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Gold price adjusted down below 4000 next week✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 11/03/2025 - 11/07/2025 ⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold (XAU/USD) edges lower on Friday, slipping below the $4,000 mark as traders reassess the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) policy outlook after this week’s rate cut. The metal trades near $3,985, down about 1% on the day and heading for a second consecutive weekly loss. A stronger US Dollar and steady Treasury yields weigh on Gold, as markets trim bets on another Fed rate cut this year. Chair Jerome Powell signaled a cautious stance, noting that a December cut is “not a foregone conclusion” and policy will depend on incoming data. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold price lacks bullish momentum, accumulates and corrects down below 4000 🔥 Technically: Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows: Resistance: $4154, $4235 Support: $3953, $3884 🔥 NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account - The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
1
Gold Montly Overview and PlansGold closed October with a bullish hammer and notable volume, signaling a potential reversal and clear rejection above the 4500 level Could Gold be looking to build value within the 3500–4000 zone? Very possible; which would be both healthy and expected in a macro uptrend. I’m looking for a swing long upon a sweep of the quarterly open combined with the daily 50 EMA. Invalidation sits at the low of the daily bullish order block and target would be the daily Bear FVG. As of now, 4H structure remains bearish while price continues to respect the 4H bearish order block and we are compressing within the EMAs. Price has been around the 4H MSB but still has not printed a strong Break of Structure Candle to confirm a shift. This swing long thesis fails if price takes liquidity to the upside first. Even though I'm bullish on gold overall, I’m leaning toward a bearish close for November given that October's close is a key reversal signal in my system. Still, I expect at least the daily Bear FVG to be filled, as wicks tend to get filled toward the 50% region, especially when considering the monthly wick. Historically, November tends to favor bullishness, but here I'm speaking strictly from a structure and price-action perspective.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by sabinaGM
GOLD Remains Bullish and a Little TrickyGOLD Remains Bullish and a Little Tricky Also, today gold remains without any clear momentum. Despite being in a strong uptrend, the price is still not taking direction. We have to be very careful with this long pause because it is not usual for Gold. However, so far we have no sign of a change in trend. Only whoever created the big bullish wave that doubled the price of gold can push it down. I see no other reason for gold to move down. It has been a long time since it served as a hedge against inflation, war, and difficult times. However, this is only my personal opinion. Overal,l Gold is in a big mess. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
FX:XAUUSDLong
by KlejdiCuni
6
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – November 6, 2025 🔹 Momentum D1 timeframe: The D1 momentum is now closing in, signaling a possible transition phase with two potential outcomes: • If today’s D1 candle closes bullish (green): momentum is likely to reverse upward, suggesting a short-term bullish correction. • If today’s candle closes bearish (red): the downtrend may continue. The current momentum behavior is unusual, reflecting market indecision between buyers and sellers after a strong decline. As a result, even a small impulse from either side could cause a quick momentum shift. H4 timeframe: Momentum on H4 is still in a downward phase but already showing early signs of closing and potential bullish reversal. • If the current H4 candle closes bearish, the downtrend may extend. • If it closes bullish and momentum turns upward, price could retest the 4028 zone. H1 timeframe: Momentum on H1 is now entering the oversold area, indicating that a reversal could occur within 1–2 more H1 candles. If momentum turns down again from resistance, this could offer an opportunity for a short-term sell (scalp) around the nearest liquidity zone. ________________________________________ 🔹 Wave Structure D1 timeframe: As discussed in previous plans, the current structure still forms a W–X–Y correction in yellow, representing wave (4) of the larger cycle. • The W wave has already reached the 0.382 retracement of wave (3) yellow — which often marks the typical end zone of wave 4. • Therefore, the following X and Y waves may take longer to complete to maintain time balance within wave (4). Meanwhile, the X wave (purple) remains relatively shallow, having retraced only about 0.236 of wave W (purple). Combined with the still-uncertain momentum discussed above, a potential rise toward the 4149 zone remains a realistic scenario. However, if today’s D1 candle closes bearish, price could continue lower to complete wave Y (purple). Given the current structure favors time balance rather than depth, this Y wave may unfold sideways rather than deeply downward. At this stage, price is compressed within a narrow range, reflecting market hesitation. It’s best to wait for major catalysts such as the Nonfarm Payrolls report, which could trigger the next decisive move. ________________________________________ H4 timeframe: The current X wave is developing within a narrow range under the form of a contracting triangle (a–b–c–d–e). A triangle can only be confirmed once all five internal legs are completed. Once that happens, a breakout above or below the triangle boundaries will define the next direction. 👉 For now, observation should be prioritized over action. ________________________________________ H1 timeframe: Wave labeling on H1 is somewhat noisy due to overlapping three-wave structures within a tightening range. Tentatively, the labeling shows a W–X–Y correction in green, where wave X appears to be a triangle formation. A final small drop forming wave e could complete this triangle (wave X in green). Once it’s done, a new Y wave in green may start unfolding upward. ________________________________________ 🔹 Summary At present, the market remains noisy and compressed, making it unsuitable for swing entries. • Avoid swing positions until the structure and momentum become clearer. • Focus only on short-term scalp setups around key liquidity zones identified earlier. • Wait for confirmation of direction and structure before committing to larger trades.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX
Gold/Oil Signaling Market Is In A Super Bubble Gold = Fear Oil = how strong the economy is. Except for COVID we have never seen such an extreme reading. Yet people are buying up stocks like we will never again be able to produce another stock again as long as we live! Tulips! Here are just a few of the factors to consider that make this indicator important. Why This Indicator Matters: Key Factors at a Glance Gold’s Surge Signals a Shift Gold has soared nearly 60% year-to-date, adding a staggering $10 trillion in market capitalization. This rally effectively erases all the stock market gains made since May 2021, including those driven by AI enthusiasm and speculative tech runs. USD Can Only Be Measured Against Gold As the world’s reserve currency, the U.S. dollar’s real value is best gauged in terms of gold. This is a critical point—because when gold rises this dramatically, it reflects monetary inflation. A large part of the stock market rally has been driven by an expanding money supply, not true value creation. Curiously, this inflation hasn’t shown up in oil prices, which have collapsed, despite geopolitical risks. More on that below. The Dollar’s Worst Year in Decades 2025 marks one of the most significant declines for the U.S. dollar in recent history. Its role as the world reserve currency (WRC) has diminished—from 85% in the 1970s to just 50% today. Trade wars and tariffs are only accelerating this trend. Monetary Inflation Drives Stock Prices Stock markets are being lifted by monetary inflation, not organic growth. Stocks can be created endlessly—unlike gold. That makes gold a true inflation benchmark. The stock market’s rise is, in large part, a mirage, reflecting debased currency, not real productivity. Oil Isn’t Behaving as Expected—Why? Typically, when the dollar weakens, oil prices rise—because more dollars are needed to buy the same barrel of oil. But right now, oil prices are soft. Why? Global demand is weak, outpaced by supply. Even the Russia-Ukraine war hasn’t changed that dynamic. In fact, Russia is now importing gasoline, as Ukrainian forces continue to target and disable refining capacity. Here’s why this matters: when oil wells are opened, they can't just be turned off. If the refiners are destroyed and the oil has nowhere to go—it’s wasted. That’s a strategic win for Ukraine. The Disconnect Between Stock Prices and Profits While inflation has pushed stock prices higher, it hasn’t translated into equivalent profit growth. Example: If a stock goes from $10 to $20 due to inflation, you'd expect earnings to go from $1 to $2 to maintain the same P/E ratio. Instead, the earnings yield is just 3.2%—a historical low. That’s a major red flag. As pilots would say: WTF, over? Here’s the likely explanation: The money hasn’t reached consumers—it's concentrated in the hands of wealthy savers and leveraged investors, who are buying more stocks to sell to the next buyer willing to lever up even more. It’s a classic feedback loop—and a superbubble reminiscent of the tulip mania era. The Smart Money Knows What's Coming As this imbalance grows more obvious, central banks and institutional investors are quietly increasing their gold holdings—well above the pace of supply growth. So when Gold/Oil (two important commodities) completely disconnect like this, and Gold explodes up like this, you'd better take notice! Lastly, it takes 100 ounces to buy a new home. Last time this occurred was in 1978 ish, 2011, and now! Debt to GDP in 76 was 33%, 2011 was 99% and today 126% It is not the same animal as the past. GTFO & STFO! No matter where the prices for stocks go! CAUTION!!!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RealMacro
77
XAUUSD: Tension Builds as the Market Awaits DirectionWhat’s really happening here? If you take a close look at today’s XAUUSD chart, you’ll notice a very dramatic picture: gold prices are being tightly compressed inside a converging triangle pattern. This is a classic formation that reflects the battle between two market forces: - Buyers are forming higher lows, showing increasing buying pressure. - Sellers, on the other hand, continue to hold lower highs, consistently blocking every upward attempt. As these two trendlines move closer together, the market becomes like a compressed spring; the longer it’s squeezed, the stronger the move will be once it’s released. So, what does this mean? In my view, it shows that gold is currently in a highly sensitive accumulation phase, and any breakout could trigger a major move in a new direction. - If the price breaks above the 4,020 – 4,030 USD resistance zone, it could be the first signal of a new bullish wave targeting 4,070 – 4,100 USD. - Conversely, if it breaks below the 3,960 USD support, a bearish scenario will likely unfold, pulling the price back toward 3,910 – 3,880 USD. 🔹 How to identify a real breakout (my way): - Wait for confirmation with a strong closing candle and high volume. - A successful retest of the broken zone (which now switches roles: resistance → support or vice versa) will serve as a “golden certificate” for a sustainable breakout. - And remember, false breakouts often occur right before the market truly explodes. 🔹 Risk factors (from my perspective): - If gold breaks the boundary without volume or with long-wicked candles, it could simply be a trap set by major players. - Once the price falls back inside the triangle after a breakout, the entire structure becomes invalid. ✅ Conclusion (in my view): - Gold (XAUUSD) is now in the “calm before the storm” phase. - Buyers are quietly accumulating near support areas, while sellers defend the last line of resistance. - A clear and confirmed breakout in either direction could set the stage for a big move this week. Stay disciplined: - Wait for breakout + confirmation + retest; that’s how you stay on the right side of the market and avoid false signals. This is not financial advice, just my personal view of today’s chart — my way. Trade safely and patiently, because sometimes doing nothing is also a strategy.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Erikk_Kraft
4
XAUUSD 🎯 My Summary & View For Yellow metal Bias: Bullish, provided support holds. Strategy Suggestion: Consider long entries on retests of support zones or after a confirmed breakout above resistance. Place stop-losses just below the confirmed support to protect against sudden turnarounds. Set profit targets at the next logical resistance / structure zone. Watch-outs: If price breaks below key support and closes there, the bullish thesis weakens. Overbought conditions / exhaustion of momentum could lead to consolidation or a shallow correction even while trend remains up. Keep an eye on macro events (Fed decisions, USD strength, geopolitical flare-ups) since gold is sensitive to those ⚠️ Risk Disclaimer Trading financial instruments such as gold (XAUUSD), forex, cryptocurrencies, and other markets involves a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The information and setups provided are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice or investment recommendations. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Market conditions can change rapidly, and there is always the potential for loss of capital. You should carefully consider your financial situation, trading experience, and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions. Always use proper risk management, including setting stop-loss levels and managing position size. The author of this content is not responsible for any losses incurred from following analyses, trade ideas, or setups shared here. By engaging in trading activities, you acknowledge and accept all risks associated with financial markets.
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by Al-Reshad
Gold consolidates below $4000Gold is continuing to consolidate inside of a dynamic support area below $4000 level. Volumes have dropped to the new low for the 4-weeks period, but open interest starts to slowly build at current price levels. The market may need more time to complete the consolidation and resume moving in the upward direction. Before bouncing back, it might retest the $3900 price area as shown at the chart. Absence of macro economic publications freezes trading activity across the board, as traders lack new driving narratives. Don't forget - this is just the idea, always do your own research and never forget to manage your risk!
PYTH:XAUUSD
by Stanislav_Bernukhov_Exness
GOLD → Consolidation within a symmetrical triangle The market is holding gold back from strong movement, forming short jumps from zone to zone within consolidation. We have a symmetrical triangle within an upward correction channel. Key supporting factors: The US shutdown is becoming the longest in history, increasing economic risks. China is canceling tax breaks for retailers. Trump may announce new tariffs related to China. ISM Manufacturing PMI data (US) is ahead - a rare indicator during the shutdown. The probability of a Fed rate cut in December has fallen to 69% (from 91.7% a week ago). Technically, consolidation may continue until the price breaks one of the boundaries of the symmetrical triangle. Support levels: 3990, 3956, 3915 Resistance levels: 4030, 4047, 4085 Traders are uncertain about the future direction, and as a result, the market is consolidating. There are limit levels both below and above that are holding back movement. Accordingly, until there is a clear fundamental background, it is possible to focus on trading within the channel. I expect a rebound from 3960 for a retest of resistance. However, a close above 4030 could trigger growth, while a close below 3956 would confirm the weakness of the market and trigger a fall to 3900. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSD
by RLinda
18
XAUUSD – WAITING FOR CONFIRMATION OF UPTREND – TARGET 4050 💛 XAUUSD – WAITING FOR CONFIRMATION OF UPTREND – TARGET 4050 🎯 🌤 1. Overview Hello everyone 💬 Gold today is still in a phase of hesitation – waiting for signals to confirm a new trend. On the H2 chart, the price has broken the downtrend line and is retesting this line. The structure of “higher lows” indicates that buying power is gradually gaining the upper hand. The previous peak around 4018 is currently the decisive point for the trend – if the price confirms a breakout above, the uptrend could extend towards the 4050 area. Currently, the market is fluctuating within the range of 3964 – 4018, and needs to break out of this range to determine a clearer direction. 💹 2. ICT Perspective 📈 The price has broken the downtrend line and retested the structure on the H2 chart – an early signal for the potential formation of an uptrend. 🟣 The 3964–4018 area is a short-term liquidity accumulation zone before the price expands. 🔹 OB 4040–4042 coincides with significant resistance, suitable for short sell (scalp) orders if there is a strong reaction. 💫 When the price exceeds 4018, the uptrend structure will be confirmed and the expansion target could head towards 4050 – 4077. 🎯 3. Reference Trading Plan 💖 BUY Scenario (priority when confirmed) Entry: above 4018 ｜ SL: 4011 TP: 4025 – 4033 – 4050 – 4077 💢 Short SELL Scenario (scalping) Entry: 4040–4042 ｜ SL: 4046 TP: 4022 – 4015 – 3998 ⚠️ 4. Important Notes Clear confirmation is needed when breaking the 4018 area before entering a buy order. If the price continues to fluctuate within the 3964–4018 range, trading should be limited. Today is Friday, manage risk more strictly, prioritize accuracy in each order. 🌷 5. Conclusion & Interaction with LanaM2 Gold is showing positive signals 💛 Be patient and wait for reactions around the 4018 area – this could be the start of a new uptrend if clearly confirmed.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
Emotional Discipline and Risk Control in Trading🧠 1. Why Emotional Discipline Matters Emotional discipline means sticking to your plan regardless of fear or greed. Markets are designed to test your patience, confidence, and decision-making. Every losing trade tempts you to change your system — but consistency wins. ✅ Key habits of emotionally disciplined traders: They accept losses without revenge trading. They follow rules, not impulses. They manage expectations — no trade will make them rich overnight. 💰 2. Risk Control — Protect Before You Profit Your risk management defines your survival. Successful traders think in probabilities, not certainties. They never risk too much on one idea. 📏 Golden Rules of Risk Control: Risk 1–2% of your capital per trade. Always use a stop-loss, never a “mental” one. Define your R:R ratio (minimum 1:2 or better). Never add to a losing position — only to confirmed winners. Risk control is not about avoiding losses — it’s about limiting damage and staying consistent over time. 🧩 3. How to Strengthen Emotional Discipline Like a muscle, discipline grows with routine. Try this daily: Pre-trade routine – review your plan before every session. Post-trade journal – log your emotions, not just results. Take breaks – emotional fatigue leads to poor judgment. Detach from outcomes – focus on process, not profit. 💡 Tip: When you reduce emotional pressure, your clarity and accuracy both improve. ⚙️ 4. Professional Mindset Shift Amateurs chase profit; professionals protect capital. Each trade is just one data point — not a reflection of your worth. Once you start thinking like a risk manager first, your results change naturally. 🗣️ “Discipline is choosing what you want most over what you want now.” 📊 Conclusion To grow as a trader, focus on controlling yourself before controlling the market. Emotional stability + strict risk control = long-term success. Be the trader who executes with logic, not emotion. 🧘‍♂️
TVC:GOLDEducation
by XAU_EMPIRE
6
Gold Consolidation Scenario setup what should Next Move ?Gold prices are currently trading in a weak and slow-moving range, as investors remain cautious and wait for a decisive move. From a fundamental perspective, Fed Chair Powell ruled out any guarantees of a rate cut in December, which supported the U.S. dollar and limited gold’s upside momentum the key resistance zone remains around 4000. A breakout above 4000 and sustained bullish momentum could push prices toward the next targets at 4022 and 4045. However, if the price fails to hold above 4000 and continues to look weak, we may see a downside correction toward 3968, and possibly 3920. Resistance zone Target Points : 4022 / 4045 Support zone Target Points : 3968 / 3920 Market remains range-bound and waiting for clear direction before stronger movement resumes. You may find more details in the chart, Trade wisely best of Luck, Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Supporting.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MrMartin_11
7
Nov 5, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential Opportunity📊 Analysis: Yesterday formed a solid bearish candle, confirming that downward momentum remains dominant. The key support lies between 3908–3915 — if this zone breaks, bearish momentum will strengthen further. During the Asian session, watch the 3927–3930.5 area closely. If this level holds, a short-term rebound toward 3960–3965 is possible. I’ll be watching that zone for potential short entries from resistance. If price breaks above 3965, it would signal that bearish pressure is fading — only then will I look for buy setups on pullbacks into support. For now, the overall bias remains bearish, though small intraday bounces can occur before any continuation. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: • 4000 – Psychological level • 3994 – Resistance • 3971–3980 – Resistance zone • 3960–3965 – Major resistance • 3947 – Support • 3927–3930.5 – Support zone • 3908–3915 – Key support • 3900 – Psychological level 📈 Intraday Strategy: SELL: If price breaks below 3927 → target 3922, with further downside toward 3915, 3908, 3905 BUY: If price holds above 3944 → target 3947, with further upside toward 3950, 3953, 3960 (⚠️ short-term rebound setup only — not a trend reversal signal)
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ombabibi
Gold Price Tests $4020 ResistanceGold Price Tests $4020 Resistance Today's Trading Strategy: Continue to buy on dips. 1. Market expectations for a December rate cut by the Federal Reserve have cooled, causing the dollar index to retreat from its highs. Neutral to slightly bearish: The high-interest-rate environment is suppressing gold prices. 2. However, the ongoing US government shutdown and escalating international geopolitical tensions are a significant positive factor: safe-haven demand is the main force supporting gold prices. Technical Analysis: Gold prices are currently facing strong resistance in the $4020-$4050 range. As shown in the 4-hour chart: Gold prices are in a triangle consolidation pattern and need to break through key resistance or support levels to determine the next move. Upside Target: If gold prices successfully break through $4020, the next target is $4110. Downside Support: The first short-term support level is around $3960-$3980. The more critical support area is at $3890. As long as gold prices remain above this area, the long-term uptrend structure remains valid. Aggressive Strategy: Buy: 3990-4000 Stop Loss: 3970 Target Price 1: 4050 Target Price 2: 4110 Conservative Strategy: A more conservative strategy is to wait for gold prices to break through $4020 effectively, then establish long positions on a slight pullback, with a stop loss set in the $4020-4000 range, and a target price of $4070-4110. Risk of Failed Breakout: If gold prices repeatedly attempt to break through $4020 but fail, and subsequently fall below the $3980 support level, it indicates that this upward move may have failed, and prices may fall back to the $3930-4000 trading range.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Timo_Weber8
1
GOLD (XAU/USD): Bulls Eye $4,125 – Breakout Imminent?Gold dropped to a significant horizontal support level last week. The price subsequently rebounded from this level, forming a rising triangle pattern on a 4-hour timeframe. The neckline of this triangle is defined by an intraday horizontal resistance. Its bullish violation (4H candle close above) can be a nice trigger to buy Gold with a confirmation. Should this occur, a bullish continuation towards 4125 would be anticipated. Conversely, a bearish movement and a break below the vertical support level could potentially lead to a further decline in price.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by linofx1
6
Gold: High VolatilityYesterday, gold’s main structure followed a consolidation path, with the focus of its short-term structure edging slightly higher. The risk of price volatility today has increased. Combining the daily and hourly chart trends, the risk of volatility for gold will be very high in the next two days. Subjectively, we temporarily maintain the expectation of a technical correction pullback. Gold’s bullish performance has not been particularly strong, and with heavy resistance above, the trend has not reversed. From the 4-hour chart, focus on the short-term resistance at the 4010 level, with secondary resistance at 4020-4025. For support, watch the short-term level at 3960-3970 and the key previous low support at 3888-3890. The bull-bear dividing line remains the 4040-4055 range. As long as this resistance range is not broken, I believe the trend has not reversed,on the contrary, any rebound presents opportunities to enter short positions. We can enter short orders when rebounds encounter pressure. Operationally, it is recommended to continue shorting as long as rebounds fail to break key resistances. Trading Strategy: Sell 4010 - 4020 TP 3970 - 3960 - 3950 Buy 3920 - 3930 TP 3950 - 3960 - 3970
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by KingArthur_
2
technical analysis for your chart on Gold (XAU/USDEUREX:FDAX1! EUREX:FDXS1! EUREX:FDXM1! ICEEUR:NCF1! ICEEUR:Z1! ICEEUR:RC1! EUREX:FGBX1! EUREX:FXXP1! ICEEUR:R1! ICEEUR:SOA1! Current Price: $4,002 Trend Structure: The pair is showing a potential reversal setup after a completed downward channel. Recent Pattern: Price has broken slightly above the descending channel and is now retesting the breakout zone around the support level ($3,950–$3,980). 🔹 Key Technical Levels Support Zone: $3,940 – $3,980 → Strong accumulation area shown by multiple rejections and previous demand. Immediate Resistance: $4,080 – $4,120 → Minor resistance expected as the first hurdle after breakout. Major Resistance (Target): $4,385 → Marked as the final bullish target on the chart. 📈 Bullish Scenario If price sustains above $4,000, we can expect: A short-term retest of $4,080–$4,120. Once momentum confirms above $4,120, bullish continuation toward $4,200 → $4,385 (main target). ✅ Buy Confirmation: Break and close above $4,050 with volume. Retest of $4,000 zone followed by bullish rejection candle. 🎯 Bullish Targets: TP1: $4,080 TP2: $4,200 TP3: $4,385 📉 Bearish Scenario If price rejects $4,000 and closes below the support zone ($3,950): Downside may resume toward $3,880 – $3,820 range. That would invalidate the bullish breakout and confirm channel continuation. 🚫 Sell Trigger: 3H close below $3,940. 🎯 Bearish Targets: TP1: $3,880 TP2: $3,820 📊 Conclusion Structure is shifting from bearish to bullish after a channel breakout. The $3,950–$4,000 area is key — a stronghold for bulls. Expect a bullish rally if support holds, targeting $4,385 in the medium term.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by MR_NARCOS_ANALYSIS