GOLD trade ideas
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
We kicked off the week strong with our bullish targets at 3458 and then 3477 getting hit. Price is now facing rejection at this zone.
If EMA5 breaks above this level and locks, we could see an extension toward 3497.
If not, we may revisit lower Goldturns to test support before the weighted level bounces.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3458 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3458 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3477 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3477 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3497
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3497 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3513
BEARISH TARGETS
3439
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3439 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3417
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3417 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3395
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3395 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3369
3352
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3395 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3336
3315
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD Breakout Done , Long Setup Valid To Get 200 Pips !Here is My 15 Mins Gold Chart , and here is my opinion , we finally above 3500.00 With Daily Candle ! and we have a 4H Candle closure above it And Perfect Breakout and this give us a very good confirmation , so we have a good confirmation now to can buy after the price go back to retest the broken area 3500.00 , and we can targeting 100 to 300 pips . if we have a daily closure below this area this mean this idea will not be valid anymore .
Reasons To Enter :
1- Perfect Touch For The Area .
2- Clear Bullish Price Action .
3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bullish P.A .
4- The Price Take The Last High .
5- Perfect 15 Mins Closure .
Bullish market Hi traders
Given the sharp and strong upward trend in gold last week and the fundamental news in the market, I expect gold to rise this week as well.
I think as long as the psychological support level of 3500 holds for gold, it is not far off to see the 3640-3660 level.
Gold may make a correction to 3565 or even deeper correction to 3539 and then move towards the stated targets.
One scenario is shown with a green line and the other with a purple line on the chart.
Possible positions this week
A:Suitable prices for BUY positions
1)3565
2)3539
B:Suitable prices for SELL positions
1)3640-3660
(Of course, with approval from the market and the type of candles)
This is just an analysis and everyone is responsible for their own work.
Hoping for a good and profitable week.
XAU/USD – Captain Vincent Weekly Plan🔎 Captain’s Log – Context
📈 Main Trend : Strong uptrend after BoS.
📊 Price moving sideways within the rising channel, staying below Weak High 3674 .
📌 EMA 50 > EMA 200 → bullish trend remains solid.
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ Golden Harbor (BUY – Main Priority)
🎯 Entry:
FVG Dock: 3602 – 3593
FVG Deep: 3567 – 3560
OB Harbor: 3535 – 3540
⛔ SL: below 3520
✅ TP1: 3674 (sweep Weak High)
✅ TP2: 3720 – 3740
2️⃣ Quick Boarding (Short-term SELL – Counter-trend)
Condition: If price breaks 3674 first → watch for false break.
🎯 Entry: 3670 – 3680
✅ TP: back to 3602 – 3567
⚠️ Note : scalp only, don’t hold long.
3️⃣ Storm Breaker Alert (Bearish Scenario)
If 3535 breaks → short-term uptrend invalidated.
🎯 Bearish target: 3480 – 3500
Captain’s Note ⚓
“The golden sail still catches the wind after BoS, leading the captain and crew on the bullish tide. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3593 – 3560 – 3535) remains the preferred docking point to load cargo and continue the voyage. Quick Boarding 🚤 at Storm Breaker 🌊 (3670 – 3680) is only a short ride when the ship sweeps liquidity at Weak High 3674 . Should 3535 break, the ship might be dragged toward 3480 – 3500, but as long as it anchors at Golden Harbor, the grand journey still heads north toward 3720+.”
Gold View for upcoming weekAs we can see in daily time frame for gold from last four days market did not make any bullish or bearish any of FVG so there are no sell no buy evidence in daily time frame but market already made a CRT from last 4 days with shooting star so target for CRT 50% was 3613 and final is 3600 so wait for 3600 for a good buying zone with weekly FVG support. It is possible that market will complete retracement till any of the probability before fed meeting if that will happen then gold will never look back again to 34xx levels and if till 17th of september 2025 market will not complete retrace then you can. expect higher point is 3757 which will be weekly 1.0 level and 2890 for long term target as weekly 0.5 level for long term retracement but market will finish retracement til 3450 atleast in next week that is for sure only after that it will make any weekly fvg up or down side so that can leave buyers or sellers foot prints.
Gold prices are expected to enter a period of volatilityGold prices are expected to enter a period of volatility; buy on dips.
Today's Consumer Price Index report paints a complex picture, with both "sticky inflation" and a cooling economy.
Inflationary pressures remain, and signs of an economic slowdown are intensifying.
Overall, inflation was in line with expectations: while slightly higher month-over-month, both the year-over-year and core CPI figures were fully in line with market expectations and avoided an uncontrolled upward trend, giving the Federal Reserve some breathing room.
Gold prices are likely to remain volatile ahead of next week's Federal Reserve meeting.
The market has largely priced in a September rate cut, and gold has seen significant gains in the past. A new catalyst or clearer signal is needed for a breakout. The Fed's impending rate-cutting cycle provides the strongest support for gold.
Technical Analysis:
Today, gold prices are focusing on key support around 3600-3610.
The trading strategy is primarily based on a volatile market.
SELL:3635-3640
SL:3648
TP:3625-3620
BUY:3615-3620
SL:3608
TP:3640-3650
GOLD:" Bullish Breakout Toward Key Supply Zones $3665"Gold (XAUUSD) 15m Analysis:
Price has broken key resistance levels at **3636** and **3641**, indicating bullish momentum. The next potential **bearish supply zones** are marked at **3657.469** and **3665.220** (near **ATH – All-Time High**). Previous **liquidity grab** and **FVG (Fair Value Gap)** were mitigated. Price moved out of a **consolidation range** after a **liquidity makeup**. Key **support** rests around **3600.865**, with unfilled **FVGs** below that may act as future drawdown targets.
Focus on CPI, 3640, 3620 long and short key pointsThe market focuses on CPI data, and in the short term 3640-3660 becomes the dividing line between bulls and bears for gold.
From the news perspective, due to the sharp decline in employment rate, the employment and economic environment in the United States have been affected, and a September interest rate cut is almost a foregone conclusion, which has prompted the recent continuous rise in gold prices. Whether the interim high of 3675 means that gold has peaked remains to be seen.
From a technical perspective, gold rebounded yesterday to correct Tuesday's decline, reaching a high of around 3657 before continuing its technically bearish downward trend and retreating to around 3640. Today, gold's overall volatility in the Asian and European sessions was limited, with 3640-3660 forming a short-term upper pressure, also becoming the dividing line between bulls and bears.
If the CPI data is bullish for gold, the first thing gold needs to do is to break through the short-term pressure of 3640-3660. Once it breaks through strongly and stabilizes above 3660, gold will continue to rise and is expected to set a new high of 690-3700.
On the contrary, if the CPI unexpectedly falls short, gold will only rebound tentatively but will be unable to break through the short-term suppression of 3640-3660, then the bears will officially counterattack and the market will briefly bid farewell to the bulls. A break below 3600 would target the key support level of 3580.
In summary, focus on the 3640-3660 resistance level and the 3620-3610 support level. If the European session sees a pullback to support without a break, a small, light position can be considered, For cautious traders, it's advisable to set the stop-loss order with a buffer of $3-5, depending on their account size.with a potential profit target of $10-$30. More conservative traders can wait for the CPI data before entering a trade.
XAUUSD Analysis – September 11, 2025On the H1 timeframe, Gold is showing signs of weakness after failing to hold the key resistance zone. Price is currently trading around 3,622 USD, with short-term selling pressure becoming more visible.
Key Technical Levels:
Resistance: 3,634 – 3,657 USD
→ Strong supply zone where sellers are actively pushing price down.
Support: 3,616 – 3,570 USD
→ A breakdown below this area could trigger a deeper pullback toward 3,552 USD.
EMA Signals:
Price has slipped below short-term EMAs and is now testing the mid-term EMA, signaling corrective momentum.
The EMA200 (purple line) sits around 3,570 USD, overlapping with strong support → this level will be decisive for the next trend direction.
Trading Strategy:
Bearish Scenario (preferred):
Consider short positions if price retests 3,630 – 3,634 USD.
Targets: 3,616 → 3,570 USD.
Stop-loss above 3,657 USD.
Bullish Scenario (countertrend):
Only consider long entries near 3,570 – 3,552 USD if clear reversal signals appear.
Recovery targets: 3,616 → 3,634 USD.
Conclusion:
Gold faces short-term downside pressure and may test the 3,616 – 3,570 USD support zone. The reaction around EMA200 will determine whether this is just a technical correction or the start of a deeper bearish phase.
Gold update SeptemberI predict that gold is accumulating in this wedge pattern, the closest point of confluence between the down channel and FVG then increases and my short selling point is Supply frame 3 hours target to Demand frame 1 hour. Then I will collect goods there to hit the last increase of Gold. Because according to my calculation, Gold cycle often creates peaks at the end of September and the beginning of October. In case Gold breaks down falsely to sweep stop loss, I have waited for the FVG frame 1 hour to break down and collect goods for the last time until the end of September.
XAU/USD Update 1Next Move on the way, focus on proper risk management & stay disciplined. Wishing you successful trades..!
Key Reason:
1: Major trend was bullish.
2: Unmitigated demand zone.
3: Strong price action and also creates strong support.
4: If bullish momentum remain strong then we will see a strong upside move.
This is not a financial advice. Confirmation very important. Let's see how it will work.
Will gold prices continue to fall on September 10th?
Core view: Gold hit a record high driven by strong expectations of interest rate cuts, and the overall technical outlook showed a strong bullish pattern. The future market trend will be highly dependent on the key data to be released soon (non-farm payroll revisions, CPI, PPI), and "buy on dips" is the core strategy.
I. Trend Analysis
1. News Analysis: Rate Cut Expectations Dominate the Market
Policy Expectations: Gold's record high reflects a shift in market expectations from a "25 basis point" rate cut to a "50 basis point" rate cut. This week's CPI and PPI inflation data will be the next key test:
Meltable inflation will reinforce expectations of a significant rate cut, boosting gold prices.
Inflation exceeding expectations will only create short-term pressure and will hardly alter the overall bullish outlook.
Market sentiment: Before the data was released, market sentiment was "cautiously optimistic" and bulls did not withdraw on a large scale. Gold's safe-haven properties provided it with high support.
2. Technical Analysis: Bullish Trend Solid
Weekly: A large bullish candlestick broke through the key psychological level of $3,600, confirming medium-term strength. There are two possible scenarios for the market going forward:
Directly accelerating upward (closing with another large bullish candle this week).
It rose and then fell back to consolidate (closed with a doji), and then attacked again after accumulating strength.
Conclusion: Any pullback presents a potential buying opportunity on the dip.
Daily: Monday's positive close confirms the continuation of the uptrend. The 5-day moving average (~3,600) provides core dynamic support. Market momentum is strong, and a deeper decline is unlikely.
4-Hourly: Consolidation at high levels followed by a strong upward move. Key short-term support lies at $3,620. The candlestick chart is steadily rising along the moving average system, with no signs of a peak. The upward trend is expected to continue after a technical correction.
Upper Target: $3,650 → $3,680 → $3,700.
II. Trading Strategy
Key Strategy: Invest primarily on dips to lower levels, supplemented by short positions on rebounds to higher levels. Key Levels:
Resistance: $3665-3675
Support: $3625-3615
Trading Recommendations:
Long Strategy (Primary): Wait for gold prices to stabilize at the 3625-3615 support level, then place long orders in batches with stop-loss orders below 3600. Targets are 3650, 3670, and above.
Short Strategy (Secondary): If gold prices rapidly rise to the strong resistance level of 3665-3675 and show clear signs of resistance (such as upper shadows or bearish candlestick patterns), try shorting with a small position, entering and exiting quickly. Set a stop-loss order above 3680, with a target of 3640-3630.
Risk Warning:
This week's key data (non-farm payroll revisions, CPI, and PPI) will trigger significant market volatility. Please ensure you manage your positions and set strict stop-loss orders.
Pay close attention to the real-time changes in market expectations of the Fed's interest rate cuts, which is the most core factor driving gold prices at present.
What kind of rebellion is there in human nature?Honestly, I'm afraid to say what numbers gold will face in the upward path that began in 2001!
I consider the price range drawn on the gold chart as a future price target, but we won't have much time to reach this price target! And the speed of events is moving in a direction that has ultimately led to an increase in rates!
Thanks
MJ.REZAEI
CURRENT CONTEXT📌 CURRENT CONTEXT
- Gold price is now moving around 3640–3650, after bouncing strongly from the Demand Zone 3620–3625.
- The uptrend line is still intact, showing that the Higher High – Higher Low structure continues.
- Volume Profile shows VAH 3635 and POC 3629 still provide support below, while the Supply Zone 3668–3670 is the key resistance target.
🎯 TRADING SCENARIOS (FOLLOWING CURRENT PRICE)
🔹 SCENARIO 1 – BUY RETEST
Entry: 3635–3637 (previous VAH + trendline + volume support)
SL: Below 3620
TP: 3668–3670 (Supply Zone)
Conditions:
Price pulls back slightly but does not break the trendline
Bullish Engulfing or Pin Bar on M15/M30 at VAH zone
Low volume on pullback, strong volume when price bounces
🟢 This is a trend-following scenario, safer according to System X.
🔹 SCENARIO 2 – BUY BREAKOUT
Entry: When H1 candle closes above 3655–3658 with strong breakout volume
SL: Below breakout candle
TP: 3670–3675
Conditions:
Breaks out of the 3645–3655 consolidation zone
Breakout confirmed by high volume (large candle, strong volume)
🟢 For momentum traders, but requires clear confirmation.
🔹 SCENARIO 3 – SELL REACTION (LIMIT AT SUPPLY)
Entry: 3668–3670 (Supply Zone)
SL: Above 3675
TP: 3635–3638
Conditions:
Price quickly touches supply zone without strong breakout volume
Reversal signal appears (Bearish Pin Bar / Engulfing on M15/H1)
RSI overbought / short-term divergence
🔴 A reaction scenario, higher risk, SL must be tight.
🔹 SCENARIO 4 – SELL ON TRENDLINE BREAK
Entry: When price breaks 3620 + uptrend line
SL: Above 3630
TP: 3590 – 3570
Conditions:
Break of uptrend line + H1 candle closes below support
Strong selling volume pushing down
Clear reversal momentum
🔴 Short-term trend reversal scenario, volume needs to be monitored carefully.