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Lingrid | GOLD Retracement Complete Potential ContinuationOANDA:XAUUSD pulled back after hitting the 3,790 resistance but continues to respect the upward trendline and channel structure. Price action shows a trend continuation setup with consolidation zones acting as mid-support. As long as 3,730 holds, buyers may attempt another push toward the 3,800 and higher resistance zone. Overall momentum remains bullish, supported by higher lows and sustained channel direction. ⚠️ Risks: Failure to hold 3,730 could trigger a deeper correction toward 3,700 support. Strong USD recovery on economic data like GDP may weigh on gold prices. Sudden shifts in bond yields could reduce safe-haven demand. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
13
Gold Bullish Setup Towards 3910 ATHThis chart shows the XAU/USD (Gold vs US Dollar) 1-hour timeframe analysis. Price is currently trading around 3863, following a strong bullish trend supported by an upward trendline. The market recently bounced from the support area and continues to push higher, confirming buyer strength. Key levels are highlighted: Immediate support: 3853 – 3807 zone, aligned with the trendline. Resistance levels: 3873 and 3900, with the next target at 3910 (new all-time high). The projection suggests that as long as gold holds above the support trendline, price is likely to continue its bullish momentum, potentially reaching 3910. However, a break below the support could trigger a deeper pullback. 👉 Overall bias: Bullish, targeting 3910 ATH if momentum sustains.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Forex_ViP_Signalss
14
Gold Continues to Show Strength👋Hello everyone, what do you think about the current trend of OANDA:XAUUSD ? Yesterday, the market received an important piece of news: the JOLTS data showed 7.23 million job openings in the U.S., surpassing the forecast of 7.19 million and slightly higher than the previous figure of 7.21 million. In response to this information, gold initially experienced a temporary pullback but quickly regained momentum. Despite the somewhat negative impact on gold due to this data, it reaffirms XAUUSD's position as a safe-haven asset. As of the time of writing, XAUUSD continues to test new highs, with the price currently trading around 3,865 USD. The short-term outlook remains supported by technical factors. As long as the support levels hold, I remain optimistic and target higher levels, with 3,900 USD being the first psychological level. What do you think about the trend of XAUUSD? 💬Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Kevinn_Nguyen
27
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEDaily Chart Update – Follow Up 3776 Target Achieved!! Previously, we highlighted the importance of a candle body close above 3683, which opened the gap toward 3776. That target has now been hit with precision last week. With 3776 now achieved, the key focus shifts to the daily close: A sustained candle body close above 3776 will confirm the breakout and open the path toward 3866, especially if we see the EMA5 cross and lock in alignment. For now, any rejection at this level would ideally see the channel top act as support, allowing room for a healthy correction while maintaining the broader bullish structure. However, if price rejects and slips back into the channel, then range-bound play resumes within the channel zone. Current Outlook 🔹 3683 Target Reached Our breakout sequence played out with precision, starting from the EMA5 lock above 3564 and extending to complete the 3683 objective. 🔹 3776 Target Completed Last weeks price action delivered the full upside completion into 3776. Now, new daily close will decide whether the breakout extends further into new ranges. 🔹 Key Inflection – 3776 Close above = breakout expansion toward 3866. Rejection = retest of 3683 and channel top as support, or deeper channel play if momentum fades. Updated Key Levels 📉 Support – 3683 & Channel Top 📉 Deeper Support – 3564 & 3433 📉 Pivotal Floor – 3272 📈 Resistance / Next Upside Objective – 3866 (on confirmed close and EMA5 lock above 3776) As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
8
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Great start to the week as our 1H chart idea played out exactly as analysed. We started the day with our Bullish target 3780 hit, followed by the ema5 cross and lock opening 3802, which was also hit perfectly. We then had a further ema5 cross and lock opening the final target on this chart idea 3825, which was now hit, completing this chart idea beautifully. ✅ This 1H chart idea is now complete. Please review our 4H chart, daily and weekly chart ideas for a continuation on tracking the movement Previous 1H Chart Outlook We were seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3780 and a gap below at 3753. We expected an ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. Levels were tested side by side until one of the weighted levels broke and locked to confirm direction. BULLISH TARGETS 3780 ✅ Hit 3802 ✅ Hit 3825 ✅ Hit — chart idea completed As always, we’ll keep you all updated throughout the week with active setups and management. Thank you for your continued support with likes, comments, and follows, it means a lot! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
7
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Another PIPTASTIC day on the charts with our 4H chart also playing out as analysed. Yesterday we completed our 1H chart idea and today we complete our 4H chart idea. After completing 3778 target, we had ema5 cross and lock gaps open above at 3811 and 3845 - Both of these gaps are now hit complecting this chart idea. BULLISH TARGET 3696 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3696 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3738 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3738 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3778 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3778 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3811 - - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3811 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3845 - DONE As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
6
Gold at Key Decision Zone: Breakout or Breakdown?Hello guys! Let's analyze Gold! 🔸 Current Market Structure Price is consolidating inside a symmetrical triangle after a strong bullish run. Momentum remains positive, but sellers are defending the upper trendline. Key short-term support is around 3,720 – 3,710 zone. 🔺 Bullish Scenario (More Probable) If price breaks above the triangle resistance, we could see continuation toward 3,770 – 3,790 levels. Structure favors buyers as long as price holds above 3,720. 🔻 Bearish Scenario (Alternative) If the price loses the 3,710 support zone, sellers may take control. Downside targets: First support: 3,690 – 3,680 zone Key target: 3,676 area 🔹 Conclusion More probable scenario: A bullish breakout continuation. Risk to watch: If the support fails, the price could quickly revisit 3,676. Best approach: Wait for a confirmed breakout before entering. Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by melikatrader94
16
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bearish Reversal Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout 🩸Bearish Reversal - 3774 ➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority ➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected. The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size. Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation. 🔥 Tactical Note: We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention. The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Path_Of_Hanzo
25
GOLD → Will the correction continue, or is it time for growth?FX:XAUUSD is inside a descending channel—corrections within a global bullish trend. The price is forming a retest of resistance, and the market's reaction to the 3760 zone will give further insight into price movement... Gold is consolidating in the range of 3730-3790 in anticipation of US economic data and speeches by Fed officials. Pressure on the metal is intensifying due to revised expectations for rate cuts and a correction in the dollar... Key factors: Markets have reduced expectations for easing to 43 bps by the end of the year after cautious comments from the Fed. The dollar index has reached a 9-day high, limiting gold's growth. Tensions between Russia and NATO are preventing gold from falling. The market is in wait-and-see mode ahead of tomorrow's PCE data. Strong data today will strengthen the dollar and reinforce the correction in the metal, while escalating geopolitics will bring back demand for safe havens. Resistance levels: 3760, 3776, 3791 Support levels: 3752, 3741, 3731 Technically, the market is testing downward resistance. Since the opening of the session, the price has already moved a lot and there may not be enough potential for an initial breakout. I expect a pullback to 3745-3740, and if the bulls return the price to 3760, the market will have a chance to break through resistance and continue growing towards the resistance level of the range. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
16
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see update on our 4H chart idea from last week, which is playing out as analysed and still valid to continue to track for the coming week. After completing our Bullish targets last week with ema5 cross and lock confirmation, we are now seeing price play between 3738 and 3778. . We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either of these two weighted level to determine the next range. We will also now use lower Goldturns for support and Bounce until we see further cross and lock above for a continuation. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3696 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3696 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3738 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3738 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3778 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3778 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3811 - EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3811 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3845 BEARISH TARGETS 3655 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3655 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3615 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3615 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3583 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3583 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3546 3509 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3509 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE 3458 3409 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
5
Gold is making another record pullback then spike This chart analysis of XAU/USD (Gold vs US Dollar) on the 1-hour timeframe shows a bullish outlook with a focus on the support trend line. Price recently pulled back after a sharp rise but is holding above the support zone and support trend line. If the support holds, gold is expected to bounce and resume its upward move. Key resistance levels to watch are 3873 and 3900, with a potential target at 3910 (New ATH). A break below the support trend line could weaken bullish momentum, but as long as it holds, the outlook remains positive. 👉 Overall, the analysis suggests a bullish continuation setup with higher targets if support sustains.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Forex_ViP_Signalss
12
DAILY CHART UPDATEDaily Chart Update – Follow Up 3776 & 3866 Targets Achieved!! Previously, we highlighted the importance of a candle body close above 3683, which opened the gap toward 3776. That target was achieved with precision, and now we’ve also seen the move extend into the final daily target of 3866, exactly as projected. What an amazing day on the chart, With the 3866 completion now in DONE, our attention shifts to what comes next: 🔹 Continuation Breakout Scenario – A sustained break and close above 3866 will confirm further bullish expansion, meaning we’ll need to update our upside levels in the next update. 🔹 Rejection Scenario – A failure to hold above 3866 could invite a pullback, with lower Goldturns being tested for support and potential bounce opportunities. Current Outlook ✅ 3683 Target Reached Our breakout sequence played out with precision, starting from the EMA5 lock above 3564 and extending to complete the 3683 objective. ✅ 3776 Target Completed Last week’s price action delivered the full upside into 3776, confirming the breakout momentum. ✅ 3866 Final Daily Target Hit Today’s action completed the 3866 objective exactly as anticipated. The next update will guide whether this evolves into further continuation or a corrective pullback. Updated Key Levels 📉 Support – 3776 & 3683 📉 Deeper Support – 3564 & 3433 📉 Pivotal Floor – 3272 📈 Resistance / Next Upside Objective – Awaiting new levels above 3866 (on confirmed breakout continuation) As always, we’ll continue to keep you updated with regular insights throughout the week and show how we manage these active ideas and setups. Thank you all for the continued support, likes, and feedback – it’s truly appreciated! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
6
GOLD → Consolidation before growth FX:XAUUSD is correcting from 3895 and forming consolidation with a key support area at 3854, below which lies a huge pool of liquidity. A deep correction is unlikely due to ongoing risks. The suspension of NFP publication due to the shutdown and inflation creates uncertainty for Fed policy, as does weak employment data... However, the resumption of government work will allow the publication of data on unemployment claims and factory orders, so increased volatility in the markets is to be expected on Thursday/Friday... The correction in gold is a temporary pause. As long as US fiscal risks, labor market weakness, and geopolitical tensions remain, the uptrend will remain intact. The $3850 level is the nearest support. Resistance levels: 3871.6, 3895, 3900 Support levels: 3854.5, 3831.3 The most likely scenario at the moment is a long squeeze in the 3854.5 liquidity zone before continuing to rise beyond 3900... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
7
Trend and Impact of the US Political Situation on Gold PricesHello everyone, Gold prices have seen significant volatility recently. The price dropped sharply by $70/ounce, falling to $3,800/ounce. However, gold has made an impressive recovery, regaining $60 to reach $3,860/ounce. This reflects a major correction after gold reached a record high on 30th September. However, the decline in gold prices has been limited by concerns over the potential US government shutdown, as the Democratic and Republican parties have failed to reach an agreement on the spending plan for federal activities. If an agreement is not reached, this situation could cause major disruptions, including halting public services and cutting wages for federal employees. This has created uncertainty in the financial markets, with many investors increasing demand for safe-haven assets like gold. As a result, after dropping to $3,800/ounce, gold quickly rebounded. Analysts believe that the uncertainty from the risk of a US government shutdown will continue to support gold’s role as a safe-haven asset. However, profit-taking activities and fluctuations in the USD could cause short-term volatility. Investors are particularly waiting for additional economic data and political developments to guide their next trading strategy. With these factors influencing the market, gold is likely to trade within a wide range in the near term. Key support levels are currently around $3,800–$3,850/ounce, with the next resistance levels at $3,900 and $4,000. What are your thoughts on this scenario? Will gold continue to rise, or will it face a correction? Please share your views below.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EmmaChartist
20
GOLD: Back from 3795 with target 4000GOLD: Back from 3795 with target 4000 After gold reached 3871.6 earlier today, we saw a strong sell-off that occurred as a profit-taking moment, pushing the price down to 3795. Currently, buyers are still strong and as long as the price stays above 3795, I don't see any hope for a down move yet. Gold remains in a clear and strong uptrend. It seems like everyone is trading only gold. It seems like all the market volume is invested only in gold :) As we can see, the US reported good JOLT data 7.22M vs. 7.2M, but again the US dollar is weak. The targets are still valid as in the last analysis I posted. Main targets: 3850; 3900; 3950 and 4000 You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
FX:XAUUSDLong
by KlejdiCuni
15
Gold can Bounce From Channel Support and Continue HigherHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. The market context for Gold has been firmly bullish since the price action reversed its prior downward channel, a move that established the current, well-defined upward channel. This structure has been methodically guiding the price of XAUUSD higher through a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows, confirming that buyers are in control of the dominant trend. Currently, after recently testing the channel's upper resistance line, the asset is undergoing a healthy corrective phase. This pull-back is guiding the price towards a critical confluence of support, where the ascending support line of the channel meets the horizontal support zone around the 3625 current support level. In my mind, this correction is an opportunity to join the uptrend. I expect that the price will find support on the channel's lower boundary and initiate a new upward rebound. I think this move will carry the price to a new high within the channel. Therefore, I have placed my TP at 3930 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by LegionQ8
12
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT: In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for price to support at the beginning of the week, hopefully in to the red box, and then push upside into the higher red box. This move worked well for the long trade, however, it was at that region we ideally wanted to short back down into the lower liquidity pools. We didn’t get this move due to the red box breaking above, so we continued with the bias and the target levels and managed to complete some fantastic long trades, as well as an extremely decent short hitting Excalibur on the nose. Not a bad week, even though the plan wasn’t as successful as tends to be. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? We had bullish Friday after the break out, but the last few hours you can see some profit taking in process. We’re now still above our bias level 3740-45 but the issue we have here is there is still no breach of the red box defence above, which again held strong late session on Friday. We’re also flagging which is another concern, so, for that reason, we’ll say, resistance above is the 3767-75 region, which if targeted and held during the early session can take us back into the order region 3750-40 which is where a potential opportunity may come to attempt the long trade upside to target that all time high again. Please note, the 3795-3810 needs a strong daily close above it to go higher, so we won’t be looking to get trapped high in a potential move that can turn again! That for us is the level to watch if price attempts that level. We have a lot of news this week including NFP, with tomorrow looking like it could be a ranging day playing those order regions. It's the last few days of the month, so we'll have to play level to level intra-day and wait for the monthly close for a clearer picture. Right now, levels are level, boxes are boxes, we'll stick with the plan and move with the market where ever it goes. RED BOX TARGETS: Break above 3765 for 3773, 3777, 3785, 3796 and 3802 in extension of the move Break below 3750 for 3744, 3740, 3732 and 3720 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
11
Gold's Crisis Pattern: The Liquidation Before the Flight TVC:GOLD Crisis Pattern: The Liquidation Before the Flight Why Gold May Fall 25% Before Its Greatest Bull Run Yet While everyone expects gold to rally during the next crisis, history suggests something different: gold gets sold first, bought later. At $3,790, FX:XAUUSD may be setting up for its most painful - and ultimately profitable - cycle yet. Think of TVC:GOLD like a life preserver on a sinking ship. When panic first strikes, people throw everything overboard to stay afloat - even their life preservers. Only when they're drowning do they realize what they really need. The Crisis Liquidation Pattern 2000 Dot-Com Crisis: Pre-crisis peak: $326 Initial drop: -21% Crisis bottom: $255 Ultimate recovery: +650% over 11 years 2008 Financial Crisis: Pre-crisis peak: $1,033 Initial drop: -34% Crisis bottom: $680 Ultimate recovery: +180% over 3 years 2020 COVID Pandemic: Pre-pandemic peak: $1,696 Initial drop: -15% Bottom-to-recovery: +43% over 2 years, +160% over 5 years Key Distinction: Some will point to 2020, when TVC:GOLD rallied during the COVID crash. But that was a unique exogenous shock - the selloff lasted only weeks before unprecedented stimulus and collapsing real yields drove gold to new highs. In contrast, financial-system crises like 2000 and 2008 forced TVC:GOLD into year-long corrections before its hedge role reasserted. The 2025 setup looks far closer to those financial crises than to 2020's pandemic shock. 2025 Projection: Current peak: $3,790 (I think top already - might be wrong ) ✓ Expected initial drop: -20 to -25% Target bottom: $2,800-3,000 Long-term recovery target: $6,500+ by 2030 Why VELOCITY:GOLD Falls During Liquidity Crises? The Margin Call Cascade When leveraged positions blow up, investors sell what they can, not what they want to. TVC:GOLD , being liquid and unencumbered, becomes emergency cash. The Three-Phase Liquidation: Phase 1: "This is just a correction" - Hold everything Phase 2: "I need cash now" - Sell winners (including gold) Phase 3: "The system is broken" - Buy gold as currency hedge Think of it like a house fire: you don't grab the fire extinguisher first, you grab your wallet. Only after you're safe do you wish you'd saved the fire extinguisher. What Makes 2025 Different? Unprecedented Starting Point CAPITALCOM:GOLD at all-time highs vs. GDP ✓ Central bank buying at record levels Retail ownership through ETFs at maximum More holders means more potential sellers The AI Deflation/Monetary Inflation Paradox AI driving productivity gains (deflationary) Debt levels requiring monetary expansion (inflationary) Gold benefits from the monetary side, but falls in initial deflationary shock Geopolitical MCX:GOLD1! Demand vs. Financial Selling Central banks want VELOCITY:GOLD for de-dollarization But financial stress forces private selling first Result: Temporary oversupply before structural shortage The Crisis Timeline for Gold Stage 1: The Setup (Now - Q4 2025) CMCMARKETS:GOLDZ2025 Price Action: Sideways to slight decline Strong dollar pressure Real yields rising with Fed cuts Still viewed as "risk asset" by algorithms Target Range: $3,400-3,600 Stage 2: The Liquidation (Q4 2025 - Q2 2026) TVC:GOLD Action: Sharp 20-25% decline Forced selling from leveraged funds ETF redemptions as retail panics Dollar TVC:DXY strength peaks Target Bottom: $2,800-3,000 Stage 3: The Recognition (Q2 2026 - Beyond) TVC:GOLD Action: New bull market begins Currency debasement fears return Physical shortage becomes apparent Central bank buying accelerates Ultimate Target: $6,500+ by 2030 Key Indicators to Watch Immediate Danger Signals: TVC:GOLDSILVER ratio above 90(April 2025 100+) (currently 84 - expect further decline) ✓ Dollar Index TVC:DXY climbs higher towards 110 TVC:US10Y 10-year real yields above 4% (currently 4.17%)✓ Crisis Confirmation: TVC:GOLD falls below $3,200 on volume Mining stocks crash 40%+ Central bank buying announcements increase Physical premiums start expanding Recovery Signals: Dollar TVC:DXY weakening below 105 Fed pivots to QE Inflation expectations rising TVC:GOLDSILVER Gold/Silver ratio normalizing The Bigger Picture: Why This Sets Up Gold's Greatest Run Structural Drivers Post-Crisis: Debt Monetization: $30+ trillion deficits requiring QE Currency Competition: Digital currencies vs. physical gold Supply Constraints: Peak gold production reached Generational Shift: Millennials discovering gold after getting burned in "everything bubble" Historical Precedent: After every major financial crisis, gold enters its strongest bull market: Post-1971: +2,300% over 9 years Post-1999: +650% over 11 years Post-2008: +180% over 3 years Post-2025: Targeting +150-200% over 5-7 years Risk Management This Analysis Fails If: Fed pivots to massive QE immediately (before crisis) Fiscal stimulus exceeds $3 trillion rapidly Dollar collapses before financial crisis hits War/geopolitical crisis becomes primary driver Probability Assessment: 65%: VELOCITY:GOLD falls to $2,800-3,200 range before rallying 25%: TVC:GOLD holds above $3,400 and rallies immediately 10%: CMCMARKETS:GOLDZ2025 crashes below $2,500 in systemic crisis Conclusion: The Pain Before the Gain TVC:GOLD 's crisis pattern is counterintuitive but consistent: liquidation before allocation. The coming correction may be the last chance to accumulate gold before its transition from investment to monetary asset. Like Warren Buffett said: "Be greedy when others are fearful." When gold is getting panic-sold alongside everything else, that's when the foundation for the next great bull market gets built. The fire sale is coming. Are you prepared to buy? Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial professionals before making investment decisions.
TVC:GOLDShort
by niclaxfx
22
September 2025 Market Summary Gold and ForexProjectSyndicate Market Summary September 2025 📊 MTD performance 🟡 GOLD (XAUUSD): 3,759.65 | +286.65 (+8.31%) 💶 EURUSD: 1.1702 | +16 pips (+0.14%) 💷 GBPUSD: 1.3392 | −112 pips (−0.83%) 💴 USDJPY: 149.19 | +211 pips (+1.43%) 📈 SPX: 6,637.97 | +236.46 (+3.69%) 📈 NDX: 24,503.57 | +1,483.10 (+6.44%) ________________________________________ 🗞 September overview • 🇺🇸 The Fed cut 25 bps on September 17 and flagged the possibility of further cuts this year, reinforcing a softer USD bias and boosting gold demand. • 🇪🇺 The ECB held rates on September 11, though left the door open for easing later. • 🇬🇧 The Bank of England held rates and slowed quantitative tightening on September 18. • 🇯🇵 The BoJ maintained a “hawkish hold” on September 19, started unwinding ETF/REIT holdings, and signaled possible rate risks into October — supporting JPY on abrupt USD strength. • 🟡 Gold made a fresh intramonth high near ~$3,790, before settling slightly lower. • Stronger U.S. economic data mid-month (jobs, yields) briefly undercut rate cut expectations, leading to a temporary gold dip, but the momentum has largely resumed. • Tariff announcements and trade-policy uncertainty added safe-haven tailwinds to gold. ________________________________________ 🟡 Gold Market Overview – September 2025 ✨ Key Highlights & Drivers • All-time high revisit: Spot gold pushed toward $3,790 mid-month on renewed enthusiasm for Fed easing and weaker USD. • Volatility around economic surprises: Upside surprises in US data (jobs, GDP) triggered brief USD strength that pressured gold, but the downside was limited. • Fed narrative remains gold’s ally: The dovish pivot (25 bps cut + future cuts flagged) continues to lend structural support to gold. • ETF & institutional flows: Inflows into gold ETFs have reaffirmed investor appetite for safe-haven exposure. • Risk / geopolitical spillovers: Oil price jitters, trade frictions, and general macro uncertainty underpin demand for non-correlated assets. • Technical posture: After surging, gold has found interim support in the region of ~$3,650–3,700, with resistance clustering near $3,800. A sustained break above the latter could open targets toward $3,900+. 📊 Performance Recap Gold has posted one of its strongest monthly performances of 2025, currently up ~8.7 % MTD. Stronger parts of the rally were clustered around rate cut confirmation and safe-haven demand spikes. 🔍 Risks & Watch-Outs • A surprise resurgence in U.S. economic strength (inflation, jobs) could push rate markets back toward dovish skepticism, pressuring gold. • A re-strengthening USD (driven by rates or yield spreads) will be headwind for dollar‐priced gold. • Central bank actions: further buying or selling by official sectors could tilt balance. • Technical overextension: short-term pullbacks or consolidations are plausible given the sharp run-up. ________________________________________ 💱 FX Landscape – September 2025 • EURUSD: The pair remains stuck under ~1.1700, recovering modestly from USD spikes but lacking strong directional conviction. • GBPUSD: Under pressure through the month, sliding toward 1.3350 as sterling weakens on yield differentials and global risk dynamics. • USDJPY: Strength in yields and risk dynamics have nudged USDJPY higher, though BoJ vigilance and intervention risk temper runaway moves. Broader theme: while risk sentiment supports carry / USD strength, central bank policy cycles and macro surprises are injecting volatility and preventing runaway trends. ________________________________________ 📝 Summary & Key Takeaways ✅ What Worked in September • Gold leveraged dovish central bank messaging and USD softness to consistently outperform across risk regimes. • Positioning toward safe havens paid off in a month marked by macro surprises and geopolitical noise. • FX markets remained choppy, with no clear trending momentum — caution was rewarded. ⚠️ What to Watch Going Forward • U.S. data flow — especially inflation, jobs, and PCE — could reshape Fed expectations and thus gold/FX direction. • USD momentum — a reversal in dollar strength could compress gold gains; sustained USD weakness could accelerate the bull run. • Intervention / central banks — any surprises from BoJ, PBoC, or central banks stepping into gold or FX markets could upend positioning. • Technical zones — if gold can break and hold above $3,800, it may open new leg toward $3,900+; failure may invite a pullback toward $3,650–3,700.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ProjectSyndicate
34
GOLD IS READY TO MAKE A BIGGER CORRECTIONGOLD IS READY TO MAKE A BIGGER CORRECTION Yesterday gold rose to 3778 and created a false bullish rally and fell to 3716. Today gold rose again to 3761 inside the structure area and created another false bullish rally. After better-than-expected data from the US, we can see that gold has started a bigger downward correction. If no one is going to manipulate gold, it should fall further. If the price keeps falling, the next downside targets are: $3,727 $3,714 $3,700 $3,685 Gold is showing weakness after false breakouts, and sellers may push it lower toward the listed targets. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
FX:XAUUSDShort
by KlejdiCuni
17
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEDaily Chart Update 3776 Target Achieved!! A beautifully strong finish to the week, with our 1H and 4H chart ideas playing out, and now the daily chart projection completing perfectly. Last week, we highlighted the importance of a candle body close above 3683, which opened the gap toward 3776. That target has now been hit with precision today – an awesome way to close the sequence. With 3776 now achieved, the key focus shifts to the daily close: A sustained close above this level would open the higher range above, confirming continued bullish strength. A rejection here, however, would put support levels back into play at 3683 and the channel top. Current Outlook 🔹 3683 Target Reached Our breakout sequence played out with precision, starting from the EMA5 lock above 3564 and extending to complete the 3683 objective. 🔹 3776 Target Completed Today’s price action delivered the full upside completion into 3776. Now, the daily close will decide whether the breakout extends further into new ranges. 🔹 Key Inflection – 3776 Close above = breakout range expansion. Rejection = retest of 3683 and channel top support. Updated Key Levels 📉 Support – 3683 & Channel Top 📉 Deeper Support – 3564 & 3433 📉 Pivotal Floor – 3272 📈 Resistance / Next Upside Objective – Sustained break above 3776 opens the range higher 🔥 What’s Next? We’ll be back on Sunday with a fresh Daily chart idea, updated targets, and a full multi-timeframe analysis to guide the next leg of the journey. Stay tuned – momentum is only heating up from here! Thank you for the continued support, and congratulations to everyone who rode this move with us. Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
7