The bearish trend will continue unless the price rises above3765#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold closed with a negative daily line, reaching a low of around 3717. If today's closing daily line falls below the MA5 moving average and touches the MA10 moving average, we need to be alert that the bears may dominate the market again tomorrow, Friday.
The downward trend is still under pressure during the day, and trading is still mainly short-selling. The immediate resistance level to watch is 3748-3750, which also marks the boundary of the triangle pattern; a touch of this level could signal a short-selling opportunity. Further pay attention to the trend pressure of 3765. As long as this point is not broken, the short trend of gold will not change. Pay attention to the short-term support of 3735-3720 below. You can go long on gold if it is not broken on the first pullback.
GOLDCFD trade ideas
Gold surged and then fell, continue to short at highsGold showed a trend of rising first and then falling today. The highest point reached around 3872 and then encountered resistance and pulled back. The lowest point reached around 3793 and then stabilized and rebounded upward. The gold daily level is a big positive line, and it is still in a bullish trend. It rose again after a deep correction today, indicating that gold needs to be adjusted. From the perspective of technical analysis at the one-hour level, the gold trend shows an obvious bearish engulfing pattern. For bulls, the market needs to go through a period of consolidation if the uptrend is to resume. Therefore, any rebound presents a shorting opportunity.
Resistance: 3845, 3868
Support: 3791, 3775
ANFIBO | XAUUSD - The week's last day, I'm bullish over $3800Hi guys, Anfibo's here!
OANDA:XAUUSD Analysis – Daily Trading Strategy
Overall Picture:
At present, gold (XAUUSD) continues to hold steadily within the H4 bullish channel, without any unusual volatility. The dominant uptrend remains intact, and the market structure still favors buyers. Personally, I remain optimistic that gold will soon head toward a new ATH above $3,800/oz in the medium term. However, in the short term, the market may continue to fluctuate around key support and resistance levels before confirming its next move.
Technical Outlook:
Short-term trend: Solidly bullish, though momentum is slowing; accumulation may form before the next breakout.
> SUPPORT KEY / BUY ZONES : 3740 - 3723 - 3713 - 3703
> RESISTANCE KEY / SELL ZONES : 3770 - 3777- 3788 - 3799 - 3836
Here's my Trading Plan today:
>>> SELL ZONE:
ENTRY: 3769 - 3775
SL: 3780
TP: 3740 - 3723
>>> BUY ZONE:
ENTRY: 3700 - 3705
SL: 3695
TP: 3760 - 3800 - 3836
Risk Management:
- Prioritize buy trades in line with the dominant trend, limit countertrend shorts.
- Maintain a R:R ratio of at least 1:2 on all setups.
- Manage capital strictly, avoid overtrading during sideways phases before breakout.
✅ Conclusion:
Gold is maintaining a stable uptrend on H4, with market structure still supporting buyers.
Main scenarios: Buy on dip around 3700 – 3705.
A clear move beyond 3780 would likely pave the way toward a new ATH above $3,800.
HAVE A NICE WEEKEND, GUYS!!!
Buy XAUUSD IntradayXAUUSD (Gold) – Buy Setup on 1H Chart
Entry: 3,732.24
This level coincides with a demand zone and trendline support, suggesting potential bullish reversal.
Stop Loss (SL): 3,709.79
Placed below the support zone. If broken, it signals bearish strength and invalidates the buy setup.
Take Profit (TP): 3,829.37
Targeting the next key resistance level, offering strong upside potential.
Risk-to-Reward (R:R)
The setup provides a solid R:R ratio of approximately 1:3, meaning the potential reward is significantly greater than the risk.
Price Outlook
Price is projected to bounce from 3,732.24 support and push upward toward 3,829.37. As long as the support holds above 3,709.79, the bullish scenario remains valid.
Conclusion:
This is a buy setup with a clear structure: Entry 3,732.24 | SL 3,709.79 | TP 3,829.37. The plan favors upward momentum as long as support remains intact.
Gold Elliott Wave Roadmap: Correction Before $5,000+ Rally📌 Introduction
Gold (XAUUSD) has been one of the strongest assets in recent years, supported by inflation, geopolitical uncertainty, and central bank demand.
But even in strong bull markets, corrections are part of the natural cycle.
The current Elliott Wave count suggests Gold is nearing a short-term top, followed by a corrective decline, before resuming its long-term bullish trend that could push prices above $5,000 in the coming years.
🔎 Current Position – Minor Degree Wave 3 Topping
Gold recently touched $3,790.
It still has the potential to move toward $3,820–$3,850 after a brief pullback to $3,700.
This area matches the termination zone of Minor Degree Wave 3 , signaling a possible top.
Momentum indicators are also showing exhaustion, strengthening the case for a near-term reversal.
📉 Wave 4 Correction Outlook
Target Zone: $3,300–$3,000 (38.2%–50% retracement).
Deeper Risk: Possible decline toward $2,700 , a strong prior consolidation zone.
Timing: Wave 4 could extend into mid-2026 , as these corrections are often lengthy and complex.
This is not a bearish reversal, but a healthy reset before the next leg higher.
🚀 Upside Potential – Wave 5 Toward $5,200
After Wave 4 completes, Gold should resume its uptrend in Minor Degree Wave 5 , completing Intermediate Degree Wave (3) .
Conservative Target: $4,200 (0.618 extension of Wave 1).
Ideal Target: $5,200 (Wave 1 = Wave 5 projection).
Timeline: Mid-2026 → Mid-2027, marking the next cycle peak.
📊 K ey Fibonacci Levels to Watch
$3,300–$3,000 → Wave 4 retracement support.
$4,194 → Resistance (0.618 extension).
$5,235 → Major target (1.000 extension).
⚖️ Risks to the Outlook
A correction below $2,700 would challenge the bullish Elliott Wave count.
Macro shifts (Fed policy, deflationary shocks, liquidity events) could alter wave development.
Stay flexible and adjust strategies as price action unfolds.
📌 Conclusion
Gold is nearing a short-term cyclical top around $3,820–$3,850 (Wave 3).
A correction toward $3,300–$3,000 (and possibly $2,700 ) may unfold into mid-2026 .
From there, expect a powerful Wave 5 rally toward $4,200–$5,200 , completing Intermediate Degree Wave (3) by 2027.
👉 Traders: Be cautious near the top.
👉 Investors: Use Wave 4 weakness as a chance to accumulate before the next big rally.
Xauusd: risky move again the flow At this point, jumping in to short gold clearly isn’t the wisest move. However, I find the RSI signal pretty tempting. RSI has already made 3 consecutive peaks above 70. Meanwhile, MACD looks like it’s about to bump into the signal line for a little showdown.If it drops and breaks below 70, this short setup could be quite rewarding. I’ll enter according to the setup shown in the chart. And since I know better than to get delusional with the market, I’ll go in with a very small position size—just in case the market decides to smack me hard.
XAUUSD Intraday Update – 26 Sept 2025🟡 XAUUSD Intraday Update – 26 Sept 2025
Gold has broken out of a bullish flag pattern, confirming continuation of the uptrend.
🔹 Key Levels:
Support: 3750 – 3729 (flag base & breakout retest)
Resistance: 3780 – 3834
Major Target: 3892 (measured flag projection & Fib 3.618)
Technical Outlook:
Price Action: The breakout above the flag consolidation signals strong bullish momentum.
Measured Move: The projected target from the flag aligns with 3830 → 3892.
Market Bias: As long as price holds above 3750, buyers remain in control.
📌 Bias: Bullish.
📌 Targets: 3830 → 3892.
📌 Invalidation: Break back below 3729 would weaken the bullish flag setup.
XAUUSD is following the 3930 path !!!XAUUSD is still intact on bullish rising wedge channel trend towards 3930!!
In our previous commantary we are expecting 3845 within the next session which gold delivered during Tokyo session.
My stance on XAUUSD?
I'm expecting bit retracement for again pump.
✅️ First point of buying will be 3785-3795 area ,
-H4 candle should closes above it for healthy buyingtrade.
-My target will be 3830 then 3845.
In extension 3930!!
- Secondly if H4 candle closes below 3780 then our buying will be compromised & I will wait till the bottom major supply zone at 3745-3735 for buying.
Additional TIP: Buy the dips
XAUUSD – Pullback Play Into Demand ZonePrice is currently rejecting the weak high supply zone after testing the upper boundary of a short-term ascending channel. This rejection suggests a possible retracement toward the demand zone between 3753–3740, where prior accumulation and structural support align. If price finds support here, a bullish continuation toward the 3771.510 target is in play, supported by internal structure and Fibonacci confluence.
This idea will be invalidated if price breaks and closes below the 3734.587 level, as this would violate bullish structure and suggest a shift in market sentiment. Until then, the bias remains cautiously bullish with key focus on the reaction from the demand zone.
XAUUSD Delivered Excellent profits Thanks to those who followed, trusted me, and made profits 210 pips delivered
As I mentioned in today’s commentary session:
• I took buy trades if H4 candle closes above 3760., and I’m expecting the market to test the 3785 benchmark with an extension towards 3830.
My strategy was to buy the dips, and I’m very happy with the profits so far – .
My first target (3782) is achieved, Alhamdulillah.
Gold prices are hanging by a thread at the 3740 mark. 🛑The PCE storm is coming tonight! Gold prices are hanging by a thread at the 3740 mark. Is 3715 the last line of defense for bulls?
🛑 Spot gold held steady around $3740/oz during the Asian session on Friday (September 26). Gold prices rose and then fell on Thursday, largely due to unexpectedly better-than-expected US initial jobless claims data. Market expectations for a Fed rate cut have cooled slightly, but the overall easing tone remains unchanged.
Peter Grant, Vice President of Zaner Metals, noted, "Initial jobless claims came in at 218,000, below the expected 235,000 and slightly hawkish. This has certainly dampened some expectations for aggressive rate cuts, but it hasn't reversed the market's overall view of a shift in monetary policy. The biggest short-term risk to gold prices remains tonight's core PCE data – if inflation rises again beyond expectations, it could boost the dollar and temporarily suppress gold."
Technically, gold remains in a clear bullish trend. As long as the key support of $3,715 holds, the overall structure remains strong. However, as prices approach the key $3,800 level, short-term volatility has significantly increased, making chasing long positions more risky. A buy-on-low strategy is more appropriate.
Gold prices bottomed out at $3,722 on Thursday before stabilizing, indicating that buying support remains strong below. On Friday, we recommend focusing on the support area near $3,730. If it retraces to this level, consider entering long positions in batches, with an initial target of $3,762. A breakout could lead to further gains in the $3,780-3,785 range. If gold prices break through the previous high of $3,792 after the PCE data, further upside potential is possible!
⚠️End-of-Trade Reminder: Friday evening will feature a slew of data releases, especially the PCE inflation data, which could trigger significant volatility. We recommend operating with a light position and maintaining strict risk management.
Bullish Pennant in Gold* Gold is showing off a Bullish Pennant on the 4H chart – a classic continuation pattern formed after a strong rally (the flagpole).
* That means, after a short consolidation, Gold could be gearing up for another breakout toward new all-time highs
- For me, it's the "calm before the next storm" – and if the pattern successfully carries out, then we may see bulls pushing prices above $3,791+.
Keep an eye on the breakout zone, currently testing by gold – the next move could be BIG
What is a Bullish Pennant?
It’s a continuation pattern that forms after a sharp upward move (the “flagpole”). Price then consolidates in a small triangle-like structure (the “pennant”), before often breaking out higher.
Gold recently rallied nearly $180 (from $3,610 to $3,790) before pausing into a pennant-shaped consolidation on the 4H chart.
Why it matters here?
The flagpole in Gold is approx. $180.
If the pattern breaks above $3,791–$3,800, the typical projection is another $150–$180 upside.
That sets a potential target around $3,950–$3,980.
Note: While this is a textbook pattern, breakouts are not guaranteed. Traders watch for confirmation with volume and momentum indicators.
Buying every dip on GoldTechnical analysis: Gold is comfortably Trading not only above the broken Higher High’s trendline of the Hourly 4 chart’s healthy Ascending Channel that started after September #23 Bottom, also representing the #3,752.80 pivot Medium-term Support, Price-action is Trading above Triple Top’s rejection point. #3,778.80 - #3,785.80 Resistance zone is still showcasing strong durability (rejecting every upside attempt posing as each rejection local High’s). However if Resistance zone breaks / High Volatility zone is invalidated and zone break might open the way towards #3,800.80 benchmark / Resistance in form of an aggressive spike / extension similar to May #10 Low’s. It is crucial to mention that all this above (Bullish bias) is possible and will be sustainable only if DX extends current Bearish fashion and struggle to make a Bullish comeback since DX weakness is one of the reasons which is keeping Bullish bias alive. Sellers haven’t got any other option than to await their chance and adjust their model as with DX slightly recovering, Gold is not under heavy Selling pressure.
My position: I have Bought Gold on each dip and current orders I engaged are #3,752.80 benchmark re-Buy orders which I closed near #3,775.80 High's half an hour ago (kept them over-night). I continue with Buying every Low's on Gold.
GOLD XAUUSD GOLD XAUUSD, 1hr break and retest seem to be the impetus for higher buy despite newyork buy back from London gold market selloff.
if we touch 3870-3872.5 expect a rejection on 1hr or 4hr ,if we break and close above this zone 3890 -3900 zone .this level will be watched with a possible target into 3954-4000$
on a flip side a break of demand floor will be another 700pips or more.