GOLD GOLD ON daily broken supply roof at line chart candle close we have 3557-3555 as retest to broken supply roof to act as demand floor 3511 will be watched.
3575-3573 another 4hr broken supply roof now demand .
#gold
GOLD trade ideas
GOLDPreferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
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GOLD TECHNICAL & ORDER FLOW ANALYSISOur analysis is based on a multi-timeframe top-down approach and fundamental analysis.
Based on our assessment, the price is expected to return to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis may change at any time without notice and is solely intended to assist traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no obligation to act on it, nor should you.
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XAU OUTLOOK NYXAUUSD TRC Strategy (PRE NY)
Price is overall Looking bullish for gold as per the entire week. Price closed above the Asian High & London High on the 1HR timeframe, expecting continuation BUYS coming into the NY session.
For SELLS:
1) Create a 15M body candle close below the 15M Bullish OB at the3651.64 level.
2) Retest the strong bearish 15M CHOCH level at the 3651.64 level.
3) Create a 3/5M bearish engulfing candle to capitalize on SELLS towards the 3633 level.
For BUYS:
1) Body candle close above the 15M bearish FVG at the 3661.50level.
2) Retest the failed 15M bearish FVG at the 3661.50 level.
3) Create a 3/5M bullish engulfing candle to capitalize on BUYS
towards the 3675 level.
Trade smart, Trade Safe
XAUUSD heading to 3700.00NFP week job data has fueled the long term uptrend on XAUUSD showing a possible trend continuation on GOLD. Multiple timeframe trend on XAUUSD is bullish with monthly, weekly and daily trend confirmation showing GOLD to potentially move back to the upside with a bullish channel creation.
It is a high probability that price may reject from the support level 3645.00 could be an important level for buy entry upon break of structure.
Beyond the Chart – GOLD Market Technical Analysis📈 XAUUSD 1H
Market still holding a strong bullish structure with clean BOS to the upside.
Multiple unmitigated FVGs below could act as magnets if price retraces.
As long as 3,640 FVG holds, continuation toward 3,680–3,700 is in play.
Safer longs on pullbacks, shorts only as scalps into imbalances.
🌐 Mid-Term Outlook:
Gold still looks strong fundamentally & technically — dips into imbalances = opportunities to build longs. Expect higher levels ahead.
GOLD GOLD buying might enter 3700 soon based on the structure,we are seeing higher hiighs and strong 5min trend.
#gold
SELL XAUUSDI think it's obvious sell but finding the edge is our challenge. So this 4.5 R:R Trade should be a good trade
GOLDAverage Hourly Earnings (m/m): Expected to rise by 0.3%, unchanged from previous.
Non-Farm Employment Change: Forecast at 75,000 new jobs, slightly above last month's 73,000.
Unemployment Rate: The latest figure is expected today but the forecast is not provided here.
How the US Dollar (USD) Might React to the Data:
If the data exceed forecasts (stronger jobs growth, higher hourly earnings, lower unemployment):
This signals a robust labor market and potential inflationary pressure.
The Federal Reserve might maintain or raise interest rates to prevent overheating.
The USD would likely strengthen as higher rates attract foreign capital and boost demand for the dollar.
If the data come in weaker than forecasts (slower jobs growth, stagnant or falling earnings, higher unemployment):
This suggests economic slowdown and reduced inflation risks.
The Fed may consider cutting or pausing rate hikes to support growth.
The USD would likely weaken as interest rate expectations decline and capital flows out.
Summary:
Positive labor data generally boost USD.
Negative labor data generally weaken USD.
Market reaction depends on how results influence the Fed’s monetary policy outlook.
If the actual unemployment rate is also released, I can provide an updated interpretation of its impact on the dollar.Here are the current US labor market data forecasts:
Average Hourly Earnings m/m: 0.3% (previous 0.3%)
Non-Farm Employment Change: 75,000 (previous 73,000)
Unemployment Rate: Expected today (forecast not specified)
How the USD Could React:
If actual data are greater than forecasts (e.g., stronger job gains, higher wage growth, lower unemployment), this signals a robust economy that could sustain Fed rate hikes or reduce the chance of cuts. The US dollar would likely strengthen as investors anticipate higher interest rates attracting capital inflows.
If actual data are less than forecasts (e.g., weaker job growth, flat wages, higher unemployment), it could indicate economic slowing and potential Fed easing. In this scenario, the US dollar would likely weaken as expectations shift toward lower interest rates or rate cuts.
The reaction depends on how these labor indicators influence market expectations around Fed monetary policy. Strong labor data usually support a firmer USD, while weaker data lead to a softer USD.
If the exact unemployment rate number releases, I can update the analysis further.Here are the current US labor market data forecasts:
Average Hourly Earnings m/m: 0.3% (previous 0.3%)
Non-Farm Employment Change: 75,000 (previous 73,000)
Unemployment Rate: Expected today (forecast not specified)
How the USD Could React:
If actual data are greater than forecasts (e.g., stronger job gains, higher wage growth, lower unemployment), this signals a robust economy that could sustain Fed rate hikes or reduce the chance of cuts. The US dollar would likely strengthen as investors anticipate higher interest rates attracting capital inflows.
If actual data are less than forecasts (e.g., weaker job growth, flat wages, higher unemployment), it could indicate economic slowing and potential Fed easing. In this scenario, the US dollar would likely weaken as expectations shift toward lower interest rates or rate cuts.
The reaction depends on how these labor indicators influence market expectations around Fed monetary policy. Strong labor data usually support a firmer USD, while weaker data lead to a softer USD.
Gold Analysis：Seize every pullback buying opportunityOn the daily chart, gold continues to maintain a relatively stable upward trend along its short-term moving average. Within a few hours, it retreated to around 3511 before rebounding to around 3558, completing a correction. The current trend shows no signs of a peak, and bullish momentum remains to reach new all-time highs.
Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart, after continuous fluctuations, the technical pattern has begun to recover. The short-term moving average has gradually diverged upward, and the K-line chart has begun to maintain a slight upward trend along the short-term moving average, suggesting potential for a sustained rebound in the short term. On the 4-hour chart, the price is currently in a period of consolidation and correction at a high level. Keep an eye on resistance around 3565 in the short term.
Trading Recommendation: Invest in small positions at 3539, 3324, and 3510, opening multiple long positions. Target prices are 3560/3580, with a breakout to target new highs.
Decider path on XAUUSD We have two patterns at moment head & Shoulder on H1 and Rising wedge pattern on H4 .if we go with H&S market should be bearish, if we go with Rising channel market should be bullish. All Eyes on 3525 support area.
What possible scenario we have?
• XAUUSD on undisputed bullish trend
And my first buying will be at 3530-3533 area and target will be 3560-3575 again.
At moment I'm holding my buy trade at 3534 from aisa session.
• secondly if any candle closes below inner doted trendline, below 3525 then market will turned bearish towards 3500 then 3485-80 on mark.
All the entires should be taken once all the rules are applied
Bearish on GoldGold shorts can be accumulated if it makes it to the 61.8% retracement of the last impulse down for another impulse down.
XAU/USD – Liquidity Grab Before Downside MovePrice action is currently showing signs of a retracement to the upside, aiming to grab excess liquidity and balance out the order flow.
📍 Point of Entry:
I expect price to push higher into the marked liquidity area before rejecting. This move will serve as an equilibrium adjustment, allowing institutions to collect orders before driving the market lower.
📉 Downside Targets:
After the liquidity grab, price is likely to continue its bearish leg, moving down into the support zone highlighted in blue. This zone aligns with the 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG), which will serve as a key area for a retest.
🔑 Key Outlook:
Retracement upward → Liquidity sweep.
Continuation downward → Support zone & 4H FVG retest.
Further breakdown possible if support fails.
Follow for more.
Greetings,
MrYounity
Gold - Caution ahead of US PPI report | Priority on Sell setups🟡 XAU/USD – 10/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓
🔎 Captain’s Log – Market Context
US 10-year bond yields rebound, signaling the market is awaiting key inflation data.
At 07:30, US PPI report will be released – a crucial figure that could strongly influence FED rate expectations.
Investors are also eyeing US CPI in the coming days to assess the inflation outlook.
The US Supreme Court accepted Trump’s appeal, but this news has not yet had a notable impact on Gold.
⏩ Captain’s Summary: Ahead of inflation data, Gold often tends to correct lower due to cautious sentiment.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis
Storm Breaker (Key Resistance):
Bearish OB: 3654 – 3660 (short-term upper cap)
ATH Watchtower: 3700 – 3702 (Sell Zone – possible new ATH test)
Golden Harbor (Strong Support):
Buy Zone: 3601 – 3602
OB Dock: 3582 – 3585
Currently, price is around 3640 – 3645, after a technical rebound from support. High probability that Gold will retest nearby resistance before a downward correction.
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Scenarios
⚡ Quick Boarding (SELL – Daily Priority)
Entry 1: 3654 – 3660
SL: 3668
TP: 3654 → 3650 → 3618 → 3610
Entry 2 – ATH Test: 3701 – 3703
SL: 3711
TP: 3688 → 3675 → 3665 → 365x
✅ Golden Harbor (BUY – Only at deep support)
Buy Zone: 3601 – 3603
SL: 3592
TP: 3610 → 3620 → 3630
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The golden ship faces turbulent seas today as it sails near Storm Breaker 🌊 (3654 – 3660) . Before the fierce winds called US PPI , sailors should prioritize dropping anchor with short-term SELL positions at resistance. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3601 – 3603) remains a safe haven below, but only when the ship corrects deeply should it dock. On this voyage, Quick Boarding 🚤 is for scalp maneuvers, while the main current is still steered by the stormy waves of inflation.”
XAUUSD Intraday Analysis – September 10, 2025 (H1 Chart)Gold has been in a strong bullish channel since late August, but the current rally is facing a heavy resistance zone at 3,665 – 3,675 USD/oz, where signs of a corrective move are emerging.
1. Technical Outlook
Trendline & Channel: Price has been respecting the ascending channel but is now testing resistance and showing weakness.
Fibonacci Retracement (from 3,395 → 3,675):
0.382 ~ 3,565
0.5 ~ 3,535
0.618 ~ 3,505
RSI (H1): Overbought (>70) and turning down, suggesting short-term correction.
Elliott Wave: A corrective ABC structure is in play. Wave A has started, with Wave C possibly targeting 3,545 – 3,505.
2. Key Levels
Resistance: 3,665 – 3,675
Short-term Support: 3,625 – 3,585
Major Support: 3,545 – 3,505 (confluence with Fibonacci 0.5 – 0.618)
3. Trading Strategies
Short-term Sell Setup:
Entry: 3,655 – 3,665 (resistance zone)
TP1: 3,585
TP2: 3,545 – 3,505
SL: 3,685
Medium-term Buy Setup (Buy Limit Strategy):
Entry: 3,545 – 3,505 (support & Fibo cluster)
TP: 3,625 – 3,665
SL: below 3,485
4. Conclusion
Gold is likely entering a corrective phase after testing the strong resistance zone. Traders may consider shorting near resistance and buying back at deeper support levels.
- Keep these resistance–support levels on your chart for today’s trading plan, and follow along for more updated strategies.
XAU/USD on Fire — Next Stop $3,750?Gold (XAU/USD) on the 1H chart is currently maintaining a bullish structure, with price trading around $3,644 after bouncing from the $3,610 support zone. This area has repeatedly acted as a demand level, confirming that buyers are defending dips. The market has been forming higher lows and higher highs, which reinforces the bullish bias.
On the upside, the price faces resistance around $3,674–$3,700, which aligns with the marked take-profit zone. If bulls manage to push above $3,700 with momentum, the next extension target could be near $3,750, a psychological level and a historically reactive price point. On the downside, $3,610 remains a key invalidation level; a break below could shift momentum back toward sellers.
From a momentum perspective, recent buying signals around the lower zones confirm continued interest from institutional buyers. The recent cluster of selling signals near $3,670 reflects short-term supply pressure, but price behavior shows that demand is gradually absorbing that.
________________________________________
✅ Trade Setup (Bullish)
• Entry: $3,645 – $3,650
• Stop Loss: Below $3,610
• Take Profit 1: $3,674
• Take Profit 2: $3,700
• Extended Target: $3,750
________________________________________
Risk handling is critical here. The setup offers a 1:1.5 to 1:2 risk/reward, depending on entry execution. A smart approach would be to book partial profits at $3,674, then trail the stop-loss to breakeven. If price breaks above $3,674 convincingly, use a trailing stop strategy under each new higher low on the 1H chart. This allows traders to lock in gains while still staying exposed to the larger bullish move.
In short, Gold remains poised for a bullish breakout, with strong upside potential if resistance levels are cleared. Careful trade management with partial exits and trailing stops will ensure traders maximize profit while limiting risk.
________________________________________
XAUUSD – Gold Price Analysis (September 9, 2025)1. Main Trend
After a fake break at the end of July, gold strongly rebounded from the 3,260 – 3,280 support zone.
The sideways accumulation phase during August (“the bulls resisted”) created a solid base.
Since late August, price has broken above 3,440 and continued in a sharp uptrend, reaching the key resistance zone at 3,650 – 3,660.
2. Key Support & Resistance Levels
Major Resistance: 3,650 – 3,660 (current top, strong selling pressure expected).
Immediate Support: 3,520 – 3,480 (previous breakout zone, aligned with 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of the recent rally).
Deeper Supports: 3,440 (old consolidation channel) and 3,325 – 3,280 (August lows).
3. Indicators & Price Behavior
EMA: Short-term EMAs (20–50) are sloping upwards, confirming the bullish trend. However, the distance is overstretched → risk of a pullback.
RSI: Currently in the overbought zone (>70), signaling potential short-term correction.
Fibonacci: The move from 3,325 → 3,650 shows 0.382 retracement around 3,520 as a critical balance point for buyers.
4. Trading Strategies
Strategy 1 – Short at Resistance:
Look for sell opportunities around 3,650 – 3,660 with bearish candlestick confirmation.
Stop loss above 3,675.
Take profit targets: 3,520 – 3,480.
Strategy 2 – Buy on Pullback:
Wait for price to retrace into 3,520 – 3,480 support.
Enter long positions if support holds with bullish confirmation.
Stop loss below 3,460.
Targets: retest 3,650, with potential extension toward 3,700.
Conclusion: Gold remains in a strong uptrend but is now testing the critical resistance at 3,650 – 3,660. A short-term correction is likely before the next bullish leg. Patience is key—wait for a healthy pullback to secure better entries and avoid chasing highs.
- Follow for more trading strategies and save this analysis if you find it useful.
Gold (XAU/USD) continues to attract strong attention as marketsGold (XAU/USD) continues to attract strong attention as markets weigh both technical and macroeconomic factors.
From a technical perspective, price action remains influenced by key resistance and support levels, with traders closely watching potential breakout zones and momentum shifts. Current patterns suggest heightened volatility, which could provide trading opportunities for both short- and medium-term outlooks.
On the fundamental side, gold’s role as a safe-haven asset is supported by global economic uncertainty, central bank policies, and inflation dynamics. Investors continue to monitor U.S. interest rate decisions and geopolitical developments, which may further impact price direction.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making trading decisions.
#Gold #XAUUSD #Commodities #TechnicalAnalysis #Fundamentals #SafeHaven #Trading #Markets #Forex #MacroEconomics
XAU/USD Update 2 weeklyNext move on the way, focus on proper risk management & stay disciplined. Wishing you successful trades..!
Key Reason:
1. Market structure is strongly bullish.
2. Clean BOS formed.
3. Fresh BB + Demand still in pending.
4. BISI still in pending.
5. If price retraces into our demand zone, we'll look for entry opportunities. A sustained bullish momentum from this level could trigger a strong upward rally.
This is not a financial advice. Confirmation is very important part. Let's see how it will work.
Gold Price Analysis September 5On the larger time frame, the current wave structure is quite difficult to clearly identify, so we temporarily switch to the H1 analysis.
At this point, the 3355 zone is an important barrier in the short-term trend. With the bullish momentum of the candle, it is likely that this level will soon be broken, opening up an opportunity for the price to move towards the historical peak of 3575, and may even extend to 3610 today.
On the contrary, the correction scenario will only be triggered when the 3540 zone is broken, in which case the price may retreat to the important support level of 3514. If 3514 continues to be broken, the downward correction trend will be confirmed.
📌 Reference strategy:
BUY when the price breaks through 3355 (according to the breakout system).
BUY DCA when it crosses 3375, long target towards 3610.
SELL only activates if the trendline at 3340 is broken, target around 3515.
XAUUSD BreakoutAfter a strong rally up since the beginning of the year, Spot Gold struggled to breakthrough $3,425 for the last 129 days. However, since the beginning of the week Gold broke through that level surging +4.3%.
Seeing Gold continue to rally alongside the stock market, both of which at all time highs despite typically having an inverse relationship.
With M2 money supply ever growing, rate cuts continuing and acceptance of higher levels of inflation there is plenty of fuel to keep this move going no matter how unnatural it feels. Gold typically thrives in risk-off environments but this year has seen huge progress.
Now Gold has entered price discovery it's about riding the wave of momentum caused by the breakout. Should Gold turn around and get back below $3,425 there is potential for worry, a SFP confirmation is bearish. A retest of $3,425 as support with bullish continuation is a more comfortable hold.
GOLD Will Fall! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for GOLD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 3,545.90.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 3,510.39.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GOLD BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,538.09
Target Level: 3,432.86
Stop Loss: 3,608.24
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 8h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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