Go long on gold in line with market trendsThis week saw significant changes in the gold market. After opening, gold prices broke out of their previous prolonged consolidation pattern, strongly breaking through a key resistance area and re-entering a one-sided upward trend. The previous resistance in the 4030-4050 range was completely broken, and the bulls quickly took control, driving prices to continue to climb. As emphasized in the previous analysis, once the gold price breaks through the key technical range of 4030-4050, it will signify the start of a new upward trend. Looking at the actual price action, since the breakout, gold has experienced almost no significant pullback, with strong buying support and a clear shift in market sentiment towards optimism. To date, the price has risen by several hundred dollars, demonstrating strong upward momentum.
Reviewing yesterday's viewpoint, we clearly pointed out that when prices successfully break through key resistance levels, trading strategies should be adjusted accordingly, shifting from observation or short-term trading to trend-following and actively establishing long positions. Currently, gold prices are once again approaching the important resistance area of 4150-4160, which had previously encountered resistance multiple times. This area has formed several interim highs in the past few trading cycles, and is a double pressure zone in terms of market psychology and technical structure. If this price breaks through and holds above this level with significant volume, the upside potential is likely to expand further, making a return to the 4200 level highly probable, and it may even continue to move towards higher targets.
In terms of specific trading strategies, it is recommended to maintain a buy-on-dips approach, seizing entry opportunities during pullbacks. An ideal entry range is 4105 to 4125. Within this range, long positions can be established in batches to control risk while ensuring no loss of the main upward trend. Close monitoring of market movements is crucial, especially the reaction in the 4150-4160 range—if the price recovers quickly after a brief period of resistance with increased volume, it can be considered a breakout signal; conversely, caution is warranted regarding short-term profit-taking volatility.
Overall, this round of gold price increases is not only due to the confirmed technical breakout but also influenced by recent changes in the global macroeconomic environment, including rising inflation expectations, increased geopolitical uncertainty, and increased gold reserves held by some central banks. Until there are signs of a trend reversal, maintaining a bullish mindset and closely following the market rhythm will be the safest approach at present.
The above represents only my personal thoughts. If you find it helpful, please like and follow to show your support! Please note that any strategy is time-sensitive and may change as market conditions evolve. I will notify you in the channel based on the actual market situation!
Trade ideas
Stop!Loss|Market View: GOLD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for GOLD ☝️
Potential trade setup:
🔔Entry level: 4122.884
💰TP: 3895.119
⛔️SL: 4246.000
"Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts.
💬 Description: According to our previous review of this metal, the price is moving according to an alternative scenario, namely, a retest of the 4150-4200 range. Currently, short-term selling is being actively looked for, and the medium-term mood remains focused on levels of 3600-3700. We can expect additional manipulation/a slight move toward 4200 in the near future, but it's not a certain thing that we'll reach this round level, and we could reverse earlier.
Thanks for your support 🚀
Profits for all ✅
❗️ Updates on this idea can be found below 👇
GOLD - Daily analysis🟡 Overall Structure
The chart shows a completed impulsive A-B-C corrective structure forming after a strong prior bullish rally. The key Fibonacci retracement zones are used to identify potential reversal and continuation levels.
Wave Interpretation
Wave A:
The initial decline from the top marks the start of correction.
It halted around 38.2% retracement (~4050–4065) where a temporary support was formed.
Wave B:
A counter-trend pullback toward 4200–4220 region is visible — this aligns with the 50% to 61.8% retracement of the A-leg, a common retracement level for corrective wave B.
Wave C (Expected):
The chart notes suggest that if price breaks below 4065, the decline will accelerate impulsively toward 3900, aligning with 61.8% retracement of the prior major upswing.
The final support for the full A-B-C correction could form around 3750, which is the C-wave completion zone and coincides with 78.6% retracement from the top.
Important Observations
Immediate Level to Watch:
A decisive break below 4065 will trigger an impulsive fall toward 3900, confirming C-wave progression.
Bullish Support Zone:
Around 4050–4080, price previously bounced — this area remains the last bullish defense.
Bearish Continuation Zone:
Below 4050, bearish acceleration expected toward 61.8% retracement (3900) and then 3750.
Volume Confirmation (not visible but implied):
The structure suggests momentum divergence on B-wave; lower highs indicate potential reversal strength building.
Wave Projection Summary
Wave Type Direction Target Remarks
A Corrective Down 4050 Completed
B Counter Up 4200 Likely completed or near
C Impulsive Down 3900 → 3750 Expected continuation
Conclusion
🔸 Gold’s current corrective phase appears to be in the B–C wave stage.
🔸 Trigger Zone: Fall below 4065 = confirmation of impulsive C-wave toward 3900.
🔸 Support Zones: 3900 (61.8%), 3750 (final 78.6%).
🔸 Invalidation: A move above 4230–4250 would negate the immediate bearish count and open retest of previous highs.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Market conditions can change rapidly, and price movements may deviate from projections. Please conduct your own due diligence or consult a qualified financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions. The author holds no responsibility for any losses incurred. Trade safely and manage risk responsibly.
Third Gold Long AttemptSo, the crypto, especially some key altcoins on the move, more talk about ending shutdown but Hassett kill the stock market. Crpto and gold is rising despite that. There is something going on but timing seems to be hard to detirmine. I want to enter the weekned on with long position.
XAU/USD 30m Trend Structure and Structural Summary analysisOANDA:XAUUSD Here’s a quick breakdown of the **structure and trend** you’ve got on **GOLD (30-minute timeframe)**:
### 🔹 Trend Structure:
1. **Overall Trend:**
The chart shows a **strong bullish trend** before the current setup — a clear **impulse move up** with higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL).
2. **Current Market Behavior:**
After a strong bullish leg, the price reached a **resistance zone around 4080–4090**, where you entered a **short (sell)** trade.
* The **red zone** marks your **stop-loss** (above recent highs).
* The **green zone** marks your **target area**, which aligns with a **previous demand zone** (yellow box below).
3. **Key Structures:**
* **Demand Zones (Yellow Boxes):**
These are areas where buying pressure previously pushed the market up — potential retracement or reaction zones.
* **EMA Cross (9 & 15):**
The EMAs are still pointing upward — showing **bullish momentum**, though short-term exhaustion is visible.
* **Possible Pullback Zone:**
Price might retrace to test the **first yellow zone (4055–4065)** or the **second one (4020–4030)** before resuming upward or breaking structure lower.
### 🔹 Structural Summary:
* **Main structure:** Bullish (higher timeframe).
* **Substructure (current 30m leg):** Potential **bearish correction** or **retracement** after overextension.
* **Key confirmation:** A break below **4060 (lower yellow zone)** would signal a **shift to bearish structure** on this timeframe.
XAUUSD Intraday Outlook - 10 Nov 2025XAUUSD Intraday Outlook - 10 Nov 2025
Gold Spot trades at 4,082 (12:00 PM UTC+4) with bullish bias into NY session.
📌 Market Context: Wyckoff phase D re-accumulation; Dow trend up; Gann 45° support at 4,050.
Daily (1D): Inside bullish pennant above Ichimoku cloud; RSI 62; harmonic bat PRZ 4,120 cap.
4H: Rising wedge testing 4,095; EMA50>EMA200; watch for bull trap if RSI diverges near 70.
1H: Cup-handle breakout at 4,086; VWAP reclaimed; Bollinger mid-band = launchpad.
30M: Sym triangle coiling; hidden bull divergence on RSI; volume contracting before move.
15M: Bull flag above 4,072; Tenkan/Kijun bull cross; anchored VWAP holding.
5M: Falling wedge breakout retest 4,078; candlestick hammer confirms demand.
Primary Long Setup: Buy 4,076-4,082 on VWAP hold; SL 4,066; TP1 4,094, TP2 4,108, TP3 4,120.
Momentum Add: Scale above 4,095 if volume >20% avg and RSI>65; trail stop 4,088.
Counter Short: Fade 4,118-4,124 only on bearish engulfing + RSI>75; SL 4,132; TP 4,098.
Breakout Confirmations: 30M close above 4,095 + volume spike + Ichimoku span green.
Key Supports: 4,072 (flag base), 4,060 (4H Kijun), 4,045 (Gann square level).
Key Resistances: 4,095, 4,108, 4,120 harmonic PRZ.
Indicators Dashboard: BB squeeze (30M), RSI rising, VWAP slope up, EMA stack bullish.
Pattern Alerts: Monitor head-and-shoulders failure if 4,060 breaks; possible bear trap.
Volatility: ATR(14) 5M = 6 pts; adjust size; expect expansion around COMEX open.
News Risk: Watch US CPI Nov 12; reduce exposure 30 minutes prior.
Risk Rules: Risk ≤1.25% per idea; lock gains after TP1; move stop to BE +2.
Trade Management: If price stalls 4,094 with declining volume, partial exit.
Sentiment: COT shows commercials short but covering; supports short-term squeeze.
Volume Profile: HVN at 4,080 acts magnet; LVN 4,092 could accelerate breakout.
Ichimoku Checklist: Price>Cloud, Tenkan>Kijun, Chikou above price = bullish alignment.
Gann Time: 90° cycle hits 16:00 UTC; expect impulse wave.
Harmonics: AB=CD targets 4,108; crab extension warns above 4,124.
Psych Levels: 4,100 round number likely liquidity sweep—wait for confirmation.
Educational outlook only; follow your plan and manage risk.
Latest Gold Analysis and Trading Strategies:
I. Fundamental Analysis
1. Safe-Haven Sentiment Supports Gold Prices
The prolonged U.S. government shutdown has sparked concerns about its economic impact. Combined with weakness in global stock markets (especially in tech and AI-related shares), market risk appetite has cooled, leading some capital to flow into defensive assets like gold.
Signs of a cooling labor market have intensified investor concerns about the economic outlook, further driving safe-haven demand for gold.
2. Monetary Policy Expectations Capping Gold's Upside
The market's reassessment of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy outlook has resulted in a lack of strong follow-through buying for gold, limiting its upward potential.
Recent economic data and cautious statements from policymakers have kept the market in a wait-and-see mode, leading gold to maintain a range-bound pattern in the short term.
II. Technical Analysis
1. Weekly and Daily Chart Structure
The weekly chart closed with a bullish doji candlestick, indicating a balance of power between bulls and bears. The price is consolidating within the familiar range of $3928 - $4030.
A break above the $4030 resistance could open the door for further upside, targeting $4075 - $4100. A break below the $3928 support could lead to a decline towards the previous low near $3887.
2. Short-Term Signals
4-Hour Chart: A small ascending triangle pattern is forming. The price is facing temporary resistance around $4030, but the K-line is gradually moving above the short-term moving averages, suggesting a slightly bullish bias in the near term.
1-Hour Chart: The previous short-term uptrend has been broken. The $4030 level now acts as key resistance, with immediate support located at $3965. Monitor volume changes closely, as a significant increase in volume could signal an impending trend reversal.
III. Gold Trading Strategy
Trading Approach:
Primary Strategy: Focus on buying on dips, with selling on rallies as a secondary tactic.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 4030 - 4050
Support: 3970 - 3950
Detailed Plan:
1. Long Strategy (Buying)
Look to enter long positions in batches if the price stabilizes within the 3970-3950 range.
Set a stop loss below 3940.
Take profit targets at 4030 and then 4050.
If the price strongly breaks above 4030, consider entering a light long position, targeting 4070-4100.
2. Short Strategy (Selling)
Consider light short positions if the price faces resistance in the 4030-4050 range.
Set a stop loss above 4060.
Take profit targets at 3980-3960.
If the price breaks directly below 3928, consider entering a short position on a pullback, targeting 3900-3887.
Risk Warning:
Closely monitor developments regarding the U.S. government shutdown, signals from the Federal Reserve, and changes in global market risk sentiment.
Be cautious of potential acceleration in the trend if there is a significant increase in trading volume accompanying a breakout from the current range.
IV. Summary
Gold is currently trading within a short-term consolidation range between 3928 and 4030. Fundamental safe-haven support and pressure from monetary policy expectations are creating a tug-of-war. The recommended trading approach is to primarily buy near support and sell near resistance within this range, then follow the breakout direction if key levels are breached. Implement strict risk management and remain flexible to adapt to news-driven market movements.
XAU/USD 07 November 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 20 October 2025.
Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380.990.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
You will note how price remains contained in consolidation between a supply and demand zone. The rest of my analysis and bias remains the same as bias date 29 October 2025.
As expected, price has printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low, priced at 3,886.465.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD – WAITING FOR CONFIRMATION OF UPTREND – TARGET 4050 💛 XAUUSD – WAITING FOR CONFIRMATION OF UPTREND – TARGET 4050 🎯
🌤 1. Overview
Hello everyone 💬
Gold today is still in a phase of hesitation – waiting for signals to confirm a new trend.
On the H2 chart, the price has broken the downtrend line and is retesting this line. The structure of “higher lows” indicates that buying power is gradually gaining the upper hand.
The previous peak around 4018 is currently the decisive point for the trend – if the price confirms a breakout above, the uptrend could extend towards the 4050 area.
Currently, the market is fluctuating within the range of 3964 – 4018, and needs to break out of this range to determine a clearer direction.
💹 2. ICT Perspective
📈 The price has broken the downtrend line and retested the structure on the H2 chart – an early signal for the potential formation of an uptrend.
🟣 The 3964–4018 area is a short-term liquidity accumulation zone before the price expands.
🔹 OB 4040–4042 coincides with significant resistance, suitable for short sell (scalp) orders if there is a strong reaction.
💫 When the price exceeds 4018, the uptrend structure will be confirmed and the expansion target could head towards 4050 – 4077.
🎯 3. Reference Trading Plan
💖 BUY Scenario (priority when confirmed)
Entry: above 4018 | SL: 4011
TP: 4025 – 4033 – 4050 – 4077
💢 Short SELL Scenario (scalping)
Entry: 4040–4042 | SL: 4046
TP: 4022 – 4015 – 3998
⚠️ 4. Important Notes
Clear confirmation is needed when breaking the 4018 area before entering a buy order.
If the price continues to fluctuate within the 3964–4018 range, trading should be limited.
Today is Friday, manage risk more strictly, prioritize accuracy in each order.
🌷 5. Conclusion & Interaction with LanaM2
Gold is showing positive signals 💛
Be patient and wait for reactions around the 4018 area – this could be the start of a new uptrend if clearly confirmed.
Beware of a reversal during gold price fluctuations.
News:
On Tuesday (November 4), spot gold fell 1.7% to close at $3,931.78 per ounce, while December U.S. gold futures also declined 1.3%, settling at $3,960.50. Increased internal divisions among Federal Reserve officials and a cooling of market expectations for a December rate cut helped the dollar index break through the 100 mark, reaching a more than three-month high, significantly pressuring gold prices.
However, concerns about a U.S. stock market bubble and the longest government shutdown in history continue to provide safe-haven support for gold prices. In the short term, gold bears have a slight advantage, and gold prices face the risk of further correction. However, if Wednesday's ADP private sector employment data is disappointing, gold prices could see a dramatic reversal.
Specifically:
Gold maintains a long-term bullish tone, with prices continuing their upward trend today, holding above key moving averages. The daily chart shows that the long-term bullish outlook remains solid as gold prices hold above the key technical level of the 100-day exponential moving average (3675.95).
However, in the short term, given that the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering near the midline, a further consolidation phase cannot be ruled out, reflecting that gold is currently in a neutral momentum phase.
On the upside, the first resistance level to watch is the psychological level of $4000. If upward momentum continues, spot gold is expected to retest the October 31 high of $4045. A further break above this level would target the October 23 high of $4155.
On the downside, initial support for gold is located at the lower Bollinger Band at $3850. The emergence of more bearish candlestick patterns could indicate continued downward pressure, potentially dragging prices to the next support level – the September 25 low of $3720. The bullish outlook for gold remains unchanged.
Trading strategy:
Buy:3955-3950, SL: 3945, TP: 3985-4010-4030
XAU/USD 06 November 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 20 October 2025.
Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380. 990.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
You will note how price remains contained in consolidation between a supply and demand range. The rest of my analysis and bias remains the same as bias date 29 October 2025.
As expected, price has printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low, priced at 3,886.465.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
GOLD Smart Money Might Be Preparing for Bullish Structure ShiftGold (XAU/USD) is showing early signs that Smart Money may be shifting from a distribution phase into a short-term accumulation phase.
After a strong bearish leg marked by multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS), recent price behavior now suggests the potential formation of a Market Structure Shift (MSS) — an early indication that institutional flow could be changing direction.
💭 1️⃣ Market Structure – When the Market “Whispers” About Reversal
On the H1 timeframe, we can clearly observe a chain of consecutive BOSs since the 4,150 zone, but what’s intriguing is the reaction around 3,925 – 3,940.
Here, price failed to make new lower lows and began rejecting strongly — leaving several rejection wicks that reveal smart money absorption at discounted prices.
This area represents the discount zone of the current range — where institutions often collect liquidity from trapped sellers before pushing price toward premium levels for redistribution.
The latest Break of Market Structure (BMS) around 3,987 confirms that bearish momentum is weakening, and buyers may be starting to reclaim control in the short term.
🩶 2️⃣ Supply & Demand Zones – Footprints of Smart Money
Karina is currently watching three key zones shaping this market phase:
Demand Zones:
3,938 – 3,925: A strong demand base formed after the initial push upward — acting as a key support if price retraces.
3,986 – 3,988: A minor demand zone formed post-BMS, serving as a potential “reaccumulation point” for the next bullish leg.
Supply Zones:
4,111 – 4,149: Unmitigated Bearish Order Block from the previous decline — the most probable upside target for Smart Money in the current swing.
The projected SMC scenario: Smart Money accumulates at demand → builds liquidity → drives price into the upper supply zones.
🧭 3️⃣ Liquidity Context – Quiet but Purposeful Movement
Gold currently sits within a liquidity equilibrium — a transitional area where both buy- and sell-side liquidity coexist.
Below, 3,886 remains a pocket of sell-side liquidity, while above, large buy-side liquidity pools rest around 4,110 – 4,150.
Smart Money may first collect the remaining sell-side liquidity before triggering a strong upward displacement toward the upper supply zones — following the familiar pattern:
liquidity sweep → displacement → continuation.
🌙 4️⃣ Trade Scenario – Flow With Smart Money, Not Against It
As long as price holds above 3,938 – 3,987, the short-term bias for Karina is bullish.
If price retests these demand zones and forms bullish confirmations (e.g., bullish engulfing or clear order flow shift), it may set the stage for a push toward the 4,111 – 4,148 region.
Entry: 3,938 – 3,987
Stop Loss: 3,925
Take Profit: 4,111 – 4,148
This setup presents roughly a 1:4 R:R, consistent with a buy-side liquidity grab strategy under SMC principles.
🌷 5️⃣ Reflection – When the Market Moves in Silence
After an extended bearish phase, Gold now seems to be accumulating strength in quiet preparation.
This is not a loud reversal — it’s a subtle rebalancing of institutional flow.
To Karina, the market right now feels like a slow, gentle rhythm — calm, deliberate, and full of hidden intent. Sometimes, the key isn’t chasing volatility, but listening to the whispers of Smart Money in the silence of price action. 🌸
This analysis reflects Karina’s personal perspective and is not financial advice.
Do you see the same structure forming? Could this be the early stage of a bullish cycle, or just another liquidity grab? Let’s discuss below 💬
Gold prices rose further, with the next target at $4,200.
During the US session, gold prices once again demonstrated strong upward momentum, with bullish forces continuing to exert their strength, pushing gold prices to launch a new round of attacks. With improving market sentiment and a relatively weak dollar, gold prices are further refreshing their intraday highs, gradually approaching a key resistance area. The dense resistance zone of $4,140 to $4,160 that we previously focused on has now entered a substantial breakout phase. From the market perspective, the bulls have clearly strengthened, and the trading volume has increased accordingly, indicating that funds are actively entering the market. If gold prices can successfully hold above this area, it is expected to open up further upside potential, with the next target potentially pointing directly to the $4200 level.
Looking back at today's overall market trend, gold's performance can be described as steady and strong, perfectly in line with our previous technical predictions and trading strategies. Whether investors placed long positions near the low of $4100 or those who added to their long positions when prices rebounded to $4130, they are currently in a clear profit state. This not only demonstrates accurate timing but also verifies the clarity of the current market trend. Every successful trade is a reward for patience and discipline, and it is a great honor and joy to be able to share opportunities and reap the rewards together through professional analysis.
Regarding trading, we continue with a long strategy, moving the entry area for long positions up to the 4140-4160 range.
The above is my personal analysis and is for discussion and reference only. If you agree with this approach, please like and follow to show your support! It should be emphasized that any strategy is time-sensitive and should not be applied rigidly. It is essential to adjust it flexibly in light of real-time market conditions. I will continue to monitor market changes and update trading notifications in the channel in a timely manner.
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis based on your 15-minute chart:Support Level: 4,100 – 4,106
Resistance Zone: 4,120 – 4,125
Target Point: 4,147
Trend Bias: Short-term corrective upward trend within a broader pullback phase.
📈 Scenario 1 – Bullish Setup
If price continues to hold above the support zone (4,100 – 4,106):
Expect a rebound toward 4,120 (minor resistance).
A breakout above 4,120 could trigger further buying toward the target point at 4,147.
This move aligns with the projected ascending channel shown on the chart.
Confirmation Trigger: Bullish breakout and sustained candle close above 4,120.
📉 Scenario 2 – Bearish Continuation
If g RUS:SI1! RUS:GD1! RUS:MX1! RUS:USDRUB.P RUS:RI1! RUS:IRUS.P RUS:SV1! RUS:CR1! RUS:CNYRUB.P RUS:HS1! old breaks below 4,100:
Selling pressure could resume, driving price down to 4,085 – 4,080.
A break below 4,080 would confirm deeper correction and invalidate the bullish setup.
⚖️ Summary
Bias Entry Zone Target Stop Loss
Bullish (Buy) 4,106 – 4,112 4,145 – 4,150 4,095
Bearish (Sell if break below) < 4,100 4,085 – 4,080 4,120
💬 Analyst Note
The market is showing short-term accumulation after a selloff. Watch for volatility around 4,110–4,120; momentum confirmation is key before taking a position. RUS:NG1! RUS:BR1!
GOLD (XAUUSD) Daily Outlook – Bears Eyeing Major Drop Ahead!After a short-term bullish push, Gold is now testing a strong supply zone around $4,130–$4,200 where price previously rejected sharply. If buyers fail to break above this level, we could see fresh bearish momentum kicking in.
🔻 Key Zones:
Resistance (Sell Zone): $4,130 – $4,220
Support (Buy Zone): $3,650 – $3,720
📊 Scenario:
I’m watching for rejection candles or bearish confirmation around the red zone. If price reacts strongly, I expect a drop toward $3,700, completing a clean supply-to-demand move.
💡 Trading Idea:
Wait for confirmation before short entries — patience pays!
Target the green zone for potential long opportunities once we reach strong demand.
⚙️ Bias: Bearish until we see a clear breakout above $4,220.
What’s your take? Do you see Gold holding the supply zone or breaking through it? 🤔
👇 Drop your thoughts below!
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #PriceAction #SmartMoneyConcept #ForexTrading #TradingView #Frank
Gold Correction Setup – Watch 4,060 Zone📊 Market Structure
After completing the structure break (ChoCH + BoS) at the 4,080 USD zone, gold has sustained a strong upward momentum and created Equal High 4,140 – 4,145 USD , corresponding with the short-term resistance Order Block .
Currently, the price is technically reacting in this area, indicating short-term profit-taking pressure from buyers after a prolonged rally.
The H1 structure remains bullish as the main support zones have not been broken.
A potential scenario is that the price will adjust to FVG zones or support to absorb liquidity before bouncing towards the Liquidity Zone 4,197 USD — the upper liquidity peak.
💎 Key Technical Zones
• OB & Resistance: 4,127 – 4,140 USD
• Support Zone: 4,104 – 4,107 USD
• FVG Zone #1: 4,060 – 4,067 USD
• FVG Zone #2: 4,031 – 4,037 USD
• Liquidity Target: 4,197 USD
🎯 Trading Plan
1️⃣ SELL Setup – Pullback Scalping
If the price reacts sharply downward at the OB zone 4,127 – 4,140 USD:
• Entry: 4,132 – 4,137
• SL: 4,150
• TP1: 4,104
• TP2: 4,067
→ Short-term trade, leveraging the pullback to the support zone to prepare for the next BUY setup.
2️⃣ BUY Setup – Continuation
When the price completes its adjustment to the FVG or Support Zone and a bullish signal appears (rejection / engulfing):
• Entry: 4,067 or 4,037
• SL: 4,020
• TP1: 4,140
• TP2: 4,197
• TP3: 4,210
→ Main setup in the current trend. Prioritize buying at the discount zone after sufficient liquidity is absorbed at the lower zone.
🧠 Vincent’s View
The H1 structure remains buyer-favored. Current adjustments are technical, not reversals.
The FVG zone around 4,060 USD is a key point to observe price behavior — if a clear reaction occurs, this could be the starting point for the next upward wave to 4,197 USD .
“Liquidity fuels the next move — let the market breathe before the impulse.” ⚜️
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Updated: 11/12/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
Nov 12, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential Opportunity📊 Analysis:
From the daily close, price shows signs of hesitation — the market seems to be waiting for a clear breakout.
Today, I’ll be closely watching for a decisive move above 4149 or below 4097 to determine direction.
In the short term, keep an eye on 4133:
If price fails to hold above 4133, momentum may shift to the downside, giving bears the upper hand.
If price breaks below 4125, bearish momentum will likely accelerate, and I’ll switch to selling rallies into resistance.
If price breaks and holds above 4133, I’ll re-evaluate the structure for a potential continuation setup.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 4162 – Resistance
• 4150–4155 – Resistance zone
• 4145 – Resistance
• 4138 – Resistance
• 4125 – Key support
• 4116 – Support
• 4106 – Support
• 4097 – Support
• 4089 – Support
📈 Intraday Strategy:
SELL: If price breaks below 4125 → target 4120, with further downside toward 4116, 4110, 4106
BUY: If price holds above 4133 → target 4138, with further upside toward 4145, 4149, 4154
GOLD (XAUUSD) – Strong Rejection Zone Holding | Possible 200–250Gold just tapped into a major H1 supply zone (highlighted in red), a level that previously caused a sharp sell-off. Price is showing early signs of exhaustion and rejection again from this same area.
📌 Key Observations:
🔴 Supply Zone (Strong Resistance)
Price has returned to the same rejection block where sellers aggressively pushed the market down last time. This area remains unbroken, showing that smart money is defending this level.
⚠️ Weakening Bullish Momentum
Even though Gold climbed up with a clean structure, the candles entering the zone are slowing down — showing smaller bodies and more wicks. This often signals absorption by sellers.
🟥 Liquidity Taken Above Previous Highs
Gold swept the minor highs above the zone, grabbed liquidity, and immediately rejected. This is a classic SMC setup.
🟢 Demand Target Below
If sellers take control, the next major liquidity zone is the 3,850–3,780 support area (green zone). This is where the previous strong rally began — meaning there is unmitigated demand waiting there.
📍 My Projection:
If price continues rejecting the current supply zone, I expect a clean drop into the demand zone below.
This gives a potential 200–250 pip sell setup.
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Bias: Bearish Reversal from Supply Zone
Sell Range: Inside the red zone
Targets:
• TP1: 3,950
• TP2: 3,880
• TP3: 3,800 (full mitigation area)
Invalidation:
A strong H1 candle closing above the red supply zone.
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Summary
Gold is respecting the supply zone with clear rejection. If momentum shifts bearish, we could see a corrective leg down into the demand area. Watching for confirmation before entering
Gold prices continue to rise, with a target price of $4200.Gold prices continue to rise, with a target price of $4200.
As shown in the 4h chart:
1: Gold prices remain strong.
2: The current resistance level is $4150.
3: Once $4150 is broken, gold prices will continue to rise, with the next target price range being $4200-$4300.
4: If the price experiences a significant drop near $4150, forming a structural correction, we can wait for the price to fall back to the $4060-$4080 range, forming a right-side bottom pattern, before continuing to go long.
November 11th, Intraday Trading Strategy:
Aggressive Strategy:
Buy (1): $4135-$4140
Buy (2): $4120-$4125
Stop Loss: $4115
Take Profit (1): $4160-$4180
Take Profit (2): $4200
Trade with the trend, allocating order proportions appropriately.
Conservative Strategy: Observe and wait for the market to fully test the resistance level near $4150 before making a decision. If the $4150 resistance level holds, wait for the price to retrace to the $4060-$4080 range before considering going long.
If the price breaks through $4150 directly, consider establishing a small long position, with a stop loss similar to the aggressive strategy.
I have already adopted an aggressive buying strategy.
Xauusd And GC1! Advanced manipulation During pairs like gc1!, we swept the 4124.6 low meanwhile on xauusd we didn’t. Since xauusd is the pair that shows higher accuracy of the pair the sweep on gc1!, mgc1! Are manipulation and created a liquidity pool that’s waiting to get taken out after taking out the accumulated range high. On the 1h timeframe we tapped into an imbalance then displaced internally since we formed a liquidity pool and formed an imbalance we’re likely going to change our trajectory to shorting the market and we might make an early reversal.






















