gold weekly forecast 17_21Nov📈GOLD Technical Forecast (17–21 Nov)
Given your chart (which shows a bullish trendline and projected targets):
Support Zone: Around $4,020–$4,030, aligning with both the trendline on your chart and external analysis.
Short-Term Resistance: Around $4,145 (your “TP1”), and possibly a supply zone.
Higher Target: If gold rebounds strongly, it could test $4,240+ (similar to your “TP2” on the chart).
Base Case Scenario (Bullish):
Price dips toward your trendline/support (~$4,020–$4,030)
Buyers step in → rebound toward $4,145
If momentum is strong and rate-cut hopes are reinforced → further upside into the $4,200–$4,240 area
Alternate (Bearish) Scenario:
If gold breaks convincingly below $4,020
That could open a drop toward $3,940–$3,950 (some analysts cite similar downside risk)
FXEmpire
But this bearish risk may be limited unless macro surprises or Fed turns more
Trade ideas
FOMC Drama, XAU Comedy. Gold Has Its Own Script.Imagine the coming week…
Everything is moving kind of “normal” 😴… until we hit the big event:
👉 WEDNESDAY NIGHT — FOMC MINUTES.
🎭 SCENE ONE: BEFORE THE STORM
------------------------------
Tuesday night / Wednesday morning:
Gold is sitting just above 4,000…
Not mooning 🚀, not crashing 💥…
The whole market feels there’s a “verbal exam” coming from the Fed, but nobody knows the question yet 😅.
• Big funds (Smart Money):
– Some are lightly positioned,
– Others are flat on the sidelines,
– Nobody wants to go full degen size before reading the minutes 🙃.
• On your XAUMO chart:
– Below you: **Uploading Zone** around 4,00x – 4,05x
– Above you: **Offloading Zone** around 4,18x – 4,21x
– Price is stuck in between… exactly in the “middle of the sofa” 🛋️.
Retail traders on social media:
– “Gold is going 4,300 EASY bro” 🤡
– “No, it’s going back to 3,900, you’re all doomed” 😱
But the one who will actually settle this fight is NOT them… it’s the Fed 😏.
Time passes… we arrive at Wednesday:
🎬 SCENE TWO: THE DOOR OPENS — MINUTES DROPPED
----------------------------------------------
Around 9:00 p.m. Cairo time…
News screen flashes: **FOMC MINUTES RELEASED** 📜.
In one second:
• 10-year Treasury yields move hard:
– Either they drop fast,
– Or they rip up.
• Dollar index (DXY):
– Either breaks the day’s low,
– Or does a nice little spike-up flex 💪.
And here the **gold** story starts:
1️⃣ If the minutes are **DOVISH**
(Fed more scared of weak growth than of inflation):
– Yields start dropping,
– Dollar cools down and pulls back,
– Stocks grab some air and try to rally.
Gold?
→ First few seconds: pure noise… wick games 🎯.
Then:
• Big green candle pops on the chart,
• Volume jumps,
• Delta turns positive (people smashing the Ask like there’s a sale on gold 😂).
On the XAUMO map:
– 4,04x – 4,06x becomes **real Uploading**,
– A bullish MegaBar launches from there and drags us to mid-range 4,12x – 4,14x,
– A few sessions later we might re-test 4,18x – 4,20x again.
The story:
“Markets hear: Fed won’t murder the economy (yet) 🥲.
So some money sneaks out of the dollar and high yields…
and quietly slides into gold.”
2️⃣ If the minutes are **HAWKISH**
(Fed still frowning at inflation 😠):
– Yields rise or at least refuse to fall,
– Dollar tightens up and pushes higher,
– Equities get stressed.
Gold?
→ Maybe a spike up/down in the first minute (stop hunt classic 😏),
but then:
• Wider red candles,
• Negative delta (aggressive selling at Bid),
• Price abandons the upper edge of the range and walks down.
On XAUMO:
– 4,18x – 4,21x is confirmed as a **true Offloading Zone**:
• Bearish Kill Bars at the top,
• High RVOL but move is DOWN.
– Market starts probing 4,10x – 4,08x… and if pressure keeps going,
it tests 4,02x – 4,00x.
Story here:
“Wall Street hears: no pampering, kids. Rates stay high until inflation taps out 💪.
So anyone holding gold just as a ‘rate hedge’ starts trimming.
Diamond hands suddenly become paper hands 😬.”
🎯 SCENE THREE: AFTER THE SMOKE — RESETTING THE STAGE
-----------------------------------------------------
Whether the minutes are dovish or hawkish…
The important part is NOT the first 5 minutes of drama…
It’s **what happens after the first wave**:
• If DOVISH:
– Does gold keep pushing after the spike?
→ Does it build candles ABOVE 4,12x – 4,14x and hold?
If YES → market believed the story and we have **Uploading from below** ✅.
• If HAWKISH:
– Does every little bounce get sold?
→ Every time we approach 4,16x – 4,18x, a big seller shows up?
If YES → that’s **real Offloading above**, and odds of visiting 4,00x get higher 🚨.
Now your turn:
As a XAUMO analyst you don’t care about the headline alone…
You care about:
– Where did yields go?
– What did DXY actually do?
– At which zone did gold flip: **Uploading** or **Offloading**?
📌 TWO-LINE TL;DR
-----------------
Wednesday is not “just another news release”…
It’s the day the Fed tells the market:
“Am I here to relax you… or keep squeezing you?” 😈
And gold answers instantly:
– If relaxed → puts on the safe-haven halo and rallies from accumulation zones 👼.
– If squeezed → takes off the halo and drops from distribution zones, hunting for new buyers below 😏.
Your real job is NOT to predict the script…
Your job is **to read the play correctly**:
– Who is the strong buyer?
– Who is the heavy seller?
– And does the curtain fall on a NEW LOW or a NEW HIGH?
All of this is **EDUCATIONAL ONLY** 📘 —
not a buy/sell signal,
and not a replacement for your own risk plan.
XAUUSD Strong Rejection From FVG, Watching for Long EntriesGold delivered a clean reaction from the Fair Value Gap (FVG), showing strong buyer interest at the discounted zone. Price also tapped into the Breaker Block, confirming that liquidity below the lows has already been swept.
With this reaction, short-term bullish momentum is building again.
🔍 Key Technical Points
• FVG filled perfectly, triggering an immediate bullish bounce.
• Liquidity sweep below previous lows shows sellers are exhausted.
• Price tapped into the Breaker Block, a strong reversal zone.
• Market has now shifted back above the short-term structure.
Buy Scenario
If price retests the small support zone highlighted on the chart, it may offer a clean continuation long setup.
📌 I will consider buy entries from the retest zone.
Targets remain toward the upper imbalance and recent highs.
🎯 Targets
• First target: Recovery to mid-range
• Main target: 4220+ area (as shown in your projection box)
🛑 Invalidation
A clean break below the FVG zone would invalidate the bullish setup.
XAUUSD Potential Reversal Zone & Bullish Channel Projection (45-1. Price Action Context
Gold (XAUUSD) has been in a short-term downtrend, shown by a sequence of lower highs and lower lows.
Price is currently trading around 4113 after a sharp drop.
2. Key Zone: RESISTANCE Turned SUPPORT
The highlighted red zone around 4081 – 4103 is marked as a major support / demand zone.
This appears to be a level where buyers are expected to step in.
The squiggly black arrows indicate a possible liquidity grab or fake breakout before the true move begins.
3. Projected Bullish Recovery
The gray vertical projection box and upward channel lines suggest the author expects:
A bounce from the 4081–4103 support
A move up through the channel
A potential target around 4220, which aligns with the upper boundary of the projected ascending channel.
4. Trend Channel
A rising channel has been plotted, projecting the potential direction over the next sessions.
Price bouncing inside the lower area of the channel suggests:
The down move might be ending
Momentum could shift toward a bullish correction or even a trend reversal
5. Key Levels Highlighted
Support zone:
4,081.888
4,103.142
Bullish target:
4,220.041
These levels are visually marked and consistent with a reversal strategy.
🧭 Overall Interpretation
This chart proposes a bullish reversal setup, with traders watching for:
A potential liquidity sweep at the support zone
A bounce and consolidation
A climb toward the upper channel area, with 4220 as a projected target
This is a counter-trend reversal idea, so confirmation would be crucial (rejection wicks, bullish candle structures, RSI turning up, etc.).
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Watching 4153 Support for Next MoveGold failed to break above 4234 resistance yesterday and pulled back to retest the 4153 pullback zone. Market structure has turned temporarily bearish, with price closing below the 50MA.
If the 4153 support holds and price manages to reclaim the 50MA, a retest of 4234 resistance is likely. A clean break above 4234 could open the way toward 4,285.
However, if selling pressure continues and 4153 gives way, we may see 4115 tested next. A break below the pullback zone could extend the decline toward the lower support area at
4074–4027, where buyers may look to re-enter.
📌Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
4197
4234
4285
4322
Support:
4153
4115
4074
4027
Gold Outlook | Smart Money Levels & Volatility Spike (Nov 14, 20OANDA:XAUUSD GOLD ANALYSIS - Smart Money Moves the Market Today
📅 Updated: November 14, 2025
🚀 Market Snapshot
Gold surges toward $4,200 as the U.S. shutdown disrupts key macro data and uncertainty boosts safe-haven flows.
The DXY slips to ~99.25, reflecting investor hesitation amid data blackout and Fed silence.
Macro Highlights:
* 🏛️ Shutdown freeze: October CPI/Jobs data postponed — volatility spikes expected on reopening.
* 🏦 Central Banks: +220t in Q3, +415t H1; China & Poland lead accumulation.
* 🌍 Geopolitics: U.S.–China tariff heat + Mideast tension = sustained risk premium.
* 💰 ETF Inflows: Heavy buying continues; gold reclaims post-ATH strength at $4,202 (+0.50%).
🧭 Smart Money Levels (Valid for Today)
🔴 Smart Money SELL ORDERS
$4,293 – $4,279
💣 ~$85M+ in institutional orders
→ Expect sharp rejection and high-volatility spikes.
🟠 Scalp SELL Area
$4,244 – $4,256
→ Ideal for quick fade setups with tight stops.
🟢 Smart Money BUY ORDERS
$4,080 – $4,104
💸 ~$50M+ in buy-side liquidity
→ Strong accumulation zone; expect bounce setups.
📍 These are high-probability institutional footprints for today’s session.
🔍 Macro Catalyst Outlook
* 🕒 CPI & Jobs Data: Still delayed → Expect “volatility bursts” when released.
* 🏦 FOMC (Dec): 25bps cut odds ~47%.
* 🌏 Geopolitical heat:
* Tariff escalation & Mideast risk = 🟢 Bullish
* Diplomatic cooling = 🔴 Pullback pressure
Bottom Line: Market remains headline-driven and liquidity-sensitive.
⚡ Technical Outlook — Bullish but Overstretched
* ✅ Break above $4,200 = continuation toward 4,250+
* ⚠️ RSI near 84 = expect volatility, not immediate reversal
* 🟩 Holding $4,180 = bullish continuation
* 🔻 Losing $4,180 = correction toward $4,150–$4,120
📌 Intraday Trade Levels (Nov 14, 2025)
🟢 Buy Zone: $4,180 – $4,200
→ Structural retest + central bank bids = strong support
🔴 Sell Zone: $4,230 – $4,250
→ Overbought liquidity pocket, short-term fade setup
→ Larger rejection expected around $4,244–$4,256
📈 Daily Range:
High: ~4,220
Low: ~4,190
Current: ~$4,202
🎯 Trade Plan — Simple & Tactical
* Buy Dips: 4,180–4,200 → Targets: 4,230 / 4,250
* Sell Fades: 4,244–4,256 → Short-term scalp
* Institutional Sell Wall: 4,279–4,293 → Major rejection zone
* Break & Hold Above 4,250: Target 4,300+
🧠 Final Take: Bulls in Control, Volatility Rising
Shutdown chaos, data blackout, and global risk keep gold bid on every dip.
Until $4,180 breaks, the bulls hold the advantage.
Trade the reaction — not the prediction.
Updated Gold AnalysisWith this price movement, it seems that many traders are currently holding long positions on gold.The market structure still looks bullish, and considering all the unusual news coming out these days, it’s natural to see strong reactions in the market.
Price was rejected from 4250 and is now pushing back upward. A range is likely to form in this area.
If you don’t have an open position and you want to trade gold, there are potential setups in the 15-minute timeframe.
XAUUSD (GOLD) is ready to sky rocket upwards!XAUUSD was in a short term downtrend for a few weeks but has now shown some clear bullish movements ahead. XAUUSD (Gold) has broken out of a downward trend channel that was acting as strong resistance, The price is very likely to head to the next resistance level which is marked as the take profit zone (green line). Time to buy!
Gold Trade Set Up Nov 13 2025Gold is overbought and has taken out all BSL besides ATH so if price can stay closed below this bearish 4h FVG and engulf this 1h candle i will look for sells down to lower SSL levels but if it fails to close below and continues to make HH.HL on the 1h and 15 i will look for buys to continue higher
GOLD · Fed - slightly less dovish to hawkish tone - Previous months CPI data showed no reduction, increased from 2.9% to 3%, therefor during Oct FOMC, Powell had less dovish to slightly hawkish tone, indicating that they would like to see inflation come close to their target before considering any future rate cuts, also mentioned they will be data dependant and will need to see certain indicators (inflation) improve before can consider rate cuts. Since they wouldn’t want inflation to get out of hand again. This means DOLLAR stays bullish due to US yields remain high hence less investor outflows.
· Trade War optimism - Trump met with Xi and signed deals bringing optimism to markets, therefor investors back to risk on mode hence sell demand for safe havens.
· US shutdown - The only thing stopping us from expecting more rapid sells is the US shutdown which is still causing investors to be cautious and not as risk on, hence markets ranging a lot.
· Market whales betting on Poor US data - we know from recent headline that larger institutions are betting on the fact that the Fed will continue rate cuts even once the US shutdown ends because they think that the data will come in weak hence the Fed will have no choice but to continue its rate cuts to improve economic activity , This is the primary factor in play at the moment and hence the rally in gold since Monday.
GOLD-
1. Continuation buys if break and retest above 4220, targeting closer to previous ATH's.
2. If price holds below 42000 KL, can see more ranging and potential corrections to the downside for sells trades down to 4150.
Watching 4150 to see how price reacts, if confirmations for retests can take buys with trend for upside continuation. If breaks below, can play sells to lower demand zones.
Nov 13, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential Opportunity📊 Analysis:
Bullish momentum remains strong — the main plan today is to buy pullbacks into support as long as the structure holds.
If price breaks below 4162, bearish momentum will start to strengthen.
Above 4200, the focus remains on buying dips into support;
below 4187, the bias shifts to selling rallies into resistance.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 4235 – Resistance
• 4219 – Resistance
• 4208–4212 – Resistance zone
• 4200 – Key resistance
• 4187 – Support
• 4181 – Support
• 4175 – Support
• 4170 – Support
• 4162 – Key support
📈 Intraday Strategy:
SELL: If price breaks below 4187 → target 4181, with further downside toward 4175, 4170, 4162
BUY: If price holds above 4200 → target 4207, with further upside toward 4212, 4219, 4225
Microstructure of Institutional Trading1. Understanding Market Microstructure
Market microstructure studies how trades occur, who participates, how prices are set, and what factors influence transaction costs. It looks beyond the macro view of supply and demand to examine the “plumbing” of the market — the trading venues, order types, intermediaries, and algorithms that connect buyers and sellers.
Key components of microstructure include:
Order types (limit, market, stop-loss, iceberg orders)
Trading venues (exchanges, dark pools, electronic communication networks)
Liquidity providers and takers
Transaction costs (explicit and implicit)
Price discovery (how information becomes reflected in prices)
Institutional investors must navigate this microstructure efficiently to minimize slippage (difference between expected and actual trade price) and transaction costs.
2. Characteristics of Institutional Trading
Institutional trading differs from retail trading in several ways:
Trade Size and Impact:
Institutions often trade in very large quantities, making their orders capable of moving market prices significantly. A single institutional order can absorb much of the market’s liquidity in a stock or derivative.
Execution Goals:
Their main objectives are to obtain the best price, minimize market impact, and maintain anonymity. To achieve this, they rely on sophisticated execution strategies and algorithmic trading systems.
Time Horizon:
Institutions may operate over longer horizons (e.g., portfolio rebalancing) or shorter ones (e.g., hedge fund arbitrage). Their strategies depend on their mandates—active funds seek alpha (excess returns), while passive funds focus on tracking indices efficiently.
Information Sensitivity:
Institutional orders can reveal private information. Therefore, discretion and order-splitting techniques are vital to prevent competitors from front-running or copying trades.
3. Trading Venues and Mechanisms
Institutional traders use multiple platforms for execution, depending on their goals and the liquidity of the security.
a) Public Exchanges
These are centralized venues like the NSE, NYSE, or NASDAQ, where prices and volumes are transparent. Trading here provides liquidity but also exposes orders to the public, increasing the risk of market impact.
b) Dark Pools
Dark pools are private trading venues where orders are hidden from public view until after execution. They are crucial for institutions wishing to trade large blocks discreetly.
Advantages: Reduced market impact and anonymity.
Disadvantages: Lower transparency and potential for adverse selection (trading against informed counterparties).
c) Electronic Communication Networks (ECNs)
ECNs match buy and sell orders electronically without intermediaries. They allow fast, efficient, and often lower-cost trading but may fragment liquidity across multiple venues.
4. Types of Orders and Execution Strategies
Institutional traders use various order types to control how their trades interact with the market:
Market Orders: Execute immediately at the best available price; suitable for urgent trades but risk slippage.
Limit Orders: Execute only at a specified price or better; useful for price control but may not fill completely.
Iceberg Orders: Only a portion of the order is visible to the market, hiding true size to reduce impact.
VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) Orders: Designed to execute gradually throughout the day to match average market volume, minimizing disruption.
TWAP (Time Weighted Average Price) Orders: Spread execution evenly over a specific time period to achieve average pricing.
5. Algorithmic and High-Frequency Trading (HFT)
Modern institutional trading is heavily algorithm-driven. Algorithms automate execution, monitor market conditions, and adjust strategies dynamically.
Common Institutional Algorithms:
VWAP Algorithms: Match market volume to minimize detection.
TWAP Algorithms: Execute evenly over time for steady exposure.
Implementation Shortfall Algorithms: Balance between speed and cost by comparing real-time execution price with a benchmark.
Liquidity-Seeking Algorithms: Hunt for hidden liquidity across venues, including dark pools.
Smart Order Routing (SOR): Distributes portions of large orders to multiple venues for optimal fill rates.
High-frequency traders (HFTs), though distinct from traditional institutions, influence institutional execution by tightening spreads and providing liquidity—though sometimes they compete aggressively, increasing volatility.
6. Market Impact and Transaction Costs
Institutional trading must account for two main cost categories:
Explicit Costs:
Commissions
Exchange fees
Taxes and regulatory costs
Implicit Costs:
Bid-Ask Spread: Difference between buying and selling prices.
Price Impact: Movement in price caused by executing large trades.
Opportunity Cost: Loss due to unfilled or delayed orders.
Managing these costs is central to institutional execution. Large trades are often broken into smaller slices to disguise intent and reduce impact. For example, a ₹500 crore order might be executed over several days using VWAP algorithms.
7. Information Asymmetry and Adverse Selection
Market microstructure acknowledges that not all participants possess the same information. Institutional investors may trade based on private analysis or insider signals, while market makers quote prices without full knowledge of order intent.
When institutions submit large orders, market makers may widen spreads to protect themselves from potential information disadvantages, leading to adverse selection costs.
To reduce this, institutions:
Use dark pools for anonymity.
Split orders across multiple venues.
Employ execution algorithms that mimic normal trading patterns.
8. Role of Market Makers and Liquidity Providers
Market makers play a crucial role by continuously quoting buy (bid) and sell (ask) prices. For institutional traders, these entities:
Offer liquidity during low-volume periods.
Help stabilize prices by absorbing temporary imbalances.
Sometimes act as counterparties in large block trades (via investment banks or brokers).
However, the liquidity provided is not unlimited—large institutional orders may still cause slippage or gaps in price, especially in less-liquid securities.
9. Regulatory Oversight and Transparency
Regulatory frameworks—such as SEBI in India, SEC in the U.S., and MiFID II in Europe—aim to ensure:
Fairness and transparency in execution.
Prevention of market manipulation and insider trading.
Reporting of large trades and post-trade transparency.
Institutions must comply with best execution standards, meaning they must prove they sought the best possible outcome for clients across venues.
10. Technology and Data in Institutional Trading
Today’s institutional traders rely on:
Real-time data analytics for monitoring liquidity and volatility.
Machine learning models to forecast order book dynamics.
Post-trade analytics to measure execution performance (e.g., tracking VWAP deviation).
Artificial intelligence for adaptive algorithms that learn from historical patterns.
Technology bridges the gap between human strategy and automated precision, optimizing both cost and speed.
11. Conclusion
The microstructure of institutional trading is a sophisticated ecosystem shaped by liquidity dynamics, technology, regulation, and competition. Institutional traders must balance size, secrecy, and speed while minimizing costs and preserving market integrity.
Their trading activity significantly influences price discovery, volatility, and overall market efficiency. As financial markets evolve—with advances in AI, blockchain, and decentralized trading platforms—the microstructure of institutional trading will continue to adapt, becoming even more data-driven, algorithmic, and globally interconnected.
Gold – Buy around 4100, target 4160-4199Gold Market Analysis:
Yesterday, we placed buy orders at 4134 and 4125, which are currently showing a winning streak. Our bullish outlook remains unchanged. Gold prices plunged to 4097 at the end of the day before rebounding sharply. This is the market; regardless of its fluctuations and corrections, it will eventually return to its intended direction. Don't change your strategy based on a small dip or fluctuation. We maintain our bullish outlook for today's Asian session. The daily chart closed with a doji, indicating continued trading activity. However, the daily moving average support has started to rise, suggesting that buying pressure is building. The consolidation is simply to allow more buying momentum to accumulate. This upward move has been very strong, and there are no signs of a top yet. We anticipate a correction starting on Friday or Thursday. The hourly chart shows a V-shaped pattern. Today, we will use the 4100 support level to place buy orders. Additionally, the strong daily moving average support has reached 4071. From a technical perspective, as long as yesterday's low is not broken, the buying strategy should remain unchanged. During the Asian session, pay attention to the 4100-4130 support zone. This is only minor support; strong support remains around 4100. If yesterday's high of 4149 is broken, it's worth considering chasing the price higher. However, note that 4161 is a significant resistance level.
Support: 4130-4100; Resistance: 4149-4161; 4100 is the key level for market strength/weakness.
Fundamental Analysis:
There are no major data releases today; all are routine data. The most important data this week is tomorrow's CPI, which has seen significant fluctuations over the past year.
Trading Recommendation:
Gold – Buy around 4100, target 4160-4199
ElDoradoFx – GOLD ANALYSIS (12/11/2025, ASIA SESSION)Gold opens the Asia session trading around $4,125–$4,127, after a measured pullback from the $4,148 resistance seen during the US session. Price action remains inside a controlled consolidation phase, respecting both trendline support and EMA structure. The broader bullish bias remains valid as long as the market holds above $4,115–$4,098.
⸻
1️⃣ Market Overview
Gold continues its overall uptrend from last week’s low near $4,000, building a firm bullish structure through higher highs and higher lows. The short-term pullback is corrective and part of a healthy retracement within the broader rally. Market participants are positioning ahead of US CPI, with volatility expected to remain contained during the early Asia hours.
⸻
2️⃣ Technical Breakdown (D1, H1, 15M–5M)
• D1: Structure remains bullish above the 50EMA, confirming buyers’ dominance after multiple rejections from $4,013. RSI stabilizing near 60 suggests momentum preservation.
• H1: Price is forming a local range between $4,115 (support) and $4,148 (resistance). 20EMA > 50EMA alignment continues to signal short-term bullish control.
• 15M–5M: Intraday retracement channels are visible with BOS → CHoCH → BOS sequence forming. Expect a possible liquidity sweep near $4,117 before continuation. MACD histogram shows light selling pressure, but no trend reversal signal yet.
⸻
3️⃣ Fibonacci Analysis (Swing $4,097 → $4,148)
• 38.2% – $4,129
• 50.0% – $4,123
• 61.8% – $4,117
🎯 Golden Zone: $4,129 – $4,117 → Ideal reaction area for potential bullish continuation toward $4,165–$4,180.
⸻
4️⃣ High-Probability Trade Scenarios
📈 BUY SCENARIO (Primary Bias)
• Entry Zone: $4,125 – $4,115
• Targets: $4,138 → $4,148 → $4,165 → $4,180
• Stop Loss: Below $4,098
• Confirmation: Bullish CHoCH / engulfing candle from Golden Zone or RSI recovery from 45–50 area.
📉 SELL SCENARIO (Countertrend)
• Entry Zone: $4,138 – $4,148 (supply zone + trendline resistance)
• Targets: $4,125 → $4,115 → $4,098
• Stop Loss: Above $4,152
• Confirmation: Strong rejection candle or divergence on lower timeframes.
💥 Breakout Play:
• Bullish: Break & close above $4,150 → Targets $4,165 → $4,180
• Bearish: Break below $4,098 → Continuation toward $4,085 → $4,075
⸻
5️⃣ Fundamental Watch
• Asia session expected to stay quiet ahead of key US CPI release tomorrow.
• USD Index (DXY) remains below 106.00, maintaining bullish sentiment for gold.
• Watch for remarks from Fed speakers later today for potential dollar volatility.
• Geopolitical risk remains neutral; risk-on sentiment could cap upside momentum until CPI confirmation.
⸻
6️⃣ Key Technical Levels
Resistance: 4,138 / 4,148 / 4,165 / 4,180
Support: 4,115 / 4,098 / 4,085 / 4,075
Golden Zone: 4,129 – 4,117
Trendline Support: Extends from 4,072 through 4,115
EMA Structure: 20EMA above 50EMA; 100EMA aligning near 4,118 for confluence
⸻
7️⃣ Analyst Summary
Gold maintains a controlled bullish environment while consolidating below short-term supply. The retracement toward $4,117–$4,115 offers a potential reload zone for continuation, provided the market holds above $4,098. Sellers remain weak unless a confirmed break below the Golden Zone occurs.
⸻
8️⃣ Final Bias Summary
📊 Bias: Bullish-to-neutral above $4,115; bearish only below $4,098
🎯 Buy Interest Zone: $4,129–$4,117 (Golden Zone)
🛑 Invalidation: Below $4,098 (loss of bullish structure)
💡 Focus: Watch for CHoCH confirmation on 15M–5M before entering buys.
⸻
🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 – PERFORMANCE 11/11/2025 🥇
📊 Another strong day combining precision entries, live scalps & long-term swings.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🪙 XAU/USD (GOLD)
🟢 BUY +110 PIPS
🟢 BUY +90 PIPS
🟢 BUY LIMIT +40 PIPS
🟢 BUY +40 PIPS
🟢 BUY +60 PIPS
❌ BUY -50 PIPS (SL)
🟢 BUY +280 PIPS
🟢 BUY +240 PIPS
---
🎯 LIVE SESSION RESULTS
❌ BUY -40 PIPS (SL)
🟢 BUY +120 PIPS
🟢 BUY +60 PIPS
🟢 BUY +30 PIPS
---
📈 SWING TRADE UPDATE (From 05/11)
🟩 Running Profit: +1,900 PIPS
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
💰 TOTAL DAILY GAIN: +980 PIPS
📊 12 Trades → 10 Wins | 2 SL
🎯 Accuracy: 83%
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🔥 Excellent performance with continued swing strength and live session precision.
👏 Congratulations if you profited! ✅✅✅🚀🚀🚀
— ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 Team 💼📈
Here we are — we’ve finally reached the correction targets.We’ve reached the correction targets — now I expect a slow and steady decline toward the second zone at 3813–3842. The move should be gradual, with controlled momentum.
Patience remains key. Watching for confirmation before adding positions.
Gold is Ready For Bull From Triangle PatternHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts






















