Cyber MondayUp to 80% OFF
CFDs on Gold (US$ / OZ)CFDs on Gold (US$ / OZ)CFDs on Gold (US$ / OZ)

CFDs on Gold (US$ / OZ)

No trades
See on Supercharts
OverviewNewsIdeasMindsTechnicalsSeasonals

Trade ideas

XAUUSD – V-Shark OB Setup Review (Nov 20) Price reacted perfectl“Gold moved exactly as expected this morning. A clean V-Shark OB setup: Structure – OB – Fibo – Volume all aligned. Just a small refinement around the Volume Gap can make this setup even more optimal.” “VNShark – Follow the shark’s footprints with V-Shark OB.” #XAUUSD #Gold #VNShark #OrderBlock #VSharkOB #Volume #PriceAction #SmartMoneyConcept #Liquidity #TradingVietNam #ForexAnalysis #MarketStructure #BearishOB
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by VNShark-OB
1
Gold Pullback or Breakout? Sitting at the Edge of a Bigger MoveGold Pullback or Breakout? XAUUSD Sitting at the Edge of a Bigger Move Gold is coiling in a narrowing channel, and this kind of structure usually ends with a sharp directional break. The chart shows buyers trying to defend the mid-zone, while the broader trend still leans corrective. With macro fundamentals shifting fast and volatility picking up around U.S. data, gold is getting primed for a move that won’t stay quiet for long. Current Bias Short-term neutral leaning bullish. Medium-term bullish if buyers defend the lower channel and reclaim the upper trendline. Key Fundamental Drivers • US inflation and labour data are softening (per recent BLS and ADP reports), reducing expectations of aggressive Fed tightening. This generally supports gold. • US yields have eased from recent highs, reducing opportunity cost of holding gold. • Geopolitical tensions (Middle East, Ukraine, South China Sea) are keeping a haven bid under gold. • Strong central-bank buying continues to act as a long-term floor for gold prices. • USD movement remains the dominant short-term driver. Macro Context • Interest rate expectations: Markets are pricing a slower Fed path, especially after soft labour prints and cautious speeches from Cook and other Fed officials. A stable-to-mildly-dovish Fed environment supports gold. • Global growth trends: Europe remains in a slowdown according to Sentix, while Asia shows modest improvement. Weak global growth tends to boost gold. • Commodity flows: No supply shocks, but ETF outflows are stabilizing—another supportive sign. • Geopolitics: Israel–Lebanon escalation risk remains in play. Several global risk headlines recently helped gold find intraday support. Primary Risk to the Trend A strong USD rally—especially if driven by unexpected U.S. data strength or hawkish Fed comments—would pressure gold back into deeper corrective territory. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event • US FOMC speakers (multiple appearances) • US CPI revisions and PPI data • US unemployment claims and PMIs These will decide whether yields move higher again or give gold room to rally. Leader/Lagger Dynamics Gold is usually a lagger to: • USD direction • US yields • Fed expectations But becomes a leader during periods of heavy geopolitical risk, when it pulls safe-haven assets like CHF and JPY with it. Right now, XAUUSD is following USD and yields more closely than risk sentiment. Key Levels Support Levels: • 4,000 – 3,985 zone (major demand area) • 3,960 (channel low / liquidity sweep potential) Resistance Levels: • 4,115 – 4,135 (mid-range supply) • 4,245 (major resistance + previous high) Stop Loss (SL): • 3,960 (below channel structure) Take Profit (TP): • TP1: 4,115 • TP2: 4,245 Summary: Bias and Watchpoints Gold is building energy inside a narrowing channel, and the next macro catalyst will likely determine the breakout direction. My bias is neutral-to-bullish as long as price holds above the 4,000 zone and avoids a breakdown toward 3,960. The key drivers are weakening U.S. data, softer Fed expectations, and a stable-to-higher geopolitical risk backdrop. The biggest risk is a USD rebound powered by hotter-than-expected U.S. numbers. The most important event ahead is the cluster of U.S. inflation and labour releases, which will directly influence yields and therefore gold. Stops sit cleanly below 3,960, and the natural upside magnet remains 4,115 first, then 4,245 if momentum builds.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ultreosforex
1
XAU/USD ANALYSIS 11/21/20251. Fundamental Analysis a) Economics – USD: • The USD is slightly weakening as markets expect the FED to keep rates unchanged and still lean toward rate cuts in the upcoming quarters. • No strong hawkish signals, so the USD is not putting significant pressure on gold this morning. – U.S. Stock Market: • U.S. equities edged higher last night thanks to rate-cut expectations, but the upside momentum is weak as markets await more economic data. • Risk-on sentiment is mildly present, creating slight pressure on gold but nothing major. – FED: • The FED maintains a “data-dependent” stance without introducing new tightening signals. • This provides medium-term support for gold (preventing deep declines). – TRUMP: • The Trump administration prioritizes tax cuts and economic support, increasing expectations of inflation. • Long-term outlook: gold remains supported due to future Fed rate cuts. – Gold ETF – SPDR: • SPDR did not add holdings in the latest session → the gold market is waiting for December data. • No large inflows → confirms a sideways, wait-and-see environment. b) Geopolitics • Middle East tensions have eased in the past 24 hours but are not fully resolved → no major gold volatility. • Markets are watching the upcoming U.S.–EU diplomatic meeting on security issues. c) Market Sentiment • Current sentiment is mild risk-on, not strong. • Risk-seeking investors are returning to equities but still keep a defensive allocation in gold → expectations for gold: sideways to slightly upward, not a strong decline. 2. Technical Analysis – Trend: • GOLD is moving sideways within the 4040 – 4115 range. • RSI shows a mild bearish divergence, but not strong enough to create a downward trend. – Key Levels: • Major resistance: 4096 – 4125 – 4153 • Major support: 4050 – 4029 – 4000 (round number) • Low volume → confirms a “hibernating market” as yesterday’s news was neutral. – Projection for today: • Gold is expected to continue ranging within 4040 – 4125 until a breakout later in the evening. • High probability of retesting 4040–4050 before bouncing upward toward 4125, following the indicated arrow. 3. Yesterday’s Market • GOLD moved within a sideways box pattern, repeatedly touching the top and bottom of the 4040–4100 range. • No significant breakout occurred. • Early top-picking and bottom-fishing trades were all “stop-hunted” both ways. • Low liquidity at the end of the session → confirms the market is waiting for December data. 4. Trading Strategy for Today (Nov 21) 🪙SELL XAUUSD | 4147 - 4145 ⚰️SL: 4153 ⬆️TP1: 4137 ⬆️TP2: 4129 🪙BUY XAUUSD | 4004 - 4006 ⚰️SL: 3998 ⬆️TP1: 4014 ⬆️TP2: 4022
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Signals_100pips
1
XAU/USD Bullish Structure Retest Offering Strategic Swing Entry🏆 XAU/USD GOLD SWING TRADE OPPORTUNITY 💰 Bullish Pullback Setup | LSMA Moving Average Confirmation 📊 TRADE PLAN OVERVIEW Asset: XAU/USD (Gold vs US Dollar) | METALS Market Timeframe: Swing Trade (4H-Daily Bias) Setup Type: Bullish Continuation on Pullback Confirmation Indicator: LSMA Moving Average 🎯 ENTRY STRATEGY Method: Layer Entry Using Multiple Buy Limit Orders (Recommended) Entry Zones: Primary Entry: 4010.00 - 4020.00 (First layer - 40% position) Secondary Entry: 3990.00 - 4000.00 (Second layer - 35% position) Confirmation: Wait for LSMA to show bullish crossover + price rejection from support level 🛑 RISK MANAGEMENT Stop Loss: 3960.00 ⚠️ Important Note: Adjust your SL based on YOUR personal risk tolerance & trading strategy. This is a suggested level only - YOUR risk management is YOUR responsibility. Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2.5 minimum recommended 🚀 PROFIT TARGET Primary Target: 4260.00 Technical Reasons: Strong resistance level identified Overbought zone trap setup (scalp-friendly) Correction potential after breakdown confirmation Historical support/resistance confluence ⚠️ Disclaimer: Take partial profits at technical levels. TP is suggestive only - YOUR profit management is YOUR decision. Risk management is individual responsibility. 📈 TECHNICAL INDICATORS ANALYZED ✅ LSMA Moving Average - Bullish Structure Confirmation ✅ Price Action - Pullback to Support ✅ Resistance/Support Levels - Multi-timeframe confluence ✅ Overbought/Oversold Zones - Trap identification 🔗 CORRELATED PAIRS TO WATCH 1. EURUSD (EUR/USD) - Inverse Correlation ⚠️ Gold typically strengthens when USD weakens If EURUSD rallies, XAU/USD may follow (USD weakness) Key Point: Monitor US Dollar strength/weakness for directional bias Setup Link: EUR strength = Gold strength 2. DXY (US Dollar Index) - Direct Inverse Correlation 📉 Most Important Correlation When DXY falls → Gold typically rises When DXY rises → Gold typically falls Key Levels to Watch: DXY 105.50 - 106.50 (Major support/resistance) Our Edge: If DXY breaks below support, XAU/USD bullish case strengthens 3. USDJPY (USD/JPY) - Strong USD Indicator 💹 High positive correlation with USD strength If USDJPY rises sharply = USD strengthening = Gold pressure Key Point: Monitor for conflicting signals before entry Watch Zone: 150.00 - 151.50 resistance 4. SPX500 (S&P 500) - Risk Sentiment Indicator 📊 Risk-off environment = Gold strength During market corrections, gold rallies (safe-haven) Key Point: If SPX breaks major support, expect gold rally acceleration Current Context: Monitor for equity weakness signals 5. UST10Y (US 10-Year Treasury Yield) - Rate Pressure 📉 Inverse relationship with Gold prices Rising yields = Gold headwinds Falling yields = Gold tailwinds Our Setup: Lower yields support bullish gold bias 💡 PRE-TRADE CHECKLIST Confirm LSMA bullish alignment on primary timeframe Check DXY weakness (< 106.00 = favorable) Verify no major economic data releases (next 4 hours) Set layer entry limit orders (avoid FOMO market entries) Confirm risk/reward = minimum 1:2.5 Position size = 1-2% account risk maximum Set alerts at entry/SL/TP levels ⚡ TRADING RULES ONLY enter on confirmed LSMA bullish structure Use limit orders (never market buy at resistance) Trail stop-loss once +50 pips profit locked Take 50% profit at +100 pips minimum Move remaining SL to breakeven + 5 pips after TP1 hit Never add to losing position Created For: Active Swing Traders | Technical Analysis Enthusiasts Best Used: Combined with your own analysis & risk management Updated: Real-time market conditions check recommended before entry "The best trade is the one you DON'T take because it doesn't fit your plan."
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by The-Thief
Gold 30-Min — Volume Sell Reversal Triggered⚡Base : Hanzo Trading Alpha Algorithm The algorithm calculates volatility displacement vs liquidity recovery, identifying where probability meets imbalance. It trades only where precision, volume, and manipulation intersect —only logic. ✈️ Technical Reasons / Direction — SHORT / Reversal 4045 Area ☄️Bearish rejection confirmed through sharp candle body. ☄️Lower-high forming beneath resistance supply region. ☄️Volume decreasing confirms exhaustion in price rally. ☄️Sellers regained imbalance with heavy top rejection. ☄️Algorithm detects fading demand and shift to control. ⚙️ Hanzo Alpha Trading Protocol The Alpha Candle defines the day’s real control zone — the first battle of momentum. From this origin, the Volume Window reveals where the next precision strike begins. ⚙️ Hanzo Volume Window / Map Window tracked from 10:30 — mapping true market behavior. POC alignment exposes institutional bias and breakout potential zones. ⚙️ Hanzo Delta Window / Pulse Delta window monitors real buying vs. selling power behind each move. Tracks volume aggression to expose who controls the candle — buyers or sellers. When Delta aligns with Volume Map, momentum becomes undeniable.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Path_Of_Hanzo
14
Bearish Reversal Expected from Key Resistance ZoneHello Followers, I am going to share you my opinion on gold next move.. Currently gold is running at 4035.. Price has approached a strong Resistance Area, where previous candles have repeatedly failed to break higher. The current market structure shows exhaustion near this resistance zone, indicating a potential reversal. Once price reacts from the resistance, we expect it to form a lower high and continue dropping toward the marked Target Area around the 3940. This creates a high-probability sell setup... If gold do not respect the resistance and break it then we have a Stoploss point there.. KEYPOINTS: Entry-level 3935 Target Area 3940 Resistance area 4050/4065 Stop Loss Point 4090
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TeamEllianaTrades
7
Gold NY Session Strategy 11/19: Will up to 4162 Gold Daily Plan – SMC Outlook (Nov 20) Framework: CHoCH – BOS – FVG – POI – Premium/Discount Model 1. Market Context Gold continues to recover after the sharp drop earlier this week. Price is now approaching the Premium zone of the current bullish swing and tapping into H1 supply. The market shows: Buyers still in short-term control Momentum weakening as price reaches resistance A corrective pullback into Discount is likely before any further expansion 2. Structural Overview (SMC Logic) 🔻 Overall Market Structure A key BOS formed around 4090–4100 → confirms short-term bullish structure Follow-up CHoCH signals continuation of the intraday uptrend Price is moving toward the upper FVG + Supply Zone (4160–4162) 🔸 Orderflow Notes Strong reaction at the 4140 area → clear presence of passive Sell Limit absorption Demand POI at 4091–4089 held exceptionally well → main bullish mitigation zone 3. Trading Zones (POI) ✅ BUY Zone (Discount Area) 4091 – 4089 Demand + previous CHoCH + fib 1.272 confluence Ideal low-risk long setup within Discount Suggested SL: 4087 BUY Scenario: Price retraces to POI → shows bullish reaction → long toward Premium. ❗️ SELL Zones (Premium Area) Aggressive Sell Zone: 4143 – 4145 SL: 4147 Optimal Sell Zone: 4160 – 4162 Major supply + imbalance + fib 2.618 extension Highest probability for reversal SL: 4165 4. Trade Scenarios 📌 Primary Scenario (High Probability) Price retraces into 4091–4089 Demand Look for CHoCH/BOS confirmation on lower timeframe Enter BUY → target 4143 → 4160 → Classic SMC model: Buy from Discount → Sell from Premium. 📌 Alternative Scenario If price rallies straight into 4143–4162 without retracement: ONLY enter SELL when a clear bearish CHoCH or strong rejection forms Target: 4100 → 4090 5. Intraday Bias → Bullish in Discount zones – Bearish in Premium zones. Trade based on orderflow → Do not chase price in the middle range. 6. Summary BUY: 4091–4089 (SL 4087) → TP: 4140 – 4160 SELL: • 4143–4145 (SL 4147) • 4160–4162 (SL 4165) Wait for confirmation at each POI; avoid mid-range entries.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Linda_OneShotTrader
4
Gold is stuck in a wide range, ready for a decisive break.Good evening traders, Brian here with a fresh look at gold on the 2-hour chart. Price is compressing in a broad sideways range, building energy for the next leg – the break from this structure will set the tone for the coming sessions. Fundamental analysis The core driver remains the Fed’s December decision. The market is effectively split on whether we see a cut or a delay: A camp of institutions argues that rising unemployment and softer data could still justify a 25-basis-point cut in December, keeping pressure on the dollar and supporting gold on dips. Others point out that the Fed is short of clean, up-to-date data and may prefer to wait until next year before committing to an easing cycle. As a result, pricing for a December cut is roughly “fifty–fifty” and highly sensitive to the next run of labour-market and activity data. In short: the macro backdrop is undecided, so intraday direction will be driven mainly by levels and liquidity until the next data catalyst hits. Technical analysis On the H2 chart, gold is in a broad consolidation after the recent sell-off: Price is trading inside a descending structure, repeatedly respecting the short-term trendline from the recent high. The Fibonacci retracement of the latest impulse shows the 0.382 level lining up with a prior fair-value gap and horizontal resistance – this forms a key rejection zone overhead. Below price, there is a confluence of support where the rising trendline meets a small bullish FVG around 4027–4029, followed by a more important horizontal support band near 3998. The volume profile highlights a Value Area High (VAH) around 4075–4080, which is likely to act as a reaction zone if price rotates back into it. Until we break convincingly out of this structure, I treat it as a large accumulation range with a slight downside bias: sellers are still defending lower highs, but buyers are stepping in aggressively at trendline support. Key levels Resistance zones: 4080–4085 (VAH / short-term supply) 4135–4145 (Fibonacci 0.382 + FVG + structural resistance) Support zones: 4027–4029 (trendline + FVG confluence buy area) 3995–4000 (important horizontal support) 3940 region (deeper support if the range finally breaks down) Trade scenarios 1. Primary long – buy the trendline/FVG confluence Entry: 4027–4029 Stop: 4023 Targets: 4035 – 4050 – 4068 – 4080 Idea: look for price to react at the rising trendline where it overlaps with the small FVG. A clean rejection candle or shift in intraday order flow from that zone sets up a rotation back towards the VAH and potentially the upper boundary of the range. 2. Break-and-retest short – if the trendline fails Trigger: clear H1/H2 close below the rising trendline and the 4027 area Plan: wait for price to retest the underside of the broken trendline / prior support Entry: on rejection of that retest Initial targets: 4000, then 3940 if momentum accelerates This scenario treats any breakdown as a structural shift, using the retest as a lower-risk point to join the move rather than chasing the first leg. 3. Intraday scalp zones These are discretionary, short-term opportunities for active traders: Reaction sells: around 4085, and higher up if we spike into the 4135–4145 resistance band. Look for exhaustion or rejection patterns back into the range (potential targets 4060 then 4033). Reaction buys: into 3998–4000 if we see a liquidity sweep below the current range, with tight stops and quick profit-taking back towards the mid-range.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
1
Gold sideways, selling pressure returns to 4000⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold (XAU/USD) comes under renewed pressure in Friday’s Asian session, though it continues to trade within its weekly range amid mixed signals. Expectations for a December Fed rate cut have faded further after the delayed September NFP release, supporting the US Dollar’s climb to its strongest level since late May and weighing on the non-yielding metal. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Downward trend, gold price continues to accumulate at the end of the week: 4000 - 4100 ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4144 - 4146 SL 4151 TP1: $4130 TP2: $4120 TP3: $4100 🔥BUY GOLD zone: 4006 - 4004 SL 3999 TP1: $4020 TP2: $4040 TP3: $4060 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
XAUUSD | Bullish Inverse H&S Structure on 30m (Educational Idea)📌 Market Overview On the 30-minute timeframe, Gold (XAUUSD) has completed a bullish inverse Head & Shoulders pattern (yellow) and successfully reached its projected target. When expanding the view, a larger inverse H&S structure (green) becomes visible, indicating a broader bullish accumulation phase. On the right shoulder of the larger pattern, price action is forming a sideways ascending accumulation channel, which typically supports continuation once key resistance levels are breached. 📈 Bullish Scenario (Main Setup) A clear breakout and sustained closes above 4105 will confirm bullish momentum, potentially triggering a strong upside move toward: 4141 4176 4211 – 4222 Each level requires candle closes above it to confirm continuation to the next target. 📉 Bearish Invalidation The bullish structure becomes invalid if price breaks below 4038 and holds below it. A sustained move under 4038 cancels the larger inverse H&S patterns. 🎯 Trade Bias This analysis highlights a potential long opportunity if breakout conditions are met. Confirmation through candle closes is essential before entering any long position. ⚠️ Disclaimer This is my personal technical outlook for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Traders should manage risk according to their own strategy.
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by MiddleEastTradingAcademy
XAUUSD LONG TERM NEXT MOVE POSSIBLE ✅ Technical Analysis Breakdown (XAUUSD – 1H Chart) gold chart shows a rising wedge / ascending channel, and price is currently reacting at the mid-range support. You’ve drawn two potential outcomes – continuation upward or bearish breakdown. Let’s analyze both with precision. 📌 1. Current Market Structure Price is inside a large upward channel. It recently rejected from the upper trendline, pulling back toward the mid-channel support. Price is now sitting near the horizontal support zone ~ 4045–4034. This is a reaction zone where the next direction should become clear. 📈 2. Bullish Scenario (Bounce & Rally Toward 4250+) Conditions for upside: Price must break and hold above 4055 (you marked this level). Bullish structure resumes with higher lows. Target moves: 1st target: 4160 2nd target: 4250 3rd target: Retest of the channel top near 4300–4330 Your blue arrow upward matches this exact pathway. Why this can happen: Price still respecting the ascending channel. Mid-channel support is holding. Buyers may step in near support. 📉 3. Bearish Scenario (Breakdown to 3920–3890 Zone) This becomes active only if price breaks below the rising trendline around 4020–4010. Bearish targets: 1st target: 3980 2nd target: 3920–3890 (your green demand zone) This is a strong liquidity pool where buyers previously entered. Your downward arrow correctly points toward this demand zone. Why this can happen: Rising wedge patterns often break down. Momentum is currently weakening. Massive liquidity below 4000. 🎯 4. What Is Most Likely Right Now? Based on the chart: ✔ Price is testing support. ✔ Still inside the bullish channel. ✔ No confirmed breakdown yet. ➡ Bias: Short-term bullish unless 4020 breaks. Once 4020 breaks cleanly → bearish continuation becomes very likely. 🧭 5. Simple Trading Plan (Based on Your Zones) Bullish Setup Buy above: 4055 SL: 4020 TP: 4160 → 4250 → 4320 Bearish Setup Sell after breakdown below: 4020 SL: 4050 TP: 3980 → 3920 → 3890 For More Updates Stay Tuned
OANDA:XAUUSD
by wiqi4u
Markets Shocked by NFP; Gold Outlook Stays BullishThe long-delayed NFP report has finally been released—and the numbers shocked the market. Nonfarm payrolls increased by 119K, more than double the forecast of 50K, while August’s figure was sharply revised down to -40K. This surprisingly strong report effectively shattered the narrative that the U.S. economy is heading toward a “hard landing.” At the same time, however, the unemployment rate rose from 4.3% to 4.4%, hitting a four-year high. This combination of strong job growth and rising unemployment paints a contradictory picture—providing ammunition for both hawks and doves. More importantly, due to the government shutdown, the October jobs report has been completely canceled. Data for October and November will be merged and released in December—one week after the next FOMC meeting. This means the Fed will base its upcoming policy decision mainly on this outdated September report. Meanwhile, news surfaced that the U.S. has submitted a “peace plan draft” to Ukraine. Against the backdrop of ongoing battlefield escalation, this sudden hint of possible ceasefire has reignited global risk aversion. In the short term, the September NFP report weakens expectations for a December rate cut, pushing the dollar higher and putting pressure on gold. In the medium term, however, the absence of October data, rising unemployment concerns, risks of escalation in the Russia–Ukraine conflict, and expectations of a global rate-cut cycle beginning around 2026 all provide solid support for gold bulls. As a result, gold is likely to continue its broader upward trend after a period of consolidation. On the 2-hour chart, gold is currently capped by the MA60. If it breaks above and stabilizes, the price may retest the 4150–4200 region. If it fails to break through, a pullback toward 4050–4000 is likely. On the daily chart, MA60 around 3918 remains a strong structural support. Considering both fundamentals and technicals, the primary approach remains buying on dips. Those who prefer high-frequency trading can also sell at key resistance levels. Maintain proper risk management, stay patient, and let the market reveal the next major opportunity.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by China_MsWang
1