Trade ideas
GOLD HOLDS GAINS NEAR 3975, EYES 3995–4010 RESISTANCE📊 Market Overview:
Gold continues its rebound from $3930, trading near $3975 amid softer USD and lower Treasury yields.
Traders await JOLTS data and Fed Chair Powell’s remarks for potential volatility later in the U.S. session.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Short-term trend: corrective rebound within a medium-term downtrend.
• EMA20 (H1): 3962 | EMA50: 3955 — price holding above, confirming short-term bullish bias.
• RSI (H1): 56, showing recovering momentum.
📌 Key Levels:
• Resistance: 3985–3995 | 4010–4024
• Support: 3960–3950 | 3930–3922
A candle close above $3995 would confirm breakout potential toward $4010–4024,
while a drop below $3950 reopens the path to $3930.
💡 Trading Plan :
🔺 BUY XAU/USD: 3960–3957
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
🛑 SL: 3953
🔻 SELL XAU/USD: 3998–4001
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
🛑 SL: 4004
XAU/USD 04 November 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 20 October 2025.
Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380. 990.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias to remain the same as yesterday's bias date 29 October 2025.
As expected, price has printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low, priced at 3,886.465.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Gold trend analysis!Gold created using The market experienced a downtrend initially, as shown by the descending price action from the left side of the chart. Recently, the price has begun forming higher lows, suggesting a potential reversal or bullish correction.
The structure shows a rising wedge or ascending channel pattern forming within a support zone (highlighted in grey). a descending trendline resistance (grey diagonal line) is drawn connecting the recent highs.
The chart indicates a possible short-term dip back into the support zone, followed by a bullish move toward the target level at 4,065.31. This projection is shown with an arrow illustrating the expected path of movement. the overall bias is bullish, expecting a breakout above the trendline resistance after retesting the lower trendline or support area In summary, this is a bullish setup showing that gold might rebound from the support zone and aim for the $4,065 target if it breaks above the descending resistance trendline.
Gold Trend Analysis 4-Hour Time Frame
Hi Traders
The analysis for this week is ideal for me according to this flash move.
Since the daily candlestick closed as a doji and indecisive, we mark the high and low range of this daily candlestick and refer to the 15-minute time frame. Depending on whether the high or low breaks or breaks out, we enter the trade.
Considering the liquidity of 4050 and the remaining orders, the balance of 15 minutes, one hour and 4 hours, which are important numbers 4062, 4075 and 4090, the upward movement can be considered initially to hunt liquidity and attract orders in these ranges, and then continue the price correction until we have liquidities at the bottom of the price, including 3915 and 3886 ... Good luck
Gold Price Tests $4020 ResistanceGold Price Tests $4020 Resistance
Today's Trading Strategy: Continue to buy on dips.
1. Market expectations for a December rate cut by the Federal Reserve have cooled, causing the dollar index to retreat from its highs. Neutral to slightly bearish: The high-interest-rate environment is suppressing gold prices.
2. However, the ongoing US government shutdown and escalating international geopolitical tensions are a significant positive factor: safe-haven demand is the main force supporting gold prices.
Technical Analysis: Gold prices are currently facing strong resistance in the $4020-$4050 range.
As shown in the 4-hour chart: Gold prices are in a triangle consolidation pattern and need to break through key resistance or support levels to determine the next move.
Upside Target: If gold prices successfully break through $4020, the next target is $4110.
Downside Support: The first short-term support level is around $3960-$3980.
The more critical support area is at $3890. As long as gold prices remain above this area, the long-term uptrend structure remains valid.
Aggressive Strategy:
Buy: 3990-4000
Stop Loss: 3970
Target Price 1: 4050
Target Price 2: 4110
Conservative Strategy:
A more conservative strategy is to wait for gold prices to break through $4020 effectively, then establish long positions on a slight pullback, with a stop loss set in the $4020-4000 range, and a target price of $4070-4110.
Risk of Failed Breakout: If gold prices repeatedly attempt to break through $4020 but fail, and subsequently fall below the $3980 support level, it indicates that this upward move may have failed, and prices may fall back to the $3930-4000 trading range.
LiamTrading – Gold Confirms Medium-Term UptrendLiamTrading – Gold Confirms Medium-Term Uptrend
Gold has officially broken through the descending trendline, confirming a transition to a medium-term uptrend. After a prolonged accumulation phase, the market is beginning to show clear buying strength, and the potential for an extended rally is gradually forming.
Macroeconomic – Fundamental Analysis
The latest report from the World Gold Council (WGC) shows that central banks continued to increase their gold purchases significantly in September, totaling 39 tons, the highest level since the beginning of the year.
Most notably, the Central Bank of Brazil added 15 tons of gold to its national reserves for the first time this year.
Since the beginning of the year, net purchases by central banks have reached 200 tons, clearly reflecting a shift away from the USD amidst global economic and geopolitical instability. This capital flow provides a solid foundation for gold's medium- and long-term uptrend.
Technical Analysis
On the H2 chart, gold prices have broken the descending trendline, signaling a reversal and establishing a new upward structure.
The 3985–3988 zone is acting as dynamic support, potentially serving as a retest point before prices continue to rise.
The POC of the Volume Profile at the 4015–4017 zone is a short-term resistance, where the market may see profit-taking reactions before breaking higher.
The 4046 mark is considered a decisive area; if surpassed and maintained, the medium-term uptrend will be strongly reinforced.
Today's Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Buy in line with the uptrend:
Entry: 3986–3988 (may wait for retest confirmation)
SL: 3980
TP: 4020 – 4045 – 4090
Scenario 2 – Short sell at resistance:
Entry: 4015–4017
SL: 4023
TP: 4002 – 3986
Summary
Gold is signaling a clear establishment of a medium-term uptrend, supported by central bank buying flows. Traders should prioritize buying positions at strategic support zones and observe price reactions around the POC to confirm the next direction.
XAU/USD SELL THE PULLBACKMain Plan
Looking for sell setups between $3,950 – $3,975
Ideal entry after rejection candle (M15/M5 confirmation)
Stop loss: above $3,985
Targets:
→ $3,910 – $3,900
→ $3,875 – $3,865
Final zone → $3,835 – $3,820 (possible bounce area)
Alternative (Low Probability)
If price closes above $3,985 on H4,
wait for new structure before buying — that would confirm a trend change.
Summary
Trend: Bearish
Focus: Sell the pullback
Key invalidation: Close above $3,985
XAUUSD (Gold) 3H Analysis & SMT Divergence with XAGUSD🪙 XAUUSD (Gold) 3H Analysis & SMT Divergence with XAGUSD 🕵️♂️
The 3-hour chart for XAUUSD shows a strong bearish expansion, creating a potential opportunity at the current lows.
Current XAUUSD Price: Trading around $3,936.55.
Key High (CRTH): The high at approximately $3,979.27 is the primary "Buy Side Liquidity" zone. A push above this would invalidate the current bearish structure.
Key Low (CRTL): The low at $3,931.01 is the current "Sell Side Liquidity" target.
SMT Divergence Alert (XAUUSD vs. XAGUSD)
We are observing a potential Smart Money Technique (SMT) Divergence at these lows:
XAUUSD (Gold): Has successfully taken out the recent internal low (sweeping liquidity at $3,931.01 or below).
XAGUSD (Silver): Silver appears NOT to have made a lower low, or has only made a shallow sweep, compared to Gold.
This bullish SMT divergence suggests that the overall pressure on the precious metals sector might be weakening, and Gold's latest dip could be a liquidity grab (Liquidity Sweep) before a strong move up.
Scenario Watch (SMT-Driven):
Bullish Reversal: A sharp volume-driven rejection of the current low, confirming the SMT. Price would likely reclaim the internal structure and aim for the CRTH at $3,979.27 as a primary target.
Bearish Continuation (SMT Failure): If XAGUSD now follows XAUUSD and makes a sharp lower low, the SMT would fail. Both metals would then likely push lower toward key support near $3,917.50 for Gold and its corresponding low for Silver.
What is Silver showing on its low, and does this SMT confirm a potential accumulation phase for XAUUSD?
Greetings,
MrYounity
ElDoradoFx – GOLD (XAUUSD) ANALYSIS (04/11/2025, LONDON SESSION)1. Market Overview
Gold enters the London session trading just below the $4,000 handle, recovering after an early Asian dip to $3,970. The market remains in a range-to-accumulation phase, consolidating beneath descending structure resistance ($4,008–$4,016) and above key support ($3,985–$3,970). Momentum indicators suggest early bullish restoration, but price action remains capped under the 200EMA, awaiting a confirmed breakout to define London’s direction.
⸻
2. Technical Breakdown
🔹 Daily (D1)
Gold holds above the 100EMA, keeping the medium-term structure bullish. RSI at ~50.5 indicates neutrality after a corrective pullback from $4,046. As long as price stays above $3,985, the bullish structure remains intact.
🔹 H1
The pair trades within a descending channel, testing dynamic resistance at $4,004–$4,008. The 50EMA is flattening near the 200EMA, hinting at a potential cross for trend continuation. MACD is stabilizing with higher histogram lows, a bullish sign of momentum recovery.
🔹 15M–5M
Short-term structure shows a series of higher lows (3,970 → 3,982 → 3,993) but faces a clear supply ceiling at 4,004–4,010. RSI around 55–60; MACD positive, suggesting accumulation pressure and reduced selling volume.
⸻
3. Fibonacci Analysis (Swing 3,970 → 4,008)
• 38.2% = 3,993
• 50.0% = 3,989
• 61.8% = 3,985
🎯 Golden Zone: 3,993 – 3,985 → Active demand area for potential long entries.
⸻
4. High-Probability Trade Scenarios
📈 BUY SCENARIO (Primary Bias)
• Buy Zone: 3,993 – 3,985 (Golden Zone)
• Confirmation: Bullish CHoCH or engulfing candle in zone with RSI > 50
• Targets: 4,004 → 4,016 → 4,028 → 4,046
• Stop Loss: Below 3,970
📊 Justification: The Golden Zone aligns with previous liquidity sweep and ascending channel support — strong probability for continuation if defended during London volatility.
💥 Breakout BUY Setup
• Trigger: Break & close above 4,008
• Retest Entry: 4,004–4,006
• Targets: 4,016 → 4,028 → 4,046 → 4,060
• Stop Loss: Below 3,995
📉 SELL SCENARIO (Countertrend)
• Sell Zone: 4,004 – 4,016 (EMA confluence & descending structure)
• Confirmation: Bearish rejection or RSI divergence > 65
• Targets: 3,989 → 3,970 → 3,945
• Stop Loss: Above 4,020
📊 Justification: A rejection from this area would indicate failed breakout momentum, creating a high R:R short toward range support.
⚠️ Break & Retest SELL Setup
• Trigger: Break below 3,970
• Retest Entry: 3,978–3,974
• Targets: 3,965 → 3,945 → 3,920
• Stop Loss: Above 3,985
⸻
5. Fundamental Watch
• UK/EU Data: Light calendar — focus remains on USD strength and DXY (106.10).
• US Factors: Factory Orders and Fed speakers later today; could affect volatility mid-London to NY overlap.
• Sentiment: Gold remains technically bullish but constrained by short-term dollar resilience and yield stabilization.
⸻
6. Key Technical Levels
Type Levels Notes
Resistance 4,004 / 4,016 / 4,028 / 4,046 Supply + 200EMA zone
Support 3,993 / 3,985 / 3,970 / 3,965 Fibo + structural base
Golden Zone 3,993 – 3,985 Main liquidity pivot
Break Buy Trigger Above 4,008 Confirmed bullish continuation
Break Sell Trigger Below 3,970 Bearish momentum confirmation
⸻
7. Analyst Summary
Gold is building pressure within a compressed wedge, where the Golden Zone (3,993–3,985) represents the pivot of the day.
Momentum indicators lean bullish, but the 200EMA and trendline resistance near 4,004–4,008 remain the key barriers.
A clean breakout above 4,008 opens the path to 4,028–4,046, while failure to hold above 3,985 may trigger a retracement to 3,965–3,945.
⸻
8. Final Bias Summary
✅ Primary Bias: Bullish above 3,985
⚠️ Neutral Zone: 3,985–4,004 (wait for breakout confirmation)
❌ Bearish Only Below: 3,970
🎯 Expert Outlook: Focus on buying dips near the Golden Zone with confirmation; avoid premature entries before breakout validation.
⸻
🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 – PERFORMANCE 03/11/2025 💸
📊 Smart Entries | Clean Profits | No Drawdown
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🪙 GOLD RESULTS
🟢 BUY +120 PIPS
🟢 BUY +30 PIPS
🔻 SELL +90 PIPS
🟢 BUY +40 PIPS
🟢 BUY LIMIT +200 PIPS
🔻 SELL +20 PIPS
🟢 BUY +40 PIPS
🟢 BUY +20 PIPS
🟢 BUY +40 PIPS
💰 GOLD TOTAL: +600 PIPS
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📱 BTC/USD WEEKEND TRADES
🚀 BUY +900 PIPS
🚀 BUY +1,300 PIPS
📱 BTC TOTAL: +2,200 PIPS
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📊 COMBINED GAIN: +2,800 PIPS
✅ 11 Trades → 11 Wins | 0 SL | 0 BE
🎯 Accuracy: 100%
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🔥 Flawless start to November — precision entries, strong momentum, and clear profit execution across GOLD and BTC!
👏 Congratulations if you profited! ✅✅✅🚀🚀🚀
Gold Analysis Today 3 Nov | XAUUSD Forecast | Smart Analysis🟡 GOLD ANALYSIS What’s Moving the Market Today?
📅 Updated: November 3, 2025
💎 Trade with DECRYPTERS
⚡ Market Snapshot
Gold is holding steady near the $4,000 pivot after Friday’s weaker jobs data.
📉 DXY slips to 99.73 after a soft October payrolls print (+22K vs. 150K exp).
🏦 Fed’s 25bps cut to 3.75–4.00% with no clarity on December weighing on yields.
🌍 Central banks continue heavy gold buying: +19t in August, +220t in Q3 (Poland & Azerbaijan lead).
💥 Geopolitical tensions & tariff risks are keeping safe-haven demand elevated.
📈 ETF inflows: +222t in Q3 offset jewelry weakness investment demand remains strong.
🧠 Smart Money & Technical Framework
🟧 Gold Sell Area: 4026 – 4038
🔴 Smart Money Sell Zone: 4071.8 – 4085
🟨 Gold Buy Area: 3964 – 3978
🟢 Smart Money Buy Zone: 3912 – 3922
💬 Millions of orders clustered across these zones watch for liquidity sweeps before reversals.
📊 Live Market Context
💰 Current Price: ~$4,017/oz (+0.16%)
📉 Daily Range: High ~4,015 / Low ~3,991
🔁 Structure: Gold consolidating within key SMC range; breakout above 4,038 opens path to 4,071+, while rejection near 4,085 favors short setups back to 3,978–3,964.
🔍 What to Watch Next
📆 Nov 13 CPI (core ~3.0% exp)
Hot print → Fed pause → bearish for gold
Soft print → renewed cut bets → bullish continuation
🏦 ECB & BOJ meetings this week:
Dovish tone = USD weakness → supports gold
🌏 US–China trade rhetoric:
Optimism fades → safe-haven spike
Renewed deal talks → short-term pullback
🧭 Trading Plan — Keep It Simple
🔹 Buy Zone (3964–3978): Look for bullish reaction; smart money likely absorbing liquidity.
🔹 Sell Zone (4026–4038): Ideal to fade rallies if momentum stalls.
🔹 Smart Money Extremes (3912 / 4085): Expect deep liquidity grabs before reversals.
🎯 Targets: 4,071 (resistance) / 3,964 (support).
❗ Bias: Mildly bullish above 4,000 dips to buy, rallies to fade.
🏁 Conclusion
Gold remains range-bound between $3,964 and $4,038, anchored by central bank demand and weaker US data.
As long as $4,000 holds, bias leans bullish toward $4,071–$4,085.
Break below $3,964 shifts short-term tone bearish toward $3,922.
Today's gold trading strategyCentral bank gold purchases + Diversification away from the US dollar
Global central banks increase holdings to record levels: In the third quarter of 2025, global central banks' net gold purchases reached 220 tons (up 28% compared to the previous period), and 95% of the surveyed central banks plan to continue increasing their holdings in the next 12 months. Central banks in China, Kazakhstan, and others have been increasing their purchases continuously, forming a "buying buffer" at the $4,000 level, which provides a long-term supporting logic that is irreversible.
The acceleration of de-dollarization is beneficial: 73% of the surveyed central banks predict that the share of US dollar reserves will decrease in the next five years. The substitutive value of gold as a non-credit asset is prominent, and the willingness of central banks in emerging markets to increase their holdings is particularly strong (48% plan to increase holdings). Structural demand supports the upward movement of the gold price median.
Investment demand experiences explosive growth: In the third quarter of 2025, global gold investment demand reached 537 tons (up 47% compared to the previous year), and the "fear of missing out" (FOMO) mentality pushed individual and institutional funds to continuously flow in, forming a positive cycle of "fundamental factors + capital factors".
Today's gold trading strategy
buy:3990-4000
tp:4010-4020
sl:3980
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Range-Bound Before Next MoveGold continues to trade in a tight range, holding just above the MA50 and approaching the MA200, as buyers attempt to regain short-term control. The metal is currently hovering around 4025, with price consolidating below the 4042 resistance — a key barrier that has capped upside attempts in recent sessions.
If bulls manage a clean break above 4042, the next resistance stands at 4090, followed by 4120. However, failure to break higher could see price rotate back toward 3990 and the First Reaction Zone (3957–3918) for potential support.
A deeper pullback below 3918 would shift focus toward the Support Zone (3884–3851) and the HTF Support Zone (3820–3781) — areas where stronger buying interest has previously emerged.
📌 Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
4042
4090
4120
Support:
3990
3957
3918
3884
🔎 Fundamental Focus:
The ongoing U.S. government shutdown, now in its fifth week, has significantly disrupted the release of key economic data, leaving traders with limited insight into the real state of the U.S. economy.
This uncertainty is keeping market sentiment cautious, with investors closely watching the few reports still being released — such as ISM Manufacturing PMI today — for clues on growth and inflation.
The lack of reliable data continues to support safe-haven demand, with gold remaining sensitive to any signs of progress toward resolving the shutdown.
XAUUSD Next Week 03/11-37/11/2025Next week, gold will have 3 trading plans that you need to pay attention to:
1. If gold breaks through 4055 , we will wait for a retest to Buy
2. If gold falls to 3890-3910 and from the closing price, buy here with the target of both plans 1 and 2 to 4600 .
3. Gold breaks through the support of 3850 and shows signs of accumulation, it is likely to fall straight to 3705-3715 .
Note that all trading orders must have a stop loss to preserve capital!
Gold short idea result. Like I published at midnight I expected gold to reject the EMA and and the AOI that has been used as resistance 3 previous times. I closed my trade at a 1:2. The price is still bullish in the 4H. Price has rejected to close under the HL meaning buyers are still in control. Holding until NY session on a Friday is a bit risky since like I’ve said buyers are still in control and price can push up again to the AOI and possibly close above it before the weekend. If you entered short from the idea I posted midnight, I would highly suggest to close positions before NY session.
Gold key Levels (3800-4100)These are the Gold key levels which I’ll be using for trading.
Here’s how I trade these levels:
- Close above a level → Buy setup
When a candle closes clearly above a level, it confirms bullish momentum and I look to enter long immediately after the close.
- Close below a level → Sell setup
A confirmed candle close below support signals bearish strength, and I enter short right after the close.
- Rejection from a level → Opposite trade
If price shows a strong rejection from a level, I trade in the opposite direction - rejection from resistance = sell setup, rejection from support = buy setup.
These levels works well for both day trading (using 1H candles) and scalping (using 15M or lower timeframes). It keeps trading simple, just reactions to market behaviour.
Gold (XAUUSD) – 31 Oct | Key Demand Zones in Focus🟡 Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis – 31 October
Hello Disciplined Traders,
Welcome to the Chart Is Mirror Community 👋
Market Context
• As per our yesterday’s analysis , the market did not retest our POI zone but instead took support from the double bottom / W-pattern key level around 3960 , breaking structure above 4030.5 .
• This move confirms that M15 is now fully uptrend , aligned with the ongoing H4 pullback phase .
Key Observations
• Today, our first buying zone is the 3975.5 – 3960.5 demand zone .
• The next potential demand area lies lower at the 3937.7 – 3930 OB , as marked in yesterday’s analysis.
• There is a high probability that price may sweep liquidity below 3975.5 – 3960.5 before resuming upside momentum toward new highs.
Execution Plan
• If price pulls back to the 3975.5 – 3960.5 zone and respects it with LTF bullish confirmation , we will execute our long setup accordingly.
• If price continues lower, observe how it reacts around the 3937.7 – 3930 OB . Enter only after clear LTF confirmation .
• The market remains volatile — manage your position size and risk accordingly .
Patience before confirmation is the trader’s true stillness.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
XAU/USD Update 2Next move on the way, focus on proper risk management & stay disciplined. Wishing you successful trades..!
Key Factors:
1. Price creates range.
2. IDM hunt still in pending.
3. IMB left above BB.
4. Unmitigated OB.
Once price reach our zone, after confirmation we'll execute trade. Remember confirmation candle is very important. Let's see how it will work.






















