Gold price analysis November 24In the most recent session, gold continued to show signs of weakness when it failed to overcome the key resistance level of 4100. Profit-taking pressure appeared early and pulled the price back to the trendline - where the market is facing the risk of being broken if the selling pressure remains as it is. Once the trendline is broken, the short-term bullish structure will be completely broken and the correction range may extend to the deep support zone of 3935.
In this context, the most favorable strategy is to wait for the trendline breakout signal to trigger a SELL order, then follow the decline to the strong support zone of 3935.
Notable technical zones:
Support: 4040 – 4007 – 3935
Resistance: 4100 – 4145 – 5200
Recommended trading plan:
SELL when the price breaks the trendline around 4040
SELL DCA when the support of 4005 is broken
Target: 3935
Risk management: The bearish trend is invalidated if the candle closes back above 4100
Trade ideas
Conflicting Geopolitical Signals Hold Gold in ConsolidationGold’s safe-haven appeal has always been closely tied to geopolitical risks, and this week’s global developments show a clear split in market sentiment. On one side, early signs of potential peace in the Russia–Ukraine conflict have slightly reduced safe-haven demand. On the other, escalating tensions in the Middle East are injecting fresh uncertainty into the market. This “push-and-pull” dynamic has kept gold in a delicate state of short-term stabilization.
Looking ahead, gold’s direction will largely depend on how these events evolve:
If Russia–Ukraine negotiations progress smoothly, safe-haven flows may ease further, putting short-term downward pressure on gold.
If the talks break down, safe-haven buying could quickly return, potentially driving prices higher.
If Middle East tensions worsen, disruptions to global energy supplies may lift inflation expectations, indirectly supporting gold.
On the policy front, Williams's remarks led the market to raise its expectations for a rate cut again, but hawkish officials also emphasized the need to maintain current interest rates for some time, and further signals need to be monitored.
Meanwhile, if equity markets continue rising on stronger risk appetite, capital could shift away from gold, adding some downside pressure. Weak physical gold demand across major Asian markets last week has also limited gold’s rebound potential. With Thanksgiving approaching, volatility may diminish unless major news breaks, keeping gold largely range-bound.
Technically, on the 1H and 2H charts, gold remains suppressed by the MA10. The recent large bearish candle cutting through short-term moving averages reflects a short-term bearish setup. Key support lies at the 4020–4000 zone, while resistance sits at 4069–4076, followed by the 4100 level.
Gold price analysis November 20Gold continues to show a solid reaction at the main trendline, indicating that the bullish structure is still maintained by organized buying. The market's continued respect for this support line is an important signal, keeping the possibility of extending the trend to the 4200 zone high.
However, it is important to note: a H4 candle closing below the trendline will be the first sign confirming the weakening of the bullish momentum. At that time, the balance of forces will tilt towards the sellers and the price may correct deeply to the 3936 zone - the confluence of the next strong support.
Recommended strategy:
Activate BUY when the market shows a price rejection signal at 4041.
Profit target: 4200.
Risk management: H4 closes below 4041 → switch to SELL strategy, aiming at 3936.
FOMC Post-News Entry Strategy and Trading PlanFOMC Post-News Entry Strategy (1:03 AM – 1:10 AM)
High-Accuracy Institutional Model
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⭐ Scenario 1: Gold Sweeps 4,100–4,120 and Then Drops
This is the highest-probability scenario because the higher-timeframe structure is bearish.
Sell Entry Rules
1. The news candle must sweep above 4,100 or 4,120, taking liquidity.
2. A strong bearish engulfing candle must immediately appear, rejecting the sweep.
3. A clear CHoCH (Change of Character) to the downside must form on the 1m or 5m timeframe.
Sell Entry Trigger
Enter after the CHoCH retest near 4,100.
Stop Loss
4,130
Take Profit Levels
TP1: 4,060
TP2: 4,040
TP3: 3,998
This is the safest and highest-probability sell setup for FOMC.
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⭐ Scenario 2: Gold Sweeps 4,060–4,040 and Then Rallies
This scenario happens if the FOMC outcome is dovish.
Buy Entry Rules
1. The news candle must sweep below 4,060 or 4,040 with a strong wick.
2. A large bullish engulfing candle must appear immediately after the sweep.
3. A confirmed CHoCH to the upside must form on the 1m or 5m timeframe.
Buy Entry Trigger
Enter after the CHoCH retest near 4,060.
Stop Loss
4,030
Take Profit Levels
TP1: 4,100
TP2: 4,120
TP3: 4,150
GOLD BOUNCES FROM $4,000 - FOMC MINUTES TODAY!💰 GOLD BOUNCES FROM $4,000 - FOMC MINUTES TODAY! 📈
Current Price: $4,085 - $4,090 🟢
Opening Price: $4,079
Yesterday's Close: $4,066 (+0.56%)
Today's Performance: +0.56% ✅
Status: 🟢 RECOVERY MODE - CRITICAL DAY
🚨 MAJOR EVENT TODAY - FOMC MINUTES! ⚡
THE $4,000 SUPPORT HELD! Gold successfully defended the critical psychological level and is now bouncing. But TODAY is the most important day this week!
What's Happening:
✅ $4,000 Support HELD - Bulls defended successfully!
✅ Morning Star Pattern Formed - Bullish reversal signal at support
✅ FOMC Minutes TODAY - Will determine next major move
✅ NFP Data Thursday - First post-shutdown jobs report
✅ Risk-Off Sentiment - Safe-haven flows supporting gold
✅ Expected to RISE - Analysts forecast upward movement
📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Market Structure: BULLISH RECOVERY 🟢🟢
Gold has bounced off the ascending trendline AND the $4,000 psychological level - a DOUBLE support confluence! Bulls are back in control short-term.
Key Development: Bulls managed to hold psychological level of $4,005 and formed Morning Star pattern indicating renewed buying activity
Critical Support Levels (Defended!) 🔵
Support 1: $4,050 - $4,060 (Current base - Strong)
Support 2: $4,000 - $4,005 (HELD! Psychological + Trendline)
Support 3: $3,987 - $4,002 (November open)
Support 4: $3,965 (November 6 low)
Support 5: $3,930 (Major support)
Key Resistance Levels (Recovery targets) 🔴
Resistance 1: $4,096 - $4,100 (KEY - 50-day MA + Descending trendline)
Resistance 2: $4,112 - $4,120 (20-day SMA - Strong)
Resistance 3: $4,140 - $4,150 (Major barrier)
Resistance 4: $4,170 - $4,212 (Previous descending trendline)
📈 TECHNICAL INDICATORS
RSI (14): 49 (Neutral - Can move either direction) ⚪
MACD: Rising sharply, approaching zero line (Bullish momentum!) 🟢
MFI: Growing - Liquidity inflow into asset ✅
4H RSI: Bounced up but below 50 (Recovery attempt) ⚡
Moving Averages:
Price broke above 100-day MA ✅
Testing 50-day MA at $4,096 🔴
20-day SMA at $4,112 (Resistance) 🔴
Above ascending trendline ✅
VWAP & SMA20: Aligned with market price - Equilibrium between buyers/sellers
🎯 TODAY'S TRADING STRATEGIES
SCENARIO 1: BULLISH BREAKOUT 🟢 (60% Probability)
On November 20, 2025, price of XAU/USD expected to RISE
IF Gold Breaks Above $4,100:
Break of descending trendline and 50-day MA around $4,096 could open rally toward $4,212
LONG Setup:
Entry: Break and close above $4,100-$4,112
Targets:
TP1: $4,140 📍 (+40 pips)
TP2: $4,170 📍 (+70 pips)
TP3: $4,212 📍 (+112 pips - Previous trendline touch)
Stop Loss: $4,065 (Below support)
Risk/Reward: Excellent 1:3+ ratio ✅
SCENARIO 2: FALSE BREAKOUT / REJECTION 🔴 (30% Probability)
IF Gold Gets Rejected at $4,096-$4,112:
Bulls tried but failed - retest of support coming
SHORT Setup (Scalp):
Entry: Rejection at $4,100-$4,112 (confirmed with bearish candle)
Targets:
TP1: $4,065 📍
TP2: $4,050 📍
TP3: $4,000 📍 (Retest)
Stop Loss: $4,125 (Tight!)
⚠️ WARNING: This is counter-trend - use small positions!
SCENARIO 3: FOMC VOLATILITY 📊 (10% Probability)
IF FOMC Minutes Cause Whipsaw:
Strategy: WAIT for Clear Direction
Let the dust settle after FOMC release
Trade the REACTION, not the news
Entry: After 30-60 minutes of FOMC release
Follow the momentum with trend
💎 BEST TRADE SETUPS FOR TODAY
CONSERVATIVE APPROACH (Highly Recommended!) 🎯
WAIT FOR FOMC MINUTES! Don't trade BEFORE the release.
Setup A - Breakout Play (Preferred):
WAIT for FOMC minutes (Today, US session)
IF gold breaks $4,100-$4,112 with volume
Entry: $4,105-$4,112 (after confirmation)
Target: $4,140 → $4,170 → $4,212
SL: $4,080
Why: Riding institutional momentum
Setup B - Dip Buy:
IF gold pulls back to $4,050-$4,060
Entry: $4,052-$4,060 (on bounce)
Target: $4,100 → $4,120
SL: $4,035
⚠️ DO NOT TRADE during first 30 min after FOMC release! Wait for clarity!
🌍 FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
TODAY'S MAJOR EVENTS 📅
🔥 FOMC MINUTES (US Session - CRITICAL!)
This is THE event today. Will show:
Fed's thinking on December rate cut
Concerns about economy post-shutdown
Inflation outlook
Market waiting for FOMC Minutes release and speech by Fed member John Williams
Thursday: NFP Data (First post-shutdown report)
September NFP expected: +50,000 jobs
Unemployment Rate: 4.3% (forecast)
This could be market-moving!
BULLISH FACTORS ⬆️⬆️
✅ $4,000 Support Held - Technical strength confirmed
✅ Morning Star Pattern - Bullish reversal at support
✅ Risk-Off Sentiment - Stocks falling, gold rising
✅ Softer Treasury Yields - Making gold more attractive
✅ Shutdown Concerns - Economic weakness = gold support
✅ Analysts predict gold may reach $4,456-$4,509 by end November
✅ Central banks targeting 750-900 tonnes purchases for 2025
BEARISH RISKS ⬇️
⚠️ Hawkish FOMC - If minutes show Fed reluctant to cut rates
⚠️ Strong NFP Thursday - Would reduce rate cut odds
⚠️ Resistance at $4,100-$4,112 - Strong technical barrier
⚠️ December Rate Cut Odds - Only 43% (down from 63%)
⚠️ DXY Still Above 99.50 - Dollar maintaining strength
🔥 MARKET SENTIMENT: CAUTIOUSLY BULLISH
What's Different Today:
The $4,000 level held perfectly - this is VERY bullish technically. But FOMC minutes could change everything in minutes!
Analyst Views:
Short-term (Today/Tomorrow):
$4,000 held, bulls need acceptance above $4,100 for rally to gather steam. FOMC minutes will determine direction.
This Week:
Critical - FOMC + NFP data will set tone for rest of November
Month End:
IF recovery continues → $4,200-$4,300 possible
IF rejected at $4,100 → Chop between $4,000-$4,100
💡 PROFESSIONAL GAME PLAN
For DAY TRADERS:
⚡ Wait for FOMC!
Do NOT trade 1 hour before release
Do NOT trade first 30 min after release
After dust settles, trade the direction
Use tight stops (whipsaws common)
For SWING TRADERS:
📊 This is Your Setup!
IF $4,100 breaks with FOMC → GO LONG (hold 3-5 days to $4,170+)
IF rejected at $4,100 → WAIT for next dip to $4,000
Target: $4,212 (1-2 week hold)
For LONG-TERM INVESTORS:
💎 Accumulation Zone
$4,000-$4,080 range is BUYING opportunity
Long-term targets: $4,500-$5,000 (2026)
Strategy: Build position gradually
Vision: Multi-month hold
📅 TODAY'S TIMELINE
Asian Session (Done): Gold bounced to $4,085-$4,090 ✅
European Session (Now): Consolidation before FOMC
US Session: FOMC MINUTES RELEASE 🔥🔥🔥
After FOMC: Big volatility expected - direction determined
Tomorrow (Thursday):
NFP Data (September) - First post-shutdown
This will confirm or reverse today's move
🎬 BOTTOM LINE (TL;DR)
Price: $4,085 (Bouncing)
Bias: 🟢 BULLISH (IF breaks $4,100)
Key Level: $4,100 (Break = Rally | Reject = Chop)
Today's Event: FOMC MINUTES (Trade-defining!)
Best Action: WAIT for FOMC, then trade the breakout
Risk Level: HIGH (Event volatility!)
🔔 THE $4,100 LEVEL - TODAY'S BATTLEGROUND!
IF GOLD BREAKS ABOVE $4,100-$4,112:
✅ Bulls win!
✅ Target $4,140 → $4,170 → $4,212
✅ Possible rally to $4,250+
✅ GO LONG after confirmation
IF GOLD REJECTS AT $4,100:
⚠️ Bulls stall
⚠️ Range between $4,000-$4,100 continues
⚠️ Wait for next setup
⚠️ Don't force trades
FOMC DECIDES EVERYTHING!
📊 Dovish = GOLD UP 🚀
📊 Hawkish = GOLD DOWN/SIDEWAYS 📉
📊 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK
Trend: 🟢 BULLISH (Short-term recovery active)
Momentum: IMPROVING - MACD rising 📈
Support: HOLDING at $4,050-$4,060 ✅
Resistance: TESTING at $4,096-$4,112 🎯
Pattern: Morning Star reversal + Trendline bounce
Next Move: Break $4,112 = UP | Reject = CHOP
Key Technical:
Having bounced off ascending trendline and $4,000, gold broke above 100-day MA and now testing descending trendline/50-day MA confluence
⚠️ RISK MANAGEMENT - FOMC DAY!
✅ Wait for FOMC - Don't guess the news!
✅ Small Positions - Risk MAX 1% (High volatility!)
✅ Wide Stops - Give trades room (40-50 pips)
✅ Quick Profits - Lock gains on FOMC spikes
✅ No Revenge - If wrong, accept and move on
🎯 SWING TRADE SETUPS
Setup A - FOMC Breakout (Recommended):
WAIT for FOMC minutes release
Entry: IF breaks $4,112 (after FOMC)
Target 1: $4,170 (Hold 2-3 days)
Target 2: $4,212 (Hold 5-7 days)
Target 3: $4,250 (Hold 1-2 weeks)
Stop Loss: $4,070
Setup B - Rejection Trade:
Entry: IF rejected at $4,100 (after FOMC)
Target 1: $4,050 (Hold 1-2 days)
Target 2: $4,000 (Hold 2-3 days)
Stop Loss: $4,125
🏆 PROFESSIONAL ANALYSIS SUMMARY
Gold has executed a PERFECT TECHNICAL BOUNCE from the $4,000 psychological level. The formation of a Morning Star candlestick pattern at support is a classic bullish reversal signal.
The Setup:
Price trading at $4,085.62 as of 19.11.2025
Held $4,000 support perfectly (double bottom with trendline)
Now testing critical $4,096-$4,112 resistance zone
FOMC minutes today will determine next major move
Most Likely Scenarios:
Scenario 1 (60%):
FOMC shows Fed concerned about economy → Gold breaks $4,112 → Rally to $4,170-$4,212
Scenario 2 (30%):
FOMC shows Fed staying hawkish → Gold rejected at $4,100 → Range $4,000-$4,100 continues
Scenario 3 (10%):
FOMC very dovish → Gold explodes through $4,212 → $4,250+
The Big Picture:
$4,000 holding is VERY bullish. This was the make-or-break level and bulls defended it perfectly. If FOMC is dovish or neutral, gold has clear path to $4,200+
💪 TRADING PSYCHOLOGY TIP
THE BOUNCE IS HERE!
Yesterday we were at $4,000 and scared. Today we're at $4,085 and hopeful. This is why you MUST have a plan and stick to it. Those who bought at $4,000 yesterday are now profitable. Discipline wins! 🎯
🎓 LESSON: THE MORNING STAR PATTERN
What happened at $4,000:
Day 1: Long bearish candle (fear)
Day 2: Small candle (indecision)
Day 3: Long bullish candle (bulls return)
This is a Morning Star - one of the most reliable bullish reversal patterns! It shows bears exhausted and bulls taking control.
Trading Strategy:
When you see this at major support (like $4,000), it's a HIGH probability long setup!
🔮 FORECAST
Today: FOMC minutes → Breakout $4,112 OR rejection
Tomorrow: NFP data → Confirm today's direction
End of Week: $4,140-$4,170 OR back to $4,000
Next Week: Recovery continues to $4,200+ if $4,100 breaks
Month End: $4,250-$4,300 (IF bullish scenario plays out)
🚨 FOMC MINUTES - WHAT TO WATCH FOR
Dovish Signals (Gold UP 🟢):
Concerns about economic weakness
Mentions of shutdown impact
Opens door to December cut
Worries about labor market
Hawkish Signals (Gold DOWN/FLAT 🔴):
Confidence in economy
Inflation still concerning
No urgency to cut rates
Strong labor market comments
Neutral (Gold CHOP ⚪):
Data-dependent language
Wait-and-see approach
No clear direction
📊 SUPPORT/RESISTANCE SUMMARY
Strong Support: $4,050, $4,000 (CRITICAL)
Weak Support: $4,065, $4,040
Weak Resistance: $4,096, $4,100
Strong Resistance: $4,112, $4,140, $4,170, $4,212
Breakout Level: $4,112 (Game changer!)
Breakdown Level: $4,000 (Would be very bearish)
⚠️ FINAL DISCLAIMER
Today is a high-impact event day. FOMC minutes can cause extreme volatility and rapid price swings. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Never trade the news blindly - wait for confirmation. Use stop losses religiously. Position sizes should be smaller than normal on event days. False breakouts are common immediately after news. The first move after FOMC is often NOT the real move. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Consult a licensed financial advisor before trading.
📱 CRITICAL DAY AHEAD!
💬 FOMC minutes in few hours!
🔔 HIGH volatility expected
⚡ Trade the reaction, not the prediction!
🙏 Be patient, be disciplined!
#Gold #XAUUSD #FOMC #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #NFP #MorningStar #BullishReversal #EventTrading #RiskManagement #FOMCMinutes #MarketAnalysis #DayTrading #SwingTrading
A SELL FIRST AND THEN A BUY AFTERWARDS A sell at 4075-80, sl at 4095, tp at 4040, and then
a possible buy from 4038-33, sl at 4020, and it could be the beginning of the major buy because we might not go down below 4000, not saying it will never move below 4000,
but it's looks like 4038-33 has a good chance of starting with the buy , let see what happens by the end of the day, i will update it properly from morning time because it's time to rest.
Gold Technical Analysis: Three Consecutive Bearish Days Confirm Gold Technical Analysis: Three Consecutive Bearish Days Confirm Short-Term Weakness; Short-Selling Strategy Remains Dominant
Market Review: Yesterday, the gold market was generally weak, with prices continuing to decline along the 5-day moving average, showing a clear short-term weakness in its technical pattern. Especially in the early morning hours, gold prices experienced a sharp drop, exacerbating the bearish sentiment, and the daily chart ultimately closed with a medium-sized bearish candlestick with upper and lower shadows. This candlestick pattern reflects the intense struggle between bulls and bears, but ultimately the bears prevailed, pushing prices to a low close.
Technical Analysis:
Daily Chart:
Gold has formed a "three-day bearish" pattern on the daily chart, confirming a short-term weak trend.
The moving average system is bearish, and the price is currently under pressure below the 5-day and 10-day moving averages, with the overall bearish trend remaining unchanged.
The market is expected to further test the lower support level on the daily chart. If this key support level is broken, the downside potential may expand.
Key Levels:
Resistance Levels: 4055 (10-day moving average), 4075, 4095.
Support levels: 4005 (yesterday's low), 3976, 3930 (daily chart lower line).
Trading Logic:
The 10-day moving average (around 4055) has become an important entry point for short positions today. If the price rebounds to this level and encounters resistance, it can be considered a good opportunity to short.
If the price breaks below yesterday's low of 4005, the downside target will further point to the 3976 and 3930 areas.
Trading Strategy:
Short Position Strategy:
Entry Area: Short in batches between 4050-4055, with position size controlled at 20%.
Stop Loss: 4063 (8 points).
Target: 4020-4000, with a further target of 3975 if it breaks down.
Long Position Strategy:
Entry Area: Long in batches between 3975-3980, with position size controlled at 20%.
Stop Loss: 3967 (8 points).
Target: 4000-4010, break above to 4020.
Risk Warning: Market volatility is unpredictable; strategies should be adjusted flexibly based on actual market conditions. Investors should strictly set stop-loss orders, avoid over-leveraging or holding losing positions, and develop trading plans based on their own risk tolerance. Real-time price levels and detailed strategies can be obtained through internal channels.
XAUUSD LONG TERM NEXT MOVE POSSIBLE ✅ Technical Analysis Breakdown (XAUUSD – 1H Chart)
gold chart shows a rising wedge / ascending channel, and price is currently reacting at the mid-range support.
You’ve drawn two potential outcomes – continuation upward or bearish breakdown. Let’s analyze both with precision.
📌 1. Current Market Structure
Price is inside a large upward channel.
It recently rejected from the upper trendline, pulling back toward the mid-channel support.
Price is now sitting near the horizontal support zone ~ 4045–4034.
This is a reaction zone where the next direction should become clear.
📈 2. Bullish Scenario (Bounce & Rally Toward 4250+)
Conditions for upside:
Price must break and hold above 4055 (you marked this level).
Bullish structure resumes with higher lows.
Target moves:
1st target: 4160
2nd target: 4250
3rd target: Retest of the channel top near 4300–4330
Your blue arrow upward matches this exact pathway.
Why this can happen:
Price still respecting the ascending channel.
Mid-channel support is holding.
Buyers may step in near support.
📉 3. Bearish Scenario (Breakdown to 3920–3890 Zone)
This becomes active only if price breaks below the rising trendline around 4020–4010.
Bearish targets:
1st target: 3980
2nd target: 3920–3890 (your green demand zone)
This is a strong liquidity pool where buyers previously entered.
Your downward arrow correctly points toward this demand zone.
Why this can happen:
Rising wedge patterns often break down.
Momentum is currently weakening.
Massive liquidity below 4000.
🎯 4. What Is Most Likely Right Now?
Based on the chart:
✔ Price is testing support.
✔ Still inside the bullish channel.
✔ No confirmed breakdown yet.
➡ Bias: Short-term bullish unless 4020 breaks.
Once 4020 breaks cleanly → bearish continuation becomes very likely.
🧭 5. Simple Trading Plan (Based on Your Zones)
Bullish Setup
Buy above: 4055
SL: 4020
TP: 4160 → 4250 → 4320
Bearish Setup
Sell after breakdown below: 4020
SL: 4050
TP: 3980 → 3920 → 3890
For More Updates Stay Tuned
ANFIBO | Gold XAUUSD - In a Bearish structure yet? [11.18.2025]I'm Anfibo, Here's my XAUUSD Daily Trading Plan ;)
Overall Picture:
OANDA:XAUUSD has officially broken its bullish structure, confirming a shift in market sentiment and signaling that the upward momentum has cooled off. With the H1 trendline decisively breached, we now transition from a “buy-the-dip” mindset to a sell-the-rally strategy. The nearest resistance sits at 4058, a strong confluence zone where multiple technical barriers align. If price pushes beyond this level, the next supply areas to watch are 4104 and 4146 — regions likely to act as retests of the broken trend, providing high-probability opportunities for continuation sells. The overall expectation for today is further downside movement as long as gold remains below these resistance zones.
Given the current structure, the market is presenting a classic post-breakdown setup, where rallies into resistance should be treated as opportunities to position for the next leg down. As long as gold remains capped below these key supply zones, the medium-term outlook remains bearish with targets toward the psychological level of 4000 and deeper.
Trading Plan for Today:
>>> SELL ZONE:
(1) ENTRY: 4055 – 4060
SL: 4075
TP: 4000 – 3950 – 3920
(2) ENTRY: 4100 – 4110
SL: 4120
TP: 4000 – 3970
Risk Management:
Prioritize sell setups only, as the bullish structure is no longer valid.
Keep stops tight above resistance zones to avoid false breakouts.
Maintain Risk:Reward ≥ 1:2 on all entries.
Avoid buying unless the market reclaims and stabilizes above 4146 with strong momentum.
Conclusion:
With the break of the upward structure, gold has transitioned into a bearish phase. We will stay patient and sell into rallies, especially near the strong resistance clusters at 4058, 4104, and 4146. As long as price remains below these levels, the path of least resistance continues downward toward the 4000 and 3950 targets. Stick to the plan, trust the structure, and let the market flow in our favor.
HAVE A SWEET PROFIT DAY, GUYS!
XAU/USD | Gold Holding Strong – More Upside If Support Holds!By analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4H timeframe, we can see that after a pullback, the price climbed again to $4112 before making a small correction. It’s now trading around $4078.
If gold can hold above $4048, we can expect another move to the upside.
The next potential targets are $4106, $4112, $4133, and $4159.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Order Blocks Simplified — How Institutions Control Price🔥 Order Blocks Simplified — How Institutions Control Price
Order Blocks are one of the most important concepts in modern trading — because they show where institutions place REAL positions, not where retail traders guess. 🏦📊
When you understand Order Blocks, you stop chasing random candles and start reading the footprints of smart money. Let’s simplify it. 👇✨
📌 What Is an Order Block? 🧱💰
An Order Block (OB) is a price zone where big institutions (banks, hedge funds, market makers) place massive orders.
These zones often appear before strong market moves — because that’s where smart money builds positions.
Think of an Order Block as:
🔹 The origin of a powerful move
🔹 A zone where price reacts repeatedly
🔹 A region that creates imbalance and momentum
🔹 A point where institutional orders remain unfilled
Once price returns to that zone, institutions fill the rest of their orders, causing another strong reaction. ⚡📈📉
📌 Why Do Order Blocks Matter? 🧠🔥
Because institutions control 80%+ of market volume — not retail.
So when they accumulate or distribute positions:
📈 Trends are born
📉 Reversals appear
🌊 Momentum shifts
💥 Big candles print
Order Blocks give you insight into:
✔️ Where big players enter
✔️ Where real support/resistance exists
✔️ Why price reverses at specific zones
✔️ Where high-probability trades form
It’s the closest thing to tracking the “big money blueprint.”
📌 How Order Blocks Form 🛠️📊
Order Blocks are created during periods of:
🔸 Accumulation (smart money buys quietly)
🔸 Distribution (smart money sells quietly)
Then price explodes away from that zone, showing that a major order cluster was executed.
This explosive move creates:
🔥 Imbalance (FVG)
🔥 Break of structure (BOS)
🔥 A directional trend
These are all signs of institutional activity.
📌 Types of Order Blocks 🟥🟩
🟥 Bearish Order Block (B-OB)
The last bullish candle before a strong bearish move.
It marks institutional selling.
🟩 Bullish Order Block (B-OB)
The last bearish candle before a strong bullish move.
It marks institutional buying.
Both act as high-probability reaction zones.
📌 How Institutions Use Order Blocks 🎯🏦
Institutions don’t enter all at once — their orders are too large.
So they:
1️⃣ Place part of their order
2️⃣ Push price away
3️⃣ Wait for retracement
4️⃣ Fill the rest at the same zone
That zone = the Order Block.
Price returning to an OB is not random — it’s smart money completing their business. 💼✨
📌 How You Trade Order Blocks 🧘♂️📈
✔️ Identify the strong move
Big displacement = institutional interest. 🚀
✔️ Mark the Order Block candle
The last opposite candle before the move. 🔍
✔️ Wait for price to return
Smart money loves to rebalance orders. 🔁
✔️ Enter with confirmation
Candles + structure + reaction = high probability. 🎯
Order Blocks are not predictions — they are reaction zones with a smart-money edge.
📌 Why Order Blocks Work So Well 🌟
Because they are built on:
💧 Liquidity
🧠 Smart Money Behavior
📊 Market Structure
⚡ Supply & Demand
🔥 Institutional Order Flow
This is why OBs outperform classic support/resistance.
They show institutional reality, not retail imagination.
✨ Final Thoughts: The Power of Order Blocks 🚀
Once you learn Order Blocks, everything becomes clearer:
✔️ You know where big money enters
✔️ You know where to wait for price
✔️ You stop chasing bad trades
✔️ You trade WITH smart money
✔️ You catch cleaner, stronger moves
Order Blocks are the foundation of modern price action — simple, powerful, and deeply effective. 🔥📈
OUTLOOK XAUUSD 4H Analysis (25th November 2025)Hey Guys, This is just a trade idea not a financial advise
BUY/SELL SCENARIOS:
BUYS:
1) Retest the 4h Bullish FVG at the 4114.20 level.
2) Create a 5/15m Bullish CHoCH level with a body candle close(with a FVG).
3) Retest the 5/15m Bullish CHOCH level to capitalise on BUYS towards the 4211.50 level.
SELLS:
1) Body candle close below the 4086.11 level.
2) Retest the failed 4h Bearish FVG at the 4086.11 level.
3) Create a 5/15m Bearish Engulfing Candle to capitalize on SELLS towards the 3998.00 level.
Trade with a plan and not with emotions!!
GOLD (XAUUSD) - Daily Structure Breakdown: Bullish OutlookGold has been consolidating within a symmetrical triangle formation, defined by a descending resistance trendline and an ascending support trendline. This compression followed the strong bullish impulse that preceded it.
Price repeatedly respected the Buy Zone highlighted in green, showing consistent demand and strong reactions from buyers each time price tapped into this area.
After the final retest of the support trendline, the price broke out aggressively to the upside, confirming a bullish continuation pattern. The breakout has since extended into a strong rally, with the price now targeting higher psychological levels.
Key technical levels include:
4,035 – 3,999: Buy Zone / High-value demand area
4,380: Previous major resistance
5,000 – 5,100: Next major psychological targets following the breakout
This structure indicates a classic bullish continuation where consolidation inside the triangle served as accumulation before the next impulsive move.






















