xauusd 4h🔹 Overall Outlook and Potential Price Movements
In the charts above, we have outlined the overall outlook and possible price movement paths.
As shown, each analysis highlights a key support or resistance zone near the current market price. The market’s reaction to these zones — whether a breakout or rejection — will likely determine the next direction of the price toward the specified levels.
⚠️ Important Note:
The purpose of these trading perspectives is to identify key upcoming price levels and assess potential market reactions. The provided analyses are not trading signals in any way.
✅ Recommendation for Use:
To make effective use of these analyses, it is advised to manually draw the marked zones on your chart. Then, on the 15-minute time frame, monitor the candlestick behavior and look for valid entry triggers before making any trading decisions.
Trade ideas
GOLD → Consolidation is narrowing... Price is weakening FX:XAUUSD is trading near $4,000, consolidating after the Fed's statements and awaiting new macro data. The trading range has narrowed to $3,886–4,046, forming a symmetrical triangle (unpredictability)
Fed caution: Powell ruled out guarantees of a rate cut in December, which supported the dollar and limited gold's growth.
US shutdown: Could become the longest in history, causing economic concerns, but is expected to end this week.
Weak data: ISM Manufacturing PMI (48.7) pointed to contraction in the sector, which is holding back the dollar's strengthening.
This week, attention is focused on ADP and ISM Services — assessing the impact on Fed rates.
NFP (if published) — a key benchmark for the labor market.
Accordingly, gold is in wait-and-see mode. Clear signals from the data or the Fed will be needed to break out of the range. The $4000 level remains a psychological equilibrium point.
Resistance levels: 4000, 4030, 4050
Support levels: 3956, 3915, 3900
At the moment, the price is far from the key consolidation boundaries, and the market is uncertain. In this case, we are considering trading within the channel. I expect to see a retest of the flat resistance or the triangle boundary and a rebound.
Best regards, R. Linda!
ANFIBO | XAUUSD - Stuck in Sideway channel [11.6.2025]Hi guys, Anfibo's here!
XAUUSD Analysis – Daily Trading Plan
Overall Picture:
At present, OANDA:XAUUSD is moving sideways within a well-defined H1 channel, showing signs of short-term consolidation after recent volatility. The market is currently lacking a clear directional bias, as both buyers and sellers are testing the upper and lower bounds of this intraday structure. Such conditions often favor range-trading strategies, where precision and timing become crucial for capturing short bursts of momentum.
In this context, our plan today remains straightforward and tactical — trade directly off the trendlines of the channel. In other words, we will look to buy at the lower boundary of the range and sell near the upper boundary, while also being prepared to switch positions if a breakout occurs in either direction.
Trading Plan for Today:
>>> SELL ZONE:
(1) ENTRY: 4015 - 4025
SL: 4030
TP: 4050
(2) ENTRY: 4060 - 4080
SL: 4090
TP: 4000 - 3955
Risk Management:
- Stick to small-to-medium positions within the range; increase size only on confirmed breakouts.
- Keep stops tight, as sideways phases tend to trigger false signals.
- Maintain Risk:Reward ≥ 1:2 and avoid overtrading in choppy conditions.
- Reassess bias once the H1 channel is clearly broken.
Conclusion:
Gold is currently in a sideways consolidation phase within its H1 channel, awaiting fresh catalysts to determine direction. Until a decisive breakout occurs, the most effective approach is range trading — buying near support, selling near resistance, and reacting dynamically to any confirmed breakout.
The plan today is simple yet strategic:
Patience and discipline will be key to capitalizing on this quiet yet potentially explosive setup.
HAVE A NICE DAY, GUYS!
Gold Price Breakout Above Trendline Targets 3980 Gold (XAU/USD) is showing bullish momentum, breaking above the trendline resistance around 4000. Price is currently near 4008, with potential pullback targets around 3980 and 3965 if retracement occurs. Trend remains positive above the rising trendline.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (Week 2, November 2025)🔹 Momentum
W1 timeframe:
Weekly momentum is approaching the oversold zone, suggesting a high probability of a bullish reversal within the next 1–2 weeks. Once confirmed, this could mark the beginning of a new medium- to long-term uptrend.
D1 timeframe:
Daily momentum is moving toward the overbought area. During the first 1–2 trading days of the week (starting Monday), there is a strong likelihood of a downward reversal. If that occurs, the price may enter a short corrective phase to bring D1 momentum back to the oversold zone.
When both D1 and W1 momentums turn upward together from oversold levels, it would signal the potential start of a new bullish trend.
H4 timeframe:
H4 momentum is currently declining, suggesting a possible short-term drop during the Asian session. However, since price is being compressed within the major liquidity zone (POC) highlighted on the chart, the next direction remains unclear. It’s best to wait for a clear breakout beyond this liquidity area before confirming the next move.
________________________________________
🔹 Wave Structure
W1 timeframe:
The larger structure remains within wave (4) in yellow. With weekly momentum nearing oversold territory, wave (4) is likely to complete within the next 1–2 weeks, paving the way for the development of wave (5).
D1 timeframe:
The market is currently deep within the corrective phase of wave (4) in yellow, forming a W–X–Y pattern in purple.
• Wave W (purple) has been completed.
• Price is now likely forming wave X. Once wave X finishes, a downward move to complete wave Y is expected.
Wave W has already reached the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of wave (3), meaning the minimum price objective for wave (4) has been met. When price achieves its target quickly, Elliott theory suggests the structure often extends sideways to complete in terms of time rather than depth.
A notable possibility:
• Wave W is complete.
• Wave X may have finished as a three-wave a-b-c correction (black).
• Wave Y may now be evolving as a contracting triangle (a-b-c-d-e).
This scenario will be reinforced if D1 momentum moves into the oversold zone simultaneously with a bullish reversal on W1, while price holds above 3897.
H4 timeframe:
Since D1 momentum is likely to turn downward soon, the primary short-term bias remains toward the W–X–Y structure shown on the chart.
Price is currently oscillating around the POC (Point of Control – green line), the highest liquidity area.
Price is approaching this POC from below while both D1 and H4 momentums are near reversal points — signaling potential for another short-term decline to complete wave y.
The 4038 and 4145 zones act as strong resistances and could serve as potential completion points for wave X (purple).
At present, wave X is consolidating within a triangle pattern. Since triangles typically form through contracting, overlapping waves, it’s essential to wait for a clear breakout candle above or below the triangle to determine the next trend direction.
________________________________________
🔹 Trading Plan
In the short term, avoid opening new positions while the price remains within the compression zone.
It’s recommended to observe Monday’s market open for a confirmed breakout direction — once clarity appears, a more precise and safer trading plan can be established.
Gold Daily chart towards 4500!1). The pattern suggests a rise to the 200% Fib. level! 2). The Bullish move has a steep pitch, which indicates strong momentum! 3). Wave 2 was simple, wave 4 complex, which fits the scenario! 4). Price broke trend resistance! 5). Economic Fundamentals appear to be favoring a Bullish bias!
XAUUSD Daily timeframe projectionWhat to expect from Gold till end of the year.....
Exhausted buyers and unloaded positions are responsible for this correction. No pessimism but don't expect a ATH soon... price will retest 4300 area then sweep the low and market will accumulate all along... stay safe!!
gold await breakout before entry#XAUUSD price still bullish until the 4019.9 breakout occurs which will target 4029 for bearish reverse.
Buy stop on short, 4019.9, target 4029, stop loss 4010. Sell from 4029 target 3991-3067.
Below 4002 on 2 times breakout hold strong bearish continuation, target 3967.
If H1 on above 4035 closure after 4029 breakout price is full bullish till 4060-70
LiamTrading – Gold compressed at the triangle peak; watch for...LiamTrading – Gold compressed at the triangle peak; watch for a break at 4020 (H2)
After a week of accumulation, the price is pressing into the triangle peak between the descending trendline (from late October) and the ascending trendline (from 11/5). The advantage will lean towards an increase if 4020 is broken and sustained.
Technical Analysis (priority H2, Volume Profile – Trendline – S/R – Fibonacci)
Trendline & Structure
The descending trendline is blocking the recovery waves; the ascending trendline supports the adjustment waves.
Closing the H2 candle above the confluence zone ~4020 will confirm a clear upward movement.
Support / Resistance (S/R)
Main support: 3970–3972 (swing low & “Key level Support”).
Decision zone: 4014–4020 (break–retest zone).
Resistance: 4045 (medium-term), 4050 (supply for scalp orders), upper band 4105–4110.
Volume Profile (recent session / composite)
POC magnet: 4015–4017 → likely to have profit-taking/fluctuations; staying above POC turns this area into a launchpad.
LVN: around 4020 → beautiful break-and-go; failing to hold often pulls back to 4015/4010.
Fibonacci Extension (H2 swing)
1.618 coincides with 4045–4050 → first upward target.
2.272/2.618 creates a liquidity zone 4095–4110 → area may weaken/strong profit-taking.
Today's Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Buy on breakout
Entry: 4020–4022 after closing above trendline + retest holding 4018–4020
SL: 4014
TP: 4045 → 4070 → 4100–4110
Management: Take partial profit at 4045; move SL to break-even when reaching +1R. Staying above 4020 turns POC 4015–4017 into support.
Scenario 1b – Buy on pullback (before breakout, cautious volume)
Entry: 3998–4002 (“400x”) when there is an upward reaction at the ascending trendline
SL: 3988
TP: 4017 → 4045
Note: H2 closes below 3988 → cancel the order.
Scenario 2 – Sell scalp at resistance
Entry: 4048–4052 (confluence of Fibo 1.618 + supply zone)
SL: 4056
TP: 4040 → 4030 → 4020
Note: This is counter-trend. Ignore if H2 closes strongly above 4052.
Summary
The upward bias is confirmed when breaking–holding 4020, opening targets 4045 → 4070 → 4100+. Before that signal, trade within the range respecting POC 4015–4017 and ceiling 4045/4050. Risk per order 0.5–1%, move SL to BE when reaching +1R.
technical analysis for your chart on Gold (XAU/USDEUREX:FDAX1! EUREX:FDXS1! EUREX:FDXM1! ICEEUR:NCF1! ICEEUR:Z1! ICEEUR:RC1! EUREX:FGBX1! EUREX:FXXP1! ICEEUR:R1! ICEEUR:SOA1! Current Price: $4,002
Trend Structure: The pair is showing a potential reversal setup after a completed downward channel.
Recent Pattern: Price has broken slightly above the descending channel and is now retesting the breakout zone around the support level ($3,950–$3,980).
🔹 Key Technical Levels
Support Zone: $3,940 – $3,980
→ Strong accumulation area shown by multiple rejections and previous demand.
Immediate Resistance: $4,080 – $4,120
→ Minor resistance expected as the first hurdle after breakout.
Major Resistance (Target): $4,385
→ Marked as the final bullish target on the chart.
📈 Bullish Scenario
If price sustains above $4,000, we can expect:
A short-term retest of $4,080–$4,120.
Once momentum confirms above $4,120, bullish continuation toward $4,200 → $4,385 (main target).
✅ Buy Confirmation:
Break and close above $4,050 with volume.
Retest of $4,000 zone followed by bullish rejection candle.
🎯 Bullish Targets:
TP1: $4,080
TP2: $4,200
TP3: $4,385
📉 Bearish Scenario
If price rejects $4,000 and closes below the support zone ($3,950):
Downside may resume toward $3,880 – $3,820 range.
That would invalidate the bullish breakout and confirm channel continuation.
🚫 Sell Trigger:
3H close below $3,940.
🎯 Bearish Targets:
TP1: $3,880
TP2: $3,820
📊 Conclusion
Structure is shifting from bearish to bullish after a channel breakout.
The $3,950–$4,000 area is key — a stronghold for bulls.
Expect a bullish rally if support holds, targeting $4,385 in the medium term.
GOLD/XAUUSD BUY SIDE ENTRYWill be looking to buy gold. Gold already went down for past week and is showing signs of support around 3930 current level. If gold wants to come down it has to reach 4130 area first, consolidate and then can come down to further downside. If somehow gold surpass 4130 area. i will be looking to buy more after it break and retest 4130-4150 area.
"Short-selling is correct" - Gold consolidation awaits breakout.Gold prices have indeed been somewhat sluggish recently, fluctuating repeatedly within a range. While this volatility can be agonizing, it reflects the market's rhythm. In terms of trading, avoid blindly chasing highs and lows. If you're bearish, don't chase the market down. Patiently wait for a rebound and resistance before entering a position. The recent market rhythm is very clear: sharp rallies are prone to pullbacks, and sharp drops are prone to rebounds – typical characteristics of a range-bound market. Our trading advice remains clear: focus on the 4010-4030 area. If a rebound fails to break through resistance, continue shorting, building positions in batches and proceeding steadily. We have repeatedly emphasized that gold is currently in a range-bound, slightly bearish adjustment phase, with the overall center of gravity continuing to shift downwards. Short-term rallies do not signify a reversal, and so-called signals are often just bull traps. High-level rebounds remain a good opportunity to establish short positions. Market conditions can change rapidly, but there are always patterns to follow. Don't be misled by appearances; look at the underlying logic and structure. Gold is still in a downward continuation phase. Rebounds present opportunities, while false breakouts pose risks. Gold prices fell as expected. Although we exited early and missed the lowest point, a steady exit is a victory in itself. Trading is never about who is more greedy, but about who knows how to control the pace better.
Market volatility, trade steadily.#XAUUSD TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
As mentioned last night, gold prices failed to break below the important short-term support level of 3965, so we maintain our bullish view. Although the intraday volatility was not high, the consolidation process can be seen as gold accumulating positions in the short term. Market breakout requires patience. Currently, the daily MA5 and MA10 moving averages are converging around 3980, which is also where the 4-hour middle band is located. The key resistance level in the short term is in the 4015-4030 area. A break above this level could lead to further gains towards 4050-4080.
It's important to be cautious given the recent volatile market with poor continuity. Therefore, even if a breakout occurs today, it is not advisable to rush to buy. Instead, wait for a pullback before entering the market to avoid being trapped by blindly chasing highs. The 3980-3965range remains the ideal entry point for bulls. Maintaining patience is always a key element in trading.
XAUUSD $4025 RESISTANCE NEXT?This chart displays the price action of **Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD)** on an **Hourly (1h)** timeframe.
## 📈 Technical Analysis: XAU/USD
The price has been in a **consolidative or choppy phase** following a significant prior downtrend, primarily trading within a larger range defined by a **Support zone** around the **\$3,918 - \$3,925** area and a **Resistance zone** near **\$4,020 - \$4,030**.
Within this range, price action appears to have formed a **Descending Channel** (indicated by the dashed lines), suggesting a short-term bearish bias or continued correction within the broader consolidation. However, more recently, the price has broken out of the upper boundary of this descending channel.
Following the channel breakout, the price has entered a **tight, upward-sloping consolidation**, possibly forming a small **bullish flag or pennant pattern** (indicated by the solid, inner trendlines). The current candle is breaking above the upper trendline of this smaller pattern, suggesting a potential continuation move to the upside.
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## 🎯 Price Projection
Given the breakout from both the descending channel and the smaller bullish consolidation pattern, the immediate projection is **bullish**. The target for this move is the test of the main **Resistance zone** established at **\$4,020 - \$4,030**.
* **Potential Target:** The analysis highlights a specific target around **\$4,040.5**, which represents a **1.17%** move from a breakout point and aligns with the upper boundary of the key resistance zone.
* **Validation:** Continued strength and sustained trading above the breakout level (around **\$3,980**) would reinforce this bullish projection.
* **Invalidation:** A decisive move back below the current consolidation area and the upper line of the descending channel (roughly below **\$3,960 - \$3,970**) would invalidate the immediate bullish bias and suggest a return to the broader ranging behavior or a retest of the support zone.
The overall context remains range-bound, meaning a successful test of the $\mathbf{\$4,020}$ $\mathbf{-}$ $\mathbf{\$4,030}$ **Resistance** could lead to another move back down unless there is a strong, sustained breakout above it.
Would you like me to search for fundamental news that might be impacting the price of Gold right now?
Latest Gold Analysis and Trading Strategies:
I. Fundamental Analysis
1. Safe-Haven Sentiment Supports Gold Prices
The prolonged U.S. government shutdown has sparked concerns about its economic impact. Combined with weakness in global stock markets (especially in tech and AI-related shares), market risk appetite has cooled, leading some capital to flow into defensive assets like gold.
Signs of a cooling labor market have intensified investor concerns about the economic outlook, further driving safe-haven demand for gold.
2. Monetary Policy Expectations Capping Gold's Upside
The market's reassessment of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy outlook has resulted in a lack of strong follow-through buying for gold, limiting its upward potential.
Recent economic data and cautious statements from policymakers have kept the market in a wait-and-see mode, leading gold to maintain a range-bound pattern in the short term.
II. Technical Analysis
1. Weekly and Daily Chart Structure
The weekly chart closed with a bullish doji candlestick, indicating a balance of power between bulls and bears. The price is consolidating within the familiar range of $3928 - $4030.
A break above the $4030 resistance could open the door for further upside, targeting $4075 - $4100. A break below the $3928 support could lead to a decline towards the previous low near $3887.
2. Short-Term Signals
4-Hour Chart: A small ascending triangle pattern is forming. The price is facing temporary resistance around $4030, but the K-line is gradually moving above the short-term moving averages, suggesting a slightly bullish bias in the near term.
1-Hour Chart: The previous short-term uptrend has been broken. The $4030 level now acts as key resistance, with immediate support located at $3965. Monitor volume changes closely, as a significant increase in volume could signal an impending trend reversal.
III. Gold Trading Strategy
Trading Approach:
Primary Strategy: Focus on buying on dips, with selling on rallies as a secondary tactic.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 4030 - 4050
Support: 3970 - 3950
Detailed Plan:
1. Long Strategy (Buying)
Look to enter long positions in batches if the price stabilizes within the 3970-3950 range.
Set a stop loss below 3940.
Take profit targets at 4030 and then 4050.
If the price strongly breaks above 4030, consider entering a light long position, targeting 4070-4100.
2. Short Strategy (Selling)
Consider light short positions if the price faces resistance in the 4030-4050 range.
Set a stop loss above 4060.
Take profit targets at 3980-3960.
If the price breaks directly below 3928, consider entering a short position on a pullback, targeting 3900-3887.
Risk Warning:
Closely monitor developments regarding the U.S. government shutdown, signals from the Federal Reserve, and changes in global market risk sentiment.
Be cautious of potential acceleration in the trend if there is a significant increase in trading volume accompanying a breakout from the current range.
IV. Summary
Gold is currently trading within a short-term consolidation range between 3928 and 4030. Fundamental safe-haven support and pressure from monetary policy expectations are creating a tug-of-war. The recommended trading approach is to primarily buy near support and sell near resistance within this range, then follow the breakout direction if key levels are breached. Implement strict risk management and remain flexible to adapt to news-driven market movements.
XAUUSD – Weekly Trade Plan(Nov 10 → Nov 14, 2025)
Bias: Neutral–Bullish, focusing on reaction zones between key supply and demand levels.
🌐 MARKET CONTEXT
Overview: After a strong rally earlier in Q4, Gold is now consolidating around the $4,000 zone, reflecting the tug-of-war between Fed rate-cut expectations and upcoming U.S. inflation data (CPI & PPI).
Sentiment: Current sentiment leans slightly risk-off, as U.S. yields remain elevated, but safe-haven demand for Gold persists.
Expectations: The market is likely to remain range-bound / corrective until a clear macro catalyst appears.
Main Bias: Prioritize selling from supply zones and buying from demand zones, but always wait for structural confirmation (CHoCH / BOS) before entering.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (SMC + Liquidity Structure)
Structure: The market is moving in a sideways H4 range between 3,930 and 4,130.
Liquidity focus:
Above 4,130: Cluster of buy-side liquidity — potential for stop-hunt sweeps.
Below 3,930: Sell-side liquidity, untested low area.
Pattern outlook:
The 4,046–4,052 area has been tested twice, forming a potential mini-distribution zone.
The 3,928–3,930 demand zone remains untested — a possible liquidity sweep before rebound.
SMC Logic:
A fake BOS / sweep above 4,130 could trigger a strong short setup.
A sweep below 3,930 + CHoCH bullish could confirm a long setup.
🔑 KEY PRICE ZONES
Price Zone Type Description
4,130–4,128 🔻 SELL Zone #1 Major D1 supply zone & liquidity cluster above the range
4,046–4,044 🔻 SELL Zone #2 OB + POC + liquidity trap near previous highs
3,930–3,928 🟩 BUY Zone #1 H4 demand zone + SSL sweep potential
3,922 ⚠️ Stop Threshold Below this, short-term bullish bias invalidated
4,052 / 4,136 🧱 Stoploss Levels Corresponding stops for each sell setup
⚙️ TRADE SETUPS
✅ SELL SCENARIO 1 – HIGH SUPPLY (SWEEP ABOVE RANGE)
Entry: 4,130 – 4,128
Stoploss: 4,136
TP1: 4,046
TP2: 3,995
TP3: 3,930
Logic: Liquidity sweep above the range high, targeting distribution reaction from major supply.
✅ SELL SCENARIO 2 – RANGE SUPPLY REJECTION
Entry: 4,046 – 4,044
Stoploss: 4,052
TP1: 4,000
TP2: 3,930
TP3: 3,928
Logic: OB + VAL + liquidity confluence at top of range; wait for M5 CHoCH confirmation before entering.
✅ BUY SCENARIO – MAIN STRUCTURAL SUPPORT SWEEP
Entry: 3,930 – 3,928
Stoploss: 3,922
TP1: 3,995
TP2: 4,044
TP3: 4,128 (trail)
Logic: Sweep of SSL below previous low → bullish CHoCH confirmation → ideal Smart Money demand entry.
🧠 NOTES / SESSION PLAN
Focus on London session for potential buy setups near 3,930–3,928.
Watch New York session for sell setups at 4,046–4,128, especially if price sweeps liquidity first.
Avoid entering during major CPI / PPI news releases.
Use M5–M15 confirmations (CHoCH, FVG fill) before execution.
Avoid overtrading — wait for clear structural confirmation to reduce stop-hunt risk.
🏁 CONCLUSION
Gold continues to range between 3,930 ↔ 4,130, showing no clear breakout yet.
Primary setups:
Sell from 4,046–4,128, with stops at 4,052 / 4,136.
Buy from 3,930–3,928, with stop at 3,922.
Strategy: Trade both ends of the range with structure confirmation; avoid trading inside equilibrium.
For this week, focus on buy-the-dip below 3,930 and sell-the-rally between 4,046–4,130.
Gold trapping both Buyers and SellersTechnical analysis: As I announced possible Selling correction on Gold however Short and Medium-term remains Bullish, Price-action has recovered half of the opening losses on the E.U. session opening as DX was taking big Daily candle hit. However the rise is still not proportional as Bond Yields and global futures are still on Lower levels. This leads me to believe that on the Short-term, there is a stronger connection of Gold to DX, rather than Bond Yields, so I will keep an eye for pressure zones on DX. Technically the Daily chart was isolated within broken / former Descending Channel on it’s Lower High’s, as Resistance has to break since last couple occasions it provided rejection twice (#4,027.80). I am expecting strong move to take place throughout next week. Despite the Bullish Fundamental outcome on announcements last week, Gold continues to Trade near the #2-Week High’s. This indicates that last week's aggressive Buy-off on DX was largely a pre-pricing of those Fed Rate numbers. What's obvious, as the current week will come to a close, is that the consolidation since Friday’s session is just above the Daily chart’s Support Zone (#3,964.80 - #3,977.80) which lifts the probabilities for an aggressive Buying sequence ahead, especially as Weekly chart (#1W) remains marginally Bullish.
My position: I have Traded Scalp orders mostly throughout yesterday’s session Buying #4,005.80 on multiple occasions towards #4,015.80 and #3,992.80 aggressively towards #4,000.80 benchmark. I have Bought #3,964.80 as well as I maintain Buying every dips strategy. I have accumulated enough Profits this week and will not Trade today, comfortably taking early weekend break
XAU/USD – Gold Retests FVG Preparing for a New Uptrend, Target..📊 Market Structure
Gold has officially broken the bearish structure (BoS + ChoCH) by surpassing the 4,025 USD zone, confirming a significant shift in market momentum.
Following a series of consecutive BoS and a break of the downtrend line, the price is entering a balanced retest phase (FVG 4,030 – 4,040 USD) .
As long as the price maintains above the 4,020 USD support zone, the bullish structure remains intact, and it is expected to target the Liquidity Zone 4,070 – 4,090 USD , further extending to the Order Block 4,118 – 4,125 USD .
💎 Key Technical Zones
• FVG Retest Zone: 4,030 – 4,040 USD
• Trendline Support: around 4,000 USD
• Liquidity Zone: 4,070 – 4,090 USD
• Final Target (OB): 4,118 – 4,125 USD
🎯 Trading Plan
1️⃣ BUY Setup #1 – Main FVG Retest
If the price retraces to the FVG zone of 4,030 – 4,040 USD and forms a bullish confirmation signal (bullish candle / rejection wick):
• Entry: 4,033 – 4,038
• SL: 4,020
• TP1: 4,070
• TP2: 4,090
• TP3: 4,120
→ Enter at the “discount” zone after the market absorbs liquidity.
2️⃣ BUY Setup #2 – Defensive (deep trendline retest)
If the price slightly sweeps the small OB zone around the trendline:
• Entry: 3,998 – 4,004
• SL: 3,985
• TP1: 4,070
• TP2: 4,120
→ The structure remains intact, this entry has a high RR, suitable for mid-term swing.
⚠️ Invalidation:
• If the price closes an H1 candle below 3,985 USD → the short-term uptrend is invalidated.
🧠 Vincent’s View
The buyers are fully controlling the H1 structure after breaking the downtrend line that lasted nearly 2 weeks.
The price is likely to complete the FVG – trendline – breakout retest before continuing to expand towards the liquidity peak of 4,120 USD.
This is the “buy-the-dip” strategic phase for this week.
“Smart money buys the discount while everyone waits for confirmation.” ⚜️🟡
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Updated: 11/10/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
Buy the God Damn Dip in the GOLD end of a U.S. government shutdown can influence the price of gold, but it depends on the broader market context and investor sentiment before and after the shutdown.
Historically, during government shutdowns, gold prices often rise because investors seek safe-haven assets amid fiscal uncertainty. For example, during shutdowns in 2013 and 2018-2019, gold experienced gains driven by uncertainty and risk aversion. However, once the shutdown ends and political resolution becomes clear, the "crisis premium" embedded in gold prices tends to evaporate. This often leads to selling pressure on gold, with prices sometimes falling back below pre-shutdown levels as certainty returns and investors rotate capital toward more growth-oriented assets.






















