XAU/USD (Gold vs US Dollar).XAU/USD (Gold vs US Dollar) on the 1-hour timeframe.
Based on the annotations in My Chart :
Current price: $3,613.28
Support area (green zone): around $3,589 – $3,600
Trendline is intact (uptrend).
Cloud (Ichimoku) is below price = bullish structure.
The chart shows a target point at ~$3,640 (marked with the blue arrow).
📌 Target Zone:
Your marked projection suggests $3,640 as the next resistance/target level.
⚠ Keep in mind:
If price breaks below the green support zone (~$3,589), it could test lower supports around $3,570 – $3,560.
If bullish momentum continues, the next extension beyond $3,640 could be toward $3,660 – $3,670.
👉 target = $3,640.
GOLD trade ideas
Understand This, and You Will Always Be the Winner👋Welcome, everyone!
Have you ever wondered what causes the market to rise and fall? You may have seen in my analysis that I always refer to the news, and yes, that’s the answer. In addition to technical analysis, news always plays a crucial role as a catalyst, driving stronger trends. Let’s explore more!
TOPIC: Identifying The News Groups That Strongly Affect Gold Prices
Not all news is important. Gold often fluctuates strongly due to the following factors:
-Interest rates & FED policies (FOMC, FED chairman’s speech)
-Inflation data: CPI, PCE, Core CPI
-USD strength: DXY index, employment report (NFP)
-Geopolitics: Conflict, war, financial crisis
➡️ If the news falls into these 4 groups, pay close attention.
💡 Understand the basic logic of USD and gold
🔼 When the USD strengthens (due to good news about the U.S. economy, the FED raising interest rates) → gold usually decreases.
🔽 When the USD weakens (bad news, the FED loosens, high inflation) → gold usually increases.
🚫 When there is instability (crisis, war, risk) → safe-haven money flows into gold.
➡️ By understanding this logic, you don’t need to memorize too much.
📢 Read the news in 3 steps
When the news is released:
-Compare the actual results with the forecast and previous period.
-Place gold in the logic above to speculate on the initial direction.
-Combine with the chart to find a reasonable entry instead of entering immediately when the news is released (avoid getting stopped out).
⭐️ Real example: OANDA:XAUUSD A strong rally to 3600 USD.
Cause: Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) released on September 6.
📊 The data showed:
-Actual: 22K
-Forecast: 75K
-Previous: 79K
This is a strong bullish signal: the number of jobs created was much lower than expected, showing a weakening U.S. labor market → USD weakens → gold surges, providing a great buying opportunity.
📌 In conclusion: Reading the news doesn’t have to be complicated. Just remember:
✅ Important news that affects gold.
✅ USD and gold are almost opposites.
✅ Always combine news + technical analysis for safe entries.
Now, it’s your turn to put the knowledge into practice. Please like this post if you understand everything and are looking forward to the next lessons, it will be a great encouragement for me.
Wishing you all the best on your way to becoming an expert!
GOLD: Continues to be strong and could possibly reach 3700GOLD: Continues to be strong and could possibly reach 3700
From our analysis of the higher timeframe, gold rose from 3550 to 3608 and the daily volume on the rise seems to be high.
We only had a small correction on September 4th to 3511. It can be clearly seen that it was the only red candle from August 26th. This candle was just a correction and the candles are all green indicating further growth.
The price has been rising without any significant correction since August 20th. If this momentum continues, 3650 and 3700 will be the next targets.
It remains highly manipulated.
It is impossible for the Gold to move higher when the FED does not want to cut rates. But even when they are preparing to cut rates, gold will move higher again.
Something bigger is behind all this growing momentum.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Gold 3,600 – New Peak or a Reversal?Hello everyone, after a strong rally, Gold has now approached the solid resistance zone at 3,600. Price action shows signs of weakening buying momentum: each push is getting shorter, upper wicks are longer, and price has been repeatedly rejected around the 3,600 mark. This indicates that buyers are gradually losing strength, opening up the possibility of forming a Lower High and making way for a short-term technical correction.
On the short-term structure, the ascending trendline has been slightly broken, while price is “hanging” just below resistance without a clear breakout. If the market fails to hold above 3,600, the probability of a corrective decline will increase.
Key levels to watch: the first support lies at 3,546 (TP1). If this level breaks, gold may continue down to 3,528 (TP2), where liquidity is concentrated.
👉 What do you think? Will gold continue to rise, or is a reversal coming?
BUY strategy analysis – Fix Range PoC Zone & TrendlineBUY strategy analysis – Fix Range PoC Zone & Trendline
The reason I decided to BUY at this area is:
-It’s the Fix Range PoC Zone – the price level with the highest traded volume, showing strong market interest.
-This zone also intersects with the rising trendline, reinforcing support from both volume profile and trend structure.
👉 When Volume Profile + Trendline converge, it creates a high-value zone to BUY with the trend.
💡 This isn’t random – it’s a confluence point, where the probability of success is at its highest.
CURRENT CONTEXT🔭 CURRENT CONTEXT
- Main trend: Strong uptrend, maintaining Higher High – Higher Low structure on H1 & M15.
- Current price: 3650, has broken above VAH and the previous high at 3580, now showing signs of consolidation at the top area.
VOLUME PROFILE: Key zones to watch:
🔺 New short-term resistance: 3652–3660
🟧 Nearest POC support: 3550–3535
🟩 Medium-term Demand Zone H4: 3480–3485
🎯 4 GOLD TRADING SCENARIOS (H1 - M15)
🟩 Scenario 1 – BUY pullback at POC support 3550–3535
🔹 Conditions:
Price retests POC 3550–3535
Bullish Pin Bar / Engulfing candle forms on M15
Volume shows bullish support (rising volume at the bottom)
🔸 Reason:
This is the nearest volume-balanced POC
Previously a breakout zone → may now act as strong support
✅ Entry: BUY around 3540–3550
TP: 3595 / 3620
SL: 3528
R:R ratio: around 1:2 or higher
🟥 Scenario 2 – SELL reaction at 3660–3665
🔹 Conditions:
Price retests 3660–3665
Reversal candle pattern on M15 (Bearish Engulfing / Pin Bar)
Weak breakout volume, strong wick rejection
🔸 Reason:
This is the new short-term top, likely to see profit-taking pressure
Overbought in the short term after steep rally
✅ Entry: SELL around 3660
TP: 3600–3585
SL: 3675
R:R ratio: 1:2
🟧 Scenario 3 – BUY breakout if price clears 3665 strongly
🔹 Conditions:
H1 or M15 closes above 3665 with increasing volume
Breakout + Retest pattern appears
🔸 Reason:
Breaking above distribution zone → continue pushing up to form new HH
Main uptrend continuation
✅ Entry: BUY after close above 3665, retest 3660
TP: 3690 / 3705
SL: 3652
R:R ratio: 1:1.5 or higher
🟦 Scenario 4 – Deep SELL if POC 3535 and 3515 break
🔹 Conditions:
Price breaks below 3535 and 3515 (LVN) with strong volume
Retest of 3535 fails to reclaim
🔸 Reason:
Losing balance zone + LVN → could trigger a medium-term correction
Next target is Demand Zone 3480–3485
✅ Entry: SELL around 3530 (if retest fails)
TP: 3485
SL: 3545
R:R ratio: 1:2
🧷 RISK MANAGEMENT
- Trading around 3650+ requires tight SL, avoid FOMO
- Only trade with clear setups (Pin Bar / Engulfing / Breakout confirmation)
- Prioritize BUY if price stays above 3550–3535
- SELL only if weak volume confirmed or clear reversal patterns
Gold 3697 can activate a short order.After breaking through its recent high yesterday, gold prices continued their upward trend on Tuesday, reaching a new high. The intraday rally briefly approached the 3700 mark. However, due to pressure from this mark, gold temporarily entered a period of volatile correction.
Prior to Thursday's Federal Reserve interest rate decision, short-term trading is the primary focus. With gold prices hitting new highs for two consecutive trading days, the possibility of a brief profit-taking dip cannot be ruled out. Furthermore, the bullish trend in short-term technical indicators is weakening. I plan to initiate a short position around 3695. If you already have a short position, you can add to it. We anticipate a small downward correction.
Gold Trading Strategy:
Initiate a short position at 3697. If you already have a short position at a lower level, add to it to lower the average price.
Interaction:
For those holding short positions around 3650, please leave a comment. I'll respond based on the price action and help you turn a loss into a profit. OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
THE KOG REPORT - NFP UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
We published the NFP report earlier together with the red boxes and the targets above the key level which as you can see have worked very well today. We're not approaching the final destination but we're too high for anyone to attempt going long here! We're also too late in the session on a Friday to attempt any more trades so we'll leave it there and mark it completed.
Support now stands at the 3570-5 level with resistance 3600-10.
RED BOXES:
Break above 3555 for 3561✅, 3568✅, 3576✅ and 3588✅ in extension of the move
Break below 3540 for 3533, 3530, 3520, 3506 and 3490 in extension of the move
Wishing you all a great weekend ahead, and we'll see you on Sunday for the KOG Report and our view for the week.
Please do take some time to hit that boost button on the reports we share, without your support there is no point in us sharing this for free.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
GOLD WEEKLY CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
After completing our 1h, 4h and daily chart ideas this week, please now see update on our weekly chart idea, which we also smashed into pips!!!
As anticipated -
This time, bulls followed through in full force:
✅ We got our Target Hit at 3482 after confirming the gap from the body close above 3387.
✅ To finish the week on a high, we also completed our long-range axis target at 3576, which has been highlighted on the chart since the beginning of our tracking on this chart idea.
🔹 3482 Gap Target Achieved
The upside gap has now been fully confirmed and met.
🔹 Axis Target 3576 Completed
The higher-timeframe target we’ve tracked since the start has been fulfilled, marking a strong close to the week.
With both the 3482 gap and 3576 axis target achieved, the bullish roadmap we’ve tracked has now played out to completion. Near-term, we’ll watch how price reacts around 3576. A strong close above could open fresh upside extensions, while failure here may trigger a healthy pullback toward 3387 for retest.
We will now come back Sunday with a full multi timeframe analysis to prepare for next week’s setups, including updated views on the higher timeframes, EMA5 alignments, and structure expectations going forward.
Thanks again for all your likes, comments, and follows.
Wishing you all a fantastic weekend!!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold Roadmap | Short termGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) created a new All-Time High(ATH) almost every day this week.
How long do you think this upward trend in Gold will continue?
Reasons for Gold's upward trend this week:
Announcement of the US economic indexes.
Geopolitical issues that occurred in the world(China meeting, possible tension between Venezuela and the US, etc.)
Gold is currently moving between the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and the Support zone($3,580-$3,572) .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Gold appears to be completing microwave 5 of the main wave 3 .
I expect Gold to start rising again from the Fibonacci levels and touch the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
Note: If Gold breaks the Support zone($3,580-$3,572) and Support lines, we can expect further declines.
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Gold (XAU/USD) continues to attract strong attention as marketsGold (XAU/USD) continues to attract strong attention as markets weigh both technical and macroeconomic factors.
From a technical perspective, price action remains influenced by key resistance and support levels, with traders closely watching potential breakout zones and momentum shifts. Current patterns suggest heightened volatility, which could provide trading opportunities for both short- and medium-term outlooks.
On the fundamental side, gold’s role as a safe-haven asset is supported by global economic uncertainty, central bank policies, and inflation dynamics. Investors continue to monitor U.S. interest rate decisions and geopolitical developments, which may further impact price direction.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making trading decisions.
#Gold #XAUUSD #Commodities #TechnicalAnalysis #Fundamentals #SafeHaven #Trading #Markets #Forex #MacroEconomics
Next week's Fed decision,Has the gold bull market peaked?Let's take a look at the trend of gold this week at the weekend. The strong bull market of gold has slowed down this week. After continuing to rise to 3600 on Monday, it rose and fell to a peak of 3675 on Tuesday. From Wednesday to Friday, it fluctuated at a high level. So, does gold still have the motivation to continue to rise in the current situation? Or is 3675 the ceiling? This recent surge in gold prices began at 3311, reaching a high of $364 at 3675. Based on previous upward trends, a bull market typically peaks just over $400. Therefore, with limited room above 3700, blind buying is discouraged. Be wary of a potential reversal of price action after reaching the peak, with the upper limit at 3750. All of this depends on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision next week. The market will become increasingly cautious as we approach this date. Therefore, gold is currently adjusting at a high level, just shy of a final acceleration towards the top. The uncertainty remains as to whether this acceleration will occur before or after the Fed's decision. If the rate cut is just 25 basis points, gold will have no further momentum to rally. Buying on expectations and selling on facts will lead to a peak and decline upon the announcement. However, if the rate cut is aggressively implemented by 50 basis points, gold will likely experience further upward momentum, most likely leading to a decline after a sharp rise. Therefore, gold is currently in a tailspin. At the end of the bull run, it's best to be bullish rather than chasing the market. It's prudent to wait for a pullback at key support levels before resuming a bullish trend. Two key support levels to watch are 3580 and 3511-3512. Having already seen four consecutive weekly gains, there's a high probability of a negative correction next week. Even if gold does rally next week, it will be the final stretch. The world's largest gold ETF has been steadily reducing its holdings in recent days, with bulls gradually taking profits. We shouldn't be tempted to buy at high levels, especially for medium- and long-term investors. It's important to emphasize that the overall trend and direction of gold remains upward, directly linked to the weakening US dollar. However, market trends aren't linear. After each bullish cycle, there's a deep correction, and this cycle repeats. This is how trends form. See if this pattern persists. Trading, then, is a process of finding the right position, following the trend and the swings. A cost-effective position gives you the confidence to hold onto your position without panic. For gold on Monday, expect continued volatility. Upper pressure lies between 3655 and 3660. A breakout would undoubtedly trigger a test of the 3675 high, leading to a potential surge and then a decline. Whether it can reach 3700 depends on the strength of the market, but I don't think the probability is high, at least for Monday. Lower support lies between 3635 and 3630, the 618 golden ratio. A break below would signal a short-term bearish bias, potentially leading to further declines to the 3610-3600 support levels.
$GOLD: Projections of Compression & Release 🏛️ Research Notes
Price is at fib boundary derived from its structure that covers growth patterns. Several attempts were taken place to push higher and ended up as lower highs.
Contraction of fractal cycles and amplitude.
Topologically, the compression to a point of proportional release in fibonacci proportions and scaling law 1:1 to original triangle would look like a cube. And let's limit for now with that horizon.
Probabilistic Filter - Another layer of fibonacci channels to inherit roughness of observed temporal pattern which then rhymes with extended series.
The longer the price fluctuates in these geometric boundaries, the more accurate the colors tend to reflect the outcome.
For measuring percentages of swings I used this modification of Zig Zag.
Gold: eyes $3,6K?Gold's rally continued also during the previous week, supported by the weaker than expected US non-farm payrolls data and expectations that the Fed might have a solid ground for the rate cut at September's FOMC meeting. The price of gold reached a fresh, new all time highest level at $3.599 at Friday's trading session, after the publication of August NFP data of only 22K, significantly below market expectation of 75K. At the same time, the unemployment rate rose to 4,3% in August, which is another indication of a clearly weakening jobs market in the US. Analysts are noting that this might be the solid ground for further surge in the price of gold till the end of this year.
With the latest push of the price of gold to the upside, the RSI entered into strongly overbought territory, moving above the level of 70 from the start of September. Technical analysis suggests that these levels of RSI would imply a short term correction in the value of the asset, however, considering currently strong demand for gold, the indicator might hold higher levels for at least one week ahead. The MA50 again started its divergence from MA200, indicating that the potential cross is not near.
The start of the week might bring some modest consolidation in the price of gold, mostly due to profit-taking of investors, considering the historically highest level of gold. However, at this point on charts, there is no clear indication of a potential reversal to the down side. It should be considered that the week ahead brings US inflation data in August, which might bring further confirmation that the Fed will cut rates in a two weeks period. The market is also currently set to reach the $3,6K target. In this sense, there is an equal probability for both sides in a week ahead, where the profit-taking moves of investors will decide the move of the price of gold toward the downside.
Market Context🔹 Market Context
- H1 structure remains Higher High – Higher Low
- Price has just broken above 3560 (previous VAH)
- Now accumulating above 3575–3585, potentially forming a short-term distribution zone
- High chance of a short pullback to support zone before continuing the bullish trend
📌 Scenario 1: SHORT at 3585–3590 (short-term reaction only)
🔹 Conditions:
- Price reacts at 3585–3590
- Bearish engulfing or pin bar on M15
- Weak breakout volume or RSI divergence
🔹 Logic:
- Retest of recent swing high → profit-taking likely
- This is short-term VAH on volume profile
🎯 Entry: 3585–3590
🎯 Target: 3535 (POC)
🛡 SL: Above 3600
📌 Scenario 2: BUY pullback at POC 3530–3535
🔹 Conditions:
- Price pulls back to 3530–3535 with bullish confirmation (M15 Engulfing)
- signs of recovery
🔹 Logic:
- This is the Point of Control → strong volume support
- Fits “buy the dip” in bullish structure
🎯 Entry: 3530–3535
🎯 Target: 3580–3590
🛡 SL: Below 3520
📌 Scenario 3: BUY at LVN 3508–3515 (scalp idea)
🔹 Conditions:
- Fast drop + strong candle reaction on M15
- Aligns with rising H1 trendline
🔹 Logic:
- This is a Low Volume Node → high probability bounce zone
- Strong support within bullish momentum
🎯 Entry: 3510–3515
🎯 Target: 3550
🛡 SL: Below 3500
📌 Scenario 4: BUY on breakout & retest 3590–3600
🔹 Conditions:
- Strong breakout above 3590 with volume
- Retest 3590–3595 with bullish candle
🔹 Logic:
- Breakout of recent resistance → continuation signal
- Aligned with bullish trend
🎯 Entry: 3590–3595 (on retest)
🎯 Target: 3620
🛡 SL: Below 3580
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Buy And sell Reversal Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bearish Reversal : 3557
🩸Bullish Reversal : 3484
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
5 Elements of the Best Key Level in Forex, Gold Trading
What are the best key levels to trade?
This year I analyzed more than 1500 key structures on Forex, Gold, Crypto and Indexes.
In the today's article, I prepared for you a list of 5 elements of a perfect support and resistance for trading.
As always, remember that the best key levels are always on a daily time frame . So all the structures that we will discuss will be strictly on a daily .
Also, all the structures that I analyzed and traded are available on my TradingView page, so you can back test them by your own.
1. Clear historical significance
The structure that you spotted should act as a significant historical support or resistance.
Here are the important historical support and resistance that I spotted on USDCAD on a daily time frame.
2. Psychological significance
The structure that you identified should match with round numbers.
All the structures that we spotted on USDCAD match with psychological numbers.
3. Confluence with other technical tools
The best structure should align with other trading tools such as trend lines or Fibonacci levels , strengthening its significance.
After adding fibonacci levels and a significant falling trend line on the chart, the confluence was found in Resistance 6, Resistance 3, Resistance 2, Resistance 1, Support 2. Other structure does not match with technical tolls.
4. Volume
The level experiences high trading volumes, indicating strong participation and interest from market participants, especially smart money.
All the structures that we underlined show significant volume spikes. By volume spike, I mean a volume being higher than the average volume - a blue curve on volume.
5. Multiple touches
The more, the better. There are numerous instances where price has respected and reacted to the structure, confirming its strength (at least 2).
Only these 3 structures were confirmed by the multiple touches. These resistances will be considered the strongest ones.
That checklist will help you to identify the most significant structures from where you will be able to catch impulsive movement and make nice profits.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold (XAUUSD) – 12 Sep | Short Setup Watching 3651 – 3657.6 POI🟡 Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis – 12 September
Market Context
• Price is currently trading around 3649, approaching our fresh M15 POI (3651 – 3657.6) .
• We have seen a recent Break of Structure (BoS) to the downside, confirming a short-term shift to bearish sentiment.
• Price has now retraced back into the POI zone, aligning with a potential short setup area.
Key Observations
• POI Zone: 3651 – 3657.6 (aligned with LH + supply zone)
• Liquidity Sweep Potential: Price might push slightly above the POI to grab liquidity before resuming the downtrend.
• Structure: Market is forming lower highs and lower lows after the BoS, reinforcing a bearish bias unless price closes decisively above the POI.
Execution Plan
• Wait for price to retest 3651 – 3657.6
• Look for M1 confirmation (micro-ChoCh / micro-BoS)
• If confirmation aligns → plan short setup with fixed risk ( SL: 40 pips | TP: 120 pips , 1:3 R:R)
• If the POI is broken → step aside and reassess deeper levels
Invalidation
A clean break and 15M candle close above 3657.6 invalidates the short idea.
Patience pays — let the market reject the POI before committing capital.
Bias for Today
📉 Bearish only. Short setups will be taken only from the POI zone with confirmation.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
GOLD HAS A STRONG BREAKOUT ABOVE 3650 - 3660 | SEP.15 ☄️ Gold Market Outlook 09/16 (Based on SMC)
📊Trend Overview
🔤Gold has printed consecutive bullish BOS, especially with a strong breakout above 3650–3660 → confirming buyers are in control.
🔤After the impulse move, a new FVG formed around 3670–3675, while price is now trading near 3687, close to short-term resistance.
🔤Overall structure remains bullish, so priority is to look for Buy setups at demand/FVG zones.
💡Trade Plan
🔼Scenario 1 – Trend Continuation Buy (Priority)
Entry: Wait for pullback into 3670–3675 FVG.
Condition: Look for bullish CHoCH or clear rejection on lower TF (M5–M15).
🔼Scenario 2 – Deeper Buy Opportunity
Entry: If price dips further, watch 3650–3655 FVG/Demand.
Condition: Bullish reaction + CHoCH confirmation.
🔽Scenario 3 – Countertrend Short (Liquidity Play)
Entry: Near 3695–3700, where liquidity is likely resting.
Condition: Liquidity sweep + bearish BOS on lower TF.
➡️ The market bias remains bullish. Best setup is to buy from the 3670–3675 FVG. Short setups around 3700 are only valid with strong rejection signals.
#XAUUSD #FOREX #GOLD
XAU Today's Outlook 17-09-25Hey Guys, A Brand New Day, Brand New Analysis.
BUY/SELL SCENARIOS:
BUYS:
1)Retest the 1h Bullish OB at the 3691.15 level.
2) Create a 3/5m Bullish CHoCH with a body candle close (with a FVG).
3) Retest the 3/5m Bullish CHoCH level to capitalize on BUYS towards the 3710.00 level.
SELLS:
1) Body candle close below the 3686.45 level.
2) Retest the failed 1h Bullish OB at the 3686.45 level.
3)Create a 3/5m Bearish Engulfing candle to capitalize on SELLS towards the 3664.35 level
Trade Smart, Trade according plan!!
XAUUSD--LONGAs you can see from the daily chart embedded in this chart(which I published last week, also I added below), redlined ascending channels upper side was resistant and price couldnt break through.this week it will try again. it seems possibility to break through much higher.
--tp and entry levels are as shown on chart