XAUUSD (US GOLD)XAUUSD Chart Analysis ......... 25/11/2025
Long : 4140 (Intrady trade)
SL : 4110
Target : 4192
Enjoy !
Trade ideas
*"Here’s today’s gold analysis
Price has finally broken above the consolidation zone between 4080 and 4105, showing strong bullish momentum.
Right now, gold is pulling back to retest the 4104–4106 support area, which also aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level.
As long as price holds above this zone, I expect a continuation to the upside, targeting 4129 first, and then the major resistance at 4165.
However, if price breaks below 4079 with a clear candle close, the bullish scenario becomes invalid, and we may see a deeper correction toward 4048 and possibly 3997.
For now, the bullish scenario remains the primary expectation as long as gold stays above support.
GOLD Bullish Bias! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD has already rebounded from the rising trendline after clearing internal liquidity, showing renewed bullish order-flow. Expect continuation toward the horizontal buy-side liquidity above.Time Frame 5H.
Sell!
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Gold (XAU/USD) – Market Structure Analysis | November 24, 2025Bias: Neutral → Slight Bullish
Key Level to Watch: 4,075.24 USD
Gold is stabilizing inside a tightening consolidation zone, holding structure above the 4,040–4,000 support region while struggling to secure acceptance above the 4,100 psychological level. This compression indicates reduced volatility and signals an upcoming breakout as liquidity builds on both sides of the range.
Intraday order-flow shows buyers stepping in with higher lows and a steady recovery back into resistance. However, the broader structure remains neutral until a decisive break confirms directional dominance.
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Technical Breakdown
Market Structure
• Market is range-bound between 4,000–4,100, forming a compression pattern
• Higher intraday lows indicate emerging bullish presence
• No confirmed breakout yet — market remains balanced
Key Resistance Zones
• 4,075.24 – Initial reaction level
• 4,087.69 – 4,090.45 – Critical breakout band
• 4,099.86 – 4,104 – Upper resistance cluster
• 4,150 – Higher-timeframe structural resistance
Key Support Zones
• 4,044.09 – Immediate intraday support
• 4,036.62 – Secondary support
• 4,032 → 4,000 – Structural support and bearish validation floor
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Outlook & Interpretation
Gold remains in a neutral structure with slightly improving bullish sentiment. For buyers to take full control, price must break and hold above the 4,087–4,090 region. Until then, the market sits in equilibrium, with both sides defending key liquidity zones.
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Trading Plan
Bullish Scenario
Break and hold above 4,087–4,090 → upside targets:
• 4,099 → 4,104 → 4,150
Neutral Scenario
Price remains between 4,044 – 4,087 → expect continued consolidation and liquidity build-up.
Bearish Scenario
Break below 4,044 → downside targets:
• 4,036 → 4,031, with 4,000 as the broader structural support.
Gold: Overview 24.11This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis (IA) method.
Hello, traders and investors!
The gold price on the daily timeframe is in a sideways range.
A seller initiative is active, with a target at 3928.
On the daily chart, the levels 4133 and 4154 are of interest for potential short opportunities, as well as the 4110 level — which is both an hourly timeframe level and the high of a seller candle with increased volume.
The first target for short positions is 3998.
Long positions should be considered only when we see signs of buyer strength on the daily timeframe — this may happen near 3998 or 3928.
Wishing you profitable trades!
Negative factors continue to dominate the short-term trend. Negative factors dominate, suppressing the upward trend of gold prices.
Diminished expectations of interest rate cuts + Support from the US dollar: Currently, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in December is only 10%, and Morgan Stanley has even completely abandoned this expectation. As an interest-free asset, the fading expectations of interest rate cuts will significantly reduce the attractiveness of gold. At the same time, the US dollar index has formed a solid support at 100.3, and gold and the US dollar usually have a negative correlation. The strength of the US dollar will continue to put pressure on gold prices, which is the core factor suppressing the gold price next Monday.
-Decline in geopolitical risk demand: Recent cease-fire negotiations between Palestine and Israel have continued, and the conflict in Ukraine has also sent out signals of cooling. Previously, the risk-averse funds that bought gold due to concerns over geopolitical conflicts are gradually withdrawing. The decline in risk-averse demand has deprived gold of an important upward momentum. This trend is likely to continue until next Monday, further suppressing the gold price.
-Weak technical signals: On November 21, the international gold price has fallen below the key support level of 4050 US dollars, and is at the end of the triangular convergence range, showing a trend of continuously lower highs. The weak technical pattern will affect investor sentiment. Short-term there will be few large-scale buy orders to support the gold price, and even some investors may prematurely sell for risk aversion, further intensifying the downward pressure on the gold price.
Next week's gold strategy analysis
sell：4075-4065
tp:4055-4035-4000
sl:4085
check the trend Given the support level broken, the downward trend will likely continue. Then, considering the price behavior in the next support level, possible scenarios have been identified.
XAUUSD -SetupPrice has confirmed a bearish breakout from the structure, and I’m expecting continuation toward the three downside targets. As long as price maintains bearish momentum and stays below the key levels, the setup remains valid.
Bias: Bearish
Invalidation: ❌ Setup becomes invalid if price closes above 4107.50.
Watching for sustained downside pressure and continuation toward the marked take-profit zones.
I will be going long on gold after the market opens.Are youreadyGold prices remained relatively stable this week, offering traders some room for maneuver. This week, after reaching a high of 4132, gold prices fluctuated between 4000 and 4110, showing greater stability compared to the previous volatile market. This provided favorable conditions for implementing trading strategies, and several short-selling operations during this period also achieved the expected results.
From a weekly chart perspective, the chart shows a doji pattern, indicating that the forces of bulls and bears are relatively balanced in the short term, lacking a clear one-sided trend, suggesting that investors are generally cautious. Historical data shows that Fridays are often prone to price fluctuations, so it is necessary to remain vigilant about risk management. Looking at the hourly chart, prices have entered a key support/resistance zone, currently trading near the Bollinger Band's middle line. If it can effectively hold this position, it is expected to retest the resistance levels of $4090 and $4100. In terms of trading strategy, it is recommended to place long orders in batches within the 4050 to 4070 range after the market opens, and closely monitor market dynamics. If there are any further changes, we will promptly notify you of any adjustments to the plan.
The above are my personal thoughts! If they are helpful to you or you agree with my ideas, please like and follow to support me! All strategies have a limited lifespan, so while referring to them, you should also closely monitor market changes. I will also respond flexibly according to actual market fluctuations, and I will announce the specifics in the channel!
Nov 21, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential Opportunity Summary:
It’s Friday, and the market still hasn’t given a clear direction. For now, I’m using 4074 as the bull–bear line:
• Above 4074 → buy on pullbacks that hold
• Below 4074 → sell on pullbacks that fail
Stay flexible and let price action confirm the direction.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 4120 – Resistance
• 4107–4110 – Resistance
• 4100–4102 – Resistance
• 4096 – Resistance
• 4089 – Resistance
• 4082 – Resistance
• 4074 – Bull/Bear line
• 4067 – Support
• 4055 – Support
• 4020–4030 – Support zone
• 4007 – Support
• 3998–4000 – Psychological support zone
📈 Intraday Strategy:
• SELL if price breaks below 4074 → target 4067, then 4063, 4055, 4050
• BUY if price holds above 4081 → target 4088, then 4092, 4100, 4107
XAUUSD H1 TIME FRAME CHART ANALYSIS CONFIRMED TARGET SEE AND CHE📉 Chart Breakdown
1. Current Price
Around 4077.5
2. Sell Zone
Marked as “XAU/USD SELL Area” around the current price.
This suggests you’re planning to enter (or already entered) a sell trade near 4077–4080.
3. Stop Loss (Stop trade)
Highlighted red zone above.
SL appears to be around 4102.
4. Take-Profit Targets
Target 1: 4040
Target 2 (Next target): 4000
Gold (XAUUSD): Long Trade from Demand ZoneIdentified Trading Setup
The chart illustrates a potential long (buy) trade setup based on a specific strategy, likely related to Smart Money Concepts (SMC) or order flow analysis:
Support/Demand Zone: The entry is planned around the grey box zone, specifically at the CRT-L (Current Range Low) area, implying a belief that this is a strong level for a price reversal.
SSS (Sell-Side Liquidity): The label "SSS" points to a level around $4,030 which was recently broken, suggesting the initial selling pressure has subsided or that liquidity has been swept.
Projected Path: The black line with arrows indicates the expected price path—a significant reversal from the low zone, followed by an uptrend towards the target.
Target (Take Profit): The trade aims for the CRT-H (Current Range High) around $4,092.85. This level represents a strong area of previous supply or resistance that the price is projected to retest.
💡 Conclusion
The analysis suggests a contrarian trade anticipating a bounce off a key support/demand zone for a retracement back toward recent high-level resistance. The blue shaded box represents the potential profit area for this long setup.
Gold is consolidating within the $4050-$4100 range.Gold is consolidating within the $4050-$4100 range.
As shown on the 4-hour chart: Gold prices have been consolidating within a range, and a breakout of the single trendline this week is unlikely.
Expected trading range: $4000-$4110
Gold prices are currently declining. Based on the chart pattern,
we are waiting for a rebound and will continue to short at higher price levels:
Sell: $4080-$4090
Stop Loss: $4120
Take Profit: $4050-$4030-$4000
This strategy is largely consistent with yesterday's theoretical analysis.
Bearish Delivery Activated Between OG ZonesVANTAGE:XAUUSD price has rejected cleanly from the new
🐼Bearish OG Zone, and the OG TrendMaster just printed a 📉Short signal.
Buyers lost control, so my bias is to the downside, targeting the lower OG zone.
Short Bias:
• Entry: 4,078 – 4,090 (Bearish OG zone)
• Stop: Above 4,118
• TP1: 4,045
• TP2: 4,025
• Final Target: Lower OG Zone (around 4,000 – 3,990)
Fundamentals also line up with a bearish bias on gold. Today’s key U.S. releases NFP, Unemployment Rate, and Average Hourly Earnings can create strong volatility. If jobs and wages come in stronger than expected, the dollar typically strengthens and gold sells off. Even neutral numbers can keep pressure on gold as markets price in tighter monetary conditions. With heavy USD data on deck, the short setup aligns well with the macro narrative.
FIRST CONFIRMATION CANDLE If this current m30 candle in the purple sphere closes bullish then it will be first good confirmation of more buys so we will wait for other higher time frames for more confirmation but if it closes bearish by 6am it will be best to close buys and wait for a while because it will push down further but could be rejected to close around 4070 before we buy again , it could also lead to more sells if it closes bearish so it will be best to close and wait for the reaction after that .
Gold(XAUUSD)-Bullish Setup/RiskyChartPrice flipped bullish after CHoCH and BOS on the 15m/1H structure.
Market retraced into a clean demand zone and showed strong displacement back upward.
I'm expecting continuation toward PDH, with intraday targets at 4090 → 4108 → 4120.
As long as price holds above the 4060–4050 demand area, bullish bias remains valid.
Gold softens after Fed minutes as smokestacks cap every rally Is there any way we can get a December rate cut now?
Gold has softened after the release of the minutes from the Federal Reserve's last interest rate decision.
The minutes show there’s no unified push toward cutting, which could make a December move unlikely.
Several Federal Reserve officials supported lowering rates in October, but others preferred keeping policy unchanged, and some pushed back firmly against easing.
Technically, XAUUSD continues to form smokestacks, printing repeated double-top structures. The price is now hovering around 4,070, sitting under possible short-term resistance at 4,150. XAUUSD losing the 50-day MA further could shift bias more decisively lower.
Gold Technical Analysis and Trading Strategy (November 19th) MaGold Technical Analysis and Trading Strategy (November 19th)
Market Review: Yesterday, the gold market showed a bottoming-out and rebound trend. After testing the support level of 3998, the price stabilized and rebounded. In the evening, it broke through the key resistance level of 4030, officially turning into a bullish pattern. Subsequently, after a second pullback to the 4029 support level, it launched a strong rally, reaching a high of 4082. The daily chart ultimately closed with a small bullish candlestick with a relatively long lower shadow, ending the previous three-day losing streak. This candlestick pattern indicates that after a fierce battle between bulls and bears, the bulls have regained dominance.
Technical Analysis
From a daily chart perspective, although yesterday's positive close alleviated short-term downward pressure, the overall technical pattern still presents some concerns:
The short-term moving average system above still provides significant resistance, and the price has not yet achieved a substantial breakout.
After three consecutive days of negative closes, the rebound of this single positive candle is more likely a technical correction.
The price retraced again in the morning session, indicating that the bullish momentum still needs further confirmation.
Key Levels Analysis:
Support Area: Around 4050 (a support/resistance level), this level will be the watershed between bulls and bears today.
Resistance Area: 4100-4105 (the previous high of the negative candle), this is a significant short-term resistance zone.
Trading Strategy
Operational Approach: Primarily buy on dips, secondarily sell on rallies.
Specific Layout Long Position Strategy: Buy in batches in the 4050-4055 range, with a position size of 20% and a stop loss of 8 points. Target levels are 4080-4100, with a potential further upside to 4110 if the price breaks through.
Short Position Strategy: Sell in batches in the 4100-4105 range, with a position size of 20% and a stop loss of 8 points. Target levels are 4080-4060, with a potential further downside to the 4050 support level if the price breaks below.
Risk Warning: The impact of the Fed meeting minutes should be closely monitored today.
The non-farm payroll data will be released on Thursday and may have a significant impact on the market.
Strictly adhere to position management; the stop loss for each trade should not exceed 8% of the position size.
Specific entry points should be adjusted flexibly based on real-time market movements.
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for November 19thGold Technical Analysis:
Daily Resistance: 4150, Support: 4000
4-Hour Resistance: 4150, Support: 4082
1-Hour Resistance: 4120, Support: 4098
Technically, the weekly candlestick chart shows a rebound, indicating confirmed support. Yesterday's daily chart closed with a hammer pattern after the rise, strengthening confidence in the technical rebound. Intraday, the effectiveness of the Bollinger Middle Band support needs to be monitored. The 4000 level has stabilized in the short term. News and data in the next few trading days will remain a key focus for the market. Now that 4100 has been broken, short-term traders can follow the trend. If the NY market experiences a slight pullback, it's also a good opportunity to buy, targeting the 4220/4250 area. We need to focus on the probability of a December rate cut; if it returns to above 60%, gold could accelerate its upward movement.
Looking at the 1-hour chart, gold rebounded strongly in the European session, with the price action within an upward channel. Having broken through 4100, the short-term trend suggests further continuation. Watch for support levels from the MACD/KDJ indicators. For the European and American sessions, consider buying on a pullback to around 4095/4082.
Trading Strategy:
BUY: 4095~4082
SELL: 4150~4158
More Analysis →
Continue to short gold in the $4075-$4095 range!Gold prices rebounded slightly after falling below the $4,000 mark, a move highly consistent with previous technical analysis expectations. As previously predicted, gold prices successfully reached the key target of $4,000 after a period of sustained downward volatility, indicating a significant release of bearish momentum. This pullback was accompanied by high market sensitivity to macroeconomic data, particularly following the unexpected rise in initial jobless claims. This heightened concerns about the future labor market prompted investors to reassess the Federal Reserve's monetary policy path, leading to a resurgence in safe-haven demand and driving a significant rebound in gold prices.
The data reflects signs of a possible marginal slowdown in the job market, causing some traders to reduce their bets on further interest rate hikes. This led to a decline in US Treasury yields and downward pressure on the US dollar index, thus providing short-term support for precious metals. As a result, gold prices quickly rebounded from their lows, recovering some lost ground and successfully reversing the previous continuous decline, returning to a range-bound trading pattern.
From a current technical perspective, although gold prices have rebounded, the overall trend has not yet completely escaped downward pressure. Bears remain dominant, with the medium- and long-term moving averages arranged in a bearish pattern, indicating a cautious market sentiment. In the short term, the $3990-$4000 range is a key support zone. This area not only represents a previous consolidation level but also represents a concentration of technical buying and stop-loss orders, providing strong support for the current phase. Resistance is concentrated in the $4100-$4090 range, a densely packed area of resistance that has been tested multiple times recently without success. Coupled with the possibility of some trapped positions selling off, gold prices are expected to face some selling pressure on any upward movement.
Given the current weak and volatile market, the trading strategy can continue the approach established at the beginning of the week. It is recommended to short gold in batches when the price rebounds to between $4075 and $4095. At the same time, close attention should be paid to important events such as US inflation data, the non-farm payroll report, and speeches by Federal Reserve officials, as these factors may exacerbate market volatility and alter the short-term trend. If there are significant changes in the fundamentals, such as higher-than-expected inflation or significantly weaker economic data, the strategy will be adjusted accordingly and timely updates will be provided.
Overall, the gold market is currently in a phase of intensified battle between bulls and bears, with the direction still unclear. In terms of trading, it is advisable to remain flexible, control positions, avoid chasing highs and lows, and focus on structural opportunities in a volatile market.
The above are my personal thoughts! If they are helpful to you or your ideas align with mine, please like and follow to show your support! All strategies have a limited lifespan, so while referring to them, you should also closely monitor market changes. I will also respond flexibly based on actual market fluctuations, and I will announce specifics in the channel!
XAUUSD potential Long term sell XAUUSD is currently testing a very strong zone , if it fails to break above we will see a very big dip coming our eyes should be on @ 4105 as long as its below this zone we could expect further dips
Long GOLD (GC, GLD, etc)I am planning to go to a long GOLD position again. Maybe needs some consolidation, but the eventual target will be 4800-5000 around mid-end 2026. I will choose otm GLD leap calls.
There is an alternative scenario that the price will drop to ~3850 first to form a wedge pattern. If so, I will double down on my leap calls.
Gold SellPrice broke above the previous highs and made a new Higher High, showing that buyers took control and flipped the structure bullish. After that push up, price pulled back into the same breakout area, which is now acting as demand. This is the level where I expect the uptrend to continue. As long as price holds above this zone, I’m staying bullish with targets back toward the recent HH. If price breaks below the current HL, the setup is invalid — that’s where my stop is.
Entry: 4,028.85
Stop Loss: 3,965.98
Take Profit: 4,253.68
