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XAU/USD | Gold’s Historic Dump – Will $4,000 Hold or Break?By analyzing the Gold chart on the 2-hour timeframe , we can see that gold experienced an extremely sharp sell-off — the biggest single-day drop in over 12 years — falling nearly $400 in less than 24 hours! After dropping from $4,381 to $4,003 , price rebounded to $4,162, but then corrected again and is now trading around $4,051. Given the current volatility, it’s important to watch key levels closely. As long as gold holds above $4,000, there’s potential for a recovery toward the FVG zone between $4,100 and $4,128 . The main supply levels to monitor are $4,101, $4,114, $4,128, and $4,155 — watch how price reacts at these points! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
84
Gold Pullback Could Be the Next Buying OpportunityHello, traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. The market for Gold has been trading within a clear bullish structure, forming an ascending channel since breaking out from the earlier range near the 4,050–4,100 zone. The breakout from that consolidation led to strong upward momentum, with price making consistent higher highs and higher lows. Recently, the market faced strong selling pressure from the Seller Zone near 4,366, which aligns with the Resistance Level. After a retest of this supply area, price rejected and started a correction within the channel. The price is approaching the Buyer Zone around 4,205, which also coincides with the lower boundary of the ascending channel and the previous support level. This confluence makes the area significant for potential bullish reactions. I expect Gold to retest the Buyer Zone (4,205) and, if buyers show strength, a bounce toward 4,320–4,366 could follow. This would represent the continuation of the uptrend within the ascending channel. However, if price breaks below 4,205, it would signal a possible shift in structure and open the door for a deeper correction toward the 4,100 area. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by LegionQ8
35
Gold 1979 vs 2025 — When History Whispers and Markets Listen 🌕 1. The Echo of 1979 In 1979, the world watched Gold do the impossible. The metal surged from $226 to over $850 per ounce in less than a year, a 275% explosion that turned fear into fortune. The triggers were seismic. 🇮🇷 The Iranian Revolution disrupted global oil flows. 🏛️ The U.S. Embassy hostage crisis fueled geopolitical panic. ⚔️ The Soviet invasion of Afghanistan reignited Cold War fears. 💸 And double-digit inflation in the U.S. shredded faith in the dollar. By early 1980, panic replaced logic. Every newspaper screamed, “Buy Gold before it’s too late!” Then came Paul Volcker’s shock therapy as interest rates jumped above 15% and COMEX doubled margin requirements. Within eight weeks, Gold fell more than 40%, marking the end of one of the most dramatic speculative manias in modern history. 🔁 2. Fast-Forward to 2025: The Parallels Are Uncanny The world of 2025 looks hauntingly similar. 🕰️ 1979 🔮 2025 Iranian Revolution and Cold War tensions Gaza war, U.S.–China decoupling, and regional instability Oil shock and inflation Energy disruptions and persistent post-pandemic inflation Dollar under pressure Record U.S. debt and fiscal erosion Panic buying of Gold Central bank accumulation and retail FOMO Fed under Volcker turns hawkish Fed under Powell trapped between cuts and control By late August 2025, gold sat quietly near $3,415, then erupted into a seven-week vertical rally above $4,300, a mirror image of 1979’s euphoric climb. But just like back then, euphoria was the prelude to exhaustion. ⚠️ 3. The Anatomy of the Current Crash On October 17, 2025, Gold plunged $250 in one day, a shocking 5–6% drop that broke its parabolic structure and sent fear rippling across markets. What triggered it? 🏦 A hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve’s language as officials hinted rate cuts might be delayed. 💰 Real yields surged, breaking the inverse correlation that had fueled gold’s climb. 🏛️ Institutional profit-taking hit record levels, confirmed by rising COMEX open interest and volume. 🗞️ Sentiment flipped overnight as headlines shifted from “Gold to $5000” to “Gold crashes $250.” The move marked the first true break of structure (CHoCH) since the rally began, historically the signal that smart money is quietly exiting. 🔍 4. Lessons from 1980 — The Signs of a Top Before gold crashed in 1980, five clear warning signs appeared. ⚙️ 1979–1980 Signal 💡 2025 Equivalent 🧭 Status Fed turns hawkish Powell signals “pause / higher for longer” ⚠️ Emerging Rising bond yields vs. flat Gold Real yield divergence ✅ Confirmed Parabolic candles Daily range above $100 ✅ Seen Media frenzy “Gold to $5000” hype ✅ Seen Margin hikes and record OI Record COMEX participation ⚠️ Rising Four out of five signals are already flashing. History teaches that when everyone believes Gold can only rise, it’s often about to fall. 🧭 5. What Smart Traders Should Do Now 🟡 Phase 1 – Immediate Protection (Next 24 Hours) If you’re long, secure 50–75% of gains and protect above $3,950. If you’re short, trail stops to $4,200 and look for targets at $3,950 → $3,800 → $3,600. If you’re flat, stay patient and wait for at least two daily candles of stabilization before acting. 🟠 Phase 2 – Stabilization (Next 3–5 Days) Watch for: 🕯️ Long lower wicks on daily candles show buyer absorption. 📉 Shrinking COMEX volume indicates exhaustion of sellers. 📊 Flat or falling real yields confirming support. 🔵 Phase 3 – Re-evaluation (Next 1–2 Weeks) If gold reclaims $4,000+ with strength and Fed tone softens, a controlled re-rally may begin. If Gold stays below $3,800, the correction likely extends toward $3,500, the same 30–40% retracement seen in 1980. 🧘‍♀️ 6. Beyond the Chart — Discipline Over Drama When a $250 candle appears, instincts scream, “Do something!” But professionals know the truth: reaction destroys capital, observation preserves it. The coming days are not about prediction but about posture. Stay liquid, track sentiment, watch real yields, and remember that even in 1980, Gold’s crash didn’t end its story — it simply reset the cycle for the next era of accumulation. ✨ History doesn’t repeat, but it rhymes. In 1979, Gold taught us that fear creates bubbles. In 2025, it’s reminding us that even truth needs a pullback before it shines again. If this article helped you today and brought you more clarity: Drop a 🚀 and follow us✅ for more trading ideas and trading psychology. Thank you.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldMindsFX
59
Gold Analysis: Break Above $4,293 Could Trigger a New HighHi guys! Gold has been moving inside a clear ascending channel, respecting both its upper and lower boundaries. Recently, we saw a double top formation near the upper trendline , which triggered a corrective move down to the $4,190–$4,200 support zone, an area that has already shown strong buying interest. After the rebound from this support, the price is now aiming toward the $4,293 resistance. 👉 If the price breaks and holds above $4,293 , it’s likely to continue the bullish momentum and head toward a new higher high inside the channel. Overall, the structure remains bullish as long as the price stays above $4,190 , with the next key resistance at $4,293 being the level to watch for a potential continuation of the uptrend. Gold’s bullish bias remains supported by the ongoing geopolitical tensions, uncertainty over global interest rate paths, and softening U.S. dollar. Investors are also increasingly turning to gold as a safe-haven asset, especially amid concerns about economic slowdown and central bank gold purchases remaining strong. Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by melikatrader94
36
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 4275 and a gap below at 4229. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 275 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4275 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 4320 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4320 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 4360 BEARISH TARGETS 4229 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4229 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 4194 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4194 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 4151 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4151 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 4122 4075 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4075 WILL OPEN THE SECONDAARY SWING RANGE 4022 3955 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
30
Gold next week: Key S/R Levels and Outlook for Traders🔥 GOLD WEEKLY SNAPSHOT — BY PROJECTSYNDICATE 🏆 High/Close: $4,379 → ~$4,252 — higher close vs. last week’s pullback finish. 📈 Trend: Uptrend intact > $4,000; dip buyers continue to control rhythm. 🛡 Supports: $4,180–$4,140 → $4,100–$4,050 → $4,000 must hold. 🚧 Resistances: $4,260 / $4,300 / $4,350 → stretch $4,380–$4,420. 🧭 Bias next week: Buy-the-dip > $4,140–$4,200; momentum regain targets $4,300–$4,380+. Invalidation < $4,050 → risk $4,000/3,980. 🌍 Macro tailwinds: • Fed: Markets lean to another cut into Oct 28–29; softer real yields buoy gold. • FX: DXY under pressure = constructive backdrop. • Flows: ETF interest & CB buying remain supportive on dips. • Geopolitics: Tariff/trade and regional risks keep safe-haven bids live. 🎯 Street view: Several houses float $5,000/oz by 2026 scenarios on easing policy & reserve diversification narratives ________________________________________ 🔝 Key Resistance Zones • $4,260–$4,280 near-ATH supply / immediate ceiling from close • $4,300–$4,350 extension target band • $4,380–$4,420 stretch zone toward prior spike high and measured extensions 🛡 Support Zones • $4,220–$4,200 first retest band just below close • $4,180–$4,140 • $4,100–$4,050 deeper pullback shelf; $4,000 remains the big psych ________________________________________ ⚖️ Base Case Scenario Expect shallow pullbacks into $4,220–$4,140 to be bought, followed by rotation back into the $4,260–$4,300 resistance stack for an ATH retest. 🚀 Breakout Trigger A sustained push/acceptance > ~$4,280 unlocks $4,300 → $4,350, with room toward $4,380–$4,420 if momentum persists. 💡 Market Drivers • Fed cut expectations into late Oct(lower real yields = gold tailwind • USD softness / DXY sub-100 tone supports metals • Ongoing central-bank bullion demand; ETF inflows stabilizing • Geopolitics & trade/tariff headlines keeping safety bids active 🔓 Bull / Bear Trigger Lines • Bullish above: $4,140–$4,200 • Bearish below: $4,100–$4,050 risk expands under $4,000 🧭 Strategy Accumulate dips above $4,140–$4,200. On breakout > $4,280, target $4,300–$4,350+. Maintain tight risk under stepped supports; invalidate momentum below $4,050–$4,000. ________________________________________
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ProjectSyndicate
76
( Gold Protocol ) Bullish & Bearish Reversal Detected➕ Bearish Reversal " 4115 Zone ➕ Bullish Reversal : 3990 🩸 Volume Surge Confirmed — Institutional buyers active 🩸 Session Aligned — Timing matches liquidity expansion window 🩸 Cluster Shield Formed — Demand imbalance verified 🩸 Delta Shift Positive — Accumulation phase confirmed 🩸 POC Retest Completed — Weak shorts absorbed 🩸 Structure Break Pending — Bullish intention verified Logic: This is engineered reversal, not prediction. 💯 Objective: Controlled execution with minimal drawdown.
TVC:GOLD
by Path_Of_Hanzo
41
Gold Bull Market Outlook And Targets: 5000 USD/7500 USDGold Bull Markets Long Term Overview and 2025 Market Update ________________________________________ 🌊 Five-Wave Roadmap — Targets & Timing • Wave 1 (2016–2020): From ~$1,050–1,200 to the COVID-era spike; established secular up-trend. • Wave 2 (2020–2022): Consolidation/corrective pullback (~–20%). • Wave 3 (2023–2025/26): Power leg to ATHs (current). Room to extend toward $4,200–$4,500 on flow surges before pausing. • Wave 4 (2026, base case): Re-accumulation/consolidation ~12 months; likely range-bound –10% to –15% from the Wave-3 peak as institutional buying digests gains. • Wave 5 (2027–2030/32): Final thrust to the cycle’s terminal zone: – First objective: $5,000–$5,500 (consistent with 2026 Street “bull wave” scenarios). – Terminal extension: $7,500–$8,000 by 2030–2032 (our desk’s stretch path if real yields stay muted, official-sector demand persists, and private capital rotation broadens). Why Wave-4 can last ~12 months: prior secular bulls often paused for a full year near major breakouts while flows “change hands.” Expect lower realized vol, fading retail FOMO, and steady official accumulation to define the tape. 📈 Top 10 Stats of the Current Bull 2025 1. Price & ATHs: Spot ~$3.75–$3.79k; fresh ATH $3,790.82 on Sep 23, 2025. 2. 2025 YTD: Roughly +40–43% YTD 3. Central Banks: 1,045 t added in 2024 (later revised to ~1,086 t as lagged data came in). H1/Q1’25 tracking remained elevated. 4. ETF Flows: Back-to-back strong quarters; Q2’25 total demand 1,249 t, value US$132bn (+45% y/y) with ETFs instrumental. 5. Gold vs Equities: Gold ≈+40% vs S&P 500 ≈+13% total return YTD. 6. Jewelry Demand: Tonnage softened as prices surged; value at records (2024 down y/y; weakness persisted into H1’25). 7. Gold–Silver Ratio: ~85–88 (silver torque improving as it pushes into the mid-$40s). 8. Macro Link: Safe-haven bid + expected policy easing keep real-yield headwinds contained. 9. Technical: Confirmed 13-yr cup-and-handle breakout (Mar ’24) underpinning trend. 10. Street Forecasts: GS baseline $4,000 by mid-’26; bulled-up houses (HSBC/BofA) flag $4.9–$5.0k potential into 2026 if private/ETF rotation persists. • This cycle is different: record central-bank buying + renewed ETF inflows + lower real rates = powerful tailwind. • Price: Gold notched fresh ATHs this month (up to $3,790.82). 2025 is shaping up as the strongest year since the late 1970s. • Relative: Gold is crushing equities YTD (≈+40% vs S&P 500 ≈+13% total return). • Setup: A 13-year “cup-and-handle” breakout in 2024 kick-started the move. • Outlook: Street base cases cluster near $4,000 by mid-’26; several houses now publish $4,900–$5,000 stretch targets into 2026 as flows accelerate. ________________________________________ 🏆 Historic Gold Bull Markets — Timeline & Stats 1. 1968–1980 “Super Bull” • Start/End: ~$35 → $850 (Jan 1980) • Gain: ~2,330% • Drivers: End of Bretton Woods, oil shocks, double-digit inflation, geopolitical stress. • Drawdown: ~–45% (1974–1976) before the final blow-off run. 2. 1999–2011/12 • Start/Peak: ~$252 (1999) → ~$1,920 (2011–12) • Gain: ~650% • Drivers: Commodities supercycle, EM demand, USD weakness, GFC safe-haven bid. 3. 2016/2018–Present (The “CB-Led” Cycle) • Start Zone: $1,050–$1,200 → New ATH $3,790 (Sep 2025) • Gain: ~215–260% (depending on 2016 vs 2018 anchor) • Drivers: Record central-bank accumulation, sticky inflation/low real rates, geopolitics; 2024 13-yr base breakout. ________________________________________ 📊 At-A-Glance Comparison (Updated 2025) Metric | 1968–80 Super Bull | 1999–2012 | 2016/18–2025 Current 🚀 Total Gain | ~2,330% | ~650% | ~215–260% (so far) ⏲️ Duration | 12 yrs | 13 yrs | 7–9 yrs (ongoing) 💔 Max Drawdown | ~–45% (’74–’76) | ~–30% (’08) | ~–20% (2022) 🏦 Main Buyer | Retail/Europe | Funds/EM | Central Banks 🏛️ Pattern | Secular parabolic | Cyclical ramps | 13-yr base → breakout (’24) Notes: current-cycle characteristics validated by WGC demand trends & the 2024 technical breakout. ________________________________________ ________________________________________ ________________________________________ 🔄 What Makes This Bull Different 2025 Edition • 🏦 Central-Bank Dominance — Third consecutive 1k+ tonne year in 2024; 2025 is still tracking strong on a run-rate basis. This “sticky” demand is from price-insensitive reserve managers. • ⚡ Faster Recoveries — Drawdowns are shallower/shorter vs the 1970s analog, consistent with a structural rather than speculative buyer base. • 📈 Coexisting With Risk Assets — ATHs with equities positive YTD = macro hedge + diversification bid, not just “panic buying.” • 📐 Structural Breakout — 13-yr base cleared in 2024; market now in multi-year price discovery. ________________________________________ 🎯 Strategy Ideas 2025 & Beyond • Buy/Hold on Dips: Stagger entries (DCA) into physical (allocated), ETFs (e.g., GLD/IAU), and quality miners/royalties. • Prefer Physical/Allocated where counterparty risk matters; use ETFs for liquidity and tactical tilts. Satellite/Leverage • Silver & GSR Mean-Reversion: With GSR ~85–88, silver historically offers torque in up-legs. Pair with high-quality silver miners. • Factor Tilt in Miners: Prioritize low AISC, strong balance sheets, reserve growth, rule-of-law jurisdictions; emphasize free-cash-flow yield and disciplined capex. Risk-Management • Define max drawdown per sleeve; pre-plan trims near parabolic extensions or if macro invalidates (e.g., real-yield spike). • Use options overlays (collars on miners; long-dated calls on physical proxies) to shape payoff in Wave-3 late innings and Wave-4 digestion. ________________________________________ 🧪 Reality Check: What Could Invalidate the Bull? • Real yields + USD rip higher (sustained) → compress gold’s opportunity cost. • Official-sector buying stalls (policy or FX-reserve shifts) → removes the anchor bid. • Growth re-acceleration + faster-than-expected disinflation → weaker safe-haven + fewer rate cuts. • Technical break: a persistent move below ~$3,600–3,700 would question Wave-3 extension and pull forward Wave-4. ________________________________________ 🧭 Quick Reference Tables 🧾 Summary: Historic vs Current Feature | 1968–80 | 1999–2012 | 2016/18–2025 Total Gain | ~2,330% | ~650% | ~215–260% Duration | 12 yrs | 13 yrs | 7–9 yrs (ongoing) Correction | ~–45% | ~–30% | ~–20% (’22) Main Buyer | Retail/Europe | Funds/EM | Central Banks Pattern | Parabolic | Cyclical | Cup & Handle → Secular 🧩 “If-This-Then-That” Playbook • If real yields fall & CB buying persists → Ride trend / add on consolidations. • If USD + real yields jump → Trim beta, keep core hedge. • If GSR stays >80 with silver momentum → Overweight silver sleeve for torque. ________________________________________ 🔚 Key Takeaways Updated • Twin pillars: relentless official-sector demand + 2024 structural breakout. • Base case: Street ~$3.7–4.0k by mid-’26 with upside to $4.5–5.0k on accelerated private/ETF rotation. • Roadmap: Extend Wave-3 → Wave-4 re-accumulation (~12 months) → Wave-5 to $5,000–$5,500, then $7,500–$8,000 by 2030–2032 under favorable macro/flow dynamics. • Operating stance: keep core, add on dips/sideways phases, manage beta and drawdowns proactively.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ProjectSyndicate
48
XAUUSD: Will Gold Continue to Rise or Fall?👋Hello everyone, what do you think about OANDA:XAUUSD ? As of writing, gold is trading around $4115, partially recovering from the sharp decline of the past few days. To explain the steep drop in gold prices on Tuesday, there’s no need for any conspiracy theories — the previous meteoric rise was already a big enough reason. Earlier, gold reached extremely high levels, and the rally had matured; any irrational market could fall without a clear reason. Despite this, while gold remains under technical selling pressure after the shock, the market is holding the initial support level above $4,000. After this volatility, it may take longer than expected for precious metals to regain stability. However, it’s still too early to conclude whether this is a "market crash" or just a short-term correction. From a technical perspective, gold is reacting well to the $4000 support I had previously anticipated . If it can hold, the next challenge to watch will be the first resistance zone around $4200 - $4230. As long as the support holds, I’m still betting on an upward trend. What about you? What do you think about gold prices? Will it continue to rise or fall? 💬Leave your thoughts in the comments below!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Kevinn_Nguyen
46
Gold’s recent rollercoaster- A Lifetime of LessonsThere are plenty of lessons to take from Gold’s recent rollercoaster — lessons about volatility, psychology, and how easily conviction can turn into chaos. But before we get into technicalities, let’s look at what really happened… and what it means for us as traders. ________________________________________ 1️⃣ The Illusion of Strength When Gold went straight from 4000 to 4400 in just a few days, the move looked unstoppable. Social media was full of confidence — “China is buying”, “5k incoming”, “This is the new era for Gold.” But markets don’t move in straight lines forever. Every parabolic rise eventually collapses under its own weight. And when it does, it doesn’t just destroy buy positions — it destroys false convictions. The first lesson? Moves that look too strong to fade are usually too weak to sustain. ________________________________________ 2️⃣ Confidence Can Be Expensive Believing too much in one direction — especially when price already exploded (see the rise from 3300 to 4k in one month) — is one of the fastest ways to lose money. A trader who bought at 4350 because he was “sure” China would keep buying quickly learned how expensive “sure” can be. The market doesn’t reward conviction. It rewards discipline, flexibility, and risk control. Confidence without control is just another form of gambling. ________________________________________ 3️⃣ Trading ≠ Investing This move also reminded everyone of a fundamental truth: You are not China. China buys Gold as a store of value, not as a speculative trade. They bought at 2500, 3k, 3.5k and 4400 — not to take profit in two days, but to build long-term reserves. You, as a trader, operate in a completely different universe. Mixing trading logic with investment narratives is a silent killer. You might tell yourself, “If China buys, I’m safe.” But China doesn’t use a stop loss and don't trade in margin (use laverage),— YOU DO. If you don’t understand the difference, better stay on the sidelines and watch. At least you won’t lose money while learning the hard way. And if you want a more down-to-earth comparison — my mother started buying Gold in the early ’70s, as a store of value through the communist period. She bought through the gold bubble of the late 1970s, bought at the bottom afterward, continued through the 1990s, and kept doing it until she retired in 2005. She wasn’t trading — she was preserving value. That’s what investing is. What we do here, every day, is something entirely different. ________________________________________ 4️⃣ Right vs. Wrong? It’s Not About That And now that we’ve made the distinction between investing and trading clear,we must also understand something even more important: Trading is not about being right or wrong — it’s about timing, money management, and perspective. Let’s take a few real examples from last few day's chaos: • On Friday, if you bought at 4275 and the price spiked overnight, you could’ve closed with 1000 pips profit — you were “right.” • But if someone else sold at 4370 during that same night, they were also “right,” catching the drop. • If you had bought the dip from the all-time high, around 4300, you’d likely be down 1000 pips in drawdown quickly same Friday — and let’s be honest, who really holds that? • If you sold at 4300 on Monday near resistance, you would have been stopped out as price revisited the ATH — even though your direction was correct eventually. • Likewise, if you bought yesterday at 4200 during the drop, you’d have been liquidated on the next 2000-pip fall. And if Gold now rises again to 4400 or even 5000 — how does that help you? Obviously, these are illustrative examples, just to express the point — not literal trades. And for those who commented under previous posts — either out of boredom or the need to contradict — I have two things to say: 1️⃣ If you don’t understand what I just explained, you have no business being in trading. 2️⃣ If you do understand but still feel the urge to argue, your comment is nothing more than trolling and emotional projection. Because this isn’t about numbers or ego — it’s about understanding how the market really works, beyond the noise and the narratives. ________________________________________ 5️⃣ The Real Lesson The 4000–4400 move wasn’t just a chart pattern. It was a psychological test — a reminder that the market exists to expose overconfidence. When something looks “certain,” that’s usually when it’s most dangerous. In trading, survival matters more than prediction. And sometimes, the smartest trade is no trade at all. ________________________________________ 6️⃣ Final Thoughts Gold’s rollercoaster taught more than a dozen books on trading psychology ever could. It reminded us that: • Parabolic moves end violently. • Overconfidence without a stop loss is suicide. • You’re not an investor — you’re a trader. • Being “right” means nothing without timing. • And sometimes, the best position is to stay out. The market didn’t just move from 4000 to 4400 and back. It moved through the hearts and minds of every trader watching it —and left behind a few lessons worth remembering for a lifetime.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Mihai_Iacob
28
Gold - The bullrun is over today!💰Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) creates a massive top: 🔎Analysis summary: Starting all the way back in 2015, Gold created a major rounding bottom pattern. After the breakout, Gold started its major bullrun, rallying about +300% over the past couple of years. But after this rally, Gold is now showing clear signs of a serious top formation. 📝Levels to watch: $4,000 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
TVC:GOLDShort
by SwingTraderPhilTV
21
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on GOLD? Gold has seen a sharp and powerful rally over the past few weeks and continues to trade in a bullish structure. From a fundamental perspective, there are still no major signs of weakness, as macro factors continue to support gold’s long-term uptrend. However, from a technical standpoint, a short-term correction appears increasingly likely. On the 4-hour chart, gold has recently broken its ascending trendline and is now trading below a key resistance zone. If price pulls back to retest the broken trendline and then breaks below the 4180 support level, we could see a deeper move toward the next support zone. Volatility in gold has been extremely high in recent days, with sharp intraday swings. It’s advisable to avoid aggressive entries at the moment and wait for clearer confirmation signals before taking new positions. Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by HAMED_AZ
23
Gold Extends Its 8-Week Winning Streak👋Hello everyone, what are your thoughts on OANDA:XAUUSD ? Over the past week, gold prices climbed close to the $4,400 mark before pulling back sharply and closing the week around $4,250, up $223 from the weekly open of $4,022 — nearly a 6% gain, marking the eighth consecutive week of growth. Despite the volatility, Main Street investors remain confident that the precious metal will continue to rise this week. Trade tensions and geopolitical uncertainties have been the key drivers supporting gold’s rally. Meanwhile, the Fed’s rate cut and the U.S. government shutdown have strengthened the dollar while simultaneously providing support for gold prices. At the time of writing, gold is fluctuating around $4,255, showing little change since the start of the session. Overall, the bullish trend remains intact, and as long as the confluence zone holds, buying opportunities are still favored. What about you — what’s your outlook on XAUUSD? 💬Share your thoughts in the comments below, and let’s discuss! Good luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Kevinn_Nguyen
35
Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Analysis: Pullback From Record HighsThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous weekly idea . OANDA:XAUUSD market continues to navigate through considerable volatility as it pulls back from the recent spike that tested zone below the $4,400 resistance zone. After achieving a new all-time high, the metal is now experiencing natural selling pressure and technical correction, bringing some gravitational force into the equation. Despite this near-term weakness, the underlying trend structure remains constructively bullish, suggesting any substantial decline could present attractive entry opportunities for those seeking value. The technical landscape reveals gold trading within a well-defined upward channel that has guided the rally since late September. The recent rejection from resistance has brought price action back toward the mid-channel area around $4,200, which aligns with the previous Monday high below and represents a crucial inflection, optimal entry point. The triangle pattern that formed during the consolidation phase earlier in the trend provided the springboard for the explosive breakout, and now the market may repeat this pattern, creating continuation formation. The key support zone sits at $4,130-$4,135, and holding above this level would keep the bullish structure intact for another potential test of $4,400 and beyond toward the $4,500 projection zone. However, failure to hold could trigger deeper correction toward the lower channel boundary near $4,000 or even the stronger support at $3,730-$3,780, which would actually offer more compelling risk-reward for strategic accumulation. The coming week will clarify whether this represents healthy digestion or something more corrective in nature. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
38
Gold: Watch for a corrective pullback toward 4,230Price was in a strong bullish trend. However, momentum started to fade as price created a double top pattern, a classic signal of buyer exhaustion. After the second top, sellers stepped in aggressively, breaking below the neckline, confirming a shift in market structure from bullish to bearish. This breakdown accelerated as trapped buyers began exiting their positions, fueling a sharp decline. From here, a short-term bullish pullback may develop, buyers could push price back toward the 4,230, aligning with the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TrendDiva
22
Gold Holds Above the Cloud – Bulls Wait for Confirmation PushHello everyone, Gold continues to maintain a constructive structure after its strong recovery from the 4,100 USD zone, currently trading around 4,345 USD/oz on the H4 chart. Technically, the bullish structure remains intact as previous Fair Value Gaps (FVG) below price are still unfilled and price continues to respect the upper boundary of the Ichimoku cloud (Kumo). As long as price stays above 4,300 USD, upside potential toward 4,400–4,450 USD remains valid. However, a healthy retest toward 4,200–4,100 USD (overlapping FVG + lower Kumo boundary) should not be ruled out as part of liquidity collection. On the macro side, fundamentals continue to support the bullish bias. Reuters reported gold gained over 2% in the latest session as markets increased bets on Fed rate cuts amid cooling economic signals in the US. Concerns over a potential US government shutdown also boosted demand for safe-haven assets. HSBC recently raised its gold forecast for 2025–2026, citing strong central bank accumulation, while Goldman Sachs emphasised that this rally is driven by genuine capital flows—not emotional fear. Financial Times, however, noted that the “debasement trade” effect (gold rising strongly due to a weaker USD) has yet to fully ignite, suggesting the uptrend still has room to extend. I remain bullish overall. Above 4,300 USD, buying pullbacks remains my preferred strategy, targeting 4,400–4,450 USD initially and potentially 4,500 USD if momentum strengthens. A dip towards 4,200 USD would not negate the trend—instead, it would provide a better accumulation opportunity. If trading this setup, I would protect long positions with a stop-loss below 4,200 USD given upcoming high-impact events such as US GDP, CPI and Fed speeches. In short, gold continues to follow a medium-term uptrend. Rather than chasing tops, it is wiser to wait patiently for clean entry points and trade with the trend, not against it.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EmmaChartist
36
Gold 1H – Bullish Rebound After Strong Correction🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Market Context Gold is attempting to rebound near $4,320 after a sharp correction earlier this week, as traders weigh the recent pullback in U.S. Treasury yields and renewed expectations of a dovish Federal Reserve tone. Markets are now positioning ahead of key U.S. housing and manufacturing data, which could shape short-term sentiment for both the dollar and real yields. • Softer economic numbers may reinforce the case for policy easing in early 2026, supporting gold’s safe-haven appeal. • Conversely, stronger data could momentarily pressure XAUUSD, yet the broader uptrend remains intact amid central-bank accumulation and geopolitical tension. Expect a liquidity-driven environment, with price potentially sweeping lower before reclaiming bullish momentum. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style) • Structure: Overall bias remains bullish following consecutive Breaks of Structure (BOS) and a confirmed Change of Character (ChoCH) indicating corrective retracement. • Discount Zone: The $4,270–$4,272 demand area sits within the discount zone of the recent range (swing low to 4454 high), ideal for re-accumulation. • Liquidity Sweep: Recent wicks near $4,300 suggest liquidity has been collected, potentially setting up for another bullish push. • Premium Zone: Upside liquidity clusters near $4,454–$4,452, aligning with a premium supply area where short-term selling may appear. 🔴 Sell Setup • Entry: 4454 – 4452 • Stop-Loss: 4463 • Take-Profit Targets: 4400 → 4330 🟢 Buy Setup • Entry: 4270 – 4272 • Stop-Loss: 4260 • Take-Profit Targets: 4340 → 4380 → 4450 + ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Wait for M15 BOS/ChoCH confirmation before triggering entries. • Avoid entries during high-volatility windows around U.S. data releases. • Secure partial profits near intermediate liquidity zones, trail stops after BOS confirmation. ✅ Summary Gold maintains a bullish re-accumulation structure following a healthy correction. A retest into the discount zone around $4,270 offers potential long entries targeting the premium zone near $4,450+. Only a decisive break below $4,260 would invalidate the intraday bullish scenario. FOLLOW RYAN_TITANTRADER for more SMC trading insights ⚡
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
27
Gold Price in Free Fall👋Hello everyone, let’s take a look at OANDA:XAUUSD and see what’s happening! At the time of writing, the precious metal continues to move within a downward wave. At one point, gold dropped close to the $4,000 mark, down more than $350 compared to the same time in the previous session — a decline of nearly 5%. This marks the sharpest drop after nine consecutive weeks of gains. The main reasons behind this move are the strengthening U.S. dollar, profit-taking pressure, and diminishing caution as U.S.–China trade tensions show signs of easing. In addition, optimism over the potential reopening of the U.S. government, reduced political uncertainty, and improving trade sentiment have lessened investors’ urgent demand for safe-haven assets like gold. From a technical perspective: Gold had previously fallen after forming a double-top pattern, breaking through several key support levels. It is now reacting around $4,100, gaining temporary momentum from the $4,000 support zone. In the short term, I expect a minor rebound before the downtrend may resume, but from a medium to long-term view, I remain optimistic, supported by expectations that the Fed will soon ease monetary policy, Trump’s tariff measures, and continued gold buying by central banks. What about you — how do you see gold’s next move today? 💬Share your thoughts in the comments below. Good luck and happy trading!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Kevinn_Nguyen
39
GOLD Analysis: Watching for Reaction Near Buyer ZoneHello traders, I want to share with you my opinion about Gold. The market for Gold has been in a strong bullish trend for quite some time, forming a clear upward channel structure. Each impulse has been followed by a short consolidation phase (range), allowing the market to gather liquidity for the next push higher. However, after reaching the key Resistance Level near 4368, the price entered a Seller Zone where heavy supply emerged, triggering a sharp correction. This move broke the short-term market structure and pushed the price down towards the Buyer Zone — an important support area that previously acted as a base for a strong rally. Currently, Gold is trading near the bottom of a descending correction channel, approaching a crucial decision point. I expect the market to make a small corrective move to retest the Resistance Line of this channel, and if rejection follows, it could open the way for another bearish leg toward my TP around 4020. From a broader perspective, this decline still looks like a healthy correction within a major uptrend, so I’ll be watching closely how the price reacts inside the Buyer Zone — it might offer great opportunities for the next bullish impulse later on. Thank you for reading! Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by LegionQ8
16
GOLD → Fundamental background boosts interest FX:XAUUSD is recovering after a correction, trading in the range of 4060-4120 amid geopolitical tensions and risks of an escalating trade war. Key supporting factors: New threats from the US against China, which is responding with additional measures. Trump imposed sanctions against Russian oil companies, accusing Moscow of lack of progress on Ukraine. US inflation data (CPI) on Friday may cause volatility, although the Fed's rate cut next week is likely already priced in. The meeting between Trump and Xi Jinping next week remains uncertain. Gold remains a safe haven, but near-term dynamics depend on the balance between dollar strength and geopolitical risks. Resistance levels: 4116, 4163, 4200 Support levels: 4082, 4060, 4002 A retest of support at 4082-4060, as well as a breakout of resistance at 4116, could trigger a bullish reaction—a rise to the resistance level or imbalance zones. Against the backdrop of the escalating trade war, gold is becoming attractive again. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
19
The Art of the Stop Hunt Trading. Hey traders In this post, you’ll learn how to the liquidity is engendered and how to avoid being stop hunted and actually use stop hunts to your advantage 📌If you placing your stop loss below the level before it was visited to grab the liquidity, you will become the liquidity. In the fact market makers doesn't care about your or mine stop loss, its too small money. But they come there because they have to in order to move the market. 📌 Every trader has seen it happen: you take a position at the “obvious” level, only to get stopped out by a quick wick — and then the market runs exactly where you expected. That wasn’t bad luck. That was stop hunt in other words liquidity grab ‼️ Don't be a liquidity Price doesn’t move randomly inside ranges. It hunts liquidity at the edges. • Retail trap: Traders pile orders right at the Double top / bottoms and ranges • Smart money: Hunt's double top / bottoms and ranges starting the move. 📌 Double Top / Double bottom sometimes price leave this formation, sometime even triple top / Bottom. It's on purpose and its telling us price will go there again, Im using these as the targets. Traders still think that if price rejected somewhere for few times that its strong level and its safe to put stop loss above or below and thats the problem. As many traders thinks this way its create a huge stop loss cluster = Liquidity zone which is attractive for the market makers. ‼️ If you see a double top / bottom then never enter before price dip in to it. Not even when there is clear trend line break its trap. Wait , you will get much sharper and better risk reward trade. If a pivot level gets tapped multiple times, it's on purpose. Smart money are creating illusion of strong support / Resistance so they cant manipulate price above / bellow where they grab the liquidity and reverse the market. 🧪 Example 1 - Triple top stop hunt, if you enter before you would serve as liqudity 🧪 Example 2 - Triple top stop hunt, even if you are right with the direction, not eating for the stop hunt first will ruin your trade 🧪 Example 3 - Double top stop hunt - he was nice trend line break which attracted more sellers and as you can see they been right with the direction but setting your stop loss just right above double top is not working 🧪 Example 4 - market makers used triple top used to offload positions above this liquidity level. 💊 Les informed traders trades patterns like : Double bottom, Double top and they put the stop losses above the range - This creates a Liquidity cluster which smart money needs to execute their orders. They will come for it before the real move happen. 🧩 How to use this information for your advantage train your eyes and focus on the double tops / bottoms thats where the liquidity mostly will be resting. Always wait for the stop hunt after that is your time enter the market. Im looking for the trades always after the stop hunt in other words range manipulation. Let's check few ideas bellow. 🧪 EURUSD - after double top liquidity manipulated Im targeting opposing double bottom liquidity. 🔗 Click the picture to see price action development 👇https://www.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/OI08qVGB-EURUSD-I-Weekly-Range-I-Manipulation-Time-for-pullback/ 🧪 DOLLAR - Weekly Range Low liquidity was taken - now targeting double top liquidity as easy target. 🔗 Click the picture to see price action development 👇 🧪 USDCHF - Double bottom liquidity taken, targeting opposing side 🔗 Click the picture to see price action development 👇https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USDCHF/2AbnD2TR-USDCHF-I-Daily-CLS-range-I-Key-Level-FVG-I-HTF-CLS/ 🧪 DOGE - Liquidity take and targeting opposing range. 🔗 Click the picture to see price action development This is happening over and over again across all assets 👉Once you see it you cant unsee it. Focus on the stop hunts and you will see the market structure differently. Not like higher highs, higher lows and vice versa but rather something like this. 📌 Uptrend Price is in a bullish move and is consistently breaking abovehighs and rejecting below lows. (Sweeping liquidity) - heading to HTF liqudity 📌 Downtrend Price is in a bearish move and is consistently breaking below lows and rejecting above highs.(Sweeping liquidity) - heading to HTF range liquidity whole new world will open for you. You will be entering only after stop hunts. ⭐ I have whole strategy build on that click the picture below for more inspiration and the most powerful thing is that price is fractal what you just learned in the post above is possible to scale down. So for example you analyze Monthly range manipulation and you have opposing target. Its target for the next few weeks until the price reaches the monthly target and if you scale down to Daily then you trade Daily ranges in the Monthly range sequence. 📌 Bullish LTF Range within HTF Range Analyze HTF range and define models, then drop it to your TF and trade your ranges with the HTF range. Always follow the same process only on the LTF - Lower timeframe. 📌BearishLTF Range within HTF Range Analyze HTF range and define models, then drop it to your TF and trade your ranges with the HTF range. Always follow the same process only on the LTF - Lower timeframe. Shift from being the exit liquidity to being the trader who patiently waits, confirms, and executes with precision. 🩸 Spot the Liquidity. 🩸 Wait for stop hunt. 🩸 Trade with intention. Don't trust me and check this on your chart find the true. David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by David_Perk
31