Xau/Usd - Gold Testing Key Resistance, Breakout or Rejection?Gold is currently trading around $4,016, testing a key resistance zone after several rejections in the past sessions. Price action shows a clear ascending trendline support, forming higher lows, indicating a short-term bullish structure.
Key Technicals
Resistance Zone: $4,015 – $4,025
Trendline Support: Connecting recent higher lows (Nov 5–8)
Structure: Ascending channel / uptrend continuation setup
Possible Scenarios
Bullish Breakout:
A confirmed breakout above the resistance zone with strong volume could signal continuation toward the next target levels around $4,060 – $4,100.
Bearish Rejection:
If price fails to break above resistance and closes below the trendline support, expect a correction toward $3,960 – $3,940 as the next support zone.
Trading Plan
Buy Breakout: Above $4,025 with confirmation
Sell Rejection: Below $4,000 and trendline break
Risk Management: Use stop-loss below last swing low or above last swing high depending on entry
Note
Wait for clear confirmation before entering either direction — this area has been a strong liquidity zone recently.
Trade ideas
ElDoradoFx – GOLD ANALYSIS (10/11/2025, ASIA SESSION)1. Market Overview
Gold opens the Asian session consolidating near $4,000–$4,003, after the US session’s liquidity sweeps on both sides of the range. Price remains trapped between $3,985 support and $4,016 resistance, showing a symmetrical compression pattern.
The market sentiment is currently neutral, awaiting a breakout from this coil — which will likely set the tone for the London continuation.
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2. Technical Breakdown
🔹 Daily (D1):
Price is stabilizing above the 50EMA with RSI around 51 — neutral but slightly leaning bullish. A daily close above $4,016 would reestablish bullish continuation toward $4,036–$4,050, while a drop below $3,975 could shift momentum back to bearish.
🔹 H1:
Gold is respecting the descending trendline from $4,027, while creating a higher-low structure from $3,985. The 200EMA near $4,006–$4,010 acts as key intraday resistance, currently rejecting buyers. EMAs are converging, signaling volatility buildup before expansion.
🔹 15M–5M:
Short-term CHoCH confirmed after liquidity sweep at $3,985, but momentum faded below $4,010. RSI sits around 48–50 and MACD shows flattening histogram — both suggesting indecision ahead of the Asian liquidity phase.
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3. Fibonacci Analysis (Last Swing 3,984 → 4,027)
• 38.2% = $4,011
• 50.0% = $4,006
• 61.8% = $4,001
🎯 Golden Zone: $4,011 – $4,001 (Potential buy reaction area on retest)
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4. High-Probability Trade Scenarios
📈 BUY SCENARIO (Primary Bias)
• Entry Zone: $4,006 – $4,001 (Golden Zone)**
• Targets: $4,016 → $4,027 → $4,036
• Stop Loss: Below $3,992
• Confirmation: Bullish engulfing candle or CHoCH on 5M from Golden Zone.
• Confluence: Support trendline + 61.8% Fib + EMA cluster + RSI recovery from 40–45.
📉 SELL SCENARIO (Countertrend)
• Entry Zone: $4,010 – $4,016 (Supply + 200EMA + trendline resistance)**
• Targets: $4,000 → $3,990 → $3,975
• Stop Loss: Above $4,020
• Confirmation: Bearish rejection candle with RSI divergence (60–65 range).
• Confluence: Strong horizontal supply + descending resistance + MACD bearish cross.
💥 BREAKOUT SETUP
• Bullish Break: Close above $4,016 → Retest $4,010 → Targets $4,027 → $4,036 → $4,050.
• Bearish Break: Close below $3,985 → Retest $3,990 → Targets $3,976 → $3,960.
⸻
5. Fundamental Watch
• Asia session: Low volatility expected before London liquidity expansion.
• DXY near 106.0 — holding steady, which could limit upside momentum until London.
• No major macro data during Asia; technical levels will dominate.
⸻
6. Key Technical Levels
Resistance: 4,010 / 4,016 / 4,027 / 4,036
Support: 4,001 / 3,992 / 3,985 / 3,975
Golden Zone: 4,011 – 4,001
Breakout Triggers: >4,016 (Bullish) | <3,985 (Bearish)
⸻
7. Analyst Summary
Gold continues to accumulate liquidity within a symmetrical range, trapped between 200EMA resistance and ascending support. A breakout above $4,016 could trigger bullish continuation toward $4,036–$4,050, while a rejection here would likely send price back to $3,992–$3,975 before a new leg forms.
⸻
8. Final Bias Summary
📊 Bias: Neutral-to-bullish above $3,985; bearish only below $3,975.
🎯 Focus: Monitor reaction at $4,006–$4,010 (EMA cluster) and watch for breakout confirmation beyond $4,016.
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🥇 GOLD – ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 – WEEKLY PERFORMANCE (03/11/2025 TO 07/11/2025)
🔥 Massive week for PREMIUM 3.0 — consistent GOLD setups, BTC profits, and double LIVE session wins!
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📅 MONDAY 03/11/2025
🟢 BUY +120 PIPS
🟢 BUY +30 PIPS
🔻 SELL +90 PIPS
🟢 BUY +40 PIPS
🟢 BUY LIMIT +200 PIPS
🔻 SELL +20 PIPS
🟢 BUY +40 PIPS
🟢 BUY +20 PIPS
🟢 BUY +40 PIPS
💰 GOLD TOTAL: +600 PIPS
---
📅 TUESDAY 04/11/2025
🔻 SELL +20 PIPS
🟢 BUY LIMIT +70 PIPS
🔻 SELL +30 PIPS
🟢 BUY +20 PIPS
🟢 BUY +20 PIPS
🔻 SELL +240 PIPS
🎯 LIVE TRADING SESSION
🔻 SELL +20 PIPS
🔻 SELL +20 PIPS
🔻 SELL +170 PIPS
💰 GOLD TOTAL: +400 PIPS
---
📅 WEDNESDAY 05/11/2025
🔻 SELL +40 PIPS
🟢 BUY LIMIT +20 PIPS
🟢 BUY LIMIT +60 PIPS
🔻 SELL +60 PIPS
🟢 BUY +40 PIPS
🟢 BUY +260 PIPS
🔻 SELL +80 PIPS
🟢 BUY +110 PIPS
💎 BTC/USD TRADE: SELL +900 PIPS
💰 TOTAL DAILY GAIN: +1,570 PIPS
---
📅 THURSDAY 06/11/2025
🟢 BUY (Swing) +610 PIPS (from 05/11)
🔻 SELL +40 PIPS
🔻 SELL LIMIT +70 PIPS
🟢 BUY +40 PIPS
🟢 BUY +150 PIPS
🟢 BUY LIMIT +20 PIPS
🟢 BUY +110 PIPS
🔻 SELL +60 PIPS
❌ BUY -20 PIPS (SL)
🟢 BUY +100 PIPS
🎯 LIVE SESSION: BUY +120 PIPS | BUY +50 PIPS
💰 GOLD TOTAL: +1,350 PIPS
---
📅 FRIDAY 07/11/2025
🔻 SELL +60 PIPS
🟢 BUY +40 PIPS
🟢 BUY +90 PIPS
❌ BUY -40 PIPS (SL)
🟢 BUY +120 PIPS
🎯 LIVE SESSION: BUY +100 PIPS | BUY +125 PIPS | BUY +150 PIPS
💰 GOLD TOTAL: +645 PIPS
💎 BTC BONUS TRADES (Weekend):
SAT 08/11 → SELL +400 PIPS
SUN 09/11 → BUY +1,100 PIPS
---
📊 WEEKLY SUMMARY
🥇 GOLD TOTAL GAIN: +3,315 PIPS
💎 BTC/USD TOTAL GAIN: +2,400 PIPS
🚀 OVERALL TOTAL: +5,715 PIPS
✅ 48 Signals → 46 Wins | 2 SL
📈 Winning Rate: 96%
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🔥 Every setup, every session — verified precision and consistency!
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Gold Retracement ideaXAUUSD after a huge 3500 B/O, is it finally time for a pull back? Short positions can be taken targeting lower fib levels with proper risk management. Break of ATH invalidates any further pull backs. This is only market speculation and should not be considered as financial advise
We firmly go long when the market is blindly shorting.#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
From the hourly chart, the short-term gold price has broken through the resistance of the triangle pattern boundary. The market has made its choice, and it is clear that we bulls have won. Therefore, we can continue to execute our trading strategy for the next step. Wait for a pullback to 3995-3985 to buy again, with an initial target of 4020-4030.
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 11/11/2025As predicted, gold broke 4034 resistance and rose without any looking back and closed the day above 4100. Also as explained in my weekly post, I will be only engaging buying orders for this week. Therefore, I am going to implement buying the dips strategy. For today, I expect price to rise to 4150 and get rejected there. Thereafter, it will bounced from 4072 and should all the way test 4200 or even higher levels.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (Week 2, November 2025)🔹 Momentum
W1 timeframe:
Weekly momentum is approaching the oversold zone, suggesting a high probability of a bullish reversal within the next 1–2 weeks. Once confirmed, this could mark the beginning of a new medium- to long-term uptrend.
D1 timeframe:
Daily momentum is moving toward the overbought area. During the first 1–2 trading days of the week (starting Monday), there is a strong likelihood of a downward reversal. If that occurs, the price may enter a short corrective phase to bring D1 momentum back to the oversold zone.
When both D1 and W1 momentums turn upward together from oversold levels, it would signal the potential start of a new bullish trend.
H4 timeframe:
H4 momentum is currently declining, suggesting a possible short-term drop during the Asian session. However, since price is being compressed within the major liquidity zone (POC) highlighted on the chart, the next direction remains unclear. It’s best to wait for a clear breakout beyond this liquidity area before confirming the next move.
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🔹 Wave Structure
W1 timeframe:
The larger structure remains within wave (4) in yellow. With weekly momentum nearing oversold territory, wave (4) is likely to complete within the next 1–2 weeks, paving the way for the development of wave (5).
D1 timeframe:
The market is currently deep within the corrective phase of wave (4) in yellow, forming a W–X–Y pattern in purple.
• Wave W (purple) has been completed.
• Price is now likely forming wave X. Once wave X finishes, a downward move to complete wave Y is expected.
Wave W has already reached the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of wave (3), meaning the minimum price objective for wave (4) has been met. When price achieves its target quickly, Elliott theory suggests the structure often extends sideways to complete in terms of time rather than depth.
A notable possibility:
• Wave W is complete.
• Wave X may have finished as a three-wave a-b-c correction (black).
• Wave Y may now be evolving as a contracting triangle (a-b-c-d-e).
This scenario will be reinforced if D1 momentum moves into the oversold zone simultaneously with a bullish reversal on W1, while price holds above 3897.
H4 timeframe:
Since D1 momentum is likely to turn downward soon, the primary short-term bias remains toward the W–X–Y structure shown on the chart.
Price is currently oscillating around the POC (Point of Control – green line), the highest liquidity area.
Price is approaching this POC from below while both D1 and H4 momentums are near reversal points — signaling potential for another short-term decline to complete wave y.
The 4038 and 4145 zones act as strong resistances and could serve as potential completion points for wave X (purple).
At present, wave X is consolidating within a triangle pattern. Since triangles typically form through contracting, overlapping waves, it’s essential to wait for a clear breakout candle above or below the triangle to determine the next trend direction.
________________________________________
🔹 Trading Plan
In the short term, avoid opening new positions while the price remains within the compression zone.
It’s recommended to observe Monday’s market open for a confirmed breakout direction — once clarity appears, a more precise and safer trading plan can be established.
GOLD SWING SETUPGold is currently showing indecision on the H4 timeframe.
Within its internal structure, price is forming an uptrend, suggesting a possible reversal from the previous downtrend pattern.
If momentum continues, gold may break the reversal structure and align with the major uptrend.
The target area for this move is around 4050, where a new major uptrend formation could develop.
OUTLOOK XAUUSD 1H Analysis (6th November 2025)This just a trade Idea not a financial advise
BUY/SELL SCENARIOS:
BUYS:
1) Body Candle Close above the 3990.36 level.
2) Retest the failed 1h Bearish OB at the 3990.36 level.
3) Create a 3/5m Bullish Engulfing Candle to capitalize on BUYS towards the 4046.50 level.
SELLS:
1) Retest the 1h Bearish OB at the 3979.33 level.
2) Create a 3/5m Bearish CHOCH with a body candle close (with a FVG)
3)Retest the 3/5m Bearish CHOCH Level to capitalize on SELLS towards the 3915.30 level.
Trade smart, Trade safe and trade according to your trading plans. Cheers
Gold – Technical Outlook🔴 Bearish Scenario (Downtrend)
Pivot Level: 4000
If price trades below 4000, continuation to the downside is expected.
🎯 First target: 3930 (support zone)
If 3930 breaks → full bearish extension towards:
🎯 Next targets: 3895 – 3865
🟢 Bullish Scenario (Uptrend)
If price breaks and holds above 4000, upside momentum will strengthen.
🎯 First target: 4030 (resistance zone)
If 4030 breaks and holds on the 1H or 4H timeframe → strong bullish continuation towards:
🎯 Next targets: 4081 – 4133
Gold Accumulates on Support, 3,952 USD is the Gateway for a New🔍 Market Context
Gold is oscillating within a symmetrical triangle pattern , reflecting price compression and waiting for a breakout signal.
Buyers still maintain a short-term bullish structure, but the series of lower highs indicates increasing selling pressure.
The 3,959–3,964 USD zone is currently the “balance point” — if this area is breached, the downtrend could extend to the lower liquidity zone around 3,929–3,921 USD .
💎 Key Technical Zones
• Resistance Zone: 4,020 – 4,040 USD → the main resistance area of the triangle, where strong reactions are likely.
• Support Zone: 3,959 – 3,964 USD → the support area maintaining the bullish structure.
• Liquidity Zone: 3,929 – 3,921 USD → low liquidity area, potential to attract price stop sweeps before reversing.
🎯 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ BUY Setup – Prioritize when price holds above support
• Entry: 3,959 – 3,964 USD
• Stop Loss: 3,940 USD
• Take Profit:
– TP1: 3,985
– TP2: 4,020
– TP3: 4,040
– TP4: 4,096
✳️ “Buy the discount” – Buy at the trendline convergence support area when confirmation signals appear (rejection or bullish ChoCH).
2️⃣ SELL Setup – Scenario if support breaks
• Entry: 3,950 – 3,955 USD (after candle closes below support zone)
• Stop Loss: 3,970 USD
• Take Profit:
– TP1: 3,935
– TP2: 3,925
– TP3: 3,912
✳️ “Sell the breakdown” – Sell when support is clearly breached, targeting the lowest liquidity zone (3,921 USD).
💬 Summary
Gold is in a phase of accumulation before major volatility .
If it holds above the 3,952 USD zone → prioritize BUY following the bullish structure .
If it breaks below 3,952 USD → SELL following the breakout towards the Liquidity Zone.
The scenario will be clearly confirmed when the current symmetrical triangle is broken.
💡 Today's Tagline:
“Liquidity defines direction — follow where the money hides.”
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Updated: 11/04/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
3905 is running;By examining the gold chart on the 1-hour time frame, you can see that the price was able to break the support of 3962 and corrected to 3934;
Currently, gold is trading in the range of 3934, and the price is expected to move to the level of 3947 and continue its decline again to the area of 3905;
Gold - The most obvious top!🪙Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) will reverse soon:
🔎Analysis summary:
After we witnessed a major breakout back in 2024, Gold has been rallying about +120% ever since. However, Gold is now approaching a monster resistance trendline of the long term rising channel. It is really just a matter of time until Gold will create its official top.
📝Levels to watch:
$4,500
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Next week's gold trading strategyThe current battle between bulls and bears at the $4,000 mark is essentially a balance between "expectation of easing" and "policy divergence + profit selling pressure". There is no clear single-direction trend in the short term. The core of trading lies in "abandoning preconceptions and following signals".
It is recommended that investors focus on "confirmation breakout trading", holding a light position during range-bound periods and selling high and buying low with caution. They must absolutely avoid heavy bets on direction; they should closely monitor the signals of an upward breakthrough at $4,027 and a downward break below $3,984. Once the direction is confirmed, they should follow the trend and strictly execute stop-loss orders.
In the short term, if the $4,027 level can be broken through and held, it will open up an upward space of 15-30 dollars; if it falls below $3,984, it may test the support range of $3,963 - $3,950; if it remains in a range-bound state, it is recommended to reduce trading frequency and wait for clearer signals. As an ultra-short-term trade, one needs to maintain a "quick entry and quick exit" rhythm, not getting bogged down in long-term logic, and focus on short-term signals and changes in capital flow.
Next week's gold trading strategy
buy:3990-4000
tp:4020-4030
sl:3975
I WILL GO SHORT FOR GOLD , HOW ABOUT YOU GUYS ? I expect XAAUSD to test the zone based on my CMP (Current Market Price) technique — a method I use to identify potential reaction areas and key levels from a technical perspective.
🔍 Technical Outlook:
Price is approaching a CMP zone that may act as a reaction point.
I’ll be monitoring closely for a bearish engulfing pattern as confirmation before entering a trade.
🎯 Trade Plan:
Stop Loss: 50 pips
Take Profit: 1:2 or 1:3 R:R
Setup Type: CMP Reaction + Engulfing Confirmation
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis reflects my personal technical view and is not financial advice. Always do your own research before taking any trade.
The correction is over; buy gold on pullbacks.#XAUUSD TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
With the White House website indicating the ongoing US government shutdown, the normal release of key data such as ADP and NFP may be affected. The news briefly boosted gold prices, leading to a technical rebound in Asian trading.
From the daily chart, the short-term resistance is still around 3980-4000, which is also where the 4H middle line is located. For the bulls to make a full comeback, they need to break through this resistance range and hold above 4000. The current slow and volatile upward trend in gold prices indicates that the bulls still have room to maneuver. In the short term, one can try to continue to be bullish on gold by using the middle line of the hourly chart as a defense. Conservative traders can wait for a pullback to 3970-3955 to try to go long on gold.
Gold Trade Set Up Nov 5 2025Price has pulled back up during the Asia session from yesterdays drop. On the 4h we are still bearish but on the 1h and 15m we are making HH/HL. We got a 15m supply price is close to testing so i want to see price either respect it and make internal 5m bearish structure to go lower to take out SSL/London lows or break and close above it to continue higher to PDH
Gold: Tests key $4K levelThe most important news during the previous week was related to the Fed cut of reference interest rates by 25 basis points. Although the market was previously expecting another rate cut in December, Fed Chair Powell commented that such a course of action is currently questionable for Fed members. At the same time, other risks which previously pushed the price of gold to ATH have eased, so the price of gold remained in a quest to find a new equilibrium level. Analysts from Morgan Stanley stated on Friday that they are still estimating potential gains for gold, driven by interest rate cuts, ETF inflows, central bank buying, and persistent economic uncertainty. The bank projects gold will average $4,300 during the first half of 2026.
As expected, gold dropped during the previous week to the lowest weekly level at $3.888. The price reversed a bit for the rest of the week, closing it at $4.002. The level of $4K currently represents a significant level for gold. The RSI is still moving above the level of 50, however, it is on a course to reach the oversold market side in the coming period. On the other hand, moving averages of 50 and 200 days continue to move without a change from the previous period, as two parallel lines with an uptrend.
Charts are suggesting that the level of $4K will be the level to watch for another week in a row. The week ahead will start by testing this level. In case that it is not breached, there is a probability that the gold will revert back, where $4,1K could be a short term target. In case that selling orders prevail in the week ahead, then $3,9K will be a target of gold for one more time.
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for November 10thGold Technical Analysis:
Daily Resistance: 4145, Support: 3930.
4-Hour Resistance: 4085, Support: 4017.
1-Hour Resistance: 4085, Support: 4046.
Gold's current upward momentum is driven by a combination of factors: a weakening dollar, uncertainty surrounding the previous government shutdown, and geopolitical concerns, creating a perfect safe-haven storm.
Technically, the bullish outlook remains on longer timeframes such as the monthly and weekly charts, with clear bottom support. Rising expectations of a Fed rate cut further fuel this bullish sentiment. The weak dollar index supports gold prices, while weak employment data and a collapse in consumer confidence reinforce the narrative of an economic slowdown. With the US government reopening imminent after voting, previously missed data releases will cause significant volatility. Pay close attention to the implementation of the government reopening agreement; short-term safe-haven demand is unlikely to subside. Geopolitically, the ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine, the escalating Israeli-Palestinian conflict, and the renewed threat from the Houthis are multiple powder kegs increasing global political uncertainty.
Gold has broken out of its recent trading range on the daily candlestick chart, allowing for trend-following trading. On the upside, the key level to watch is 4080/85; whether it can hold is crucial for further bullish moves. A short-term "rounding bottom" pattern is quite evident on the daily chart. On the downside, watch for a retest of the 4000 level.
Looking at the 1-hour chart, the moving averages are in a bullish alignment, and support levels are moving higher. During the European and American sessions, focus on the continuation of the upward trend, paying attention to whether it can hold above 4080. Support is seen around 4055/4050.
Trading Strategy:
BUY: 4055~4050
BUY: 4018~4015
SELL: 4141~4150
More Analysis →
The bulls are back, and going long remains the main theme.#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Although the beginning of the week didn't offer a pullback entry opportunity, gold rallied immediately after the open, breaking through 4030 as expected and continuing its upward trend, officially signaling the return of the bulls to the market.
From the hourly chart, gold broke through the resistance of the upward channel at 4055 and continued to fluctuate upwards, indicating that the bullish momentum remains strong in the short term. However, attention should be paid to the resistance at 4080-4100 from the weekly MA5 moving average and the daily middle line, and be wary of a possible pullback after a surge. Therefore, in the short term, avoid blindly chasing the rally, patiently waiting for a pullback to buy remains our main trading strategy. The first support level to watch is the 4055-4045 level, a previous resistance turning point, followed by the important support at 4030-4020.
Therefore, if gold prices fall back after encountering resistance during the European session, we can consider going long on gold in batches based on the strength of the pullback.
Gold consolidates near 4000 as market awaits breakout1️⃣ Market Overview:
Gold (XAU/USD) climbed to $4008 earlier but was quickly sold off back to $3990, showing a strong tug-of-war between buyers and sellers.
Currently trading around $3998–$4002, the market remains in a tight consolidation phase ahead of potential volatility in the U.S. session.
The USD remains steady, while U.S. bond yields stay elevated — both limiting gold’s short-term upside momentum.
2️⃣ Technical Analysis:
• Resistance: $4008 – $4015 – $4025
• Support: $3990 – $3985 – $3972
• EMA50 (H1): around $3996 → acting as short-term dynamic support.
• RSI (H1): neutral near 50 → market still awaiting a decisive signal.
• Multiple spinning top candles on H1 indicate accumulation and indecision.
3️⃣ Outlook:
Gold continues to move sideways between $3990–$4010, showing price compression before a breakout.
If H1 closes above $4015, the bullish momentum could extend toward $4025–$4040.
However, a drop below $3988 could trigger another correction toward $3975.
4️⃣ Trading Strategy:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD
Entry: $4008 – $4012
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: $4016
🔺 BUY XAU/USD
Entry: $3975 – $3977
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: $3971






















