Key Levels for the Week *-29/09/2025 ∷Gold∷🐍 Key Levels Overview 🐍
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Upper🐂Support-Resistance🔀
3786
3831
3865
3876
3884
3905
3913
3921
3930
3941
3949
3958
3969
3989
Mids∷∷∷🏛
3757
3770
3785
3794
3800
3806
3813
3820
3841
3883
Lower🐻Support-Resistance🔀
3646
3655
3665
3674
3693
3703
3714
3728
GOLDCFD trade ideas
Keep up with the trends and you'll make a profit—dare to try it?#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
I still hold the same view and should be wary of the main force pushing up prices to sell. In addition, today is Friday, and the market is most likely to go sideways or change direction. If you don’t want to trade, you can take a rest and enjoy the weekend. If you want to continue trading, you can refer to my last order layout of the day. Pay attention to the pressure of 3780-3790 on the top and the support of 3760-3750 on the bottom. The aggressive ones can try short selling, but they must set a stop loss. The conservative ones can wait for the support to arrange long positions. If you have any questions, please contact me. No other trading signals will be released in the evening.
GOLD BUY 3752🟢 XAUUSD Buy Setup – Entry: 3752
Gold is bouncing off a key support zone near 3752, signaling a potential bullish reversal. This level aligns with:
- 🔹 Strong historical demand zone
- 🔹 Fib retracement confluence (0.618 zone)
- 🔹 Bullish candle formation on 1H/4H
- 🔹 DXY weakness supporting gold upside
📈 Trade Plan:
- Entry: 3752
- Stop Loss: 3730 (below structure)
- Take Profit Zones: 3775 / 3798 / 3820+
Risk/reward favors upside continuation if momentum holds. Watch for breakout confirmation above 3770 and news catalysts (e.g., Fed data or geopolitical shifts).
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Gold PCE data follows the trend
News:
Powell's speech was rather conservative, exacerbating the market's cautious sentiment, and the easing of geopolitical situation suppressed the demand for safe-haven assets, which led to the resistance of gold's rise and the adjustment of high-level fluctuations. However, the expectation of further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve provided important bottom support for gold prices, which limited the short-term decline space and created opportunities for bargain hunting. In terms of operations, we suggest that everyone pay attention to the support at $3,740, followed by $3,730, and the upper pressure at $3,780, followed by $3,800.
Specifically:
During Thursday's European session, gold rebounded to $3,760 before encountering resistance and falling in a volatile manner. After the US market opened, gold continued its decline, falling to a low of $3,720. After stabilizing, it rebounded and rebounded, reaching $3,758 before encountering resistance.
At the opening of Friday's session, gold fell back to $3,735 before stabilizing. It rebounded to $3,750 before encountering resistance and is currently trading at $3,750. Overall, despite the resistance to gold's rebound, its short-term decline is limited, and gold prices continue to fluctuate and consolidate at a high level.
On the daily chart, gold has stabilized above $3,700, maintaining a high and volatile range. For downward support, consider the lower limit of the 4-hour Bollinger Band at $3,720, which is also near the low point of gold's decline on Wednesday and Thursday. Secondly, consider the $3,700 level. If gold prices hold steady here, there's still a chance for further gains. For upward pressure, consider Thursday's rebound high of $3,760, followed by Wednesday's rebound high of $3,780.
The 5-day moving average maintains an upward golden cross, but the MACD indicator has slightly crossed downward, and the KDJ and RSI indicators have formed a small bearish cross. Short-term technical indicators suggest that gold needs a correction after its continuous rise.
Strategy:
Long Position3740-3750,SL:3725,Target:3780-3800
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 26, 2025
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🔹 Momentum
• D1: Currently decreasing → the corrective trend is likely to continue. It may take about 2 more D1 candles for momentum to enter the oversold zone, after which a reversal could occur.
• H4: Momentum is rising → today we may see a bullish move or sideways range.
• H1: About to enter the oversold zone → a short-term bullish reversal is likely.
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🔹 Wave Structure
• D1:
o As analyzed previously, wave 5 (yellow) has already reached its first target at 3789.
o It may take around 2 more D1 candles for momentum to enter oversold → showing that the bearish leg is weakening.
o Considering depth and time, the market is likely within wave 4 of wave 5. Once the correction completes, the uptrend should resume toward the second target.
• H4:
o A WXY corrective structure is developing.
o The ABC (blue) has completed wave W → the market may now be in wave X, followed by a Y-wave decline to finish the correction.
• H1:
o Wave X appears to be forming a triangle, currently in the final wave e.
o However:
If price rises sharply above 3762, it would suggest the corrective phase is already completed.
The target area for wave e is around 3752 → potential Sell zone.
If price breaks below 3729, it confirms wave Y is in play, targeting 3713 and 3698 → potential Buy zones.
⚠️ Note: If the Buy target is reached first, the Sell setup will be canceled.
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🔹 Trading Plan
🔻 Sell Zone
• Entry: 3751 – 3753
• SL: 3761
• TP: 3729
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🔺 Buy Zone 1
• Entry: 3714 – 3712
• SL: 3704
• TP: 3751
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🔺 Buy Zone 2
• Entry: 3699 – 3696
• SL: 3686
• TP: 3751
Buying every dip on GoldTechnical analysis: Gold is comfortably Trading not only above the broken Higher High’s trendline of the Hourly 4 chart’s healthy Ascending Channel that started after September #23 Bottom, also representing the #3,752.80 pivot Medium-term Support, Price-action is Trading above Triple Top’s rejection point. #3,778.80 - #3,785.80 Resistance zone is still showcasing strong durability (rejecting every upside attempt posing as each rejection local High’s). However if Resistance zone breaks / High Volatility zone is invalidated and zone break might open the way towards #3,800.80 benchmark / Resistance in form of an aggressive spike / extension similar to May #10 Low’s. It is crucial to mention that all this above (Bullish bias) is possible and will be sustainable only if DX extends current Bearish fashion and struggle to make a Bullish comeback since DX weakness is one of the reasons which is keeping Bullish bias alive. Sellers haven’t got any other option than to await their chance and adjust their model as with DX slightly recovering, Gold is not under heavy Selling pressure.
My position: I have Bought Gold on each dip and current orders I engaged are #3,752.80 benchmark re-Buy orders which I closed near #3,775.80 High's half an hour ago (kept them over-night). I continue with Buying every Low's on Gold.
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 10/2/2025Yesterday gold reached another ATH at 3895 and turned quickly to as low as 3856. Gold is now in my selling zone. Therefore, I expect it to have some serious corrections. However, there is no red candle in daily or 2D TF yet. Therefore, upside moves are possible for today. I have three senarios for selling orders:
1. If 3856 is broken, sell on retest
2. Sell from 3875
3. sell from 3895
My target for today is 3800.
10.1 Gold US Trading StrategyJudging from the 4-hour market trend, the bulls closed with a positive sign and fluctuated at a high level. The short-term support below is 3814-25, and the important support is 3800-08. The bulls are rising strongly and there is no top. The operation is mainly to go long on pullbacks. In the middle position, watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
XAUUSD – Watch 3865 for Short-Term Reaction Before Push to 3885Gold is testing an important level at 3865.
📉 A rejection here could trigger a short-term sell move.
📈 After that, I expect bulls to take control and aim for the 3885 upside target.
This area can offer opportunities on both sides, but patience is key to let the setup confirm.
👉 Do you see 3865 holding as resistance, or will buyers break through immediately?
XAU/USD 30-Min Smart Money Concept Analysis with Buy & Sell The chart displays a 30-minute timeframe of the XAU/USD (Gold vs. U.S. Dollar) with a Smart Money Concepts (SMC) analysis. It highlights a **Break of Structure (BOS)** followed by a **demand zone retest** marked as a potential entry point. Two trade scenarios are mapped: a **buy setup**, expecting a bullish continuation above the 3,891.093 level, and a **sell setup**, forecasting a bearish move towards a lower demand zone around the 3,844.000–3,852.000 range if price fails to hold the current support. The analysis is based on order blocks, price action, and market structure shifts, aiming to capitalize on institutional trading behavior.
XAU/USD Trade Setup – Bullish Continuation in Play?Gold (XAU/USD) has recently shown a strong bullish recovery after a sharp drop from the $3,870 area. The price is currently consolidating near the $3,843 zone, forming a potential bullish continuation pattern.
We’ve now seen:
A V-shaped reversal off the $3,805 support zone
Strong bullish candles breaking short-term resistance
A potential higher low formation, signaling buying interest
🧠 Trade Idea:
🟢 Long Position Setup
Entry: Around $3,840.80
Stop Loss: $3,830.48 (below the recent low)
Targets:
🎯 TP1: $3,854.94
🎯 TP2: $3,861.25
🎯 TP3: $3,871.18 (extended)
This gives a solid risk-to-reward ratio of ~2:1 or better, depending on your target level.
🔍 Technical Highlights:
Key resistance levels: $3,855, $3,861, $3,871
Key support level: $3,830
Candlesticks show strong bullish momentum with little selling pressure during pullbacks.
Price is trading above the breakout zone, indicating buyers are in control.
⚠️ Risk Management:
As always, wait for confirmation near the entry zone. Be cautious of false breakouts, especially around the $3,840–$3,845 region. Stick to your stop loss and take profit levels.
XAUUSD PLAN THIS WEEKIf price closes above $3,760 with a bullish candle, the trade is validated. If it closes below $3,750, the trade is invalidated. The market is trending upward from $3,612 to $3,758, indicating a strong short-term bullish trend. A break of structure occurred at $3,750, suggesting potential continuation of the uptrend. High liquidity is observed between $3,740 and $3,760, which might attract institutional interest. An order block exists between $3,740 and $3,750, likely providing a support zone for bullish moves.
TRADE IDEA
Enter $3,760 after a bullish candle confirms above $3,758. Set the Stop Loss at $3,750 below recent consolidation.
Take Profit at $3,790 (resistance) and $3,820 (next key level). This setup leverages a breakout and retest of the recent range.
Bearish Reversal On Trendline BreakPrice is currently respecting an ascending trendline while approaching a resistance zone around 3872. If we see a confirmed breakout below the ascending trendline, it would indicate a potential reversal.
Short Entry Plan:
Trigger: Break and close below the trendline support
Confirmation: Strong bearish candle or retest rejection of broken trendline
Target: Drop towards the demand zone around 3840–3845, where previous bullish structure originated
Key Zones:
Resistance: 3868–3872
Demand Zone (Target): 3840–3845
A clean break could provide a high-probability short setup with favorable risk-to-reward. Always wait for confirmation and manage risk accordingly.
XAU/USD – Bullish Trendline Support Targeting 3,910–3,950Analysis:
The chart for XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. U.S. Dollar) on the 1-hour timeframe shows a clear upward trajectory supported by a strong ascending trendline.
Support Trendline: Price recently retested the rising support line, confirming buyers are still defending this level.
Short-Term Pullback: After a sharp drop from the recent high around 3,820–3,830, price has stabilized near the trendline, signaling healthy retracement within a bullish structure.
Bullish Scenarios:
If price respects the support line, a rebound towards 3,870 and then 3,910 levels is expected.
A successful break above 3,910 may open the door toward the next resistance near 3,950.
Risk Factor: A sustained break below the support trendline would invalidate the bullish scenario, potentially dragging the price back towards 3,790 or lower.
Conclusion: Gold remains in a bullish trend as long as it holds above the support line. Traders may look for buying opportunities on dips, targeting 3,870 → 3,910 → 3,950 in the short term.
Gold bullish run continuation support at 3745The Gold remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a continuation pause within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 3745 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 3745 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
3854 – initial resistance
3884 – psychological and structural level
3914 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 3745 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
3726 – minor support
37000 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
A bullish bias remains intact while the Gold holds above 3,745. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Gold price analysis September 29The market recorded strong buying pressure at the beginning of the week when the price was supported from the support zone of 3757. The bullish momentum is taking the price to new highs, and there is currently no notable resistance zone. The Fibonacci area around 3834 becomes the nearest target. In the short term, if there are corrections during the day or during the week, it will still be a potential opportunity to increase buying positions, especially when the market is looking forward to the Nonfarm data at the end of the week.
Trading plan:
BUY when there is a price rejection signal at the support zones of 3707 – 3730 – 3757
Expected target: 3830
Gold Consolidates Near Highs: Is a Pullback Imminent?Gold has entered a phase of consolidation after its recent rally, trading within a tight range as the market seeks direction. While prices have struggled to push significantly higher or lower, the move appears to be a technical correction rather than a reversal. So, is this the top?
Considering the rally from 3311 to 3791—a gain of 480 points—the upward momentum may be losing steam. However, the lack of significant downward movement or clear top formation suggests that a sharp decline is not yet imminent. Gold may continue to trade within a high-range consolidation in the near term.
One key factor to monitor is potential volatility around major market holidays. During extended market closures, traders may be exposed to unexpected price moves without the ability to adjust positions. This can lead to increased risk, especially if the market moves against open trades. A similar situation was observed earlier this year during a holiday period, underscoring the need for caution.
Regardless of short-term fluctuations, a corrective pullback appears likely—the main question is its depth and timing.
In yesterday’s session, gold dipped early but recovered during European hours, briefly surpassing the morning high of 3751 to reach 3761–3762. However, prices retreated later without breaking below key support, leading to a modest rebound toward the close. This price action reinforces the current sideways trend.
Unless support levels are clearly broken, there is no strong case for a sustained downtrend. Therefore, chasing downward moves during retracements is not advisable. The likelihood of breaking below the 3717 low remains limited for now.
On the hourly chart, gold is forming a symmetrical triangle pattern, currently trading around the midline near 3740. Based on yesterday’s early rebound and overnight strength, a slight pullback to the 61.8% Fibonacci level near 3736 could offer a chance for a renewed bounce. An immediate sharp decline appears unlikely.
Resistance lies near 3758–3760. If prices remain below this zone during the day, a retest of lower levels may follow later. The key support remains at 3717—only a clear break below this level would signal a short-term bearish shift. Until then, range-bound trading is expected.
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