XAUUSD - Buy SetupTimeframes Used: Monthly → Weekly → Daily → 4H
Current Market Condition:
XAUUSD is a valid trade according to my system rules:
Monthly: Price is above the Cloud → Bullish
Weekly: Price is above the Cloud → Bullish
Daily: Price is above the Cloud → Bullish
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Currently in trade on 4hr timeframe:
Entry: 4111.02
Stoploss: 4010.79
TP: Aiming for 1:5 risk to reward
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Trade ideas
XAUUSD Long: Ascending Channel Targets Retest of $4,230 SupplyHello traders! XAUUSD has recently shown a clear bullish recovery structure after forming a strong base within the Demand Zone around $4,120–$4,130, where price previously reacted multiple times. This area also aligns with the lower boundary of the Ascending Channel, confirming it as a key decision point for buyers. Earlier, Gold formed a Double Top pattern near the $4,230–$4,240 zone, which acted as a pivotal Supply Area and triggered a sharp correction. Following that, the market produced two notable fake breakouts below support — liquidity sweeps that failed to establish a bearish continuation. Each failed breakdown was followed by strong buying pressure, signaling active demand.
Currently, after touching the Fibonacci Pivot Point, price reversed and re-entered the Ascending Channel, where bulls regained control. The current movement shows Gold pulling back from the Supply Line near $4,200–$4,230, suggesting that sellers are defending this zone, but the overall structure still favors buyers as long as the price remains above the channel support. At the moment, XAUUSD is approaching the confluence area between the Supply Zone ($4,200–$4,230) and the Supply Line, which represents a major reaction level. A clean breakout above this region would confirm bullish continuation, while a rejection could trigger another correction back toward the Demand Zone.
My scenario as XAUUSD holds above the $4,120–$4,130 Demand Zone, the bullish structure remains intact. The next upside objective sits around $4,200–$4,230, where both the Supply Line and key resistance meet. A successful breakout and close above $4,230 would confirm bullish continuation, opening the door for a move toward $4,260–$4,280 in the short term. However, if price rejects the supply area, a pullback toward $4,150–$4,130 is possible — an area where buyers may re-enter. A break below $4,120 would invalidate the bullish scenario and signal deeper correction toward $4,080–$4,060. For now, the structure favors buying pullbacks within the ascending channel, as long as price remains above key demand. Manage your risk!
Gold Price Analysis: Short-Term Pressure but Overall Bullish TreGold Price Analysis: Short-Term Pressure but Overall Bullish Trend Remains
News Interpretation
On Thursday (November 13), international gold prices opened with a narrow trading range, mainly influenced by multiple factors. Firstly, gold prices encountered resistance in the previous trading day, leading to a pullback. Additionally, the stabilization of the US dollar index in the early morning further pressured gold prices in the short term. Secondly, the US House of Representatives will hold a full vote on a bill to end the government shutdown at 8:00 AM Beijing time on the 13th. The market is closely watching these developments, and fluctuations in safe-haven demand have also brought some uncertainty to gold prices.
Despite this, the overall bullish logic for gold remains unchanged. Firstly, the US dollar index is currently trading below its 200-day moving average and weekly moving averages, indicating a weak overall trend. Its short-term rebound is unlikely to provide sustained pressure on gold. Secondly, the market is still in a rate-cutting cycle, and the macroeconomic environment supports the medium- to long-term trend of gold. Even if gold prices fail to rise significantly in the short term, they are expected to maintain a range-bound trading pattern rather than a sustained decline.
Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, since the low of 3990, gold prices have successfully reached our previously predetermined first target of 4200, with the next key target at 4300. The overall bullish trend has not yet ended. Investors should avoid blindly guessing the top or shorting against the trend. Short-term trading can be flexible, but trend-following trades are still recommended to focus on going long.
On the daily chart, gold prices have closed higher for several consecutive days, indicating that bullish momentum remains strong. The key resistance level is currently around 4300, which is also a key test target for the bulls in the near term. On the H4 chart, the moving average system is in a bullish alignment, with the main support currently located in the 4170-4160 range. Therefore, intraday trading is still recommended to focus on buying on dips, patiently waiting for the price to fall back to the support area before entering the market.
Trading Strategy Recommendations
In summary, today's short-term gold trading recommendation is to primarily buy on dips, with selling on rallies as a secondary strategy. Short-term resistance is seen around 4260-4280; a break above this level could lead to a further test of the 4300 mark. Key short-term support is the 4210-4190 area; a pullback to this level could present opportunities to buy in batches.
It's important to note that Thursday is a potential turning point in the week. If gold prices rise to around 4300 during the US session but fail to break through effectively, a small short position could be considered. Position size and risk management should be adjusted flexibly based on real-time market movements.
Risk Warning: Investing involves risk; please invest cautiously. The above analysis represents only personal opinions and does not constitute any investment advice.
XAU/USD 15m **Symmetrical Triangle** structure.**Symmetrical Triangle** structure.
### **Why this is a Symmetrical Triangle**
* You have **lower highs** (descending trendline from top).
* You have **higher lows** (ascending trendline from bottom).
* Price is getting squeezed toward the **apex**.
* Volatility is decreasing → typical behavior before a breakout.
### **What this structure means**
A symmetrical triangle is a **neutral continuation pattern**, meaning:
* It can break **up** or **down**, depending on which side is broken with volume.
* The breakout usually decides the next big move.
### **Key breakout zones**
* **Bullish breakout:** Above ~4088–4092 zone (upper trendline + near supply)
* **Bearish breakout:** Below ~4060–4055 zone (lower trendline)
### **Also important**
You have **strong supply above** (yellow zone) and **strong demand below**, so expect:
* Fakeouts (liquidity grabs)
* Strong move after breakout
If you want, I can give you:
✔ Next expected move
✔ Buy/Sell bias
✔ SL/TP ideas based on your triangle
✔ Probability of breakout direction
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | 12 November 2025🔹 Momentum
• D1: The daily momentum has completed its upward phase, indicating that we may expect a bearish wave to bring the D1 momentum back to the oversold zone.
• H4: The H4 momentum is currently preparing to turn upward, suggesting a potential bullish move lasting 4–5 H4 candles before the next larger decline.
• H1: The H1 momentum is also about to turn upward, implying that a short-term rally could begin from the current levels.
🔹 Wave Structure
• D1: On the daily chart, price remains within wave (4) yellow. We expect a downward move aligned with D1 momentum, lasting 4–5 daily candles, to complete this corrective wave.
• H4: On the H4 chart, price is currently inside wave X (purple). As H4 momentum approaches the oversold zone while price continues to move sideways, it suggests that one more upward leg may occur to complete wave X.
• H1: On the H1 chart, price has already formed a 3-wave correction, which I mentioned in yesterday’s update. Currently, wave 4 (red) is forming, and once price breaks above the top of wave 3 (red), wave 5 (red) will be confirmed.
🎯 Wave 5 (red) is expected to target the 4200 zone, which is our primary Sell Zone.
If price breaks above 4145 and RSI forms a lower high compared to RSI at wave 3, this will create a bearish RSI divergence, confirming that wave 5 is forming — a good opportunity to look for Sell setups.
However, if price breaks below the bottom of wave 4 (red), it may indicate a truncated wave 5, which would trigger strong selling pressure and lead to a sharp, steep decline.
📈 Trading Plan
• Sell Zone: 4199 – 4201
• Stop Loss: 4215
• Take Profit 1: 4145
• Take Profit 2: 4046
• Take Profit 3: 3932
Gold repeating pattern, return to ATH and aboveGold will return to its all time highs in the near future.
1) Interest rate cuts
2) Distrust in Trump
3) Distrust in USD
4) Venezuela conflict may happen
5) Government shutdown over and economic data could be negative
6) Michael Burry seems to be quite confident in recession coming, Buffet holds record cash
Gold Weakens Further After Breaking 4055 – Downside Risk Expands📊 Market Overview
Gold has dropped to 4050 as buying pressure weakens, with the market awaiting fresh catalysts from the European session. Cautious sentiment dominates, preventing buyers from regaining momentum after the earlier rise.
📉 Technical Analysis
Key Resistance Levels
• R1: 4060 – 4068 (near-term resistance)
• R2: 4078 – 4085 (strong resistance during EU–US sessions)
• R3: 4098 – 4105 (major rejection zone; a breakout would confirm a larger bullish trend)
Key Support Levels
• S1: 4050 – 4042 (nearest support)
• S2: 4035 – 4028 (strong support with high probability of rebound)
• S3: 4015 – 4008 (deep support; breaking below may form a medium-term downtrend)
EMA & Momentum
• Price is trading below the EMA 09, confirming short-term bearish momentum.
• Bearish momentum remains strong with weak pullbacks and no reversal patterns.
Candle Structure
• M5–M15 candles show sellers actively suppressing price around 4055.
• A break below 4048 may trigger stronger selling pressure.
📌 Outlook
Gold may continue to decline in the short term if it breaks clearly below 4048, targeting 4042 → 4035.
Conversely, if price closes above 4058, short-term bullish momentum may return, aiming for 4068 → 4078.
💡 Trade Ideas
🔻 SELL XAU/USD : 4082 – 4085
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: 4088
🟢 BUY XAU/USD: 4011– 4008
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: 4005
#xauusd pullback short from %61.8 level 4192 ? #gold🔹 61.8% Fibonacci level: ≈ 4,196
🔹 Setup idea:
• Short zone: 4,190 – 4,200
• Stop loss: Above 4,210 – 4,220 (to allow for wicks)
• Take profit targets:
• TP1: ~4,150 (minor structure)
• TP2: ~4,100
• TP3: ~4,000 (major swing support)
If gold rallies back to 4,190–4,200 and shows:
• Bearish candle rejection (e.g. 4-hour pin bar / engulfing)
• Weakening momentum or divergence on RSI
• Confluence with prior resistance
Then this 61.8% Fib zone is a technically valid pullback short area.
GOLD: Long Signal Explained
GOLD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long GOLD
Entry - 4077.1
Sl - 4066.2
Tp - 4094.8
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
What's the outlook for gold next week? Strategy Update
After Friday's sharp drop, gold may rebound at the beginning of the week, followed by a test of its strength. From a technical analysis perspective, the daily chart closed bearish, indicating significant downward pressure and strong short-term upward momentum. Monday's market is likely to remain bearish. Gold's rebound to around $4110-$4120 is a key resistance zone from the previous period and near the high of Thursday morning's rebound, making it highly likely to encounter resistance. Aggressive traders could consider a small short position, while more conservative traders should wait for a rebound to the $4140-$4150 range before entering short positions, as this is the upper edge of the previous consolidation range. Based on the current trend, key support is between $4050 and $40, with strong support at $4000. The previous low is at $3990. If this support level holds, the market may continue to consolidate. A break below this support level could weaken bullish sentiment.
Despite Friday's significant market volatility, our trading went very smoothly. I focus on short-term trading and clear market analysis. In short-term trading, there are no markets that rise or fall forever, only optimal entry points at specific moments. Finding the rhythm and following the trend is the essence of trading. On Friday, after the Asian market opened, we shorted at 4209 and then sold at 4190. Many friends questioned this, but I want to say, don't regret selling too early. We set profit targets and risk controls for every trade. Once the profit target was reached, we sold. After all, technical analysis becomes ineffective in the face of news. We should be grateful that we maintained four profitable short-term trades during this major market move, including both long and short positions, instead of missing the entire downtrend. You can check the historical recommendations to verify their accuracy. Although I am a professional trader, I don't need to strive to buy at the lowest and sell at the highest point on every trade. After all, I'm just a trader, not God! So we need to adjust our mindset and only earn the profits we deserve. Overall, this week's operations were quite profitable, and we will continue to work hard next week.
There's no need to panic excessively. I believe the bulls haven't completely lost control; this can be seen as a short-term pullback driven by fundamental factors. The possibility of a medium- to long-term peak in gold is unlikely; the overall bullish trend in the long term remains unchanged. The long-term bullish outlook persists because current external factors, such as geopolitical tensions, tariffs and trade tensions, the Fed's halt to tapering, and continued central bank gold purchases, do not support a medium-term peak in gold. Although the subsequent release of data following the US government shutdown may be mixed, potentially delaying the Fed's rate cuts, the overall trend of de-dollarization will not change. The current decline is merely a correction within the medium-term bullish trend.
This is just a general pre-market analysis; it will be updated based on actual market movements after the market opens. If you are unsure about precise trading strategies, try my method: first, use a small position to test the market, then add to your position during pullbacks. This way, you won't miss any opportunities. If you are truly unsure when, where, and how to trade, let's work together to flexibly and steadily pursue greater returns in the ever-changing market!
Gold Bulls Awaken, Can It Hold Above 4300? Strategy Update
Gold continued its upward breakout from its consolidation range in the latter half of the previous trading session, further opening up upward potential. We've previously mentioned that the short-term consolidation in gold was a build-up for an upward breakout. Today, we should continue to focus on effective long positions following the trend, observing the extent of the bullish continuation. While bullish, avoid chasing the price higher. During the Asian session, wait for a pullback to key support levels before entering effective long positions. Since the gold price has already broken out, this indicates further upward potential. During the pullback, long positions should continue to be established, following the trend. Short-term support is at 4185-75, where small, incremental long positions can be entered. Gold's 4160-50 level has transformed from resistance to support, making it another good entry point for long positions. Gold remains bullish in the short term. Current price action suggests resistance around 4210-20, with strong resistance around 4245-55. This is a suggested strategy for the Asian session, and it's time-sensitive. If the Asian session breaks through, the target for the European and American sessions is 4250. Continue to expect further upward movement towards 4300; otherwise, expect range-bound trading.
Market Review: On the previous trading day, when the price pulled back to around 4100, I signaled to enter long positions near the double bottom pattern formed at 4100, ultimately resulting in profit. A total of 5 trades were made on the previous trading day, including both long and short positions, all of which were profitable. You can check previous posts to verify this. Currently, the price is fluctuating within a small range of 4185-4205; we will look for opportunities to buy.
Markets don't always move in a sideways pattern; there will always be breakouts. These breakouts are more volatile and offer more opportunities, but they also carry higher risks. I always remind investors to prioritize risk management and carefully plan their positions. I focus solely on real trading and a clear rhythm. There are no perpetual bull or bear markets, only the right direction in the present. Master the rhythm and follow the trend. This is the essence of trading. Currently, you must seize every opportunity to buy on pullbacks. If you're struggling to execute trades precisely, try my method: test the market with a small position first, then add to your position on pullbacks. This way, you won't miss any opportunities. If you're truly unsure when, where, and how to trade, follow me and strictly adhere to my signals. This will make it easier to recover losses or double your profits!
XAUUSD - Weak Reiection at Premium Zone, Looking for Deeper Liqu"Gold is showing a weak reaction from the premium zone on the 30m chart. Price is failing to hold above the value area and is sliding back toward the lower liquidity pocket. My main scenario is a retracement toward the liquidity pool below 4,020, where a deeper sweep could occur before any meaningful reversal. Watching for displacement confirmation around that zone."
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Well, we wanted to go long into the higher red box but we wanted a better entry for this trade from just a little lower. However, we broke the bias level and as soon as we did, we completed every single target including the 4070 target level given to Camelot. Hard to get in with with the move, but those that did will have done well!
So, what now?
It's a bit of an extreme move and unconvincing at the moment. We're extreme on the liquidity monitor and there is a hot spot above that may just give a RIP. Not saying we're going to correct the move, we have major support below at the 4075 level that will need to break to go lower.
RED BOXES:
BREAK above 4004 for 4010✅, 4014✅ and 4030✅ in extension of the move
BREAK below 3990 for 3985, 3979, 3970 and 3965 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Gold: buyers defend the key demand zoneGold has reached the major demand zone at 4026–3993 — the same area where strong bullish reactions appeared multiple times in the past. The chart shows several reversal structures forming right inside this zone, while the price retests previous liquidity sweeps and a fair-value imbalance created before the last upward impulse.
Technically, gold remains inside a local descending channel, but the main focus is on the reaction from the demand zone. This level is supported by previous BOS signals, high-volume reactions and a clear accumulation base. EMA lines remain above the price, confirming the short-term bearish impulse, but zones like this often become the starting point for medium-term reversals.
Fundamentally, gold stays under pressure due to a strong USD and Fed expectations; however, macro-risks and safe-haven demand continue to prevent a deeper decline. If buyers hold 4026–3990, a recovery toward the major supply zone at 4210–4268 becomes highly probable.
Tactically: the main scenario is to look for confirmations to go long inside the demand zone. First target: 4170–4180. Main target: 4210–4268. If the zone breaks down, gold may head toward 3950.
If demand holds, the next impulse may come much faster than the market expects — gold often moves sharply once liquidity is collected.
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Two scenarios for the new weekLiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Two scenarios for the new week: waiting for reactions at 4100 & Fibonacci zone – prioritizing bullish trades when the market recovers
Gold is completing a technical rebound after a sharp drop, and H1 is showing two clear scenarios for the new week. The medium-term trend remains a downward correction, but on H1, the price is in a recovery phase, so bullish trades will be prioritized – as long as the lower liquidity zones are maintained.
The key this week lies at 4100, the confluence of FVG, Fibonacci, and liquidity – this is the decisive point to see if gold will bounce up or continue to fall deeply.
🔍 Technical Analysis (Fibonacci • Trendline • Liquidity • Volume Zone)
Fibonacci H1: The price may recover to Fib 0.5 (~4140–4150) – a zone with high liquidity & likely to trigger a bearish reaction.
Fib 0.382 (~4120–4130) is currently the first short-term resistance.
Price Structure: The medium-term downtrend still exists, but H1 is creating a recovery wave → prioritize buying when the price pulls back at the support zone.
The descending trendline is still controlling the market. If it breaks the trendline + holds above 4130–4150 → the uptrend is more strongly confirmed.
Important liquidity zones:
4100: liquidity confluence + previous bullish resistance → strong reaction zone.
4085 and 4060: liquidity bottoms – if breached, will trigger a deep decline scenario.
4032: FVG + Fibonacci bottom – the "break or hold" zone for buyers.
Key resistance this week: 4161 – 4187 – 4138 – 4111
📈 TRADING SCENARIOS FOR THE NEW WEEK
Scenario 1 – Bullish trade (priority)
Logic: Gold is recovering; if it holds 4100 and pulls back strongly → target is the upper Fibonacci zone.
Entry: 4100–4111
SL: 4090
TP: 4138 → 4161 → 4187
Suggestion: Wait for strong signals like a pin bar or H1 engulfing to confirm the recovery bottom.
Scenario 2 – Bearish trade (when the market fails to hold the bottom)
Logic: If gold breaks the H1 bottom and retests 4100 without holding → the medium-term downtrend continues to activate.
Entry: 4100–4108 (retest after break)
SL: 4120
TP: 4085 → 4060 → 4032
Suggestion: Only enter when H1 closes below 4100.
🌍 Macro Analysis – Fed disrupts the market
According to the latest data from CME Watch:
54.1% chance Fed holds rates steady at 375–400 bps
45.9% chance Fed cuts rates
The ratio is almost balanced → the market is very uncertain, creating unpredictable volatility ahead of the 10/12 meeting.
In this environment, gold often reacts strongly to unexpected news, so prioritize trading at liquidity zones – wait for clear confirmations.
⚠️ Invalidation Conditions
Price closes below 4060 → fully prioritize bearish trades.
Price closes above 4161 → strong bullish trade activated, discard all sell setups.
What scenario are you preparing for the new week?
Comment & hit Follow on the LiamTrading channel to receive the earliest analysis every day!
XAU/USD Key Support Test & Probable Trend ReversalTrend Duration Analysis
From the Trend Duration markings:
Recent Trend Durations Noted
Previous uptrend: 21 candles
Prior downtrend: 10 candles
Earlier uptrend: 37 candles
Your indicator suggests the probable length of the current downtrend may also approximate 21 candles, similar to the previous major cycle.
Right now, the downtrend is in early stages and may continue slightly lower into your SUPPORT LEVEL before reversing.
3. Key Levels (from chart)
Support Zone
4,035 – 4,000 (largest highlighted accumulation zone)
This is the critical support on the chart. Price has touched the upper area already.
Secondary Demand Zones
3,980
3,950
3,900
These represent deeper liquidity pockets if the support breaks.
Upside Targets After Reversal
Based on your projection lines:
4,150
4,200
4,300
4,350+ (max extension on dotted projections)
These levels match the Fibonacci-style structure visible on the right side.
4. Price Structure Analysis
✔ Bullish structure before drop
Price formed a strong 37-candle trend up, creating a higher high.
✔ Sharp correction now
The drop into support appears to be a classic liquidity sweep before a trend continuation.
✔ Support Reaction Expected
Your chart clearly shows the expected bounce path marked with a blue dotted diagonal.
If the support holds, we are likely to see:
A higher low formation
Trend reversal back into the projected targets
5. Probable Scenarios
🟢 Bullish Scenario (High probability)
If price holds above 4,035 – 4,000, expect:
Trend reversal up
Recovery into 4,150 → 4,200 → 4,300
A full potential extension toward 4,350 – 4,400
This matches the indicator’s “Probable Length” of the next uptrend.
🔴 Bearish Scenario (Low probability but possible)
If price breaks below 3,980, then:
Market will target 3,950 and 3,900 demand
Trend duration may extend beyond the predicted cycle
But the chart suggests this is a less likely path.
6. Final Summary
Gold is now in a bullish accumulation zone.
Current downtrend is likely near completion (based on the 21-candle forecast).
Support at 4,035 – 4,000 is the critical pivot zone.
A bullish reversal toward 4,200–4,350 is the most probable move if support holds.
Your chart essentially forecasts a buy-the-dip setup with upward continuation. CME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:ES1! CME_MINI:MNQ1! CME_MINI:MES1! COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! CBOT_MINI:YM1! NYMEX:CL1! CME:BTC1! COMEX:SI1! CME_MINI:RTY1! NSEIX:NIFTY1! CBOT_MINI:MYM1!
Gold sell setup This trade based on Daily TF and and deply analyzed on 6h TF
Gold has broken a strong supply level yesterday on aisa & london sessions and kept the momentum all the way to to 21 Oct and 23 Oct swing high but NY session rejected and engulfed the previous session at the swing high with high volume . After the breakout structure has to be retested , with all those confirmation there is a high probability market will retest 4050 .
Firmly bearish on gold, targeting $4,000 and below.Last week, gold experienced a breathtaking rollercoaster ride. At the start of trading last Monday, gold prices surged and held firm above the psychological level of $4,000. Bulls, like galloping horses, launched a new and fierce offensive, once aiming for the historical high set last month, reaching a peak of around $4,245. The market seemed to be ignited with the flames of a raging bull market. However, the situation suddenly changed. A series of hawkish signals from Federal Reserve officials, their words like thunderclaps, shook the market, and sentiment cooled abruptly. Gold prices plummeted, erasing all previous gains, and ultimately closed around $4,085, leaving a trail of disappointment.
The gold market has been caught in a period of intense volatility due to the uncertainty surrounding Federal Reserve policies and a lack of US economic data, leaving both bulls and bears relentlessly battered. Such extreme two-way fluctuations are nothing short of a brutal baptism for traders, especially those investors who are accustomed to blindly buying at the bottom and ignoring stop-loss discipline, who suffer heavy losses. Here I solemnly remind you: when the market is turbulent and the direction is unclear, do not rush into the market. It is better to observe the situation calmly, watch more and act less, and always face every breath and pulse of the market with a sense of awe. Regarding trading strategies!
Regarding trading strategy:
I plan to place short orders in batches within the 4095-4125 range, waiting for the gold price to weaken during any rebound. The key support level to watch is the 4070-4080 area. If this level is breached, gold may begin a new downward trend, heading towards a deeper technical correction.
An upward trend in gold prices has been established consider buyDuring the US session, gold prices achieved a key breakthrough, breaking through the resistance zone that had previously held them back, demonstrating strong bullish momentum. This breakout not only broke through the previous resistance at $4,140 to $4,160, but also signified a shift in market sentiment from wait-and-see to bullish. With continued buying pressure, gold prices steadily climbed, currently reaching the psychologically important $4200 level. This level is not only a crucial technical point but also a key focus of the short-term battle between bulls and bears.
Currently, $4200 is a key watershed for assessing the strength of gold's price movement. If the price can effectively hold above this level, accompanied by increased trading volume, it is expected to open up further upside potential, with subsequent targets potentially reaching $4250 or even higher. The upward momentum is primarily supported by factors such as rising global inflation expectations, lower real interest rates, and geopolitical uncertainties. Furthermore, the recent continuous increase in gold reserves by some central banks also provides long-term fundamental support for gold prices.
Conversely, if gold prices encounter strong selling pressure around $4200 and fall back, they may enter a short-term technical consolidation phase. However, it should be emphasized that such pullbacks or fluctuations are not a signal of trend reversal, but more likely a normal accumulation of strength during the upward process, aimed at consolidating previous gains and accumulating momentum for the next stage of upward movement. Therefore, even if there is a brief pullback, it will not affect the plan to buy long positions.
Regarding trading strategies, it is recommended to continue with a buy-on-dips approach. If the price retraces to the $4150-$4170 range, it can be seen as a good opportunity to build positions in stages, as this area represents the support zone after the previous breakout. For investors who missed the initial entry opportunity, if the price does not retrace and directly breaks through $4,200 and confirms its stability, they can consider moderately chasing the rise and adding to their positions. However, they need to pay attention to controlling their positions and avoid the volatility risk brought by chasing high prices.
Overall, the short-term trend for gold is clearly upward, with the market center of gravity continuously rising. As long as key support levels are not broken, every pullback could become the starting point for a new round of upward movement.
The above strategies are my personal thoughts. If you don't have a clear trading strategy, you are welcome to refer to them. If they can help you, please like and follow to support me. My gold strategies will continue to be updated!
Gold Analysis & Trading Strategy | November 17-18✅ From the 4-hour chart, after gold topped at 4245, the price continued to break downward and is still trading below all short-term moving averages (MA5 / MA10 / MA20). This indicates that the larger-cycle bearish trend remains intact.
MA5 < MA10 < MA20 — the bearish alignment is clear, and every rebound has been suppressed near MA10 (4110).
💹 Bollinger Bands:
The lower band continues to extend downward, the middle band (around 4146) is sloping lower, and the lower band has moved down to 4035.
Gold is currently oscillating weakly near the lower band, suggesting that the market is still releasing downside momentum and the lower support has not stabilized.
✅ From the 1-hour chart, gold has been unable to hold above MA20 (around 4084).
MA5 and MA10 are pressing downward, while MA20 and MA60 act as strong resistance. Each rebound candle shows an upper wick, indicating heavy selling pressure.
The 1-hour timeframe is a weak consolidation and there is no valid sign of bottoming or reversal.
💹 Bollinger Bands:
The bands are narrowing at the lows, with the middle band (around 4084) moving sideways.
The market is consolidating at low levels and may choose a direction soon — with a higher probability of continuing downward in line with the main trend.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 4110–4120 / 4140–4150
🟢 Support Levels: 4060–4050 / 4032–4035
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
🔰 If gold rebounds to 4110–4120 and meets resistance, consider light short positions. The target can be set at 4050–4030. If the decline continues, further targets are 4000 and 3930–3887.
🔰 If gold rebounds to 4140–4150 and faces rejection, high-position shorts can be taken, targeting 4100–4080.
🔰 If gold pulls back to 4035–4040 and stabilizes, consider low-position longs, targeting 4060–4080.
🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions.
With the US session approaching, will it break through support?
Gold performed as expected today, experiencing wide-range fluctuations during the Asian and European sessions. The 4110 level we identified was a clear resistance, failing to hold after several attempts. Below that, the 4040-50 area held relatively well, becoming a support level for the day. Our precise timing at resistance and support levels resulted in profits from multiple trades this morning, including both short and long positions. These trades were conducted with everyone's witness; you can verify their authenticity by checking our historical posts. There may be a delay in article updates; you can find the entry point to view real-time trading signals.
Based on gold's price movements during the Asian and European trading sessions, its short-term performance appears relatively weak. Looking at the current chart, it's in a significant consolidation phase on the daily chart, currently in a correction phase with gradually lower highs. Today, we consider this a correction, with prices mainly fluctuating within a narrow range of 4080 during the European trading session. Today's market is experiencing weak and volatile trading, with a higher probability of a decline during the US session tonight. Our best trading strategy is to buy short positions at higher prices, as gold is likely to break through lower support levels in the near future if it continues to weaken. Aggressive traders can look for buying opportunities in the 4085-4095 range, initially buying with a small position and adding to it later.
I focus solely on short-term trading and clear market analysis. In short-term trading, there is no market that goes up or down forever, only the right entry point at any given moment. Find the rhythm and follow the trend. That's the essence of trading. Currently, you must seize every opportunity to buy on pullbacks. If you can't execute trades precisely, try the method I teach: first test the market with a small position, then add to the position on pullbacks. This way, you won't miss any opportunities. If you're truly unsure when, where, and how to trade, let's work together to flexibly and steadily pursue greater profits in the ever-changing market!
XAUUSD: Buyers Defend $4,040 — Targeting $4,140 ResistanceHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Gold setup.
Market Analysis
XAUUSD has recently confirmed a bullish structure after bouncing strongly from the $4,000–$4,040 Support Zone, an area that coincides with the ascending Trend Line visible on the chart.
This level has repeatedly acted as a Buyer Zone, where multiple fake breakouts occurred — signaling liquidity sweeps and failure of sellers to maintain downward momentum. Each test of this support has been followed by a sharp bullish reaction, confirming strong demand and accumulation activity in this zone.
Currently, Gold is showing a controlled recovery phase, moving above the $4,040 Support and gradually approaching the $4,120–$4,160 Resistance Zone, which also aligns with the Trend Line extension and previous consolidation area. This zone represents the next critical reaction level for price. A confirmed breakout above it could open the way toward further continuation, while a rejection may lead to a corrective pullback back toward the $4,040 support. The recent price behavior — including several fake breakouts followed by strong recoveries — suggests that large buyers remain active, defending the bullish structure. As long as price holds above $4,040, the overall sentiment stays constructive and favors a gradual continuation toward the upper resistance levels.
My Scenario & Strategy
As long as XAUUSD remains above the $4,000–$4,040 Support Zone, the bullish bias remains valid.The next upside objective is located around $4,140–$4,160, where sellers may reappear based on past reactions. I expect the market to potentially form a small pullback before resuming its move higher. A sustained breakout and close above $4,160 would confirm a continuation toward $4,200 and possibly higher in the medium term.
However, if Gold breaks below $4,000, this bullish setup becomes invalid, and the price may return toward deeper support levels near $3,960–$3,940 before any new buying interest develops.For now, the structure supports buying pullbacks while the price stays above key support.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.






















