XAUUSD-seeking $4,000 region?As my H4 chart shows, gold did make a double top a few days ago and then crashed. You can give credit for this massive 3,800 points move to profit taking or economic uncertainty or any technical reason, maybe a combination but it really does not matter.
What does matter is that we now have a double or triple top indicating that we have more room to the down side. I am seeing a medium term bearish move followed by a consolidation and now it may be that we will get a breakout (to the down side) to give us a bearish continuation.
How far will we go? I have no idea but the round number 4,000 followed by 3,950 do make sense. If all this works out as I anticipate, it may be a good idea to close a partial position, move the stop to a level of small profit and then trail the price action.
Trade ideas
XAUUSD Crashes 1500 Pips — Key Supports Gone!Gold started the week poorly, dropping around 1500 pips and, more importantly, breaking three key support levels:
• the rising trendline that started back in August,
• the 4020 horizontal support zone,
• and even the psychological 4000 level.
Overnight, the price attempted to reclaim 4000, but failed — currently trading around 3965.
The next immediate support sits at 3945, and even if we see a rebound from here, bulls will need to hold the price firmly above 4000 to have any chance of a reversal.
If this level also fails, the next obvious medium-term target is the 3720–3750 zone.
I m bearish for now, but there isn’t a clean or logical entry point at the current levels — I will wait until a clearer setup forms.
XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) chart on the 4-hour timeframe..XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) chart on the 4-hour timeframe, here’s the analysis based on what’s visible:
My drawn a rising trendline that has been broken to the downside — suggesting a bearish breakout.
The price is currently trading around $4,035, below the Ichimoku cloud (which adds to bearish confirmation).
I have two target points already marked on the chart, showing potential downside levels.
Based on my chart markings:
🎯 Target 1: Around $3,960
🎯 Target 2: Around $3,780 – $3,800
These targets match the measured move from the range of the consolidation (roughly $150–$200) projected downward from the breakout level.
✅ Summary:
Current price: ~$4,035
First target: ~$3,960
Second target: ~$3,780
Bearish bias remains valid while price stays below ~$4,150–$4,200 (the resistance and cloud zone).
Gold Rebound: Bulls Target 4,130 ResistanceHello, traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Gold has been trading within a broad technical structure, evolving from a strong bullish phase into a corrective descending channel. The previous uptrend was clearly defined by an ascending channel, which guided the price through multiple impulsive rallies and pullbacks. However, after forming a double-top pattern near the 4320 resistance level, buyers began to lose momentum, resulting in a sharp decline. Currently, the price is trading within a well-defined descending channel, where sellers have been maintaining short-term control. After a deep test of the Buyer Zone around 3920, the market has shown early signs of a potential rebound. The asset is now pulling back from this support area and is approaching the resistance line of the descending channel. In my opinion, this upward correction represents a short-term recovery within a larger bearish context. I expect that the price will rally towards the Resistance Level near 4130–4140, where strong selling pressure may reappear. This area is also aligned with the upper boundary of the descending channel, creating a strong confluence zone. A rejection from this resistance line would confirm the continuation of the bearish structure. The next potential move could be a rotation back down towards the Buyer Zone, or even a deeper retest of the Support Line around 3920. My take-profit (TP1) for the corrective rally is placed at 4108, targeting the upper range of the structure before the next potential reversal. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
( Gold Protocol ) Bearish Reversal Detected( Gold Protocol ) Bearish Reversal Detected
Bearish Reversal : 3978
Status: Active Reversal Protocol
Symbol: Gold
Session: London–New York Overlap (Smart Exit Window)
➕Bias: Bullish & bearish Reversal
☄️ Volume Surge Confirmed — Sellers dominate exhausted highs
☄️ Session Aligned — Smart money exit window open
☄️ Cluster Shield Active — Supply imbalance verified
☄️ Delta Shift Negative — Buyers trapped above
☄️ POC Retest Completed — Liquidity absorbed at resistance
☄️ Structure Break Pending — Bearish bias confirmed
Goal: Controlled with minimal drawdown
Tactical Edge: Reversal Protocol through liquidity engineering
Confidence Level: ★★★★★ (Smart Money Aligned)
PRICE ACTION – The True Language of the MarketIn the noisy world of trading, filled with indicators, signals, and formulas, Price Action brings you back to the core: price. When you remove all indicators, erase moving averages, and forget RSI, the only thing left on your chart is the footprint of the market – the candles telling their story.
What is Price Action – and why is it the “true language”?
Price Action is not a “magic trick” or an infallible trading system. It is the art of listening to the market, the ability to read the rhythm of money flow and human emotions reflected in every price movement. Each candle is not just data – it is a story of hope and fear, of buyers and sellers, of greed and doubt. A Price Action trader does not predict the market – they observe how the market reacts.
Price – where emotions are written in candles
Price never moves randomly. Every high and low is the result of millions of human decisions.
When price breaks a high: it’s confidence and euphoria.
When price breaks a low: it’s fear and panic.
When price moves sideways: it’s waiting and doubt.
Price Action teaches you to read the emotions behind each click, not just the shape of the candle.
Market structure – the backbone of Price Action
Behind every trend lies a clear structure. The market cycles through three phases:
Accumulation – buyers and sellers struggle, price moves sideways.
Expansion – one side dominates, trend forms.
Distribution – winners take profits, losers retreat.
Understanding market structure means knowing where you are in the cycle, avoiding blind trades, and acting with purpose.
Every candle – a small story in the bigger picture
A long lower shadow signals strong buying pressure.
A pinbar at resistance shows price rejection.
A series of small candles indicates accumulation and an impending breakout.
A Price Action trader does not see candles individually but connects them into the full story – where every move has a reason.
The power of simplicity
Price Action is simple, yet far from simplistic. It is not lagging like indicators, not dependent on false signals, and can be applied across all markets – from Forex and gold to crypto. When you read price action, you are no longer passive, waiting for a signal; you become the navigator, following the market’s heartbeat.
The mindset of a professional Price Action trader
A professional Price Action trader doesn’t ask, “When should I enter?” Instead, they ask:
Who is controlling the market?
Where is the money flowing?
Has this price area reversed before?
Am I moving with the money or against it?
The difference lies not in technique, but in mindset and reaction. The market doesn’t need you to win. It rewards those who understand how it operates.
When you read price, you understand people
Price Action is not a tool; it is a living perspective on market psychology. It doesn’t promise perfection, but it gives you profound understanding. When you read price – you are reading human psychology. When you understand structure – you grasp the rhythm of emotional cycles. And when you immerse yourself in Price Action, you are no longer guessing prices – you move with the market, heartbeat by heartbeat, move by move, opportunity by opportunity.
GOLD → Sell-off due to uncertainty FX:XAUUSD is falling, the trend is downward, and we have confirmation of this. Profit-taking is leading to a decline, which is causing buyers to exit the market...
Caution ahead of the Fed: Markets are pricing in a 25 bp rate cut, but the main thing is the tone of the statement and Powell's comments on further steps. The USD is not ready to continue its growth and is starting to look downwards. The US government shutdown continues, adding uncertainty, which supports gold.
However, an important issue is the trade deal between the US and China; a positive outcome could put pressure on gold.
Gold is balancing between hopes for a trade truce and risks from Fed policy.
Support levels: 3895, 3820
Resistance levels: 3943, 3975, 4015
Since the opening of the session, the price has fallen by 2.3%, which is an intraday range. The 3900-3895 area may see a reaction in the form of a false breakdown and a correction to the imbalance zone before a possible further decline.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold A waiting for rebound raising hopes for a potential tradeGold prices regained some lost ground on Tuesday after breaking below the key 4,000 support level. Following a sharp 32% decline in the previous session, the market is showing signs of stabilization. The rebound was supported by encouraging progress in U.S.–China trade negotiations, as both countries agreed to withdraw threats of 100% tariffs. Additionally, optimism has increased ahead of Thursday’s meeting between U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping, raising hopes for a potential trade deal.
Technical Outlook:
From a technical perspective, the recent decline suggests that gold prices may retest the 3,925 / 3,900 support zone. It’s important to monitor this area closely — a clear break below could open the door for deeper downside movement. On the upside, if the bulls manage to reclaim and hold above 4,050, the market could see a short-term recovery toward the 3,985 / resistance area.
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of Luck Buddies.
Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Supporting.
XAUUSD – After Powell’s Speech, Gold Is Losing Its Shine!The gold market has entered a tense phase after Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s remarks on October 29. Although the Fed cut rates by 0.25% as expected, Powell maintained a cautious and slightly hawkish tone, leading investors to doubt the possibility of an aggressive easing cycle ahead. As a result, the USD strengthened while gold lost its upward momentum — a clear signal that the bearish trend is taking control.
On the H2 chart, gold is moving within a well-defined descending channel , consistently forming lower highs and lower lows. Each attempt to retest resistance has been met with strong rejection, confirming that sellers remain in control.
The 3,960,000 zone is acting as a key resistance level where price could bounce slightly before continuing its decline. If this level fails to break, the next bearish targets lie around 3,850,000 and deeper towards 3,790,000, aligning with the lower boundary of the channel.
With the current technical setup and market sentiment favoring the USD, every pullback in gold is merely an opportunity for sellers to take action.
When Powell says “cautious,” the market hears “sell gold!”
XAU/USD Strong Rally: Will Gold Continue Its Upward Trend?XAU/USD has experienced a strong recovery , bouncing back from the key support zone around 3,950,000. This short-term rebound is driven by a combination of factors, especially the positive market sentiment following expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) may cut interest rates. Hopes for economic stimulus measures have increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset, particularly in the context of economic and geopolitical instability .
Looking at the chart, we can see that the price of gold is respecting an upward trendline, creating higher lows. This indicates that the bullish momentum remains intact after recent pullbacks. The price is currently hovering around 4,018,210, near a short-term resistance zone.
Support Zone: The most recent low near 3,950,000 has held strong, acting as a key support level.
Resistance Zone: The short-term resistance lies around 4,080,000, which is a critical level to watch if the upward momentum continues. A break above this level could lead to further upward movement.
The next market move will depend on whether the price can maintain the 4,000,000 level. Traders should monitor price action around these key levels to confirm a breakout or a correction.
THE KOG REPORT - FOMCTHE KOG REPORT – FOMC
This is our view for FOMC, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price.
We’ve done pretty well this week so we’ll only share the levels and potential path but say that it’s really not worth getting involved in the FOMC move itself. We’d rather wait for them to move the price and then look for a set up to get a trade due to the extreme volatility on gold this month.
Below, we have the support level 3965-75 which needs to hold us up in order for this daily candle to close bullish and attempt to target the higher liquidity regions of 4050 and above that 4095. A break above which is very possible will take us into our area or interest which is around the 4150 region. It’s that region we will want to watch, if approached and we get a reaction, an opportunity to short from there may be available to traders.
Because we’re already in long from the swing, there is no point attempting to short it from here, instead, if we do go downside into the lower levels, we will be looking at the 3840-60 regions for a reaction in price to then attempt the scalp long.
RED BOXES:
Break below 3985 for 3955 and 3938 in extension of the move
Break above 4003 for 4020, 4030 and 4061 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold has entered a sideways and choppy phase after reaching a new high and undergoing a correction.
The price is now consolidating within a narrow range between support and resistance, showing limited directional momentum in the short term.
In this area, we expect a short-term upward correction before the market resumes its downward move toward the highlighted support zones.
As long as gold remains below the resistance zone, the market is likely to continue its range-bound behavior followed by another bearish leg.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
XAUUSD: Healthy Pullback or the Start of a Downtrend?👋Hello everyone! What do you think about the current trend of OANDA:XAUUSD ?
Looking at last week’s movement, gold experienced a pullback after nine consecutive weeks of gains. By the end of Friday’s session, price action remained relatively calm, consolidating around the $4115 area while maintaining the psychological support near $4000.
From a technical perspective, it’s still too early to conclude whether this marks the beginning of a bearish trend or just a temporary correction. However, in the short term, from my view — and that of many others — this looks more like a healthy correction than a full trend reversal.
The fundamental reasons supporting gold’s strength haven’t disappeared. The U.S. government shutdown continues, meaning we’re not receiving key economic data — increasing overall uncertainty. Meanwhile, central banks like Russia and China keep accumulating gold aggressively, and ongoing geopolitical tensions surrounding the war in Ukraine continue to support gold as a safe-haven asset.
Technically, after forming a double top, gold has entered an accumulation phase, potentially setting up for a new bullish structure. If price can break above the current resistance zone, it could open the door for a strong upward continuation.
And you — what’s your view on the future of this precious metal? 💬 Share your thoughts in the comments below!
Gold next week Key S/R Levels and Outlook for Traders🔥 GOLD WEEKLY SNAPSHOT — BY PROJECTSYNDICATE
🏆 High/Close: $4,380 → ~$4,112 — lower close within range; momentum cooled but holding the $4,000 handle.
📈 Trend: Uptrend intact > $4,000; oversold into $4.1k—setup favors reflex bounce.
🛡 Supports: $4,120–$4,080 → $4,020–$3,988 (bullish liquidity) → $4,000/3,980 must hold.
🚧 Resistances: $4,200 / $4,250 (bearish liquidity) / $4,300 → stretch $4,350–$4,380.
🧭 Bias next week: Buy-the-dip $4,020–$3,988; momentum regain above $4,200 targets $4,250 → $4,300–$4,350. Invalidation < $3,980 risks a deeper flush to $3,950.
🌍 Macro tailwinds:
• Policy: Easing real yields supportive on dips.
• FX: Softer USD tone = constructive backdrop.
• Flows: Central-bank buying + tactical ETF interest underpin $4k.
• Geopolitics: Trade/tariff & regional tensions keep safety bids alive.
🎯 Street view: Select houses still float $5,000/oz by 2026 on policy easing & reserve-diversification narratives.
________________________________________
🔝 Key Resistance Zones
• $4,200–$4,230 immediate supply from the weekly close
• $4,250 bearish liquidity / primary target
• $4,300–$4,350 extension band
• $4,380 prior spike high / stretch
🛡 Support Zones
• $4,120–$4,080 first retest band below close
• $4,020–$3,988 buy zone (bullish liquidity)
• $4,000 / $3,980 must-hold shelf
________________________________________
⚖️ Base Case Scenario
Expect pullbacks into $4,120–$4,080 and $4,020–$3,988 to attract buyers, rotating price back toward $4,200 then $4,250. Acceptance above $4,250 invites a drive into $4,300–$4,350.
🚀 Breakout Trigger
A sustained push/acceptance > ~$4,250 unlocks $4,300 → $4,350, with room toward $4,380 if momentum persists.
💡 Market Drivers
• Real-yield drift lower (supportive carry backdrop)
• USD softness aiding metals
• Ongoing CB accumulation; ETF flows stabilizing on dips
• Headline risk (trade/geopolitics) sustaining safe-haven demand
🔓 Bull / Bear Trigger Lines
• Bullish above: $4,020–$4,100 (buyers defend pullbacks)
• Bearish below: $3,980 (risk expands; threatens $3,950)
🧭 Strategy
Buy low from bullish liquidity (~$3,988) with a target at $4,250; oversold conditions favor a strong bounce. Add on strength above $4,200 toward $4,300–$4,350. Keep risk tight below $3,980–$4,000 to invalidate.
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 4042 and a gap below at 3992. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
4042
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4042 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
4089
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4089 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
4136
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4136 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
4194
BEARISH TARGETS
3992
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3992 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3956
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3956 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3922
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3922 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3866
3820
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD: Waiting For the Bulls To Join the PartyGOLD: Waiting For the Bulls To Join the Party
From our previous analysis, gold reached the same target twice. The bullish momentum is low, but it could increase over time.
The prevailing trend is evident, which is intact and remains bullish.
Today on the US economic calendar, the PCE data was expected to be reported.
Given that we have a data shortage due to the US government shutdown, this could raise questions again and could help gold to rise.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Previous analysis:
( Gold Protocol ) Bearish Reversal Detected
Status: Active Reversal Protocol
🆚Symbol: Gold
Session: London–New York Overlap (Smart Exit Window)
Bearish Reversal 4062
☄️ Volume Surge Confirmed — Sellers dominate exhausted highs
☄️ Session Aligned — Smart money exit window open
☄️ Cluster Shield Active — Supply imbalance verified
☄️ Delta Shift Negative — Buyers trapped above
☄️ POC Retest Completed — Liquidity absorbed at resistance
☄️ Structure Break Pending — Bearish bias confirmed
🚀 Logic: This is engineered reversal, not prediction.
🚀 Objective: Controlled execution with minimal drawdown.
Goal: Controlled Both Sides with minimal drawdown
★★★★★ (Smart Money Aligned)
XAUUSD Long: Demand Zone Holding, Eyes on $4,080Hello traders! Gold (XAUUSD) is currently showing a corrective phase within its broader bullish trend. After a strong rally from the $3,850 Demand Zone, price climbed steadily along the ascending Trend Line, forming higher highs and higher lows until reaching the $4,150–$4,180 Resistance Area. This zone acted as a key pivot point, where buyers lost momentum and sellers initiated a retracement.
Following this, the market broke below the Trend Line, signaling the start of a short-term correction. The correction found temporary support near the $3,950 Demand Zone, where buyers have recently stepped in again. This level coincides with a previous pivot and a key structural support area, suggesting a potential rebound setup. At the moment, price is consolidating between the $3,950 Demand Zone and the $4,080–$4,150 Resistance Area, indicating indecision before the next move.
From my perspective, Gold is likely to attempt a bullish correction toward the $4,080–$4,150 Resistance Zone, which aligns with both the previous Trend Line and recent pivot structure. A successful break and close above $4,150 would confirm a trend continuation toward higher levels. However, if the price fails to break above this resistance area and gets rejected, sellers could regain control, pushing the market back down toward $3,950 or even lower. For now, I’ll be watching for confirmation of a bullish reaction from the $3,950 Demand Zone to validate a short-term long setup targeting $4,080. Manage your risk!
5 Mistakes That Make 90% of Traders Blow Their Accounts!“If you’ve ever blown an account, lost five trades in a row, or felt like the market is always ‘against’ you — congratulations, you’re about to discover the real reason behind your losses.”
In more than five years of trading and mentoring, I’ve seen thousands of traders fail — not because they’re bad, but because they repeat the same five deadly mistakes without realizing it.
⚠️ 1. Trading with Emotions – The “Adrenaline Rush” of Losing Traders
✅ You win one trade → overconfidence → open a bigger position.
❌ You lose one trade → anger → hold losing trades or revenge trade.
It all starts from your head, not your heart.
Trading is a game of discipline, not emotion.
Emotions make you break your rules, and when that happens — the market will teach you a painful lesson with real money.
To survive, don’t trade when you’re distracted — not while driving, eating, or arguing with your partner. Trade only when you have the time and focus to manage and monitor every market move.
💸 2. No Trading Plan – “Shooting Without Aiming”
Many traders don’t lose because they’re wrong — they lose because they don’t know what they’re doing.
Some open trades simply because they feel the price will rise. No clear entry, no stop loss, no take profit — that’s not a plan, it’s disguised gambling.
A solid trading plan must include:
✅ Fundamental market analysis
✅ Clear entry zones
✅ Defined profit targets
✅ Risk per trade not exceeding 2% of your account
(Want to understand this deeper? Check out my detailed guide on this topic. )
🔁 3. Constantly Changing Strategies – The “System-Hopping Syndrome”
You can’t train with five different gym coaches every day and expect a six-pack — trading works the same way.
This week you trade Price Action.
Next week, you switch to Indicators.
The following week, you buy an “AI Auto Trading” course.
Part of this comes from following too many signal groups online, trading blindly based on others’ calls instead of turning what you learn into personal knowledge.
👉 The result? You never stick with a single system long enough to master it.
Gradually, you start believing that no strategy works — when the truth is, you never gave any of them time to work.
Stop looking for a “perfect system” — it doesn’t exist. What you need is a consistent strategy and the patience to master it. Explore new ideas if you want, but always test them on a demo account until you can trade them profitably with confidence.
💔 4. Holding Losing Trades – “I Only Lose When I Close”
This is the mindset that causes 90% of traders to blow their accounts.
When you hold onto losing positions, you’re sacrificing your capital — the only thing that keeps you alive in the market.
Cutting losses is the art of survivors, not the failure of losers.
A great trader doesn’t fear losing — they fear losing the ability to come back to the market. Don’t aim to be right, aim to survive.
❌ 5. Not Learning from Mistakes – “Losing Yet Still Confident”
After blowing their accounts, many traders simply open a new one…
But they never review their losing trades, never keep a trading journal, and never identify why they lost.
If you don’t learn from failure, failure will repeat itself — only with more money lost next time.
Good traders lose many times, but they rarely lose for the same reason twice.
I once had a student who blew three accounts in a row but kept the same habits — because he believed, “Next time, I’ll get lucky.”
The result? He blew another one.
📍The market doesn’t punish beginners — it punishes the undisciplined.
If you can avoid these five habits, you’ve already beaten 90% of traders out there.
Trading can be a fast path to wealth — but only for those who forge mental strength and discipline. And only when you learn to control yourself, the money will start flowing your way.
If you’re serious about improving, start writing your Trading Journal today.
After 30 days, you’ll see a completely different trader within yourself.
Which of these five mistakes have you made — and how did you overcome them?
Share your story below to inspire others, or leave a comment to join the discussion!
Wishing you a successful trading day!
Gold next week: Key S/R Levels and Outlook for Traders🔥 GOLD WEEKLY SNAPSHOT — BY PROJECTSYNDICATE
🏆 High/Close: $4,108 → ~$4,002 — sellers defended overhead; weekly close soft within range.
📈 Trend: Neutral / correction mode still ON; not expecting new highs near term.
🛡 Supports: $3,890 → $3,800 — pivotal shelves for downside containment.
🚧 Resistances: $4,052 / $4,175 — magnet zones for supply / fade attempts.
🧭 Bias next week: Prefer short sells into $4,052–$4,175 with take-profit toward $3,890 → $3,800. Invalidation on sustained reclaim > $4,175; failure of $3,800 risks extension lower.
🌍 Macro tailwinds/headwinds :
• Rates: Real yields stable-to-firm keep upside contained; any dovish surprise could spark squeezes into resistance.
• FX: DXY mixed—lack of broad USD weakness limits impulse follow-through.
• Flows: CB/ETF demand supportive on deep dips but tepid near highs.
• Geopolitics: Event risk provides intermittent bids; not a trend driver this week.
🎯 Street view: Medium-term bullish narratives reserve diversification, policy easing into 2026 remain, but near-term tape favors mean-reversion lower under resistance.
________________________________________
🔝 Key Resistance Zones
• $4,052 — immediate ceiling; prior supply pivot likely to cap first tests
• $4,175 — upper resistance; acceptance above flips tone from corrective to constructive
🛡 Support Zones
• $3,890 — first defense; loss invites momentum probes
• $3,800 — critical structural base; break risks downside acceleration
________________________________________
⚖️ Base Case Scenario
Range-to-soft trade within $3,800–$4,175. Rallies into $4,052–$4,175 are sellable; expect rotations back toward $3,890 with scope to $3,800 if sellers press.
🚀 Breakout Trigger
Only a sustained acceptance > ~$4,175 negates the correction and opens $4,200+ pathing; conversely, firm rejection at $4,052 with a daily close < $3,890 increases odds of a $3,800 test.
💡 Market Drivers
• Fed path & real-yield drift
• USD index swings
• ETF/CB flow tone on dips vs. rips
• Risk sentiment headlines (geopolitics/trade)
🔓 Bull / Bear Trigger Lines
• Bullish above: $4,175 correction phase likely over if held
• Bearish below: $3,890 → risk expands under $3,800
🧭 Strategy
Short-sell from overhead resistances ($4,052 → $4,175).
Scale profits into $3,890 then $3,800; keep stops tight above trigger levels. Stand aside on fresh longs until sustained reclaim above $4,175 reasserts momentum.
Gold Bullish Butterfly Forming – Reversal Ahead?As I expected in the previous idea , Gold started declining from the Resistance zone($4,192 – $4,137) and has now reached the Support zone($4,004 – $3,895) — full target achieved .
At the moment, Gold is moving within that Support zone($4,004 – $3,895) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
Looking at the 1-hour time frame , we can spot a Bullish Butterfly Harmonic Pattern forming, which is likely to complete right in that PRZ .
I expect that in the coming hours, once Gold enters the PRZ , it could rise at least up to around $4,057(First Target) .
Second Target: $4,132
Stop Loss(SL): $3,889(Worst)
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
( Gold Protocol ) Bearish After Break Detected( Gold Protocol ) Bearish After Break Detected
Status: Active Reversal Protocol
Symbol: Gold
Session: London–New York Overlap (Smart Exit Window)
Confidence Level: ★★★★★ ( Hanzo Volume Detected )
☄️ Bearish After Break Out 3948
Reasons
1. Alpha Sequence Engaged — Smart flow detected within Hanzo precision range.
2. Volume Window Synced — Session energy aligns with internal volume pulse.
3. Liquidity Cycle Active — Engineered sweep confirms smart money transition.
4. Time Lock Confirmed — Market phase locked with directional intent.
5. Volume Map Aligned — Cluster balance reveals real directional flow.
6. Hanzo Wick Detected — Manipulation wick verified under Alpha filter.
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