Trade ideas
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Watching 3957–3918 for Buyer ReactionGold remains in consolidation after failing to break above the 4042 resistance yesterday. The rejection from the MA200, followed by a break below the 3989 support level.
Price is now trading around 3982, approaching the First Reaction Zone (3957–3918). If this zone fails to hold, further weakness could expose the Support Zone (3884–3851), followed by the HTF Support Zone (3820–3781) as deeper reaction levels.
To shift momentum back to the upside, buyers need to reclaim 3989 and 4042, with the MA200 continuing to act as a major dynamic resistance.
📌 Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
3989
4042
4090
4142
Support:
3957
3918
3884
3851
🔎 Fundamental Focus:
There are no major economic releases on the calendar today, but traders should remain cautious as political headlines and broader fundamental developments can still drive sharp moves in gold.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | November 04, 2025
🔹 Momentum
D1 timeframe:
D1 momentum has entered the overbought zone — this signals that the bullish momentum is weakening and a potential reversal could occur today or tomorrow.
H4 timeframe:
H4 momentum is currently in the oversold zone and preparing for a bullish reversal. This suggests that the market may produce 4–5 consecutive bullish H4 candles to lift momentum back toward the overbought region.
H1 timeframe:
H1 momentum is also turning upward, indicating that a short-term bullish phase may be forming.
________________________________________
🔹 Wave Structure
D1 timeframe:
A WXY corrective structure is forming. Wave W appears to be completed, and the current move is part of wave X.
However, this X wave seems relatively shallow, and with D1 momentum already in the overbought zone, there’s likely only one final upward push left to complete wave X before a possible reversal.
H4 timeframe:
Given that D1 is already overbought, the yellow wave (4) scenario remains the primary outlook.
Still, since H4 momentum is about to turn upward, there’s a high probability of one last upward movement to finish wave X before resuming a downward move.
H1 timeframe:
On H1, price action is forming a red WXY structure for wave X.
Wave W has already completed, and price is currently developing within wave X (red).
Inside this X wave, a black abcde triangle is taking shape, with price currently hovering near the lower boundary (ac line) of the triangle.
• If wave e (black) ends near the ac line, the triangle pattern will be complete → price is expected to break above the upper boundary, triggering an upward continuation as wave Y.
→ This aligns with the bullish reversal signals seen in H4 and H1 momentum.
• Conversely, if price breaks below the ac line and drops under 3927, it would suggest that the purple X wave on D1 has already completed, and the market may resume a downtrend following D1 momentum.
________________________________________
🔹 Trading Plan
• Buy Stop: 4000
• Stop Loss: 3973
• Take Profit 1: 4050
⚠️ Note: The current candle range is quite wide → stop loss is relatively large, so it’s advisable to reduce position size and manage trades carefully.
XAUUSD – Buy Zone Confirmation Ahead of NY Session | 15M Setup
Price is approaching a key buy zone (3956–3972).
Wait for sentiment confirmation before entry — avoid trading inside the New York killing zone.
Logical SL: 3951
Focus on reaction and volume shift for a potential bullish reversal.
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #Myshare_finance
GOLD | Daily Analysis #3 - 3 November 2025Hello and Welcome Back to DP,
Reviews and News Coverage:
Last week chart represented major moves and volatility. In this Week we should expect following economic calendar events :
- Monday, Nov 3: ISM Manufacturing PMI
- Wednesday, Nov 5: ADP Non-Farm Employment Change AND ISM Services PMI
- Friday, Nov 7 (Tentative): Unemployment Rate & Average Hourly Earnings
Political Angle:
The ongoing U.S. government shutdown negotiations and fiscal uncertainty may increase safe-haven demand for gold. Any escalation or delay in funding could trigger a risk-off tone and push XAU/USD higher.
1H Technical Analysis:
Gold has broken its major downtrend line, signaling a potential shift from bearish to bullish bias on the intraday time frame. The price is currently trading around $4,016, consolidating just below a short-term resistance zone.
Immediate Resistance: $4,024, So a breakout here could open the door toward $4,046, then $4,083.
The next stop if pass 4024, aligns with markup.
Immediate Support: $3,998 → $3,970 zone.
If this support breaks, the next downside target is $3,947 – $3,915 region.
Momentum remains cautiously bullish after breaking the descending trendline.
The structure of higher lows indicates accumulation, but the $4,024–$4,046 resistance area must be cleared with strong candle closes to confirm continuation.
If gold rejects from $4,024 again, expect a retest of the trendline support near $3,970–$3,950.
Trading Plan Ideas:
Bullish bias above $4,024 → potential upside toward $4,046 → $4,083.
Bearish correction if price breaks below $3,998 → next supports $3,970 → $3,947 → $3,915.
Watch for volume confirmation at $4,024 or $3,970 before entry.
Disclaimer:
This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. © DIBAPRISM
Amir D.Kohn
Gold review - 03/11/2025Gold steadied near the $4,000 level as traders assessed the U.S.–China trade truce, which eased immediate tensions but failed to dispel long-term concerns about economic rivalry. The agreement offered temporary relief to markets, though lingering uncertainty kept demand for safe-haven assets intact.
Gold has retreated from record highs, pressured by reduced expectations of further Fed rate cuts and recent outflows from gold-backed ETFs. Still, the metal remains up sharply for the year, supported by strong central bank purchases and continued investor interest in portfolio protection amid global uncertainty.
Additionally, China’s decision to cut tax rebates for gold retailers has sparked concern over reduced demand in one of the world’s largest gold markets. The policy change limits the value-added tax offset on gold sales, pressuring local jewelry makers and weighing on sentiment. While China’s move may curb near-term consumption, overall bullish sentiment in global markets remains intact.
From a technical perspective, the price of gold has continued its bearish correction momentum and, for the time being, has not managed to break below the $4,000 mark. The moving averages continue to validate an overall bullish trend, despite the recent correction, while the Stochastic oscillator has been pushed to extreme oversold levels. This could suggest that the bearish momentum might be losing some steam, and a resumption to the upside might be next in play. If this scenario unfolds, the first area of major resistance may be observed around $4,200, which corresponds to the psychological resistance of the round number and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Disclaimer: The opinions in this article are personal to the writer and do not reflect those of Exness
GOLD (XAUUSD) | Key Reaction Zone Ahead – 0.5–0.618 FIB Gold is trading near a critical retracement zone (0.5–0.618 FIB) with price consolidating below the previous day’s high ($4046).
Smart money may look to induce liquidity above $4031, then reverse to target the previous day low ($3972) if rejection confirms.
Trade Idea:
Watch Zone: $4006–$4031 (reaction / rejection area)
Bearish Scenario: Liquidity grab above $4031 → Break of structure → Sell continuation
Bullish Scenario: Strong close above $4046 → Next liquidity target $4065+
Bias: Neutral-to-bearish unless $4046 is broken with volume
Key Levels:
Resistance: $4046 (PDH zone)
Support: $3972 (PDL)
XAU/USD (Gold) 4H - Range & Liquidity Projection🪙 XAU/USD (Gold) 4H - Range & Liquidity Projection
This 4-Hour (4H) chart for Gold (XAU/USD) displays a clear consolidation pattern following recent volatility, with key liquidity zones defined by the price action. The analysis is framed around Smart Money Concepts (SMC), using the labeled high and low points.
🔍 Key Levels & Structure
CRTH (Clear Run on the High): This level at $3,987.92 (or the area around $3,988.26 to $4,005.65) represents the immediate Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) pool. This is the main target for any bullish expansion from the current price. The "eye" symbol above CRTH suggests a high-probability target for a liquidity grab.
CRTL (Clear Run on the Low): This level around $3,979.27 acts as the immediate Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL) pool. A break below this would likely trigger stop-losses and drive the price lower.
Current Price: The market is currently trading right in the middle of this short-term range, near $3,980.19, indicating indecision or accumulation.
🎯 Projected Scenarios (The Dashed Path)
The dashed path drawn on the chart outlines a high-probability manipulation setup (a "W" shape):
Stop Hunt Down: Price is expected to first move down to sweep the liquidity below CRTL. This move would trap early sellers and stop out buyers who entered near the range low.
Reversal and Shift: After the sweep, the price reverses sharply, indicating that the sellers' liquidity has been absorbed by institutional buyers.
Expansion to CRTH: The reversal then leads to a bullish expansion, targeting the CRTH (Buy-Side Liquidity) at $3,987.92 and potentially the high near $4,005.65.
💡 Trading Plan Summary
Bias: Neutral/Range-Bound until a clear sweep or break occurs. The drawn path suggests an underlying bullish opportunity from a liquidity trap.
Bullish Entry Zone: Look for a reversal pattern or displacement on lower timeframes (1H/15M) after price trades below CRTL ($3,979.27) to capture the move to the upside.
Bearish Confirmation: A decisive 4H candle close below the recent swing low around $3,941.18 would likely invalidate the current consolidation and confirm a deeper bearish move, targeting lower structural support.
XAUUSD 4H Technical & Fundamental Weekly ForecastGold remains consolidative after strong rejection at the 4H Resistance Area near 4,100, with a visible break of structure to the downside confirming a shift in short-term momentum. The price is currently stabilizing near the 4H Support Zone at 3,965–3,980, as the market awaits high-impact U.S. data later in the week.
Key Levels
Support: 3965 — 3980
Resistance: 4010 — 4035
liquidity zone: 4000
Reasoning:
Technically, the 4H structure shows a clear lower-high formation after the resistance rejection, signaling that sellers are regaining control. The support zone between 3,965–3,980 will act as a key decision area — a break below could extend the bearish leg, while a bounce might trigger a short-term recovery.
Fundamentally, this week’s focus is on U.S. economic data, including the ISM Manufacturing & Services PMI, ADP Employment, and Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) reports. Stronger-than-expected numbers could strengthen the U.S. dollar and pressure gold prices, while weaker data might support a short-term rebound.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always confirm your own entries and apply proper risk management before trading.
Core Data and Event Analysis for the Super WeekCore Data and Event Analysis for the Super Week
The upcoming week will see a dense window of key data releases and events, featuring "PMI + ADP Employment + Central Bank Rate Decision" — each with the potential to break the current range-bound market pattern for gold:
Nov 3: Global Manufacturing PMIs
Market expectations point to a reading of 49.2 for the U.S. October ISM Manufacturing PMI, while China’s SPGI Manufacturing PMI is projected to remain below the 50.0 expansion-contraction threshold at around 49.0%.
- A U.S. PMI print below 48.5 would reinforce expectations of economic slowdown, fueling bets on monetary easing and lifting gold sentiment.
- A reading above 49.5, however, could further weigh on gold prices by signaling relative economic resilience.
Nov 5: U.S. ADP Employment Report
As a leading indicator for nonfarm payrolls, the ADP report is expected to show 170,000 new jobs added in October.
- If the actual figure falls below 150,000, the probability of a Fed rate cut in December may rise above 70%, directly driving gold to test the 4,040 USD resistance level.
- A print above 200,000 could trigger a pullback in gold to the 3,970 USD support zone.
Nov 6: Bank of England (BoE) Rate Decision
Market sentiment is divided ahead of the BoE meeting: most institutions anticipate rates to stay unchanged at 4.0%, but Goldman Sachs forecasts a 25-basis-point cut.
- Should the BoE initiate an interest rate cut cycle, it would boost global expectations for monetary easing, providing indirect support to gold prices.
Nov 7: Collective Remarks by FOMC Members
Five core members of the U.S. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will deliver speeches. Key focus will be on their comments regarding a potential December rate cut and inflation trends.
- Hawkish signals (e.g., emphasizing persistent inflationary pressures) may trigger a short-term correction in gold.
- Dovish comments (e.g., noting signs of softening in the labor market) are likely to act as a catalyst for gold to break above key resistance levels.
Next week's trading strategy and analysis
buy:4000-4010
tp:4025-4035-4100
sl:3995
technical analysis for your chart on Gold (XAU/USDEUREX:FDAX1! EUREX:FDXS1! EUREX:FDXM1! ICEEUR:NCF1! ICEEUR:Z1! ICEEUR:RC1! EUREX:FGBX1! EUREX:FXXP1! ICEEUR:R1! ICEEUR:SOA1! Current Price: $4,002
Trend Structure: The pair is showing a potential reversal setup after a completed downward channel.
Recent Pattern: Price has broken slightly above the descending channel and is now retesting the breakout zone around the support level ($3,950–$3,980).
🔹 Key Technical Levels
Support Zone: $3,940 – $3,980
→ Strong accumulation area shown by multiple rejections and previous demand.
Immediate Resistance: $4,080 – $4,120
→ Minor resistance expected as the first hurdle after breakout.
Major Resistance (Target): $4,385
→ Marked as the final bullish target on the chart.
📈 Bullish Scenario
If price sustains above $4,000, we can expect:
A short-term retest of $4,080–$4,120.
Once momentum confirms above $4,120, bullish continuation toward $4,200 → $4,385 (main target).
✅ Buy Confirmation:
Break and close above $4,050 with volume.
Retest of $4,000 zone followed by bullish rejection candle.
🎯 Bullish Targets:
TP1: $4,080
TP2: $4,200
TP3: $4,385
📉 Bearish Scenario
If price rejects $4,000 and closes below the support zone ($3,950):
Downside may resume toward $3,880 – $3,820 range.
That would invalidate the bullish breakout and confirm channel continuation.
🚫 Sell Trigger:
3H close below $3,940.
🎯 Bearish Targets:
TP1: $3,880
TP2: $3,820
📊 Conclusion
Structure is shifting from bearish to bullish after a channel breakout.
The $3,950–$4,000 area is key — a stronghold for bulls.
Expect a bullish rally if support holds, targeting $4,385 in the medium term.
GOLD UNDER PRESSURE — WATCH 4130 FOR BEARISH REJECTION!🧭 WEEKLY TRADING PLAN – GOLD (XAU/USD)
Date: Nov 1–8, 2025
Main timeframe: H4
Strategy: SMC + Structure Shift + Supply/Demand Reactions
⚡ HOOK
GOLD FACES STRUCTURAL PRESSURE — RETEST BEFORE CONTINUATION?
🌐 MARKET CONTEXT
Gold has formed a clear lower-high structure after the recent CHoCH around 4367–4369.
The market currently trades around 4000, consolidating between two major demand zones (3930–3928 and 3895–3893).
Price shows signs of bearish order flow but lacks a confirmed BOS on the H4 structure.
This week, we expect a potential retracement to the mid supply zone (4132–4134) before continuing downside — unless the demand at 3930 holds strong for a bullish reaction.
🧩 STRUCTURE OVERVIEW
EQH: 4367–4369 → liquidity taken
CHoCH: Confirmed at 4320 → shift to bearish structure
BOS: 4200 → confirms lower low
Current price: 4002 → in a corrective phase
Demand zones: 3930–3928 (short-term) / 3895–3893 (deeper mitigation zone)
Supply zones: 4132–4134 / 4367–4369
💰 TRADE PLAN
1️⃣ Sell Setup (retracement play)
Entry: 4132 – 4134
SL: 4140
TP: 3930 (first target)
R:R ≈ 1:3
→ Confluence: bearish BOS + supply zone + weak high liquidity.
2️⃣ Buy Setup (reaction zone)
Entry: 3930 – 3928
SL: 3922
TP: 4130
R:R ≈ 1:3.5
→ Confluence: demand mitigation + liquidity sweep under equal lows.
3️⃣ Deep Buy Setup (liquidity sweep zone)
Entry: 3895 – 3893
SL: 3888
TP: 4005 / 4130
R:R ≈ 1:4
→ Confluence: unmitigated demand zone + FVG fill potential.
🎯 WEEKLY OUTLOOK
Bias remains bearish to neutral — expecting short-term pullback before further downside.
If price breaks and holds above 4140, it could invalidate the bearish bias and target 4360+ again.
Otherwise, rejections from the 4130 zone may push price back toward 3930 or even 3890 for reaccumulation.
Gold ( XAUUSD) UpdateGOLD (XAUUSD) Update 🟡
Price stayed bearish for most of the week as sellers kept control. I let the market play out after Tuesday’s drop since there was no clear daily signal from buyers.
On Thursday, we finally got a bullish engulfing daily close, showing early signs of momentum shift. The 4H structure is starting to turn bullish, and the 1H gave a clean entry during London after price failed to make new lower lows and began forming higher highs.
As long as price holds above the 4000 zone, I’ll stay patient and look for continuation towards 4100 and possibly the previous daily higher high.
Gold Under Pressure as USD Recovers📊 Market Overview:
Gold (XAU/USD) trades near $4006/oz, extending its pullback as the U.S. dollar strengthens and Treasury yields rebound.
Traders are cautious ahead of upcoming U.S. PMI and PCE data, which could shape expectations for the Fed’s next rate move.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key resistance: $4030 – $4050
• Nearest support: $3990 – $3975
• EMA09 (H1): Price remains below EMA09, confirming short-term bearish bias
• Candle/volume/momentum: Consecutive bearish candles with long upper wicks indicate strong selling pressure; RSI near 40 shows more downside potential.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may extend its short-term decline if USD strength persists and yields stay elevated.
However, $3990 – $3975 remains a potential rebound zone if a bullish rejection candle appears.
💡 Trade Setup:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $4047 – $4050
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: $4053
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3975 – $3977
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: $3972
GOLD LONDON/NEWYORK SET UPGOLD MARKET IN LONDON OPEN SESSION ,ONE SMALL OVERSIGHT AGAIN ON 1HR CAUSED US TO miss a sniper entries.we posted buy from pull back in the zone of 4000-4006 but the sniper buy was 3995 ,that was not bad but, its not where we want to be,the aim is to get into trade on sniper entry only.
if isn't sniper entry ,then is bad entry .
4000-4006 to the moon and should take us to 4040 and watch correction .or bullish continuation.
layer by layer
trading is probability
risk management is key.
any key layer can fail.
#gold #xauusd






















