RSI + MACD Cross + Morningstar = A+ RSI down from 65% on M15 + MACD crossover bearish + Morningstar. FVG below.
Took this trade just now. RSI was coming down from a high of 65%. Morningstar candle had printed recently (see circle), then MACD crossed over bearish. We are in range conditions so MACD not necessary but it's great to have that confluence as extra confirmation. Plus we have a lovely area of FVG below.
London loves to flip up and down in the morning. You can make some great profit catching these moves. I normally trade these on M5, but the setup was cleaner on M15 this morning.
Improvements - could have entered earlier (or later) for much better R:R.
GOLD trade ideas
Price broke below EMA200 on M15 + Shooting Star + MACD CrossPrice below EMA200 on M15 + Shooting Star + MACD bearish cross - Tokyo.
Entered this trade a few hours ago during Tokyo session. Price finally broke through the EMA200 on M15 putting us into sell territory. A shooting star had been printed and the MACD produced a bearish cross.
As several of you noted, there’s a clean FVG stack below — I placed my TP at the end of that block.
SL was set just above the most recent structure high, giving this trade a strong R:R of nearly 1:9.
RSI is already oversold, but in strong trending conditions, it can remain that way for a while.
Looks like we’re (hopefully lol) printing the closing leg of a clean M-pattern.
Technical Analysis: Is Gold Targeting 4000 USD?👋Hello everyone, what do you think about the trend of OANDA:XAUUSD ?
Here’s my medium to long-term view:
In recent weeks, U.S. economic data has shown a weakening labor market, with the latest NFP coming in below expectations. This increases the likelihood that the Fed will cut interest rates, driving more safe-haven flows into gold. As a result, gold has made new history, currently trading around 3650 USD.
From a technical perspective, the trend is moving in line with Dow Theory. On the D1 chart, the bullish structure remains intact. Price has completed wave 1 and its correction, and is now in the process of forming the next impulsive wave to extend the uptrend.
According to Elliott Wave, gold has already formed waves (1) and (2). Wave (3) is developing and could soon move into a mild wave (4) correction before advancing to wave (5). My target is the psychological level of 3700 USD, with potential extension toward the 4xxx zone.
In the short term, the 3,545–3,560 USD range is the nearest support. If it breaks, price could retreat to the 3,450 USD area, which would act as a medium-term accumulation zone.
Given the current trend, the strategy is to buy on pullbacks, with scalping also a reasonable option. Always manage risk carefully with proper TP and SL .
⭐️This is just my personal view based on technical analysis. Gold is also influenced by news, so this is not investment advice, only a perspective on the precious metal. If you have any thoughts or interesting ideas, feel free to share them in the comments!
Good luck!
Upside Pressure Still DominantHi everyone,
On the H4 chart, gold is consolidating just beneath the 3,655–3,670 equal-highs zone, where a cluster of short stops may be resting. If triggered, price could swiftly break higher towards 3,690–3,705. Beneath, two important support layers remain: 3,630–3,620 (FVG + Ichimoku cloud edge) and 3,605–3,595. Any dip into these zones is more likely to be liquidity gathering rather than a trend break – as long as price doesn’t decisively pierce deeper.
Momentum is still skewed to the upside: rising highs and lows, shallow pullbacks, and candles with long lower wicks highlight strong “buy the dip” interest. On top of that, ATR on H4 has contracted, suggesting compression just under resistance – in such cases, momentum usually resolves upward. Price also remains firmly above the anchored VWAP from 3 September (~3.62x), showing buyers maintain control of the cost basis.
From a macro perspective, the backdrop still favours gold: US jobless claims have jumped to the highest since 2021, PPI cooled, CPI only inched higher, yet 10Y yields hover near 4.0% and DXY is softening. Europe holds rates steady, gold ETFs see renewed inflows, and central banks keep buying – all adding to the supportive case.
In summary, if H4 closes above 3,655–3,670, the odds of a push to 3,690–3,705 increase. A pullback to 3,630–3,620 that holds would still preserve the bullish view. Only a clean break of 3,570–3,565 would force a reassessment. With current structure and liquidity, I still lean towards a shallow pullback before new highs.
Hope this analysis gives you another angle before taking trades. See you in the next update!
XAUUSD (Gold Spot vs USD, 30M timeframe): XAUUSD (Gold Spot vs USD, 30M timeframe):
Price recently touched a resistance zone (highlighted in blue at the top around 3695 – 3700) and is now pulling back.
my drawn two yellow target zones below:
1. First target zone: around 3670 – 3660
2. Second deeper target zone: around 3635 – 3630
So, if price continues rejecting from the resistance and follows the bearish projection you’ve marked, the first target is ~3660–3670, and the second target is ~3630–3635.
📌 Important: Keep an eye on the Ichimoku cloud support (blue shaded area). If price bounces there, it may not reach the lower target.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Well, I don't think that could have gone any better with the KOG Report plan published on Sunday. We hit the final red box, exhausted and extended a bit but managed to get the move down from there that we had planned. In Camelot, we gave the exact level 3703 as the potential level and one that can not break if they want to retrace, which worked well.
With FOMC tomorrow, we can expect a retest of that high and if failed in the Asian session potential for a move back down into the 3660-65 region initially. That's the level we want, so lets see if we get it!
Best entry came from the red box which gave a capture twice and moved well. This should be protected and managed.
We'll be back tomorrow for the KOG Report FOMC so stay tuned and please take some time to hit the boost button on the Tradingview ideas.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
GOLD (XAUUSD): Bullish Continuation ConfirmedI believe that the price of 📈GOLD is likely to rise.
The formation of a double bottom pattern on a significant hourly support level, along with a bullish breakout of its neckline, indicates substantial buying interest.
It appears that the market will revisit the 3666 level.
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
This is a follow up update on our 4H chart idea that we shared Sunday stating that we still had the final gap in the range left.
EMA5 cross and cross and lock above 3561 left 3615 open.
- This target was hit this week now completing our 4H chart idea.
Keep an eye out for our NEW 4H chart idea with updated levels and route map.
BULLISH TARGET
3424 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3424 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3499 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3499 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3561 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3561 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3615 - DONE
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD: Will This Correction Fuel the Next All-Time High?After a powerful breakout and a new All-Time High, the market often needs to take a breath. For Gold, this breathing room comes in the form of a 4-hour correction. This isn't a sign of weakness, but an opportunity. This analysis maps out three high-probability zones where this correction could end, providing a potential entry to join the bulls for the next major leg up.
After Gold broke out of the global range, which I showed in the analysis " The Most Accurate Gold Forecast on the Market ", and continued its uptrend to form a new ATH, the asset is showing the beginning of a possible correction on the 4H structure.
If the correction continues, I will be considering a pro-trend long from a manipulation in the form of a demand zone in conjunction with one of the Fibonacci retracement levels, or from the 4H Break of Structure (BOS 4H) level .
The first long scenario involves a reversal reaction from the 61.8% Fib level , which would simultaneously rebalance a daily FVG .
If this level is broken, the second scenario will be activated, which involves a deeper correction with a reversal reaction from the 78.6% Fib level .
If the final local retracement level is broken, a reversal will still be possible upon a liquidity sweep of the BOS 4H level . This will be the third long scenario , confirmation of which would be a sharp return of the price above the BOS 4H level and the beginning of a bullish order flow on a lower timeframe.
The target for a potential long, upon confirmation of a setup from one of these scenarios, will be the formation of a new ATH . The invalidation of the long scenarios will be the price finding acceptance below the 4H Break of Structure level, as the correction would then likely shift to a higher timeframe.
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The principles and conditions for forming the manipulation zones I show in this trade idea are detailed in my educational publication, which was chosen by TradingView for the "Editor's Picks" category and received a huge amount of positive feedback from this insightful trading community. To better understand the logic I've used here and the general principles of price movement in most markets from the perspective of institutional capital, I highly recommend checking out this guide if you haven't already. 👇
P.S. This is not a prediction of the exact price direction. It is a description of high-probability setups that become valid only if specific conditions are met when the price reaches the marked POI. If the conditions are not met, the setups are invalid. No setup has a 100% success rate, so if you decide to use this trade idea, always apply a stop-loss and proper risk management. Trade smart.
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If you found this analysis helpful, support it with a Boost! 🚀
Have a question or your own view on this idea? Share it in the comments. 💬
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Gold Showed Scenario Setup What Should Next?XAUUSD Gold consolidation Bullish Structure due the Weakening U.S. dollar and falling Treasury yields make gold more attractive (lower opportunity cost of holding a non-yield bearing asset) and boost demand. Also, geopolitical risks / safe-haven demand remain supportive. So yes, the fundamental tailwinds are relatively strong, giving gold a decent chance of pushing higher — assuming no surprise hawkish comments or upside inflation shocks.
Technical situation & your levels
From Previous analysis Price rejects from 3674, and from 3658 → these are resistance zones If price crosses 3658, you see resistance at 3690 If it does not cross, then a bearish trend likely toward 3612 (long-term support) and possibly 3612 (assuming 3580 perhaps?). Let’s map those to what the technical analyses are showing
For your specific level 3674: yes, that appears to be a strong resistance. If gold gets there again, we should scrutinize whether momentum is strong enough to break above it. If it fails there again, that suggests the top might be forming (for now).
Your support of 3612 seems well-drawn: many traders are watching ~3610-3620 as an important support zone. Below that, risks increase.
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of Luck Buddies.
Ps Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Supporting.
Another bullish move goldThis is a Gold Spot vs U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) chart on the 1-hour timeframe from OANDA. At the current moment, the gold price is trading around $3,657.19, showing a gain of +21.345 points (+0.59%).
The chart highlights a bullish momentum, with the price consistently forming higher highs and higher lows since September 7th. Buyers are dominating, pushing the market upward after breaking through consolidation zones.
Key support levels can be seen around:
$3,655.97
$3,646.27
$3,628.16
$3,578.10
These levels serve as potential zones where buyers may step in again if the price pulls back.
The projection on the chart shows a bullish continuation setup. After a short retracement, the market is expected to resume its upward movement, aiming toward the new high zone at $3,708. This suggests traders are anticipating further upside momentum if gold maintains its current bullish strength.
XAUUSD – Bullish Breakout Above Resistance, Eyes on 3800Gold has successfully broken above the long-held resistance area around 3,450 – 3,500 USD with a clear Break of Structure (BOS) on the daily chart. The breakout aligns with strong bullish momentum supported by the rising trendline and moving averages.
Currently, price is consolidating above the breakout zone, and as long as it holds above 3,550 USD, we may see further continuation towards the next major target around 3,800 USD.
Break of Structure confirms bullish dominance ✅
Resistance flipped into support (3,450 – 3,500 USD)
Trendline and EMAs supporting bullish continuation
Next upside target: 3,800 USD
This setup suggests a continuation of the bullish trend unless price falls back below the support zone.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always apply proper risk management.
XAUUSD – Bullish Bias Targeting Buy-Side LiquidityOn the 1H timeframe, my perspective on Gold (XAUUSD) remains bullish, with the main target being the buy-side liquidity above current price.
Price has recently formed a bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG), which may serve as support and a potential launch point for further upside. If price holds here, we could see continuation toward higher levels. For entry, I’ll be waiting for lower timeframe reaction and confirmation.
However, it’s also important to note the sell-side liquidity resting just below the FVG. There is a possibility that price may first sweep this liquidity, tap into the underlying bullish order block, and then begin the upward move.
For this reason, I am watching two key areas:
1️⃣ The current bullish FVG as initial support.
2️⃣ The deeper bullish order block, should liquidity below be cleared.
In both cases, my bias remains bullish, but execution will depend on LTF confirmation at these zones.
💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌
🔎 DYOR
💡Wait for the update!
Gold Ahead of FOMC: Holding the Uptrend Near 3,700Hi everyone, gold is heading into a highly sensitive week as the FOMC prepares to release its rate decision and policy guidance. On the H1 chart, price just broke above 3,680 with a strong candle and higher volume, now consolidating just below the 3,690–3,700 resistance cluster. The overall trend remains bullish, with price riding the upward-sloping Ichimoku cloud and clear support steps below: 3,662–3,665 as the nearest cushion, 3,648–3,642 as the deeper defence, and 3,635–3,625 as the intraday pivot. As long as gold holds above 3,660, I lean towards further accumulation and a retest of 3,690–3,700. A confirmed close above 3,700 on H1/H4 could unlock 3,715–3,730.
From the news angle, the FOMC midweek is the main trigger. A dovish Powell and softer dot-plot would likely weigh on USD and yields, giving gold a strong chance to clear 3,700. On the flip side, a hawkish surprise could spark profit-taking, dragging price back to 3,662–3,665 or even 3,648–3,642 to test buyers. Labour data, PMI, and the BoE decision will also shape sentiment. With recent US figures underwhelming, markets are leaning towards a softer Fed, which underpins gold’s bias. For now, I favour the bullish scenario, keeping an eye on reactions around 3,665 and 3,645 once the FOMC news hits.
What’s your call – dovish or hawkish Fed this week?
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
With gold continuing it's mission to all time highs again we did manage to get a 200pip rejection from the red box only to the support, get a trade upside and the RIP the from near enough the final target given this morning for the move. Worked out pretty well in our opinion!
Now, interesting move here on gold and many will think the retracement has started however, there are a few hurdles here to then confirm the move. First stage is the 3655 resistance which needs to hold us down, while the 3630 support level needs to break. Due to news tomorrow, we would expect this to start a range now between the two levels. For us, we'll stick with the plan in place as that level above 3668 gave us a nice RIP downside.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
DeGRAM | GOLD above the support📊 Technical Analysis
● XAU/USD bounced from the 3,638 support line and is attempting a breakout from the descending resistance line.
● A confirmed push above 3,646 opens the way toward 3,656, with potential momentum extension toward 3,666.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Gold is supported by easing US dollar strength as traders reassess Fed policy outlook, while safe-haven demand is firm amid geopolitical risks and weaker global growth signals.
✨ Summary
Bullish above 3,638; targets 3,646 → 3,656 → 3,666. Invalidation on a close below 3,638.
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XAUUSD Long: Upward Rully Will ContinueHello, traders! The price auction for XAUUSD has been in a clear bullish phase, with the market structure defined by a well-established ascending channel. This pattern originated from a pivot point low near the DEMAND ZONE 2 and has since guided the price higher through a series of impulsive and corrective waves, confirming that buyers have maintained the initiative.
Currently, following a test of the channel's upper boundary, the price has entered a corrective phase. This pullback is guiding the auction towards a significant confluence of support located around the 3620 DEMAND level. This DEMAND ZONE is critical as it represents the intersection of a horizontal support area and the dynamic support line of the ascending channel.
The primary scenario anticipates a successful defense of this support confluence. A confirmed bounce from the channel's demand line would validate the integrity of the uptrend and signal that the corrective phase is over. This is expected to trigger the next impulsive wave higher within the channel's structure. The take-profit is therefore set at 3705 points, targeting a new structural high just below the channel's upper resistance line. Manage your risk!
DeGRAM | GOLD rebounded from the support area📊 Technical Analysis
● XAU/USD staged a bullish takeover at 3,636 support, reclaiming the mid-range and establishing a higher low.
● Price is now pressing 3,650, with projections showing a push toward 3,654 before testing the 3,668–3,672 resistance area.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Gold demand is underpinned by cautious sentiment ahead of US CPI, while weaker dollar flows and ongoing geopolitical tensions enhance safe-haven appeal.
✨ Summary
Bullish above 3,646; targets 3,654 → 3,668. Invalidation on a close below 3,636.
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DeGRAM | GOLD in the descending channel📊 Technical Analysis
● XAU/USD is trading inside a descending channel, with repeated rejections at 3,654–3,646 resistance confirming bearish control.
● Price is rotating lower toward 3,636 support, with the projection suggesting an extension to 3,621 if sellers sustain momentum.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Gold is pressured by firmer US yields and cautious risk sentiment ahead of CPI, while easing safe-haven flows limit upside bids.
✨ Summary
Bearish below 3,646; targets 3,636 → 3,621. Invalidation on a close above 3,654.
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Mastering Market Rhythm Through Adaptation👋Welcome, everyone!
In my previous post, I shared “The Secret Formula: Time + Structure = 80% Win Rate!” – a powerful way to increase your trading accuracy. But here’s the truth: even the best formula won’t work if you apply it blindly to every situation.
That’s why today I want to dive deeper into the next key lesson:
👉 Mastering Market Rhythm Through Adaptation
Why is this important?
The market has its own rhythm. Sometimes it trends strongly, sometimes it ranges, and other times it becomes extremely volatile. If you try to force one strategy on every scenario, you’ll be out of sync – and out of money.
By adapting, you will:
Know when to trade aggressively and when to scale down.
Choose the right strategy for the right market phase.
Most importantly: protect your capital and survive long enough to thrive.
How to adapt in practice
- Identify the market condition: Trend – Range – High Volatility.
- Adjust your strategy:
Clear trend → trend-following.
Range-bound → trade support and resistance.
High volatility → reduce lot size, focus on risk control.
- Multi-timeframe analysis: H1 may look sideways while H4 shows a clear trend.
- Always prepare a Plan B: If the market shifts, you won’t be caught off guard.
Real-world examples
XAUUSD: Fed cuts rates → gold rallies → follow the trend.
EURUSD: Pre-news uncertainty, ranging between 1.0850 – 1.0950 → range trading.
BTCUSDT: ETF approval sparks huge volatility → cut position size, wait for stability.
Final thoughts
There is no “holy grail” in trading. The real edge comes from knowing how to dance in sync with the market’s rhythm . The formula Time + Structure shows you where and when, while market adaptation shows you how long you can stay in the game.
👉 Would you like me to share a live case study on XAUUSD , applying both Time + Structure and Market Condition Analysis step by step?
Lingrid | GOLD Price Deceleration: Short-Term Retracement The price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . OANDA:XAUUSD has reached a fresh all-time high within the upward channel but is now showing price deceleration near the 3,660 resistance zone, suggesting exhaustion. Price action is forming smaller candles in the profit-taking area, indicating weakening bullish momentum. A rejection here could trigger a corrective move toward 3,590, with deeper downside potential toward 3,470 if sellers sustain control. The broader structure highlights a possible correction unfolding following A-B-C movement from this overextended zone.
💡 Risks:
A softer US CPI could reignite bullish flows and invalidate the sell scenario.
Renewed geopolitical tensions may increase safe-haven demand and push gold higher.
A dovish Federal Reserve shift could restore strong buying pressure and reverse any correction.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Wall Street Weekly Outlook - Week 38 2025Every week I release a Wall Street Weekly Outlook that highlights the key themes, market drivers, and risks that professional traders are watching.
This week promises to be particularly important, with several events likely to move markets. 📊 Stay ahead of the curve—watch the video now and get prepared like a Wall Street insider.
Any questions? Drop a comment or reach out directly.
-Meikel
Gold(XAUUSD)Breakout Above Descending Triangle–Bullish MomentumGold (XAUUSD) has successfully broken out of the descending triangle and cleared the trendline resistance. Price has also shown multiple BOS (Break of Structure) signals, confirming strong bullish momentum.
Currently, price is retesting the breakout zone near $3,670 – $3,675, which may serve as a key support area. As long as this level holds, we can expect continuation to the upside toward the next resistance around $3,700 – $3,710.
📌 Key Highlights:
Breakout from descending triangle
BOS confirmation on lower highs and higher highs
Retest of support zone in progress
Bullish continuation expected if support holds
This is a technical analysis idea for educational purposes only, not financial advice. Please manage your risk accordingly