XAU/USD | GOLD Breaking Records – $4K Target Loading…!By analyzing the TVC:GOLD chart on the 1-hour timeframe, we can see that nothing seems to be stopping its series of new record highs — it almost feels like the $4,000 target isn’t too far away! Every small correction in gold is simply gathering more liquidity and demand to push toward higher levels.
At this very moment, gold has printed a new ATH at $ 3,734 , and I expect the rally to continue. The next possible upside targets are $3,740, $3,780, and $3,800.
THE MAIN ANALYSIS :
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GOLD trade ideas
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold, after its strong recent rally, is now facing the key resistance area around 3700.
Possible Scenarios:
1️⃣ Scenario One (More Likely):
Given that the market is in an overbought zone, a corrective/ranging move toward the lower boundary of the drawn channel and the marked support area is likely. From there, a new bullish wave could begin, eventually leading to a breakout above resistance and a move toward higher targets.
2️⃣ Scenario Two:
Gold makes only a shallow correction, quickly breaks above the resistance zone, and continues its bullish momentum toward higher levels.
Due to the current overbought conditions, Scenario One (correction before continuation) is more probable. However, the overall trend remains bullish as long as key support levels hold.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Lingrid | GOLD Potential Pullback from 3700 Psychological LevelOANDA:XAUUSD faced rejection at the 3,700 resistance zone, signaling exhaustion in the recent bullish leg. The divergence at the highs supports a potential reversal, with price already slipping back toward the mid-range of the upward channel. If momentum continues lower, a breakdown under 3,635 could open the way toward 3,570 as the next key support. Sellers remain favored while price trades below 3,700, keeping the bias tilted downward.
⚠️ Risks:
A sudden risk-off move or geopolitical tension could revive safe-haven demand for gold.
Any dovish Fed shift or weaker US data may fuel a breakout above 3,700 instead.
Strong ETF inflows or central bank demand could limit downside pressure.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Analysis: Sideways Shuffle Before Next RunOANDA:XAUUSD attempted an upward break this week but encountered resistance near the $3,700 level, retreating as the market enters a consolidation phase. 4H chart reveals gold trading within an ascending channel, testing the upper resistance zone around $3,700 after a significant rally from the August bottom.
Price action suggests a healthy pullback within the broader uptrend. The upward trendline remains intact, providing dynamic support around $3,630, while the PWL (Previous Week Low) acts as immediate support. This sideways action appears to be profit-taking rather than a trend reversal, as gold consolidates recent gains before potentially targeting the ATH zone again.
Key factors supporting long-term bullish sentiment include persistent geopolitical tensions, central bank gold accumulation, and currency debasement concerns. The ascending channel structure suggests any weakness toward the PWL support zone could present attractive entry opportunities for patient buyers.
An expansion - contraction market phase aligns with typical consolidation patterns following sharp advances. Gold's ability to hold above the trendline will be crucial. A break below would signal deeper correction toward the channel midpoint, while a decisive move above current resistance opens the path to new highs towards $3,800. The overall structure remains constructive for gold's longer-term trajectory despite near-term choppiness.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
GOLD → The rally continues. We are waiting for a pullback to buyFX:XAUUSD is rallying since the opening of the trading session. The movement has been continuing since Friday, after the end of the correction. The market is realizing the potential for interest rate cuts...
The metal is showing gains for the fifth week in a row, despite the local recovery of the dollar.
Key supporting factors: The forecast of two rate cuts before the end of the year continues to fuel interest. Tensions in US trade relations with India and other sources of instability. Upcoming PCE data on Friday may confirm the need for a soft policy. BUT! Caution is needed, as a short-term correction (profit-taking) is possible after record growth.
Resistance levels: 3730, 3740, 3750
Support levels: 3703, 3685, 3674
The price is in the ATH zone, having come a long way since the opening of the session, and a correction may form. It is dangerous to sell in the current zone, and for trading within the bullish trend, it is worth waiting for a pullback to the nearest local support levels...
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold can Complete its Topping Pattern and FallHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. The market has been developing a complex consolidation structure after its initial uptrend failed to sustain momentum. After breaking out of a first range, the bullish impulse failed, leading to a breakdown below the major ascending mirror line and establishing the current, higher second range. The price action for XAU has since been contained within this new consolidation, repeatedly testing the upper resistance and lower support boundaries. Currently, the asset is again testing the upper boundary of this range, an area that has consistently attracted sellers. In my mind, this price action is forming a complex topping pattern. I expect that the price will be rejected from the top of the current range, perhaps after a brief interaction with the nearby mirror line, and then fail at the highs one more time. I think this final failure will trigger a significant decline with enough momentum to break the mirror line support decisively. Therefore, I have placed my TP at the 3630 current support level, targeting the bottom of this second range. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Lingrid | GOLD Rally Targeting $3800 Resistance Level ?The price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . OANDA:XAUUSD is pressing higher after breaking out of its consolidation channel and reclaiming the 3750 level. The market structure is supported by an upward trendline with successive higher highs confirming bullish momentum. As long as price holds above 3728, a push toward the 3800 resistance zone remains likely. The broader trend continues to favor buyers with gold eyeing new all-time highs.
⚠️ Risks:
A drop back below 3728 would weaken the breakout and open the way for a retest of 3700 support.
Stronger USD from Fed Chair Powell comments could cap upside momentum.
Profit-taking near the 3800 psychological level may trigger short-term volatility.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT
In last week’s KOG Report we would like to see the red box defence hold the price, and if it did we felt an opportunity to long would be available to traders into the red box target levels.
Price did exactly what we wanted and all the red box target levels for the week were completed as well as the Excalibur targets we had in Camelot.
We then released the FOMC KOG Report and shared not only the red boxes but also the hot spots that were active. This suggested a move upside from lower support and then a decline from there into the 3630-40 regions which again worked to the pip and gave us another opportunity not only to short but then to long up to where we closed.
A fantastic week in Camelot with price playing just the way we wanted it to on gold.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
For this week we have the key level of 3660-55 support which needs to break for us to go lower in the first half of the week. Above and if that level is supported we see opportunities for the 3710, 3720 and potentially the 3730 regions. Its that 3720-30 level that we want to monitor this week and if attacked, it’s there we feel we may see an opportunity to short the market back into the 3685, 3660 and 3650 level initially.
We’re due a retracement on the bullish move and ideally, we want to see that move this week at some point.
We’re a little to high to go long here in the early sessions, especially with the 3660 level sticking out for a potential swing. So we’ll try and plot the path best we can and keep an eye on the hot spots and the red boxes as well as our trusted friend Excalibur to guide us through the week.
Key levels – 3690 - 3675
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3690 for 3710, 3714 and 3722 in extension of the move
Break below 3670 for 3665, 3655, 3650 and 3643 in extension of the move
We’re going to keep it short this week and as usual, we’ll update traders through the week.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
GOLD → Retest of resistance at 3660. What could happen?FX:XAUUSD is testing resistance to correction after breaking the local market structure from bearish to bullish. A breakout of 3660 could give buyers a chance...
A 25 bp rate cut to 4.25% was expected, but the forecast for further cuts came as a surprise: now two cuts before the end of 2025 (instead of one) and one in 2026.
The reason for the shift: fears of a slowdown in the labor market outweighed the risks from inflation (2.9% in August).
The dollar continues its countertrend correction (rebound) after Powell's speech and economic news. This temporary phenomenon may soon end. Gold, after a manipulative phase, may return to an upward movement if the price breaks 3660 and consolidates above this level.
The Fed preferred to support employment, risking accelerating inflation. In the long term, this will support risk assets and commodities, but in the short term, the markets have taken a pause.
Resistance levels: 3360, 3675, 3688
Support levels: 3643, 3631
Gold is not updating local lows, a cascade bottom is forming and the local bearish structure is breaking down. If the market manages to overcome the resistance of the correction, a bullish impulse may form!
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → Rates have been cut. Will growth continue?FX:XAUUSD , following the Fed's decision on interest rates, caused a shock, updating the ATH to 3707, then updating the minimum to 3633. Since the opening of the European session, the market has been recovering, but there is a BUT...
The Fed's Dot Plot confirmed the forecast of two additional rate cuts before the end of the year, which provides long-term support for gold.
The USD remains under pressure after the Fed's decision, despite a short-term rebound. Trump's statements and the escalation of conflicts continue to fuel demand for safe havens.
After rising to a record high of $3707, a short-term correction is possible. If today's jobless claims come in better than expected, it will temporarily strengthen the USD. As for Powell, his emphasis on “meeting-to-meeting decisions” may limit appetite for risky assets.
Resistance levels: 3674.7, 3688.6
Support levels: 3654.5, 3633, 3626.8
Technically, since the opening of the European session, gold has spent its intraday ATR reserve. From the specified resistance level of 3675 (psychological level), a correction to 3660-3655 may form before continuing to grow to 3675-3688.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3692 and a gap below at 3673. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3692
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3692 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3717
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3717 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3742
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3742 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3768
BEARISH TARGETS
3673
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3673 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3650
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3650 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3622
3592
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3592 WILL OPEN THESECONDARY SWING RANGE
3556
3528
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD → Aggressive growth is not over. Powell's speech...FX:XAUUSD is rallying, with demand high amid a falling dollar and the Fed's rate cuts. Technically, there are no obstacles to growth, and the market is aggressive. For trading, look for buying opportunities on pullbacks.
Gold is rallying and hitting new highs as people realize what's going on (interest rates are falling). Powell's speech is coming up, and it may trigger a correction (profit-taking) amid growing risks.
Key factors: Powell's speech today, at which time the market is waiting for hints of further easing of Fed policy.
PMI data (US), weak figures will support the possibility of further rate cuts...
Demand for metal is supported by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Eastern Europe.
Resistance levels: 3800
Support levels: 3760
Many factors are supporting the rise in gold, and there are no compelling reasons to sell gold now. The ideal trading strategy is to wait for a pullback and retest of support levels with the formation of strong reversal points for buying.
Sincerely, R. Linda!
Opportunities Return, Lost Money Doesn’tGold is making all-time highs like there’s no tomorrow. And yet, I haven’t joined the trendin the past days. I made some money selling last week, but I didn’t ride the wave higher. Am I sorry? Not at all.
This brings me to a principle that guides my trading: I would rather miss an opportunity than lose money.
________________________________________
Confidence Over FOMO
The most important thing in trading is not catching every move — it’s trading with confidence. Even when I lose, I want to know why I lost.
That way, the loss has meaning. It’s part of a process I can trust and refine.
At this moment, my internal radar simply won’t allow me to buy Gold. Sure, it might rise more, but I’m not upset about “missing out.” Why? Because I need to believe in what I trade.
If I don’t, then every tick against me becomes torture, and I start questioning myself at every piece of market noise.
________________________________________
Why Missed Opportunities Don’t Hurt
• Opportunities always come back. The market is generous in that way.
• Lost money doesn’t come back by itself. You need another trade, another risk, another exposure — and usually more stress.
• Confidence compounds. When you only take trades you truly believe in , you build trust in your own process. That trust is what keeps you alive in the long run.
________________________________________
The Psychological Edge
Traders often think missing a trade is painful. In reality, it’s a sign of strength. It means you didn’t bend your rules, didn’t give in to FOMO, didn’t chase a market just because “everyone else” is.
Trading without belief in your setup is like walking into a fight without conviction. You’re already halfway defeated.
________________________________________
Final Thoughts
Yes, Gold is printing all-time highs. Yes, I could have bought and made some money. But I’m fine with that. Because keeping my confidence and protecting my capital matters more than chasing every rally.
Opportunities are infinite. My capital and my confidence are not.
That’s why I’ll always prefer missing an opportunity over losing money.
XAU/USD | GOLD ATH at $3,707, Then Heavy Dump – What Happend?By analyzing the gold chart on the 1-hour timeframe, we can see that after the Fed rate cut announcement, the price first dropped from $3,686 to $3,649, stopping out many buyers. Then, gold rallied sharply, gaining 570 pips up to $3,707 and printing a new ATH, which stopped out sellers. After that, the market turned again, with another heavy drop that stopped out fresh buyers too.
As I mentioned yesterday, this move was expected. Many asked why gold dropped despite the rate cut — the reason is that the news was already priced in last month. The market had anticipated the cut, which is why gold had already rallied earlier, and that’s why we saw this sharp drop after the announcement.
Currently, gold is trading around $3,637 after falling to $3,627. I expect this decline to continue toward the next target zone at $3,612–$3,622. Once price reaches that level, we’ll review the next scenario. The key supply zones to watch are $3,667, $3,677, $3,684, and $3,691.
I hope this analysis was helpful for you — stay tuned for more setups based on this outlook!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold pulled back after printing a fresh high and reacting to the latest FOMC meeting. It has since broken below key support and also violated its ascending trendline.
In the short term, price action is expected to remain range-bound to bearish, heading toward the next support zone.
As long as price remains below the broken trendline and resistance, the short-term bias stays bearish to sideways.
However, in the medium term, the overall outlook remains bullish, and a fresh upside wave may develop once the correction is completed.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Gold can continue its bullish trend after small correctionHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. The market context for Gold has been firmly bullish since the price broke out of its prior consolidation range, a move that originated from the deep 3270 - 3290 buyer zone. This breakout shifted the market structure, initiating a new impulsive phase that has since been guided by a major ascending mirror line. The price action for XAU has been respecting this dynamic support, creating a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows. Currently, after reaching a new local high, the asset is undergoing a healthy corrective phase. This pullback is guiding the price back towards a critical confluence of support, defined by the 3622 - 3598 support zone and the ascending mirror line itself. The primary working hypothesis is a long, trend-continuation scenario, which anticipates that buyers will step in to defend this key support cluster. A confirmed bounce from this area would signal the conclusion of the corrective move and the resumption of the dominant upward trend. This would likely initiate the next impulsive wave higher. Therefore, the TP is logically placed at 3720, representing a new potential structural high. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD Breakout and Bullish Momentum👋Hello everyone, what do you think about OANDA:XAUUSD ?
Gold has just completed a Rounding Bottom pattern and successfully broken out of the resistance zone around 3,700 USD, turning it into a new support. Strong bullish momentum has emerged, and I expect the next push to target the 3,740 – 3,750 USD area. Short-term pullbacks are likely to serve only as stepping stones for buyers to strengthen their position and drive prices higher.
Do you agree with this outlook?💬 Share your thoughts below!
Wishing you successful trades!
GOLD → Breakthrough of correction resistance. Uptrend FX:XAUUSD entered a correction phase after the Fed meeting and interest rate cut, but by the end of the week, the market managed to recover from the decline and return to the zone of interest, breaking through the resistance of the downtrend...
The dollar is correcting after the Fed meeting on interest rates. The index is testing resistance at 97.5-98.0, and a false breakout of this zone could trigger a fall in the index, which in turn would only support the forex and gold markets...
At this time, the metal is reducing its correlation with the DXY and breaking the resistance of the downward correction, which is provoking an impulse to 3685. Technically, Friday's trading session is closing quite positively, which generally indicates a high level of demand.
I would highlight several key levels: the previously broken resistance at 3674 (below this zone there is a hidden liquidity pool) and resistance at 3685 (trigger). A retest of the lower level is possible before the price continues its growth. The target within the current movement can be considered 3700 - 3710.
Support levels: 3674, 3668, 3660
Resistance levels: 3685, 3703, 3710
If, during the Asian/Pacific session, gold consolidates without a pullback and closes above 3685, the market may continue to rise towards the specified target. However, if the market lacks potential (after the weekend), then MM may test 3674 - 3668 before the price returns to growth towards the target of 3700.
Best regards, R. Linda!
The Gold Price Is At A Crossroads, Caught In A Tug-Of-War.👋Hello everyone, let’s take a look at OANDA:XAUUSD !
Today, gold is struggling around the support level of 3635 USD. This is a hot point between the bulls and bears, with both sides looking for an opportunity to take control. Let’s check it out!
From a macro perspective, gold has recently shown a slight decline due to profit-taking after the Fed’s first rate cut, which met expectations last Wednesday. The market wasn’t surprised by this move, and gold had already reacted with a rise before shifting to profit-taking.
Most recently, gold experienced another decline yesterday, driven by news about US unemployment claims. The actual number came in at 231K, lower than the forecast of 241K and the previous 264K. This reflects a stronger labor market = stronger USD, putting pressure on gold.
From a technical standpoint: In the short term, as mentioned, gold is operating at support levels. Personally, I believe the bears still have the upper hand since there is no major news today. If the support zone is broken, it will open up significant opportunities for the bears.
What do you think? Will this support level hold, or will it break?
"XAUUSD Bullish Setup Toward 3800–3810"This chart shows the XAU/USD (Gold vs US Dollar) 1-hour analysis.
Price is currently trading around 3769 after a bullish move.
A support trend line is holding price momentum, suggesting buyers are still active above this level.
Immediate support is seen near 3753, while the trendline also aligns with this support zone.
If price respects the support trend line, a bullish continuation is expected.
The upside targets are marked at 3800 as the next key level, and 3810 as a potential new all-time high (ATH).
The projection indicates a possible short-term pullback to the trend line before resuming upward movement.
Overall, the setup suggests a bullish outlook, as long as price stays above the support and trend line.
Latest Gold Price Update Today👋Hello everyone, let's take a look at OANDA:XAUUSD !
Yesterday, gold experienced a volatile trading session after the Federal Reserve (Fed) concluded its September meeting and decided to cut the benchmark interest rate by 0.25%, as expected. The reference interest rate is now at 4-4.25% per year.
Typically, when the Fed cuts interest rates, the US Dollar weakens, which boosts demand for gold. However, this time, the rate cut led investors to sell gold to take profits. The main reason is that the rate cut aligned with previous expectations, and gold prices had already surged in anticipation, making the market less surprised by this move.
From a technical perspective, gold is currently hovering around the 3,670 USD level and is gaining momentum from the support zone. I think the current phase is a healthy correction before the bulls take action again. Today's unemployment claims data will set the stage for the next move.
What do you think about the trend of XAUUSD? Leave your thoughts in the comments!
XAUUSD Reversal Signs Grow – Bears Eye 3620/3570In yesterday’s analysis, I pointed out that while OANDA:XAUUSD remains technically bullish, the signs of a potential reversal were already piling up.
That view played out quickly: after spiking above 3700 on the Fed’s decision — which triggered my sell orders — gold reversed sharply, dropping all the way to a local bottom near 3645.
The market then staged a natural rebound after such a violent sell-off, and at the time of writing, price is consolidating around 3655. Interestingly, this was last week’s resistance, now acting as short-term support.
Looking ahead, I believe the correction of the nearly 4,000-pip rally in less than a month is far from over. A fresh drop could be next.
For the bears, the key levels to watch are:
• 3620 – the first checkpoint for potential downside continuation
• 3560-3670 – a stronger support zone I’ve highlighted before, aligning with the 38% Fibonacci retracement of the latest rally
A move towards these levels would still be a healthy correction within the broader bullish context — not at all an out-of-the-question scenario. 🚀
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Reversal Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bullish Movement from - 3647
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.