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ElDoradoFx – GOLD ANALYSIS (18/11/2025, ASIA SESSION)If you want: ✔️ Accurate Buy/Sell zones ✔️ High-probability trade setups ✔️ Precise Breakout levels ✔️ Full London, US & Asia forecasts every day ✔️ Weekly live trading & news trading events FIND THE LINK IN OUR YOUTUBE CHANNEL. ────────────────────────── 1️⃣ Market Overview Gold enters the Asia session trading around $4,045, recovering slightly after sweeping liquidity at the $4,007–$4,011 weak low. Despite the rebound, the broader structure remains bearish, with price still below the major H1/H4 supply zone (4,066–4,100) and under a strong descending trendline. Asia begins with corrective upside, but the dominant bias remains bearish unless a full structural break above $4,100 occurs. ⸻ 2️⃣ Technical Breakdown 🔹 Daily (D1) • Price is retesting the $4,028–$3,934 demand zone. • Rejection at the descending trendline from the major swing high confirms ongoing bearish momentum. • RSI (~51) is neutral. • A daily close below $4,028 exposes $3,934 → $3,886. • Holding above $4,028 keeps price inside corrective structure. ⸻ 🔹 1H Chart • Overall structure is bearish-to-neutral. • Price remains below the 200 EMA, 50 EMA, and trendline confluence zone at $4,066–$4,100. • Prior BOS from $4,120 confirms bearish control. • RSI (~45) shows weak bullish momentum on the pullback. ⸻ 🔹 15M–5M • After sweeping $4,007, price made a CHoCH upward but stalled immediately at descending structure. • Momentum is decreasing near intraday resistance. • MACD shows weakening histogram on the pullback. • Short-term uptrend still corrective inside a bearish macro move. ⸻ 3️⃣ Fibonacci Analysis Last swing: 4,120 → 4,007 • 38.2% → 4,050 • 50.0% → 4,063 • 61.8% → 4,076 🎯 Fibonacci Golden Zone: 4,050 – 4,076 → Confluence with supply + descending trendline = Strong SELL Region ⸻ 4️⃣ High-Probability Trade Scenarios 📉 SELL SCENARIO (Main Bias) • Sell Zone: 4,066 – 4,100 • Targets: • 4,028 • 4,011 • 3,990 • Stop Loss: Above 4,115 • Confirmation: • 5M/15M bearish rejection • RSI divergence • BOS from inside the zone ⸻ 📈 BUY SCENARIO (Countertrend Only) • Buy Zone: 4,011 – 4,007 (liquidity sweep region) • Targets: • 4,028 • 4,050 • 4,066 • Stop Loss: Below 3,998 • Confirmation: • Clear CHoCH • High-volume reversal candle ⸻ 💥 Breakout BUY Setup • Trigger: Break & close above 4,100 • Retest Zone: 4,095–4,100 • Targets: • 4,120 • 4,145 • 4,180 • Stop Loss: Below 4,083 ⸻ 💥 Breakout SELL Setup • Trigger: Break & close below 4,007 • Retest Zone: 4,007–4,011 • Targets: • 3,990 • 3,975 • 3,934 • Stop Loss: Above 4,028 ⸻ 5️⃣ Fundamental Watch • Asia expected to maintain low volatility early. • Market reacting to last session’s major liquidity sweep. • DXY strength still acting as weight on gold. • US session today brings housing data + Fed commentary, potential volatility catalyst. • Risk of sharp whipsaws in low liquidity zones. ⸻ 6️⃣ Key Technical Levels 🔺 Resistance • 4,066 • 4,083 • 4,100 • 4,120 🔻 Support • 4,028 • 4,011 • 4,007 • 3,990 Key Zones • Golden Zone: 4,050 – 4,076 • Break Buy Trigger: > 4,100 • Break Sell Trigger: < 4,007 ⸻ 7️⃣ Analyst Summary Gold continues to trade inside a bearish corrective channel. The bounce from 4,007 is weak and purely corrective unless buyers break the critical 4,100 level. The primary expectation is a push into the 4,050–4,076 Golden Zone, followed by a sell continuation toward 4,028 → 4,011 → 3,990. Only sustained price action above 4,100 would reverse the short-term bearish bias. ⸻ 8️⃣ Final Bias Summary 📉 Primary Bias: Bearish below 4,100 → Targeting 4,028 → 4,011 → 3,990 📈 Alternative Bias: Bullish only above 4,100 → Targeting 4,145 → 4,180 ────────────────────────── 🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 – PERFORMANCE 17/11/2025 🥇 ✨ Precision. Momentum. Dominance. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🔥 GOLD TRADE RECAP 🟢 BUY +20 PIPS 🔻 SELL +60 PIPS 🔻 SELL +210 PIPS 🔻 SELL +40 PIPS 🔻 SELL +210 PIPS 📈 The bearish flow was clean and technical — every move respected our levels perfectly. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 💰 TOTAL PROFIT: +540 PIPS 🎯 5 Signals → 5 Wins (100% Accuracy) ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🔥 Another day of textbook setups and flawless execution. 👏 If you caught these moves — well done, trader! 🚀 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0
VANTAGE:XAUUSDShort
by ELDORADOFX
Gold Analysis & Trading Strategy | November 17-18✅ From the 4-hour chart, after gold topped at 4245, the price continued to break downward and is still trading below all short-term moving averages (MA5 / MA10 / MA20). This indicates that the larger-cycle bearish trend remains intact. MA5 < MA10 < MA20 — the bearish alignment is clear, and every rebound has been suppressed near MA10 (4110). 💹 Bollinger Bands: The lower band continues to extend downward, the middle band (around 4146) is sloping lower, and the lower band has moved down to 4035. Gold is currently oscillating weakly near the lower band, suggesting that the market is still releasing downside momentum and the lower support has not stabilized. ✅ From the 1-hour chart, gold has been unable to hold above MA20 (around 4084). MA5 and MA10 are pressing downward, while MA20 and MA60 act as strong resistance. Each rebound candle shows an upper wick, indicating heavy selling pressure. The 1-hour timeframe is a weak consolidation and there is no valid sign of bottoming or reversal. 💹 Bollinger Bands: The bands are narrowing at the lows, with the middle band (around 4084) moving sideways. The market is consolidating at low levels and may choose a direction soon — with a higher probability of continuing downward in line with the main trend. 🔴 Resistance Levels: 4110–4120 / 4140–4150 🟢 Support Levels: 4060–4050 / 4032–4035 ✅ Trading Strategy Reference: 🔰 If gold rebounds to 4110–4120 and meets resistance, consider light short positions. The target can be set at 4050–4030. If the decline continues, further targets are 4000 and 3930–3887. 🔰 If gold rebounds to 4140–4150 and faces rejection, high-position shorts can be taken, targeting 4100–4080. 🔰 If gold pulls back to 4035–4040 and stabilizes, consider low-position longs, targeting 4060–4080. 🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTradingPro
XAUUSD | Consolidation and Anticipation of Fed Data📈 Gold Market Analysis: Consolidation and Anticipation of Fed Data The gold market (XAU/USD) experienced a relatively flat and sideways trading session on Monday, consolidating between the key levels of $4103 and $4055. This movement occurred after the precious metal experienced a sharp 2% decline in the previous trading session, reflecting investor caution. Investors are currently adopting a wait-and-see approach, awaiting the release of important economic data from the United States. This data is crucial because it will provide new clues regarding the Federal Reserve's (Fed) interest rate policy path. Expectations regarding monetary tightening or, conversely, a rate cut will significantly impact US bond yields and the value of the US dollar, which in turn will determine the direction of gold prices. 📌 Technical Outlook and Key Levels Gold is currently consolidating firmly within a key pivot range. Bearish Update: The primary bearish focus lies at the $4055 support level. A clear breakout and close of the 1-hour candle (1H close) below this support is expected to trigger a further wave of bearish momentum. The next downside target is the minor support level of $4013, followed by the more significant support at $3979. Sustaining the price below $4055 will maintain a downside bias. Bullish Update: To reverse momentum, gold needs to break through the key resistance level at $4103. A convincing breakout, confirmed by a 4-hour candle (4H close) closing above $4103, would signal a shift in momentum to the bullish side and a price recovery. This would pave the way towards the next resistance target located at $4148.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by NouzTrader
XAU/USD Weekly Plan – Rebound or Breakdown? Key Levels AheadGold experienced a sharp pullback from last week’s 4234 resistance, dropping aggressively on Friday into the 4027 support level before finding temporary support around the 200MA. Buyers now face early resistance between 4115–4170. A clean break above 4170 would signal that bulls are regaining control, opening the way for a move toward 4232 → 4285. If price fails to reclaim 4115, we may see another leg lower. A breakdown below 4053 would expose the support zone , with deeper downside risk toward the HTF Support Zone if bearish pressure strengthens. 📌Key levels to watch: Resistance: 4115 4170 4232 4285 Support: 4078 4053 4027 3996 3968 3921 🔎Fundamental focus: As the U.S. government reopens for business, all attention will now turn toward when critical data on employment, inflation, and other key economic indicators will be released.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
XAU/USD – Wedge Compression Signaling Potential Bullish BreakoutXAU/USD – Wedge Compression Signaling Potential Bullish Breakout Description: Gold (XAU/USD) has been consolidating after a sharp decline from the $4,280–$4,300 resistance area, which formed a clear double-top reversal pattern — signaling short-term bearish pressure. Following this correction, the market has now developed a descending wedge formation, typically seen as a bullish reversal structure when accompanied by volume buildup and repeated support rejections. Currently, the price is trading around the $4,010–$4,020 zone, sitting just above dynamic trendline support. A break and close above the $4,030–$4,100 supply area (highlighted in purple) would confirm a shift in market structure, potentially opening the way for a bullish leg toward $4,200 and beyond. Traders should watch for a breakout retest scenario, as a pullback to $3,960 could provide an ideal (demand re-entry zone) for continuation buyers. On the downside, a failure to defend the $3,960 support level may expose the market to deeper liquidity sweeps near $3,886, where larger buyers could step in again to fuel a stronger upside move. From a broader perspective, this price action reflects (accumulation behavior) following aggressive distribution earlier in the month. Momentum divergence and narrowing volatility hint that bulls are preparing for control — aligning with possible risk-off sentiment in global markets that typically benefits gold. Bias: Bullish above $3,960 | Targets: $4,100 – $4,200 | Invalidated below: $3,886 Technical Outlook: Wedge Compression | Breakout Anticipation | Structure Shift Confirmation Pending
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by ZACKFX7
Gold Weekly Summary and Forecast 11/15/2025In my last week's weekly post, I did predict gold to rise sharply and touch 4248. Well, it almost hit and quickly retrace and found its support around 4050. It did close the week with a positive note. I am still bullish on gold for the next week. It will be interesting to see what is the price action on next Monday. In regard of the heavy drop on Friday, I am cautious for the bull's continuation. Therefore, I will watch closely on Monday. If 4050 level is held, we could see more pumps and gold could test another ATH. My target will be 4440. However, If daily closes below 4000, we could see more drops coming. Let's see what the market will give us.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by SteadyFund
Another golden opportunity to go long has arrived.Gold prices encountered strong resistance near 4250, followed by a significant pullback as bullish momentum weakened and prices gradually fell below 4200. This pullback not only gave back some of the previous gains, but also brought gold prices back to the key area where investors concentrated their long positions the previous trading day, indicating that market sentiment is becoming more cautious in the short term. From a technical perspective, gold prices failed to break through the previous resistance level after encountering resistance at higher levels. Combined with the divergence signals in trading volume and the MACD indicator, this suggests heavy selling pressure above, limiting short-term upside potential. The ideal range for long positions could be set between 4130 and 4160. This area not only represents a previous area of ​​high trading volume but also possesses strong technical support. Within this range, long positions can be considered in stages, with reasonable stop-loss orders set to control risk, awaiting the re-establishment of the next trend. If you do not yet possess systematic market analysis skills or have not yet established a stable trading system, you are welcome to continue to follow my updates. You can leave comments in the comment section, and I will answer your questions as soon as possible. Gold strategies will be continuously tracked; please look forward to the next in-depth analysis.
FOREXCOM:GOLDLong
by Martin_Trading_Guide
Gold (XAUUSD) 4h: Expanding Flat Resistance at 50% FibCurrent price action lines up with the expanding flat (A-B-C) scenario, and we've just tagged the 50% Fibonacci retracement from the prior swing high. The B wave spike confirmed by structure now faces resistance right at this key level. RSI remains in overbought territory (above 76), giving extra weight to the idea of a local top forming. Key points: Structure: Expanding flat (A-B-C), with recent leg up overshooting wave A. Levels: Price currently at the 50% Fibonacci (4,194 zone), upper resistance. Next steps: Looking for signs of reversal—lower timeframe rejection, bearish pattern, or a strong close below 4,180 for confirmation. Targets: If reversal holds, initial C-leg targets sit at 3799.91 for equal leg. Still waiting for hard confirmation, but the context and confluence heavily favour a top and a possible sell setup brewing. #XAUUSD #Gold #ElliottWave #TechnicalAnalysis
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by EWaveInsights
XAUUSD/ GOLDGold is trading around 4064 after pulling back from earlier highs Price is sitting above a highlighted strong support zone near 4030–4050 A descending trendline is acting as resistance, with a potential breakout projected upward. The chart suggests a bullish move toward the 4122 target zone if price breaks the resistance Support remains crucial—failure to hold may trigger a deeper pullback below 4030. "Thank you for your support! If you found this idea valuable or learned something new, please consider liking and leaving a comment. I’d really appreciate hearing your feedback and thoughts."
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Pintu_sahu01
GOLD PLAN TODAY XAUUSD - BEARISH TREND | NOV 20, 2025 ☄️ Gold Market Outlook 11/ 20 (Based on SMC) ☄️ 📊 Overall Market Structure – H1 🔤Current trend: BEARISH 🔤After forming a high around 4215–4220, price broke structure downward → BOS (bearish). 🔤A clear CHoCH to the downside confirms the trend reversal. 🔤Price retraced to fill a portion of the FVG and continued falling → bearish structure intact. 💡 Trading Plan 🔽 Scenario 1: SELL at Major Supply 4155 – 4165 (High Probability) 🔤Reason Trend is bearish. This zone aligns with: FVG imbalance H1 supply Origin of the BOS downward High-quality sell POI. 🔤Entry Conditions On M5–M15: CHoCH → BOS to the downside Preferably an FVG forms during the breakdown ➡️ Strongest and cleanest trade idea. 🔽 Scenario 2: SELL at Minor Supply 4105 – 4115 (Medium Probability) 🔤Reason: A smaller supply zone + small imbalance (FVG). Price has reacted here before. Could be a weak zone, but still valid for scalpers. 🔤Entry Conditions: M5 confirmation: CHoCH downward Then BOS downward FVG appears → short entry ➡️ Good intraday opportunity, but less reliable than Scenario 1. 🔼 Scenario 3: BUY from Demand 4035 – 4050 (Counter-Trend, Use Caution) 🔤Reason: Strong H1 demand + large FVG. Price had a strong bullish reaction previously. 🔤Entry Conditions (must be strict since this is against main trend): On M5: CHoCH upward BOS upward Small bullish FVG for entry ➡️ Only for advanced traders comfortable with counter-trend trades.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TradeM_Gold_I
Gold H1 – Sideway or Preparing for a Bigger Break?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (20/11) 📈 Market Context Gold continues to move inside a tight consolidation as markets digest fresh headlines: Treasury markets just erased hopes for a December rate cut and now even a January cut is doubtful, following hawkish tones revealed in the latest Fed minutes. This shift reinforces USD strength in the short term and pressures gold’s bullish momentum, keeping price trapped between well-defined liquidity zones. Key implications from the news: • The 6-month Treasury yield jumped back to 3.83%, aligning with hawkish expectations. • Rate-cut bets evaporating → USD stays firm, limiting gold’s upside. • Institutions are engineering both-side liquidity sweeps ahead of upcoming Fed speakers. • Gold is currently hovering around ~$4,070 inside a neutral zone where no clean premium/discount imbalance exists. Until the market receives fresh macro catalysts, price is likely to sweep liquidity at the edges of the range before choosing direction. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure) • Structure: Price remains inside a short-term sideways distribution after the recent CHoCH + BOS sequence. • Premium Sell Zone: 4145–4147, aligning with unmitigated supply + buy-side liquidity resting above recent highs. • Discount Buy Zone: 4004–4002, sitting inside last clean demand with previous sell-side sweep. • Liquidity Map: → Buy-side liquidity: above 4145–4150 (equal-high cluster). → Sell-side liquidity: below 4004–3997, where earlier long positions were cleared. 🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone) • Entry: 4145 – 4147 • Stop-Loss: 4155 • Take-Profit: → 4085 (minor imbalance) → 4045 (range midpoint) → 4004 – 4002 (discount demand) 📌 Execution rule: Wait for liquidity sweep into zone + bearish CHoCH M5–M15 before entering. 🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone) • Entry: 4004 – 4002 • Stop-Loss: 3997 • Take-Profit: → 4040 (short-term range high) → 4075 (inefficiency fill) → 4140 (premium retest) 📌 Valid only if price sweeps the 4000–3997 liquidity pocket and shows strong bullish displacement. ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Expect increased volatility as markets reposition after the sharp decline in rate-cut expectations. • Avoid trading inside the 4030–4080 chop zone unless a clear structure break occurs. • Reduce risk size during sudden USD spikes caused by Treasury-yield moves. • Trail stops progressively as each liquidity level is taken. 📝 Summary Gold is currently stuck in a clean intraday range as hawkish Fed minutes remove hopes for early rate cuts, pushing USD up and holding gold below premium supply. SMC structure favors liquidity-sweep setups at both edges: • Sell Zone: 4145–4147 (premium supply) • Buy Zone: 4004–4002 (discount accumulation) Expect classic manipulation → reaction → continuation patterns until the market resolves the new macro pressure. 📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more Smart Money updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
4
XAU/USD: Bearish Reaction Builds Below 4,130 ResistanceXAU/USD is approaching the edge of the resistance zone after a rebound from the $4,000 support area. Price remains within a wider consolidation, reacting to both the downward trendline and mid-range resistance. If the market stays capped below 4,130, a drop toward 4,045 is likely as sellers regain short-term control. The overall pattern suggests a compressing structure, where bearish reactions within resistance zones continue to dominate. ❗️ Risks: – Breakout above 4,130 could target 4,245, invalidating the bearish case. – FOMC or macro news could push gold sharply higher. – Failure to hold below mid-range may cause sideways drift instead of a clean drop.
CITYINDEX:XAUUSDShort
by RTED_Investing
XAUUSD – HEAD AND SHOULDERS PATTERN FORMING ON H4💛 XAUUSD – HEAD AND SHOULDERS PATTERN FORMING ON H4 🎯 🌤 Overview Hello everyone, it's Lana here again 💬 Gold, after a strong decline, is forming a clear Head and Shoulders structure on the H4 timeframe, following a long-term upward trendline. This pattern allows us to expect a rebound to the old peak area, but before that, the price may "dip" down to complete the structure. 💹 Technical Analysis (ICT Perspective) The Left Shoulder – Head – Right Shoulder is gradually completing around the trendline + supporting FVG. The area around the 50% Fibonacci above is a reasonable zone for the price to form the right shoulder, and if it breaks above the neckline, it could pave the way back to the strong liquidity area above 4200. In the short term, the 4118–4120 area is both resistance + the neckline of the pattern, suitable for a technical Sell. The 4040–4042 area coinciding with the trendline + OB is a nice support to watch for a Buy if the price adjusts deeply. 🎯 Reference Trading Plan 💢 SELL Scenario (scalping at resistance) Sell 4118–4120 │ SL: 4125 TP: 4105 → 4086 → 4060 → 4040 💖 BUY Scenario (priority according to the pattern) Buy 4042–4040 │ SL: 4034 TP: 4075 → 4090 → 4100 → 4140 → 4200 ⚠️ Important Notes Trading according to the pattern is just an expectation trade, so it should be combined with candle signals on smaller timeframes (M15–M30) before entering a trade. The upcoming FOMC meeting and NFP report, after a prolonged US government shutdown, could lead to very unpredictable volatility. Reduce volume, avoid holding large positions through major news events. 🌷 Conclusion with LanaM2 The Head and Shoulders pattern on H4 is opening up beautiful opportunities for both short Sell and Buy according to the larger trend 💛 Be patient and wait for the price to reach the marked areas, be disciplined with SL, and don't FOMO before the news. If you find this useful, please 💛 Like – 💬 Comment – 🔔 Follow LanaM2 to update the gold perspective with me every day ✨
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2