XAUUSD: Bullish Reversal Setup From Triangle SupportHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Gold setup.
Market Analysis
Gold (XAUUSD) continues to trade within a larger bullish market structure, maintaining higher lows above its key ascending Trend Line. After a strong impulsive rally that pushed the price above the 4,200 resistance, the market faced rejection near the top of the Range and entered a corrective phase. This correction evolved into a triangle pattern, with price now testing the Triangle Support Line, aligning closely with the horizontal Support area around 4,020 – 4,000 — a historically important demand zone.
Currently, the price is consolidating near the lower boundary of this structure, showing early signs of stabilization. This region also coincides with the previous breakout point, adding further confluence for potential buyer interest.
My Scenario & Strategy
I expect the price to hold above the Triangle Support Line and form a bullish reversal structure, signaling that buyers are once again defending this level. A confirmed breakout above the Triangle Resistance Line would indicate renewed bullish momentum and a potential continuation of the overall uptrend.
My primary target zone lies around 4,215, where previous resistance and the upper range boundary converge. However, if the support near 4,000 fails to hold, it could trigger a deeper correction toward 3,950, where the next demand zone is located. This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward opportunity for traders anticipating a rebound from a major technical confluence zone.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Trade ideas
Gold Elliott Wave Analysis – Potential Wave (4) Completion ZoneGold (XAU/USD) on the daily chart appears to be completing a classic Elliott Wave 5-wave impulse structure. After a strong rally into the wave (3) high, price is currently retracing toward the projected wave (4) correction zone.
The highlighted support area aligns with key Fibonacci retracement levels:
0.5 retracement: around $3,845
0.618 retracement: around $3,718
This region also coincides with the lower boundary of the ascending channel, adding confluence for potential bullish reversal.
If wave (4) finds support within this zone and maintains structure, a new impulsive rally toward wave (5) could begin — targeting the upper trendline resistance near $4,500–$4,600.
GOLD 4H | Harmonic AB=CD Bearish Reversal in PlayGold recently formed a clear double top at the all-time high (ATH), accompanied by a bearish divergence on higher timeframes — signaling exhaustion of bullish momentum. That divergence has played out perfectly, aligning with the current bearish market structure.
The price has now broken below the key accumulation range between 4000 and 4149, confirming a shift in sentiment. With the trend consistently printing lower lows (LL) and lower highs (LH), the overall market bias remains bearish.
🔹 Technical Breakdown
We currently have a bearish AB=CD pattern completing near the 3800 zone, which aligns with the Fibonacci golden ratio (0.618) on the D leg.
Although AB=CD is traditionally a bullish harmonic pattern, here it’s being used within a downtrend context to identify a potential reversal or continuation zone — depending on market reaction at D.
Key Zone to Watch:
🟡 3800 – 3840 → Major potential reaction zone (Fib confluence + AB=CD completion).
If sellers hold this level, we could see further downside momentum.
🔹 Daily Chart View
On the daily timeframe, bullish momentum looks weak — every recovery candle is smaller, and volume favors sellers. With the AB=CD pattern confirmation and price failing to reclaim the 40050 zone, the bias stays bearish.
🔹 Weekly Chart Insight
Historically, gold tends to retrace after 9 consecutive straight bullish weekly candles.
From 1990 to 2025, each 9-week rally phase has been followed by a notable correction ranging from 6% to 14%, showing that extended rallies often precede profit-taking phases.
This current rally phase mirrors that same behavior patterns — making a corrective move toward 3800–3700 highly probability.
🧭 Final BIAS
The technical confluence between the bearish structure, double top + divergence, and AB=CD D-leg near golden ratio and 9 week rally gives a high-probability bearish setup.
If 3940 fails to hold, next potential downside target lies near 3900-3775, aligned with long-term structure support.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Short Trade Before the FED
I see an intraday pullback trade on Gold ahead of
FOMC & FED Interest Rate Decision today.
The price will likely retrace from the underlined resistance,
following a confirmed bearish imbalance and a formation
of a double top pattern.
Expect a bearish movement at least to 3988 level.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAU/USD – Triangle Breakdown Potential Toward 3,900 ZoneGold (XAU/USD) has been in a strong uptrend for the past few months, recently reaching new highs above US $4,300 before showing signs of slowing down. In your chart, the price has formed a triangle pattern (labelled A–B–C–D) after a sharp drop from the peak. This pattern usually means the market is taking a pause and preparing for the next move — either a breakout up or down. Based on the structure, momentum, and recent price behavior, the pattern looks more likely to break downward, which could send the price toward the support zone around US $3,900–3,950 (the blue area on your chart).
From a technical view, this makes sense because:
The strong rally lost strength after the sharp fall from the top.
The triangle is getting tighter, meaning volatility is compressing before a breakout.
Indicators like the RSI and Awesome Oscillator (AO) are showing bearish divergence, signaling weaker buying pressure.
If price breaks below US $4,100–4,050, it would confirm a bearish breakout and likely trigger a move to the support area marked in blue.
From a fundamental view, gold recently rallied due to expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts, high inflation, and strong central bank demand. But in late October 2025, the market is cooling because the U.S. dollar has strengthened slightly and Treasury yields have bounced, causing short-term selling pressure on gold. Many traders are also taking profits after such a strong run.
Putting both sides together, the technical chart and the current fundamentals support a short-term bearish correction — a pullback that could test the US $3,900 zone before the next big move. However, if the price fails to break below the triangle and instead closes above US $4,180–4,250, it would cancel the bearish setup and signal a possible continuation of the uptrend toward new highs above US $4,350–4,400.
In short:
Bias: Short-term bearish correction
Breakdown trigger: Below US $4,050–4,100
Target zone: Around US $3,900
Invalidation: Above US $4,250
XAU USD Last bullish leg ?Price has broken short-term bearish structure and moved above the moving-average channel with strong momentum, indicating a shift toward bullish control. The rising trendline is holding as support, confirming structural reversal.
Fibonacci levels provide clear upside targets, with 38.2% at 4040–4050 as the first objective, followed by a constrained upper target near 4070, just below the 61.8% retracement and prior supply zone.
As long as price holds above the breakout zone and trendline, continuation toward 4040–4070 remains the most probable outcome.
GOLD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 4,027.15
Target Level: 3,890.12
Stop Loss: 4,118.76
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 2h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Gold holds gains but faces strong resistance at $3975📊 Market Overview:
Gold prices remain steady around $3960–$3965, sustaining upside momentum after breaking above the key $3950 resistance. The market is supported by expectations that the Fed may cut rates sooner, while a weaker USD continues to bolster gold. However, profit-taking pressure around $3970–$3975 is slowing the rally ahead of the U.S. session.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $3975 – $3985 – $4000
• Nearest Support: $3955 – $3948 – $3935
• EMA: Price is above EMA 09 & EMA 20 (H1) → short-term trend remains bullish.
• Candlestick & Momentum: H1 candles are holding above the $3950 breakout zone, confirming ongoing buying strength, though RSI nearing overbought may trigger a minor correction.
📌 Outlook:
Gold remains in a short-term uptrend above $3955. A clear break above $3975 could open the door to $3985–$4000, while a drop below $3955 may trigger a pullback toward $3948–$3935 before any rebound.
💡 Trading Strategy Suggestion:
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3935 – $3932
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: $3929
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3975 – $3978
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: $3981
XAUUSD Started rising expecting retracement for buyXAUUSD break above the bottom consolidation zone as we mentioned in our recent commentary
What are my conditions For This setup?
Currently i m looking for again buy trade from 3985-3999 zone .
I expecting the Retracement to retest the Previous Bos & FvG between .
H1-H4 candle closing should be above 3990.
Targets: 4050- 4075.
✳️Secondly if H4-H1 candle closes below 3975 our buying will be postpond & and I willwaut for next confirmation
XAU/USD – Gold Faces Key RejectionXAU/USD – Gold Faces Key Rejection Zone Near 4,050 Ahead of Month-End
Gold prices (XAU/USD) are attempting a short-term rebound from the 3,900 support area after an extended bearish leg last week. However, the recovery momentum is now testing a critical resistance zone around 4,020–4,050, which previously acted as a major breakdown point.
From a technical standpoint, the overall structure remains bearish as long as price stays below 4,050. The recent move appears to be a retracement toward the 38.2% Fibonacci zone, aligning with the EMA dynamic resistance and prior supply area. A clear rejection from this region could trigger renewed selling pressure toward 3,908–3,880, while a confirmed breakout above 4,050 would open the door for a corrective push toward 4,180 and 4,390.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 4,050 / 4,180 / 4,390
Support: 3,908 / 3,880 / 3,792
Trading Strategy:
Scenario 1 (Bearish bias): Watch for bearish reversal signals at 4,020–4,050. A rejection candle or RSI divergence could validate short entries toward 3,908.
Scenario 2 (Bullish breakout): If gold closes firmly above 4,050 on H1–H4 timeframe, short-term buyers may target 4,180 before reassessing momentum.
Overall, sellers still hold control unless bulls reclaim 4,050 convincingly. Traders should monitor today’s U.S. data releases and Fed commentary for volatility triggers.
Remember to follow for more daily trading setups and technical insights.
GOLD XAUUSD LONDON PERSPECTIVE FOR FREETHE LONDON GOLD MARKET OPEN IN THE DIRECTION OF BUY AFTER WE MADE A STRONG DOUBLE BOTTOM ON THE 3885-3890 FLOOR YESTERDAY.
THE RETEST OF THE NECKLINE BY ASIAN/Sydney SESSION AT 3925-3923 BROUGHT MORE LONG POSITION ON POSSIBLE FOMC CAUTIOUS OULOOK.
THE key supply will be around 4011-4022....100PIPS RISKY loss in equity awaits you if price demand exceeds supply at 4011 zone the key sell could be 4022-4020...THIS IS based on the structure of the market.
key supply 4049-4055 zone based on the structure of the market.
layer by layer.
NOTE ;ANY KEY LAYER CAN FAIL FOR MANY REASONS(DEMAND EXCEEDS SUPPLY,BUY CONTINUATION)
(2)SUPPLY EXCEEDS DEMAND, SELL CONTINUATION )
NOTHING LIKE MANIPULATION,JUST TAKE RESPONSIBILTY OF YOUR OVERSIGHT.
GOODLUCK.
#GOLD #XAUUSD
3rd GOLD setup.After losing the 4k support I am waiting for the price to fall to the next white line which will be the next line of support. I left the Sl pretty close since the Gold looks really weak right now.
From the 3950 the price will bounce to the upper white line that will become the next resistance.
Let me know what you think. Any advice or comment means alot.
Gold 29-31 Oct 25 reject at OB or BOS at $4004-$4020Gold can be reject at order block (OB) price $4004-$4020, if price Break of structure (BOS) above $4020 will up more to $4130, Key zone to watch at ($4004-$4020).
4H closed not break above $4020, confirmed to sell, but if 4H closed price above $020, recommend to buy target $4130















