Trade ideas
gold on sideways until breakout#XAUUSD price today is total sideways, but we monitor those price if decline continues. 4046-4040 shows entry on sell, 2 times breakout above 4055.5 on bullish
4046-4040 on sell limit, target 4026-3995, SL 4055.5.
Below 4026 on H4 need reverse back unless the H1 closes below there before selling can continues. The 4055.5 is a strong range which needs 2 times breakout before buying.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan – Watching Reaction at Support ZoneAfter a brief consolidation yesterday, gold dropped into the Support Zone and is currently trading around 4014. Market structure remains bearish, with price sitting below both the MA50 and MA200. The series of rejection wicks shows buyers are trying to push back, but momentum is still with the sellers for now.
The first resistance is at 4027. For buyers to gain traction, we need a clean break above 4027, followed by a break above 4053 — only then could we see an attempt toward 4078.
If price fails to hold the Support Zone and breaks below 3,996, the next downside target becomes the HTF Support Zone — a major area where buyers have reacted strongly in the past.
📌Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
4027
4053
4078
Support:
3996
3968
3921
XAUUSD | Rejection From Premium Zone — Targeting Sell-Side LiqGold has pulled into a premium retracement zone (0.5–0.618 Fib) aligning perfectly with the Daily Wick 50% + previous structure flip level (4,122 zone).
This zone acted as a strong supply block, causing an immediate reaction, confirming bearish order flow.
Price is currently forming distribution under the premium zone, signaling potential continuation downward.
🔍 Detailed Breakdown:
HTF Bias: Bearish below 4,122
Retracement: Into 0.5–0.618 Fib + Daily Wick 50%
Zone of Interest: 4,122 – 4,110 (strong rejection zone)
Current Structure: Lower highs forming → distribution
Liquidity Targets:
4,027 (first liquidity pocket)
4,005 (major sell-side liquidity)
4,000 – 3,995 (extended target if momentum accelerates)
📉 Bearish Confirmation:
A clean rejection from the premium zone + multiple liquidity sweeps at the top indicates smart money shifting direction.
📌 What I’m Watching:
If XAU retests the 4,110–4,122 zone and fails to break above structure →
Expecting a clean sell-off into sell-side liquidity levels.
📚 Concepts Used: Liquidity | Imbalance | SMC | Premium vs Discount | Fib Retracement | Market Structure Shift
Resonant Supports + Stabilized Patterns, Clear Rebound SignalsTechnical Analysis: Resonant Supports + Stabilized Patterns, Clear Rebound Signals
(I) Key Price Levels & Structural Supports
$4,080 boasts three layers of technical support simultaneously: first, the critical support of the 20-day moving average, which has successfully stabilized after multiple tests; second, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the August-October uptrend, falling within a reasonable pullback range after a strong rally; third, the lower edge of the previous $4,100-$4,130 consolidation platform, where market trading is dense with robust buying absorption. The strong support below is $4,050 (the middle band of the daily Bollinger Bands), and in extreme cases, it may pull back to the $4,000 psychological level. Overall, the pullback space is limited, with the upside risk-reward ratio superior to the downside.
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(II) Volume & Indicator Verification
During the gold price pullback from $4,140 to $4,080, trading volume continued to shrink. The 1-hour volume dropped by more than 50% compared to the rally period, indicating limited selling pressure and a healthy technical pullback.The daily RSI indicator remains in the neutral-to-strong range of 50, not entering the oversold zone. The MACD lines are still above the zero axis, and although the red bars have contracted, no death cross has formed, maintaining the intact long-term upward structure.On the weekly chart, the MACD red bars are moderately expanding, and the RSI shows no bearish divergence—confirming that the medium-to-long-term uptrend remains unchanged, with the short-term pullback merely a correction within the trend.
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(III) Distribution of Resistance Levels
The first resistance above is $4,130 (the upper edge of the previous consolidation platform + 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level). The second resistance is the $4,180-$4,200 range (psychological level + upper track of the ascending channel). A breakthrough above $4,130 will open up a smooth upward space.
Next week's gold trading strategy
buy:4065-4075
tp:4085-4100-4120
sl:4055
GOLD Is Going Up! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for GOLD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 4,087.79.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 4,161.33 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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Excellent Selling sequence for me to Buy for usTechnical analysis: Gold is showing increasing Selling presence on Weekly (#1W) chart as it is virtually unchanged (the (#1W) candle at # +1.86% currently) as Price-action is on parabolic downtrend within July’s High’s and October Low’s. This has effectively constructed an series of red Daily chart's candles hence the Bearish values on almost all charts which was an ideal Selling opportunity for Short-term Traders however Gold is struggling to stage more serious decline below #4,000.80 benchmark which I mentioned many times as possible 'floor'. Personally I remain on Medium-term Buying set-up as Daily and Weekly chart (#1W) remains heavily Bullish indicating that the latest decline was simply another accumulation and distribution phase of the recently started renewed Bull market. However the Price-action just touched the Weekly chart’s (#1W) #4,052.80 benchmark for the first time since recent upswing which was essentially the start of the parabolic rise. As a result when the #4,100.80 breaks, the next are of my importance is new ATH's level before possible Stabilization zone where Medium and Long-term Sellers will re-appear. If that happens then I will add to my portfolio giving a horizon of #20 - #30 session horizon until Gold hit #4,300.80 benchmark. However it is important to mention that if DX continues the spiral downtrend and Gold re-captures (confirmation by market closing) Resistance zone, Gold can correct #4,100.80 today.
My position: I have placed my Buys on #4,032.80 - #4,042.80 Long-term and my Targets are #4,100.80 - #4,127.80 zones. I maintain my #5,100.80 Long-term Target as these declines are excellent Buying opportunities / fuel for more up.
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 11/14/2025Yesterday gold rose initially and got rejected from 4245. After that, it dropped by almost 1k pips and found its support at 4145. I am still bullish in gold while it may go through small period of intraday correction. It could drop from 4190-4200 and may bounce from 4125. If 4200 is broken, it could test 4245 again. Therefore, I will look for buying opportunities from 4125 today.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Well, we wanted to go long into the higher red box but we wanted a better entry for this trade from just a little lower. However, we broke the bias level and as soon as we did, we completed every single target including the 4070 target level given to Camelot. Hard to get in with with the move, but those that did will have done well!
So, what now?
It's a bit of an extreme move and unconvincing at the moment. We're extreme on the liquidity monitor and there is a hot spot above that may just give a RIP. Not saying we're going to correct the move, we have major support below at the 4075 level that will need to break to go lower.
RED BOXES:
BREAK above 4004 for 4010✅, 4014✅ and 4030✅ in extension of the move
BREAK below 3990 for 3985, 3979, 3970 and 3965 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
SELL SIGNAL ASSET:GOLD (XAUUSD)Bears are stepping in as price shows signs of exhaustion at key resistance levels.
This setup marks a high-probability short-term downside opportunity, ideal for traders who look to capitalize on momentum reversals and clean structural shifts.
✳️ Market Snapshot
Structure Shift: Price forms a lower high, signaling potential weakness ahead.
Momentum Turn: Sellers are reclaiming control after a failed bullish push.
Entry Zone: A defined area where downside acceleration is likely to begin.
Risk Control: Stop-loss levels remain tight (around 40–50 pips) to safeguard capital.
💰 Trading Outlook
Consider short positions near the highlighted resistance or confirmation candle.
Targets: Short-term take-profits at recent support or liquidity sweep zones.
Tip: Keep position sizing aligned with your risk plan — focus on accuracy, not aggression.
⚠️ Trader’s Note
This signal is intended for short-term momentum trading. Always apply your own analysis, follow strict risk management, and treat this as a trade idea, not financial advice.
GOLD (1H) — Bullish Continuation SetupGOLD (1H) — Bullish Continuation Setup | Trendline + Demand Zone Confluence
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📌 CHART ANALYSIS (For TradingView Description – Copy & Paste)
Market Structure:
Price clearly in strong uptrend after breaking previous correction low. Higher-highs & higher-lows active.
Demand Zone:
A fresh demand zone formed around 4,150 – 4,170, showing strong buying pressure.
Pullback Confirmation:
Price is retesting the EMA cloud + demand zone, showing bullish continuation.
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🎯 BUY SETUP (READY TO USE):
✅ Entry:
4,170 – 4,180
🛡 Stop-Loss:
4,080
(Just below last demand zone + liquidity wick)
🎯 Take Profits:
TP1: 4,230
TP2: 4,280
TP3: 4,350 (High probability retest zone)
💹 Risk:Reward Ratio:
RR = 1:2.5 to 1:4
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📘 Price Action Logic (Copy & Paste)
Market is in a clean bullish trend
Price created new demand zone after breakout
EMA cloud acting as dynamic support
Structure shows bullish continuation pattern
Entry is taken on pullback to demand zone
Strong liquidity gap above → price likely to fill towards 4,300+
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🏷 TAGS (MUST ADD FOR VIRAL “FOR YOU” PAGE):
#GOLD #XAUUSD #Forex #Bullish #Trading #PriceAction #TrendFollowing #Breakout
Gold prices plummeted, but what exactly happened?Gold's technical outlook has shown clear signs of a reversal, compounded by recent comments from Federal Reserve officials that have reinforced bearish expectations. The bullish trend is struggling to hold, and prices rebounded quickly after touching the previous strong support level of 4030. We successfully captured this profit as expected, with the timing perfectly in line with our predictions. From a structural perspective, the short-term gold price movement is a technical correction after an oversold condition. This rebound is a normal technical correction and does not change the overall weak medium-term outlook. The market is likely to continue its downward trend through a period of consolidation. Strategically, the key short-term resistance level to watch is the 4090-4110 area. If the price rebounds but fails to break through this range, it will present a crucial opportunity to short. The overall strategy remains unchanged: focus on selling on rallies, and look for opportunities to short in the 4090-4110 area. Maintain a steady pace, follow the trend, and the market will naturally provide the necessary profit opportunities.
GOLD Local Short! Sell!
GOLD is sliding away from the horizontal supply zone, with bearish displacement hinting at continuation toward the next liquidity pocket below. Any minor pullback may simply serve as distribution before the markdown resumes. Time Frame 1H.
Sell!
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XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for November 14th.Gold Technical Analysis:
Daily Resistance: 4275, Support: 4050
4-Hour Resistance: 4245, Support: 4145
1-Hour Resistance: 4210, Support: 4158
Technically, the monthly/weekly charts remain bullish; the daily chart shows a "rounding bottom" pattern, but attention should be paid to the Bollinger Bands' downward pressure around 4190. Historically, the risk of a technical correction and subsequent decline has increased. As those who have read my recent analyses know, I have consistently emphasized the key level of 4080/85; investors should remain vigilant at this level, while also monitoring the trend continuation after an upward breakout from 4290/4300. If the price breaks below 4080, short positions can be initiated with a target of 4000. Friday's gold market requires extreme caution!
Looking at the 1-hour chart, the moving averages are alternately declining and under pressure, the Bollinger Bands are narrowing, and the MACD/KDJ indicators are crossing downwards, increasing the risk of a short-term technical pullback. Today, Friday, market trading risk is increased, and the short-term market continuity remains to be seen. The key support level to watch in the European and American sessions is around 4145.
Today's trading strategy is to follow the larger timeframe trend and continue buying on dips, but attention should be paid to the resistance level at 4210 as a potential selling opportunity.
Trading Strategy:
BUY: 4170near
BUY: 4145near
BUY: 4130near
SELL: 4210~4218
More Analysis →
XAUUSD FOLLOW THROUGHFollowing the success of our intial setup on gold, which you will find attached
Gold Bought and filled our FVG zone, filling up all the inefficiency in that area,
We currently have slow movement in the FVG Zone and with the current taking out of the previous Higher Low, we formed a Change Of Character
Using our FVG Zone, we may expect price to sell to take out or even break with this sell ???
Lets monitor and react as the markets talk to us
DISCLAIMER : This is purely for motivational purposes and the infomation provided is not to be considered as investment advise, Risk Accordingly
Gold Slightly Adjusts, Monitoring Pullback to 4,151 USD Support📊 Market Structure
After the Break of Structure (BoS) at the 4,208 USD zone, gold confirms the continuation of the upward trend and is forming a technical adjustment.
The price has touched the Resistance Zone of 4,208 – 4,237 USD and is currently adjusting as expected, heading towards the Support Zone of 4,151 USD – this is where a previous impulsive move originated.
Below the 4,151 Support, there is a strong OB at 4,104 USD.
As long as the price does not break deeply below 4,104 USD, the bullish structure remains intact.
💎 Key Technical Zones
• Resistance Zone: 4,208 – 4,237 USD → supply zone + area of bearish reaction
• Support Zone: 4,151 USD → area awaiting bullish reaction
• Strong OB + Support: 4,104 – 4,110 USD → base of bullish structure
• Liquidity Zone (Target): 4,260+ USD → area for the next wave expansion
🎯 Trading Plan
1️⃣ BUY Setup – Trend Following
If the price adjusts correctly to the discount zones:
• Entry 1: 4,151 USD
• Entry 2: 4,104 USD (most attractive zone – confluence OB)
SL: below 4,090 USD
TP1: 4,208
TP2: 4,237
TP3: 4,260
→ Main strategy: wait for pullback → re-enter the upward wave → follow the strong trend.
2️⃣ SELL Scalp – Reaction at Resistance (counter-trend)
If the price retests the 4,208 – 4,237 zone and creates a clear rejection:
Entry: 4,218 – 4,230
SL: 4,245
TP1: 4,180
TP2: 4,151
→ Setup only for flexible traders, short trades, no holding positions.
🧠 Vincent’s View
The current structure is very precise:
Impulsive Move → Short-term Distribution → Pullback to Support → Continuation of the upward wave.
The 4,151 USD zone is the focal point to observe.
The 4,104 USD zone is the most attractive BUY area if the market seeks deeper liquidity.
As long as the price does not break 4,104 USD, the buyers maintain complete advantage.
“Let the pullback come to you — structure always tells the truth.” ⚜️
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Updated: 14/11/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
The Shutdown Ends: How Will Gold Prices React?The Shutdown Ends: How Will Gold Prices React?
According to Reuters, the U.S. Senate on Monday approved a compromise deal to bring an end to the longest government shutdown in the country’s history.
During the shutdown:
→ millions of Americans lost access to food assistance programmes;
→ hundreds of thousands of federal employees went without pay;
→ air travel was severely disrupted.
The uncertainty surrounding the potential continuation of the shutdown appears to have contributed to a breakout in the price of gold (as a traditional safe-haven asset) above its recent consolidation zone, marked by black lines on the chart.
However, further gains could be capped not only by fading risk aversion but also by a less obvious resistance level, which the XAU/USD rate has reached today.
Technical Analysis of the XAU/USD Chart
Using the key pivot points (highlighted in bold), we can trace a descending channel, with the gold price now testing its upper boundary, where resistance may emerge.
Another argument supporting this view is that the price currently sits around the 50% retracement level of the A→B downswing. This area may attract sellers seeking to defend the downward trajectory of gold.
Whether this resistance line holds — or the bulls attempt to reignite the autumn rally — will largely depend on the tone of upcoming economic releases (delayed by the shutdown) and their impact on market expectations for a possible Federal Reserve rate cut.
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