XAUUSD Gold Price is currently trading around 3,933, showing a downward correction after a strong bullish rally. The market has reached a key support zone near 3,920 – 3,900, where a potential rebound could occur. A bullish breakout from the minor descending trendline could trigger an upward move toward the first target zone at 4,050 – 4,100. If momentum continues, the next major target lies around 4,200.
However, if price breaks below the current support, further downside may extend toward the next support zone near 3,850 – 3,800.
Overall, price action suggests a critical decision point, with potential for a trend reversal if support holds.
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Trade ideas
GOLD: Long Signal with Entry/SL/TP
GOLD
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long GOLD
Entry Point - 3901.6
Stop Loss - 3884.4
Take Profit - 3938.6
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Gold analysis and trading strategy on October 27:
Key Event: US September CPI data came in lower than expected (MoM +0.3%, expected 0.4%), strengthening expectations for a Fed rate cut in October (market-implied probability near 99%).
Core Logic:
Rate cut expectations reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, boosting demand for non-yielding assets.
The US government shutdown and ongoing geopolitical uncertainties continue to support gold's safe-haven appeal.
Easing inflation data has not fully eliminated pressure, providing the Fed with policy flexibility.
Technical Analysis
Daily Chart Structure:
A double-top pattern formed at 4380, with a double-bottom support near 4000, forming a complete fluctuation cycle.
The MACD bearish divergence at high levels remains unrectified, suggesting potential for further correction on the daily chart.
4-Hour Timeframe:
An ABC correction wave is in progress:
Wave A started from 4380. The market is currently in the Wave B rebound phase, potentially followed by the initiation of a Wave C decline.
Key Levels:
Support: 4000-4010 (Bullish lifeline; a break below could trigger a larger-scale correction).
Resistance: 4160 (Key level determining Wave B strength), 4200-4250 (Maximum expected rebound zone).
I. Short Strategy (Primary Approach)
Entry Zone: 4150-4160
Stop Loss: 4170 (Stop loss 8-10 points)
Targets: 4100 → 4050 → 4000 (Take profits progressively)
Technical Basis:
4160 is the key resistance level for confirming the Wave B rebound. If not decisively broken, the Wave C correction might start earlier.
If the rebound extends to the 4200-4250 zone, consider adding to short positions, with a stop loss set above 4260.
II. Long Strategy (Secondary Approach)
Entry Zone: 4005-4010 (Scale in)
Stop Loss: 3995 (Stop loss 8-10 points)
Targets: 4050 → 4100 → 4150 0
Technical Basis:
4000 represents the double-bottom structure and a psychological level. A stabilization here could trigger a technical rebound.
Entry should be confirmed with real-time bullish reversal candlestick signals (e.g., hammer, bullish engulfing).
Key Reminders
Risk Management Principles:
Strictly adhere to 8-10 point stop losses. Avoid holding losing positions hoping they will reverse.
Control position size, keeping risk per trade within 5% of total capital to mitigate risk from data volatility.
Breakout Scenarios:
Break above 4160: Pause short-term short strategies. Observe whether the price tests the 4200-4250 zone before considering new short entries.
Break below 4000: Exit long positions. Consider following the downtrend with short positions, targeting the 3950-3900 range.
Data to Monitor:
Focus on the Fed's October FOMC meeting (Oct 29-30) and the resumption of US employment data releases.
Summary
Gold is currently in a phase where the potential end of the Wave B rebound is contending with the possible start of a Wave C correction. The primary trading approach is to sell on rallies, entering shorts when price faces pressure in the key resistance zone (4150-4160). If the price pulls back to the key support zone (4000-4010) and shows signs of stabilization, lightly scaled long positions can be considered. Strictly follow technical signals and risk management discipline, and be prepared to adapt flexibly to potential range breakouts.
XAU/USD 27 October 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 20 October 2025.
Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380. 990.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 22 October 2025.
Price has printed according to my analysis dated 20 October 2025 where I mention that price is to continue bullish, react at either premium of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone, before targeting weak internal low priced at 4,185.910.
Price has printed a bearish iBOS and subsequently a bullish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price to react at either premium of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone, before targeting weak internal low priced at 4,004.280.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD- Trend reversal - New ATH incoming?OANDA:XAUUSD has turned bullish on the daily timeframe after holding key dynamic support and reclaiming the volatility ribbon. The structure now supports continuation toward higher Fibonacci levels, provided price remains above the $3,940 support zone.
Momentum is shifting in favor of buyers, and with strong absorption of previous selling, the bias now leans toward further upside movement.
Bullish Confluences:
Structure Shift: Price has broken above the short-term descending channel, confirming a bullish structure change after forming a higher low near the mid-band support.
EMA / Volatility Ribbon Reclaim: Candles have closed back inside the green volatility ribbon, signaling renewed bullish momentum and a shift in trend sentiment.
Strong Daily Rejection: The recent candle shows a clear rejection wick from the lower volatility band (blue zone), indicating that buyers absorbed selling pressure and stepped back in.
Momentum Turn: Oscillators and momentum tools (if used) confirm upward acceleration, consistent with previous bullish continuation setups.
Support Confirmation: The previous base around $3,920 – $3,940 held firmly as support, creating a foundation for an upward leg.
🎯 Fibonacci Extension Targets (Upside)
Measured from the latest swing low to swing high:
Target 1 (38.2%) → $4,091
Target 2 (61.8%) → $4,143
Target 3 (100%) → $4,210
Gold H1 Gold H1 Market Update
Price has created an FVG on H1, followed by a bullish inversion FVG. We also have a Buy-side Order Block in the same zone.
As price retraces back into this area, we’ll be watching closely for confirmation to buy.
Patience is key let the setup come to you. If the retest holds, we could see a strong move to the upside.
📈 Stay focused and trade smart.
GOLD XAUUSD LONDON OPEN PERSPECTIVE GOLD MARKET IN LONDON OPEN SESSION ,ONE SMALL OVERSIGHT AGAIN ON 1HR CAUSED US TO miss a sniper entries.we posted buy from pull back in the zone of 4000-4006 but the sniper buy was 3995 ,that was not bad but, its not where we want to be,the aim is to get into trade on sniper entry only.
if isn't sniper entry ,then is bad entry .
if we pull back again in london session for buy it will be on 3970-3980 zone .
layer by layer
trading is probability
risk management is key.
any key layer can fail.
#gold #xauusd
XAUUSD Coiling - Preparing for the Next Big Move?Asset: CFDs on Gold (XAU/USD)
Timeframe: 15 Minutes
Gold is currently consolidating in a well-defined range after a recent move. The key levels for the next major directional move are now clearly established.
Key Technical Levels:
· Resistance: ~4012.00 (Recent swing high)
· Support: ~3915.00 (Significant swing low, a double-bottom formation)
· Intermediate Support: ~3886.00 & ~3844.00
Trading Thesis & Scenarios:
The market is at a decision point. A breakout from this consolidation is expected to dictate the short-term trend.
· Bullish Scenario (Long):
· Trigger: A decisive 15-minute candle close above 4012 resistance.
· Confirmation: Look for a retest of the breakout level as support.
· Target: Projected move towards 4050 - 4080.
· Bearish Scenario (Short):
· Trigger: A decisive 15-minute candle close below 3915 support.
· Confirmation: This would confirm a breakdown from the range.
· Target: Projected decline towards 3886, with a further target at 3844.
Current Market State: Waiting for a confirmed breakout. Trading inside the range is risky due to potential false moves. The preferred strategy is to wait for price action confirmation at the boundaries.
What are your levels to watch? TVC:GOLD
GOLD XAUUSD LONDON /NEWYORK GOLD MARKET SESSION SHOWING ME SOME STRONG BULLISH DISPOSITION but the bullish confirmation hinges on break and close 4030 line chart close of my 4hr candle chart my preferred intraday time frame for deep analysis and trade directional bias in real time .
if they break 4030, i will watch 15 min chart of the 4070-4055 zone for possible sell reaction price action, like I did in the yesterday sniper buy at 3885-3890 for reference which was posted for free.
the 4HR structure is my litmus test and guide in bullish continuation or bearish take profit.
if 4030 on timing 12;00 drops then i will hope that 4003-4006 demand keeps the bullish impetus so we can ride into 4150 wave ..
the FOMC RATE AND MEETING WILL BE VOLATILE .
GOLD IS 100% BULLISH AND IN THE HANDS OF CENTRAL BANKS.
GOODLUCK
#GOLD #XAUUSD #DOLLAR #DXY
GOLD XAUUSDGOLD TRADING STRATEGY.
US10Y =US10Y refers to the yield on the United States 10-Year Treasury Note, which is a key benchmark interest rate indicating the return investors receive for lending money to the US government over a 10-year period.
the US 10-Year Treasury yield is around 3.97% to 4.00%. This yield fluctuates based on factors such as inflation expectations, Federal Reserve monetary policy, economic growth outlook, and market demand for safe assets.
The US10Y yield is crucial because:
It serves as a benchmark for mortgage rates, corporate bonds, and other interest rates.
Moves in the US10Y reflect market sentiment about economic health and inflation.
It influences the US dollar strength, equity markets, and global capital flows.
It plays a role in central bank decisions, including the Federal Reserve’s rate policy.
In summary, US10Y is an essential financial indicator and market barometer reflecting long-term US government borrowing costs and overall economic confidence.
DXY ALSO KNOWN AS DOLLAR INDEX
The US Dollar Index (DXY or Dollar Index) is a measure of the value of the United States dollar relative to a basket of six major foreign currencies. It provides a broad gauge of the dollar's strength or weakness on the global stage.
The index is a weighted geometric mean of the dollar’s value compared to these currencies, weighted as follows:
Euro (EUR): 57.6%
Japanese Yen (JPY): 13.6%
British Pound (GBP): 11.9%
Canadian Dollar (CAD): 9.1%
Swedish Krona (SEK): 4.2%
Swiss Franc (CHF): 3.6%
A rise in the DXY means the US dollar is strengthening compared to these currencies; a fall means the dollar is weakening. The index was originally set to 100 in March 1973 after the collapse of the Bretton Woods system. It’s widely used by traders, economists, and policymakers to assess US dollar trends and global economic conditions.
In essence, the DXY reflects the overall demand for the dollar relative to other major currencies and serves as a benchmark for the dollar’s international value.
The Dollar Index (DXY) and the US 10-Year Treasury Yield (US10Y) are two of the most significant macro factors influencing the price of gold.
Impact of DXY on Gold
Gold is priced in US dollars globally, so the strength or weakness of the dollar (measured by DXY) directly impacts gold prices.
When the DXY rises (stronger US dollar), gold becomes more expensive in other currencies, usually reducing demand and pushing gold prices lower.
Conversely, a weaker dollar (lower DXY) makes gold cheaper for holders of other currencies, supporting higher gold prices.
Thus, gold and DXY often have a strong inverse relationship.
Impact of US10Y on Gold
The US10Y yield reflects long-term real interest rates and opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold.
Rising US10Y yields increase the opportunity cost of holding gold, pressuring gold prices downward.
Falling yields lower the opportunity cost, making gold more attractive as a store of value and driving prices up.
Additionally, US10Y yields are influenced by inflation expectations. Rising inflation often drives gold prices higher as a hedge, while rising real yields (nominal yield minus inflation) tend to pressure gold.
Combined Effects on Gold
A strengthening US dollar (higher DXY) combined with rising US10Y yields generally exerts downward pressure on gold prices.
Conversely, a weakening dollar and declining US10Y yields tend to boost gold prices.
For example, if economic uncertainty rises and real yields fall, gold typically benefits even if the dollar fluctuates.
please monitor DXY and US10Y alongside inflation and geopolitical risks to gauge gold price trends.
In summary, gold prices have an inverse correlation with the US dollar (DXY) and generally move opposite to the US 10-Year yield movements, driven by relative currency value and real yield opportunity cost dynamics.
technical sell zone
3981.22
technical sell zone on structure 4075.92
GOODLUCK
#GOLD #XAUUSD
My ultimate target for a gold dip: $3700My ultimate target for a gold dip: $3700
As shown in Figure 4h:
My ultimate target for a gold dip: $3700
$3950: Primary Resistance (Aggressive Shorting Zone)
$4060: Secondary Resistance (Conservative Shorting Zone)
If my analysis doesn't indicate that you set a stop-loss on your short position, or if you don't understand my clear trading plan, I recommend reviewing my strategy and analysis from yesterday.
Today, gold prices fell to around $3900 as expected, and we made a substantial profit. Now we patiently await a rebound and a pullback, potentially testing resistance around $3950.
As long as gold prices remain around or below $3950, our strategy remains: continue shorting.
Note: If gold prices rebound and stabilize above $3950, caution is advised. Exit the market cautiously and wait and see. Meanwhile, gold prices will continue to test resistance in the $4000-4050 range.
The primary strategy for the coming week is to short at high levels.
GOLD (XAU/USD) – 15-Minute Chart AnalysisCurrent Price: 4006.53
Trend: Short-term bearish
🔍 Chart Breakdown
The price is moving within a descending channel, indicating a continuation of the bearish momentum.
There is a key resistance zone around 4035–4060, highlighted in the shaded area. This zone aligns with previous structure and upper trendline resistance.
The market is currently making a minor pullback toward this resistance area after touching the lower boundary of the descending channel.
📉 Expected Move
The purple projection suggests a pullback to the resistance zone, followed by a strong rejection downward.
The target level is set around 3920.72, which corresponds to a previous swing low and a possible completion of the bearish wave.
⚙️ Trading Outlook
Direction Entry Zone Stop Loss Take Profit Confirmation
Sell 4035–4060 4075 3920 Rejection candle or bearish engulfing at resistance
📊 Summary
Gold remains in a short-term downtrend, and the best opportunity is to wait for price to test resistance (4035–4060) before considering short positions targeting 3920.
A breakout above 4075 would invalidate this bearish setup and could signal a potential trend reversal. LME:CA1! LME:MC1! LME:SN1! LME:LH1! LME:SC1! LME:AH1! LME:CO1! LME:ZS1! LME:PB1! LME:HC1! LME:AA1! LME:EA1! LME:ST1! LME:AN1! LME:AW1!
10.28 Gold continues to fall to 3970For the day, we will focus on the support at 3970. If it falls below, the price will continue to fall to 3950-3900-3850. In the short term, we will focus on the 4020 line and the resistance near 4060. After breaking through 4020, the price will continue to rebound and test the 4050-4060 line. However, the main strategy for the day is still to go short.
Strategy:
Go short near 4006-4010, defend 4021, and target 3970-3940-3900-3850
The second short position above is near 4054-4060, and the target position remains unchanged.
As for the long position below, it is at 3895 and 3870.
XAUUSD 4D Market Outlook
- Gold extended its record-breaking rally on Thursday, hitting an all-time high of $4,319 per ounce, as investors rushed to safety amid escalating U.S.–China tensions, a prolonged U.S. government shutdown, and growing expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts.
- Gold did 60% year-to-date gain; its strongest annual performance in decades. The surge is being driven by robust central bank purchases, weakening Treasury yields, and broad-based risk aversion.
- Renewed trade friction between the U.S. and China intensified after Washington condemned Beijing’s expanded rare earth export controls, sparking fears of global supply disruptions. At the same time, the U.S. government shutdown, now in its third week, continues to weigh on investor sentiment.
- The Treasury estimates the shutdown is costing $15 billion per week, fueling anxiety over economic stability and fiscal credibility conditions that historically favor gold.
Fed Rate Cut Bets Deepen as Yields Slide
- Markets are now pricing in a 98% probability of a 25 basis-point rate cut in October, with a second move expected in December. The Federal Reserve faces additional uncertainty due to a data blackout caused by the shutdown, while the latest Philadelphia Fed survey plunged 36 points to -12.8, reinforcing the dovish outlook.
Technical Outlook:
- Analysts warn that while short-term corrections are possible, the bullish structure remains intact. Unless prices close decisively below recent swing lows, the path of least resistance remains higher.
Gold (XAUUSD) – 31 Oct | Key Demand Zones in Focus🟡 Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis – 31 October
Hello Disciplined Traders,
Welcome to the Chart Is Mirror Community 👋
Market Context
• As per our yesterday’s analysis , the market did not retest our POI zone but instead took support from the double bottom / W-pattern key level around 3960 , breaking structure above 4030.5 .
• This move confirms that M15 is now fully uptrend , aligned with the ongoing H4 pullback phase .
Key Observations
• Today, our first buying zone is the 3975.5 – 3960.5 demand zone .
• The next potential demand area lies lower at the 3937.7 – 3930 OB , as marked in yesterday’s analysis.
• There is a high probability that price may sweep liquidity below 3975.5 – 3960.5 before resuming upside momentum toward new highs.
Execution Plan
• If price pulls back to the 3975.5 – 3960.5 zone and respects it with LTF bullish confirmation , we will execute our long setup accordingly.
• If price continues lower, observe how it reacts around the 3937.7 – 3930 OB . Enter only after clear LTF confirmation .
• The market remains volatile — manage your position size and risk accordingly .
Patience before confirmation is the trader’s true stillness.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
XAUUSD 1H Analysis (3rd November 2025) ASIA/LONDONHey Guys, This is only my trade Ideas for Educational Purpose. Take it at your own risk.
BUY/SELL SCENARIOS:
BUYS:
1) Body Candle Close above the 3996.28 level.
2) Retest the failed 1h Bearish FVG at the 3996.28 level.
3) Create a 3/5m Bullish Engulfing Candle to capitalise on potential BUYS towards the 4046.50 level.
SELLS:
1) Retest the 1h Bearish FVG at the 3987.88 level.
2) Create a 3/5m Bearish CHOCH with a body candle close (with a FVG)
3) Retest the 3/5m Bearish CHOCH Level to capitalize on potential SELLS towards the 3915.00 level.
OUR SECOND IDEAL SELL ENTRY If price moves below 3980 and stays below 3980 by 2 to 3 hours or more then, our ideal and good sell entry is at 3978-3985 with sl at 4003 maximum and tp not less than 1000 pips or you close at your own satisfaction because it will likely reach 3860. Don't sell immediately price moves below 3980 but wait for at least an hour or 3 before selling at the given entry when price retraces up.






















