Trade ideas
GOLD (XAUUSD) - 4H - Down Trend - SELL SET UPCurrent Market Direction
Right now, Gold is in a downtrend on 4H:
Lower highs
Lower lows
Weak bullish momentum
Price is pressing against the support zone ~3925–3940
There is no buy signal yet — Support is weakening, not bouncing.
So we do NOT buy now.
The smart move is to wait for price to pull back to a resistance zone, then sell.
Key Levels on the Chart
Level / Purpose
4025 – 4045 / Strong resistance (Sell Here)
3925 – 3940 / Current support (weak, likely to break)
3855 – 3870 / Next major demand / Take Profit area
Best Trade Setup (High Probability)
We sell after pullback into previous broken support → now resistance.
Trade Plan Summary
SELL LIMIT: 4025 – 4045
STOP LOSS: 4080
TAKE PROFIT 1: 3930
TAKE PROFIT 2: 3870
Why Not Buy Now?
Stochastic oversold does not mean reversal — just means momentum is extended.
Price is not bouncing, it is sliding sideways → bearish continuation.
Buyers are weak, sellers control structure.
Buying here = catching falling knife.
Selling pullback = professional entry.
Gold Price Breakout Toward 4,037 Target(XAU/USD) is forming a symmetrical triangle pattern on the 1-hour chart, suggesting potential breakout momentum. The price is currently trading near $4,014, with an upside target of $4,037 if bullish momentum continues. Key support zones are located at $3,960, $3,920, and $3,880.
XAUUSD Rangebound Currently XAUUSD Rangebound from 3980-4025 -zone. This Accumulation zone is more volatile as it ready for Implusive Repture.
What are my conditions For This setup?
- I'm expecting then buy trade once any candle closes above 3995 area & expecting the reversal move towards 4028- 4047 target .
Although I already took buy .
✳️Secondly if H4-H1 candle closes below 3980 our buying will be compromised & Market will fall to lower liquidity 3940-3925 zone .
GOLD | Daily Analysis #2 - 30 October 2025Hello and welcome back to DP,
Review and news:
Yesterday Gold pulled back slightly from recent highs after strong run-up. According to FXTrendo, it had briefly topped the psychological US$4,000/oz level, then traded around ~US$3,995. Expectations that the Federal Reserve might cut interest rates later this year remain a tailwind, which helps non-yielding assets like gold. Geopolitical uncertainties and safe-haven demand continue to underpin gold’s appeal. In summery gold remains structurally bullish, but near-term momentum is under pressure. The market is in a consolidation/correction phase while waiting for the next catalyst (Fed clarity, inflation prints, major geopolitical event).
1H – 4H Technical Analysis:
As you can observe, the major downtrend broke, the upside moving is feuled up. Demand zones are strong and 3914 zone is still irony. So if price pass and break 4024 area, there is potential to uptrend goes continuously. With analyzing the support and resistance zones, these scenarios are possible: Bearish scenario: If gold fails to reclaim the resistance zone (~4,000 +), and breaks below short-term support (~3,940), then a deeper retracement toward ~3,900 or lower becomes more likely. Bullish scenario: If gold holds above ~3,940-3,900 and the Fed or external shock triggers safe-haven flows, a move back toward ~4,050-4,100 is possible. Neutral to caution: Given the mixed signals (strong overall trend but short-term pullback), many traders may prefer to wait for confirmation (e.g., breakout above resistance or a clean bounce off support) rather than aggressively chase.
Disclaimer:
This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. © DIBAPRISM
Amir D.Kohn
When the Dollar bleeds, Gold breathes stronger.A clear structural divergence is unfolding between XAUUSD and DXY —
Gold has printed a clean bullish market structure, while the Dollar Index mirrors it with a progressive bearish flow.
This inverse rhythm isn’t coincidence — it’s the pulse of global liquidity.
As capital rotates out of USD strength into hard assets, we’re witnessing how smart money hedges exposure against monetary uncertainty.
Each push in Gold aligns perfectly with weakness in DXY —
a synchronized dance that often precedes macro repricing in risk assets.
💭 The key insight?
Gold’s rise isn’t simply technical — it’s the market’s vote of confidence against the Dollar’s future yield.
📊 MMFLOW TRADING Insight:
“Liquidity never lies — when one side inflates, the other exhales.”
Interest Rate Decision Imminent!Key Events:
Federal Reserve Meeting: The Fed will announce its interest rate decision, with the market widely expecting a 25 basis point cut. A dovish signal from the Fed (such as hinting at further rate cuts) could boost gold prices; a cautious stance could put downward pressure on prices.
US-China Trade Situation: High-level officials from both countries have reached an agreement on a framework for a trade deal, and Trump will meet with Chinese officials today. Easing trade tensions have reduced safe-haven demand for gold, leading to a recent decline in prices.
Market Sentiment Shift: Risk appetite has increased, with major global stock indices (such as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq) hitting record highs, causing funds to flow from safe-haven assets like gold to risk assets.
Economic Data and Background:
US Economic Indicators: ADP weekly employment data showed modest growth in private sector employment (14,000 new jobs per week), but the consumer confidence index (94.6) slightly exceeded expectations. These data eased concerns about a recession, further suppressing gold prices.
Fund Flows: Gold ETF holdings decreased (e.g., SPDR holdings remained flat, iShares silver holdings declined significantly), indicating that speculative funds continued to reduce their long positions in gold, suggesting strong short-term bearish sentiment.
Long-Term Supporting Factors: Global central bank gold purchasing trends, geopolitical risks, and the Fed's interest rate cut cycle continue to support gold in the medium to long term. The London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) predicts that gold prices may rise to $4,980 in the next 12 months.
I. Price Movement Review:
Gold prices fell for three consecutive days, reaching a low of $3,886.51 on October 28, breaking below the key psychological level of $4,000, with a cumulative drop of over 10%. Technical selling and long position liquidation were the main reasons.
II. Key Technical Levels:
Support Levels:
Short-term: 3920-3900 (tested in Asian trading).
Strong Support: 3885-3880 (yesterday's low coincides with the 60-day moving average; a break below this level could lead to a test of $3,819). Resistance Levels:
Short-term: 3970-4000 (a break above could lead to 4030 USD).
Strong Resistance: 4086 (Second resistance level on the 4-hour chart).
III. Optimal Trading Strategy
Trend Judgment:
Short-term: Gold prices are suppressed by fundamentals (trade optimism + risk appetite), but the Fed decision may trigger a rebound. If gold prices stabilize above 4000, the trend will turn bullish; if they remain below 4000, a short-term top will form.
Medium-to-Long-Term: Pullbacks are considered healthy technical corrections, and central bank gold purchases and interest rate cuts support the long-term bullish logic.
Specific Trading Recommendations:
Long Strategy:
Entry Point: Light long position at 3950-3957 USD, or add to the position on dips at 3920-3900 USD.
Stop Loss: 3945 USD (if broken) or 3880 USD (below key support).
Target: 4000 USD (hold until 4030 USD if it breaks through).
Short Selling Strategy:
Entry Point: Sell short on a rebound to the $3970-$4000 range.
Stop Loss: Above $4005.
Target: $3920-$3900.
If the Fed is more dovish than expected, consider going long with a target of $4030; if hawkish, target $3880.
Risk Warning: Fed Chair Powell's speech and the outcome of the US-China meeting may trigger significant volatility. Avoid being heavily invested and affected by the volatility!
XAUUSD - Time to buy...XAUUSD was in a short term downtrend for a few weeks but has now shown some clear bullish movements ahead. XAUUSD (Gold) has broken out of a downward trend channel that was acting as strong resistance, The price is very likely to head to the next resistance level which is market as the take profit zone (green line). Time to buy!
GOLD ForecastGold has broken out of the descending channel, showing early bullish momentum. If price sustains above the breakout zone near 3,960–3,970, it may target the next resistance areas around 4,005 and 4,045. However, failure to hold above the breakout level could trigger a pullback toward 3,940 support. Bulls are gaining strength, but resistance levels remain crucial for confirmation of further upside.
"Thank you for your support! If you found this idea valuable or learned something new, please consider liking and leaving a comment. I’d really appreciate hearing your feedback and thoughts."
XAUUSD – PRIORITIZE BUYING, TARGET 4040XAUUSD – PRIORITIZE BUYING, TARGET 4040 🎯
🌤 1. Overview
Hello everyone 💬
My perspective on gold today is still to prioritize buying, as there hasn't been a clear deep decline.
The price is currently consolidating in a narrow range, needing more time to build momentum before breaking out.
I will wait to buy again at the OB area – where there is high liquidity, this is a zone likely to see strong price reactions.
The best scenario today: the price may sell off slightly at FVG, then drop to OB to trigger the buy setup.
💹 2. Technical Analysis (ICT Perspective)
💜 Price Structure: Gold still maintains a short-term uptrend, the main trend hasn't been broken.
💎 Liquidity: Liquidity is concentrated below the 3940 area – a potential buying OB.
💫 FVG: The 3975–3980 area is a zone where a slight bearish reaction may occur.
⚙️ Order Block (OB): 3938–3945 is a crucial support zone, with the potential for a strong price rebound from here.
📈 Main Target: 4040 – a high liquidity zone, coinciding with a large frame FVG.
🎯 3. Reference Trading Scenarios
💢 Short SELL (scalping)
Entry: 3980 | SL: 3988
TP: 3972 – 3960 – 3940
💖 Main BUY (priority)
Entry: 3940 | SL: 3932
TP: 3952 – 3968 – 3990 – 4012 – 4035
✨ 4. Important Notes
🔹 Observe price reactions at FVG and OB before taking action.
🔹 If the price exceeds 3988, the bearish scenario is temporarily invalidated.
🔹 The main direction is still to buy according to the Smart Money trend – only consider short selling when confirmed.
🌷 5. Conclusion & Interaction with LanaM2
Gold is still following the Smart Money Flow trajectory,
patiently waiting for the price to reach a favorable zone to act 💪
This is not an investment recommendation, just a personal perspective based on the ICT method.
If you find it useful, please 💛 like – 💬 comment – 🔔 follow LanaM2
to stay updated with the latest gold insights every day.
Nov 4, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential Opportunity📈 Intraday Strategy:
SELL: If price breaks below 3994 → target 3987, with further downside toward 3982, 3975, 3971
BUY: If price holds above 4020 → target 4025, with further upside toward 4030, 4035, 4040
📊 Analysis:
Yesterday, price mostly traded within the 3994–4030 range.
For now, the plan remains simple — sell near resistance and buy near support within this range, until a breakout provides clearer direction.
Watch for momentum shifts:
If price breaks and holds above 4020, look for buying opportunities on pullbacks into support.
If price breaks below 3994, look for selling opportunities on pullbacks into resistance.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 4045 – Resistance
• 4030 – Upper boundary of range / resistance
• 4020 – Resistance
• 4000 – Psychological level
• 3994 – Lower boundary of range / support
• 3971–3980 – Support zone
• 3960 – Key support
• 3947 – Support
XAU/USD Daily Structure – Bullish Reversal Targeting BPR ZoneA potential bullish reversal after a recent pullback, aiming for a retest of higher price levels.
Prior Price Action: The price experienced a strong uptrend (sequence of large green candles) leading up to the mid-October high, followed by a sharp pullback (red candles) which broke below a previous low, labeled as BOS (Break of Structure). This BOS confirms a short-term bearish shift or the start of a deep correction within the larger uptrend.
Current Price Level: The price is currently near $4,008.10, having shown recent bullish momentum (the last green candle) off a recent swing low.
Key Levels and Concepts:
D/FVG (Daily Fair Value Gap): There are two Fair Value Gaps marked on the chart.
The lower D/FVG (around $4,000 - $4,060) acted as an initial target or point of interest during the decline. The price has started to move up from this area.
The upper D/FVG (around $4,170 - $4,220) represents a future potential target.
BPR (Balanced Price Range): This blue area (around $4,160 - $4,180) is an area where a previous down move's FVG overlaps with a subsequent up move's FVG (or vice versa), suggesting a zone where the market might find temporary balance or resistance/support.
Projected Path: The black arrow illustrates a bullish projection. The price is expected to continue its upward move, potentially targeting the lower D/FVG for a re-entry/retest before making its way towards the BPR and the upper D/FVG as the final target of this short-term analysis.
Gold market renews bullish sentiment at3990’sGold market initiated movement at 4043, followed by a correctional move to mitigate the 3990’s demand zone. A new hedge is now being established around 4073, signaling renewed bullish momentum within the broader uptrend structure. follow for more insights , comment and boost idea
GOLD XAUUSD GOLD ,the Sydney/asian market opens ,on 4hr the supply roof is broken and i hope that buying will approach 4062.19 and extend purchase into 4100 zone .
if price pulls back for liquidity on 4hr i will always watch the 3962 demand floor for buy.
KEY FUNDAMENTAL REPORT for the week..
The Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point cut to its benchmark federal funds rate on October 29, 2025, lowering the target range to 3.75% - 4.00%. This marks the second consecutive rate reduction this year. The decision was made amid moderate economic expansion, a slowing job market, slightly elevated inflation, and uncertainty caused by limited economic data due to a government shutdown.
The Fed also stated it will end the reduction of its balance sheet assets (quantitative tightening) on December 1, 2025. The committee emphasized attentiveness to the evolving economic outlook, risks to employment and inflation, and readiness to adjust policy accordingly. The vote was 10-2, with some dissent for either deeper cuts or no cuts at all.
This rate cut supports easing financial conditions to aid maximum employment and returning inflation to the 2% long-run goal.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell delivered speech.
Key points from his speech:
The Fed remains focused on achieving maximum employment and stable prices.
Despite some disruption from a partial government shutdown delaying some economic data, available information indicates little change in employment and inflation outlooks since the September meeting.
Labor market conditions appear to be gradually cooling, with inflation still somewhat elevated.
The rate cut was aimed at supporting these goals given the balance of risks to employment and inflation.
The Fed will end the reduction of its asset holdings (quantitative tightening) on December 1.
Powell emphasized a balanced approach between supporting growth and controlling inflation, noting the policy is not on a preset course.
Future rate moves remain data-dependent; a December rate cut is not guaranteed.
He acknowledged the challenges and trade-offs in monetary policy decision-making, especially under uncertainty from recent disruptions.
Overall, Powell’s speech conveyed cautious optimism combined with a pragmatic acknowledgement of incoming risks and uncertainty, signaling readiness to adjust policy to evolving economic conditions.
NOTE ;TRADING IS 100% PROBABILITY.
RISK MANAGEMENT IS KEY
ANY KEY LEVEL CAN FAIL.
#GOLD #US10Y #DOLLAR
GOLD XAUUSDGOLD ,AS earlier predicted on retest to 4030 zone, price is reacting but 4hr close shows a technical break of structure and if we take correction i will be watching 4000-4006 demand floor which is a descent 270pips drop from the close of the newyork high.
the next demand floor should 4000-4006 fails will be 3956-3954 zone ,a strong 1hr cross and a break and retest descending trendline .
if 4000-4006 holds and we break freely away from 4030 ,then we will target 4100 zone you can stop at 4068 another 300pips break of 4030 resistance zone and watch for correction .
am confident that 4100 is possible tomorrow.
technical failure of both zone will retest 3885-3889 current low which i think wont happen based on the current FEDERAL FUND RATE 3.75%-4.0%.
#GOLD #XAUUSD
Gold 30 Mints Resistance Rejection SetupGold is showing signs of weakness after retesting the 30-minute resistance area, following a clear break of structure. The market currently respects the lower high formation, suggesting a potential short-term correction toward the support zone as sellers regain control.
Key Levels:
Sell Entry: 3980
Take Profit: 3950
Stop Loss: 4000
Reasoning:
Technically, the price has completed a structure break and is now retesting previous resistance, turning it into a new supply zone. Candlestick behavior shows bearish pressure, supporting a short setup.
Fundamentally, stronger U.S. dollar sentiment and cautious risk tone before upcoming U.S. data keep gold under pressure.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always manage risk and follow your own trading plan before executing any trade.






















