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The gold price correction is not over yet! Short gold.Last week, gold experienced a breathtaking rollercoaster ride. At the opening bell, gold prices surged and held firm above the psychological level of $4,000. Bulls, like galloping steeds, launched a new and fierce offensive, once aiming for the historical high set last month, reaching a peak of around $4,245. The market seemed to be ignited with the flames of a raging bull market. A series of hawkish signals from Federal Reserve officials, their words like thunderclaps, shook the market, abruptly cooling sentiment. Gold prices plummeted, erasing all previous gains, and ultimately closed around $4,085, leaving a trail of disappointment. The gold market has been caught in a period of intense volatility due to the uncertainty surrounding Federal Reserve policies and a lack of US economic data, leaving both bulls and bears relentlessly battered. Such extreme two-way fluctuations were nothing short of a brutal baptism for traders, especially those investors who habitually blindly bought the dip and ignored stop-loss discipline, who suffered heavy losses. Here I solemnly remind you: when the market is turbulent and the direction is unclear, do not rush into the market. It is better to observe the situation calmly, watch more and act less, and always face every breath and pulse of the market with a sense of awe. Regarding trading strategies! Regarding trading strategy: I plan to place short orders in batches within the 4075-4095 range, waiting for the gold price to weaken during a rebound. The key support level to watch is the 4030-4050 area. If this level is breached, gold may begin a new downward trend, heading towards a deeper technical correction. The above are my personal thoughts! If they are helpful to you or your ideas align with mine, please like and follow to show your support! All strategies have a limited lifespan, so while referring to them, you should also closely monitor market changes. I will also respond flexibly based on actual market fluctuations, and I will announce specifics in the channel!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Market_Trading_Guide
Gold is expected to rise and then fall in the short term.After opening today, gold was pressured down by the 4110 area, finding support at around 4050 and rebounding. The 1-hour and 4-hour charts show severe oversold conditions, indicating a clear short-term stabilization. Therefore, overall, while maintaining a bearish outlook for gold, a short-term rebound is likely, with a high probability of further declines. Key resistance remains at the 4110 area, followed by the 4140-50 area. A sustained bearish stance is warranted; an unexpected upward breakout could extend the rebound, but a decline is still expected. Key support during the European session is at the 4050 area, with the 4030-40 area being a short-term key level. A break below this level would likely lead to further declines towards the 3980-3950 and 3915 areas.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AnalystDavid_
1
GOLD Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell! Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD. Time Frame: 4h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is on a crucial zone of supply 4,085.57. The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 3,997.50 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by SignalProvider
1
Gold bulls rallied to reverse the trend; what's next?We perfectly timed both our long and short positions in gold, exiting all positions with profits. Now that gold is rebounding again, we should avoid shorting again and patiently observe the resistance levels above, especially the 4100-4110 area. Whether gold can break through this resistance remains to be seen. If your current trading is not going well, and we hope to help you avoid common pitfalls, feel free to contact us for discussion! Based on the current gold price trend, we should first focus on the short-term support area around 4050-4030, and the resistance area around 4100-4110. The overall strategy should be to sell on rallies within this range. In the middle range, it's best to observe more and trade less, avoiding chasing the market. Wait patiently for key entry points. Specific trading strategies will be provided at the bottom; please pay close attention.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Daniel_PrimeFX
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: Same thing again, we wanted lower to go higher but this move is as extreme as we've seen, choppy ranges and hardly any pull backs. It's ok however, we managed to break the bias level which indicated the move, for the targets to then complete on the distribution of price. We gave our team the level of 4020, on the swing, we got the move and boom! Now, we have support 4195 and the level of 4230 above. I would like to see this come down over the Asian session as we're just too stretched to now consider going long again. If we are to go higher I want better entries, otherwise getting in with the volume is not really ideal for us. Pips are to be had, just pick the levels with caution. From Camelot this morning: RED BOXES: Break above 4129 for 4140✅, 4155✅ and 4168✅ in extension of the move Break below 4110 for 4106, 4097 and 4075 in extension of the move As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
13
XAUUSD – Liquidity-Driven Long Setup (Smart Money Narrative)📖 Market Story (What’s Really Happening) Gold is not “ just bullish ” — it’s being engineered higher through liquidity. Price has been forming a series of higher lows, which tells us one thing: Institutions are protecting downside and accumulating long positions gradually. Recently, price retraced back into a discount zone where: Previous demand was formed Trendline support aligned And liquidity from late sellers started to build below recent lows This tells us the market is setting a liquidity trap. Retail traders are selling this pullback thinking the trend is over. Smart money waits — and then uses their stop-losses as fuel to push price higher. Now price is reacting from this high-probability demand area and showing early signs of bullish intent. This is not about guessing direction — it’s about understanding where liquidity is resting and who is about to get trapped. 📈 Trade Plan (Sniper Execution Model) ✅ Entry (Buy Setup) Buy Zone: 4050 – 4065 Only valid if: Price sweeps sell-side liquidity And shows strong bullish displacement 🛑 Stop Loss SL: 4025 Placed below structural low. If this level breaks — bullish narrative is invalid. 🎯 Targets TP1: 4145 (Partial close – secure profits & move stop to breakeven) TP2: 4220 (Main liquidity target and expense of trapped sellers) ⚖️ Risk Management Risk per trade: 1% only This is a precision trade, not a gamble. 🧩 Confluence Summary What gives this setup edge: ✅ Higher timeframe bullish structure ✅ Liquidity resting below recent lows ✅ Demand zone + trendline compression ✅ Smart money narrative aligned 🧾 Final Thought This trade is not about predicting gold. It’s about positioning before the liquidity expansion happens. Now we wait for price to deliver. This is not a financial advice
TVC:GOLDLong
by Champ_of_Gold
ALERT SET AT 4068 on XAU/USDXAU/USD 1H - As you can see price is showing great signs of bullishness, respecting these areas of Demand and providing us with the bullish structure we expect. You can see that I marked out and area of interest that price has come to clear and trade into perfectly. We have since seen price trade us higher giving us the opportunity to buy in. I have gone ahead and marked out an area of interest just below current price with an alert set at 4068. I would like to see price come to trade down and into this before continuing this bullish momentum. We could look to set a pending order here for this setup, as we know pending orders do hold risk though as we are not waiting for entry confirmation as such. I will follow up with a pending order.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Lukegforex
XAUUSD (Gold) Is heading UPWARDS! - time to buyA few weeks ago XAUUSD (Gold) was in a short term downtrend but finally broke out of it. The price broke through the downward channel to the upside, the price also held onto strong support (the white trendline which acted as a support level). The price tested the white trendline several times but kept bouncing back each time it hit the support zone. The price then broke through all recent resistance zones and will very likely hit the next resistance zone which is marked as the "Take profit" area. BUY GOLD NOW!
TVC:GOLDLong
by VIPindicators
Report 18/11/25Summary The next leg of the market narrative is being pulled in opposite directions by three forces: Tesla’s shareholder vote on an unprecedented, performance-contingent $1 trillion award that would cement Elon Musk’s control over a “physical-AI” strategy; a renewed wave of mega-cap AI capex that is visibly compressing margins at some tech leaders while strengthening others via cloud cash flows; and a fragile, tariff-truce détente between Washington and Beijing that eased tail risk but leaves core strategic frictions unresolved. Into this mix, risk appetite wobbled as a broad selloff swept across equities, crypto, and even gold late last week, while oil slumped and the dollar stayed firm against the yen, reminding investors that positioning and liquidity matter as much as fundamentals in the near term.  Tesla’s vote is the catalyst that concentrates these themes. The package would lift Musk’s stake to roughly 25% on stretching milestones, including audacious targets for market value and operational delivery tied to robotaxis and the Optimus humanoid platform. The governance optics are controversial, but the market read is binary: either lock in the “key-man” premium that underwrites Tesla’s robot ambitions, or risk a multiple that re-anchors on autos and energy storage if leadership or strategy fragment. Reporting indicates investors broadly expect passage, and U.S. press has framed the plan near-term as “likely to pass,” with big holders signaling support. The immediate vector for TSLA, then, is not demand for EVs in Q4, but whether investors are willing to keep discounting high-variance, long-dated FSD/robotaxi/robot cash flows on faith that Musk stays, and executes. At the same time, Big Tech’s AI arms race is reshaping P&Ls and factor exposures. Meta has guided capex up again into a ~$64–72 billion band for 2025 (with spending heavily skewed to data-center equipment that depreciates over ~5½ years), and its Q3 results showed costs rising faster than revenue, souring sentiment as investors reassessed the “spend now, profits later” trajectory. Alphabet also lifted capex materially this year (to the ~$70–75 billion zone), but benefits from Cloud profitability and stronger free-cash-flow momentum, softening the blow relative to Meta. Microsoft continues to show Azure revenue growth around the 30–40% range with high-40s to low-40s operating margins in Intelligent Cloud, keeping the cash-engine humming even as depreciation ramps. The message for markets is straightforward: AI is no longer just an “NVIDIA trade”, it is a capital-intensive, margin-shifting infrastructure build-out that helps owners of rentable compute (clouds) and strains ad-only models that lack a cloud payback.  The macro backdrop isn’t standing still. A fragile U.S.–China trade calm followed leadership talks that paused some tariff escalations and delayed rare-earth restrictions for a year, lowering immediate supply-chain stress and trimming the “worst-case” path for the dollar and global growth volatility. But analysts caution that structural rivalry remains intact, and any reprieve could fade as technology controls and election-year politics re-assert themselves. The effect is “less bad, not solved,” which markets will treat as volatility-suppressing while it lasts.  Market reactions (now) Into the weekend and Monday session, risk assets stumbled in concert. U.S. stocks slid, the Dow closed near 46,590, oil fell hard toward the high-$50s, and even havens wobbled as traders de-risked broadly; the euro hovered near $1.16 and USD/JPY around ¥155. A single-session snapshot never tells the whole story, but the breadth of the selloff, “ensnaring everything from gold to crypto to highflying tech”, speaks to tight positioning meeting a liquidity pocket, not a sudden change in the economic data.  Strategic forecasts For the next 1–3 months, the path of least resistance is choppy but range-bound risk. If Tesla’s plan passes, the “physical-AI” optionality narrative can re-inflate specialty AI and autonomy beta even if near-term EV unit data stay soft; if it surprises by failing, expect an abrupt de-rating in “far-dated optionality” names and a quality/margin rotation back toward cash-rich cloud providers. Beneath the surface, AI-capex leakage into the real economy, power demand, land for data centers, transformers, grid upgrades, should keep non-tech cyclicals like utilities equipment, select industrials, and specialized REITs on a firmer trajectory, even as ad-driven platforms digest depressed operating leverage. On policy, the tariff truce keeps DXY capped versus Europe but supported against Asia until there is clarity on tech controls; any renewed chip-export tightening would be dollar-positive vs. CNY/JPY but equity-negative near term.  Fiscal and political implications The AI build-out is becoming a fiscal and regulatory story. Power-grid bottlenecks will invite incentives, permitting reform, and local tax debates; capex-heavy tech will lobby for rapid interconnection timelines and favorable depreciation schedules to cushion income statements. Internationally, Washington’s need to coordinate with allies on “de-risking” versus China will continue to produce mini-deals that ease immediate trade noise without resolving the core strategic contest, keeping corporate planning in a “just-in-case” mode. Domestic labor and household stress remain in focus, shutdown aftershocks and partial SNAP payments demonstrate both the system’s resilience and its limits, with court-ordered funding workarounds creating administrative frictions that can dent near-term consumption at the margin.  Risks Execution risk dominates. For Tesla, commercialization of FSD at meaningful attach rates and regulatory-permitted robotaxi operations is the hurdle, not demos; any high-profile setback in autonomy safety would sharply compress the “option value” embedded in TSLA. For Big Tech, the risk is a capex-driven margin air-pocket that collides with a softer ad tape or slower cloud bookings. Macro-politically, the U.S.–China respite could evaporate on chips, rare-earths, or maritime incidents; sanctions slippage via Russia-China energy trade complicates oil balances and could reignite volatility if enforcement tightens. Lastly, positioning risk is acute: with crowded exposures in AI beneficiaries and gold/crypto hedges, air pockets can produce “sell everything” days like we just saw.  Opportunities Investors can lean into AI infrastructure second-derivatives, power, grid equipment, switchgear, long-lead transformers, specialized construction, and select data-center landlords, where backlog visibility is rising with less headline risk than ad-supported platforms. Within tech, prefer cloud vendors with improving unit economics over ad-only models until depreciation crests. In autos, position for dispersion: high-quality suppliers leveraged to driver-assist and power electronics should hold up better than commodity EV assemblers until pricing stabilizes. For macro hedges, maintain a barbelled approach, quality duration and cash-generative defensives on one side; selective commodity exposure (especially if China continues to build oil reserves) on the other, while avoiding crowded, high-beta hedges that can unwind violently.  Asset-by-asset take XAUUSD (Gold): The latest de-risking wave hit gold alongside crypto, which is unusual but not unprecedented when funds raise cash. Structurally, gold is still supported by negative real-rate impulses if the Fed leans easier into 2026 and by central-bank buying. Tactically, expect choppy consolidation after a parabolic year; add on dips that coincide with DXY spikes rather than chase strength.  S&P 500 / Dow Jones: Mega-cap tech’s capex shock and margin questions argue for a narrower leadership with rolling corrections beneath the index. The Dow’s latest pullback to ~46,6k reflects de-risking, not a growth scare; breadth and earnings revisions, particularly in cloud, utilities-adjacent industrials, and healthcare, will dictate whether dips are bought. Near-term, a 3–5% volatility band is base case.  DXY: The tariff truce and softer oil tone limit upside versus EUR, but DXY stays supported by U.S. growth differentials and higher carry versus JPY and some EM. Range 102–106 feels appropriate unless a new policy shock re-prices the Fed path or a sharper European slowdown materializes.  USDJPY: With yen near ~¥155 and the BoJ’s normalization still glacial, USDJPY remains a funding-beta barometer. Episodes of global de-risking can pull it lower, but the structural trade favors rallies unless Tokyo accelerates policy shifts or U.S. yields break lower decisively.  Crude Oil: Prices slipped toward the high-$50s despite geopolitics, aided by ample supply and China’s stockpiling strategy smoothing demand. Sanctions friction around Russian flows is real but porous; watch for enforcement surprises as the main upside risk. Base case: $58–70 WTI unless inventories tighten.  TSLA (as a proxy for “physical-AI” beta): Passage of the plan likely sustains the optionality premium; failure compresses the multiple quickly toward autos/energy storage comps. Either way, volatility is elevated into and right after the vote; risk-manage with staged sizing and options overlays if expressing a view.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Buranku
XAU/USD – Bearish Momentum Approaches Key Support ZoneGold continues to trade within a clear downtrend on the H1 timeframe, respecting the descending trendline and forming consistent lower highs. Price is now moving toward a major support zone — an area that has previously triggered strong bullish reactions — making it a critical level to watch for today’s session. Technical Outlook Trendline: Price continues to respect the descending trendline, confirming strong bearish control. Support Zone: 3,985 – 3,995 remains the most important demand area. This zone has acted as a reversal base multiple times. Resistance Levels: Immediate resistance: 4,025 – 4,035 (trendline confluence) Upper resistance: 4,065 – 4,075 Indicators: EMA Structure: Price remains below short-term EMAs → indicates sellers remain dominant. RSI: Approaching oversold territory, suggesting a possible technical rebound. Fibonacci: The 0.618 retracement aligns closely with the support area, increasing its reliability. Price Behavior The chart shows two previous consolidation boxes (accumulation phases), followed by expansions. The current structure is a deep pullback into major support. If selling pressure weakens at this zone, a short-term rebound toward the trendline is likely before the market decides its next major direction. Trading Strategy Scenario 1 – Bullish Rebound at 3,985 – 3,995 Wait for bullish confirmation candles + increasing volume. Entry: 3,995 – 4,005 Target 1: 4,025 Target 2: 4,065 Stop-loss: below 3,975 Scenario 2 – Breakdown Below Support Only trade if price closes clearly below 3,985. Entry: around 3,980 Target 1: 3,960 Target 2: 3,930 Stop-loss: above 4,010 Final Note The overall structure still favors the bearish side, but the support zone below is a decision point for the market. Observe price action carefully before entering. Follow for more daily strategies and insights, and save this analysis if you find it helpful.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
The 3 Pillars of Dow Theory – Break One and the Trend FailsMost traders hear about Dow Theory but don’t truly understand that: A trend only truly exists when all three pillars agree. Break just one pillar, and the “trend” you see on the chart may be nothing more than an illusion. Here are the three “holy pillars” that determine every trend: 1. First Pillar: Price Trend – Price Action as the Foundation Dow made it very clear: “The market discounts everything.” Meaning every piece of news, expectation, fear, and sentiment is already reflected in price action. To identify the trend: Uptrend when: Higher Highs – Higher Lows (HH–HL) Downtrend when: Lower Highs – Lower Lows (LH–LL) If there’s no HH–HL or LH–LL? → No trend exists. → Any buy/sell decision is basically guessing. 2. Second Pillar: Volume – The Confirmation of a “Real” Trend A rising trend with weak volume → fake rally, pushed by “echoes,” not real money. A falling trend with exhausted volume → high risk of an aggressive reversal. Volume is the fingerprint of real capital flow. Strong uptrend → volume must rise Strong downtrend → volume must expand Weak trend → volume gradually decreases → early reversal warning If price moves one way but volume moves another → One of them is lying. And price usually ends up turning around. 3. Third Pillar: Inter-Market Confirmation – “No Market Moves Alone” This is the part most traders ignore. Dow believed: A trend is only valid when confirmed from multiple perspectives. In Dow’s era, this meant: – Transportation Index – Industrial Index Today, we interpret it more broadly: BTC rising? → Midcap altcoins or on-chain metrics must confirm. SP500 rising? → Nasdaq or the Dow Jones should move in the same direction. XAUUSD rising? → DXY or yields must show weakness. If one index rises while its “siblings” stay flat or move opposite →The trend is unreliable. WHY ALL 3 PILLARS MUST ALIGN Think of a trend as a house: - Price Action → the foundation - Volume → the steel structure - Cross-index confirmation → the supporting walls Missing 1 element → the house stands, but very weakly. Missing 2 → it collapses for sure. Have all 3 → the trend becomes strong, durable, and hard to break.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Paradise_Noir
9
XAUUSD | Gold Set to Explode from Triangle Pattern—Act Now!📊 Market Structure Gold is entering a tight accumulation phase within a Symmetrical Triangle pattern – indicating compression before a strong breakout. On the downside, the price is still supported by the Demand Zone 4,007 – 4,020 USD , which is the main support area for the medium-term uptrend structure. On the upside, the Resistance Zone 4,103 – 4,110 USD continuously exerts pressure, causing price rejection. Currently, gold is trading right in the middle of the compression triangle → the market is preparing to choose a direction. Looking at the wave structure, the trend slightly leans towards a break up to sweep liquidity in the high area. 💎 Key Technical Zones • ⭐ FVG Supply Zone: 4,128 – 4,150 USD → expected strong reaction area if price breaks up • 🟣 Resistance Zone: 4,103 – 4,110 USD → decisive area for direction • 🟪 Demand Zone: 4,007 – 4,020 USD → strong base maintaining structure • 🟦 Liquidity Clear: 3,980 USD → risk area if price collapses the triangle 🎯 Trading Plan – Two Possible Scenarios 1️⃣ BUY – Wait for Breakout from Triangle (priority scenario) If the price breaks the resistance zone 4,103 – 4,110 with a strong H1 closing candle: • Entry: 4,112 – 4,115 • SL: 4,095 • TP1: 4,128 • TP2: 4,145 • TP3: 4,150 (reach FVG) → This is a trend-following setup, with a high probability of sweeping liquidity above after the break. 2️⃣ BUY – Retest Demand Zone 4,007 – 4,020 If the price continues to follow the triangle pattern and falls to the trendline + demand zone: • Entry: 4,010 – 4,017 • SL: 3,990 • TP1: 4,103 • TP2: 4,128 • TP3: 4,150 → This is a very strong confluence area between Demand Zone + Trendline + pattern base. ❌ SELL? When is it valid? Currently, selling is not prioritized, as the price is still above the Demand Zone and the larger structure still favors an uptrend. Selling is only valid if the price: • Breaks strongly below 4,007 USD → At this point, the market turns bearish, with a distant target of 3,980 USD. 🧠 Vincent’s View Gold is under strong compression. When the triangle pattern is broken, the move will be extremely fast and decisive. The current trend leans towards breaking up and heading straight into the FVG area 4,128 – 4,150 USD. Just be patient and wait for the confirmation candle — don’t predict, react to the market. ⚡ “Breakout is born from pressure — patience profits.” ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Update: 24/11/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Gold Key Levels (3900-4400)These are the Gold key levels ( Support and Resistance Levels) which I’ll be using for trading. Here’s how I trade these levels: - Close above a level → Buy setup When a candle closes clearly above a level, it confirms bullish momentum and I look to enter long immediately after the close. - Close below a level → Sell setup A confirmed candle close below support signals bearish strength, and I enter short right after the close. - Rejection from a level → Opposite trade If price shows a strong rejection from a level, I trade in the opposite direction - rejection from resistance = sell setup, rejection from support = buy setup.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by Ats9