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GOLD RUSH 2025: XAUUSD Hyper-Growth Technical Forecast Asset: XAUUSD (Gold Spot) Current Price: 4,051.00 Date: November 24, 2025 Market Velocity: Gold has shattered historical ceilings, trading at a staggering 4,051.00. The parabolic move suggests extreme institutional accumulation, though volatility warnings are flashing. 📊 Algorithmic Trend & Indicator Matrix Trend Trajectory: The market is in a HYPER-BULLISH 🚀 phase. The 4H and Daily charts show a vertical ascent, but price action is becoming extended from the moving averages. Relative Strength Index (RSI): Critical reading at 81.5 (Extreme Overbought). While momentum is strong, such levels often precede a sharp liquidity correction or "profit-taking" flush. Bollinger Bands: Price is "walking the bands" (Upper Deviation). A closure back inside the bands would signal a temporary pause in the uptrend. 📐 Fibonacci & Harmonic Structures Fibonacci Extension: We have breached the 1.618 extension. The next major algorithmic target aligns with the 2.618 extension at 4,085.00 . Harmonic Pattern: A Bearish Deep Crab is potentially forming. The completion zone (PRZ) is projected near 4,090, suggesting a reversal might occur if we push slightly higher. 🛡️ Key Liquidity & Pivot Levels Resistance 1: 4,085.00 (Fib Extension) Resistance 2: 4,100.00 (Psychological Barrier) Support 1: 4,020.00 (Previous Resistance Flip) Support 2: 3,980.00 (0.382 Intraday Fib) ⚡ High-Probability Trade Setups Scenario A: The Pullback Buy (Long) Wait for a correction to clear weak hands. Entry: 4,020.00 - 4,025.00 Target: 4,080.00 Stop Loss: 3,995.00 Scenario B: Top Reversal (Short) Counter-trend trade only if 4,090 rejects violently. Entry: Below 4,075.00 (after rejection) Target: 4,020.00 Stop Loss: 4,105.00 ⚠️ System Outlook: The trend is your friend, but gravity is calling. Expect a push to 4,085 before any significant correction. We favor Scenario A (Buying Dips) over trying to pick the exact top. 🏆📉
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by sunya
GOLD $GC Levels and Patterns AnalysisTraders and Investors, Gold (XAUUSD) has been consolidating mostly but still has been giving a lot of great short term and swing trade opportunities. I have updated the important levels and zones which can act as support and resistance. They should guide us a bit for the best possible trade opportunities. There as possible W pattern forming. It has not formed or completed yet. It must first break the trend line and confirm the break. BTW, that trend line can also give us a good opportunities around it. Next, the price has to break the mid point of potential W pattern. Once it has done that, it can complete the W pattern. Trade what you see, wait for the confirmations and manage the risk as always. Follow for more. Please support this analysis by liking, commenting, and sharing with friends, colleagues, traders, and trading communities. Thanks👍🙂
TVC:GOLD
by vikinsa
1
GOLD UNDER PRESSURE - NFP DAY! 💰 GOLD UNDER PRESSURE - NFP DAY! ⚠️ Current Price: $4,066 - $4,078 🔴 Opening Price: $4,078 Today's Range: $4,042 - $4,110 Yesterday: Trimmed gains after hitting $4,132 Monthly Performance: -4.29% ❌ Status: 🔴 BEARISH - CRITICAL NFP DAY 🚨 TODAY - SEPTEMBER NFP REPORT! 📊 THE MOST IMPORTANT DATA RELEASE! First jobs report since government shutdown. This will move gold MASSIVELY! What's Happening: ❗ September NFP Today - First post-shutdown jobs data (8:30 AM ET) ❗ FOMC Minutes Yesterday - No major surprises, cautious tone ❗ Gold Trimming Gains - Fell from $4,132 to $4,066 ❗ Dollar Strengthening - DXY above 99.50, pressuring gold ❗ December Rate Cut Odds - Dropped to 46.6% (from 62.9% last week) ❗ Risk-Off Mood - But not helping gold due to strong USD 📊 NFP EXPECTATIONS & IMPACT Forecast: Nonfarm Payrolls: +50,000 (vs +22,000 in August) Unemployment Rate: 4.3% (unchanged) Average Hourly Earnings: Key inflation indicator How NFP Affects Gold: Strong NFP (>50K) = GOLD DOWN 🔴 Fed less likely to cut rates Dollar strengthens Gold typically drops 30-50+ pips Weak NFP (<50K) = GOLD UP 🟢 Fed more likely to cut rates Dollar weakens Gold typically rallies 40-60+ pips In-Line NFP (~50K) = CHOPPY ⚪ Mixed reaction Depends on other components (wages, unemployment) 📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Market Structure: BEARISH 🔴🔴 Gold failed to break above $4,112 resistance yesterday despite FOMC. Now trading below key support. Bears have control short-term. Key Development: Gold trimmed earlier gains, trading around $4,090, easing from intraday high near $4,132. Bulls tested $4,112 resistance but failed. Critical Support Levels (Under Attack!) 🔵 Support 1: $4,065 - $4,075 (Current fight zone) Support 2: $4,042 - $4,050 (Today's low - Critical) Support 3: $4,000 - $4,005 (Psychological - Major) Support 4: $3,987 - $4,002 (November open) Support 5: $3,965 (November 6 low) Key Resistance Levels (Recovery barriers) 🔴 Resistance 1: $4,090 - $4,100 (Immediate ceiling) Resistance 2: $4,112 - $4,120 (20-day SMA - Strong) Resistance 3: $4,140 - $4,150 (Major barrier) Resistance 4: $4,170 - $4,212 (Last week's range) 📈 TECHNICAL INDICATORS RSI (14): 46 (Bearish - Neutral zone but trending down) 📉 RSI (4H): 46 (Neutral-to-bearish tone) MACD: Momentum indicator turned lower below midline ❌ Moving Averages: Price below 20-SMA ($4,080) 🔴 20-SMA acting as resistance ❌ 100-SMA and 200-SMA still below (long-term bullish) ✅ Pattern: Broader SMA configuration points to consolidative bias Volume: Above average - Institutional positioning for NFP 🎯 TODAY'S TRADING STRATEGIES SCENARIO 1: WEAK NFP 🟢 (40% Probability) IF NFP < 50K (Weaker than expected): Fed rate cut odds increase → Dollar falls → Gold RALLIES! LONG Setup: Entry: Immediate spike after NFP (within 5 min) Targets: TP1: $4,100 📍 (+30 pips) TP2: $4,120 📍 (+50 pips) TP3: $4,150 📍 (+80 pips) Stop Loss: $4,040 (Tight - move to breakeven fast!) Risk/Reward: 1:2+ ratio ✅ SCENARIO 2: STRONG NFP 🔴 (45% Probability) IF NFP > 50K (Stronger than expected): Fed stays hawkish → Dollar strengthens → Gold DROPS! SHORT Setup: Entry: Immediate drop after NFP Targets: TP1: $4,042 📍 (-25 pips) TP2: $4,000 📍 (-65 pips) TP3: $3,987 📍 (-80 pips) Stop Loss: $4,095 ⚠️ WARNING: Fast-moving market - use tight stops! SCENARIO 3: IN-LINE NFP ⚪ (15% Probability) IF NFP ~50K (As expected): Strategy: WAIT for Clear Direction First 15-30 min will be CHOPPY Look at other components (wages, unemployment) Trade the SECOND move after dust settles Direction depends on market interpretation 💎 NFP TRADING PLAN (Step-by-Step) BEFORE NFP (Now until 8:30 AM ET): ✅ Close ALL positions or set VERY wide stops ✅ Reduce position size to 50% of normal ✅ Set alerts at $4,100 and $4,040 ✅ Be ready - Have orders prepared but NOT placed ✅ Stay calm - Don't panic trade! DURING NFP (8:30-8:35 AM ET): ⏰ Read the number - Higher or lower than 50K? 👀 Watch initial reaction - Which way is it moving? ⚠️ Wait 2-3 minutes - Let fake moves clear 🎯 Confirm direction - Is it continuing or reversing? AFTER NFP (8:35+ AM ET): ✅ Enter ONLY if direction is clear ✅ Use smaller positions - Volatility extreme! ✅ Move SL to breakeven after +20 pips ✅ Take partial profits at each target ✅ Trail your stop - Protect profits! 🌍 FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS YESTERDAY'S FOMC MINUTES: Cautious tone but no major surprises Focused on data-dependent approach Concerns about post-shutdown economic weakness No clear signal on December cut Market Reaction: Muted - Gold initially spiked to $4,132 then fell back TODAY'S NFP - WHAT MATTERS: Most Important: Headline NFP Number (+50K expected) Unemployment Rate (4.3% expected) Average Hourly Earnings (inflation signal) Why This NFP is Special: First data since 43-day shutdown May show shutdown impact on economy Will heavily influence December Fed decision Could reset market expectations entirely BULLISH FACTORS ⬆️ ✅ Weak Jobs Data Expected - Shutdown impact likely ✅ Government Concerns - Economic weakness possible ✅ Analysts still predict gold may reach $4,456-$4,509 end November ✅ Central banks targeting 750-900 tonnes purchases 2025 ✅ If NFP weak → Rate cut odds rise → Gold up BEARISH RISKS ⬇️ ⚠️ Strong Dollar - DXY above 99.50 and strengthening ⚠️ December Cut Odds Low - Only 46.6% now ⚠️ Failed $4,112 Break - Bears defending ⚠️ Technical Weakness - Below 20-SMA ⚠️ If NFP strong → Rate cut odds fall → Gold down 🔥 MARKET SENTIMENT: EXTREMELY CAUTIOUS Pre-NFP Positioning: Traders are: Closing longs ahead of NFP Waiting on sidelines Expecting big volatility USD bulls positioning for strength Analyst Views: Gold may stay pressured near $4,078 unless it reclaims $4,112-$4,140 Post-NFP Targets: Weak NFP: $4,150-$4,200 Strong NFP: $4,000-$3,965 💡 PROFESSIONAL GAME PLAN For DAY TRADERS: ⚡ DO NOT TRADE 30 MIN BEFORE NFP! Close all positions by 8:00 AM ET Wait for NFP release at 8:30 AM ET Let first 2-3 min settle Trade the confirmed direction Use TIGHT stops (20-30 pips max) Take quick profits For SWING TRADERS: 📊 Today Decides the Week! IF weak NFP → Go LONG for $4,150-$4,200 (hold 3-5 days) IF strong NFP → Stay FLAT or SHORT to $4,000 This data will set trend for rest of November For LONG-TERM INVESTORS: 💎 Patience! IF gold drops to $3,950-$4,000 after strong NFP → BUY IF gold rallies on weak NFP → Wait for next dip Long-term target still $4,500+ (2026) 📅 TODAY'S TIMELINE Pre-Market: Consolidation $4,065-$4,080 (nervous calm) 8:30 AM ET: NFP RELEASE 🔥🔥🔥 8:30-8:45 AM: EXTREME volatility (100+ pip moves possible!) 9:00 AM-12:00 PM: Direction confirmed, follow-through Afternoon: Profit-taking, position adjustments 🎬 BOTTOM LINE (TL;DR) Price: $4,066-$4,078 (Weak) Event: NFP TODAY 8:30 AM ET Bias: NEUTRAL until NFP (Then clear!) Strategy: WAIT for NFP, trade the reaction Risk Level: EXTREME (Highest this month!) 🔔 NFP CHEAT SHEET Strong NFP (>60K): Gold → $4,000-$4,042 🔴 Action: SHORT or stay flat Expected NFP (~50K): Gold → Choppy $4,050-$4,100 ⚪ Action: Wait for secondary move Weak NFP (<40K): Gold → $4,120-$4,150+ 🟢 Action: LONG aggressively Remember: First move can be fake! Wait for confirmation! 📊 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK Trend: ⚠️ BULLISH (Long-term) but BEARISH (Short-term) Momentum: WEAK - Bears in control 🔴 Support: TESTING at $4,065-$4,075 ⚠️ Resistance: STRONG at $4,090-$4,112 🚧 Pattern: Failed breakout + Rejection at 20-SMA Today's Outcome: NFP decides EVERYTHING! ⚠️ RISK MANAGEMENT - NFP DAY! ✅ TINY Positions - Risk MAX 0.5% (Extreme volatility!) ✅ WIDE Stops - 40-50+ pips (Initial spikes huge) ✅ Quick Profits - Lock gains FAST (Market can reverse) ✅ NO Predictions - REACT to data, don't guess ✅ Breakeven Fast - Move SL to BE after +20 pips ✅ Accept Losses - If wrong, exit and wait 🎯 SWING TRADE SETUP (Post-NFP) Setup A - Weak NFP Rally: Entry: $4,080-$4,090 (after weak NFP confirmed) Target 1: $4,150 (Hold 2-3 days) Target 2: $4,200 (Hold 5-7 days) Stop Loss: $4,050 Setup B - Strong NFP Drop: Entry: $4,050-$4,060 (after strong NFP confirmed) Target 1: $4,000 (Hold 1-2 days) Target 2: $3,965 (Hold 3-5 days) Stop Loss: $4,085 🏆 NFP TRADING WISDOM Historical Patterns: Initial spike often REVERSES within 15 min True direction emerges after 30-60 min Average NFP move: 60-100 pips in first hour Gold inversely correlated with NFP surprises What Professional Traders Do: Close positions before NFP Wait for initial volatility to settle Trade the SECOND move (more reliable) Use smaller size than normal Move to breakeven quickly Don't fight the trend after NFP 🔮 FORECAST If Weak NFP: Today: Rally to $4,120-$4,150 Friday: Consolidate gains Next Week: Push to $4,200+ If Strong NFP: Today: Drop to $4,000-$4,042 Friday: Test support Next Week: Range $4,000-$4,100 If In-Line NFP: Today: Chop $4,050-$4,100 Friday: Direction unclear Next Week: Wait for more data 🚨 CRITICAL NFP REMINDERS ⚠️ BIGGEST VOLATILITY DAY - Expect 100+ pip swings! ⚠️ First Move Often FAKE - Don't chase immediately ⚠️ Slippage is HUGE - Market orders dangerous ⚠️ Spreads WIDEN - Costs increase dramatically ⚠️ News Can Leak - Sometimes moves before 8:30 ⚠️ Other Components Matter - Not just headline NFP ⚠️ Revisions Count - Previous months often revised 📊 SUPPORT/RESISTANCE SUMMARY Critical Support: $4,042, $4,000 (Must hold!) Strong Support: $4,065, $4,050 Weak Resistance: $4,090, $4,100 Strong Resistance: $4,112, $4,120, $4,150 NFP Breakout Up: $4,112 (Bulls win) NFP Breakdown Down: $4,042 (Bears win) ⚠️ FINAL DISCLAIMER Today is THE most volatile and dangerous trading day this month. NFP releases cause extreme price swings, false breakouts, stop hunting, and massive slippage. This analysis is for educational purposes only. NEVER trade the first minute after NFP. Use position sizes 50% smaller than normal. Always use stop losses. Be prepared to lose on this trade - even professionals get whipsawed. The market can gap through your stops. Past NFP reactions don't guarantee future results. If you're not experienced with NFP trading, STAY FLAT today. Consult a licensed financial advisor before trading. 📱 MOST DANGEROUS DAY! 💬 NFP at 8:30 AM ET 🔔 100+ pip moves expected ⚡ DON'T GUESS - REACT! 🙏 Trade safe or don't trade! #Gold #XAUUSD #NFP #NonFarmPayrolls #ForexTrading #JobsReport #HighVolatility #RiskManagement #DayTrading #EventTrading #FOMCMinutes #MarketAnalysis #CriticalData #TradingSafety
TVC:GOLD
by AthensBySahan
Gold Short-Term Technical Analysis (November 21st)With the release of the hawkish minutes from the Federal Reserve, the US dollar index climbed back above 100, suppressing gold prices. Yesterday, gold rebounded after testing a low near 4055 in the US session, then rallied slightly to around 4110 in the early morning before weakening again. In the Asian session, it broke lower, briefly touching around 4040. During the European session, it fell again, touching 4038 before stabilizing and rebounding. It has repeatedly tested the support around 4040 without breaking it, and is currently fluctuating. 11/22 Gold Short-Term Trading Strategy Sell gold near 4085, with a stop-loss at 4095, targeting below 4070/60. Buy gold near 4044/5f, with a stop-loss at 4034, targeting 4070/80.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AnalystDavid_
1
Gold – Outperforming During Market UncertaintyThe price of Gold has wobbled at times this week under the pressure of a period of broad-based risk aversion that can at times force traders to unwind popular positions to balance their portfolios, but it hasn’t yet buckled! In fact, after opening on Monday around 4080 and initially selling off with global stock indices and crypto currencies to a low of 3998 early on Tuesday morning, Gold briefly recovered to touch a high of 4132 on Wednesday before moving back down to trade closer to opening levels around 4075 (0630 GMT) Part of the resilience of Gold could be long term investors and central banks buying the dip as a diversification away from the dollar as their main safe haven asset, but it could also be down to an unstable global growth outlook, with the US and Chinese economies at potential crucial inflection points, concerns about financial risks in the private credit sector, as well as on-going geo-political uncertainty. However, Gold’s resilience may be about to face a sterner challenge of a surging US dollar. Overnight, while stronger than expected Q3 earnings and sales forecasts from NVIDIA have helped stabilise risk sentiment in the short term, the Federal Reserve minutes of their October rate meeting showed that Fed officials were leaning towards keeping rates unchanged for the rest of the year. As a rule, a lower interest rate environment is supportive of Gold prices as it is a non-interest-bearing asset and vice versa. Not only that, this hawkish tilt from the Fed minutes has seen the US dollar rally, a move that can also weigh on Gold which is priced in dollars, as it makes it more expensive for foreign investors. Further US dollar strength could be an area of concern moving into the release of the delayed September Non-farm payrolls report later today at 1330 GMT. This data may provide traders with more clarity about how quickly the US labour market is slowing, with an increased potential for greater swings in Gold prices as traders readjust positions for what the data could mean for the prospects of future Federal Reserve policy and the US dollar. Gold Technical Update: Is This April to July 2025 All Over Again? Gold hit an all‑time high of 4381 in October, but since then price action has been choppy, with a sharp 11.25% two‑week sell‑off into the recent lows. This kind of consolidation can often follow strong acceleration phases, raising the question of whether the popular metal is now entering a similar corrective pattern to the one seen between April and July 2025, when repeated swings and sideways trading dominated price action. Between April and July 2025, Gold surged to a high of 3500, before a sharp 11% sell‑off took price down to the 3120 May low. From there, the market shifted into a sideways consolidation phase, unwinding the earlier upside price overextension. This pause allowed the Bollinger mid‑average to ‘catch up’ with price, providing a support base. Once the average was tested, fresh price strength emerged to resume the broader uptrend. It’s worth stressing that while Gold consolidated between April and July, there’s no certainty the same pattern will repeat now. What history does show is that consolidation phases often act to unwind both upside and downside extremes, and that risk could be present in Gold over the coming days, weeks, or even months, as the market digests the recent volatility. Possible Shorter Term Support /Resistance Over Payrolls: While longer‑term risks point to possible consolidation, the short‑term focus in Gold is could be shaped by today’s September Payrolls release. This event could trigger price volatility, making it important to track daily support and resistance levels. Traders may be monitoring how price reacts around these key levels, as they may define the immediate directional bias. Potential Support Levels: The latest price weakness from the 4245 November 13th high has so far found support at the daily Bollinger mid‑average, currently at 4042. This level appears to be helping stabilise price activity and even seeing signs of recovery, keeping it as an important short‑term reference point. With the 4042-level established as the first potential support on Thursday, it may be monitored if weakness develops. A break below 4042 could open scope for further declines toward 3998, the November 18th low, and potentially to 3887, which is the October 28th low. b]Potential Resistance Levels: With a rally emerging from the support at 4042, traders could now be monitoring the November 13th high at 4245 as the first resistance. Since selling pressure has recently capped strength at this level, a closing break above 4245 may be needed to suggest further attempts at upside momentum. A break above 4245 might lead to renewed strength, with the focus then possibly shifting toward the October 20th all‑time high at 4381 as the next key resistance level. Today’s payrolls release could see increased short‑term price volatility, bringing daily support and resistance levels into focus. However, unless the data provides a clear directional signal, the broader risk backdrop could suggest Gold continues its consolidation, unwinding the recent over‑extended upside conditions further. The material provided here has not been prepared accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by Pepperstone
GOLD / FORECASTGold trading between a clearly defined support zone and an overhead resistance zone. Price is currently pulling back toward the support trendlines, suggesting a potential bullish rebound. If buyers hold this zone, the market may rally toward the highlighted resistance area, where further reaction is expected.” If the price respect and Growth momentum start we could see a next resistance 4100 to 4150, "Thank you for your support! If you found this idea valuable or learned something new, please consider liking and leaving a comment. I’d really appreciate hearing your feedback and thoughts.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Pintu_sahu01
Gold Strategy 11/18: Break this Points gold will more FALL📝 GOLD TRADING PLAN – Nov 18 1. Market Context Price is moving around 4030–4040 after a bearish BMS break. Main structure: corrective bounce within a broader liquidity-seeking environment. Expectation: liquidity sweep → reaction → directional move. 2. Key Trading Zones (from chart) 🔽 BUY ZONES Primary Buy Zone 3982 – 3980 → SL: 3977 Strong confluence (trendline + OB + support). Deep Buy Zone 3927 – 3920 (OB zone) → SL below 3920 Only active if price sweeps below 3980 and continues lower. 🔼 SELL ZONE Primary Sell Zone 4056 – 4058 → SL: 4061 Strong confluence: FVG + resistance + liquidity sweep zone. Sell Targets TP1: 4000 TP2: 3980 TP3: 3930 (only if heavy news-driven volatility) 3. Expected Price Scenarios Scenario 1 – Most Probable 🔹 Price retests trendline → minor bounce → pushes into 4056–4058 🔹 Sell from that zone → target 4000 → 3980 Scenario 2 – Secondary 🔹 Price drops first → reaches 3982–3980 🔹 Look for bullish reaction → Buy → retest 4040–4050 Scenario 3 – High-volatility Move (News Impact) 🔹 If price breaks below 3980 decisively → drops toward 3927–3920 🔹 Strong Buy zone → expect reversal back into 4000–4030 4. News Impact – Nov 18 High-impact events today: FED speakers: Waller, Barr, Barkin (10:00pm–11:00pm) → Strong volatility expected on gold. President Trump Speaks – 6:00am USD Housing Starts – 8:15pm 🔔 Notes: Avoid large positions before major speeches. Keep SL tight; gold reacts aggressively to USD news.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Linda_OneShotTrader
11
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 11/20/2025Gold yesterday did rise from 4055 and went as high as 4132. But in US session, it quickly dropped to Asian lows and closed the day in a slight green candle. This sharp drop made me hesitate to buy at this moment. There is possibility of trend reversal in medium term. Therefore, I am monitoring closely at the 4050 level. If this levels holds, price could go up further to 4132 again and even to 4180. If this level fails to hold, gold could go down to 4000 or even lower price.
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by SteadyFund
Gold Nearing the 50% Black Channel Level – Will It Reject or AvoXAUUSD – Gold Technical Update Gold is moving closer to the 50% midpoint of the main black channel, a key level highlighted in the latest weekly analysis. This zone has previously acted as a strong reaction point, and the market is now approaching it once again. Key Scenarios: 📉 Bearish Scenario: If gold continues downward and breaks below the 50% level of the black channel, this could trigger a deeper correction and open the way toward lower channel targets. 📈 Bullish Scenario: If gold fails to reach the 50% level and reverses early, or if it touches the level and bounces strongly, a bullish reaction may form, leading to upward continuation. This area is the decision point: Rejection → Potential bullish move or Break → Possible bearish continuation Further updates will be posted once price confirms direction.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Kin99old
2
XAU/USD: Bearish Reaction Builds Below 4,130 ResistanceXAU/USD is approaching the edge of the resistance zone after a rebound from the $4,000 support area. Price remains within a wider consolidation, reacting to both the downward trendline and mid-range resistance. If the market stays capped below 4,130, a drop toward 4,045 is likely as sellers regain short-term control. The overall pattern suggests a compressing structure, where bearish reactions within resistance zones continue to dominate. ❗️ Risks: – Breakout above 4,130 could target 4,245, invalidating the bearish case. – FOMC or macro news could push gold sharply higher. – Failure to hold below mid-range may cause sideways drift instead of a clean drop.
CITYINDEX:XAUUSDShort
by RTED_Investing
GOLD I Weekly CLS I Model 2 - Target 50% I Eventually ATH...Hi friends, new range created. As always we are looking for the manipulation in to the key level around the range. Don't forget confirmation switch from manipulation phase to the distribution phase to make the setup valid. Stay patient and enter only after change in order flow. If price reaches 50% of the range take partial or full close. 📌 HTF - Higher Timeframe view 🧩 Complete proces and Strategy explained 👇 Click Below 🎯 Why your market approach also should be mechanical ? NO Fixed Mechanical Trading Logic - You are guessing random patterns NO Defined trading plan - Every trade different logic NO Same logic in each trade - Not possible to backtest NO Backtests on at least 300 trades - Not knowing Statistics ➡️ No Statistics ➡️ No Edge ➡️ Mindset ProblemS 🧠 Core of mindset problems If you don't know your statistics on large enough data sample. You don't know your probabilities of win rate once the losing streak happen and it happens to every strategy. You will start doubting, hesitating to take next trade because you don't know statistics of your losses. In the end you will be doubting strategy and then jump to different one. You will be in the endless loop for years, looking for new better strategy. 👊 Your ultimate goal as a trader is not to be a generalist who knows 10 000 patterns. But rather create one system with narrowed criteria of each element of the trade to remove subjective and emotional decisions as much as possible and stick to this system no matter what. Practice it 10 000 times become a MASTER. ✨ Trading Mastery is reflection of your life Have a longterm plan, No Alcohol & Drugs, Ignore others, Focus on your journey , Backtest regularly, Review your weeks, Journal mistakes, Exercise, Sleep well, Read books, Walks in nature (no phone) , Meditate, Reduce social media time, Spend time with family, Live Life. Trading is hard, but not impossible. I believe in you 💪 David Perk aka Dave Fx Hunter
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by David_Perk
31