GOLD – Educational Sell Setup
(For learning purposes only — not financial advice)
📍Entry Zone: 4017 – 4020
🎯 Targets:
• TP1 → 4000
• TP2 → 3990
• TP3 → 3980
• TP4 → Open
❌ Stop-Loss: 4030
⚠️ Risk Management: Always manage your risk wisely — this setup is shared for educational study only.
💡 Tip: Use smaller lot sizes on initial entries to control exposure.
Trade ideas
Emotional Discipline and Risk Control in Trading🧠 1. Why Emotional Discipline Matters
Emotional discipline means sticking to your plan regardless of fear or greed.
Markets are designed to test your patience, confidence, and decision-making. Every losing trade tempts you to change your system — but consistency wins.
✅ Key habits of emotionally disciplined traders:
They accept losses without revenge trading.
They follow rules, not impulses.
They manage expectations — no trade will make them rich overnight.
💰 2. Risk Control — Protect Before You Profit
Your risk management defines your survival. Successful traders think in probabilities, not certainties. They never risk too much on one idea.
📏 Golden Rules of Risk Control:
Risk 1–2% of your capital per trade.
Always use a stop-loss, never a “mental” one.
Define your R:R ratio (minimum 1:2 or better).
Never add to a losing position — only to confirmed winners.
Risk control is not about avoiding losses — it’s about limiting damage and staying consistent over time.
🧩 3. How to Strengthen Emotional Discipline
Like a muscle, discipline grows with routine. Try this daily:
Pre-trade routine – review your plan before every session.
Post-trade journal – log your emotions, not just results.
Take breaks – emotional fatigue leads to poor judgment.
Detach from outcomes – focus on process, not profit.
💡 Tip: When you reduce emotional pressure, your clarity and accuracy both improve.
⚙️ 4. Professional Mindset Shift
Amateurs chase profit; professionals protect capital.
Each trade is just one data point — not a reflection of your worth. Once you start thinking like a risk manager first, your results change naturally.
🗣️ “Discipline is choosing what you want most over what you want now.”
📊 Conclusion
To grow as a trader, focus on controlling yourself before controlling the market.
Emotional stability + strict risk control = long-term success.
Be the trader who executes with logic, not emotion. 🧘♂️
Gold Montly Overview and PlansGold closed October with a bullish hammer and notable volume, signaling a potential reversal and clear rejection above the 4500 level
Could Gold be looking to build value within the 3500–4000 zone? Very possible; which would be both healthy and expected in a macro uptrend.
I’m looking for a swing long upon a sweep of the quarterly open combined with the daily 50 EMA. Invalidation sits at the low of the daily bullish order block and target would be the daily Bear FVG.
As of now, 4H structure remains bearish while price continues to respect the 4H bearish order block and we are compressing within the EMAs. Price has been around the 4H MSB but still has not printed a strong Break of Structure Candle to confirm a shift.
This swing long thesis fails if price takes liquidity to the upside first.
Even though I'm bullish on gold overall, I’m leaning toward a bearish close for November given that October's close is a key reversal signal in my system. Still, I expect at least the daily Bear FVG to be filled, as wicks tend to get filled toward the 50% region, especially when considering the monthly wick. Historically, November tends to favor bullishness, but here I'm speaking strictly from a structure and price-action perspective.
Sink or Soar for GoldThe broader trend for gold remains bullish, supported by safe-haven demand, central-bank accumulation and weakness in the USD.
However, momentum appears to be softening: overbought readings, increased risk of pull-back or consolidation.
Support beneath the price: If gold corrects, watch for structural support zones to hold before bullish continuation.
Resistance above: A breakout above defined resistance could open a further leg higher; failure to break may invite a deeper correction.
GOLD Remains Bullish and a Little TrickyGOLD Remains Bullish and a Little Tricky
Also, today gold remains without any clear momentum. Despite being in a strong uptrend, the price is still not taking direction.
We have to be very careful with this long pause because it is not usual for Gold.
However, so far we have no sign of a change in trend.
Only whoever created the big bullish wave that doubled the price of gold can push it down. I see no other reason for gold to move down.
It has been a long time since it served as a hedge against inflation, war, and difficult times.
However, this is only my personal opinion.
Overal,l Gold is in a big mess.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
XAUUSD 🎯 My Summary & View For Yellow metal
Bias: Bullish, provided support holds.
Strategy Suggestion:
Consider long entries on retests of support zones or after a confirmed breakout above resistance.
Place stop-losses just below the confirmed support to protect against sudden turnarounds.
Set profit targets at the next logical resistance / structure zone.
Watch-outs:
If price breaks below key support and closes there, the bullish thesis weakens.
Overbought conditions / exhaustion of momentum could lead to consolidation or a shallow correction even while trend remains up.
Keep an eye on macro events (Fed decisions, USD strength, geopolitical flare-ups) since gold is sensitive to those
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer
Trading financial instruments such as gold (XAUUSD), forex, cryptocurrencies, and other markets involves a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The information and setups provided are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice or investment recommendations.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. Market conditions can change rapidly, and there is always the potential for loss of capital. You should carefully consider your financial situation, trading experience, and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions.
Always use proper risk management, including setting stop-loss levels and managing position size. The author of this content is not responsible for any losses incurred from following analyses, trade ideas, or setups shared here.
By engaging in trading activities, you acknowledge and accept all risks associated with financial markets.
Gold/Oil Signaling Market Is In A Super Bubble Gold = Fear
Oil = how strong the economy is.
Except for COVID we have never seen such an extreme reading. Yet people are buying up stocks like we will never again be able to produce another stock again as long as we live!
Tulips!
Here are just a few of the factors to consider that make this indicator important.
Why This Indicator Matters: Key Factors at a Glance
Gold’s Surge Signals a Shift
Gold has soared nearly 60% year-to-date, adding a staggering $10 trillion in market capitalization. This rally effectively erases all the stock market gains made since May 2021, including those driven by AI enthusiasm and speculative tech runs.
USD Can Only Be Measured Against Gold
As the world’s reserve currency, the U.S. dollar’s real value is best gauged in terms of gold. This is a critical point—because when gold rises this dramatically, it reflects monetary inflation. A large part of the stock market rally has been driven by an expanding money supply, not true value creation.
Curiously, this inflation hasn’t shown up in oil prices, which have collapsed, despite geopolitical risks. More on that below.
The Dollar’s Worst Year in Decades
2025 marks one of the most significant declines for the U.S. dollar in recent history. Its role as the world reserve currency (WRC) has diminished—from 85% in the 1970s to just 50% today. Trade wars and tariffs are only accelerating this trend.
Monetary Inflation Drives Stock Prices
Stock markets are being lifted by monetary inflation, not organic growth. Stocks can be created endlessly—unlike gold. That makes gold a true inflation benchmark. The stock market’s rise is, in large part, a mirage, reflecting debased currency, not real productivity.
Oil Isn’t Behaving as Expected—Why?
Typically, when the dollar weakens, oil prices rise—because more dollars are needed to buy the same barrel of oil. But right now, oil prices are soft. Why?
Global demand is weak, outpaced by supply. Even the Russia-Ukraine war hasn’t changed that dynamic. In fact, Russia is now importing gasoline, as Ukrainian forces continue to target and disable refining capacity.
Here’s why this matters: when oil wells are opened, they can't just be turned off. If the refiners are destroyed and the oil has nowhere to go—it’s wasted. That’s a strategic win for Ukraine.
The Disconnect Between Stock Prices and Profits
While inflation has pushed stock prices higher, it hasn’t translated into equivalent profit growth.
Example: If a stock goes from $10 to $20 due to inflation, you'd expect earnings to go from $1 to $2 to maintain the same P/E ratio. Instead, the earnings yield is just 3.2%—a historical low. That’s a major red flag.
As pilots would say: WTF, over?
Here’s the likely explanation:
The money hasn’t reached consumers—it's concentrated in the hands of wealthy savers and leveraged investors, who are buying more stocks to sell to the next buyer willing to lever up even more. It’s a classic feedback loop—and a superbubble reminiscent of the tulip mania era.
The Smart Money Knows What's Coming
As this imbalance grows more obvious, central banks and institutional investors are quietly increasing their gold holdings—well above the pace of supply growth.
So when Gold/Oil (two important commodities) completely disconnect like this, and Gold explodes up like this, you'd better take notice!
Lastly, it takes 100 ounces to buy a new home. Last time this occurred was in 1978 ish, 2011, and now!
Debt to GDP in 76 was 33%, 2011 was 99% and today 126% It is not the same animal as the past.
GTFO & STFO! No matter where the prices for stocks go!
CAUTION!!!
XAUUSD: Tension Builds as the Market Awaits DirectionWhat’s really happening here?
If you take a close look at today’s XAUUSD chart, you’ll notice a very dramatic picture: gold prices are being tightly compressed inside a converging triangle pattern.
This is a classic formation that reflects the battle between two market forces:
- Buyers are forming higher lows, showing increasing buying pressure.
- Sellers, on the other hand, continue to hold lower highs, consistently blocking every upward attempt.
As these two trendlines move closer together, the market becomes like a compressed spring; the longer it’s squeezed, the stronger the move will be once it’s released.
So, what does this mean?
In my view, it shows that gold is currently in a highly sensitive accumulation phase, and any breakout could trigger a major move in a new direction.
- If the price breaks above the 4,020 – 4,030 USD resistance zone, it could be the first signal of a new bullish wave targeting 4,070 – 4,100 USD.
- Conversely, if it breaks below the 3,960 USD support, a bearish scenario will likely unfold, pulling the price back toward 3,910 – 3,880 USD.
🔹 How to identify a real breakout (my way):
- Wait for confirmation with a strong closing candle and high volume.
- A successful retest of the broken zone (which now switches roles: resistance → support or vice versa) will serve as a “golden certificate” for a sustainable breakout.
- And remember, false breakouts often occur right before the market truly explodes.
🔹 Risk factors (from my perspective):
- If gold breaks the boundary without volume or with long-wicked candles, it could simply be a trap set by major players.
- Once the price falls back inside the triangle after a breakout, the entire structure becomes invalid.
✅ Conclusion (in my view):
- Gold (XAUUSD) is now in the “calm before the storm” phase.
- Buyers are quietly accumulating near support areas, while sellers defend the last line of resistance.
- A clear and confirmed breakout in either direction could set the stage for a big move this week.
Stay disciplined:
- Wait for breakout + confirmation + retest; that’s how you stay on the right side of the market and avoid false signals.
This is not financial advice, just my personal view of today’s chart — my way.
Trade safely and patiently, because sometimes doing nothing is also a strategy.
GOLD Local Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD tapped into a premium supply zone, engineering liquidity above equal highs before showing bearish displacement. Expect a continuation move toward the downside imbalance. Time Frame 5H.
Sell!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold Price Tests $4020 ResistanceGold Price Tests $4020 Resistance
Today's Trading Strategy: Continue to buy on dips.
1. Market expectations for a December rate cut by the Federal Reserve have cooled, causing the dollar index to retreat from its highs. Neutral to slightly bearish: The high-interest-rate environment is suppressing gold prices.
2. However, the ongoing US government shutdown and escalating international geopolitical tensions are a significant positive factor: safe-haven demand is the main force supporting gold prices.
Technical Analysis: Gold prices are currently facing strong resistance in the $4020-$4050 range.
As shown in the 4-hour chart: Gold prices are in a triangle consolidation pattern and need to break through key resistance or support levels to determine the next move.
Upside Target: If gold prices successfully break through $4020, the next target is $4110.
Downside Support: The first short-term support level is around $3960-$3980.
The more critical support area is at $3890. As long as gold prices remain above this area, the long-term uptrend structure remains valid.
Aggressive Strategy:
Buy: 3990-4000
Stop Loss: 3970
Target Price 1: 4050
Target Price 2: 4110
Conservative Strategy:
A more conservative strategy is to wait for gold prices to break through $4020 effectively, then establish long positions on a slight pullback, with a stop loss set in the $4020-4000 range, and a target price of $4070-4110.
Risk of Failed Breakout: If gold prices repeatedly attempt to break through $4020 but fail, and subsequently fall below the $3980 support level, it indicates that this upward move may have failed, and prices may fall back to the $3930-4000 trading range.
Gold Consolidation Scenario setup what should Next Move ?Gold prices are currently trading in a weak and slow-moving range, as investors remain cautious and wait for a decisive move.
From a fundamental perspective, Fed Chair Powell ruled out any guarantees of a rate cut in December, which supported the U.S. dollar and limited gold’s upside momentum the key resistance zone remains around 4000. A breakout above 4000 and sustained bullish momentum could push prices toward the next targets at 4022 and 4045.
However, if the price fails to hold above 4000 and continues to look weak, we may see a downside correction toward 3968, and possibly 3920.
Resistance zone Target Points : 4022 / 4045
Support zone Target Points : 3968 / 3920
Market remains range-bound and waiting for clear direction before stronger movement resumes.
You may find more details in the chart,
Trade wisely best of Luck,
Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Supporting.
XAUUSD – WAITING FOR CONFIRMATION OF UPTREND – TARGET 4050 💛 XAUUSD – WAITING FOR CONFIRMATION OF UPTREND – TARGET 4050 🎯
🌤 1. Overview
Hello everyone 💬
Gold today is still in a phase of hesitation – waiting for signals to confirm a new trend.
On the H2 chart, the price has broken the downtrend line and is retesting this line. The structure of “higher lows” indicates that buying power is gradually gaining the upper hand.
The previous peak around 4018 is currently the decisive point for the trend – if the price confirms a breakout above, the uptrend could extend towards the 4050 area.
Currently, the market is fluctuating within the range of 3964 – 4018, and needs to break out of this range to determine a clearer direction.
💹 2. ICT Perspective
📈 The price has broken the downtrend line and retested the structure on the H2 chart – an early signal for the potential formation of an uptrend.
🟣 The 3964–4018 area is a short-term liquidity accumulation zone before the price expands.
🔹 OB 4040–4042 coincides with significant resistance, suitable for short sell (scalp) orders if there is a strong reaction.
💫 When the price exceeds 4018, the uptrend structure will be confirmed and the expansion target could head towards 4050 – 4077.
🎯 3. Reference Trading Plan
💖 BUY Scenario (priority when confirmed)
Entry: above 4018 | SL: 4011
TP: 4025 – 4033 – 4050 – 4077
💢 Short SELL Scenario (scalping)
Entry: 4040–4042 | SL: 4046
TP: 4022 – 4015 – 3998
⚠️ 4. Important Notes
Clear confirmation is needed when breaking the 4018 area before entering a buy order.
If the price continues to fluctuate within the 3964–4018 range, trading should be limited.
Today is Friday, manage risk more strictly, prioritize accuracy in each order.
🌷 5. Conclusion & Interaction with LanaM2
Gold is showing positive signals 💛
Be patient and wait for reactions around the 4018 area – this could be the start of a new uptrend if clearly confirmed.
GOLD (XAU/USD): Bulls Eye $4,125 – Breakout Imminent?Gold dropped to a significant horizontal support level last week.
The price subsequently rebounded from this level, forming a rising triangle pattern on a 4-hour timeframe.
The neckline of this triangle is defined by an intraday horizontal resistance.
Its bullish violation (4H candle close above) can be a nice trigger to buy Gold with a confirmation.
Should this occur, a bullish continuation towards 4125 would be anticipated.
Conversely, a bearish movement and a break below the vertical support level could potentially lead to a further decline in price.
XAUUSD – 15-Minute Technical AnalysisThe 15-minute chart of Gold (XAUUSD) reveals a potential bearish reversal setup following a completed corrective structure within an intraday uptrend.
After establishing a swing high at 4018.84, price retraced to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (4002) of the prior impulsive leg, where a rejection and structural break occurred. The subsequent price action confirms a transition from bullish momentum to early bearish structure, validated by a break below the ascending trendline.
Currently, the market is forming a potential lower high within the retracement zone (green area), suggesting a continuation of the bearish leg.
Entry Zone: 4000 – 4005
Stop Loss: Above 4020 (structural high / invalidation level)
Take-Profit Target: 3928 – 3930 (measured move and prior liquidity zone)
Fibonacci Confluence: 0.618 retracement aligning with internal structure breakdown
Market Structure Bias: Bearish, pending confirmation from lower high formation
The projection indicates a possible continuation toward the downside, targeting the 3928 support region, provided that price maintains rejection below 4005 and does not invalidate the swing high at 4020.
XAUUSD LONG SETUP INTRADAY ( NOV 06, 2025 )If you have doubt on our trades you can test in demo.
OANDA:XAUUSD LONG SETUP
EP: 3993.469
TP: 4017.410
SL: 3981.518
Trade Ideas:
Idea is clearly shown on chart + we have some secret psychologies and tools behind this.
Trade Signal:
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Gold – Technical Outlook🔴 Bearish Scenario (Downtrend)
Pivot Level: 4000
If price trades below 4000, continuation to the downside is expected.
🎯 First target: 3930 (support zone)
If 3930 breaks → full bearish extension towards:
🎯 Next targets: 3895 – 3865
🟢 Bullish Scenario (Uptrend)
If price breaks and holds above 4000, upside momentum will strengthen.
🎯 First target: 4030 (resistance zone)
If 4030 breaks and holds on the 1H or 4H timeframe → strong bullish continuation towards:
🎯 Next targets: 4081 – 4133
Gold - The most obvious top!🪙Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) will reverse soon:
🔎Analysis summary:
After we witnessed a major breakout back in 2024, Gold has been rallying about +120% ever since. However, Gold is now approaching a monster resistance trendline of the long term rising channel. It is really just a matter of time until Gold will create its official top.
📝Levels to watch:
$4,500
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
SELLStructure Summary
Downtrend channel / wedge: Price is moving inside a narrowing structure — lower highs and lower lows.
You’ve projected one more drop to sweep the lower liquidity zones before a major bullish breakout.
The final arrow up represents a macro reversal, likely toward prior highs once the wedge breaks.
🔍 Technical Interpretation
This projection aligns with a liquidity grab / fakeout setup:
Bearish continuation phase → gold dips into deeper supports (e.g. 4030–4000 area).
Liquidity sweep below wedge → where big buyers accumulate.
Bullish reversal breakout → price explodes upward, breaking above the wedge resistance line.
📉 Short-Term Bias (Next 12–24 hrs)
Expect another leg down while staying below 4075 resistance.
Possible drop targets:
4050 (minor)
4035–4005 (major demand zone — likely bounce area).
📈 Mid-Term Bias (Next 1–3 days)
If the wedge pattern completes and you get a bullish engulfing or strong impulsive candle off the lower blue support zone → that’s your reversal confirmation.
Then the upside target would be roughly:
4120,
4150,
or even 4200+ if momentum holds.
⚙️ Trade Plan Idea (based on your diagram)
Bias Entry Zone Confirmation Targets Stop Loss
Sell (short-term) 4070–4075 Rejection candle / failure to break wedge top 4035–4005 Above 4085
Buy (swing) 4035–4005 Bullish engulfing / break above wedge 4120 → 4150 → 4200 Below 4000
✅ In summary:
Your chart structure is spot-on — it looks like gold may dip one more time to trap late sellers, then reverse hard upward once that wedge pattern plays out.
Gold: High VolatilityYesterday, gold’s main structure followed a consolidation path, with the focus of its short-term structure edging slightly higher. The risk of price volatility today has increased. Combining the daily and hourly chart trends, the risk of volatility for gold will be very high in the next two days. Subjectively, we temporarily maintain the expectation of a technical correction pullback. Gold’s bullish performance has not been particularly strong, and with heavy resistance above, the trend has not reversed.
From the 4-hour chart, focus on the short-term resistance at the 4010 level, with secondary resistance at 4020-4025. For support, watch the short-term level at 3960-3970 and the key previous low support at 3888-3890. The bull-bear dividing line remains the 4040-4055 range. As long as this resistance range is not broken, I believe the trend has not reversed,on the contrary, any rebound presents opportunities to enter short positions.
We can enter short orders when rebounds encounter pressure. Operationally, it is recommended to continue shorting as long as rebounds fail to break key resistances.
Trading Strategy:
Sell 4010 - 4020
TP 3970 - 3960 - 3950
Buy 3920 - 3930
TP 3950 - 3960 - 3970
XAU/USD Technical Analysis – Bearish Rejection at ResistanceXAU/USD) is currently trading around the $4,009 level after rebounding from a recent intraday low. The price action shows a clear rising channel structure, with the upper boundary acting as a significant resistance zone near $4,040 – $4,050.
The chart highlights a resistance level where price has repeatedly failed to sustain upward momentum, indicating a potential double-top or distribution pattern forming in this area.
If price fails to break and hold above the $4,020 – $4,040 resistance zone, bearish momentum may resume, potentially pushing gold toward the $3,950 area initially, followed by a deeper correction to the target level near $3,913.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and close above $4,050 could invalidate the bearish outlook, opening the way for further bullish continuation.
Key Levels:
Resistance Zone: $4,020 – $4,050
Immediate Support: $3,990
Target Level: $3,913
Trend Bias: Short-term bearish under resistance
Conclusion:
Gold is approaching a critical resistance area, and a rejection could confirm a short-term bearish reversal pattern. Traders should watch for confirmation near $4,020–$4,040 for potential short entries targeting $3,913. CME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:MNQ1! CME_MINI:ES1! CME_MINI:MES1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! CBOT_MINI:YM1! NYMEX:CL1! CME:BTC1! COMEX:SI1! NSEIX:NIFTY1! CME_MINI:RTY1!
XAUUSD ONE MORE LEG DOWNSIDE🟡 Technical Overview: Gold (XAU/USD) 1-Hour Chart
This 1-Hour chart for Gold (XAU/USD) exhibits a clear shift from a short-term upward trend into a strong bearish impulse, followed by a minor corrective bounce.
The price action was characterized by an ascending channel/uptrend (marked by the blue parallel lines) which defined the market's structure. Crucially, the chart shows a decisive breakdown from the lower trendline of this channel, which occurred around the $3,980 level.
Following the breakdown, the price experienced an aggressive sell-off, dropping to a swing low around the $3,920 zone. This area, marked by a Horizontal Support Level (HS), successfully halted the immediate decline and initiated a modest corrective bounce.
📉 Analysis and Projection
The overall bias has shifted to bearish in the short term, due to the confirmed break of the prior uptrend structure. The current price action is interpreted as a bearish flag or consolidation phase following the sharp impulse move down.
Resistance (Key Bearish Zone): The most significant resistance is the prior uptrend's lower trendline, now acting as a ceiling for the price. This line intersects near the $3,980 - $3,990 area. A strong rejection from this zone would confirm the breakdown and the continuation of the downtrend. The $4,000 psychological level also sits just above this zone, providing further strong overhead resistance.
Support (Key Bullish Zone): The immediate support is the $3,920 Horizontal Support (HS). This level successfully stemmed the aggressive selling and is the critical line that buyers must defend.
Projection: The path of least resistance is to the downside. The high-probability scenario projects a move down from the current consolidation, breaking the $3,920 support. The next significant downside target would be the lower horizontal line marked on the chart, around $3,880 - $3,900, which would fill the most recent move's potential extension.
Alternative Scenario: A confirmed move and hourly close above the $4,000 psychological and former trendline resistance would invalidate the short-term bearish bias, suggesting a potential re-test of the recent swing high.
The technical indications strongly favor a continuation of the bearish move, with the $3,980 - $4,000 zone serving as the critical pivot for the next move.






















