Gold moving in a range areaGold moving in a range area where both support and resistance are rejecting the price as per their price zone. now as we can see the price is at a resistance level, so there are much chances to hit support level again. overall in whole, candles are making an bullish flag which will sure make an bullish move on the whole.
GOLD trade ideas
GOLD 5-Minute Smart Money Analysis (Bearish Setup)🔸 OB M5 (Order Block) – A supply zone around 3,652–3,654. This is where institutional sellers may re-enter. Price is expected to retrace here before dropping again.
💧 Liquidity Level marked at 3,638.253 – below recent lows. This is where many stop-loss orders are likely placed. Smart money often targets these zones to fuel bigger moves.
⚙️ Trade Setup Idea
🔄 Wait for price to retrace into OB M5 (yellow zone)
🔻 Look for bearish confirmation (e.g., bearish engulfing or market structure shift)
🎯 Target: Liquidity level at 3,638.253
🛑 Stop Loss: Just above the OB (low-risk entry)
✅ Current Bias: Bearish
As long as price stays below the OB zone, we favor shorts. Break above OB invalidates this setup
xauusdPYTH:XAUUSD the chart is on a short-term timeframe (probably 15m or 1h).
A Rising Wedge pattern is drawn, which usually signals a bearish reversal.
After breaking below the wedge, price dropped sharply.
Now, the market has pulled back and is consolidating around 3645–3650.
Three levels are marked on the chart:
Risk free (~3630) → meaning if someone entered a short trade, once price reaches this level, they can move the trade to break-even.
TP1 (~3580) → the first bearish target.
TP2 (~3520–3530) → the second bearish target.
Overall takeaway:
The structure suggests that the bearish scenario is more likely (because of the wedge breakdown).
Right now, price is consolidating near a local resistance area.
If sellers step in again, hitting TP1 and possibly TP2 is on the table.
But if price breaks and holds above 3660–3670, that would invalidate the bearish setup.
XAUUSD Analysis - FSX🔍 1. Technical Analysis (5-Minute Chart Review)
Price Structure
Price is currently at $3,549.71, having bounced twice off the $3,545.40 support and lower $3,542.26 support.
We're seeing short-term bullish rejection wicks near those support levels, suggesting buying interest.
Trend
On this intraday (5-min) chart: The market made a lower high and lower low, indicating a short-term downtrend, but this is being tested.
There's a potential reversal pattern forming (double bottom or inverse head-and-shoulders near $3,542 area).
Key Levels
Support:
$3,545.40 → Recent double rejection, acting as short-term support
$3,542.26 → Stronger horizontal support, tested multiple times
Resistance:
$3,551.30–$3,552.00 → Immediate resistance (previous lower high)
$3,557.00–$3,560.00 → Major intraday resistance (top before breakdown)
Indicators (Implied)
You have the "Buffett-Ackman RSI Support/Resistance Strategy" on — not shown directly, but the levels drawn seem to support RSI-based oversold zones near support.
Short-term candles are shrinking in body with long wicks → sign of buyer absorption of selling pressure.
🌐 2. Fundamental Analysis (As of Sept 5, 2025)
Macro Backdrop
USD Strength: Likely remains strong due to higher interest rates by the Fed (continuing 2024 tightening).
Inflation: If inflation remains sticky, it supports USD but also Gold due to its inflation hedge.
Geo-Political Risks: Any tensions (Russia/Ukraine, China/Taiwan) can spike gold as a safe haven.
Bond Yields: Rising yields pressure Gold due to opportunity cost of holding it. If yields cool, gold rallies.
Upcoming Events to Watch
US NFP (Jobs Data): If weak, USD drops and Gold may pump.
Fed Commentary: If dovish, bullish for gold.
CPI or PCE Inflation Data: Any downside surprise could trigger upside in Gold.
✅ 3. Trade Plan (Pro Setup)
🟢 Trade Idea: Long (Buy) XAUUSD – Countertrend Intraday Reversal
Entry: $3,546.00 (Buy limit just above the strong support zone)
Stop Loss: $3,540.50 (Below key swing low and liquidity zone)
Take Profit 1: $3,552.00 (Intraday resistance)
Take Profit 2: $3,557.00 (Key structure resistance)
Risk/Reward: ~1:2.5 minimum
🛡️ Reasoning:
Bullish rejection wicks on support zone ($3,542–$3,545)
Possible RSI oversold condition
Double bottom / consolidation = base formation
Risk tightly defined below structure
Fed uncertainty and safe haven bids can cause sudden spikes
⚠️ Alternative Scenario – If It Breaks Down
If $3,542.00 breaks convincingly with volume, then:
Flip bias short
Sell Below: $3,540.00
Target: $3,532.00–$3,528.00
Stop: $3,546.00
Reason: Clear breakdown of structure with liquidity hunt done
September 11th Gold AnalysisSeptember 11th Gold Analysis
Waiting for CPI Data to Break the Deadlock
Market Dynamics
Yesterday's gold market exhibited typical pre-data volatility. Following a series of emotional speculation, bulls and bears reached a stalemate, with gold prices fluctuating between $3,618 and $3,657 throughout the day, ultimately closing slightly higher.
This narrow consolidation pattern reflects the market's conflicting sentiment: on the one hand, expectations of a Fed rate cut and geopolitical risks are supporting gold prices; on the other hand, gold prices are already at historical highs, and further upward momentum requires new catalysts.
Gold has risen over 39% so far this year, an astonishing performance that makes it one of the best-performing asset classes in 2025.
Focus Event: US CPI Data
Today's US August CPI data will serve as a bellwether for the market. Market expectations are for the unadjusted CPI to be 2.9% annualized (previous reading: 2.7%) and 0.3% monthly; the core CPI is expected to be 3.1% annualized and 0.3% monthly.
This data will directly influence the Federal Reserve's decision at its September 17-18 meeting. The market currently places a 100% probability on a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed, but the strength of the CPI data will influence the subsequent policy path.
A strong reading could push gold below the $3,600 support level; conversely, a weak reading could see gold prices test or even break through all-time highs.
Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, gold is currently oscillating at a high level, with a tendency toward sideways trading. On the upside, watch for short-term resistance around 3,655-60, while on the downside, focus on support around 3,625-20.
The performance of the previous two trading days suggests that gold bullish sentiment is waning. A break below the 3,620-25 support level could trigger a short-term counterattack by bears, potentially testing support around 3,605-00, and even a pullback to 3,570.
However, such a deep correction would require support from negative fundamental factors. Tonight's US CPI data and the ECB's interest rate decision could contribute to this situation, but the market's current dominant sentiment remains focused on expectations of a Fed rate cut next week.
Trading Strategies and Risk Management
Prior to the data release, gold prices are likely to remain volatile at high levels. Consider adopting a light-weight strategy of buying low and selling high, and then following the market trend after the data is released.
Long: We recommend a light-weight long position in the 3620-3628 area, with a stop-loss below 3615 and a target of 3650-3660.
Short: We recommend a light-weight short position in the 3630-3640 area, with a stop-loss below 3655 and a target of 3620. If the price falls below the 3620 support level, you can increase your short position and target lower support levels.
The market is volatile, especially on trading days with major data releases, when volatility and uncertainty can increase significantly. Investors should respond flexibly based on real-time market conditions, ensure proper risk management, and make prudent decisions.
Thank you for your attention. I hope my analysis can be helpful to you.
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 3540.Colleagues, the forecast for an upward impulse has been confirmed and now I think that wave “3” is complete and I expect a correction in wave ‘4’ in the area of 3445 and then a continuation of the upward movement in the final wave “5”, which may meet resistance at the important level of 3540.
The most interesting thing is that if this is what happens - it would mean that there is a pretty strong correction ahead, after the execution of the scenario, and then a continuation of the upward movement, but we will talk about these plans later.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Nonfarm Disappoints, Gold Surges Strongly!Hello traders. Yesterday, gold staged an impressive breakout, climbing more than 400 pips . This was a clear market reaction to weak U.S. economic data, putting pressure on the dollar and driving strong safe-haven flows into gold.
The Nonfarm Employment Change report showed only 22K new jobs, compared to a forecast of 75K and a previous reading of 79K . This figure, far below expectations, immediately weighed on the U.S. dollar.
In addition, the unemployment rate rose from 4.2% to 4.3% , further strengthening expectations that the Federal Reserve will be forced to cut interest rates sooner. With a weaker USD and growing prospects of monetary easing, gold – as a safe-haven asset – quickly benefited , becoming the preferred choice for investors.
From a technical perspective, the daily chart continues to hold within a clear ascending channel. Price has already moved above the immediate support at 3,536 and is now heading toward the psychological resistance at 3,700 . Both EMA34 and EMA89 are pointing upward, confirming that the primary trend remains bullish. Recent pullbacks appear to be mere pauses rather than any structural break in the uptrend.
All in all, with disappointing U.S. labor data and monetary policy leaning toward easing , gold has likely entered a new bullish wave.
GOLD - false breakout of 3500 and correction to 3400 Ahead lies strong resistance and a psychologically important price level: 3500. The closer the price gets to this zone, the more the market will manipulate before large players take profits, which may begin after a false breakout...
In addition, the 3435-3410 zone is also of interest to MM, since after the breakout of global consolidation resistance and the formation of a rally, there has been no correction yet.
Scenario: The breakout of resistance may be deep, and within the upward movement, the market may test 3510-3525 before the spark fades. A return below 3500 will confirm the false breakout, which will trigger profit-taking and a reversal in traders' actions. There may be a correction to the specified levels.
Swing TradeBased on 4H analysis
w e have Lower high/Previous high formation within the "Range 3670.9 - 3655.0". It is a sighn where Mkt can reach TP 1 Range 3624.1 - 3620.0 and only when Mkt breakes this range and close below it we can expect a movement which will be considered as retracement.
During the retracement period we can expect Mkt to reach TP 2 & TP 3 Targets. In this TP 2 is solid.
Please wait for Mkt to take a side and take any position accordingly. By today tomorrow we might get a clear idea on which side market has desided to continue.
XAUUSD IS IN THE FINAL PHASE BEFORE THE CORRECTION DOWNXAUUSD is in a Multiyear high expect the momentum until the end of the year in the Long term but it is Due for a Correction on the Weekly before the Final Target 4200 or even 4380 before this Uptrend is over. Currently we expect the market to start it's Correction Down before 3650/3735/3780 levels and the Correction Down should happen some where near Sep18 after the FOMC Interest Rate Decision is out. The Correction Down should happen towards 3500/3450 after which we will see the Final push towards 4200.
Gold - Buy or Sell this week??? (08-12/09)With the sustained accumulation over the past five months, gold has experienced a strong breakout from the $3,300 sideways range and reached a new all-time high around $3,600. The upward trend is clearly established. Therefore, we can consider buying and selling at the following price levels:
>>> SELL ZONE: 3684 - 3679
SL: 3689
TP: 3618 - 3596 - 3578 - 3565 - 3515
>>> BUY ZONE: 3560 - 3570
SL: 3550
TP: 3618 - 3678
Have a good day. Good luck buddies! :)
GOLD analysis in time frame 4h
🔹 If price trades above 3595:
• The trend will likely continue upward toward the resistance level at 3630.
• A breakout above 3630 and holding above it (on the 4-hour or 1-hour candle) would confirm a continuation upward toward 3680.
⸻
🔹 If price fails and breaks below 3595:
• The trend will likely move downward toward the support level at 3560.
• This support is strong, but if it is broken, the trend may fully shift into a deeper decline.
⸻
📌 In short:
• Above 3595 → bullish trend (targets 3630 → 3680).
• Below 3595 → bearish trend (targets 3560 → further downside).
Gold- trading idea Gold is still in a strong bullish trend, but I expect a short-term pullback before the next leg higher.
I’ll be watching two support levels for possible buy entries:
• First buy zone: 3578.375
• Deeper buy zone: 3557.780
From these areas, I’m looking for a bounce toward 3600 – 3640.
If price breaks below 3530, I’ll reconsider the setup.
Gold continues to exhibit strong bullish characteristics.Gold continues to exhibit strong bullish characteristics.
News Summary:
The market awaits the revised annual non-farm payroll data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, to be released on September 9th.
Several institutions predict that this revision will significantly reduce employment growth.
A significant downward revision to employment growth will increase pressure on the Federal Reserve to ease policy.
Summary: This revised data may further reinforce market expectations of rate cuts, providing additional support for gold prices.
Technical Analysis:
Gold prices are currently forming an ascending triangle pattern that is converging and accelerating upward.
Currently, key trend support levels are: 3580-3600.
Gold prices have risen for three consecutive weeks and are expected to continue their upward trend this week, with a high probability of breaking through the 3700 mark.
Buying at low prices remains the most stable way to profit in day trading.
Next, we will review several key points to note.
1: As long as the gold price is above $3600, it should be considered a strong bullish trend.
2: As long as the gold price is above $3,500, the trend will not reverse to a bearish one and can only be considered bullish within a wide range.
3: The current intraday trading strategy is to buy on dips.
4: Current resistance levels: 3,660-3,680, breakout target: 3,700+.
5: Current support levels: 3,640, 3,620, 3,615, 3,600, 3,580 (use these support levels to enter long positions and set stop-loss orders).
6: As gold prices accelerate, vigilance is crucial. The risk of a potential waterfall-like market correction is increasing.
The possibility of a significant range-bound correction is inevitable, so risk management must be carefully considered when trading intraday.
Summary: The gold market has shown strong bullish characteristics during this period, with both technical and news factors supporting further price increases.
Short-term traders: We recommend a buy-on-retracement strategy, focusing on the $3,625-3,600 support area. As long as gold prices retreat to support levels of 3600 or 3585 and stabilize, it's time to follow the upward trend.
On the upside, focus on the resistance levels of 3650-3660 in the short term.
Medium-term investors can build positions in batches, gradually increasing their positions as gold prices retreat to key support levels.
Looking ahead, we expect gold prices to rise towards $3700/oz, $3750/oz, and even $3800/oz.
Medium-term investors can keep an eye on these target levels.
GOLD TRADE SETUP CHECK NOW📉 GOLD TRADE IDEA (XAUUSD)
🔎 Based on technical analysis, I’m watching this buy zone:
Potential Entry Zone: 3,634 – 3,628
Invalidation Level (Stop Loss): 3,627
Target Zones (TPs):
✔️ TP1 – 3,643
✔️ TP2 – 3,654
✔️ TP3 – 3,667
💡 This is just my personal view based on chart structure & price action. Always manage risk properly.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. For educational and informational purposes only.
#GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #PriceAction #TradeIdea
Gold 1H Outlook | Key Levels to Watch – 3595 | 3625 | 3470OANDA:XAUUSD Gold is trading near 3594 after a strong bullish move. On the 1-hour chart, price has been following a rising trendline which shows that buyers are still active.
Here’s what matters for traders today:
🔹 Key Support Levels:
3560 → intraday support where buyers are stepping in.
3525 → major structural support + trendline confluence.
🔹 Resistance Zones:
3595 → first resistance, market is already reacting here.
3625 → next upside objective if buyers stay in control.
📌 Bias:
As long as price holds above 3525, gold remains bullish. Upside path: 3595 → 3625.
A confirmed break below 3525 would mean a shift in structure. In that case, sellers may push price towards 3470.
GOLD secondsGOLD seconds - 09/06/2025
Storing and publishing a **GOLD/USD seconds replay** involves capturing raw tick or second-by-second price data for the XAU/USD market and preserving it in a reliable, timestamped format. Each data point typically includes the precise UTC time, bid/ask prices, and possibly trade volume, ensuring that every movement in gold’s valuation against the U.S. dollar is traceable and reproducible. To maintain integrity, the replay should be archived in a secure, append-only system (such as a time-series database or immutable log) and accompanied by cryptographic hashes or digital signatures. This ensures that no alterations can be made to historical data without detection, allowing the replay to serve as a trusted audit trail.
Publishing this replay allows external parties to verify timing and price behavior independently. By making the dataset accessible through standardized formats (e.g., CSV, JSON, or API feeds) and aligning it with trusted time sources such as NTP or GPS-synchronized clocks, researchers, traders, and auditors can validate market events with precision. Public availability not only promotes transparency but also enables reproducible analysis of strategies, compliance checks, and forensic market investigations, ensuring that all participants are working from a consistent, verifiable timeline of gold price movements.
PLAN XAUUSD 09 Sep, 2025✅Related Information:!!!
🎗️ USD continues its downtrend after a brief rebound in Asian trading on Monday, currently at its lowest level in seven weeks against six major currencies.
🎗️There is speculation that the Fed may deliver more than two rate cuts this year. However, attention now shifts to the revision of the U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data, scheduled to be released later in the day, which will cover the period from April 2024 to March 2025.
✅Important price zone to consider : !!!
resistance zone point: 3642 zone