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Chart Breakdown - Pre New York - 28 OctPrice dropped during the London session, indicating that sellers are strong in the market. Price delivered our 1:7RR and created the LL. A retracement is in process to create a lower high before eventually dropping down again and maintaining the momentum to the downside. If not, we can expect some manipulation and price pushing higher to the 4000 level. That would be the zone to pay attention to for a potential shift of structure. Let's see how it goes! Trade Safe out there! @TeamWePrint
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WePrint
Gold short idea result. Like I published at midnight I expected gold to reject the EMA and and the AOI that has been used as resistance 3 previous times. I closed my trade at a 1:2. The price is still bullish in the 4H. Price has rejected to close under the HL meaning buyers are still in control. Holding until NY session on a Friday is a bit risky since like I’ve said buyers are still in control and price can push up again to the AOI and possibly close above it before the weekend. If you entered short from the idea I posted midnight, I would highly suggest to close positions before NY session.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ForexYN
GOLD Bounce Incoming?VANTAGE:XAUUSD short-term technicals make it possible. Here’s why: The downside move already stretched with three impulsive bearish candles, showing an overextended drop. Price is now sitting right around the trendline + falling channel confluence, which often acts as a reaction zone. Below, those green FVG/demand blocks remain unfilled meaning the market could grab liquidity from above before revisiting the lower zones. ⚡️A short-term relief bounce can play out first, but the main structure is still bearish unless the market reclaims the upper FVG area with strength. Price reacting inside the accumulation zone after double CHoCH and unfilled FVG below. If bulls hold 3,945–3,955, a bounce toward 3,990 → 4,020 remains valid. Volume shifting blue = early demand confirmation. Above 4,000 → distribution area may trigger short-term profit-taking. A close below 3,930 invalidates the setup. Macro side: Fed’s hawkish tone & rising yields may cap upside, but weaker USD or risk-off sentiment could fuel the bounce. ⚡️ 📊 Daily Outlook (1D) The long-term trend is still bullish, but after the rejection from 4,300, price is consolidating near the key demand zone around 3,920. If this level holds, a short-term rebound toward 4,080–4,250 is possible. However, a daily close below 3,915 could extend the correction down toward 3,820–3,750. ⏱ 1-Hour Outlook (1H) The medium-term bias remains bearish as price trades below both EMAs. The 4,000–4,120 region acts as a major distribution/supply zone, while 3,935–3,950 serves as a short-term accumulation/demand area. At the moment, gold is ranging between these two liquidity clusters a neutral zone where volatility can expand either way. 💡 15-Minute Outlook (M15) Price shows a minor recovery move from the lower demand zone. Liquidity above 3,995–4,015 is the next key target zone. As long as price holds above 3,940, upside targets sit around 4,015–4,040. But a new rejection near 4,000 could trigger a retest of the lower accumulation area. 🧭 Overall View • Mid-term: Trend remains positive, but still in correction phase. • Short-term: Bounce potential is valid, yet supply pressure sits just above. • Summary: Accumulation is forming below, distribution remains above best to approach with reactive “confirmation-based” setups from demand zones rather than chasing moves in the middle.
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by iamtradingdon
Gold Bullish reversal 4h | Story Description Last week, everyone was talking about how Gold was done. Charts were bleeding, candles were red, and social feeds were full of bearish calls. It looked like the market had completely switched sides — but deep down, it was just another correction. I kept watching the chart patiently… price was moving inside a downward channel for days — nothing but slow pressure. But guess what? Today, that story flipped. Gold finally broke above the channel, showing signs that buyers are stepping back in control. The correction seems to be over, and the market is trying to breathe again. Right now, as long as price holds above 3970, I believe bulls can push toward 4040, maybe even 4160 in the next leg. Sometimes, trading isn’t about catching every move — it’s about understanding when the storm is ending. That’s where patience pays off. Let’s see if buyers can keep control this time. ⚠️ For educational purpose only — not financial advice.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Champ_of_Gold
Beware of another deep drop in gold: Latest Gold Trend Analysis and Trading Strategy (October 29) Current Market Characterization: A digestion phase following a pullback from highs, with extreme short-term technical weakness. The approximate 10% decline from the historical peak does not signify a trend collapse, but rather a correction of the previous "safe-haven premium." The core conflict lies in the battle between short-term selling pressure from improved risk appetite and medium-to-long-term fundamental support from Fed rate cut expectations and fiscal risks. I. Core Market Logic Short-Term Bearish Factors (Driving Current Price Action): Improving Risk Appetite: Enhanced global supply chain cooperation atmosphere weakens safe-haven demand. Profit-Taking Pressure: After hitting record highs, substantial short-term long positions are being liquidated, increasing volatility. Fund Flows: Gold ETFs are experiencing minor outflows, indicating some distribution at high levels. Medium-to-Long Term Support (Limiting Downside): Fed Rate Cut Expectations: The market expects the Fed to implement another rate cut this week, lowering the opportunity cost of holding gold. U.S. Fiscal Risks: Persistent government shutdown risks and expanding deficits remain a potential source of demand. II. Key Price Levels Core Resistance Zone: $3970 - $3980 Coincides with the hourly moving average resistance. A rally failing here signifies ongoing market weakness and is the ideal area for entering short positions during the U.S. session. Strong Resistance / Short Stop-Loss Level: $4000 - $4005 This is the key peak that capped the intraday rebound. A strong break above this zone could invalidate the short-term severely weak structure, prompting shorts to exit. Near-Term Support Zone: $3880 - $3885 The area of the day's low, also the entry zone for long strategies. Given the significant decline already, a technical bounce is possible on the first test. Breakdown Target: If the $3880-$3885 support zone is decisively broken, sellers will target stronger support levels below. III. Intraday Trading Strategy Dominant Idea: Follow the short-term technical weakness, primarily by selling on rallies; consider light long positions at key support for a bounce, but exit quickly. Short Strategy (Primary): Entry Timing: Patiently wait for the gold price to rally into the $3970-$3980 range to enter short positions in batches. Profit Target: Primary target is $3920-$3900. If broken, extend further towards $3885. Stop Loss: Place stops above $3988-$3990. Long Strategy (Secondary, Counter-Trend Bounce): Entry Timing: If the price initially pulls back to the $3880-$3885 support zone and shows signs of stabilization, consider light,分批 long positions. Profit Target: Primary target is $3930-$3970. Stop Loss: Place stops below $3870-$3872. IV. Trading Discipline and Risk Warnings Avoid Chasing Lows: Chasing the market down at low levels carries significant risk. Wait patiently for rally opportunities to sell. Strict Risk Control: Market sentiment is sensitive; any fundamental news can trigger sharp swings. Strictly execute stop losses; absolutely avoid holding losing positions hoping they break even. Understand the Market Nature: Recognizing this as a "high-level digestion" rather than a "one-sided collapse" helps maintain alertness at key support levels and avoid excessive pessimism at lows.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Aureus_Analytics
xauusd next target 4161?the next target for XAU/USD (Gold) is highly dependent on its ability to break through key resistance levels, with an immediate focus on the $4,161 area. The upcoming Federal Reserve policy meeting is the primary catalyst that will determine the direction. The table below summarizes the key price levels and potential targets you should watch. Timeframe Key Support Key Resistance Bullish Target (if resistance breaks) Bearish Target (if support breaks) Short-Term $4,004, $3,951 $4,050, $4,161 $4,200 → $4,300 → $4,381 (All-Time High) $3,944 → $3,900 Medium-Term (e.g., 1-3 months) $3,874 - $3,878 - $4,249 - $4,300+ - 🚀 What Will Drive the Next Move? The consensus among analysts is that the immediate price direction hinges almost entirely on the Federal Reserve's upcoming meeting and subsequent commentary. The Primary Catalyst: The Federal Reserve The Rate Decision: A 25-basis-point rate cut is almost fully priced in by the market. Therefore, the decision itself is unlikely to cause a major surprise . What Really Matters: Powell's Tone: The market will react to the forward guidance from Fed Chair Jerome Powell during his press conference. Dovish Powell (signaling potential for further easing): This would likely weaken the US Dollar and push gold above $4,161, opening the path toward $4,200 and $4,300 . Hawkish Powell (suggesting a "cut and pause" approach): This could strengthen the Dollar and trigger a sell-off in gold, pushing it below $4,004 to test the $3,944 - $3,900 support zone . Supporting Factors Central Bank Demand: Ongoing accumulation of gold by central banks (e.g., India, China, Germany) provides a solid foundation, limiting severe downside moves. Geopolitical Tensions: Factors like trade tariffs and global instability continue to bolster gold's role as a safe-haven asset.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by realmillionairefx
GOLD THIS IS LOOKING LIKE BREAKOUT OF THE TRENDLINE ,IF ITS TRUE ,WE ARE HEADING TO 3981-3985 SELL ZONE BASED ON THE STRUCTURE OF THE MARKET. GOLD TRADING STRATEGY. US10Y =US10Y refers to the yield on the United States 10-Year Treasury Note, which is a key benchmark interest rate indicating the return investors receive for lending money to the US government over a 10-year period. the US 10-Year Treasury yield is around 3.97% to 4.00%. This yield fluctuates based on factors such as inflation expectations, Federal Reserve monetary policy, economic growth outlook, and market demand for safe assets. The US10Y yield is crucial because: It serves as a benchmark for mortgage rates, corporate bonds, and other interest rates. Moves in the US10Y reflect market sentiment about economic health and inflation. It influences the US dollar strength, equity markets, and global capital flows. It plays a role in central bank decisions, including the Federal Reserve’s rate policy. In summary, US10Y is an essential financial indicator and market barometer reflecting long-term US government borrowing costs and overall economic confidence. DXY ALSO KNOWN AS DOLLAR INDEX The US Dollar Index (DXY or Dollar Index) is a measure of the value of the United States dollar relative to a basket of six major foreign currencies. It provides a broad gauge of the dollar's strength or weakness on the global stage. The index is a weighted geometric mean of the dollar’s value compared to these currencies, weighted as follows: Euro (EUR): 57.6% Japanese Yen (JPY): 13.6% British Pound (GBP): 11.9% Canadian Dollar (CAD): 9.1% Swedish Krona (SEK): 4.2% Swiss Franc (CHF): 3.6% A rise in the DXY means the US dollar is strengthening compared to these currencies; a fall means the dollar is weakening. The index was originally set to 100 in March 1973 after the collapse of the Bretton Woods system. It’s widely used by traders, economists, and policymakers to assess US dollar trends and global economic conditions. In essence, the DXY reflects the overall demand for the dollar relative to other major currencies and serves as a benchmark for the dollar’s international value.​ The Dollar Index (DXY) and the US 10-Year Treasury Yield (US10Y) are two of the most significant macro factors influencing the price of gold. Impact of DXY on Gold Gold is priced in US dollars globally, so the strength or weakness of the dollar (measured by DXY) directly impacts gold prices. When the DXY rises (stronger US dollar), gold becomes more expensive in other currencies, usually reducing demand and pushing gold prices lower. Conversely, a weaker dollar (lower DXY) makes gold cheaper for holders of other currencies, supporting higher gold prices. Thus, gold and DXY often have a strong inverse relationship. Impact of US10Y on Gold The US10Y yield reflects long-term real interest rates and opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold. Rising US10Y yields increase the opportunity cost of holding gold, pressuring gold prices downward. Falling yields lower the opportunity cost, making gold more attractive as a store of value and driving prices up. Additionally, US10Y yields are influenced by inflation expectations. Rising inflation often drives gold prices higher as a hedge, while rising real yields (nominal yield minus inflation) tend to pressure gold. Combined Effects on Gold A strengthening US dollar (higher DXY) combined with rising US10Y yields generally exerts downward pressure on gold prices. Conversely, a weakening dollar and declining US10Y yields tend to boost gold prices. For example, if economic uncertainty rises and real yields fall, gold typically benefits even if the dollar fluctuates. please monitor DXY and US10Y alongside inflation and geopolitical risks to gauge gold price trends. In summary, gold prices have an inverse correlation with the US dollar (DXY) and generally move opposite to the US 10-Year yield movements, driven by relative currency value and real yield opportunity cost dynamics.​ technical sell zone 3981.22 technical sell zone on structure 4075.92 GOODLUCK #GOLD #XAUUSD
PYTH:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
Methodology: Smart Money Concept (SMC) 📈 BULLISH ANALYSIS - XAUUSD (GOLD) Timeframe: 15M - 1H 🎯 TRADE SETUP · ENTRY ZONE: 3,930 · STOP LOSS: 3,892 · TAKE PROFIT: 4,018 · RISK/REWARD: 1:2.32 ✅ 📊 MARKET CONTEXT · Liquidity Sweep Complete: The market swept the buy stops below 3,900, trapping late sellers. · FVG (Fair Value Gap) on 1H: A clear imbalance exists near 3,930, acting as a bullish magnet. · Order Block (15M): Price rejection at 3,930 confirms institutional buying interest. · Fakeout & Inducement: Retail was fooled into shorting the lows, just before the reversal. 🔍 SMART MONEY FLOW Phase: Accumulation Institutions loaded longs during the dip (3,892-3,930) while weak hands capitulated. Next Target: 4,018 This is a liquidity pool above the recent high — where sell stops likely cluster. New Higher High (HH) Incoming A break above 4,018 confirms the resumption of the bullish trend. 🎮 TRADE LOGIC Step 1: Liquidity grab below support (trapping sellers) Step 2: Price returns into FVG + Order Block Step 3: Rally toward liquidity above 4,018 ⚖️ RISK & REWARD · Risk: 38 points · Reward: 88 points · R/R Ratio: 1:2.32 · Position: Long (Buy-side) 📉 SCENARIOS · Main (70%): Direct push to 4,018 after holding 3,930. · Retest (30%): Quick dip to 3,910-3,920 before the rally. · Invalidation: Close below 3,892 (break of accumulation zone). 💬 MOTIVATIONAL CLOSE: “The market shook out the weak — now it’s our turn. We’re not chasing; we’re entering where institutions accumulated. The fakeout is over. The rally is just beginning. Trust your edge. Let’s ride this to 4,018! GOOD LUCK TRADERS…💪🎯
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by Fonseca87
XAUUSD Gold Price is currently trading around 3,933, showing a downward correction after a strong bullish rally. The market has reached a key support zone near 3,920 – 3,900, where a potential rebound could occur. A bullish breakout from the minor descending trendline could trigger an upward move toward the first target zone at 4,050 – 4,100. If momentum continues, the next major target lies around 4,200. However, if price breaks below the current support, further downside may extend toward the next support zone near 3,850 – 3,800. Overall, price action suggests a critical decision point, with potential for a trend reversal if support holds. "Thank you for your support! If you found this idea valuable or learned something new, please consider liking and leaving a comment. I’d really appreciate hearing your feedback and thoughts."
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Pintu_sahu01
My ultimate target for a gold dip: $3700My ultimate target for a gold dip: $3700 As shown in Figure 4h: My ultimate target for a gold dip: $3700 $3950: Primary Resistance (Aggressive Shorting Zone) $4060: Secondary Resistance (Conservative Shorting Zone) If my analysis doesn't indicate that you set a stop-loss on your short position, or if you don't understand my clear trading plan, I recommend reviewing my strategy and analysis from yesterday. Today, gold prices fell to around $3900 as expected, and we made a substantial profit. Now we patiently await a rebound and a pullback, potentially testing resistance around $3950. As long as gold prices remain around or below $3950, our strategy remains: continue shorting. Note: If gold prices rebound and stabilize above $3950, caution is advised. Exit the market cautiously and wait and see. Meanwhile, gold prices will continue to test resistance in the $4000-4050 range. The primary strategy for the coming week is to short at high levels.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Freja_Golden
Gold analysis and trading strategy on October 27: Key Event: US September CPI data came in lower than expected (MoM +0.3%, expected 0.4%), strengthening expectations for a Fed rate cut in October (market-implied probability near 99%). Core Logic: Rate cut expectations reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, boosting demand for non-yielding assets. The US government shutdown and ongoing geopolitical uncertainties continue to support gold's safe-haven appeal. Easing inflation data has not fully eliminated pressure, providing the Fed with policy flexibility. Technical Analysis Daily Chart Structure: A double-top pattern formed at 4380, with a double-bottom support near 4000, forming a complete fluctuation cycle. The MACD bearish divergence at high levels remains unrectified, suggesting potential for further correction on the daily chart. 4-Hour Timeframe: An ABC correction wave is in progress: Wave A started from 4380. The market is currently in the Wave B rebound phase, potentially followed by the initiation of a Wave C decline. Key Levels: Support: 4000-4010 (Bullish lifeline; a break below could trigger a larger-scale correction). Resistance: 4160 (Key level determining Wave B strength), 4200-4250 (Maximum expected rebound zone). I. Short Strategy (Primary Approach) Entry Zone: 4150-4160 Stop Loss: 4170 (Stop loss 8-10 points) Targets: 4100 → 4050 → 4000 (Take profits progressively) Technical Basis: 4160 is the key resistance level for confirming the Wave B rebound. If not decisively broken, the Wave C correction might start earlier. If the rebound extends to the 4200-4250 zone, consider adding to short positions, with a stop loss set above 4260. II. Long Strategy (Secondary Approach) Entry Zone: 4005-4010 (Scale in) Stop Loss: 3995 (Stop loss 8-10 points) Targets: 4050 → 4100 → 4150 0 Technical Basis: 4000 represents the double-bottom structure and a psychological level. A stabilization here could trigger a technical rebound. Entry should be confirmed with real-time bullish reversal candlestick signals (e.g., hammer, bullish engulfing). Key Reminders Risk Management Principles: Strictly adhere to 8-10 point stop losses. Avoid holding losing positions hoping they will reverse. Control position size, keeping risk per trade within 5% of total capital to mitigate risk from data volatility. Breakout Scenarios: Break above 4160: Pause short-term short strategies. Observe whether the price tests the 4200-4250 zone before considering new short entries. Break below 4000: Exit long positions. Consider following the downtrend with short positions, targeting the 3950-3900 range. Data to Monitor: Focus on the Fed's October FOMC meeting (Oct 29-30) and the resumption of US employment data releases. Summary Gold is currently in a phase where the potential end of the Wave B rebound is contending with the possible start of a Wave C correction. The primary trading approach is to sell on rallies, entering shorts when price faces pressure in the key resistance zone (4150-4160). If the price pulls back to the key support zone (4000-4010) and shows signs of stabilization, lightly scaled long positions can be considered. Strictly follow technical signals and risk management discipline, and be prepared to adapt flexibly to potential range breakouts.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Golden_Opportunities
Gold Breakdown Alert! Bears Aiming $3980 NextGold is currently showing a descending triangle / bearish channel pattern on the 15-minute chart. After testing the upper trendline resistance around 4113–4115, price has started to reject, indicating potential downward pressure. The trendlines show clear lower highs and lower lows, confirming a short-term bearish structure. Volume is also decreasing on upward moves, suggesting weakening buying momentum. 📉 Trade Setup (Scalping / Intraday) Signal: 🔻 SELL XAU/USD below 4105 Entry Zone: 4105 – 4110 Target 1: 4050 Target 2: 3980 Stop Loss: 4135 Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:2 ⚙️ Technical Indicators Trendline Resistance: 4115 Support Zone: 4050 / 3980 Momentum: Bearish bias Structure: Lower highs forming under descending resistance 💬 Analyst View Gold may continue its short-term correction phase if it fails to hold above the 4110 resistance zone. A breakout below 4100 could trigger a fresh wave of selling pressure targeting the 4050 area initially. If bulls reclaim 4135, this analysis becomes invalid and could shift bias to neutral.
TVC:GOLDShort
by forexinworld
8
XAUUSD- Trend reversal - New ATH incoming?OANDA:XAUUSD has turned bullish on the daily timeframe after holding key dynamic support and reclaiming the volatility ribbon. The structure now supports continuation toward higher Fibonacci levels, provided price remains above the $3,940 support zone. Momentum is shifting in favor of buyers, and with strong absorption of previous selling, the bias now leans toward further upside movement. Bullish Confluences: Structure Shift: Price has broken above the short-term descending channel, confirming a bullish structure change after forming a higher low near the mid-band support. EMA / Volatility Ribbon Reclaim: Candles have closed back inside the green volatility ribbon, signaling renewed bullish momentum and a shift in trend sentiment. Strong Daily Rejection: The recent candle shows a clear rejection wick from the lower volatility band (blue zone), indicating that buyers absorbed selling pressure and stepped back in. Momentum Turn: Oscillators and momentum tools (if used) confirm upward acceleration, consistent with previous bullish continuation setups. Support Confirmation: The previous base around $3,920 – $3,940 held firmly as support, creating a foundation for an upward leg. 🎯 Fibonacci Extension Targets (Upside) Measured from the latest swing low to swing high: Target 1 (38.2%) → $4,091 Target 2 (61.8%) → $4,143 Target 3 (100%) → $4,210
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by VisionaryInsights
GOLD XAUUSD LONDON OPEN PERSPECTIVE GOLD MARKET IN LONDON OPEN SESSION ,ONE SMALL OVERSIGHT AGAIN ON 1HR CAUSED US TO miss a sniper entries.we posted buy from pull back in the zone of 4000-4006 but the sniper buy was 3995 ,that was not bad but, its not where we want to be,the aim is to get into trade on sniper entry only. if isn't sniper entry ,then is bad entry . if we pull back again in london session for buy it will be on 3970-3980 zone . layer by layer trading is probability risk management is key. any key layer can fail. #gold #xauusd
PYTH:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub