XAUUSD SHORT UPDATEGold has since been respecting the points and areas that l have marked out, still expecting it to sell as shown on my charts
DISCLAIMER: This is not investment advice and purely for educational purposes
WHAT ARE YOUR THOUGHTS ?
Trade ideas
Gold at a Critical Juncture - A Bearish Correction Warning
The XAUUSD chart is currently exhibiting a potential bearish reversal pattern, identified as a Head and Shoulders top. The key levels for this pattern are as follows:
· Head (Pattern High): $4377
· Neckline: $3890
· Current Price Action: Trading around $4044, approaching the neckline from above.
A confirmed break and daily close below the $3890** neckline support would validate this pattern and open the path for a deeper correction towards the key support zone around **$3600.
Important Context:
It is crucial to note that the long-term trend on higher timeframes remains structurally bullish. The potential breakdown discussed here is primarily a warning for a deepening corrective phase on the Daily and 4-Hour charts, not necessarily a reversal of the primary long-term uptrend.
Summary:
· Scenario: Bearish correction within a broader bull trend.
· Trigger: Daily close below $3890.
· Target: $3600 (Key Support Zone).
· Invalidation: A move back above the $4377 head high.
OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold 15m support heading towards 4110Main Bias : Bullish (Buy) – The overall trend and recent price action suggest buyers are stepping in. Price recently tested a strong support zone and showed a clear reaction, indicating potential upward movement.
Entry Zone : Around 4,078 – 4,081 – This is a retest of a previous resistance now turned support (breaker level). Entering here gives a favorable risk-to-reward setup.
Stop Loss (SL) : 4,068 – 4,070 – Placed just below the support to protect against a deeper pullback.
Target (TP): 4,110 – 4,120 – The next major resistance area where price could face selling pressure.
Confluences:
Price bounced cleanly from the breaker support level
Candlestick reaction shows buyers are stepping in
Momentum aligns with the bullish bias, confirming the potential move upward
Summary : Look for a buy around 4,078 – 4,081, aiming for 4,110 – 4,120, with a stop around 4,068 – 4,070. The setup is supported by strong support (breaker) and confirming bullish price action, giving a clear and manageable trade plan.
This is not financial advice.
Gold Reversal heading towards 4140Gold Re- Buy Opportunity
Entry zone 4050-55 stopout below 4045
Targets : 40_70_80_90_4100 extends
Price Got rejected to break below 4030s Demand Zone , if Failed to closes above 4070 Reaccumulation and if brokes through the 4070 s
Targeting 4100
Demand + fvg tap near 4025 , plus Trendline liquidity resting above and Equal highs At 4060
This is not a financial advice , For educational purposes
GoldTrading Strategy | November 28-29✅ 4-Hour Chart (H4) Trend Analysis
1️⃣ Overall Structure: Bulls in Control, Price Breaks Key Resistance
Price has broken above and stabilized above the key resistance at 4156 (yellow line), forming consecutive bullish candles with strong volume, indicating clear bullish strength.
The latest bullish candle has a strong body and closed near its high, showing that upward momentum is still continuing.
2️⃣ Moving Averages: Bullish Alignment
MA5, MA10, and MA20 are in a classic bullish formation, and price is consistently advancing along MA5 and MA10.
MA20 is turning upward, which is a key signal of trend reversal.
➡️ This indicates that the medium-term trend has strengthened, with bulls dominating the market.
3️⃣ Bollinger Bands: Upper Band Opening, Trend Strengthening
Price is riding along the upper Bollinger Band — a typical sign of a strong bullish trend.
The upper band is expanding upward, indicating rising volatility and expanding upside potential.
✅ 1-Hour Chart (H1) Trend Analysis
1️⃣ Trend Structure: Strong Rally, Short-Term Pullback Expected
H1 recently surged to 4226.89 and then pulled back slightly, showing a normal correction after a strong rally.
Price remains above MA5 and MA10, indicating a strong pullback rather than a trend reversal.
2️⃣ Moving Averages: Short-Term Still Bullish
MA5 and MA10 remain in a bullish formation.
MA20 is starting to provide support, making it the key level for short-term pullbacks.
➡️ Short-term bias remains bullish, but a technical correction may occur at any time.
3️⃣ Bollinger Bands: Upper Band Pressure
The H1 upper Bollinger Band is around 4222, and price saw reduced volume after touching it, suggesting short-term profit-taking.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 4226 / 4230
🟢 Support Levels: 4195 / 4182
✅ Trading Strategy Reference
1️⃣ Buy on Pullback (Main Strategy)
Buy in the 4182–4195 range
🎯 Targets: 4218 / 4230
⛔ Stop Loss: 4170
Reason:
H4 has clearly broken above 4156, confirming a medium-term bullish trend. A pullback is a buying opportunity.
2️⃣ Short at High Levels (Secondary Strategy, Light Positions)
Short near 4226–4230 if price shows rejection
🎯 Targets: 4205 / 4195
⛔ Stop Loss: Above 4238
Reason:
H1 faces pressure at the upper Bollinger Band, showing short-term exhaustion and potential for a pullback.
Gold market Structural Correction in PlayThe gold market reacted firmly at 4190’s, yet underlying imbalances between 4120 and 4090 remain unmitigated. This unresolved liquidity suggests a potential corrective sweep into these zones before bullish momentum can fully re-establish dominance.
Additionally, gold has now broken the bearish trend stance at 4160’s, signalling an early shift in market structure. However, confirmation of bullish continuation will likely depend on how price interacts with the imbalance range below.
XAUUSD (GOLD) 4hr Technical & Fundamental Analysis⚠️ XAUUSD (GOLD) 4hr Technical & Fundamental Analysis
Earlier today, gold experienced a market-wide pricing freeze due to a technical disruption from an upstream global exchange. This affected price feeds across all brokers, causing frozen charts, delayed orders, and abnormal wicks. This incident was industry-wide and not related to broker manipulation.
Despite the disruption, it plays a key role in today’s market structure shift, especially for short-term traders impacted by the price interruptions.
From a technical perspective, price has broken above the minor resistance at 4,160, aligning with the lower trendline. While the higher-timeframe trend remains bullish, the 4H chart shows consolidation and weakening momentum in this region.
📊 Short-Term Bullish Outlook
The break of 4,160 suggests a possible short-term bullish structural shift. This may indicate a liquidity hunt below 4,160 before price moves higher toward 4,220. A clean break above 4,220 could target the next major demand area around 4,380.
🔻 Bearish Scenario if 4,220 Rejects
If gold fails to sustain momentum above 4,220, it may indicate the liquidity hunt is complete. Price could then revisit the next minor key level at 4,100. A break and close below 4,100 could open the way for deeper downside toward the next major key support at 4,020. Losing 4,020 could trigger a stronger continuation down to the 3,940 – 3,920 demand zone. This zone is critical for bulls to defend to maintain the higher-timeframe bullish structure.
Gold remains highly sensitive to structural signals and global price feed stability, so caution is advised. Monitor these key levels closely and wait for a confirmed break of structure before taking positions.
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Trading gold, CFDs, and Forex involves high risk. Always trade responsibly and manage your risk.
xau-usdThe hourly chart of gold has broken the trendline 📉
However, the only support it has is the static 4150 level, and if that breaks too, it will become attractive for a sell, and the pattern I mentioned yesterday will be fully confirmed 🔽📣
XAUUSD (GOLD) – Current Market Analysis
XAUUSD (GOLD) – Current Market Analysis
Date: 27 November 2025
Time: 01:25 PM (GMT+6)
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Trend Direction
The Higher Timeframe remains in a bullish phase, but the current price action is clearly forming a corrective structure.
Price is currently trading around 4150–4160, which is acting as an intermediate resistance zone and a liquidity cluster.
Above the market, 4170–4180 is a Weak High + liquidity pool.
Below the market, 4100–4080 is a Strong Low + 4H demand zone.
The market is compressed between these two liquidity points.
Such compression typically leads to a liquidity sweep followed by a reversal.
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Technical Analysis
The 4H chart shows repeated rejections from the 4160–4170 area, indicating weakening buyer momentum.
The 1H chart is forming a clear retracement structure.
The 15M chart has multiple CHoCH downside signals.
Together, these strongly indicate a bearish correction.
Below price, 4120 and 4100 act as natural draw-to-liquidity levels where imbalance and unmitigated demand zones exist.
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Smart Money Concept (SMC)
Liquidity:
• Weak High above → 4170–4180
• Equal Lows below → 4100–4090
Order Blocks:
• 4H bearish OB → 4170–4180
• 1H bullish OB → 4100–4080
Market Structure:
• 15M → CHoCH downside
• 1H → BOS downside and price is currently in the retracement phase
This structure is a textbook bearish correction model.
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Fibonacci
Based on the last bearish impulsive leg,
the 0.618 retracement zone aligns with 4165–4175.
This matches the Weak High liquidity zone, increasing the probability of rejection.
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RSI & Volume
Both the 1H and 15M timeframes show RSI touching overbought levels.
Bearish divergence is visible on the 15M chart.
Volume is gradually decreasing, signaling buyer exhaustion.
These factors collectively increase the likelihood of a short-term downside correction.
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Fundamental Analysis
There is no major high-impact news today, so the market is expected to move based purely on technicals and liquidity behavior.
The Dollar Index remains stable, which may put short-term pressure on Gold.
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Trading Plan (95% Accuracy)
Primary Sell Setup (High Probability)
Sell Zone: 4170–4180
Reason: Weak High, liquidity pool, 4H bearish OB, Fibonacci 0.618 confluence, RSI divergence
Confirmation: 15M rejection candle or 15M CHoCH downside
Targets:
• TP1 → 4140
• TP2 → 4120
• TP3 → 4100
• TP4 → 4080 (extended)
Stop Loss: 4200
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Alternative Buy Setup (Low Probability)
Buy only after downside liquidity sweep.
Buy Zone: 4100–4080
Reason: Strong Low, demand zone, imbalance fill, possible bullish CHoCH
Targets:
• TP1 → 4140
• TP2 → 4160
Stop Loss: 4050
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Analysis Short Summary
The market is currently building liquidity around the 4160–4170 region.
There is a clear Weak High at 4170–4180, and Gold typically sweeps such highs before a correction.
Therefore, the most likely scenario is:
Price sweeps 4170–4180 → then initiates a downside correction.
The strongest downside targets remain 4120 and 4100.
Main direction: Sell from 4170–4180
Buy option: Only after a liquidity sweep at 4100–4080
Gold Analysis – A Classic Bullish Continuation Structure FormingGold Analysis – A Classic Bullish Continuation Structure Forming
- After a long consolidation in the gold, the initial rally (aka first leg) gave a ~26% upside move.
- RSI confirmed the move with a steady bullish trendline through the rally phase.
- After the first rally, Gold started a moderate corrective pullback.
- The correction found support near the 20 EMA, signaling that buyers were still active.
- The initial rally & the corrective pullback created a Bullish Pennant Structure
- The prices are currently trending close to the upper zone of the Pennant
- The pattern also aligns with RSI, which is consolidating in a sideways channel, while trending in the buying zone abpve neutral level.
Expected - Second Leg
- If price gives a bullish breakout above the pennant, prices could rise to form the second leg.
- The projected measured move suggests a potential rally of ~26%, similar to the first leg.
The zone between 4930 & 4952 might act as a strong target zone, which also aligns with Fib ext level 1.618 (4930)
A clean breakout from the pennant is critical for bullish continuation.
------------ This is still an alternative scenario - for my weekly analysis-------------------------
----- It it fails, and gold gives a bullish breakout as above, then ~5000 could be seen-------
EXPLANATION OF WHAT HAPPENED THIS MORNING
As I said before, these confirmation candles says a lot about the validity of a trade and I'm happy to have found something very important together with the strategy i use and they are just like gold(precious) to me , now let me explain what happened in the morning.
so as I said about the confirmation candle, once that circled candle on h1 closed bearish by 8 a.m UTC it was a signal of further push downwards not necessarily long term sells, but a further sells so you should close any buy just above it and wait for a good entry after careful analysis, but i didn't know or check a higher time frame candle/s closed was/were about to also close at 8 a.m and that is what i saw at 8 a.m after checking different time frames and hence the reason I gave a different buy entry close to the first one and asked for sl to be at 4120/15 instead of closing it,
so I wasn't wrong about the confirmation candle and the second entry, but it's because of the higher time frame candle that closed at 8 a.m, that is why i gave another buy entry and asked not to close the first entry because it was close but still markets decided to sell a bit further to test a major zone,
and let me tell you this; if market was trading in a free zone that move below the second entry(the move below 4130-25) would have signaled a further sell below 4100 and I would have given a sell entry around 4125 area instead of the another buy entry i just gave but price has been trading in or in between a major zone and it comes with a different approach and I learned this just this month, just so you know.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Gold Breaks Out — Can Buyers Hold?Gold broke out of the consolidation range yesterday, finally pushing above the 4098 level and extending into the 4142 resistance zone.
Price is now sitting above both the MA50 and MA200 — a constructive sign — but both moving averages remain flat, showing that momentum has not fully shifted yet.
If buyers want to build on this breakout, they need a clean hold above 4142. A confirmed break here would open the path toward 4198 → 4232.
If gold fails to clear 4142, we could see a pullback. First support sits at 4098, followed by 4052.
A deeper correction would bring us back into the Support Zone (4016–3968), with the HTF Support Zone (3921–3862) acting as the major safety net.
📌Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
4142
4198
4232
Support:
4098
4052
4016
3968
3921
3862
📰 Fundamental Focus:
Today brings the first batch of high-impact U.S. data for the week, including Core PPI, PPI, and Retail Sales — all key indicators of inflation and consumer strength. Traders should be prepared for sharper moves as the market reacts to inflation and consumer-spending data.
HOW FAR WILL GOLD RISE?1. MARKET CONTEXT
Yesterday, during the Asian and European sessions, gold prices mainly moved sideways – accumulating within a narrow range.
In the U.S. session, gold prices broke strongly through the 413X region and formed:
Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern (iH&S)
The upward structure returns → buyers dominate
This indicates that the upward momentum has returned, and the market leans towards continuing to rise if it does not break the important support area.
Fundamental factors supporting buyers
The market is expecting the Fed to cut interest rates in December.
Tonight there is PPI news — an important indicator directly affecting inflation expectations and Fed expectations.
→ This could be a catalyst for strong volatility in the U.S. session.
2. MAIN TRADING DIRECTION FOR THE DAY
➡️ Prioritize BUY (look to buy) according to the main trend.
➡️ SELL is only reactive – for retracement, not the main trend.
3. POTENTIAL BUY ZONES
Beautiful support areas to look for buying opportunities today:
📍 BUY zone 1 – Nearest
413X (early day resistance and yesterday's breakout area)
→ Beautiful entry area for scalping or buy follow trend.
📍 BUY zone 2
4100 – 4103
→ Psychological support & structural confluence area.
📍 BUY zone 3
4088 – 4090
📍 BUY zone 4
4060 – 4065
→ Strong support area, look to catch the bottom in case of deep price correction.
4. REACTIVE SELL ZONES (ONLY SELL FOR RETRACEMENT)
Only sell when price hits the area — clear rejection signals appear:
📍 SELL zone 1 (nearest)
4180 – 4186
📍 SELL zone 2
4190 – 4195
📍 SELL zone 3
4202 – 4205
Safe SELL conditions:
Only sell counter-trend, prioritize scalping.
If these areas are strongly broken + H1/H4 candle closes, consider buyers winning, then do not sell anymore.
5. CAPITAL MANAGEMENT – RISK MANAGEMENT
SL = 10 points
TP = 10 points
RR ratio = 1:1.2
Do not hold positions through PPI news if not really sure about the pattern.
6. NOTES ON METHOD
Buy orders will dominate the day.
Sell only when there is a strong reaction at resistance.
Scalping: open orders on smaller timeframes (M1–M5–M15) to optimize Entry.
Always wait for price action confirmation (pinbar, engulfing, retest…) before entering orders.
7. SUMMARY
Today's tendency is mainly BUY, based on:
The return of the upward trend
Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern
Expectations of a dovish Fed
PPI news triggering volatility
Wishing everyone an effective trading day — total victory! 🔥💹
Just Going Against The Trend on GoldI can tell Gold is in a consolidation mode, doing some Endrendrum. Who cares? I do care.. but I will be looking for short entries if they show up.
GOLD unstoppable!GOLD is testing a TrendLine and should be rising this week. Waiting for a Break of all time Highs going into 2026.
GOLD RUSH 2025: XAUUSD Hyper-Growth Technical Forecast
Asset: XAUUSD (Gold Spot)
Current Price: 4,051.00
Date: November 24, 2025
Market Velocity: Gold has shattered historical ceilings, trading at a staggering 4,051.00. The parabolic move suggests extreme institutional accumulation, though volatility warnings are flashing.
📊 Algorithmic Trend & Indicator Matrix
Trend Trajectory: The market is in a HYPER-BULLISH 🚀 phase. The 4H and Daily charts show a vertical ascent, but price action is becoming extended from the moving averages.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): Critical reading at 81.5 (Extreme Overbought). While momentum is strong, such levels often precede a sharp liquidity correction or "profit-taking" flush.
Bollinger Bands: Price is "walking the bands" (Upper Deviation). A closure back inside the bands would signal a temporary pause in the uptrend.
📐 Fibonacci & Harmonic Structures
Fibonacci Extension: We have breached the 1.618 extension. The next major algorithmic target aligns with the 2.618 extension at 4,085.00 .
Harmonic Pattern: A Bearish Deep Crab is potentially forming. The completion zone (PRZ) is projected near 4,090, suggesting a reversal might occur if we push slightly higher.
🛡️ Key Liquidity & Pivot Levels
Resistance 1: 4,085.00 (Fib Extension)
Resistance 2: 4,100.00 (Psychological Barrier)
Support 1: 4,020.00 (Previous Resistance Flip)
Support 2: 3,980.00 (0.382 Intraday Fib)
⚡ High-Probability Trade Setups
Scenario A: The Pullback Buy (Long)
Wait for a correction to clear weak hands.
Entry: 4,020.00 - 4,025.00
Target: 4,080.00
Stop Loss: 3,995.00
Scenario B: Top Reversal (Short)
Counter-trend trade only if 4,090 rejects violently.
Entry: Below 4,075.00 (after rejection)
Target: 4,020.00
Stop Loss: 4,105.00
⚠️ System Outlook: The trend is your friend, but gravity is calling. Expect a push to 4,085 before any significant correction. We favor Scenario A (Buying Dips) over trying to pick the exact top. 🏆📉
XAUUSD -2H SETUP My previous position closed at break-even, so I’m looking to re-enter. I will place a new entry at the current price level, with the stop-loss positioned above the recent swing high. My target remains the next major support zones below. I will monitor price action for confirmation as price continues to move away from the ascending trendline.
Gold Week 32 OutlookFollowing Non-farm payroll (NFP) on Friday, 01 August 2025, Gold started and maintained a bullish sentiment. With all things considered. It is likely to spend the early days of the week correcting before shooting back upwards towards Thursday/Friday.
GOLD STRONG BUYGold has shown rejection on the HTF Wick C.E Quadrants and has formed an FVG on the hourly chart.
If Price respects C.E of the H1 FVG I expect aggressive higher price delivery.
Safe Trading!
Waridi Ghost Pips.
XAUUSD_1H_BuyGold Analysis Short and Medium Term Elliott Wave Analysis Style The market is completing wave B and entering wave C.
