Will price reach $3 704 this month? TVC:GOLD price has recently formed a descending Triangle on the H4 time frame and price overall is now bearish. And once we break the $3890 level it's high probability that price will reach the $3 704 zone. But the main question is when? Feel free drop your ideas on price action, on the comment session below.
Trade ideas
Nov 6, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential Opportunity📊 Analysis:
Yesterday, price held firmly around the 3927–3930.5 zone, and as expected, a short-term rebound followed, reaching a high of 3990.
For today, watch the 3980 level closely — if price holds above 3980, I’ll consider that bullish momentum is starting to build, and will look for buy setups on pullbacks into support.
However, if price breaks below 3964, it would suggest renewed bearish strength, and I’ll switch to selling rallies into resistance.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 4020 – Resistance
• 4012 – Resistance
• 4000 – Psychological level
• 3994 – Resistance
• 3971–3980 – Support zone
• 3964 – Key support
• 3956 – Support
• 3947 – Support
• 3927–3930.5 – Major support zone
📈 Intraday Strategy:
SELL: If price breaks below 3964 → target 3960, with further downside toward 3956, 3951, 3947
BUY: If price holds above 3980 → target 3985, with further upside toward 3990, 3996, 4000
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for November 5thGold Technical Analysis:
Daily Resistance: 4080, Support: 3890.
4-Hour Resistance: 4035, Support: 3930.
1-Hour Resistance: 4000, Support: 3960.
The bullish outlook over the long term remains intact, but market correction and consolidation are warranted. The daily candlestick chart shows a slowing decline in spot gold, with the price entering a range-bound consolidation. Multiple moving averages above are hindering any short-term rebound. Watch for MACD/KDJ indicator corrections. Resistance levels to watch are around 4000 and 4030 respectively. The short-term downside risk is relatively high.
Based on the 1-hour candlestick chart, spot gold is in a rebound phase with a potential for continuation. The bottom on the 1-hour chart is gradually moving upwards, the trading range is narrowing, and the Bollinger Bands are converging. Support levels to watch are around 3955/3945. Short-term market momentum is weak; a strategy of buying low and selling high is recommended.
Trading Strategy:
SELL: 3993~4000 (near)
BUY: 3945~3940 (near)
What will happen to gold on November 3rd?
I. Market Analysis
Trend Structure
Weekly Chart: Price is below the 5-week moving average, with the MACD showing a bearish crossover. Bearish forces dominate in the near term. However, the long-term ascending trendline support is near $3900. The long-term trend remains cautiously bullish as long as this level holds decisively.
Daily Chart: Moving averages are in a bearish alignment, and the Bollinger Bands are expanding downward, with price pressured near the middle/lower band. Key resistance is at 4046. Support is focused in the 3972-3950 zone. A break below 3972 could lead to a further decline towards 3950-3900.
Key Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zone: 4010 (Weakness Boundary) → 4023-4035 (Core Short Area) → 4047-4055 (Strong Resistance).
Support Zone: 3980 (Initial Support) → 3950-3955 (Long Area) → 3915-3885 (Deep Correction Target).
II. Trading Strategy
Core Idea: Prioritize selling on rallies, with opportunistic buying near key support levels. Strict risk control is essential.
Short Strategy (Primary)
Entry Zone: Enter short positions in batches between 4030-4035. Consider adding to shorts if price reaches 4047-4055.
Stop Loss: Above 4040-4060 (Adjust flexibly between 8-10 pips based on position size).
Targets: First target 3980, Second target 3960-3950 (Hold if broken).
Long Strategy (Secondary)
Entry Condition: Consider light long positions upon stabilization in the 3950-3955 zone after a pullback.
Stop Loss: Below 3940 (8-10 pips).
Targets: First target 3980-4000, Second target 4010 (Follow up if broken).
III. Risk Control Essentials
Position Management: Single trade position ≤ 5% of capital. Avoid heavy positions.
Stop-Loss Discipline: Strictly place stops for shorts above 4060 and for longs below 3940.
Contingency Alert: Monitor the US Dollar Index, Fed policy动向, and geopolitical risks closely. Adjust strategies promptly if key levels are breached.
IV. Summary
Gold's short-term technical posture is bearish, but the long-term trend requires monitoring the effectiveness of the 3900 support.
If price rallies and faces resistance in the 4030-4055 zone next Monday, prioritize short entries.
If price pulls back and stabilizes near 3950, consider light long positions for a bounce.
If price strongly breaks above 4060 or below 3940, a reassessment of the trend will be necessary.
GOLD: First, it needs to rebound to around 4000, then sell.Gold's wide-range fluctuation cycle is expected to continue, with the daily chart showing cyclical ups and downs. Prices are adjusting around the RSI indicator's midline, and the 10-day and 7-day moving averages are closely aligned, currently near the 5-day moving average. The 4-hour chart shows the Bollinger Bands narrowing, with prices consolidating within the lower half of the band. The hourly RSI indicator is consolidating around 50. Gold is expected to maintain a wide range of fluctuations, and the larger-cycle downward correction is not yet over.
Gold rebounded yesterday during the US session, reaching a high near 3990. This rebound has brought the price back into the trading range, but it doesn't negate our strategy of selling on rallies. Gold is currently under pressure below the 4000 level, with short-term bears holding the upper hand. The 4000 level has become a key dividing line between bulls and bears; as long as it is not broken, the downtrend will continue.
The 1-hour chart for gold remains in a weak, oscillating pattern. The current market is characterized by large swings, but no clear trend. Yesterday's ADP report did not cause significant volatility in gold, so we expect continued consolidation. We will sell at resistance levels.
Key Levels:
First Support: 3958, Second Support: 3930, Third Support: 3912
First Resistance: 3988, Second Resistance: 4005, Third Resistance: 4028
Gold Intraday Trading Strategy:
Buy: 3925-3930, SL: 3915, TP: 3950-3960;
Sell: 4000-4005, SL: 4015, TP: 3980-3970;
More Analysis →
XAU/USD Market Structure Reveals Potential Upside Move!🥇 XAU/USD: "Gold Heist Wealth Map" - Swing/Day Trade Blueprint 🚨
🎉 Ladies & Gentlemen, Thief OGs! Welcome to the Gold Heist Wealth Map for XAU/USD (Gold vs. U.S. Dollar) — a cheeky, calculated swing/day trade plan to snatch profits from the metals market! 😎 This setup is designed with a thief-style layered entry strategy, bullish vibes, and a pro-level escape plan to dodge the "police barricades" (resistance zones). Let’s dive into this shiny opportunity with a fun yet professional edge! 💰
📈 Trade Setup: The Gold Heist Plan
Asset: XAU/USD (Gold vs. U.S. Dollar)
Outlook: Bullish 📈
Strategy: Thief-Style Layered Limit Orders — multiple buy limit entries to maximize your loot! 🕵️♂️
Entry Levels:
🔔 Buy Limit @ 3850
🔔 Buy Limit @ 3880
🔔 Buy Limit @ 3900
🔔 Buy Limit @ 3930
Pro Tip: Feel free to add more layers based on your risk appetite! Stack those entries like a master thief. 😜
Stop Loss (SL): Set at 3800 (the "Thief’s Exit Door"). 🚪
Note: This SL is my suggestion, but you’re the boss of your heist! Adjust based on your risk tolerance. 💸
Take Profit (TP): Aim for 4100 — a juicy target where a police barricade (strong resistance + overbought zone) might set a trap. Escape with profits before the market cuffs you! 👮♂️
Note: TP is my call, but take your loot when you feel the heat! Your trade, your rules. 😎
🛠️ Strategy Breakdown: Why This Setup?
Thief-Style Layering: Using multiple buy limit orders spreads your entry risk across price levels, letting you sneak into the market like a pro. 🕵️♀️
Bullish Momentum: Gold’s been shining bright with macroeconomic tailwinds (USD weakness, inflation hedges). 📡
Resistance Watch: The 4100 zone is a psychological and technical barricade. Overbought signals + potential traps mean it’s time to cash out smartly. 🏦
Risk Management: The 3800 SL keeps your downside locked, but always tailor it to your account size and risk profile. ⚖️
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (in USD)
Keep an eye on these correlated assets to boost your market awareness:
OANDA:XAUUSD (Silver vs. U.S. Dollar): Silver often moves in tandem with gold. Watch for similar bullish setups or divergences.
USD Index ( TVC:DXY ): A weaker USD typically fuels gold rallies. Monitor DXY for inverse correlation signals. 📉
OANDA:AUDUSD : Gold prices often align with the Aussie dollar due to Australia’s gold exports. A rising AUD/USD could support our bullish XAU/USD bias. 🇦🇺
Key Correlation Insight: Gold thrives in low-rate environments or when USD weakens. Check economic calendars for Fed rate decisions or inflation data (CPI, PPI) to time your entries. 📅
⚠️ Disclaimer
This Thief-Style Trading Strategy is for fun and educational purposes only! Trading involves risks, and you’re responsible for your own decisions. Always do your own research (DYOR) and manage risk wisely. No financial advice here — just a playful map to navigate the markets! 😄
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#XAUUSD #Gold #SwingTrading #DayTrading #ThiefStrategy #Bullish #Forex #MetalsMarket
Bearish Setup – Rejection from Supply ZonePrice recently swept the previous liquidity near the recent low, confirming that internal liquidity has been collected. Now, the market is showing a potential move back toward the rejection area / order block (OB) above.
Here’s the plan:
Waiting for price to retrace into the rejection area (OB) around 4,038–4,040.
Once we see bearish confirmation on the 1-minute timeframe, we’ll look to enter short.
This zone represents a strong supply area where price previously showed rejection.
After liquidity sweep and retracement, expecting a continuation to the downside targeting new lows.
Key Notes:
Liquidity below recent lows has already been taken.
The current push upward is likely a retracement before a deeper drop.
Watch for bearish price action (engulfing, BOS, or rejection wick) before entering.
Bias: Bearish
Confirmation: 1M timeframe rejection
Targets: New structure low
Gold technical outlookGold is showing extremely high-volume activity within the 3,979–3,990 range today. A confirmed breakout from this zone will clarify whether the current phase represents accumulation or distribution.
On the broader trend structure, there’s a notable volume imbalance, with multiple confluences aligning around the 3,674–3,707 zone - including EMA20 (1W) and EMA100 (1D) support. This area remains a key downside magnet should price fail to sustain above current resistance.
Gold 1H chart view
From a seasonality standpoint, there’s an urgency factor favouring renewed buy pressure before December as institutions position for year-end flows. This dynamic could make any corrective flush highly aggressive, with liquidity cleared before continuation.
This is not a buy or sell signal. These observations are for market-study purposes only and should not be interpreted as trade instructions.
⚠️ Risk Note:
It is recommended not to overleverage your positions. Overexposure is the main killer of portfolios. Position sizing directly impacts mental clarity: excessive size can cloud judgment and trigger emotional reactions, while appropriate sizing supports composure and disciplined execution. It is better to collect steady breadcrumbs than to risk giving away your capital.
Trading risk can be managed but never eliminated.
❗Disclaimer:
This content is provided for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial, legal, tax, or investment advice. The author does not provide trading signals, portfolio management, or any services regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority.
Gold Analysis (November 3rd)Gold Analysis (November 3rd)
Gold is caught in a tug-of-war between bulls and bears, awaiting a breakout signal.
During today's (Monday) US session, the gold market appeared particularly "indecisive," with prices fluctuating repeatedly within a narrow range. This "bottoming out and rebounding before facing pressure again" pattern is a typical reflection of the recent market's "super sweeping" – both bulls and bears seem hesitant, neither willing to take the lead.
News: Hawkish rhetoric and risks coexist, leaving the market in a dilemma.
The market is currently being pulled by two opposing forces:
On one hand, there is "hawkish pressure" from the Federal Reserve. The hawkish statements from several officials last Friday further dampened market expectations for interest rate cuts, leading to a stronger dollar and putting pressure on gold.
On the other hand, there is real "safe-haven support." Facing the risk of a shutdown, coupled with continued international geopolitical tensions, these uncertainties act like an invisible hand, supporting gold prices from below.
In this context, the strong wait-and-see sentiment in the market is not difficult to understand. In addition, traders are reminded that North America has entered winter time, and trading and data release times for commodities such as gold, silver, and WTI crude oil are delayed by one hour. Traders need to adjust their trading strategies accordingly.
Technical Analysis: Short-term oscillation with a bearish bias, long-term trend unchanged
From a chart perspective, gold is at a critical crossroads:
On the weekly chart, after a strong nine-week winning streak, gold finally closed with a large bearish candle, sounding the alarm for a correction. If the MA5 support is breached, it may further test the 3900 level. However, the moving average group and MACD indicator still show that the long-term trend has not been completely broken, and the bullish foundation remains.
On the daily chart, the appearance of a topping pattern and consecutive bearish candles confirm the downward trend from historical highs, and the correction pattern continues.
Focusing on the short term (1-hour chart), the situation is clearer. The rebound after the gap down in the morning session encountered strong resistance in the 4000-4030 area. The hourly chart's moving average system is bearish, clearly suppressing every price rebound. My View and Strategy
Frankly, after a significant pullback, gold is currently in a phase of "consolidation and finding direction." Personally, I believe that consolidation will be the main theme until a valid breakout occurs.
Therefore, in terms of trading, I prefer to remain patient and buy low and sell high within the range.
The key resistance level to watch is the 4045-4060 area, which is the bears' defense line.
The core support level to watch is the 3960-3980 line, which is the bulls' stronghold.
The market will not remain calm forever; this tug-of-war between bulls and bears will eventually be decided. Until then, what we need is calm and discipline, waiting for the market to find its own direction.
Gold at $4,000: Central Banks Keep Buying — What Do They Know🟡 Central Banks Keep Buying Gold — Even Above $4,000!
Every day brings new reports of central banks accumulating gold, even at these record-high prices.
💭 What’s going on? Are they all bracing for a global economic storm?
Personally, I still see gold as bullish —
$3,700 looks like a good entry,
$3,300 would be a great long-term buying zone.
🔸 As always, this is not financial advice.
technical analysis of your XAU/USD (Gold) chartTimeframe: 15-Minute Chart
Current Price: $3,977
🔍 Chart Overview
The chart shows a downward channel (yellow lines) that Gold has recently broken to the upside, indicating potential bullish momentum.
There’s a support zone around $3,955 – $3,965, labeled as “SUPPORT LEVEL”.
A short-term corrective move is expected before the next upward push.
📊 Key Levels
Support Zone: $3,955 – $3,965
Immediate Resistance: $3,985 – $3,990
Major Target (Resistance): $4,031
🧭 Price Projection
After testing or retesting the support level, price is expected to bounce upward toward the $4,031 target.
The purple projection curve indicates a potential retracement followed by a bullish continuation.
💡 Trading Bias
Short-Term: Bullish above $3,960
Invalidation: Break below $3,950 could signal renewed bearish pressure.
LME:CA1! LME:MC1! LME:NI1! LME:SC1! LME:LH1! LME:AH1! LME:CO1! LME:CB1! LME:HC1! LME:AA1! LME:EA1! LME:HN1! LME:MD1!
Target: $4,031 (upside target based on resistance and breakout structure).
⚠️ Summary
Gold shows a reversal from a descending channel, now forming a support base near $3,960. If the price sustains above this zone, buyers may push it toward $4,031 in the short term.
Gold Retracement ideaXAUUSD after a huge 3500 B/O, is it finally time for a pull back? Short positions can be taken targeting lower fib levels with proper risk management. Break of ATH invalidates any further pull backs. This is only market speculation and should not be considered as financial advise
Gold Trade Set Up Nov 5 2025Price has pulled back up during the Asia session from yesterdays drop. On the 4h we are still bearish but on the 1h and 15m we are making HH/HL. We got a 15m supply price is close to testing so i want to see price either respect it and make internal 5m bearish structure to go lower to take out SSL/London lows or break and close above it to continue higher to PDH
Gold's break below support was expected; continue shorting.Gold traded sideways yesterday, repeatedly encountering resistance around the $4000 level. After a failed attempt to break through in the final wave of trading last night, it experienced a sharp drop, consistent with our bearish forecast.
The breakdown is normal; after all, a break above $3960 inevitably leads to a faster decline. Last night, it ultimately fell to around $3928, breaking the recent consolidation range. Short-term pressure suggests further downside. There is some support around $3930, but I believe this level will be difficult to hold today. Gold prices may test $3915 or even $3900.
On the 4-hour chart, upward momentum in gold is lacking. The overnight high provided resistance around $3975, while the $3962 level was the point of accelerated decline after the breakdown. Currently, bulls are under significant pressure. Unlike the previous consecutive gains, this week has been characterized by weak consolidation with an overall downward bias. The bulls currently lack strength, and the short-term trend remains bearish.
The key levels to watch are 3960-62, which was the resistance level encountered during the first round of rebound, and 3975-77, the high point of yesterday's rebound, which is also the starting point of the decline.
Today's Trading Strategy:
The 3900 area is a key defense zone for the bulls. Gold prices previously rebounded from this area, reaching a high of around $4045. Will gold prices find support again and rebound this time? I think it's unlikely. The bulls encountered strong resistance during the rebound and ultimately broke through this area, indicating that the gold price trend is weakening. We should follow the trend and focus on selling on rallies, only considering going long after gold prices break below 3900.
Aggressive traders can establish short positions around $3960-$3962; conservative traders can establish short positions in the $3970-$3975 range.
If you don't have a plan or strategy for gold trading and are struggling to achieve consistent profits, you can refer to and follow my updates for guidance and help you avoid mistakes.
Excellent Profits on yesterday’s session Selling sequenceAs discussed throughout my yesterday’s commentary: “My position: I have Sold Bought Gold throughout yesterday's session from #3,998.80 especially towards #4,008.80 (aggressive Scalps) and called it for the session. Gold delivered significant Intra-day losses on Asian session and turned timefrimes to Bearish territory. Today is Intra-day Sell session and will continue Selling Gold from my key entry points.”
My position: I have made excellent returns on Selling Gold throughout yesterday’s session taken from #3,995.80 local Top’s. Tide has turned to Sellers reigns and Intra-day sentiment remains turned in Sellers favor. Sequence will stay the same as long as DX is Trading on upside numbers.






















