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XAU/USD | Gold Setup Before FOMC – Big Move Coming Soon!By analyzing the Gold (XAUUSD) chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that after the previous analysis, gold rose to $3,970 before facing heavy selling pressure that pushed it down to $3,908. Once price entered this demand zone, buyers stepped in again, driving gold back above $4,000. As we marked on the chart, the $4,015–$4,050 range is a key supply zone, and today the price climbed to $4,030 before pulling back again. Gold is currently trading around $4,005, and if it holds below $4,014, we can expect a deeper decline. Alternatively, if price breaks above $4,030, gold could aim for higher targets near $4,055 and beyond. Keep in mind that tonight’s FOMC meeting could bring strong volatility — a rate cut of 25 basis points (to 4%) may cause short-term fluctuations, but a larger cut could trigger a sharp gold rally. Stay cautious with your trades — I’ll update you after the FOMC results. Happy trading, guys! 💛 THE LATEST ANALYSIS : Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ArmanShabanTrading
18
SELLStructure Summary Downtrend channel / wedge: Price is moving inside a narrowing structure — lower highs and lower lows. You’ve projected one more drop to sweep the lower liquidity zones before a major bullish breakout. The final arrow up represents a macro reversal, likely toward prior highs once the wedge breaks. 🔍 Technical Interpretation This projection aligns with a liquidity grab / fakeout setup: Bearish continuation phase → gold dips into deeper supports (e.g. 4030–4000 area). Liquidity sweep below wedge → where big buyers accumulate. Bullish reversal breakout → price explodes upward, breaking above the wedge resistance line. 📉 Short-Term Bias (Next 12–24 hrs) Expect another leg down while staying below 4075 resistance. Possible drop targets: 4050 (minor) 4035–4005 (major demand zone — likely bounce area). 📈 Mid-Term Bias (Next 1–3 days) If the wedge pattern completes and you get a bullish engulfing or strong impulsive candle off the lower blue support zone → that’s your reversal confirmation. Then the upside target would be roughly: 4120, 4150, or even 4200+ if momentum holds. ⚙️ Trade Plan Idea (based on your diagram) Bias Entry Zone Confirmation Targets Stop Loss Sell (short-term) 4070–4075 Rejection candle / failure to break wedge top 4035–4005 Above 4085 Buy (swing) 4035–4005 Bullish engulfing / break above wedge 4120 → 4150 → 4200 Below 4000 ✅ In summary: Your chart structure is spot-on — it looks like gold may dip one more time to trap late sellers, then reverse hard upward once that wedge pattern plays out.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDShort
by JAMESMBALI
GOLD NEWYORK PERSPECTIVE THE 3986 ZONE STOPED LONDON GOLD BUYERS .AS THE NEWYOKERS RESUME TRADING WE DONT KNOW WHAT THAT THEY MIGHT DO NEXT,SO LETS LOOK AT THE STRUCTURE. BREAK BELOW 3957.01 1 HR DEMAND FLOOR SELL AND TARGET 3930 AND NEXT TARGET 3904-3900 LEVEL BUY BREAK AND CLOSE ABOVE 3969.70 AND TARGET 4011 AND IF WE SEE MOMENTUM HOLD TILL 4030-4043 AND LAST TAKE PROFIT WILL BE 4100. FUNDAMENTALS OF GOLD Gold's reclassification as a Basel III Tier 1 asset marks a significant upgrade in how regulators and banks view gold within global financial systems. Why Gold is Reclassified as Basel III Tier 1 Tier 1 Status Definition: Under Basel III, Tier 1 assets are the highest quality capital assets that banks can use to meet their core capital requirements. These assets carry a 0% risk weight, reflecting their safety, liquidity, and reliability as capital. Gold’s Historical Status: Gold has already been recognized as a Tier 1 asset for capital adequacy since the Basel I Accords in 1988, due to its status as a safe store of value with very low default risk. New Recognition (2025): Starting July 1, 2025, physical gold held by banks can be counted at 100% of its market value in regulatory capital calculations, instead of being subject to significant haircuts or lower classifications (e.g., previously it was treated as a Tier 3 asset with a 50% deduction). High-Quality Liquid Asset (HQLA) Label: This reclassification means gold is now officially recognized as a High-Quality Liquid Asset under Basel III, allowing it to qualify as part of banks’ liquidity coverage ratios (LCR), an important step for liquidity and capital management. Regulatory Shift: This reflects changing perceptions that gold is not just a commodity but a true monetary asset. It is increasingly accepted as a reliable reserve asset by central banks and financial institutions worldwide. Central Bank Adoption: This move aligns with continued aggressive gold buying by central banks, recognizing gold’s importance for capital reserves, systemic stability, and as an inflation hedge. Significance Banks can fully count gold toward core capital reserves. Reduces capital burden, improving bank balance sheets and financial resilience. Endorses gold as a strategic, monetary asset, not just a commodity investment. Encourages institutional demand for physical gold and gold-related financial products. Summary Gold was reclassified as a Basel III Tier 1 asset starting July 1, 2025, reflecting its highest quality capital standing with 0% risk weighting and full market value recognition. This elevates gold’s status to a High-Quality Liquid Asset (HQLA) for regulatory purposes, facilitating banks’ liquidity coverage and capital adequacy. The change signals a major regulatory and market shift, acknowledging gold as a core reserve and strategic financial asset in modern banking systems. #GOLD #XAUUSD
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
The continuous short positions in gold have ended perfectly!Whether gold can break through resistance levels in the near term depends on the convergence of three factors: First, whether the US dollar and US Treasury yields experience a more sustained decline, creating room for discounting; second, whether risk appetite strengthens the "insurance demand" for gold due to equity volatility and increased macroeconomic uncertainty; and third, whether net inflows of funds continue, especially whether passive funds and longer-term allocation funds enter the market simultaneously. If these three factors fail to move in tandem, the price will likely continue to consolidate within the $3930-$4000-$4050 range. If they move in unison, the resistance above these round numbers will weaken more smoothly. It's worth noting that the People's Bank of China suspended its 18-month gold purchase program in May 2024 but resumed it in November of the same year. The market currently expects a 67% probability of a Fed rate cut in December, up from around 60% the previous trading day. The Fed just cut rates last week, and Powell stated that this may be the last rate cut this year. The market's current focus is on macroeconomic data and when the US government shutdown will end—which is also driving safe-haven demand for gold. The congressional gridlock led to the longest government shutdown in U.S. history, forcing investors and the data-dependent Federal Reserve to rely on private economic indicators. Since gold does not generate interest income, it typically performs well in low-interest-rate environments and periods of economic uncertainty. Gold Technical Analysis: With the non-farm payroll data still pending, gold prices are likely to fluctuate little tonight, mainly consolidating. The battle between bulls and bears continues throughout the day. During the US session, gold rebounded to around 4027. We had already positioned short positions at 4015 and 4025, which subsequently fell back as expected, resulting in a profitable trade. This week's trading session has concluded perfectly, and we will not participate in the late-session trading. Our strategy remains to short below 4030. From a technical analysis perspective, key resistance and support levels need to be monitored. The upper resistance level to watch is the 4020-4030 area. If gold prices can break through this range and hold, the upward trend may continue in the short term, potentially challenging higher levels. Before this breakout, we have consistently emphasized against chasing highs and have provided a strategy and analysis for shorting in batches around the 4015-4030 area. Those who follow me should have seen this. Gold faces significant upward pressure, and unless there is a major positive news event to stimulate a breakout, we will continue to maintain a strategy of selling on rallies. Due to the lack of non-farm payroll data, gold prices will continue to be treated as oscillating. The lower support level is seen in the 3975-3960 area. If this support level is effectively broken, it may trigger a new round of declines, potentially opening up further downside potential.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Daniel_PrimeFX
#XAUUSD – H4 Higher Timeframe Analysis ## 📊 Refining the structure on H4, we can clearly mark key zones from where high-probability trades may trigger ✅ --- ### 🟥 Key Supply Zone: 4026 – 4048 Price has reacted from this zone multiple times last week. So, if price retests this area and we see 1–2 strong H1 bearish candle closures, we may look for a sell setup 🛑📉 Sell Plan (if rejection) * ✨ Entry: 4026 – 4048 rejection * 🛑 SL: H1 candle closing above 4050–4055 * 🎯 TP: To be updated live based on price reaction --- ### 🟩 Bullish Breakout Scenario If price breaks & sustains above 4048 and we get a convincing H4 bullish closing, then we can shift to buy bias ✅ Buy Plan (if breakout) * 📈 Target 1: 4080 – 4120 * 📈 Target 2 / Final Resistance: 4115 – 4160 This final zone (4115–4160) aligns with the Fibonacci 0.50 – 0.618 golden pocket, so if we see 1–2 bearish H4 candle confirmations, this area could offer a high-reward swing short opportunity 🏛💰
OANDA:XAUUSD
by KTechnicalLevels
Gold technical outlookGold is showing extremely high-volume activity within the 3,979–3,990 range today. A confirmed breakout from this zone will clarify whether the current phase represents accumulation or distribution. On the broader trend structure, there’s a notable volume imbalance, with multiple confluences aligning around the 3,674–3,707 zone - including EMA20 (1W) and EMA100 (1D) support. This area remains a key downside magnet should price fail to sustain above current resistance. Gold 1H chart view From a seasonality standpoint, there’s an urgency factor favouring renewed buy pressure before December as institutions position for year-end flows. This dynamic could make any corrective flush highly aggressive, with liquidity cleared before continuation. This is not a buy or sell signal. These observations are for market-study purposes only and should not be interpreted as trade instructions. ⚠️ Risk Note: It is recommended not to overleverage your positions. Overexposure is the main killer of portfolios. Position sizing directly impacts mental clarity: excessive size can cloud judgment and trigger emotional reactions, while appropriate sizing supports composure and disciplined execution. It is better to collect steady breadcrumbs than to risk giving away your capital. Trading risk can be managed but never eliminated. ❗Disclaimer: This content is provided for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial, legal, tax, or investment advice. The author does not provide trading signals, portfolio management, or any services regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority.
FPMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by DominaJ
GOLD → Consolidation. The fundamental backdrop is changing...FX:XAUUSD stabilizes after a week-long decline, failing to consolidate above $4050. The market is taking a pause before new impulses. Focus on 4030 and 3980... Investors are closing positions before the end of the week and month, the reason being the uncertainty surrounding the deal with China and Powell's less dovish stance on policy: a 25 bp rate cut is already priced in. The probability of a December cut has fallen to 72.8% (from 91.1% a week ago). Powell emphasized that decisions depend on data, which is not available due to the shutdown. The strong dollar (2-month highs) is putting pressure on gold. Weak data from China (PMI fell to 49.0) is reducing demand from the largest consumer. The balance is tipping towards weak fundamentals... Resistance levels: 4030, 4085 Support levels: 3982, 3955, 3915 Technically, bears are keeping the market below 4030 - strong resistance. If buyers enter the market (there are currently no fundamental reasons for this) and the bulls are able to break through 4030 and keep the price above this level, we will have a chance for growth. But under the current circumstances, I expect a correction to support before a possible rise. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
13
Statement on "Why Backtesting Doesn't Work (Proper SMC Edition) Why Backtesting Fails for True Smart Money Concepts Trading (and what you must do instead)” When you trade using SMC — meaning you’re analysing structure, inducements, order-flow footprints, liquidity sweeps and institutional behaviour — you’re not simply trading fixed setups that repeatedly behave in identical ways. That means the classic “backtest historical data, cycle optimized entry, rinse & repeat” mindset breaks down. Here’s why: 1. Uniqueness of each market scenario Institutional footprints don’t repeat like mechanical patterns. Liquidity and order-flow respond to current context: structural highs/lows, prior supply/demand, inducements, time of day, major news, correlated markets, market sentiment. So what happened last month may look similar, but the underlying cause & effect will differ. 2. Hidden Smart Money behaviour Smart Money isn’t labelled on the chart. You don’t have a tag “institutional buy here” in history. You’re inferring it via structure, retests, inducements, inefficiencies. These signals evolve. Backtesting that uses rigid rules can’t properly capture the nuance of when and why Smart Money enters. 3. Changing context and fractality The market is fractal: your higher-timeframe structure influences the lower timeframes, but the exact interplay shifts. Backtesting often ignores this evolving interplay. The same trigger on 30M may have a different consequence depending on the 4H structure. That means the recycled historical trigger won’t always behave the same. 4. Emotion, flow, and live execution You can test entries historically, but not replicate the live environment: real-time spreads, slippage, late reactions, news shocks, liquidity vacuum. On top of that, your emotional state in live execution adds variability. Backtesting doesn’t generate the same pressure. If you rely on backtested “perfect” outcomes, you’ll be unprepared for the live market’s messiness. 5. Forward skill development beats retro “rules” The real value is not in optimizing past data but in sharpening your forward-looking skill: reading structure, reacting to inducements, identifying the moment Smart Money acts. That means you must practise in live or near-live conditions (smaller size, low risk) to train your brain, your timing, your discipline. In summary: Backtesting treats the market like a fixed machine; SMC trading recognises the market is an adaptive ecosystem. Your edge is in identifying intent, reading footprints, and executing in live time — not relying solely on historical “this pattern worked 7 of 10 times”. Train the skill live, respect structure and inducement, and your entries will come from genuine alignment, not forced replication of old outcomes. Stay sharp. Stay structured. And always ask: “Where is Smart Money acting now?”, not “What happened historically?”
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Juicemannn
Gold Montly Overview and PlansGold closed October with a bullish hammer and notable volume, signaling a potential reversal and clear rejection above the 4500 level Could Gold be looking to build value within the 3500–4000 zone? Very possible; which would be both healthy and expected in a macro uptrend. I’m looking for a swing long upon a sweep of the quarterly open combined with the daily 50 EMA. Invalidation sits at the low of the daily bullish order block and target would be the daily Bear FVG. As of now, 4H structure remains bearish while price continues to respect the 4H bearish order block and we are compressing within the EMAs. Price has been around the 4H MSB but still has not printed a strong Break of Structure Candle to confirm a shift. This swing long thesis fails if price takes liquidity to the upside first. Even though I'm bullish on gold overall, I’m leaning toward a bearish close for November given that October's close is a key reversal signal in my system. Still, I expect at least the daily Bear FVG to be filled, as wicks tend to get filled toward the 50% region, especially when considering the monthly wick. Historically, November tends to favor bullishness, but here I'm speaking strictly from a structure and price-action perspective.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by sabinaGM
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Nov 03 - Nov 07]This week, global OANDA:XAUUSD prices recorded their second consecutive weekly decline. Spot gold started the week at $4,104/oz, dropped to $3,886/oz at one point, and then recovered to around $4,000/oz. In the coming week, gold prices may move sideways with no clear trend, requiring more time for accumulation. If the price trades above the 4,045 resistance level, it may recover to 4,150, and a break above this level could push it toward 4,250. However, if the price falls below 3,900, there is a risk of a sell-off, potentially dragging it down to around 3,750. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 3,750 – 3,900 USD Resistance: 4,045 – 4,150 – 4,250 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4151 - 4149⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 4155 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3899 - 3901⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3895
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (Nov 05, 2025) 🔹 Momentum D1 timeframe: Daily momentum has reversed to the downside, suggesting that the dominant trend for the next 4–5 days is likely to be bearish. H4 timeframe: H4 momentum is currently turning upward, indicating a potential short-term bullish correction lasting 4–5 H4 candles. However, since price action is within a corrective wave, short-term momentum signals can be noisy. Still, this minor rally can provide valuable observation opportunities. H1 timeframe: H1 momentum is now in the overbought zone and about to turn down. I usually take entries when H1 and H4 momentum align, but right now they are out of phase, so the best move is to wait and observe. The 3891 level will be a key area to monitor in the short term. ________________________________________ 🔹 Wave Structure D1 timeframe: The corrective wave X (purple) within wave (4) (yellow) appears to be forming or nearing completion. The downside reversal on D1 suggests that wave X might have already ended, and price could now be starting wave Y downward. A break below 3892 would confirm that wave X is complete. However, note that this X-wave retracement is quite shallow (around 0.283 of the previous W-wave), which reduces the reliability of the momentum signal — meaning we must stay cautious and monitor closely. ________________________________________ H4 timeframe: On H4, the structure of wave X (purple) shows signs of a contracting triangle, anchored around the 4028 resistance zone with higher lows. In this scenario, an a–b–c correction is expected, where wave b forms the triangle, and wave c could rise toward 4050–4149 to complete the X-wave. However, the strong drop yesterday is weakening this scenario, though not invalidated yet. → The bullish scenario would be fully invalidated if price breaks below 3892. Thus, we must monitor two possible cases: 1. Case 1: Wave X is still in progress – supported by the current H4 momentum upswing. If price breaks above 4028 when H4 momentum reaches overbought, it will strengthen this view. 2. Case 2: Wave X has already completed as a triangle (abcde) shown on H1. In this case, the ongoing H4 rally is just a corrective bounce, and once H4 momentum enters overbought and price fails to close above 4028, a new bearish leg is likely to start. ________________________________________ H1 timeframe: The corrective X-wave (purple) seems to have completed as a triangle (abcde, black). That means the market is now likely in wave Y (purple) on D1, where the main trend is bearish, and any upmove is only corrective. Hence, the 3981 liquidity zone above is considered a high-probability sell area. ________________________________________ 🔹 Trading Plan • Sell Zone: 3981 – 3983 • Stop Loss: 4002 • Take Profit 1: 3892 • Take Profit 2: 3814 ⚠️ Note: Current volatility is extremely high — each H1 candle covers more than 200 pips. Therefore, the stop loss range is wide. 👉 To manage risk effectively: • Either avoid trading during this phase, or • Reduce position size to keep account safety intact.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
Gold Aiming for 4045 — Calm Before the Break!Market looks like it’s gathering strength after a tight consolidation. I’m currently watching the $4045 zone (highlighted in green) — that’s a clean resistance from previous highs. If price breaks above it with a strong candle and good momentum, we might see a short-term bullish continuation toward the upper zone. However, until the breakout actually happens, I’ll stay patient — no rush entries. Right now, gold is simply testing its mid-structure, and this kind of calm buildup usually ends with a solid directional move. The candle structure also shows steady higher lows — another positive sign, but confirmation only comes after a clean 1H close above 4045. If rejection happens again, I’ll expect another pullback to around 4010–4000 before any fresh upside attempt.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ClearTradingMind
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for November 6th.Gold Technical Analysis: Daily Resistance: 4080, Support: 3890. 4-Hour Resistance: 4035, Support: 3965. 1-Hour Resistance: 4025, Support: 3985. Gold saw a strong rally in the London market, reflecting recent market volatility characterized by rollercoaster-like movements with large and rapid swings. This is typical of range-bound trading. After a rapid rise, a new plunge may follow. Avoid chasing highs after a sharp rise and avoid selling lows after a sharp fall in a range-bound market! Currently, without any major news catalysts, gold is expected to continue its range-bound movement. Focus on the short-term support/resistance level and look for a rebound to the 4030-4045 range, waiting for a pullback before buying opportunities. BUY: 3985~3990
TVC:GOLD
by ActuaryJ
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – November 6, 2025 🔹 Momentum D1 timeframe: The D1 momentum is now closing in, signaling a possible transition phase with two potential outcomes: • If today’s D1 candle closes bullish (green): momentum is likely to reverse upward, suggesting a short-term bullish correction. • If today’s candle closes bearish (red): the downtrend may continue. The current momentum behavior is unusual, reflecting market indecision between buyers and sellers after a strong decline. As a result, even a small impulse from either side could cause a quick momentum shift. H4 timeframe: Momentum on H4 is still in a downward phase but already showing early signs of closing and potential bullish reversal. • If the current H4 candle closes bearish, the downtrend may extend. • If it closes bullish and momentum turns upward, price could retest the 4028 zone. H1 timeframe: Momentum on H1 is now entering the oversold area, indicating that a reversal could occur within 1–2 more H1 candles. If momentum turns down again from resistance, this could offer an opportunity for a short-term sell (scalp) around the nearest liquidity zone. ________________________________________ 🔹 Wave Structure D1 timeframe: As discussed in previous plans, the current structure still forms a W–X–Y correction in yellow, representing wave (4) of the larger cycle. • The W wave has already reached the 0.382 retracement of wave (3) yellow — which often marks the typical end zone of wave 4. • Therefore, the following X and Y waves may take longer to complete to maintain time balance within wave (4). Meanwhile, the X wave (purple) remains relatively shallow, having retraced only about 0.236 of wave W (purple). Combined with the still-uncertain momentum discussed above, a potential rise toward the 4149 zone remains a realistic scenario. However, if today’s D1 candle closes bearish, price could continue lower to complete wave Y (purple). Given the current structure favors time balance rather than depth, this Y wave may unfold sideways rather than deeply downward. At this stage, price is compressed within a narrow range, reflecting market hesitation. It’s best to wait for major catalysts such as the Nonfarm Payrolls report, which could trigger the next decisive move. ________________________________________ H4 timeframe: The current X wave is developing within a narrow range under the form of a contracting triangle (a–b–c–d–e). A triangle can only be confirmed once all five internal legs are completed. Once that happens, a breakout above or below the triangle boundaries will define the next direction. 👉 For now, observation should be prioritized over action. ________________________________________ H1 timeframe: Wave labeling on H1 is somewhat noisy due to overlapping three-wave structures within a tightening range. Tentatively, the labeling shows a W–X–Y correction in green, where wave X appears to be a triangle formation. A final small drop forming wave e could complete this triangle (wave X in green). Once it’s done, a new Y wave in green may start unfolding upward. ________________________________________ 🔹 Summary At present, the market remains noisy and compressed, making it unsuitable for swing entries. • Avoid swing positions until the structure and momentum become clearer. • Focus only on short-term scalp setups around key liquidity zones identified earlier. • Wait for confirmation of direction and structure before committing to larger trades.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX
technical analysis of your XAU/USD (Gold) chartTimeframe: 15-Minute Chart Current Price: $3,977 🔍 Chart Overview The chart shows a downward channel (yellow lines) that Gold has recently broken to the upside, indicating potential bullish momentum. There’s a support zone around $3,955 – $3,965, labeled as “SUPPORT LEVEL”. A short-term corrective move is expected before the next upward push. 📊 Key Levels Support Zone: $3,955 – $3,965 Immediate Resistance: $3,985 – $3,990 Major Target (Resistance): $4,031 🧭 Price Projection After testing or retesting the support level, price is expected to bounce upward toward the $4,031 target. The purple projection curve indicates a potential retracement followed by a bullish continuation. 💡 Trading Bias Short-Term: Bullish above $3,960 Invalidation: Break below $3,950 could signal renewed bearish pressure. LME:CA1! LME:MC1! LME:NI1! LME:SC1! LME:LH1! LME:AH1! LME:CO1! LME:CB1! LME:HC1! LME:AA1! LME:EA1! LME:HN1! LME:MD1! Target: $4,031 (upside target based on resistance and breakout structure). ⚠️ Summary Gold shows a reversal from a descending channel, now forming a support base near $3,960. If the price sustains above this zone, buyers may push it toward $4,031 in the short term.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by MR_NARCOS_ANALYSIS
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Buyers Need 3989 BreakAfter breaking below the 3989 support level yesterday, gold tested the First Reaction Zone as anticipated, where buyers stepped in and defended the area. Price is now trading around 3968, but still below both the MA50 and MA200, which keeps short-term momentum bearish. For buyers to regain control, we need a clear break and hold above the 3989 level. A break above this area could open the move toward the 4042 resistance, with 4090 possible if momentum continues. If price fails to reclaim the 3989 level, we may see another retest of the Reaction Zone. Failure to hold that area could expose the lower Support Zone and potentially the HTF Support Zone below. 📌 Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: 3989 4042 4090 4120 Support: 3957 3918 3884 3851 3820 3781 🔎 Fundamental Focus: Today has a few medium-to-high impact U.S. releases, including ADP Employment, and ISM Services PMI, which could influence intraday volatility. Later in the session, President Trump is scheduled to speak, which also has the potential to move markets depending on tone and messaging.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
ANFIBO | XAUUSD - Sideway Channel H1 [10.29.2025]Hi traders, Anfibo's here! XAUUSD Analysis – Daily Trading Plan Overall Picture: At present, OANDA:XAUUSD is moving sideways within a well-defined H1 channel, showing signs of short-term consolidation after recent volatility. The market is currently lacking a clear directional bias, as both buyers and sellers are testing the upper and lower bounds of this intraday structure. Such conditions often favor range-trading strategies, where precision and timing become crucial for capturing short bursts of momentum. In this context, our plan today remains straightforward and tactical — trade directly off the trendlines of the channel. In other words, we will look to buy at the lower boundary of the range and sell near the upper boundary, while also being prepared to switch positions if a breakout occurs in either direction. Trading Plan for Today: >>> SELL ZONE: ENTRY: 4060 - 4080 SL: 4090 TP: 4000 - 3955 >>> BUY ZONE: ENTRY: 3940 - 3950 SL: 3930 TP: 4000 - 4045 - 4070 Risk Management: - Stick to small-to-medium positions within the range; increase size only on confirmed breakouts. - Keep stops tight, as sideways phases tend to trigger false signals. - Maintain Risk:Reward ≥ 1:2 and avoid overtrading in choppy conditions. - Reassess bias once the H1 channel is clearly broken. Conclusion: Gold is currently in a sideways consolidation phase within its H1 channel, awaiting fresh catalysts to determine direction. Until a decisive breakout occurs, the most effective approach is range trading — buying near support, selling near resistance, and reacting dynamically to any confirmed breakout. The plan today is simple yet strategic: “Buy at the trendline, sell at the trendline — and flip when the channel breaks.” Patience and discipline will be key to capitalizing on this quiet yet potentially explosive setup. GOODLUCK GUYS!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ANFIBO_