XAUUSDPrice Action Trading is a method of financial market analysis where traders make buying and selling decisions solely based on the asset's price movements over time, without relying on technical indicators.
It's essentially the art of reading a "naked" or clean chart to understand the psychology and behavior of market participants.
Trade ideas
Market volatility, trade steadily.#XAUUSD TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
As mentioned last night, gold prices failed to break below the important short-term support level of 3965, so we maintain our bullish view. Although the intraday volatility was not high, the consolidation process can be seen as gold accumulating positions in the short term. Market breakout requires patience. Currently, the daily MA5 and MA10 moving averages are converging around 3980, which is also where the 4-hour middle band is located. The key resistance level in the short term is in the 4015-4030 area. A break above this level could lead to further gains towards 4050-4080.
It's important to be cautious given the recent volatile market with poor continuity. Therefore, even if a breakout occurs today, it is not advisable to rush to buy. Instead, wait for a pullback before entering the market to avoid being trapped by blindly chasing highs. The 3980-3965range remains the ideal entry point for bulls. Maintaining patience is always a key element in trading.
technical analysis for your chart on Gold (XAU/USDEUREX:FDAX1! EUREX:FDXS1! EUREX:FDXM1! ICEEUR:NCF1! ICEEUR:Z1! ICEEUR:RC1! EUREX:FGBX1! EUREX:FXXP1! ICEEUR:R1! ICEEUR:SOA1! Current Price: $4,002
Trend Structure: The pair is showing a potential reversal setup after a completed downward channel.
Recent Pattern: Price has broken slightly above the descending channel and is now retesting the breakout zone around the support level ($3,950–$3,980).
🔹 Key Technical Levels
Support Zone: $3,940 – $3,980
→ Strong accumulation area shown by multiple rejections and previous demand.
Immediate Resistance: $4,080 – $4,120
→ Minor resistance expected as the first hurdle after breakout.
Major Resistance (Target): $4,385
→ Marked as the final bullish target on the chart.
📈 Bullish Scenario
If price sustains above $4,000, we can expect:
A short-term retest of $4,080–$4,120.
Once momentum confirms above $4,120, bullish continuation toward $4,200 → $4,385 (main target).
✅ Buy Confirmation:
Break and close above $4,050 with volume.
Retest of $4,000 zone followed by bullish rejection candle.
🎯 Bullish Targets:
TP1: $4,080
TP2: $4,200
TP3: $4,385
📉 Bearish Scenario
If price rejects $4,000 and closes below the support zone ($3,950):
Downside may resume toward $3,880 – $3,820 range.
That would invalidate the bullish breakout and confirm channel continuation.
🚫 Sell Trigger:
3H close below $3,940.
🎯 Bearish Targets:
TP1: $3,880
TP2: $3,820
📊 Conclusion
Structure is shifting from bearish to bullish after a channel breakout.
The $3,950–$4,000 area is key — a stronghold for bulls.
Expect a bullish rally if support holds, targeting $4,385 in the medium term.
Latest Gold Analysis and Trading Strategies:
I. Fundamental Analysis
1. Safe-Haven Sentiment Supports Gold Prices
The prolonged U.S. government shutdown has sparked concerns about its economic impact. Combined with weakness in global stock markets (especially in tech and AI-related shares), market risk appetite has cooled, leading some capital to flow into defensive assets like gold.
Signs of a cooling labor market have intensified investor concerns about the economic outlook, further driving safe-haven demand for gold.
2. Monetary Policy Expectations Capping Gold's Upside
The market's reassessment of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy outlook has resulted in a lack of strong follow-through buying for gold, limiting its upward potential.
Recent economic data and cautious statements from policymakers have kept the market in a wait-and-see mode, leading gold to maintain a range-bound pattern in the short term.
II. Technical Analysis
1. Weekly and Daily Chart Structure
The weekly chart closed with a bullish doji candlestick, indicating a balance of power between bulls and bears. The price is consolidating within the familiar range of $3928 - $4030.
A break above the $4030 resistance could open the door for further upside, targeting $4075 - $4100. A break below the $3928 support could lead to a decline towards the previous low near $3887.
2. Short-Term Signals
4-Hour Chart: A small ascending triangle pattern is forming. The price is facing temporary resistance around $4030, but the K-line is gradually moving above the short-term moving averages, suggesting a slightly bullish bias in the near term.
1-Hour Chart: The previous short-term uptrend has been broken. The $4030 level now acts as key resistance, with immediate support located at $3965. Monitor volume changes closely, as a significant increase in volume could signal an impending trend reversal.
III. Gold Trading Strategy
Trading Approach:
Primary Strategy: Focus on buying on dips, with selling on rallies as a secondary tactic.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 4030 - 4050
Support: 3970 - 3950
Detailed Plan:
1. Long Strategy (Buying)
Look to enter long positions in batches if the price stabilizes within the 3970-3950 range.
Set a stop loss below 3940.
Take profit targets at 4030 and then 4050.
If the price strongly breaks above 4030, consider entering a light long position, targeting 4070-4100.
2. Short Strategy (Selling)
Consider light short positions if the price faces resistance in the 4030-4050 range.
Set a stop loss above 4060.
Take profit targets at 3980-3960.
If the price breaks directly below 3928, consider entering a short position on a pullback, targeting 3900-3887.
Risk Warning:
Closely monitor developments regarding the U.S. government shutdown, signals from the Federal Reserve, and changes in global market risk sentiment.
Be cautious of potential acceleration in the trend if there is a significant increase in trading volume accompanying a breakout from the current range.
IV. Summary
Gold is currently trading within a short-term consolidation range between 3928 and 4030. Fundamental safe-haven support and pressure from monetary policy expectations are creating a tug-of-war. The recommended trading approach is to primarily buy near support and sell near resistance within this range, then follow the breakout direction if key levels are breached. Implement strict risk management and remain flexible to adapt to news-driven market movements.
Release the Pressure: Why Relaxed Traders Win MoreOne of the most overlooked psychological factors in trading is pressure — the silent force that makes you enter trades too early, exit too late, and misread what’s actually happening on the chart.
The truth is simple:
When you relax, you trade better.
The Illusion of “Always Doing Something”
Many traders feel that if they’re not in a trade, they’re missing out.
The market becomes a constant test of patience — and silence between trades feels unbearable.
That’s when poor decisions appear: forced entries, revenge trades, and overtrading to “feel productive.”
But the market doesn’t reward effort; it rewards timing.
Trading well often looks like doing nothing most of the time.
You wait, you observe, and you strike when the setup aligns.
This is where the relaxed mindset beats the pressured mindset every single time.
Example: Gold (XAUUSD) Between 3960 and 4030
Let’s take gold as an example.
As explained in my recent analysis, we have two clear levels to watch — 3960 and 4030.
Price is currently trading in between.
Even though it may look like it’s pressing upward and could form an ascending triangle, clarity only comes with a real breakout, not with anticipation.
A pressured trader will often feel the urge to predict — to “get in early” before confirmation.
But the calm trader simply waits.
They know that between levels, price action is noise, not opportunity.
And when clarity comes — either through a clean breakout or a rejection — the decision is obvious and stress-free.
This is what “releasing the pressure” looks like in practice:
You don’t force a trade. You let the market reveal the next step.
Why Pressure Kills Performance
Pressure doesn’t just come from the charts — it comes from expectations.
The trader who needs to make x$ per day will subconsciously search for confirmation that a trade exists.
Charts suddenly look clearer than they actually are.
Bias replaces logic.
And objectivity, which is the foundation of good trading, fades away.
In reality, the more you need to make money from trading, the harder it becomes to do so.
That’s not because the market is cruel — it’s because the human brain under stress stops processing probabilities correctly.
The Paradox of Ease
Every trader eventually experiences this paradox:
The less you try to “make something happen,” the more naturally good trades appear.
This isn’t mystical — it’s psychological.
When the mind is calm, your ability to notice quality setups improves dramatically.
You stop trying to control the market and start aligning with it.
It’s the difference between chasing a wave and surfing one.
Creating Space to Breathe
The professional approach to trading is not about constant activity — it’s about creating the conditions where clarity thrives.
That means reducing pressure in three ways:
1. Detach from daily profit goals.
The market doesn’t care about your personal targets. Focus on setups, not outcomes.
2. Allow financial breathing room.
When your rent, bills, and daily life depend on your next trade, emotional clarity disappears.
Build a secondary income or savings buffer — not for luxury, but for mental freedom.
3 . Redefine success.
A good trading day is not one with profit — it’s one with discipline.
When you measure success by process, not by dollars, you take power back from the market.
Final Thought
Most traders lose not because they lack skill, but because they trade under pressure.
The weight of expectation distorts perception, and the market punishes impatience.
Release the pressure — mentally, financially, and emotionally.
When you do, trading starts to flow the way it was meant to:
Quietly, naturally, profitably.
XAUUSD – Weekly Trade Plan(Nov 10 → Nov 14, 2025)
Bias: Neutral–Bullish, focusing on reaction zones between key supply and demand levels.
🌐 MARKET CONTEXT
Overview: After a strong rally earlier in Q4, Gold is now consolidating around the $4,000 zone, reflecting the tug-of-war between Fed rate-cut expectations and upcoming U.S. inflation data (CPI & PPI).
Sentiment: Current sentiment leans slightly risk-off, as U.S. yields remain elevated, but safe-haven demand for Gold persists.
Expectations: The market is likely to remain range-bound / corrective until a clear macro catalyst appears.
Main Bias: Prioritize selling from supply zones and buying from demand zones, but always wait for structural confirmation (CHoCH / BOS) before entering.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (SMC + Liquidity Structure)
Structure: The market is moving in a sideways H4 range between 3,930 and 4,130.
Liquidity focus:
Above 4,130: Cluster of buy-side liquidity — potential for stop-hunt sweeps.
Below 3,930: Sell-side liquidity, untested low area.
Pattern outlook:
The 4,046–4,052 area has been tested twice, forming a potential mini-distribution zone.
The 3,928–3,930 demand zone remains untested — a possible liquidity sweep before rebound.
SMC Logic:
A fake BOS / sweep above 4,130 could trigger a strong short setup.
A sweep below 3,930 + CHoCH bullish could confirm a long setup.
🔑 KEY PRICE ZONES
Price Zone Type Description
4,130–4,128 🔻 SELL Zone #1 Major D1 supply zone & liquidity cluster above the range
4,046–4,044 🔻 SELL Zone #2 OB + POC + liquidity trap near previous highs
3,930–3,928 🟩 BUY Zone #1 H4 demand zone + SSL sweep potential
3,922 ⚠️ Stop Threshold Below this, short-term bullish bias invalidated
4,052 / 4,136 🧱 Stoploss Levels Corresponding stops for each sell setup
⚙️ TRADE SETUPS
✅ SELL SCENARIO 1 – HIGH SUPPLY (SWEEP ABOVE RANGE)
Entry: 4,130 – 4,128
Stoploss: 4,136
TP1: 4,046
TP2: 3,995
TP3: 3,930
Logic: Liquidity sweep above the range high, targeting distribution reaction from major supply.
✅ SELL SCENARIO 2 – RANGE SUPPLY REJECTION
Entry: 4,046 – 4,044
Stoploss: 4,052
TP1: 4,000
TP2: 3,930
TP3: 3,928
Logic: OB + VAL + liquidity confluence at top of range; wait for M5 CHoCH confirmation before entering.
✅ BUY SCENARIO – MAIN STRUCTURAL SUPPORT SWEEP
Entry: 3,930 – 3,928
Stoploss: 3,922
TP1: 3,995
TP2: 4,044
TP3: 4,128 (trail)
Logic: Sweep of SSL below previous low → bullish CHoCH confirmation → ideal Smart Money demand entry.
🧠 NOTES / SESSION PLAN
Focus on London session for potential buy setups near 3,930–3,928.
Watch New York session for sell setups at 4,046–4,128, especially if price sweeps liquidity first.
Avoid entering during major CPI / PPI news releases.
Use M5–M15 confirmations (CHoCH, FVG fill) before execution.
Avoid overtrading — wait for clear structural confirmation to reduce stop-hunt risk.
🏁 CONCLUSION
Gold continues to range between 3,930 ↔ 4,130, showing no clear breakout yet.
Primary setups:
Sell from 4,046–4,128, with stops at 4,052 / 4,136.
Buy from 3,930–3,928, with stop at 3,922.
Strategy: Trade both ends of the range with structure confirmation; avoid trading inside equilibrium.
For this week, focus on buy-the-dip below 3,930 and sell-the-rally between 4,046–4,130.
XAU/USD | Gold Fills Liquidity Gap – Another Drop Below $3,900?By analyzing the #Gold chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that after reaching the $3,915 demand zone, price reacted strongly and began to rise, filling the liquidity gap created by last night’s drop. Gold is currently trading around $3,973, and if it fails to hold above $4,015, we could see another strong bearish move toward lower levels below $3,900. The next short-term bearish targets are $3,955, $3,947, $3,915, and $3,899.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GOLD SWING SETUPGold is currently showing indecision on the H4 timeframe.
Within its internal structure, price is forming an uptrend, suggesting a possible reversal from the previous downtrend pattern.
If momentum continues, gold may break the reversal structure and align with the major uptrend.
The target area for this move is around 4050, where a new major uptrend formation could develop.
Gold Forming Bearish Three Drives Pattern Below Channel MidlineHi team!
Gold has formed a double top near the upper boundary of a long-term ascending channel, signaling potential exhaustion of the bullish momentum. After breaking below the local support and retesting it, price created a lower high, which confirms a short-term bearish structure.
Currently, the market is consolidating below the midline of the new channel. The recent sequence of moves is forming a potential Three Drives pattern, where Drive 1 and Drive 2 are already complete, and a possible Drive 3 could be developing.
If price fails to reclaim the main support zone around $4,000–$4,050, we can expect a continuation to the downside toward:
$3,815 – the first key support level and measured target for Drive 3.
$3,604 – the next major support zone and lower boundary of the broader channel.
As long as price remains below the recent swing highs, the bearish scenario remains valid. A clear break above the midline of the channel would invalidate this setup and suggest a potential reversal.
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD 🎯 My Summary & View For Yellow metal
Bias: Bullish, provided support holds.
Strategy Suggestion:
Consider long entries on retests of support zones or after a confirmed breakout above resistance.
Place stop-losses just below the confirmed support to protect against sudden turnarounds.
Set profit targets at the next logical resistance / structure zone.
Watch-outs:
If price breaks below key support and closes there, the bullish thesis weakens.
Overbought conditions / exhaustion of momentum could lead to consolidation or a shallow correction even while trend remains up.
Keep an eye on macro events (Fed decisions, USD strength, geopolitical flare-ups) since gold is sensitive to those
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer
Trading financial instruments such as gold (XAUUSD), forex, cryptocurrencies, and other markets involves a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The information and setups provided are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice or investment recommendations.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. Market conditions can change rapidly, and there is always the potential for loss of capital. You should carefully consider your financial situation, trading experience, and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions.
Always use proper risk management, including setting stop-loss levels and managing position size. The author of this content is not responsible for any losses incurred from following analyses, trade ideas, or setups shared here.
By engaging in trading activities, you acknowledge and accept all risks associated with financial markets.
Third Gold Long AttemptSo, the crypto, especially some key altcoins on the move, more talk about ending shutdown but Hassett kill the stock market. Crpto and gold is rising despite that. There is something going on but timing seems to be hard to detirmine. I want to enter the weekned on with long position.
XAUUSD – Ascending Diagonal Structure Forming a Bullish BreakoutXAUUSD – Ascending Diagonal Structure Forming a Bullish Breakout Setup
Price action is currently developing an Ascending Diagonal (a contracting rising wedge structure), typically seen as a wave 1 or wave 5 pattern in Elliott Wave terms. In this case, the internal wave count (A)-(B)-(C)-(D)-(E) suggests the diagonal is completing, and we may now be transitioning into the impulsive breakout phase.
Key Technical Notes:
Each swing leg is overlapping, fitting the characteristics of a diagonal
Wave (D) respected the 0.618 retracement and bounced cleanly
Price is holding above the lower boundary trendline
Momentum on RSI is recovering from a bullish divergence
This combination indicates that the correction within the diagonal is likely complete, and the market is preparing to resolve upward.
Breakout Confirmation Levels:
Break above 3,997–4,010 → triggers bullish continuation
Holding above 3,963 keeps the diagonal valid
A close below 3,948 invalidates the bullish wave structure
Upside Targets After Breakout:
4,035
4,060
4,090+ (diagonal measured projection)
Bias: Bullish while price stays above 3,963
Structure Type: Ascending Ending/Leading Diagonal
Expectation: Impulse wave breakout to the upside
Monday - XAUUSD
⸻
Key Observations
Current Price
The price is hovering around 4,000.98 USD (white dotted line).
Important Levels
Resistance Zone:
4,006.62 (yellow label)
4,007.78 (slightly above) These levels suggest a supply zone or short-term resistance.
Support Zone:
3,994.66 (blue label)
Below that, 3,989.25 and 3,988.20 (orange line)
Deeper support at 3,972.33 (green label).
Liquidity & Order Blocks
There’s a BoS (Break of Structure) marked in blue, indicating a prior bullish break.
Dark red zone above 4,024 suggests a strong supply area where sellers previously dominated.
Green shaded area below 3,988 indicates a demand zone where buyers may step in.
Price Behavior
Price attempted to break above 4,006 but failed, showing rejection.
Consolidation between 3,994 – 4,006, signaling indecision.
⸻
Possible Scenarios
Bullish Case: If price reclaims 4,006.62 and holds above, next targets could be 4,012.26 → 4,024.08 → 4,036.71.
Bearish Case: If price breaks below 3,994.66, expect a move toward 3,988.20 → 3,972.33.
⸻
✅ Trading Insight:
Watch for liquidity grabs near 4,006 (fake breakout) or 3,994 (stop hunts).
Best risk-reward setups likely near demand zone (3,988) for longs or supply zone (4,024) for shorts.
⸻
XAUUSD: Double-Top Breakdown Targets $3,928 Amid USD StrengthXAUUSD 4H Bearish
**Quick Analysis**
- 3rd test & reject at $4,000 (psych + 1.618 Fib)
- Double-top neckline broken @ $3,985 → $3,928 target
- RSI 72 divergence + bearish engulfing under 200EMA
**Fundamentals**
- FOMC signals 2 cuts in 2026 → DXY 108.50
- Ceasefire + Trump tariffs crush safe-haven bid
- COT: specs max long → squeeze incoming
**Trade**
SELL LIMIT $3,995–$4,005
SL $4,018 | TP $3,928 (1:4 RR)
Risk 1% | BE +25 pips
XAUUSD Bullish Flag: Breakout Above 4,150 Toward 4,400Gold (XAUUSD) ripped higher from late August and topped just below 4,400 before slipping into a tidy pullback. Price is now hovering near 3,940 with momentum cooled and volatility contracting—classic flag behavior after a vertical pole. Structure remains bullish on higher timeframes, even as the short-term trend corrects. The 20-day average near ~4,085 is capping price, while immediate demand sits around 3,930.
The primary path is continuation: a daily close above 4,150 would clear the flag top and the MA20, opening room for a run back into the 4,380–4,400 supply zone. If momentum builds, expect a retest of the mid-October high at 4,400; interim buoyancy above ~4,100 would support a grind toward 4,340 before the final push. Accumulation near 3,930–3,950 is higher risk, and should be reserved for clear reversal signals.
If buyers fail to defend 3,930–3,920, the setup breaks. A daily close below 3,920 invalidates the flag and puts 3,780 (near the MA60 ~3,773) on the map, with rallies likely to be sold beneath 4,040–4,085 until structure repairs. Clean line in the sand for longs sits just under 3,920, with protective stops around ~3,900.
This is a study, not financial advice. Manage risk and invalidations
XAU/USD (Gold) chart Pattern..XAU/USD (Gold) chart carefully 👇
🧭 Timeframe:
Im using 1-hour (1H) chart.
📊 Current Setup:
I have a descending triangle or symmetrical triangle pattern forming.
Price is around $4,000–$4,005.
The support trendline (bottom) has been tested multiple times, showing potential weakness.
Ichimoku Cloud is flat and price is below the mid-zone — a slightly bearish bias.
📉 Breakout Direction:
The chart shows blue arrows pointing downward, meaning a bearish breakout is expected.
🎯 Target Levels (based on my chart’s marking):
1. First Target Point: around $3,975 – $3,980
(Short-term target after triangle breakdown.)
2. Second Target Point: around $3,920 – $3,925
(Extended bearish target if momentum continues.)
⚠ Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $4,020 – $4,030
Break Zone (confirmation of sell): below $3,995 candle close (1H).
Support/Buy Zone: $3,920 – $3,925
---
Summary:
Action Target Comment
Sell below $3,995 🎯 $3,975 First take-profit
Hold/sell continuation 🎯 $3,920 Final target zone
Stop loss 🔺 $4,030 Above upper trendline
Ending US G. shutdown could bring GOLD to daily support?US government shutdown has slowed longer term trend on XAUUSD with 2 weeks of bearish move finally formed an weekly inside bar which is the lowest volatity in the last 12 weeks! however, as there is bearish rejection, with potential ending of shut down could lead GOLD to drop again to the daily support to 3885.00 or lower?
as 3 weeks price action is showing a continued bearish move, any break from the weekly high, price may bring the price back below the weekly low which potentailly create a lowertimeframe bearish trend.
Therefore, weekly high is to watch for possible rejection, once price rejects, once down trend coinfirms, we will be looking for sell set up to daily support level.






















