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XAUUSD Has it started a Bear Cycle according to the Dollar??Gold (XAUUSD) may be rising early into the week on news of a potential U.S. government opening but remains heavily rejected from the Highs of the past 3 weeks. At the same time, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY illustrated by the black trend-line) has been staging its first legitimate bottom since December 2020 and is rebounding. That DXY's bottom came a few months after Gold's top for that Cycle. The result was the start of Gold's new 2-year Bear Cycle. In fact that DXY bottoming pattern was also present in 2011, right before Gold topped this time. This suggests that the current DXY bottom has the potential to start a new multi-year rally, hence a new Bear Cycle for Gold. This pattern is further strengthened by the fact that Gold has formed a Quadruple Top on its 1W RSI Resistance Zone, similar to both of its previous Cycle Top patterns since 2011. Is the Dollar signaling a Bear Cycle on Gold? ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by TradingShot
What will gold do in the US trading session?📈 Market Structure Price Action: Price has just broken out of the accumulation zone, moving sharply toward the main resistance area. 📊 Trendlines Lower Trendline (Red): Long-term dynamic support — price has bounced multiple times from this level. Upper Trendline (Red): Main descending resistance — price is now approaching this zone. 🧱 Support Zones 3,970,000: Confluence of horizontal support and the lower trendline → key reaction area to monitor. 4,030 – 4,050 (Breakout Zone): Intermediate support if price pulls back after the breakout rally. ⚔️ Resistance Zones 4,100 – 4,115: Strong resistance aligning with the upper trendline and previous highs → possible correction zone. 🎯 Scenario If price gets rejected around 4,115, it could pull back toward the 4,030 – 4,050 breakout zone, or even retest 3,970,000. A clean breakout above 4,115 would confirm stronger bullish continuation. 🧭 Summary Trend: Short-term bullish — currently testing major resistance. Strategy: Watch price action near 4,115; wait for confirmation to re-enter buys around 4,030 – 3,970. 💼 Trading Plan BUY GOLD: 4,030 – 4,028 Stop Loss: 4,018 Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips SELL GOLD: 4,115 – 4,117 Stop Loss: 4,127 Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AstronautPioneer
1
Gold Price Forecast (7 Nov 2025): Buyers Waiting Below $4,000📌 Current Price Snapshot The spot price for Gold is around US $3,991 per troy ounce (as of 7 Nov 2025) according to In Australian dollars the price is about A$6,144 per troy ounce. 🎯 Key Technical / Market Context Resistance / Support zones The metal has tested and broken through the psychological US $4,000/oz level recently but has found resistance there. World Gold Council A key breakdown level is around US $3,700/oz. If price drops below that, it opens a risk of deeper pull-back (to ~US $3,500/oz). On the upside, if momentum returns and breaks convincingly above ~US $4,400/oz it could trigger a fresh leg upward. Technical indicators The recent analysis shows gold is trading below its 50-day EMA, meaning short-term momentum is weak and there’s dominant selling pressure. Economies.com While oversold indicators have given somewhat of a bounce, the up-trend is not yet strong. Economies.com Drivers (fundamentals & macro) A weaker US dollar and expectations of rate cuts by Federal Reserve have been major tailwinds for gold. goldpriceforecast.com Geopolitical uncertainty and central-bank buying are adding structural support. But caution: If the dollar strengthens, or rate cuts get delayed/inflation surprises happen, gold could be vulnerable. BullionByPost Europe 🔍 My Trading View & Strategy Given the current levels and market structure, here’s how I’m positioning, if I were trading gold today: Short term (next few days to 1–2 weeks): With the price ~US $3,991 and under pressure below key moving averages, I’m not chasing a long position aggressively. I’d wait for either: A dip toward support (~US $3,700) with signs of bounce (good risk-to-reward for long). Or a breakout above ~US $4,200-US $4,400 with strong volume and momentum for long. Medium term (next 1-3 months): My base view is still bullish (structural tailwinds remain) but price is in a consolidation/correction phase. So: Consider buying on dips around US $3,700-3,800 with tight stops. If price drops below US $3,500, reevaluate: risk of deeper correction. If price breaks above US $4,400 convincingly, potential target toward US $4,800+ in that window. Risk management: Stop-loss placed just below the key support (e.g., beneath US $3,650) to protect downside. Use smaller size if entering in this somewhat volatile environment. Keep an eye on macro news (Fed announcements, USD moves, inflation prints).
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AthensBySahan
Market Outlook | GU, UJ & Gold Analysis | Nov 10–14In this video, we unpack how structure, sentiment, and events shaped last week’s price action across GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and XAU/USD (Gold) and what these clues reveal about where the market might head next. The video highlights how the market reacted to the quiet U.S. week caused by the government shutdown, and how traders positioned themselves ahead of the major data coming up, from UK employment and GDP figures to U.S. CPI, PPI, and Retail Sales. You’ll Learn: ✅Why each market moved the way it did last week in simple, clear terms. ✅How I connect fundamental sentiment with real chart structures. ✅Key price zones and levels I am watching in the coming trading week. ✅How I anticipate reactions to upcoming economic data. Stay till the end for my outlook and mindset tip, and check the comment section throughout the week for real-time updates as I monitor price action. Timestamps: 00:01 – Welcome & overview 01:35 – GBP/USD breakdown 06:55 – USD/JPY analysis 11:05 – XAU/USD (Gold) insights 14:05 – Closing outlook & mindset ⚠️ This isn’t a signal service; it’s my personal trading map, shared to help you think and trade smarter.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by darcsherry
GOLD Will make new HighAfter a sharp decline, price enters a sideways consolidation — this is often where smart money (composite operators) begin to accumulate positions before the next bullish move. Wyckoff Accumulation Phases (Simplified) Selling Climax (SC): A sharp decline followed by high volume and a rebound — sellers are exhausted. Automatic Rally (AR): Price bounces back sharply, defining the upper range of the accumulation zone. Secondary Test (ST): Price retests or slightly breaks below the SC but with lower volume. Spring (optional): A final shakeout where price dips below support to trap late sellers. Sign of Strength (SOS): Breakout above resistance on higher volume and strong candles. Last Point of Support (LPS): Retest of broken resistance — this confirms the bullish reversal.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by anumurooj2020
GOLDGold price faced rejection near the 4,000 resistance zone and is now showing bearish pressure. Price broke below the short-term channel and is heading toward the first support around 3,960. If this level fails to hold, the next key support lies near 3,925, where buyers may look to re-enter. Overall sentiment: short-term bearish below 4,000 "Thank you for your support! If you found this idea valuable or learned something new, please consider liking and leaving a comment. I’d really appreciate hearing your feedback and thoughts."
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Pintu_sahu01
Gold: Watch Support Near 4168 and Resistance at 4252With strong rate-cut expectations combined with heightened geopolitical tensions, gold’s safe-haven appeal has been significantly reinforced, pushing prices back above the 4200 level. From a medium-to-long-term perspective, gold still has considerable upside potential, with some voices in the market even calling for a move toward 5000. In the short term, the U.S. government is about to resume operations, and the delayed economic data will soon be released. The market widely expects these reports to confirm a slowdown in the U.S. economy. Meanwhile, the White House has cautioned that October’s employment and inflation data may not be published on time due to the disruption caused by the shutdown. This uncertainty has further intensified concerns about the economic outlook, providing continuous support for gold’s upward momentum. However, it’s worth noting that the policies and data released after the government’s reopening remain uncertain. The market has already priced in a considerable portion of bullish expectations. If the actual results align with these expectations, the short-term upside could be limited; if they diverge, a corrective pullback would be likely. Therefore, proper risk management is essential to navigate potential volatility. Technical Outlook: On the daily chart, moving averages show a strong bullish alignment. The current uptrend is supported by the MA5 (around 4127), while the key support lies near the MA30 (around 4074). The MACD has formed a bullish crossover, and the price is moving between the Bollinger Bands’ middle line (4075) and upper band (4298). This means that during the price consolidation around 4200, key supports to watch are 4150–4127 and the middle band near 4075. (Indicator levels may shift as volatility increases, so real-time monitoring is recommended.) On the 1-hour chart, the main supports are 4168/4152/4138. As long as these levels hold, gold still has room to test 4223–4250 in the short term. With supportive news catalysts, a move toward 4300 cannot be ruled out. Overall, next week’s market will likely see heightened volatility. Opportunity and risk coexist — those who manage position size and timing well could see their profits multiply, while those lacking discipline and risk awareness could face severe drawdowns or even liquidation.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by China_MsWang
Gold (XAU/USD) Testing Key ResistanceAnalysis: Gold (XAU/USD) is currently trading around 4145, approaching a significant resistance zone between 4100 and 4120, marked as the first target region. This level previously acted as strong resistance, and price may experience a temporary pullback before resuming upward momentum. The strong psychological support zone near 3890–3920 served as a solid foundation for the recent bullish reversal, confirmed by double-bottom formations and consistent higher highs. If gold maintains momentum above 4120, the next upside target lies around 4210, aligning with previous structural highs and a major supply zone. However, rejection from the current resistance could trigger a short-term retracement toward 4100 before another push upward. Summary: Immediate Resistance: 4100–4120 Next Target: 4210 Key Support: 3890–3920 Bias: Bullish above 4100, potential retracement before continuation
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
1
Gold Bullish Strategy AnalysisGold has ended its three-week consolidation phase, and the technical trend remains upward. The daily chart shows a strong six-day winning streak, with the 10-day and 7-day moving averages (MA10/MA7) trending upwards to their current levels of 4053/4083. The 1-hour and 4-hour charts show the Bollinger Bands widening upwards, with the price trading in the upper half of the bands. The moving average system is also trending upwards, the MACD histogram is showing increasing momentum, and the RSI is hovering near 70. The trading strategy for gold remains unchanged: buy on dips! Looking at the current 4-hour chart, short-term moving averages are turning upwards. The key is whether positive news can sustain the upward momentum. A further upward breakout is possible on Thursday and Friday, but we need to pay close attention to the strong resistance area above 4250. Short-term support is around 4150. If the price continues to trade above 4150, it indicates that the bullish trend remains intact. Key Levels: First Support: 4180, Second Support: 4153, Third Support: 4131 First Resistance: 4210, Second Resistance: 4248, Third Resistance: 4266 Gold Trading Strategy: Buy: 4160-4165, SL: 4150, TP: 4180-4190; Sell: 4250-4255, SL: 4265, TP: 4230-4220; More Analysis →
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by Wall_street_jun
Gold price rise meets expectations, is $4200 still far away? News： Spot gold continued its upward momentum in Asian trading on Tuesday (November 11), rising for the third consecutive day after breaking through the $4,100 mark in the previous trading session. It once rose to around $4,148.91 per ounce, a new high since October 23, and the fourth day of gains in the past five trading days. Key Driver: Weak US Economic Data Ignites Interest Rate Cut Expectations The root of the problem lies in a series of weak US economic data released last week. This data acted like a hammer blow, shattering market illusions of a robust economy. Secondly, the US consumer confidence index released last Friday showed a sharp decline in early November due to household concerns about an economic recession. These two data points combined to reinforce market expectations of a dovish stance from the Federal Reserve. Technical aspects： From a technical perspective, gold prices briefly rose above the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of 4134, the level following the recent sharp correction from the October all-time high. Combined with the positive oscillator on the daily chart, this confirms the short-term bullish outlook for gold. A further break above the 4155-4160 USD area would confirm the bullish bias and push gold to retest the 4100 USD level. This level is close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level (4192), and a decisive break above this level would pave the way for further gains. From an hourly chart perspective, the two most crucial support levels for gold are around 4120-25 and the 4000 level. 4120-25 coincides with the hourly chart's 20-period moving average (MA20), and 4115 is also near today's opening price. Therefore, as long as gold stabilizes above these levels, it's likely to maintain a consolidation and upward trend today. Trading strategy: Buy:4125-4120, SL: 4115, TP: 4160-4180
TVC:GOLDLong
by TheodoreSilas
GOLD · Fed - slightly less dovish to hawkish tone - Previous months CPI data showed no reduction, increased from 2.9% to 3%, therefor during Oct FOMC, Powell had less dovish to slightly hawkish tone, indicating that they would like to see inflation come close to their target before considering any future rate cuts, also mentioned they will be data dependant and will need to see certain indicators (inflation) improve before can consider rate cuts. Since they wouldn’t want inflation to get out of hand again. This means DOLLAR stays bullish due to US yields remain high hence less investor outflows. · Trade War optimism - Trump met with Xi and signed deals bringing optimism to markets, therefor investors back to risk on mode hence sell demand for safe havens. · US shutdown - The only thing stopping us from expecting more rapid sells is the US shutdown which is still causing investors to be cautious and not as risk on, hence markets ranging a lot. · Market whales betting on Poor US data - we know from recent headline that larger institutions are betting on the fact that the Fed will continue rate cuts even once the US shutdown ends because they think that the data will come in weak hence the Fed will have no choice but to continue its rate cuts to improve economic activity , This is the primary factor in play at the moment and hence the rally in gold since Monday. GOLD- 1. Continuation buys if break and retest above 4220, targeting closer to previous ATH's. 2. If price holds below 42000 KL, can see more ranging and potential corrections to the downside for sells trades down to 4150. Watching 4150 to see how price reacts, if confirmations for retests can take buys with trend for upside continuation. If breaks below, can play sells to lower demand zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jawad_Khalili1