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Today, we focus on gold's support range of 3600-3620.Today, we focus on gold's support range of 3600-3620. As shown in Figure 2h: Technical Analysis 1: Gold prices are clearly in a period of profit-taking this week. 2: Gold prices have risen for three consecutive weeks and are currently fluctuating near historical highs. 3: So far this week, major news and data have been positive, but gold prices have not risen further. Summary: Gold prices are unlikely to break new highs this week. The market is clearly relying on positive news to drive gold prices higher, followed by selling at high levels. This suggests that gold prices will continue to fluctuate downward, and the expected price range for this pullback is between 3580-3600. Swing Strategy: Wait for the 3580-3600 range to bottom out and stabilize before continuing to go long. Set a stop-loss in the 3665-3670 range. Intraday Strategy: Short at high levels, targeting a pullback. Today, our target price range for gold's decline is 3620-3600. Sell: 3640-3650 (Ideal Entry Range) Sell: 3635-3645 (Aggressive Strategy) Stop Loss: 3655 ---------------------------- Target Price: 3630 Target Price: 3620 Target Price: 3615-3600 Summary: 1: Gold prices are expected to enter a wide range (3620-3660), consistent with our recent analysis. 2: Bulls are actively selling. Long-term long positions should patiently wait for gold prices to bottom (3580-3600). 3: Trading gold prices will be difficult during this range-bound trading; observe and wait for the highs and lows of the range whenever possible.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Freja_rb
Gold Tests Key Reversal Zone – Bears on WatchGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) completed the move as I expected in my previous idea , both the down and up moves I expected. Gold is currently moving in the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks . In terms of Elliott wave theory , it looks like Gold is completing the 5th microwaves of the main wave 3 . I expect Gold to start correcting in the coming hours and drop to at least $3,593(First Target) . Second Target: $3,583 Stop Loss(SL): $3,634 Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
34
GOLD SHOULD GOLD price returns in the rang of 3655-3645 look for buy opportunity and target 3720-3730 zone or more. gold could easly reclaim 3800 of FEDS rate cut in the next FOMC policy shaft 4,25%-4,5% current rate affect lending and mortgage in united states and SME are affected. but keeping inflation within 2% mandate is key for fed while maintaining a healthy job market The Tylor rule could be enforced. The Taylor Rule is a monetary policy guideline developed by economist John B. Taylor in 1992 to help central banks determine the appropriate level of short-term interest rates. It aims to stabilize the economy by adjusting interest rates based on two main factors: Inflation gap: The difference between actual inflation and the target inflation rate. Output gap: The difference between actual economic output (GDP) and potential output (natural level of GDP). Interpretation: When inflation is above target or the economy is producing above potential output, the rule calls for higher interest rates to cool down inflation and moderate the economy. When inflation is below target or the economy is operating below potential, the rule suggests lower interest rates to stimulate growth. How the Fed Uses It in Interest Rate Decisions The Taylor Rule provides a systematic guideline that helps the Federal Reserve determine a “neutral” or appropriate interest rate given current economic conditions of inflation and output. It helps balance between combating inflation and supporting economic growth. While the Fed does not mechanically follow the Taylor Rule, it serves as a benchmark or reference point in the Fed’s deliberations. The Fed combines this rule-based approach with discretion, considering other factors such as financial stability, employment conditions, and external shocks. Using the Taylor Rule enhances policy transparency and predictability but allows flexibility. In sum, the Taylor Rule is a valuable tool for estimating how interest rates should be adjusted to maintain stable prices and full employment, guiding the Fed’s decisions under typical economic conditions. THE CURREENT UNITED STATE 10 YEAR TRESURY BOND YIELD IS 4.037% THE CURRENT DOLLAR INDEX IS 97.226 THE INDEX IS RESTING ON MONTHY LONG TERM SUPPORT WHILE AWAITING NEXT MONETARY POLICY SHIFT,ONE MORE DOVISH RHTHORICS WILL SEND DOLLAR DOWN. TRADING IS 100% PROBABILTY MANAGE YOUR RISK. #US10Y #DOLLAR #GOLD #XAUUSD
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
Can Gold go up to $4000?Gold’s value is shaped by a fascinating mix of economic forces, psychological triggers, and geopolitical dynamics. Here's a structured breakdown of the key factors that influence its price: --- 🏦 Economic & Monetary Factors - **Inflation**: Gold is a classic hedge against inflation. When currency loses purchasing power, gold tends to hold or increase its value. - **Interest Rates**: Lower interest rates make non-yielding assets like gold more attractive. Rising rates can reduce gold’s appeal. - **Value of the U.S. Dollar**: Gold and the dollar often move inversely. A weaker dollar typically boosts gold prices. --- 🌍 Geopolitical & Market Sentiment - **Global Crises**: Political instability, wars, or pandemics drive investors toward gold as a safe haven. - **Central Bank Activity**: Purchases or sales of gold by central banks (like the Fed or ECB) can significantly impact demand and price. - **Market Volatility**: When stock markets wobble, gold often shines as a store of value. --- ⚒️ Supply & Demand Dynamics - **Mining Output**: Limited or disrupted gold production can constrain supply and push prices higher. - **Jewelry & Tech Demand**: Gold’s use in jewelry and electronics affects its industrial demand. - **ETF & Retail Investment**: Flows into gold-backed ETFs or physical gold buying by retail investors can amplify price movements. --- 🧠 Psychological & Behavioral Drivers - **Investor Sentiment**: Fear, uncertainty, and herd behavior often lead to gold buying sprees. - **Cultural Beliefs**: In countries like India and China, gold holds cultural and ceremonial value, influencing seasonal demand. ---
TVC:GOLDLong
by KhanhC.Hoang
XAU/USD | Gold at Record Highs – Can NFP Stop the Rally?By analyzing the gold chart on the 12-hour timeframe, we can see that the price continued its rally today, reaching $3,578 and printing a new all-time high (ATH)! After hitting this level, gold made a slight pullback to $3,510. Right now, the price has bounced back and is trading around $3,550. So far, there are no clear signs on the higher timeframes that gold is ready to reverse from here. For that, we would need to see stronger bearish moves. The current momentum still supports further upside unless proven otherwise. That’s why it’s better to stay patient and wait for a real break or shift in market structure before looking for attractive trade setups. Also, tomorrow we have the NFP report, which could trigger a drop in gold if the data comes in stronger than expected. Until then, we’ll wait — and if you guys strongly support this post, I’ll share my updated personal analysis a few hours before the release. Stay tuned! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by ArmanShabanTrading
33
A Healthy Market Breathes. Gold Hasn’t Exhaled Yet.I remain bullish on Gold overall — that’s not in question. On 24 August, I even shared a complete cross-market outlook arguing that acceleration to the upside could be the next big move. And indeed, we got it. But here’s the paradox of markets: sometimes, the stronger the rally, the more fragile it becomes. ________________________________________ Why I Warned About a Steep Correction • Yesterday, I flagged the risk of a sharp pullback. My stop loss was triggered, yes, but my conviction hasn’t changed. If anything, the higher Gold pushes, the more probable and violent the correction could be. • The daily chart says it all: since the local bottom around 3300, Gold has moved almost vertically higher. • From 26 August onward, with the sole exception of the 4 September red candle, every single day closed green — and not just small gains, but +1% or more. This type of move is powerful, but also unsustainable. ________________________________________ Market Psychology at Work Markets move in cycles of fear and greed, tension and release. A one-sided move — especially a vertical one — compresses tension like a coiled spring. Traders get trapped: • Late buyers rush in from FOMO, convinced “it will never stop going up.” • Sellers get squeezed, forced to cover, adding fuel to the fire. • But eventually, when there’s no one left to buy at higher prices, even a small wave of selling can cascade into a steep correction. This is why not even Bitcoin, in its glory days, could sustain vertical rises for long. The pattern was always the same: euphoric rise → brutal drop . Gold is no different. ________________________________________ Where We Stand Now • At the time of writing, Gold trades at 3647, after touching 3660 and marking a new ATH. • Is this the local top? Hard to say with certainty. But in my book, until we see a strong correction, there is no valid buy trade here. ________________________________________ My Trading Plan Today, I will look to sell again. Not because I doubt the long-term bullish trend, but because the short-term imbalance is glaring. A healthy market breathes, and Gold hasn’t exhaled yet. 🚀 Long term: bullish. ⚠️ Short term: vulnerable. 🎯 Until a correction resets the board, my play is on the short side.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
14
Detailed Analysis of Gold (XAU/USD)Gold recently tested record highs around $3675, but prices are showing corrections as traders must have started booking profits from the extreme high level. On the 4H chart, the price action remains within an ascending channel, suggesting that the broader trend still carries mild bullish momentum. After touching the lower trendline of the channel, gold is showing signs of stabilization, but upside momentum is weakening. The immediate support lies between $3636 (Fib 0.236 level) and $3620 (middle Bollinger Band) — a breakdown below this zone could trigger further correction toward $3612–$3593 (Fib 0.382–0.5 levels). On the upside, if gold holds above the channel support, recovery toward $3675 highs cannot be ruled out, though momentum indicators suggest caution. Overall: Gold is still in a short-term bullish structure but vulnerable to deeper pullbacks if the key $3636–3620 zone breaks.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by Nadia_farhat
CURRENT CONTEXT📌 CURRENT CONTEXT - Gold price is now moving around 3640–3650, after bouncing strongly from the Demand Zone 3620–3625. - The uptrend line is still intact, showing that the Higher High – Higher Low structure continues. - Volume Profile shows VAH 3635 and POC 3629 still provide support below, while the Supply Zone 3668–3670 is the key resistance target. 🎯 TRADING SCENARIOS (FOLLOWING CURRENT PRICE) 🔹 SCENARIO 1 – BUY RETEST Entry: 3635–3637 (previous VAH + trendline + volume support) SL: Below 3620 TP: 3668–3670 (Supply Zone) Conditions: Price pulls back slightly but does not break the trendline Bullish Engulfing or Pin Bar on M15/M30 at VAH zone Low volume on pullback, strong volume when price bounces 🟢 This is a trend-following scenario, safer according to System X. 🔹 SCENARIO 2 – BUY BREAKOUT Entry: When H1 candle closes above 3655–3658 with strong breakout volume SL: Below breakout candle TP: 3670–3675 Conditions: Breaks out of the 3645–3655 consolidation zone Breakout confirmed by high volume (large candle, strong volume) 🟢 For momentum traders, but requires clear confirmation. 🔹 SCENARIO 3 – SELL REACTION (LIMIT AT SUPPLY) Entry: 3668–3670 (Supply Zone) SL: Above 3675 TP: 3635–3638 Conditions: Price quickly touches supply zone without strong breakout volume Reversal signal appears (Bearish Pin Bar / Engulfing on M15/H1) RSI overbought / short-term divergence 🔴 A reaction scenario, higher risk, SL must be tight. 🔹 SCENARIO 4 – SELL ON TRENDLINE BREAK Entry: When price breaks 3620 + uptrend line SL: Above 3630 TP: 3590 – 3570 Conditions: Break of uptrend line + H1 candle closes below support Strong selling volume pushing down Clear reversal momentum 🔴 Short-term trend reversal scenario, volume needs to be monitored carefully.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TraderX_68
Market Context🔹 Market Context - H1 structure remains Higher High – Higher Low - Price has just broken above 3560 (previous VAH) - Now accumulating above 3575–3585, potentially forming a short-term distribution zone - High chance of a short pullback to support zone before continuing the bullish trend 📌 Scenario 1: SHORT at 3585–3590 (short-term reaction only) 🔹 Conditions: - Price reacts at 3585–3590 - Bearish engulfing or pin bar on M15 - Weak breakout volume or RSI divergence 🔹 Logic: - Retest of recent swing high → profit-taking likely - This is short-term VAH on volume profile 🎯 Entry: 3585–3590 🎯 Target: 3535 (POC) 🛡 SL: Above 3600 📌 Scenario 2: BUY pullback at POC 3530–3535 🔹 Conditions: - Price pulls back to 3530–3535 with bullish confirmation (M15 Engulfing) - signs of recovery 🔹 Logic: - This is the Point of Control → strong volume support - Fits “buy the dip” in bullish structure 🎯 Entry: 3530–3535 🎯 Target: 3580–3590 🛡 SL: Below 3520 📌 Scenario 3: BUY at LVN 3508–3515 (scalp idea) 🔹 Conditions: - Fast drop + strong candle reaction on M15 - Aligns with rising H1 trendline 🔹 Logic: - This is a Low Volume Node → high probability bounce zone - Strong support within bullish momentum 🎯 Entry: 3510–3515 🎯 Target: 3550 🛡 SL: Below 3500 📌 Scenario 4: BUY on breakout & retest 3590–3600 🔹 Conditions: - Strong breakout above 3590 with volume - Retest 3590–3595 with bullish candle 🔹 Logic: - Breakout of recent resistance → continuation signal - Aligned with bullish trend 🎯 Entry: 3590–3595 (on retest) 🎯 Target: 3620 🛡 SL: Below 3580
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TraderX_68
Lingrid | GOLD Price Deceleration: Short-Term Retracement The price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . OANDA:XAUUSD has reached a fresh all-time high within the upward channel but is now showing price deceleration near the 3,660 resistance zone, suggesting exhaustion. Price action is forming smaller candles in the profit-taking area, indicating weakening bullish momentum. A rejection here could trigger a corrective move toward 3,590, with deeper downside potential toward 3,470 if sellers sustain control. The broader structure highlights a possible correction unfolding following A-B-C movement from this overextended zone. 💡 Risks: A softer US CPI could reignite bullish flows and invalidate the sell scenario. Renewed geopolitical tensions may increase safe-haven demand and push gold higher. A dovish Federal Reserve shift could restore strong buying pressure and reverse any correction. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Lingrid
23
Gold Explodes Every Second👋 Hello everyone, let’s dive into OANDA:XAUUSD together! Yesterday, gold continued its shocking rally, hitting 3600 USD for the first time in history, making the precious metal more attractive than ever – jumping over 500 pips in just a few hours. This bullish momentum has been fueled by recent US economic data, especially the latest Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report. 📊 The figures show: -Actual: 22K -Forecast: 75K -Previous: 79K This is a strong bullish signal: far fewer jobs were created than expected, showing weakness in the US labor market → USD weakens → gold explodes higher! On the chart, XAUUSD remains steady, currently retracing around 3586 USD. Supports keep forming, suggesting that after this pullback, another leg up is likely. The current environment is acting as a “tailwind” for gold – the strategy remains: Buy on dip with the main trend. 💬 What about you? Where do you think gold will head next? Share your thoughts in the comments!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Kevinn_Nguyen
40
XAUUSD | ATH Hit – Wave 5 Complete, ABC Correction Ahead?Gold has completed its Elliott 5th wave, reaching a new all-time high. A smaller ABC correction is now expected. While the main upside trendline is still intact, it has already been tested 3 times — giving high probability that at least a short-term break could occur. Targeting wave A’s resistance level could form a bull flag for continuation higher. Possible correction zones: • 3550–3580 area, where multiple supports and trendlines align Additional confluences: • RSI trend breaks to the downside across multiple timeframes, dipping below 50% • Stochastics have stayed overbought for an extended period • MACD showing a potential double-top formation, failing to reach new highs Disclaimer: This idea is for educational purposes only. Please do not place trades solely based on this setup.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by XXXX4X
1
BUY strategy analysis – Fix Range PoC Zone & TrendlineBUY strategy analysis – Fix Range PoC Zone & Trendline The reason I decided to BUY at this area is: -It’s the Fix Range PoC Zone – the price level with the highest traded volume, showing strong market interest. -This zone also intersects with the rising trendline, reinforcing support from both volume profile and trend structure. 👉 When Volume Profile + Trendline converge, it creates a high-value zone to BUY with the trend. 💡 This isn’t random – it’s a confluence point, where the probability of success is at its highest.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TraderX_68
CURRENT CONTEXT🔭 CURRENT CONTEXT - Main trend: Strong uptrend, maintaining Higher High – Higher Low structure on H1 & M15. - Current price: 3650, has broken above VAH and the previous high at 3580, now showing signs of consolidation at the top area. VOLUME PROFILE: Key zones to watch: 🔺 New short-term resistance: 3652–3660 🟧 Nearest POC support: 3550–3535 🟩 Medium-term Demand Zone H4: 3480–3485 🎯 4 GOLD TRADING SCENARIOS (H1 - M15) 🟩 Scenario 1 – BUY pullback at POC support 3550–3535 🔹 Conditions: Price retests POC 3550–3535 Bullish Pin Bar / Engulfing candle forms on M15 Volume shows bullish support (rising volume at the bottom) 🔸 Reason: This is the nearest volume-balanced POC Previously a breakout zone → may now act as strong support ✅ Entry: BUY around 3540–3550 TP: 3595 / 3620 SL: 3528 R:R ratio: around 1:2 or higher 🟥 Scenario 2 – SELL reaction at 3660–3665 🔹 Conditions: Price retests 3660–3665 Reversal candle pattern on M15 (Bearish Engulfing / Pin Bar) Weak breakout volume, strong wick rejection 🔸 Reason: This is the new short-term top, likely to see profit-taking pressure Overbought in the short term after steep rally ✅ Entry: SELL around 3660 TP: 3600–3585 SL: 3675 R:R ratio: 1:2 🟧 Scenario 3 – BUY breakout if price clears 3665 strongly 🔹 Conditions: H1 or M15 closes above 3665 with increasing volume Breakout + Retest pattern appears 🔸 Reason: Breaking above distribution zone → continue pushing up to form new HH Main uptrend continuation ✅ Entry: BUY after close above 3665, retest 3660 TP: 3690 / 3705 SL: 3652 R:R ratio: 1:1.5 or higher 🟦 Scenario 4 – Deep SELL if POC 3535 and 3515 break 🔹 Conditions: Price breaks below 3535 and 3515 (LVN) with strong volume Retest of 3535 fails to reclaim 🔸 Reason: Losing balance zone + LVN → could trigger a medium-term correction Next target is Demand Zone 3480–3485 ✅ Entry: SELL around 3530 (if retest fails) TP: 3485 SL: 3545 R:R ratio: 1:2 🧷 RISK MANAGEMENT - Trading around 3650+ requires tight SL, avoid FOMO - Only trade with clear setups (Pin Bar / Engulfing / Breakout confirmation) - Prioritize BUY if price stays above 3550–3535 - SELL only if weak volume confirmed or clear reversal patterns
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TraderX_68