Gold – Buy around 4100, target 4160-4199Gold Market Analysis:
Yesterday, we placed buy orders at 4134 and 4125, which are currently showing a winning streak. Our bullish outlook remains unchanged. Gold prices plunged to 4097 at the end of the day before rebounding sharply. This is the market; regardless of its fluctuations and corrections, it will eventually return to its intended direction. Don't change your strategy based on a small dip or fluctuation. We maintain our bullish outlook for today's Asian session. The daily chart closed with a doji, indicating continued trading activity. However, the daily moving average support has started to rise, suggesting that buying pressure is building. The consolidation is simply to allow more buying momentum to accumulate. This upward move has been very strong, and there are no signs of a top yet. We anticipate a correction starting on Friday or Thursday. The hourly chart shows a V-shaped pattern. Today, we will use the 4100 support level to place buy orders. Additionally, the strong daily moving average support has reached 4071. From a technical perspective, as long as yesterday's low is not broken, the buying strategy should remain unchanged. During the Asian session, pay attention to the 4100-4130 support zone. This is only minor support; strong support remains around 4100. If yesterday's high of 4149 is broken, it's worth considering chasing the price higher. However, note that 4161 is a significant resistance level.
Support: 4130-4100; Resistance: 4149-4161; 4100 is the key level for market strength/weakness.
Fundamental Analysis:
There are no major data releases today; all are routine data. The most important data this week is tomorrow's CPI, which has seen significant fluctuations over the past year.
Trading Recommendation:
Gold – Buy around 4100, target 4160-4199
Trade ideas
ElDoradoFx – GOLD ANALYSIS (12/11/2025, ASIA SESSION)Gold opens the Asia session trading around $4,125–$4,127, after a measured pullback from the $4,148 resistance seen during the US session. Price action remains inside a controlled consolidation phase, respecting both trendline support and EMA structure. The broader bullish bias remains valid as long as the market holds above $4,115–$4,098.
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1️⃣ Market Overview
Gold continues its overall uptrend from last week’s low near $4,000, building a firm bullish structure through higher highs and higher lows. The short-term pullback is corrective and part of a healthy retracement within the broader rally. Market participants are positioning ahead of US CPI, with volatility expected to remain contained during the early Asia hours.
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2️⃣ Technical Breakdown (D1, H1, 15M–5M)
• D1: Structure remains bullish above the 50EMA, confirming buyers’ dominance after multiple rejections from $4,013. RSI stabilizing near 60 suggests momentum preservation.
• H1: Price is forming a local range between $4,115 (support) and $4,148 (resistance). 20EMA > 50EMA alignment continues to signal short-term bullish control.
• 15M–5M: Intraday retracement channels are visible with BOS → CHoCH → BOS sequence forming. Expect a possible liquidity sweep near $4,117 before continuation. MACD histogram shows light selling pressure, but no trend reversal signal yet.
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3️⃣ Fibonacci Analysis (Swing $4,097 → $4,148)
• 38.2% – $4,129
• 50.0% – $4,123
• 61.8% – $4,117
🎯 Golden Zone: $4,129 – $4,117 → Ideal reaction area for potential bullish continuation toward $4,165–$4,180.
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4️⃣ High-Probability Trade Scenarios
📈 BUY SCENARIO (Primary Bias)
• Entry Zone: $4,125 – $4,115
• Targets: $4,138 → $4,148 → $4,165 → $4,180
• Stop Loss: Below $4,098
• Confirmation: Bullish CHoCH / engulfing candle from Golden Zone or RSI recovery from 45–50 area.
📉 SELL SCENARIO (Countertrend)
• Entry Zone: $4,138 – $4,148 (supply zone + trendline resistance)
• Targets: $4,125 → $4,115 → $4,098
• Stop Loss: Above $4,152
• Confirmation: Strong rejection candle or divergence on lower timeframes.
💥 Breakout Play:
• Bullish: Break & close above $4,150 → Targets $4,165 → $4,180
• Bearish: Break below $4,098 → Continuation toward $4,085 → $4,075
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5️⃣ Fundamental Watch
• Asia session expected to stay quiet ahead of key US CPI release tomorrow.
• USD Index (DXY) remains below 106.00, maintaining bullish sentiment for gold.
• Watch for remarks from Fed speakers later today for potential dollar volatility.
• Geopolitical risk remains neutral; risk-on sentiment could cap upside momentum until CPI confirmation.
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6️⃣ Key Technical Levels
Resistance: 4,138 / 4,148 / 4,165 / 4,180
Support: 4,115 / 4,098 / 4,085 / 4,075
Golden Zone: 4,129 – 4,117
Trendline Support: Extends from 4,072 through 4,115
EMA Structure: 20EMA above 50EMA; 100EMA aligning near 4,118 for confluence
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7️⃣ Analyst Summary
Gold maintains a controlled bullish environment while consolidating below short-term supply. The retracement toward $4,117–$4,115 offers a potential reload zone for continuation, provided the market holds above $4,098. Sellers remain weak unless a confirmed break below the Golden Zone occurs.
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8️⃣ Final Bias Summary
📊 Bias: Bullish-to-neutral above $4,115; bearish only below $4,098
🎯 Buy Interest Zone: $4,129–$4,117 (Golden Zone)
🛑 Invalidation: Below $4,098 (loss of bullish structure)
💡 Focus: Watch for CHoCH confirmation on 15M–5M before entering buys.
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🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 – PERFORMANCE 11/11/2025 🥇
📊 Another strong day combining precision entries, live scalps & long-term swings.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🪙 XAU/USD (GOLD)
🟢 BUY +110 PIPS
🟢 BUY +90 PIPS
🟢 BUY LIMIT +40 PIPS
🟢 BUY +40 PIPS
🟢 BUY +60 PIPS
❌ BUY -50 PIPS (SL)
🟢 BUY +280 PIPS
🟢 BUY +240 PIPS
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🎯 LIVE SESSION RESULTS
❌ BUY -40 PIPS (SL)
🟢 BUY +120 PIPS
🟢 BUY +60 PIPS
🟢 BUY +30 PIPS
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📈 SWING TRADE UPDATE (From 05/11)
🟩 Running Profit: +1,900 PIPS
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
💰 TOTAL DAILY GAIN: +980 PIPS
📊 12 Trades → 10 Wins | 2 SL
🎯 Accuracy: 83%
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🔥 Excellent performance with continued swing strength and live session precision.
👏 Congratulations if you profited! ✅✅✅🚀🚀🚀
— ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 Team 💼📈
Here we are — we’ve finally reached the correction targets.We’ve reached the correction targets — now I expect a slow and steady decline toward the second zone at 3813–3842. The move should be gradual, with controlled momentum.
Patience remains key. Watching for confirmation before adding positions.
XAUUSD – Gold Price Analysis | 4H Chart🧭 Market Overview
Gold continues to trade within a strong bullish momentum after breaking above the $4,083 resistance level, confirming short-term strength and pushing prices toward the current resistance area around $4,135–$4,160.
This region represents a critical decision zone, where the next move will likely determine the short- to medium-term direction of gold.
📊 Technical Structure
Key Support Zone: $4,005 – $4,045
Decision Zone (Current): $4,120 – $4,135
Resistance Levels: $4,160 → $4,185 → $4,205 → $4,285 → $4,365
The market recently closed multiple 4-hour candles above $4,083, confirming a strong bullish structure.
However, the current Resistance Zone ($4,135–$4,160) could trigger a temporary correction if price fails to maintain momentum above this range.
🧩 Potential Scenarios
Bullish Continuation:
If gold sustains 4H and daily closes above $4,135–$4,160,
momentum could accelerate toward $4,205, $4,285, and possibly $4,365–$4,380, which aligns with the previous historical peak.
Bearish Rejection / Correction:
If price fails to hold above $4,120–$4,135,
a pullback toward $4,085, $4,045, or $4,005 is likely before buyers attempt to regain control.
🔭 Outlook Summary
The zone between $4,120 and $4,135 remains the core decision area.
Holding above = continuation of bullish momentum.
Closing below = short-term correction phase.
Traders should monitor candle closes rather than quick spikes or wicks,
as false breakouts are common in such volatile conditions.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not represent financial advice or trading recommendations.
Always conduct your own research and risk management before entering the market.
Gold (XAU/USD) – Combined Daily & 1H AnalysisBias: Bullish continuation
Key Level to Watch: 4,083.33 USD
Gold continues to show strong bullish momentum following last week’s reversal from sub-4,000 zones. On the daily timeframe, price printed a clean bullish candle, confirming buyer dominance. The 1-hour chart reinforces this strength — despite short-term pullbacks, buyers are consistently defending higher lows above 4,041 and 4,083.
Technical Context
• Trend: Short-term uptrend with renewed bullish structure
• Daily Resistance zone: 4,100 – 4,150
• 1H Resistance zones: 4,097.66 → 4,101.80 → 4,110
• Support zones: 4,083 → 4,041
• Structure: Minor retracement within an ongoing breakout sequence; price holding firm above prior resistance now acting as intraday support
Trading Plan
Monitor 4,083 as the intraday decision level — a sustained hold above this zone supports continuation toward 4,101 and 4,150.
A close below 4,041 would signal weakening momentum and open the path for a short-term correction before potential re-entry opportunities emerge.
Watching the Supply Zone for a Potential ReversalPrice is currently pushing into a key supply area after a series of lower highs, showing potential for a reaction around the 4,208–4,246 zone. This region aligns with previous support-turned-resistance levels, making it an important area to watch for possible rejection or continuation.
If price respects this zone and fails to break above, a move back toward the 4,034–3,984 support area could unfold. However, a clean break and close above 4,246 would shift structure and open room for further upside. Patience and confirmation are key—waiting for price action to show intent helps maintain discipline and clarity.
XAUUSD – Gold Eyes a Breakout Above $4,030: Momentum Still Build🟢 XAUUSD | Gold Breakout Setup – Educational Analysis
Gold continues to show constructive price action following sustained bullish momentum across intraday timeframes. After a healthy consolidation phase, the market is now testing a critical resistance zone around $4,030.
A clean breakout and confirmed 1H close above $4,030 would signal renewed strength, aligning with the broader bullish structure observed on higher timeframes (4H & Daily).
🔹 Technical Outlook
The current structure suggests the potential for continuation toward higher liquidity zones if the breakout holds.
Sustained trading above $4,030 would confirm buyer control, invalidating the short-term correction phase.
📈 Trade Plan (Educational Setup)
Entry (Buy Stop): $4,030
Stop Loss (SL): $4,000
Take Profit Targets (TP):
TP1 → $4,060
TP2 → $4,090
TP3 → $4,120
TP4 → $4,150
TP5 → $4,180
TP6 → $4,210
💡 Analyst’s Commentary
This setup aims to capture the potential breakout continuation, with risk contained below the $4,000 psychological support.
Momentum confirmation on H1 and H4 closes will be key for trade validation.
Traders may consider partial profit-taking along the way and trailing stops to secure gains.
⚖️ Risk/Reward: ≈ 1 : 3.5
🕓 Timeframe: H1 – Short-Term Swing
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is shared for educational and research purposes only as part of Middle East Trading Academy’s ongoing market study.
It does not constitute financial advice or an investment recommendation.
Will stimulus checks add fuel to gold?With the announcement that Trump wants to give out $2,000 tariff "dividend" checks, which is nothing more than stimulus, will this provide the fuel for the next up leg for gold? Gold still has not yet tested the 0.382 fib or lower during this correction. An A-B-C move is still possible.
GOLD Breaks $4,000 | Weak Dollar + Safe-Haven DemandGold just smashed through the psychological $4,000 mark, currently at $4,000.29. This isn’t just a number—technically and fundamentally, the setup is bullish.
Chart Story (The “What”)
✅ Breakout: 4H chart shows a clean break above $4,000. This level is now key support.
✅ Demand Zone: Any pullback toward ~$3,950–$4,000 likely finds buyers.
✅ Target: Next major supply sits at $4,160, giving a clear R:R.
Fundamentals (The “Why”)
1. Weak US Dollar (DXY): Fed may pause/cut rates in 2024 → weaker USD → gold cheaper for global buyers.
2. Safe-Haven Flows: Geopolitical tension + economic uncertainty → investors flocking to gold.
Trade Plan
Bias: Bullish
Entry: Pullback ~$3,950–$4,000
TP1: $4,080
TP2: $4,160
SL: Daily close below $3,910 → bullish structure invalidated
Watch For:
DXY recovery due to hawkish Fed or strong US data could push gold below $3,910 → deeper correction likely.
Bottom Line:
Break above $4,000 is solid. Pullbacks are healthy, but momentum favors a run toward $4,160. Keep an eye on DXY and risk sentiment.
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Continue to watch for SELL at the ...LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Continue to watch for SELL at the start of the week – wait for price to retrace to the trendline & resistance for a perfect entry
Gold is experiencing a sharp decline as the global market faces liquidity pressure. The simultaneous drop in gold, stocks, and Bitcoin indicates that money is being pulled out of risky assets and even safe havens, similar to tense periods like the 2008 crisis or the early 2020 pandemic. Investors are selling profitable assets to cover losses elsewhere.
In the long term, gold typically recovers sooner, but in the short term, the downtrend still prevails.
On H1, the price is below the descending trendline, under the 4100 resistance, and is moving in a clear Lower High – Lower Low structure. This is a good signal to continue prioritizing SELL orders retracing to resistance.
🔍 Technical Analysis (Trendline • S/R • Fibonacci • Liquidity)
The descending trendline is the biggest barrier; each time the price touches the trendline, it is strongly rejected.
Main Resistance:
4098–4100: resistance zone + confluence with trendline.
4120–4130: stronger zone if price retraces deeply (close to Fibo 0.382).
Target Support:
4065: intermediate support – where the price has bounced slightly several times before.
4040 – 4025: large liquidity zone – confluence with the bottom of FVG H1.
3985–3995: the end zone of the down wave if selling pressure expands.
Liquidity Zone:
Many liquidity sweep bottoms continuously → indicating selling pressure still prevails.
The lower FVG zone (around 4025–4040) is highly likely to be filled this week.
📉 Trading Scenario (prioritize SELL retrace)
Scenario – SELL retrace to trendline + resistance (priority)
Entry: 4098–4100
SL: 4106
TP: 4088 → 4065 → 4040 → 4025
💡 Suggestion: Wait for M5–M15 to form a rejection candle (pin bar / bearish engulfing) before executing the order.
When to BUY?
Only BUY if:
H1 closes a candle above 4120, breaking the descending trendline → short-term trend phase change.
If this signal is not present → do not rush to buy against the trend.
⚠️ Important Note
The phenomenon of “selling everything to hold cash” may continue → gold may continue to face pressure in the short term.
Which price zone are you watching for today's session?
Comment below & Follow LiamTrading channel for the fastest updates!
Gold Technical Rebound to FVG, Prioritise WATCHING FOR SELL at 4📊 Market Structure
Gold has completed a strong decline from the peak of 4.21x, leaving consecutive Break of Structure (BoS), confirming a short-term bearish structure.
The drop through the Breakout zone of 4.10x indicates a dominant selling force.
Currently, the price is bouncing from the Premium Zone 4.05x, aligning with the technical rebound behaviour after a strong sell-off.
The BUY side is merely pulling the price back to the abandoned liquidity zones (FVG 4.12x – 4.15x) before the SELL side can regain control.
The upper FVG zone is where the price often returns to fill after a steep fall. This is also the confluence zone between:
FVG (Fair Value Gap)
Old candle body Breaker
Fibonacci Premium
→ The risk of selling at these zones is very high.
💎 Key Technical Zones
Rebound zone for Sell
FVG 1: 4.101 – 4.126
FVG 2 (Strong Confluence): 4.126 – 4.150
Support zone – target to hit
Premium Zone $$$: 4.050 – 4.052
Lower FVG: 4.030 – 4.035
High probability price scenario: Rebound to FVG → reaction → continue to decline to 4.03x.
🎯 Trading Plan – Prioritise SELL
1️⃣ SELL Setup – High Probability
Wait for price to rebound to the above FVG zones:
Entry SELL:
4.118 – 4.126
Can add orders at higher: 4.140 – 4.150
Stop-loss: above 4.158
TP1: 4.101
TP2: 4.050
TP3: 4.030
✔️ This is a trend-following setup, selling at premium, adhering to SMC principles.
✔️ The current price is just beginning the rebound, not yet meeting BUY conditions.
2️⃣ BUY Setup – Only activate on deep Discount
Entry BUY: 4.030 – 4.035 (Lower FVG)
SL: below 4.020
TP: 4.070 – 4.100
→ BUY is only for counter-trend traders and must wait for a clear discount.
🧠 Vincent’s View
The market is in a distribution – decline phase, every rebound aims to pull liquidity.
As long as the price does not close above 4.150, SELL remains the optimal strategy for the day.
Observe closely when the price hits 4.12x – 4.15x, this is a “high-risk” zone for the BUY side and a “great opportunity” for the SELL side.
“Sell where the liquidity lives — that’s where institutions strike.” ⚜️
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Update: 17/11/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
The gold price correction is not over yet! Short gold.Last week, gold experienced a breathtaking rollercoaster ride. At the opening bell, gold prices surged and held firm above the psychological level of $4,000. Bulls, like galloping steeds, launched a new and fierce offensive, once aiming for the historical high set last month, reaching a peak of around $4,245. The market seemed to be ignited with the flames of a raging bull market. A series of hawkish signals from Federal Reserve officials, their words like thunderclaps, shook the market, abruptly cooling sentiment. Gold prices plummeted, erasing all previous gains, and ultimately closed around $4,085, leaving a trail of disappointment.
The gold market has been caught in a period of intense volatility due to the uncertainty surrounding Federal Reserve policies and a lack of US economic data, leaving both bulls and bears relentlessly battered. Such extreme two-way fluctuations were nothing short of a brutal baptism for traders, especially those investors who habitually blindly bought the dip and ignored stop-loss discipline, who suffered heavy losses. Here I solemnly remind you: when the market is turbulent and the direction is unclear, do not rush into the market. It is better to observe the situation calmly, watch more and act less, and always face every breath and pulse of the market with a sense of awe. Regarding trading strategies!
Regarding trading strategy:
I plan to place short orders in batches within the 4075-4095 range, waiting for the gold price to weaken during a rebound. The key support level to watch is the 4030-4050 area. If this level is breached, gold may begin a new downward trend, heading towards a deeper technical correction.
The above are my personal thoughts! If they are helpful to you or your ideas align with mine, please like and follow to show your support! All strategies have a limited lifespan, so while referring to them, you should also closely monitor market changes. I will also respond flexibly based on actual market fluctuations, and I will announce specifics in the channel!
GOLD MARKET BREAKDOWNAfter the bears at the close of last week's candle, which saw gold dip to 4020's, this dip was merely a liqiuidity sweep to enable gold create a new hedge .
This week's candle opens bullish, a breakout from 4105 would enable our bullish stance and aid more market confluence. Mid trend as first target - if market reacts and if it doesn't, we break past through
......Note thats this is an overview analysis and there may be few changes as the market forms its primary zones, further insights would be given as the market unfolds
XAU/USD Weekly Plan – Rebound or Breakdown? Key Levels AheadGold experienced a sharp pullback from last week’s 4234 resistance, dropping aggressively on Friday into the 4027 support level before finding temporary support around the 200MA.
Buyers now face early resistance between 4115–4170. A clean break above 4170 would signal that bulls are regaining control, opening the way for a move toward 4232 → 4285.
If price fails to reclaim 4115, we may see another leg lower. A breakdown below 4053 would expose the support zone , with deeper downside risk toward the HTF Support Zone if bearish pressure strengthens.
📌Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
4115
4170
4232
4285
Support:
4078
4053
4027
3996
3968
3921
🔎Fundamental focus:
As the U.S. government reopens for business, all attention will now turn toward when critical data on employment, inflation, and other key economic indicators will be released.
XAUUSD - Weak Reiection at Premium Zone, Looking for Deeper Liqu"Gold is showing a weak reaction from the premium zone on the 30m chart. Price is failing to hold above the value area and is sliding back toward the lower liquidity pocket. My main scenario is a retracement toward the liquidity pool below 4,020, where a deeper sweep could occur before any meaningful reversal. Watching for displacement confirmation around that zone."
Resonant Supports + Stabilized Patterns, Clear Rebound SignalsTechnical Analysis: Resonant Supports + Stabilized Patterns, Clear Rebound Signals
(I) Key Price Levels & Structural Supports
$4,080 boasts three layers of technical support simultaneously: first, the critical support of the 20-day moving average, which has successfully stabilized after multiple tests; second, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the August-October uptrend, falling within a reasonable pullback range after a strong rally; third, the lower edge of the previous $4,100-$4,130 consolidation platform, where market trading is dense with robust buying absorption. The strong support below is $4,050 (the middle band of the daily Bollinger Bands), and in extreme cases, it may pull back to the $4,000 psychological level. Overall, the pullback space is limited, with the upside risk-reward ratio superior to the downside.
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(II) Volume & Indicator Verification
During the gold price pullback from $4,140 to $4,080, trading volume continued to shrink. The 1-hour volume dropped by more than 50% compared to the rally period, indicating limited selling pressure and a healthy technical pullback.The daily RSI indicator remains in the neutral-to-strong range of 50, not entering the oversold zone. The MACD lines are still above the zero axis, and although the red bars have contracted, no death cross has formed, maintaining the intact long-term upward structure.On the weekly chart, the MACD red bars are moderately expanding, and the RSI shows no bearish divergence—confirming that the medium-to-long-term uptrend remains unchanged, with the short-term pullback merely a correction within the trend.
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(III) Distribution of Resistance Levels
The first resistance above is $4,130 (the upper edge of the previous consolidation platform + 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level). The second resistance is the $4,180-$4,200 range (psychological level + upper track of the ascending channel). A breakthrough above $4,130 will open up a smooth upward space.
Next week's gold trading strategy
buy:4065-4075
tp:4085-4100-4120
sl:4055






















