DeGRAM | GOLD seeks to decline📊 Technical Analysis
● Price trends inside a descending channel, posting lower highs after rejections at ~4045; latest pullback broke intraday base and points toward mid-channel.
● Bearish structure with failed bounce at prior support (~3950) keeps momentum down; next magnet sits near 3855 (channel/HTF support confluence).
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Short-term bearish: stronger USD and improved risk appetite recently weighed on gold after the retest of record highs, triggering corrective pressure.
✨ Summary
● Bias: short toward 3950 → 3855, invalidation above 4045. Key levels: 4045 (res), 3950/3855 (supports).
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Trade ideas
DeGRAM | GOLD is forming a new local ascending structure📊 Technical Analysis
● XAU/USD is forming a rising channel, holding firm above 3,960 support after rejecting from the resistance near 4,046.
● The pattern suggests a continuation of the uptrend as long as price sustains above the channel base, with potential breakout targets toward 4,138.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Gold remains supported by a softer dollar and cautious market sentiment ahead of key U.S. employment data, which could further boost safe-haven demand.
✨ Summary
● Long bias above 3,960; targets 4,046–4,138. Rising structure and weaker dollar fundamentals reinforce short-term bullish momentum.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Gold Extends Decline Below $4,000 as Risk Appetite Returns🔍 Market Context
Gold continues to struggle amid renewed optimism around US–China trade talks.
The shift in sentiment has reduced safe-haven demand, while softer expectations of further Fed rate cuts keep the US Dollar capped — offering limited downside support for XAUUSD.
However, the technical landscape remains clearly bearish.
The break below the $4,000 handle confirms continuation of the downtrend first outlined in early-week plans.
📊 Technical Analysis
Structure: Gold maintains a clean bearish channel on the H1–H4 frame.
Immediate resistance: $3,985 – $4,000 (former support, now supply zone).
Target zones:
• Short-term liquidity area near $3,925–$3,930
• Extended target sits around $3,880–$3,860, aligning with Fibo 1.618.
Invalidation: Only a sustained break and hold above $4,020–$4,030 would neutralize this short-term bearish bias.
🎯 Trading Outlook
If gold retests the broken $4,000 zone and fails to regain it,
expect sellers to extend control toward $3,920 or lower ahead of the FOMC meeting.
That event may later define the next recovery point — but for now, momentum remains firmly on the downside.
⚜️ Summary
Gold’s recent slide isn’t random — it’s structural.
The market is rebalancing after excessive bullish sentiment,
and liquidity below $3,900 is likely to attract attention before any significant rebound.
Watch the reaction near $3,920–$3,880 —
that’s where the next meaningful decision for gold may emerge.
📊 MMFLOW TRADING Insight:
“Smart money doesn’t chase candles — it waits for liquidity to shift.”
Gold at a Critical Crossroad: Bounce or Breakdown Ahead?Hi!
The gold price is currently trading around $4,042, sitting just above a critical support area near $3,953.80. This gray zone is a key decision point for the next major move.
Trend Structure:
The broader trend remains bullish, moving within a well-defined ascending channel.
Double Top Formation:
A short-term double top has formed near recent highs, triggering a corrective move down into the channel’s midline and the gray support area.
Critical Support Zone ($3,953.80):
This level aligns with previous structure support and the channel’s bottom, making it a high-probability reaction zone.
________________
Scenario 1: Bullish Reaction (Primary Scenario)
If gold holds above the gray critical area and bounces within the ascending channel, we could see a renewed bullish wave.
Confirmation: A strong bullish reaction or higher low around $3,953–$3,980.
Target: The green target zone around $4,619.57, corresponding to the upper channel boundary and a potential measured move from the recent correction.
Scenario 2: Bearish Breakdown
If the gray area fails to hold, it could signal deeper downside momentum.
Trigger: A clean break and 4H close below $3,953.80.
Target: The pink support zone near $3,656.01, which aligns with prior accumulation and the lower channel boundary.
________________
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
GOLD 15MIN STRCUTURE GOLD SELL OFF IS CRAZY . NEW SUPPORT 3885-3880
THE YELLOW METAL SELLOFF CONTINUES ON FOMC FEDERAL FUND RATE OUTLOOK.
All eyes are now on the Fed’s monetary policy verdict , as the US government shows no signs of reopening.
Market are almost fully pricing in two interest rate cuts this year, with a 25 basis points (bps) cut .
the key technicality surrounding gold trading is as follows
the 4hr EMA10,EMA20,EMA50,EMA100 are all above price supporting bearish take profit only the 4HR EMA200 IS below price acting as dynamic support on 4hr at 3945-3940 + ema 200 support for buy.
THE CURRENT 15MIN SUPPORT 3885-3880
THIS WILL BE LAYER BY LAYER.
THE DOLLAR INDEX BROKEN OFF 98.757 SUPPORT FLOOR INDICATING A POSSIBLE EFFECT ON RATE CUT COMING ,HOWEVER THIS PRICE ACTION PUT GOLD LONG POSITION ON CAUTIOUS MODE.
THE UNITED STATE 10 YEAR TREASURY BOND YIELD CLOSE IN MASSIVE SELLOFF TO CLOSE BELOW 4.0% MARK AT EXACTLY 3.987%
GOLD CORRECTION IS PLAYING ON CAUTION AND the next demand floor will around 3767.90-3764-3760
finally the last layer by layer will be 3700-3706 my pay day zone ....at this level expect to see the hand of GOD.
NOTE;gold trading is very volatile but comes with liquidity ,pls manage your risk and i wish you good luck.
#GOLD #XAUUSD #DXY #US10Y
Policy essence: "Eagle-wing rhetoric" concealing a loose coreThe trend significance of the interest rate cut decision: This interest rate cut is the second one in 2025, with a cumulative easing of 50 basis points, and the dovish forces in the voting results were significantly dominant - Milan's radical proposal to cut interest rates by 50 basis points was not passed, but the only opponent against the rate cut was Schmidt, with 10 votes in favor, highlighting the "loose consensus". This is a fundamental difference from the "consecutive rate hikes" tone in 2023. Historical data shows that the probability of initiating continuous easing within 3 months after the first rate cut is 83%, with the average gold price rising by more than 7%, and the current price has not reflected this trend.
The liquidity booster from the termination of the balance sheet: The Fed clearly stated that it would completely end the balance sheet reduction on December 1st. The easing strength of this action has been severely underestimated by the market. From historical experience, within 1 month after the termination of the balance sheet reduction in 2019, the gold price rose by 4.2%, while the bank reserves have dropped to the critical level of 2.93 trillion US dollars, and the termination of the balance sheet reduction will directly release over 300 billion US dollars of liquidity. This "interest rate cut + balance sheet expansion" combination is precisely the core driving force for the rise of gold, and the price of 3924 US dollars underestimates this pricing.
The misleading sentiment of Powell's statement: Powell emphasized that the interest rate cut in December is "not a certainty", which is actually a cautious statement in the absence of data - the US government shutdown led to the delayed release of data such as the September CPI, and the Fed needs to reserve flexibility for its policies. However, the non-farm payrolls added only 12,000 in October (far below the expected 113,000), and the core data of weak private sector employment has already laid the groundwork for the interest rate cut in December. Interest rate futures show that the probability of an interest rate cut in December is still 67%, and the speech did not completely reverse this.
Today's gold trading strategy
buy:3915-3925
tp:3940-3950
sl:3895
DeGRAM | GOLD is declining in the channel📊 Technical Analysis
● XAU/USD remains confined within a descending channel, forming consistent lower highs and lows, reinforcing bearish control.
● Price recently rejected the 4,140 resistance and is targeting the 3,950 support zone, confirming short-term continuation within the channel structure.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Gold faces pressure from a stronger USD and rising Treasury yields, as traders scale back expectations of early Fed rate cuts.
✨ Summary
● Short bias below 4,140; targets 4,000–3,950. Technical rejection and macro strength in USD sustain bearish momentum.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Nov 03 - Nov 07]This week, global OANDA:XAUUSD prices recorded their second consecutive weekly decline. Spot gold started the week at $4,104/oz, dropped to $3,886/oz at one point, and then recovered to around $4,000/oz.
In the coming week, gold prices may move sideways with no clear trend, requiring more time for accumulation.
If the price trades above the 4,045 resistance level, it may recover to 4,150, and a break above this level could push it toward 4,250.
However, if the price falls below 3,900, there is a risk of a sell-off, potentially dragging it down to around 3,750.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 3,750 – 3,900 USD
Resistance: 4,045 – 4,150 – 4,250 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4151 - 4149⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 4155
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3899 - 3901⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3895
Gold price adjusted down below 4000 next week✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 11/03/2025 - 11/07/2025
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) edges lower on Friday, slipping below the $4,000 mark as traders reassess the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) policy outlook after this week’s rate cut. The metal trades near $3,985, down about 1% on the day and heading for a second consecutive weekly loss.
A stronger US Dollar and steady Treasury yields weigh on Gold, as markets trim bets on another Fed rate cut this year. Chair Jerome Powell signaled a cautious stance, noting that a December cut is “not a foregone conclusion” and policy will depend on incoming data.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price lacks bullish momentum, accumulates and corrects down below 4000
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $4154, $4235
Support: $3953, $3884
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Best Harmonic Patterns For Beginners in Forex Gold Trading
In the today's article, I will share with you 4 best harmonic patterns for beginners. We will discuss the structure of each pattern and the rules.
Harmonic ABCD Pattern
That pattern is based on 3 legs of a price movement:
AB leg - impulse leg,
BC leg - retracement with the range of XA leg,
CD leg - impulse leg that has the same direction, the same time horizon and the same length as the XA leg
AB and BC legs should be equal or almost equal, that makes the pattern harmonic.
The completion point of the pattern - D point can be applied for predicting a pullback.
ABCD pattern can be bullish and bearish.
In a bullish ABCD pattern, AB leg is bearish.
D point of the pattern will be a safe point to buy from.
In a bearish ABCD pattern, AB leg is bullish.
D point will be a safe place to sell from.
The next 3 patterns will be based on 4 legs of a move:
XA, AB, BC, CD and will have XABCD structure with the initial point of the pattern being X point.
D point will be a completion point of the pattern from where a pullback will be anticipated.
The type of the harmonic pattern will be identified with Fibonacci numbers. The exact placement of each point of the pattern will define the name of the pattern.
Harmonic Gartley Pattern
In Harmonic Gartley,
B point of the pattern should strictly be between 618 and 786 retracement of the XA leg.
C point should lie between 618 and 786 retracement of AB leg.
D point will be 1.272 extension of AB leg.
Bullish Gartley Pattern will be based on a bullish XA leg.
Bearish Gartley will be based on a bearish XA leg.
Harmonic Bat Pattern
In Harmonic Bat,
B point of the pattern should strictly be between 50 and 618 retracement of the XA leg.
C point should lie between 618 and 1 retracement of AB leg.
D point will be 886 retracement of XA leg.
Bullish Bat Pattern will be based on a bullish XA leg.
Bearish Bat will be based on a bearish XA leg.
Harmonic Cypher Pattern
In Harmonic Cypher,
B point of the pattern should strictly be between 382 and 618 retracement of the XA leg.
C point should lie between 1.272 and 1.414 extension of XA leg.
D point will be 786 retracement of XC leg.
Bullish Cypher will be based on a bullish XA leg.
Bearish Cypher will be based on a bearish XA leg.
These patterns are phenomenally accurate and they are very simple to recognize.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold Buy Setup AgainHi All,
Hope you are all fine.
Everyone is saying that Gold will crash which doesn't seems to be the case the way I am analyzing it (Subhaan Allah). Not praising myself (sorry for that) but it seems to go up again as described on the chart. I have entered buy and anyone want to jump in can wait for a small retracement and enter.
Rest Green Pips to All
Amen
Gold Slippery Slide - Rebound or Breakdown Ahead?Gold has pulled back sharply from its all-time high of 4380, slipping to the key psychological level of 4000 — and today, that threshold gave way, printing a low of 3972.
This breach opens the door to deeper liquidity zones around 3900, 3800, and even 3700, where resting orders may be swept.
Yet despite the drop, the broader uptrend remains intact, suggesting potential for a rebound once liquidity is harvested.
As price approaches these pivotal levels, it's crucial beneath monitor lower timeframes for signs of a reversal (especially when structure shifts beneath the surface)
#XAUUSD: Massive Drop Is In Making! Bears In ControlDear all,
We are seeing significantly increased bearish volume since yesterday now we think price is likely to remain bearish for couple of days or week so price could make major correction. Please wait for price to settle down.
Good Luck
Team Setupsfx_
Gold Trade Plan 31/10/2025Dear Traders,
The price is ranging between the 4000–4040 zone and is still moving within the larger descending channel on the higher timeframe. At the same time, there is a smaller channel where the price is currently moving. If the daily candle closes above 4040, the price is expected to rise toward the 4100–4120 area. However, if it closes below 4000, I expect a decline toward the 3940–3900–3850 zones. Given the monthly candle close, high volatility is anticipated.
Regards,
Alireza!
Gold 1H Trend Reversal Setup | 4000 | 4100Market Outlook
Gold has recently shown signs of a potential bullish reversal after breaking above a descending trendline.
The market has shifted from a short-term bearish trend into a possible accumulation phase, with buyers stepping in near 3896–3940 support.
🧭 Technical Breakdown
1️⃣ Structure Break:
Price broke the descending trendline, showing momentum shifting from bearish to bullish control.
2️⃣ Retest Zone:
Retest area 3939–3960 aligns with a previous short-term supply zone, now turning into potential demand.
3️⃣ Target Zone:
If bullish momentum holds, the next major upside target lies between 4120–4160, where higher-timeframe resistance and liquidity exist.
4️⃣ Invalidation Level:
A clean 1H close below 3939 would invalidate this bullish setup and suggest further downside toward 3896.
Trade Idea (Educational Purpose Only)
Parameter Price Level Explanation
Buy Zone 3940–3960 Retest of broken structure
Targets 4040 → 4120 → 4160 Major resistance & liquidity area
Invalidation Below 3939 Break below support invalidates setup
💬 Summary
Gold is setting up for a possible reversal rally, but confirmation is key — wait for a strong bullish candle on retest before considering continuation.
⚠️ This analysis is for educational and discussion purposes only — not financial advice.
XAU/USD – Downtrend Holds as Gold Tests the Lower Channel🔍 Market Context
Gold remains under pressure after failing to reclaim the 4,060 breakout zone.
Recent attempts to recover have been absorbed by sellers, confirming short-term weakness and the continuation of the downward structure.
The market appears to be in a redistribution phase, as traders await clarity from upcoming macro data.
📊 Technical Analysis
Structure: Clear bearish channel with lower highs forming below the broken trendline.
Key resistance: 4,058–4,060 (previous breakout support now acting as supply).
Support zones:
• 4,004–4,000 → short-term liquidity area.
• 3,928–3,930 → deeper liquidity pocket + Fibo reaction zone.
Bias: Downtrend remains intact unless price reclaims and holds above 4,070–4,080.
🎯 Short-Term Outlook
If gold continues to reject from the 4,050–4,060 area,
a further move toward 4,000 and possibly 3,928 is likely.
Conversely, a clean reclaim above 4,080 could invalidate the current bearish pressure and trigger a short-term recovery.
⚜️ Summary
Gold is not collapsing — it’s resetting structure after an extended rally.
The focus remains on how liquidity behaves near 4,000.
If that zone breaks, expect momentum to accelerate toward 3,928 before buyers step back in.
📌 MMFLOW TRADING Insight:
“Follow the structure, not the emotion — liquidity always tells the truth.”
GOLD | Bearish Momentum Below 4,053GOLD | Bearish Momentum Below 4,053 ⚠️
Gold currently shows bearish momentum while trading below 4,053, with potential to extend losses toward 4,011.
A confirmed break below 4,011 would signal continuation of the bearish trend toward 3,944.
However, if the price stabilizes above 4,011, a bullish reversal is possible.
A close above 4,053 would confirm bullish momentum toward 4,074 → 4,124.
Pivot Line: 4,053
Resistance: 4,074 – 4,101 – 4,124
Support: 4,011 – 3,978 – 3,945
Gold Price Is Still Within A Daily TF Demand ZoneMy bias for Gold is still the same despite the current H1 consolidation.
I remain bullish for now as long as this daily demand zone holds.
A scenario where price breaks either one of those lows within demand would not surprise me.
And this is where your patience will pay you.
XAUUSDGold: The main trend remains up, but after testing the $4,380 level, the price was unable to break above this level and the price declined. We expect this to be a correction, with key support levels at 3,885 and 3,857. If the price can hold above 3,857, there is a high chance that the price will continue to rise.
** Very Risky Trade
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
❤️ Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!
GOLD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 4,010.34
Target Level: 3,889.94
Stop Loss: 4,089.87
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 4h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
my crush told me about gold After people all over the world lined up in front of gold shops, you can already assume that within the next three months, the market will inevitably collapse. However, I don’t believe the current decline marks the true end. Investors haven’t completely lost hope in the market yet. And as long as there’s hope, there’s still buying demand.
A sharp one-way crash from here would be too easy for short-term speculators, short traders, and the so-called “Smart Money” — the top 1% who have driven gold prices up since the beginning of the year with enormous capital. They won’t sell their positions at prices that are too low or too quickly.
That’s why I think there’s a high chance of one more rebound, possibly pushing prices to the level where people start believing gold will reach $5,000 per ounce. Of course, the market never moves the way the majority expects.
Therefore, I see the $4,600–$4,8XX zone as an ideal area to take profits or open short positions. Nothing can rise parabolically forever — greed always has an end, and eventually, it turns into fear. When that happens, the market collapses.
NFA — I’m just writing this so I can sleep.






















