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CFDs on Gold (US$ / OZ)CFDs on Gold (US$ / OZ)CFDs on Gold (US$ / OZ)

CFDs on Gold (US$ / OZ)

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Gold Price AnalysisGold gave up its gains on Friday, rebounding to 4110 after a pullback to 4032. The daily chart closed lower, testing the 10-day moving average and the Bollinger Band's middle line. The RSI indicator pulled back to near the midline. The weekly chart shows a slight overall increase. On the shorter-term 4-hour and 1-hour charts, the moving averages formed a bearish crossover at a high level on Friday, with the price returning to the lower Bollinger Band. The RSI indicator broke below the midline. Technically, gold is maintaining a wide-range consolidation, and the tug-of-war between bulls and bears is expected to continue. The 4-hour chart is in a consolidation phase. If it can recover lost ground and regain its position above the moving averages, the bulls may still have hope; otherwise, the downtrend may continue. On Monday, continue to wait for a rebound before selling. A relatively stable and ideal entry point on the daily chart is around 4150. If the market is weak, it may consolidate below 4110-4100. For long positions, a buy opportunity may arise if support is found at the 4040 level; a break below this level would warrant selling. Key Levels: First Support: 4070, Second Support: 4053, Third Support: 4033 First Resistance: 4123, Second Resistance: 4138, Third Resistance: 4150 Gold Trading Strategy: Buy: 4035-4040, SL: 4120, TP: 4060-4080; Sell: 4140-4145, SL: 4160, TP: 4120-4100; More Analysis →
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by Wall_street_jun
GOLD MARKET BREAKDOWNAfter the bears at the close of last week's candle, which saw gold dip to 4020's, this dip was merely a liqiuidity sweep to enable gold create a new hedge . This week's candle opens bullish, a breakout from 4105 would enable our bullish stance and aid more market confluence. Mid trend as first target - if market reacts and if it doesn't, we break past through ......Note thats this is an overview analysis and there may be few changes as the market forms its primary zones, further insights would be given as the market unfolds
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by elite_trader_1-
gold weekly forecast 17_21Nov📈GOLD Technical Forecast (17–21 Nov) Given your chart (which shows a bullish trendline and projected targets): Support Zone: Around $4,020–$4,030, aligning with both the trendline on your chart and external analysis. Short-Term Resistance: Around $4,145 (your “TP1”), and possibly a supply zone. Higher Target: If gold rebounds strongly, it could test $4,240+ (similar to your “TP2” on the chart). Base Case Scenario (Bullish): Price dips toward your trendline/support (~$4,020–$4,030) Buyers step in → rebound toward $4,145 If momentum is strong and rate-cut hopes are reinforced → further upside into the $4,200–$4,240 area Alternate (Bearish) Scenario: If gold breaks convincingly below $4,020 That could open a drop toward $3,940–$3,950 (some analysts cite similar downside risk) FXEmpire But this bearish risk may be limited unless macro surprises or Fed turns more
OANDA:XAUUSD
by fareedalatif1
FOMC Drama, XAU Comedy. Gold Has Its Own Script.Imagine the coming week… Everything is moving kind of “normal” 😴… until we hit the big event: 👉 WEDNESDAY NIGHT — FOMC MINUTES. 🎭 SCENE ONE: BEFORE THE STORM ------------------------------ Tuesday night / Wednesday morning: Gold is sitting just above 4,000… Not mooning 🚀, not crashing 💥… The whole market feels there’s a “verbal exam” coming from the Fed, but nobody knows the question yet 😅. • Big funds (Smart Money): – Some are lightly positioned, – Others are flat on the sidelines, – Nobody wants to go full degen size before reading the minutes 🙃. • On your XAUMO chart: – Below you: **Uploading Zone** around 4,00x – 4,05x – Above you: **Offloading Zone** around 4,18x – 4,21x – Price is stuck in between… exactly in the “middle of the sofa” 🛋️. Retail traders on social media: – “Gold is going 4,300 EASY bro” 🤡 – “No, it’s going back to 3,900, you’re all doomed” 😱 But the one who will actually settle this fight is NOT them… it’s the Fed 😏. Time passes… we arrive at Wednesday: 🎬 SCENE TWO: THE DOOR OPENS — MINUTES DROPPED ---------------------------------------------- Around 9:00 p.m. Cairo time… News screen flashes: **FOMC MINUTES RELEASED** 📜. In one second: • 10-year Treasury yields move hard: – Either they drop fast, – Or they rip up. • Dollar index (DXY): – Either breaks the day’s low, – Or does a nice little spike-up flex 💪. And here the **gold** story starts: 1️⃣ If the minutes are **DOVISH** (Fed more scared of weak growth than of inflation): – Yields start dropping, – Dollar cools down and pulls back, – Stocks grab some air and try to rally. Gold? → First few seconds: pure noise… wick games 🎯. Then: • Big green candle pops on the chart, • Volume jumps, • Delta turns positive (people smashing the Ask like there’s a sale on gold 😂). On the XAUMO map: – 4,04x – 4,06x becomes **real Uploading**, – A bullish MegaBar launches from there and drags us to mid-range 4,12x – 4,14x, – A few sessions later we might re-test 4,18x – 4,20x again. The story: “Markets hear: Fed won’t murder the economy (yet) 🥲. So some money sneaks out of the dollar and high yields… and quietly slides into gold.” 2️⃣ If the minutes are **HAWKISH** (Fed still frowning at inflation 😠): – Yields rise or at least refuse to fall, – Dollar tightens up and pushes higher, – Equities get stressed. Gold? → Maybe a spike up/down in the first minute (stop hunt classic 😏), but then: • Wider red candles, • Negative delta (aggressive selling at Bid), • Price abandons the upper edge of the range and walks down. On XAUMO: – 4,18x – 4,21x is confirmed as a **true Offloading Zone**: • Bearish Kill Bars at the top, • High RVOL but move is DOWN. – Market starts probing 4,10x – 4,08x… and if pressure keeps going, it tests 4,02x – 4,00x. Story here: “Wall Street hears: no pampering, kids. Rates stay high until inflation taps out 💪. So anyone holding gold just as a ‘rate hedge’ starts trimming. Diamond hands suddenly become paper hands 😬.” 🎯 SCENE THREE: AFTER THE SMOKE — RESETTING THE STAGE ----------------------------------------------------- Whether the minutes are dovish or hawkish… The important part is NOT the first 5 minutes of drama… It’s **what happens after the first wave**: • If DOVISH: – Does gold keep pushing after the spike? → Does it build candles ABOVE 4,12x – 4,14x and hold? If YES → market believed the story and we have **Uploading from below** ✅. • If HAWKISH: – Does every little bounce get sold? → Every time we approach 4,16x – 4,18x, a big seller shows up? If YES → that’s **real Offloading above**, and odds of visiting 4,00x get higher 🚨. Now your turn: As a XAUMO analyst you don’t care about the headline alone… You care about: – Where did yields go? – What did DXY actually do? – At which zone did gold flip: **Uploading** or **Offloading**? 📌 TWO-LINE TL;DR ----------------- Wednesday is not “just another news release”… It’s the day the Fed tells the market: “Am I here to relax you… or keep squeezing you?” 😈 And gold answers instantly: – If relaxed → puts on the safe-haven halo and rallies from accumulation zones 👼. – If squeezed → takes off the halo and drops from distribution zones, hunting for new buyers below 😏. Your real job is NOT to predict the script… Your job is **to read the play correctly**: – Who is the strong buyer? – Who is the heavy seller? – And does the curtain fall on a NEW LOW or a NEW HIGH? All of this is **EDUCATIONAL ONLY** 📘 — not a buy/sell signal, and not a replacement for your own risk plan.
FX:XAUUSD
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
XAUUSD Strong Rejection From FVG, Watching for Long EntriesGold delivered a clean reaction from the Fair Value Gap (FVG), showing strong buyer interest at the discounted zone. Price also tapped into the Breaker Block, confirming that liquidity below the lows has already been swept. With this reaction, short-term bullish momentum is building again. 🔍 Key Technical Points • FVG filled perfectly, triggering an immediate bullish bounce. • Liquidity sweep below previous lows shows sellers are exhausted. • Price tapped into the Breaker Block, a strong reversal zone. • Market has now shifted back above the short-term structure. Buy Scenario If price retests the small support zone highlighted on the chart, it may offer a clean continuation long setup. 📌 I will consider buy entries from the retest zone. Targets remain toward the upper imbalance and recent highs. 🎯 Targets • First target: Recovery to mid-range • Main target: 4220+ area (as shown in your projection box) 🛑 Invalidation A clean break below the FVG zone would invalidate the bullish setup.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by HAAADY
GOLD Is Going Up! Long! Take a look at our analysis for GOLD. Time Frame: 4h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The price is testing a key support 4,087.79. Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 4,161.33 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by SignalProvider
1
XAUUSD Potential Reversal Zone & Bullish Channel Projection (45-1. Price Action Context Gold (XAUUSD) has been in a short-term downtrend, shown by a sequence of lower highs and lower lows. Price is currently trading around 4113 after a sharp drop. 2. Key Zone: RESISTANCE Turned SUPPORT The highlighted red zone around 4081 – 4103 is marked as a major support / demand zone. This appears to be a level where buyers are expected to step in. The squiggly black arrows indicate a possible liquidity grab or fake breakout before the true move begins. 3. Projected Bullish Recovery The gray vertical projection box and upward channel lines suggest the author expects: A bounce from the 4081–4103 support A move up through the channel A potential target around 4220, which aligns with the upper boundary of the projected ascending channel. 4. Trend Channel A rising channel has been plotted, projecting the potential direction over the next sessions. Price bouncing inside the lower area of the channel suggests: The down move might be ending Momentum could shift toward a bullish correction or even a trend reversal 5. Key Levels Highlighted Support zone: 4,081.888 4,103.142 Bullish target: 4,220.041 These levels are visually marked and consistent with a reversal strategy. 🧭 Overall Interpretation This chart proposes a bullish reversal setup, with traders watching for: A potential liquidity sweep at the support zone A bounce and consolidation A climb toward the upper channel area, with 4220 as a projected target This is a counter-trend reversal idea, so confirmation would be crucial (rejection wicks, bullish candle structures, RSI turning up, etc.).
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
Another Golden Opportunity!Gold's corrective move the past few weeks has now led to a bounce, expect some more gains in a likely ABC bounce to be followed by further correction towards $3800ish. This wave 5 might only be wave 1 finished at $4380, a wave 2 corrective decline to be followed by a stronger wave 3...of course anything can happen, new highs in the next week or so will be very welcome. Let's see the pattern play out before we are clearer on the outcome, expect this bounce to peter out towards $4190ish, if a resumption of the correction develops, another golden opportunity presents itself around $3800. Whatever happens, this wave 5 will see $5000 plus and possibly $6000...remember $3000? Appreciate a thumbs up, good trading and God Bless you all!
TVC:GOLDLong
by Fractal777
1
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Watching 4153 Support for Next MoveGold failed to break above 4234 resistance yesterday and pulled back to retest the 4153 pullback zone. Market structure has turned temporarily bearish, with price closing below the 50MA. If the 4153 support holds and price manages to reclaim the 50MA, a retest of 4234 resistance is likely. A clean break above 4234 could open the way toward 4,285. However, if selling pressure continues and 4153 gives way, we may see 4115 tested next. A break below the pullback zone could extend the decline toward the lower support area at 4074–4027, where buyers may look to re-enter. 📌Key Levels to Watch Resistance: 4197 4234 4285 4322 Support: 4153 4115 4074 4027
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
1
Gold Outlook | Smart Money Levels & Volatility Spike (Nov 14, 20OANDA:XAUUSD GOLD ANALYSIS - Smart Money Moves the Market Today
📅 Updated: November 14, 2025
 🚀 Market Snapshot Gold surges toward $4,200 as the U.S. shutdown disrupts key macro data and uncertainty boosts safe-haven flows.
The DXY slips to ~99.25, reflecting investor hesitation amid data blackout and Fed silence. Macro Highlights: * 🏛️ Shutdown freeze: October CPI/Jobs data postponed — volatility spikes expected on reopening. * 🏦 Central Banks: +220t in Q3, +415t H1; China & Poland lead accumulation. * 🌍 Geopolitics: U.S.–China tariff heat + Mideast tension = sustained risk premium. * 💰 ETF Inflows: Heavy buying continues; gold reclaims post-ATH strength at $4,202 (+0.50%). 🧭 Smart Money Levels (Valid for Today) 🔴 Smart Money SELL ORDERS $4,293 – $4,279
💣 ~$85M+ in institutional orders
→ Expect sharp rejection and high-volatility spikes. 🟠 Scalp SELL Area $4,244 – $4,256
→ Ideal for quick fade setups with tight stops. 🟢 Smart Money BUY ORDERS $4,080 – $4,104
💸 ~$50M+ in buy-side liquidity
→ Strong accumulation zone; expect bounce setups. 📍 These are high-probability institutional footprints for today’s session. 🔍 Macro Catalyst Outlook * 🕒 CPI & Jobs Data: Still delayed → Expect “volatility bursts” when released. * 🏦 FOMC (Dec): 25bps cut odds ~47%. * 🌏 Geopolitical heat: * Tariff escalation & Mideast risk = 🟢 Bullish * Diplomatic cooling = 🔴 Pullback pressure Bottom Line: Market remains headline-driven and liquidity-sensitive. ⚡ Technical Outlook — Bullish but Overstretched * ✅ Break above $4,200 = continuation toward 4,250+ * ⚠️ RSI near 84 = expect volatility, not immediate reversal * 🟩 Holding $4,180 = bullish continuation * 🔻 Losing $4,180 = correction toward $4,150–$4,120 📌 Intraday Trade Levels (Nov 14, 2025) 🟢 Buy Zone: $4,180 – $4,200
→ Structural retest + central bank bids = strong support 🔴 Sell Zone: $4,230 – $4,250
→ Overbought liquidity pocket, short-term fade setup
→ Larger rejection expected around $4,244–$4,256 📈 Daily Range:
High: ~4,220
Low: ~4,190
Current: ~$4,202 🎯 Trade Plan — Simple & Tactical * Buy Dips: 4,180–4,200 → Targets: 4,230 / 4,250 * Sell Fades: 4,244–4,256 → Short-term scalp * Institutional Sell Wall: 4,279–4,293 → Major rejection zone * Break & Hold Above 4,250: Target 4,300+ 🧠 Final Take: Bulls in Control, Volatility Rising Shutdown chaos, data blackout, and global risk keep gold bid on every dip.
Until $4,180 breaks, the bulls hold the advantage.
Trade the reaction — not the prediction.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by DECRYPTERS
Updated Gold AnalysisWith this price movement, it seems that many traders are currently holding long positions on gold.The market structure still looks bullish, and considering all the unusual news coming out these days, it’s natural to see strong reactions in the market. Price was rejected from 4250 and is now pushing back upward. A range is likely to form in this area. If you don’t have an open position and you want to trade gold, there are potential setups in the 15-minute timeframe.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by PouyanFa
XAU/USD Gold looking strong breakout buying move📈XAUUSD (Gold) Analysis – Strong Bullish Momentum 🚀 Gold is showing a powerful bullish trend with a confirmed resistance breakout around the 4065 level. Buyers are holding strong from the breakout zone, indicating continued upside potential. 🎯 Technical Targets: 4132 4170 4205 🕓 Timeframe: 4H Chart The momentum remains bullish as long as price sustains above the breakout zone. Watch for pullbacks toward support areas for potential buying opportunities. ⚠️ Risk Management: Always apply proper risk management — never overleverage and use stop-loss protection. 💬 Like | 🔁 Share | 💭 Comment | 📲 Follow for more professional insights
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ExpertTraderASK
3
GOLD · Fed - slightly less dovish to hawkish tone - Previous months CPI data showed no reduction, increased from 2.9% to 3%, therefor during Oct FOMC, Powell had less dovish to slightly hawkish tone, indicating that they would like to see inflation come close to their target before considering any future rate cuts, also mentioned they will be data dependant and will need to see certain indicators (inflation) improve before can consider rate cuts. Since they wouldn’t want inflation to get out of hand again. This means DOLLAR stays bullish due to US yields remain high hence less investor outflows. · Trade War optimism - Trump met with Xi and signed deals bringing optimism to markets, therefor investors back to risk on mode hence sell demand for safe havens. · US shutdown - The only thing stopping us from expecting more rapid sells is the US shutdown which is still causing investors to be cautious and not as risk on, hence markets ranging a lot. · Market whales betting on Poor US data - we know from recent headline that larger institutions are betting on the fact that the Fed will continue rate cuts even once the US shutdown ends because they think that the data will come in weak hence the Fed will have no choice but to continue its rate cuts to improve economic activity , This is the primary factor in play at the moment and hence the rally in gold since Monday. GOLD- 1. Continuation buys if break and retest above 4220, targeting closer to previous ATH's. 2. If price holds below 42000 KL, can see more ranging and potential corrections to the downside for sells trades down to 4150. Watching 4150 to see how price reacts, if confirmations for retests can take buys with trend for upside continuation. If breaks below, can play sells to lower demand zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jawad_Khalili1
Microstructure of Institutional Trading1. Understanding Market Microstructure Market microstructure studies how trades occur, who participates, how prices are set, and what factors influence transaction costs. It looks beyond the macro view of supply and demand to examine the “plumbing” of the market — the trading venues, order types, intermediaries, and algorithms that connect buyers and sellers. Key components of microstructure include: Order types (limit, market, stop-loss, iceberg orders) Trading venues (exchanges, dark pools, electronic communication networks) Liquidity providers and takers Transaction costs (explicit and implicit) Price discovery (how information becomes reflected in prices) Institutional investors must navigate this microstructure efficiently to minimize slippage (difference between expected and actual trade price) and transaction costs. 2. Characteristics of Institutional Trading Institutional trading differs from retail trading in several ways: Trade Size and Impact: Institutions often trade in very large quantities, making their orders capable of moving market prices significantly. A single institutional order can absorb much of the market’s liquidity in a stock or derivative. Execution Goals: Their main objectives are to obtain the best price, minimize market impact, and maintain anonymity. To achieve this, they rely on sophisticated execution strategies and algorithmic trading systems. Time Horizon: Institutions may operate over longer horizons (e.g., portfolio rebalancing) or shorter ones (e.g., hedge fund arbitrage). Their strategies depend on their mandates—active funds seek alpha (excess returns), while passive funds focus on tracking indices efficiently. Information Sensitivity: Institutional orders can reveal private information. Therefore, discretion and order-splitting techniques are vital to prevent competitors from front-running or copying trades. 3. Trading Venues and Mechanisms Institutional traders use multiple platforms for execution, depending on their goals and the liquidity of the security. a) Public Exchanges These are centralized venues like the NSE, NYSE, or NASDAQ, where prices and volumes are transparent. Trading here provides liquidity but also exposes orders to the public, increasing the risk of market impact. b) Dark Pools Dark pools are private trading venues where orders are hidden from public view until after execution. They are crucial for institutions wishing to trade large blocks discreetly. Advantages: Reduced market impact and anonymity. Disadvantages: Lower transparency and potential for adverse selection (trading against informed counterparties). c) Electronic Communication Networks (ECNs) ECNs match buy and sell orders electronically without intermediaries. They allow fast, efficient, and often lower-cost trading but may fragment liquidity across multiple venues. 4. Types of Orders and Execution Strategies Institutional traders use various order types to control how their trades interact with the market: Market Orders: Execute immediately at the best available price; suitable for urgent trades but risk slippage. Limit Orders: Execute only at a specified price or better; useful for price control but may not fill completely. Iceberg Orders: Only a portion of the order is visible to the market, hiding true size to reduce impact. VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) Orders: Designed to execute gradually throughout the day to match average market volume, minimizing disruption. TWAP (Time Weighted Average Price) Orders: Spread execution evenly over a specific time period to achieve average pricing. 5. Algorithmic and High-Frequency Trading (HFT) Modern institutional trading is heavily algorithm-driven. Algorithms automate execution, monitor market conditions, and adjust strategies dynamically. Common Institutional Algorithms: VWAP Algorithms: Match market volume to minimize detection. TWAP Algorithms: Execute evenly over time for steady exposure. Implementation Shortfall Algorithms: Balance between speed and cost by comparing real-time execution price with a benchmark. Liquidity-Seeking Algorithms: Hunt for hidden liquidity across venues, including dark pools. Smart Order Routing (SOR): Distributes portions of large orders to multiple venues for optimal fill rates. High-frequency traders (HFTs), though distinct from traditional institutions, influence institutional execution by tightening spreads and providing liquidity—though sometimes they compete aggressively, increasing volatility. 6. Market Impact and Transaction Costs Institutional trading must account for two main cost categories: Explicit Costs: Commissions Exchange fees Taxes and regulatory costs Implicit Costs: Bid-Ask Spread: Difference between buying and selling prices. Price Impact: Movement in price caused by executing large trades. Opportunity Cost: Loss due to unfilled or delayed orders. Managing these costs is central to institutional execution. Large trades are often broken into smaller slices to disguise intent and reduce impact. For example, a ₹500 crore order might be executed over several days using VWAP algorithms. 7. Information Asymmetry and Adverse Selection Market microstructure acknowledges that not all participants possess the same information. Institutional investors may trade based on private analysis or insider signals, while market makers quote prices without full knowledge of order intent. When institutions submit large orders, market makers may widen spreads to protect themselves from potential information disadvantages, leading to adverse selection costs. To reduce this, institutions: Use dark pools for anonymity. Split orders across multiple venues. Employ execution algorithms that mimic normal trading patterns. 8. Role of Market Makers and Liquidity Providers Market makers play a crucial role by continuously quoting buy (bid) and sell (ask) prices. For institutional traders, these entities: Offer liquidity during low-volume periods. Help stabilize prices by absorbing temporary imbalances. Sometimes act as counterparties in large block trades (via investment banks or brokers). However, the liquidity provided is not unlimited—large institutional orders may still cause slippage or gaps in price, especially in less-liquid securities. 9. Regulatory Oversight and Transparency Regulatory frameworks—such as SEBI in India, SEC in the U.S., and MiFID II in Europe—aim to ensure: Fairness and transparency in execution. Prevention of market manipulation and insider trading. Reporting of large trades and post-trade transparency. Institutions must comply with best execution standards, meaning they must prove they sought the best possible outcome for clients across venues. 10. Technology and Data in Institutional Trading Today’s institutional traders rely on: Real-time data analytics for monitoring liquidity and volatility. Machine learning models to forecast order book dynamics. Post-trade analytics to measure execution performance (e.g., tracking VWAP deviation). Artificial intelligence for adaptive algorithms that learn from historical patterns. Technology bridges the gap between human strategy and automated precision, optimizing both cost and speed. 11. Conclusion The microstructure of institutional trading is a sophisticated ecosystem shaped by liquidity dynamics, technology, regulation, and competition. Institutional traders must balance size, secrecy, and speed while minimizing costs and preserving market integrity. Their trading activity significantly influences price discovery, volatility, and overall market efficiency. As financial markets evolve—with advances in AI, blockchain, and decentralized trading platforms—the microstructure of institutional trading will continue to adapt, becoming even more data-driven, algorithmic, and globally interconnected.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by GlobalWolfStreet