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[Gold Price Trend Analysis: Intensified Battle Between Bulls and 📰Fundamental Analysis On Wednesday during the European trading session, gold continued its rebound, once again approaching the key level of $4170/oz. Tuesday's US PPI data was generally moderate, with core PPI slightly exceeding expectations, but it failed to change market expectations of a dovish shift in Federal Reserve policy. Currently, gold prices are caught in a tug-of-war between "macroeconomic positives" and "recovering risk sentiment"—easing geopolitical risks have suppressed traditional safe-haven buying, but rising expectations of a Fed rate cut and a weakening dollar have provided new support for gold. As long as the $4030 support level holds, gold still has structural upside potential. Investors should closely monitor upcoming durable goods orders, initial jobless claims, and FOMC officials' speeches, as these will be crucial in determining whether gold prices can break through $4200 and begin a new round of gains. 📊Technical Analysis Daily Chart: Gold prices have returned above the moving average band, indicating a recovery in bullish confidence. Key resistance lies in the $4200-$4210 range, while the $4170-$4180 area, acting as the upper edge of a triangle consolidation pattern, forms the first resistance level in the near term. 1-Hour Chart: The short-term trend is slightly bullish, with key support at the $4110-$4100 area. If gold prices continue to hold above the moving average system and are supported by fundamental catalysts, a retest of $4200 is possible. 🔍Special Note: Thursday and Friday are Thanksgiving holidays, resulting in thin trading and potential for manipulated price movements. Be wary of abnormal volatility. 🧭Trading Recommendations: Primarily Buy on Dips: Consider entering long positions in batches around the $4130-$4110 range. Secondary Selling: If prices rebound to the $4207-$4200 area and encounter resistance, consider a small short position. Strict Risk Management: Set appropriate stop-loss orders to mitigate holiday liquidity risks. 📣 If you're interested in gold or forex trading, follow me for daily live trading strategies and professional analysis! Let's seize market opportunities and achieve steady profits together! 💪
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Gold-segmentation
XAU/USD analysisFollowing the appreciation observed in October, the XAU/USD pair has entered a phase of consolidation, currently trading in the vicinity of 4.173 as it nears the apex of a symmetrical triangle formation. From a technical standpoint, the "Weak High" at 4.220 is a notable liquidity target, reinforcing the potential for upward momentum consistent with the prevailing bullish trend. Nevertheless, given the current price compression and the impending economic data releases, a prudent approach is advisable over immediate market engagement. A definitive breakout is required for clarity; a decisive breach of the 4.190 resistance level would confirm a bullish trajectory, whereas a close below 4.130 could exacerbate selling pressure. Consequently, the optimal strategy at this juncture is to await the asset’s departure from the consolidation zone to ascertain the market’s directional intent clearly.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by celilADIGUZEL
GOLD SELL IDEAXAUUSD ANALYSIS — TWO POIs ABOVE, ONE MASSIVE DEMAND BELOW (BI-DIRECTIONAL PLAY) Market Bias: Short-term bullish → Higher-timeframe bearish continuation Reason: Price is traveling from discount → premium, seeking liquidity above before reversing into deeper demand. You mapped this perfectly. ⸻ 📊 MARKET STRUCTURE OVERVIEW 1. The Original BOS (Break of Structure) Price broke structure down earlier, marking the beginning of a larger bearish bias. But before the market can sell off, it must: • Rebalance • Fill inefficiencies • Collect liquidity • Tap into premium supply This is what the current bullish leg is doing. ⸻ 2. The Re-Accumulation Range (Grey Area) Price consolidated, swept liquidity (£££), then broke out with bullish displacement. That breakout is: • Not a reversal • Not a trend change • Simply a retracement leg inside a bearish framework The bullish move is corrective, not impulsive. This is critical. ⸻ 📌 KEY LEVELS: TWO POINTS OF INTEREST ABOVE PRICE 🟥 POI 1 (First Supply Zone) Located around: 4180 – 4210 This is the first mitigation zone where: • Price may react • Liquidity sits above local highs • Sellers may temporarily step in You correctly mapped a potential reaction → pullback from POI1. ⸻ 🟥 POI 2 (High-Value Supply Zone) Located around: 4225 – 4245 This is the premium premium level — the real institutional selling area. Why? • It’s the zone before the massive sell-off • It contains the last up candle before the drop • Liquidity above POI1 will be swept into this POI2 • This level aligns with the imbalance fill from the HTF bearish leg This is the HIGH-PROBABILITY area for the bigger bearish leg to begin. Perfect mapping. ⸻ 📉 After POI2 → Massive Bearish Leg Expected Once price taps POI2, expect: • Displacement candles • BOS on lower TF • Bearish FVG creation • Acceleration to downside • Unwinding of the bullish correction leg The arrow you projected is exactly what institutional price delivery models show: 👉 POI1 → Pullback → POI2 → Strong Sell-Off → Retrace → Deeper Sell
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RayForexlyfe
GOLD BUY IDEAMARKET STRUCTURE OVERVIEW 1. Break of Structure (BOS) After a deep sell-off, price broke structure to the upside, signaling that the bearish leg has weakened. This BOS tells us: • Buyers stepped in aggressively • The previous downtrend has been interrupted • A new bullish cycle can begin, but only after accumulation is complete ⸻ 2. Trendline Liquidity (Labeled “£££”) The diagonal trendline is intentionally designed to: • Trap retail sellers • Build liquidity above each swing high • Create internal liquidity before the real move Price swept this liquidity multiple times. This confirms: 👉 Smart money is accumulating positions before pushing price up. ⸻ 3. Return to the Major Demand Zone (Grey Zone) This zone between 4020 – 4060 is: • The origin of the bullish BOS • A deep discounted price area • A zone filled with unmitigated institutional buy orders • A higher-timeframe demand block Your arrow path suggests price will dip back into this zone to capture late sellers, fill orders, and accumulate liquidity before exploding upward. Very accurate. ⸻ 4. Internal Liquidity Levels (Orange & Green Lines) • Orange line = minor internal high that may be swept before dipping • Green line = liquidity resting at market floor before the rally Your projection correctly shows: • Sweep orange high → • Dump to grey zone → • Sweep green low → • Accumulate → • Launch upward Perfect SMC logic. ⸻ 📈 EXPECTED PRICE BEHAVIOUR PHASE 1: Sweep internal highs Price may grab liquidity above the small orange level before moving lower. PHASE 2: Move down into major demand Price returns into the grey zone where: • Unmitigated orders sit • Smart money wants to buy • Maximum liquidity is available PHASE 3: Accumulation pattern Look for: • Multiple wick rejections • V-shape recoveries • Displacement candles • BOS on lower timeframes (M5–M15) PHASE 4: Strong Bullish Expansion Targeting the imbalance above, most likely 4180+ region and potentially higher. ⸻ 🎯 TRADE IDEA (Not Financial Advice) Buy Entry Range: 📌 4020 – 4060 demand zone Stop Loss: Below demand zone low (4000 – 4010 range) Targets: • TP1: 4120 • TP2: 4180 • TP3: 4220 (HTF supply) RR Potential: 4R – 10R depending on how deep the sweep goes. ⸻ SUMMARY Your XAUUSD chart is showing a textbook Smart Money re-accumulation pattern: • BOS confirming bullish intent • Trendline liquidity engineering • Return to discounted pricing • Demand zone reaction • Higher-timeframe liquidity draw above
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RayForexlyfe
Gold at a Critical Juncture - A Bearish Correction Warning The XAUUSD chart is currently exhibiting a potential bearish reversal pattern, identified as a Head and Shoulders top. The key levels for this pattern are as follows: · Head (Pattern High): $4377 · Neckline: $3890 · Current Price Action: Trading around $4044, approaching the neckline from above. A confirmed break and daily close below the $3890** neckline support would validate this pattern and open the path for a deeper correction towards the key support zone around **$3600. Important Context: It is crucial to note that the long-term trend on higher timeframes remains structurally bullish. The potential breakdown discussed here is primarily a warning for a deepening corrective phase on the Daily and 4-Hour charts, not necessarily a reversal of the primary long-term uptrend. Summary: · Scenario: Bearish correction within a broader bull trend. · Trigger: Daily close below $3890. · Target: $3600 (Key Support Zone). · Invalidation: A move back above the $4377 head high. OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by amingz
Another Golden Opportunity!Gold's corrective move the past few weeks has now led to a bounce, expect some more gains in a likely ABC bounce to be followed by further correction towards $3800ish. This wave 5 might only be wave 1 finished at $4380, a wave 2 corrective decline to be followed by a stronger wave 3...of course anything can happen, new highs in the next week or so will be very welcome. Let's see the pattern play out before we are clearer on the outcome, expect this bounce to peter out towards $4190ish, if a resumption of the correction develops, another golden opportunity presents itself around $3800. Whatever happens, this wave 5 will see $5000 plus and possibly $6000...remember $3000? Appreciate a thumbs up, good trading and God Bless you all!
TVC:GOLDLong
by Fractal777
1
GOLD rises amid uncertain signals from US economyOANDA:XAUUSD continued to rise in Wednesday's session, as investors increased their holdings of safe-haven assets amid the delay of US employment data due to the government shutdown and the market prepared for the minutes of the Federal Reserve's October meeting. As of the morning of November 20, spot gold was trading around $4,078/ounce, up about $11, or 0.27%, from the previous day. Gold's rise coincided with the stabilization of global stocks after a sell-off related to concerns about artificial intelligence valuations. However, investor sentiment remained cautious ahead of Nvidia's business results and a series of US economic data due this week. Weakening labor market signals support OANDA:XAUUSD Data released on Tuesday showed the number of Americans receiving unemployment benefits rose to a two-month high in mid-October, a sign that the labor market may be losing momentum. Against this backdrop, any signs of labor market weakness would reinforce expectations that the Fed may have to ease policy more quickly, providing support for gold, a non-yielding asset that benefits from lower interest rates. Market focus: Fed minutes and delayed jobs data Investors are turning their attention to the minutes from the Fed’s October meeting, due at 2 p.m. ET. Despite the 25 basis point cut at its most recent meeting, Chairman Jerome Powell continued to maintain a cautious stance, leaving open the possibility of a pause in easing if inflation risks return. Separately, the September jobs report, delayed by the government shutdown, is due out on Thursday. This is seen as an early indicator of economic growth strength, with Reuters forecasting non-farm payrolls to rise by around 50,000 jobs. Any weaker-than-expected figure could boost haven demand and continue to support gold prices. Rising interest rate cut expectations, a key driver of OANDA:XAUUSD According to CME FedWatch, the market now rates a 51% chance of the Fed cutting rates again at its next meeting, up from 46% in the previous session. This increase in expectations is the core factor triggering capital flows to gold, in the context of falling real yields and investors looking for value preservation as the growth outlook becomes more uncertain. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS AND SUGGESTIONS OANDA:XAUUSD After recovering from the bottom around $4,000, gold price hit the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement at $4,128 and was immediately rejected, showing that profit-taking pressure is still strong. • The main trend is still up, as the price is still in the medium-term uptrend channel and above the important MA line. • The 3,972 area (Fib 0.382) is acting as short-term support, accompanied by the MA line right below around 3,942. • Since it has not been able to break the 0.382 Fib level, gold is currently not in the best condition for a new uptrend. RSI has rebounded but has not yet exceeded 60, showing that the buyers have not fully returned, but there are no signs of strong weakness. SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4108 - 4106⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 4112 →Take Profit 1 4100 ↨ →Take Profit 2 4094 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3982 - 3984⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3978 →Take Profit 1 3990 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3996
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
4
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: Ranging day on gold today with not much action. We gave the lower levels yesterday that we wanted price to tap and bounce from which it did, giving a nice long trade to start the week. After that, just small up and down movement not really worth getting involved in. For that reason, we'll stick with the same plan for now and monitor the indicators for any change, otherwise, still looking for a potential undercut low. RED BOXES: Break above 4095 for 4104, 4110, 4120 and 4127 in extension of the move Break below 4080 for 4065✅, 4055✅ and 4040 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
18
Gold price analysis November 21📌 XAUUSD Trend Analysis – Technical Perspective The intraday price action is leaning towards a bearish scenario as the 4041 support zone continues to be under pressure. If the H4 chart closes below this zone, a sell signal will be triggered and the next target will be at 3936. The rising trendline is still playing an important role in the contested zone. However, the price has repeatedly failed to surpass 4100, indicating that buying power is weakening, while increasing the risk of the trendline being broken and the market returning to deeper support zones. The trading strategy is basically unchanged from yesterday, but it is important to pay special attention to the reaction at the 4041 zone – the area that is deciding the next direction of gold. 📉 SELL Trigger when: H4 candle closes below 4041 Strategy: SELL on breakout Target: 3936 📈 BUY Trigger when: Clear price rejection signal appears at trendline / support zone 4041 Expected target: 4200 Risk: Invalid if candle closes below 4041
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TVS-Trader
2
Gold market Structural Correction in PlayThe gold market reacted firmly at 4190’s, yet underlying imbalances between 4120 and 4090 remain unmitigated. This unresolved liquidity suggests a potential corrective sweep into these zones before bullish momentum can fully re-establish dominance. Additionally, gold has now broken the bearish trend stance at 4160’s, signalling an early shift in market structure. However, confirmation of bullish continuation will likely depend on how price interacts with the imbalance range below.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ak_capitalist
XAUUSD (GOLD) 4hr Technical & Fundamental Analysis⚠️ XAUUSD (GOLD) 4hr Technical & Fundamental Analysis Earlier today, gold experienced a market-wide pricing freeze due to a technical disruption from an upstream global exchange. This affected price feeds across all brokers, causing frozen charts, delayed orders, and abnormal wicks. This incident was industry-wide and not related to broker manipulation. Despite the disruption, it plays a key role in today’s market structure shift, especially for short-term traders impacted by the price interruptions. From a technical perspective, price has broken above the minor resistance at 4,160, aligning with the lower trendline. While the higher-timeframe trend remains bullish, the 4H chart shows consolidation and weakening momentum in this region. 📊 Short-Term Bullish Outlook The break of 4,160 suggests a possible short-term bullish structural shift. This may indicate a liquidity hunt below 4,160 before price moves higher toward 4,220. A clean break above 4,220 could target the next major demand area around 4,380. 🔻 Bearish Scenario if 4,220 Rejects If gold fails to sustain momentum above 4,220, it may indicate the liquidity hunt is complete. Price could then revisit the next minor key level at 4,100. A break and close below 4,100 could open the way for deeper downside toward the next major key support at 4,020. Losing 4,020 could trigger a stronger continuation down to the 3,940 – 3,920 demand zone. This zone is critical for bulls to defend to maintain the higher-timeframe bullish structure. Gold remains highly sensitive to structural signals and global price feed stability, so caution is advised. Monitor these key levels closely and wait for a confirmed break of structure before taking positions. ⚠️ Risk Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Trading gold, CFDs, and Forex involves high risk. Always trade responsibly and manage your risk.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RebornFXTrader
XAUUSD (GOLD) – Current Market Analysis XAUUSD (GOLD) – Current Market Analysis Date: 27 November 2025 Time: 01:25 PM (GMT+6) --- Trend Direction The Higher Timeframe remains in a bullish phase, but the current price action is clearly forming a corrective structure. Price is currently trading around 4150–4160, which is acting as an intermediate resistance zone and a liquidity cluster. Above the market, 4170–4180 is a Weak High + liquidity pool. Below the market, 4100–4080 is a Strong Low + 4H demand zone. The market is compressed between these two liquidity points. Such compression typically leads to a liquidity sweep followed by a reversal. --- Technical Analysis The 4H chart shows repeated rejections from the 4160–4170 area, indicating weakening buyer momentum. The 1H chart is forming a clear retracement structure. The 15M chart has multiple CHoCH downside signals. Together, these strongly indicate a bearish correction. Below price, 4120 and 4100 act as natural draw-to-liquidity levels where imbalance and unmitigated demand zones exist. --- Smart Money Concept (SMC) Liquidity: • Weak High above → 4170–4180 • Equal Lows below → 4100–4090 Order Blocks: • 4H bearish OB → 4170–4180 • 1H bullish OB → 4100–4080 Market Structure: • 15M → CHoCH downside • 1H → BOS downside and price is currently in the retracement phase This structure is a textbook bearish correction model. --- Fibonacci Based on the last bearish impulsive leg, the 0.618 retracement zone aligns with 4165–4175. This matches the Weak High liquidity zone, increasing the probability of rejection. --- RSI & Volume Both the 1H and 15M timeframes show RSI touching overbought levels. Bearish divergence is visible on the 15M chart. Volume is gradually decreasing, signaling buyer exhaustion. These factors collectively increase the likelihood of a short-term downside correction. --- Fundamental Analysis There is no major high-impact news today, so the market is expected to move based purely on technicals and liquidity behavior. The Dollar Index remains stable, which may put short-term pressure on Gold. --- Trading Plan (95% Accuracy) Primary Sell Setup (High Probability) Sell Zone: 4170–4180 Reason: Weak High, liquidity pool, 4H bearish OB, Fibonacci 0.618 confluence, RSI divergence Confirmation: 15M rejection candle or 15M CHoCH downside Targets: • TP1 → 4140 • TP2 → 4120 • TP3 → 4100 • TP4 → 4080 (extended) Stop Loss: 4200 --- Alternative Buy Setup (Low Probability) Buy only after downside liquidity sweep. Buy Zone: 4100–4080 Reason: Strong Low, demand zone, imbalance fill, possible bullish CHoCH Targets: • TP1 → 4140 • TP2 → 4160 Stop Loss: 4050 --- Analysis Short Summary The market is currently building liquidity around the 4160–4170 region. There is a clear Weak High at 4170–4180, and Gold typically sweeps such highs before a correction. Therefore, the most likely scenario is: Price sweeps 4170–4180 → then initiates a downside correction. The strongest downside targets remain 4120 and 4100. Main direction: Sell from 4170–4180 Buy option: Only after a liquidity sweep at 4100–4080
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FMFinancialAdvisor
Gold Analysis – A Classic Bullish Continuation Structure FormingGold Analysis – A Classic Bullish Continuation Structure Forming - After a long consolidation in the gold, the initial rally (aka first leg) gave a ~26% upside move. - RSI confirmed the move with a steady bullish trendline through the rally phase. - After the first rally, Gold started a moderate corrective pullback. - The correction found support near the 20 EMA, signaling that buyers were still active. - The initial rally & the corrective pullback created a Bullish Pennant Structure - The prices are currently trending close to the upper zone of the Pennant - The pattern also aligns with RSI, which is consolidating in a sideways channel, while trending in the buying zone abpve neutral level. Expected - Second Leg - If price gives a bullish breakout above the pennant, prices could rise to form the second leg. - The projected measured move suggests a potential rally of ~26%, similar to the first leg. The zone between 4930 & 4952 might act as a strong target zone, which also aligns with Fib ext level 1.618 (4930) A clean breakout from the pennant is critical for bullish continuation. ------------ This is still an alternative scenario - for my weekly analysis------------------------- ----- It it fails, and gold gives a bullish breakout as above, then ~5000 could be seen-------
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Nadia_farhat