XAU/USD 06 November 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 20 October 2025.
Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380. 990.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
You will note how price remains contained in consolidation between a supply and demand range. The rest of my analysis and bias remains the same as bias date 29 October 2025.
As expected, price has printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low, priced at 3,886.465.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Trade ideas
GOLD Smart Money Might Be Preparing for Bullish Structure ShiftGold (XAU/USD) is showing early signs that Smart Money may be shifting from a distribution phase into a short-term accumulation phase.
After a strong bearish leg marked by multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS), recent price behavior now suggests the potential formation of a Market Structure Shift (MSS) — an early indication that institutional flow could be changing direction.
💭 1️⃣ Market Structure – When the Market “Whispers” About Reversal
On the H1 timeframe, we can clearly observe a chain of consecutive BOSs since the 4,150 zone, but what’s intriguing is the reaction around 3,925 – 3,940.
Here, price failed to make new lower lows and began rejecting strongly — leaving several rejection wicks that reveal smart money absorption at discounted prices.
This area represents the discount zone of the current range — where institutions often collect liquidity from trapped sellers before pushing price toward premium levels for redistribution.
The latest Break of Market Structure (BMS) around 3,987 confirms that bearish momentum is weakening, and buyers may be starting to reclaim control in the short term.
🩶 2️⃣ Supply & Demand Zones – Footprints of Smart Money
Karina is currently watching three key zones shaping this market phase:
Demand Zones:
3,938 – 3,925: A strong demand base formed after the initial push upward — acting as a key support if price retraces.
3,986 – 3,988: A minor demand zone formed post-BMS, serving as a potential “reaccumulation point” for the next bullish leg.
Supply Zones:
4,111 – 4,149: Unmitigated Bearish Order Block from the previous decline — the most probable upside target for Smart Money in the current swing.
The projected SMC scenario: Smart Money accumulates at demand → builds liquidity → drives price into the upper supply zones.
🧭 3️⃣ Liquidity Context – Quiet but Purposeful Movement
Gold currently sits within a liquidity equilibrium — a transitional area where both buy- and sell-side liquidity coexist.
Below, 3,886 remains a pocket of sell-side liquidity, while above, large buy-side liquidity pools rest around 4,110 – 4,150.
Smart Money may first collect the remaining sell-side liquidity before triggering a strong upward displacement toward the upper supply zones — following the familiar pattern:
liquidity sweep → displacement → continuation.
🌙 4️⃣ Trade Scenario – Flow With Smart Money, Not Against It
As long as price holds above 3,938 – 3,987, the short-term bias for Karina is bullish.
If price retests these demand zones and forms bullish confirmations (e.g., bullish engulfing or clear order flow shift), it may set the stage for a push toward the 4,111 – 4,148 region.
Entry: 3,938 – 3,987
Stop Loss: 3,925
Take Profit: 4,111 – 4,148
This setup presents roughly a 1:4 R:R, consistent with a buy-side liquidity grab strategy under SMC principles.
🌷 5️⃣ Reflection – When the Market Moves in Silence
After an extended bearish phase, Gold now seems to be accumulating strength in quiet preparation.
This is not a loud reversal — it’s a subtle rebalancing of institutional flow.
To Karina, the market right now feels like a slow, gentle rhythm — calm, deliberate, and full of hidden intent. Sometimes, the key isn’t chasing volatility, but listening to the whispers of Smart Money in the silence of price action. 🌸
This analysis reflects Karina’s personal perspective and is not financial advice.
Do you see the same structure forming? Could this be the early stage of a bullish cycle, or just another liquidity grab? Let’s discuss below 💬
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis based on your 15-minute chart:Support Level: 4,100 – 4,106
Resistance Zone: 4,120 – 4,125
Target Point: 4,147
Trend Bias: Short-term corrective upward trend within a broader pullback phase.
📈 Scenario 1 – Bullish Setup
If price continues to hold above the support zone (4,100 – 4,106):
Expect a rebound toward 4,120 (minor resistance).
A breakout above 4,120 could trigger further buying toward the target point at 4,147.
This move aligns with the projected ascending channel shown on the chart.
Confirmation Trigger: Bullish breakout and sustained candle close above 4,120.
📉 Scenario 2 – Bearish Continuation
If g RUS:SI1! RUS:GD1! RUS:MX1! RUS:USDRUB.P RUS:RI1! RUS:IRUS.P RUS:SV1! RUS:CR1! RUS:CNYRUB.P RUS:HS1! old breaks below 4,100:
Selling pressure could resume, driving price down to 4,085 – 4,080.
A break below 4,080 would confirm deeper correction and invalidate the bullish setup.
⚖️ Summary
Bias Entry Zone Target Stop Loss
Bullish (Buy) 4,106 – 4,112 4,145 – 4,150 4,095
Bearish (Sell if break below) < 4,100 4,085 – 4,080 4,120
💬 Analyst Note
The market is showing short-term accumulation after a selloff. Watch for volatility around 4,110–4,120; momentum confirmation is key before taking a position. RUS:NG1! RUS:BR1!
GOLD (XAUUSD) Daily Outlook – Bears Eyeing Major Drop Ahead!After a short-term bullish push, Gold is now testing a strong supply zone around $4,130–$4,200 where price previously rejected sharply. If buyers fail to break above this level, we could see fresh bearish momentum kicking in.
🔻 Key Zones:
Resistance (Sell Zone): $4,130 – $4,220
Support (Buy Zone): $3,650 – $3,720
📊 Scenario:
I’m watching for rejection candles or bearish confirmation around the red zone. If price reacts strongly, I expect a drop toward $3,700, completing a clean supply-to-demand move.
💡 Trading Idea:
Wait for confirmation before short entries — patience pays!
Target the green zone for potential long opportunities once we reach strong demand.
⚙️ Bias: Bearish until we see a clear breakout above $4,220.
What’s your take? Do you see Gold holding the supply zone or breaking through it? 🤔
👇 Drop your thoughts below!
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #PriceAction #SmartMoneyConcept #ForexTrading #TradingView #Frank
Nov 12, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential Opportunity📊 Analysis:
From the daily close, price shows signs of hesitation — the market seems to be waiting for a clear breakout.
Today, I’ll be closely watching for a decisive move above 4149 or below 4097 to determine direction.
In the short term, keep an eye on 4133:
If price fails to hold above 4133, momentum may shift to the downside, giving bears the upper hand.
If price breaks below 4125, bearish momentum will likely accelerate, and I’ll switch to selling rallies into resistance.
If price breaks and holds above 4133, I’ll re-evaluate the structure for a potential continuation setup.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 4162 – Resistance
• 4150–4155 – Resistance zone
• 4145 – Resistance
• 4138 – Resistance
• 4125 – Key support
• 4116 – Support
• 4106 – Support
• 4097 – Support
• 4089 – Support
📈 Intraday Strategy:
SELL: If price breaks below 4125 → target 4120, with further downside toward 4116, 4110, 4106
BUY: If price holds above 4133 → target 4138, with further upside toward 4145, 4149, 4154
GOLD (XAUUSD) – Strong Rejection Zone Holding | Possible 200–250Gold just tapped into a major H1 supply zone (highlighted in red), a level that previously caused a sharp sell-off. Price is showing early signs of exhaustion and rejection again from this same area.
📌 Key Observations:
🔴 Supply Zone (Strong Resistance)
Price has returned to the same rejection block where sellers aggressively pushed the market down last time. This area remains unbroken, showing that smart money is defending this level.
⚠️ Weakening Bullish Momentum
Even though Gold climbed up with a clean structure, the candles entering the zone are slowing down — showing smaller bodies and more wicks. This often signals absorption by sellers.
🟥 Liquidity Taken Above Previous Highs
Gold swept the minor highs above the zone, grabbed liquidity, and immediately rejected. This is a classic SMC setup.
🟢 Demand Target Below
If sellers take control, the next major liquidity zone is the 3,850–3,780 support area (green zone). This is where the previous strong rally began — meaning there is unmitigated demand waiting there.
📍 My Projection:
If price continues rejecting the current supply zone, I expect a clean drop into the demand zone below.
This gives a potential 200–250 pip sell setup.
---
Bias: Bearish Reversal from Supply Zone
Sell Range: Inside the red zone
Targets:
• TP1: 3,950
• TP2: 3,880
• TP3: 3,800 (full mitigation area)
Invalidation:
A strong H1 candle closing above the red supply zone.
---
Summary
Gold is respecting the supply zone with clear rejection. If momentum shifts bearish, we could see a corrective leg down into the demand area. Watching for confirmation before entering
Gold prices continue to rise, with a target price of $4200.Gold prices continue to rise, with a target price of $4200.
As shown in the 4h chart:
1: Gold prices remain strong.
2: The current resistance level is $4150.
3: Once $4150 is broken, gold prices will continue to rise, with the next target price range being $4200-$4300.
4: If the price experiences a significant drop near $4150, forming a structural correction, we can wait for the price to fall back to the $4060-$4080 range, forming a right-side bottom pattern, before continuing to go long.
November 11th, Intraday Trading Strategy:
Aggressive Strategy:
Buy (1): $4135-$4140
Buy (2): $4120-$4125
Stop Loss: $4115
Take Profit (1): $4160-$4180
Take Profit (2): $4200
Trade with the trend, allocating order proportions appropriately.
Conservative Strategy: Observe and wait for the market to fully test the resistance level near $4150 before making a decision. If the $4150 resistance level holds, wait for the price to retrace to the $4060-$4080 range before considering going long.
If the price breaks through $4150 directly, consider establishing a small long position, with a stop loss similar to the aggressive strategy.
I have already adopted an aggressive buying strategy.
Xauusd And GC1! Advanced manipulation During pairs like gc1!, we swept the 4124.6 low meanwhile on xauusd we didn’t. Since xauusd is the pair that shows higher accuracy of the pair the sweep on gc1!, mgc1! Are manipulation and created a liquidity pool that’s waiting to get taken out after taking out the accumulated range high. On the 1h timeframe we tapped into an imbalance then displaced internally since we formed a liquidity pool and formed an imbalance we’re likely going to change our trajectory to shorting the market and we might make an early reversal.
XAUUSD 2 scenariosXAU/USD – Gold Outlook (Two Scenarios)
Today I’m watching two possible scenarios for gold:
1️⃣ Technical View: After yesterday’s strong rally, gold may need a pullback to collect liquidity before continuing higher — no real correction has occurred yet. A retracement could offer better long entry opportunities around support zones.
2️⃣ Fundamental View: Despite the overextended move, bullish momentum could continue, driven by optimism over a potential U.S. Senate deal to end the government shutdown. Such an agreement could weaken the USD and boost risk sentiment, favoring further gains in gold.
💡 Summary: Technically expecting a short correction, but fundamentals remain bullish, keeping the 4,100 level in sight if positive news confirms.
ANFIBO | XAUUSD - Effort to Breakout??? [11.10.2025]Hi guys, Anfibo's here!
XAUUSD Analysis – Daily Trading Plan
Overall Picture:
OANDA:XAUUSD is currently trading at the upper boundary of its sideways H1 channel, a key decision point where market sentiment is being tested. This resistance zone has repeatedly acted as a ceiling for price during the current consolidation phase. The question now is whether this level will once again trigger a technical pullback, or if bullish momentum—supported by ongoing geopolitical uncertainty—will be strong enough to deliver a clean breakout and start a new impulsive leg upward. Price action today will be crucial in determining whether gold continues ranging or transitions into a breakout phase.
Trading Plan for Today:
>>> BUY ZONE:
(1) ENTRY: 4040 - 4050
SL: 4030
TP: 4135 – 4150 - 4200
(2) ENTRY: 4070 - 4080 (small vol)
SL: 4065
TP: 4135 – 4150 - 4200
Risk Management:
- Stick to small-to-medium positions within the range; increase size only on confirmed breakouts.
- Keep stops tight, as sideways phases tend to trigger false signals.
- Maintain Risk:Reward ≥ 1:2 and avoid overtrading in choppy conditions.
- Reassess market bias once the H1 channel is decisively broken.
Conclusion:
Gold is sitting right at the “make-or-break” zone of its sideways channel. This area will tell us whether the market plans to reject and pull back, or gather enough momentum for a powerful breakout. As always, we remain flexible: trade the range until it breaks, and prepare to shift bias immediately if a confirmed breakout occurs.
HAVE A WONDERFUL NEW WEEK GUYS!
Gold:Buying on pullbacksGold bulls continue to surge upward. We will maintain the momentum of buying on pullbacks, which remains our operational goal. First, focus on the previous resistance-turned-support zone around 4040-4055; consider going long if the pullback holds above this level. Next, watch the support zone around 4020-4025 below. Pay key attention to the critical support level around 4000-4008.
xauusd 4h🔹 Overall Outlook and Potential Price Movements
In the charts above, we have outlined the overall outlook and possible price movement paths.
As shown, each analysis highlights a key support or resistance zone near the current market price. The market’s reaction to these zones — whether a breakout or rejection — will likely determine the next direction of the price toward the specified levels.
⚠️ Important Note:
The purpose of these trading perspectives is to identify key upcoming price levels and assess potential market reactions. The provided analyses are not trading signals in any way.
✅ Recommendation for Use:
To make effective use of these analyses, it is advised to manually draw the marked zones on your chart. Then, on the 15-minute time frame, monitor the candlestick behavior and look for valid entry triggers before making any trading decisions.
Gold market remains bullish cautiously The gold market remains slightly unstable despite a slated bullish sentiment, as price action consolidates within key zones. Current market behavior suggests that imbalance voids are likely to be filled, potentially wedging price movement toward the 4300 region , follow for more refined insights on gold market , comment and boost idea .
XAU/USD BEARISH SET UPWe previously confirmed a strong bullish uptrend with multiple respects of the uptrend line, showing clear market structure continuation.
However, price failed to make a higher high around the 4382 area, forming a clear double top pattern — a strong reversal signal.
After rejecting this level, price broke below the uptrend line, creating structural chaos and confirming a shift in momentum from bullish to bearish.
Following the breakout, we saw a retest of the broken trendline, which held as new resistance and pushed price downward toward the 3890 zone.
At this zone, price has now consolidated into a bearish symmetrical triangle, a continuation pattern that typically signals further downside pressure.
📉 Bearish Plan
Entry: 4012
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 3828
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 3731
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 3624
🧩 Technical Summary
Confirmed Double Top Reversal near 4382
Trendline Break & Retest validates bearish bias
Bearish Symmetrical Triangle formation strengthens continuation outlook
Looking for continuation to downside if 4012 breaks and retests cleanly
💡 Bias: Bearish
⏱️ Structure: Trendline break → Retest → Continuation
🔍 Focus: Patience on confirmation candle close below 4012 before entry
Gold sideway around $4000 — waiting for a decisive breakout1️⃣ Market Overview:
Gold (XAU/USD) is currently fluctuating between $3994–$3998, maintaining a narrow range of $3990–$4000 for several hours.
The market is lacking fresh momentum as investors await upcoming U.S. economic data.
Both the USD and Treasury yields are moving sideways, keeping gold in consolidation mode without a clear breakout.
2️⃣ Technical Analysis:
• Resistance: $4005 – $4012
• Support: $3985 – $3975
• EMA50 (H1): holding near $3989 → short-term dynamic support.
• Consecutive small-bodied H1 candles with balanced wicks indicate a strong tug-of-war between buyers and sellers.
• RSI (H1) remains neutral around 50 → market is waiting for a breakout signal.
3️⃣ Market Outlook:
• This is a consolidation phase before a potential breakout, likely to occur within the next few hours.
• If H1 closes above $4005, gold could extend its rally toward $4025–$4040.
• Conversely, if price breaks below $3985, a short-term correction could be triggered toward $3970–$3955.
4️⃣ Trading Strategy:
🔺 BUY XAU/USD
Entry: $3985 – $3982
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: $3979
🔻 SELL XAU/USD
Entry: $4012 – $4015
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: $4019
Technical analysis for Gold (XAU/USD, 30-minute chart) 🔹 Chart Structure Overview
The chart shows a Bearish Gartley Harmonic Pattern formation.
• The pattern is complete near the 0.786 retracement level (~$4040–$4055 zone).
• The final leg (D) has just completed, and price has reached the potential reversal zone (PRZ), confirming bearish reversal probability.
Target Level
Fibonacci Level Approx. Price Commentary
T1 - 0.618 retracement 3920–3940
Minor support; short-term profit-booking likely.
T2 1.0 projection 3820–3840
Key swing target; aligns with mid-March support.
T3 (Final) 1.618 extension ~3900
🔹 Summary
• Pattern: Bearish Gartley
• Current Zone: PRZ completed, reversal probable
• Confirmation: Await break below 3980
• Bias: Bearish
• Target: 3900
• Probability: High (pattern + divergence + volume confluence)
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always verify with your own strategy and risk parameters before taking any position.
Gold continues to gain after breakout — tighten focus on key lev📊 Market Behaviour
The price of Gold (XAU/USD) broke above the consolidation zone and is currently advancing with less hesitation — the momentum now leans bullish as the sideway phase fades. Meanwhile, macro factors such as safe-haven demand and dollar softening support the uptrend.
🧭 Technical Analysis
• Immediate resistance: ~$4018 – $4030
• Support zones: ~$4004 – $4000 near the previous breakout level
• On a 1-hour chart, the breakout above the consolidation gives a bullish bias, but momentum indicators suggest some cooling off — watch for possible pullback to retest support before further advances.
• A sustained drop below the $4000 area would signal a trend check; conversely, a clean push above $4030 with volume would suggest a move toward higher targets.
💡 Outlook
Given current breakout action, the short-term trend has turned bullish. The next move likely targets the $4030 region and possibly beyond, provided support holds above $4000. If momentum wanes, a retest of $4000–$4004 would be a natural pause zone before any further breakout.
🎯 Trading Strategy Suggestion
🔺 Buy Setup
Entry: $4008 – $4012 (on pullback to support)
Target: $4030+
Stop Loss: $3995
🟡 Alternate Setup (if momentum stalls)
Sell/short only if price closes H1 below $4000; then target $3980 or $3965, with stop above $4008.
XAUUSD: The resistance level at 4020 remains strongGold has attempted to break through the 4020 resistance level several times today but failed. Coupled with the fact that the U.S. initial jobless claims data has not yet been released, it has now re-entered a correction phase.
The resistance level at 4020 remains strong.
For support, the short-term level is still at 3960-3970,and the key previous low support at 3888-3890.
The trading strategy can still refer to our analysis from this morning.






















