Busy trading week coming up!!The trading week of November 3–7 is considered a pivotal period for international financial markets. A series of high-level economic data including manufacturing and services PMIs, ADP non-farm payrolls, trade balances, and interest rate decisions from major central banks will create a mixed picture of the global economic cycle. Meanwhile, statements from Federal Reserve officials and geopolitical developments can reinforce or distort monetary policy expectations later in the year.
🔹 Monday – Global PMI:
PMI figures from China, Europe, the UK, and the US kick off the week, reflecting the overall health of global manufacturing. Weak data could boost expectations for monetary easing, while stronger results may reinforce inflation-control policies. Additionally, the outcome of the OPEC+ meeting could impact oil prices and inflation trends.
🔹 Tuesday – Monetary Policy & Trade:
Focus turns to the RBA (Australia) rate decision and Canada’s trade balance. The market expects the RBA to keep rates unchanged at 3.6%, but a “hawkish” tone could trigger volatility in AUD. Speeches from Fed and BoC officials will also provide further clues on the 2025 rate-cut cycle.
🔹 Wednesday – Services & Employment:
The US Services PMI and ADP employment report will take center stage. These data points often provide early hints for the Non-Farm Payrolls report. Crude oil inventories from API and EIA will continue to influence oil prices and inflation expectations.
🔹 Thursday – European Data & BoE Decision:
The Bank of England may cut interest rates by 25 basis points to 3.75% amid recession concerns. Germany’s retail sales and industrial production figures will offer insights into the region’s economic health.
🔹 Friday – China & the Fed:
China’s trade balance and a series of speeches from five FOMC members will dominate attention. Any comments related to inflation or December rate decisions could cause sharp moves in USD and gold.
Three Key Risks to Watch:
1️⃣ Data Divergence: PMI or ADP figures may diverge significantly from official data, sparking volatility in market expectations.
2️⃣ Policy Surprises: Unexpected moves or tone shifts from the RBA or BoE could trigger market shocks.
3️⃣ Geopolitics & Liquidity: Escalating tensions in Russia–Ukraine or the Middle East, along with oil price swings, could drive safe-haven flows into gold and USD.
Technical analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold price is hovering around the $4,000/oz mark, after recovering slightly from the 0.382 Fibonacci support zone at $3,972/oz. The recent decline remains within a short-term correction channel, but selling pressure has slowed as the RSI exited the oversold zone and showed signs of forming a technical bottom.
The EMA21 (around $4,055/oz) is currently acting as an important resistance. If the price breaks above this level decisively, the short-term correction structure could be completed, opening a new uptrend towards the $4,128–$4,200/oz area (Fibo 0.236 and the most recent old peak). Conversely, if gold fails to surpass the EMA21, the correction could continue towards $3,846 or $3,720/oz – the next two support zones corresponding to the Fibo 0.5 and 0.618 levels, respectively.
Note: RSI momentum is still weak, so further confirmation with trading volume and reversal candlestick signals is needed before opening a long position.
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4091 - 4089⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 4095
→Take Profit 1 4083
↨
→Take Profit 2 4077
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3954 - 3956⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3950
→Take Profit 1 3962
↨
→Take Profit 2 3968
Trade ideas
Gold Daily chart towards 4500!1). The pattern suggests a rise to the 200% Fib. level! 2). The Bullish move has a steep pitch, which indicates strong momentum! 3). Wave 2 was simple, wave 4 complex, which fits the scenario! 4). Price broke trend resistance! 5). Economic Fundamentals appear to be favoring a Bullish bias!
gold await breakout before entry#XAUUSD price still bullish until the 4019.9 breakout occurs which will target 4029 for bearish reverse.
Buy stop on short, 4019.9, target 4029, stop loss 4010. Sell from 4029 target 3991-3067.
Below 4002 on 2 times breakout hold strong bearish continuation, target 3967.
If H1 on above 4035 closure after 4029 breakout price is full bullish till 4060-70
GOLD XAUUSD 4HR CHARTBUYERS ARE ON CAUTION MODE ,the rejection at 4033-4043 was watched critically for possible break and close ,but buyers failed after many attempt on the descending trendline line .the close of 4th saw more correction following a new found hope for dollar index after the index break and close of daily supply roof, now dollar index approaching 100 $ mark.
the Sydney /Asian gold buyers seen to be on cautious mode on the current demand floor 3921-3933 level, should they try to buy it will still end in sell hopefully around any possible retest zone .
technical support based on strategy will be 3855-3865 zone
technical support zone based on strategy will be 3753.67-3745 zone .
NOTE;TRADING IS 100% PROBABILITY,ANY KEY LEVEL CAN FAIL.
MANAGE YOUR RISK.
FUNDAMENTAL ON GOLD .
Gold's reclassification as a Basel III Tier 1 asset marks a significant upgrade in how regulators and banks view gold within global financial systems.
Why Gold is Reclassified as Basel III Tier 1
Tier 1 Status Definition: Under Basel III, Tier 1 assets are the highest quality capital assets that banks can use to meet their core capital requirements. These assets carry a 0% risk weight, reflecting their safety, liquidity, and reliability as capital.
Gold’s Historical Status: Gold has already been recognized as a Tier 1 asset for capital adequacy since the Basel I Accords in 1988, due to its status as a safe store of value with very low default risk.
New Recognition (2025): Starting July 1, 2025, physical gold held by banks can be counted at 100% of its market value in regulatory capital calculations, instead of being subject to significant haircuts or lower classifications (e.g., previously it was treated as a Tier 3 asset with a 50% deduction).
High-Quality Liquid Asset (HQLA) Label: This reclassification means gold is now officially recognized as a High-Quality Liquid Asset under Basel III, allowing it to qualify as part of banks’ liquidity coverage ratios (LCR), an important step for liquidity and capital management.
Regulatory Shift: This reflects changing perceptions that gold is not just a commodity but a true monetary asset. It is increasingly accepted as a reliable reserve asset by central banks and financial institutions worldwide.
Central Bank Adoption: This move aligns with continued aggressive gold buying by central banks, recognizing gold’s importance for capital reserves, systemic stability, and as an inflation hedge.
Significance
Banks can fully count gold toward core capital reserves.
Reduces capital burden, improving bank balance sheets and financial resilience.
Endorses gold as a strategic, monetary asset, not just a commodity investment.
Encourages institutional demand for physical gold and gold-related financial products.
Summary
Gold was reclassified as a Basel III Tier 1 asset starting July 1, 2025, reflecting its highest quality capital standing with 0% risk weighting and full market value recognition. This elevates gold’s status to a High-Quality Liquid Asset (HQLA) for regulatory purposes, facilitating banks’ liquidity coverage and capital adequacy. The change signals a major regulatory and market shift, acknowledging gold as a core reserve and strategic financial asset in modern banking systems.
#GOLD #XAUUSD
XAUUSD $4025 RESISTANCE NEXT?This chart displays the price action of **Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD)** on an **Hourly (1h)** timeframe.
## 📈 Technical Analysis: XAU/USD
The price has been in a **consolidative or choppy phase** following a significant prior downtrend, primarily trading within a larger range defined by a **Support zone** around the **\$3,918 - \$3,925** area and a **Resistance zone** near **\$4,020 - \$4,030**.
Within this range, price action appears to have formed a **Descending Channel** (indicated by the dashed lines), suggesting a short-term bearish bias or continued correction within the broader consolidation. However, more recently, the price has broken out of the upper boundary of this descending channel.
Following the channel breakout, the price has entered a **tight, upward-sloping consolidation**, possibly forming a small **bullish flag or pennant pattern** (indicated by the solid, inner trendlines). The current candle is breaking above the upper trendline of this smaller pattern, suggesting a potential continuation move to the upside.
---
## 🎯 Price Projection
Given the breakout from both the descending channel and the smaller bullish consolidation pattern, the immediate projection is **bullish**. The target for this move is the test of the main **Resistance zone** established at **\$4,020 - \$4,030**.
* **Potential Target:** The analysis highlights a specific target around **\$4,040.5**, which represents a **1.17%** move from a breakout point and aligns with the upper boundary of the key resistance zone.
* **Validation:** Continued strength and sustained trading above the breakout level (around **\$3,980**) would reinforce this bullish projection.
* **Invalidation:** A decisive move back below the current consolidation area and the upper line of the descending channel (roughly below **\$3,960 - \$3,970**) would invalidate the immediate bullish bias and suggest a return to the broader ranging behavior or a retest of the support zone.
The overall context remains range-bound, meaning a successful test of the $\mathbf{\$4,020}$ $\mathbf{-}$ $\mathbf{\$4,030}$ **Resistance** could lead to another move back down unless there is a strong, sustained breakout above it.
Would you like me to search for fundamental news that might be impacting the price of Gold right now?
"Short-selling is correct" - Gold consolidation awaits breakout.Gold prices have indeed been somewhat sluggish recently, fluctuating repeatedly within a range. While this volatility can be agonizing, it reflects the market's rhythm. In terms of trading, avoid blindly chasing highs and lows. If you're bearish, don't chase the market down. Patiently wait for a rebound and resistance before entering a position. The recent market rhythm is very clear: sharp rallies are prone to pullbacks, and sharp drops are prone to rebounds – typical characteristics of a range-bound market. Our trading advice remains clear: focus on the 4010-4030 area. If a rebound fails to break through resistance, continue shorting, building positions in batches and proceeding steadily. We have repeatedly emphasized that gold is currently in a range-bound, slightly bearish adjustment phase, with the overall center of gravity continuing to shift downwards. Short-term rallies do not signify a reversal, and so-called signals are often just bull traps. High-level rebounds remain a good opportunity to establish short positions. Market conditions can change rapidly, but there are always patterns to follow. Don't be misled by appearances; look at the underlying logic and structure. Gold is still in a downward continuation phase. Rebounds present opportunities, while false breakouts pose risks. Gold prices fell as expected. Although we exited early and missed the lowest point, a steady exit is a victory in itself. Trading is never about who is more greedy, but about who knows how to control the pace better.
XAUUSD Long: Demand Zone Holding, Eyes on $4,080Hello traders! Gold (XAUUSD) is currently showing a corrective phase within its broader bullish trend. After a strong rally from the $3,850 Demand Zone, price climbed steadily along the ascending Trend Line, forming higher highs and higher lows until reaching the $4,150–$4,180 Resistance Area. This zone acted as a key pivot point, where buyers lost momentum and sellers initiated a retracement.
Following this, the market broke below the Trend Line, signaling the start of a short-term correction. The correction found temporary support near the $3,950 Demand Zone, where buyers have recently stepped in again. This level coincides with a previous pivot and a key structural support area, suggesting a potential rebound setup. At the moment, price is consolidating between the $3,950 Demand Zone and the $4,080–$4,150 Resistance Area, indicating indecision before the next move.
From my perspective, Gold is likely to attempt a bullish correction toward the $4,080–$4,150 Resistance Zone, which aligns with both the previous Trend Line and recent pivot structure. A successful break and close above $4,150 would confirm a trend continuation toward higher levels. However, if the price fails to break above this resistance area and gets rejected, sellers could regain control, pushing the market back down toward $3,950 or even lower. For now, I’ll be watching for confirmation of a bullish reaction from the $3,950 Demand Zone to validate a short-term long setup targeting $4,080. Manage your risk!
technical analysis for your chart on Gold (XAU/USDEUREX:FDAX1! EUREX:FDXS1! EUREX:FDXM1! ICEEUR:NCF1! ICEEUR:Z1! ICEEUR:RC1! EUREX:FGBX1! EUREX:FXXP1! ICEEUR:R1! ICEEUR:SOA1! Current Price: $4,002
Trend Structure: The pair is showing a potential reversal setup after a completed downward channel.
Recent Pattern: Price has broken slightly above the descending channel and is now retesting the breakout zone around the support level ($3,950–$3,980).
🔹 Key Technical Levels
Support Zone: $3,940 – $3,980
→ Strong accumulation area shown by multiple rejections and previous demand.
Immediate Resistance: $4,080 – $4,120
→ Minor resistance expected as the first hurdle after breakout.
Major Resistance (Target): $4,385
→ Marked as the final bullish target on the chart.
📈 Bullish Scenario
If price sustains above $4,000, we can expect:
A short-term retest of $4,080–$4,120.
Once momentum confirms above $4,120, bullish continuation toward $4,200 → $4,385 (main target).
✅ Buy Confirmation:
Break and close above $4,050 with volume.
Retest of $4,000 zone followed by bullish rejection candle.
🎯 Bullish Targets:
TP1: $4,080
TP2: $4,200
TP3: $4,385
📉 Bearish Scenario
If price rejects $4,000 and closes below the support zone ($3,950):
Downside may resume toward $3,880 – $3,820 range.
That would invalidate the bullish breakout and confirm channel continuation.
🚫 Sell Trigger:
3H close below $3,940.
🎯 Bearish Targets:
TP1: $3,880
TP2: $3,820
📊 Conclusion
Structure is shifting from bearish to bullish after a channel breakout.
The $3,950–$4,000 area is key — a stronghold for bulls.
Expect a bullish rally if support holds, targeting $4,385 in the medium term.
Market volatility, trade steadily.#XAUUSD TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
As mentioned last night, gold prices failed to break below the important short-term support level of 3965, so we maintain our bullish view. Although the intraday volatility was not high, the consolidation process can be seen as gold accumulating positions in the short term. Market breakout requires patience. Currently, the daily MA5 and MA10 moving averages are converging around 3980, which is also where the 4-hour middle band is located. The key resistance level in the short term is in the 4015-4030 area. A break above this level could lead to further gains towards 4050-4080.
It's important to be cautious given the recent volatile market with poor continuity. Therefore, even if a breakout occurs today, it is not advisable to rush to buy. Instead, wait for a pullback before entering the market to avoid being trapped by blindly chasing highs. The 3980-3965range remains the ideal entry point for bulls. Maintaining patience is always a key element in trading.
Gold is still in the bigger correction downHi traders,
Last week gold consolidated the whole week. This looks like another Triangle.
So next week we could see another downmove to finish the bigger correction down.
After that it could go up again.
Let's see what price does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a rejection with an impulse wave up from the Weekly FVG. After a small correction down on a lower timeframe and a change in orderflow to bullish you could trade longs.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
But I react and trade on what I see in the chart, not what I've predicted or expect.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
Latest Gold Analysis and Trading Strategies:
I. Fundamental Analysis
1. Safe-Haven Sentiment Supports Gold Prices
The prolonged U.S. government shutdown has sparked concerns about its economic impact. Combined with weakness in global stock markets (especially in tech and AI-related shares), market risk appetite has cooled, leading some capital to flow into defensive assets like gold.
Signs of a cooling labor market have intensified investor concerns about the economic outlook, further driving safe-haven demand for gold.
2. Monetary Policy Expectations Capping Gold's Upside
The market's reassessment of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy outlook has resulted in a lack of strong follow-through buying for gold, limiting its upward potential.
Recent economic data and cautious statements from policymakers have kept the market in a wait-and-see mode, leading gold to maintain a range-bound pattern in the short term.
II. Technical Analysis
1. Weekly and Daily Chart Structure
The weekly chart closed with a bullish doji candlestick, indicating a balance of power between bulls and bears. The price is consolidating within the familiar range of $3928 - $4030.
A break above the $4030 resistance could open the door for further upside, targeting $4075 - $4100. A break below the $3928 support could lead to a decline towards the previous low near $3887.
2. Short-Term Signals
4-Hour Chart: A small ascending triangle pattern is forming. The price is facing temporary resistance around $4030, but the K-line is gradually moving above the short-term moving averages, suggesting a slightly bullish bias in the near term.
1-Hour Chart: The previous short-term uptrend has been broken. The $4030 level now acts as key resistance, with immediate support located at $3965. Monitor volume changes closely, as a significant increase in volume could signal an impending trend reversal.
III. Gold Trading Strategy
Trading Approach:
Primary Strategy: Focus on buying on dips, with selling on rallies as a secondary tactic.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 4030 - 4050
Support: 3970 - 3950
Detailed Plan:
1. Long Strategy (Buying)
Look to enter long positions in batches if the price stabilizes within the 3970-3950 range.
Set a stop loss below 3940.
Take profit targets at 4030 and then 4050.
If the price strongly breaks above 4030, consider entering a light long position, targeting 4070-4100.
2. Short Strategy (Selling)
Consider light short positions if the price faces resistance in the 4030-4050 range.
Set a stop loss above 4060.
Take profit targets at 3980-3960.
If the price breaks directly below 3928, consider entering a short position on a pullback, targeting 3900-3887.
Risk Warning:
Closely monitor developments regarding the U.S. government shutdown, signals from the Federal Reserve, and changes in global market risk sentiment.
Be cautious of potential acceleration in the trend if there is a significant increase in trading volume accompanying a breakout from the current range.
IV. Summary
Gold is currently trading within a short-term consolidation range between 3928 and 4030. Fundamental safe-haven support and pressure from monetary policy expectations are creating a tug-of-war. The recommended trading approach is to primarily buy near support and sell near resistance within this range, then follow the breakout direction if key levels are breached. Implement strict risk management and remain flexible to adapt to news-driven market movements.
XAUUSD – Weekly Trade Plan(Nov 10 → Nov 14, 2025)
Bias: Neutral–Bullish, focusing on reaction zones between key supply and demand levels.
🌐 MARKET CONTEXT
Overview: After a strong rally earlier in Q4, Gold is now consolidating around the $4,000 zone, reflecting the tug-of-war between Fed rate-cut expectations and upcoming U.S. inflation data (CPI & PPI).
Sentiment: Current sentiment leans slightly risk-off, as U.S. yields remain elevated, but safe-haven demand for Gold persists.
Expectations: The market is likely to remain range-bound / corrective until a clear macro catalyst appears.
Main Bias: Prioritize selling from supply zones and buying from demand zones, but always wait for structural confirmation (CHoCH / BOS) before entering.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (SMC + Liquidity Structure)
Structure: The market is moving in a sideways H4 range between 3,930 and 4,130.
Liquidity focus:
Above 4,130: Cluster of buy-side liquidity — potential for stop-hunt sweeps.
Below 3,930: Sell-side liquidity, untested low area.
Pattern outlook:
The 4,046–4,052 area has been tested twice, forming a potential mini-distribution zone.
The 3,928–3,930 demand zone remains untested — a possible liquidity sweep before rebound.
SMC Logic:
A fake BOS / sweep above 4,130 could trigger a strong short setup.
A sweep below 3,930 + CHoCH bullish could confirm a long setup.
🔑 KEY PRICE ZONES
Price Zone Type Description
4,130–4,128 🔻 SELL Zone #1 Major D1 supply zone & liquidity cluster above the range
4,046–4,044 🔻 SELL Zone #2 OB + POC + liquidity trap near previous highs
3,930–3,928 🟩 BUY Zone #1 H4 demand zone + SSL sweep potential
3,922 ⚠️ Stop Threshold Below this, short-term bullish bias invalidated
4,052 / 4,136 🧱 Stoploss Levels Corresponding stops for each sell setup
⚙️ TRADE SETUPS
✅ SELL SCENARIO 1 – HIGH SUPPLY (SWEEP ABOVE RANGE)
Entry: 4,130 – 4,128
Stoploss: 4,136
TP1: 4,046
TP2: 3,995
TP3: 3,930
Logic: Liquidity sweep above the range high, targeting distribution reaction from major supply.
✅ SELL SCENARIO 2 – RANGE SUPPLY REJECTION
Entry: 4,046 – 4,044
Stoploss: 4,052
TP1: 4,000
TP2: 3,930
TP3: 3,928
Logic: OB + VAL + liquidity confluence at top of range; wait for M5 CHoCH confirmation before entering.
✅ BUY SCENARIO – MAIN STRUCTURAL SUPPORT SWEEP
Entry: 3,930 – 3,928
Stoploss: 3,922
TP1: 3,995
TP2: 4,044
TP3: 4,128 (trail)
Logic: Sweep of SSL below previous low → bullish CHoCH confirmation → ideal Smart Money demand entry.
🧠 NOTES / SESSION PLAN
Focus on London session for potential buy setups near 3,930–3,928.
Watch New York session for sell setups at 4,046–4,128, especially if price sweeps liquidity first.
Avoid entering during major CPI / PPI news releases.
Use M5–M15 confirmations (CHoCH, FVG fill) before execution.
Avoid overtrading — wait for clear structural confirmation to reduce stop-hunt risk.
🏁 CONCLUSION
Gold continues to range between 3,930 ↔ 4,130, showing no clear breakout yet.
Primary setups:
Sell from 4,046–4,128, with stops at 4,052 / 4,136.
Buy from 3,930–3,928, with stop at 3,922.
Strategy: Trade both ends of the range with structure confirmation; avoid trading inside equilibrium.
For this week, focus on buy-the-dip below 3,930 and sell-the-rally between 4,046–4,130.
XAUUSDPrice Action Trading is a method of financial market analysis where traders make buying and selling decisions solely based on the asset's price movements over time, without relying on technical indicators.
It's essentially the art of reading a "naked" or clean chart to understand the psychology and behavior of market participants.
XAUUSD (Gold) — 4H Range Base Building for Breakout Gold (XAUUSD) continues to accumulate above the $3,970–$3,980 demand base, forming a tight range after several rejections from this zone. This consolidation signals potential energy buildup for a bullish breakout toward higher key levels.
Technical Breakdown:
Support Zone: $3,970–$3,980 (Accumulation Range)
Immediate Resistance: $3,998–$4,000 (Range High)
Upside Targets:
$4,141 — Previous structural resistance
$4,226 — Fib extension level
$4,379 — Major high / target zone
Market Structure Insight:
Price has successfully tested and respected the range support multiple times, suggesting a strong accumulation phase within a bullish macro backdrop. As long as Gold holds above $3,970, buyers are expected to regain control and drive toward the $4,200 handle.
Trade Plan:
Bullish bias remains intact above $3,970.
A confirmed 4H close above $4,000 signals momentum shift to the upside.
Target sequence: $4,141 → $4,226 → $4,379
A break below $3,950 would temporarily neutralize the setup.
Bias:
🟢 Bullish continuation while holding above $3,970, targeting breakout extension toward $4,200–$4,380 range.
GOLD SWING SETUPGold is currently showing indecision on the H4 timeframe.
Within its internal structure, price is forming an uptrend, suggesting a possible reversal from the previous downtrend pattern.
If momentum continues, gold may break the reversal structure and align with the major uptrend.
The target area for this move is around 4050, where a new major uptrend formation could develop.
XAUUSD 🎯 My Summary & View For Yellow metal
Bias: Bullish, provided support holds.
Strategy Suggestion:
Consider long entries on retests of support zones or after a confirmed breakout above resistance.
Place stop-losses just below the confirmed support to protect against sudden turnarounds.
Set profit targets at the next logical resistance / structure zone.
Watch-outs:
If price breaks below key support and closes there, the bullish thesis weakens.
Overbought conditions / exhaustion of momentum could lead to consolidation or a shallow correction even while trend remains up.
Keep an eye on macro events (Fed decisions, USD strength, geopolitical flare-ups) since gold is sensitive to those
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer
Trading financial instruments such as gold (XAUUSD), forex, cryptocurrencies, and other markets involves a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The information and setups provided are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice or investment recommendations.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. Market conditions can change rapidly, and there is always the potential for loss of capital. You should carefully consider your financial situation, trading experience, and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions.
Always use proper risk management, including setting stop-loss levels and managing position size. The author of this content is not responsible for any losses incurred from following analyses, trade ideas, or setups shared here.
By engaging in trading activities, you acknowledge and accept all risks associated with financial markets.
Third Gold Long AttemptSo, the crypto, especially some key altcoins on the move, more talk about ending shutdown but Hassett kill the stock market. Crpto and gold is rising despite that. There is something going on but timing seems to be hard to detirmine. I want to enter the weekned on with long position.
Gold’s Inverse Head and Shoulders PatternThe price has been dropping steadily and consistently so far. Check out my previous analysis:
Or click on the attached idea on my chart.
But here’s the thing, momentum is starting to shift.
If you look closely, you'll see that we’re forming an inverse Head and Shoulders pattern. We have the first low, the left shoulder. Then, a deeper low, the head. And finally, a slightly higher low, the right shoulder.
Right now, price is sitting just above that downward-sloping neckline, which is a clear sign that momentum is beginning to change, and there are few obstacles in its way.
My expectation is for a pullback to retest the neckline, filtering out any fake moves, before potentially pushing upward toward 4,085. If the bullish momentum continues with strong volume, I’ll lock into the trend and plan my entry accordingly.
I might even take a buy position here for a more proactive setup. The risk is slightly higher, but with the market structure confirming it, I’m ready to enter because sometimes, the best trades come when you trust your setup.
Just sharing my thoughts on the chart, not financial advice. Always confirm your setup and manage your risk wisely.
Xau/Usd - Gold Testing Key Resistance, Breakout or Rejection?Gold is currently trading around $4,016, testing a key resistance zone after several rejections in the past sessions. Price action shows a clear ascending trendline support, forming higher lows, indicating a short-term bullish structure.
Key Technicals
Resistance Zone: $4,015 – $4,025
Trendline Support: Connecting recent higher lows (Nov 5–8)
Structure: Ascending channel / uptrend continuation setup
Possible Scenarios
Bullish Breakout:
A confirmed breakout above the resistance zone with strong volume could signal continuation toward the next target levels around $4,060 – $4,100.
Bearish Rejection:
If price fails to break above resistance and closes below the trendline support, expect a correction toward $3,960 – $3,940 as the next support zone.
Trading Plan
Buy Breakout: Above $4,025 with confirmation
Sell Rejection: Below $4,000 and trendline break
Risk Management: Use stop-loss below last swing low or above last swing high depending on entry
Note
Wait for clear confirmation before entering either direction — this area has been a strong liquidity zone recently.
OUTLOOK XAU/USD November 10 2025Hey Guys, This is just my trade idea and it's not a financial advise.
BUY/SELL SCENARIOS:
BUYS:
1) Body Candle Close above the 4014.72 level.
2) Retest the 4014.72 with bullish CHOCH
3) Create a 3/5m Bullish Engulfing Candle to capitalize on BUYS towards the 4046.50 level.
SELLS:
1) Body candle close below 3984.24 level.
2) Create a 3/5m Bearish CHOCH with a body candle close (with a FVG)
3) Retest the 3/5m Bearish CHOCH Level to capitalize on SELLS towards the 3965 level.
Trade smart, Trade according to trading plans. Cheers.
XAUUSD Bear Cycle has started and this is why according to VIX.Gold (XAUUSD) closed 2 straight red weeks, which last did on June 23. Despite this pull-back, it remains within a Channel Up since the October 31 2022 Low, which was essentially when the Bear Cycle ended and the new Bull Cycle (Channel Up) started.
The previous Bull Cycle topped around 4.5 months after the Volatility Index (VIX) shown in blue, peaked during the March 2020 COVID flash crash.
We are now on a similar situation as VIX topped on the week of March 31 2025 during the Trade War and has since started to decline aggressively. Gold's current top was 6.5 months after VIX's top. Even the 1W RSI sequences between the two Bull Cycles are similar, further raising the degree of their high symmetry.
According to this correlation, Gold may has already formed its Bull Cycle Top 3 weeks ago and could be starting a new +2 year Bear Cycle.
As far as a Target and Bottom is concerned, the previous Bear Cycle almost hit its 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level three times throughout the Cycle, until it broke below it marginally for its September - October 2022 bottom.
As a result, we are looking for the 0.382 Fib yet again as our focal point which is currently around $3000.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇






















