XAUUSD Setup: Overbought Conditions Signal a Potential Pullback!OANDA:XAUUSD Price is approaching a key resistance zone at the upper boundary of the ascending channel. This boundary often acts as a natural barrier where the market tends to slow down or reverse. As price reaches the channel top, the probability of a correction increases as profit-taking pressure builds.
If a correction unfolds, the 3,715 USD level will be the key support to watch. The resilience of buyers around this zone will determine whether the uptrend can extend further and push prices beyond previous highs. On the other hand, if 3,715 is broken, the market could shift direction with price sliding deeper toward the lower boundary of the channel and temporarily putting buyers at a disadvantage.
What matters most now is not rushing into trades but observing carefully. The market always leaves clues through price action, candlestick formations and trading volume. When these elements align, confirmation becomes stronger and that is the moment when a setup carries real weight. Above all, risk management remains essential because it is the shield that allows traders to withstand uncertainty and seize opportunities with confidence.
Good luck and trade safe!
GOLDCFD trade ideas
Symmetrical Triangle Pattern on XAUUSDIt forms when price makes lower highs and higher lows, squeezing into a tighter range.
This shows market indecision: neither buyers (bulls) nor sellers (bears) are in full control.
Volume usually decreases as the triangle develops, then spikes when a breakout happens.
📈 Trading Implications
• Continuation or reversal: A symmetrical triangle is generally a neutral pattern — it doesn’t predict direction by itself. Instead, it signals that a big move is coming soon.
• Breakout direction matters:
• If price breaks above the upper trendline with strong volume → bullish breakout (possible rally continuation).
• If price breaks below the lower trendline with strong volume → bearish breakout (possible sell-off).
⚖️ Confirmation
• Wait for a clear breakout candle (closing outside the triangle).
• Stronger signals if breakout aligns with overall trend and high volume.
Gold (XAU/USD) Intraday Technical Analysis – Sep 26Technical Overview
Gold recently broke out of the previous consolidation zone (3,620 – 3,680 USD) and surged to a new resistance area around 3,780 – 3,790 USD. Following this rally, price has retraced and formed a short-term corrective pattern marked as A-B-C on the chart.
Key Levels
Level 3,720; Short-term intraday support, point A of corrective move
Support Zone 2
Level 3,620; Strong historical support, bottom of prior consolidation
Resistance Zone
Level 3,780 – 3,790; Major swing high, key supply area
Immediate Pivot
Level 3,750 Current market congestion, potential short-term indecision
Price Structure & Behavior
Uptrend Momentum: The red arrow highlights the strong bullish move from 3,640 to 3,780, fueled by buyers breaking the previous consolidation.
Corrective Pattern: After hitting resistance, price retraced to point A (3,720 area) and bounced to point B (~3,755), forming an ABC corrective structure.
Potential Continuation: The chart suggests a possible C leg down toward 3,720 if resistance holds at B, completing the corrective move before the next bullish attempt.
Indicators & Confluence
EMA: Price is currently hovering around the 20 EMA, signaling near-term indecision. Watch for rejection or clean break for confirmation.
RSI: Approaching 60, showing slight bullish bias but not overbought. A downward move would confirm C leg continuation.
Fibonacci: The retracement from 3,640 → 3,780 aligns with 38.2% – 50% Fib retracement for point C (~3,720), supporting this corrective target.
Trading Strategies
1. Aggressive Short (Countertrend)
Entry: Around 3,755 – 3,760 (near point B resistance)
Target: 3,720 (point C)
Stop Loss: Above 3,780
Notes: High probability intraday short, but risk if breakout occurs.
2. Trend Continuation Long
Entry: Break above 3,780 with strong 1H candle close
Target: 3,810 – 3,820
Stop Loss: 3,760
Notes: Only enter if resistance at 3,780 is decisively broken.
3. Range/Scalping
Buy near 3,720 – 3,725
Sell near 3,755 – 3,760
Quick scalps within ABC correction zone, ideal for 1H intraday traders.
Summary
Gold is consolidating after a strong rally, forming a classic ABC correction. The 3,720 support zone and 3,780 resistance zone are critical levels. Traders can look for a short-term C leg drop before continuation, or wait for a break above 3,780 for trend-following long setups.
XAU/USD Intraday Analysis – October 1, 2025Gold (XAU/USD) is currently trading around 3,887 USD/oz, showing strong bullish momentum on the hourly timeframe. The price action indicates a clear uptrend, with higher highs and higher lows forming since mid‑September.
Technical Overview:
Trend: Uptrend confirmed by consecutive bullish candlesticks and ascending trendline.
Support Levels:
3,760 – 3,750 USD/oz: Major intraday support zone, tested multiple times and held strongly.
Resistance Levels:
3,890 – 3,895 USD/oz: Immediate resistance zone where recent price action paused before breaking higher.
Key Observations:
The recent breakout above the previous resistance indicates strong buying pressure.
Price is currently respecting the ascending trendline (blue line on chart), which may act as dynamic support for the next bullish leg.
Pullbacks toward the trendline could offer high-probability buying opportunities for intraday traders.
Short-term traders should watch for reversals near 3,910 USD/oz, which could temporarily cap upside movement.
Trading Strategy:
Buy Strategy: Enter on pullbacks to 3,875 – 3,880 USD/oz with stop-loss below 3,865 USD/oz. Target near 3,905 – 3,910 USD/oz.
Sell Strategy: Consider shorting only if a strong bearish reversal candlestick pattern forms near the 3,910 USD/oz resistance.
Conclusion:
Gold remains in a strong intraday uptrend. Momentum favors the bulls, and the next leg higher could push prices toward 3,910 USD/oz. Traders should focus on trend-following entries while monitoring key resistance for potential profit-taking.
Follow for more intraday gold strategies and high-probability setups, and bookmark this analysis if you find it useful for your trading decisions.
XAU/USD – Bearish Pullback Targets 3,630 and 3,525Current Price: 3,724 USD (approx)
Trend Context: After a strong rally from early September, price is now consolidating and showing signs of a short-term pullback.
Key Levels from the Chart
Stop Loss Zone: 3,767 – 3,775
Entry Zone (short bias): 3,750 – 3,762
First Support / Mid Target: 3,741
Primary Target 1: 3,630 – 3,623
Target 2 / Major Support: 3,525 – 3,524
Price Action & Structure
The market recently failed to hold above the 3,762–3,775 resistance band and is sliding back into prior demand zones.
A break and close below 3,741 would strengthen the bearish momentum.
The next significant support sits around 3,630, a prior consolidation shelf. If that fails, the deeper target near 3,525 (the second EA Target Point) becomes plausible.
Momentum & Risk View
Short-term momentum indicators (from the candle structure) show lower highs and heavier selling wicks—typical of distribution after a strong uptrend.
Risk management is clear: shorts above 3,767 are invalidated.
Trading Outlook
Bearish bias while below 3,762.
Conservative plan: Wait for a confirmed 3-hour close under 3,741 before considering downside continuation toward 3,630 and possibly 3,525.
If price reclaims and holds above 3,762, the bearish setup is negated and buyers could attempt another push to new highs.
Bullish bounce for the Gold?The price is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a swing high resistance.
Pivot: 3,699.30
1st Support: 3,654.40
1st Resistance: 3,784.06
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
XAU/USD 4H Chart – Bullish Pullback Setup to Key Support ZoneAnalysis Overview:
📈 Trend:
The price is currently moving in an ascending channel, indicating a bullish trend.
Price has recently touched or slightly exceeded the upper boundary of the channel, suggesting a potential pullback.
🟦 Support Zone (Buy Zone):
Marked in blue, between 3,764.828 (Trade Entry) and 3,718.674 (Stop Loss).
This zone aligns with a previous consolidation area, which now acts as a strong support.
✅ Entry Plan:
Wait for price to retrace into the blue support zone.
Ideal entry around 3,764.828, possibly after a bullish signal (e.g., pin bar, bullish engulfing).
❌ Stop Loss:
Placed just below the support zone at 3,718.674, protecting the trade in case the structure fails.
🎯 Target (TP):
3,975.534 — This is labeled as the LABA TARGET POINT, near the upper boundary of the ascending channel.
Risk-reward ratio appears favorable, roughly 4:1 if using the full range between entry and stop loss.
🧠 Trade Idea Summary:
Setup Type: Pullback to Support in Bullish Channel
Bias: Long/Bullish
Entry Zone: 3,764.828 (support)
Stop Loss: 3,718.674 (below structure)
Target: 3,975.534 (channel top)
Conditions to Watch:
Confirm reversal within the buy zone before entering.
Monitor for bearish breakdown if price closes below stop loss zone.
⚠️ Risk Management Tips:
Use proper position sizing based on your account size and stop loss.
Do not enter early; wait for confirmation (e.g., bullish candle pattern) in the support zone.
Keep an eye on macroeconomic news (e.g., NFP, interest rate updates) as gold is very sensitive to these events
XAUUSD: A Golden Opportunity to Buy TodayHello everyone, Kilian here!
Gold is looking very attractive. After a strong surge, the price has come back to test and confirm the strong buying pressure, and this has been confirmed beautifully.
The price is currently at an important level where the sellers pushed the price down. If the buyers manage to break through this level and repeat the same pattern (coming back to test and confirm), this indicates strong buying pressure, meaning the price is likely to continue rising.
Wish you happy trading and profitable results!
GOLD (XAUUSD): More Growth is Coming?!
Gold was very bullish on Friday.
A formation of a buying imbalance candle accompanied by a confirmed
breakout of a significant intraday resistance suggest a strong bullish pressure.
With a high probability, the market will update the ATH again and will aim at 3800 psychological level.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
My strategy is to sell first and then buy!
Gold is trading between 3740 and 3770 in the US market. After a period of consolidation, the short-term moving average has shown signs of turning upward, indicating that market momentum is building. On the hourly chart, the technical pattern is gradually repairing, with the K-line successfully crossing the short-term moving average, indicating a shift towards strength. The high-level fluctuation pattern on the daily chart also favors a bullish trend, and the overall technical outlook supports a bullish trend in the US market. We recommend primarily long positions at low levels, focusing on the effectiveness of the 3740 support level. If the US price stabilizes and breaks through the 3770 resistance level, further upside potential is expected. It is important to note that for bullish momentum to continue, a large retracement should be avoided during the current period to prevent an excessive correction from disrupting the short-term technical structure. During the US market, a light position can be used to test long positions based on support levels, maintaining strict risk management.
Gold Recommendation: Sell gold at 3783-3788, target 3755-3750-3745-3740...
Add to positions if gold retraces to 3735-3740, and continue to add to positions if it retraces to 3718-3723. The target remains at 3765-3780.
GOLD (XAUUSD) Short Setup Active Price completed a 5-wave structure and tapped into strong resistance. The rejection confirms short potential with invalidation above 3900.
Targets:
3799 (first support)
3721 (next zone)
3664 (extended move)
As long as price stays below 3900, bearish momentum remains in play.
XAUUSD-Sell Setup Forming Below ResistanceThe chart indicates a bearish reversal setup:
Resistance Zone: Around 3,784 USD – price has tested this level and shows signs of rejection.
Target Zone: Around 3,700 USD – expected downside move if rejection holds.
Trading Plan: Consider a SELL position near resistance with stop-loss just above 3,784 USD.
Confirmation: If price fails to break and close above resistance, bearish momentum is likely to continue.
XAUUSD-Gold Game Just Changed: Post-FVG Violation SetupHey Traders,
Gold is currently sitting at 3774. From here, I’m aiming straight for 3807.
Why?
FVG got violated—we now have a clean IFVG.
That’s why my target is locked: 3807.
Set your stop-loss based on your own margin.
I believe we’ll hit that level sooner or later.
Every single like you drop keeps me motivated
to keep sharing these insights.
Big thanks to everyone supporting!
Gold's All-Time HighAfter 4 years of consolidation, gold began a Bullrun with 2 upward cycles in the year 2025, reaching the most relevant historical high mark in history, driven by the Tariffs imposed by Trump and tensions of a possible war.
We are already experiencing a sharp rise of more than 15% after the last crash, since then we are going for the seventh consecutive week of growth.
It should still test 4000 thousand. If it fails to break through and is a strong barrier, we believe it can consolidate for a good period in the range of 3600 to 4000.
Expecting gold to go down tomorrow and bounce backSo I believe it’s Gonna go down due to the news tomorrow ADP non-farm. The actual is gonna be more than the forecast and then if you look at the data which is expected to come out from the ADP, the government one that will weaker the dollar hence gold would go up again in my opinion
Gold will hit $4K in October!
Gold performed exceptionally well in September, breaking through $3,500 and repeatedly reaching new highs, reaching a high of $3,791 and approaching the $3,800 mark.
So, how will gold perform next week? Where will October lead? Has gold reached a peak? Where will it peak?
First, the overall trend is undoubtedly upward, as we've discussed in detail before. I personally believe reaching $4,000 by the end of the year is not a problem, with only a little over $200 remaining. Based on the current trend, it will likely reach $4,000 in one go. Therefore, two scenarios are possible:
First, a direct surge to $4,000 followed by a deep correction;
Second, a deep correction followed by a further push to $4,000.
The deep correction mentioned here refers to a peak decline of $200-250. Therefore, I believe the first scenario is more likely for three main reasons:
First, the overall trend remains strong, with rising prices more likely than falling prices. The daily chart shows mostly single-line corrections, which do not alter the overall bullish trend and upward momentum.
Second, there are two more interest rate meetings this year, one in October and one in December. The market is highly skeptical of another 25 basis point rate cut in October. The close timing leaves little time and space for gold to correct. The October Fed rate decision will be on October 30th, at the end of the month. As long as expectations of a rate cut persist, October is likely to continue its upward trend, with a peak decline and a deep correction likely in November.
Third, gold's overall trend this year is very similar to last year's. The second surge in the second half of last year continued until the end of October, followed by a deep correction on October 30th and 31st, with a drop of $254 from $2790 to $2536. This year, the overall trend at the same point in time and within the same cycle is largely the same. So, I think the probability of a repeat of last year's trend in the coming months is very high.
In short, don't expect a significant correction in gold prices right now. The recent significant increase in holdings of the world's largest gold ETF may confirm this. Therefore, follow the trend and don't blindly speculate on the top. Strategically, there won't be any major mistakes; the rest is a matter of tactical approach.
Tomorrow, Monday, we should still focus on an uptrend. A retracing to the support line of the converging triangle structure could signal a second continuation, around 3753. For a bullish outlook, the best scenario is intraday strength; the sooner the momentum builds, the stronger the market. Once it breaks through the 3783-3791 highs, a breakout above 3800 becomes highly likely.
DeGRAM | GOLD fixed in the ascending channel📊 Technical Analysis
● XAU/USD is trading within an ascending channel, bouncing from the 3,717 support and reclaiming 3,736, signaling strong buying interest.
● A breakout from the short-term corrective channel targets 3,786, aligning with the channel’s upper boundary and confirming bullish continuation.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Gold is supported by softer U.S. yields and safe-haven demand as uncertainty around global growth and Fed policy tempers dollar strength.
✨ Summary
XAU/USD builds bullish momentum above 3,717 support. Key target: 3,786 resistance, with 3,736 as interim support. Short-term outlook favors further upside.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Reversal Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bullish Reversal - 3749 Zone
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
Tension at the Top – Will Gold Crack the Supply Wall or Fade BacHello traders 👋
Price is hovering at 3754, just beneath a key liquidity shelf and staring straight into premium resistance. Bulls have kept structure clean, but the real test is moments away. Today’s battle is shaped between a hardened supply above and a fresh demand pocket waiting below. This is a sniper’s day — let’s map it tactically 👇
🔹 HTF Structural Zones (D1, H4, H1 – wide institutional ranges)
🟥 Supply Zone (D1 OB) → 3770–3780
The last valid bearish OB on D1, untouched since formation. This is where previous rallies failed. Imbalance + FVG inside, aligned with RSI H1 overbought. Any return here requires extreme caution for bulls.
🟦 Demand Zone (H1–H4 confluence) → 3732–3726
The last bullish reaction base before the push toward 3761. Protected by EMA 21 + 50 (Dynamic EMA Flow). Clean structure, built with absorption and demand reloading. RSI shows bullish divergence on M30. Expect reactions if tapped.
⚪ Decision Zone (Intraday Control Shelf) → 3744–3740
The zone that separates continuation from correction. Price has defended this shelf three times, making it the intraday line of control. Below it → buyers lose momentum. Above it → bulls stay in charge.
🎯 Precision Zones (Execution Focus)
🟦 Long setups only inside 3732–3726
🟥 Short setups only after rejection inside 3770–3780
⚪ Control flips decisively in 3744–3740
🎲 Scenarios
🟢 Bullish Setup
Hold above 3744–3740 → push through 3758
Sweep and close above 3761 → price targets 3770–3780
Acceptance inside OB → extension toward 3810
🟥 Bearish Setup
Tap or sweep 3761, reject from 3770–3780
Reclaim 3758 → 3744 → break below decision zone
Loss of 3740 opens the gate for 3732–3726, with risk of deeper dive to 3698
🗺️ Tactical Map Summary
🟦 Potential Buy Zone: 3732–3726 (discount sniper zone)
🟥 Potential Sell Zone: 3770–3780 (premium OB supply)
⚪ Decision Zone: 3744–3740 (intraday control line)
🧩 Conclusion
Gold stands between two power zones. Bulls still lead, but they’re knocking at a door guarded by old supply. Today’s direction flips inside the 3744–3740 control zone. Patience is power. Wait for the reaction. Strike with confirmation.
Drop your thoughts in the comments, smash the like button, and hit follow on GoldFxMinds for more daily sniper plans. Let’s keep building this edge together 🚀✨
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Please see update on our 4H chart idea after completing our 1H chart idea yesterday.
This chart is also playing out analysed. We got our Bullish target hit at 3696 followed with ema5 cross and lock opening 3738. This target was also hit with a further cross and lock opening 3778. 3778 now completed with no further cross and lock confirming the rejection.
We will now use lower Goldturns for support and Bounce until we see further cross and lock above for a continuation.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3696 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3696 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3738 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3738 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3778 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3778 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3811 -
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3811 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3845
BEARISH TARGETS
3655
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3655 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3615
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3615 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3583
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3583 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3546
3509
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3509 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3458
3409
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
History doesn't repeat but does it rhyme?Lets see if it plays out.
Disclaimer
This content is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. The author is not a registered financial advisor. Trading and investing in financial markets involve substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for every investor. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified professional before making any investment decisions.
Gold Trading Plan!!Gold has been rising without much retrace recently. It's difficult to engage buying orders at this moment. Hopefully, it could retrace for me to take some buys. I am looking to buy from 3786-3795 area and target to at least 3855.
It will be interesting to see the price actions in 3855-3882 zone. Gold may be rejected and have some serious corrections from there.
Gold - Just buy the all time high!🔱Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) will rally even higher:
🔎Analysis summary:
Gold remains totally bullish. And after the recent all time high breakout rally of about +15%, traders are willing to accept much higher prices. Following the significant long term rising channel formation, Gold will rally another +25% before we will see a retracement.
📝Levels to watch:
$4.000, $4.500
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION