Updated Gold AnalysisWith this price movement, it seems that many traders are currently holding long positions on gold.The market structure still looks bullish, and considering all the unusual news coming out these days, it’s natural to see strong reactions in the market.
Price was rejected from 4250 and is now pushing back upward. A range is likely to form in this area.
If you don’t have an open position and you want to trade gold, there are potential setups in the 15-minute timeframe.
Trade ideas
XAUUSD (GOLD) is ready to sky rocket upwards!XAUUSD was in a short term downtrend for a few weeks but has now shown some clear bullish movements ahead. XAUUSD (Gold) has broken out of a downward trend channel that was acting as strong resistance, The price is very likely to head to the next resistance level which is marked as the take profit zone (green line). Time to buy!
XAU/USD Gold looking strong breakout buying move📈XAUUSD (Gold) Analysis – Strong Bullish Momentum 🚀
Gold is showing a powerful bullish trend with a confirmed resistance breakout around the 4065 level. Buyers are holding strong from the breakout zone, indicating continued upside potential.
🎯 Technical Targets:
4132
4170
4205
🕓 Timeframe: 4H Chart
The momentum remains bullish as long as price sustains above the breakout zone. Watch for pullbacks toward support areas for potential buying opportunities.
⚠️ Risk Management:
Always apply proper risk management — never overleverage and use stop-loss protection.
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GOLD · Fed - slightly less dovish to hawkish tone - Previous months CPI data showed no reduction, increased from 2.9% to 3%, therefor during Oct FOMC, Powell had less dovish to slightly hawkish tone, indicating that they would like to see inflation come close to their target before considering any future rate cuts, also mentioned they will be data dependant and will need to see certain indicators (inflation) improve before can consider rate cuts. Since they wouldn’t want inflation to get out of hand again. This means DOLLAR stays bullish due to US yields remain high hence less investor outflows.
· Trade War optimism - Trump met with Xi and signed deals bringing optimism to markets, therefor investors back to risk on mode hence sell demand for safe havens.
· US shutdown - The only thing stopping us from expecting more rapid sells is the US shutdown which is still causing investors to be cautious and not as risk on, hence markets ranging a lot.
· Market whales betting on Poor US data - we know from recent headline that larger institutions are betting on the fact that the Fed will continue rate cuts even once the US shutdown ends because they think that the data will come in weak hence the Fed will have no choice but to continue its rate cuts to improve economic activity , This is the primary factor in play at the moment and hence the rally in gold since Monday.
GOLD-
1. Continuation buys if break and retest above 4220, targeting closer to previous ATH's.
2. If price holds below 42000 KL, can see more ranging and potential corrections to the downside for sells trades down to 4150.
Watching 4150 to see how price reacts, if confirmations for retests can take buys with trend for upside continuation. If breaks below, can play sells to lower demand zones.
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis based on your 15-minute chart:Support Level: 4,100 – 4,106
Resistance Zone: 4,120 – 4,125
Target Point: 4,147
Trend Bias: Short-term corrective upward trend within a broader pullback phase.
📈 Scenario 1 – Bullish Setup
If price continues to hold above the support zone (4,100 – 4,106):
Expect a rebound toward 4,120 (minor resistance).
A breakout above 4,120 could trigger further buying toward the target point at 4,147.
This move aligns with the projected ascending channel shown on the chart.
Confirmation Trigger: Bullish breakout and sustained candle close above 4,120.
📉 Scenario 2 – Bearish Continuation
If g RUS:SI1! RUS:GD1! RUS:MX1! RUS:USDRUB.P RUS:RI1! RUS:IRUS.P RUS:SV1! RUS:CR1! RUS:CNYRUB.P RUS:HS1! old breaks below 4,100:
Selling pressure could resume, driving price down to 4,085 – 4,080.
A break below 4,080 would confirm deeper correction and invalidate the bullish setup.
⚖️ Summary
Bias Entry Zone Target Stop Loss
Bullish (Buy) 4,106 – 4,112 4,145 – 4,150 4,095
Bearish (Sell if break below) < 4,100 4,085 – 4,080 4,120
💬 Analyst Note
The market is showing short-term accumulation after a selloff. Watch for volatility around 4,110–4,120; momentum confirmation is key before taking a position. RUS:NG1! RUS:BR1!
#XAUUSD: We are up 1040+ pips from our previous setup! Gold has risen from 3268 to 3364, helping us make substantial positive gains. However, after reaching the $3364 region, the price dropped around 3310 and has since been fluctuating between 3310 and 3340, making it challenging to trade. There’s a possibility that the price might touch 3400 once again before it drops.
Good luck and trade safely.
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Gold Surges as Investors Rotate Back to Safe HavensHello everyone, observing XAU/USD on the 1H chart today is genuinely impressive: from the 4,000 USD/oz low last night, gold has shot straight up to 4,074 USD/oz, gaining 74 USD within just a few hours. This is the kind of recovery that signals buyers never disappeared — they were simply waiting for the right moment to strike.
On the chart, the 4,000 USD/oz zone once again proved its role as a “steel defensive line,” where demand stepped in decisively, perfectly aligning with the green FVG that previously triggered a strong bullish leg. From that area, price climbed back into the Ichimoku cloud and is now approaching the 4,075–4,085 USD/oz resistance band. This will be the gateway for the next move: if gold breaks through, the market may push directly toward 4,100–4,120 USD/oz, and even as high as 4,150 USD/oz if momentum expands. Otherwise, rejection here could send price back to 4,040–4,030 USD/oz for a breather before continuing higher. The market tone right now is classic: accumulate – break – retest, with both sides fighting over narrow zones.
Importantly, today’s strong rebound isn’t purely technical. Safe-haven flows are returning as global equities drop sharply and US macro data — particularly labour indicators — show emerging weakness. Investors are pulling away from risk assets, especially overheated tech stocks inflated by the AI wave, and rotating back into gold — the traditional shelter whenever uncertainty grows. At the same time, expectations for a possible December rate cut remain alive, causing USD strength to stall and giving additional room for gold to recover. On top of that, Bloomberg and Goldman Sachs confirmed China bought another 15 tonnes of gold in September, reinforcing the idea that major players are still accumulating — and they usually move earlier than the crowd.
Based on the current signals, I believe this rebound still has room to extend. Gold may continue toward 4,075–4,085 USD/oz to fill the remaining FVG, and if that zone breaks with firm buying interest, the 4,100–4,120 USD/oz target is completely achievable today. A mild correction may still occur if profit-taking kicks in, pulling price back toward 4,040–4,030 USD/oz to build fresh equilibrium before resuming upward. Overall, gold feels like a drawn bow at the moment — ready for a further thrust if risk-off momentum persists.
This is a phase where gold truly returns to its core identity: a refuge when confidence fades. With capital rotating back into safe assets, a dovish signal from the Fed next month could turn this rebound into something much bigger heading into December. What about you — which scenario do you lean toward for gold today?
XAUUSD -2H SetupTrade Update – Waiting for Break and Retest
I'm currently waiting for the price to break and retest the resistance at 4110.90. Once the retest holds, I’ll be looking to add to the position, targeting higher resistance levels.
Still waiting for the previously posted setup the break of the major resistance
gold on sideways until breakout#XAUUSD price today is total sideways, but we monitor those price if decline continues. 4046-4040 shows entry on sell, 2 times breakout above 4055.5 on bullish
4046-4040 on sell limit, target 4026-3995, SL 4055.5.
Below 4026 on H4 need reverse back unless the H1 closes below there before selling can continues. The 4055.5 is a strong range which needs 2 times breakout before buying.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan – Watching Reaction at Support ZoneAfter a brief consolidation yesterday, gold dropped into the Support Zone and is currently trading around 4014. Market structure remains bearish, with price sitting below both the MA50 and MA200. The series of rejection wicks shows buyers are trying to push back, but momentum is still with the sellers for now.
The first resistance is at 4027. For buyers to gain traction, we need a clean break above 4027, followed by a break above 4053 — only then could we see an attempt toward 4078.
If price fails to hold the Support Zone and breaks below 3,996, the next downside target becomes the HTF Support Zone — a major area where buyers have reacted strongly in the past.
📌Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
4027
4053
4078
Support:
3996
3968
3921
XAUUSD | Rejection From Premium Zone — Targeting Sell-Side LiqGold has pulled into a premium retracement zone (0.5–0.618 Fib) aligning perfectly with the Daily Wick 50% + previous structure flip level (4,122 zone).
This zone acted as a strong supply block, causing an immediate reaction, confirming bearish order flow.
Price is currently forming distribution under the premium zone, signaling potential continuation downward.
🔍 Detailed Breakdown:
HTF Bias: Bearish below 4,122
Retracement: Into 0.5–0.618 Fib + Daily Wick 50%
Zone of Interest: 4,122 – 4,110 (strong rejection zone)
Current Structure: Lower highs forming → distribution
Liquidity Targets:
4,027 (first liquidity pocket)
4,005 (major sell-side liquidity)
4,000 – 3,995 (extended target if momentum accelerates)
📉 Bearish Confirmation:
A clean rejection from the premium zone + multiple liquidity sweeps at the top indicates smart money shifting direction.
📌 What I’m Watching:
If XAU retests the 4,110–4,122 zone and fails to break above structure →
Expecting a clean sell-off into sell-side liquidity levels.
📚 Concepts Used: Liquidity | Imbalance | SMC | Premium vs Discount | Fib Retracement | Market Structure Shift
Resonant Supports + Stabilized Patterns, Clear Rebound SignalsTechnical Analysis: Resonant Supports + Stabilized Patterns, Clear Rebound Signals
(I) Key Price Levels & Structural Supports
$4,080 boasts three layers of technical support simultaneously: first, the critical support of the 20-day moving average, which has successfully stabilized after multiple tests; second, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the August-October uptrend, falling within a reasonable pullback range after a strong rally; third, the lower edge of the previous $4,100-$4,130 consolidation platform, where market trading is dense with robust buying absorption. The strong support below is $4,050 (the middle band of the daily Bollinger Bands), and in extreme cases, it may pull back to the $4,000 psychological level. Overall, the pullback space is limited, with the upside risk-reward ratio superior to the downside.
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(II) Volume & Indicator Verification
During the gold price pullback from $4,140 to $4,080, trading volume continued to shrink. The 1-hour volume dropped by more than 50% compared to the rally period, indicating limited selling pressure and a healthy technical pullback.The daily RSI indicator remains in the neutral-to-strong range of 50, not entering the oversold zone. The MACD lines are still above the zero axis, and although the red bars have contracted, no death cross has formed, maintaining the intact long-term upward structure.On the weekly chart, the MACD red bars are moderately expanding, and the RSI shows no bearish divergence—confirming that the medium-to-long-term uptrend remains unchanged, with the short-term pullback merely a correction within the trend.
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(III) Distribution of Resistance Levels
The first resistance above is $4,130 (the upper edge of the previous consolidation platform + 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level). The second resistance is the $4,180-$4,200 range (psychological level + upper track of the ascending channel). A breakthrough above $4,130 will open up a smooth upward space.
Next week's gold trading strategy
buy:4065-4075
tp:4085-4100-4120
sl:4055
Another Golden Opportunity!Gold's corrective move the past few weeks has now led to a bounce, expect some more gains in a likely ABC bounce to be followed by further correction towards $3800ish.
This wave 5 might only be wave 1 finished at $4380, a wave 2 corrective decline to be followed by a stronger wave 3...of course anything can happen, new highs in the next week or so will be very welcome.
Let's see the pattern play out before we are clearer on the outcome, expect this bounce to peter out towards $4190ish, if a resumption of the correction develops, another golden opportunity presents itself around $3800.
Whatever happens, this wave 5 will see $5000 plus and possibly $6000...remember $3000?
Appreciate a thumbs up, good trading and God Bless you all!
XAU/USD – Strong Bullish Trend Holds Firm as Price Consolidates Gold continues to trade in a powerful bullish structure on the H1 timeframe, respecting the ascending trendline and forming steady higher highs and higher lows. After the recent impulsive rally, price is now consolidating just above a newly formed demand zone – a typical pattern before the next breakout.
The market remains supported by multiple stacked demand layers, suggesting strong institutional accumulation beneath current price.
Key Technical Zones
Immediate Demand Zone: 4210 – 4185
Price is holding above this fresh demand block, showing strong buyer presence.
Secondary Demand Zone: 4145 – 4125
This zone provided the earlier breakout base and remains a key support for any deeper pullback.
Major Demand Base: 4020 – 3985
The origin of the entire uptrend and the area where aggressive buyers previously entered.
Market Structure & Trend Analysis
Uptrend remains intact with clean reactions at each demand zone
Price is consolidating near the highs, often a signal of bullish continuation
No bearish break of structure observed
Trendline support remains respected throughout the move
The current price action suggests that bulls are preparing for another upward push as long as price stays above the nearest demand zone.
Trading Strategy
Buy the Retest (Primary Setup):
Look for a dip into 4210 – 4185
Wait for bullish confirmation candles
Target: 4245 and 4260
Deeper Pullback Buy Zone:
If price pulls back further, the 4145 – 4125 zone offers a high-probability entry aligned with the trend.
Invalidation:
A clean H1 close below 4120 would signal weakening bullish structure and open the door to a deeper correction.
Summary
XAU/USD maintains a strong bullish trend with healthy pullbacks into well-defined demand zones. As long as price holds above key supports, continuation toward new highs remains the dominant scenario.
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