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FIRST CONFIRMATION CANDLE If this current m30 candle in the purple sphere closes bullish then it will be first good confirmation of more buys so we will wait for other higher time frames for more confirmation but if it closes bearish by 6am it will be best to close buys and wait for a while because it will push down further but could be rejected to close around 4070 before we buy again , it could also lead to more sells if it closes bearish so it will be best to close and wait for the reaction after that .
TVC:GOLDLong
by EVANABEK1
Gold softens after Fed minutes as smokestacks cap every rally Is there any way we can get a December rate cut now? Gold has softened after the release of the minutes from the Federal Reserve's last interest rate decision. The minutes show there’s no unified push toward cutting, which could make a December move unlikely. Several Federal Reserve officials supported lowering rates in October, but others preferred keeping policy unchanged, and some pushed back firmly against easing. Technically, XAUUSD continues to form smokestacks, printing repeated double-top structures. The price is now hovering around 4,070, sitting under possible short-term resistance at 4,150. XAUUSD losing the 50-day MA further could shift bias more decisively lower.
BLACKBULL:XAUUSD
by BlackBull Markets
Gold Technical Analysis and Trading Strategy (November 19th) MaGold Technical Analysis and Trading Strategy (November 19th) Market Review: Yesterday, the gold market showed a bottoming-out and rebound trend. After testing the support level of 3998, the price stabilized and rebounded. In the evening, it broke through the key resistance level of 4030, officially turning into a bullish pattern. Subsequently, after a second pullback to the 4029 support level, it launched a strong rally, reaching a high of 4082. The daily chart ultimately closed with a small bullish candlestick with a relatively long lower shadow, ending the previous three-day losing streak. This candlestick pattern indicates that after a fierce battle between bulls and bears, the bulls have regained dominance. Technical Analysis From a daily chart perspective, although yesterday's positive close alleviated short-term downward pressure, the overall technical pattern still presents some concerns: The short-term moving average system above still provides significant resistance, and the price has not yet achieved a substantial breakout. After three consecutive days of negative closes, the rebound of this single positive candle is more likely a technical correction. The price retraced again in the morning session, indicating that the bullish momentum still needs further confirmation. Key Levels Analysis: Support Area: Around 4050 (a support/resistance level), this level will be the watershed between bulls and bears today. Resistance Area: 4100-4105 (the previous high of the negative candle), this is a significant short-term resistance zone. Trading Strategy Operational Approach: Primarily buy on dips, secondarily sell on rallies. Specific Layout Long Position Strategy: Buy in batches in the 4050-4055 range, with a position size of 20% and a stop loss of 8 points. Target levels are 4080-4100, with a potential further upside to 4110 if the price breaks through. Short Position Strategy: Sell in batches in the 4100-4105 range, with a position size of 20% and a stop loss of 8 points. Target levels are 4080-4060, with a potential further downside to the 4050 support level if the price breaks below. Risk Warning: The impact of the Fed meeting minutes should be closely monitored today. The non-farm payroll data will be released on Thursday and may have a significant impact on the market. Strictly adhere to position management; the stop loss for each trade should not exceed 8% of the position size. Specific entry points should be adjusted flexibly based on real-time market movements.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by XAUUSD-Elizabeth
1
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for November 19thGold Technical Analysis: Daily Resistance: 4150, Support: 4000 4-Hour Resistance: 4150, Support: 4082 1-Hour Resistance: 4120, Support: 4098 Technically, the weekly candlestick chart shows a rebound, indicating confirmed support. Yesterday's daily chart closed with a hammer pattern after the rise, strengthening confidence in the technical rebound. Intraday, the effectiveness of the Bollinger Middle Band support needs to be monitored. The 4000 level has stabilized in the short term. News and data in the next few trading days will remain a key focus for the market. Now that 4100 has been broken, short-term traders can follow the trend. If the NY market experiences a slight pullback, it's also a good opportunity to buy, targeting the 4220/4250 area. We need to focus on the probability of a December rate cut; if it returns to above 60%, gold could accelerate its upward movement. Looking at the 1-hour chart, gold rebounded strongly in the European session, with the price action within an upward channel. Having broken through 4100, the short-term trend suggests further continuation. Watch for support levels from the MACD/KDJ indicators. For the European and American sessions, consider buying on a pullback to around 4095/4082. Trading Strategy: BUY: 4095~4082 SELL: 4150~4158 More Analysis →
TVC:GOLDLong
by ActuaryJ
1
Gold: A counterattack from the bullsGold rebounded yesterday after testing lower levels, initially falling before rising. The weekly chart shows a pullback to near 3998, finding some support. The RSI indicator remains near the midline, and the price is trading around the middle Bollinger Band. On the shorter-term 4-hour chart, moving averages are converging, the RSI is near the midline, and the price is trading between the middle and lower Bollinger Bands. Technically, gold is maintaining a wide-range trading structure. The trading strategy remains to buy low and sell high, with the intraday range to watch being 4040-4110. Gold opened slightly higher today. The daily chart is forming a contracting triangle pattern, suggesting further upside potential. However, don't forget the release of the Fed meeting minutes during the New York session today; this news could be positive for gold, and upward momentum might be released before the news. Support below 4000 is very strong, and market sentiment has shifted from bearish to bullish. There is a high probability that the rebound will continue today; the trading strategy is to buy on dips, focusing on buying at support levels. Key Levels: First Support: 4062, Second Support: 4043, Third Support: 4025 First Resistance: 4090, Second Resistance: 4108, Third Resistance: 4126 Gold Intraday Trading Strategy: Buy: 4045-4050, SL: 4035, TP: 4070-4080; Sell: 4115-4120, SL: 4130, TP: 4100-4090; More Analysis →
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by Wall_street_jun
XAU/USD Intraday Plan — Critical Resistance AheadGold has shown a strong recovery from the Support Zone, reclaiming the 50MA and breaking above the 4078 resistance, which has now flipped into support. Price is currently trading around 4095, but the 200MA is acting as immediate resistance. For buyers to continue higher, we need a clean break above 4115, the next key resistance. A confirmed break above this level would open the path toward 4170 and 4232. If price fails to clear 4115, we could see a rejection back toward the 4078–4053 immediate support area. A break below that zone would expose a deeper pullback into the Support Zone again. 📌 Key Levels to Watch Resistance: 4115 4170 4232 Support: 4078 4053 4027 3996 🔎Fundamental Focus: The key event today is the FOMC Meeting Minutes, which could spark volatility depending on whether the tone appears more hawkish or dovish. Traders will be watching closely for clues on upcoming policy direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
Continue to short gold in the $4075-$4095 range!Gold prices rebounded slightly after falling below the $4,000 mark, a move highly consistent with previous technical analysis expectations. As previously predicted, gold prices successfully reached the key target of $4,000 after a period of sustained downward volatility, indicating a significant release of bearish momentum. This pullback was accompanied by high market sensitivity to macroeconomic data, particularly following the unexpected rise in initial jobless claims. This heightened concerns about the future labor market prompted investors to reassess the Federal Reserve's monetary policy path, leading to a resurgence in safe-haven demand and driving a significant rebound in gold prices. The data reflects signs of a possible marginal slowdown in the job market, causing some traders to reduce their bets on further interest rate hikes. This led to a decline in US Treasury yields and downward pressure on the US dollar index, thus providing short-term support for precious metals. As a result, gold prices quickly rebounded from their lows, recovering some lost ground and successfully reversing the previous continuous decline, returning to a range-bound trading pattern. From a current technical perspective, although gold prices have rebounded, the overall trend has not yet completely escaped downward pressure. Bears remain dominant, with the medium- and long-term moving averages arranged in a bearish pattern, indicating a cautious market sentiment. In the short term, the $3990-$4000 range is a key support zone. This area not only represents a previous consolidation level but also represents a concentration of technical buying and stop-loss orders, providing strong support for the current phase. Resistance is concentrated in the $4100-$4090 range, a densely packed area of ​​resistance that has been tested multiple times recently without success. Coupled with the possibility of some trapped positions selling off, gold prices are expected to face some selling pressure on any upward movement. Given the current weak and volatile market, the trading strategy can continue the approach established at the beginning of the week. It is recommended to short gold in batches when the price rebounds to between $4075 and $4095. At the same time, close attention should be paid to important events such as US inflation data, the non-farm payroll report, and speeches by Federal Reserve officials, as these factors may exacerbate market volatility and alter the short-term trend. If there are significant changes in the fundamentals, such as higher-than-expected inflation or significantly weaker economic data, the strategy will be adjusted accordingly and timely updates will be provided. Overall, the gold market is currently in a phase of intensified battle between bulls and bears, with the direction still unclear. In terms of trading, it is advisable to remain flexible, control positions, avoid chasing highs and lows, and focus on structural opportunities in a volatile market. The above are my personal thoughts! If they are helpful to you or your ideas align with mine, please like and follow to show your support! All strategies have a limited lifespan, so while referring to them, you should also closely monitor market changes. I will also respond flexibly based on actual market fluctuations, and I will announce specifics in the channel!
FOREXCOM:GOLDShort
by Martin_Trading_Guide
Gold SellPrice broke above the previous highs and made a new Higher High, showing that buyers took control and flipped the structure bullish. After that push up, price pulled back into the same breakout area, which is now acting as demand. This is the level where I expect the uptrend to continue. As long as price holds above this zone, I’m staying bullish with targets back toward the recent HH. If price breaks below the current HL, the setup is invalid — that’s where my stop is. Entry: 4,028.85 Stop Loss: 3,965.98 Take Profit: 4,253.68
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by richard925
Gold’s Survival Zone: 4010–3998 Decides EverythingKey Levels for Today Gold is trading at a decisive zone this morning: 4000–4004 → A clean break below this range opens the door toward 3945–3930. Holding above 4000 → Keeps the bullish recovery scenario alive. Break above 4055 → Signals strength returning, with upside targets at 4070 – 4085 – 4096 – 4111. Any sustained move above these levels indicates a potential continuation to higher zones. Technical Overview 1H–3H timeframe: Price is trading below all major moving averages (10/20/50/100/200) — a clear short-term bearish signal. 4H timeframe: Gold is still receiving solid support near 4010. Critical Zone (4010–3998): This is a life-or-death area for gold today. Expect heavy “battle” here. Failure to defend this zone will likely drive price directly toward 3945–3930. Trade Levels & Scenarios Bullish Scenario (Long): Entry: Above 4026 (risk from 4017) Targets: 4036–4039 → 4045 → 4055 → 4068 → 4079–4083 → 4090 → 4097 → 4107 → 4127 → 4132 Bearish Scenario (Short): Entry: Below 3998 (risk from 4007) Targets: 3991 → 3985 → 3977 → 3970 → 3958 → 3943 → 3930 → 3921 → 3901 Final Notes: If you find this analysis helpful, your comment or share truly makes a difference. Disclaimer This analysis reflects a personal technical and fundamental view. It is not financial advice or a buy/sell recommendation.Trading financial markets involves significant risk; all decisions are the sole responsibility of the trader. Wishing everyone a profitable day and a successful trading week. #GoldRider
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by Gold_Rider
ElDoradoFx – GOLD ANALYSIS (18/11/2025, ASIA SESSION)If you want: ✔️ Accurate Buy/Sell zones ✔️ High-probability trade setups ✔️ Precise Breakout levels ✔️ Full London, US & Asia forecasts every day ✔️ Weekly live trading & news trading events FIND THE LINK IN OUR YOUTUBE CHANNEL. ────────────────────────── 1️⃣ Market Overview Gold enters the Asia session trading around $4,045, recovering slightly after sweeping liquidity at the $4,007–$4,011 weak low. Despite the rebound, the broader structure remains bearish, with price still below the major H1/H4 supply zone (4,066–4,100) and under a strong descending trendline. Asia begins with corrective upside, but the dominant bias remains bearish unless a full structural break above $4,100 occurs. ⸻ 2️⃣ Technical Breakdown 🔹 Daily (D1) • Price is retesting the $4,028–$3,934 demand zone. • Rejection at the descending trendline from the major swing high confirms ongoing bearish momentum. • RSI (~51) is neutral. • A daily close below $4,028 exposes $3,934 → $3,886. • Holding above $4,028 keeps price inside corrective structure. ⸻ 🔹 1H Chart • Overall structure is bearish-to-neutral. • Price remains below the 200 EMA, 50 EMA, and trendline confluence zone at $4,066–$4,100. • Prior BOS from $4,120 confirms bearish control. • RSI (~45) shows weak bullish momentum on the pullback. ⸻ 🔹 15M–5M • After sweeping $4,007, price made a CHoCH upward but stalled immediately at descending structure. • Momentum is decreasing near intraday resistance. • MACD shows weakening histogram on the pullback. • Short-term uptrend still corrective inside a bearish macro move. ⸻ 3️⃣ Fibonacci Analysis Last swing: 4,120 → 4,007 • 38.2% → 4,050 • 50.0% → 4,063 • 61.8% → 4,076 🎯 Fibonacci Golden Zone: 4,050 – 4,076 → Confluence with supply + descending trendline = Strong SELL Region ⸻ 4️⃣ High-Probability Trade Scenarios 📉 SELL SCENARIO (Main Bias) • Sell Zone: 4,066 – 4,100 • Targets: • 4,028 • 4,011 • 3,990 • Stop Loss: Above 4,115 • Confirmation: • 5M/15M bearish rejection • RSI divergence • BOS from inside the zone ⸻ 📈 BUY SCENARIO (Countertrend Only) • Buy Zone: 4,011 – 4,007 (liquidity sweep region) • Targets: • 4,028 • 4,050 • 4,066 • Stop Loss: Below 3,998 • Confirmation: • Clear CHoCH • High-volume reversal candle ⸻ 💥 Breakout BUY Setup • Trigger: Break & close above 4,100 • Retest Zone: 4,095–4,100 • Targets: • 4,120 • 4,145 • 4,180 • Stop Loss: Below 4,083 ⸻ 💥 Breakout SELL Setup • Trigger: Break & close below 4,007 • Retest Zone: 4,007–4,011 • Targets: • 3,990 • 3,975 • 3,934 • Stop Loss: Above 4,028 ⸻ 5️⃣ Fundamental Watch • Asia expected to maintain low volatility early. • Market reacting to last session’s major liquidity sweep. • DXY strength still acting as weight on gold. • US session today brings housing data + Fed commentary, potential volatility catalyst. • Risk of sharp whipsaws in low liquidity zones. ⸻ 6️⃣ Key Technical Levels 🔺 Resistance • 4,066 • 4,083 • 4,100 • 4,120 🔻 Support • 4,028 • 4,011 • 4,007 • 3,990 Key Zones • Golden Zone: 4,050 – 4,076 • Break Buy Trigger: > 4,100 • Break Sell Trigger: < 4,007 ⸻ 7️⃣ Analyst Summary Gold continues to trade inside a bearish corrective channel. The bounce from 4,007 is weak and purely corrective unless buyers break the critical 4,100 level. The primary expectation is a push into the 4,050–4,076 Golden Zone, followed by a sell continuation toward 4,028 → 4,011 → 3,990. Only sustained price action above 4,100 would reverse the short-term bearish bias. ⸻ 8️⃣ Final Bias Summary 📉 Primary Bias: Bearish below 4,100 → Targeting 4,028 → 4,011 → 3,990 📈 Alternative Bias: Bullish only above 4,100 → Targeting 4,145 → 4,180 ────────────────────────── 🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 – PERFORMANCE 17/11/2025 🥇 ✨ Precision. Momentum. Dominance. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🔥 GOLD TRADE RECAP 🟢 BUY +20 PIPS 🔻 SELL +60 PIPS 🔻 SELL +210 PIPS 🔻 SELL +40 PIPS 🔻 SELL +210 PIPS 📈 The bearish flow was clean and technical — every move respected our levels perfectly. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 💰 TOTAL PROFIT: +540 PIPS 🎯 5 Signals → 5 Wins (100% Accuracy) ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🔥 Another day of textbook setups and flawless execution. 👏 If you caught these moves — well done, trader! 🚀 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0
VANTAGE:XAUUSDShort
by ELDORADOFX
Gold Analysis & Trading Strategy | November 17-18✅ From the 4-hour chart, after gold topped at 4245, the price continued to break downward and is still trading below all short-term moving averages (MA5 / MA10 / MA20). This indicates that the larger-cycle bearish trend remains intact. MA5 < MA10 < MA20 — the bearish alignment is clear, and every rebound has been suppressed near MA10 (4110). 💹 Bollinger Bands: The lower band continues to extend downward, the middle band (around 4146) is sloping lower, and the lower band has moved down to 4035. Gold is currently oscillating weakly near the lower band, suggesting that the market is still releasing downside momentum and the lower support has not stabilized. ✅ From the 1-hour chart, gold has been unable to hold above MA20 (around 4084). MA5 and MA10 are pressing downward, while MA20 and MA60 act as strong resistance. Each rebound candle shows an upper wick, indicating heavy selling pressure. The 1-hour timeframe is a weak consolidation and there is no valid sign of bottoming or reversal. 💹 Bollinger Bands: The bands are narrowing at the lows, with the middle band (around 4084) moving sideways. The market is consolidating at low levels and may choose a direction soon — with a higher probability of continuing downward in line with the main trend. 🔴 Resistance Levels: 4110–4120 / 4140–4150 🟢 Support Levels: 4060–4050 / 4032–4035 ✅ Trading Strategy Reference: 🔰 If gold rebounds to 4110–4120 and meets resistance, consider light short positions. The target can be set at 4050–4030. If the decline continues, further targets are 4000 and 3930–3887. 🔰 If gold rebounds to 4140–4150 and faces rejection, high-position shorts can be taken, targeting 4100–4080. 🔰 If gold pulls back to 4035–4040 and stabilizes, consider low-position longs, targeting 4060–4080. 🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTradingPro
XAUUSD | Consolidation and Anticipation of Fed Data📈 Gold Market Analysis: Consolidation and Anticipation of Fed Data The gold market (XAU/USD) experienced a relatively flat and sideways trading session on Monday, consolidating between the key levels of $4103 and $4055. This movement occurred after the precious metal experienced a sharp 2% decline in the previous trading session, reflecting investor caution. Investors are currently adopting a wait-and-see approach, awaiting the release of important economic data from the United States. This data is crucial because it will provide new clues regarding the Federal Reserve's (Fed) interest rate policy path. Expectations regarding monetary tightening or, conversely, a rate cut will significantly impact US bond yields and the value of the US dollar, which in turn will determine the direction of gold prices. 📌 Technical Outlook and Key Levels Gold is currently consolidating firmly within a key pivot range. Bearish Update: The primary bearish focus lies at the $4055 support level. A clear breakout and close of the 1-hour candle (1H close) below this support is expected to trigger a further wave of bearish momentum. The next downside target is the minor support level of $4013, followed by the more significant support at $3979. Sustaining the price below $4055 will maintain a downside bias. Bullish Update: To reverse momentum, gold needs to break through the key resistance level at $4103. A convincing breakout, confirmed by a 4-hour candle (4H close) closing above $4103, would signal a shift in momentum to the bullish side and a price recovery. This would pave the way towards the next resistance target located at $4148.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by NouzTrader
XAU/USD Weekly Plan – Rebound or Breakdown? Key Levels AheadGold experienced a sharp pullback from last week’s 4234 resistance, dropping aggressively on Friday into the 4027 support level before finding temporary support around the 200MA. Buyers now face early resistance between 4115–4170. A clean break above 4170 would signal that bulls are regaining control, opening the way for a move toward 4232 → 4285. If price fails to reclaim 4115, we may see another leg lower. A breakdown below 4053 would expose the support zone , with deeper downside risk toward the HTF Support Zone if bearish pressure strengthens. 📌Key levels to watch: Resistance: 4115 4170 4232 4285 Support: 4078 4053 4027 3996 3968 3921 🔎Fundamental focus: As the U.S. government reopens for business, all attention will now turn toward when critical data on employment, inflation, and other key economic indicators will be released.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
XAU/USD – Wedge Compression Signaling Potential Bullish BreakoutXAU/USD – Wedge Compression Signaling Potential Bullish Breakout Description: Gold (XAU/USD) has been consolidating after a sharp decline from the $4,280–$4,300 resistance area, which formed a clear double-top reversal pattern — signaling short-term bearish pressure. Following this correction, the market has now developed a descending wedge formation, typically seen as a bullish reversal structure when accompanied by volume buildup and repeated support rejections. Currently, the price is trading around the $4,010–$4,020 zone, sitting just above dynamic trendline support. A break and close above the $4,030–$4,100 supply area (highlighted in purple) would confirm a shift in market structure, potentially opening the way for a bullish leg toward $4,200 and beyond. Traders should watch for a breakout retest scenario, as a pullback to $3,960 could provide an ideal (demand re-entry zone) for continuation buyers. On the downside, a failure to defend the $3,960 support level may expose the market to deeper liquidity sweeps near $3,886, where larger buyers could step in again to fuel a stronger upside move. From a broader perspective, this price action reflects (accumulation behavior) following aggressive distribution earlier in the month. Momentum divergence and narrowing volatility hint that bulls are preparing for control — aligning with possible risk-off sentiment in global markets that typically benefits gold. Bias: Bullish above $3,960 | Targets: $4,100 – $4,200 | Invalidated below: $3,886 Technical Outlook: Wedge Compression | Breakout Anticipation | Structure Shift Confirmation Pending
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by ZACKFX7
Gold Weekly Summary and Forecast 11/15/2025In my last week's weekly post, I did predict gold to rise sharply and touch 4248. Well, it almost hit and quickly retrace and found its support around 4050. It did close the week with a positive note. I am still bullish on gold for the next week. It will be interesting to see what is the price action on next Monday. In regard of the heavy drop on Friday, I am cautious for the bull's continuation. Therefore, I will watch closely on Monday. If 4050 level is held, we could see more pumps and gold could test another ATH. My target will be 4440. However, If daily closes below 4000, we could see more drops coming. Let's see what the market will give us.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by SteadyFund
Watching the US$3,886 low closely right now!Whether Gold can hold onto its recent momentum is difficult to predict given the market uncertainty right now. Not only is it a 50/50 bet whether the Fed pulls the trigger and cuts rates next month, but no one actually knows what US data we will be getting in the coming weeks, now that the US government shutdown has ended. Additionally, it is still unclear when we will receive the data. September’s numbers will likely filter through next week and give us more of an idea of sentiment, but October’s data is tricky, particularly the jobs report! Ultimately, the hawkish Fed rhetoric suggesting a potential pause next month will likely hinder upside in the yellow metal for now. You will note that Gold is down nearly 3.0% today, and if we see the unit engulf US$4,000 – a widely watched number – and the US$3,886 low formed in late October, this could trigger breakout selling to US$3,748, I believe: an AB=CD completion. Consequently, while the trend clearly favours buyers in the longer term, we could be in for a little more pain to the downside, especially if we absorb US$3,886 bids. Written by FP Markets Chief Market Analyst Aaron Hill
FPMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by FP Markets