XAUUSD 30m – Continuation Outlook | BULLISH TREND | BUYERS ONLYFOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Structure | Trend | Key Reaction Zones
Gold remains bullish with higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL). Price is consolidating near 3630–3640, creating a decision zone for the next move.
Market Overview
Buyers are still in control after the breakout, but price is facing strong resistance at 3646. A breakout continuation could fuel upside momentum, while rejection risks a pullback.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀
Target 1: 3660
Target 2: 3685
Target 3: 3720
Stop Loss: Below 3612
❌ Bearish Case 📉
Target 1: 3612
Target 2: 3592
Target 3: 3577
Stop Loss: Above 3646
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 3646 – 3660 zone
Support 🟢: 3612 – 3592 zone
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
GOLD trade ideas
Gold (XAU/USD) is hovering just below or at all-time highsFundamental Drivers
Record highs near $3,600/oz: Gold (XAU/USD) is hovering just below or at all-time highs around $3,600. Weak U.S. jobs data (just 22,000 added in August) has heightened expectations of aggressive Federal Reserve rate cuts, fueling gold’s rally.
Reuters
Financial Times
FXEmpire
Dovish Fed outlook and global uncertainty: The confluence of expected rate cuts, a weaker dollar, and global instability has pushed gold sharply higher, attracting both speculative traders and central bank buyers.
FXEmpire
FX Leaders
Barron's
Forecasts trending higher: Analysts see more upside. Estimates range from $3,700 soon to a year-end target near $4,000, possibly even $5,000 by 2026 under certain scenarios.
Barron's
Trading News
FX Leaders
Technical Signals
Momentum strong, but stretched: Technical readings (RSI, MACD, Stochastic etc.) largely signal a strong bullish bias—but many show overbought conditions.
Investing.com
+1
Key levels to watch:
Resistance: ~$3,640–3,650 zone—break here could open the path to new highs.
TradingView
+1
Support: ~$3,580–3,600—crucial area for holding bullish structure.
TradingView
+1
Scenarios vary from continued rally to a short-term correction if resistance holds.
TradingView
RoboForex
Strategic sentiment: Many technical analysts remain bullish, recommending long entries on dips near support, while a few caution of a pullback given the sharp rise.
TradingView
+1
RoboForex
Gold prices are being pushed up after negative newsTechnical, fundamental and data factors have all supported gold’s strongest weekly performance in recent years, as the precious metal broke through a series of resistance levels to set a new all-time high.
The weekly Kitco News gold survey shows that Street sentiment is overwhelmingly bullish after a string of all-time highs, while Main Street is also reinforcing its bullish stance.
Kitco's survey of 18 Wall Street professionals found that 78% expect gold prices to rise this week, 17% predict a decline and 5% see it moving sideways. Meanwhile, 73% of 219 retail investors who participated in the online survey also forecast gold prices to continue rising.
This week, the gold market awaits important information, focusing on the US producer price index (PPI) released on Wednesday, the European Central Bank (ECB) policy meeting on Thursday, followed by the US consumer price index (CPI), weekly and weekend jobless claims, the University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey... will add more signals on inflation.
Gold XAUUSD Intraday Analysis – September 8, 2025On the H1 timeframe, Gold (XAUUSD) continues to trade within a strong bullish structure. After forming a bullish flag pattern, price successfully broke out and extended toward the resistance zone at 3,585 – 3,590 USD/oz, where sellers stepped in to lock profits, leading to the current pullback.
Technical Outlook
Trendline & Price Structure
The dominant bias remains uptrend, confirmed by higher highs and higher lows.
The rising trendline from the 3,480 region is still intact, supporting bullish momentum.
Fibonacci Retracement
Measuring the breakout leg from 3,540 → 3,590:
Fibo 0.382 ≈ 3,570 USD → first support zone.
Fibo 0.618 ≈ 3,555 USD → stronger support.
EMA & Momentum
EMA20 and EMA50 on H1 are sloping upward, showing continuation bias.
RSI has cooled down from overbought, suggesting potential consolidation before another move higher.
Key Levels
Resistance: 3,585 – 3,590 (local top), extended to 3,610 – 3,620.
Support: 3,570 (Fibo 0.382), 3,555 (Fibo 0.618), extended to 3,540 (trendline confluence).
Trading Strategies
Buy on dip (trend-following):
Look for entries around 3,555 – 3,570.
Stop loss: below 3,540.
Targets: 3,590 – 3,610, extended toward 3,620.
Short-term Sell (counter-trend):
If price rejects strongly at 3,590, scalpers may consider a pullback trade toward 3,570 – 3,555.
Note: Counter-trend setups carry higher risk, use tight stops.
Conclusion: Gold remains in an intraday bullish trend. Current pullback is likely a healthy retest before buyers regain control toward the 3,600+ zone. Best setups remain buying dips at key support zones with proper risk management.
👉 Follow this analysis for more daily Gold trading strategies, and save it if you find it helpful.
XAUUSD – Week 08/09 to 12/09, CPI & PPI in FocusXAUUSD – Week 08/09 to 12/09, CPI & PPI in Focus
Good day Traders,
Gold posted a notable advance last week, recording new highs on a near-daily basis. While this type of price action is not unprecedented, it has introduced an element of caution to the market. Investor sentiment remains firmly skewed towards the long side, reaffirming gold’s position as a key safe-haven asset.
Fundamental Outlook
Attention this week will centre on the release of US CPI and PPI data. These figures will be critical in assessing the financial health of the US economy and could directly shape the Federal Reserve’s decision on a potential rate cut in September.
Technical Outlook
Price has already surpassed the Fibonacci 1.618 extension, with the next upside projection aligning near the 2.618 level at 3687.
Prior to reaching this objective, a modest retracement into nearby FVG (Fair Value Gap) zones is possible.
On a longer-term horizon, the 3467 – 3475 region is highlighted as a constructive area for accumulation, supported by the confluence of FVG, Dibo and Volume Profile.
Trading Scenarios
Upside Bias: Long positions remain the preferred approach. The 3467–3475 area offers a technically favourable entry zone for those with a longer-term outlook.
Downside Case: Short exposure should only be considered upon evidence of a reversal structure, with confirmation via a break below 3510, or rejection from the 2.618 Fibonacci extension.
Final Thoughts
For the week ahead, gold continues to be best approached from the long side. Nevertheless, traders should closely monitor price reactions at the identified technical levels and adjust accordingly. With key macroeconomic releases imminent, maintaining disciplined risk management remains essential.
“A Reversal Foretold: The Tale of Gold’s Weary Ascent”In the golden theater of XAU/USD, the candlesticks have painted a familiar and ominous portrait — a Head and Shoulders, timeless in its message and merciless in its aftermath.
The chart opens with an aggressive march upward — a rally of hope and momentum. It begins modestly, gathering strength, until it meets resistance and forms the left shoulder, a crest of ambition interrupted. The market pauses, breathes, then surges again — this time even higher — crafting the head, a peak of euphoric optimism that crowns the All-Time High, basking briefly in glory.
But as all peaks do, it falters. The descent begins, reluctant at first, then resolute. A final push attempts to reclaim former heights, but it's weaker now — forming the right shoulder, a mirror of the left, yet noticeably more fragile. Here, the pattern is not just forming — it's speaking: the bullish spirit is fading.
Beneath them all lies the neckline, stoic and watchful, stretched across time like the horizon before a storm. It has already been tested, briefly pierced, and the price has returned for what seems to be a last breath before the fall.
The Destinations of Decline:
As the neckline prepares to give way, the path downward is charted:
First, the price eyes 3528, the primary destination — a level where early sellers may take pause.
Then, a deeper move aims for 3514, sinking into the resistance zone that once barred the bulls, now welcoming the bears.
Finally, if gravity takes full hold, 3502 stands as the tertiary destination — the full measure of the head’s pride, now unwound in price.
Epilogue: The Pattern’s Promise
The Head and Shoulders is more than a technical pattern — it is a narrative of momentum's rise and exhaustion. In this tale, price action has played its roles with textbook grace, and all eyes now turn to the neckline, where fate awaits.
Will it hold, or will it break?
As ever in the markets — the setup whispers, but the follow-through decides.
Best Trend-Following Price Model For Gold XAUUSD Trading
In this article, I will show you a powerful chart setup for profitable trend following trading Gold. I will break down how it works with examples.
Here is how this price model looks:
It is based on 5 important conditions that should be strictly met.
1 - Gold should trade in a global bullish trend.
The price should consistently update Higher Highs HH and Higher Lows HL.
2 - Higher Lows should respect a rising trend line, acting as a support.
It should be respected by at least 3 consequent bullish movements from that.
3 - After a formation of a high above a trend line, the price should start a correctional movement in a minor trend in a bullish flag pattern.
It can be a horizontal, parallel or expanding channel.
4 - Correcting, Gold should test a major rising trend line, being within a flag.
5 - A bullish movement should initiate after a trend line test and the price should break and close above a resistance line of a flag.
When all these 5 conditions are met, we can expect a bullish movement on Gold at least to a level of a current high from where a correction started.
A broken resistance line of a flag and a major rising trend line will compose a safe zone to buy Gold from.
The best time frame for this model will be a daily.
Let's study a real example of such a price model on Gold chart on a daily.
Examine a price chart of Gold on a daily time frame above.
All 5 conditions are met, and we can anticipate a rise to the underlined red resistance.
Our buy zone will be based on a broken resistance of the flag and a major rising trend line.
You can see that our goal was successfully reached.
Here is the proof -
This price model will help you to predict strong bullish waves , trading Gold. A simple combination of a trend analysis and a price action are the 2 basic components that you need to study to identify that properly.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold weekly chart with both buy and sell levelsBuy @ 3652
Sell @ 3636
Here’s the analysis:
1. Buy level: 3652
This sits just above the 0.382 Fib retracement (~3650–3651) from the prior swing.
Price has been consolidating around this Fib cluster and the moving average ribbon, so buying at 3652 is a momentum continuation idea if price reclaims and holds above this level.
Upside targets:
First resistance ~3674–3675 (previous swing high).
Beyond that, 3680–3685 (upper green zone), then potential extension toward 3700.
Risk: This buy entry is vulnerable if price rejects at Fib 0.382 and rolls over — in that case, you could get trapped at the top of a range.
2. Sell level: 3636
This lines up with horizontal structure + mid-zone support.
It’s also just above a deeper retracement area (0.5–0.618 zone around 3630–3612).
A sell trigger here suggests you’re looking for a breakdown below consolidation, aiming for:
First target: 3620–3616
Deeper target: 3595–3580 (red zone below).
Risk: If price bounces from the 0.5–0.618 retracement (classic golden pocket), your short may get squeezed.
3. Macro context from this chart
Macro Delta Volume = +15% (top-right): suggests buyers still have an edge.
Current bias seems to favor buy dips rather than short breakdowns, unless we see strong selling momentum below 3630.
The broad structure looks like a bullish consolidation inside Fib retracement, but the market is choppy — meaning both levels are logical as tactical plays, depending on breakout direction.
✅ Summary
Buy 3652: good if price reclaims momentum above Fib 0.382 → targets 3675–3685+.
Sell 3636: works only if price closes below 3630 (break of support) → targets 3616 then 3595–3580.
Overall bias leans bullish as long as gold holds above 3612 (Fib 0.618) — but be ready to flip short if that level gives way.
As always use proper risk management on these trades , take profit ans start securing at 20+ pips
Gold Market Analysis and Trading Strategy:
I. Market Review and Current Status
Yesterday, the gold market exhibited a classic "bottoming out and rebounding" pattern, perfectly illustrating its strong consolidation at high levels. During the Asian and European trading sessions, the price came under pressure at $3,650 and briefly broke below $3,620, reaching a low of $3,612. However, during the US trading session, bulls swiftly gained momentum, driven by the US initial jobless claims data. Gold prices surged nearly $30 in a short period of time, ultimately closing at $3,633 on the daily chart, a small bearish candlestick with a long lower shadow.
The key point is that the gold price failed to effectively fall below the 3620 area twice, confirming the existence of strong bullish support at this position. This shows that although gold prices have retreated after hitting a record high, the overall trend of the market is still dominated by bulls.
II. Technical Analysis
Trend Analysis:
Main Trend: The bullish trend remains intact. The pullback after the record high is a technical correction, not a trend reversal. The strong support below shows that the bull market foundation remains solid.
Short-term Status: Currently in a consolidation phase at a high level. This consolidation can be considered a "relay rest area" within the bullish trend, accumulating momentum for a subsequent upward move.
Key Price Levels:
Support Levels:
First Support: 3630-3635 (the starting point of yesterday's US market rally and the current hourly chart support).
Strong support: 3620-3612 area (yesterday’s double bottom low, the last line of defense for bulls).
Resistance Levels:
Initial Resistance: 3650 (yesterday's Asian market opening drop and previous high).
Key Resistance: 3674 (historical high).
Technical Indicators:
The 1-hour moving average has begun to turn upward after a rally, providing short-term price support.
The daily candlestick pattern with a long lower shadow is a strong bullish signal, indicating strong buying interest at low levels.
III. Trading Strategy Recommendations
Direction: Buy on dips.
Entry Area: Near 3635. Stop-loss: 3625 (placed below the strong support level of 3620, leaving some room for market fluctuations).
Targets:
First target: 3650 (a breakout above this level could lead to further gains).
Second target: 3658-3665 area.
IV. Risk Warning
If gold prices unexpectedly fall below the strong support level of 3620, the short-term volatile pattern could be prolonged, or even lead to a deep pullback to the 3600 level. Traders should closely monitor the defense of this level and adjust their strategies accordingly.
Summary:
Gold's bullish trend remains unchanged, and the current high-level fluctuations are a period of accumulation. In terms of operation, we should follow the main trend and focus on looking for opportunities to go long at low levels. The key support area is 3630-3635. Set stop loss strictly and keep a close eye on the 3620 bull-bear watershed.
Monday 15 Sept - Trade Prediction - Scalp/Day Trade IdeaThat's a quick scalp trade idea potentially happening on monday.
I expect price to go down and retest the support level and collect orders to potentially go UP again for the All Time High.
Risky One But Just An Idea.
Let's see how it plays out on Monday.
Good Weekend Traders
Gold - This pattern just repeats!🚑Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) shifts bearish soon:
🔎Analysis summary:
With the previous 10 year bullish cycle, Gold perfectly followed market structure. With this 10 year cycle, Gold is still perfectly respecting market structure. Overall, it becomes more and more likely that Gold creates a top formation with a bearish correction following soon.
📝Levels to watch:
$3,500
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Gold (XAUUSD) – Technical Outlook
🟢 Bullish Scenario:
Key Level (Pivot): 3630
If price holds above 3630, bullish momentum may extend towards:
🎯 First target: 3656 (resistance)
🎯 If 3656 breaks strongly → continuation towards:
🎯 Second target: 3675
🎯 Third target: 3697
🔴 Bearish Scenario:
If price fails and sustains below 3630, bearish move may develop towards:
🎯 First support: 3595 (a strong support zone)
🎯 If 3595 breaks decisively → continuation towards:
🎯 Second target: 3546
📌 Summary:
3630 = decision zone
3656, 3675, 3697 = upside targets
3595, 3546 = downside targets
Sept 12, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential Opportunity📊 Analysis:
The market failed to follow through after breaking prior lows for two days in a row.
Bulls still show strength, but bears are not in clear control either — overall price action remains range-bound and choppy.
Short-term focus is on 3630 as the bull–bear pivot:
Above 3630 → buy dips into support.
Below 3630 → sell rallies into resistance.
Watch 3645 resistance on the upside and 3613 support on the downside for decisive reactions.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 3657 – Resistance
• 3650 – Resistance
• 3646 – Resistance
• 3642 – Resistance
• 3638 – Resistance
• 3635 – Support
• 3630 – Bull–bear pivot
• 3626 – Support
• 3620 – Support
• 3613 – Key support
• 3606 – Support
📈 Intraday Strategy:
SELL: If price breaks below 3630 → target 3626, with further downside toward 3620, 3613, 3606
BUY: If price holds above 3630 → target 3642, with further upside toward 3646, 3650, 3657
👉 If you find this helpful or traded using this plan, a like 👍 would mean a lot and keep me motivated. Thanks for the support!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is my personal view, not financial advice. Always use proper risk control.
Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD 11/9/2025Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD 11/9/2025: Gold is stable, traders prepare ahead of important US CPI data, conditions and technical positions to watch.
Fundamental news: Spot gold prices were generally stable in today's Asian trading session, currently around $3630/ounce. Gold prices are in a wait-and-see mode, closely watching the all-time high before the release of US CPI data for August. Weak US PPI inflation data, fueling speculation that the Federal Reserve will continue its easing cycle at its upcoming meeting in September.
Technical analysis: After making the latest ATH at 3675, gold prices are correcting and forming a short-term downtrend channel in the H1 frame, however, the 3620 - 3625 area is still a good support zone for gold prices. Currently, there will be 2 scenarios with the highest probability of occurrence: Case 1: Gold price will form an upward price pattern around the 3620 - 3625 area and increase sharply, we will wait for the reaction when the price meets resistance at 3660 - 3665. Case 2: Gold price continues to follow the downtrend channel to the lower support area of 3595 - 3600 and then increase again. We will trade based on these 2 scenarios and still prioritize trading according to the main trend.
Important price zones today: 3620 - 3625, 3595 - 3600 and 3660 - 3665.
Today's trading trend: BUY.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3620 - 3622
SL 3617
TP 3625 - 3635 - 3645 - 3665 - OPEN.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3598 - 3600
SL 3595
TP 3603 - 3610 - 3630 - 3660 - OPEN.
Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 3663 - 3665
SL 3668
TP 3660 - 3650 - 3640 - 3630 (small volume).
Wish you a safe, effective and profitable trading day.🌟🌟🌟🌟🌟
XAUUSD (Gold) Bearish Setup On 30m ... XAUUSD (Gold) Bearish Setup
Gold has reached a strong supply zone (3632 – 3635) where sellers are expected to take control. Price action suggests rejection from this zone, opening downside targets.
🔻 Entry Zone: 3632 – 3635 (Sell Zone)
🎯 Target 1 / First Support: 3580 – initial bearish objective
🎯 Target 2 / Second Support: 3514 – extended bearish target
🛑 Stop Loss: Above 3645 (to protect against false breakout)
📊 Analysis:
This zone has acted as a major resistance in recent sessions. A failure to break higher confirms bearish momentum. If sellers hold below 3635, a strong push toward 3580 is expected, with extended weakness aiming for 3514.
⚖️ Risk–Reward Ratio: Attractive – defined entry zone with clear two-step targets makes this a high-probability setup for disciplined traders.
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🚨 Sellers dominate below 3635. Patience at the entry zone can deliver consistent profits as price moves toward both target levels.