Another drop for goldHi traders,
Last week gold went up again and after it reached the bearish Daily FVG, it dropped again.
I think (grey) wave X is now finished.
So next week we could see a small correction up and another downmove to finish the bigger correction down.
After that it could go up again.
Let's see what price does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a small correction up on a lower timeframe and a change in orderflow to bearish to trade short term shorts.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
But I react and trade on what I see in the chart, not what I've predicted or expect.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
Trade ideas
Gold Momentum Extreme – Shorting Is High-Risk Despite Resistance1. What Happened Yesterday
Despite a weak start to the day that looked like the beginning of a deeper correction after Monday’s strong rally, Gold once again defended the 4100 interim support. Bulls quickly stepped in, and the market delivered yet another 1,000-pip bullish session — a pattern Gold has normalized these days.
2. Current Market Context
At the time of writing, price is hovering around the 4200 resistance zone, and the upside momentum remains extremely strong. Yes, after a 2,000-pip rise in just three days, a correction seems not only possible but probable.
However, we must also remember that last month Gold rallied 4,000 pips in a single week without any meaningful pullback — making short-term timing very tricky.
3. Technical Outlook
Key support levels to watch:
- 4150 – first intraday support
- 4100 – strong structural level
- 4050 – major swing support and line in the sand for bulls
Resistance levels:
- 4200 – current zone being tested
- 4280 – next clear target
- 4400 – all-time-high resistance
The structure remains bullish, but stretched.
4. Trading Plan
For swing traders, this is a difficult location to initiate new positions in either direction.
I personally prefer to buy only if Gold pulls back under 4100, where the risk-reward becomes more reasonable.
As for short trades, the combination of strong momentum and last month’s parabolic behavior makes them very high risk, even in strong resistance.
5. Conclusion
Gold remains in a powerful uptrend, and although a correction is likely, timing it is extremely challenging. Until we see a deeper pullback, I remain patient and only consider buys from lower support zones, preferably below 4100. 🚀
BULLISH TREND CONTUNUATION-EMA20\EMA50 REACTION + CONFORMATIONStrong bullish trend confirmed by EMA20 trading above EMA50 with clear higher highs and higher lows.
After the main breakout, price formed a clean consolidation zone directly above the EMA support area. This indicates strong buyer presence and healthy trend structure.
A mini break of structure followed, showing early bullish pressure inside the consolidation. Price then created a weak pullback — small candles, low selling strength, and no break of bullish structure.
Reaction occurred exactly on the EMA20/EMA50 zone with a clear rejection wick, followed by a strong bullish confirmation candle closing above the reaction. This forms a textbook trend continuation setup.
As long as the EMA structure holds and price maintains higher lows, further continuation to the upside remains the most likely scena
XAUUSD (GOLD) - 4H - Weekly Analysis (10-Nov - 14-Nov-25)Market Structure
Price is currently consolidating sideways after a strong drop.
The consolidation range is $3,960 – $4,045.
Stochastic is turning down from overbought, meaning bullish momentum is weakening.
Until price breaks above $4,060, rallies are retracements, not a trend reversal.
So the smart move:
→ Sell the rally, don’t buy the top.
Key Levels This Week
Zone / Price Range / Action
Sell Zone (Primary) / $4,035 – $4,060 / Best area to SELL
Sell Zone (Secondary) / $4,090 – $4,120 / If price spikes / liquidity grab
Support / TP1 / $3,970 – $3,975 / First profit zone
Support / TP2 / $3,925 – $3,940 / Main target
Major Demand / $3,880 – $3,900 / Extended target / potential bounce zone
✅ Primary Trade Setup — High Probability SELL
SELL LIMIT: $4,035 – $4,060
STOP LOSS: $4,090
TAKE PROFIT 1: $3,975
TAKE PROFIT 2: $3,935
TAKE PROFIT 3 (Extended): $3,900
Why this works:
This zone is previous support → now resistance.
Gold consistently rejects near round number clusters ($4,000 / $4,050 / $4,100).
Stochastic already indicates buyers are slowing.
🟡 Secondary Setup — Sell the Liquidity Grab (If price pushes higher)
SELL LIMIT: $4,090 – $4,120
STOP LOSS: $4,155
TAKE PROFIT: $4,035 → $3,975 → $3,935
This is the fake-out trap where smart money enters short.
📌 When to Avoid Trading
If price stays between $3,985 – $4,020, NO ENTRY.
This is the choppy noise zone → low win rate.
We only trade:
At strong resistance
Or at strong support
Not in the middle.
🎯 Expected Price Behavior Next Week
Early week → retest of $4,035–$4,060 area
Mid–late week → move down toward $3,970 → $3,940
This aligns with:
Profit-taking before US CPI/FOMC events
Lower safe-haven demand as volatility stabilizes short-term
🏁 Quick Trade Summary (Copy This)
Entry: 4,035 – 4,060
SL: 4,090
TP1: 3,975
TP2: 3,935
TP3: 3,900
Backup SELL (Liquidity Grab)
Entry: 4,090 – 4,120
SL: 4,155
TP: 4,035 → 3,975 → 3,935
XAUUSD Repricing MoveXAUUSD Repricing Move
Gold continues to trade inside a broader corrective cycle, with price action showing a clear transition from prior strength into a short-term distribution phase. The chart highlights repeated breaks in market structure and shifts in order flow, signalling a controlled decline built on institutional rebalancing.
After the recent downside sweep, price is now hovering around a key reaction zone where liquidity has already been absorbed. Sellers dominated the previous swing, but the latest candles show a slowdown in bearish momentum, indicating that the market may be preparing for a corrective repricing attempt.
The volume footprint on the left side of the chart reflects previous heavy activity from major participants, and the current area sits beneath an inefficiency pocket that remains unmitigated. This opens the door for a short-term bullish rotation if buyers defend this accumulation region. The marked arrow in your chart aligns with a potential internal shift where gold could attempt a short retracement toward the mid-range of the prior move.
Momentum indicators embedded in the structure show reduced volatility, meaning the market may be positioning itself for a liquidity-driven bounce rather than continuing straight lower. The next sessions will reveal whether this zone becomes a launch point for a recovery leg or if the broader trend resumes its downward trajectory.
GOLD (XAU/USD): 2 Crucial Trades Before the NFP Storm!📉 Technical Analysis (SMC - 2H)
Trend: Downtrend after clear MSS/BOS.
Focus: Price is retracing to the Selling Zone (Premium) to fill the FVG.
⚔️ Detailed Trading Plan (R:R > 1:2)
1. Preferred Strategy: SELL Limit (Trend Following)
Entry: 4,157.782 (FVG Peak - Supply Zone)
Stop Loss (SL): 4,206.895 (Safe SL above nearest structural peak)
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 4,051.733 (Main structural target - Nearest low)
Objective: Participate in the ongoing downtrend.
2. Countertrend Strategy: BUY Limit (Technical Rebound)
Entry: 4,051.733 (Nearest structural low - Support)
Stop Loss (SL): 4,018.699 (SL below lower FVG)
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 4,126.333 (Rebound to upper FVG low)
Objective: Capitalize on the technical rebound from strong support.
🚨 Key Risk: This Week's Focus
Hawkish Fed: Officials like Schmid affirm high inflation, unwilling to ease policy, maintaining high interest rates (Negative for Gold).
Major News: FOMC Minutes (Wednesday) and especially NFP (Thursday) will determine short-term momentum for USD/Gold.
Risk Management: Gold will be highly volatile from Wednesday. Adhere to SL and manage capital under 2% per trade.
#Gold #XAUUSD #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #FVG #SmartMoney #Fed #NFP #TradingView
Is Gold Attempting to go back to Previous ATH?Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around 4,220 zone, Gold is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 4,220 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GOLD XAUUSD GOLD ,newyork session rejected the sell at 4038-4040 floor ,a previous broken supply roof now a demand floor and on technical could retest 4100 coming week.
13th November during newyork session rejected the 4243-4244 zone ,the technical analysis hinged on daily double top structure break of neckline and buyers return to retest a broken neckline at 4243-4044 and dropped to 4146-4150 zone during the newyork session ,on 4hrs using the line chart we have a strong psychological horizontal structure and another break and retest to close newyork session on another 200pips buy trigger.
break and close 4146-4150 was another bearish correction into 4036-4040.
break and close will challenge another key low at 3889-3885.5 strong psychological demand floor on 4hr TF.
GOOD LUCK AND SEE YOU AT THE TOP.
Gold Bears Take ChargeGold continues to trade under calculated downward pressure as the market maintains a decisive bearish structure. The repeated inability of buyers to hold price above the 4020–4035 supply region confirms that sellers remain firmly in control. This zone has now become a strong rejection point, shaping a clear bearish trajectory for the sessions ahead.
On the technical front, price is forming tight corrective pullbacks—an indication of seller strength and buyer exhaustion. The break below the 4000 psychological level has further shifted momentum, exposing the downside liquidity pocket toward 3940.
Fundamental Drivers Boosting Bearish Pressure
1. Strengthening U.S. Dollar
Dollar demand has picked up amid safe-haven flows and expectations of tighter U.S. financial conditions. A stronger USD traditionally weighs on gold, reducing its appeal as a non-yielding asset.
2. Hawkish Tone From the U.S. Federal Reserve
Recent comments from Fed officials hint at reluctance to cut rates aggressively. Even a mildly hawkish stance keeps treasury yields elevated—another bearish force for gold.
3. Reduced Demand for Safe-Haven Assets
Geopolitical tensions have eased compared to previous weeks, lowering emergency demand for gold. When risk appetite stabilizes, investors rotate out of metals and into higher-yielding assets.
4. Rising Bond Yields
Higher yields increase the opportunity cost of holding gold, pushing metal prices downward as investors prefer income-generating instruments.
key points
RESISTANCE LEVEL 4056
SUPPORT LEVEL 4005
TARGET LEVEL1 3980
TARGET LEVEL 2 3940
Gold Market Moving Exactly As MappedVANTAGE:XAUUSD tapped perfectly into my OG Demand Zone around
4,020–4,050 and buyers stepped in exactly where the system expected. The bounce carried straight into my upper OG Supply Zone, and today’s wick shows clear hesitation right on the zone border.
The structure is still holding a bullish tone as long as price stays above the OG Trend Zone support at 4,050–4,100.
My X-pattern intersection also acted as a confluence pivot, guiding the move into the current rejection point.
Short-term 🐼 I am watching for a sweep of the supply zone highs and a cleaner reaction.
Mid-term I still prefer long setups only after a pullback into my green demand zone where momentum can reload.
Both OG Zones and OG Trend Zones played this move with precision. The system mapped the bounce, mapped the continuation, and is now catching the rejection area.
📊 Current bias: Neutral to bearish inside supply
🟢 Long interest: Rebuilds on a dip back into demand
🔴 Short interest: Only if supply shows clean rejection
📆 Watching daily close for confirmation
What I See on Your Chart. xauusd1) Upper Supply Zone – 4211 to 4247
Price has previously reacted strongly here.
Your green projection shows a possible bullish move back into this zone.
If price breaks above 4149–4141, then a move toward 4211–4247 becomes likely.
2) Mid-Level Zone – 4104 to 4097
This is where price is currently hovering (4085 area).
You have three possible projections:
Green arrow: Minor bounce → then bullish continuation.
Red arrow: Sharp drop after a small pullback.
Blue arrow: Deeper drop into lower support.
This means you’re watching for confirmation on whether this zone acts as support or fails.
3) Lower Demand Zone – 4046 to 4038
Blue arrows show the move toward this deeper liquidity pool.
This is your downside target if 4097 fails.
XAUUSD - Buy SetupTimeframes Used: Monthly → Weekly → Daily → 4H
Current Market Condition:
XAUUSD is a valid trade according to my system rules:
Monthly: Price is above the Cloud → Bullish
Weekly: Price is above the Cloud → Bullish
Daily: Price is above the Cloud → Bullish
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Currently in trade on 4hr timeframe:
Entry: 4111.02
Stoploss: 4010.79
TP: Aiming for 1:5 risk to reward
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Gold: Bullish Momentum Pauses Before the Next Move Gold: Bullish Momentum Pauses Before the Next Move
Gold kicked off the week with an aggressive rally, recovering nearly 50% of the previous drop from 4380 to 3880 in just 24 hours.
Price is now testing a key resistance area around 4130–4150, where we’re seeing a short-term pause in momentum. This could signal that Gold is gearing up for the next impulsive leg to the upside.
However, caution is advised — this pause might develop into a deeper or longer correction before the next move higher. Despite that, the broader trend remains bullish, with no clear signs of reversal for now.
📈 Key Targets:
4190
4230
4360
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 11/14/2025Yesterday gold rose initially and got rejected from 4245. After that, it dropped by almost 1k pips and found its support at 4145. I am still bullish in gold while it may go through small period of intraday correction. It could drop from 4190-4200 and may bounce from 4125. If 4200 is broken, it could test 4245 again. Therefore, I will look for buying opportunities from 4125 today.
Beware of another drop in gold prices:
Gold Market Overview
Market Sentiment: Global risk-off sentiment is heating up, putting pressure on risk assets. Gold, as a traditional safe-haven asset, is finding support. However, its upside is limited by a strong US Dollar and uncertainty surrounding Fed policy.
Key Drivers:
Macro Data: The core focus this week is the US Non-Farm Payrolls report released this Thursday. Weak employment data could strengthen rate cut expectations and boost gold prices, while strong data may solidify expectations for higher rates for longer, weighing on gold.
Fed Policy: Speeches from Fed officials and incoming economic data will influence market expectations for the interest rate path, triggering gold price volatility.
Structural Demand: The global trend of central bank gold purchases provides long-term bottom-side support for prices, but is unlikely to drive a trend in the short term.
Technical Analysis
Trend Assessment:
Gold is currently in a range-bound consolidation phase, with mixed bullish and bearish factors. Strong resistance lies above, while support holds below, with an overall slightly bearish bias.
Yesterday, the price tested lows and recovered, but the rebound was capped within the 4080-4090 zone. The failure to break through decisively indicates that bears still hold an advantage.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 4080-4090 (Recent highs, key bearish defense area)
Support: 4000-3990 (Short-term bullish line), 3975 (A break below could accelerate the decline)
Trading Approach:
Primary Strategy: Look to sell on rallies towards the resistance zone, targeting support levels.
Secondary Strategy: Consider light long positions on pullbacks to the support area, with strict stop-losses.
Specific Trading Strategy
Short Position Strategy
Entry Zone: Look to sell in batches near 4080-4090
Stop-Loss: 4095-4100
Targets:
Target 1: 4060-4040
Target 2: 4030-4000 (Hold towards 4000 if 4030 is broken)
Long Position Strategy
Entry Zone: Look to buy in batches near 4000-4010
Stop-Loss: 3990
Targets:
Target 1: 4030-4040
Target 2: 4050
Risk Warning
Event Risk: Key data releases like NFP can trigger sharp volatility. Consider reducing position sizes or closing positions before the data is released.
Position Management: Risk no more than 10% of total capital per trade. Always use stop-loss orders to avoid holding losing positions.
Prolonged Consolidation: Market volatility may slow. Maintain patience and avoid overtrading.
Summary
Gold is currently in a consolidation with a bearish bias. The primary strategy is to sell on rallies, with buying on dips as a secondary approach. Closely monitor for a breakout above the 4080-4090 resistance or below the 4000-3990 support; a breakout could signal a new directional move to trade with the trend.
Continue to short gold in the $4075-$4095 range!Gold prices rebounded slightly after falling below the $4,000 mark, a move highly consistent with previous technical analysis expectations. As previously predicted, gold prices successfully reached the key target of $4,000 after a period of sustained downward volatility, indicating a significant release of bearish momentum. This pullback was accompanied by high market sensitivity to macroeconomic data, particularly following the unexpected rise in initial jobless claims. This heightened concerns about the future labor market prompted investors to reassess the Federal Reserve's monetary policy path, leading to a resurgence in safe-haven demand and driving a significant rebound in gold prices.
The data reflects signs of a possible marginal slowdown in the job market, causing some traders to reduce their bets on further interest rate hikes. This led to a decline in US Treasury yields and downward pressure on the US dollar index, thus providing short-term support for precious metals. As a result, gold prices quickly rebounded from their lows, recovering some lost ground and successfully reversing the previous continuous decline, returning to a range-bound trading pattern.
From a current technical perspective, although gold prices have rebounded, the overall trend has not yet completely escaped downward pressure. Bears remain dominant, with the medium- and long-term moving averages arranged in a bearish pattern, indicating a cautious market sentiment. In the short term, the $3990-$4000 range is a key support zone. This area not only represents a previous consolidation level but also represents a concentration of technical buying and stop-loss orders, providing strong support for the current phase. Resistance is concentrated in the $4100-$4090 range, a densely packed area of resistance that has been tested multiple times recently without success. Coupled with the possibility of some trapped positions selling off, gold prices are expected to face some selling pressure on any upward movement.
Given the current weak and volatile market, the trading strategy can continue the approach established at the beginning of the week. It is recommended to short gold in batches when the price rebounds to between $4075 and $4095. At the same time, close attention should be paid to important events such as US inflation data, the non-farm payroll report, and speeches by Federal Reserve officials, as these factors may exacerbate market volatility and alter the short-term trend. If there are significant changes in the fundamentals, such as higher-than-expected inflation or significantly weaker economic data, the strategy will be adjusted accordingly and timely updates will be provided.
Overall, the gold market is currently in a phase of intensified battle between bulls and bears, with the direction still unclear. In terms of trading, it is advisable to remain flexible, control positions, avoid chasing highs and lows, and focus on structural opportunities in a volatile market.
The above are my personal thoughts! If they are helpful to you or your ideas align with mine, please like and follow to show your support! All strategies have a limited lifespan, so while referring to them, you should also closely monitor market changes. I will also respond flexibly based on actual market fluctuations, and I will announce specifics in the channel!
XAUUSD – HEAD AND SHOULDERS PATTERN FORMING ON H4💛 XAUUSD – HEAD AND SHOULDERS PATTERN FORMING ON H4 🎯
🌤 Overview
Hello everyone, it's Lana here again 💬
Gold, after a strong decline, is forming a clear Head and Shoulders structure on the H4 timeframe, following a long-term upward trendline. This pattern allows us to expect a rebound to the old peak area, but before that, the price may "dip" down to complete the structure.
💹 Technical Analysis (ICT Perspective)
The Left Shoulder – Head – Right Shoulder is gradually completing around the trendline + supporting FVG.
The area around the 50% Fibonacci above is a reasonable zone for the price to form the right shoulder, and if it breaks above the neckline, it could pave the way back to the strong liquidity area above 4200.
In the short term, the 4118–4120 area is both resistance + the neckline of the pattern, suitable for a technical Sell.
The 4040–4042 area coinciding with the trendline + OB is a nice support to watch for a Buy if the price adjusts deeply.
🎯 Reference Trading Plan
💢 SELL Scenario (scalping at resistance)
Sell 4118–4120 │ SL: 4125
TP: 4105 → 4086 → 4060 → 4040
💖 BUY Scenario (priority according to the pattern)
Buy 4042–4040 │ SL: 4034
TP: 4075 → 4090 → 4100 → 4140 → 4200
⚠️ Important Notes
Trading according to the pattern is just an expectation trade, so it should be combined with candle signals on smaller timeframes (M15–M30) before entering a trade.
The upcoming FOMC meeting and NFP report, after a prolonged US government shutdown, could lead to very unpredictable volatility.
Reduce volume, avoid holding large positions through major news events.
🌷 Conclusion with LanaM2
The Head and Shoulders pattern on H4 is opening up beautiful opportunities for both short Sell and Buy according to the larger trend 💛
Be patient and wait for the price to reach the marked areas, be disciplined with SL, and don't FOMO before the news.
If you find this useful, please 💛 Like – 💬 Comment – 🔔 Follow LanaM2 to update the gold perspective with me every day ✨
XAUUSD Long: Ascending Channel Targets Retest of $4,230 SupplyHello traders! XAUUSD has recently shown a clear bullish recovery structure after forming a strong base within the Demand Zone around $4,120–$4,130, where price previously reacted multiple times. This area also aligns with the lower boundary of the Ascending Channel, confirming it as a key decision point for buyers. Earlier, Gold formed a Double Top pattern near the $4,230–$4,240 zone, which acted as a pivotal Supply Area and triggered a sharp correction. Following that, the market produced two notable fake breakouts below support — liquidity sweeps that failed to establish a bearish continuation. Each failed breakdown was followed by strong buying pressure, signaling active demand.
Currently, after touching the Fibonacci Pivot Point, price reversed and re-entered the Ascending Channel, where bulls regained control. The current movement shows Gold pulling back from the Supply Line near $4,200–$4,230, suggesting that sellers are defending this zone, but the overall structure still favors buyers as long as the price remains above the channel support. At the moment, XAUUSD is approaching the confluence area between the Supply Zone ($4,200–$4,230) and the Supply Line, which represents a major reaction level. A clean breakout above this region would confirm bullish continuation, while a rejection could trigger another correction back toward the Demand Zone.
My scenario as XAUUSD holds above the $4,120–$4,130 Demand Zone, the bullish structure remains intact. The next upside objective sits around $4,200–$4,230, where both the Supply Line and key resistance meet. A successful breakout and close above $4,230 would confirm bullish continuation, opening the door for a move toward $4,260–$4,280 in the short term. However, if price rejects the supply area, a pullback toward $4,150–$4,130 is possible — an area where buyers may re-enter. A break below $4,120 would invalidate the bullish scenario and signal deeper correction toward $4,080–$4,060. For now, the structure favors buying pullbacks within the ascending channel, as long as price remains above key demand. Manage your risk!






















