check the trend Given the support level broken, the downward trend will likely continue. Then, considering the price behavior in the next support level, possible scenarios have been identified.
Trade ideas
XAUUSD -SetupPrice has confirmed a bearish breakout from the structure, and I’m expecting continuation toward the three downside targets. As long as price maintains bearish momentum and stays below the key levels, the setup remains valid.
Bias: Bearish
Invalidation: ❌ Setup becomes invalid if price closes above 4107.50.
Watching for sustained downside pressure and continuation toward the marked take-profit zones.
I will be going long on gold after the market opens.Are youreadyGold prices remained relatively stable this week, offering traders some room for maneuver. This week, after reaching a high of 4132, gold prices fluctuated between 4000 and 4110, showing greater stability compared to the previous volatile market. This provided favorable conditions for implementing trading strategies, and several short-selling operations during this period also achieved the expected results.
From a weekly chart perspective, the chart shows a doji pattern, indicating that the forces of bulls and bears are relatively balanced in the short term, lacking a clear one-sided trend, suggesting that investors are generally cautious. Historical data shows that Fridays are often prone to price fluctuations, so it is necessary to remain vigilant about risk management. Looking at the hourly chart, prices have entered a key support/resistance zone, currently trading near the Bollinger Band's middle line. If it can effectively hold this position, it is expected to retest the resistance levels of $4090 and $4100. In terms of trading strategy, it is recommended to place long orders in batches within the 4050 to 4070 range after the market opens, and closely monitor market dynamics. If there are any further changes, we will promptly notify you of any adjustments to the plan.
The above are my personal thoughts! If they are helpful to you or you agree with my ideas, please like and follow to support me! All strategies have a limited lifespan, so while referring to them, you should also closely monitor market changes. I will also respond flexibly according to actual market fluctuations, and I will announce the specifics in the channel!
Nov 21, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential Opportunity Summary:
It’s Friday, and the market still hasn’t given a clear direction. For now, I’m using 4074 as the bull–bear line:
• Above 4074 → buy on pullbacks that hold
• Below 4074 → sell on pullbacks that fail
Stay flexible and let price action confirm the direction.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 4120 – Resistance
• 4107–4110 – Resistance
• 4100–4102 – Resistance
• 4096 – Resistance
• 4089 – Resistance
• 4082 – Resistance
• 4074 – Bull/Bear line
• 4067 – Support
• 4055 – Support
• 4020–4030 – Support zone
• 4007 – Support
• 3998–4000 – Psychological support zone
📈 Intraday Strategy:
• SELL if price breaks below 4074 → target 4067, then 4063, 4055, 4050
• BUY if price holds above 4081 → target 4088, then 4092, 4100, 4107
XAUUSD H1 TIME FRAME CHART ANALYSIS CONFIRMED TARGET SEE AND CHE📉 Chart Breakdown
1. Current Price
Around 4077.5
2. Sell Zone
Marked as “XAU/USD SELL Area” around the current price.
This suggests you’re planning to enter (or already entered) a sell trade near 4077–4080.
3. Stop Loss (Stop trade)
Highlighted red zone above.
SL appears to be around 4102.
4. Take-Profit Targets
Target 1: 4040
Target 2 (Next target): 4000
Gold is consolidating within the $4050-$4100 range.Gold is consolidating within the $4050-$4100 range.
As shown on the 4-hour chart: Gold prices have been consolidating within a range, and a breakout of the single trendline this week is unlikely.
Expected trading range: $4000-$4110
Gold prices are currently declining. Based on the chart pattern,
we are waiting for a rebound and will continue to short at higher price levels:
Sell: $4080-$4090
Stop Loss: $4120
Take Profit: $4050-$4030-$4000
This strategy is largely consistent with yesterday's theoretical analysis.
Bearish Delivery Activated Between OG ZonesVANTAGE:XAUUSD price has rejected cleanly from the new
🐼Bearish OG Zone, and the OG TrendMaster just printed a 📉Short signal.
Buyers lost control, so my bias is to the downside, targeting the lower OG zone.
Short Bias:
• Entry: 4,078 – 4,090 (Bearish OG zone)
• Stop: Above 4,118
• TP1: 4,045
• TP2: 4,025
• Final Target: Lower OG Zone (around 4,000 – 3,990)
Fundamentals also line up with a bearish bias on gold. Today’s key U.S. releases NFP, Unemployment Rate, and Average Hourly Earnings can create strong volatility. If jobs and wages come in stronger than expected, the dollar typically strengthens and gold sells off. Even neutral numbers can keep pressure on gold as markets price in tighter monetary conditions. With heavy USD data on deck, the short setup aligns well with the macro narrative.
FIRST CONFIRMATION CANDLE If this current m30 candle in the purple sphere closes bullish then it will be first good confirmation of more buys so we will wait for other higher time frames for more confirmation but if it closes bearish by 6am it will be best to close buys and wait for a while because it will push down further but could be rejected to close around 4070 before we buy again , it could also lead to more sells if it closes bearish so it will be best to close and wait for the reaction after that .
Gold(XAUUSD)-Bullish Setup/RiskyChartPrice flipped bullish after CHoCH and BOS on the 15m/1H structure.
Market retraced into a clean demand zone and showed strong displacement back upward.
I'm expecting continuation toward PDH, with intraday targets at 4090 → 4108 → 4120.
As long as price holds above the 4060–4050 demand area, bullish bias remains valid.
Gold softens after Fed minutes as smokestacks cap every rally Is there any way we can get a December rate cut now?
Gold has softened after the release of the minutes from the Federal Reserve's last interest rate decision.
The minutes show there’s no unified push toward cutting, which could make a December move unlikely.
Several Federal Reserve officials supported lowering rates in October, but others preferred keeping policy unchanged, and some pushed back firmly against easing.
Technically, XAUUSD continues to form smokestacks, printing repeated double-top structures. The price is now hovering around 4,070, sitting under possible short-term resistance at 4,150. XAUUSD losing the 50-day MA further could shift bias more decisively lower.
Gold Technical Analysis and Trading Strategy (November 19th) MaGold Technical Analysis and Trading Strategy (November 19th)
Market Review: Yesterday, the gold market showed a bottoming-out and rebound trend. After testing the support level of 3998, the price stabilized and rebounded. In the evening, it broke through the key resistance level of 4030, officially turning into a bullish pattern. Subsequently, after a second pullback to the 4029 support level, it launched a strong rally, reaching a high of 4082. The daily chart ultimately closed with a small bullish candlestick with a relatively long lower shadow, ending the previous three-day losing streak. This candlestick pattern indicates that after a fierce battle between bulls and bears, the bulls have regained dominance.
Technical Analysis
From a daily chart perspective, although yesterday's positive close alleviated short-term downward pressure, the overall technical pattern still presents some concerns:
The short-term moving average system above still provides significant resistance, and the price has not yet achieved a substantial breakout.
After three consecutive days of negative closes, the rebound of this single positive candle is more likely a technical correction.
The price retraced again in the morning session, indicating that the bullish momentum still needs further confirmation.
Key Levels Analysis:
Support Area: Around 4050 (a support/resistance level), this level will be the watershed between bulls and bears today.
Resistance Area: 4100-4105 (the previous high of the negative candle), this is a significant short-term resistance zone.
Trading Strategy
Operational Approach: Primarily buy on dips, secondarily sell on rallies.
Specific Layout Long Position Strategy: Buy in batches in the 4050-4055 range, with a position size of 20% and a stop loss of 8 points. Target levels are 4080-4100, with a potential further upside to 4110 if the price breaks through.
Short Position Strategy: Sell in batches in the 4100-4105 range, with a position size of 20% and a stop loss of 8 points. Target levels are 4080-4060, with a potential further downside to the 4050 support level if the price breaks below.
Risk Warning: The impact of the Fed meeting minutes should be closely monitored today.
The non-farm payroll data will be released on Thursday and may have a significant impact on the market.
Strictly adhere to position management; the stop loss for each trade should not exceed 8% of the position size.
Specific entry points should be adjusted flexibly based on real-time market movements.
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for November 19thGold Technical Analysis:
Daily Resistance: 4150, Support: 4000
4-Hour Resistance: 4150, Support: 4082
1-Hour Resistance: 4120, Support: 4098
Technically, the weekly candlestick chart shows a rebound, indicating confirmed support. Yesterday's daily chart closed with a hammer pattern after the rise, strengthening confidence in the technical rebound. Intraday, the effectiveness of the Bollinger Middle Band support needs to be monitored. The 4000 level has stabilized in the short term. News and data in the next few trading days will remain a key focus for the market. Now that 4100 has been broken, short-term traders can follow the trend. If the NY market experiences a slight pullback, it's also a good opportunity to buy, targeting the 4220/4250 area. We need to focus on the probability of a December rate cut; if it returns to above 60%, gold could accelerate its upward movement.
Looking at the 1-hour chart, gold rebounded strongly in the European session, with the price action within an upward channel. Having broken through 4100, the short-term trend suggests further continuation. Watch for support levels from the MACD/KDJ indicators. For the European and American sessions, consider buying on a pullback to around 4095/4082.
Trading Strategy:
BUY: 4095~4082
SELL: 4150~4158
More Analysis →
Gold: A counterattack from the bullsGold rebounded yesterday after testing lower levels, initially falling before rising. The weekly chart shows a pullback to near 3998, finding some support. The RSI indicator remains near the midline, and the price is trading around the middle Bollinger Band. On the shorter-term 4-hour chart, moving averages are converging, the RSI is near the midline, and the price is trading between the middle and lower Bollinger Bands. Technically, gold is maintaining a wide-range trading structure. The trading strategy remains to buy low and sell high, with the intraday range to watch being 4040-4110.
Gold opened slightly higher today. The daily chart is forming a contracting triangle pattern, suggesting further upside potential. However, don't forget the release of the Fed meeting minutes during the New York session today; this news could be positive for gold, and upward momentum might be released before the news. Support below 4000 is very strong, and market sentiment has shifted from bearish to bullish. There is a high probability that the rebound will continue today; the trading strategy is to buy on dips, focusing on buying at support levels.
Key Levels:
First Support: 4062, Second Support: 4043, Third Support: 4025
First Resistance: 4090, Second Resistance: 4108, Third Resistance: 4126
Gold Intraday Trading Strategy:
Buy: 4045-4050, SL: 4035, TP: 4070-4080;
Sell: 4115-4120, SL: 4130, TP: 4100-4090;
More Analysis →
XAU/USD Intraday Plan — Critical Resistance AheadGold has shown a strong recovery from the Support Zone, reclaiming the 50MA and breaking above the 4078 resistance, which has now flipped into support. Price is currently trading around 4095, but the 200MA is acting as immediate resistance.
For buyers to continue higher, we need a clean break above 4115, the next key resistance. A confirmed break above this level would open the path toward 4170 and 4232.
If price fails to clear 4115, we could see a rejection back toward the 4078–4053 immediate support area. A break below that zone would expose a deeper pullback into the Support Zone again.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
4115
4170
4232
Support:
4078
4053
4027
3996
🔎Fundamental Focus:
The key event today is the FOMC Meeting Minutes, which could spark volatility depending on whether the tone appears more hawkish or dovish. Traders will be watching closely for clues on upcoming policy direction.
Continue to short gold in the $4075-$4095 range!Gold prices rebounded slightly after falling below the $4,000 mark, a move highly consistent with previous technical analysis expectations. As previously predicted, gold prices successfully reached the key target of $4,000 after a period of sustained downward volatility, indicating a significant release of bearish momentum. This pullback was accompanied by high market sensitivity to macroeconomic data, particularly following the unexpected rise in initial jobless claims. This heightened concerns about the future labor market prompted investors to reassess the Federal Reserve's monetary policy path, leading to a resurgence in safe-haven demand and driving a significant rebound in gold prices.
The data reflects signs of a possible marginal slowdown in the job market, causing some traders to reduce their bets on further interest rate hikes. This led to a decline in US Treasury yields and downward pressure on the US dollar index, thus providing short-term support for precious metals. As a result, gold prices quickly rebounded from their lows, recovering some lost ground and successfully reversing the previous continuous decline, returning to a range-bound trading pattern.
From a current technical perspective, although gold prices have rebounded, the overall trend has not yet completely escaped downward pressure. Bears remain dominant, with the medium- and long-term moving averages arranged in a bearish pattern, indicating a cautious market sentiment. In the short term, the $3990-$4000 range is a key support zone. This area not only represents a previous consolidation level but also represents a concentration of technical buying and stop-loss orders, providing strong support for the current phase. Resistance is concentrated in the $4100-$4090 range, a densely packed area of resistance that has been tested multiple times recently without success. Coupled with the possibility of some trapped positions selling off, gold prices are expected to face some selling pressure on any upward movement.
Given the current weak and volatile market, the trading strategy can continue the approach established at the beginning of the week. It is recommended to short gold in batches when the price rebounds to between $4075 and $4095. At the same time, close attention should be paid to important events such as US inflation data, the non-farm payroll report, and speeches by Federal Reserve officials, as these factors may exacerbate market volatility and alter the short-term trend. If there are significant changes in the fundamentals, such as higher-than-expected inflation or significantly weaker economic data, the strategy will be adjusted accordingly and timely updates will be provided.
Overall, the gold market is currently in a phase of intensified battle between bulls and bears, with the direction still unclear. In terms of trading, it is advisable to remain flexible, control positions, avoid chasing highs and lows, and focus on structural opportunities in a volatile market.
The above are my personal thoughts! If they are helpful to you or your ideas align with mine, please like and follow to show your support! All strategies have a limited lifespan, so while referring to them, you should also closely monitor market changes. I will also respond flexibly based on actual market fluctuations, and I will announce specifics in the channel!
XAUUSD potential Long term sell XAUUSD is currently testing a very strong zone , if it fails to break above we will see a very big dip coming our eyes should be on @ 4105 as long as its below this zone we could expect further dips
Long GOLD (GC, GLD, etc)I am planning to go to a long GOLD position again. Maybe needs some consolidation, but the eventual target will be 4800-5000 around mid-end 2026. I will choose otm GLD leap calls.
There is an alternative scenario that the price will drop to ~3850 first to form a wedge pattern. If so, I will double down on my leap calls.
Gold SellPrice broke above the previous highs and made a new Higher High, showing that buyers took control and flipped the structure bullish. After that push up, price pulled back into the same breakout area, which is now acting as demand. This is the level where I expect the uptrend to continue. As long as price holds above this zone, I’m staying bullish with targets back toward the recent HH. If price breaks below the current HL, the setup is invalid — that’s where my stop is.
Entry: 4,028.85
Stop Loss: 3,965.98
Take Profit: 4,253.68
Gold still in it's year-end range, good scalping opportunitiesThis year's high is in, the same forecast as last year if you watched with me this time last December.
We can expect that the new year candle will target the previous high quickly and swiftly as always, but until then we scalp this year-end wick range using LTF OB/FVGs for minimal pip TPs
GOLD long continuation after shifting the structureWe got a Gold continuation trade, we prioritizing longs over shorts as price shift the structure and it's showing bullish interest. The 4h structure is really good and aligns with the 15m Order-flow that we have. Remember to trust your BIAS and stick to your plan. It's normal to be wrong sometimes. For us, we still looking for longs on Gold. Trade now BE we holding to the top or until it hit BE.
GoldXAUUSD
- Bearish Channel as an corrective pattern in Short Time Frame
- Order Block
- Demand Zone
- Change of Characteristics
- Fibonacci Level - 23.60% / 38.20%
Gold’s Survival Zone: 4010–3998 Decides EverythingKey Levels for Today
Gold is trading at a decisive zone this morning:
4000–4004 → A clean break below this range opens the door toward 3945–3930.
Holding above 4000 → Keeps the bullish recovery scenario alive.
Break above 4055 → Signals strength returning, with upside targets at 4070 – 4085 – 4096 – 4111. Any sustained move above these levels indicates a potential continuation to higher zones.
Technical Overview
1H–3H timeframe:
Price is trading below all major moving averages (10/20/50/100/200) — a clear short-term bearish signal.
4H timeframe:
Gold is still receiving solid support near 4010.
Critical Zone (4010–3998):
This is a life-or-death area for gold today. Expect heavy “battle” here.
Failure to defend this zone will likely drive price directly toward 3945–3930.
Trade Levels & Scenarios
Bullish Scenario (Long):
Entry: Above 4026 (risk from 4017)
Targets:
4036–4039 → 4045 → 4055 → 4068 → 4079–4083 → 4090 → 4097 → 4107 → 4127 → 4132
Bearish Scenario (Short):
Entry: Below 3998 (risk from 4007)
Targets:
3991 → 3985 → 3977 → 3970 → 3958 → 3943 → 3930 → 3921 → 3901
Final Notes:
If you find this analysis helpful, your comment or share truly makes a difference.
Disclaimer
This analysis reflects a personal technical and fundamental view. It is not financial advice or a buy/sell recommendation.Trading financial markets involves significant risk; all decisions are the sole responsibility of the trader.
Wishing everyone a profitable day and a successful trading week.
#GoldRider
ElDoradoFx – GOLD ANALYSIS (18/11/2025, ASIA SESSION)If you want:
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1️⃣ Market Overview
Gold enters the Asia session trading around $4,045, recovering slightly after sweeping liquidity at the $4,007–$4,011 weak low. Despite the rebound, the broader structure remains bearish, with price still below the major H1/H4 supply zone (4,066–4,100) and under a strong descending trendline.
Asia begins with corrective upside, but the dominant bias remains bearish unless a full structural break above $4,100 occurs.
⸻
2️⃣ Technical Breakdown
🔹 Daily (D1)
• Price is retesting the $4,028–$3,934 demand zone.
• Rejection at the descending trendline from the major swing high confirms ongoing bearish momentum.
• RSI (~51) is neutral.
• A daily close below $4,028 exposes $3,934 → $3,886.
• Holding above $4,028 keeps price inside corrective structure.
⸻
🔹 1H Chart
• Overall structure is bearish-to-neutral.
• Price remains below the 200 EMA, 50 EMA, and trendline confluence zone at $4,066–$4,100.
• Prior BOS from $4,120 confirms bearish control.
• RSI (~45) shows weak bullish momentum on the pullback.
⸻
🔹 15M–5M
• After sweeping $4,007, price made a CHoCH upward but stalled immediately at descending structure.
• Momentum is decreasing near intraday resistance.
• MACD shows weakening histogram on the pullback.
• Short-term uptrend still corrective inside a bearish macro move.
⸻
3️⃣ Fibonacci Analysis
Last swing: 4,120 → 4,007
• 38.2% → 4,050
• 50.0% → 4,063
• 61.8% → 4,076
🎯 Fibonacci Golden Zone: 4,050 – 4,076
→ Confluence with supply + descending trendline = Strong SELL Region
⸻
4️⃣ High-Probability Trade Scenarios
📉 SELL SCENARIO (Main Bias)
• Sell Zone: 4,066 – 4,100
• Targets:
• 4,028
• 4,011
• 3,990
• Stop Loss: Above 4,115
• Confirmation:
• 5M/15M bearish rejection
• RSI divergence
• BOS from inside the zone
⸻
📈 BUY SCENARIO (Countertrend Only)
• Buy Zone: 4,011 – 4,007 (liquidity sweep region)
• Targets:
• 4,028
• 4,050
• 4,066
• Stop Loss: Below 3,998
• Confirmation:
• Clear CHoCH
• High-volume reversal candle
⸻
💥 Breakout BUY Setup
• Trigger: Break & close above 4,100
• Retest Zone: 4,095–4,100
• Targets:
• 4,120
• 4,145
• 4,180
• Stop Loss: Below 4,083
⸻
💥 Breakout SELL Setup
• Trigger: Break & close below 4,007
• Retest Zone: 4,007–4,011
• Targets:
• 3,990
• 3,975
• 3,934
• Stop Loss: Above 4,028
⸻
5️⃣ Fundamental Watch
• Asia expected to maintain low volatility early.
• Market reacting to last session’s major liquidity sweep.
• DXY strength still acting as weight on gold.
• US session today brings housing data + Fed commentary, potential volatility catalyst.
• Risk of sharp whipsaws in low liquidity zones.
⸻
6️⃣ Key Technical Levels
🔺 Resistance
• 4,066
• 4,083
• 4,100
• 4,120
🔻 Support
• 4,028
• 4,011
• 4,007
• 3,990
Key Zones
• Golden Zone: 4,050 – 4,076
• Break Buy Trigger: > 4,100
• Break Sell Trigger: < 4,007
⸻
7️⃣ Analyst Summary
Gold continues to trade inside a bearish corrective channel. The bounce from 4,007 is weak and purely corrective unless buyers break the critical 4,100 level.
The primary expectation is a push into the 4,050–4,076 Golden Zone, followed by a sell continuation toward 4,028 → 4,011 → 3,990.
Only sustained price action above 4,100 would reverse the short-term bearish bias.
⸻
8️⃣ Final Bias Summary
📉 Primary Bias:
Bearish below 4,100 → Targeting 4,028 → 4,011 → 3,990
📈 Alternative Bias:
Bullish only above 4,100 → Targeting 4,145 → 4,180
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🔻 SELL +60 PIPS
🔻 SELL +210 PIPS
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