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GOLD RUSH 2025: XAUUSD Hyper-Growth Technical Forecast Asset: XAUUSD (Gold Spot) Current Price: 4,051.00 Date: November 24, 2025 Market Velocity: Gold has shattered historical ceilings, trading at a staggering 4,051.00. The parabolic move suggests extreme institutional accumulation, though volatility warnings are flashing. 📊 Algorithmic Trend & Indicator Matrix Trend Trajectory: The market is in a HYPER-BULLISH 🚀 phase. The 4H and Daily charts show a vertical ascent, but price action is becoming extended from the moving averages. Relative Strength Index (RSI): Critical reading at 81.5 (Extreme Overbought). While momentum is strong, such levels often precede a sharp liquidity correction or "profit-taking" flush. Bollinger Bands: Price is "walking the bands" (Upper Deviation). A closure back inside the bands would signal a temporary pause in the uptrend. 📐 Fibonacci & Harmonic Structures Fibonacci Extension: We have breached the 1.618 extension. The next major algorithmic target aligns with the 2.618 extension at 4,085.00 . Harmonic Pattern: A Bearish Deep Crab is potentially forming. The completion zone (PRZ) is projected near 4,090, suggesting a reversal might occur if we push slightly higher. 🛡️ Key Liquidity & Pivot Levels Resistance 1: 4,085.00 (Fib Extension) Resistance 2: 4,100.00 (Psychological Barrier) Support 1: 4,020.00 (Previous Resistance Flip) Support 2: 3,980.00 (0.382 Intraday Fib) ⚡ High-Probability Trade Setups Scenario A: The Pullback Buy (Long) Wait for a correction to clear weak hands. Entry: 4,020.00 - 4,025.00 Target: 4,080.00 Stop Loss: 3,995.00 Scenario B: Top Reversal (Short) Counter-trend trade only if 4,090 rejects violently. Entry: Below 4,075.00 (after rejection) Target: 4,020.00 Stop Loss: 4,105.00 ⚠️ System Outlook: The trend is your friend, but gravity is calling. Expect a push to 4,085 before any significant correction. We favor Scenario A (Buying Dips) over trying to pick the exact top. 🏆📉
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by sunya
XAUUSD | Prices Await Catalyst from NFPGold Price Technical Analysis (XAU/USD) 🛠️ Gold is currently trending downward (depreciating), but is expected to find strong support near key levels. 1. Bearish Scenario ⬇️ Initial Key Support: Any further decline is likely to find decent support near the 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), currently pegged around $4,018. Psychological Critical Point: The weekly low, just below the psychological $4,000 mark. Downside Target: A break below $4,000 could accelerate Gold's decline towards: - Support at $3,931. - Retesting the late-October low around $3,886. 2. Bullish Scenario ⬆️ Immediate Hurdle: The Asian session high around $4,110 could act as initial resistance. Upside Trigger: Continued buying beyond the overnight high, around $4,120, will be seen as a new trigger for bullish traders. Upside Target: A confirmed uptrend will lift Gold prices towards the next relevant hurdle near the $4,152-$4,155 region. Ultimate Goal: A further move above will pave the way for a recapture of the $4,200 round figure.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by NouzTrader
Brian here with the gold outlook for November 20th Good morning everyone, Brian here with the gold outlook for November 20th. The ABC correction phase of gold is nearly complete, and the market is preparing to enter a new wave phase amidst a flurry of USD data today. Fundamental Analysis Today's focus remains on the US labor data: NFP (or revisions), Unemployment Rate, and Initial Jobless Claims. If the data shows a cooling labor market, expectations for the Fed to soon pivot to a rate-cutting cycle will rise, weakening real yields, putting pressure on the USD, and supporting gold prices. Conversely, "too good" data will strengthen the dollar, allowing for a short-term repricing move, potentially dragging gold down to lower liquidity zones before recovering. US session liquidity may be thin before the news release, making it prone to spikes due to algorithms and large flows simultaneously adjusting positions. Overall, the macro backdrop still favors "buying the dip" for gold, but you must accept strong volatility around news time. Technical Analysis On the chart, gold has completed an ABC corrective wave within a descending channel, part of a larger uptrend. The current descending channel only serves as a corrective leg after the previous upward wave; prices are trading above the "mean" area of the bullish structure, indicating the larger market structure remains bullish. Below is the liquidity zone / demand zone 4013–4015, coinciding with the previous low and the lower channel boundary – if there's another stop-hunt to this area, it is still considered an opportunity to join the upward move, as long as 4008 is not breached. Above, the 4086–4100 cluster is the decision zone: breaking and holding above here will confirm exiting the corrective channel, triggering an impulsive leg towards resistances 4132–4146 and further to 4187. In summary, the main bias remains bullish, prioritizing buy strategies at support zones or after breakout confirmation. Key Price Levels Resistance: 4086 – 4100 – 4110 – 4132 – 4146 Support: 4040 – 4030 – 4015 Trading Scenarios Buy Scenario 1 – Continuation Breakout Entry: 4086 SL: 4078 TP: 4100 – 4120 – 4140 Prioritize when price breaks up and retests 4086–4100 as a new support zone, confirming exit from the descending channel. Buy Scenario 2 – Deep Liquidity Sweep Entry: 4015–4013 SL: 4008 TP: 4030 – 4045 – 4070 Watch for strong price reactions at the demand zone, with pin bars or engulfing candles signaling order flow returning to buyers. Sell Scenario – Sell Reaction at Strong Resistance Entry: 4144–4146 SL: 4151 TP: 4132 – 4120 – 4100 Short-term sell strategy, leveraging the high supply zone if price rises straight up without sufficient accumulation. The medium-term upside target if the bullish wave develops as expected remains the 4187 area. What do you think of this scenario? Remember to follow Brian for daily gold insights and comment your views below to join the discussion.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
GOLD → Consolidation while awaiting the driverFX:XAUUSD is consolidating after a sharp decline. Bulls are consolidating above 4050. Important US data is ahead, including the employment report (NFP) on Thursday. Decrease in bets on Fed easing: The probability of a cut in December has fallen to 46% (from 67% a week ago) after cautious statements by Fed officials. However, we have not yet seen inflation and employment data, so the situation may change... The September NFP report will be released on Thursday after a 43-day hiatus. The market is waiting for clarity from the US data. Weak indicators (NFP, inflation) could bring back interest in gold, while strong data would strengthen the dollar and reinforce the correction. Gold is in the $4030–4100 range. A break above $4100 will require weak US data or unexpectedly dovish rhetoric from the Fed. The $4030–4045 level is key support. Resistance levels: 4097, 4110 Support levels: 4071, 4046, 4032 I think the market may remain in the current range while awaiting economic data or other drivers. A correction to support may form from resistance. It is important to monitor the levels from below; if the bulls keep the price above support during the correction, gold will be able to strengthen... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSD
by RLinda
7
Gold Reload Zone… Bulls Waiting Patiently!📈Gold remains overall bullish, respecting both its rising structure and the major support zones beneath current price. After breaking above the light-blue resistance area, XAUUSD is now pushing higher, but a pullback remains very likely before the next impulse. ⚔️On the upcoming retest of the blue structure zone and the rising trendline, we will be looking for trend-following longs. This area has acted as support multiple times and now aligns with the bullish context, making it a high-probability buy zone. 🏹As long as Gold remains above the red demand area and respects the rising structure, the next wave upward toward the 4,385 resistance remains the most likely scenario. Only a clean break below the red zone would weaken the bullish outlook. For now, patience is key… wait for the retest, then look for longs from structure. 🤔 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
TICKMILL:XAUUSDLong
by TheSignalyst
Gold price analysis November 18XAUUSD continues to be under downward pressure as the sellers have a clear advantage, pulling the price down to the support zone of 3933. The buyers' efforts to hold the price at the trendline are quite weak, indicating that this support structure is at risk of being penetrated and the market may extend its decline to lower areas. At this point, observing the price reaction at important support levels on the chart is the key factor to find a safe entry point. Preferred trading scenario: BUY when the market refuses to fall deeply and there is a clear reversal signal at the zone of 3973 - 3933. Target: immediate target towards 4104, further extension to 4203. Risk note: the uptrend will be invalidated if the H4 candle closes below 3933.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
1
XAUUSD – Intraday Liquidity BlueprintSmart Money Roadmap for November 18, 2025 🌐 MARKET CONTEXT Gold enters today’s session with compressed volatility after yesterday’s liquidity sweep near 4120. Momentum remains mixed as the market balances between strong USD flows and visible institutional accumulation zones below 4000. London Session: Expected engineered sweeps → fake premium push NY Session: High-probability expansion after liquidity collection Market Sentiment: Neutral-to-bearish, but significant buy-side liquidity sits below 4000, inviting deeper wicks Current price is positioned in the middle of a premium → discount rotation, meaning both long and short opportunities exist but only at well-defined Smart Money levels. 📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (SMC + LIQUIDITY) Market Structure (M30) Short-term structure: Lower High → Lower Low, confirming a bearish intraday trend Liquidity pools stack at: Above 4176–4178 (buy-side) Below 3991–3993 (sell-side) Beneath 3950 lies unmitigated demand and resting liquidity Imbalance / FVG Zones Premium imbalance near 4178 strengthens the sell setup Discount FVG around 3991 supports a sharp scalp reversal Major unmitigated OB sits at 3951–3949 🔱 KEY PRICE ZONES (M30) (Explained clearly and attractively using SMC logic) 🔺 4178–4176 – Premium Sell Zone (Major Supply) Why this zone matters: Strongest supply of the day Contains an M30 bearish Order Block + resting liquidity Ideal sweep level before a bearish reversal 👉 A classic Smart Money “stophunt → sell-off” zone. 🔺 4122–4120 – Internal Sell Scalping Zone Why this zone matters: Shallow internal supply Perfect for a London-session fake pump Sits above internal equal highs 👉 Designed for fast intraday scalps. 🔻 3993–3991 – Buy Scalping Zone (Shallow Demand) Why this zone matters: Located below a liquidity cluster Aligns with OB + imbalance fill High probability for short-term rebounds 👉 Ideal for quick, reactive buy scalps. 🔻 3951–3949 – Major Buy Zone (Strong Demand Base) Why this zone matters: Fresh, untouched demand Deep discount location Multiple intraday lows resting beneath → liquidity magnet Highest-probability long setup of the day 👉 A premium-quality liquidity sweep zone for major reversals. ⚙️ TRADE SETUPS (M30) 🟥 SELL GOLD – Premium Rejection Setup Entry: 4178–4176 SL: 4184 TP1: 4150 TP2: 4125 TP3: 4070 Logic: Sweep buy-side liquidity → revert to discount. 🟥 SELL SCALP – Quick Intraday Reversal Entry: 4122–4120 SL: 4129 TP1: 4108 TP2: 4092 Logic: London fakeout zone + internal supply mitigation. 🟩 BUY SCALP – Liquidity Sweep Rebound Entry: 3993–3991 SL: 3985 TP1: 4010 TP2: 4030 Logic: Short-term sell-side sweep → immediate bounce. 🟩 BUY GOLD – Deep Discount Reversal (Best Setup) Entry: 3951–3949 SL: 3944 TP1: 3985 TP2: 4020 TP3: 4070 Logic: Deep liquidity target Touching a major OB Highest-probability reversal zone of the entire day 🎯 SESSION NOTES & STRATEGY Avoid trading inside the 4030–4100 mid-range (no liquidity = low-quality trades) Only execute from the extremes: ✔ Above 4176 (premium) ✔ Below 3993 and 3950 (discount) Wait for confirmation: liquidity grab → BOS/CHOCH → mitigation entry NY session expected to deliver the main directional move 🏁 CONCLUSION Today’s XAUUSD playbook is clean and high-probability: ➡️ Sell from premium zones: 4178–4176 & 4122–4120 ➡️ Buy from deep discount: 3991–3993 & 3949–3951 These levels align strongly with Smart Money liquidity behavior and offer both scalp and high-quality swing entries.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Alicee_Trader
11
Gold prices continue to fall around 4000⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold (XAU/USD) rebounds toward $4,105 in early European trading on Friday, breaking a two-day losing streak as a softer US Dollar lends support. Traders now look to upcoming Fed remarks from Williams, Jefferson, Kashkari, and Waller for further direction. Improved risk sentiment following the US government’s reopening has weighed on safe-haven demand. The shutdown ended after President Trump signed a funding bill last week, allowing federal employees to return to work after the 43-day closure ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold price continues to accumulate - short-term correction downtrend below 4145 ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4144 - 4146 SL 4151 TP1: $4130 TP2: $4115 TP3: $4100 🔥BUY GOLD zone: 4006 - 4004 SL 3999 TP1: $4018 TP2: $4030 TP3: $4045 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
1
XAU/USD Turning Point: Resistance Test & Downside TargetsPrice at Major Resistance Zone (4075–4095) Your chart shows gold pushing into a strong resistance block, which has already caused previous rejections. This zone is stacked with: Multiple horizontal resistance lines Previous swing highs A rising channel touch This area represents high selling pressure. 2️⃣ Rising Channel (Short-Term Bullish Structure) Price has climbed inside a yellow ascending channel, but it is now: Testing the channel top Losing bullish momentum Showing early rejection wicks This suggests the upside is limited unless price breaks above 4095–4105 with a strong impulsive candle. 3️⃣ Rejection Signals You marked red dots at key rejection points. Price is reacting similarly again near the resistance zone. This increases probability of: ➡️ A pullback toward channel midline ➡️ Or a complete channel breakdown 4️⃣ Support Levels to Watch If selling pressure increases, potential targets: 4060–4055 → First intraday support 4045–4038 → Strong support zone 4000–3985 → Major bearish target (dotted projection) 5️⃣ Bearish Scenario (Higher Probability Now) If price fails to break above 4095–4105, expect: 📉 Reversal from the resistance block → channel breakdown → move toward 4038 and possibly 4000. 6️⃣ Bullish Continuation Scenario (Low Probability) Bullish continuation only activates if: ✔️ Strong breakout above 4105 ✔️ Retest holds as support If so, next resistance is around 4120–4140. 📌 SUMMARY Price is at a critical resistance. Rejection patterns + channel top = probability of downward reversal is high. Watch 4060 → 4045 → 4000 as the next supports. CME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:ES1! COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! CBOT_MINI:YM1! CME:BTC1! NSEIX:NIFTY1! CME_MINI:RTY1! COMEX:SI1! NYMEX:PL1! COMEX:HG1! TFEX:S501! Bullish continuation only if price breaks 4105 with strength. If you want, I can also generate: ✅ Sell signal in your requested languages or ✅ Full multi-language trading plan
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by MR_NARCOS_ANALYSIS