Title: Gold Pullback to Key Fibonacci Zone — Is $3900 the BottomAfter a 10% correction, gold is now pulling back toward the $4150–$4200 Fibonacci retracement zone.
If the price extends to around $4300, it could signal that the recent low near $3900 was the true bottom and that the bullish structure is recovering.
The next few candles will confirm whether this move is just a technical pullback or the start of a new uptrend.
As long as the daily RSI stays above 50, the bullish trend remains valid.
(This post is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.)
#Gold #XAUUSD #Trading #Markets #Investing
Trade ideas
Does gold correct?
Hi my dears
After a good bullish rally in gold, we should probably see a decline and correction in gold, which of course is consistent with the fundamental news we hear about the balanced relationship between the US and China. Therefore, we should look for more sales entries.
Whenever the price of gold closes below the blue line, there is a possibility of reaching the specified prices, so we should keep an eye on the chart and open a sell trade after the specified condition is activated.
XAUUSD – Gold Eyes a Breakout Above $4,030: Momentum Still Build🟢 XAUUSD | Gold Breakout Setup – Educational Analysis
Gold continues to show constructive price action following sustained bullish momentum across intraday timeframes. After a healthy consolidation phase, the market is now testing a critical resistance zone around $4,030.
A clean breakout and confirmed 1H close above $4,030 would signal renewed strength, aligning with the broader bullish structure observed on higher timeframes (4H & Daily).
🔹 Technical Outlook
The current structure suggests the potential for continuation toward higher liquidity zones if the breakout holds.
Sustained trading above $4,030 would confirm buyer control, invalidating the short-term correction phase.
📈 Trade Plan (Educational Setup)
Entry (Buy Stop): $4,030
Stop Loss (SL): $4,000
Take Profit Targets (TP):
TP1 → $4,060
TP2 → $4,090
TP3 → $4,120
TP4 → $4,150
TP5 → $4,180
TP6 → $4,210
💡 Analyst’s Commentary
This setup aims to capture the potential breakout continuation, with risk contained below the $4,000 psychological support.
Momentum confirmation on H1 and H4 closes will be key for trade validation.
Traders may consider partial profit-taking along the way and trailing stops to secure gains.
⚖️ Risk/Reward: ≈ 1 : 3.5
🕓 Timeframe: H1 – Short-Term Swing
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is shared for educational and research purposes only as part of Middle East Trading Academy’s ongoing market study.
It does not constitute financial advice or an investment recommendation.
$GOLD is COOKED! Rotation into $BTC Soon!!MARKETS ARE SIGNALING RISK-ON 🔥
TVC:GOLD is so unbelievably COOKED 👨🍳
3 Black Crowes printed on the Daily, with a decisive close below the 20MA 🗡️
Waiting on the final nail in the coffin to close below the DANGER ZONE ~$3,900 where we will then see GOLD retest the 50MA along with the 50% Gann retrace $~3,750 ⚠️
I very much expect the rotation into CRYPTOCAP:BTC soon 👑
LiamTrading - XAUUSD: SCENARIO BEFORE FOMC LiamTrading - XAUUSD: SCENARIO BEFORE FOMC - $3840 Level Awaits Bottom Fishing Reaction Wave
Hello traders community,
The Gold market is showing a strong and sustainable downtrend. We are witnessing a crash after prices broke through key support zones. With the upcoming FOMC event, our strategy is to seek Buy opportunities at deep liquidity zones and continue Selling when prices recover to retest the broken trend.
📰 MACRO ANALYSIS & CASH FLOW CONTEXT
Gold is currently under dual pressure:
Downward Pressure 🔴: Optimism about the US-China trade progress has significantly weakened the demand for Gold, a safe-haven commodity. Spot Gold prices have fallen below $3950, hitting a three-week low, down about 0.78% on the day (28/10).
Short-term Support 🟢: Bets on the possibility of a Fed rate cut continue to weaken the US Dollar (USD), which is the only factor that could potentially support this precious metal.
Conclusion: This tug-of-war makes it difficult to determine the bottom. The bearish scenario remains the top priority.
📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: THE DOWNWAVE CONTINUES
Based on the H4 chart (image_5fa7fa.png):
Current Trend: The price has successfully broken through the key liquidity support zone near $3950 and is continuing its downtrend.
Current Fibonacci Level: The price is touching and reacting at the 1.618 Fibonacci zone (around $3950).
Next Level: The next level Gold is targeting will be the 2.618 Fibonacci zone (around $3840), which is a large liquidity area expected to see a strong reaction.
Main Strategy: We focus on two scenarios: Bottom fishing reaction at 3840 and continuing to Sell when the price recovers.
🎯 DETAILED TRADING PLAN (ACTION PLAN)
We have two detailed scenarios based on the current price level:
🟢 BUY Reversal Scenario
We wait for the price to hit the deep liquidity bottom zone of 3840 to execute a buy order with the expectation of a technical recovery.
Entry Zone: 3840
Stop Loss (SL): 3832 (tight SL)
Take Profit Targets (TP): TP1: $3872 | TP2: $3898 | TP3: $3925 | TP4: $3950
🔴 SELL Retest Scenario
If Gold recovers without breaking the downtrend structure:
Entry Zone: Watch for a Sell retest at $4091
Stop Loss (SL): $4099
Take Profit Targets (TP): TP1: $4065 | TP2: $4033 | TP3: $4004 | TP4: $3965
SUMMARY & DISCIPLINE (Steven's Note)
Gold is in a strong fall ahead of the FOMC, with significant volatility expected. Capturing deep Fibonacci and Liquidity zones is key.
Note: Always adhere to the set Stop Loss. Capital management is the number one priority, risking only 1-2% of the account per trade.
Wishing traders a successful and disciplined new trading week!
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey everyone,
Please check out our updated Weekly Chart Route Map, featuring updated revised key levels after completion of our last long term weekly chart idea for precise level-to-level tracking.
We’ve refreshed our long-term structure on the weekly chart. Price action recently rejected the 4294 level and is now range-bound between 4284 (resistance) and 4059 (support). This consolidation aligns with a detachment from the EMA5, highlighted on the chart with a circle. Even if a full detachment doesn’t materialize, a partial (halfway) correction remains the more probable scenario.
To determine the next directional move, we’ll need a decisive test and break of either boundary level. On the broader horizon, 3006 stands as the long-range pivotal swing zone, which may come into play if a major correction unfolds.
🔹 Note: The key distinction between a retracement range and a swing range is that swing ranges typically produce larger bounces and wider price reactions compared to standard retracement ranges.
We’ll continue to update this outlook throughout the week as the structure develops. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold’s recent rollercoaster- A Lifetime of LessonsThere are plenty of lessons to take from Gold’s recent rollercoaster — lessons about volatility, psychology, and how easily conviction can turn into chaos.
But before we get into technicalities, let’s look at what really happened… and what it means for us as traders.
________________________________________
1️⃣ The Illusion of Strength
When Gold went straight from 4000 to 4400 in just a few days, the move looked unstoppable.
Social media was full of confidence — “China is buying”, “5k incoming”, “This is the new era for Gold.”
But markets don’t move in straight lines forever.
Every parabolic rise eventually collapses under its own weight.
And when it does, it doesn’t just destroy buy positions — it destroys false convictions.
The first lesson?
Moves that look too strong to fade are usually too weak to sustain.
________________________________________
2️⃣ Confidence Can Be Expensive
Believing too much in one direction — especially when price already exploded (see the rise from 3300 to 4k in one month) — is one of the fastest ways to lose money.
A trader who bought at 4350 because he was “sure” China would keep buying quickly learned how expensive “sure” can be.
The market doesn’t reward conviction.
It rewards discipline, flexibility, and risk control.
Confidence without control is just another form of gambling.
________________________________________
3️⃣ Trading ≠ Investing
This move also reminded everyone of a fundamental truth:
You are not China.
China buys Gold as a store of value, not as a speculative trade.
They bought at 2500, 3k, 3.5k and 4400 — not to take profit in two days, but to build long-term reserves.
You, as a trader, operate in a completely different universe.
Mixing trading logic with investment narratives is a silent killer.
You might tell yourself, “If China buys, I’m safe.”
But China doesn’t use a stop loss and don't trade in margin (use laverage),— YOU DO.
If you don’t understand the difference, better stay on the sidelines and watch.
At least you won’t lose money while learning the hard way.
And if you want a more down-to-earth comparison — my mother started buying Gold in the early ’70s, as a store of value through the communist period.
She bought through the gold bubble of the late 1970s, bought at the bottom afterward, continued through the 1990s, and kept doing it until she retired in 2005.
She wasn’t trading — she was preserving value.
That’s what investing is.
What we do here, every day, is something entirely different.
________________________________________
4️⃣ Right vs. Wrong? It’s Not About That
And now that we’ve made the distinction between investing and trading clear,we must also understand something even more important:
Trading is not about being right or wrong — it’s about timing, money management, and perspective.
Let’s take a few real examples from last few day's chaos:
• On Friday, if you bought at 4275 and the price spiked overnight, you could’ve closed with 1000 pips profit — you were “right.”
• But if someone else sold at 4370 during that same night, they were also “right,” catching the drop.
• If you had bought the dip from the all-time high, around 4300, you’d likely be down 1000 pips in drawdown quickly same Friday — and let’s be honest, who really holds that?
• If you sold at 4300 on Monday near resistance, you would have been stopped out as price revisited the ATH — even though your direction was correct eventually.
• Likewise, if you bought yesterday at 4200 during the drop, you’d have been liquidated on the next 2000-pip fall. And if Gold now rises again to 4400 or even 5000 — how does that help you?
Obviously, these are illustrative examples, just to express the point — not literal trades.
And for those who commented under previous posts — either out of boredom or the need to contradict — I have two things to say:
1️⃣ If you don’t understand what I just explained, you have no business being in trading.
2️⃣ If you do understand but still feel the urge to argue, your comment is nothing more than trolling and emotional projection.
Because this isn’t about numbers or ego — it’s about understanding how the market really works, beyond the noise and the narratives.
________________________________________
5️⃣ The Real Lesson
The 4000–4400 move wasn’t just a chart pattern.
It was a psychological test — a reminder that the market exists to expose overconfidence.
When something looks “certain,” that’s usually when it’s most dangerous.
In trading, survival matters more than prediction.
And sometimes, the smartest trade is no trade at all.
________________________________________
6️⃣ Final Thoughts
Gold’s rollercoaster taught more than a dozen books on trading psychology ever could.
It reminded us that:
• Parabolic moves end violently.
• Overconfidence without a stop loss is suicide.
• You’re not an investor — you’re a trader.
• Being “right” means nothing without timing.
• And sometimes, the best position is to stay out.
The market didn’t just move from 4000 to 4400 and back.
It moved through the hearts and minds of every trader watching it —and left behind a few lessons worth remembering for a lifetime.
Gold 1H – Bearish Reaction After Consecutive Gains🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
After several sessions of steady gains, gold is showing signs of exhaustion as U.S. Treasury yields stabilize and traders reassess the Federal Reserve’s next move.
The market’s focus today is on U.S. housing data and Fed officials’ remarks, which could shape expectations for the December policy outlook.
• A hawkish tone from policymakers may strengthen the dollar and pressure gold lower.
• Conversely, softer remarks could briefly trigger buying around key discount zones, but the overall tone remains corrective after the recent rally.
Market liquidity is concentrated near the $4,230 area — where price may tap into unmitigated supply before continuing its bearish leg.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style)
• Structure: The overall bias has shifted bearish following consecutive ChoCH and BOS formations.
• Premium Zone: The 4,230–4,228 area aligns with an H1 order block and previous liquidity pool — a prime zone for short re-entry.
• Liquidity Sweep: The recent upside push toward 4,230 may sweep late buyers before the next bearish leg unfolds.
• Discount Zone: Short-term liquidity may rest around 4,080–4,100, which aligns with previous sell-side imbalance (SSI) and acts as an intraday reaction zone.
🔴 Sell Setup
• Entry: 4,230 – 4,228
• Stop-Loss: 4,240
• Take-Profit Targets: 4,100 → 4,080 → 4,050+
🟢 Buy Scalp Setup (Short-Term Countermove)
• Entry: 4,081 – 4,083
• Stop-Loss: 4,074
• Take-Profit Targets: 4,100 → 4,115
(Only valid if liquidity sweep confirms reaction within discount zone)
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Confirm M15 BOS/ChoCH before entry — avoid blind orders during news.
• Reduce position size for scalp entries; primary directional bias remains bearish.
• Lock partial profits near first liquidity targets and trail stops as structure confirms continuation.
✅ Summary
Gold faces near-term correction pressure after multiple bullish sessions.
The 4,230–4,228 zone offers a clean premium OB entry for continuation shorts, while reactive buyers may scalp intraday from 4,081 if liquidity sweeps occur.
Stay adaptive — today’s sentiment is short-term bearish within a larger range-bound structure.
FOLLOW RYAN_TITANTRADER for daily SMC setups ⚡
Gold Eyes 4,010 Support Ahead of CPI – Big Move Loading?Hey Traders,
In tomorrow’s trading session, we’re monitoring XAUUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 4,010 zone. Gold remains in a broader uptrend and is currently in a correction phase, approaching a key support and resistance confluence around 4,010 that aligns with the ascending trendline.
Market Focus:
All eyes are on tomorrow’s U.S. CPI release, with expectations for headline inflation at 3.0% and core at 3.1%. A softer-than-expected print could weigh on the U.S. Dollar, potentially igniting fresh momentum for GOLD to resume its bullish trend.
Next Move:
Watching price action around 4,010 closely — if CPI data confirms disinflation, we could see a strong rebound toward recent highs as safe-haven demand strengthens.
💬 What’s your take on the CPI? Are you positioning long or waiting for confirmation? Drop your thoughts below!
Trade safe,
Joe
Gold: Watch for a corrective pullback toward 4,230Price was in a strong bullish trend. However, momentum started to fade as price created a double top pattern, a classic signal of buyer exhaustion.
After the second top, sellers stepped in aggressively, breaking below the neckline, confirming a shift in market structure from bullish to bearish. This breakdown accelerated as trapped buyers began exiting their positions, fueling a sharp decline.
From here, a short-term bullish pullback may develop, buyers could push price back toward the 4,230, aligning with the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone.
Gold/Copper Signaling Recession & Market Super bubble!We're continuing to see extreme signals from Gold, and that should raise concerns.
Earlier, I highlighted the Gold/Oil ratio — now, I want to draw your attention to the Gold/Copper ratio:
🔗
Historically, such extreme readings in the Gold/Copper ratio have consistently preceded recessions. The only exception? A period of economic stagnation and sideways markets — not exactly a bullish outcome. See the chart from 2014 to 2016
🔗 www.tradingview.com
Quick recap:
Gold = Fear + Inflation hedge
Copper = Economic strength + Inflation signal
Oil = Similar to Copper; reflects growth and inflation expectations
These divergences aren't random — they’re warning signs of a recession & market Super Bubble that's about to POP!
These are not random fluctuations of prices. You can choose to view them as such. I get it. But from a macroeconomic perspective, this is bad JUJU!
Capitalism without failure is like religion without hell! Remember that!
Click boost, like, and subscribe! Let's get to 5,000 followers! ))
Gold forming a consolidation range What should Next?Gold prices continue to correct to the downside, forming a consolidation range near current levels. The market remains supported, but momentum is weakening as the US Dollar strengthens amid a local bullish trend.
As long as the dollar maintains its upward correction, downside pressure on gold is likely to persist. a break below the trading range support could trigger further declines toward the 4,070 4,005 zone (support area). This level may act as a potential retest zone for buyers. For now, it’s best to wait for price action to slow down near the lower boundary of the range before considering new trades — patience and confirmation are key to avoid false breaks.
You may find more datils in the chart,
Trade wisely best of Luck Buddies.
Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Supporitng.
Xauusd Focus ShortOn the XAU/USD chart, the hourly timeframe is currently in a downtrend, while the daily timeframe remains in an uptrend.
Therefore, the decline seen on the hourly chart represents a pullback within the broader daily uptrend.
Once this pullback completes, the daily trend is expected to push toward a new all-time high (ATH) before entering a longer-term correction phase.
Given this context, the current pullback could extend for several thousand points, so the focus should remain on short positions (sell setups) during this retracement phase.
XAUUSD: Final Dip Before RallyGold has completed its major 5-wave rise and is now finishing a corrective W-X-Y pattern. The recent drop looks like the final leg of this correction, meaning sellers are getting weaker. Price may show a small bounce up and then one last dip to complete the correction. After that final drop, a strong new uptrend is expected to start again. In short: correction ending soon, last dip big bullish move ahead.
XAU/USD Completing Wave Y: Final Dip Before RallyGold has completed its major 5-wave rise and is now finishing a corrective W-X-Y pattern. The recent drop looks like the final leg of this correction, meaning sellers are getting weaker. Price may show a small bounce up and then one last dip to complete the correction. After that final drop, a strong new uptrend is expected to start again. In short: correction ending soon, last dip big bullish move ahead.
Stay tuned!
@Money_Dictators
Thank you :)
Xauusd Bullish SetupThis Gold (XAU/USD) analysis presents a bullish setup on the 30-minute chart. The price is expected to rebound from the support zone around 4097, where a buy limit trade is placed. The stop loss is positioned at 4046 to manage downside risk. The analysis targets an upward move towards 4165 (first take profit), 4227 (second take profit), and a final target at 4318, indicating strong potential for a recovery and continuation of the uptrend.
Gold is Targeting #5,100.80 benchmark / Medium-termGold's Short-term: Gold reached my personal maximum (regarding Short-term of course) of almost invalidating #4,400.80 benchmark / both Short and Medium-term Buyers / investors started taking Profits and as Naturally, asset cannot only Trade in one direction, Gold dipped creating aggressive Descending Channel and is now testing the Lower Low’s pressure point. However, #4,000.80 is very strong Support zone for the fractal which won't be invalidated without serious cause and even with Short-term development (due current decline) Investors drawing capital from Gold to more riskier assets - I doubt Gold has more potential to go Lower below my Support zones on the chart regarding Short-term. The current Selling accumulation pattern on Hourly 4 chart is now on total Neutrality but attempting to break towards last week’s Lower Low's. Current Fed loan climate is Gold friendly as Gold often demonstrates resilience during early phases of Fed tightening cycles before investment flows adjust to Higher Rates. If Rates go down more aggressively, Gold will soar more (another reason why I am Bullish on Gold).
#MA50 and #MA200 observation: Keep both lines on your Weekly (#1W) chart, as they are pointers for Long-term. As Long as Gold is Trading above them, Bullish Long-term stance remains and Gold will Target upper levels.
Fundamental commentary: Gold was Trading on #1,800.80 on mid-October #2023 Year, and currently tested #4,400.80 benchmark which records one of the most aggressive rises of Gold in history. It was up almost (# +65.00%) lately / when confidence in financial system is on a decline (which is the case in current and last few Years), Gold is soaring as hedge. U.S. Dollar just had one of its weakest first halves in #50 Years, down more than (# -10.00%) against other major currencies. Massive debt (# 315 trillion globally), rising government spending and tariff regulation and impact on the markets have shaken confidence in the system world-wide. When U.S. Dollar weakens, Investors are in search of asset that feels more stable to store their money / it is always one and almost only option - Gold. In addition, Central banks have been Buying Gold in bulk / over #1,000 tons annually for the past #3-Year fractal, most since #1,967 Year which is not surprise or weird / something is going on. Part of that started with Middle East conflict escalation #2,023 Year, U.S. freezing #300 million Russian reserves in #2,022 Year, showcasing other countries that their Dollars can be shut off as political leverage.
Recapitulation: Segment which makes the almost (# +65.00%) increase on Gold unusual is that both Gold and Stock markets are both hitting record Highs at the same time. Institutions are still sitting on trillions in cash. Many are still not deciding to go "all in" on Stocks at these levels. Also on the contrary, they also don't want to lose to Inflation sitting on the sidelines / so they're parking most of the money in Gold as a temporary middle ground and that demand is helping push Gold Higher from big institutions, and also independent Investors world-wide. Even with all the questions and uncertainty right now, keep this in mind: Gold is used to protect wealth, not grow it. Gold usually spikes when confidence in the financial system drops, but it can dip just as fast once confidence returns. In #1,980 Year, Gold hit a record of #850.80 per ounce then dropped (# -50.00%) by #1,982 Year. After peaking at #1,920.80 in #2,011 Year, it took nearly a decade to recover and if full confidence returns, Gold may fall fast as mention above, however confidence for financial system is far from delivered or happening.
My personal thoughts: All Traders are well aware that I am well known Seller of the market however what made me triple my account, is switching to being a Bull in recent times as Trading against the trend is disastrous for a Trader. I do believe that even if Gold dips, near Lower Low's is maximum as illustrated on my chart and #5,100.80 benchmark is my next point of interest and my next Medium to Long-term Target. #6,100.80 - #6,200.80 represents Ultimate Top's for now and stabilization zone where another aggressive dip is possible, fuel only for Gold to soar further. I do believe Financial system is about to collapse even more and with ever-growing Inflation world-wide, Gold will skyrocket and I am here to Buy it / Trade it even more than ever, expecting my Targets to be met. Remember, trend is your friend and hope all of Sellers which got liquidated accounts, sending me many messages will turn their Technicals and finally start Buying Gold. Yours, goldenBear88
Gold key Levels (3800-4100)These are the Gold key levels which I’ll be using for trading.
Here’s how I trade these levels:
- Close above a level → Buy setup
When a candle closes clearly above a level, it confirms bullish momentum and I look to enter long immediately after the close.
- Close below a level → Sell setup
A confirmed candle close below support signals bearish strength, and I enter short right after the close.
- Rejection from a level → Opposite trade
If price shows a strong rejection from a level, I trade in the opposite direction - rejection from resistance = sell setup, rejection from support = buy setup.
These levels works well for both day trading (using 1H candles) and scalping (using 15M or lower timeframes). It keeps trading simple, just reactions to market behaviour.
XAUUSD 4H Chart – Bearish Structure in Play📉 Technical Outlook
XAUUSD 4H Chart – Bearish Structure in Play
Gold continues its corrective phase after breaking the previous bullish structure.
Price formed a Lower Low, confirming a short to mid-term downtrend.
The 4H bullish order block around 3917–3935 is being retested, while the bearish OB near 3960–3980 acts as resistance.
As long as price stays below the 4H bearish OB, further downside movement toward 3750–3770 remains likely.
The structure shows potential for a short-term pullback before continuation lower.






















