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GOLD trade ideas

XAU/USD Intraday Technical Analysis – October 2, 2025Gold is currently trading around 3,865 USD/oz, showing signs of consolidation within a rising channel on the hourly chart. Here’s a breakdown of the technical setup and potential trading strategies: 1. Trend Analysis The hourly chart shows a clear uptrend, supported by the rising channel lines. Price recently bounced from the lower trendline, indicating continued bullish momentum. Short-term corrections remain within the channel, allowing traders to look for buy opportunities near support levels. 2. Support & Resistance Levels Immediate Resistance: 3,875 – 3,880 USD/oz This zone aligns with the upper trendline and previous swing highs. Immediate Support: 3,850 – 3,855 USD/oz The lower channel trendline provides dynamic support. Strong Demand Zone: 3,820 – 3,830 USD/oz Key area for buyers if the price tests deeper corrections. 3. Technical Indicators EMA (20, 50): Price is above both EMAs, confirming short-term bullish momentum. RSI (14): Around 60, suggesting room for further upward movement before overbought conditions. 4. Potential Price Scenarios Bullish Case: If gold holds above 3,865 and breaks the resistance at 3,880, it could target 3,900 – 3,920 USD/oz. A pullback near the lower channel trendline could offer high-probability long entries. Bearish Case: If gold loses support at 3,855, a deeper correction toward 3,820 – 3,830 USD/oz may occur. Watch for reversal signals before considering short positions. 5. Trading Strategy Buy on Dips: Look for long positions near the lower trendline and support zones. Confirm with bullish candlestick patterns and volume spikes. Take Profit / Resistance: Consider partial profits around 3,880 – 3,900 USD/oz. Risk Management: Place stop-loss slightly below the lower channel support to minimize downside risk. - Summary Gold is in a bullish channel, with consolidation near key support levels providing opportunities for intraday long trades. A breakout above 3,880 could accelerate gains toward 3,900+. Traders should monitor the channel boundaries, EMA support, and RSI for confirmation.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
Gold Price Outlook – Key Day Ahead of U.S. Government Shutdown Analysis: Gold has reached a fresh all-time high at $3,872. Today is particularly critical due to heightened uncertainty surrounding the potential U.S. government shutdown, which could fuel significant volatility. Traders should remain cautious, monitor breaking news closely, and always protect positions with a well-placed stop-loss. Bullish Scenario (Long): Entry: Above 3,873 Targets: 3,877–3,880 → 3,890 → 3,900–3,904 → 3,924 → 3,933 → 3,940 Bearish Scenario (Short): Entry: Below 3,860 Targets: 3,853 → 3,844 → 3,836 → 3,825 → 3,817 → 3,809 → 3,802 → 3,790 → 3,780 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis reflects only my personal market perspective and should not be considered financial advice. Trading in financial markets involves high risk, and each trader is solely responsible for their own decisions.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Gold_Rider
XAUUSD Breakout and Bullish Momentum👋Hello everyone, what do you think about OANDA:XAUUSD ? Gold has just completed a Rounding Bottom pattern and successfully broken out of the resistance zone around 3,700 USD, turning it into a new support. Strong bullish momentum has emerged, and I expect the next push to target the 3,740 – 3,750 USD area. Short-term pullbacks are likely to serve only as stepping stones for buyers to strengthen their position and drive prices higher. Do you agree with this outlook?💬 Share your thoughts below! Wishing you successful trades!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Kevinn_Nguyen
33
Trap Continuation & Discipline in Focus – XAUUSD (Gold)In Case Study #8 (24th Sept), we highlighted a Bullish Engulfing Trap with Evening Star while noting that the earlier Morning Star had already failed. 👉 Market did not sustain above 3752/3767 and our stoploss was hit again. This shows how traps extend longer than expected and why strict risk management keeps us alive in such phases. 🔎 Today’s Scenario (26th Sept Update) Price continues to respect our mapped zones but lacks strength above confirmation levels. Upside: Only if 3752 / 3767 sustains, momentum can build toward 3788 → 3812 → 3832+. Downside: Failure at these levels opens path toward 3737 → 3710 → 3699 → 3680 zones. Standby entry: Waiting for higher timeframe close remains the safest choice. 🧠 Expert Guidance / Precautions SL hit = protection, not failure. Risk control keeps us in the game while traps unfold. Patterns alone are not enough. Morning Star & Engulfing both failed → context is key. Flexibility wins. Don’t marry bias; adapt to new confirmations. Wait for HTF closes. Lower timeframe noise misleads during traps. Precaution: Avoid aggressive entries on first breakout attempts; let the market prove direction. 📊 Case Study Recap (1 → 10) Case Study Pattern / Setup Market Reaction Key Learning #1–2 Head & Shoulders (initial) Played out as expected Classic pattern respect #3–4 Head & Shoulders breakdown Measured move completed Market memory works #5–6 Retests & Continuations Levels respected Flexibility in targets #7 H&S near 3750 SL hit Importance of invalidation #8 Morning Star Failed, SL hit HTF confirmation is essential #9 Bullish Engulfing Trap + Evening Star Trap confirmed Never trust patterns blindly #10 Trap continuation SL hit again Discipline + patience > prediction ⚠️ This is an educational case study, not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. #XAUUSD #Gold #TradingCaseStudy #PriceAction #RiskManagement #MultiTimeframeAnalysis #Tradyoga #Yogeshonale
ICMARKETS:XAUUSD
by Tradyoga
XAUUSD — Rebound or Short-Term Downtrend Continuation?Gold just flushed hard into the support zone, reinforcing 3790 as a temporary top. What should we do now? 📉 Analysis Price is reacting at resistance; wait for price action here. Scenario 1: A clean break above opens a recovery toward the next resistance zone around . Scenario 2: A retest/rejection at leads to another leg down toward , after which the broader uptrend can resume. A liquidity sweep/stop-run into is possible before price turns higher. Key resistance: , Key support: 📊 Trading Plan Wait for an Easy Trend reversal signal with high volume on 5m when price taps the marked support/resistance zones. Price is rolling under the trendline; wait for an Easy Trend signal on 5m with high volume to confirm entry. Example (ENTRY): On 5m timeframe, price broke below the trendline and printed an Easy Trend sell signal with heavy volume, followed by a sharp drop. Risk management: Stop above the most recent M5 swing high ; move to break-even at 1R (R:R = 1:1).
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ZuperView
Gold - Sell around 3750, target 3720-3700.Gold Market Analysis: We sold at 3742 in today's Asian session and have already made a profit. Gold is no longer in a one-sided rally and has begun a major correction. We need to follow the trend and trade at the right pace. We are now entering a major trend. The most common questions we receive are: has a major decline begun? Has gold peaked? The daily chart closed with a negative candle yesterday, and the previous trading day also formed a vague tombstone candlestick pattern. At this point, we can only confirm short-term resistance, but we cannot confirm that the overall trend has peaked or that the weekly chart is bullish. Furthermore, the short-term correction has not yet disrupted the bullish trend in the 4H. Today, we will focus on gains and losses at 3700. A break of this level will trigger a sell signal on both the 4H and daily charts. Strong support in the 4H is around 3717. This level is supported by the 30-day moving average and also serves as a support pattern. Remember, the low point of a major pullback was around 3712? The reason why it rebounded so quickly yesterday was because it hit strong 4H support. Gold is unlikely to decline directly today. I predict a correction first, and then a rebound near 3717. If it breaks, watch out for large buys, as this could signal another surge. Resistance levels are 3751 and 3763, with strong resistance at 3773. Support levels are 3700 and 3717. The dividing line between strength and weakness is 3751. Fundamental Analysis: Gold surged and then retreated. The US dollar rebounded sharply after hitting a bottom. No major market data was released, and the Fed's policy action had no sustained impact on the market in the short term. Trading Recommendation: Gold - Sell around 3750, target 3720-3700.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldenBigAge
XAUUSD – Levels Respected Perfectly: Coincidence or Skill?Over the past weeks, we’ve been mapping out key structures on XAUUSD step by step – from Head & Shoulders, to bullish engulfing traps, to sustaining confirmations above 3752/3767. Today, price action gave us another important confirmation: 👉 The market rejected exactly at the marked resistance zone and is respecting every level we outlined earlier. 🤔 Coincidence or Skill? Many might call it coincidence. But in trading, repeated alignment is not random. This comes from: Market Structure – Price respects liquidity & supply-demand zones. Skill – Years of practice sharpen your ability to read patterns. Intuition – With experience, analysis evolves into inner conviction. Visualization – Not imagination, but mapping probabilities with discipline. 📚 Lessons from This Case Study Respect Your Levels – If price keeps respecting them, it’s because your process works. Discipline > Prediction – The challenge isn’t marking levels, it’s patiently trading them. Psychology is the Sarathi – Emotions can pull us away, but discipline keeps us on track. No Luck, Only Structure – When levels align consistently, it’s skill meeting intuition. 🧭 Closing Thought The market is our Kurukshetra. Levels are the battlefield, the trader is Arjuna, emotions are the restless horses, and intuition is Krishna guiding the reins. Victory belongs to those who follow discipline with patience. 🔔 From here, we will continue with a new series of XAUUSD case studies, building on these foundations with deeper precision and psychological integration. ⚠️ This is an educational case study, not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. #XAUUSD #Gold #TradingCaseStudy #PriceAction #RiskManagement #MultiTimeframeAnalysis #Tradyoga #Yogeshonale
ICMARKETS:XAUUSD
by Tradyoga
Gold’s Bullish Run: Ascending Channel Targets $3715Hi guys! Gold has been showing incredible strength lately. Earlier, it formed a Head and Shoulders pattern, broke out, and hit its target perfectly. Now Things are getting even more exciting. We’ve just seen a widening pattern develop , and price has already broken out of it to the upside. That’s another strong signal that bulls are firmly in control. At the same time, gold is respecting a clear ascending channel, and with momentum pushing higher, the next key target sits around $3715, near the upper boundary of the channel. As long as price holds above the broken pattern zone, the outlook stays strongly bullish, and dips are likely to be bought up quickly. Trend: Bullish Target: $3715 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by melikatrader94
13
Adding more gold to my portfolioIn a way , thanks to President Trump for creating this mess! Think about it ! Had he not initiated the tariff war, the market would not be in a topsy turvy situation and therein lies opportunities and threats for us. Now the bond yield are spiking up which means bond prices are crashing. Oh no, the US bonds were once highly sought after but with faltering price, who is buying or renewing? So people are dumping the dollars through the 10 and 30 years bonds and bond funds as well. So where is an alternative to park their money when they cashed out ? Gold is an obvious choice and no matter who convinced you that there is no productivity in Gold or it is not part of value investing or WB is not into GOLD (why would you want to copy exactly his trade, not a peer to peer comparison), it remains a safe heaven , a flight to safety asset for centuries. Of course, I would LONG gold
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by dchua1969
DEFENSE SECURITIES OVERVIEW. THE BEST GAMES IN TOWN IN 2025Defense securities, especially leading sector stocks, ETFs, and gold, have significantly outperformed the broad market in 2025 due to distinctive macroeconomic, geopolitical, and policy catalysts, as well as investor sentiment favoring safety, reliability, and growth. Were you ready twelve months ago or so, when 800-pound Gorilla entered a chat, but Defense securities is the best play on Wall Street so far, since The Second Coming of Trump. We have checked even all the sparks presented here www.tradingview.com ... and found nothing about 'defense' tag. The truth - financial markets is not the thing only about fairy tales and memes.. ..but something about kind of reality also. Well.. Lets talk about. Macro Trends. Geopolitics and Government Spending Intensifying geopolitical risks, including conflicts in Asia, Eastern Europe, and the Middle East, have accelerated global defense spending, resulting in a 10% surge in budgets for 2024 and continued growth toward $2.7 trillion in 2025. The U.S. alone approved a record $849 billion defense budget, solidifying a stable demand pipeline for contractors such as Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, RTX, Boeing, and General Dynamics. India, for example, has seen its defense sector deliver outstanding returns of 34.8% in the first half of 2025, vastly outpacing the broad Nifty index which rose just 5.5%. This surge is bolstered by “Make in India” initiatives, defense export policies, and multi-year procurement plans, putting key names like NSE:HAL , NSE:BEL , and NSE:BDL at center stage. Sectoral Strength. Defense Stocks and ETFs Defense stocks benefited from robust earnings, contract wins, and backlogs that assure multi-year revenue stability, a sharp contrast to cyclical or growth sectors battered by inflation and rate uncertainty. Top U.S. defense stocks in 2025 include: Palantir Technologies, Inc. (PLTR): Engages in the business of building and deploying software platforms that serve (in most) Government segments. Lockheed Martin (LMT): Leading in air, missile, and space systems. Northrop Grumman (NOC): Pioneer in stealth aircraft and missile production. General Dynamics (GD): Dominant in shipbuilding and combat vehicles. RTX Corp. (Raytheon): Leading in missile defense and sensors. Boeing (BA): Defense and space programs complement commercial operations. Aerospace and defense-related ETFs have compounded the gains and enhanced portfolio diversification. Key picks in 2025 include: VanEck Defense ETF LSE:DFNG Global segment. +43.6% YTD return. Top holdings: Lockheed, RTX, Northrop, BA. Global X Defence Tech ETF AMEX:SHLD Global segment. +51.8% YTD return. Top hodings: Lockheed, GD, Palantir, L3Harris SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense AMEX:XAR US segment. +36% YTD return. Top holdings: RTX, Boeing, Lockheed, GD WisdomTree Europe Defence LSE:WDEP Europe segment. +38% YTD return. Top hodings: Thales, Leonardo, BAE Invesco Aerospace & Defense AMEX:PPA US segment. +29% YTD return. Top hodings: Boeing, Lockheed, RTX, GD These ETFs capture the consistent resilience and upward trajectory of the defense sector, boosted by large government contracts and rising international demand. Gold's Surge. Hedge Against Turbulence Gold, traditionally a safe-haven asset, has soared to unprecedented levels in 2025, breaking records with prices peaking above $3,800/oz, up 45% year-to-date as of late September. Key catalysts include persistent inflation, global rate volatility, a weaker U.S. dollar, and especially surging demand from investors seeking stability during times of policy uncertainty and market volatility. Forecasters such as Goldman Sachs and Deutsche Bank have raised year-end 2025 gold price targets to $3,700/oz and $3,500/oz, respectively, as global central banks accumulated reserves and retail demand climbed. Tariffs, currency wars, and regional instability have made gold a popular asset for hedging risk, reinforcing its outperformance against broad market indices (S&P 500 up only single digits, NASDAQ and other growth indices posting volatile returns). Comparative Performance. Why Defence & Gold Outperform Broad indices face headwinds from interest rate uncertainty, inflationary pressures, and earnings volatility in tech, retail, and pharma sectors. Defense sector gains are anchored by predictable, multi-year contracts, recurring revenue, and global utility. Gold’s hedge value rises in tandem with heightened risk aversion and growing macro threats. Strategic Policy and Technological Innovation The sector's outperformance is further enhanced by investment in cyber, AI, space, and next-gen technologies, making defense stocks attractive for growth and innovation. Major players in both U.S. and emerging markets (like India’s HAL, BEL, BDL, and Europe’s Thales or Leonardo) benefit from government-led innovation programs and export policies. Investor Sentiment and Portfolio Positioning With global investors shifting portfolios toward safety and resilience, defense securities and gold remain key allocations. ETFs provide diversified exposure with reduced single-stock risk, while gold offers pure macro insurance against market shocks. Summary Table: 2025 Performance Asset YTD Return (%) Key Drivers Gold +45% YTD return. Inflation, policy risk, USD weakness VanEck Defense ETF +43.6% YTD return. Global spending, tech contracts Global X Defense ETF +51.8% YTD return. U.S. contracts, cyber, AI, space tech SPDR S&P Defense +36% YTD return. Procurement, multi-year contract pipeline India Defense Stocks +34.8% YTD return. National policy, exports, reforms S&P 500 ~+10% YTD return. Earnings pressure, sector volatility. Conclusion In 2025, defense securities, including gold, reflect the global pivot toward stability, innovation, and security, thus delivering broad outperformance compared to mainstream equity benchmarks. Their ascent is driven by policy, demand, innovation, and capital flows responding to a world dominated by uncertainty and risk. -- Best wishes, @PandorraResearch Team
FX:XAUUSD
by PandorraResearch
Gold: Bulls Eyeing 3,800 and 3,900 LevelsGold: Bulls Eyeing 3,800 and 3,900 Levels Gold has broken out strongly from the rising channel, showing strong bullish momentum. The next target is around 3,800, which acts as resistance. If buyers keep control and break above, the next bigger target is near 3850 and 3,900. As long as the price holds above the breakout zone (around 3,700), the outlook remains bullish. A drop back below 3,700 could signal weakness and a possible pullback. The reason for the increase is not clear; it's all old news. Most likely, the news will come out later, in the same way we heard about the airstrike on Qatar by Israel. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
FX:XAUUSDLong
by KlejdiCuni
14
GOLD → The rally continues. We are waiting for a pullback to buyFX:XAUUSD is rallying since the opening of the trading session. The movement has been continuing since Friday, after the end of the correction. The market is realizing the potential for interest rate cuts... The metal is showing gains for the fifth week in a row, despite the local recovery of the dollar. Key supporting factors: The forecast of two rate cuts before the end of the year continues to fuel interest. Tensions in US trade relations with India and other sources of instability. Upcoming PCE data on Friday may confirm the need for a soft policy. BUT! Caution is needed, as a short-term correction (profit-taking) is possible after record growth. Resistance levels: 3730, 3740, 3750 Support levels: 3703, 3685, 3674 The price is in the ATH zone, having come a long way since the opening of the session, and a correction may form. It is dangerous to sell in the current zone, and for trading within the bullish trend, it is worth waiting for a pullback to the nearest local support levels... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
18
Gold Next Week: Buy the DipsA series of high-impact economic data releases are scheduled for the coming week, which is likely to keep gold trading within a range initially. At the start of the week, in the absence of major market-moving news, focus will be on the resistance level near 3790. This past Friday, gold trended higher during the day and tested resistance around 3784 during the evening session before pulling back to close near 3760. The closing price action suggests that the retracement may continue into Monday’s open. However, in my professional view, this pullback does not signal a reversal. Buying on dips continues to be the dominant strategy, as higher lows are consistently forming, reinforcing the underlying bullish momentum. With gold continuously testing new highs, it’s natural for traders to experience caution—yet each consolidation phase has so far laid the groundwork for the next upward move. The short-term bullish sentiment remains intact. On the 4-hour chart, immediate support is seen around 3735-40, with more significant support holding near 3718-23. Initial resistance is positioned in the 3756-65 range. Trading strategy should prioritize entering long positions on pullbacks toward support. Avoid chasing the market in intermediate price zones—patience is key to entering at optimal levels. 📈 Gold Trading Plan: Enter long on a dip toward 3735-40. Add to long positions near 3718-23. Stop loss: below 3709. Take profit targets: 3765–3780. If you’ve been struggling with timing or consistency in your trading, I offer tailored analysis and actionable strategies designed to help you trade with greater clarity and confidence. Feel free to reach out for personalized guidance—let’s work together to refine your approach. About Me: I specialize in gold market analysis with a focus on technical positioning and risk-aware strategy. Whether you're new to trading or seeking more structured insights, I’m here to help you navigate the markets more effectively. Let’s connect and turn market volatility into opportunity.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by High-Class
Gold may reach a new high, are you ready to go long?Before updating my views, I would like to remind all my friends again: the market is always full of possibilities. There is no so-called "highest point", only higher possibilities. When the trend is clearly upward, going with the flow is the core strategy to achieve stable profits. Avoid trading against the trend or on an emotional basis, especially in the current volatile market environment. Trading without clear thinking and discipline can easily lead to unnecessary losses. For those who are still on the sidelines and haven't yet developed an effective trading strategy, please follow my channel. We will continue to provide professional market analysis, comprehensive trading plans, and precise buy and sell instructions to help you better grasp the market's rhythm. Looking back at the performance of the gold market on Monday, gold prices once again saw a strong rise, successfully breaking through multiple key integer levels and continuously setting new highs during the session. The overall trend almost perfectly replicated the strong pattern of last Monday. As I have emphasized many times during the trading session, the current market operating rhythm is highly referenceable, especially the continuity of technical forms and capital momentum is very obvious. Therefore, I recommend investors focus on historical trend similarities and use this as a key indicator for judging the current direction. In fact, last Monday's strategy of mainly buying on pullbacks has been fully verified by the market, and investors holding long positions at low levels have already reaped considerable profits. Looking ahead to today's market, I believe we can still refer to last Tuesday's trend path for positioning. From the current technical perspective, gold remains in a typical upward trend, with moving averages showing a bullish alignment, strong trading volume, and strong buying sentiment. Considering the macroeconomic environment, continued global demand for safe-haven assets, coupled with expectations of looser monetary policies in some economies, further supports the upward trend of precious metals. Therefore, I continue to hold a bullish view on today's gold price. I expect the price to hit a new high and the increase may further expand. In terms of specific operating strategies, it is recommended that investors establish long positions in batches around 3820, control the position ratio, and avoid entering the market with heavy positions at one time. If there is a brief intraday pullback and the price falls back to the 3810 to 3805 range, it can be seen as an ideal opportunity to increase positions. This area is not only the support level of the previous intensive trading area, but also the golden section position of short-term technical pullback, with strong dual psychological and technical support. Once the price stabilizes and rebounds, the probability of an upward breakout will significantly increase. It is important to note that although the current trend is strong, no market can rise unilaterally and indefinitely, and more attention should be paid to risk management when volatility intensifies. Be sure to set reasonable stop-loss protection to avoid losses caused by sudden news or drastic fluctuations in liquidity. At the same time, it's important to closely monitor potential influencing factors and adjust your position structure promptly. In short, in a market with clear trends, maintaining patience and steadfastly executing your established strategy are the keys to success. Let's seize the opportunities presented by this gold rally, trade rationally, and move forward steadily.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by Martin_Trading_Guide
XAU/USD UPDATE: Trader Edge - Accuracy Adjustment!🎯 KEY PIVOT ZONE DEMAND ZONE: 3,848.00-3,866.00 ➡️3 POC lines converge with highest VRVP node at current price ➡️Densest volume accumulation on visible range ➡️Price currently AT pivot - testing top of demand zone 📊 PRICE TARGETS UPSIDE TARGETS ⬆️ T1: 3,926.00-3,942.00 T2: 3,996.00-4,012.00 DOWNSIDE TARGETS ⬇️ T1: 3,786.00-3,802.00 T2: 3,726.00-3,742.00 ⚡💎⚡ EDGE - HIGHEST PROBABILITY PLAY Long from 3,850.00-3,858.00 bounce targeting 3,926.00-3,942.00 then 3,996.00-4,012.00 🔍 PRE-ENTRY CONFIRMATION SIGNALS ✅ Price dips to 3,852.00 or below showing bullish reversal candle (hammer/bullish engulfing) ✅ Higher low forms above 3,848.00 with momentum shift upward ✅ Volume spike on bounce confirming buyer absorption 📈 TRADE SETUP 🟢PRIMARY BIAS: BULLISH Long Setup: Entry: 3,851.00-3,857.00 after confirmations Stop Loss: 3,838.00 🎯Target 1: 3,926.00-3,942.00 🎯Target 2: 3,996.00-4,012.00 Risk/Reward: 1:4.2 / 1:8.5 🔄 BIAS FLIP CONDITIONS 🔴TURNS BEARISH IF: Clean break and 2H close below 3,844.00 Volume expansion on breakdown (1.5x average) Failed retest of 3,850.00-3,862.00 as resistance ⚡Then Target: 🎯3,786.00-3,802.00 🎯3,726.00-3,742.00 ⚠️ RISK MANAGEMENT Max Risk: $18 per 0.01 lot ($1,800 per standard lot) Position Size: Risk 1-2% of account capital Time Stop: Only trade within LONDON, EUROZONE & NYSE's peak volume segments
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by ANROC