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XAUUSD (GOLD) – Current Market Analysis XAUUSD (GOLD) – Current Market Analysis Date: 27 November 2025 Time: 01:25 PM (GMT+6) --- Trend Direction The Higher Timeframe remains in a bullish phase, but the current price action is clearly forming a corrective structure. Price is currently trading around 4150–4160, which is acting as an intermediate resistance zone and a liquidity cluster. Above the market, 4170–4180 is a Weak High + liquidity pool. Below the market, 4100–4080 is a Strong Low + 4H demand zone. The market is compressed between these two liquidity points. Such compression typically leads to a liquidity sweep followed by a reversal. --- Technical Analysis The 4H chart shows repeated rejections from the 4160–4170 area, indicating weakening buyer momentum. The 1H chart is forming a clear retracement structure. The 15M chart has multiple CHoCH downside signals. Together, these strongly indicate a bearish correction. Below price, 4120 and 4100 act as natural draw-to-liquidity levels where imbalance and unmitigated demand zones exist. --- Smart Money Concept (SMC) Liquidity: • Weak High above → 4170–4180 • Equal Lows below → 4100–4090 Order Blocks: • 4H bearish OB → 4170–4180 • 1H bullish OB → 4100–4080 Market Structure: • 15M → CHoCH downside • 1H → BOS downside and price is currently in the retracement phase This structure is a textbook bearish correction model. --- Fibonacci Based on the last bearish impulsive leg, the 0.618 retracement zone aligns with 4165–4175. This matches the Weak High liquidity zone, increasing the probability of rejection. --- RSI & Volume Both the 1H and 15M timeframes show RSI touching overbought levels. Bearish divergence is visible on the 15M chart. Volume is gradually decreasing, signaling buyer exhaustion. These factors collectively increase the likelihood of a short-term downside correction. --- Fundamental Analysis There is no major high-impact news today, so the market is expected to move based purely on technicals and liquidity behavior. The Dollar Index remains stable, which may put short-term pressure on Gold. --- Trading Plan (95% Accuracy) Primary Sell Setup (High Probability) Sell Zone: 4170–4180 Reason: Weak High, liquidity pool, 4H bearish OB, Fibonacci 0.618 confluence, RSI divergence Confirmation: 15M rejection candle or 15M CHoCH downside Targets: • TP1 → 4140 • TP2 → 4120 • TP3 → 4100 • TP4 → 4080 (extended) Stop Loss: 4200 --- Alternative Buy Setup (Low Probability) Buy only after downside liquidity sweep. Buy Zone: 4100–4080 Reason: Strong Low, demand zone, imbalance fill, possible bullish CHoCH Targets: • TP1 → 4140 • TP2 → 4160 Stop Loss: 4050 --- Analysis Short Summary The market is currently building liquidity around the 4160–4170 region. There is a clear Weak High at 4170–4180, and Gold typically sweeps such highs before a correction. Therefore, the most likely scenario is: Price sweeps 4170–4180 → then initiates a downside correction. The strongest downside targets remain 4120 and 4100. Main direction: Sell from 4170–4180 Buy option: Only after a liquidity sweep at 4100–4080
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FMFinancialAdvisor
EXPLANATION OF WHAT HAPPENED THIS MORNING As I said before, these confirmation candles says a lot about the validity of a trade and I'm happy to have found something very important together with the strategy i use and they are just like gold(precious) to me , now let me explain what happened in the morning. so as I said about the confirmation candle, once that circled candle on h1 closed bearish by 8 a.m UTC it was a signal of further push downwards not necessarily long term sells, but a further sells so you should close any buy just above it and wait for a good entry after careful analysis, but i didn't know or check a higher time frame candle/s closed was/were about to also close at 8 a.m and that is what i saw at 8 a.m after checking different time frames and hence the reason I gave a different buy entry close to the first one and asked for sl to be at 4120/15 instead of closing it, so I wasn't wrong about the confirmation candle and the second entry, but it's because of the higher time frame candle that closed at 8 a.m, that is why i gave another buy entry and asked not to close the first entry because it was close but still markets decided to sell a bit further to test a major zone, and let me tell you this; if market was trading in a free zone that move below the second entry(the move below 4130-25) would have signaled a further sell below 4100 and I would have given a sell entry around 4125 area instead of the another buy entry i just gave but price has been trading in or in between a major zone and it comes with a different approach and I learned this just this month, just so you know.
TVC:GOLD
by EVANABEK1
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Gold Breaks Out — Can Buyers Hold?Gold broke out of the consolidation range yesterday, finally pushing above the 4098 level and extending into the 4142 resistance zone. Price is now sitting above both the MA50 and MA200 — a constructive sign — but both moving averages remain flat, showing that momentum has not fully shifted yet. If buyers want to build on this breakout, they need a clean hold above 4142. A confirmed break here would open the path toward 4198 → 4232. If gold fails to clear 4142, we could see a pullback. First support sits at 4098, followed by 4052. A deeper correction would bring us back into the Support Zone (4016–3968), with the HTF Support Zone (3921–3862) acting as the major safety net. 📌Key levels to watch: Resistance: 4142 4198 4232 Support: 4098 4052 4016 3968 3921 3862 📰 Fundamental Focus: Today brings the first batch of high-impact U.S. data for the week, including Core PPI, PPI, and Retail Sales — all key indicators of inflation and consumer strength. Traders should be prepared for sharper moves as the market reacts to inflation and consumer-spending data.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
HOW FAR WILL GOLD RISE?1. MARKET CONTEXT Yesterday, during the Asian and European sessions, gold prices mainly moved sideways – accumulating within a narrow range. In the U.S. session, gold prices broke strongly through the 413X region and formed: Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern (iH&S) The upward structure returns → buyers dominate This indicates that the upward momentum has returned, and the market leans towards continuing to rise if it does not break the important support area. Fundamental factors supporting buyers The market is expecting the Fed to cut interest rates in December. Tonight there is PPI news — an important indicator directly affecting inflation expectations and Fed expectations. → This could be a catalyst for strong volatility in the U.S. session. 2. MAIN TRADING DIRECTION FOR THE DAY ➡️ Prioritize BUY (look to buy) according to the main trend. ➡️ SELL is only reactive – for retracement, not the main trend. 3. POTENTIAL BUY ZONES Beautiful support areas to look for buying opportunities today: 📍 BUY zone 1 – Nearest 413X (early day resistance and yesterday's breakout area) → Beautiful entry area for scalping or buy follow trend. 📍 BUY zone 2 4100 – 4103 → Psychological support & structural confluence area. 📍 BUY zone 3 4088 – 4090 📍 BUY zone 4 4060 – 4065 → Strong support area, look to catch the bottom in case of deep price correction. 4. REACTIVE SELL ZONES (ONLY SELL FOR RETRACEMENT) Only sell when price hits the area — clear rejection signals appear: 📍 SELL zone 1 (nearest) 4180 – 4186 📍 SELL zone 2 4190 – 4195 📍 SELL zone 3 4202 – 4205 Safe SELL conditions: Only sell counter-trend, prioritize scalping. If these areas are strongly broken + H1/H4 candle closes, consider buyers winning, then do not sell anymore. 5. CAPITAL MANAGEMENT – RISK MANAGEMENT SL = 10 points TP = 10 points RR ratio = 1:1.2 Do not hold positions through PPI news if not really sure about the pattern. 6. NOTES ON METHOD Buy orders will dominate the day. Sell only when there is a strong reaction at resistance. Scalping: open orders on smaller timeframes (M1–M5–M15) to optimize Entry. Always wait for price action confirmation (pinbar, engulfing, retest…) before entering orders. 7. SUMMARY Today's tendency is mainly BUY, based on: The return of the upward trend Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern Expectations of a dovish Fed PPI news triggering volatility Wishing everyone an effective trading day — total victory! 🔥💹
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Chum_trades
GOLD RUSH 2025: XAUUSD Hyper-Growth Technical Forecast Asset: XAUUSD (Gold Spot) Current Price: 4,051.00 Date: November 24, 2025 Market Velocity: Gold has shattered historical ceilings, trading at a staggering 4,051.00. The parabolic move suggests extreme institutional accumulation, though volatility warnings are flashing. 📊 Algorithmic Trend & Indicator Matrix Trend Trajectory: The market is in a HYPER-BULLISH 🚀 phase. The 4H and Daily charts show a vertical ascent, but price action is becoming extended from the moving averages. Relative Strength Index (RSI): Critical reading at 81.5 (Extreme Overbought). While momentum is strong, such levels often precede a sharp liquidity correction or "profit-taking" flush. Bollinger Bands: Price is "walking the bands" (Upper Deviation). A closure back inside the bands would signal a temporary pause in the uptrend. 📐 Fibonacci & Harmonic Structures Fibonacci Extension: We have breached the 1.618 extension. The next major algorithmic target aligns with the 2.618 extension at 4,085.00 . Harmonic Pattern: A Bearish Deep Crab is potentially forming. The completion zone (PRZ) is projected near 4,090, suggesting a reversal might occur if we push slightly higher. 🛡️ Key Liquidity & Pivot Levels Resistance 1: 4,085.00 (Fib Extension) Resistance 2: 4,100.00 (Psychological Barrier) Support 1: 4,020.00 (Previous Resistance Flip) Support 2: 3,980.00 (0.382 Intraday Fib) ⚡ High-Probability Trade Setups Scenario A: The Pullback Buy (Long) Wait for a correction to clear weak hands. Entry: 4,020.00 - 4,025.00 Target: 4,080.00 Stop Loss: 3,995.00 Scenario B: Top Reversal (Short) Counter-trend trade only if 4,090 rejects violently. Entry: Below 4,075.00 (after rejection) Target: 4,020.00 Stop Loss: 4,105.00 ⚠️ System Outlook: The trend is your friend, but gravity is calling. Expect a push to 4,085 before any significant correction. We favor Scenario A (Buying Dips) over trying to pick the exact top. 🏆📉
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by sunya
Lingrid | GOLD Range Bound Resistance - Potential RejectionThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . OANDA:XAUUSD is moving toward edge of the resistance zone after bouncing off support 4,000 region. Price action remains corrective, with price trading inside a wider consolidation and reacting to both the downward trendline and the mid-range level. If the market stays capped below 4,130, a move back toward 4,045 becomes the likely scenario as sellers regain short-term momentum. The broader pattern continues to reflect a compressing market where bearish reactions inside resistance are still dominant. ⚠️ Risks: A breakout above 4,130 would invalidate the short-term bearish projection and open the way toward 4,245. US macro data like FOMC could drive gold sharply higher against the structure. Failure to sustain momentum below mid-range levels may lead to deeper consolidation instead of a clean drop. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Lingrid
9
XAUUSD Far from signaling a BUY yet.Gold (XAUUSD) has been trading within a +1 year Channel Up and has found itself on a correction (Bearish Leg) since it's All Time High (ATH), which was a Higher High for the pattern, 1 month ago. Despite this -11% Bearish Leg so far, it hasn't even broken yet below its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which is something it has done on both previous Bearish Legs. As you can see those have been fairly similar to the current one (-10.92% and -9.32% respectively). All started after roughly +40% Bullish Legs led to those. Notice also that both Bullish Legs had to test the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) before the started. At the same time the 1W RSI hit its Buy Zone. As a result, Gold hasn't waved a buy signal yet. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by TradingShot
XAUUSD | Gold Signal | Now 21, 2025 SELL TREND TARGET FOR TODAY 📊 Based on the current trend, structure is strong to bearish. But right now, there’s still a chance for price to make a retracement first. HAYATE is monitor the structure to see which one is safe whether we BUY first or continue SELL trend. HAYATE target for this setup we should be able to collect around 100–150 pips++. ♾️Gold sell now @ 4046 - 4050 💰TP1 - 4043 💰TP2 - 4039 🚨SL - 4053
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by Richard1000pipsandmore
2
Gold 15m support heading towards 4110Main Bias : Bullish (Buy) – The overall trend and recent price action suggest buyers are stepping in. Price recently tested a strong support zone and showed a clear reaction, indicating potential upward movement. Entry Zone : Around 4,078 – 4,081 – This is a retest of a previous resistance now turned support (breaker level). Entering here gives a favorable risk-to-reward setup. Stop Loss (SL) : 4,068 – 4,070 – Placed just below the support to protect against a deeper pullback. Target (TP): 4,110 – 4,120 – The next major resistance area where price could face selling pressure. Confluences: Price bounced cleanly from the breaker support level Candlestick reaction shows buyers are stepping in Momentum aligns with the bullish bias, confirming the potential move upward Summary : Look for a buy around 4,078 – 4,081, aiming for 4,110 – 4,120, with a stop around 4,068 – 4,070. The setup is supported by strong support (breaker) and confirming bullish price action, giving a clear and manageable trade plan. This is not financial advice.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Champ_of_Gold
OLD (XAUUSD) – Bearish Correction Setupimeframe: 15M Market Structure: Price has broken below the trendline and is now retesting previous demand turned supply. Structure shifting bearish with liquidity targets below Key Levels Supply Zone (Short Trigger): 4062–4069 Invalidation/SL: Above 4077 First Target: 4030 Final Target: 4002–4008 liquidity zone Trade Idea – Short Setup Price is expected to pull back into the yellow mitigation zone, then reject and continue the downside move. Entry: 🔻 Sell @ 4062–4069 (Mitigation Zone) SL: 4077 TP1: 4030 TP2: 4008 TP3: 4002 (Full Target) Bias: 📉 Bearish until price closes back above 4077 Structure favors downside after liquidity sweep + trendline break + supply retest. Notes: This idea is based on liquidity grab + BOS + retest. Wait for bearish confirmation inside the zone for safer execution. This is not a financial advice
TVC:GOLDShort
by Champ_of_Gold
Gold price analysis November 21📌 XAUUSD Trend Analysis – Technical Perspective The intraday price action is leaning towards a bearish scenario as the 4041 support zone continues to be under pressure. If the H4 chart closes below this zone, a sell signal will be triggered and the next target will be at 3936. The rising trendline is still playing an important role in the contested zone. However, the price has repeatedly failed to surpass 4100, indicating that buying power is weakening, while increasing the risk of the trendline being broken and the market returning to deeper support zones. The trading strategy is basically unchanged from yesterday, but it is important to pay special attention to the reaction at the 4041 zone – the area that is deciding the next direction of gold. 📉 SELL Trigger when: H4 candle closes below 4041 Strategy: SELL on breakout Target: 3936 📈 BUY Trigger when: Clear price rejection signal appears at trendline / support zone 4041 Expected target: 4200 Risk: Invalid if candle closes below 4041
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TVS-Trader
2