"New All-Time High – Exactly as Predicted!"🔑 Key Levels After the Breakout:
✅ New Support: 3719 (flipped from resistance into a key support).
✅ Next Resistances:
3892
4064 (extended target – potential wave 5 top).
✅ Secondary Supports: 3659 – 3612
🔹 Elliott Wave Perspective:
Wave (3) has completed with the breakout above 3719.
We may now see the beginning of a short correction (wave 4) pulling back toward 3719 – 3659.
After that, wave 5 could extend upward targeting 3892 → 4064.
📈 Expected Scenarios:
Main (Bullish) Scenario:
Sustaining above 3719 keeps momentum strong, pushing price gradually toward 3892, then 4064.
Alternative (Corrective) Scenario:
A pullback to retest 3719 – 3659 as a base before resuming the bullish trend.
GOLD trade ideas
Gold holds firm at 3,63x | Caution for Friday session🟡 XAU/USD – 19/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓
🔎 Captain’s Log – Market Context
FED : Probability of a 25bps cut in October is 91.9%, while holding rates is only 8.9% → almost certain FED will continue easing.
US News : No major data today, market remains quiet.
Gold : Sharp moves in Asia session, but support 3,632 – 3,630 held strong.
Yesterday’s Buy at 3,62x delivered 200 pips , confirming this zone as a “fortress” support.
Note : Today is Friday – end of the week session, unexpected volatility may occur before the weekly close → strict risk management required.
⏩ Captain’s Summary : Gold remains bullish, but caution is needed with end-of-week swings. Golden Harbor around 3,63x continues to be a solid anchor.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis
Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone)
3,661 – 3,663 (intraday resistance)
3,683 – 3,685 (strong OB, likely profit-taking zone)
Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone)
3,602 – 3,605 (FVG zone – deeper support if 3,63x breaks, waiting for strong demand)
Market Structure
After rebounding from 3,62x, Gold consolidated around 3,65x – 3,66x.
Main trend stays bullish, but needs support retest to confirm buyers’ strength.
3,66x is the pivot barrier:
• Breakout → targets 3,68x
• Rejection → retest 3,64x – 3,62x
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan
✅ Buy (priority)
Entry: 3,602 – 3,605
SL: 3,588
TP: 3,629 – 3,661 – 3,683
⚡ Sell (short scalp)
Entry: 3,683 – 3,685
SL: 3,695
TP: 3,665 – 3,645
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The 3,63x fortress continues to hold, keeping the Golden ship safe on its northward journey. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3,602 – 3,605) remains the main dock for sailors to gather strength. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3,683 – 3,685) may raise waves, suitable for short Quick Boarding 🚤 . Today is Friday – the sea can shift unexpectedly, so keep the sails full but hands steady on the helm.”
Gold Spot (XAU/USD) – Demand Zone Retest and Potential ReversalThe price action of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on the 30-minute timeframe. The market recently experienced a decline after facing resistance around the 3,687 level, moving down toward the 3,640 demand zone highlighted in purple. The projection suggests that price may first dip further into the demand zone near 3,620 before potentially reversing and rallying upward toward the 3,690 region. Key levels of interest include the marked fair value gap (FVG), order blocks, and the strong support zone, which indicate possible reversal and bullish continuation.
XAUUSD (Gold) Trading Guide: Key Zones for Beginners.💡 Analysis:
Today is Friday, and Gold may move in both directions. This is a neutral outlook — the idea is to respect market structure:
Look for buy opportunities from supports.
Look for sell opportunities from resistances.
🔹 Key Resistance Levels:
R1: 3667 – 3672
R2: 3685 – 3689
R3: 3704 – 3707 (ATH)
🔹 Key Support Levels:
S1: 3637 – 3632
S2: 3617 – 3613
These levels are very important, especially for beginners who struggle with drawing authentic support and resistance zones. Use them as a guide for safer trade planning.
👉 If you find this educational analysis helpful, don’t forget to Like 👍, Comment 💬, and Share 🔄.
Regards: Forex Insights Pro.
#XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #SupportResistance #Trading #Education #DayTrading
XAU OUTLOOK ASIAN
BUY/SELL SCENARIOS:
BUYS:
1) Body Candle Close above the 3647.35 level.
2) Retest the 15m Bullish CHoCH at the 3647.35 level.
3)Create a 3/5m Bullish Engulfing Candle to capitalize on BUYS towards the 3673.00 level.
SELLS:
1) Body candle close below the 3636.96 level.
2) Retest the 15m Bearish CHoCH at the 3636.96 level.
3)Create a 3/5m Bearish Engulfing candle to capitalize on SELLS towards the 3613.00 level.
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 9/19/2025Gold was indeed rejected from the trendline yesterday and dropped under 3655 but failed to touch 3620 yet. I am expecting it to drop further today.
However, I am looking to sell from 3655 or if 3620 is broken. If 3620 is broken, it should open way at least down to 3580, or even 3557.
XAUUSD | Bullish SetupPrice broke the last high, confirming bullish structure. I’m expecting a pullback into demand to continue higher.
📌 Entry Zone: I will enter at demand zone once I get a confirmation on my lower timeframe.
🎯 Targets: my target is bsl
🛑 SL: Just below the demand zone
As long as demand hold, I remain bullish and expect continuation to the upside.”
Gold 1H – Dollar Strength Weighs Ahead of US DataGold on the 1H chart is testing deeper demand zones near 3,612–3,614 after repeated liquidity sweeps into 3,678 and 3,702. Sellers continue to defend premium supply, with engineered stop-runs fading quickly. Today’s US data releases and renewed dollar strength keep gold vulnerable to further downside unless discount demand zones show strong defense.
________________________________________
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL SCALP 3,678 – 3,680 (SL 3,685)
Premium intraday pocket for rejection targeting 3,675 → 3,670 → 3,665.
• 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,704 – 3,702 (SL 3,711)
Major premium supply trap for engineered sweep before continuation lower toward 3,670 → 3,655 → 3,640.
• 🟢 BUY GOLD SUPPORT 3,616 – 3,618 (SL 3,610)
Fresh deep discount demand zone, targeting recovery into 3,630 → 3,645 → 3,655+ if defended.
________________________________________
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔻 Sell Setup – Intraday Premium Rejection (3,678–3,680)
• Entry: 3,678 – 3,680
• Stop Loss: 3,685
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,675
TP2: 3,670
TP3: 3,665
👉 Expect engineered liquidity grab into premium before NY session.
🔻 Sell Setup – Higher Premium Trap (3,704–3,702)
• Entry: 3,704 – 3,702
• Stop Loss: 3,711
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,670
TP2: 3,655
TP3: 3,640
👉 Smart money may sweep highs near 3,704 before extending bearish leg.
🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Reversal (3,612–3,614)
• Entry: 3,616 – 3,618
• Stop Loss: 3,610
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,630
TP2: 3,645
TP3: 3,655+
👉 Strong bounce potential if dollar retraces post-data; favorable risk/reward from deep demand.
________________________________________
🔑 Strategy Note
With US data and dollar strength in focus, gold remains heavy below 3,678–3,704. Favor short setups into premium sweeps, but monitor 3,612–3,614 closely for signs of accumulation. Trade smaller size until direction clarifies post-news.
Rally Before the Fed: A Trap or Treasure for Bears?Gold hit a new high again, and the current highest has reached around 3685. After gold consolidated at a high level for several trading days, the bulls launched a strong attack again, and it seems that there are signs of trying to hit 3700. However, the current gold market is at a critical node and cycle, so I do not advocate continuing to chase gold; on the contrary, I will choose to short gold at every high as the gold price rises!
Gold rose sharply as the Federal Reserve was about to announce its interest rate decision, and hit a new high again! Against the backdrop of interest rate cut expectations, it is easy to push market sentiment to a climax! When the market is caught in a long-term frenzy, it may also be an opportunity for large funds to quietly exit the market. Therefore, I think the purpose of gold's sharp rise before the Federal Reserve announced its interest rate decision is very clear. The first is to reserve room for decline for the news market in advance, and the second is to attract most retail investors in the market to take over. So I think the turning point of gold is coming soon!
So for short traders, I think this rise is not a risk, but an opportunity! Gold may collapse based on the phenomenon of "buying expectations and selling facts", so I think we need to short gold at its rallies before the Federal Reserve announces its interest rate decision. However, I would like to point out that when shorting gold in batches, we must control the number of lots traded to reduce trading risk!
For short-term trading, I believe we can short gold in batches above 3680, with a short-term retracement target of 3660-3650. If gold falls below this area, it may even continue to retrace to the current rising point of 3635-3625.
XAU Daily–Gold at Critical Rejection Zone|Breakout or Reversal?Gold (XAU/USD) is currently trading near the critical All-Time High (ATH) resistance zone between **$3,656–$3,674**, where it has faced multiple rejections in the past. On the
**1D timeframe**, price action is showing signs of hesitation near this level.
If a **bullish breakout** occurs above the marked rejection zone — confirmed by a daily candle close with volume — gold could continue its upward trajectory and potentially form new highs.
However, if the resistance holds and no breakout is confirmed, a **bearish reversal** may follow. Key **support levels** are marked just below the current price. A breakdown below these support zones may lead price down toward the **targets at $3,621 and $3,603**.
This chart also outlines a possible **parabolic rounding top pattern**, signaling caution.
🔑 **Trading Tip:** Wait for breakout or breakdown confirmation before entering trades. Manage risk properly and always follow your trading plan.
Gold on the eve of interest rate cut: opportunity or trap?Gold Technical Analysis: Further analyzing gold's trend from a technical perspective, since its decline from the 3675 high, the daily chart has failed to show a clear unilateral direction. Instead, it has exhibited a pattern of alternating negative and positive fluctuations with narrowing amplitudes. Furthermore, the K-line chart continues to trade above the unilateral moving average. This pattern clearly points to a period of consolidation within a bullish trend, rather than a trend reversal. This week's daily chart should focus on two key support levels: the 3600 area represents a short-term watershed between strength and weakness. If broken, the market could shift from strong fluctuations to weak corrections. The 3500 area represents a medium-term bull-bear reversal line. A breach of this level could trigger a fundamental trend reversal. Therefore, 3600 should be the primary defensive line.
The 4-hour chart shows more volatile gold: the Bollinger Bands continue to narrow, and the moving averages are highly converging. This indicates a complete lack of momentum needed for a unilateral rise or fall. For the time being, the 3615-3660 range is the preferred range. Based on cyclical patterns, the probability of a breakout of the Bollinger Bands on Monday and Tuesday is extremely low before the bands open. Therefore, high-certainty trading can be conducted on these two trading days around 3615 (lower support) - 3660 (upper resistance), without excessive expectations for a breakout outside the range.
Based on real-time trends, gold has completed a short-term correction since the opening. Based on the logic of oscillation, long positions can be established within the day based on support near the lower edge of the range: enter near 3625-3620 (aligned with the lower edge of the 4-hour range), targeting upward fluctuations. Focus on the 3650-3660 area (where the upper edge of the 4-hour range overlaps with key resistance on the daily chart). If the price rebounds to the 3660-3655 range and finds resistance, a small position can be used to test short positions, targeting a pullback to the 3635-3630 area, forming a closed-loop buy-low-sell-high strategy within the range. Note that after the adjustment, the current price is in the middle of the range. Direct entry is not recommended for now. Wait until the price approaches the -3625-3620 support level or the 3655-3660 resistance level before placing orders based on K-line stabilization/pressure signals to improve trading accuracy. Overall, the recommended short-term trading strategy for gold today is to primarily buy on dips, supplemented by higher rebounds. Focus on the 3655-3665 resistance level on the upside, and the 3625-3615 support level on the downside.
Notice! Notice! Long positions have taken profits. Please visit.
Gold retreated slightly during the day and continued to fluctuate within a narrow range. Long positions near 3630 have already taken profits, and traders who followed suit have already profited.
The current market is volatile, pressured by 3650. Once it stabilizes above 3650, the market will continue its strong upward trend.
It is important to note that the daily chart's pullbacks during this period of continuous fluctuations are not significant. Watch for a possible secondary upward trend after a sideways correction at a high level. On the 4-hour chart, the short-term moving averages continue to converge and flatten, and the K-line charts have left long upper shadows, indicating a slightly stronger short-term trend. Keep an eye on the short-term correction.
Trading Recommendation: Prior to the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, focus on short-term trading. Both long and short positions should be taken when gains are seen. Buy on subsequent pullbacks to around 3634-5. Real-time intraday market guidance.
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for September 15thGold Technical Analysis
Daily Chart Resistance: 3670, Support: 3600
4-Hour Chart Resistance: 3657, Support: 3627
1-Hour Chart Resistance: 3647, Support: 3633
Technical Analysis: From a technical perspective, the daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains in overbought territory. The 1-hour chart suggests continued range-bound trading. If gold prices break through resistance near 3657, they could retest last Tuesday's all-time high of $3675, potentially moving towards the $3700 mark. Meanwhile, the Asian trading session low near 3627 provides short-term support, followed by the $3610-3600 range. A sustained break below last week's low of $3580 could trigger a further correction to the crucial support levels of 3565-3560. In the New York market, focus will be on resistance at 3650-3675, while support at 3627/3600 is expected. The short-term bull-bear dividing line is 3633! My personal recommendation: Sell high and buy low, with buying low as the primary trading strategy.
SELL: 3650near
SELL: 3657near
BUY: 3628near
BUY: 3603near
XAUUSD - Holding on Major Resistance Buy/SellAnalysis of XAU/USD (Gold) Chart - Bearish Potential
Based on the current chart position for XAU/USD on September 12, 2025, the market structure and indicators point to a strong bearish (downward) potential. Here are the key points supporting this analysis:
Prevailing Downtrend: The price action shows the asset is already in a downtrend for the session, trading down approximately -0.58% from its previous close. The current price (63,655.135) is positioned near the lower end of the displayed range.
Position Relative to Key Zones: The current price is trading significantly below the identified " Major Sell Zone " and " Liquidity Area OR Reversal Zone ," which are concentrated between approximately 3,674 and 3,680. This suggests the market has already rejected these higher price levels and is moving away from them, confirming the selling pressure.
Resistance Levels: Multiple strong resistance levels are stacked above the current price (e.g., 3,662.000, 3,670.000, 3,674.816, 3,680.000). This creates a "ceiling" that could cap any upward attempts and reinforce the bearish outlook.
Potential Trade Signal: The chart is explicitly indicating the analysis has issued a sell signal based on its strategy.
In summary, the chart evidence strongly suggests a bearish inclination . The price is in a short-term downtrend, resides well below major resistance and sell zones, and is accompanied by an active sell signal.
Disclaimer:- We are not responsible for your losses due to this analysis, do your own research or consult your financial advisor to invest in this volatile market
XAUUSDPrice respect my previous Level at 3719 and drop almost 130+ pips hope you enjoyed
Gold Short Trade Brief
- *Entry*: $3,725 (near ATH)
- *Stop Loss (SL)*: $3,740
- *Take Profit (TP)*: $3,625-$3,650
Trade Rationale:
- Entering a short near the all-time high (ATH) with a tight stop loss above $3,740.
- Targeting a potential drop to $3,625-$3,650, considering support levels.
Caution:
- Gold prices can be volatile near ATH levels.
- Monitor price action and adjust strategy if market conditions change.
BLACKBULL:XAUUSD
GOLD (XAUUSD): Bullish! Continue To Buy! In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the Gold (XAUUSD) for the week of Sept. 22 - 26th.
Gold is bullish on all HTFs. Selling is not an option. Wait for a pullback, and jump on the uptown train! Dips are your friend, so be patient and wait this market to take a breather.
Selling is only valid when there is a bearish break of structure. Until that happens, buy it, my friend.
Be wary of the pullback, as that move is likely to be corrected, but that would set up a great long opportunity!
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
XAUUSD pair of Gold levels to watch in both directionsBased on technical analysis and recent market movements for XAUUSD, after closing around 3685.15, the next accurate levels to watch are in both directions, considering the potential for either continued upside or a correction.
Upward Targets (Resistance):
Immediate Resistance: The 3686-3700 USD range is a key resistance zone, potentially a profit-taking area for short-term traders.
All-Time High Retest: A break above 3700 could lead to a retest of the recent all-time high near 3707 USD.
Extended Targets: Beyond the all-time high, potential targets could reach 3720-3732 USD (Fibonacci Extension) and even 3750 USD in a strong bullish scenario.
Downward Targets (Support):
Immediate Support: The 3660-3665 USD range, which acted as resistance previously and now serves as a potential support level, is important to watch.
Demand Zone/Fair Value Gap: A pullback could find support in the 3655-3665 USD demand zone or H4 Fair Value Gap.
Previous Weekly Low/Deeper Support: If the aforementioned levels fail to hold, the previous weekly low at 3648 USD and the Weekly Fair Value Gap at 3595-3620 USD could be tested.
Important Note: The market is currently consolidating after reaching recent highs, and while the overall sentiment remains bullish, a period of profit-taking or correction is possible, especially around the resistance levels. Monitor price action around these key levels for confirmation of direction.