GOLD → Price stuck in range after Fed speech FX:XAUUSD continues to battle for the $4,000 zone. The fundamental backdrop has a hint of unpredictability following the Fed's statement. Technically, the range of 3,915-4,015 is developing
Key factors: US shutdown (4th week): Weighs on the economy and the dollar, supporting gold as a safe haven. However, the Fed toughened its tone yesterday: It cut rates by 25 basis points, but Powell ruled out guarantees for a cut in December. Trump and Xi meeting: Agreements reached on soybeans and rare earths, reducing demand for defensive assets.
Gold balances between shutdown risks and monetary policy tightening. Growth is only possible if macro statistics deteriorate or geopolitics escalate.
Resistance levels: 4015 - 4050
Support levels: 3980 - 3960 - 3915
Gold may continue its correction from the 4015 - 4050 zone to 3950 - 3900 if the bulls are unable to keep the price within the upper range. However, if the market continues to buy the metal (there are no fundamental reasons for this yet) and the price closes above 4015, there may be a chance for growth to 4050 - 4085.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Trade ideas
( Gold Protocol ) Bearish After Break Detected Status: Active Reversal Protocol
Symbol: Gold
Session: London–New York Overlap (Smart Exit Window)
Confidence Level: ★★★★★ ( Hanzo Volume Detected )
☄️ Bearish After Break Out 4005
Reasons
1. Alpha Sequence Engaged
— Smart flow detected within Hanzo precision range.
2. Volume Window Synced
— Session energy aligns with internal volume pulse.
3. Liquidity Cycle Active
— Engineered sweep confirms smart money transition.
4. Time Lock Confirmed
— Market phase locked with directional intent.
5. Volume Map Aligned
— Cluster balance reveals real directional flow.
6. Hanzo Wick Detected
— Manipulation wick verified under Alpha filter.
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Gold Forecast — Market Turning BullishGold (XAU/USD) maintains a strong long-term bullish trend, supported by rising investor demand and global macroeconomic stability. After completing a healthy correction phase, the market is showing renewed strength, indicating a potential continuation of the broader uptrend.
Current price action reflects accumulation behavior among institutional traders, signaling confidence in gold’s long-term value growth. The consistent pattern of higher lows and steady momentum suggests that buyers are firmly in control, preparing for another upward expansion cycle.
From a fundamental perspective, global inflation concerns, a weaker U.S. dollar, and geopolitical tensions continue to support gold prices. Investors are increasingly seeking protection in safe-haven assets, which further strengthens gold’s long-term position in the market.
Technical structure and sentiment both align with a buy-side outlook, highlighting the potential for gold to extend gains as liquidity continues to build in the current price zones.
In summary, gold remains in a strong buying phase, with market data, investor sentiment, and macroeconomic indicators all favoring sustained upward momentum.
Keywords: Gold forecast, XAU/USD analysis, gold long-term trend, gold price outlook, bullish gold market, gold accumulation phase, forex gold trading, gold price prediction 2025.
Gold Declines as Sellers Dominate the MarketGold is undergoing a controlled correction phase after an extended period of sustained gains. Market behavior over recent sessions reflects a shift from expansion to contraction as liquidity flow decreases and momentum weakens across key time horizons.
The previous upward cycle attracted substantial speculative interest, but current market dynamics suggest profit-taking by institutional participants and reduced accumulation from large holders. The recent structural shift confirms that sentiment has turned defensive, aligning with global market caution amid evolving economic conditions.
Despite short-term consolidation, the broader setup indicates that gold remains sensitive to global financial stability concerns and policy signals. Market participants are now waiting for clarity on upcoming economic data and interest rate outlooks, which could determine whether the correction deepens or transitions into a new accumulation phase.
In the near term, volatility is expected to remain elevated as investors reassess exposure levels. The prevailing outlook maintains a cautious bias, with traders closely observing how price reacts to continued shifts in liquidity and macro sentiment. Sustained capital outflow from hedge assets could pressure gold further, while renewed demand for safety could limit downside potential in the medium term.
XAUUSD: Correction Phase Aiming Toward 3,900 SupportHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Gold setup.
Market Analysis
Gold (XAUUSD) has shifted from a strong bullish phase into a clear bearish structure after failing to sustain momentum above the 4,130 Resistance Zone. The market initially traded within an Upward Channel, forming a steady series of higher highs and higher lows until buyers lost strength near the top of the range. A breakout from the channel confirmed the end of the bullish impulse, followed by a range formation and multiple fake breakouts, indicating indecision and growing selling pressure. Eventually, the market broke below the range, retested the resistance area, and established a Downward Channel, showing that sellers have regained control.
Currently, Gold is moving within this descending structure, respecting both the upper and lower boundaries of the channel. The Resistance Zone around 4,130 has once again acted as a strong supply area, rejecting price and pushing it lower toward the Support Zone near 3,900.
My Scenario & Strategy
From my perspective, XAUUSD is likely to continue its short-term bearish correction toward the 3,900 support level, which aligns with the lower boundary of the channel. A successful test of this area could trigger a short-term reaction or even a potential reversal if buyers step in.
As long as price remains below the Resistance Zone (4,130) and within the Downward Channel, the bearish sentiment remains dominant. A confirmed breakdown below 3,900 could open the door for a deeper move toward the 3,850–3,820 zone. For now, I remain bearish in the short term, looking for short opportunities from the upper channel resistance with a primary target at 3,900.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
XAUUSD Long: Demand Zone Holding, Eyes on $4,080Hello traders! Gold (XAUUSD) is currently showing a corrective phase within its broader bullish trend. After a strong rally from the $3,850 Demand Zone, price climbed steadily along the ascending Trend Line, forming higher highs and higher lows until reaching the $4,150–$4,180 Resistance Area. This zone acted as a key pivot point, where buyers lost momentum and sellers initiated a retracement.
Following this, the market broke below the Trend Line, signaling the start of a short-term correction. The correction found temporary support near the $3,950 Demand Zone, where buyers have recently stepped in again. This level coincides with a previous pivot and a key structural support area, suggesting a potential rebound setup. At the moment, price is consolidating between the $3,950 Demand Zone and the $4,080–$4,150 Resistance Area, indicating indecision before the next move.
From my perspective, Gold is likely to attempt a bullish correction toward the $4,080–$4,150 Resistance Zone, which aligns with both the previous Trend Line and recent pivot structure. A successful break and close above $4,150 would confirm a trend continuation toward higher levels. However, if the price fails to break above this resistance area and gets rejected, sellers could regain control, pushing the market back down toward $3,950 or even lower. For now, I’ll be watching for confirmation of a bullish reaction from the $3,950 Demand Zone to validate a short-term long setup targeting $4,080. Manage your risk!
Wall Street Weekly Outlook - Week 44 2025 [27.10.- 31.10.2025]Wall Street Weekly Outlook – Week 44, 2025 📊💥
Let’s dive into another exciting trading week! 🚀
Rate decisions, month-end flows, and fresh quarterly earnings are setting the stage for strong market moves.
Sit back, enjoy the overview, and dive into the world of banks, hedge funds, and institutional flows — with exclusive insights into how the pros are positioning right now. 🧠💼📈
Extra Lessons: Strategies, setups, and market psychology — everything you need to know for the week ahead. ⚡️
**S&P500 Performance after FED rate cuts**
**Overview: The most important events of the week**
Have a great start to the trading week!
Meikel
XAUUSD – Bearish Pressure After Historical HighsGold prices continue to experience significant downward pressure as profit-taking surges after a strong rally. From the historical peak of nearly 4,400 USD/ounce, gold has lost nearly 12 million VND per tael , and is at risk of falling further if the 4,000 USD/ounce level cannot hold.
On the H4 chart, XAUUSD is forming a bearish trend with a clear price structure. Gold is facing a downward trendline , and each recovery from the lows encounters strong selling pressure . Currently, the price is hovering around 3,935 USD, near the support zone at 3,990 USD, and could drop further to 3,750 USD if this level fails to hold.
Key factors affecting the price:
USD recovery: The strengthening of the US dollar and rising US Treasury yields have reduced gold's appeal, as it does not yield interest.
Increased risk appetite: Progress in US-China trade talks is drawing funds towards equities and industrial commodities.
Trading Strategy: Sell gold around 4,000 USD, with a target of 3,750 USD, and stop loss above 4,050 USD.
Conclusion: XAUUSD remains in a mild bearish trend, with further downside potential if the 4,000 USD level is broken.
GOLD Finally Bearish , Short Setup Valid To Get 300 Pips !Here is My 30 Mins Gold Chart , and here is my opinion , we finally Below 4050.00 With 4H Candle And this never happened for a long time ! and we have a 4H Candle closure below it And Perfect Breakout and this give us a very good confirmation , so we have a good confirmation now to can sell after the price go back to retest the broken area 4050.00 , and give us a good wicks as previous wicks ! and we can targeting 100 to 200 pips . if we have a daily closure above this area this mean this idea will not be valid anymore .
Reasons To Enter :
1- Perfect Touch For The Area .
2- Clear Bearish Price Action .
3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bearish P.A .
4- Over Bought .
5- Perfect 30 Mins Closure .
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Interesting open on the markets with gaps all over the place. Gold managed to break below on the open then continuing to complete not only the red box targets but our Algo target as well. We would have liked higher to get in on this move, ideally we wanted 4055 during the NY Session but it wasn't to be. The move commenced and those that got in managed to bag themselves a decent trade short.
For now, due to another stretch on buyers, we would like to see where we close today. We have circled the potential play with a swing high looking like it will attempt the 4030 level while the red box below will need to break in order to continue to our long awaited target below.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Gold consolidating a new high zone pullback from support Gold is currently consolidating after a sharp reaction, with price action moving quickly and testing the new high zone. Technically, the price broke the 4,000 level but experienced a pullback from above this support area. The next directional move will likely depend on a breakout from the current consolidation range.
A clear break above resistance could trigger a move toward the next resistance zone at 4,165–4,200 a break below the range would suggest that gold remains neutral to bearish in the short term may test the support again rebound to upside.
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of Luck buddies.
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PRICE ACTION – The True Language of the MarketIn the noisy world of trading, filled with indicators, signals, and formulas, Price Action brings you back to the core: price. When you remove all indicators, erase moving averages, and forget RSI, the only thing left on your chart is the footprint of the market – the candles telling their story.
What is Price Action – and why is it the “true language”?
Price Action is not a “magic trick” or an infallible trading system. It is the art of listening to the market, the ability to read the rhythm of money flow and human emotions reflected in every price movement. Each candle is not just data – it is a story of hope and fear, of buyers and sellers, of greed and doubt. A Price Action trader does not predict the market – they observe how the market reacts.
Price – where emotions are written in candles
Price never moves randomly. Every high and low is the result of millions of human decisions.
When price breaks a high: it’s confidence and euphoria.
When price breaks a low: it’s fear and panic.
When price moves sideways: it’s waiting and doubt.
Price Action teaches you to read the emotions behind each click, not just the shape of the candle.
Market structure – the backbone of Price Action
Behind every trend lies a clear structure. The market cycles through three phases:
Accumulation – buyers and sellers struggle, price moves sideways.
Expansion – one side dominates, trend forms.
Distribution – winners take profits, losers retreat.
Understanding market structure means knowing where you are in the cycle, avoiding blind trades, and acting with purpose.
Every candle – a small story in the bigger picture
A long lower shadow signals strong buying pressure.
A pinbar at resistance shows price rejection.
A series of small candles indicates accumulation and an impending breakout.
A Price Action trader does not see candles individually but connects them into the full story – where every move has a reason.
The power of simplicity
Price Action is simple, yet far from simplistic. It is not lagging like indicators, not dependent on false signals, and can be applied across all markets – from Forex and gold to crypto. When you read price action, you are no longer passive, waiting for a signal; you become the navigator, following the market’s heartbeat.
The mindset of a professional Price Action trader
A professional Price Action trader doesn’t ask, “When should I enter?” Instead, they ask:
Who is controlling the market?
Where is the money flowing?
Has this price area reversed before?
Am I moving with the money or against it?
The difference lies not in technique, but in mindset and reaction. The market doesn’t need you to win. It rewards those who understand how it operates.
When you read price, you understand people
Price Action is not a tool; it is a living perspective on market psychology. It doesn’t promise perfection, but it gives you profound understanding. When you read price – you are reading human psychology. When you understand structure – you grasp the rhythm of emotional cycles. And when you immerse yourself in Price Action, you are no longer guessing prices – you move with the market, heartbeat by heartbeat, move by move, opportunity by opportunity.
XAUUSD: Bulls vs. Resistance — 4050 Decides the Next MoveIn yesterday’s analysis, I mentioned that after the reversal from the 3920 support zone, Gold (XAUUSD) could continue higher toward the 4050 resistance area.
Indeed, that target has been reached, followed by a 600-pip leg down overnight.
At the moment, the price is resuming its upward move and is trading back above $4,000, around 4025.
Going forward, I expect volatility to remain high. If the bulls fail to sustain the price above 4050, another leg to the downside could follow.
For now, I’m out of the market, waiting to see whether we’ll get another test of 4050 — and more importantly, how the price reacts in that zone. 🚀
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Simple one this evening. Yesterday we wanted to see which way it broke, the red boxes activated, the short hit target, we then got the TAP AND BOUNCE, red box activated with the hot spot and Excalibur, and BOOM! RIP And FLIP.
Now, support below at the 3930 level with resistance 3955 could be the play but the close here is important! The pull back here is huge, all the way up to the level of 4050 which needs to break to change the structure, otherwise, more downside is on the horizon.
From Camelot this morning:
Red boxes:
Break above 3909 for 3920✅ and 3933✅ in extension of the move
Break below 3890 for 3865, 3955 and 3848 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
GOLD → Technical analysis of the current situation FX:XAUUSD is consolidating, and the daily market behavior pattern is not particularly positive, but it does have bullish implications. Market sentiment largely depends on the fundamental background
This week, the Fed is expected to hold a meeting on interest rates, where it will most likely decide to lower them, which could generally support the dollar (but this news is most likely already priced in). Accordingly, the rest depends on decisions regarding the shutdown, trade war, and inflation. The resolution of the first two issues may weaken the price.
As for the technical side, since the price is currently within the trading range, it is worth considering trading within these limits first. However, a breakout and closing above/below one of the key levels: 4060 - 4150 could trigger further movement in the direction of the breakout, which in turn could push the price into another (bearish or bullish) trading range. Below, there is the 4000 zone, and there is a possibility of a retest of this area, with a potentially aggressive reaction.
Resistance levels: 4150, 4218, 4275
Support levels: 4060, 4015, 3944
While uncertainty remains, the market may continue to hold the price between 4060 and 4150. Another retest of the range boundary and the reaction to this retest will show the market's intentions for further movement.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold Outlook: Bears Stay in ControlGold continues to operate within a bearish market environment characterized by persistent liquidation and declining momentum. The recent structural shift reflects an ongoing reallocation of capital away from defensive metals toward higher-yield instruments, signaling a broader change in market positioning.
Trading activity indicates that each upward movement is being met with renewed selling interest, suggesting limited participation from institutional buyers. This behavior aligns with the prevailing sentiment of caution, as investors prioritize stability over speculative exposure.
The broader outlook remains subdued, with market conditions favoring continued downside until clearer evidence of renewed demand emerges. Gold’s performance reflects a phase of market adjustment, where declining liquidity and moderate volatility reinforce the persistence of bearish sentiment across the short-term horizon.
Gold resumes upward trend after testing 3900📣Gold resumes upward trend after testing 3900
From my update yesterday, gold is clearly rising. The market is positioned for a rate cut by the FED today.
The FED is expected to cut rates by 25 bps to 4% vs 4.25 previous.
Whether this is good or bad for gold is another topic, as gold moves as it wants dominated by a strong bullish trend.
However, our area near 3900 stopped the price, indicating that who created the bearish movement was taking some profits and may be is back in the game to make more profits.
I think Gold can go higher today, despite the big mess that FOMC could create today.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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GOLD (XAUUSD): Support & Resistance Analysis For Next Week
Here is my latest support & resistance analysis for Gold.
Horizontal Structures
Resistance 1: 4186 - 4244 area
Resistance 2: 4358 - 4381 area
Support 1: 4040 - 4060 area
Support 2: 3942 - 3959 area
Support 3: 3870 - 3897 area
Support 4: 3766 - 3831 area
Support 5: 3691 - 3735 area
Vertical Structures
Vertical Support 1: Rising trend line
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading next week.
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Gold (XAU/USD) – Testing key support zone near 4,020 USDGold (XAU/USD) – Testing key support zone near 4,020 USD, potential short-term rebound
On the 15-minute chart, Gold (XAU/USD) continues to show weakness after failing to hold above the 4,080 USD resistance. Price action has formed a clear lower-high structure, indicating sellers remain in control.
Currently, gold is testing the horizontal support area around 4,010 – 4,020 USD, which previously acted as a strong demand zone. The market is consolidating in this region, suggesting that a short-term reaction or pullback could occur before the next major move.
Technical Outlook
Resistance: 4,080 – 4,090 USD
Support: 4,010 – 4,000 USD
Market Structure: Lower-High / Lower-Low (bearish bias)
EMA50: Slope remains downward, confirming short-term bearish momentum
RSI: Near oversold territory on lower timeframes, indicating possible rebound pressure
Despite the downward trend, the proximity to the 4,010 USD support zone increases the likelihood of a technical bounce toward 4,080 USD before any continuation lower.
Trading Plan Suggestion
Buy (counter-trend scalp):
Entry: 4,030 – 4,035 USD
Stop Loss: 4,010 USD
Take Profit: 4,080 USD
Sell (trend continuation):
Entry: 4,083 – 4,090 USD (after rejection)
Stop Loss: 4,110 USD
Take Profit: 4,020 – 4,000 USD
Summary
Gold remains in a short-term downtrend, but buyers may attempt to defend the 4,010 USD level. A strong bullish reaction from this zone could trigger a temporary pullback, whereas a breakdown below 4,000 USD would confirm further weakness toward 3,950 USD.
Keep this setup on your watchlist — follow to receive daily price action updates and intraday trading strategies.
XAUUSD: Bullish Reversal Setup From Triangle SupportHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Gold setup.
Market Analysis
Gold (XAUUSD) continues to trade within a larger bullish market structure, maintaining higher lows above its key ascending Trend Line. After a strong impulsive rally that pushed the price above the 4,200 resistance, the market faced rejection near the top of the Range and entered a corrective phase. This correction evolved into a triangle pattern, with price now testing the Triangle Support Line, aligning closely with the horizontal Support area around 4,020 – 4,000 — a historically important demand zone.
Currently, the price is consolidating near the lower boundary of this structure, showing early signs of stabilization. This region also coincides with the previous breakout point, adding further confluence for potential buyer interest.
My Scenario & Strategy
I expect the price to hold above the Triangle Support Line and form a bullish reversal structure, signaling that buyers are once again defending this level. A confirmed breakout above the Triangle Resistance Line would indicate renewed bullish momentum and a potential continuation of the overall uptrend.
My primary target zone lies around 4,215, where previous resistance and the upper range boundary converge. However, if the support near 4,000 fails to hold, it could trigger a deeper correction toward 3,950, where the next demand zone is located. This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward opportunity for traders anticipating a rebound from a major technical confluence zone.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
XAU/USD Gold Looking strong bullish trend resistance breakout📈 XAU/USD (Gold) Update 💰
🔥 Bullish momentum continues as price breaks above key resistance at 4017!
🎯 Technical Targets:
1️⃣ 4045
2️⃣ 4083
3️⃣ 4136
⚠️ Use proper risk management – Always protect your capital.
💬 Like 👍 | 💭 Comment 💬 | 🔁 Share 🔁
#Gold #XAUUSD #Trading #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #BullishTrend #RiskManagement
Gold Consolidating chance for Growth Gold prices are currently consolidating ahead of the Federal Reserve’s decision. The fundamental background remains mixed — with uncertainty surrounding monetary policy and global trade developments.
During the second half of the European session and into early U.S. trading, the market may enter a phase of stagnation. A soft or dovish tone from the Fed could trigger renewed bullish momentum, while progress in trade negotiations or a hawkish surprise from the Fed may extend the ongoing correction.
If the bulls manage to defend support above 4000, this level could act as a strong base, potentially pushing prices toward the 4054–4078 range in the short term. A break below this key zone, however, would likely invite further downside pressure.
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of Luck buddies.
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