GOLD What Next? BUY!
My dear friends,
GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 3648.2 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 3657.8
Recommended Stop Loss - 3642.9
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GOLD trade ideas
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 19, 2025
Momentum
• D1 timeframe: Momentum is currently declining, suggesting that the downtrend may continue until momentum enters the oversold zone. This process could take at least 2 daily candles, including the current one.
• H4 timeframe: Momentum is turning upward, but repeated reversals at the oversold zone, along with overlapping price action, indicate that the market is in a complex corrective phase.
• H1 timeframe: Momentum has already turned upward, with 3 H1 bullish candles formed. It is expected that within 1–2 more candles, momentum will likely reach the overbought zone.
Wave Structure
• D1 timeframe: The 5-wave black structure has been completed. The current correction is expected to last longer compared to the previous WXY triangle correction.
• H4 timeframe: Wave counting is complicated due to overlapping price movements. With momentum now recovering, wave B is likely unfolding, which will then be followed by the completion of wave C.
• H1 timeframe: A temporary channel can be drawn to observe price behavior. The market is likely in wave B (black), forming a Flat structure (ABC in blue). Wave C (blue) is projected to equal wave A (blue) at the 3667 level. This price zone also coincides with the boundary between high and low liquidity areas on the Volume Profile, making it a strong resistance zone for potential short entries.
Trading Plan
• Sell Zone: 3667 – 3670
• SL: 3680
• TP: 3644
xau usdGold Dollar Analysis Based on Weekly Candlestick
Based on the behavior of the channel and
Based on Elliott Wave, Channel and Price Action
And identifying possible price reversal points and the best entry points
Based on long-term investment
and futures trading based on candlestick behavior at points
Gold Dollar Analysis Based on Weekly Candlestick
Based on the behavior of the channel
ANFIBO | XAUUSD on my view today??? [09.18.2025]Hello traders! It’s me, Anfibo. As usual, I’d like to share my personal view on gold OANDA:XAUUSD for today’s session.
On the H4 chart, gold continues to hold firmly within the upward channel, showing no major signs of weakness. The latest H4 candle closed as a bullish hammer with a long lower wick and a strong body, indicating aggressive buying absorption and solid reactions around the trendline.
In my view, as long as price stays above 3,620 USD, the bullish structure on H4 remains intact, and buyers still maintain control.
On H1, price is currently trading around 3,671 USD, and I expect it to retest yesterday’s FOMC gap near 3,678 – 3,680 USD. This is a sensitive area because it aligns with multiple confluences:
> Fibonacci retracement 0.618.
> Trendline confluence.
> Fair Value Gap (FVG).
Together, these factors make 3,678 – 3,680 a strong short-term resistance, worth considering for a counter-trend sell scalp setup.
Here’s my personal plan today:
>>> BUY SCALP:
ENTRY: around 3.645
SL: 3,640
TP: 3,679 – 3,690
_________________
>>> SELL Scalp
(1) ENTRY: 3,670 – 3,674
SL: 3,676
TP: 3,655 – 3,650
(2) ENTRY: 3,678 – 3,680
SL: 3,685
TP: 3,650 – 3,645
My approach remains the same: buy at strong support, sell at confluence resistance, and never take trades without clear risk management in place.
Besides technicals, don’t overlook today’s Unemployment Claims data. This release could trigger volatility and potentially break through key levels. Personally, I’ll wait for the market’s reaction to the news before committing to larger positions.
>>> Final Thoughts:
- H4 trend: still bullish above 3,620.
- H1: likely retest of resistance at 3,678 – 3,680.
- Plan: BUY around 3,645 – SELL around 3,678 – 3,680.
- Stick to risk management, and stay mindful of U.S. news flow to avoid being caught off guard.
Goodluck guys! ;)
Thurs 18 Sept - New York session AnalysisHere's how the market evolve during the London session.
Got a big push up to grab liquidity!
1. Let's see if price will be enough to kick the sellers out and continue to push up to potentially go to the ATH
2. If not! Price may resist and reject the AOI to further push down toward the Asian low.
Let's see how it play out!
@TeamWePrint
Wed 17 Sept - Analysis For New York SessionAnalysis showing a big drop in price with respect to the hourly trend.
There's still room to the downside till the AOI at 3657.6
Currently price is retracing and retesting the 1h FVG.
1. If the price breaks to the upside, we expect the price to retrace deeper and push up toward the 3686 level or push further to the ATH. (LONG)
If not, price will eventually test & reject the FVG and look to shift the higher time frame to bearish.
2. If the price drops to the 3655 level, we can look for a nice swing low. (SHORT)
LET'S SEE HOW IT PLAY OUT!
#TeamWePrint
XAU/USD: Bullish Momentum Holds Above Key Support at 3,670XAU/USD continues to maintain a bullish structure, having bounced from higher lows and broken above the 3,670 level, reinforcing upward momentum. Price is now consolidating just below the resistance zone, with the upward channel still defining the broader trend.
If buyers defend the 3,670 support, gold could look to extend toward the 3,715 resistance area, in line with current projected targets. The presence of a strong impulse leg and support from the rising trendline signal that bulls remain in control, unless this key level is broken.
XAUUSD 30M – Intraday Plan Around the RangePrice is holding between $3,687.16 (resistance) and $3,675.64 (support). We’re trading around $3,683–$3,684 inside a tight box. Scalps can work, but reversals are quick.
🔼 Bullish Plan (primary focus — fundamentals supportive)
Trigger: A clean 30min body close above $3,687.16 (not just a wick).
Targets: $3,689.59 → $3,692.00 → $3,695.06.
Management: Take partials at $3,689.59, move SL to breakeven once $3,687 holds on a retest. Trail remainder if momentum continues.
Fundamental note: 25bps rate cut odds are at 100% and there are rumours of a 50bps cut. The FOMC move is largely priced in, so a strong sustained leg higher is limited unless a surprise 50bps cut appears. Still, fundamentals favor looking for longs on confirmation.
🔽 Bearish Plan (secondary — cleaner below support)
Trigger: 30min body close below $3,675.64.
Targets: $3,673.66 → $3,671.30 → $3,669.64 (trail if sellers stay in control).
Management: Scale partials at $3,673.66, protect the rest at breakeven.
🔄 Range Scalp (higher risk, small size)
Shorts: $3,686–$3,687 on a clear rejection → aim $3,680–$3,682, SL above rejection high.
Longs: $3,675–$3,676 on a strong rejection wick → aim mid-range, SL below $3,674.
⚠️ Use reduced size, chop can reverse fast.
✅ Break Confirmation
Strong 30-min body close through the level.
Momentum expansion after the close.
❌ Invalidation
Breakout closes back inside the box on the next candle → likely trap.
Multiple wick pierces with no follow-through.
📌 Bottom Line
Above $3,687.16 → bullish bias toward $3,689.59 / $3,692.00 / $3,695.06.
Below $3,675.64 → bearish bias toward $3,673.66 / $3,671.30 / $3,669.64.
Inside the box = scalp only, keep size tight.
Primary focus: longs on confirmed close above $3,687.16 (fundamentals supportive; full momentum requires surprise 50bps cut).
Gold 1H – Breakout Liquidity Trap Ahead of ExpansionGold on the 1H timeframe is consolidating near 3,652 after sweeping discount liquidity and reclaiming structure. Price has tapped into the breakout zone and is now positioned between premium scalp supply and higher liquidity pools. The structure suggests engineered plays into 3,656–3,658 or deeper liquidity toward 3,672–3,674 before expansion. Discount demand remains protected at 3,614–3,612.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,672 – 3,674 (SL 3,679): Premium supply pocket for engineered rejection targeting 3,660 → 3,650 → 3,640.
• 🔴 SELL SCALP 3,656 – 3,658 (SL 3,663): Short-term premium sweep zone for intraday liquidity grabs targeting 3,645 → 3,640.
• 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,614 – 3,612 (SL 3,607): Discount demand block aligned with bullish order flow targeting 3,630 → 3,640 → 3,655.
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📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Scalp Rejection
• Entry: 3,656 – 3,658
• Stop Loss: 3,663
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,645
TP2: 3,640
👉 Intraday scalp opportunity if price sweeps into shallow premium liquidity.
🔻 Sell Setup – Deeper Premium Sweep
• Entry: 3,672 – 3,674
• Stop Loss: 3,679
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,660
TP2: 3,650
TP3: 3,640
👉 Expect engineered sweep into higher premium before reversal.
🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Demand Reaction
• Entry: 3,614 – 3,612
• Stop Loss: 3,607
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,630
TP2: 3,640
TP3: 3,655
👉 High R:R play if price retraces to protected demand before expansion.
________________________________________
🔑 Strategy Note
Smart money is likely to manipulate both premium and discount zones around the breakout point. Bias favors:
• Scalp sells at 3,656–3,658
• Swing sells at 3,672–3,674
• Discount buys at 3,614–3,612
Risk management is critical — expect liquidity sweeps both sides before real expansion.
9/16: Watch Support at 3668–3652, Resistance at 3700✍️Good morning, everyone!
Key Support: 3668–3656
Key Resistance: 3700
Yesterday, gold repeatedly tested the 3643–3648 resistance area. During the pullback, the trend support held, and after consolidating, the price broke through resistance strongly. The overall move was in line with expectations (if it can stay above 3643–3658, it may test around 3668 with a chance of setting new highs).
After yesterday’s breakout, the price is now consolidating at high levels. Whether the bullish trend can be maintained depends mainly on support in the 3668–3656 (3648–3643) area. As long as this support holds, bulls may remain in control until tomorrow’s interest rate decision, with the possibility of testing the psychological level of 3700.
During the consolidation, trading can be focused around the 3682–3662 area.
If the price breaks out, selling opportunities may appear near 3692–3702, while buying opportunities can be considered around 3648–3636.
Gold prices are showing signs of an upside breakout.Gold prices are showing signs of an upside breakout.
As shown in Figure 2h, gold prices have formed an upside breakout trend.
The next trading move will become very clear.
Wait for a pullback.
Wait for a long position at a lower price.
Target: Above 3675-3700
Of course, we must also be wary of resistance in the 3660-3675 range to prevent gold prices from reversing and entering a sideways trading pattern.
Sideways: 3615-3675
A stop-loss must be set at 3640.
Technical Analysis + Trading Strategy:
Buy: 3645-3650
Stop-loss: 3637-3640
Target: 3660-3675-3700+
This is the optimal intraday trading strategy.
For your reference.
gold market bullish trajectory continues Gold market opens the new week maintaining its bullish trajectory, building on last week’s hedge formation fueled by inflation data and elevated unemployment claims. Momentum remains tilted to the upside as buyers look to extend control.
🔑 Key insights .:
Previous Hedge: Formed last week on inflation & labor data
Bias: Bullish continuation
Focus: Sustained momentum above key demand zones
GOLD Sell Now 3650XAUUSD – Bearish Setup at 3650 | Reversal Zone Play
Gold has reached a stretched resistance zone near 3650, where price action is showing signs of exhaustion. After a strong bullish rally, momentum indicators are flashing bearish divergence, and volume is fading—setting up a clean short opportunity.
📌 Trade Parameters
- Entry: 3650
- Stop Loss: 3657.5 (above resistance wick)
- Take Profit: 3646 (first support zone)
- Risk/Reward Ratio: ~2:1
📊 Technical Confluence
- Rejection from Fibonacci extension zone
- RSI divergence on 15M and 1H charts
- MACD histogram fading after impulse
- Volume drop on bullish candles
- Price stalling near monthly R3 pivot
💬 Trade Narrative
Gold surged into the 3650 zone but failed to break higher with conviction. This setup targets a short-term pullback toward 3646, with tight risk above 3657.5. If price breaks below 3648, expect momentum to accelerate. Setup remains valid unless bulls reclaim 3658+ with volume.
Fundamentals remain mixed, with inflation data and Fed rate expectations in play. This trade favors tactical execution during active sessions.
📣 Trader’s Note:
Watch for confirmation on lower timeframes. If price breaks below 3648 with volume, consider trailing stop or scaling in.
Short term analysis main trend is still bullishXAU/USD Technical Analysis (H1)
1. Overall Trend
Gold (XAU/USD) is moving inside an upward channel, confirmed by two parallel rising trendlines.
After bouncing from the strong support zone around 3,520 – 3,540 USD, price has been forming higher lows, keeping the bullish structure intact.
2. Key Support & Resistance
Strong Resistance: 3,660 – 3,680 USD zone. Price has been rejected here multiple times, creating a zig-zag/triangle-like pattern.
Dynamic Support: The rising trendline. As long as price stays above this line, the bullish bias remains valid.
Static Support: 3,520 – 3,540 USD. If the trendline breaks, this will be the next key zone to test buyers’ strength.
3. Chart Pattern
Price is consolidating in a triangle/zig-zag formation within an uptrend, often considered a continuation pattern.
If the resistance at 3,660 – 3,680 USD is broken, price may rally toward the psychological level 3,700 – 3,720 USD.
4. Trading Scenarios
Bullish (preferred):
Enter long on pullbacks to the trendline or on a breakout above 3,660–3,680.
Target: 3,700 – 3,720 USD.
Stop-loss: Below 3,620 or under the trendline.
Bearish (alternative):
If price breaks the rising trendline, a correction toward 3,520 – 3,540 USD is possible.
This zone will act as a decisive level for the next direction.
👉 Conclusion: The short-term bias remains bullish, but a clear breakout above 3,660 – 3,680 is needed for confirmation.
Gold Weekly Outlook ( FOMC Week )Hello traders,
Another week and most importantly its FOMC week
🔸 Weekly Outlook (HTF Bias)
Trend: Bullish, but stretched into ATH zone.
Supply Zones:
3670–3720 (ATH pocket – decision zone)
3770–3800 (extension confluence)
3850–3920 (untouched liquidity cluster)
Demand Zones / Imbalance:
3590–3450 → main corrective magnet (contains EMA50)
3340–3290 → first strong HTF demand
3180–3120 & 3050–2980 → deeper extreme discount demand
Confluence:
EMA stack bullishly locked, but extended
RSI weekly overbought → exhaustion risk
Liquidity pools: above 3674 ATH and below imbalance 3450
Fibonacci: 1.272/1.618 extensions (3750/3880) align with supply above
Scenarios:
Bullish Expansion: Clean breakout above 3670–3720 → targets 3770 → 3850+
Bearish Correction: Rejection from ATH → pullback into 3590–3450 imbalance. A deeper rebalance could test 3340 or lower demand if macro turns hawkish.
🔸 H4 Structure & Trend
Trend: Still bullish (HH–HL), but slowing momentum inside supply.
Active Supply Zones:
3640–3666 → current battlefield (price inside)
3692–3720 → inducement + 1.272 Fib trap zone
3745–3785 → 1.618–2.0 Fib, expansion exhaustion supply
Demand Zones:
3600–3580 → first pullback demand
3544–3520 → EMA50 confluence, BOS origin
3500–3470 → last valid H4 demand before sentiment shift
Confluence:
EMAs locked bullish, but flattening
RSI cooling off → momentum compression
Equal highs below 3666 → inducement
Imbalances on both sides = liquidity-driven moves ahead
Scenarios:
Bullish: Hold above 3600–3580 → breakout above 3666 confirms push toward 3720/3785.
Bearish: Rejection at 3640–3666 or EQH sweep → pullback into 3580/3544, possibly 3500.
🔸 H1 Refined Levels
Premium Sell Zones:
3640–3654 → short-term liquidity wall (first seller defense)
3670–3678 → ATH trap zone (inducement risk)
3704–3720 → exhaustion zone (final upside trap)
Discount Buy Zones:
3595–3580 → first reaction base
3550–3535 → mid-range accumulation shelf
3505–3490 → deep liquidity reload zone (best RR swing entry)
Decision Zone: 3630–3608 → momentum pivot
Above 3630 → bulls in control
Below 3608 → opens reentry demand zones
🎯 Battle Plan
Bullish Play:
Look for rejections from 3595 / 3550 / 3505 with confirmation (M15 BOS or engulfing).
Above 3630 → push toward 3654 → 3674 → 3720.
Break and hold above 3674 → continuation toward 3770+.
Bearish Play:
Tactical shorts at 3654, 3678, 3720 with M15/M30 confirmation.
Targets: 3608 → 3580 → 3550.
Loss of 3490 = HTF correction mode unlocked.
✅ Overall Bias: Still bullish on HTF, but extended. Market is at a make-or-break zone (3640–3674).
⚠️ Risk: RSI overbought + inducement structure = high probability of a liquidity sweep before the real move.
📌 Key Catalyst: FOMC will likely decide whether ATH breaks cleanly or if a corrective flush into imbalance (3450–3590) happens first
Next week's Fed decision,Has the gold bull market peaked?Let's take a look at the trend of gold this week at the weekend. The strong bull market of gold has slowed down this week. After continuing to rise to 3600 on Monday, it rose and fell to a peak of 3675 on Tuesday. From Wednesday to Friday, it fluctuated at a high level. So, does gold still have the motivation to continue to rise in the current situation? Or is 3675 the ceiling? This recent surge in gold prices began at 3311, reaching a high of $364 at 3675. Based on previous upward trends, a bull market typically peaks just over $400. Therefore, with limited room above 3700, blind buying is discouraged. Be wary of a potential reversal of price action after reaching the peak, with the upper limit at 3750. All of this depends on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision next week. The market will become increasingly cautious as we approach this date. Therefore, gold is currently adjusting at a high level, just shy of a final acceleration towards the top. The uncertainty remains as to whether this acceleration will occur before or after the Fed's decision. If the rate cut is just 25 basis points, gold will have no further momentum to rally. Buying on expectations and selling on facts will lead to a peak and decline upon the announcement. However, if the rate cut is aggressively implemented by 50 basis points, gold will likely experience further upward momentum, most likely leading to a decline after a sharp rise. Therefore, gold is currently in a tailspin. At the end of the bull run, it's best to be bullish rather than chasing the market. It's prudent to wait for a pullback at key support levels before resuming a bullish trend. Two key support levels to watch are 3580 and 3511-3512. Having already seen four consecutive weekly gains, there's a high probability of a negative correction next week. Even if gold does rally next week, it will be the final stretch. The world's largest gold ETF has been steadily reducing its holdings in recent days, with bulls gradually taking profits. We shouldn't be tempted to buy at high levels, especially for medium- and long-term investors. It's important to emphasize that the overall trend and direction of gold remains upward, directly linked to the weakening US dollar. However, market trends aren't linear. After each bullish cycle, there's a deep correction, and this cycle repeats. This is how trends form. See if this pattern persists. Trading, then, is a process of finding the right position, following the trend and the swings. A cost-effective position gives you the confidence to hold onto your position without panic. For gold on Monday, expect continued volatility. Upper pressure lies between 3655 and 3660. A breakout would undoubtedly trigger a test of the 3675 high, leading to a potential surge and then a decline. Whether it can reach 3700 depends on the strength of the market, but I don't think the probability is high, at least for Monday. Lower support lies between 3635 and 3630, the 618 golden ratio. A break below would signal a short-term bearish bias, potentially leading to further declines to the 3610-3600 support levels.
Will gold prices continue to fall on September 19th?
I. In-depth Fundamental Analysis
Impact of Key Events:
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision: A 25 basis point rate cut as expected, triggering a "buy the anticipation, sell the reality" market
Powell's speech: The "meeting-by-meeting" approach was interpreted by the market as signaling uncertainty
Market Reaction: Investors chose to take profits, causing gold prices to fall rapidly from their historical high of 3707.
Positive Factors:
The long-term accommodative monetary policy environment remains in place.
Gold has risen 39% year-to-date and over 6% this month, demonstrating strong bullish momentum.
Safe-haven properties remain attractive in the long term.
Negative Factors:
Lack of new catalysts in the short term.
Significant profit-taking pressure (significant profit-taking above 3700).
The market needs time to digest the Fed's policy signals.
Fundamental Conclusion: The long-term bull market remains intact, but short-term fluctuations and consolidation are needed to digest gains and rebuild momentum.
II. Technical Analysis
Trend Structure:
Main Trend: Intact bullish pattern (upward trend on the daily chart)
Minor Trend: High-level oscillation (consolidation on the 4-hour chart)
Short-term Trend: Range-bound (convergence on the 1-hour chart)
Key Price Levels:
Support System (Level 3):
Immediate Support: 3645 (Yesterday's low, psychological support)
Important Support: 3635 (overlapping Bollinger Band + 60-day moving average)
Trend Support: 3620-3610 (bullish lifeline, breakout is likely to lead to a rebound). Trend turns bearish)
Resistance System:
Short-term Resistance: 3660-3670 (Key Resistance Zone in the Asian and European Sessions)
Upward Resistance: 3675, 3690
Strong Resistance: 3707 (Historical Double Top Resistance Level)
Technical Pattern Characteristics:
Daily Chart: A bearish pullback from a high level, but without breaking the unilateral moving average support system
H4 Chart: Bollinger Bands closing and moving averages converging, indicating a consolidation pattern
Important Signal: Two tests of 3707 have formed the prototype of a double top, requiring a breakout for confirmation
III. Comprehensive Trading Strategy
Main Idea: Range-bound trading, with phased long positions at support levels.
Trading Plan:
Long Position (Main Strategy):
Aggressive Long Position: 3640-3645 (Light Position for Testing)
Conservative Long Position: 3630-3635 (Opportunity to Increase Positions)
Core Long Position: 3620-3610 (Trend Long Position)
Target: 3660 → 3675 → 3690
Stop Loss: Below 3605 (Effective Breakout)
Short Position (Supporting Strategy):
Entry Zone: 3665-3675 (Stagflation Signal)
Target: 3650 → 3640 → 3635
Stop-loss: above 3685
Breakout Trading Strategy:
Break above 3710: Buy on pullbacks, target 3730-3750
Break below 3605: Short on rebounds, target 3580-3550
IV. Risk Control System
Position Management:
Main Strategy Position: 5-8% (Planned)
Breakout Trading: 3-5% (Follow the trend)
Total Position: ≤10% (Strict Position Control)
Summary: Prioritize intraday trading in the 3620-3670 range, focusing on the defense of the 3620 support level. Conservative traders should wait for opportunities at key levels, while aggressive traders should test the market with a small position. Following a breakout, follow the trend, but maintain strict position and risk control.
Gold Spot (XAU/USD) – Demand Zone Retest and Potential ReversalThe price action of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on the 30-minute timeframe. The market recently experienced a decline after facing resistance around the 3,687 level, moving down toward the 3,640 demand zone highlighted in purple. The projection suggests that price may first dip further into the demand zone near 3,620 before potentially reversing and rallying upward toward the 3,690 region. Key levels of interest include the marked fair value gap (FVG), order blocks, and the strong support zone, which indicate possible reversal and bullish continuation.