Another golden opportunity to go long has arrived.Gold prices encountered strong resistance near 4250, followed by a significant pullback as bullish momentum weakened and prices gradually fell below 4200. This pullback not only gave back some of the previous gains, but also brought gold prices back to the key area where investors concentrated their long positions the previous trading day, indicating that market sentiment is becoming more cautious in the short term. From a technical perspective, gold prices failed to break through the previous resistance level after encountering resistance at higher levels. Combined with the divergence signals in trading volume and the MACD indicator, this suggests heavy selling pressure above, limiting short-term upside potential.
The ideal range for long positions could be set between 4130 and 4160. This area not only represents a previous area of high trading volume but also possesses strong technical support. Within this range, long positions can be considered in stages, with reasonable stop-loss orders set to control risk, awaiting the re-establishment of the next trend.
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Trade ideas
Gold: Watch Support Near 4168 and Resistance at 4252With strong rate-cut expectations combined with heightened geopolitical tensions, gold’s safe-haven appeal has been significantly reinforced, pushing prices back above the 4200 level. From a medium-to-long-term perspective, gold still has considerable upside potential, with some voices in the market even calling for a move toward 5000.
In the short term, the U.S. government is about to resume operations, and the delayed economic data will soon be released. The market widely expects these reports to confirm a slowdown in the U.S. economy. Meanwhile, the White House has cautioned that October’s employment and inflation data may not be published on time due to the disruption caused by the shutdown. This uncertainty has further intensified concerns about the economic outlook, providing continuous support for gold’s upward momentum.
However, it’s worth noting that the policies and data released after the government’s reopening remain uncertain. The market has already priced in a considerable portion of bullish expectations. If the actual results align with these expectations, the short-term upside could be limited; if they diverge, a corrective pullback would be likely. Therefore, proper risk management is essential to navigate potential volatility.
Technical Outlook:
On the daily chart, moving averages show a strong bullish alignment. The current uptrend is supported by the MA5 (around 4127), while the key support lies near the MA30 (around 4074). The MACD has formed a bullish crossover, and the price is moving between the Bollinger Bands’ middle line (4075) and upper band (4298).
This means that during the price consolidation around 4200, key supports to watch are 4150–4127 and the middle band near 4075. (Indicator levels may shift as volatility increases, so real-time monitoring is recommended.)
On the 1-hour chart, the main supports are 4168/4152/4138. As long as these levels hold, gold still has room to test 4223–4250 in the short term. With supportive news catalysts, a move toward 4300 cannot be ruled out.
Overall, next week’s market will likely see heightened volatility. Opportunity and risk coexist — those who manage position size and timing well could see their profits multiply, while those lacking discipline and risk awareness could face severe drawdowns or even liquidation.
Gold Trade Set Up Nov 13 2025Gold is overbought and has taken out all BSL besides ATH so if price can stay closed below this bearish 4h FVG and engulf this 1h candle i will look for sells down to lower SSL levels but if it fails to close below and continues to make HH.HL on the 1h and 15 i will look for buys to continue higher
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Bulls Eye 4285 After 4153 BreakoutAfter a short consolidation phase, gold broke above the 4153 resistance and extended higher, now trading around 4236. A clean break and hold above 4234 could open the path for the next resistance at 4285.
If bullish momentum fades, watch the MA50 for potential dynamic support and the Pullback Zone (4153–4115) for a possible retracement area.
Failure to hold that zone could trigger a deeper move toward lower support levels.
📌Key Levels to watch:
Resistance:
4234
4285
4322
Support:
4197
4153
4115
4074
4027
🔎Fundamental Focus:
Today’s calendar is light on major economic data, but multiple FOMC members are scheduled to speak, which could provide hints on future monetary policy direction.
Gold Bullish Strategy AnalysisGold has ended its three-week consolidation phase, and the technical trend remains upward. The daily chart shows a strong six-day winning streak, with the 10-day and 7-day moving averages (MA10/MA7) trending upwards to their current levels of 4053/4083. The 1-hour and 4-hour charts show the Bollinger Bands widening upwards, with the price trading in the upper half of the bands. The moving average system is also trending upwards, the MACD histogram is showing increasing momentum, and the RSI is hovering near 70. The trading strategy for gold remains unchanged: buy on dips!
Looking at the current 4-hour chart, short-term moving averages are turning upwards. The key is whether positive news can sustain the upward momentum. A further upward breakout is possible on Thursday and Friday, but we need to pay close attention to the strong resistance area above 4250. Short-term support is around 4150. If the price continues to trade above 4150, it indicates that the bullish trend remains intact.
Key Levels:
First Support: 4180, Second Support: 4153, Third Support: 4131
First Resistance: 4210, Second Resistance: 4248, Third Resistance: 4266
Gold Trading Strategy:
Buy: 4160-4165, SL: 4150, TP: 4180-4190;
Sell: 4250-4255, SL: 4265, TP: 4230-4220;
More Analysis →
Gold Holds 4200, Bulls Eye 4250Gold showed a fluctuating upward trend today, successfully standing firm above the critical 4200 level, with strong bullish momentum. Supported by multiple positive factors, there remains room for further upside, though potential volatility risks should be guarded against.
From the daily chart structure, Gold has steadily broken through the key integer level of 4200 and successfully stood above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the recent pullback range, presenting a favorable technical pattern. On the indicator front, both RSI and MACD remain in positive territory, indicating sufficient short-term upward momentum.
Key support levels below are concentrated around 4180 and 4100. If these critical levels can be held, the subsequent upward trend is expected to continue; a breakdown below them may trigger technical selling, dragging gold prices toward 4075 or even the psychological threshold of 4000.
If gold can continue to hold firmly above 4200, the next target range is expected to be 4250, with further potential to test 4300.
Trading Strategy:
Buy 4170 - 4180
SL 4160
TP 4210 - 4220 - 4230
Sell 4230 - 4240
SL 4250
TP 4210 - 4220 - 4190
Gold (XAU/USD) – Price Stalls at Key SupplyGold (XAU/USD) – Price Stalls at Key Supply, Compression Signals Imminent Breakout Move
Gold continues to remain capped under the 4,148 supply zone, with price forming a tight consolidation range right below resistance. The recent impulsive rally has brought buyers into control, yet the failure to break above the ceiling highlights growing exhaustion and a potential reversal if momentum weakens.
From a structural view, price retested multiple demand zones on the way up, respecting bullish orderflow and EMA alignment. However, the current sideways compression at the top suggests that the market is deciding the next directional leg.
Key Technical Levels to Watch
Immediate Resistance: 4,148 – critical supply where rejection has occurred multiple times
Nearest Support: 4,120 – minor demand zone created after the breakout
Deeper Support: 4,075 – strong accumulation area
Major Support: 3,985 – previous base of the rally
Trading Outlook
As long as gold remains below 4,148, upside momentum is limited and short-term pullbacks remain possible. A clean break above this level would invalidate the bearish structure and open the door for continuation toward new highs.
Conversely, a break back below 4,120 could trigger a deeper correction, with 4,075 as the next logical downside target.
The current H1 price compression near supply suggests a high-probability breakout setup is forming. Traders should watch how the next candles react around these key levels to determine the intraday bias.
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GOLDPreferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
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Where Can Gold (XAUUSD) Take a Correction?Looking at your chart, Gold is moving up in a short-term recovery, but there are strong resistance zones above where a correction (downward move) can happen.
1️⃣ Zone: 4113 – 4120 (Current Area)
This is a minor resistance.
Small pullback is possible but not a major reversal zone.
2️⃣ Major Resistance Zone: 4143 – 4147
This is the first strong supply zone.
Price fell sharply from this zone earlier.
This is the most likely area for correction.
3️⃣ Strong Resistance: 4176 – 4180
If price continues upward, this is the next major resistance.
High probability that gold will correct from here.
4️⃣ Upper Resistance: 4200 – 4207
This aligns with your upper trendline.
This is the highest and strongest reversal zone.
A deep correction can start from here.
Stay Tuned For More Updates
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure
TVC:GOLD Gold (XAU/USD) is trading near $4,075, struggling to gain traction after a sharp intraday recovery. Price remains capped by the resistance zone at $4,081–$4,086, while intraday support is seen between $4,041–$4,045.
The structure currently favours a short-term bearish reaction, with price showing repeated rejection at the resistance zone. A break below $4,060 could accelerate downside momentum toward the support zone, while any sustained push above $4,093 would invalidate the bearish bias.
🎯 Trade Setup
Idea: Sell from resistance zone targeting retest of support.
Entry: $4,081 – $4,086
Stop Loss: $4,094
Take Profit 1: $4,045
Take Profit 2: $4,041
Risk–Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 3.4
Bias turns bullish only if price closes above $4,093.
🌐 Macro Background
Gold trades above $4,100 ahead of the delayed US September NFP report, which was pushed back due to the 43-day government shutdown, the longest in U.S. history.
FXStreet notes that:
“Gold edges higher to near $4,110 as uncertainty over US jobs data and cautious sentiment support safe-haven demand.” 【FXStreet】
NFP Impact:
A weaker-than-expected jobs report would likely revive expectations for a December rate cut, boosting gold through lower yields and a softer USD.
Fed Divisions:
The FOMC Minutes showed policymakers divided—some supporting further cuts, others opposing another move in December.
Market Pricing:
The CME FedWatch Tool shows only a 30% probability of a December rate cut, sharply lower than nearly 60% last week, limiting gold’s upside.
Overall, gold’s upside remains constrained by shifting rate expectations, but uncertainty around delayed data continues to provide safe-haven support.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance: $4,081 – $4,086
Support: $4,041 – $4,045
Psychological Level: $4,100
📌 Trade Summary
Gold remains trapped between resistance at $4,081–$4,086 and support at $4,041–$4,045. Price is showing rejection at resistance, favouring a short-term bearish pullback.
Downside targets lie at $4,045 and $4,041, unless incoming NFP data triggers renewed bullish momentum.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
XAUUSD - Time to buy gold...XAUUSD was recently in a short term downtrend for a few weeks but has now shown some clear bullish movements ahead. XAUUSD (Gold) has broken out of a downward trend channel that was acting as strong resistance, The price is very likely to head to the next strong resistance level which is marked as the take profit zone (green line). Time to buy!
Gold prices are facing resistance in the $4135-$4120 range.Gold prices are facing resistance in the $4135-$4120 range.
Trading Strategy: Treat this as a range-bound market.
Intraday Trading: The most cost-effective strategy is to short.
Sell Price: $4110-$4115
Stop Loss: $4136
Take Profit: $4050-$4020
(See Figure 2h)
Gold is currently in a macro triangular oscillation cycle and is expected to consolidate within a specific structure next week.
A new round of significant price volatility is not expected until December.
XAU/USD: Bearish Reaction Builds Below 4,130 ResistanceXAU/USD is approaching the edge of the resistance zone after a rebound from the $4,000 support area. Price remains within a wider consolidation, reacting to both the downward trendline and mid-range resistance.
If the market stays capped below 4,130, a drop toward 4,045 is likely as sellers regain short-term control. The overall pattern suggests a compressing structure, where bearish reactions within resistance zones continue to dominate.
❗️ Risks:
– Breakout above 4,130 could target 4,245, invalidating the bearish case.
– FOMC or macro news could push gold sharply higher.
– Failure to hold below mid-range may cause sideways drift instead of a clean drop.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan — Critical Resistance AheadGold has shown a strong recovery from the Support Zone, reclaiming the 50MA and breaking above the 4078 resistance, which has now flipped into support. Price is currently trading around 4095, but the 200MA is acting as immediate resistance.
For buyers to continue higher, we need a clean break above 4115, the next key resistance. A confirmed break above this level would open the path toward 4170 and 4232.
If price fails to clear 4115, we could see a rejection back toward the 4078–4053 immediate support area. A break below that zone would expose a deeper pullback into the Support Zone again.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
4115
4170
4232
Support:
4078
4053
4027
3996
🔎Fundamental Focus:
The key event today is the FOMC Meeting Minutes, which could spark volatility depending on whether the tone appears more hawkish or dovish. Traders will be watching closely for clues on upcoming policy direction.
XAUUSDPrice Action Trading is a method of financial market analysis where traders make buying and selling decisions solely based on the asset's price movements over time, without relying on technical indicators.
It's essentially the art of reading a "naked" or clean chart to understand the psychology and behavior of market participants.
Gold still in it's year-end range, good scalping opportunitiesThis year's high is in, the same forecast as last year if you watched with me this time last December.
We can expect that the new year candle will target the previous high quickly and swiftly as always, but until then we scalp this year-end wick range using LTF OB/FVGs for minimal pip TPs






















