Black FridayUp to 80% OFF
CFDs on Gold (US$ / OZ)CFDs on Gold (US$ / OZ)CFDs on Gold (US$ / OZ)

CFDs on Gold (US$ / OZ)

No trades
See on Supercharts
OverviewNewsIdeasMindsTechnicalsSeasonals

Trade ideas

Gold softens after Fed minutes as smokestacks cap every rally Is there any way we can get a December rate cut now? Gold has softened after the release of the minutes from the Federal Reserve's last interest rate decision. The minutes show there’s no unified push toward cutting, which could make a December move unlikely. Several Federal Reserve officials supported lowering rates in October, but others preferred keeping policy unchanged, and some pushed back firmly against easing. Technically, XAUUSD continues to form smokestacks, printing repeated double-top structures. The price is now hovering around 4,070, sitting under possible short-term resistance at 4,150. XAUUSD losing the 50-day MA further could shift bias more decisively lower.
BLACKBULL:XAUUSD
by BlackBull Markets
Gold Technical Analysis and Trading Strategy (November 19th) MaGold Technical Analysis and Trading Strategy (November 19th) Market Review: Yesterday, the gold market showed a bottoming-out and rebound trend. After testing the support level of 3998, the price stabilized and rebounded. In the evening, it broke through the key resistance level of 4030, officially turning into a bullish pattern. Subsequently, after a second pullback to the 4029 support level, it launched a strong rally, reaching a high of 4082. The daily chart ultimately closed with a small bullish candlestick with a relatively long lower shadow, ending the previous three-day losing streak. This candlestick pattern indicates that after a fierce battle between bulls and bears, the bulls have regained dominance. Technical Analysis From a daily chart perspective, although yesterday's positive close alleviated short-term downward pressure, the overall technical pattern still presents some concerns: The short-term moving average system above still provides significant resistance, and the price has not yet achieved a substantial breakout. After three consecutive days of negative closes, the rebound of this single positive candle is more likely a technical correction. The price retraced again in the morning session, indicating that the bullish momentum still needs further confirmation. Key Levels Analysis: Support Area: Around 4050 (a support/resistance level), this level will be the watershed between bulls and bears today. Resistance Area: 4100-4105 (the previous high of the negative candle), this is a significant short-term resistance zone. Trading Strategy Operational Approach: Primarily buy on dips, secondarily sell on rallies. Specific Layout Long Position Strategy: Buy in batches in the 4050-4055 range, with a position size of 20% and a stop loss of 8 points. Target levels are 4080-4100, with a potential further upside to 4110 if the price breaks through. Short Position Strategy: Sell in batches in the 4100-4105 range, with a position size of 20% and a stop loss of 8 points. Target levels are 4080-4060, with a potential further downside to the 4050 support level if the price breaks below. Risk Warning: The impact of the Fed meeting minutes should be closely monitored today. The non-farm payroll data will be released on Thursday and may have a significant impact on the market. Strictly adhere to position management; the stop loss for each trade should not exceed 8% of the position size. Specific entry points should be adjusted flexibly based on real-time market movements.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by XAUUSD-Elizabeth
1
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for November 19thGold Technical Analysis: Daily Resistance: 4150, Support: 4000 4-Hour Resistance: 4150, Support: 4082 1-Hour Resistance: 4120, Support: 4098 Technically, the weekly candlestick chart shows a rebound, indicating confirmed support. Yesterday's daily chart closed with a hammer pattern after the rise, strengthening confidence in the technical rebound. Intraday, the effectiveness of the Bollinger Middle Band support needs to be monitored. The 4000 level has stabilized in the short term. News and data in the next few trading days will remain a key focus for the market. Now that 4100 has been broken, short-term traders can follow the trend. If the NY market experiences a slight pullback, it's also a good opportunity to buy, targeting the 4220/4250 area. We need to focus on the probability of a December rate cut; if it returns to above 60%, gold could accelerate its upward movement. Looking at the 1-hour chart, gold rebounded strongly in the European session, with the price action within an upward channel. Having broken through 4100, the short-term trend suggests further continuation. Watch for support levels from the MACD/KDJ indicators. For the European and American sessions, consider buying on a pullback to around 4095/4082. Trading Strategy: BUY: 4095~4082 SELL: 4150~4158 More Analysis →
TVC:GOLDLong
by ActuaryJ
1
Continue to short gold in the $4075-$4095 range!Gold prices rebounded slightly after falling below the $4,000 mark, a move highly consistent with previous technical analysis expectations. As previously predicted, gold prices successfully reached the key target of $4,000 after a period of sustained downward volatility, indicating a significant release of bearish momentum. This pullback was accompanied by high market sensitivity to macroeconomic data, particularly following the unexpected rise in initial jobless claims. This heightened concerns about the future labor market prompted investors to reassess the Federal Reserve's monetary policy path, leading to a resurgence in safe-haven demand and driving a significant rebound in gold prices. The data reflects signs of a possible marginal slowdown in the job market, causing some traders to reduce their bets on further interest rate hikes. This led to a decline in US Treasury yields and downward pressure on the US dollar index, thus providing short-term support for precious metals. As a result, gold prices quickly rebounded from their lows, recovering some lost ground and successfully reversing the previous continuous decline, returning to a range-bound trading pattern. From a current technical perspective, although gold prices have rebounded, the overall trend has not yet completely escaped downward pressure. Bears remain dominant, with the medium- and long-term moving averages arranged in a bearish pattern, indicating a cautious market sentiment. In the short term, the $3990-$4000 range is a key support zone. This area not only represents a previous consolidation level but also represents a concentration of technical buying and stop-loss orders, providing strong support for the current phase. Resistance is concentrated in the $4100-$4090 range, a densely packed area of ​​resistance that has been tested multiple times recently without success. Coupled with the possibility of some trapped positions selling off, gold prices are expected to face some selling pressure on any upward movement. Given the current weak and volatile market, the trading strategy can continue the approach established at the beginning of the week. It is recommended to short gold in batches when the price rebounds to between $4075 and $4095. At the same time, close attention should be paid to important events such as US inflation data, the non-farm payroll report, and speeches by Federal Reserve officials, as these factors may exacerbate market volatility and alter the short-term trend. If there are significant changes in the fundamentals, such as higher-than-expected inflation or significantly weaker economic data, the strategy will be adjusted accordingly and timely updates will be provided. Overall, the gold market is currently in a phase of intensified battle between bulls and bears, with the direction still unclear. In terms of trading, it is advisable to remain flexible, control positions, avoid chasing highs and lows, and focus on structural opportunities in a volatile market. The above are my personal thoughts! If they are helpful to you or your ideas align with mine, please like and follow to show your support! All strategies have a limited lifespan, so while referring to them, you should also closely monitor market changes. I will also respond flexibly based on actual market fluctuations, and I will announce specifics in the channel!
FOREXCOM:GOLDShort
by Martin_Trading_Guide
Gold SellPrice broke above the previous highs and made a new Higher High, showing that buyers took control and flipped the structure bullish. After that push up, price pulled back into the same breakout area, which is now acting as demand. This is the level where I expect the uptrend to continue. As long as price holds above this zone, I’m staying bullish with targets back toward the recent HH. If price breaks below the current HL, the setup is invalid — that’s where my stop is. Entry: 4,028.85 Stop Loss: 3,965.98 Take Profit: 4,253.68
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by richard925
Gold’s Survival Zone: 4010–3998 Decides EverythingKey Levels for Today Gold is trading at a decisive zone this morning: 4000–4004 → A clean break below this range opens the door toward 3945–3930. Holding above 4000 → Keeps the bullish recovery scenario alive. Break above 4055 → Signals strength returning, with upside targets at 4070 – 4085 – 4096 – 4111. Any sustained move above these levels indicates a potential continuation to higher zones. Technical Overview 1H–3H timeframe: Price is trading below all major moving averages (10/20/50/100/200) — a clear short-term bearish signal. 4H timeframe: Gold is still receiving solid support near 4010. Critical Zone (4010–3998): This is a life-or-death area for gold today. Expect heavy “battle” here. Failure to defend this zone will likely drive price directly toward 3945–3930. Trade Levels & Scenarios Bullish Scenario (Long): Entry: Above 4026 (risk from 4017) Targets: 4036–4039 → 4045 → 4055 → 4068 → 4079–4083 → 4090 → 4097 → 4107 → 4127 → 4132 Bearish Scenario (Short): Entry: Below 3998 (risk from 4007) Targets: 3991 → 3985 → 3977 → 3970 → 3958 → 3943 → 3930 → 3921 → 3901 Final Notes: If you find this analysis helpful, your comment or share truly makes a difference. Disclaimer This analysis reflects a personal technical and fundamental view. It is not financial advice or a buy/sell recommendation.Trading financial markets involves significant risk; all decisions are the sole responsibility of the trader. Wishing everyone a profitable day and a successful trading week. #GoldRider
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by Gold_Rider
ElDoradoFx – GOLD ANALYSIS (18/11/2025, ASIA SESSION)If you want: ✔️ Accurate Buy/Sell zones ✔️ High-probability trade setups ✔️ Precise Breakout levels ✔️ Full London, US & Asia forecasts every day ✔️ Weekly live trading & news trading events FIND THE LINK IN OUR YOUTUBE CHANNEL. ────────────────────────── 1️⃣ Market Overview Gold enters the Asia session trading around $4,045, recovering slightly after sweeping liquidity at the $4,007–$4,011 weak low. Despite the rebound, the broader structure remains bearish, with price still below the major H1/H4 supply zone (4,066–4,100) and under a strong descending trendline. Asia begins with corrective upside, but the dominant bias remains bearish unless a full structural break above $4,100 occurs. ⸻ 2️⃣ Technical Breakdown 🔹 Daily (D1) • Price is retesting the $4,028–$3,934 demand zone. • Rejection at the descending trendline from the major swing high confirms ongoing bearish momentum. • RSI (~51) is neutral. • A daily close below $4,028 exposes $3,934 → $3,886. • Holding above $4,028 keeps price inside corrective structure. ⸻ 🔹 1H Chart • Overall structure is bearish-to-neutral. • Price remains below the 200 EMA, 50 EMA, and trendline confluence zone at $4,066–$4,100. • Prior BOS from $4,120 confirms bearish control. • RSI (~45) shows weak bullish momentum on the pullback. ⸻ 🔹 15M–5M • After sweeping $4,007, price made a CHoCH upward but stalled immediately at descending structure. • Momentum is decreasing near intraday resistance. • MACD shows weakening histogram on the pullback. • Short-term uptrend still corrective inside a bearish macro move. ⸻ 3️⃣ Fibonacci Analysis Last swing: 4,120 → 4,007 • 38.2% → 4,050 • 50.0% → 4,063 • 61.8% → 4,076 🎯 Fibonacci Golden Zone: 4,050 – 4,076 → Confluence with supply + descending trendline = Strong SELL Region ⸻ 4️⃣ High-Probability Trade Scenarios 📉 SELL SCENARIO (Main Bias) • Sell Zone: 4,066 – 4,100 • Targets: • 4,028 • 4,011 • 3,990 • Stop Loss: Above 4,115 • Confirmation: • 5M/15M bearish rejection • RSI divergence • BOS from inside the zone ⸻ 📈 BUY SCENARIO (Countertrend Only) • Buy Zone: 4,011 – 4,007 (liquidity sweep region) • Targets: • 4,028 • 4,050 • 4,066 • Stop Loss: Below 3,998 • Confirmation: • Clear CHoCH • High-volume reversal candle ⸻ 💥 Breakout BUY Setup • Trigger: Break & close above 4,100 • Retest Zone: 4,095–4,100 • Targets: • 4,120 • 4,145 • 4,180 • Stop Loss: Below 4,083 ⸻ 💥 Breakout SELL Setup • Trigger: Break & close below 4,007 • Retest Zone: 4,007–4,011 • Targets: • 3,990 • 3,975 • 3,934 • Stop Loss: Above 4,028 ⸻ 5️⃣ Fundamental Watch • Asia expected to maintain low volatility early. • Market reacting to last session’s major liquidity sweep. • DXY strength still acting as weight on gold. • US session today brings housing data + Fed commentary, potential volatility catalyst. • Risk of sharp whipsaws in low liquidity zones. ⸻ 6️⃣ Key Technical Levels 🔺 Resistance • 4,066 • 4,083 • 4,100 • 4,120 🔻 Support • 4,028 • 4,011 • 4,007 • 3,990 Key Zones • Golden Zone: 4,050 – 4,076 • Break Buy Trigger: > 4,100 • Break Sell Trigger: < 4,007 ⸻ 7️⃣ Analyst Summary Gold continues to trade inside a bearish corrective channel. The bounce from 4,007 is weak and purely corrective unless buyers break the critical 4,100 level. The primary expectation is a push into the 4,050–4,076 Golden Zone, followed by a sell continuation toward 4,028 → 4,011 → 3,990. Only sustained price action above 4,100 would reverse the short-term bearish bias. ⸻ 8️⃣ Final Bias Summary 📉 Primary Bias: Bearish below 4,100 → Targeting 4,028 → 4,011 → 3,990 📈 Alternative Bias: Bullish only above 4,100 → Targeting 4,145 → 4,180 ────────────────────────── 🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 – PERFORMANCE 17/11/2025 🥇 ✨ Precision. Momentum. Dominance. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🔥 GOLD TRADE RECAP 🟢 BUY +20 PIPS 🔻 SELL +60 PIPS 🔻 SELL +210 PIPS 🔻 SELL +40 PIPS 🔻 SELL +210 PIPS 📈 The bearish flow was clean and technical — every move respected our levels perfectly. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 💰 TOTAL PROFIT: +540 PIPS 🎯 5 Signals → 5 Wins (100% Accuracy) ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🔥 Another day of textbook setups and flawless execution. 👏 If you caught these moves — well done, trader! 🚀 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0
VANTAGE:XAUUSDShort
by ELDORADOFX
Gold: Bullish Momentum Pauses Before the Next Move Gold: Bullish Momentum Pauses Before the Next Move Gold kicked off the week with an aggressive rally, recovering nearly 50% of the previous drop from 4380 to 3880 in just 24 hours. Price is now testing a key resistance area around 4130–4150, where we’re seeing a short-term pause in momentum. This could signal that Gold is gearing up for the next impulsive leg to the upside. However, caution is advised — this pause might develop into a deeper or longer correction before the next move higher. Despite that, the broader trend remains bullish, with no clear signs of reversal for now. 📈 Key Targets: 4190 4230 4360 You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
FX:XAUUSDLong
by KlejdiCuni
31
Gold Rise Dream Shattered news： On Monday (November 17), spot gold rose and then fell back. It briefly broke through the $4,100 mark in early trading and rose moderately to $4,105 per ounce during the Asian session. It then fluctuated and weakened, falling back below $4,100 and touching a low of $4,050. It maintained a defensive posture for the third consecutive day on Monday. The highly anticipated October US non-farm payrolls report will be released on Thursday, followed by the FOMC minutes on Wednesday. These will play a crucial role in influencing short-term dollar price dynamics and providing some meaningful impetus to precious metals. Friday's preliminary manufacturing PMI figures for Europe and the US, along with the revised University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, could amplify market volatility, especially if they indicate persistent inflation or weak consumption. Additionally, Friday will see the release of monthly US state employment and unemployment data for October 2025, which investors should also pay close attention to. Technical Analysis： The weakness below the 200-period SMA on the 4-hour chart may find some support near Friday's low of around $4,030. Following that is the psychological level of $4,000; a decisive break below this level could allow gold prices to accelerate their decline towards the $3,930 support level, then the $3,900 level, and finally the late October low of around $3,885. There are many negative signals on the 1-hour chart. The price is clearly constrained by the Bollinger Middle Band (4100). The RSI is converging at the 50 level and showing a downward trend. The MACD has entered the oversold zone, but there is still no clear indication of a rebound. Signal： Buy：4115-4110 SL：4125 TP：4030-4050
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TheodoreSilas
3
GOLD RECOVERS AFTER WEEKEND - CRITICAL WEEK AHEAD💰 GOLD RECOVERS AFTER WEEKEND - CRITICAL WEEK AHEAD ⚡ Current Price: $4,088 - $4,092 📉 Opening Price: $4,171 Today's Range: $4,032 - $4,212 Weekend Change: -6.11% (Monthly decline) Status: 🟡 RECOVERY MODE - VOLATILE 🎯 WEEKEND RECAP - WHAT HAPPENED? Gold had a VOLATILE Friday, dropping from $4,235 to test $4,032 lows before recovering. The weekend showed: ❗ Sharp Sell-Off - Price dropped nearly $200 from Thursday's highs ❗ Weekend Gap - Opened lower Monday morning ❗ Bounce Attempt - Trying to recover above $4,088 ❗ Critical Support Test - $4,000-$4,050 zone being tested What's Different This Week? Markets will focus on FOMC minutes and speeches from monetary policy officials this week 📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Market Structure: CORRECTIVE PHASE 🟡⚠️ Gold is in a corrective pullback after last week's rally. This is a critical moment - the market is testing support zones to see if bulls can defend or if bears take control. Pattern: Triangle formation showing trader indecision - pivot point around $4,110 will determine direction Critical Support Levels (MUST HOLD!) 🔵 Support 1: $4,080 - $4,088 (Current fight zone - CRITICAL!) Support 2: $4,045 - $4,060 (Strong dip-buy zone) Support 3: $4,000 - $4,020 (Psychological + deep support) Support 4: $3,987 - $4,002 (November open - Major) Support 5: $3,930 (Bullish invalidation - DO NOT BREAK!) Key Resistance Levels (Recovery targets) 🔴 Resistance 1: $4,110 - $4,120 (Momentum pivot - KEY!) Resistance 2: $4,150 - $4,165 (Rejection zone) Resistance 3: $4,187 - $4,200 (Last week's high) Resistance 4: $4,252 - $4,254 (Major breakout level) 📈 TECHNICAL INDICATORS RSI (14): ~45-48 (Neutral to slightly bearish) ⚠️ MACD: Bearish crossover forming - Caution! 📉 Stochastic: Oversold zone - Bounce potential ✅ Moving Averages: Price testing 20-day EMA support 🔴 50-day EMA at $3,800 (long-term support) ✅ Death cross forming on hourly charts ⚠️ Volume: High on decline - institutional selling present Bollinger Bands: Price touching middle band - volatility compression 🎯 TODAY'S TRADING STRATEGIES SCENARIO 1: BULLISH RECOVERY 🟢 (45% Probability) IF Gold Breaks Above $4,110-$4,120: Closing above $4,110 gives more odds for bull continuation, while closing below gives hand to sellers LONG Setup: Entry: Break and hold above $4,112-$4,120 Targets: TP1: $4,150 📍 (+40 pips) TP2: $4,187 📍 (+70 pips) TP3: $4,210 📍 (+90 pips) Stop Loss: $4,075 (Below support) Risk/Reward: 1:2 minimum ✅ SCENARIO 2: FURTHER DECLINE 🔴 (40% Probability) IF Gold Breaks Below $4,060: This opens door for deeper correction. SHORT Setup (Scalping): Entry: Break below $4,058 with volume Targets: TP1: $4,020 📍 TP2: $4,000 📍 TP3: $3,987 📍 Stop Loss: $4,090 ⚠️ WARNING: This is against long-term trend - smaller positions! SCENARIO 3: RANGE-BOUND ⚪ (15% Probability) IF Gold Stays Between $4,060-$4,120: Range Trading: Buy: $4,060-$4,070 Sell: $4,110-$4,120 Scalp targets: 30-40 pips Tight SL: 25-30 pips 💎 BEST TRADE SETUP FOR TODAY CONSERVATIVE APPROACH (Strongly Recommended!) 🎯 WAIT AND WATCH - Market is at a critical junction! Option A - Buy the Dip (Preferred): Entry: $4,045-$4,060 (if it drops) Target: $4,120 → $4,150 SL: $4,025 Why: Strong support zone with high R:R Option B - Breakout Play: Entry: Above $4,122 (confirmed break) Target: $4,150 → $4,187 SL: $4,095 ⚠️ DO NOT CHASE at current price ($4,088-$4,095)! Wait for clear setup. 🌍 FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS THIS WEEK'S KEY DRIVERS 📅 This week moderate volatility expected as markets await FOMC minutes and speeches by monetary policy officials What to Watch: FOMC Minutes Release - Critical for rate cut expectations Fed Speakers All Week - Watch for hawkish/dovish tones Economic Data - Delayed reports may start releasing Dollar Strength - DXY testing resistance BULLISH FACTORS ⬆️ ✅ Central banks purchased 634 tonnes YTD, WGC expects 750-900 tonnes total for 2025 ✅ ETF holdings grew by 619 tonnes ($64 billion) in 2025 ✅ Analysts predict gold may reach $4,456-$4,509 by end of November ✅ Fed rate cut still 63% probability for December ✅ Geopolitical tensions remain elevated ✅ Inflation hedge demand continues BEARISH RISKS ⬇️ ⚠️ Technical Breakdown - Lost $4,200+ levels ⚠️ Strong Dollar - DXY showing strength ⚠️ Profit Taking - After 7% rally last week ⚠️ Overbought Unwinding - Correction from ATH ⚠️ Reduced Safe-Haven Demand - Risk-on sentiment 🔥 MARKET SENTIMENT: CAUTIOUSLY BEARISH SHORT-TERM What Analysts Say: Short-term (This Week): Expected to trade between $4,114 and $4,254 - both upward and downward movements possible Medium-term (November End): Gold expected to recover toward $4,200-$4,300 range Long-term (2025-2026): Bullish outlook remains - targets $4,500-$5,000 💡 PROFESSIONAL GAME PLAN For DAY TRADERS: ⚡ Scalp with Caution Market is choppy and dangerous Use tight stops (20-25 pips max) Take quick profits Trade the bounces/rejections at key levels For SWING TRADERS: 📊 Wait for Clear Direction Don't catch falling knife at $4,088 Best entry: $4,045-$4,060 (support bounce) Alternative: Above $4,122 (breakout confirmation) Target: $4,200+ (1-2 week hold) For LONG-TERM INVESTORS: 💎 Accumulation Zone This dip could be opportunity Target: $4,000-$4,050 range Strategy: Dollar-cost averaging Vision: Hold for $4,500+ (2026) 📅 CRITICAL EVENTS THIS WEEK Monday (Today): Market sentiment assessment Watch for bounce or breakdown Tuesday-Wednesday: FOMC minutes release Fed speakers (CRITICAL!) Thursday-Friday: Economic data releases Weekly close direction important 🎬 BOTTOM LINE (TL;DR) Price: $4,088 (Volatile) Bias: 🟡 NEUTRAL-BEARISH (Short-term caution) Key Level: $4,110 (Above = Bulls, Below = Bears) Best Action: WAIT for $4,045-$4,060 dip OR $4,122 breakout Risk Level: HIGH (Extreme volatility) 🔔 TODAY'S CRITICAL BATTLE ZONES THE LINE IN THE SAND: $4,110 ABOVE $4,110: ✅ Bulls in control ✅ Target $4,150 → $4,187 ✅ Recovery mode active BELOW $4,060: ❌ Bears in control ❌ Target $4,020 → $4,000 ❌ Correction deepens BETWEEN $4,060-$4,110: ⚪ Indecision zone ⚪ Wait for breakout ⚪ High chop risk 📊 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK Trend: ⚠️ BULLISH (Long-term) but CORRECTING (Short-term) Momentum: WEAK - Bearish pressure 📉 Support: TESTING at $4,080 🔴 Resistance: STRONG at $4,110-$4,120 🚧 Pattern: Descending triangle / Bull flag correction Next Move: Break $4,110 = UP | Break $4,060 = DOWN ⚠️ RISK MANAGEMENT - CRITICAL TODAY! ✅ Smaller Positions - Market is volatile (1% risk max) ✅ Wider Stops - Give trades room (40-50 pips) ✅ Quick Profits - Don't be greedy, lock gains fast ✅ Respect $4,110 - This is THE level today ✅ Avoid Revenge Trading - If stopped, step away 🎯 SWING TRADE SETUPS Setup A - Dip Buy (Recommended): Entry: $4,045-$4,060 (wait for this!) Target 1: $4,120 (Hold 2-3 days) Target 2: $4,187 (Hold 5-7 days) Target 3: $4,252 (Hold 1-2 weeks) Stop Loss: $4,020 Setup B - Breakout Recovery: Entry: $4,125-$4,130 (after confirmed break) Target 1: $4,187 (Hold 3-5 days) Target 2: $4,252 (Hold 1 week) Stop Loss: $4,090 🏆 PROFESSIONAL ANALYSIS SUMMARY Gold is at a CRITICAL CROSSROADS. After rallying 7% last week, the market pulled back sharply on Friday, testing support levels. The Setup: Gold rose to $4,091.53, up 0.19% but down 6.11% over the past month Testing key support at $4,080-$4,088 $4,110 is the pivot - direction depends on this level Most Likely Scenarios: Scenario 1 (45%): Brief consolidation → Break $4,110 → Recovery to $4,150-$4,200 Scenario 2 (40%): Drop to $4,045-$4,060 → Strong bounce → Retest $4,110 Scenario 3 (15%): Chop between $4,060-$4,120 for 1-2 days The Big Picture: Long-term trend is STILL bullish. This is likely a healthy correction before next leg up. Analysts still expect $4,456-$4,509 by end of November 💪 TRADING PSYCHOLOGY TIP DON'T PANIC! Corrections are NORMAL and HEALTHY. Last week gold rallied 7% - it NEEDS to rest. Use this dip as opportunity, not fear. The long-term trend hasn't changed! 🚀 🎓 KEY LESSON: THE PIVOT POINT Today's pivot is $4,110. In trading, pivot points are levels where price "decides" direction. Think of it like a seesaw: Above $4,110 = Weight shifts to bulls Below $4,110 = Weight shifts to bears Action: Wait for price to choose a side, then follow! 🔮 WEEK FORECAST Monday: Consolidation $4,060-$4,120 (Today) Tuesday: FOMC minutes could spark breakout Wednesday: Direction becomes clear Thursday-Friday: Follow-through in chosen direction Week End Target: $4,150-$4,200 OR $4,000-$4,040 🚨 CRITICAL WARNINGS ⚠️ FOMC Week - Expect HIGH volatility ⚠️ Don't Catch Falling Knife - Wait for support ⚠️ Triangle Pattern - Indecision = dangerous ⚠️ Weekend Gap Risk - Price can gap Monday AM ⚠️ False Breakouts - Confirm with volume 📊 SUPPORT/RESISTANCE SUMMARY Strong Support: $4,045, $4,000, $3,987 Weak Support: $4,080, $4,060 Weak Resistance: $4,110, $4,120 Strong Resistance: $4,150, $4,187, $4,252 Breakout Level UP: $4,122 Breakdown Level DOWN: $4,058 ⚠️ FINAL DISCLAIMER This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Gold trading is highly volatile and risky, especially this week with FOMC minutes. Never risk more than 1-2% per trade. Always use stop losses. Past performance does not guarantee future results. The information provided is not financial advice. Consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📱 Stay sharp this week! 💬 Share your trades carefully 🔔 High volatility = High opportunity but HIGH RISK ⚡ Follow for updates as market develops #Gold #XAUUSD #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #FOMC #MarketAnalysis #DayTrading #SwingTrading #RiskManagement #TradingStrategy #GoldForecast #VolatilityTrading
TVC:GOLD
by AthensBySahan
XAU/USD – Gold Outlook as November EndsLast week, gold consolidated tightly between 4,040 and 4,110, building base ahead of what could be a very reactive December. Entering the final month of the year, seasonal dynamics may amplify volatility. On the fundamental side, all eyes are on a possible Fed rate cut: If a cut does happen, gold could rally toward 4,180, the upper boundary of the ascending channel, as dovish Fed policy weakens the dollar. If no cut materializes, the stronger dollar may force a breakdown below the channel, targeting ~3,930 as the next major support. Technically, the consolidation zone acts as a launchpad — a breakout above or below will likely trigger a strong directional move. For now, gold remains in wait-and-see mode, with risk skewed to the catalyst from U.S. monetary policy.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Dan-Goldfx
Will gold prices rise in a one-sided manner? I. Fundamental Analysis The gold market is currently in a delicate balance, caught between two major forces: monetary policy expectations and a strong US dollar. Core Driver: Rising Fed Rate Cut Expectations Main Logic: Recent dovish signals from several Fed officials (such as Waller and Williams), pointing to significantly lower core inflation and signs of weakness in the labor market, have openly supported a rate cut in December. This caused market bets for a December cut to surge from 40% to 72%. Market Impact: Rate cut expectations lower US Treasury real yields and weaken the dollar's appeal, providing the most crucial upward momentum for non-yielding gold. This is the core factor currently supporting prices. Primary Pressure: Strong US Dollar The US Dollar Index hovering near six-month highs makes dollar-priced gold more expensive for holders of other currencies, capping the upside for gold. Uncertainty Factors: Key Data Pending: US Retail Sales, PPI, and Initial Jobless Claims data due this week will be key to validating the Fed's potential rate cut logic. Any strong data could weaken rate cut expectations and weigh on gold. Geopolitical Risks: Persistent conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East provide safe-haven demand. Continued inflows into Gold ETFs offer underlying support, limiting significant downside. Fundamental Summary: The market is weighing "upward momentum from rate cut expectations" against "pressure from a strong dollar and data uncertainty," leading to a lack of clear directional momentum in the short term and resulting in consolidation. II. Technical Analysis The technical picture clearly shows the current consolidation phase and provides key entry and risk management levels. Daily Chart: Symmetrical Triangle Consolidation Pattern: Lower highs and higher lows are forming a symmetrical triangle pattern, indicating a balance between bulls and bears and brewing a potential breakout. Key Levels: Core Support: $4030 (triangle lower trendline support). Core Resistance: $4130-$4135 (triangle upper trendline and previous high resistance). Indicator: The MACD shows a bearish crossover but with weakening momentum, indicating lackluster selling pressure and a market awaiting a new direction. 4-Hour / 1-Hour Charts: Range-Bound Main Range: Price action is confined within a broad $4020 - $4130 range. Short-Term Structure: The convergence and flattening of short-term moving averages and the MACD lines indicate a temporary market equilibrium, waiting for an external catalyst to break. Technical Summary: Gold is consolidating within the $4020-$4130 range. Until this range is decisively broken, buying near support and selling near resistance is the primary strategy. Comprehensive Trading Strategy Core Idea: Range-bound trading, selling highs and buying lows. Look for long opportunities near the range support and short opportunities near the range resistance. Key Resistance Zone: $4110 - $4130 Key Support Zone: $4020 - $4040 Specific Operational Plan: Short Strategy (Sell on rally to resistance) Ideal Entry Zone: $4120 - $4130 Stop Loss: Above $4140 (a decisive break above the range high) Targets: First target $4070-$4060, second target $4050. Long Strategy (Buy on dip to support) Ideal Entry Zone: $4040 - $4050 Stop Loss: Below $4020 (a decisive break below the range low) Targets: First target $4080-$4090, second target $4100. Breakout Follow-up Strategy (Contingency Plan) Upside Break Confirmation: If the price breaks and sustains above $4140, it signals a potential upward move. Consider following the breakout with long positions, targeting $4180-$4200. Downside Break Confirmation: If the price decisively breaks below $4020, it indicates increased downside risk. Consider following the breakout with short positions, targeting $3980-$3950. Risk Warnings and Trading Discipline Monitor Data and Events: Closely watch the release of US economic data this week and any unexpected comments from Fed officials, as they can instantly shift market expectations and cause sharp volatility. Strict Risk Management: Always use stop-losses and control the percentage of capital risked per trade. Avoid holding losing positions hoping for a reversal, especially in ranging markets. Remain Flexible: If the price action shows hesitation or false breakouts near key levels, exit positions and wait for clearer signals.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by The_Golden_Perspective
Spot gold traded under pressure and fluctuated, with the market Spot gold traded under pressure and fluctuated, with the market awaiting US data for guidance. On Monday (November 24), spot gold continued its recent decline, facing renewed selling pressure. Gold prices are currently trading around $4050 per ounce, down approximately 0.35% on the day. Despite conflicting signals from Federal Reserve officials, the US dollar index remains high, hovering near its highest level since late May, continuing to suppress dollar-denominated gold. Meanwhile, global stock markets generally strengthened, and market risk appetite rebounded, further weakening the appeal of safe-haven precious metals. Furthermore, signs of easing tensions in the Russia-Ukraine conflict may weaken gold's safe-haven premium, suppressing bullish momentum. Over the past week, gold has generally maintained a range-bound trading pattern, without a clear direction. The US dollar index remains firmly above the important psychological level of 100, consolidating around 100.15 on Monday, just a step away from the late May high of 100.39. The market is closely watching a series of upcoming US economic data releases, including Tuesday's PPI and retail sales figures, Wednesday's initial jobless claims, and various indicators that have gradually resumed release since the US government shutdown. These data will provide key clues about the future direction of the US dollar and could inject new volatility momentum into gold, a non-interest-bearing asset. On the other hand, market expectations for another Federal Reserve rate cut in December have intensified. According to the CME Group's FedWatch tool, federal funds futures traders have raised their probability of a December rate cut to 70%-74%. This optimism has boosted investor appetite for risk assets, with most Asian stock markets rebounding on Monday, further weakening the safe-haven demand for gold. This week sees a flurry of key data releases, potentially setting a direction for gold. The US will release a number of economic data points this week, including: US September Retail Sales (MoM) US September PPI (YoY and MoM) US November Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index US November Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index US Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending November 22nd These data will provide important insights into the health of the US economy. Weak data could reignite market expectations of a Fed rate cut, driving gold prices to rebound and potentially even back above $4100; conversely, strong data would reduce the probability of a rate cut, potentially causing gold to break below the key $4000 support level. Furthermore, the US dollar index is currently near a six-month high; if it continues to hold above 100, it will exert sustained downward pressure on gold prices. Technical Analysis: The range-bound pattern continues; watch for a breakout. From a technical perspective, gold traded in a range last week. Gold prices closed lower on Monday, rebounded after hitting a weekly low of $3998 on Tuesday, and then fell back on Wednesday, closing with a small bullish candle with a long upper shadow. Thursday and Friday saw consecutive doji candles. The weekly chart ultimately recorded a small bearish candle with upper and lower shadows, indicating a stalemate between bulls and bears. From a daily chart perspective, since gold prices encountered resistance around $4132, they have repeatedly tested the lows and rebounded, suggesting that the current trend is a rebound rather than a reversal. However, there is significant resistance around the previous high of $4110, and further upward movement will be difficult without significant positive catalysts. Although gold prices briefly rose to $4100 last Friday, they failed to break through the previous high of $4110 and quickly fell back to around $4050, showing typical consolidation characteristics. With a lack of major news stimuli at the beginning of this week, gold is expected to continue to fluctuate within the $4000-$4130 range. Trading should focus on range trading, paying close attention to breakouts at key levels. If gold prices fail to break out effectively, the consolidation pattern may continue. Trading Strategy Recommendations: Overall Strategy: Range-bound trading, primarily shorting on rallies, with long positions as a secondary strategy. Strict stop-loss orders are essential to control position risk. Short Position Strategy: Short positions in batches around 4100-4105, with position size limited to 20% of total capital. Stop-loss at 8 points. Target 4050-4030, with a further target of 4020 if the price breaks below. Long Position Strategy: Long positions in batches around 4020-4025, with position size limited to 20% of total capital. Stop-loss at 8 points. Target 4040-4060, with a further target of 4080 if the price breaks above. Key Resistance and Support: Resistance: $4110-$4130 Support: $4020-$4000 Investors should closely monitor real-time market movements and data releases, adjusting their strategies accordingly.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by XAUUSD-Elizabeth
Gold Consolidating: Break Above 4100 Targets 4140”Gold is currently trading around 4071, holding within a tight consolidation range as the market prepares for its next directional move. Price action remains constructive as long as buyers defend support. Resistance: 4100 The 4100 zone is acting as a key resistance ceiling. A clean breakout and close above this level would signal renewed bullish strength. Such a move could attract momentum traders and open the way toward your upside target. Support: 4040 Immediate support sits at 4040, a level that has repeatedly held during pullbacks. Maintaining this support keeps the short-term structure bullish. A break below 4040 would weaken sentiment and delay any upside continuation. Upside Target: 4140 If bulls successfully push above 4100, the next logical target on the chart is 4140, where previous reaction zones and potential profit-taking areas align. This zone represents the next significant resistance on the higher timeframe structure. Market Structure With price trading in the 4040 – 4100 range, Gold is in a classic compression phase. A breakout on either side will likely define the direction for the rest of the session. Traders should be patient and wait for confirmation above 4100 to validate the bullish continuation toward 4140. Trading View Bullish Bias as long as 4040 holds. Break above 4100 = continuation toward 4140. Break below 4040 = potential downside correction.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Merchant_Trades
1
XAUUSD On the 1-hour chart, Gold is currently trading inside a tight symmetrical triangle, with price compressing between a rising trendline from the November 5th lows and a descending trendline from the November 14th highs. Price is hovering around the $4,070 zone, which also aligns with the 50-period moving average, showing indecision but increasing pressure for a breakout. A break and retest above the $4,085–4,095 resistance zone (highlighted in grey) may trigger a bullish momentum wave. The projected breakout target points toward the $4,180–4,220 region, based on the measured move from the previous swing. As long as price holds above the rising trendline support, the structure remains bullish, with buyers expected to step in on any retest of support.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by Trader1mran