XAUUSD SHORT FOLLOWTHROUGHOur sell setup is currently being followed, as shown from the previous setup,
Take Note and react accordinly
PROFITS PROFITS PROFITS
DISCLAIMER : This is not financial advice , risk accordingly
Trade ideas
Gold bullish breakout resistance at 4250The Gold remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action indicating a potential breakout rally within the broader trend.
Support Zone: 4120 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 4120 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
4250 – initial resistance
4297 – psychological and structural level
4350 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 4120 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
4090 – minor support
4045 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Gold holds above 4120. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Gold Slightly Adjusts, Monitoring Pullback to 4,151 USD Support📊 Market Structure
After the Break of Structure (BoS) at the 4,208 USD zone, gold confirms the continuation of the upward trend and is forming a technical adjustment.
The price has touched the Resistance Zone of 4,208 – 4,237 USD and is currently adjusting as expected, heading towards the Support Zone of 4,151 USD – this is where a previous impulsive move originated.
Below the 4,151 Support, there is a strong OB at 4,104 USD.
As long as the price does not break deeply below 4,104 USD, the bullish structure remains intact.
💎 Key Technical Zones
• Resistance Zone: 4,208 – 4,237 USD → supply zone + area of bearish reaction
• Support Zone: 4,151 USD → area awaiting bullish reaction
• Strong OB + Support: 4,104 – 4,110 USD → base of bullish structure
• Liquidity Zone (Target): 4,260+ USD → area for the next wave expansion
🎯 Trading Plan
1️⃣ BUY Setup – Trend Following
If the price adjusts correctly to the discount zones:
• Entry 1: 4,151 USD
• Entry 2: 4,104 USD (most attractive zone – confluence OB)
SL: below 4,090 USD
TP1: 4,208
TP2: 4,237
TP3: 4,260
→ Main strategy: wait for pullback → re-enter the upward wave → follow the strong trend.
2️⃣ SELL Scalp – Reaction at Resistance (counter-trend)
If the price retests the 4,208 – 4,237 zone and creates a clear rejection:
Entry: 4,218 – 4,230
SL: 4,245
TP1: 4,180
TP2: 4,151
→ Setup only for flexible traders, short trades, no holding positions.
🧠 Vincent’s View
The current structure is very precise:
Impulsive Move → Short-term Distribution → Pullback to Support → Continuation of the upward wave.
The 4,151 USD zone is the focal point to observe.
The 4,104 USD zone is the most attractive BUY area if the market seeks deeper liquidity.
As long as the price does not break 4,104 USD, the buyers maintain complete advantage.
“Let the pullback come to you — structure always tells the truth.” ⚜️
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Updated: 14/11/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
GOLD HOLDS STRONG ABOVE $4,200! 🚀 XAUUSD DAILY MARKET ANALYSIS
Thursday, November 14, 2025
💰 GOLD HOLDS STRONG ABOVE $4,200! 📈
Current Price: $4,189 - $4,235 💎
Yesterday's Close: $4,231 (+0.86%)
Weekly Gain: +5.4% (MASSIVE!) 🔥
Status: 🟢 CONSOLIDATING AT HIGHS
🎯 MARKET UPDATE - WHAT'S HAPPENING NOW?
Gold is CONSOLIDATING above the critical $4,200 level after yesterday's explosive breakout! The market is catching its breath after a 5-day winning streak that pushed prices up over $330 from last month's lows.
Key Developments:
✅ Government Shutdown ENDED - US House passed funding bill
✅ Strong Above $4,200 - Holding key psychological level
✅ Fed Rate Cut at 80% - Economists now predicting December cut
✅ Four Consecutive Green Days - Bullish momentum intact
✅ Testing $4,235 - Approaching critical resistance zone
📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Market Structure: BULLISH CONSOLIDATION 🟢
The rally has paused for a healthy consolidation. This is NORMAL and HEALTHY after a 5.4% weekly gain. Gold is building a base for the next leg up!
Key Observation: Price is respecting the $4,189-$4,235 range today - this is a coiling pattern before the next move.
Critical Support Levels (BUY ZONES) 🔵
Support 1: $4,189 - $4,200 (MAJOR - Former resistance)
Support 2: $4,157 - $4,160 (Strong base)
Support 3: $4,114 - $4,120 (Key level)
Support 4: $4,048 - $4,060 (Breakout point)
Support 5: $3,987 - $4,002 (November open)
Key Resistance Levels (SELL/TARGET ZONES) 🔴
Resistance 1: $4,235 - $4,243 (Current test)
Resistance 2: $4,252 - $4,254 (Critical breakout level)
Resistance 3: $4,313 - $4,320 (Next target)
Resistance 4: $4,356 - $4,382 (All-time high zone)
📈 TECHNICAL INDICATORS
RSI (14): 64 (Bullish but cooling - Room to move higher) ✅
MACD: Positive and rising - Strong bullish signal ✅
Stochastic: Neutral zone - Allows for upward movement ✅
Moving Averages:
Price WELL ABOVE all EMAs ✅
EMA 20/50/200 all aligned bullish ✅
Golden Cross confirmed ✅
Volume: Strong on rallies, lighter on dips (Healthy) ✅
Bollinger Bands: Price near upper band - Volatility expansion mode
🎯 TODAY'S TRADING STRATEGIES
SCENARIO 1: BREAKOUT CONTINUATION 🚀 (65% Probability)
IF Gold Breaks Above $4,252:
This is the CRITICAL LEVEL to watch! A close above $4,252 signals resumption of the major uptrend.
LONG Setup:
Entry: Break and close above $4,252 with volume
Targets:
TP1: $4,313 📍 (+60 pips)
TP2: $4,356 📍 (+104 pips)
TP3: $4,382 📍 (+130 pips - All-time high retest)
Stop Loss: $4,210 (Below consolidation)
Risk/Reward: Excellent 1:3+ ratio ✅
SCENARIO 2: HEALTHY PULLBACK 📉 (35% Probability)
IF Gold Breaks Below $4,189:
A pullback would be healthy and provide better entry opportunities.
BUY THE DIP Strategy:
Entry Zone 1: $4,157-$4,170 (Best value)
Entry Zone 2: $4,114-$4,120 (Strong support)
Targets:
TP1: $4,200 📍
TP2: $4,243 📍
TP3: $4,280 📍
Stop Loss: Below $4,100
⚠️ NOTE: Dips are BUYING opportunities in this bullish trend!
💎 BEST TRADE SETUP FOR TODAY
CONSERVATIVE APPROACH (Recommended) 🎯
WAIT for one of these clear setups:
Option A - Breakout Trade:
Entry: Above $4,252 (confirmed break)
Target: $4,313 → $4,356
SL: $4,210
Option B - Pullback Trade:
Entry: $4,157-$4,170 (on dip)
Target: $4,243 → $4,280
SL: $4,135
DO NOT CHASE at $4,220-$4,240! Wait for clear direction.
🌍 FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
BULLISH CATALYSTS ⬆️⬆️⬆️
✅ Fed Rate Cut Odds: 80% - Economists now strongly expect December cut
✅ Government Reopening - But delayed data creates uncertainty = Gold support
✅ Missing Economic Data - October CPI/jobs reports delayed/may never release
✅ Weak Labor Market - 11,000+ weekly job losses continue
✅ Dollar Weakness - DXY struggling at resistance
✅ Central Bank Demand - 634 tonnes purchased YTD, expecting 750-900 total
✅ ETF Inflows - $64 billion added in 2025
✅ Safe-Haven Demand - Geopolitical tensions persist
Risk Factors ⬇️
⚠️ Overbought Short-Term - RSI 64, near 70 threshold
⚠️ Profit Taking Risk - After 5-day rally (+5.4%)
⚠️ Resistance Zone - $4,235-$4,252 is strong barrier
⚠️ Data Clarity - If delayed data shows strength, could pressure gold
🔥 MARKET SENTIMENT: BULLISH WITH CAUTION
Analyst Consensus:
Short-term: Consolidation before next leg (Most likely)
Medium-term: Target $4,300-$4,400
Long-term: $4,700-$5,000 by 2026 (UBS/Goldman)
This Week:
Expected to test $4,252 resistance. Break above = Rally to $4,313+
End of November:
Analysts predict $4,230-$4,300 range
💡 PROFESSIONAL GAME PLAN
For DAY TRADERS:
⚡ Scalp the Range - Trade between $4,189-$4,235 with tight stops (20-30 pip targets)
Buy: $4,190-$4,200
Sell: $4,230-$4,235
Breakout: Above $4,252 → GO LONG aggressively
For SWING TRADERS:
📊 Wait for Clarity
Either breakout above $4,252 → Hold to $4,356
Or pullback to $4,157 → Buy for retest of $4,252
For LONG-TERM INVESTORS:
💎 Accumulate on Dips
Target: $4,150-$4,180 range
Goal: Hold for $4,500+ (2026 target)
Strategy: Dollar-cost averaging
📅 KEY EVENTS TO WATCH
THIS WEEK:
🎤 FOMC Speakers - Watch for rate cut signals
📊 Economic Data - Delayed reports may start releasing
🏛️ Government Funding - Impact on market sentiment
NEXT WEEK:
📈 November 21 - US Manufacturing & Services PMI
🎬 BOTTOM LINE (TL;DR)
Price: $4,189-$4,235 (Consolidating)
Bias: 🟢 BULLISH (Pullbacks are buying opportunities)
Key Level: $4,252 (Break this = Rally resumes)
Best Action: WAIT for breakout above $4,252 OR dip to $4,157
Risk Level: MEDIUM-HIGH (Volatility expected)
🔔 TODAY'S CRITICAL LEVELS
DO NOT CHASE between $4,220-$4,240!
BUY SIGNALS:
✅ Break above $4,252 with volume → GO LONG
✅ Dip to $4,157-$4,170 → BUY THE DIP
SELL SIGNAL:
❌ Break below $4,114 → Exit longs, potential reversal
NEUTRAL ZONE:
⚪ Between $4,189-$4,235 → Wait for direction
📊 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK
Trend: STRONGLY BULLISH ⬆️
Momentum: STRONG (but cooling) ⚡
Support: SOLID at $4,189-$4,200 🛡️
Resistance: TOUGH at $4,252 🚧
Pattern: Ascending channel with bullish flag forming
Next Move: Break $4,252 → Target $4,313-$4,382
⚠️ RISK MANAGEMENT RULES
✅ Position Size: Max 2% risk per trade
✅ Stop Loss: ALWAYS required - No exceptions!
✅ Take Profits: Lock 50% at TP1, trail rest
✅ Don't Chase: Wait for your setup patiently
✅ Respect $4,252: This is the make-or-break level
🎯 SWING TRADE SETUP (Multi-Day Hold)
Setup A - Breakout Play:
Entry: $4,254-$4,260 (after confirmed break)
Target 1: $4,313 (Hold 2-3 days)
Target 2: $4,356 (Hold 5-7 days)
Target 3: $4,382 (Hold 1-2 weeks)
Stop Loss: $4,210
Setup B - Pullback Play:
Entry: $4,150-$4,170 (if it dips)
Target 1: $4,243 (Hold 3-5 days)
Target 2: $4,313 (Hold 1 week)
Stop Loss: $4,120
🏆 PROFESSIONAL ANALYSIS SUMMARY
Gold has successfully rallied 5.4% this week and is now consolidating at the $4,200 psychological level. This is textbook healthy behavior after a strong rally.
The Setup:
Consolidation forms a bull flag pattern
Next move determines short-term direction
$4,252 is the line in the sand
Most Likely Scenario:
Brief consolidation (1-2 days) → Break above $4,252 → Rally to $4,313-$4,356
Alternative Scenario:
Healthy pullback to $4,157-$4,170 → Strong bounce → Retest $4,252
Either way, the TREND IS UP! 📈
💪 TRADING PSYCHOLOGY TIP
After a big rally, markets MUST consolidate. Don't panic if price pulls back slightly. Use dips as OPPORTUNITY, not fear. The trend is your friend - and this trend is BULLISH! 🚀
🎓 LESSON: THE BULL FLAG PATTERN
What we're seeing now is a BULL FLAG:
✅ Strong rally (flagpole) - Done
✅ Consolidation (flag) - Happening now
⏳ Breakout (continuation) - Coming soon!
Action: Wait for flag breakout above $4,252, then go LONG!
🔮 FORECAST
Today: Range between $4,180-$4,240
Tomorrow: Test of $4,252 or pullback to $4,157
This Week: Break $4,252 → Rally to $4,300+
End November: $4,280-$4,350 range
December: Potential retest of all-time high $4,382
⚠️ FINAL DISCLAIMER
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Trading gold and forex involves substantial risk of loss. Never trade with money you cannot afford to lose. Always use proper risk management including stop losses. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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Nov 14, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential Opportunity📊 Analysis:
On the higher timeframes, there are early signs of a potential reversal,
but on the lower timeframes, bearish pressure is weakening and bullish momentum is starting to show.
For today’s Asian session, the main plan is to buy pullbacks into support as long as 4174 holds.
Watch 4219 — if price breaks above this level, bullish momentum may take control.
If price breaks below 4174, the plan switches to selling rallies into resistance.
As it’s Friday, volatility and unpredictability may increase — trade cautiously and manage risk tightly.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 4245 – Resistance
• 4219 – Resistance
• 4207–4211 – Resistance zone
• 4200 – Psychological level
• 4187 – Support
• 4183 – Support
• 4174 – Key intraday support
• 4161 – Support
• 4145 – Major support
📈 Intraday Strategy:
SELL: If price breaks below 4174 → target 4170, with further downside toward 4161, 4153, 4145
BUY: If price holds above 4196 → target 4200, with further upside toward 4207, 4211, 4219
Gold Spot (XAU/USD) – 4‑H Chart Update (Nov 13, 2025)Gold Spot (XAU/USD) – 4‑H Chart Update (Nov 13 2025)
**Current price:** ~4 223.76
**Recent movement:** The market rallied strongly from the 4 000 area over the past week, climbing back above 4 200 and currently trading near 4 224. Momentum remains positive but the price has just entered an area of overhead resistance.
---
#### Key zones & levels
* **Double Top/Bottom High (4 381.51) & 4‑hour SR (4 356.02):**
These purple lines mark the high of a previous double-top formation and a corresponding 4‑hour support/resistance level. If the uptrend continues, this area could act as a major supply zone; a clean break above 4 356 would signal renewed bullish strength toward 4 400+.
* **Vfi Sell Zone & Weekly SR (4 266.91–4 280):**
This red band is a confluence of a weekly support/resistance level and a sell zone identified by your Vfi indicator. Price briefly tested this region before pulling back. Watch how price behaves if it retests this zone—rejection could trigger a corrective move, while a decisive close above 4 280 would open the way toward the higher resistance band.
* **Immediate resistance (4 238.95):**
A 4‑hour SR line lies just above the current price. This level has already been tested intraday. Sustained trading above 4 238 would strengthen the near‑term bullish case; failure to reclaim it may encourage sellers.
* **Mid‑range support cluster (4 206.43 & 4 194.65):**
The dashed green lines denote the daily open (approx. 4 206) and another 4‑hour support/resistance level (~4 195). This zone could act as minor support on pullbacks. A break below might indicate a deeper retracement toward the next support band.
* **Daily / ¼‑hour TJL support (4 125.79):**
A broader green band around 4 126 is highlighted as a strong demand zone. If the market corrects, buyers may look for reaction here; it coincides with a prior consolidation area.
* **Major support (4 000.48):**
A weekly SR at 4 000 (pink) marks the lower bound of the recent range. A break below would negate the current bullish structure and put focus back on the swing low at 3 886.28.
---
#### Potential scenarios
1. **Bullish continuation:**
* Price holds above 4 206–4 195 and reclaims 4 238.95.
* An upside break of the Vfi sell zone (4 266–4 280) could extend the rally toward the double‑top area (4 356–4 381).
* Watch for strong volume and momentum on any breakout.
2. **Range/bearish pullback:**
* Failure to close above 4 238 leads to consolidation between 4 238 and 4 206.
* A break below 4 206–4 195 would target the green support band around 4 125.
* Loss of 4 125 opens risk for a deeper correction toward the weekly SR at 4 000.
---
**Note:** This analysis is for educational purposes. Always incorporate your own risk management and confirm signals before taking any trades.
Gold: Watch Support Near 4168 and Resistance at 4252With strong rate-cut expectations combined with heightened geopolitical tensions, gold’s safe-haven appeal has been significantly reinforced, pushing prices back above the 4200 level. From a medium-to-long-term perspective, gold still has considerable upside potential, with some voices in the market even calling for a move toward 5000.
In the short term, the U.S. government is about to resume operations, and the delayed economic data will soon be released. The market widely expects these reports to confirm a slowdown in the U.S. economy. Meanwhile, the White House has cautioned that October’s employment and inflation data may not be published on time due to the disruption caused by the shutdown. This uncertainty has further intensified concerns about the economic outlook, providing continuous support for gold’s upward momentum.
However, it’s worth noting that the policies and data released after the government’s reopening remain uncertain. The market has already priced in a considerable portion of bullish expectations. If the actual results align with these expectations, the short-term upside could be limited; if they diverge, a corrective pullback would be likely. Therefore, proper risk management is essential to navigate potential volatility.
Technical Outlook:
On the daily chart, moving averages show a strong bullish alignment. The current uptrend is supported by the MA5 (around 4127), while the key support lies near the MA30 (around 4074). The MACD has formed a bullish crossover, and the price is moving between the Bollinger Bands’ middle line (4075) and upper band (4298).
This means that during the price consolidation around 4200, key supports to watch are 4150–4127 and the middle band near 4075. (Indicator levels may shift as volatility increases, so real-time monitoring is recommended.)
On the 1-hour chart, the main supports are 4168/4152/4138. As long as these levels hold, gold still has room to test 4223–4250 in the short term. With supportive news catalysts, a move toward 4300 cannot be ruled out.
Overall, next week’s market will likely see heightened volatility. Opportunity and risk coexist — those who manage position size and timing well could see their profits multiply, while those lacking discipline and risk awareness could face severe drawdowns or even liquidation.
gold await breakout#XAUUSD price have multi decline below the 4100, now on pattern reverse but the buy maybe trap depending how the upper range react.
Buy at 4135 on 2 times breakout, TP 4145-4161, SL 4123.
Breakout below the 4122-20 will drop the price down to 4093 which will reverse back to 4112 to sell continuation till 4079.
A GOOD CONFIRMATION BY 12PMWhat i see is we would likely sell today but it will push up a bit further maybe to somewhere 4130-35 before a sell but the sell confirmation will be at 12pm and 4pm , if market confirms sell by 12 then it will sell automatically but if it doesn't confirm sell by 12pm UTC a final confirmation will be at 4pm, from my technical perspective
XAUUSD Short Trade Idea, Immediate pullback to the nearest FVG #xauusd #forex #propfirm,XAUUSD Short Trade Idea, Immediate pullback to the nearest FVG XAUUSD Short Trade Idea, Immediate pullback to the nearest FVG
XAUUSD Forming Bullish MomentumGold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around the 4,000 mark, showing strong bullish momentum after an extended breakout from a prolonged consolidation phase. The market has successfully cleared its previous resistance zone, which had acted as a ceiling for months, confirming a continuation of the broader uptrend. The pattern on the chart clearly reflects a breakout-retest-continuation structure, where gold has completed a healthy pullback phase and is now preparing for its next impulsive move to the upside. As long as price remains above the 3,900 support area, the bullish outlook stays intact, with buyers likely targeting the 4,300–4,500 region in the coming sessions.
Fundamentally, gold’s bullish tone is being supported by a combination of softer U.S. dollar sentiment and growing expectations that the Federal Reserve may adopt a more dovish stance heading into 2026. Inflation data has shown signs of moderating, and U.S. Treasury yields have started to ease, which typically benefits non-yielding assets like gold. Additionally, ongoing geopolitical tensions and central bank accumulation of gold reserves continue to add a strong layer of demand, keeping the metal well-supported even during short-term pullbacks.
Looking forward, XAUUSD’s trend remains positive as long as market conditions sustain this risk-hedging narrative. Any dips toward 3,950–3,900 could offer fresh buying opportunities for swing traders targeting the next leg higher. The technical picture complements the fundamentals, suggesting that gold may be entering a new expansion phase toward the 4,500–4,700 zone if momentum persists. A clean daily close above 4,100 would likely confirm this next bullish wave, keeping the overall sentiment firmly in favor of the bulls.
Latest gold analysis and strategies:
I. Fundamental Analysis
Bullish Factors:
Increased Rate Cut Expectations: Weak US private payroll data and pessimistic University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment data have strengthened market expectations that the Fed might initiate rate cuts sooner. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold, providing support for its price.
Persistent Safe-Haven Demand: Concerns about the US economic outlook and potential US government shutdown risks are bolstering gold's safe-haven appeal.
Bearish Factors:
Easing Safe-Haven Sentiment: Signs of a potential resolution to the US government shutdown and a thaw in US-China trade tensions could weaken gold's safe-haven attractiveness.
Key Data Imminent: The market is highly focused on the upcoming US October CPI and Retail Sales data. Strong data (especially CPI) could reverse rate cut expectations and put downward pressure on gold prices.
Core Focus Points:
US CPI Data (Thursday): Market expectations are for a 0.2% month-over-month increase and a 0.3% increase in Core CPI. Data significantly higher than expected would be bearish for gold.
US Retail Sales Data (Friday): Known as the Terror Data, its results will directly influence the market's assessment of US economic health and Fed policy.
II. Technical Analysis
Trend and Structure:
Daily charts show that after a decline and correction in late October, gold has now entered a phase of consolidation and correction.
The price has reclaimed the 5-day and 10-day moving averages, shifting the short-term technical structure to a slightly bullish consolidation. The key support zone below is 3990-3985 (5/10-day MA). A break below this area could signal a return of the corrective trend.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 4110 - 4130 (Major Pressure Zone)
Support: 4060 - 4040 (Recent Conversion Support), 4020 - 4000 (Important Support Band)
Trading Approach:
The overall strategy is "primarily look for long positions on pullbacks, supplemented by short positions on bounces."
III. Comprehensive Trading Strategy
Long Strategy (Buying on Dips):
Ideal Entry Zone: 4060 - 4040 area.
Signal Confirmation: Enter upon observing signs of stabilization in this zone (e.g., bullish candlestick, long lower wick).
Profit Target: Aim for 4110, and further towards 4130.
Stop Loss: Set below 4040 (e.g., around 4030).
Short Strategy (Selling on Rallies):
Ideal Entry Zone: 4110 - 4130 area.
Signal Confirmation: Lightly initiate shorts upon observing signs of rejection and pullback in this zone (e.g., bearish candlestick, long upper wick).
Profit Target: Aim for 4060.
Stop Loss: Set above 4140.
IV. Risk Warnings and Position Management
Data Risk: This week's CPI and Retail Sales data could trigger significant market volatility. Consider light positions or staying on the sidelines before the data releases.
Event Risk: Closely monitor developments regarding the US government shutdown issue and subsequent US-China trade relations. Any unexpected news could shift market sentiment.
Position Management: The current market exhibits significant emotional characteristics, increasing trading difficulty. Ensure you trade with light positions and implement strict stop-losses.
XAU forecasting XAU PREDICTIONS Ithink we are in 5 wave of a super wave. So the nearest target point on the base of my mind is 47000
ANFIBO | XAUUSD - Black Friday, but hit $4200 soon [11.11.2025]Well, Anfibo's here again!
XAUUSD Analysis – Daily Trading Plan
Overall Picture:
OANDA:XAUUSD has moved exactly according to my yesterday’s plan, delivering an impressive 750 Pips of profit — a phenomenal start to the new trading week. The bullish structure remains firmly intact, and momentum continues to show strength as price pushes higher toward major resistance zones. For today, my expectation is that XAUUSD will extend its upside move toward the $4,200 region, which also aligns perfectly with the 61.8% Fibonacci extension on the higher timeframe — a strong confluence level where profit-taking is highly likely. At this zone, I will secure additional profits from yesterday’s buy positions and closely monitor price action for potential sell signals.
Trading Plan for Today:
>>> SELL ZONE:
ENTRY: 4185 – 4205
SL: 4210
TP: 4150 – 4130
>>> BUY ZONE:
ENTRY: 4075 - 4090
SL: 4065
TP: 4140 – 4190 - 4200
Risk Management:
Stick to small-to-medium positions within the range; increase size only on confirmed breakouts.
Keep stops tight, as bullish extensions can reverse sharply at major confluence zones.
Maintain Risk:Reward ≥ 1:2 and avoid overtrading during high volatility spikes.
Reassess market bias once price reacts clearly around the $4200 fibo confluence zone.
Conclusion:
Gold continues to reward trend-following strategies as it pushes toward the $4200 target zone. This level will be crucial for today’s session, as it represents both a psychological barrier and a strong fibo confluence. I will lock in further profits on buys once price reaches this region and will only consider sells if price action confirms a reversal pattern.
HAVE A NICE DAY, GUYS!
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for November 10thGold Technical Analysis:
Daily Resistance: 4145, Support: 3930.
4-Hour Resistance: 4085, Support: 4017.
1-Hour Resistance: 4085, Support: 4046.
Gold's current upward momentum is driven by a combination of factors: a weakening dollar, uncertainty surrounding the previous government shutdown, and geopolitical concerns, creating a perfect safe-haven storm.
Technically, the bullish outlook remains on longer timeframes such as the monthly and weekly charts, with clear bottom support. Rising expectations of a Fed rate cut further fuel this bullish sentiment. The weak dollar index supports gold prices, while weak employment data and a collapse in consumer confidence reinforce the narrative of an economic slowdown. With the US government reopening imminent after voting, previously missed data releases will cause significant volatility. Pay close attention to the implementation of the government reopening agreement; short-term safe-haven demand is unlikely to subside. Geopolitically, the ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine, the escalating Israeli-Palestinian conflict, and the renewed threat from the Houthis are multiple powder kegs increasing global political uncertainty.
Gold has broken out of its recent trading range on the daily candlestick chart, allowing for trend-following trading. On the upside, the key level to watch is 4080/85; whether it can hold is crucial for further bullish moves. A short-term "rounding bottom" pattern is quite evident on the daily chart. On the downside, watch for a retest of the 4000 level.
Looking at the 1-hour chart, the moving averages are in a bullish alignment, and support levels are moving higher. During the European and American sessions, focus on the continuation of the upward trend, paying attention to whether it can hold above 4080. Support is seen around 4055/4050.
Trading Strategy:
BUY: 4055~4050
BUY: 4018~4015
SELL: 4141~4150
More Analysis →
Going long on core supportGeopolitical and policy factors jointly drive the situation: The global geopolitical situation has intensified, the conflict in the Middle East continues to boost the demand for safe-haven assets, and the shipping risks in the Strait of Hormuz further enhance the crisis hedging attribute of gold. Although the Federal Reserve has slowed down the pace of interest rate cuts, the general direction of the easing cycle has not changed. The expectation of a downward trend in real interest rates has reduced the cost of holding gold, providing a bottom support for the price.
Long-term support from the capital market: Central banks around the world are showing a strong enthusiasm for purchasing gold. Nearly 90% of the surveyed central banks expect to continue increasing their gold holdings in the next 12 months. Central banks in emerging markets have an especially strong desire to increase reserves, continuously injecting long-term momentum into the gold price. The inflow of funds into gold ETFs is significant, and coupled with the rise in domestic and international prices， institutional funds recognize the current trend.
Technical trend momentum continues： After breaking through the historical key resistance， the price forms a strong pattern of volume and price coordination. The decline after reaching a new high is limited， and the short-term trend momentum has not diminished. No signal of energy decay has appeared yet， which is in line with the "stronger always stronger" breakout logic.
Today's gold trading strategy
buy：4140-4160
tp:4120-4130
sl:4110
Amazing long on XAUUSD (Gold) Looking for more continuationsAfter the crazy liquidation to the downside, gold start creating a new bullish structure, it was just a matter of time to find a great long trade for Gold. Price create a couple of MSS (Market Structure Shift) Then grab important liquidity to fuel up the bullish movement.
Fibonacci set from our high to our low and just set the Limit Order. After price taking out the level 100% of our Fibonacci, we set our trade to BE and let it run to our TP.
Keep your eyes for more continuation trades to the upside this week.
Gold Analysis & Trading Strategy | November 17-18✅ From the 4-hour chart, after gold topped at 4245, the price continued to break downward and is still trading below all short-term moving averages (MA5 / MA10 / MA20). This indicates that the larger-cycle bearish trend remains intact.
MA5 < MA10 < MA20 — the bearish alignment is clear, and every rebound has been suppressed near MA10 (4110).
💹 Bollinger Bands:
The lower band continues to extend downward, the middle band (around 4146) is sloping lower, and the lower band has moved down to 4035.
Gold is currently oscillating weakly near the lower band, suggesting that the market is still releasing downside momentum and the lower support has not stabilized.
✅ From the 1-hour chart, gold has been unable to hold above MA20 (around 4084).
MA5 and MA10 are pressing downward, while MA20 and MA60 act as strong resistance. Each rebound candle shows an upper wick, indicating heavy selling pressure.
The 1-hour timeframe is a weak consolidation and there is no valid sign of bottoming or reversal.
💹 Bollinger Bands:
The bands are narrowing at the lows, with the middle band (around 4084) moving sideways.
The market is consolidating at low levels and may choose a direction soon — with a higher probability of continuing downward in line with the main trend.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 4110–4120 / 4140–4150
🟢 Support Levels: 4060–4050 / 4032–4035
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
🔰 If gold rebounds to 4110–4120 and meets resistance, consider light short positions. The target can be set at 4050–4030. If the decline continues, further targets are 4000 and 3930–3887.
🔰 If gold rebounds to 4140–4150 and faces rejection, high-position shorts can be taken, targeting 4100–4080.
🔰 If gold pulls back to 4035–4040 and stabilizes, consider low-position longs, targeting 4060–4080.
🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions.
XAU/USD – Retracement Before Next Leg UpGold (XAU/USD) has pulled back after testing the upper boundary of the descending trendline around US $4,230–4,250. The rejection there was expected, as this level has acted as a major dynamic resistance since early October. Despite the drop, price is still trading within a broader ascending channel, suggesting that the current move is a healthy retracement inside an ongoing uptrend.
Potential W-shaped correction forming, with multiple buy invalidation levels highlighted. This structure often appears mid-trend when the market is resetting liquidity before continuation.
🧠 Technical Outlook
Price remains inside the rising channel, respecting both upper and lower boundaries.
The rejection at the descending trendline aligns perfectly with previous swing highs — a natural area for sellers.
A deeper pullback into the 4,000–4,020 region is possible before buyers step back in.
If the W-correction completes, a bounce from the lower channel boundary could send price back toward 4,160–4,200, and eventually retest the descending trendline again.
Buy Invalidation #1: A break below 4,000 weakens the bullish structure.
Buy Invalidation #3: A break below 3,900–3,880 fully invalidates the upside scenario and opens the door to deeper declines.
The overall structure still favors bullish continuation, as long as price stays above the lower channel line.
🌍 Fundamental View – November 2025
Fed Outlook: The Federal Reserve kept rates unchanged in late October but signaled openness to rate cuts in early 2026 as economic data cools. This continues to underpin gold sentiment.
USD & Yields: The U.S. dollar has shown a mild rebound this week, creating short-term pressure on gold — aligning with the current dip on the chart.
Inflation: Sticky inflation around 3.2% limits how high real yields can climb, helping maintain gold’s medium-term bullish bias.
Geopolitics: Persistent tensions across the Middle East keep safe-haven demand stable, contributing to deep pullbacks being bought quickly.
In short, the fundamentals still support gold’s broader uptrend, even if a short-term correction unfolds.
⚖️ Trading Plan
Bias: Bullish continuation after a corrective pullback
Watch Zone for Buys: 4,000–4,020 (channel support & correction completion zone)
Upside Targets:
4,160
4,200
Retest of 4,230–4,250 descending trendline
Invalidation Levels:
#1: Below 4,000 (structure weakens)
#3: Below 3,900–3,880 (bullish idea invalid)
Summary:
Gold is correcting inside a rising channel, and as long as price holds above the lower boundary, the structure favors another bullish leg toward 4,160–4,250. The W-pattern on your chart supports a scenario where buyers re-enter after liquidity is swept from lower levels.
XAUUSD - Buy SetupTimeframes Used: Monthly → Weekly → Daily → 4H
Current Market Condition:
XAUUSD is a valid trade according to my system rules:
Monthly: Price is above the Cloud → Bullish
Weekly: Price is above the Cloud → Bullish
Daily: Price is above the Cloud → Bullish
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Currently in trade on 4hr timeframe:
Entry: 4111.02
Stoploss: 4010.79
TP: Aiming for 1:5 risk to reward
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Gold Weekly Summary and Forecast 11/15/2025In my last week's weekly post, I did predict gold to rise sharply and touch 4248.
Well, it almost hit and quickly retrace and found its support around 4050.
It did close the week with a positive note. I am still bullish on gold for the next week. It will be interesting to see what is the price action on next Monday. In regard of the heavy drop on Friday, I am cautious for the bull's continuation. Therefore, I will watch closely on Monday. If 4050 level is held, we could see more pumps and gold could test another ATH. My target will be 4440. However, If daily closes below 4000, we could see more drops coming.
Let's see what the market will give us.
GOLD BUY Gold looking to buy and recollect it’s move to the upside , so will be using a buy stop to catch a trade and correct the previous error where it missed (TAKE PROFIT) by a few inches
