Trade ideas
Xauusd And GC1! Advanced manipulation During pairs like gc1!, we swept the 4124.6 low meanwhile on xauusd we didn’t. Since xauusd is the pair that shows higher accuracy of the pair the sweep on gc1!, mgc1! Are manipulation and created a liquidity pool that’s waiting to get taken out after taking out the accumulated range high. On the 1h timeframe we tapped into an imbalance then displaced internally since we formed a liquidity pool and formed an imbalance we’re likely going to change our trajectory to shorting the market and we might make an early reversal.
XAUUSD 2 scenariosXAU/USD – Gold Outlook (Two Scenarios)
Today I’m watching two possible scenarios for gold:
1️⃣ Technical View: After yesterday’s strong rally, gold may need a pullback to collect liquidity before continuing higher — no real correction has occurred yet. A retracement could offer better long entry opportunities around support zones.
2️⃣ Fundamental View: Despite the overextended move, bullish momentum could continue, driven by optimism over a potential U.S. Senate deal to end the government shutdown. Such an agreement could weaken the USD and boost risk sentiment, favoring further gains in gold.
💡 Summary: Technically expecting a short correction, but fundamentals remain bullish, keeping the 4,100 level in sight if positive news confirms.
ANFIBO | XAUUSD - Effort to Breakout??? [11.10.2025]Hi guys, Anfibo's here!
XAUUSD Analysis – Daily Trading Plan
Overall Picture:
OANDA:XAUUSD is currently trading at the upper boundary of its sideways H1 channel, a key decision point where market sentiment is being tested. This resistance zone has repeatedly acted as a ceiling for price during the current consolidation phase. The question now is whether this level will once again trigger a technical pullback, or if bullish momentum—supported by ongoing geopolitical uncertainty—will be strong enough to deliver a clean breakout and start a new impulsive leg upward. Price action today will be crucial in determining whether gold continues ranging or transitions into a breakout phase.
Trading Plan for Today:
>>> BUY ZONE:
(1) ENTRY: 4040 - 4050
SL: 4030
TP: 4135 – 4150 - 4200
(2) ENTRY: 4070 - 4080 (small vol)
SL: 4065
TP: 4135 – 4150 - 4200
Risk Management:
- Stick to small-to-medium positions within the range; increase size only on confirmed breakouts.
- Keep stops tight, as sideways phases tend to trigger false signals.
- Maintain Risk:Reward ≥ 1:2 and avoid overtrading in choppy conditions.
- Reassess market bias once the H1 channel is decisively broken.
Conclusion:
Gold is sitting right at the “make-or-break” zone of its sideways channel. This area will tell us whether the market plans to reject and pull back, or gather enough momentum for a powerful breakout. As always, we remain flexible: trade the range until it breaks, and prepare to shift bias immediately if a confirmed breakout occurs.
HAVE A WONDERFUL NEW WEEK GUYS!
Gold:Buying on pullbacksGold bulls continue to surge upward. We will maintain the momentum of buying on pullbacks, which remains our operational goal. First, focus on the previous resistance-turned-support zone around 4040-4055; consider going long if the pullback holds above this level. Next, watch the support zone around 4020-4025 below. Pay key attention to the critical support level around 4000-4008.
xauusd 4h🔹 Overall Outlook and Potential Price Movements
In the charts above, we have outlined the overall outlook and possible price movement paths.
As shown, each analysis highlights a key support or resistance zone near the current market price. The market’s reaction to these zones — whether a breakout or rejection — will likely determine the next direction of the price toward the specified levels.
⚠️ Important Note:
The purpose of these trading perspectives is to identify key upcoming price levels and assess potential market reactions. The provided analyses are not trading signals in any way.
✅ Recommendation for Use:
To make effective use of these analyses, it is advised to manually draw the marked zones on your chart. Then, on the 15-minute time frame, monitor the candlestick behavior and look for valid entry triggers before making any trading decisions.
Gold market remains bullish cautiously The gold market remains slightly unstable despite a slated bullish sentiment, as price action consolidates within key zones. Current market behavior suggests that imbalance voids are likely to be filled, potentially wedging price movement toward the 4300 region , follow for more refined insights on gold market , comment and boost idea .
XAU/USD BEARISH SET UPWe previously confirmed a strong bullish uptrend with multiple respects of the uptrend line, showing clear market structure continuation.
However, price failed to make a higher high around the 4382 area, forming a clear double top pattern — a strong reversal signal.
After rejecting this level, price broke below the uptrend line, creating structural chaos and confirming a shift in momentum from bullish to bearish.
Following the breakout, we saw a retest of the broken trendline, which held as new resistance and pushed price downward toward the 3890 zone.
At this zone, price has now consolidated into a bearish symmetrical triangle, a continuation pattern that typically signals further downside pressure.
📉 Bearish Plan
Entry: 4012
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 3828
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 3731
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 3624
🧩 Technical Summary
Confirmed Double Top Reversal near 4382
Trendline Break & Retest validates bearish bias
Bearish Symmetrical Triangle formation strengthens continuation outlook
Looking for continuation to downside if 4012 breaks and retests cleanly
💡 Bias: Bearish
⏱️ Structure: Trendline break → Retest → Continuation
🔍 Focus: Patience on confirmation candle close below 4012 before entry
Gold sideway around $4000 — waiting for a decisive breakout1️⃣ Market Overview:
Gold (XAU/USD) is currently fluctuating between $3994–$3998, maintaining a narrow range of $3990–$4000 for several hours.
The market is lacking fresh momentum as investors await upcoming U.S. economic data.
Both the USD and Treasury yields are moving sideways, keeping gold in consolidation mode without a clear breakout.
2️⃣ Technical Analysis:
• Resistance: $4005 – $4012
• Support: $3985 – $3975
• EMA50 (H1): holding near $3989 → short-term dynamic support.
• Consecutive small-bodied H1 candles with balanced wicks indicate a strong tug-of-war between buyers and sellers.
• RSI (H1) remains neutral around 50 → market is waiting for a breakout signal.
3️⃣ Market Outlook:
• This is a consolidation phase before a potential breakout, likely to occur within the next few hours.
• If H1 closes above $4005, gold could extend its rally toward $4025–$4040.
• Conversely, if price breaks below $3985, a short-term correction could be triggered toward $3970–$3955.
4️⃣ Trading Strategy:
🔺 BUY XAU/USD
Entry: $3985 – $3982
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: $3979
🔻 SELL XAU/USD
Entry: $4012 – $4015
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: $4019
Technical analysis for Gold (XAU/USD, 30-minute chart) 🔹 Chart Structure Overview
The chart shows a Bearish Gartley Harmonic Pattern formation.
• The pattern is complete near the 0.786 retracement level (~$4040–$4055 zone).
• The final leg (D) has just completed, and price has reached the potential reversal zone (PRZ), confirming bearish reversal probability.
Target Level
Fibonacci Level Approx. Price Commentary
T1 - 0.618 retracement 3920–3940
Minor support; short-term profit-booking likely.
T2 1.0 projection 3820–3840
Key swing target; aligns with mid-March support.
T3 (Final) 1.618 extension ~3900
🔹 Summary
• Pattern: Bearish Gartley
• Current Zone: PRZ completed, reversal probable
• Confirmation: Await break below 3980
• Bias: Bearish
• Target: 3900
• Probability: High (pattern + divergence + volume confluence)
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always verify with your own strategy and risk parameters before taking any position.
Gold continues to gain after breakout — tighten focus on key lev📊 Market Behaviour
The price of Gold (XAU/USD) broke above the consolidation zone and is currently advancing with less hesitation — the momentum now leans bullish as the sideway phase fades. Meanwhile, macro factors such as safe-haven demand and dollar softening support the uptrend.
🧭 Technical Analysis
• Immediate resistance: ~$4018 – $4030
• Support zones: ~$4004 – $4000 near the previous breakout level
• On a 1-hour chart, the breakout above the consolidation gives a bullish bias, but momentum indicators suggest some cooling off — watch for possible pullback to retest support before further advances.
• A sustained drop below the $4000 area would signal a trend check; conversely, a clean push above $4030 with volume would suggest a move toward higher targets.
💡 Outlook
Given current breakout action, the short-term trend has turned bullish. The next move likely targets the $4030 region and possibly beyond, provided support holds above $4000. If momentum wanes, a retest of $4000–$4004 would be a natural pause zone before any further breakout.
🎯 Trading Strategy Suggestion
🔺 Buy Setup
Entry: $4008 – $4012 (on pullback to support)
Target: $4030+
Stop Loss: $3995
🟡 Alternate Setup (if momentum stalls)
Sell/short only if price closes H1 below $4000; then target $3980 or $3965, with stop above $4008.
XAUUSD: The resistance level at 4020 remains strongGold has attempted to break through the 4020 resistance level several times today but failed. Coupled with the fact that the U.S. initial jobless claims data has not yet been released, it has now re-entered a correction phase.
The resistance level at 4020 remains strong.
For support, the short-term level is still at 3960-3970,and the key previous low support at 3888-3890.
The trading strategy can still refer to our analysis from this morning.
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H BUY PROJECTION 06.11.25XAUUSD (Gold/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe, dated 06.11.25. Here’s a clear breakdown of what the analysis suggests:
🟢 Overall Bias: BUY Projection
The setup shows a bullish outlook for Gold, following a trendline breakout and retest.
🔍 Key Technical Details:
Trendline Break & Retest:
A downward (bearish) trendline was broken to the upside.
Price retested the broken trendline, confirming potential for upward continuation.
Temporary Resistance:
Around 3989–3990 level (current price area).
If this zone is broken cleanly, further upward movement is expected.
Uptrend Line (1H):
An ascending trendline is drawn, suggesting the current bullish momentum.
The projection follows this uptrend structure.
Resistance Levels:
Resistance R1: Around 4000–4010
Resistance R2: Around 4020–4030
These are potential target zones for buyers.
Support / Stop-Loss Area:
Below 3970, marked in the red shaded region, is the invalidation level if price drops below it.
🧭 Projected Path:
The arrows indicate the expected movement:
Minor pullback from temporary resistance.
Bounce off the trendline.
Continuation up through R1 and potentially toward R2.
💡 Summary:
Bias: Bullish (Buy)
Entry Zone: Near 3980–3990 after retest confirmation.
Targets:
TP1 = 4000–4010 (R1)
TP2 = 4020–4030 (R2)
Stop-Loss: Below 3970 support.
Would you like me to calculate the risk-to-reward ratio (RRR) based on these zones
Will gold break out of its range on November 6th?
Core View: Range-Bound with a Bearish Bias, Prefer Selling Rallies with Buying Dips as a Supplement
The gold market is currently within a clear trading range, lacking momentum for a unilateral trend. Tuesday's large bearish candle sets a short-term bearish tone for the day, but strong support levels below limit the downside potential. Therefore, the primary trading approach should be to sell on rallies, while looking to buy bounces at key support levels.
I. Key Price Levels
Core Resistance Zone: 4000 - 4020
Short-Term Support Zone: 3945 - 3925
Strong Support Zone: 3915 - 3885
II. Specific Trading Strategies
1. Short Strategy (Primary Direction)
Entry Zone: Look to enter short positions in batches when the price rallies to the 4000-4020 zone.
Profit Target: Primary target is the 3945-3925 zone.
Stop Loss: Recommended to place above 4020.
2. Long Strategy (Secondary Opportunity)
Entry Zone: Consider light long positions if the price retraces to the 3925-3915 support zone. A touch of the strong support around 3885 presents a more ideal long opportunity.
Profit Target: Aim for a technical rebound towards the 3980-4000 zone.
Stop Loss: Recommended to place below the key support level (e.g., if entering long at 3925, place stop loss below 3910).
III. Market Outlook & Important Notes
Range-Bound Nature: The market is operating within a broad 3880 - 4050 range. Do not mistake short-term fluctuations for the start of a new trend; avoid chasing prices.
Breakout Handling:
If the price breaks strongly above 4020, the short-term bearish structure is invalidated. Short positions must be closed firmly, and consider going long on a pullback with light positions.
If the price breaks decisively below 3880, the downside is likely to extend. Shift to a trend-following short strategy.
Risk Management: In the current ranging market, it is essential to trade with light positions and use strict stop-losses. The market is prone to reversals; sound risk control is key to survival and profitability.
Summary:
Prioritize looking for shorting opportunities near the 4000 level during the day. If the price declines directly without a prior rally, patiently wait for it to reach the 3925-3915 or even the 3885 support zones before seeking long opportunities.
XAU/USD) Bearish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of XAU/USD (Gold Spot) – Bearish Continuation Setup
Timeframe: 1H (Capital.com)
Concepts: Smart Money Concepts (SMC), Trendline Break, FVG & EMA Confluence
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Market Structure Overview
The uptrend structure was recently broken, confirming a shift to bearish order flow.
Price has broken the ascending trendline, retested near the FVG / premium retracement zone, and is rejecting from the supply area.
The structure and EMAs both support further downside continuation.
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Key Technical Elements
Retracement Zone (Short Entry Area):
0.5 – 0.79 Fibonacci levels align with the Fair Value Gap (FVG), showing potential for bearish mitigation.
Price currently trading near 0.62–0.705 level (premium zone).
EMA Confluence:
EMA-50 ≈ 3,992
EMA-200 ≈ 4,024
Both EMAs are above price, acting as dynamic resistance.
Trendline Break:
The ascending trendline has been decisively broken and retested, indicating trend reversal confirmation.
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Targets
Immediate Target (0-level structure): 3,940 zone
Extended Bearish Target: 3,796 — marked as the final target point on the chart
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Scenario Plan
1. Expect minor retracement to the FVG zone (3,990–4,010).
2. Watch for bearish confirmation (rejection or lower-timeframe BOS).
3. Target downside continuation to 3,796, completing the swing projection.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Bias:
> Bearish – Market showing structure shift, EMA confluence, and FVG rejection setup aligning toward deeper downside movement.
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please support boost 🚀 this analysis
AFTER LOOKING M15 IT GIVE ME A VIEW OF BUYING IN XAUUSDPrice is holding strong around the $3,920–$3,940 support zone, showing clear signs of accumulation after multiple retests. As long as this support holds, I’m expecting a potential bullish move toward the $4,120–$4,150 resistance area, which aligns with previous supply and structure levels.
The breakout above mid-range resistance around $4,000 could confirm momentum and open the path for a +240 pip move (around 6% upside). Volume also shows gradual build-up, supporting a possible reversal from this demand zone.
Bias: Bullish
Entry Zone: Around current support (3,940–3,960)
Target: 4,120–4,150
Invalidation: Break below 3,920
XAU/USD – Price Consolidation Signals Potential Downside XAU/USD – Price Consolidation Signals Potential Downside Continuation
Gold (XAU/USD) continues to trade sideways within a wide range structure after multiple failed breakout attempts near the 4,000 USD mark. The current price action suggests that the market may be preparing for a bearish continuation if buyers fail to defend the lower boundary of this range.
Technical Overview:
Main Trend: Bearish bias remains intact on higher timeframes.
Current Structure: Sideways consolidation between 3,890 – 4,030 USD.
Resistance zone: 3,990 – 4,030 USD — previous supply area where sellers consistently stepped in.
Support zone: 3,900 – 3,890 USD — key demand zone and range bottom.
Indicators:
EMA50 (H1) acting as dynamic resistance near 3,985 USD.
RSI (H1) showing a bearish divergence, confirming loss of buying momentum.
Price Action Insight:
The recent swing highs have shown clear lower highs while the price remains capped under the range midpoint. This indicates that sellers are gradually regaining control.
Unless bulls push decisively above 4,000 USD, the probability favors a breakdown scenario targeting the 3,890 USD zone next.
Trading Strategy (Short Bias):
Sell Setup: Look for a rejection or bearish engulfing pattern near 3,985 – 3,995 USD.
Stop Loss: Above 4,030 USD.
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 3,920 USD
TP2: 3,890 USD
Alternative Scenario:
If price breaks and closes above 4,030 USD with volume, expect a shift in short-term sentiment toward 4,060 – 4,090 USD.
Summary:
Gold remains in a neutral-to-bearish consolidation phase, with the overall sentiment leaning toward another test of the range bottom. Until a breakout occurs, traders can continue to trade the range — selling near resistance and buying at support — with tight risk control.
Gold - The most obvious top!🪙Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) will reverse soon:
🔎Analysis summary:
After we witnessed a major breakout back in 2024, Gold has been rallying about +120% ever since. However, Gold is now approaching a monster resistance trendline of the long term rising channel. It is really just a matter of time until Gold will create its official top.
📝Levels to watch:
$4,500
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Do Not think GOLD for few monthsWhen speculation hits high, there are some clear tell tale signs. Mums calling asking to buy the asset, retail public queuing on streets to buy the asset, media reporting every single percentage move of that asset.
Gold fits the definition of that asset currently.
Tecninally, monthly RSI is above 90 ! Last it was so high on charts was in 1974. From Elliot wave structure, we completed wave 3 grand cycle at 4100ish USD levels. On a cycle level, it is a clear 5th wave hyperextension - what that means ? A 5th wave hypertextension almost always bring the prices down to the level where it all started, which is at 2000 USD. Also a 90+ RSI on monthly takes a minimum of 4-5 months to come back to range levels.
In a nutshell, now is not the time to buy gold. There will be many minor jumps on its way down but it is an asset to be avoided until Q1 end.
A GOOD CONFIRMATION BY 12PMWhat i see is we would likely sell today but it will push up a bit further maybe to somewhere 4130-35 before a sell but the sell confirmation will be at 12pm and 4pm , if market confirms sell by 12 then it will sell automatically but if it doesn't confirm sell by 12pm UTC a final confirmation will be at 4pm, from my technical perspective






















