Gold (XAUUSD) – 12 Sep | Short Setup Watching 3651 – 3657.6 POI🟡 Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis – 12 September
Market Context
• Price is currently trading around 3649, approaching our fresh M15 POI (3651 – 3657.6) .
• We have seen a recent Break of Structure (BoS) to the downside, confirming a short-term shift to bearish sentiment.
• Price has now retraced back into the POI zone, aligning with a potential short setup area.
Key Observations
• POI Zone: 3651 – 3657.6 (aligned with LH + supply zone)
• Liquidity Sweep Potential: Price might push slightly above the POI to grab liquidity before resuming the downtrend.
• Structure: Market is forming lower highs and lower lows after the BoS, reinforcing a bearish bias unless price closes decisively above the POI.
Execution Plan
• Wait for price to retest 3651 – 3657.6
• Look for M1 confirmation (micro-ChoCh / micro-BoS)
• If confirmation aligns → plan short setup with fixed risk ( SL: 40 pips | TP: 120 pips , 1:3 R:R)
• If the POI is broken → step aside and reassess deeper levels
Invalidation
A clean break and 15M candle close above 3657.6 invalidates the short idea.
Patience pays — let the market reject the POI before committing capital.
Bias for Today
📉 Bearish only. Short setups will be taken only from the POI zone with confirmation.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
GOLDCFD trade ideas
Gold fluctuations are under your control!After the gold interest rate decision, it went as we expected. Shorting near 3672, it first fell, and then going long near 3630 was bullish. The profit from this round trip was quite large.
First of all, looking at the current overall background, although the Fed has implemented an interest rate cut, the message it conveys is far from purely dovish. Powell's speech suggested that this action is not the beginning of a radical easing policy, but a prudent move to deal with economic uncertainty, especially the weakening labor market and stubborn inflation. According to data released by the U.S. Department of Labor on Thursday, the number of first-time applications for unemployment benefits in the United States in the week ending September 13 was 231,000, which was expected to be 240,000 and the previous value was 263,000. The data fell sharply from the abnormally high level of the previous week and returned to the normal range in the past four years.
From the perspective of gold technology, the 3670-3685 area can be regarded as the second top of the medium term. The bearish trend is established in the medium term first, and adjustments are made in conjunction with the overall short-term operation, with the main short position and the auxiliary long position. This rebound is regarded as a 4-hour adjustment to accumulate momentum and break through to open up more space. A weak closing can continue to be weak based on low consolidation. Missing the good position near 3670 does not mean that there is no position to participate in shorting. You can give yourself 1-2 times of tolerance in the face of the trend. As long as the direction is grasped, the final result will be profitable. This is very important.
Gold Analysis and Strategies for September 18thGold Analysis and Strategies for September 18th
Fundamentals Overview
Gold prices consolidated during Thursday's Asian trading session. Despite hitting a new all-time high of $3,707.35 per ounce on Wednesday, they ultimately failed to hold steady, closing at $3,659.79, a daily drop of nearly 1%. The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected, but its policy statement and Chairman Powell's speech were interpreted by the market as a release of "uncertainty," triggering profit-taking by bulls and causing a significant pullback in gold prices from their highs.
While the Fed's dovish stance remains supportive for gold in the medium to long term, the dollar's rebound from its lows has somewhat limited its upside potential. So far this year, gold has risen 39% and over 6% this month, reflecting its strong appeal given its safe-haven nature and expectations of loose liquidity.
Market focus will shift to the Bank of England's interest rate decision, US initial jobless claims data, and the press conference following President Trump's meeting with British Prime Minister Starmer. These events may provide new opportunities for gold price volatility.
Technical Analysis
Trend Structure:
Gold remains bullish overall, but faces short-term technical correction pressure. After hitting $3,707 for two consecutive trading days, it retreated significantly, indicating strong resistance in this area. Following the Fed's decision, the price retreated to $3,645, indicating a simmering "buy the anticipation, sell the reality" sentiment. The likelihood of another strong rally and new highs in the short term is low, and the market is expected to enter a period of high-level fluctuations.
Key Positions:
Support: Focus on 3,635 (the H60 moving average and the lower Bollinger band coincide with support) and 3,620 (the daily bull-bear watershed). A break below 3,620 could trigger a deeper technical correction.
Resistance: Initial resistance above is at 3,675, with further key resistance seen in the 3,690-3,710 area.
Chart Signals:
Although the daily chart closed negative, it remains above the major moving averages, and a reversal pattern has not yet formed, indicating continued strong consolidation. The H4 Bollinger Bands are closing and the moving averages are converging, clearly pointing to a continuation of the volatile market.
Trading Recommendations
We recommend maintaining a strategy of primarily buying on pullbacks, supplemented by shorting on rebounds.
Long Strategy: After a pullback to the 3640-3630 area and stabilization, you can enter long positions in batches, with a stop-loss below 3620 and targets at 3675 and 3690, respectively.
Short Strategy: If the rebound approaches the 3685-3695 resistance zone and stagflation signals appear, you can try shorting with a small position, with a stop-loss of no more than $8, and targets at 3660-3650.
Gold – TP1 Achieved! What’s Next? (Case Study Series)Timeframe: 30M | Instrument: Gold Spot (XAUUSD) | Date: Sept 18, 2025
📌 Quick Recap (From Previous Posts)
Part 1 (Initial Idea): Identified a Head & Shoulders pattern on the 15M chart. Suggested a standby long entry near $3,665–$3,658, but only with higher TF confirmation.
Part 2 (Market Response): Price respected our entry zone, reversed higher, and gave us a 200+ pip bounce.
👉 Both updates stressed the importance of confirmation and avoiding false breakouts in Gold.
📊 Current Outcome (Sept 18, 2025)
✅ TP1 ($3,701) has now been achieved.
📈 Total Move Captured: ~400+ pips from entry.
🔄 After hitting TP1, price pulled back strongly, retesting lower supports ($3,657 / $3,630 zones).
This confirms that Gold remains highly volatile — respecting both sides of the market, trapping late buyers and sellers.
🧐 Next Steps – TP2 Still in Play?
Bullish Scenario: If $3,630–$3,615 holds, buyers may target TP2 ($3,765) in the coming sessions.
Bearish Risk: If $3,615 breaks, downside momentum could drag Gold toward $3,604 / $3,549.
📌 Key Lessons (Continuing the Case Study)
Structured Targets Work: Splitting TP1 and TP2 gave clarity in trade management.
Booking Partial Profits = Peace of Mind: Locking profits at TP1 helps traders avoid emotional stress during pullbacks.
Volatility is Opportunity + Risk: Gold respects technical zones but punishes impatience.
🎯 Trade Management Guidance
✅ For those still holding: Trail stops to $3,630 to protect gains.
✅ For new entries: Wait for fresh confirmation near support zones before considering longs again.
❌ Avoid chasing the market after such strong moves.
✅ Conclusion
Our case study series on XAUUSD continues to highlight the importance of:
Planning entries with patience
Taking profits in phases
Adjusting to market volatility
👉 TP1 hit successfully, ~400 pips captured. Now the market decides: Will TP2 ($3,765) be achieved, or is Gold preparing a deeper correction?
🔖 Tags
#XAUUSD #Gold #TradingCaseStudy #HeadAndShoulders #PriceAction #RiskManagement #MultiTimeframeAnalysis #Tradyoga #Yogeshonale
XAU OUTLOOK 16-09-25Hey Guys, This is what what I see today.
BUY/SELL SCENARIOS:
BUYS:
1) Retest the 4h Bullish FVG at the 3675.98 level.
2) Create a 3/5m Bullish CHoCH with a body candle close (with a FVG).
3) Retest the 3/5m Bullish CHoCH level to capitalize on BUYS towards the 3710.00 level.
SELLS:
1) Body candle close below the 3664.35 level.
2) Retest the failed 4h Bullish FVG at the 3664.35 level.
3)Create a 3/5m Bearish Engulfing candle to capitalize on SELLS
towards the 3626.70 level.
Trade Smart, Trade according to your Trading Plans. This is not financial advise. Cheers!
Bullish Description
Hi traders
I consider buying gold at these prices a bit dangerous and risky, and I believe that there is a strong barrier at 3700-3715 to the growth of gold prices.
I have two scenarios that I have marked with blue and purple lines on the chart.
The first scenario is to reach the price of 3700-3715 and then drop to 3612 or even 3585. The second scenario is to correct to 3585 and rise to 3700.
Possible positions this week
A:Suitable prices for BUY positions
1)3612
2)3583
B:Suitable prices for SELL positions
1)3700-3715
(Of course, with approval from the market and the type of candles)
This is just an analysis and everyone is responsible for their own work.
Hoping for a good and profitable week.
XAUUSD (Gold) Technical Projection📊 XAUUSD (Gold) Technical Forecast | Intraday & Swing Outlook ✨
Asset: XAUUSD (Gold CFD)
Closing Price: $3,643.41 📌 (11th Sept 2025, 12:54 AM UTC+4)
🔎 Multi-Lens Technical Analysis
📉 Chart Patterns & Theories
🕯️ Candlesticks: Strong rejection at $3,660 resistance; possible reversal signals.
🎯 Harmonic: Potential bearish Gartley forming near $3,670–$3,690 zone.
🌊 Elliott Wave: Wave 4 correction likely unfolding; upside capped unless $3,700 breaks.
🏦 Wyckoff: Market nearing distribution phase with weakening momentum.
📐 Gann Theory: Time/price cycle hints at key inflection around Sept 15–16.
☁️ Ichimoku: Price hovering near cloud top, testing bullish continuation zone.
🎭 Bull Trap Alert: Break above $3,670 could trigger false upside before reversal.
🧩 Head & Shoulders: Left shoulder visible; neckline around $3,600 support.
⚖️ Support/Resistance: Major support $3,600 | Resistance $3,670–$3,700.
📊 Indicators & Tools
📈 RSI (14): Neutral (52) → Room for either breakout or correction.
📊 Bollinger Bands: Squeeze forming; volatility expansion expected soon.
📉 VWAP / VWMA: Current price slightly above VWAP → intraday bullish bias.
📏 Moving Averages:
50 EMA → $3,625 (near-term support)
200 EMA → $3,540 (swing support)
Golden Cross intact → trend still bullish medium-term.
⏱️ Trading Time Frames
Intraday Strategy (5m–4H)
🎯 Buy Zone: $3,620–$3,630 (if tested with bullish confirmation).
🚀 Upside Target: $3,660–$3,670; Breakout extension → $3,690.
🛑 Stop Loss: Below $3,610 (tight risk management).
⚠️ If $3,670–$3,690 rejects → look for sell setup back to $3,600.
Swing Strategy (4H–Monthly)
📍 Buy Range: $3,580–$3,600 for swing accumulation.
🎯 Swing Targets: $3,700 → $3,740 → $3,800 (extension possible).
🛑 Swing Stop: Below $3,550 closes.
⚠️ Bearish swing trigger if $3,600 breaks → downside $3,540 then $3,500.
🌍 Market Context
📰 Fed rate expectations & USD strength remain key drivers.
⚔️ Geopolitical risks (Middle East + Asia tensions) could fuel safe-haven demand.
💹 Rising equity volatility may enhance Gold bids short-term.
📌 Summary
✅ Bullish Bias: Above $3,600 support.
❌ Bearish Bias: Below $3,600 with momentum.
🎯 Key Levels to Trade:
Buy: $3,620–$3,630 / Swing Buy: $3,580–$3,600
Sell: $3,670–$3,690 rejection / Swing Sell: Below $3,600
📢 Action Plan:
Intraday: Trade the $3,620–$3,670 range breakout/rejection.
Swing: Hold long above $3,600; flip bearish only if breakdown confirmed.
⚡️ Stay disciplined. Respect stop-losses. Let the market come to you.
XAUUSD Scalp Buy @ 3643XAUUSD Scalp Buy @ 3643
XAUUSD – Scalp Buy Setup at 3643 | Intraday Momentum Play
Gold is showing bullish momentum on lower timeframes, bouncing off minor support at 3643. Price action confirms buyer interest, with indicators flashing short-term upside potential. This scalp setup is designed for fast execution and tight risk control.
📌 Trade Parameters
- Entry: 3643
- Stop Loss: 3637.5 (below recent wick)
- Take Profit: 3652 / 3655
- Risk/Reward: ~1.5–2:1
📊 Technical Confluence
- Price above 55-MA channel on M1/M5 charts
- Heiken Ashi candles turning green (trend confirmation)
- RSI climbing from mid-zone, showing momentum
- MACD crossover on 5M chart
- Volume spike on bullish candles
💬 Scalper’s Narrative
Gold is reacting positively to intraday support, with buyers stepping in around 3643. If price holds above 3645, expect a quick push toward 3652–3655. This scalp setup favors fast execution during active sessions. Avoid trading inside the MA channel—wait for breakout confirmation.
Setup remains valid unless price breaks below 3637.5 with volume. Align with higher timeframe bias: scalp buys only if price is above the 200-MA
SET UP TRADE 1 I Sep/19/2025SET UP TRADE 19/09/2025
🕯SELL GOLD: 3656 – 3658
⚠️SL: 3661
✔️TP: 3651→ 3647→ 3644
Today we made a very correct decision by SELLING with the downtrend 🎯. However, the market swept liquidity higher than expected before dropping, which affected many entries.
Congrats to those who SELL at higher levels and secured solid profits 💰.
Bullish Continuation Zone on Gold 1-Hour ChartGold (XAUUSD) Technical Snapshot
Structure: Price is consolidating inside a horizontal range after a strong up-move—often viewed as a continuation pattern.
Key Resistance: ~3,680–3,690 USD
Key Support: ~3,630–3,640 USD
Upside Projection: If price breaks and holds above resistance, the next technical objective is around ~3,750–3,760 USD.
Protective Zone (Stop Example): Below ~3,615–3,625 USD to invalidate the pattern.
This is a technical overview for educational purposes only—please manage risk and confirm levels on your own platform.
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 16, 2025
Momentum
• D1: Momentum is currently in an uptrend, suggesting that price may continue to rise for the next 5–6 days.
• H4: Momentum is turning downward, indicating the possibility of a correction today.
• H1: Recently showed a bullish reversal signal, but now there are signs of weakening again. This suggests that the downward move on H1 may not yet be complete.
Wave Structure
• D1: Yesterday’s daily candle created a new high, which indicates that wave iv (black) has likely been completed. The market is now developing in wave v (black).
• H4: Wave iv (black) is likely finished. With H4 momentum turning lower, wave 1 of wave v (black) may already be completed, and the market is now entering a corrective phase.
• H1: Wave v (black) is unfolding into a 5-wave structure (green). Combined with weakening H4 momentum, there are two possible scenarios:
1. This is wave 4 (green), with a maximum correction level around 3662.
2. This is wave 2 of wave v (black – D1), with a potential correction target around 3657.
Since both scenarios point to a similar price zone, we select 3662–3660 as the buy entry zone.
Trading Plan
• Buy Zone: 3662 – 3660
• SL: 3650
• TP: 3698
Gold price "V-shaped rebound", short-term bullish
💡Message Strategy
After hitting a record high last week, gold prices briefly encountered resistance and pulled back. However, buoyed by expectations of a Fed rate cut, gold prices remained stable above $3,600, fluctuating at a high level. The overall bullish trend remains strong.
Market news remained largely unchanged. Earlier, Fed Chairman Powell delivered a dovish speech, indicating downside risks in the job market and the possibility of a Fed rate cut. The subsequent release of dismal US non-farm payroll data, with new initial jobless claims reaching a four-year high, signaled a continued cooling in the labor market and further validated Powell's comments.
Furthermore, US President Trump has repeatedly pressured the Fed to slash interest rates as soon as possible. These factors have fueled high market expectations for a Fed rate cut, driving gold's recent rally. Although the rally encountered resistance last week, the rate cut and the international situation have limited any decline in gold prices.
📊Technical aspects
Initial jobless claims in the United States hit a nearly four-year high, further solidifying expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut. This led to a short-term plunge in the US dollar and US Treasury yields, pushing gold prices back from their lows. Market expectations for a Fed rate cut remain high, providing significant support for gold prices.
Therefore, we recommend a volatile upward trend. Focus on support at $3,640, followed by $3,620, and upward pressure at $3,670.
From a technical perspective, the daily RSI remains in overbought territory, indicating limited short-term upward momentum and the possibility of continued range-bound consolidation. A break above the $3,658 resistance level could push the price back towards the all-time high of $3,675 and further challenge the psychological barrier of $3,700.
💰Strategy Package
Long Position:3640,SL:3620,Target:3680-3700
Gold continues to fluctuate before the US interest rate decisionGold, after last Friday's continuation of the previous day's bottoming out and rebound, continued to fall into a range-bound oscillation mode, and after opening today, it continued to retreat to around 3626 before rising. Although there is no breakthrough between the bulls and bears at present, it is still in a tug-of-war, and the support below will also be maintained near the low point of 3626. This position is also the first watershed related to whether gold can continue to fall in the later period. The key pressure above is maintained near the previous secondary high point of 3655. This position is also the key suppression point for the recent retracement after multiple touches. It is also the shoulder position of the head and shoulders top, which also plays a role. It plays a connecting role, and once this position continues to suppress, gold may be under pressure again in the later period. If it does not break through again this week, gold may retreat again next week to test the support level of 3610. Although the daily line is still in a high sideways trend, the upward momentum has also declined significantly. If it bottoms out and rebounds, it needs a secondary definition of the European session, which is also an advance forecast of the US session. If gold rebounds to 3645-3655 during the day, short it and target around 3630-20. The strength of the European session may also determine the direction of the US session.
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
This is still a follow up update on our 4chart idea which is still valid and in play with the final gap still in range.
Previously we had our Bullish target 3424 and finished off with ema5 cross and lock above this level opening 3499. This gap was filled last week just like we analysed followed with another cross and lock above 3499 opening 3561, which was also hit.
We now finished off last week with a cross and lock above 3561 leaving 3615 open. Failure to test this final target will see lower Goldturns tested for support and bounce.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3424 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3424 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3499 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3499 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3561 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3561 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2615 -
BEARISH TARGETS
3347
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3347 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3277
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3277 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3234
3171
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3171 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3089
2996
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAU/USD: Dip-Buyers Step In, Targeting a Fresh Push Higher📊 Technical Structure
Gold (XAU/USD) is trading around $3,652 after slipping below the $3,660 handle. The chart shows that price is holding near the support zone at $3,640–$3,635, while sellers capped upside momentum at the resistance zone $3,678–$3,684. Current structure suggests range-bound consolidation, with potential for a bullish rebound if buyers defend the support area.
🎯 Trade Setup
Entry: $3,635 – $3,640 (near support)
Stop Loss: $3,631 (below support zone)
Take Profit: $3,678 / $3,684 (resistance zone)
Risk/Reward: ~1 : 4.87
🗝️ Key Technical Levels
Resistance Zone: $3,678 – $3,684
Support Zone: $3,635 – $3,640
Major Resistance Above: $3,700 round figure
🌐 Macro Background
Gold remains pressured after the Fed’s 25 bps rate cut, which was less dovish than markets hoped. Powell’s cautious rhetoric supported a USD rebound, weighing on bullion. Still, the Fed’s projection of two more cuts in 2025 underpins medium-term bullish momentum for gold as real yields could decline further. At the same time, geopolitical risks in the Middle East provide safe-haven support, limiting deeper downside.
📌 Trade Summary
The bias favours a long entry near $3,640, aiming for the $3,678–$3,684 resistance zone. Price action remains constructive as long as $3,635 support holds. A decisive break below could open downside risks toward $3,620.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
XAUUSD on Change stageXAUUSD was on Rising channel although in our previous commantary our optimal buying limit was 3625-3630 which is missed by some pips.
What possible scenario we have?
• XAUUSD was on undisputed bullish rising wedge pattern & I'm expecting another bottom leg.
What will be my stance Today?
I will sell from 3676-3680 range to achieved our targets 3660-3645.
• secondly if H4 -H1candle closes above 3685-3690 then I will take buy trade and my target will be 3720-3730.
TIP:All eyes on 3680-3685 Resistance area.
All the entires should be taken once all the rules are applied
Gold 1H – Fed Decision Looms After $3,700 BreakGold on the 1H timeframe is consolidating around 3,675 after sweeping the historic $3,700 level. Price briefly tapped 3,702 before retreating into the 3,670s, showing engineered liquidity runs both sides. With the Fed policy decision due at 1 AM VN time, volatility is expected to spike. Market remains supported by easing USD, central bank flows, and geopolitical tension, but short-term positioning suggests possible liquidity grabs before a directional move.
________________________________________
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL SCALP 3,696 – 3,694 (SL 3,703)
Premium supply pocket for engineered rejection targeting 3,690 → 3,685 → 3,680.
• 🟢 FVG BUY ZONE 3,674 – 3,665 (SL 3,660)
Fair Value Gap demand zone for retracement into structure, targeting 3,685 → 3,695 → 3,700+.
• 🟢 BUY SUPPORT 3,636 – 3,638 (SL 3,630)
Deep discount accumulation zone targeting 3,655 → 3,670 → 3,680+.
________________________________________
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – FVG Reclaim (3,674–3,665)
• Entry: 3,674 – 3,665
• Stop Loss: 3,660
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,685
TP2: 3,695
TP3: 3,700+
👉 Look for liquidity sweep into FVG before NY session/Fed.
🔺 Buy Setup – Deep Discount (3,636–3,638)
• Entry: 3,636 – 3,638
• Stop Loss: 3,630
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,655
TP2: 3,670
TP3: 3,680+
👉 High R:R setup if stops hunted before Fed decision.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Trap (3,696–3,694)
• Entry: 3,696 – 3,694
• Stop Loss: 3,703
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,690
TP2: 3,685
TP3: 3,680
👉 Expect engineered stop-runs into premium before fading lower.
________________________________________
🔑 Strategy Note
Gold’s break above $3,700 highlights strong bullish sentiment, but Fed decision risk means smart money may sweep liquidity both ways. Stay nimble: fade extremes at 3,696–3,694 for shorts, and defend demand at 3,674–3,665 and 3,636–3,638 for longs. Trade lighter size until post-Fed clarity.
XAUUSD on Drop?After successful buyying closing on profit we are on sell.
XAUUSD was on Rising channel before FOMC now rates aur cuts 25 BPS and market break the lower trend line.
What possible scenario we have?
• XAUUSD was on undisputed bullish rising wedge pattern and brea the lowers trend line and I'm holding my sell trades from 3665-3660 range , I will hold if this H4 candle closes below 3640-3635 then my target will be 3620 then 3605.
• secondly if H4 candle closes above 3645 then will have to wait till D1 closing
All the entires should be taken once all the rules are applied
XAUUSD 30M – Intraday Plan Around the RangePrice is holding between $3,685.87 (resistance) and $3,673.62 (support). We’re trading around $3,675–$3,676 inside a tight box. Scalps can work, but reversals are quick.
🔼 Bullish Plan (needs confirmation)
Trigger: A clean 30min body close above $3,685.87 (not just a wick).
Targets: $3,688.10 → $3,688.98 → $3,690.51.
Management: Take partials at $3,688.10, move SL to breakeven once $3,686 holds on a retest.
🔽 Bearish Plan (cleaner below support)
Trigger: 30min body close below $3,673.62.
Targets: $3,670.82 → $3,669.51 → $3,667.48.
Management: Scale partials at $3,670.82, protect the rest at breakeven.
🔄 Range Scalp (higher risk, small size)
Shorts: $3,685–$3,686 on a clear rejection → aim $3,676–$3,678, SL above rejection high / $3,690.
Longs: $3,673–$3,674 on a strong rejection wick → aim mid-range, SL below $3,670.
✅ Break Confirmation
Strong 30min close through the level.
❌ Invalidation
Breakout closes back inside the box on the next candle (trap).
Multiple wick rejections with no momentum.
📌 Bottom Line
Above $3,685.87 → bullish bias to $3,690.51.
Below $3,673.62 → bearish bias to $3,667.48.
Inside the box = scalp only, keep risk tight.
XAUUSD – Bullish Rally with Support Zones Ahead of Retail Sales.Analysis:
Gold (XAUUSD) continues its bullish structure, forming new higher highs after breaking previous resistance zones.
📌 Key Supports:
1st Support: 3680
2nd Support: 3674 (previous resistance now turned support)
As long as these levels hold, I remain bullish with a target at 3708 for today.
📊 Fundamentals:
Today’s U.S. Core Retail Sales m/m (Previous: 0.4%, Forecast: 0.3%) and Retail Sales m/m (Previous: 0.5%, Forecast: 0.2%) could bring volatility. Weaker-than-expected results may support further upside in gold, while stronger numbers could trigger retracement before continuation.
⚠️ As always, apply proper risk management and use stop loss below support.
💡 **If you find this analysis useful, don’t forget to like 👍, comment 💬, and share 🔄 to support my work.
Stay Connected for Proper P&L, I will share soon.
Regards: Forex Insights Pro.
#XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #Trading #PriceAction #RetailSales #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishSetup