XAUUSD – DAILY BULLISH SCENARIO – TARGET 4050💛 XAUUSD – DAILY BULLISH SCENARIO – TARGET 4050 🎯
🌤 1. Overview
Hello everyone 💬
Although the larger trend for gold leans towards a downtrend, today I prioritize a bullish scenario in the short term.
On the M30 chart, the price structure is gradually increasing, indicating that short-term capital is shifting towards buyers.
The 3990 zone is a very important area – where a Break of Structure (BOS) has just appeared and is also a strong resistance that has reacted multiple times before.
Price needs to confirm a break above this area to continue expanding the bullish trend.
💹 2. Technical Analysis (ICT Perspective)
📈 An ascending structure (BOS) has formed on M30.
🟣 Buy Zone 3977–3979 coincides with the support trendline – a beautiful confluence point for buyers.
🔹 Resistance zone 3990–4000 is the area to confirm the main direction.
💫 Higher target: Fibonacci Extension 1.618 area around 4049–4050, coinciding with the psychological resistance at 4050.
🎯 3. Reference Trading Plan
💖 Main BUY (priority)
Entry: 3977–3979 | SL: 3970
TP: 3988 – 4000 – 4022 – 4040 – 4050
💢 Short SELL (when price reacts strongly at resistance)
Entry: 4012–4014 | SL: 4020
TP: 4002 – 3988 – 3965
⚠️ 4. Important Notes
Price needs to confirm above the 3990 area to solidify the bullish trend.
If it breaks below 3970, the ascending structure is temporarily invalidated.
Today, prioritize buying according to the capital flow, sell only when there is a clear signal at the resistance zone.
🌷 5. Conclusion & Interaction with LanaM2
Gold is showing positive signals 💛
Be patient and wait for reactions at the Buy Zone 3977–3979, this could be the starting point for a new upward move towards 4050.
This is not an investment recommendation, just a personal view according to the ICT method.
If you find it useful, please 💛 like – 💬 comment – 🔔 follow LanaM2 to update gold analysis with me every day ✨
Trade ideas
SMART MONEY CONCEPT (SMC)Bullish Analysis Breakdown – XAU/USD (15M)
🧠 Market Structure
The chart shows a shift in structure with a clear BOS (Break of Structure) and CHOCH (Change of Character) after a period of Consolidation.
Price creates a Fair Value Gap (FVG) during the bullish move, and later performs a Fake Out below the support zone to grab Sell-Side Liquidity before rejecting strongly back into structure — a classic institutional move.
The rejection at the support zone confirms that institutions have accumulated positions and are now ready to drive the market toward new highs.
🧩 Confluences
• Support Zone + Rejection: Price reacts perfectly after the fake-out, confirming demand.
• FVG Mitigation: The fair value gap adds confluence to the bullish rejection.
• Liquidity Grab: Sell-side liquidity was cleared before the bullish push.
• Distribution Phase: The projection shows a possible redistribution before reaching TP.
🎯 Trade Plan
• Buy Entry: 3,965
• Stop Loss: 3,945
• Take Profit: 4,026
• Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:3
This setup shows clean institutional alignment — liquidity taken, structure shift, rejection, and continuation toward buy-side targets.
💬 Conclusion
A very professional analysis that combines structure, liquidity, and confluences in harmony.
“Smart trading begins with patience and precision.”
FOOD LUCK TRADERS 🦾🤓🖤💸
Will gold break out of its range on November 6th?
Core View: Range-Bound with a Bearish Bias, Prefer Selling Rallies with Buying Dips as a Supplement
The gold market is currently within a clear trading range, lacking momentum for a unilateral trend. Tuesday's large bearish candle sets a short-term bearish tone for the day, but strong support levels below limit the downside potential. Therefore, the primary trading approach should be to sell on rallies, while looking to buy bounces at key support levels.
I. Key Price Levels
Core Resistance Zone: 4000 - 4020
Short-Term Support Zone: 3945 - 3925
Strong Support Zone: 3915 - 3885
II. Specific Trading Strategies
1. Short Strategy (Primary Direction)
Entry Zone: Look to enter short positions in batches when the price rallies to the 4000-4020 zone.
Profit Target: Primary target is the 3945-3925 zone.
Stop Loss: Recommended to place above 4020.
2. Long Strategy (Secondary Opportunity)
Entry Zone: Consider light long positions if the price retraces to the 3925-3915 support zone. A touch of the strong support around 3885 presents a more ideal long opportunity.
Profit Target: Aim for a technical rebound towards the 3980-4000 zone.
Stop Loss: Recommended to place below the key support level (e.g., if entering long at 3925, place stop loss below 3910).
III. Market Outlook & Important Notes
Range-Bound Nature: The market is operating within a broad 3880 - 4050 range. Do not mistake short-term fluctuations for the start of a new trend; avoid chasing prices.
Breakout Handling:
If the price breaks strongly above 4020, the short-term bearish structure is invalidated. Short positions must be closed firmly, and consider going long on a pullback with light positions.
If the price breaks decisively below 3880, the downside is likely to extend. Shift to a trend-following short strategy.
Risk Management: In the current ranging market, it is essential to trade with light positions and use strict stop-losses. The market is prone to reversals; sound risk control is key to survival and profitability.
Summary:
Prioritize looking for shorting opportunities near the 4000 level during the day. If the price declines directly without a prior rally, patiently wait for it to reach the 3925-3915 or even the 3885 support zones before seeking long opportunities.
AFTER LOOKING M15 IT GIVE ME A VIEW OF BUYING IN XAUUSDPrice is holding strong around the $3,920–$3,940 support zone, showing clear signs of accumulation after multiple retests. As long as this support holds, I’m expecting a potential bullish move toward the $4,120–$4,150 resistance area, which aligns with previous supply and structure levels.
The breakout above mid-range resistance around $4,000 could confirm momentum and open the path for a +240 pip move (around 6% upside). Volume also shows gradual build-up, supporting a possible reversal from this demand zone.
Bias: Bullish
Entry Zone: Around current support (3,940–3,960)
Target: 4,120–4,150
Invalidation: Break below 3,920
GOLD(XAUUSD) - Swing Trade GOLD (XAU/USD) – Swing Trade 🩶
SELL setup active 🔥
🎯 Target: 3572
⏱ Timeframe: 4H / Daily
Bearish momentum forming after rejection at resistance. Expecting a drop toward 3572 — manage risk! ⚡️
⸻
📊 2. Formal & Analytical
Gold (XAU/USD) – Swing Trade Idea
Position: Sell
Entry: Active
Target (TP): 3572
Timeframe: 4H / Daily
Price has shown rejection at a key resistance area, indicating potential downside movement. If bearish pressure continues, we could see price reach the 3572 level. Always apply proper risk management.
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure
OANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) rebounded from the Support Zone ($3,929–$3,938), aligning with the ascending trendline drawn from late October lows. The price is attempting to recover toward the Resistance Zone ($3,985–$3,994) but remains within a broader corrective structure.
The bullish momentum looks corrective rather than impulsive, suggesting that unless gold breaks above $3,995 convincingly, sellers may re-emerge near resistance. The rising trendline remains a short-term guide; holding above $3,940 keeps the rebound bias valid.
🎯 Trade Setup
Entry: $3,929 – $3,938
Stop Loss: $3,925
Take Profit 1: $3,985
Take Profit 2: $3,994
Risk-Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 4.95
🌐 Macro Background
Gold is stabilizing near $3,950 after a sharp 1.8% sell-off on Tuesday, following renewed USD strength. As FXStreet’s Dhwani Mehta notes, “Gold is licking its wounds near $3,950... but downside risks remain intact ahead of U.S. data.” 【FXStreet】
USD Dynamics: The Dollar entered a bullish consolidation phase after the risk-off rally, with traders reducing bets on further Fed cuts this year. The CME FedWatch Tool shows less than a 70% chance of a December rate reduction.
Market Sentiment: The global tech-led equity sell-off drove risk aversion, causing investors to cover equity losses by selling gold positions.
Upcoming Data: Traders now focus on U.S. ADP employment and ISM Services PMI, both of which could reshape expectations for Fed policy. Strong readings could strengthen the USD and weigh on gold; weak figures might lift gold on renewed rate-cut bets.
Overall, gold’s short-term recovery remains fragile. A rebound toward $3,985–$3,995 could face resistance unless U.S. data disappoints.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance: $3,985 – $3,994
Support: $3,929 – $3,938
Trendline Support: $3,940
Psychological Level: $3,950
📌 Trade Summary
Gold (XAU/USD) is showing a corrective bounce after finding support near $3,930. While the setup allows for a short-term long trade toward $3,985–$3,994, traders should remain cautious as the broader sentiment stays bearish. A break below $3,925 would invalidate the rebound and reopen the path toward $3,900.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Watching 3957–3918 for Buyer ReactionGold remains in consolidation after failing to break above the 4042 resistance yesterday. The rejection from the MA200, followed by a break below the 3989 support level.
Price is now trading around 3982, approaching the First Reaction Zone (3957–3918). If this zone fails to hold, further weakness could expose the Support Zone (3884–3851), followed by the HTF Support Zone (3820–3781) as deeper reaction levels.
To shift momentum back to the upside, buyers need to reclaim 3989 and 4042, with the MA200 continuing to act as a major dynamic resistance.
📌 Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
3989
4042
4090
4142
Support:
3957
3918
3884
3851
🔎 Fundamental Focus:
There are no major economic releases on the calendar today, but traders should remain cautious as political headlines and broader fundamental developments can still drive sharp moves in gold.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | November 04, 2025
🔹 Momentum
D1 timeframe:
D1 momentum has entered the overbought zone — this signals that the bullish momentum is weakening and a potential reversal could occur today or tomorrow.
H4 timeframe:
H4 momentum is currently in the oversold zone and preparing for a bullish reversal. This suggests that the market may produce 4–5 consecutive bullish H4 candles to lift momentum back toward the overbought region.
H1 timeframe:
H1 momentum is also turning upward, indicating that a short-term bullish phase may be forming.
________________________________________
🔹 Wave Structure
D1 timeframe:
A WXY corrective structure is forming. Wave W appears to be completed, and the current move is part of wave X.
However, this X wave seems relatively shallow, and with D1 momentum already in the overbought zone, there’s likely only one final upward push left to complete wave X before a possible reversal.
H4 timeframe:
Given that D1 is already overbought, the yellow wave (4) scenario remains the primary outlook.
Still, since H4 momentum is about to turn upward, there’s a high probability of one last upward movement to finish wave X before resuming a downward move.
H1 timeframe:
On H1, price action is forming a red WXY structure for wave X.
Wave W has already completed, and price is currently developing within wave X (red).
Inside this X wave, a black abcde triangle is taking shape, with price currently hovering near the lower boundary (ac line) of the triangle.
• If wave e (black) ends near the ac line, the triangle pattern will be complete → price is expected to break above the upper boundary, triggering an upward continuation as wave Y.
→ This aligns with the bullish reversal signals seen in H4 and H1 momentum.
• Conversely, if price breaks below the ac line and drops under 3927, it would suggest that the purple X wave on D1 has already completed, and the market may resume a downtrend following D1 momentum.
________________________________________
🔹 Trading Plan
• Buy Stop: 4000
• Stop Loss: 3973
• Take Profit 1: 4050
⚠️ Note: The current candle range is quite wide → stop loss is relatively large, so it’s advisable to reduce position size and manage trades carefully.
XAUUSD – Buy Zone Confirmation Ahead of NY Session | 15M Setup
Price is approaching a key buy zone (3956–3972).
Wait for sentiment confirmation before entry — avoid trading inside the New York killing zone.
Logical SL: 3951
Focus on reaction and volume shift for a potential bullish reversal.
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #Myshare_finance
GOLD | Daily Analysis #3 - 3 November 2025Hello and Welcome Back to DP,
Reviews and News Coverage:
Last week chart represented major moves and volatility. In this Week we should expect following economic calendar events :
- Monday, Nov 3: ISM Manufacturing PMI
- Wednesday, Nov 5: ADP Non-Farm Employment Change AND ISM Services PMI
- Friday, Nov 7 (Tentative): Unemployment Rate & Average Hourly Earnings
Political Angle:
The ongoing U.S. government shutdown negotiations and fiscal uncertainty may increase safe-haven demand for gold. Any escalation or delay in funding could trigger a risk-off tone and push XAU/USD higher.
1H Technical Analysis:
Gold has broken its major downtrend line, signaling a potential shift from bearish to bullish bias on the intraday time frame. The price is currently trading around $4,016, consolidating just below a short-term resistance zone.
Immediate Resistance: $4,024, So a breakout here could open the door toward $4,046, then $4,083.
The next stop if pass 4024, aligns with markup.
Immediate Support: $3,998 → $3,970 zone.
If this support breaks, the next downside target is $3,947 – $3,915 region.
Momentum remains cautiously bullish after breaking the descending trendline.
The structure of higher lows indicates accumulation, but the $4,024–$4,046 resistance area must be cleared with strong candle closes to confirm continuation.
If gold rejects from $4,024 again, expect a retest of the trendline support near $3,970–$3,950.
Trading Plan Ideas:
Bullish bias above $4,024 → potential upside toward $4,046 → $4,083.
Bearish correction if price breaks below $3,998 → next supports $3,970 → $3,947 → $3,915.
Watch for volume confirmation at $4,024 or $3,970 before entry.
Disclaimer:
This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. © DIBAPRISM
Amir D.Kohn
Gold review - 03/11/2025Gold steadied near the $4,000 level as traders assessed the U.S.–China trade truce, which eased immediate tensions but failed to dispel long-term concerns about economic rivalry. The agreement offered temporary relief to markets, though lingering uncertainty kept demand for safe-haven assets intact.
Gold has retreated from record highs, pressured by reduced expectations of further Fed rate cuts and recent outflows from gold-backed ETFs. Still, the metal remains up sharply for the year, supported by strong central bank purchases and continued investor interest in portfolio protection amid global uncertainty.
Additionally, China’s decision to cut tax rebates for gold retailers has sparked concern over reduced demand in one of the world’s largest gold markets. The policy change limits the value-added tax offset on gold sales, pressuring local jewelry makers and weighing on sentiment. While China’s move may curb near-term consumption, overall bullish sentiment in global markets remains intact.
From a technical perspective, the price of gold has continued its bearish correction momentum and, for the time being, has not managed to break below the $4,000 mark. The moving averages continue to validate an overall bullish trend, despite the recent correction, while the Stochastic oscillator has been pushed to extreme oversold levels. This could suggest that the bearish momentum might be losing some steam, and a resumption to the upside might be next in play. If this scenario unfolds, the first area of major resistance may be observed around $4,200, which corresponds to the psychological resistance of the round number and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Disclaimer: The opinions in this article are personal to the writer and do not reflect those of Exness
GOLD (XAUUSD) | Key Reaction Zone Ahead – 0.5–0.618 FIB Gold is trading near a critical retracement zone (0.5–0.618 FIB) with price consolidating below the previous day’s high ($4046).
Smart money may look to induce liquidity above $4031, then reverse to target the previous day low ($3972) if rejection confirms.
Trade Idea:
Watch Zone: $4006–$4031 (reaction / rejection area)
Bearish Scenario: Liquidity grab above $4031 → Break of structure → Sell continuation
Bullish Scenario: Strong close above $4046 → Next liquidity target $4065+
Bias: Neutral-to-bearish unless $4046 is broken with volume
Key Levels:
Resistance: $4046 (PDH zone)
Support: $3972 (PDL)
XAU/USD (Gold) 4H - Range & Liquidity Projection🪙 XAU/USD (Gold) 4H - Range & Liquidity Projection
This 4-Hour (4H) chart for Gold (XAU/USD) displays a clear consolidation pattern following recent volatility, with key liquidity zones defined by the price action. The analysis is framed around Smart Money Concepts (SMC), using the labeled high and low points.
🔍 Key Levels & Structure
CRTH (Clear Run on the High): This level at $3,987.92 (or the area around $3,988.26 to $4,005.65) represents the immediate Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) pool. This is the main target for any bullish expansion from the current price. The "eye" symbol above CRTH suggests a high-probability target for a liquidity grab.
CRTL (Clear Run on the Low): This level around $3,979.27 acts as the immediate Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL) pool. A break below this would likely trigger stop-losses and drive the price lower.
Current Price: The market is currently trading right in the middle of this short-term range, near $3,980.19, indicating indecision or accumulation.
🎯 Projected Scenarios (The Dashed Path)
The dashed path drawn on the chart outlines a high-probability manipulation setup (a "W" shape):
Stop Hunt Down: Price is expected to first move down to sweep the liquidity below CRTL. This move would trap early sellers and stop out buyers who entered near the range low.
Reversal and Shift: After the sweep, the price reverses sharply, indicating that the sellers' liquidity has been absorbed by institutional buyers.
Expansion to CRTH: The reversal then leads to a bullish expansion, targeting the CRTH (Buy-Side Liquidity) at $3,987.92 and potentially the high near $4,005.65.
💡 Trading Plan Summary
Bias: Neutral/Range-Bound until a clear sweep or break occurs. The drawn path suggests an underlying bullish opportunity from a liquidity trap.
Bullish Entry Zone: Look for a reversal pattern or displacement on lower timeframes (1H/15M) after price trades below CRTL ($3,979.27) to capture the move to the upside.
Bearish Confirmation: A decisive 4H candle close below the recent swing low around $3,941.18 would likely invalidate the current consolidation and confirm a deeper bearish move, targeting lower structural support.
XAUUSD 4H Technical & Fundamental Weekly ForecastGold remains consolidative after strong rejection at the 4H Resistance Area near 4,100, with a visible break of structure to the downside confirming a shift in short-term momentum. The price is currently stabilizing near the 4H Support Zone at 3,965–3,980, as the market awaits high-impact U.S. data later in the week.
Key Levels
Support: 3965 — 3980
Resistance: 4010 — 4035
liquidity zone: 4000
Reasoning:
Technically, the 4H structure shows a clear lower-high formation after the resistance rejection, signaling that sellers are regaining control. The support zone between 3,965–3,980 will act as a key decision area — a break below could extend the bearish leg, while a bounce might trigger a short-term recovery.
Fundamentally, this week’s focus is on U.S. economic data, including the ISM Manufacturing & Services PMI, ADP Employment, and Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) reports. Stronger-than-expected numbers could strengthen the U.S. dollar and pressure gold prices, while weaker data might support a short-term rebound.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always confirm your own entries and apply proper risk management before trading.






















