XAUUSD H1 – Potential Sell in the Supply AreaXAUUSD — H1 Timeframe
Titik Sona Community — 25 Sep 2025
???? Setup Sell #1
Entry
3765.43
Stop Loss
3772.43
Take Profit
3725.36
Risk / Reward
~1 : 5.7
???? Setup Sell #2
Entry
3771.36
Stop Loss
3778.36
Take Profit
3725.58
Risk / Reward
~1 : 6.5
Reference chart: view charts on TradingView
Trading Ideas
The two setups above are sell opportunities in the supply area with confirmation of the H1 rejection pattern. The target is directed to the demand below, with strict risk management according to the SL that has been determined.
Technical Reasons
The price of the retest in the supply area + trendline channel is down.
The structure is still forming a lower high (bearish trend valid).
The demand zone below is a logical target for TP.
The risk/reward of both setups is very attractive (±1:6).
Entry & Position Management
Entry Strategy:
Choose one of the settings according to your risk tolerance.
Sell entry at a predetermined level after rejection is valid.
SL is strict according to their respective setups.
TP is directed to the demand area below.
Position Management:
Optional TP scaling in minor support.
Shift SL to BEP after the price moves +200 pips.
Invalidation & Alternative Scenarios
Invalidation: if the price closes above 3780, then the sell setup is void.
Bullish alternative: a break above 3785 paves the way to 3800.
Pre-Entry Checklist
Wait for the rejection to be valid in the supply area.
Check high impact news USD & XAU.
The maximum risk is 1–2% of the account.
Analyst: Titik Sona Community — 25 Sep 2025
GOLD trade ideas
XAUUSDPrice action trading is a methodology where traders make decisions based on the interpretation of actual price movements on a chart, rather than relying primarily on lagging indicators. It involves observing and analyzing candlestick patterns, trend lines, support and resistance levels, and volume to identify potential trading opportunities and manage risk. The focus is on understanding the story the market is telling through its price behavior.
XAUUSD – Pressure at 3777 zone XAUUSD – Pressure at 3777 zone, adjustment scenario and trend-following buy
Technical Analysis
After a strong upward move, gold (XAUUSD) is now approaching the resistance zone of 3777–3780, where it converges with the Fibonacci expansion cluster and the old resistance structure. This is a price area prone to short-term selling pressure, and a decisive point for the next trend.
EMA200 (H1: 3685) is still clearly sloping upwards → the main trend remains upward, but the market is in a state of range expansion, with a potential adjustment phase before continuing upward.
RSI (14) is currently oscillating around 57–60, indicating that the upward momentum has cooled, not yet entering the overbought zone but posing a risk of divergence if a new peak is formed without accompanying momentum.
Volume Profile levels and support zones 3738–3740 / 3719–3722 / 3661–3665 will be where buyers can react to protect the main trend.
Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Sell adjustment at resistance zone:
Entry: 3777–3780
SL: 3784
TP: 3755 – 3742 – 3730 – 3705
Scenario 2 – Short-term scalping buy:
Entry: 3738–3740
SL: 3734
TP: 3747 – 3755 – 3770
Scenario 3 – Trend-following buy (priority when deep adjustment):
Entry: 3719–3722
SL: 3715
TP: 3728 – 3740 – 3765 – 3780
Price Zones to Watch
3777–3780: critical resistance, potential Sell zone.
3738–3740: nearby support, suitable for scalping buy.
3719–3722: main Buy zone for recovery, confluence of support structure.
3705: deep support, target if adjustment trend expands.
Outlook
The major trend for gold still leans towards upward, however, the 3777–3780 zone currently plays a decisive role. Sellers can take advantage of short-term Sell to catch the adjustment phase, while buyers should wait for prices to pull back to support zones to enter trend-following orders.
This is a reference scenario based on technical analysis, not an investment recommendation. Stay tuned for earlier analyses and prepare well for your trading plan.
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 25, 2025
________________________________________
🔹 Momentum
• D1: Momentum on the daily chart has turned bearish, indicating that the main downtrend may continue.
• H4: Momentum on H4 is about to turn bullish, suggesting a possible upward move today. However, if this bullish reversal fails to break the previous high, the downtrend will remain intact.
• H1: Momentum on H1 is declining and about to enter the oversold zone. This downward move may need around 2 more H1 candles before entering oversold territory and reversing.
________________________________________
🔹 Wave Structure
• D1:
o The first target of wave 5 (yellow) was reached at 3789.
o Price is currently reacting at this level. With D1 momentum turning bearish, there is a strong possibility that wave 5 (yellow) has already completed, meaning price could move towards 3632 and potentially break below it.
• H4: An ABC corrective structure (blue) has formed, opening three scenarios:
1. The correction is complete → price rallies strongly, breaking the previous high to continue the uptrend.
2. Price rallies but with overlap, forming a Flat 3-3-5 pattern → price may rise toward the previous high at 3793.
3. Price remains in a zigzag structure → another decline may occur to complete wave C.
👉 Given the bearish momentum on D1, I lean more towards scenario 2 and 3.
👉 Note: In scenarios (1) and (2), price must hold above 3729, then break 3752, which could lead to a minimum rally towards 3777.
• H1: Under scenario 3 (further decline to complete wave C):
o Price may break below 3718.
o Wave 5 (black) targets:
3713 (first target).
3698 (second target).
________________________________________
🔹 Trade Plan
• Buy Zone 1: 3729 – 3726
o SL: 3717
o TP: 3751
• Buy Zone 2: 3714 – 3711
o SL: 3703
o TP: 3751
________________________________________
⚠️ Important Note
The market is likely in a corrective wave at a higher structure.
• Characteristic: Price often shows overlapping moves.
• Therefore: Manage trades carefully, avoid over-risking, as reversals can happen at any time – this is typical of corrective waves.
XAUUSD 4HR TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
🟡 XAU/USD (Gold) 4H Technical Analysis
1. Overall Market Structure
• The Elliott Wave count suggests the market is in wave (4) corrective phase, with a potential start of Wave (5) impulse upward.
• Price is still within a larger ascending channel, meaning the broader trend remains bullish.
2. Key Levels
• Immediate Support:
• Around 3,735 (current price) – coincides with FVG/OB zone.
• 3,707 – near your stop loss and aligns with previous structure lows.
• 3,628 – strong demand zone (would invalidate the bullish setup if price breaks this level).
• Immediate Resistance:
• 3,745 – 3,751 (local high zone & OR level)
• 3,775 – 3,791 (previous swing high and potential Wave (5) target)
3. Wave Count & Projection
• If Wave (4) is complete at the OB/FVG zone, Wave (5) could target:
• Minimum: Equal length to Wave (1) projected from Wave (4) bottom → ~3,775
• Extended Target: 1.618 Fibonacci extension of Wave (1) → could push toward 3,790–3,800
4. Trade Setup Evaluation
• Risk/Reward Ratio:
• Entry ~3,735, Stop ~3,707 → Risk ≈ $28
• Target ~3,775+ → Reward ≈ $40+
• Risk-to-Reward Ratio ≈ 1.4:1 (decent but could be improved with a higher target at 3,790).
• Bullish Case:
• Price holds above 3,735 (OB/FVG zone) and starts forming higher lows → good confirmation for Wave (5) rally.
• Bearish Risk:
• Break below 3,707 would likely mean Wave (4) is extending deeper, potentially retesting 3,675 or even the strong demand zone at 3,628.
5. Confluence & Momentum
• Confluence:
• OB + FVG zone at current price = strong support
• Channel lower bound nearby = good risk-defined long setup
• Momentum:
• Watch for bullish divergence or strong reversal candles (hammer, engulfing) on 4H/1H timeframe to confirm entry.
📌 Summary
• Bias: Bullish as long as price holds above 3,707
• Wave (5) Target: 3,775 – 3,790
• Invalidation: Break below 3,707 → next major support 3,675 / 3,628
• Trade Setup: Attractive risk/reward if entered near OB/FVG with target above 3,775
SEP 24, 2025 | XAUUSD | 1st Signal (SELL NOW)Selling at the 3765–3768 resistance zone offers a good risk–reward ratio:
- Stop Loss: above 3775 (to filter false breakouts).
- Take Profit: support zone 3740 → 3721 (POC).
1️⃣ Technical Resistance
- The 3765–3768 zone is located exactly at the SWING VAH – the upper boundary of the profile.
- This is a strong resistance zone, as the price has touched it multiple times and left upper wicks → showing clear selling pressure.
2️⃣ H1 Trendline
- On the chart, there is a descending H1 trendline formed after the price dropped from the recent high.
- Currently, the 3765–3768 zone coincides with this trendline → becoming a dynamic resistance, increasing the probability of price rejection.
3️⃣ Price Action
- Candles near the 3765–3768 area have shown long upper wicks, reflecting strong selling force as the price was pushed down.
- This is a clear signal that buyers are struggling to maintain bullish momentum.
4️⃣ Volume Profile
- The 3765–3768 area is close to a thick volume distribution cluster → the market often reacts strongly when retesting this level.
- This makes the zone a potential supply area.
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Sept 25, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential Opportunity📊 Analysis:
Last night, price dropped to a low of 3717.5 before quickly rebounding to 3752. Currently, bullish momentum is weakening while bearish pressure is starting to show.
If price holds above 3752, bulls still have room to extend higher → buy pullbacks into support.
If price breaks below 3736.5, a short-term downside channel may open.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 3772 – Resistance
• 3765 – Resistance
• 3759 – Resistance
• 3750–3752 – Key resistance zone
• 3745 – Resistance
• 3736.5 – Support
• 3728 – Support
• 3717.5 – Yesterday’s low
• 3708–3712 – Support zone
• 3700 – Psychological level
📈 Intraday Strategy:
SELL: If price breaks below 3736.5 → target 3732, with further downside toward 3728, 3723, 3718
BUY: If price holds above 3745 → target 3750, with further upside toward 3752, 3759, 3765
👉 If you find this helpful or traded using this plan, a like 👍 would mean a lot and keep me motivated. Thanks for the support!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is my personal view, not financial advice. Always use proper risk control.
Continue to short on rebound, expect a big drop#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
The daily line closed with a long upper shadow bullish candlestick, the price deviated significantly from the moving average, and the need for technical adjustment was obvious; the four-hour chart simultaneously released a callback signal, the probability of bulls "resting" in the short term increased greatly, and a wave of adjustments was ready to go! Investors should be wary of this potential pullback risk. For the bears to trigger a significant decline, the key support level of 3735 must be broken; otherwise, gold is likely to rebound.
WHERE THE ZONE TO BUY GOLD IN NEAREST NEXT 2 MONTH 🟡 Gold (XAU/USD) – Daily Outlook and Buy Zones
📰 Fundamental Background
Gold remains supported by several strong macro drivers:
Fed Rate Cut Expectations
Investors are pricing in upcoming Fed rate cuts, which lower bond yields and boost the attractiveness of non-yielding assets like gold.
Geopolitical Tensions
Ongoing global uncertainties and regional conflicts are pushing safe-haven demand higher.
Central Bank Buying
Central banks, particularly China, continue to accumulate gold as part of reserve diversification, adding strong long-term support.
US Dollar and Yields
A softer US Dollar and declining Treasury yields provide additional upside momentum for gold.
Overall, the fundamental backdrop is bullish and supports higher prices into year-end.
📈 Technical Outlook (Daily)
The broader trend is clearly bullish, with gold making higher highs and higher lows.
After breaking out of its previous consolidation, the market is now establishing new support zones.
The key levels to watch:
Support Zone: around $3,400–$3,450 (potential buy zone if price retraces).
First Target: $3,750 (recent highs).
Extended Target: $3,800+ (Fibonacci 1.272 projection).
🎯 Trading Plan
Primary Strategy: Buy-the-dip approach. Look for bullish reversal signals if price retraces toward the $3,400–$3,450 zone.
Targets:
TP1: $3,750
TP2: $3,800+
Stop Loss: Below $3,350 or under the recent swing low, depending on risk tolerance.
Alternative Scenario: If gold continues to rally without correction, scale in on smaller pullbacks toward short-term supports.
🧠 Conclusion
Gold’s macro environment remains firmly bullish, supported by Fed policy expectations, geopolitical risks, and strong central bank demand. On the technical side, the breakout suggests continuation toward new highs. Traders should remain patient, focus on dip-buying opportunities, and target $3,750–$3,800+ while keeping risk tight below major supports.
SIGNAL 1 - SET UP TRADE I SEP/24/2025SET UP TRADE 24/09/2025
🕯BUY GOLD: 3763– 3765
⚠️SL: 3760
✔️TP: 3770→ 3774→ 3778
The information and figures in this chart are provided for informational purposes only. We do not guarantee absolute accuracy and shall not be held legally liable for any damages arising from the use of this chart.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold tested the $3,753 support during the Asian session and is currently trading around $3,775, holding just below the $3,782 resistance. A clean break above $3,782 would open the way to $3,796 and the major resistance at $3,806. Failure to break and hold above $3,782 could send price back towards $3,768–$3,753 and potentially deeper into $3,728. The moving averages may provide dynamic support on the way down.
📌Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
$3,782
$3,796
$3,806
Support:
$3,768
$3,753
$3,728
$3,712
🔎 Fundamental Focus – Wed, Sep 24
Yesterday, Powell signalled caution, stressing that rate decisions remain data-dependent — keeping gold supported but vulnerable to swings.
Today’s drivers:
🔶Trump speaks
🔶New Home Sales
Expect sharp swings and volatility spikes. Manage risk carefully.
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1: Adjustment structure formed, awaiting confirmation below 3685
After a surge to 375x, gold is entering a correction phase, aligning with the structural pattern. On H1, the price is clinging to the upper edge of the rising wedge, with RSI cooling off from overbought territory, indicating a growing supply pressure. Today's plan focuses on the adjustment structure, prioritizing selling upon confirmation signals.
Key price zones (refer to the attached chart)
Sell strong resistance 3775–3785: confluence of channel peak + 2.618 extension. Look for weakening reactions to enter short/medium-term sell orders.
Buy zone volume 3726–3720: a thin support area providing momentum for a rebound. Holding this zone could push prices to retest 3750–3775; conversely, losing 3720 may lead to a deeper decline.
Resistance + FVG 3715–3698: as prices drop, this area turns into supply; a failed retest here is an early signal for further decline.
Confirm sell 3688–3685: closing H1 below this zone confirms a short-term downtrend, targeting a lower buy zone.
BuyZone 3652–3646: confluence of channel bottom + old liquidity, expecting a strong upward reaction if revisited.
Trading scenarios for reference (adhere to risk management)
Sell reaction at peak: 3778–3783, SL 3792, TP 3755 → 3738 → 3722.
Sell upon confirmation: wait for H1 to close below 3685, enter sell 3684–3682, SL 3696, TP 3673 → 3656 → 3648.
Buy scalp based on volume: 3726–3720, SL 3715, TP 3738 → 3750 (only short-term if the larger structure remains corrective).
Buy swing at strong zone: 3652–3646, SL 3639, TP 3673 → 3698 → 3712 → 3740.
Operational notes
Prioritize waiting for rejection/closing signals at the mentioned zones; avoid chasing orders in between.
Order volume should be allocated based on confirmation levels (confirmation zone < breakdown < failed retest).
Avoid excessive leverage; adjust SL according to structure when in profit.
This is a personal perspective, not investment advice. If you want the fastest updates on the next XAUUSD scenarios, follow me and join my community for discussions.
GOLD WILL FALLING SOON According to H1 analysis gold market continuously on flying pressure now gold market is in all time high now it make RESISTANCE LEVEL now market will be touch resistance level again and it will be falling soon so we have chance to go short from here
TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK
REGARD ALBERT
Gold Maintains Bullish Momentum with Upside PotentialGold is currently trading around \$3,783 after maintaining a strong bullish momentum. The chart shows a clear upward trend with price creating higher highs, and a fair value gap (FVG) zone marked as a potential retracement area for buyers to re-enter. As long as price holds above this support, the outlook remains bullish, with expectations of continuation toward higher levels.
XAUUSD 23.09.2025-Market formation:
The opening of the week for the instrument was marked by new historical highs. Following the tightening of US immigration policy on September 21, bullish sentiment has clearly dominated the market since the beginning of this month, with the instrument gaining 10% over three weeks.
-Forecast:
In the short term, a slight correction of 0.5-1.5% from the resistance zone of 3760 should be considered, and after reaching the imbalance zone of 3730-3745, further upward movement is expected. If the price settles below the 3705-3700 level, deeper correction levels and a return to the established consolidation range of 3620-3655 should be considered.
-News background:
The main focus of attention is still on the US Federal Reserve's interest rate. After the speech, market participants expect the rate to continue to decline in October.
Also, the tightening of US immigration policy, in particular the 100-fold increase in the cost of work visas, has become an extremely strong driver of growth.
No particularly significant news is expected this week, so it is worth monitoring the general mood of market participants.
Weekly Candle High | Buy on Pullbacks to Support🟡 XAU/USD – 09/22 | Captain Vincent ⚓
🔎 Captain’s Log – Quick Overview
Last week, gold closed around 3,685, paving the way for further advances and the creation of a new ATH.
After the FED cut 25bps, Powell's 'brake' comments tempered the rise, but the overall trend remains bullish.
This morning, prices surged to 3,697.xx, currently adjusting slightly around 3,692 – 3,690 → a sensible strategy: wait for a pullback to continue Buying.
⏩ Captain’s Summary: The gold voyage still heads North, Buying remains the main choice, but wait for a pullback to board.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis
Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone):
Thin support: ~3,698 (recently broken old range peak).
OB Dock: 3,687 – 3,690.
FVG Dock: 3,672 – 3,676 (liquidity check on deep adjustments).
Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone):
3,714 – 3,720 (supply cluster / old ATH – likely to react).
Price Structure:
Continuous BoS series, price breaks out of short-term rising channel and creates higher highs → bullish remains the main trend.
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trading Plan (before US session)
✅ Buy (trend priority)
Buy Zone 1
Entry: 3,698 – 3,701
SL: 3,688
TP: 3,706 – 3,714 – 3,720+
Buy Zone 2 (OB)
Entry: 3,687 – 3,690
SL: 3,680
TP: 3,698 – 3,706 – 3,714 – 3,72x
Buy Zone 3 (FVG)
Entry: 3,672 – 3,676
SL: 3,664
TP: 3,687 – 3,706 – 3,714
⚡ Sell (only scalp when overbought)
Sell Zone (ATH test)
Entry: 3,740 – 3,738
SL: 3,750
TP: 3,730 – 3,720 – 3,695
Captain’s Note ⚓
“The new week opens with a high-closing candle, the gold ship continues its bullish course. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3,690 – 3,672) is a safe anchorage for the crew to watch for Buys. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3,714 – 3,720) is a wave peak prone to gusts, suitable for Quick Boarding 🚤 short-term scalps. Before the US session, the sea might be choppy – hold the wheel tight and manage volume wisely.”
Gold Possible MovementsGold is currently facing a rejection zone around 3740.
If the price rejects from this zone, we could see a move down towards the 3720 support level, before bouncing back upward.
However, if the 3720 support fails to hold and the market breaks below, then Gold may drop further to test its next strong support zone, from where a potential bullish reaction can be expected.