GOLD (XAUUSD): Support & Resistance Analysis For Next Week
Here is my latest structure analysis for Gold.
Vertical Structures
Vertical Support 1: Rising trend line
Horizontal Structures
Support 1: 4021 - 4045 area
Support 2: 3869 - 3934 area
Support 3: 3765 - 3829 area
Support 4: 3690 - 3738 area
Resistance 1: 4202 - 4246 area
Resistance 2: 4360 - 4382 area
The market closed, testing a demand zone based on a Horizontal Support 1 and a Rising trend line.
With a high probability, the price will move up from that.
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Trade ideas
Long GOLD (GC, GLD, etc)I am planning to go to a long GOLD position again. Maybe needs some consolidation, but the eventual target will be 4800-5000 around mid-end 2026. I will choose otm GLD leap calls.
There is an alternative scenario that the price will drop to ~3850 first to form a wedge pattern. If so, I will double down on my leap calls.
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Nov 17 - Nov 21]Last week, OANDA:XAUUSD prices rose from $3,999/oz to $4,245/oz, but then fell sharply to $4,032/oz and closed the week at $4,084/oz.
The reason gold prices rose sharply last week after news of the US government reopening was because White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt said the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) may never release October employment and inflation data because the federal government was shut down during this period, not doing statistical work. These comments put the USD under selling pressure, pushing gold prices above $4,200/oz.
However, hawkish comments from Fed officials later pushed gold prices down sharply to $4,032/oz. Specifically, St. Louis Fed Governor Alberto Musalem said that the labor market is expected to remain at near full employment and the Fed needs to be cautious in operating monetary policy at this time. Meanwhile, Minneapolis Fed Governor Neel Kashkari emphasized that inflation is still too high, meaning the Fed should pause interest rate cuts.
The sharp decline in market expectations of a Fed rate cut in December may continue to have a negative impact on gold prices in the short term. However, gold prices will hardly fall sharply as macro risks and geopolitical conflicts persist and central banks’ demand for gold continues to increase.
📌According to technical analysis, the support level for gold prices next week is at 3,930 USD/oz. If it holds above this level, gold prices will continue to hover around 4,000 USD/oz in the short term. However, if gold prices fall below this level next week, they may fall to the 3,800 USD/oz area.
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4176 - 4174⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 4180
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3949 - 3951⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3945
GOLD Best Places To Buy And Sell Cleared , 500 Pips Waiting !Here is m y opinion on GOLD On 15 Mins T.F , We have a Good movement since Last 2 weeks , and we have a range now for 1 Week started between 4050.00 to 4099.00 so we can buy and sell Gold This Week from 2 areas , 4050.00 will be the best place for Buy and range between 4095.00 to 4099.00 will be the best place for Sell , now the price very near selling area so we can wait the price to retest the res area and then enter a sell trade and targeting 4050.00 and when the price touch it and give us a good bullish P.A , we can enter a buy trade and targeting 4099.00 , It`s All Depend On Price action , if we have a daily closure below our support then the price will go down more and more after huge movement to upside .
Entry Reasons :
1- Highest Level The Price Touch It
2- Broken Res
3- New Support Created .
4- Clear Price Action .
5- Clear Support & Res .
6- Price Range Cleared .
GOLD → Correction and retest 4150 FX:XAUUSD still retains its bullish structure. The price is entering a correction phase within the trading range. The key support level that may attract the attention of MM is 4150.
The probability of a decline in December fell to 51% (from 63% the day before) after hawkish statements by Fed officials. Government bond yields are rising. These factors are putting pressure on gold.
However, a weak dollar, a flight to safe assets amid global market sell-offs, and uncertainty surrounding US data (September reports may be published, but October data is likely to be lost) are providing support for the bullish trend.
Gold retains its growth potential due to macro risks. A short-term correction is possible due to profit-taking ahead of the weekend, but the $4150 level remains key support.
Resistance levels: 4211, 4239
Support levels: 4161, 4150, 4100
Within the current trading range, the focus is on support at 4161 - 4148. A false breakdown and bulls holding prices above key levels could trigger a rebound and growth to local resistance levels...
Best regards, R. Linda!
OUTLOOK XAUUSD 15m Analysis (19th November 2025)Hey Guys, this is just a trade idea and not a financial advise.
BUY/SELL SCENARIOS:
BUYS:
1) Body Candle Close above the 4078.34 level.
2) Retest the 15m Bullish CHOCH at the 4078.34 level.
3) Create a 3/5m Bullish Engulfing Candle to capitalise on BUYS towards the 4145.00 level.
SELLS:
1) Body candle close below the 4059.57 level.
2) Retest the 15m Bearish CHOCH at the 4059.57 level.
3) Create a 3/5m Bearish Engulfing Candle to capitalize on SELLS towards the 3998.00 level.
Always trade with a trading and trust the process. Cheers
GOLD Overall Structure (1D Timeframe)✅ 1. Overall Structure (1D Timeframe)
• A descending corrective channel (yellow lines)
• Major rejection at the channel top
• Price making lower highs (LH) → still bearish structure
• Price currently sitting below the mid-range of the channel
This means:
👉 Gold is still in a corrective downtrend, not bullish yet.
👉 High probability the market wants to fill lower OBs before any breakout.
________________________________________
✅ 2. Key Areas I Highlighted
🔷 1D TF FVG (4,107–4,150) – Major Resistance
• This zone is extremely important.
• Price has failed here multiple times already.
• As long as price is below this → bearish pressure continues.
This is the “breaker” level for bulls.
________________________________________
🔴 1D OB Zones Below (Demand Areas)
I mapped the OB zones correctly:
1️⃣ OB: 3,990 – 3,950
• First liquidity target
• Already almost tapped/mitigated
• Still valid for another reaction
2️⃣ OB: 3,929 – 3,885
• Stronger demand
• Highly likely to get tapped if the rejection continues
• My trendline bottom also aligns here → confluence
3️⃣ OB: 3,800 – 3,700
• If price breaks deeper into channel
• This is the next liquidity layer
These OBs line up perfectly with my descending channel.
________________________________________
Extreme Liquidity Below
I noted:
• 3100
• 3000
• 2600
These are macro liquidity harvest levels, NOT near-term.
Price falls here only if:
• Channel breaks down
• Major macro bearish shift occurs
→ Not likely in the next few weeks unless massive catalyst.
________________________________________
✅ 3. Updated Structural Reading (Using New Drawing)
A. Price recently failed to break the upper channel
This supports more downside.
B. I drew an ABC correction
The new chart also still shows:
• A → B → C decline likely forming
• Potential completion at the lower trendline
This supports a drop before any rally.
C. My white projection (V-shape recovery)
This large bullish projection is valid ONLY if:
• Price touches lower OB
➡️ 3,929 – 3,885
• And then breaks back above
➡️ 4,150
Only then the big bullish run can start.
________________________________________
📉 4. Most Likely Path (Updated With New Chart)
Based on my new structure:
Primary Scenario (70% probability)
Price drops to the lower OB:
→ 3,929 – 3,885
Possibly even wick into:
→ 3,800 – 3,700
Then:
Strong bounce → retest 1D FVG (4,107–4,150)
If rejection again → continuation inside channel.
________________________________________
Bullish Scenario (30% probability)
For my yellow arrow to be valid:
1. Price must touch the lower OB
2. Then form a strong reversal
3. Then break upward out of the descending channel
4. Then close above 4,150
5. Target becomes: 4,380 → 4,800
This matches my yellow long-term projection.
________________________________________
🎯 5. Key Levels to Watch (Updated)
Immediate Support
Level Significance
3,990 Weak OB – might not hold
3,950 First real support
3,929 – 3,885 🔥 Strong OB + channel bottom confluence
Immediate Resistance
Level Significance
4,107–4,150 🔷 Strong 1D FVG (must break for bulls)
4,200 Channel breakout level
4,380 First macro target
________________________________________
⭐ 6. Simple Final Summary (Very Clear)
My new chart indicates:
✔️ Market still bearish inside descending channel
✔️ Price likely drops to 3,929–3,885 OB
✔️ This is the best zone for bullish reversal
✔️ Bulls must break 4,150 to confirm trend change
✔️ If breakout happens → target 4,380–4,800
✔️ If OB fails → deeper channel drop to 3,700 OB
I drew the structure correctly. The analysis fully matches my levels.
XAUUSD LONG TERM NEXT MOVE POSSIBLE ✅ Technical Analysis Breakdown (XAUUSD – 1H Chart)
gold chart shows a rising wedge / ascending channel, and price is currently reacting at the mid-range support.
You’ve drawn two potential outcomes – continuation upward or bearish breakdown. Let’s analyze both with precision.
📌 1. Current Market Structure
Price is inside a large upward channel.
It recently rejected from the upper trendline, pulling back toward the mid-channel support.
Price is now sitting near the horizontal support zone ~ 4045–4034.
This is a reaction zone where the next direction should become clear.
📈 2. Bullish Scenario (Bounce & Rally Toward 4250+)
Conditions for upside:
Price must break and hold above 4055 (you marked this level).
Bullish structure resumes with higher lows.
Target moves:
1st target: 4160
2nd target: 4250
3rd target: Retest of the channel top near 4300–4330
Your blue arrow upward matches this exact pathway.
Why this can happen:
Price still respecting the ascending channel.
Mid-channel support is holding.
Buyers may step in near support.
📉 3. Bearish Scenario (Breakdown to 3920–3890 Zone)
This becomes active only if price breaks below the rising trendline around 4020–4010.
Bearish targets:
1st target: 3980
2nd target: 3920–3890 (your green demand zone)
This is a strong liquidity pool where buyers previously entered.
Your downward arrow correctly points toward this demand zone.
Why this can happen:
Rising wedge patterns often break down.
Momentum is currently weakening.
Massive liquidity below 4000.
🎯 4. What Is Most Likely Right Now?
Based on the chart:
✔ Price is testing support.
✔ Still inside the bullish channel.
✔ No confirmed breakdown yet.
➡ Bias: Short-term bullish unless 4020 breaks.
Once 4020 breaks cleanly → bearish continuation becomes very likely.
🧭 5. Simple Trading Plan (Based on Your Zones)
Bullish Setup
Buy above: 4055
SL: 4020
TP: 4160 → 4250 → 4320
Bearish Setup
Sell after breakdown below: 4020
SL: 4050
TP: 3980 → 3920 → 3890
For More Updates Stay Tuned
XAUUSD POSSIBLE MOVEMENT ( READ IT )Hello traders here is my new XAUUSD idea, share your opinion on this idea
Key Points
Current price 4098
Resistance zone 4110
Target area 1 4060/4050
Target area 2 4010/4000
Stay with us for more updates on XAUUSD and dont forget to share with your friends and family
thank you for supporting and please share your thoughts on this idea
Gold Under Pressure: Key Resistance Holds, More Downside LikelyGold is moving inside a descending channel showing clear bearish pressure. Price is struggling to hold above 4050-70 and repeated rejections from the upper trendline confirm sellers are still in control. A clean break below 4025 can open the way toward the deeper liquidity zones around 4010 and 3975. As long as price stays below the falling trendline the bias remains bearish and any small pullback toward 4075-90 will likely act as a selling opportunity. Only a strong breakout above 4100-20 would shift momentum back to buyers.
✅ Bias: Sell below 4060-85 resistance
Sell Zone : 4075–4090
Stop Loss : Above 4120
Take Profit : 4025 - 4010 - 3975
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
XAUUSD: Trend in 30-Min timeframeThe color levels are very accurate levels of support and resistance in different time frames, and we have to wait for their reaction in these areas.
You should be noted, that we have two trend (green & purple)
So, Please pay special attention to the very accurate trend, colored levels, accurate channel and you must know that SETUP is very very sensitive.
Be careful
BEST
MT
XAUUSD (Gold) Is heading UPWARDS! - time to buyA few weeks ago XAUUSD (Gold) was in a short term downtrend but finally broke out of it. The price broke through the downward channel to the upside, the price also held onto strong support (the white trendline which acted as a support level). The price tested the white trendline several times but kept bouncing back each time it hit the support zone. The price then broke through all recent resistance zones and will very likely hit the next resistance zone which is marked as the "Take profit" area. BUY GOLD NOW!
XAUUSD⬆️ Buy Range: 4032.00 - 3990.00
⏹️ Stop Loss: 3910.00
*️⃣ Take Profit: 4163.00 - 4210.00
🔠 The Gold forecast assumes a complete bearish price correction and a test of the support area around the key 4000.00 level. Subsequently, a resumption of price growth is expected, with a target above 4163.00. A decline and consolidation below 3960.00 would cancel the upward scenario for gold.
1H XAU Scenarios 🟡 XAUUSD – 1H Technical Outlook
Gold continues to trade within a clear descending channel after failing to hold above the key resistance zone around 4097. The recent spike above the channel looks like a potential fakeout, as price was quickly rejected back below resistance.
Currently, XAUUSD is hovering near a mid-range support area, but bearish momentum remains intact as long as price stays under the red resistance zone.
Key scenarios:
🟢 Bullish Pullback Scenario:
A short-term recovery toward the channel’s upper boundary is possible. If price retests the 4090–4100 area and fails again, it may provide a high-quality sell setup.
🔴 Bearish Continuation Scenario:
Rejection from resistance and a breakdown from the lower channel could open the way for a deeper drop toward the major demand zone near 3920–3940.
Bias:
Still leaning bearish unless price can reclaim and hold above the 4097 structure. Watching for signs of exhaustion on any bullish retrace.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan – NFP Will Decide the Next MoveGold failed to clear the 4115 resistance yesterday, which led to a retest of the 4053 level — now acting as intraday support. Price is currently trapped between the MA200 and MA50, reflecting indecision ahead of the NFP release.
We need to see a clean break above the immediate resistance at 4078.
A sustained move above 4115 would confirm a momentum shift and open the door toward
4170 → 4232.
If price fails to clear 4078, we may see continued consolidation or another pullback into the Support Zone.
A break below 3,996 would expose the HTF Support Zone (3968–3921).
📌Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance:
4078
4115
4170
4232
Support:
4053
4027
3996
3968
3921
🔎Fundamental Focus:
Today is all about NFP, one of the most market-moving releases for gold. With job creation, wages, and unemployment all being published together, we can expect sharp volatility in both directions.
XAUUSD – Resistance Rejection Anticipated Toward 3,997EMA 50 (blue) trending below price but still pointing downward.
EMA 200 (black) well above price, suggesting the overall larger trend remains bearish.
A large resistance zone marked around 4,095–4,115.
Price is currently around 4,060.
The analyst has drawn arrows indicating a potential retracement up into the resistance zone, followed by a sell-off toward a target around 3,997.
🧠 Interpretation of the Analysis on the Chart
1. Resistance Zone
The shaded blue region marks a major supply area where:
Price previously consolidated
Sellers dominated before pushing down
This area coincides with the region where:
Price might retest the 200 EMA overhead
Previous structure created liquidity
2. Expected Move
The arrows suggest the following scenario:
Price rallies slightly higher (likely to tap the resistance zone or sweep local highs).
After that, it rejects from resistance, respecting the bearish higher-timeframe direction.
A continuation move leads price down to the target at around 3,997.
This aligns with:
Trend continuation
Mean-reversion to the bearish EMA structure
🎯 Target Level
3,997 is likely selected because:
It’s a previous swing low
It aligns with a liquidity pool or demand imbalance
It is a natural downside magnet when momentum stays bearish
🧭 Bottom Line
The chart you posted reflects a bearish setup anticipating:
A pullback into resistance, followed by
A sell-off targeting ~3,997
This matches common Smart Money Concepts (SMC) ideas: mitigation → rejection → continuation.
XAUUSD 4H🔹 Overall Outlook and Potential Price Movements
In the charts above, we have outlined the overall outlook and possible price movement paths.
As shown, each analysis highlights a key support or resistance zone near the current market price. The market’s reaction to these zones — whether a breakout or rejection — will likely determine the next direction of the price toward the specified levels.
⚠️ Important Note:
The purpose of these trading perspectives is to identify key upcoming price levels and assess potential market reactions. The provided analyses are not trading signals in any way.
✅ Recommendation for Use:
To make effective use of these analyses, it is advised to manually draw the marked zones on your chart. Then, on the 15-minute time frame, monitor the candlestick behavior and look for valid entry triggers before making any trading decisions.
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure
TVC:GOLD Gold (XAU/USD) is trading near $4,075, struggling to gain traction after a sharp intraday recovery. Price remains capped by the resistance zone at $4,081–$4,086, while intraday support is seen between $4,041–$4,045.
The structure currently favours a short-term bearish reaction, with price showing repeated rejection at the resistance zone. A break below $4,060 could accelerate downside momentum toward the support zone, while any sustained push above $4,093 would invalidate the bearish bias.
🎯 Trade Setup
Idea: Sell from resistance zone targeting retest of support.
Entry: $4,081 – $4,086
Stop Loss: $4,094
Take Profit 1: $4,045
Take Profit 2: $4,041
Risk–Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 3.4
Bias turns bullish only if price closes above $4,093.
🌐 Macro Background
Gold trades above $4,100 ahead of the delayed US September NFP report, which was pushed back due to the 43-day government shutdown, the longest in U.S. history.
FXStreet notes that:
“Gold edges higher to near $4,110 as uncertainty over US jobs data and cautious sentiment support safe-haven demand.” 【FXStreet】
NFP Impact:
A weaker-than-expected jobs report would likely revive expectations for a December rate cut, boosting gold through lower yields and a softer USD.
Fed Divisions:
The FOMC Minutes showed policymakers divided—some supporting further cuts, others opposing another move in December.
Market Pricing:
The CME FedWatch Tool shows only a 30% probability of a December rate cut, sharply lower than nearly 60% last week, limiting gold’s upside.
Overall, gold’s upside remains constrained by shifting rate expectations, but uncertainty around delayed data continues to provide safe-haven support.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance: $4,081 – $4,086
Support: $4,041 – $4,045
Psychological Level: $4,100
📌 Trade Summary
Gold remains trapped between resistance at $4,081–$4,086 and support at $4,041–$4,045. Price is showing rejection at resistance, favouring a short-term bearish pullback.
Downside targets lie at $4,045 and $4,041, unless incoming NFP data triggers renewed bullish momentum.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
GOLD – Completing Wave (5) and Preparing for a Larger ABC RetracPrice action continues to respect the impulsive downside structure. Based on the internal wave count, it looks like we are finishing the final leg of Wave (5). The subwaves are clean, momentum is weakening, and structure is tightening inside a wedge—typical behavior at the end of an impulsive sequence.
Once Wave (5) completes, I expect a corrective A-B-C retracement to unfold.
Key expectations:
🔵 Wave Structure Outlook
Wave (4) has already topped inside the falling trendline
Wave (5) likely completes near the 0% zone
A corrective bounce should follow into:
A → around 4080
B → re-test of lower support
C → potential extension towards the 0.382–0.618 retracement (4082–4143)
⚠️ Bigger Picture
Even if the ABC correction plays out, the macro trend remains strongly bearish, and the dominant descending trendline continues to cap all rallies.
After the corrective structure completes, I expect another major move down following the thick black trendline.
🎯 Levels to Watch
Support: 3983
Short-term resistance: 4044, 4082, 4113, 4143






















