XAU/USD Bullish channel intact — target at $3708Market Overview:
Gold continues to trade within an ascending channel. Support at 3630–3640 held the price, triggering a fresh upward impulse. The 144 EMA confirms the ongoing uptrend.
Technical Signals:
Support: 3630–3640.
Key support: 3613.
Immediate target: 3708.
AO indicator turned green, confirming bullish momentum.
Scenario:
The primary scenario points to further growth towards 3708 within the channel. A breakout above this level could open the way to 3750. If 3613 is broken, the bullish outlook may temporarily weaken.
GOLDCFD trade ideas
GOLD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,653.06
Target Level: 3,487.88
Stop Loss: 3,762.88
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Further rate cuts by the Fed could boost gold prices again.Gold prices fell on profit-taking after hitting a record high in the previous session as markets assessed the US Federal Reserve’s stance on further interest rate cuts.
The Fed on Wednesday made its first rate cut since December and left the door open for further easing, but warned of persistent inflation, raising doubts about the pace of future policy adjustments.
Gold, which typically performs well in low-interest-rate environments and periods of uncertainty, has gained nearly 39% so far this year.
In the short term, gold prices are under pressure to take profits after a series of consecutive increases in recent days and the market has reflected this in the price movements. However, in the long term, the Fed's further interest rate cuts - and the weakening USD - could push gold prices up again.
XAUUSD 30M – Intraday Plan Around the RangePrice is holding between $3,673.39 (resistance / buy trigger) and $3,646.90 (support / sell trigger). We’re trading around $3,650–$3,652 in the middle of the box. The chart shows mixed candles — trades inside the box are possible but can flip fast.
🔼 Bullish plan (need clean confirmation)
Trigger: 30min body close above $3,673.39 (not just a wick).
Targets: first into $3,678.52, then $3,682.27.
Management: take partials at the first target; trail the rest if momentum keeps going.
🔽 Bearish plan (cleaner if we lose the box)
Trigger: 30min body close below $3,646.90.
Targets: first $3,644.81, then $3,642.02 → extend toward $3,640.94 and $3,638.56 if sellers stay in control.
Management: scale partials at the first target, protect the remainder at breakeven and trail if downside expands.
🔄 Range scalp (higher risk — smaller size)
Shorts: near $3,673 on a clear rejection → target mid-range (~$3,655–$3,650), SL above the rejection high.
Longs: near $3,647–$3,650 on a strong rejection wick → target mid-range, SL under the wick low.
⚠️ Keep size small — chop can reverse quickly.
✅ What confirms a true break
A full 30-min body close beyond the level (not just a spike).
Successful retest of that level as S/R.
Momentum candles and follow-through volume.
❌ What invalidates / signals a trap
Breakout candle that closes back inside the box on the next bar.
Repeated wick pokes through the level with no follow-through.
📌 Bottom line
Waiting for a 30min close outside $3,646.90–$3,673.39.
Upside focus above $3,673.39 → targets $3,678.52 then $3,682.27.
Downside focus below $3,646.90 → targets $3,644.81 → $3,642.02 and lower.
Inside the box = scalp-only; keep risk tight.
Sept 19, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential Opportunity📊 Analysis:
No strong directional signal for now. Stay flexible around 3650, treating it as the key dividing line between bulls and bears.
Use 3650 as the pivot:
• Above 3650 → buy pullbacks into support.
• Below 3650 → sell rallies into resistance.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 3685–3690 – Resistance
• 3671–3675 – Resistance
• 3660 – Resistance
• 3655–3657 – Resistance
• 3650 – Key bull–bear pivot
• 3646 – Support
• 3636–3638 – Support zone
• 3630 – Support
• 3626 – Support
• 3613 – Support
📈 Intraday Strategy:
SELL: If price breaks below 3646 → target 3642, with further downside toward 3640, 3636, 3633
BUY: If price holds above 3650 → target 3655, with further upside toward 3658, 3661, 3666
👉 If you find this helpful or traded using this plan, a like 👍 would mean a lot and keep me motivated. Thanks for the support!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is my personal view, not financial advice. Always use proper risk control.
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 9/19/2025Gold was indeed rejected from the trendline yesterday and dropped under 3655 but failed to touch 3620 yet. I am expecting it to drop further today.
However, I am looking to sell from 3655 or if 3620 is broken. If 3620 is broken, it should open way at least down to 3580, or even 3557.
World gold prices went up this morningGold prices rose after the latest data showed the US housing market fell sharply compared to forecasts.
Housing starts in August fell 8.5% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.307 million units, according to the US Commerce Department. This was significantly lower than expected. Compared to the same period last year, housing construction activity fell 6% from the 1.391 million units in August 2024. This is seen as a sign of a slowing economy.
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) is underway, expected to conclude with a policy statement and press conference by the Fed Chairman.
In addition to the interest rate decision, the Fed will also release updated economic forecasts. Chairman Powell's press conference is expected to be very tense, as reporters will ask questions not only about the direction of the US economy and interest rates, but also about the independence of the Fed.
In addition to the Fed meeting, a number of other important US economic data will also be released, including the MBA's weekly mortgage application survey and the US Department of Energy's weekly oil inventory report. These data will provide a more complete picture of the health of the US economy, thereby affecting market sentiment and investor decisions.
Swing Trade Setup – XAUUSD (Gold)Gold is facing resistance around the 3660 level, where repeated rejection candles indicate selling pressure. The recent upward momentum has slowed, and the market is testing this zone as a potential short-term reversal area. With price struggling to hold above this resistance, a corrective move to the downside becomes likely.
Key Levels:
Sell Entry: 3660
Take Profit: 3630
Stop Loss: 3680
Reasoning:
The entry is placed at resistance where sellers are active. The stop-loss is kept just above the resistance to minimize risk if price breaks higher. The target is set near the 3630 support zone, where buyers are expected to return, making it a logical take-profit area in a swing trade setup.
⚠️ Disclaimer : This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not represent financial advice. Always manage your risk before trading.
CURRENT MARKET CONTEXT I SEP/18/2025🧭 CURRENT MARKET CONTEXT
- After FOMC, gold spiked to 3699 before dropping sharply to the support zone at 3645–3656.
- The H1 structure was slightly broken but has not yet formed a clear lower high → the market may still be in accumulation.
- Val zone ~3670, PoC ~3681, and Swing VaH ~3699 remain key resistance areas.
- The medium-term uptrend still has potential as long as 3645–3650 support holds.
🟢 SCENARIO 1 – BUY at Demand Zone 3645–3650 (H1 Wick + Trendline)
✅ Reason for entry:
Confluence of H1 & H4 wick
Previous uptrend line
Post-FOMC rejection
This is a technical pullback zone after the news-driven drop → short-term BUY on rebound.
🎯 Trade details:
Entry: 3645–3650
SL: below 3636
🟡 SCENARIO 2 – QUICK BUY at 3660–3665 (Val + Trendline)
✅ Reason for entry:
Important Val zone recently broken → could be retested.
If price reacts positively around 3660–3665 → potential for short-term rebound.
🎯 Trade details:
Entry: 3660–3665
SL: below 3645
🔴 SCENARIO 3 – SHORT SELL at 3680–3685 (PoC + Trendline Retest)
✅ Reason for entry:
Trendline was broken → retest at PoC + old trendline may provide a technical SELL point.
If price rises to 3680–3685 but fails to hold → likely rejection and continuation down.
🎯 Trade details:
Entry: 3680–3685
SL: above 3695
⚠️ SCENARIO 4 – WAIT FOR SELL BREAKDOWN below 3645
✅ Reason for entry:
If price breaks firmly below 3645 → major support lost → medium-term bearish signal.
Potential target at old Demand zone ~3630 or deeper toward 3617.
🎯 Trade details:
Entry: SELL after 3645 breaks and failed pullback
SL: above 3660
XAUUSD IDEA XAUUSD Sell Setup
Sell Zone: 3665 – 3663
Stop Loss (SL): 3667
Take Profit (TP):
TP1: 3652
TP2: 3628
Resistance Rejection: Price is struggling to stay above the 3665–3667 zone, showing signs of weakness after a minor retracement. This zone acts as an intraday resistance, and sellers are likely to step in here.
Trend Pressure: Gold is under short-term bearish pressure as buyers failed to hold higher levels. This indicates possible continuation toward the next support levels.
Targets:
3652 First support area, good for partial profits.
3628 A stronger support zone, aligning with deeper bearish continuation if momentum extends.
🌍 Market Context:
The US Dollar is showing short-term recovery, which usually weighs on gold prices.
Traders are cautious ahead of key economic events (Fed policy / data releases), making resistance zones good opportunities for tactical sells.
Overall, sentiment favors a pullback in gold as long as it trades below 3667.
Gold XAUUSD Intraday Setup 17 SeptI am looking for a bullish setup on Gold ahead of FOMC, with my buy zone placed at 3669–3671, which aligns with previous support and a liquidity grab area. My stop-loss is set just below the recent swing low at 3658, keeping risk contained. If data comes in favor, I expect price to rally toward the 3703+ zone, with potential extension toward all-time highs as momentum builds. The setup offers a strong risk-to-reward profile, and given the rejection from lower levels, I’ll be watching closely for fundamentals to confirm continuation to the upside.
BREAK AND RETESTIn this video, I highlight potential buy and sell zones, each with a 50-pip stop loss. The targets are set as follows: TP1 at 50 pips, TP2 at 100 pips, and TP3 at 150 pips.
These zones are based on breakout areas where price has not yet retested. It’s crucial to secure profits at each target and move your stop loss to breakeven after TP1. Alternatively, you can apply a 50–100 pip trailing stop.
Our approach focuses on capitalizing on the market’s reaction from these zones.
Gold Trading Strategy | September 16-17✅ From the 4-hour chart: Gold formed a high near 3703 and then pulled back, currently trading around 3688. The MA5 and MA10 are turning down, and the price has fallen back below the MA5, showing that short-term bullish momentum has weakened. The MA20 (around 3661) serves as a key support.
The upper Bollinger Band near 3705 is showing strong resistance, and the price has returned to oscillate around the mid-band, indicating that upward momentum is capped. The 4-hour chart suggests weakening bullish momentum, with a potential for consolidation and pullback.
✅ From the 1-hour chart: The MA5 and MA10 are turning downward, creating short-term pressure on the price, while the MA20 around 3687 is providing support.
Gold has broken below the middle Bollinger Band and is oscillating near the lower band, reflecting short-term weakness and the possibility of further testing support. The KDJ has formed a bearish crossover, and the MACD histogram has turned from red to green, showing that short-term bearish momentum is strengthening and there is risk of further downside.
🔴 Resistance levels: 3700–3705 / 3715–3730
🟢 Support levels: 3675–3665 / 3660–3655
📊 Trading Strategy Reference
🔻 Short Setup
● Entry: Sell in batches if gold rebounds to 3695–3700
● Target 1: 3680–3675
● Target 2: If broken, look further toward 3665
🔺 Long Setup
● Entry: Buy in batches if gold pulls back and stabilizes around 3670–3675
● Target 1: 3690–3695
● Target 2: If broken, look further toward 3700
🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions. If you have any questions , feel free to contact me🤝
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD BuyGold is in a very bullish market so with that in mind. Price took out liquidity and pushed upward. As it comes into the Order Block it makes sense to buy since there was a sweep already. There are other factors for the buy as well such as the inducement for this session and volume being stagnant on the bearish bars.