XAUUSD 30M – Intraday Plan Around the RangePrice is holding between $3,657.17 (resistance) and $3,626.93 (support).
We’re trading around $3,652–$3,653 just below resistance. Scalps can work, but bigger moves need confirmation.
🔼 Bullish Plan (primary focus – aligned with fundamentals)
Trigger: A clean 30min body close above $3,657.17 (not just a wick).
Targets: $3,660.30 → $3,664.53 → $3,666.14
Management: Take partials at $3,660.30, move SL to breakeven once $3,657 holds on retest.
🔽 Bearish Plan (secondary, cleaner below support)
Trigger: 30min body close below $3,626.93.
Targets: $3,624.52 → $3,623.32 → $3,621.49
Management: Scale partials at $3,624.52, protect the rest at breakeven.
🌍 Fundamentals: CPI bit hotter than expected → supports Fed rate cuts (odds at 100%). Real yields declining + strong central bank demand → keeps gold structurally bullish.
🔄 Range Scalp (higher risk, small size)
Shorts: $3,656–$3,657 on rejection → aim $3,650–$3,652, SL above $3,660.
Longs: $3,627–$3,628 on rejection wick → aim $3,636–$3,640, SL below $3,624.
✅ Break Confirmation
Strong 30min close through $3,657 or $3,626.
❌ Invalidation
Breakout closes back inside the box (trap).
Multiple wicks with no continuation.
📌 Bottom Line
Above $3,657.17 → bullish bias to $3,660 → $3,666.
Below $3,626.93 → bearish bias to $3,624 → $3,621.
Inside the box = scalp only, risk tight.
