GOLD trade ideas
Gold Trading Strategy for Monday✅ After a continuous rally, gold faced resistance around 3599, with significant short-term selling pressure. The price has moved far from the MA20 (around 3547), creating a short-term deviation. Without continued volume support, there is a risk of a technical pullback. The MACD histogram is shrinking, and both DIF and DEA are flattening at high levels, indicating weakening bullish momentum. The KDJ is in the overbought zone (K > 80) and showing signs of topping out, suggesting an increased probability of a short-term correction.
✅ The 4-hour chart shows that gold’s upward momentum is weakening, with a higher likelihood of sideways consolidation or a minor pullback. Key support lies at 3568–3575, and if this level breaks, the next support to watch is 3540–3550.
🔴 Resistance: 3600-3605
🟢 Support: 3550-3560
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
🔰 If the price rebounds but fails to break above 3600, consider light short positions with targets at 3570–3550.
🔰 If the price pulls back to 3560–3570 and stabilizes, consider scaling into long positions, targeting another breakout above 3600.
🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions. If you have any questions or need one-on-one guidance, feel free to contact me🤝
GOLD: Absolute Price Collapse Ahead! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 3,589.77 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 3,580.33.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
XAUUSD Outlook Today: Bullish Trend Pauses Near 3565 ResistanceIntraday Trend Analysis:
After a strong bullish impulse, gold faced a key resistance zone at 3560 – 3565 (highlighted in purple), which caused a reversal to the downside.
The corrective move (blue arrow) found support around 3520 – 3525, where buyers stepped in again.
The broader structure is still bullish (uptrend), but momentum has slowed down after testing the strong resistance. Price is currently consolidating in a corrective phase.
Key Technical Levels:
Resistance:
3548 – 3555: immediate resistance.
3560 – 3565: major resistance, previous high zone.
Support:
3520 – 3525: near-term support.
3500: psychological support.
3470: deeper support if correction extends.
Trading Strategies:
Trend-following Buy Setup:
Look for long entries near 3520 – 3525 or on a retest of the ascending trendline.
Stop loss below 3500.
Targets: 3550 – 3565.
Counter-trend Sell Setup (short-term):
Only for short-term traders.
Consider short entries if price retests 3560 – 3565 with rejection signals.
Stop loss above 3575.
Take profit around 3530 – 3520.
Conclusion:
Gold remains in an overall uptrend, but current price action shows a healthy pullback. The 3520 zone is crucial—holding above it supports bullish continuation, while a break below could push price toward 3500. Monitoring reactions at these levels will be key for intraday setups.
👉 Save these support and resistance levels for better trading decisions.
XAU? Central Banks
Hi
I think central banks lost their SELL button.
Is it too late to call bullish?
I don't think so... have patience.
Opportunity shall come. When you have a prepared mind.
(all depends on what timeframe, patterns , dips etc)
I wish you the best & be safe.
Not a guru.
Gold Price ForecastThe gold buy signal was triggered last week after Fed Chairman Jerome Powell spoke at the Jackson Hole Symposium, according to Michele Schneider, chief strategist at MarketGauge. Powell said the changing balance of risks in the economy may require an adjustment in monetary policy.
“Powell has shown that the Fed is not too concerned about getting inflation back to its 2% target,” Schneider said. “He is now more focused on the weakness in the economy and the labor market.”
Naeem Aslam, chief investment officer at Zaye Capital Markets, said Trump is controlling the Fed narrative, which means interest rates will fall and gold prices will rise.
Chantelle Schieven, director of research at Capitalight Research, said the conflict has damaged the reputation of the US dollar as the world’s reserve currency. She believes it is only a matter of time before gold prices reach a new all-time high.
Phillip Streible, market strategist at Blue Line Futures, predicts gold prices will continue to rise in the short term, especially if spot and futures prices surpass $3,500 an ounce.
Gold Technical Analysis – The Pullback DeepensHi everyone, let’s take a closer look at XAUUSD today!
Gold is still trading inside a broad upward channel, but momentum has slowed and the market is now in a corrective phase. After a strong rally, the pullback looks natural — with eyes on the 3,500 zone, where multiple supports converge: horizontal, trendline, and the 0.618 Fibonacci level.
This area is the real battleground. Hold the line, and buyers may step back in with force. Lose it, and the bullish structure breaks, paving the way for a deeper decline.
Stay sharp, validate your setups, and keep risk under control.
Good luck out there!
Gold Breaks Higher — What Now?We flagged this breakout before it happened, thanks to rising reaction lows within the range. Now that gold’s pushed through resistance, the question is: where do you manage your risk?
🔍 I drop down to the 4-hour chart and use the Ichimoku cloud for clarity. We have support currently around 3,540 — and offers a solid stop placement.
✨ Watch for this classic cloud signal:
→ Leading line breaks above the cloud
→ Price follows through above the cloud
That’s often your cue a move higher is underway.
🎯 Upside targets remain:
→ 3,860
→ 3,900
Both align with range projections and Fibonacci extensions.
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XAU/USD 02 September 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on three separate occasions which has now formed a triple top, this is a bearish reversal pattern and proving this zone is a strong supply level. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase.
Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025.
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed according to analysis dated 13 June 2025 by targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375 and printing a bullish iBOS.
Price has continued to print bullish with previous pullback being very minimal, therefore, I will apply discretion and mark previous iBOS in red due to depth of pullback.
Price has since printed a bearish CHoCH which confirms internal structure, however, I will continue to monitor depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,508.790.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for September 1stGold Support and Resistance:
Daily Chart Resistance: 3500, Support: 3405
4-Hour Chart Resistance: 3490, Support: 3422
1-Hour Chart Resistance: 3490, Support: 3454
News: Gold continued its upward trend in Asian trading on Monday, reaching a high of $3489.8, a new high since April. The market generally expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in September, with the CME tool showing an 87% probability of a rate cut. This has led to a continued weakening of the US dollar, providing support for non-interest-bearing gold. At the same time, growing market concerns about the Federal Reserve's independence have further weakened the dollar's appeal and increased gold's safe-haven value.
Technical Analysis: The daily candlestick chart is currently maintaining a relatively stable upward trend along the short-term moving average. There are no signs of a peak in the short term. Focus on the resistance zone around 3500 in the short term. Spot gold's 4-hour MACD is currently forming a golden cross with high volume, and the STO indicator is overbought, indicating a bullish trend in the 4-hour chart. Current support lies near the MA5 moving average, corresponding to 3447, followed by the MA10 moving average, at 3430. The NY market is focused on potential selling pressure above 3495-3510, while short-term support below is expected in the 3456-3447 range. My personal recommendation: Buy on dips!
Tonight gold trading recommendations:
BUY: near 3451-3456.
BUY: near 3437-3442.
Consolidation near historical highs is occurring, with increasing buyer/seller liquidity. Use a small S-L position for trading!
Gold under total Bullish dominationQuick update: Gold is Trading on upswing in extension soaring from #3,327.80 almost towards #3,488.80 non-stop fuelled with war news escalation (Fundamentals as an catalyst as always) plus newly formed Golden Cross on Hourly 4 chart which is adding credence to this total Buying domination and undisputed Bullish trend. I will keep Buying every dip on Gold throughout the session and will continue to do so as long as I spot opportunity to do so. Keep in mind that as soon as Ultimate Top's are priced in, aggressive decline will follow on the aftermath which I will utilize to it's maximum. #3,462.80 is decent re-Buy area for now.
Gold under total Bullish dominationQuick update: Gold is Trading on upswing in extension soaring from #3,327.80 almost towards #3,488.80 non-stop fuelled with war news escalation (Fundamentals as an catalyst as always) plus newly formed Golden Cross on Hourly 4 chart which is adding credence to this total Buying domination and undisputed Bullish trend. I will keep Buying every dip on Gold throughout the session and will continue to do so as long as I spot opportunity to do so. Keep in mind that as soon as Ultimate Top's are priced in, aggressive decline will follow on the aftermath which I will utilize to it's maximum. #3,462.80 is decent re-Buy area for now.
3500! Gold price returns, buying power remains⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) regained momentum in Asian trading Monday, climbing to a fresh five-month high near $3,470 as dovish Fed expectations overshadow profit-taking. Recent U.S. inflation data strengthened bets on a September rate cut, while last week’s upbeat GDP and jobless claims reports briefly supported the Dollar, capping bullion’s gains.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Bulls dominate, strong bullish momentum. Gold price waiting to return to ATH 3500
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3498- 3501 SL 3505
TP1: $3490
TP2: $3480
TP3: $3470
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3446-$3444 SL $3439
TP1: $3458
TP2: $3470
TP3: $3480
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAUUSD: Buy to Win?Hello everyone, what’s your view on OANDA:XAUUSD ?
Looking at the H1 chart, the price action continues to tell a compelling bullish story. Each interaction with key levels has sparked notable moves in line with the trend.
Most recently, the reaction at a strong support zone showed a clear rejection. This could be an important clue, suggesting that buyers are still present and defending the uptrend.
This is just my personal observation, not financial advice. Always double-check your setups and manage risk responsibly.
Gold. Expect entry into the fifth waveThe current decline looks like the 4th wave
Before it, 3 in 3 is visible
There is an alternative probability of the marking, that the marking will lengthen and we will get a stronger upward impulse.
But in both scenarios there is another increase in quotes with a target of 3600-3650
In general, the growth of gold is due to a reduction in central bank investments from American treasuries.
Just today we described how investments of India and other non-Western countries in American debt are decreasing.
All this spurred the growth of gold quotes
Gold Price Outlook – Key Levels & Buy TriggerGold (XAUUSD) is holding its bullish structure within the upward channel, currently trading near 3531 after testing key support. The main buy zone lies between 3511–3524, where Fibonacci support and channel trendline align. A confirmed bounce and close above 3537 would trigger fresh buying momentum, targeting 3578, followed by 3619 and 3644. The overall trend remains bullish as long as 3511 holds, while a break below 3470 would weaken the outlook.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch:
- Immediate Support: 3511 – 3524. A strong confluence with the channel support makes this the main buy zone.
- Immediate Resistance: 3537, 3578
- Major Upside Targets: 3619, 3644
Invalidation: 3470 (previous swing low). If broken, the trend may weaken toward 3450.
Buy Zone: 3511 – 3524 (Fibonacci 0.618 & 0.5 retracement + channel support).
Buy Trigger: Bullish rejection or H1 close above 3537 confirming strength for upside continuation.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
Xauusd analysis is ReadyThis analysis shows a bullish setup for Gold (XAU/USD). Price is moving in an ascending channel with entry near 3,407. The first target is set at 3,429 and the second target at 3,471, while the stop loss is placed below 3,379.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Bullish Confirmation After News
Gold finally turned bullish after US news.
I see a strong intraday bullish confirmation:
a breakout of a resistance line of a horizontal range on an hourly
time frame with a high momentum candle, provide a valid Change of Character.
We can expect growth now.
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Monthly Outlook – September 2025 📊 Monthly Outlook – September 2025 (XAUUSD)
Hello traders,
Gold closed August with a strong full-body bullish candle above 3440, pressing into premium territory. The absence of a lower wick highlights dominant buyer control, but the market is extremely stretched compared to its dynamic supports. September will be decisive: either continuation into fresh highs, or a corrective retracement back into structural demand.
🔹 Monthly Structural Zones
Monthly Supply 3460–3500 → premium supply, untested liquidity pocket where sellers may attempt control.
Monthly Liquidity Wick 3250–3120 → not an Order Block, but a deep liquidity sweep where institutions previously accumulated.
Monthly Demand 2800–2850 → major accumulation area + last higher low on monthly structure.
🔹 EMA Confluence (Monthly)
EMA 5 → tightly riding price, confirming bullish momentum.
EMA 21 → around 2800, aligning with monthly demand (key confluence if pullback).
EMA 50 → 2200, long-term support.
EMA 100 → 1843, mid-term anchor.
EMA 200 → 1578, ultimate macro support.
💡 Interpretation: Price is extremely extended above all EMAs. A healthy retracement toward EMA 21 (2800) is possible if momentum slows, but as long as candles close above EMA 5, bulls remain in full control.
🔹 Progression Map
Bullish path (continuation):
Break & hold above 3460–3500 → opens 3550–3600.
If momentum persists → expansion toward 3700–3720.
Monthly close above 3720 confirms price discovery into new ATH territory.
Bearish path (retracement):
Rejection at 3460–3500, slip under 3400 → first correction toward 3320.
If downside continues → test into 3250–3120 liquidity wick (expect liquidity sweep & re-accumulation, not clean OB mitigation).
If 3120 fails → deeper move toward 2850 demand, where EMA 21 adds strong confluence.
🔹 Macro Context
Dollar strength and global bond yields remain the main driver.
Gold’s parabolic climb increases the chance that September prints at least a corrective wick.
Institutions may revisit the liquidity wick 3250–3120 for re-accumulation if a deeper pullback sets in.
🔹 Monthly Bias – September 2025
Primary Bias: Bullish → above 3300, gold remains in strong uptrend with EMA 5 support.
Neutral → if price consolidates between 3400–3300 after rejection from 3460–3500.
Bearish shift → only if the monthly candle closes below 3120, opening the way to 2850 (EMA 21 confluence).
✨ What do you think about this September map? Drop your thoughts below don't forget to 🚀🚀🚀 and follow GoldFxMinds 👇 and let’s get ready for the big monthly battle 🚀
XAUUSD: Setting Up for a Potential ReversalOn the weekly timeframe, XAUUSD is showing a bearish divergence signal. The daily chart indicates selling pressure as profit-taking emerges around the $3,577 peak. A potential short setup could form near the previous high, especially if the daily RSI drops below 70. In my view, this level presents an attractive shorting opportunity.
This analysis is for reference only and should not be considered financial advice.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Again, not a bad day on the markets with price hitting the hot spot, tapping our Excalibur targets and then giving the move down we wanted to see. During the day, we identified our key level and stuck with the bias, giving us a nice trade upside on the red box indicators which were shared with the wider community today to help in this range.
We're still playing inside the range box we shared on Sunday and as you can see the red boxes are working well but right now we have no break above again. For that reason, there is a level above around the 3402-6 region which could be a target over the Asia session while the new support level is now 3365-70. We won't be looking to long up here, rather, let's see if we can long the lows again and stay above.
Note - Our liquidity indicator is still suggesting a turn, so let's play caution as it is nearing the last days of the trading month.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Gold | H1 Double Bottom | GTradingMethodHello Traders.
Welcome to today's trade idea by GTradingMethod.
🧐 Market Overview
Gold has been making higher highs while RSI has been making lower highs, which is known as negative RSI divergence. This is an indication of weakening buying strength. For further confluence, this potential double top is at the ATH level, which could provide further resistance.
📊 Trade Plan
Risk/reward = 2.9
Entry price = 3 497.6
Stop loss price = 3 515.5
Take profit level 1 (50%) = 3 456.4
Take profit level 2 (50%) = 3 431.9
💡 GTradingMethod Tip
Always predefine your risk for every trade and always accept this risk. If you accept the risk, there can be no emotional pain. If you do not get emotional, you will interpret the market's information objectively.
🙏 Thanks for checking out my post!
Make sure to follow me to catch the next idea and please share your thoughts - I would like to hear them.
📌 Please note:
This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
Gold This is my Elliott Wave count for Gold. Please note, this is only my personal view. I’m looking to buy and will wait for buy opportunities if the scenario plays out as expected.
