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Gold price analysis June 11✏️ XAUUSD Analysis — 06/11 Today's gold trading range is being established within 100 prices, limited by the resistance zone of 4031 and the support zone of 3931. The main trend is still up, so the strategy of prioritizing BUY following the market momentum will be more suitable in this period. The Keylevel zone of 4031 continues to play an important role — if the buying force is strong enough to break this zone, the next target will be 4150. On the other hand, it is necessary to observe the price reaction around the trendline and the support zone of yesterday's Asian session to determine whether the buying force is still maintained or not. 📈 Trading Plan BUY around 3984 BUY when there is a price rejection signal at support 3931 BUY DCA when price breaks 4031 🎯 Target: 4150 ⚠️ Risk: when price breaks the trendline and closes the candle below 3930
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
XAUUSD is on Rangebound currently market is bullish biased and Rangebound from 3995-4040 -zone. Although it's upside at 3998 was to quick. What are my conditions For This setup? - I'm waiting for buy from 3990-3980 area & expecting the reversal move towards 4028- 4047 target although currently I took bu6 from 3995-3990 area and holding till my Targets - Second if H1-H4 candle closes above 4045 area I will straight Buy and target 4070-4090 . ✳️Secondly if H4-H1 candle closes below 3975-3970 our buying will be compromised
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Forexmaestro121
GOLD XAUUSD Gold's reclassification as a Basel III Tier 1 asset marks a significant upgrade in how regulators and banks view gold within global financial systems. Why Gold is Reclassified as Basel III Tier 1 Tier 1 Status Definition: Under Basel III, Tier 1 assets are the highest quality capital assets that banks can use to meet their core capital requirements. These assets carry a 0% risk weight, reflecting their safety, liquidity, and reliability as capital. Gold’s Historical Status: Gold has already been recognized as a Tier 1 asset for capital adequacy since the Basel I Accords in 1988, due to its status as a safe store of value with very low default risk. New Recognition (2025): Starting July 1, 2025, physical gold held by banks can be counted at 100% of its market value in regulatory capital calculations, instead of being subject to significant haircuts or lower classifications (e.g., previously it was treated as a Tier 3 asset with a 50% deduction). High-Quality Liquid Asset (HQLA) Label: This reclassification means gold is now officially recognized as a High-Quality Liquid Asset under Basel III, allowing it to qualify as part of banks’ liquidity coverage ratios (LCR), an important step for liquidity and capital management. Regulatory Shift: This reflects changing perceptions that gold is not just a commodity but a true monetary asset. It is increasingly accepted as a reliable reserve asset by central banks and financial institutions worldwide. Central Bank Adoption: This move aligns with continued aggressive gold buying by central banks, recognizing gold’s importance for capital reserves, systemic stability, and as an inflation hedge. Significance Banks can fully count gold toward core capital reserves. Reduces capital burden, improving bank balance sheets and financial resilience. Endorses gold as a strategic, monetary asset, not just a commodity investment. Encourages institutional demand for physical gold and gold-related financial products. Summary Gold was reclassified as a Basel III Tier 1 asset starting July 1, 2025, reflecting its highest quality capital standing with 0% risk weighting and full market value recognition. This elevates gold’s status to a High-Quality Liquid Asset (HQLA) for regulatory purposes, facilitating banks’ liquidity coverage and capital adequacy. The change signals a major regulatory and market shift, acknowledging gold as a core reserve and strategic financial asset in modern banking systems. #GOLD #XAUUSD
SAXO:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
XAU/USD – 1H Supply Zone Reaction | Possible Short SetupAfter a clean pullback from the recent low near $3,860, Gold is now approaching an important 1H supply zone (around $4,050). The overall structure still remains bearish, with lower highs and lower lows dominating the chart. 🔍 Technical Outlook Price approaching previous structure zone (potential supply). Market structure: Bearish on both 1H and 4H. Rejection from $4,050–$4,060 could trigger a short move back to $3,900–$3,860. Setup invalid if 1H closes above $4,060. 💰 Trade Plan (Example) Entry: 4,030–4,050 Stop Loss: Above 4,060 Take Profit: 3,900 → 3,860 🧠 Bias: Bearish 🎯 Watching for rejection confirmation from $4,050 zone before short entries. #XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #SmartMoneyConcepts #Scalping #FXTrading #GoldAnalysis
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by forexfire1
XAUUSD XAU/USD – Gold Analysis Gold is approaching the upper boundary of the descending channel after a strong bounce from the midline support earlier today. As it nears this zone, price faces a confluence of resistance factors: the descending trendline, the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement, and the upper Bollinger Band. From this area, I’ll be looking for a short setup, targeting a move back toward the midline of the channel to capture the liquidity left by today’s upward move. Fundamental Outlook: The U.S. dollar remains firm as investors continue to favor USD as a safe-haven amid ongoing geopolitical tensions and uncertainty around global growth. The Federal Reserve’s cautious stance and limited expectations for rate cuts are supporting higher Treasury yields, which typically weigh on gold prices. However, gold’s safe-haven demand could re-emerge if geopolitical risks intensify or U.S. economic data begins to soften. For now, the short-term bias remains bearish, with gold under pressure from strong USD fundamentals and technical resistance zones above. Summary: 📈 Testing major resistance (trendline + 0.5 Fibo + Bollinger top). 📉 Looking for short setups near 4024. 🎯 Target: Mid-channel around 3962. ⚙️ Fundamentals: Strong USD and yields keep gold capped short-term. 💡 Bias: Bearish near resistance, bullish only if price breaks above the channel.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Dan-Goldfx
Gold faces key resistance at 4030; continue shorting on rallies.Gold is currently in a consolidation phase, moving back and forth, constantly pulling and tugging. This has been the typical gold price action for a considerable period after major price movements, so it's important to get used to this rhythm. Don't assume a significant surge is imminent just because the price rises; this is currently just a corrective rebound. The overnight short position at 4020 yielded the expected profit. The article explicitly advised shorting, and gold ultimately fell as predicted. Continue to short on any rebounds during the Asian session. Gold is still consolidating on the 1-hour chart, without a clear directional breakout. Current rebounds present opportunities to short. Multiple attempts to break through resistance levels haven't resulted in a significant upward breakout, indicating insufficient bullish momentum and a generally bearish bias. The 4030 level is a key resistance point. Until a strong, one-sided trend emerges, shorting at the trendline resistance is advisable. Only a break above 4050 could bring a bullish resurgence. Gold's consolidation without breaking below 3960 suggests a possible trap for long positions. If this continues, a further collapse in gold prices is quite possible. Traders need to be adaptable to these situations. In terms of trading strategy, it is recommended to open a short position at 4000. If there is a strong upward movement, pay further attention to 4020-4030 to continue shorting. On the downside, focus on the 3930-3900 range.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Henry_Matthew
XAU/USD – Gold Accumulates Before Breakout, Target 4,096 USD🔍 Market Context Gold is trading within a symmetrical triangle pattern , reflecting short-term accumulation before forming a new breakout wave. After a sharp decline from the peak of 4,096 USD, the market has shown two instances of Change of Character (ChoCH) – an early sign indicating the return of buying pressure. As long as the price holds above the 3,959 – 3,917 USD range, the short-term bullish structure remains intact. This support zone serves as a crucial “discount zone” in the current accumulation cycle. 💎 Key Technical Zones • Support Zone 1: 3,959 USD → main structure holding area, coinciding with the lower trendline. • Support Zone 2: 3,917 USD → final liquidity reaction zone. • Resistance Zone: 4,040 USD → potential break & retest area. • Liquidity Zone: 4,096 USD → expansion target if the peak is broken. 🎯 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ BUY Setup – Favoring the bullish structure • Entry: 3,959 – 3,917 USD • Stop Loss: 3,905 USD • Take Profit:  – TP1: 3,985  – TP2: 4,040  – TP3: 4,072  – TP4: 4,096 ✳️ “Buy the discount” – prioritize buying orders at the confluence support zone of trendline + FVG to follow the SMC flow. 2️⃣ SELL Scalp – Secondary strategy when price reacts at the peak • Entry: 4,096 USD • Stop Loss: 4,108 USD • Take Profit:  – TP1: 4,072  – TP2: 4,040  – TP3: 3,985 ✳️ “Sell the premium” – only activate if there is a strong price rejection signal at the liquidity peak. 💬 Conclusion The short-term trend of gold remains bullish as the price stays above the trendline and continuously forms higher lows. The main strategy is buy the dip – sell reaction around the 3,959 → 4,096 USD range. The confirmation point for a strong bullish trend will be when the price closes steadily above 4,040 USD . “Smart money accumulates in silence before the market makes noise.” ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Update: 03/11/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
OUTLOOK XAUUSD 1H Analysis (6th November 2025)This just a trade Idea not a financial advise BUY/SELL SCENARIOS: BUYS: 1) Body Candle Close above the 3990.36 level. 2) Retest the failed 1h Bearish OB at the 3990.36 level. 3) Create a 3/5m Bullish Engulfing Candle to capitalize on BUYS towards the 4046.50 level. SELLS: 1) Retest the 1h Bearish OB at the 3979.33 level. 2) Create a 3/5m Bearish CHOCH with a body candle close (with a FVG) 3)Retest the 3/5m Bearish CHOCH Level to capitalize on SELLS towards the 3915.30 level. Trade smart, Trade safe and trade according to your trading plans. Cheers
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by paulsmith007
Gold Awaits Direction Near $4,000 as Fed Comments Limit Upside🔍 Market Context Gold is trading slightly below the $4,000 mark in early Asian hours, pressured by the Fed’s hawkish tone despite weaker US manufacturing data. Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled that another rate cut this year is “not guaranteed”, tempering expectations for further easing. Meanwhile, ISM Manufacturing PMI slipped to 48.7 in October, below forecast — showing a slowdown, yet not enough to shift the Fed’s cautious stance. Markets currently price in a 70% chance of a 25 bps cut in December and a total 82 bps by end-2026, reflecting moderate easing expectations rather than a full pivot. 📊 Technical Outlook (H1–H4) Gold is consolidating around the 3,984–3,985$ area, forming a reaction base above 3,963$ support. The structure remains within a short-term ascending channel, with the next directional cue likely from the 4,024$ resistance zone. Key Levels: • Support 1: 3,963$ – 3,984$ (liquidity defense zone) • Support 2: 3,923$ (bullish invalidation level) • Resistance 1: 4,024$ • Resistance 2 / Target: 4,046$ A sustained break above 4,024$ could trigger momentum toward 4,046$, confirming trend continuation. Conversely, losing 3,963$ would expose 3,923$ as the next liquidity pool before a potential rebound. 🎯 Trading Outlook Bias remains neutral-to-bullish as long as 3,963$ holds. If price reacts positively at this zone during the Asian session, short-term buyers may step in toward 4,024$–4,046$. However, any fresh hawkish comments from Fed officials could cap gains and trigger profit-taking. ⚜️ MMFLOW Insight: “Liquidity builds where patience fades — smart money waits for the crowd to act first.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD – Gold Eyes a Breakout Above $4,030: Momentum Still Build🟢 XAUUSD | Gold Breakout Setup – Educational Analysis Gold continues to show constructive price action following sustained bullish momentum across intraday timeframes. After a healthy consolidation phase, the market is now testing a critical resistance zone around $4,030. A clean breakout and confirmed 1H close above $4,030 would signal renewed strength, aligning with the broader bullish structure observed on higher timeframes (4H & Daily). 🔹 Technical Outlook The current structure suggests the potential for continuation toward higher liquidity zones if the breakout holds. Sustained trading above $4,030 would confirm buyer control, invalidating the short-term correction phase. 📈 Trade Plan (Educational Setup) Entry (Buy Stop): $4,030 Stop Loss (SL): $4,000 Take Profit Targets (TP): TP1 → $4,060 TP2 → $4,090 TP3 → $4,120 TP4 → $4,150 TP5 → $4,180 TP6 → $4,210 💡 Analyst’s Commentary This setup aims to capture the potential breakout continuation, with risk contained below the $4,000 psychological support. Momentum confirmation on H1 and H4 closes will be key for trade validation. Traders may consider partial profit-taking along the way and trailing stops to secure gains. ⚖️ Risk/Reward: ≈ 1 : 3.5 🕓 Timeframe: H1 – Short-Term Swing ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is shared for educational and research purposes only as part of Middle East Trading Academy’s ongoing market study. It does not constitute financial advice or an investment recommendation.
VANTAGE:XAUUSDLong
by MiddleEastTradingAcademy
Today's gold trading strategyLow-buying and long-positioning during the oscillation recovery, seizing the technical rebound window The core driving force for the bulls: oversold recovery + expected support. The rebound demand after technical oversold: The RSI indicator on the hourly chart has risen from 23 after the sharp decline to 42, but the 4-hour chart is still not out of the oversold range (＜30). There is a short-term technical recovery momentum. The gold price has been supported twice at the 4000-dollar integer level, forming a "double-bottom" pattern, and the fluctuation range in the past three trading days has gradually narrowed, indicating that after the oscillation, there is a high probability of breaking through the upper limit of the range. The bottom support of the expectation of Fed easing: The probability of a 12-month interest rate cut is still maintained at 89% in the market, and it has not completely reversed due to the easing of the geopolitical situation. The policy of the tapering of balance sheet will officially end on December 1st, and the implementation of this certain easing event provides "safety margin" for short-term funds, avoiding another deep correction of the gold price. Structural support of the oscillation range: The 4000-4050 dollar range has become the core area of short-term buying and selling. The 4000-dollar level is both an integer boundary and the lower boundary of the previous oscillation platform, and it has been tested multiple times without effectively breaking through, indicating that there is a concentrated buying demand at this position; the 4050-dollar level is the recent rebound high point, and after the breakthrough, it will open up the short-term upward space. Today's gold trading strategy buy：4005-4015 tp:4035-4045 sl:3995
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_Lewis1