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Hellena | GOLD (1H): SHORT to support area 3925.Colleagues, I believe that at the moment we see a rather complicated situation - the correction is not over yet and we may see a complicated correction. In most probability I see the completion of wave “B”, and the continuation of the downward movement to the support area of 3925. The “ABC” correction may be completed this week. In any case, I expect the decline to continue. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by Hellena_Trade
12
ElDoradoFx – GOLD ANALYSIS(14/11/2025, LONDON SESSION)1️⃣ Market Overview Gold begins the London session trading around $4,178–$4,183, recovering after an early sweep toward $4,159 and bouncing back into the intraday structure. Despite this recovery, price remains below the broken ascending trendline, which now acts as resistance, and under the broader descending trendline from $4,245. The current movement suggests a corrective pullback, with sellers defending the $4,183–$4,192 zone, as gold forms lower highs intraday. London volatility will determine whether the market rejects this retest (bearish continuation) or breaks above it (bullish reversal attempt). ⸻ 2️⃣ Technical Breakdown 🔹 Daily (D1) • Gold maintains a mid-recovery structure, holding above the 100EMA and trying to build above the 10EMA. • RSI ~61 shows mild bullish momentum but not strong enough to break the long-term descending trendline. • Major support remains at $4,028–$4,090, with resistance at the compression ceiling near $4,192–$4,209. 🔹 1H Chart • Structure remains bearish-to-neutral, following a clean BOS down from $4,209 into $4,159. • Current bounce is just a retest of the broken trendline. • RSI around 46 and MACD red but flattening → early signs of indecision, not reversal. • Critical resistance sits at $4,183–$4,192, aligned with retest structure + EMA cluster. 🔹 15M–5M • Intraday shows a BOS to the downside, then a corrective pullback. • Price is reacting inside a tight compression wedge between trendline resistance and EMAs. • Momentum on lower timeframes suggests sellers are waiting for rejection confirmation at $4,183–$4,192. ⸻ 3️⃣ Fibonacci Analysis Last swing: 4,245 → 4,159 • 38.2% = 4,192 • 50.0% = 4,202 • 61.8% = 4,212 🎯 Golden Zone: 4,192 – 4,212 This is the primary high-probability sell interest area. ⸻ 4️⃣ High-Probability Trade Scenarios 📉 SELL SCENARIO (Main Bias) Sell Zone: 4,183 – 4,192 (Trendline retest + EMA cluster + FVG alignment) Targets: → 4,172 → 4,160 → 4,145 Stop Loss: Above 4,200 Confirmation Needed: • Bearish engulfing • BOS below 4,176 • RSI divergence on 5M–15M ⸻ 💥 BREAKOUT SELL SETUP Trigger: Break & close below 4,172 Retest: 4,174–4,176 Targets: → 4,160 → 4,145 → 4,130 Stop Loss: Above 4,185 ⸻ 📈 BUY SCENARIO (Countertrend) Buy Zone: 4,159 – 4,165 (Morning sweep demand + liquidity grab) Targets: → 4,176 → 4,183 → 4,190 Stop Loss: Below 4,154 Confirmation: • Bullish CHoCH • Strong wick rejection • MACD flip ⸻ 💥 BREAKOUT BUY SETUP Trigger: Break & close above 4,200 Retest: 4,192–4,195 Targets: → 4,209 → 4,225 → 4,245 Stop Loss: Below 4,188 ⸻ 5️⃣ Fundamental Watch • London session opens with higher volatility following overnight sweeps. • US PPI and consumer sentiment later today may set the direction for the next leg. • DXY stabilizing near 105.8, keeping pressure on gold until broken. • Markets remain sensitive to Fed tone and bond yield fluctuation. ⸻ 6️⃣ Key Technical Levels Resistance Zones: • 4,183 • 4,192 • 4,200 • 4,209 Support Zones: • 4,172 • 4,165 • 4,159 • 4,145 Golden Zone: ➡️ 4,192 – 4,212 Break Levels: • Sell Break Trigger: < 4,172 • Buy Break Trigger: > 4,200 ⸻ 7️⃣ Analyst Summary Gold is forming a corrective pullback into a major confluence zone. As long as gold remains below 4,190, the market favors bearish continuation toward 4,160 → 4,145. A breakout above 4,200 would invalidate the bearish structure and drive the market toward the 4,225–4,245 imbalance. This is a classic London-session compression → expansion setup. ⸻ 8️⃣ Final Bias Summary 📉 Primary Bias: Bearish below 4,190, targeting 4,160 – 4,145. 📈 Alternative Bias: Bullish only above 4,200, targeting 4,225 – 4,245. ⸻
VANTAGE:XAUUSDShort
by ELDORADOFX
GOLD H1 – Awaiting CPI Data for Next Big Move🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (12/11) 📈 Market Context Gold remains in a controlled retracement phase after a strong impulsive leg last week. The market is now consolidating within a defined 1H range, showing clear reactions near short-term EMAs as traders await today’s U.S. CPI release, a key driver of intraday volatility. • A higher-than-expected CPI could reignite USD strength and push gold toward the discount zone. • A softer CPI print may trigger a renewed push into the premium zone, inviting liquidity grabs above 4200. Institutional flows remain balanced between short-term profit-taking and position building ahead of the inflation print, suggesting engineered liquidity sweeps before the real move unfolds. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style) • Structure: Market structure is still bullish but showing distribution signs at the top of the range. • Premium Zone: 4201–4199 aligns with unmitigated supply — a prime area for potential sell-side reaction if CPI sparks a bullish liquidity sweep. • Discount Zone: 4083–4081 overlaps with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and sits just above EMA100 — an ideal re-accumulation area for institutional buys. • Liquidity: Equal lows near 4080 and equal highs near 4200 make both sides vulnerable to engineered stop-hunts before direction is confirmed. 🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone) • Entry: 4,201 – 4,199 • Stop-Loss: 4,210 • Take-Profit Targets: → 4,140 (first liquidity pocket) → 4,102 (mid-range equilibrium) → 4,083 (discount zone confluence) 📌 Only valid if CPI causes a liquidity sweep into premium, followed by M5–M15 bearish BOS confirmation. 🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone) • Entry: 4,081 – 4,083 • Stop-Loss: 4,074 • Take-Profit Targets: → 4,102 → 4,140 → 4,199 📌 Only valid if price sweeps 4080 liquidity and reclaims structure with bullish BOS on M15 timeframe. ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Wait for CPI-induced volatility before executing any setup. • Avoid mid-range trades between 4100–4140 — this is equilibrium noise. • Reduce size pre-news; volatility spikes can trigger premature stops. • Scale partials at each liquidity pocket and trail stop-losses accordingly. ✅ Summary Gold is consolidating ahead of CPI, with dual liquidity zones clearly defined: • Sell zone: 4201–4199 (premium reaction area) • Buy zone: 4083–4081 (discount re-entry area) The market is likely to hunt one side of liquidity before revealing true intent. Traders should remain patient, trade from extremes, and align entries with confirmed structure shifts. FOLLOW @Ryan_TitanTrader for real-time SMC updates ⚡
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
26
XAUUSD (Gold) Analysis Read The DescriptionThe XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) chart indicates a strong bullish trend. Price has been forming higher highs and higher lows, showing steady upward momentum. It recently broke above a resistance zone, confirming continued buying pressure. A possible trading idea: Entry: Wait for a small pullback to the trendline or previous breakout zone. Direction: Buy (long position). Target: Around 4320 (the marked target area). Stop-loss: Below the recent swing low or trendline for protection. Overall, the setup suggests bullish continuation as long as price stays above the ascending support line. Please Support with Boost and comments
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EliteGoldAnalysis
5
GOLD → False breakout of resistance after a rally...FX:XAUUSD is emerging from consolidation and entering a distribution phase. Spot metal is testing the 4085 mark, facing strong resistance amid progress in ending the US shutdown and weak economic data... The US Senate has approved a funding bill, but the process takes time (voting in the House of Representatives and Trump's signature). China: Gold ETFs rose 164% in the first nine months of 2025. The People's Bank of China has been increasing its reserves for the 11th consecutive month (to 2,303.5 tons). However, China's temporary easing of trade restrictions (exports of rare metals) supported risk-on sentiment. The probability of a Fed rate cut in December is estimated at 66%. Technically, we have bullish signals, but after strong growth, there may be a pullback... Resistance levels: 4085, 4100 Support levels: 4050, 4046, 4030 Gold is testing resistance as part of its bullish run, which is temporarily halting its strong growth. The market may lack the potential to break through resistance, and in order to build up this potential, the price may form a pullback or consolidation... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
16
OUTLOOK XAUUSD 1H Analysis (13th November 2025)This is not a financial advise, It's just a trading idea. BUY/SELL SCENARIOS: BUYS: 1) Body candle close above the 4211.72 level. 2) Retest the Previous Daily High at the 4211.72 level. 3) Create a 5/15m Bullish Engulfing Candle to capitalize on BUYS towards the 4272.50 level. SELLS: 1) Sweep the Previous Daily High at the 4211.72 level. 2) Create a 5/15m Bearish CHOCH with a body candle close (with a FVG). 3) Retest the 5/15m Bearish CHOCH Level to capitalize on SELLS towards the 4149.00 level. Trade smart, Trade according to your plan.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by paulsmith007
Short-term selling plan for gold!Entry: 4120 🎯 Final Target: 4088 ❌ Stop-Loss: (Add your SL) 📊 Market Analysis Gold is showing a clear shift in momentum as price faces rejection near the upper resistance zone. Sellers are stepping in around 4120, signaling potential downside pressure. A break and hold below this level strengthens the bearish outlook, suggesting that the market may retrace toward the lower liquidity zone around 4088. The intraday structure is weakening, with bearish candles forming and buyers failing to push higher. This behavior supports the idea of a short-term corrective move. Traders should monitor for retests of the 4120 zone, rejection wicks, or declining bullish volume to confirm continuation toward the target area.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiteFinanceIran
1
Gold faces a test at 4100; time to prepare for positioningGold’s Downtrend Intensifies: The decline in gold has accelerated, with the previous support at $4,150 now decisively broken. Based on prior price action, the next key support is located near $4,100, a level that the market tested twice during the earlier consolidation phase but failed to break, indicating strong structural support. At the same time, the ascending trendline also converges near this area, adding further reinforcement to the support zone. Therefore, $4,100 can be considered the key pivot level going forward. Should this level be breached, gold could face deeper downside risk, with a potential move back toward the $4,000 psychological level not out of the question. However, as noted, the $4,100 area carries significant support, so monitoring the price reaction closely will be crucial. If this level holds, long positions may be considered. If $4,100 breaks decisively, I believe momentum shorts (trend continuation trades) become viable.
TVC:GOLDLong
by James_AU
XAU/USD – Breakdown Structure SignalsXAU/USD – Breakdown Structure Signals Potential Deeper Correction on H1 Gold is showing early signs of a structural breakdown on the H1 timeframe after failing to sustain the recent bullish momentum. Price rejected strongly from the upper resistance zone and has since shifted into a corrective bearish structure. The current movement suggests that sellers may continue pushing price toward lower support levels. 1. Market Context After forming a double rejection at the upper zone around 4208, XAU/USD broke below the short-term trendline and is now retesting the broken structure from below. This behavior often indicates that buyers are losing control while sellers begin to step in. The loss of momentum is supported by the declining position of the DEMA, which now aligns as dynamic resistance. 2. Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone 4200 – 4210 Major rejection area. Price failed to break higher twice, confirming strong seller presence. Support Zones 4135 – 4140 First target zone if bearish continuation unfolds. This level acted as strong structure support earlier. 3980 – 4000 Major support and the next potential destination if selling pressure deepens. 3. Price Structure Analysis A clear lower high has formed after the recent rejection. Momentum shifted from bullish to bearish, shown by the aggressive decline and the corrective pullback. The market is now forming a classic pullback setup into resistance before possible continuation downward. The projected arrows on the chart align with a corrective bounce followed by a strong drop toward the deeper support. 4. Trading Scenarios Primary: Bearish Continuation Expect price to retest 4180 – 4190. If price fails to close back above this zone, bearish pressure is likely to continue. Downside targets: 4135 – 4140, followed by 3980 – 4000 if the structure fully breaks. Alternative: Bullish Recovery Only valid if price closes above 4210 with strong momentum. This would invalidate the current bearish structure and reopen the path toward recent highs. 5. Outlook Summary XAU/USD is currently trading in a corrective bearish structure, with lower highs and weakening bullish momentum. Unless buyers reclaim the 4200 area, the market is likely to continue sliding toward the deeper support zones. Monitoring the reaction at the retest zone will be essential for confirming the next directional move. Follow for more structured trade ideas and multi-timeframe market insights.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion