trendline support, expect a correction toward $3,960 – $3,940 as the next support zone. Trading Plan Buy Breakout: Above $4,025 with confirmation Sell Rejection: Below $4,000 and trendline break Risk Management: Use stop-loss below last swing low or above last swing high depending on entry Note Wait for clear confirmation before entering either direction — this area has been a strong liquidity zone recently.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Hamza_Gold
XAU/USD BuysMy market structure is based off the 5 minute timeframe. It was just trading bearish as I got the sell but now market stucture flipped back bullish which aligns back with all timeframes which is bullish. I will be waiting for price to come back into my marketed up zone which will fill a 5M fvg and tap into a 5M Orderblock. When price gets to my zone I will be looking on the 1 minute for an entry if presented. Take profit would be the swing high. If pirce breaks and closes above the swing high before coming back to my zone, the trade would be invalidated. Trade Safe, Remzy.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RemzyFX
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (Week 2, November 2025)🔹 Momentum W1 timeframe: Weekly momentum is approaching the oversold zone, suggesting a high probability of a bullish reversal within the next 1–2 weeks. Once confirmed, this could mark the beginning of a new medium- to long-term uptrend. D1 timeframe: Daily momentum is moving toward the overbought area. During the first 1–2 trading days of the week (starting Monday), there is a strong likelihood of a downward reversal. If that occurs, the price may enter a short corrective phase to bring D1 momentum back to the oversold zone. When both D1 and W1 momentums turn upward together from oversold levels, it would signal the potential start of a new bullish trend. H4 timeframe: H4 momentum is currently declining, suggesting a possible short-term drop during the Asian session. However, since price is being compressed within the major liquidity zone (POC) highlighted on the chart, the next direction remains unclear. It’s best to wait for a clear breakout beyond this liquidity area before confirming the next move. ________________________________________ 🔹 Wave Structure W1 timeframe: The larger structure remains within wave (4) in yellow. With weekly momentum nearing oversold territory, wave (4) is likely to complete within the next 1–2 weeks, paving the way for the development of wave (5). D1 timeframe: The market is currently deep within the corrective phase of wave (4) in yellow, forming a W–X–Y pattern in purple. • Wave W (purple) has been completed. • Price is now likely forming wave X. Once wave X finishes, a downward move to complete wave Y is expected. Wave W has already reached the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of wave (3), meaning the minimum price objective for wave (4) has been met. When price achieves its target quickly, Elliott theory suggests the structure often extends sideways to complete in terms of time rather than depth. A notable possibility: • Wave W is complete. • Wave X may have finished as a three-wave a-b-c correction (black). • Wave Y may now be evolving as a contracting triangle (a-b-c-d-e). This scenario will be reinforced if D1 momentum moves into the oversold zone simultaneously with a bullish reversal on W1, while price holds above 3897. H4 timeframe: Since D1 momentum is likely to turn downward soon, the primary short-term bias remains toward the W–X–Y structure shown on the chart. Price is currently oscillating around the POC (Point of Control – green line), the highest liquidity area. Price is approaching this POC from below while both D1 and H4 momentums are near reversal points — signaling potential for another short-term decline to complete wave y. The 4038 and 4145 zones act as strong resistances and could serve as potential completion points for wave X (purple). At present, wave X is consolidating within a triangle pattern. Since triangles typically form through contracting, overlapping waves, it’s essential to wait for a clear breakout candle above or below the triangle to determine the next trend direction. ________________________________________ 🔹 Trading Plan In the short term, avoid opening new positions while the price remains within the compression zone. It’s recommended to observe Monday’s market open for a confirmed breakout direction — once clarity appears, a more precise and safer trading plan can be established.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX
GOLD volatility, monetary policy and political riskThe global OANDA:XAUUSD went through a volatile trading session on Tuesday, as prices fell more than $50 in the North American session before recovering around $30, ending the day in the green. As of Wednesday morning, November 12, spot gold stood at around $4,128/ounce, up around $2 on the day. The main drivers of this development came from two opposing factors: the prospect of the Federal Reserve (Fed) possibly cutting interest rates in December, and capital withdrawals from gold ETFs after a long rally. Policy pressures and labor market signals U.S. private payrolls data, according to preliminary estimates from ADP Research, showed a weekly average of 11,250 job cuts in the four weeks ended October 25. The weaker-than-expected figure sent the dollar to a low of 99.29, giving gold a chance to rebound. The move comes just as Washington is about to end its longest government shutdown in history, which has stalled the release of economic data. Investors are hoping the reopening of the government will quickly bring a wave of pent-up data that will help better determine the true state of the U.S. economy. “As the government reopens, we’re going to start seeing more cracks in the economy,” said Marc Chandler, chief strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex. This expectation reinforces the belief that the Fed will begin its easing cycle in December. According to the CME FedWatch tool, the probability of a rate cut has risen to 64%, while Fed Governor Milan hinted at the possibility of a 50 basis point cut due to a weak labor market and slowing inflation. ETF Profit Taking, Gold Temporarily Adjusts However, gold’s rally was capped by profit-taking in the ETF market. Bloomberg data shows gold ETFs have seen four straight weeks of outflows, after eight weeks of net buying. “Every 1% move in the gold price translates into about 10 tonnes of ETF outflows,” said Michael Haigh, head of FIC research at Société Générale. The reversal reflects investors’ defensive sentiment after gold peaked at $4,380 an ounce in mid-October, a new record high amid political uncertainty and expectations of lower interest rates. Still, safe-haven demand was strong enough to help prices recover to $4,126.77 by the end of Tuesday’s session, up 0.3%. US Politics: A lull ahead of data The US Senate has passed a deal to reopen the government, while the Republican-controlled House is expected to approve it this week, before it goes to the White House for President Trump to sign into law. The reopening of the government not only ends the government shutdown but also sets the stage for a new cycle of data releases, including official jobs and inflation reports. Medium-term outlook: Gold demand remains strong Despite short-term volatility, fundamentals remain supportive of gold. The precious metal has risen more than 55% year-to-date, on track for its biggest gain since 1979. “The medium-term support from global easing to central bank demand remains intact,” said Christopher Wong, a strategist at OCBC. Summary The gold market is operating in a cycle of monetary policy expectations and geopolitical safe-haven sentiment. As the Fed moves closer to easing and delayed data looms, price volatility is likely to remain high. However, with sustained central bank buying and global risks remaining intact, gold remains a strategic asset in a reshaping global financial landscape. Technical analysis OANDA:XAUUSD Gold prices are maintaining a short-term uptrend channel formed from the October bottom. After a deep correction around $3,970 – $3,850/ounce (corresponding to the Fibonacci levels of 0.382 and 0.5), the price has bounced back and is currently trading around $4,123, close to the technical resistance zone of Fib 0.236 at $4,128. The moving average (MA21) is currently at $4,055, acting as a dynamic support zone in the short term. The recent candlestick structure shows that the bullish momentum is being consolidated with a series of higher lows, while the RSI has recovered towards 55, confirming that the bullish momentum is regaining the upper hand. If gold holds above the $4,055 zone, the next upside targets are: • Near resistance: $4,216 – $4,220 (psychological level and 0.236 Fibonacci resistance zone). • Extended resistance: $4,308 – $4,380 (historic old peak zone). On the contrary, if the price loses $4,055, the $3,972 – $3,846 zone will become the main support zone to watch, corresponding to the lower boundary of the current uptrend channel. The overall trend remains bullish, provided the $4,055 support zone holds. The current phase is a recovery accumulation phase, which could open up a further rally towards $4,300 if US economic data continues to be weak and the Fed reinforces easing expectations. SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4201 - 4199⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 4205 →Take Profit 1 4193 ↨ →Take Profit 2 4187 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 4090 - 4092⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 4086 →Take Profit 1 4098 ↨ →Take Profit 2 4105
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
1