GOLD ForecastGold has broken out of the descending channel, showing early bullish momentum. If price sustains above the breakout zone near 3,960–3,970, it may target the next resistance areas around 4,005 and 4,045. However, failure to hold above the breakout level could trigger a pullback toward 3,940 support. Bulls are gaining strength, but resistance levels remain crucial for confirmation of further upside.
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XAUUSD 1H: Order Block and Liquidity Targets for Potential LongKey Observations:
Break of Structure (BOS): Price has recently broken below a previous low, labeled BOS (Break of Structure). This indicates a shift to a bearish market structure in the short term, often leading traders to look for a retracement before a continuation of the downtrend.
Order Block (OB): A crucial area is highlighted and labeled OB (Order Block). This is a zone where significant institutional selling or buying pressure is believed to have entered the market previously. In this context, the OB is a potential resistance/supply zone that the price may retest.
Liquidity ($$$): Two levels above the current price are marked with $$$. These represent liquidity pools, which are areas where stop-loss orders from short sellers or buy-stop orders from breakout traders are likely resting. Institutional traders often target these zones to fuel their own trades.
The first $$$ (around 3,990) is an immediate target or a minor swing high.
The second $$$ (around 4,010-4,015) is a higher target, representing a more significant swing high.
Proposed Trade Scenario: The solid black line and the dotted arrow show the projected price path:
A retracement (pullback) into the Order Block (OB) zone (around 3,960 - 3,975).
A reversal within or near the OB, leading to a rally (buy/long).
The price targets are the liquidity ($$$) levels.
Current Price Action: The price is currently around 3,937.83, which is below the main Order Block, suggesting the price has already reacted to the BOS and is deep into a decline. The anticipated setup is a counter-trend move (a bullish reaction after a bearish move) or a re-accumulation phase before a larger move.
Gold Buying every local Low'sAs discussed throughout my Friday's session commentary: 'My position: I have been monitoring Gold from sidelines as mentioned throughout yesterday's session Highly satisfied with my Profit, as I spotted that #3,988.80 is showcasing strong durability, I have started Buying Gold with aggressive Scalps from #3,988.80 - #3,992.80 many times with at least #15ish orders delivering excellent Profits. I do believe Gold will continue soaring as long as Support zone is intact with #4,052.80 mark as my next Short-term Target.'
Technical analysis: The current Hourly 4 candle is already too Neutral to deliver continuation of Intra-day Buying sentiment and with Hourly 1 chart’s switch from Neutral to Bullish regarding the Short-term, Price-action limited the uptrend (even though Gold should be Higher, relative to circumstances and debacle on U.S. announcements), as Investors started taking Profits on their Buying orders and finding value within the #3,988.80 - #4,027.80 belt again (confirms U.S. sessions decline on unprecedented Volatility on Gold’s Price-action). The key is the Hourly 4 chart’s Resistance zone priced at #4,027.80 - #4,033.80 which rejected the Price-action twice (current Month) and has already done so throughout last week on multiple occasions. This is the key and if that configuration breaks, Short-term Buyers should take it to #4,052.80 impulse in extension. Otherwise, the #3,975.80 - #3,988.80 Support zone should be re-tested for a potential Double or Triple Bottom as in late September. The DX though got rejected on it’s Hourly 4 chart’s Resistance and it is due to the weak Bond Yields market that Gold isn't near #4,052.80 mark already, and it became obvious that market speculators were manually preventing the meltdown I have been mentioning, knowing that U.S. announcement will revive Buyers as in late June.
My position: I am taking advantage of Buying every local Low's since Friday's session last week, Buying either #3,988.80 Support with set of aggressive orders, or #3,992.80 Support in extension. I have Bought #4,001.80 as well towards #4,012.80 or above and will continue to do so until Gold is presented with a break-out to the upside. I do expect #5,100.80 benchmark on Medium-term.
EXPECTATION FOR THE WEEK/WEEKS AHEAD Gold is in-between two major zones, buy zone at 3998-3980 and a sell zone at 4020-4037 and price can respect any of the two major zones and start moving in either direction but based on last week price action i will still go for sells, although Gold is fundamentally expected to buy again because of reduced rate and higher inflation it would probably sell again this week ahead to create the monthly low and also to test a higher time frame buy zone below before it starts with another massive buys to end the year,
so let target a sell at 4014-4020 when market opens, with sl around 4035/37 and tp not less than 500pips or far below , because this sell is expected to reach somewhere 3870-50, before the long term buy start , i will update you along the way and if it decides to buy midway i will signal or update you but if it reaches 3870-50 and it decides to move below it to sell more too i will update and that will signal a very long term sells so let be on alert mood as i always be .
A lot discovered so always be around, forex is not scary to us anymore it's rather interesting because everything is based on time and price, that's why you see prices plotted against time, very interesting indeed.
Wait for the big correction down on gold to finishHi traders,
Last week gold failed to go up and started making a complex pullback (WXY) now, where wave X was a Triangle. After that it dropped and made a corrective upmove.
So next week we could see another downmove to finish the bigger correction down.
And then the next impulsive wave up.
Let's see what price does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a rejection with an impulse wave up from the Weekly FVG. After a small correction down on a lower timeframe and a change in orderflow to bullish you could trade longs.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
But I react and trade on what I see in the chart, not what I've predicted or expect.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
When Fundamentals Mislead — Only the Chart Tells the TruthGold Analysis – Special Weekly & Monthly Closing Edition
This report combines daily, weekly, and monthly charts to look beyond short-term noise — connecting technical, economic, and geopolitical factors for a broader perspective.
Economic & Geopolitical Highlights
1. Fed Rate Cut (-25 bps) — Neutral
The move was fully priced in; gold showed no bullish response.
2. Jerome Powell’s Press Conference — Bearish
He noted that a December rate cut is “no longer guaranteed,” cutting odds from 90% to 60%, weighing on gold.
3. Trump–Xi Meeting — Bearish
Talks were commercially positive, signaling tariff relief — reducing safe-haven demand.
4. Trump’s Comments on Nuclear Tests — Mildly Bullish
Even verbal tension keeps geopolitical uncertainty alive in the background.
Hot Topics Still on the Table:
Trump–Putin meeting in Hungary
Sanctions on Russian oil firms
New U.S. tariffs
U.S. government shutdown updates
In short — fundamentals remain highly unstable and reactive.
As I posted earlier on X:
“When Fundamentals Mislead — Only the Chart Tells the Truth.”
So, let’s see what the truthful chart has to say
Technical Analysis – Daily Chart
Current price: $4012
Gold trades below the 10-EMA ($4042) and 20-EMA ($4023) — both acting as near-term resistance.
The metal has stayed under the 10-EMA since Tuesday, Oct 21, repeatedly failing to reclaim it despite several intraday attempts.
Even the brief contact with the 20-EMA on Monday was rejected quickly, sending price lower again.
For now, gold is trying to retest the 20-EMA (4023).
The key question:
Will it manage to reclaim it, or is it preparing to visit the 50-EMA near $3852 instead?
Using Fibonacci retracements, potential correction zones appear between 3831–3701,
while Fibonacci expansions suggest 3785–3728 — roughly the same area.
These aren’t distant targets for gold, which has recently dropped nearly $400 in a single day — reminding us that “what flies too high often falls faster.”
Weekly Chart
10-EMA Support: $3870
20-EMA Support: $3670
The broader trend shows a retest of major support after a long bullish stretch.
Monthly Chart
High: $4381
Low: $3819
Range: $562
Midpoint (Key Pivot): $4100
October’s close will define the year-end bias:
Above 4100 → bullish continuation possible
Below 4100 → opens room for a deeper correction toward 3830–3700
As of now, gold is trying to hold above $4000, after hitting a weekly low at $3886 on Tuesday.
Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance:
4023 – 4030 – 4042 – 4100 – 4121 – 4144 – 4161 – 4381
Support:
3990 – 3961 – 3914 – 3886 – 3843 – 3831 – 3785 – 3728 – 3701 – 3670 – 3645
Trader’s Note – Before the Weekly & Monthly Close
Avoid emotional trades before the weekend or a major monthly close.
Long positions: watch 4040–4100 as a heavy resistance cluster.
Short positions: trail profits near 3870–3830.
Print these levels and keep them beside your screen — risk management matters more than prediction.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice.
Market conditions can change rapidly with new data or headlines.
Gold 30 Mints Resistance Rejection SetupGold is showing signs of weakness after retesting the 30-minute resistance area, following a clear break of structure. The market currently respects the lower high formation, suggesting a potential short-term correction toward the support zone as sellers regain control.
Key Levels:
Sell Entry: 3980
Take Profit: 3950
Stop Loss: 4000
Reasoning:
Technically, the price has completed a structure break and is now retesting previous resistance, turning it into a new supply zone. Candlestick behavior shows bearish pressure, supporting a short setup.
Fundamentally, stronger U.S. dollar sentiment and cautious risk tone before upcoming U.S. data keep gold under pressure.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always manage risk and follow your own trading plan before executing any trade.
XAU/USD: Bearish Decline to 3827?OANDA:XAUUSD is exhibiting bearish momentum on the 1-hour chart , with price respecting a downward trendline and pulling back toward the EMA 50 (1H) as dynamic resistance, creating a prime short opportunity near the highlighted entry zone amid ongoing consolidation. This setup suggests continuation of the downtrend if sellers push through toward lower supports. 🎯
Entry zone between 3979-4020 for a sell position. Target at 3827 near the support and take profit zone, yielding a risk-reward ratio greater than 1:2.5 . Set a stop loss on a close above 4035 to manage risk. 🌟 Await confirmation with a bearish close below the entry and rising volume, tapping into gold's sensitivity to USD strength.
Fundamentally , this week features the FOMC meeting on October 29, where the Fed's rate decision could bolster the dollar if hawkish tones prevail. Additionally, outcomes from the ongoing Trump-Xi trade talks—kicking off this week in Asia—could spark major market volatility, potentially pressuring gold if a US-China deal materializes. 💡
📝 Trade Plan:
🎯 Entry Zone: 3979 – 4020 (short setup near resistance)
❌ Stop Loss: Close above 4035
✅ Target: 3827 (support / take-profit zone)
💎 Risk-to-Reward: Greater than 1:2.5, offering an excellent downside opportunity for disciplined traders.
What's your view on this gold drop? Comment below! 👇
GOLD: Short Signal with Entry/SL/TP
GOLD
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short GOLD
Entry - 3982.0
Sl - 3995.9
Tp - 3959.8
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Excellent Profits on yesterday’s session Selling sequenceAs discussed throughout my yesterday’s commentary: “My position: I have Sold Bought Gold throughout yesterday's session from #3,998.80 especially towards #4,008.80 (aggressive Scalps) and called it for the session. Gold delivered significant Intra-day losses on Asian session and turned timefrimes to Bearish territory. Today is Intra-day Sell session and will continue Selling Gold from my key entry points.”
My position: I have made excellent returns on Selling Gold throughout yesterday’s session taken from #3,995.80 local Top’s. Tide has turned to Sellers reigns and Intra-day sentiment remains turned in Sellers favor. Sequence will stay the same as long as DX is Trading on upside numbers.
Gold & Silver Outlook | Central Bank Buying & Correction (5 Nov)🟡 GOLD & SILVER MARKET ANALYSIS - November 05, 2025
Central Bank Buying:
Global central banks remain in accumulation mode after adding 1,000+ tonnes in 2024.
* China: 2,298t | India: 879t | Russia: 2,335t
* Emerging markets’ gold purchases +30% YoY, driven by de-dollarization and inflation hedging as USD reserves fall below 58%.
Silver Demand & Deficit:
* Industrial use hits 680M oz (+11% YoY) — a record.
* Solar PV: 232M oz | EVs: 90M oz
* Deficit: 215M oz — extending into 2025 as mine output stays flat.
📈 Outlook: Range $47–$55/oz, with potential breakout as green tech ramps.
ETF & Market Sentiment :
* Gold ETFs (GLD): +$3.6B inflows in Oct, but -$2.1B outflows in Nov on profit-taking.
* Silver ETFs: Mixed flows, cautious sentiment.
* Gold RSI: ~68 → short-term pullback risk.
* Forecast: Inflows could rebound in Q1 if Fed resumes easing.
Futures & Positioning :
* CME Gold OI: 528,789 contracts (+WoW)
* Implied Vol (Dec): 21.1% | Call/Put Bias: 60/40 (bullish skew)
* Silver Vol: ~25% — traders shifting to policy-driven long bets.
Macro Drivers :
* Fed: 25bps cut + hawkish tone (CPI 2.6%)
* U.S.–China Truce: Reduces tariffs, softens safe-haven demand.
* BRICS: Advancing gold-backed settlement systems.
* Dollar Share: Falls to 58% of global reserves.
Performance & Forecast :
* Gold: $3,941/oz | -1.5% today | +50% YTD
* Silver: $48/oz | -1.0% today | +66% YTD
📊 Projection: Gold eyes $4,400 | Silver targets $57 by mid-2026.
🕐 Astro Window (UK Time): 1:00 PM–4:30 PM bullish spike expected.
Bias : Short-term correction likely → overall bearish bias until supports retest.
Check chart for buying/selling levels.
XAUUSD📊 GOLD (XAUUSD) – H4 Bearish Flag Breakout + Daily Bearish Structure
On the H4 timeframe, gold formed a bearish flag between 3,890 and 4,050.
As expected, the flag pushed slightly to the upside, then broke to the downside at 4,006.
Price retested the flag and is now moving lower again — confirming bearish continuation.
On the daily timeframe, we are in a clear downtrend:
Swing high: 4,420
Swing low: 4,400
Lower high: 4,154
New lower low: 3,886
Latest lower high: 4,046
This structure confirms that sellers remain in control.
✅ What I’m waiting for:
1️⃣ A rejection at 3,875 = sell opportunity (H1/H4)
2️⃣ A break and daily close below 3,900 → momentum continuation
📌 Best zone to sell: 3,875
Because at that level:
liquidity below the previous low is cleared
a new lower low forms on daily
bearish trend continues cleanly
Bias stays bearish until we break and close below 3,875.
Lonterm it's looking for 3500
GOLDPreferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
XAU/USD – Range Trading Within Key Supply and Demand ZonesGold (XAU/USD) is currently consolidating in a tight horizontal range between $3,920 – $4,060, showing a clear balance between buyers and sellers on the 1-hour chart. After several failed attempts to break above resistance, momentum appears to be losing strength, hinting at a potential short-term pullback.
The current setup shows price trading near the upper boundary of the range, aligning with a visible supply zone. This offers a risk-reward opportunity for short-term traders anticipating a rejection from resistance.
Key levels to watch:
Resistance zone: $4,050 – $4,060 (range high / supply area)
Support zone: $3,920 – $3,940 (range low / demand area)
Mid-level: $3,990 (balance line)
Trading plan:
If price remains capped below $4,060 and forms a bearish rejection candle, short positions could target $3,940, with stops above $4,065.
However, a confirmed breakout and close above $4,065 may invalidate the short setup, opening the door for a bullish extension toward $4,100 – $4,120.
Technical summary:
Structure: Sideways consolidation within major range
Bias: Bearish while below $4,060
Tools used: Support & resistance, supply-demand zones, price action
Gold continues to trade indecisively within its range — a breakout from either boundary will define the next major move. Traders should stay patient and wait for confirmation before engaging.
Follow for more professional gold analysis and refined intraday trade setups every day.
Can gold prices go long amid a narrow stalemate?#XAUUSD TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold prices continued to fluctuate narrowly throughout the evening⚖️, with the hourly and 2-hour moving averages converging in the 4010-4005 range, as both bulls and bears awaited a clear directional decision from the market.📊
However, from a technical perspective, gold prices have failed to break below the 4-hour moving average support at 3995 and the daily MA5 at 3985📈. These are crucial short-term support levels🚀, and the fact that gold prices haven't broken them confirms strong buying support below💪. This suggests that any short-term decline should be viewed as a technical correction rather than a market reversal.🤔
Therefore, although the short-term direction is not yet clear, considering the support formed by the 4-hour moving average and the daily MA5, I remain bullish and await a breakout from the consolidation pattern in gold prices🐂.
There may not be much clear information tonight, so let's take a look at the performance of gold prices in the Asian session👀. In summary, the current trend is still in an upward channel. As long as the 3995-3985 level holds, I will maintain a bullish view. On the upside, pay attention to the short-term resistance at 4020-4030🤩.
Parallel Channel Observation H1XAUUSD GOLD Update H1 Timeframe 🙌
- This Analysis is based on educational purposes using Technical aspect Parallel Channel 🔋
- Parallel Channel indications for a good bullish opportunities point from 📈
Targets would be at 4026 - 4047 - 4082.00 ✅️
Note : if Channel breaks this idea will be in Invalid ❗️
All you need to stick with one Mentor with Discipline Consistency and Focus Mindset 💯
#XAUUSD
Gold Weekly Summary and Forecast 11/1/2025Gold closed the month with a green bar which signals the bullish run is not over yet. From monthly TF, I am expecting the price to test 78.6% Fibo level and rise up to previous ATH at 4380 at least for the month of Nov.
Weekly candle is not showing bullish continuation yet, as it's still printing a red candle. From daily, the hanging red candle is also suggesting a drop is coming. Therefore, I am expecting a initial drop to 3940 and rise from there at the later stage of next week.
let's see what the market will provide.
XAUUSD Rangebound Currently XAUUSD Rangebound from 3980-4025 -zone. This Accumulation zone is more volatile as it ready for Implusive Repture.
What are my conditions For This setup?
- I'm expecting then buy trade once any candle closes above 3995 area & expecting the reversal move towards 4028- 4047 target .
Although I already took buy .
✳️Secondly if H4-H1 candle closes below 3980 our buying will be compromised & Market will fall to lower liquidity 3940-3925 zone .






















