GOLD HIGH PROBABILITY SETUP SOON!!!🚨 XAUUSD HIGH PROBABILITY BUY SETUP 🚨
* Here We Can See Clearly The Next Potential Moves For GOLD Coming Hours/Days.
* Keep Your Eyes Close On Your Trading Positions.
* Happy PIP Hunting Traders.
FXKILLA.
Trade ideas
Analysis of gold movement on the 4-hour time frameHi traders
Gold has not been able to close a candle above the equilibrium range (4114) for the 4-hour time frame for now, but it can have an upward movement to the resistance areas, pick up the rising liquidity, and then return to close a candle below the 4-hour equilibrium range (it can stabilize below 4067, in which case it will pullback to 4067 and 4090 and towards the sell).
For the resistances in question, 4171 - 4193 and 4208 - 4231 are two one-hour equilibrium resistances that the market has not yet pulled back to these numbers, and the 4-hour candle after the pullback should stabilize below these areas to confirm the continuation of the decline to low liquidity and sellers' TPs
XAUUSD Short: Selling the Bounce Within the Descending ChannelHello, traders! The price action for Gold (XAUUSD) has been dominated by a bearish structure since the breakout below the ascending channel and rejection from the SUPPLY ZONE 2 near 4250. This move initiated a clear downtrend, forming a descending channel that has guided the market lower through a sequence of impulsive declines and short corrective rebounds.
Currently, the price is testing the Demand Line of this descending channel, located just above the Demand Zone around 3867. This zone represents a key area of potential buying interest that previously acted as a reaction point during earlier phases of the uptrend. In my view, the market is now entering a critical stage. A temporary corrective rally towards the upper boundary of the channel (near the Supply Zone 1 at 3950–4100) is likely before sellers may step in again to resume the broader downtrend.
My scenario anticipates that this corrective bounce will be limited, with sellers defending the Supply Zone 1, leading to another move downward toward the Demand Zone and potentially lower levels. A confirmed reversal signal in this area, however, could offer a long opportunity for a larger bullish impulse later on. Manage your risk!
How to Identify Higher Highs and Lower Lows AccuratelyIn price action trading, identifying Higher Highs (HH) and Lower Lows (LL) may seem simple, but it’s actually one of the most essential foundations for reading market structure.
If you get it wrong, you’ll often end up trading against the trend without realizing it.
1. Understanding Higher Highs & Lower Lows
Higher High (HH): a new peak that’s higher than the previous one → indicates the uptrend is still intact.
Lower Low (LL): a new trough lower than the previous one → confirms the downtrend continues.
It sounds simple, but the tricky part lies in choosing the correct main swing to read from.
2. Common Mistakes That Mislead Traders
Many traders identify HH–LL patterns on very small timeframes, which causes confusion because of minor pullback waves inside the bigger trend.
Example:
The M5 chart might show HH–HL (uptrend), while the H1 chart is clearly forming LL–LH (downtrend).
If you buy based on the small timeframe, you’re essentially buying into a pullback.
💡 Pro tip: Always identify the main market structure on higher timeframes (H1–H4) before looking for entries on smaller ones.
3. How to Identify Them Accurately
Find the main swing:
Look for the points where price truly reverses with strong candles or noticeable volume.
Mark clear highs and lows using the swing high/swing low tool.
Check structural continuity:
If HH and HL remain intact → the trend is bullish.
If LL and LH keep forming → the trend is bearish.
If the structure breaks (for example, a HH forms in a downtrend) → the market may be shifting direction.
4. Practical Tips
Use the H4 timeframe to determine the overall trend.
Then, drop to M15 or M30 to locate precise HH/LL points for entry.
Avoid identifying HH/LL inside sideways (ranging) markets — it’ll only confuse your analysis.
GOLD Very Near Perfect Place For See , 500 Pips Waiting !Here is My 30 Mins Gold Chart , and here is my opinion , we again Below 4050.00 With 4H Candle and the price come back to retest it ! and we have a 4H Candle closure below it And Perfect Breakout and this give us a very good confirmation , so we have a good confirmation now to can sell after the price go back to retest the broken area between 4050.00 : 4055.00 , and give us a good wicks as previous wicks ! and we can targeting 100 to 200 pips . if we have a daily closure above this area this mean this idea will not be valid anymore .
Reasons To Enter :
1- Perfect Touch For The Area .
2- Clear Bearish Price Action .
3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bearish P.A .
4- Over Bought .
5- Perfect 30 Mins Closure .
The Yo-Yo Market: Gold Swings Wildly but Goes NowhereRecently, Gold’s volatility has been extreme — with over 1,000+ pip swings up and down. Yet, despite all the loud noise , if we look closer, nothing truly significant has happened since the drop from the 4400 zone to below 4,000.
For most retail traders using stop losses, this type of environment has been extremely challenging — whipsaws in both directions.
However, if we step back and filter out the noise, a clearer structure begins to appear:
________________________________________
🔍 Key Observations
1. Normal Correction Behavior
The sharp drop from the all-time high actually stopped right at the previous ATH from early October — a very common technical behavior, where price retraces into prior calendar-based resistance zones.
2. Below 4K, But Not Broken
Although Gold is currently trading below 4,000, the move under that level is not yet a confirmed breakdown.
3. Strong Rebounds from 3920
Yesterday, price bounced aggressively from the 3920 zone, and this exact reaction repeated twice overnight — showing that buyers are still defending this area.
4. Correction Within the Golden Zone
Despite the dramatic fall, the current retracement sits just above the 61.8% Fibonacci level of the strong bullish leg from late August — technically, a textbook “golden zone” correction.
________________________________________
🎯 Trading Outlook
If we connect all the dots, Gold appears to be finishing a much-needed correction rather than starting a downtrend.
• Short term:
Resistance is found around 3975–3980. A clean break above could open the way to 4030.
• Medium term:
If Gold manages to stabilize above 4,000, the next upside targets are 4050, and possibly 4150 as we move into November.
________________________________________
⚖️ Final Thoughts
Yes, volatility is high — but beneath the surface, Gold is simply completing a natural corrective phase.
As long as 3900-3920 zone holds, the medium-term focus shifts back toward 4150.
🚀
GOLD ANALYSIS (1 W)To understand the psychology in Gold,
I use only two tools:
Fibonacci retracement,
Trend-based Fibonacci extension.
We will use these two tools to measure the weekly cycles.
Since November 2022, Gold has been forming a pattern that can only be explained by Fibonacci principles.
Using Fibonacci retracement for each swing high and low, you'll realize that each retracement equals around 50%.
In only one example, we see that a higher low reaches the 61.8% level, which is also acceptable.
After these retracements, the next leg of the impulsive move always reaches around the 1.618 Fibonacci extension.
According to these two basic technical factors, Gold should first reach around $3,800, and then aim for the $6,600 level during the next impulsive leg in the coming years.
I’m not even going to list all the reasons why Gold tends to go up over time.
Most people reading this analysis are already aware of the fundamentals behind Gold’s long-term bullish nature.
Thanks for reading.
Gold downtrend, accumulation below 4000⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) picks up modestly in Tuesday’s Asian session, rebounding from a two-week low near $3,972. A softer US Dollar, pressured by expectations of two more Fed rate cuts this year, supports the non-yielding metal. Ongoing geopolitical tensions from the Russia-Ukraine conflict also add to its safe-haven appeal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
There is still selling pressure, gold is definitely correcting below 4000, the market is waiting for interest rate results
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4090 - 4092 SL 4097
TP1: $4080
TP2: $4070
TP3: $4050
🔥BUY GOLD zone: 3941 - 3943 SL 3936
TP1: $3960
TP2: $3980
TP3: $4000
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Has the gold correction ended?- FOMC on TapGold prices are retreating from record highs with a decline of more than 11.3% now testing a major pivot zone at the 38.2% retracement of the August advance at 3973- looking for a reaction off this mark with a break / close below needed to suggest a more significant high is in place / a larger correction is underway. Subsequent support objectives rest with the 50% retracement / October open at 3846/59 with broader bullish invalidation steady at 3700/20.
Initial resistance remains with the 10/21 reversal close at 4125 with a breach / close above 4251 needed to mark resumption of the broader uptrend. Keep in mind this is a massive week for event risk with the FOMC, BoC, ECB, and the BoJ interest rate decisions on tap as the government shutdown extends into the fourth week. Stay nimble into the releases and watch the weekly close here for guidance.
XAUUSD Long: Demand Zone Holding, Eyes on $4,080Hello traders! Gold (XAUUSD) is currently showing a corrective phase within its broader bullish trend. After a strong rally from the $3,850 Demand Zone, price climbed steadily along the ascending Trend Line, forming higher highs and higher lows until reaching the $4,150–$4,180 Resistance Area. This zone acted as a key pivot point, where buyers lost momentum and sellers initiated a retracement.
Following this, the market broke below the Trend Line, signaling the start of a short-term correction. The correction found temporary support near the $3,950 Demand Zone, where buyers have recently stepped in again. This level coincides with a previous pivot and a key structural support area, suggesting a potential rebound setup. At the moment, price is consolidating between the $3,950 Demand Zone and the $4,080–$4,150 Resistance Area, indicating indecision before the next move.
From my perspective, Gold is likely to attempt a bullish correction toward the $4,080–$4,150 Resistance Zone, which aligns with both the previous Trend Line and recent pivot structure. A successful break and close above $4,150 would confirm a trend continuation toward higher levels. However, if the price fails to break above this resistance area and gets rejected, sellers could regain control, pushing the market back down toward $3,950 or even lower. For now, I’ll be watching for confirmation of a bullish reaction from the $3,950 Demand Zone to validate a short-term long setup targeting $4,080. Manage your risk!
GOLD Short-Term Pullback 🔹 COT (Commitment of Traders)
(Last update: September 23, 2025 – data not refreshed due to the CFTC shutdown)
Gold (COMEX)
Non-commercial longs: 332,808 (+6,030)
Non-commercial shorts: 66,059 (+5,691)
→ The latest available data (outdated) showed an increase in both positions, with a stronger rise on the long side — indicating institutional accumulation in late September ahead of the October rally.
Although outdated, the COT report still reflects a mildly bullish structure, but no longer captures the current market dynamics after recent volatility.
🔹 FX Sentiment (Retail Positioning)
58% long / 42% short
📌 Retail traders remain moderately long on gold. This supports a short-term contrarian bearish bias, aligning with the ongoing corrective move in price.
🔹 Seasonality
Historically, October and November tend to be statistically bullish months for gold, with average gains between +2% and +4% over 10–20-year periods.
📌 Seasonal conclusion: the context remains bullish on a seasonal basis, with potential for recovery once the current correction stabilizes.
🔹 Price Action
After the strong bullish impulse that pushed XAU/USD into the 4,350–4,400 area, price entered a phase of consolidation/distribution.
Current structure shows:
Key resistance: 4,250–4,300
Main demand zone: 3,950–3,900
RSI remains neutral but continues to lose momentum, consistent with a possible minor bearish leg before a new bullish wave.
🎯 Main Scenario:
Expecting a continuation of the corrective phase toward 3,950–3,900, aligning with the daily demand area and a likely institutional reaccumulation zone.
From there, a potential bullish resumption could emerge within November’s seasonal strength.
⚙️ Invalidation: daily close below 3,850, which would compromise the medium-term bullish structure.
Gold price accumulation - sideways range⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) starts the week slightly lower but holds above Friday’s low during the Asian session. Easing US-China trade tensions lift risk appetite and weigh on the safe-haven metal, as reflected in stronger global equities. Still, dovish Fed expectations and a softer US Dollar help limit further losses.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
The US and ASEAN weekend tariff policy has a negative impact on gold prices, mainly accumulating buying power waiting for interest rate cuts.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4236 - 4238 SL 4243
TP1: $4220
TP2: $4200
TP3: $4185
🔥BUY GOLD zone: 3987 - 3985 SL 3980
TP1: $3998
TP2: $4010
TP3: $4030
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
GOLD at Cut n reverse region? What's next??#GOLD... market perfectly place a low in region.
That is our most important region and our key region for next move.
Keep close and if market holds then buying expected otherwise not at all.
I repeat it again that is full n final region..
NOTE: we will go for cut n reverse below region on confirmation.
Good luck
Trade wisley
Gold - The bullrun is over today!💰Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) creates a massive top:
🔎Analysis summary:
Starting all the way back in 2015, Gold created a major rounding bottom pattern. After the breakout, Gold started its major bullrun, rallying about +300% over the past couple of years. But after this rally, Gold is now showing clear signs of a serious top formation.
📝Levels to watch:
$4,000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
gold next week still downtrend target $3950🧭 Current Market Context (XAUUSD around 4111):
Price is below EMA 9 and failed to break above 4200–4250.
The structure shows lower highs → bearish continuation still dominant.
Momentum is weak, and buying pressure hasn’t confirmed reversal yet.
📉 Primary Plan (Bearish Bias – More Likely)
Entry: Wait for a 4H close below 4070–4050. Enter short/sell once confirmed.
Targets:
TP1 = 3950
TP2 = 3600
TP3 = 3500
TP4 (long-term) = 3100
Stop Loss:
Above 4250 (or above last swing high).
✅ Reason:
Trend still bearish.
EMA and structure show resistance above price.
Strong downside targets available.
✅ Reason: That breakout would invalidate bearish structure and shift momentum up.
⚠️ Key Tips
Don’t trade inside 4050–4250 (range zone, no clear direction).
Follow 4H or Daily candle confirmations — avoid early entries.
Risk only 1–2% of account per trade.
If shorting, take partial profit near 3600 and trail stops.
GOLD Will Go Up From Support! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 3,985.10.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 4,051.12 level soon.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
29.10.25 Morning ForecastPairs on Watch -
FX:NZDJPY
FX:XAUUSD
A short overview of the instruments I am looking at for today, multi-timeframe analysis down to what I will be looking at for an entry. Enjoy!
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area 4219.Colleagues, I am not abandoning the idea that the upward movement is not over yet.
It seems that the correction in wave “4” is very long and I think that it may continue to the support area 3807 and there is an important nuance - it is quite difficult to label all this movement as wave “C”, because it contradicts some rules of wave construction, but there are exceptions and I tend to interpret the downward movement in this way.
There is one more option, which does not contradict the rules and it is a “shortened wave ”5" at 4377, and then (ABC) looks more adequate, but I will not display this option. In both cases, I expect a resumption of the move to at least the 4219 area.
Fundamental context
Against the current macro backdrop, gold remains well-supported: the U.S. dollar is under pressure, and bond yields continue to decline after recent weaker economic data. This environment sustains demand for safe-haven assets.
Short-term pullbacks and profit-taking after record highs appear natural — overall interest in gold stays strong, particularly amid expectations of further Fed policy easing.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
XAUUSD major pump not finished yet Gold has initiated a short-term corrective phase, with technical indicators suggesting potential for further downside in the immediate term. However, this near-term weakness does not alter our constructive long-term fundamental and technical outlook.
The broader macroeconomic backdrop, including factors such as central bank demand, inflationary pressures, and geopolitical uncertainty, continues to support a structurally bullish thesis for the asset.
Based on this macro-technical analysis, we project a sustained upward trajectory over the coming months. The primary long-term target remains the $5,000 per ounce level, which we view as a feasible objective within the current global economic cycle.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
<<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
GOLD Potential Short!
HI,Traders !
#GOLD keeps growing
And we are bullish biased
Mid-term but the price will
Soon hit a horizontal resistance
Of 4027.04 from where a local
Bearish pullback is to
Be expected !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
DeGRAM | GOLD formed a rising bottom📊 Technical Analysis
● XAU/USD is trading inside a descending channel, forming a short-term rebound from the support line near 3,945, signaling a potential breakout attempt.
● A move above the 4,025–4,040 resistance zone would confirm a channel break and open the path toward the 4,138 level.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Gold finds demand amid geopolitical uncertainty and weaker U.S. Treasury yields, while markets await key inflation data that may limit dollar strength.
✨ Summary
● Long bias above 3,945; target 4,040–4,138. Channel bottom rebound supports a short-term bullish recovery scenario.
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XAU/USD – Gold Faces Key RejectionXAU/USD – Gold Faces Key Rejection Zone Near 4,050 Ahead of Month-End
Gold prices (XAU/USD) are attempting a short-term rebound from the 3,900 support area after an extended bearish leg last week. However, the recovery momentum is now testing a critical resistance zone around 4,020–4,050, which previously acted as a major breakdown point.
From a technical standpoint, the overall structure remains bearish as long as price stays below 4,050. The recent move appears to be a retracement toward the 38.2% Fibonacci zone, aligning with the EMA dynamic resistance and prior supply area. A clear rejection from this region could trigger renewed selling pressure toward 3,908–3,880, while a confirmed breakout above 4,050 would open the door for a corrective push toward 4,180 and 4,390.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 4,050 / 4,180 / 4,390
Support: 3,908 / 3,880 / 3,792
Trading Strategy:
Scenario 1 (Bearish bias): Watch for bearish reversal signals at 4,020–4,050. A rejection candle or RSI divergence could validate short entries toward 3,908.
Scenario 2 (Bullish breakout): If gold closes firmly above 4,050 on H1–H4 timeframe, short-term buyers may target 4,180 before reassessing momentum.
Overall, sellers still hold control unless bulls reclaim 4,050 convincingly. Traders should monitor today’s U.S. data releases and Fed commentary for volatility triggers.
Remember to follow for more daily trading setups and technical insights.
XAUUSD | Correction of the Corrective ImpulseThe Market Flow | Oct 26, 2025
Technical Overview
Monthly/Weekly:
• Both remain in structural expansion phases following a strong higher-timeframe impulse.
• Bias continues long above prior pivots, maintaining bullish structure despite current mid-term correction.
Daily:
• Broke the previous valley (daily pivot) and reached the daily breakout zone at 4040.20 .
• This defines the ongoing corrective impulse against the dominant bullish trend.
• Price is attempting to correct that impulse, forming a counter-correction structure beneath resistance.
H4/H1:
• Local wave structure is consolidating after a multi-leg retracement.
• The corrective move remains contained between the H4 pivot 4060.68 and EXP 4129.14 .
• The green EXP level at 4129.14 represents a clean, untested M15 breakdown —the active long trigger .
• Targets align with H1 Fibonacci 138.2–161.8% and the correction 61.8% retracement zone near 4204–4246 .
• Momentum fading below the EXP would imply continuation within the corrective leg.
Trade Structure & Levels
• Bias: Long above 4060.68
• Trigger = Break and sustained hold above 4129.14 (M15 EXP)
• Primary Invalidation = 4060.68 (H4 pivot)
• Secondary Invalidation = 4054.68 (H1 pivot)
• Path → 4129 → 4204 → 4239 → 4246
• Phase: Counter-corrective advance within a higher-timeframe expansion
Risk & Event Context
• Low probability structure as it represents a correction of the corrective impulse.
• Watch intraday reactions at the M15 expansion level—failure to confirm beyond it keeps bias neutral.
• Volatility expected around USD macro data.
Conclusion
XAUUSD is attempting a minor counter-correction within a broader corrective phase. The M15 expansion level at 4129.14 is the structural trigger for continuation toward 4204–4246, but the move remains fragile as long as price trades below the daily breakout pivot.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a recommendation. Market conditions and price behavior may change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
