XAU/USD: Possible up-move after the trapBulls may attempt to bring the price back into the blue ascending channel after the current drop. A rebound from the trap level could trigger a corrective move toward the upper boundary, testing the previous structure around Target 1. The key question — whether this recovery is just a pullback or the start of a renewed uptrend.
Trade ideas
SELL XAUUSDXAUUSD (4H Analysis)
After the recent drop on the 4-hour timeframe, the price has formed a rectangle (range) pattern.
If the support of the pattern breaks, we could see a continuation of the bearish move toward lower levels.
However, if the resistance breaks, a short-term bullish correction might occur.
XAUUSD is on Rangebound currently market is bullish biased and Rangebound from 3995-4040 -zone.
Although it's upside at 3998 was to quick.
What are my conditions For This setup?
- I'm waiting for buy from 3990-3980 area & expecting the reversal move towards 4028- 4047 target although currently I took bu6 from 3995-3990 area and holding till my Targets
- Second if H1-H4 candle closes above 4045 area I will straight Buy and target 4070-4090 .
✳️Secondly if H4-H1 candle closes below 3975-3970 our buying will be compromised
XAUUSD My Trade Head and Shoulders TradeENTRY
XAUUSD - 06/11/2025
9PM - NY
H1 CLEAN HEAD AND SHOULDERS
FIB 78.6 THE BEST
LEFT RIGHT SHOULDER A. M SHAPE ICT REJECTION
Gold holds near $4,000 as US shutdown, layoffs boost safe-haven demand
Gold peaks $4,019 as a weaker US Dollar and lower Treasury yields lift Bullion.
US shutdown warnings from Republican leader boost safe-haven demand for Gold.
Mixed Fed tone and softer jobs data revive December rate cut bets, supporting the Gold outlook.
The US Challenger report by Gray & Christmas showed that employers fired over 150,000 people in October.
Gold is Ready For Bull From SupportHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Neutral Market Analysis — Key Zones in FocusPrice is currently consolidating within a key range, showing indecision between buyers and sellers.
The lower imbalance zone around 3960–3980 is acting as a strong support area, while the upper FVG near 4000 is serving as a short-term resistance.
If price manages to break and sustain above the FVG at 4000, it could open the path toward the Key Buy (KB) zone at 4016, signaling potential bullish continuation.
However, if the market faces rejection near 4000, price may retrace back toward the support zone at 3960, where previous demand remains active.
Key Levels:
FVG Resistance: 4000
KB Zone: 4016
Support: 3960
The market remains in a neutral phase; wait for a confirmed breakout or rejection before considering any position.
Gold Market Analysis and Trading Strategy:Gold Market Analysis and Trading Strategy:
Technical Analysis: Gold is currently facing short-term pressure, and key price levels need to be monitored. Gold prices are currently in a consolidation phase.
Resistance Levels: $4030-$4050 and $4088 are key short-term resistance levels.
If gold prices fail to break through these resistance levels, the downside risk is significant.
Support Levels: Initial support is around $3960, with a more significant support zone in the $3800-$3700 area.
A break below these key support levels could trigger a deeper trend correction.
Trading Strategy: In the current volatile market, patience is advised. Avoid blindly chasing highs and lows.
Day Traders: Consider establishing a small short position near the $4030-$4050 resistance zone, with a stop-loss above $4070 and a target price of $3980-$3960.
Conversely, if gold prices fall back and stabilize around $3960-$3970, a small position can be established to profit from the rebound, but a strict stop-loss order must be set.
Current Trading Strategy:
Buy Price: $3970-$3980
Stop-Loss Price: $3950
Take-Profit Price: $4030-$4050-$4075
Gold on Intra-day Selling pressureTechnical analysis: Sellers still haven’t missed their estimate as Gold aggressively invalidated #4,000.80 benchmark on multiple occasions (posing as an hard Support zone), due geo-political tensions as a strong catalyst which is putting DX in High demand on Weekly interval. Environment and general market sentiment remains however Gold friendly (about to engage relief rally) due to the Supply-Demand mechanism. DX and Gold are still diagonally correlated, their charts are again on Positive-Negative match which is elemental sign of correlation. This suggests that DX tested its multi-Month Resistance zone, and Gold is under mild Selling pressure. This doesn't affect my local Low’s Buying strategy even though Gold is isolated within Hourly 4 chart healthy Descending Channel that by my estimations will sustain according to all accounts and there are no signs of a rebound yet (it is a reversal pattern most of the times). Weekly chart was Trading near strong Support belt which was aggressively corrected Intra-day so I will not make a strategy shift and will trust my Medium to Long-term Bull model as long as Buying spree on Gold lasts. I have to be excessively careful with today's session as it represents crossroads for the Short-term.
My position: I have Sold Bought Gold throughout yesterday's session from #3,998.80 especially towards #4,008.80 (aggressive Scalps) and called it for the session. Gold delivered significant Intra-day losses on Asian session and turned timefrimes to Bearish territory. Today is Intra-day Sell session and will continue Selling Gold from my key entry points.
Gold Symmetrical Triangle BreakoutHello friends, further sideways movement continues as anticipated.
However, we might see a bullish weekly candle in the coming week(s) as price intends to push higher but most likely not before clearing the liquidities it has recently left behind to the Demand level, which is the extreme low of this whole move, annotated in the chart.
Then, we can anticipate a bullish spool to take the Buy-side liquidities at this week's candle's high.
Furthermore, possibilities of spiralling up to the Daily bearish OB is also very open for price to mitigate.
Overall, it is important to take note of the direction price breaks out and trade accordingly.
Have a profitable week!
Today's gold trading strategyKey turning point breakthrough confirmed, technical pattern opens up the main upward space
The London gold price has firmly held at the 4000 US dollar integer level today. The current price is 4009.86 US dollars, having rebounded by over 45 US dollars from the intraday low of 3964.42 US dollars, forming a strong structure of "breakthrough + retracement + further advance". Three technical signals confirm the trend
① After breaking through the upper edge of the previous oscillation platform (3990 US dollars), the trading volume has increased by 78% compared to the previous period, and the proportion of active buying orders has risen to 65%, indicating strong fund support
② The MACD indicator on the daily chart remains in a golden cross, the red bar continues to expand, and the price has stabilized above the 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day moving averages, forming a "bullish arrangement" pattern
③ From the Fibonacci extension levels, after breaking through 4000 US dollars, the next target is directly at 4050 US dollars (1.618 extension level). Historical data shows that after the gold breaks through a key integer level, the probability of continuing to rise within 24 hours is 89%
Today's gold trading strategy
buy:4000-4010
tp:4020-4030
sl:3990
xAU-USDHourly time frame is very volatile 📊
Because above it has an important resistance at $4,000
And below we have the intersection of two important supports at $3,950 🚨
We must wait for a breakdown and confirmation
If it breaks up, the target will be $4,120🔼🔼
And if it breaks down, the target will be $3,900
GOLDPreferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
Gold Trade Set Up Nov 6 2025Price shifted structure to bullish during Asia and London on the 1h but on the 4h price is overbought and is sitting at a strong resistance so i would only buy if price can break and close above supply and most recent 15m swing high but if price stays closed below resistance and respects supply i will look to take sells back down to lower demand zones and SSL levels
XAUUSD XAU/USD – Gold Analysis
Gold is approaching the upper boundary of the descending channel after a strong bounce from the midline support earlier today.
As it nears this zone, price faces a confluence of resistance factors: the descending trendline, the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement, and the upper Bollinger Band.
From this area, I’ll be looking for a short setup, targeting a move back toward the midline of the channel to capture the liquidity left by today’s upward move.
Fundamental Outlook:
The U.S. dollar remains firm as investors continue to favor USD as a safe-haven amid ongoing geopolitical tensions and uncertainty around global growth.
The Federal Reserve’s cautious stance and limited expectations for rate cuts are supporting higher Treasury yields, which typically weigh on gold prices.
However, gold’s safe-haven demand could re-emerge if geopolitical risks intensify or U.S. economic data begins to soften.
For now, the short-term bias remains bearish, with gold under pressure from strong USD fundamentals and technical resistance zones above.
Summary:
📈 Testing major resistance (trendline + 0.5 Fibo + Bollinger top).
📉 Looking for short setups near 4024.
🎯 Target: Mid-channel around 3962.
⚙️ Fundamentals: Strong USD and yields keep gold capped short-term.
💡 Bias: Bearish near resistance, bullish only if price breaks above the channel.
Gold: Support at 4006–3994, Resistance Near 4030Yesterday, gold broke above the 30-minute MA60 resistance and then pulled back to retest the level, successfully turning it into support. After confirming the support, price continued to grind higher today, reaching around 4020. The MA60 remains the core support for this upward structure. Unless the market enters a strong one-way rally, a pullback is likely, with the MA20/MA30 serving as secondary support levels during the process.
On the 4-hour chart, price is currently testing the MA60 resistance while moving averages still maintain a bullish alignment. If price can successfully complete a resistance-to-support shift around the 4006-3994 zone on the 4H timeframe, it may open the door for a move toward the 4080-4100 resistance region. The first key resistance sits near 4030. Therefore, if price pulls back after testing 4030 but holds above the 4006-3994 support zone, it will retain potential to test 4050/4080-4100 area.
There’s a desynchronization between timeframes.
11:52 / UTC+2
Bias D1 – Short
h4 / h1 – Long
There’s a desynchronization between timeframes.
A safe long will be confirmed once the price consolidates above 4030 as the first sign of long validation, with the main confirmation being a close above Fractal D1 4046.
Until these confirmations appear, I’ll be waiting for short confirmations on h1.
The current price range is 1.33% (as of 11:48 UTC+2), so I expect increased activity closer to the NY session.
Below, internal swings remain a magnet, with the main target at PWL.
On h1, the growth is quite solid, so the long may continue, with the primary target at Fractal D1 4046.
SMART MONEY CONCEPT (SMC)Bullish Analysis Breakdown – XAU/USD (15M)
🧠 Market Structure
The market shows a clear shift in structure: after a long bearish move, we see a Break of Structure (BOS) followed by a Change of Character (CHOCH) — signaling the potential start of a bullish phase.
The fake-out under the support zone confirms the presence of Sell-Side Liquidity, which was later absorbed before price began its bullish reversal.
🧩 Confluences
• FVG 1H: Excellent multi-timeframe confluence — the fake-out happens exactly inside a 1-hour Fair Value Gap, showing institutional mitigation.
• OB 5M + Support Zone: Your entry (Buy 3,970) is positioned right inside the 5M Order Block and support zone — ideal area for bullish rejection.
• BOS + Fake Out + Rejection: The three elements align perfectly, creating a Smart Money-style setup.
🎯 Trade Plan
• Buy: 3,970
• Stop Loss: 3,959
• Take Profit 1: 4,000
• Take Profit 2: 4,015
• Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:3.88
The stop loss is safely below liquidity, while TP1 and TP2 are placed near psychological and liquidity targets — clean and strategic.
💬 Conclusion
This is a well-structured institutional setup with clear logic, discipline, and professional presentation. GOOD LUCK TRADERS 🦾😎☝🏻
“Patience and structure build consistency.”
Gold (XAUUSD) – Technical Outlook
The gold price is currently trading around the key pivot level of 4000. We highlight the following scenarios:
If the price stabilizes above 4000, the bullish scenario is expected to continue toward the resistance levels of 4030 and 4081, with the potential to extend further to 4133.
However, if the price breaks below the pivot level of 4000, a corrective move may occur toward the strong support zone at 3930. This level is considered a major support area — a confirmed break and stabilization below 3930 on the 1-hour or 4-hour timeframe would signal a deeper decline toward 3865.
Key Levels:
Pivot Zone: 4000
Resistance Levels: 4030, 4081
Support Levels: 3930, 3895
XAU/USD 06 November 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 20 October 2025.
Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380. 990.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
You will note how price remains contained in consolidation between a supply and demand range. The rest of my analysis and bias remains the same as bias date 29 October 2025.
As expected, price has printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low, priced at 3,886.465.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD – Short-Term Pullback Before Trendline BounceGold is currently trading near a key resistance area around $4,040–$4,050, where price has shown multiple rejections in the past. After a strong bullish impulse, a short-term correction could take place before the uptrend continues.
📉 Idea:
I expect a short-term bearish move toward the ascending trendline around $3,975–$3,950, which could act as a strong dynamic support zone for potential long entries.
🎯 Trade Plan:
Sell Zone: $4,030 – $4,045
Target: $3,975 – $3,950 (trendline touch)
Stop Loss: Above $4,060
Bias: Bullish overall – this setup is a retracement within a larger uptrend.
📊 Confluences:
Rising trendline support
RSI near overbought → potential short-term pullback
Resistance from previous structure highs
⚠️ Note:
Look for bullish reversal patterns near the trendline (double bottom, bullish engulfing) before confirming long positions.






















