XAU/USD | Testing Deeper Support ZoneYesterday’s analysis is playing out as expected — the first support zone has failed, and price is now testing the Deeper Support Zone (3,944–3,884). The continued downside momentum confirms that sellers remain firmly in control, with short-term sentiment still leaning strongly bearish.
Gold is currently trading around 3,930, holding well below both the MA50 and MA200, reinforcing ongoing downside pressure. If buyers can defend this zone and push price back above 3,987, a corrective rebound toward 4,042 and 4,095 could follow.
However, a clean break below 3,884 would likely open the door for a deeper decline toward 3,820–3,781, where dip-buyers may look to re-enter the market.
📌 Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
3944
3987
4042
4095
4137
Support:
3884
3820
3781
Despite the current correction, the overall bullish trend remains intact, with the recent sell-off seen as a healthy correction within the broader bullish trend.
🔎 Fundamental Focus:
It’s a big week for the U.S., with the FOMC rate decision and press conference on Wednesday expected to draw most of the market’s attention.
Before that, traders will be watching Consumer Confidence and Pending Home Sales data today.
The backdrop remains tense with the U.S. government shutdown still unresolved, keeping overall sentiment cautious across markets.
Trade ideas
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 10/27/2025As pointed out in my weekly post, I am expecting gold to rise and looking to buy for this week. Currently gold just opened the week with a gap down and this could be a sign of ultimate bottom for this week. However, there is a possibility of stop hunting which may trigger a rapid drop and recover in Europe session.
Therefore, I will not engage any buying order between 4000 and 4150. I will look to buy if 4150 is broken, targeting 4200. However, if 4000 is broken, the setup is invalidated.
StevenTrading - $XAUUSD$: New Week Perspective – Prioritize...StevenTrading - OANDA:XAUUSD $: New Week Perspective – Prioritize BUYING According to Elliott Wave 5, Awaiting Range $3961$
Hello everyone, StevenTrading is back with the Gold scenario for the new trading week!
After a period of strong volatility, I am leaning towards more buying scenarios according to Elliott Wave 5.
Although retesting deeper support levels is possible, the technical structure still shows potential for price increase.
Initially, the structure on H1 is showing that the price is moving sideways within a wide range.
We will watch the price range to trade before Gold officially breaks the barrier!1.
📊 TECHNICAL STRUCTURE ANALYSIS
Elliott Wave: Prioritize the development scenario of Wave 5. This reinforces the medium-term upward trend.
H1 Structure: The price is fluctuating within a wide range, creating opportunities for Scalping/Day Trade at the upper/lower boundaries.2.
🎯 DETAILED TRADING PLAN (ACTION PLAN)
Our trading strategy this week is to actively buy at the lower boundary and defensively sell at the upper boundary to maximize the price range.
Primary BUY Scenario (BUY Primary):
We will patiently wait for Gold to adjust to the $3961$ area, an important liquidity support zone (near the Buy Liquidity/Buy Zone on the charts).
This is an ideal entry point to join the upward momentum according to Elliott Wave 5.
The Buy order will be activated at $3961$ with a stop loss SL $3950$ (set below support $3954$) to preserve capital.
Profit targets are divided into ascending levels: TP1 $3975$, TP2 $3990$, TP3 $4012$, and the final target is $4035$ as the price approaches the upper boundary.
SELL Scalping Scenario: To defend and take advantage of the adjustment, we will watch to Sell just below the strong resistance area at $4050$ (near old resistances and barrier zones). The Sell order will be placed with a tight stop loss SL $4060$. Profit targets will be prioritized for short-term (Scalping) to quickly secure profits.3.
📌 SUMMARY & DISCIPLINE (Steven's Note)The goal is to patiently wait for $3961$ to execute the BUY position with the lowest risk, pursuing the Elliott Wave 5 target. Capital management discipline and compliance with SL are mandatory in this wide range trading phase.
Are you ready to take advantage of this price range?
The gold-driven logic behind the US attack on VenezuelaThe "black swan" shock in the global crude oil market: Venezuela, as an important member of OPEC, produces 1.2 million barrels of oil per day (accounting for 1.3% of global crude oil supply), and controls 18% of the world's proven oil reserves. If the US military strike causes the paralysis of its oil facilities (such as the Maracaibo Lake oil field and the Caribbean Sea ports being bombed), global crude oil supply will instantly decrease by 1.2 million barrels per day. Coupled with the fact that the situation in the Middle East has not yet eased, the Brent crude oil price may soar from the current $85 per barrel to $120-130 per barrel, reaching a new high since 2022.
The signal of restarting the inflation spiral: For every $10 increase in crude oil price per barrel, it will push up the US core CPI by 0.3-0.4 percentage points. If the oil price exceeds $120, the US CPI may return to above 4% in December 2025. This will completely reverse the market's expectation of "inflation moderation", and the demand for gold as an "inflation-resistant hard asset" will experience an explosive growth - during the 2022 Russia-Ukraine conflict, the inflation concerns triggered by the oil price increase led to a 5.8% weekly increase in gold prices. This scenario shock is even stronger, with a weekly increase of over 7%.
Next week's trading strategy and analysis
buy:4000-4010
tp:4025-4035-4100
sl:3995
Emotional Debt: The Hidden Cost of Revenge Trading“You don’t lose the most money when you lose a trade.
You lose it when you try to get it back.”
Every trader has felt it — that sudden urge to “win it back.”
You take one loss, then another, and before logic can speak,
you’re already in a new position — not to trade, but to heal.
That’s emotional debt —
The invisible weight carried from one mistake into the next.
What Is Emotional Debt?
Just like financial debt, it compounds.
A small emotional reaction today becomes a bigger one tomorrow.
You start trading your frustration, not your system.
You stop managing risk — because ego takes over management.
You don’t see charts anymore. You only see revenge.
How It Builds Up
Ignoring losses instead of reflecting on them
Measuring self-worth by daily profit or loss
Forcing trades to “prove” something to yourself
Confusing emotional recovery with market opportunity
The Interest You Pay
Emotional debt doesn’t just cost money — it costs focus.
It clouds your judgment, narrows your vision,
and pushes you further from the patience that once made you consistent.
Breaking the Cycle
Pause after every loss. Step away.
Write what triggered your next impulse.
Accept that no single trade can fix an emotional imbalance.
Remember: You are not your last trade.
When you clear emotional debt, you stop trading to recover —
and start trading to understand.
Let go of the need to get it back.
The market gives clarity only to those who stop chasing closure.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
Have you ever caught yourself trading from emotion instead of structure?
Share your thoughts — awareness begins with honesty.
XAUUSD Buy Setup - Bullish Continuation From 39661H chart shows strong bullish impulse followed by consolidation.
Price holding above structure — continuation likely if support holds.
Setup: Buy on pullback near 3980 with targets up to 4100.
Stop below 3865 to protect from invalidation.
‹ Educational analysis only. Not financial advice
Will gold fall below 3900 again on October 29?
Current Market Characterization: Volatile with a bearish bias. Gold prices have broken below the key psychological level of $4,000, indicating short-term technical weakness. The market is currently caught between long-term bullish fundamentals and short-term factors such as easing geopolitical risks and improved risk appetite. Ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting, volatile and range-bound trading is likely to persist.
I. Core Market Logic
Short-Term Bearish Factors:
Technical Selling Pressure: Last week’s significant sell-off has led to further weakness in technical indicators.
Improved Risk Appetite: Signs of easing geopolitical tensions (e.g., trade negotiations) have reduced gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset.
Break of Key Support: The loss of the $4,000 level (coinciding with the long-term uptrend line) has intensified bearish sentiment.
Medium- to Long-Term Supporting Factors:
Fed Rate Cut Expectations: The market has almost fully priced in a 25-basis-point rate cut in October, with another cut expected in December. This limits the downside for gold prices in the long run.
II. Key Price Levels
Bullish Defense Line: $4,020
If gold fails to reclaim and stabilize above this level, the short-term bearish trend is likely to continue.
Core Resistance Zone: $3,970 - $3,990
This area, formed by the 5-day and 10-day moving averages, serves as a strong short-term resistance zone and an ideal entry point for short positions.
Support Zone: $3,880 - $3,890
This is the current near-term key support band. If gold stabilizes here, a technical rebound may occur.
Breakdown Target:
If the $3,880 - $3,890 support band is decisively broken, bears will likely test lower support levels.
III. Intraday Trading Strategy
Primary Approach: Prefer selling on rallies, with light long positions at key support levels as a secondary strategy.
Short Strategy (Primary):
Entry Timing: Wait for gold to rebound to the $3,970 - $3,990 resistance zone and show signs of rejection before entering short positions.
Profit Target: Initial target at the $3,900 - $3,910 support band. Secondary target at $3,870 - $3,880.
Stop Loss: Place above $4,000.
Long Strategy (Secondary):
Entry Timing: If gold retraces to the $3,880 - $3,890 support band and shows signs of stabilization or reversal on shorter timeframes (e.g., 1-hour/4-hour charts), consider entering light long positions.
Profit Target: Aim for $3,950 - $3,970.
Stop Loss: Place below $3,870.
IV. Trading Discipline and Risk Warnings
Follow the Trend: As long as the price remains below $4,020, the overall strategy should favor selling on rallies rather than attempting to buy the dip against the trend.
Exercise Patience: Only execute trades when prices approach key resistance or support levels. Avoid impulsive trading in intermediate ranges and refrain from chasing the market.
Strict Risk Management: Market sensitivity is heightened ahead of the Fed meeting. Always adhere to stop-loss orders to mitigate risks from unexpected fluctuations.
GOLD ; How far down?Hello friends
Well, after the good rise we had, the price needed a correction, which happened with a double top pattern.
Now the main question is, how far will the fall go?
Well, in the short term, the price can fall to the specified limits, and if the support areas are broken, the fall will continue, and on the other hand, an important resistance has been created, which the price needs to break for the new ATH.
With this decline, it is unlikely that the price will suffer for a while and correct because it has grown a lot and everything will end one day...
Support levels can be good points for buying, of course with capital and risk management.
*Trade safely with us*
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for October 30Gold Technical Analysis:
Daily chart resistance: 4090, support: 3840.
4-hour chart resistance: 4050, support: 3890.
1-hour chart resistance: 4030, support: 3916.
Technical Analysis: Gold prices rebounded technically after falling nearly 5% over four consecutive trading days. The market faced short-term headwinds due to Powell downplaying the possibility of a December rate cut; however, widening divisions within the Federal Reserve regarding interest rate decisions have introduced new uncertainty to the market. Meanwhile, the trade easing agreement reached between the US and China has weakened safe-haven demand.
The daily chart shows a stepped decline, with four consecutive days of losses up to the previous trading day, and the moving average system has formed a death cross. After the European market opened today, prices rebounded rapidly. Short-term resistance levels to watch are 4010 and 4030. If gold can hold above 4010 and remain firmly above 4000, it will likely attract previous buying interest and resume its long-term upward trend. Conversely, if gold fails to recover and hold above 4000, selling on rallies is advisable.
Looking at the 1-hour chart, the moving averages have formed a golden cross, and the MACD/KDJ indicators are providing upward momentum. In the short term, focus on the continuation of the upward trend, paying particular attention to yesterday's rebound high of 4006 and the previous trading day's rebound high around 4030.
Trading Strategy:
SELL: 4050~4056 near
BUY: 3966~3960 near
More Analysis →
Gold surges strongly after Fed decision – eyes on 4000+ breakout1. Market Movements
After the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 0.25% and signaled a potential end to quantitative tightening (QT), gold extended its strong upward momentum.
Institutional and ETF buying continues to drive prices higher, with gold now testing the key psychological level at $4000/oz.
2. Technical Analysis
• Near-term Support: $3960 – $3970
• Deeper Support: $3935 – $3940 (pre-Fed accumulation zone & H4 EMA50)
• Immediate Resistance: $3988 – $4000
• Extended Resistance: $4025 – $4040 (mid-October technical high)
• Momentum: Both EMA20 and EMA50 on H1 and H4 are sloping upward, confirming strong bullish momentum. RSI remains elevated (70–75), signaling overbought but still strong trend conditions.
• Volume: Continues to rise steadily, showing sustained institutional inflows. However, short-term correction risks remain near $4000 due to overextension.
3. Outlook
The overall trend remains bullish, but caution is advised as gold approaches the $4000–$4040 resistance zone — a potential area of strong profit-taking.
If gold fails to break above $4040 decisively, a short-term pullback toward $3970 or $3940 is likely.
4. Suggested Trading Plan
🔺 BUY XAU/USD
Entry: $3925 – $3928
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: $3922
🔻 SELL XAU/USD
Entry: $4037 – $4040
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: $4043
XAUUSD ForecastGold has broken out of the descending wedge pattern, signalling a potential bullish reversal. Price is currently retesting the breakout zone near the 3,980–4,000 support area. A successful bounce from this level could trigger an upward move toward the first target at 4,045 and the second target around 4,100. Holding above the retest zone will confirm bullish momentum continuation.
"Thank you for your support! If you found this idea valuable or learned something new, please consider liking and leaving a comment. I’d really appreciate hearing your feedback and thoughts
XAUUSD: Gold Battles the Key 4000 ZoneXAUUSD: Gold Battles the Key 4000 Zone
Hey everyone! Let's dive into Gold (XAUUSD) on the 4-hour chart, where we've seen some dramatic moves recently.
What We've Seen:
Gold made a strong run earlier in the month, but was firmly rejected twice at the 4400 mark, forming a clear "Double Top" pattern (marked with red circles). This led to a significant pullback, pushing price down through several support levels.
Currently, Gold has found some footing after hitting a low and is now attempting to recover.
The Current Battleground: 4000 Key Zone
Price is currently retesting the crucial 4000 Key Zone (highlighted in blue). This level acted as support previously, was broken, and is now being challenged again. The immediate task for buyers is to "Observe the price action if it can break the recent swing high" (marked with the purple circle) just below 4000, which has been acting as immediate resistance.
Scenario 1: Bullish Reclaim & Push Higher (If 4000 Holds Strong)
If Gold can successfully reclaim and hold above this 4000 Key Zone, it would be a strong bullish signal. This could open the door for:
A push towards the 4150 to 4250 1st Resistance zone, where sellers might step in again.
A more sustained recovery attempt, potentially aiming higher if that resistance is overcome.
Scenario 2: Rejection & Further Downside (If 4000 Proves Too Strong)
However, if the 4000 Key Zone acts as strong resistance and Gold fails to break above that recent swing high, we could see:
A reversal back towards the 3900 Immediate Support level.
Should 3900 fail to hold, the next significant support would be the 3800 to 3850 Next Support area.
In Summary:
The 4000 Key Zone is the pivotal point right now. Watch how price reacts here and whether it can overcome that immediate swing high resistance. This will largely dictate Gold's direction in the short term.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
Gold Rebounds Strong – Next Stop 4230!Gold (XAUUSD) showed a sharp decline in last two days, marking a strong correction phase after making new highs. However, today’s price action indicates that buyers are stepping back in around the 4000 psychological Major support Area.
Currently, gold is trading near 4113, and now there are high possibilities that gold will go for long till the Target level 4160 and Target level 4230..
KEY POINTS
Current price 4113
Target level 4160
Target level 4230
Major support 4130/4100
XAU.usd watch $4313-39: Gold about to hit Double Golden fibsGold continues its relentless climb into new highs.
Nearing Double Golden fibs at $4313.98 - 4339.07
Looking for a Dip-to-Fib or Break-n-Retest entries.
IF there is a top anywhere near here,
then THIS will be the ideal spot for it.
.
See "Related Pubications" for previous plots such as this PERFECT DIP:
Hit BOOST and FOLLOW for more such PRECISE and TIMELY charts.
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Gold consolidation selling pressure sidesGold is currently in a consolidation phase after testing the upper boundary of its bullish trend. Despite the broader uptrend, price weakness and shifting market sentiment are creating downward pressure.
Technically, gold is showing signs of selling pressure, suggesting the bullish momentum may be losing strength. If the current structure holds, the path of least resistance appears to be to the downside. We could see gold move lower toward the 3980–3960 support zone in the near term, provided that selling momentum continues and no new bullish catalysts emerge.
You may find more datils in the chart.
Trade wisely best of Luck Buddies.
Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Supporting.
Gold Trading Strategy for Monday
News:
Gold (XAU/USD) remained under pressure this week, falling below $4,000 at one point and hitting its lowest level since early October, influenced by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's cautious remarks and easing US-China trade tensions.
Considering all factors, future US economic data and speeches by Federal Reserve officials will be key catalysts in determining the direction of gold prices.
Specifically:
From the 4-hour chart, the current short-term resistance level to watch is 4035-4030, with a key resistance level at 4055. Short-term support is around 3960. The overall trend remains upward, so the recommended strategy is to buy on dips and patiently wait for key entry points.
Specific trading strategies will be provided in the channel; please pay attention.
I believe the overall market will maintain a period of fluctuation before continuing its upward trend. Judging from the current market situation, the bottom has been established, but the upward trend has not yet started. In particular, the repeated fluctuations and shakeouts on Friday have added more uncertainty to the market.
This is mainly because market sentiment is currently quite divided. The US-China trade tariff issue is in a tug-of-war, and the Russia-Ukraine situation has begun to ease, but these remain unresolved issues. Although bullish momentum has slowed, it's not enough to reverse the bull market trend. The more important factors are US Treasury bonds, the Fed's interest rate cuts, and the cessation of balance sheet locking.
Therefore, after a short period of tug-of-war between bulls and bears, the market will likely rise again later.
Trading strategy:
Buy:3980-3975, SL: 3960, TP: 4000-4030-4060






















