XAU/USD Analysis — Awaiting Breakout Confirmation for Bull Entry🏆 XAU/USD GOLD vs U.S. DOLLAR 🏆
📊 Swing/Day Trade Opportunity Guide
🎯 THE THIEF STRATEGY SETUP
Market: Precious Metals | Pair: XAU/USD (Spot Gold)
Timeframe: Multi-Timeframe Confirmation
Strategy Type: Breakout + Dynamic Support/Resistance
💡 BULLISH CASE CONFIRMED ✅
The bulls are on patrol! 🚨 Multiple confluences suggest an upside move:
✨ LSMA (Least Squares Moving Average) acting as dynamic support with multiple touch confirmations — classic reversal signal for swing traders. The metal is respecting this lower boundary like a fortress wall.
⚠️ Breakout Confirmation Required: Watch for a decisive close above 4,060.00 — this level marks a critical moving average resistance zone. Once breached, this becomes our green light for layered entries.
💰 ENTRY STRATEGY: "THE LAYERING THIEF METHOD" 💎
Instead of FOMO-ing into one position, we deploy the layered entry approach — multiple limit orders like a professional accumulator:
📍 Buy Limit Layers (After Breakout Confirmation):
Layer 1️⃣: 3,920.00 ← Initial dip catch
Layer 2️⃣: 3,960.00 ← Continuation entry
Layer 3️⃣: 4,000.00 ← Mid-zone accumulation
Layer 4️⃣: 4,040.00 ← Final confirmation level
⚡ Pro Tip: Scale these layers based on your account size and risk tolerance. You can add more layers every $20-$40 intervals.
🔔 CRITICAL:
✋ Wait for breakout confirmation above 4,060.00 before placing any buy orders. Premature entries = Stolen profits going nowhere! ❌
🛑 STOP LOSS (Risk Management)
Thief SL Level: 3,880.00 🎯
This is where the heist ends if the plan fails. Close below this support = Exit the building! 🚪
⚠️ Disclaimer Note: This stop loss is suggested as a reference point. Your SL placement depends on your risk appetite, account size, and trading personality. We're not financial advisors — only fellow traders sharing our playbook! Trade at your own risk. 💪
🎪 PROFIT TARGET: "THE POLICE BARRICADE" 🚔
Target Zone: 4,360.00 🏁
Why this level? Multiple reasons converge here:
📈 Strong historical resistance acting as a "police barricade"
🔴 Overbought conditions signal potential pullback territory
⚠️ Trap zone detected — this is where smart money takes profits!
Strategy: Scale out your positions as price approaches this zone. Don't get greedy and lose the win!
⚠️ Disclaimer Note: This profit target is OUR suggested zone, but YOU decide when to take profits. The choice is yours — stack those wins or hold for more. No financial advice here, just trading wisdom shared among Thief OG's! 🎩
🔗 CORRELATED PAIRS TO MONITOR 📡
Watch these related instruments for confluence signals:
💵 USD Index ( TVC:DXY ) — Inverse relationship with gold. If DXY weakens → XAU/USD strengthens. Monitor for divergence opportunities.
🏦 SPX500 ( CAPITALCOM:US500 ) — Risk sentiment indicator. Rising stocks = potential gold weakness. Use as confirmation filter.
FX:EURUSD — EUR strength = potential gold support. Cross-market divergences often precede major moves.
FX:GBPUSD — Pound weakness often correlates with gold rallies. Track for multi-timeframe alignment.
TVC:US10Y (10-Year Treasury Yield) — Inverse correlation. Rising yields = headwind for gold. Monitor daily for macro context.
📋 QUICK CHECKLIST ✅
Confirm LSMA support holds
Wait for 4,060.00 breakout confirmation
Place layered buy limits at 3,920/3,960/4,000/4,040
Set stop loss at 3,880.00
Scale profits into 4,360.00 resistance zone
Monitor correlated pairs for confluence
Respect risk management — never exceed 2% per trade
🎬 THE BOTTOM LINE 🎬
Gold is setting up for a potential swing trade move. The LSMA support is holding, and a breakout above 4,060.00 could trigger a run toward 4,360.00. Use the layering strategy to build positions methodically, protect capital with your chosen stop loss, and exit into resistance zones.
This is a confluence-based breakout play — not a guarantee, just probability on our side. 🎲
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#XAU/USD #GoldTrading #TradingStrategy #SwingTrade #DayTrading #ForexAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #ThiefStrategy #LSMA #BreakoutTrading #RiskManagement #TradingCommunity #MarketAnalysis #Commodities #MetalsMarket
Trade ideas
Gold consolidation selling pressure sidesGold is currently in a consolidation phase after testing the upper boundary of its bullish trend. Despite the broader uptrend, price weakness and shifting market sentiment are creating downward pressure.
Technically, gold is showing signs of selling pressure, suggesting the bullish momentum may be losing strength. If the current structure holds, the path of least resistance appears to be to the downside. We could see gold move lower toward the 3980–3960 support zone in the near term, provided that selling momentum continues and no new bullish catalysts emerge.
You may find more datils in the chart.
Trade wisely best of Luck Buddies.
Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Supporting.
XAU/USD: Bullish Structure Under Threat as Correction DeepensXAU/USD has entered a corrective phase following its explosive October rally, which printed a historic monthly candle and pushed gold into overbought territory. What once appeared as unstoppable bullish momentum is now showing clear signs of exhaustion, with price rapidly falling back toward the $4,000 psychological support.
On the 4H chart, price is in the final leg of an aggressive A-B-C correction, and a break below $3,850 would be critical — potentially collapsing the bullish structure and opening downside targets at $3,700 and $3,600, aligning with prior support zones and the lower boundary of the long-term upward channel.
While the monthly chart confirms the broader uptrend, the vertical spike followed by a pinbar-style candle hints at a possible exhaustion top. The rally may have overextended, and current consolidation under pressure suggests a shift in sentiment.
At this stage, gold is not trending higher — it’s fighting to hold structure. The bias shifts to "sell the rips", with dip buying only valid if the technical foundation remains intact. The path of least resistance now leans downward, and confirmation is key before taking directional positions.
XAU/USD — Bullish Continuation Setup (4H Chart)Gold (XAU/USD) has been consolidating near US $4,000 after rallying strongly to new highs above US $4,300 earlier this quarter.
Price has since formed a falling wedge / triangle pattern, signaling potential bullish continuation if buyers regain control.
Technical Outlook
Price is compressing between converging trendlines, with clear zones marked on the chart.
Buy confirmation: a breakout and close above 4,020–4,040 would signal bullish momentum.
If confirmed, price could extend toward 4,120–4,180, followed by 4,250+.
Buy invalidation: a breakdown below 3,940 would negate the bullish setup and expose the 3,900–3,860 support zone.
The overall structure remains constructive — a breakout above resistance would complete the wedge and potentially resume the broader uptrend channel.
Fundamental View (November 2025)
Fed policy: The Federal Reserve held rates steady in October but hinted at rate cuts in early 2026, a dovish tilt that supports gold.
Macro conditions: U.S. inflation (~3.2%) remains sticky, and bond yields are easing — reducing pressure on non-yielding assets like gold.
Safe-haven demand: Continued geopolitical tension in the Middle East and strong central-bank purchases (China, India, Turkey) add structural support.
Short-term risk: A brief U.S. dollar rebound may cause intraday volatility, but sentiment remains broadly bullish.
Trading Plan
Bias: Short-term bullish continuation
Breakout trigger: Above 4,020–4,040 (confirmed breakout)
Targets:
‣ TP1: 4,120–4,150
‣ TP2: 4,180–4,250
Invalidation: Below 3,940
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 11/11/2025As predicted, gold broke 4034 resistance and rose without any looking back and closed the day above 4100. Also as explained in my weekly post, I will be only engaging buying orders for this week. Therefore, I am going to implement buying the dips strategy. For today, I expect price to rise to 4150 and get rejected there. Thereafter, it will bounced from 4072 and should all the way test 4200 or even higher levels.
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 11/10/2025As explained in my weekly post, I am bullish in gold for this week. In lower TF, the trendline drawn in the chart is still valid. I do expect gold to rise from the trendline around 3990. If 4020 is broken, we could target 4038 or even 4062 today. However, if 3970 is broken, the bullish setup is invalidated.
Let's see what the market will give us.
Gold trend analysis!Gold is holding steady around $4000 as the U.S. government shutdown, now in its 38th day, fuels safe-haven demand and keeps traders cautious. The lack of official economic data, including job reports, has forced investors to rely on mixed private indicators, adding to uncertainty.
Expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in December have grown, with the CME Fed Watch Tool showing a 67% chance, up from 60% last week. This shift, combined with a softer U.S. dollar and falling Treasury yields, continues to support gold prices. The dollar index slipped to 99.56, while the 10-year Treasury yield dropped to 4.09%, both adding tailwinds for the metal.
Physical gold demand remains weak in India due to high prices, while China’s commodity policy changes could influence the market indirectly.
Technically, gold remains in an uptrend, holding firm above key support levels between $3846 and $3720. The 52-week moving average at $3222 continues to act as major support. On the upside, resistance is seen near $4134, with a potential target of $4381 if that level is broken.
Overall, gold maintains a bullish tone above $4000, supported by expectations of lower interest rates and ongoing safe-haven demand. However, a clear breakout likely depends on progress in resolving the U.S. shutdown or stronger signals from the Federal Reserve about future policy moves.
XAUUSD XAU/USD – Gold Analysis
Gold is approaching the upper boundary of the descending channel after a strong bounce from the midline support earlier today.
As it nears this zone, price faces a confluence of resistance factors: the descending trendline, the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement, and the upper Bollinger Band.
From this area, I’ll be looking for a short setup, targeting a move back toward the midline of the channel to capture the liquidity left by today’s upward move.
Fundamental Outlook:
The U.S. dollar remains firm as investors continue to favor USD as a safe-haven amid ongoing geopolitical tensions and uncertainty around global growth.
The Federal Reserve’s cautious stance and limited expectations for rate cuts are supporting higher Treasury yields, which typically weigh on gold prices.
However, gold’s safe-haven demand could re-emerge if geopolitical risks intensify or U.S. economic data begins to soften.
For now, the short-term bias remains bearish, with gold under pressure from strong USD fundamentals and technical resistance zones above.
Summary:
📈 Testing major resistance (trendline + 0.5 Fibo + Bollinger top).
📉 Looking for short setups near 4024.
🎯 Target: Mid-channel around 3962.
⚙️ Fundamentals: Strong USD and yields keep gold capped short-term.
💡 Bias: Bearish near resistance, bullish only if price breaks above the channel.
Xau/Usd - Gold Testing Key Resistance, Breakout or Rejection?Gold is currently trading around $4,016, testing a key resistance zone after several rejections in the past sessions. Price action shows a clear ascending trendline support, forming higher lows, indicating a short-term bullish structure.
Key Technicals
Resistance Zone: $4,015 – $4,025
Trendline Support: Connecting recent higher lows (Nov 5–8)
Structure: Ascending channel / uptrend continuation setup
Possible Scenarios
Bullish Breakout:
A confirmed breakout above the resistance zone with strong volume could signal continuation toward the next target levels around $4,060 – $4,100.
Bearish Rejection:
If price fails to break above resistance and closes below the trendline support, expect a correction toward $3,960 – $3,940 as the next support zone.
Trading Plan
Buy Breakout: Above $4,025 with confirmation
Sell Rejection: Below $4,000 and trendline break
Risk Management: Use stop-loss below last swing low or above last swing high depending on entry
Note
Wait for clear confirmation before entering either direction — this area has been a strong liquidity zone recently.
ElDoradoFx – GOLD ANALYSIS (10/11/2025, ASIA SESSION)1. Market Overview
Gold opens the Asian session consolidating near $4,000–$4,003, after the US session’s liquidity sweeps on both sides of the range. Price remains trapped between $3,985 support and $4,016 resistance, showing a symmetrical compression pattern.
The market sentiment is currently neutral, awaiting a breakout from this coil — which will likely set the tone for the London continuation.
⸻
2. Technical Breakdown
🔹 Daily (D1):
Price is stabilizing above the 50EMA with RSI around 51 — neutral but slightly leaning bullish. A daily close above $4,016 would reestablish bullish continuation toward $4,036–$4,050, while a drop below $3,975 could shift momentum back to bearish.
🔹 H1:
Gold is respecting the descending trendline from $4,027, while creating a higher-low structure from $3,985. The 200EMA near $4,006–$4,010 acts as key intraday resistance, currently rejecting buyers. EMAs are converging, signaling volatility buildup before expansion.
🔹 15M–5M:
Short-term CHoCH confirmed after liquidity sweep at $3,985, but momentum faded below $4,010. RSI sits around 48–50 and MACD shows flattening histogram — both suggesting indecision ahead of the Asian liquidity phase.
⸻
3. Fibonacci Analysis (Last Swing 3,984 → 4,027)
• 38.2% = $4,011
• 50.0% = $4,006
• 61.8% = $4,001
🎯 Golden Zone: $4,011 – $4,001 (Potential buy reaction area on retest)
⸻
4. High-Probability Trade Scenarios
📈 BUY SCENARIO (Primary Bias)
• Entry Zone: $4,006 – $4,001 (Golden Zone)**
• Targets: $4,016 → $4,027 → $4,036
• Stop Loss: Below $3,992
• Confirmation: Bullish engulfing candle or CHoCH on 5M from Golden Zone.
• Confluence: Support trendline + 61.8% Fib + EMA cluster + RSI recovery from 40–45.
📉 SELL SCENARIO (Countertrend)
• Entry Zone: $4,010 – $4,016 (Supply + 200EMA + trendline resistance)**
• Targets: $4,000 → $3,990 → $3,975
• Stop Loss: Above $4,020
• Confirmation: Bearish rejection candle with RSI divergence (60–65 range).
• Confluence: Strong horizontal supply + descending resistance + MACD bearish cross.
💥 BREAKOUT SETUP
• Bullish Break: Close above $4,016 → Retest $4,010 → Targets $4,027 → $4,036 → $4,050.
• Bearish Break: Close below $3,985 → Retest $3,990 → Targets $3,976 → $3,960.
⸻
5. Fundamental Watch
• Asia session: Low volatility expected before London liquidity expansion.
• DXY near 106.0 — holding steady, which could limit upside momentum until London.
• No major macro data during Asia; technical levels will dominate.
⸻
6. Key Technical Levels
Resistance: 4,010 / 4,016 / 4,027 / 4,036
Support: 4,001 / 3,992 / 3,985 / 3,975
Golden Zone: 4,011 – 4,001
Breakout Triggers: >4,016 (Bullish) | <3,985 (Bearish)
⸻
7. Analyst Summary
Gold continues to accumulate liquidity within a symmetrical range, trapped between 200EMA resistance and ascending support. A breakout above $4,016 could trigger bullish continuation toward $4,036–$4,050, while a rejection here would likely send price back to $3,992–$3,975 before a new leg forms.
⸻
8. Final Bias Summary
📊 Bias: Neutral-to-bullish above $3,985; bearish only below $3,975.
🎯 Focus: Monitor reaction at $4,006–$4,010 (EMA cluster) and watch for breakout confirmation beyond $4,016.
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🥇 GOLD – ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 – WEEKLY PERFORMANCE (03/11/2025 TO 07/11/2025)
🔥 Massive week for PREMIUM 3.0 — consistent GOLD setups, BTC profits, and double LIVE session wins!
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📅 MONDAY 03/11/2025
🟢 BUY +120 PIPS
🟢 BUY +30 PIPS
🔻 SELL +90 PIPS
🟢 BUY +40 PIPS
🟢 BUY LIMIT +200 PIPS
🔻 SELL +20 PIPS
🟢 BUY +40 PIPS
🟢 BUY +20 PIPS
🟢 BUY +40 PIPS
💰 GOLD TOTAL: +600 PIPS
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📅 TUESDAY 04/11/2025
🔻 SELL +20 PIPS
🟢 BUY LIMIT +70 PIPS
🔻 SELL +30 PIPS
🟢 BUY +20 PIPS
🟢 BUY +20 PIPS
🔻 SELL +240 PIPS
🎯 LIVE TRADING SESSION
🔻 SELL +20 PIPS
🔻 SELL +20 PIPS
🔻 SELL +170 PIPS
💰 GOLD TOTAL: +400 PIPS
---
📅 WEDNESDAY 05/11/2025
🔻 SELL +40 PIPS
🟢 BUY LIMIT +20 PIPS
🟢 BUY LIMIT +60 PIPS
🔻 SELL +60 PIPS
🟢 BUY +40 PIPS
🟢 BUY +260 PIPS
🔻 SELL +80 PIPS
🟢 BUY +110 PIPS
💎 BTC/USD TRADE: SELL +900 PIPS
💰 TOTAL DAILY GAIN: +1,570 PIPS
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📅 THURSDAY 06/11/2025
🟢 BUY (Swing) +610 PIPS (from 05/11)
🔻 SELL +40 PIPS
🔻 SELL LIMIT +70 PIPS
🟢 BUY +40 PIPS
🟢 BUY +150 PIPS
🟢 BUY LIMIT +20 PIPS
🟢 BUY +110 PIPS
🔻 SELL +60 PIPS
❌ BUY -20 PIPS (SL)
🟢 BUY +100 PIPS
🎯 LIVE SESSION: BUY +120 PIPS | BUY +50 PIPS
💰 GOLD TOTAL: +1,350 PIPS
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📅 FRIDAY 07/11/2025
🔻 SELL +60 PIPS
🟢 BUY +40 PIPS
🟢 BUY +90 PIPS
❌ BUY -40 PIPS (SL)
🟢 BUY +120 PIPS
🎯 LIVE SESSION: BUY +100 PIPS | BUY +125 PIPS | BUY +150 PIPS
💰 GOLD TOTAL: +645 PIPS
💎 BTC BONUS TRADES (Weekend):
SAT 08/11 → SELL +400 PIPS
SUN 09/11 → BUY +1,100 PIPS
---
📊 WEEKLY SUMMARY
🥇 GOLD TOTAL GAIN: +3,315 PIPS
💎 BTC/USD TOTAL GAIN: +2,400 PIPS
🚀 OVERALL TOTAL: +5,715 PIPS
✅ 48 Signals → 46 Wins | 2 SL
📈 Winning Rate: 96%
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🔥 Every setup, every session — verified precision and consistency!
Join ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 and level up your trading game.
— ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 Team 🚀
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (Week 2, November 2025)🔹 Momentum
W1 timeframe:
Weekly momentum is approaching the oversold zone, suggesting a high probability of a bullish reversal within the next 1–2 weeks. Once confirmed, this could mark the beginning of a new medium- to long-term uptrend.
D1 timeframe:
Daily momentum is moving toward the overbought area. During the first 1–2 trading days of the week (starting Monday), there is a strong likelihood of a downward reversal. If that occurs, the price may enter a short corrective phase to bring D1 momentum back to the oversold zone.
When both D1 and W1 momentums turn upward together from oversold levels, it would signal the potential start of a new bullish trend.
H4 timeframe:
H4 momentum is currently declining, suggesting a possible short-term drop during the Asian session. However, since price is being compressed within the major liquidity zone (POC) highlighted on the chart, the next direction remains unclear. It’s best to wait for a clear breakout beyond this liquidity area before confirming the next move.
________________________________________
🔹 Wave Structure
W1 timeframe:
The larger structure remains within wave (4) in yellow. With weekly momentum nearing oversold territory, wave (4) is likely to complete within the next 1–2 weeks, paving the way for the development of wave (5).
D1 timeframe:
The market is currently deep within the corrective phase of wave (4) in yellow, forming a W–X–Y pattern in purple.
• Wave W (purple) has been completed.
• Price is now likely forming wave X. Once wave X finishes, a downward move to complete wave Y is expected.
Wave W has already reached the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of wave (3), meaning the minimum price objective for wave (4) has been met. When price achieves its target quickly, Elliott theory suggests the structure often extends sideways to complete in terms of time rather than depth.
A notable possibility:
• Wave W is complete.
• Wave X may have finished as a three-wave a-b-c correction (black).
• Wave Y may now be evolving as a contracting triangle (a-b-c-d-e).
This scenario will be reinforced if D1 momentum moves into the oversold zone simultaneously with a bullish reversal on W1, while price holds above 3897.
H4 timeframe:
Since D1 momentum is likely to turn downward soon, the primary short-term bias remains toward the W–X–Y structure shown on the chart.
Price is currently oscillating around the POC (Point of Control – green line), the highest liquidity area.
Price is approaching this POC from below while both D1 and H4 momentums are near reversal points — signaling potential for another short-term decline to complete wave y.
The 4038 and 4145 zones act as strong resistances and could serve as potential completion points for wave X (purple).
At present, wave X is consolidating within a triangle pattern. Since triangles typically form through contracting, overlapping waves, it’s essential to wait for a clear breakout candle above or below the triangle to determine the next trend direction.
________________________________________
🔹 Trading Plan
In the short term, avoid opening new positions while the price remains within the compression zone.
It’s recommended to observe Monday’s market open for a confirmed breakout direction — once clarity appears, a more precise and safer trading plan can be established.
We firmly go long when the market is blindly shorting.#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
From the hourly chart, the short-term gold price has broken through the resistance of the triangle pattern boundary. The market has made its choice, and it is clear that we bulls have won. Therefore, we can continue to execute our trading strategy for the next step. Wait for a pullback to 3995-3985 to buy again, with an initial target of 4020-4030.
The bulls are back, and going long remains the main theme.#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Although the beginning of the week didn't offer a pullback entry opportunity, gold rallied immediately after the open, breaking through 4030 as expected and continuing its upward trend, officially signaling the return of the bulls to the market.
From the hourly chart, gold broke through the resistance of the upward channel at 4055 and continued to fluctuate upwards, indicating that the bullish momentum remains strong in the short term. However, attention should be paid to the resistance at 4080-4100 from the weekly MA5 moving average and the daily middle line, and be wary of a possible pullback after a surge. Therefore, in the short term, avoid blindly chasing the rally, patiently waiting for a pullback to buy remains our main trading strategy. The first support level to watch is the 4055-4045 level, a previous resistance turning point, followed by the important support at 4030-4020.
Therefore, if gold prices fall back after encountering resistance during the European session, we can consider going long on gold in batches based on the strength of the pullback.
GOLD SWING SETUPGold is currently showing indecision on the H4 timeframe.
Within its internal structure, price is forming an uptrend, suggesting a possible reversal from the previous downtrend pattern.
If momentum continues, gold may break the reversal structure and align with the major uptrend.
The target area for this move is around 4050, where a new major uptrend formation could develop.
OUTLOOK XAUUSD 1H Analysis (6th November 2025)This just a trade Idea not a financial advise
BUY/SELL SCENARIOS:
BUYS:
1) Body Candle Close above the 3990.36 level.
2) Retest the failed 1h Bearish OB at the 3990.36 level.
3) Create a 3/5m Bullish Engulfing Candle to capitalize on BUYS towards the 4046.50 level.
SELLS:
1) Retest the 1h Bearish OB at the 3979.33 level.
2) Create a 3/5m Bearish CHOCH with a body candle close (with a FVG)
3)Retest the 3/5m Bearish CHOCH Level to capitalize on SELLS towards the 3915.30 level.
Trade smart, Trade safe and trade according to your trading plans. Cheers
Gold – Technical Outlook🔴 Bearish Scenario (Downtrend)
Pivot Level: 4000
If price trades below 4000, continuation to the downside is expected.
🎯 First target: 3930 (support zone)
If 3930 breaks → full bearish extension towards:
🎯 Next targets: 3895 – 3865
🟢 Bullish Scenario (Uptrend)
If price breaks and holds above 4000, upside momentum will strengthen.
🎯 First target: 4030 (resistance zone)
If 4030 breaks and holds on the 1H or 4H timeframe → strong bullish continuation towards:
🎯 Next targets: 4081 – 4133
3905 is running;By examining the gold chart on the 1-hour time frame, you can see that the price was able to break the support of 3962 and corrected to 3934;
Currently, gold is trading in the range of 3934, and the price is expected to move to the level of 3947 and continue its decline again to the area of 3905;
Next week's gold trading strategyThe current battle between bulls and bears at the $4,000 mark is essentially a balance between "expectation of easing" and "policy divergence + profit selling pressure". There is no clear single-direction trend in the short term. The core of trading lies in "abandoning preconceptions and following signals".
It is recommended that investors focus on "confirmation breakout trading", holding a light position during range-bound periods and selling high and buying low with caution. They must absolutely avoid heavy bets on direction; they should closely monitor the signals of an upward breakthrough at $4,027 and a downward break below $3,984. Once the direction is confirmed, they should follow the trend and strictly execute stop-loss orders.
In the short term, if the $4,027 level can be broken through and held, it will open up an upward space of 15-30 dollars; if it falls below $3,984, it may test the support range of $3,963 - $3,950; if it remains in a range-bound state, it is recommended to reduce trading frequency and wait for clearer signals. As an ultra-short-term trade, one needs to maintain a "quick entry and quick exit" rhythm, not getting bogged down in long-term logic, and focus on short-term signals and changes in capital flow.
Next week's gold trading strategy
buy:3990-4000
tp:4020-4030
sl:3975
I WILL GO SHORT FOR GOLD , HOW ABOUT YOU GUYS ? I expect XAAUSD to test the zone based on my CMP (Current Market Price) technique — a method I use to identify potential reaction areas and key levels from a technical perspective.
🔍 Technical Outlook:
Price is approaching a CMP zone that may act as a reaction point.
I’ll be monitoring closely for a bearish engulfing pattern as confirmation before entering a trade.
🎯 Trade Plan:
Stop Loss: 50 pips
Take Profit: 1:2 or 1:3 R:R
Setup Type: CMP Reaction + Engulfing Confirmation
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis reflects my personal technical view and is not financial advice. Always do your own research before taking any trade.






















