When the Dollar bleeds, Gold breathes stronger.A clear structural divergence is unfolding between XAUUSD and DXY —
Gold has printed a clean bullish market structure, while the Dollar Index mirrors it with a progressive bearish flow.
This inverse rhythm isn’t coincidence — it’s the pulse of global liquidity.
As capital rotates out of USD strength into hard assets, we’re witnessing how smart money hedges exposure against monetary uncertainty.
Each push in Gold aligns perfectly with weakness in DXY —
a synchronized dance that often precedes macro repricing in risk assets.
💭 The key insight?
Gold’s rise isn’t simply technical — it’s the market’s vote of confidence against the Dollar’s future yield.
📊 MMFLOW TRADING Insight:
“Liquidity never lies — when one side inflates, the other exhales.”
Trade ideas
XAUUSD - Time to buy...XAUUSD was in a short term downtrend for a few weeks but has now shown some clear bullish movements ahead. XAUUSD (Gold) has broken out of a downward trend channel that was acting as strong resistance, The price is very likely to head to the next resistance level which is market as the take profit zone (green line). Time to buy!
GOLD ForecastGold has broken out of the descending channel, showing early bullish momentum. If price sustains above the breakout zone near 3,960–3,970, it may target the next resistance areas around 4,005 and 4,045. However, failure to hold above the breakout level could trigger a pullback toward 3,940 support. Bulls are gaining strength, but resistance levels remain crucial for confirmation of further upside.
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XAUUSD – PRIORITIZE BUYING, TARGET 4040XAUUSD – PRIORITIZE BUYING, TARGET 4040 🎯
🌤 1. Overview
Hello everyone 💬
My perspective on gold today is still to prioritize buying, as there hasn't been a clear deep decline.
The price is currently consolidating in a narrow range, needing more time to build momentum before breaking out.
I will wait to buy again at the OB area – where there is high liquidity, this is a zone likely to see strong price reactions.
The best scenario today: the price may sell off slightly at FVG, then drop to OB to trigger the buy setup.
💹 2. Technical Analysis (ICT Perspective)
💜 Price Structure: Gold still maintains a short-term uptrend, the main trend hasn't been broken.
💎 Liquidity: Liquidity is concentrated below the 3940 area – a potential buying OB.
💫 FVG: The 3975–3980 area is a zone where a slight bearish reaction may occur.
⚙️ Order Block (OB): 3938–3945 is a crucial support zone, with the potential for a strong price rebound from here.
📈 Main Target: 4040 – a high liquidity zone, coinciding with a large frame FVG.
🎯 3. Reference Trading Scenarios
💢 Short SELL (scalping)
Entry: 3980 | SL: 3988
TP: 3972 – 3960 – 3940
💖 Main BUY (priority)
Entry: 3940 | SL: 3932
TP: 3952 – 3968 – 3990 – 4012 – 4035
✨ 4. Important Notes
🔹 Observe price reactions at FVG and OB before taking action.
🔹 If the price exceeds 3988, the bearish scenario is temporarily invalidated.
🔹 The main direction is still to buy according to the Smart Money trend – only consider short selling when confirmed.
🌷 5. Conclusion & Interaction with LanaM2
Gold is still following the Smart Money Flow trajectory,
patiently waiting for the price to reach a favorable zone to act 💪
This is not an investment recommendation, just a personal perspective based on the ICT method.
If you find it useful, please 💛 like – 💬 comment – 🔔 follow LanaM2
to stay updated with the latest gold insights every day.
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H SELL PROJECTION 04.11.25sell limit projection for XAU/USD (Gold) on the 1-hour timeframe, dated November 4, 2025.
Here’s the breakdown of the setup:
Trend Context:
The blue diagonal line labeled “BROKED 1H UPTREND CHANNEL” indicates that the price has broken below a previous uptrend, suggesting a potential bearish reversal.
Sell Entry Zone:
The “BREAKED ZONE” (around 4,007.863) is the projected sell limit entry area. The trader expects price to retest this level before continuing downward.
Stop Loss:
Placed above the resistance zone at approximately 4,023.449, protecting against a false breakout.
Target / Take Profit Levels:
Support S1: Around 3,984.000, likely the first take-profit (TP1).
Support S2: Around 3,966.380, the main target price (TP2) for the sell setup.
Trade Plan Summary:
Entry: ~4,007.86
Stop Loss: ~4,023.45
Take Profit: ~3,966.38
Bias: Bearish (sell after retest of broken trendline and resistance)
Nov 4, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential Opportunity📈 Intraday Strategy:
SELL: If price breaks below 3994 → target 3987, with further downside toward 3982, 3975, 3971
BUY: If price holds above 4020 → target 4025, with further upside toward 4030, 4035, 4040
📊 Analysis:
Yesterday, price mostly traded within the 3994–4030 range.
For now, the plan remains simple — sell near resistance and buy near support within this range, until a breakout provides clearer direction.
Watch for momentum shifts:
If price breaks and holds above 4020, look for buying opportunities on pullbacks into support.
If price breaks below 3994, look for selling opportunities on pullbacks into resistance.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 4045 – Resistance
• 4030 – Upper boundary of range / resistance
• 4020 – Resistance
• 4000 – Psychological level
• 3994 – Lower boundary of range / support
• 3971–3980 – Support zone
• 3960 – Key support
• 3947 – Support
XAU/USD Daily Structure – Bullish Reversal Targeting BPR ZoneA potential bullish reversal after a recent pullback, aiming for a retest of higher price levels.
Prior Price Action: The price experienced a strong uptrend (sequence of large green candles) leading up to the mid-October high, followed by a sharp pullback (red candles) which broke below a previous low, labeled as BOS (Break of Structure). This BOS confirms a short-term bearish shift or the start of a deep correction within the larger uptrend.
Current Price Level: The price is currently near $4,008.10, having shown recent bullish momentum (the last green candle) off a recent swing low.
Key Levels and Concepts:
D/FVG (Daily Fair Value Gap): There are two Fair Value Gaps marked on the chart.
The lower D/FVG (around $4,000 - $4,060) acted as an initial target or point of interest during the decline. The price has started to move up from this area.
The upper D/FVG (around $4,170 - $4,220) represents a future potential target.
BPR (Balanced Price Range): This blue area (around $4,160 - $4,180) is an area where a previous down move's FVG overlaps with a subsequent up move's FVG (or vice versa), suggesting a zone where the market might find temporary balance or resistance/support.
Projected Path: The black arrow illustrates a bullish projection. The price is expected to continue its upward move, potentially targeting the lower D/FVG for a re-entry/retest before making its way towards the BPR and the upper D/FVG as the final target of this short-term analysis.
Gold market renews bullish sentiment at3990’sGold market initiated movement at 4043, followed by a correctional move to mitigate the 3990’s demand zone. A new hedge is now being established around 4073, signaling renewed bullish momentum within the broader uptrend structure. follow for more insights , comment and boost idea
GOLD XAUUSD GOLD ,the Sydney/asian market opens ,on 4hr the supply roof is broken and i hope that buying will approach 4062.19 and extend purchase into 4100 zone .
if price pulls back for liquidity on 4hr i will always watch the 3962 demand floor for buy.
KEY FUNDAMENTAL REPORT for the week..
The Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point cut to its benchmark federal funds rate on October 29, 2025, lowering the target range to 3.75% - 4.00%. This marks the second consecutive rate reduction this year. The decision was made amid moderate economic expansion, a slowing job market, slightly elevated inflation, and uncertainty caused by limited economic data due to a government shutdown.
The Fed also stated it will end the reduction of its balance sheet assets (quantitative tightening) on December 1, 2025. The committee emphasized attentiveness to the evolving economic outlook, risks to employment and inflation, and readiness to adjust policy accordingly. The vote was 10-2, with some dissent for either deeper cuts or no cuts at all.
This rate cut supports easing financial conditions to aid maximum employment and returning inflation to the 2% long-run goal.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell delivered speech.
Key points from his speech:
The Fed remains focused on achieving maximum employment and stable prices.
Despite some disruption from a partial government shutdown delaying some economic data, available information indicates little change in employment and inflation outlooks since the September meeting.
Labor market conditions appear to be gradually cooling, with inflation still somewhat elevated.
The rate cut was aimed at supporting these goals given the balance of risks to employment and inflation.
The Fed will end the reduction of its asset holdings (quantitative tightening) on December 1.
Powell emphasized a balanced approach between supporting growth and controlling inflation, noting the policy is not on a preset course.
Future rate moves remain data-dependent; a December rate cut is not guaranteed.
He acknowledged the challenges and trade-offs in monetary policy decision-making, especially under uncertainty from recent disruptions.
Overall, Powell’s speech conveyed cautious optimism combined with a pragmatic acknowledgement of incoming risks and uncertainty, signaling readiness to adjust policy to evolving economic conditions.
NOTE ;TRADING IS 100% PROBABILITY.
RISK MANAGEMENT IS KEY
ANY KEY LEVEL CAN FAIL.
#GOLD #US10Y #DOLLAR
GOLD XAUUSDGOLD ,AS earlier predicted on retest to 4030 zone, price is reacting but 4hr close shows a technical break of structure and if we take correction i will be watching 4000-4006 demand floor which is a descent 270pips drop from the close of the newyork high.
the next demand floor should 4000-4006 fails will be 3956-3954 zone ,a strong 1hr cross and a break and retest descending trendline .
if 4000-4006 holds and we break freely away from 4030 ,then we will target 4100 zone you can stop at 4068 another 300pips break of 4030 resistance zone and watch for correction .
am confident that 4100 is possible tomorrow.
technical failure of both zone will retest 3885-3889 current low which i think wont happen based on the current FEDERAL FUND RATE 3.75%-4.0%.
#GOLD #XAUUSD
Gold 30 Mints Resistance Rejection SetupGold is showing signs of weakness after retesting the 30-minute resistance area, following a clear break of structure. The market currently respects the lower high formation, suggesting a potential short-term correction toward the support zone as sellers regain control.
Key Levels:
Sell Entry: 3980
Take Profit: 3950
Stop Loss: 4000
Reasoning:
Technically, the price has completed a structure break and is now retesting previous resistance, turning it into a new supply zone. Candlestick behavior shows bearish pressure, supporting a short setup.
Fundamentally, stronger U.S. dollar sentiment and cautious risk tone before upcoming U.S. data keep gold under pressure.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always manage risk and follow your own trading plan before executing any trade.
XAUUSD 1H: Order Block and Liquidity Targets for Potential LongKey Observations:
Break of Structure (BOS): Price has recently broken below a previous low, labeled BOS (Break of Structure). This indicates a shift to a bearish market structure in the short term, often leading traders to look for a retracement before a continuation of the downtrend.
Order Block (OB): A crucial area is highlighted and labeled OB (Order Block). This is a zone where significant institutional selling or buying pressure is believed to have entered the market previously. In this context, the OB is a potential resistance/supply zone that the price may retest.
Liquidity ($$$): Two levels above the current price are marked with $$$. These represent liquidity pools, which are areas where stop-loss orders from short sellers or buy-stop orders from breakout traders are likely resting. Institutional traders often target these zones to fuel their own trades.
The first $$$ (around 3,990) is an immediate target or a minor swing high.
The second $$$ (around 4,010-4,015) is a higher target, representing a more significant swing high.
Proposed Trade Scenario: The solid black line and the dotted arrow show the projected price path:
A retracement (pullback) into the Order Block (OB) zone (around 3,960 - 3,975).
A reversal within or near the OB, leading to a rally (buy/long).
The price targets are the liquidity ($$$) levels.
Current Price Action: The price is currently around 3,937.83, which is below the main Order Block, suggesting the price has already reacted to the BOS and is deep into a decline. The anticipated setup is a counter-trend move (a bullish reaction after a bearish move) or a re-accumulation phase before a larger move.
Gold Buying every local Low'sAs discussed throughout my Friday's session commentary: 'My position: I have been monitoring Gold from sidelines as mentioned throughout yesterday's session Highly satisfied with my Profit, as I spotted that #3,988.80 is showcasing strong durability, I have started Buying Gold with aggressive Scalps from #3,988.80 - #3,992.80 many times with at least #15ish orders delivering excellent Profits. I do believe Gold will continue soaring as long as Support zone is intact with #4,052.80 mark as my next Short-term Target.'
Technical analysis: The current Hourly 4 candle is already too Neutral to deliver continuation of Intra-day Buying sentiment and with Hourly 1 chart’s switch from Neutral to Bullish regarding the Short-term, Price-action limited the uptrend (even though Gold should be Higher, relative to circumstances and debacle on U.S. announcements), as Investors started taking Profits on their Buying orders and finding value within the #3,988.80 - #4,027.80 belt again (confirms U.S. sessions decline on unprecedented Volatility on Gold’s Price-action). The key is the Hourly 4 chart’s Resistance zone priced at #4,027.80 - #4,033.80 which rejected the Price-action twice (current Month) and has already done so throughout last week on multiple occasions. This is the key and if that configuration breaks, Short-term Buyers should take it to #4,052.80 impulse in extension. Otherwise, the #3,975.80 - #3,988.80 Support zone should be re-tested for a potential Double or Triple Bottom as in late September. The DX though got rejected on it’s Hourly 4 chart’s Resistance and it is due to the weak Bond Yields market that Gold isn't near #4,052.80 mark already, and it became obvious that market speculators were manually preventing the meltdown I have been mentioning, knowing that U.S. announcement will revive Buyers as in late June.
My position: I am taking advantage of Buying every local Low's since Friday's session last week, Buying either #3,988.80 Support with set of aggressive orders, or #3,992.80 Support in extension. I have Bought #4,001.80 as well towards #4,012.80 or above and will continue to do so until Gold is presented with a break-out to the upside. I do expect #5,100.80 benchmark on Medium-term.
EXPECTATION FOR THE WEEK/WEEKS AHEAD Gold is in-between two major zones, buy zone at 3998-3980 and a sell zone at 4020-4037 and price can respect any of the two major zones and start moving in either direction but based on last week price action i will still go for sells, although Gold is fundamentally expected to buy again because of reduced rate and higher inflation it would probably sell again this week ahead to create the monthly low and also to test a higher time frame buy zone below before it starts with another massive buys to end the year,
so let target a sell at 4014-4020 when market opens, with sl around 4035/37 and tp not less than 500pips or far below , because this sell is expected to reach somewhere 3870-50, before the long term buy start , i will update you along the way and if it decides to buy midway i will signal or update you but if it reaches 3870-50 and it decides to move below it to sell more too i will update and that will signal a very long term sells so let be on alert mood as i always be .
A lot discovered so always be around, forex is not scary to us anymore it's rather interesting because everything is based on time and price, that's why you see prices plotted against time, very interesting indeed.
Wait for the big correction down on gold to finishHi traders,
Last week gold failed to go up and started making a complex pullback (WXY) now, where wave X was a Triangle. After that it dropped and made a corrective upmove.
So next week we could see another downmove to finish the bigger correction down.
And then the next impulsive wave up.
Let's see what price does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a rejection with an impulse wave up from the Weekly FVG. After a small correction down on a lower timeframe and a change in orderflow to bullish you could trade longs.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
But I react and trade on what I see in the chart, not what I've predicted or expect.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
When Fundamentals Mislead — Only the Chart Tells the TruthGold Analysis – Special Weekly & Monthly Closing Edition
This report combines daily, weekly, and monthly charts to look beyond short-term noise — connecting technical, economic, and geopolitical factors for a broader perspective.
Economic & Geopolitical Highlights
1. Fed Rate Cut (-25 bps) — Neutral
The move was fully priced in; gold showed no bullish response.
2. Jerome Powell’s Press Conference — Bearish
He noted that a December rate cut is “no longer guaranteed,” cutting odds from 90% to 60%, weighing on gold.
3. Trump–Xi Meeting — Bearish
Talks were commercially positive, signaling tariff relief — reducing safe-haven demand.
4. Trump’s Comments on Nuclear Tests — Mildly Bullish
Even verbal tension keeps geopolitical uncertainty alive in the background.
Hot Topics Still on the Table:
Trump–Putin meeting in Hungary
Sanctions on Russian oil firms
New U.S. tariffs
U.S. government shutdown updates
In short — fundamentals remain highly unstable and reactive.
As I posted earlier on X:
“When Fundamentals Mislead — Only the Chart Tells the Truth.”
So, let’s see what the truthful chart has to say
Technical Analysis – Daily Chart
Current price: $4012
Gold trades below the 10-EMA ($4042) and 20-EMA ($4023) — both acting as near-term resistance.
The metal has stayed under the 10-EMA since Tuesday, Oct 21, repeatedly failing to reclaim it despite several intraday attempts.
Even the brief contact with the 20-EMA on Monday was rejected quickly, sending price lower again.
For now, gold is trying to retest the 20-EMA (4023).
The key question:
Will it manage to reclaim it, or is it preparing to visit the 50-EMA near $3852 instead?
Using Fibonacci retracements, potential correction zones appear between 3831–3701,
while Fibonacci expansions suggest 3785–3728 — roughly the same area.
These aren’t distant targets for gold, which has recently dropped nearly $400 in a single day — reminding us that “what flies too high often falls faster.”
Weekly Chart
10-EMA Support: $3870
20-EMA Support: $3670
The broader trend shows a retest of major support after a long bullish stretch.
Monthly Chart
High: $4381
Low: $3819
Range: $562
Midpoint (Key Pivot): $4100
October’s close will define the year-end bias:
Above 4100 → bullish continuation possible
Below 4100 → opens room for a deeper correction toward 3830–3700
As of now, gold is trying to hold above $4000, after hitting a weekly low at $3886 on Tuesday.
Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance:
4023 – 4030 – 4042 – 4100 – 4121 – 4144 – 4161 – 4381
Support:
3990 – 3961 – 3914 – 3886 – 3843 – 3831 – 3785 – 3728 – 3701 – 3670 – 3645
Trader’s Note – Before the Weekly & Monthly Close
Avoid emotional trades before the weekend or a major monthly close.
Long positions: watch 4040–4100 as a heavy resistance cluster.
Short positions: trail profits near 3870–3830.
Print these levels and keep them beside your screen — risk management matters more than prediction.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice.
Market conditions can change rapidly with new data or headlines.






















