Trade ideas
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area 4219.Colleagues, I am not abandoning the idea that the upward movement is not over yet.
It seems that the correction in wave “4” is very long and I think that it may continue to the support area 3807 and there is an important nuance - it is quite difficult to label all this movement as wave “C”, because it contradicts some rules of wave construction, but there are exceptions and I tend to interpret the downward movement in this way.
There is one more option, which does not contradict the rules and it is a “shortened wave ”5" at 4377, and then (ABC) looks more adequate, but I will not display this option. In both cases, I expect a resumption of the move to at least the 4219 area.
Fundamental context
Against the current macro backdrop, gold remains well-supported: the U.S. dollar is under pressure, and bond yields continue to decline after recent weaker economic data. This environment sustains demand for safe-haven assets.
Short-term pullbacks and profit-taking after record highs appear natural — overall interest in gold stays strong, particularly amid expectations of further Fed policy easing.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Gold price analysis June 11✏️ XAUUSD Analysis — 06/11
Today's gold trading range is being established within 100 prices, limited by the resistance zone of 4031 and the support zone of 3931.
The main trend is still up, so the strategy of prioritizing BUY following the market momentum will be more suitable in this period.
The Keylevel zone of 4031 continues to play an important role — if the buying force is strong enough to break this zone, the next target will be 4150.
On the other hand, it is necessary to observe the price reaction around the trendline and the support zone of yesterday's Asian session to determine whether the buying force is still maintained or not.
📈 Trading Plan
BUY around 3984
BUY when there is a price rejection signal at support 3931
BUY DCA when price breaks 4031
🎯 Target: 4150
⚠️ Risk: when price breaks the trendline and closes the candle below 3930
XAUUSD is on Rangebound currently market is bullish biased and Rangebound from 3995-4040 -zone.
Although it's upside at 3998 was to quick.
What are my conditions For This setup?
- I'm waiting for buy from 3990-3980 area & expecting the reversal move towards 4028- 4047 target although currently I took bu6 from 3995-3990 area and holding till my Targets
- Second if H1-H4 candle closes above 4045 area I will straight Buy and target 4070-4090 .
✳️Secondly if H4-H1 candle closes below 3975-3970 our buying will be compromised
GOLD XAUUSD Gold's reclassification as a Basel III Tier 1 asset marks a significant upgrade in how regulators and banks view gold within global financial systems.
Why Gold is Reclassified as Basel III Tier 1
Tier 1 Status Definition: Under Basel III, Tier 1 assets are the highest quality capital assets that banks can use to meet their core capital requirements. These assets carry a 0% risk weight, reflecting their safety, liquidity, and reliability as capital.
Gold’s Historical Status: Gold has already been recognized as a Tier 1 asset for capital adequacy since the Basel I Accords in 1988, due to its status as a safe store of value with very low default risk.
New Recognition (2025): Starting July 1, 2025, physical gold held by banks can be counted at 100% of its market value in regulatory capital calculations, instead of being subject to significant haircuts or lower classifications (e.g., previously it was treated as a Tier 3 asset with a 50% deduction).
High-Quality Liquid Asset (HQLA) Label: This reclassification means gold is now officially recognized as a High-Quality Liquid Asset under Basel III, allowing it to qualify as part of banks’ liquidity coverage ratios (LCR), an important step for liquidity and capital management.
Regulatory Shift: This reflects changing perceptions that gold is not just a commodity but a true monetary asset. It is increasingly accepted as a reliable reserve asset by central banks and financial institutions worldwide.
Central Bank Adoption: This move aligns with continued aggressive gold buying by central banks, recognizing gold’s importance for capital reserves, systemic stability, and as an inflation hedge.
Significance
Banks can fully count gold toward core capital reserves.
Reduces capital burden, improving bank balance sheets and financial resilience.
Endorses gold as a strategic, monetary asset, not just a commodity investment.
Encourages institutional demand for physical gold and gold-related financial products.
Summary
Gold was reclassified as a Basel III Tier 1 asset starting July 1, 2025, reflecting its highest quality capital standing with 0% risk weighting and full market value recognition. This elevates gold’s status to a High-Quality Liquid Asset (HQLA) for regulatory purposes, facilitating banks’ liquidity coverage and capital adequacy. The change signals a major regulatory and market shift, acknowledging gold as a core reserve and strategic financial asset in modern banking systems.
#GOLD #XAUUSD
XAU/USD – 1H Supply Zone Reaction | Possible Short SetupAfter a clean pullback from the recent low near $3,860, Gold is now approaching an important 1H supply zone (around $4,050).
The overall structure still remains bearish, with lower highs and lower lows dominating the chart.
🔍 Technical Outlook
Price approaching previous structure zone (potential supply).
Market structure: Bearish on both 1H and 4H.
Rejection from $4,050–$4,060 could trigger a short move back to $3,900–$3,860.
Setup invalid if 1H closes above $4,060.
💰 Trade Plan (Example)
Entry: 4,030–4,050
Stop Loss: Above 4,060
Take Profit: 3,900 → 3,860
🧠 Bias: Bearish
🎯 Watching for rejection confirmation from $4,050 zone before short entries.
#XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #SmartMoneyConcepts #Scalping #FXTrading #GoldAnalysis
XAUUSD Update - WARNING - Price reaction from 3887 After a huge drop..price touched 3887 level and since than, price made a valid structure to make a reverse movement.
It could be a sign for a big retracement or a valid reversal to consolidation and make a new ATH.
Let see it progress and stay carefully !
Have a blessing week ahead !
Gold faces key resistance at 4030; continue shorting on rallies.Gold is currently in a consolidation phase, moving back and forth, constantly pulling and tugging. This has been the typical gold price action for a considerable period after major price movements, so it's important to get used to this rhythm. Don't assume a significant surge is imminent just because the price rises; this is currently just a corrective rebound. The overnight short position at 4020 yielded the expected profit. The article explicitly advised shorting, and gold ultimately fell as predicted. Continue to short on any rebounds during the Asian session.
Gold is still consolidating on the 1-hour chart, without a clear directional breakout. Current rebounds present opportunities to short. Multiple attempts to break through resistance levels haven't resulted in a significant upward breakout, indicating insufficient bullish momentum and a generally bearish bias. The 4030 level is a key resistance point. Until a strong, one-sided trend emerges, shorting at the trendline resistance is advisable. Only a break above 4050 could bring a bullish resurgence.
Gold's consolidation without breaking below 3960 suggests a possible trap for long positions. If this continues, a further collapse in gold prices is quite possible. Traders need to be adaptable to these situations. In terms of trading strategy, it is recommended to open a short position at 4000. If there is a strong upward movement, pay further attention to 4020-4030 to continue shorting. On the downside, focus on the 3930-3900 range.
SELL XAUUSDXAUUSD (4H Analysis)
After the recent drop on the 4-hour timeframe, the price has formed a rectangle (range) pattern.
If the support of the pattern breaks, we could see a continuation of the bearish move toward lower levels.
However, if the resistance breaks, a short-term bullish correction might occur.
Short on GoldShort on gold. Price has reaced an area of interest in the 4H chart where price has been used as resistance 3 previous times. Price has also tested the 50 EMA and failed to break above it (confluence) Sell gold now for possibly drop back to the support zone around 3,965. If you enter now stop loss above last high of the resitance level around 4,054.1
XAUUSD XAU/USD – Gold Analysis
Gold is approaching the upper boundary of the descending channel after a strong bounce from the midline support earlier today.
As it nears this zone, price faces a confluence of resistance factors: the descending trendline, the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement, and the upper Bollinger Band.
From this area, I’ll be looking for a short setup, targeting a move back toward the midline of the channel to capture the liquidity left by today’s upward move.
Fundamental Outlook:
The U.S. dollar remains firm as investors continue to favor USD as a safe-haven amid ongoing geopolitical tensions and uncertainty around global growth.
The Federal Reserve’s cautious stance and limited expectations for rate cuts are supporting higher Treasury yields, which typically weigh on gold prices.
However, gold’s safe-haven demand could re-emerge if geopolitical risks intensify or U.S. economic data begins to soften.
For now, the short-term bias remains bearish, with gold under pressure from strong USD fundamentals and technical resistance zones above.
Summary:
📈 Testing major resistance (trendline + 0.5 Fibo + Bollinger top).
📉 Looking for short setups near 4024.
🎯 Target: Mid-channel around 3962.
⚙️ Fundamentals: Strong USD and yields keep gold capped short-term.
💡 Bias: Bearish near resistance, bullish only if price breaks above the channel.
We firmly go long when the market is blindly shorting.#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
From the hourly chart, the short-term gold price has broken through the resistance of the triangle pattern boundary. The market has made its choice, and it is clear that we bulls have won. Therefore, we can continue to execute our trading strategy for the next step. Wait for a pullback to 3995-3985 to buy again, with an initial target of 4020-4030.
XAU/USD – Gold Accumulates Before Breakout, Target 4,096 USD🔍 Market Context
Gold is trading within a symmetrical triangle pattern , reflecting short-term accumulation before forming a new breakout wave.
After a sharp decline from the peak of 4,096 USD, the market has shown two instances of Change of Character (ChoCH) – an early sign indicating the return of buying pressure.
As long as the price holds above the 3,959 – 3,917 USD range, the short-term bullish structure remains intact. This support zone serves as a crucial “discount zone” in the current accumulation cycle.
💎 Key Technical Zones
• Support Zone 1: 3,959 USD → main structure holding area, coinciding with the lower trendline.
• Support Zone 2: 3,917 USD → final liquidity reaction zone.
• Resistance Zone: 4,040 USD → potential break & retest area.
• Liquidity Zone: 4,096 USD → expansion target if the peak is broken.
🎯 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ BUY Setup – Favoring the bullish structure
• Entry: 3,959 – 3,917 USD
• Stop Loss: 3,905 USD
• Take Profit:
– TP1: 3,985
– TP2: 4,040
– TP3: 4,072
– TP4: 4,096
✳️ “Buy the discount” – prioritize buying orders at the confluence support zone of trendline + FVG to follow the SMC flow.
2️⃣ SELL Scalp – Secondary strategy when price reacts at the peak
• Entry: 4,096 USD
• Stop Loss: 4,108 USD
• Take Profit:
– TP1: 4,072
– TP2: 4,040
– TP3: 3,985
✳️ “Sell the premium” – only activate if there is a strong price rejection signal at the liquidity peak.
💬 Conclusion
The short-term trend of gold remains bullish as the price stays above the trendline and continuously forms higher lows.
The main strategy is buy the dip – sell reaction around the 3,959 → 4,096 USD range.
The confirmation point for a strong bullish trend will be when the price closes steadily above 4,040 USD .
“Smart money accumulates in silence before the market makes noise.”
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Update: 03/11/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OUTLOOK XAUUSD 1H Analysis (6th November 2025)This just a trade Idea not a financial advise
BUY/SELL SCENARIOS:
BUYS:
1) Body Candle Close above the 3990.36 level.
2) Retest the failed 1h Bearish OB at the 3990.36 level.
3) Create a 3/5m Bullish Engulfing Candle to capitalize on BUYS towards the 4046.50 level.
SELLS:
1) Retest the 1h Bearish OB at the 3979.33 level.
2) Create a 3/5m Bearish CHOCH with a body candle close (with a FVG)
3)Retest the 3/5m Bearish CHOCH Level to capitalize on SELLS towards the 3915.30 level.
Trade smart, Trade safe and trade according to your trading plans. Cheers
3905 is running;By examining the gold chart on the 1-hour time frame, you can see that the price was able to break the support of 3962 and corrected to 3934;
Currently, gold is trading in the range of 3934, and the price is expected to move to the level of 3947 and continue its decline again to the area of 3905;






















