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XAUUSD My Trade Head and Shoulders TradeENTRY XAUUSD - 06/11/2025 9PM - NY H1 CLEAN HEAD AND SHOULDERS FIB 78.6 THE BEST LEFT RIGHT SHOULDER A. M SHAPE ICT REJECTION Gold holds near $4,000 as US shutdown, layoffs boost safe-haven demand Gold peaks $4,019 as a weaker US Dollar and lower Treasury yields lift Bullion. US shutdown warnings from Republican leader boost safe-haven demand for Gold. Mixed Fed tone and softer jobs data revive December rate cut bets, supporting the Gold outlook. The US Challenger report by Gray & Christmas showed that employers fired over 150,000 people in October.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by EZIO-FX
StevenTrading – Gold Confirms Uptrend Across Multiple TimeframesStevenTrading – Gold Confirms Uptrend Across Multiple Timeframes Hello everyone, StevenTrading is back with the latest insights on the gold market. While USD speculators continue to bet on the decline of the greenback – even challenging the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance – gold is seizing this period to strengthen its position. Although Chairman Powell signals maintaining tight policies, most strategists still believe that the USD will remain weak in November, creating a favorable environment for the precious metal's uptrend. 📰 Fundamental Analysis – Cash Flow Perspective Cash flow is shifting from USD-valued assets to safe-haven assets, with gold being the top choice. Financial instability and divisions within the Fed keep inflation expectations high, reinforcing gold's medium-term uptrend. 📊 Technical Analysis – Structure Break & Trend Confirmation On the technical chart, gold has broken the downtrend line on the H4 timeframe and surged past the strong resistance zone around 3990–4000, confirming an expanded uptrend across multiple timeframes. Currently, the price is hesitating around the trendline – a sign that the market is attracting liquidity before continuing its rise. The medium-term price target is aimed at the 418x zone, where the confluence between FVG and major resistance occurs. However, the 4080 area is a crucial zone to closely watch for price reactions, especially if short-term distribution signals appear. 🎯 Trading Scenario (Action Plan) 🟢 BUY Scenario – Buy with the uptrend: Logic: Price has confirmed a resistance break and re-tested the breakout zone, presenting an opportunity for trend-following buys. Entry: Buy 4000 SL: 3990 TP: 4035 – 4050 – 4080 – OPEN 🔴 SELL Scenario – Only for short-term reactions (Scalping): If the price reacts strongly at the 4080 zone, consider short selling with short-term targets in the liquidity zone – prioritize quick exits, do not hold positions overnight. 📌 Steven's Notes The primary trend remains upward in the medium term, but monitor price reactions on smaller timeframes (M15–M30) to optimize entry points.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steven-GoldTrading
Nov 6, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential Opportunity📊 Analysis: Yesterday, price held firmly around the 3927–3930.5 zone, and as expected, a short-term rebound followed, reaching a high of 3990. For today, watch the 3980 level closely — if price holds above 3980, I’ll consider that bullish momentum is starting to build, and will look for buy setups on pullbacks into support. However, if price breaks below 3964, it would suggest renewed bearish strength, and I’ll switch to selling rallies into resistance. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: • 4020 – Resistance • 4012 – Resistance • 4000 – Psychological level • 3994 – Resistance • 3971–3980 – Support zone • 3964 – Key support • 3956 – Support • 3947 – Support • 3927–3930.5 – Major support zone 📈 Intraday Strategy: SELL: If price breaks below 3964 → target 3960, with further downside toward 3956, 3951, 3947 BUY: If price holds above 3980 → target 3985, with further upside toward 3990, 3996, 4000
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ombabibi
Gold - Sell around 3966, target 3940-3900Gold Market Analysis: Our strategy for gold yesterday was bearish, and the market followed our expectations. We placed four short orders: selling at 3981, 3999, 3945, and 3958. The rhythm of gold trading is crucial. Even if you're certain of the direction, you need to find its rhythm, because now even a small rebound can be as high as 30 points. Yesterday, gold plummeted to around 3928, closing with a large bearish candle on the daily chart. Today, the Asian session saw another rebound, but the daily chart pattern suggests an initial rebound followed by further declines. The daily target is a break below 3900. Based on the current indicators, gold still has significant downside potential. The daily moving averages are starting to decline, so we're not considering bottom-fishing for now. Continue selling today; following the trend is the only way to profit in the long run. Today, pay attention to two levels: 3966, a resistance level based on chart patterns and the first resistance level in the Asian session; and 3975, the high of yesterday's US session rebound. Additionally, the daily moving averages are around 3985, indicating that all resistance is shifting downwards. Selling today could lead to new lows. Support levels are 3928 and 3945, resistance levels are 3966 and 3975. The key level for market strength/weakness is 3966. Fundamental Analysis: Today, focus on the ADP employment data, a leading indicator for non-farm payrolls. Also, pay attention to the new crude oil inventory data. Trading Recommendation: Gold - Sell around 3966, target 3940-3900.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldenSpaceship
Calm before the StormGold remains trapped in a tight consolidation around the psychological 4,000 level as markets prepare for this week’s ADP Employment Report and other private U.S. data that will still be released despite the ongoing government shutdown. Price action is perfectly balanced — neither bulls nor bears are in full control — but structure still leans slightly bearish while the Federal Reserve’s tone remains hawkish and the dollar stays firm. Technical Outlook Gold continues to oscillate between 3,995 and 4,015, with repeated rejections at both boundaries. Buyers keep defending the 4,000 area, while sellers continue to cap upside moves near 4,015–4,020. A daily close above 4,015 could trigger a short-term breakout toward 4,035–4,045, while a sustained move below 3,995 would expose 3,985–3,965 and possibly 3,950. Momentum remains neutral and volume light, signaling that gold is coiling for a 25–30 USD move once the range breaks. Fundamental Context Even with the U.S. government shutdown, key private indicators like the ADP Employment Report and the University of Michigan Sentiment Index will be published this week. The ADP data on Wednesday (8:15 ET) will likely set the tone: • A strong print above +100K could reinforce the Fed’s cautious stance, strengthen the USD, and weigh on gold. • A weak or negative print could revive safe-haven demand and push gold toward 4,050–4,080. Until then, markets remain quiet and balanced, waiting for a catalyst. Powell and Fed Dynamics No official Powell speech appears on the Fed’s agenda this week, but his latest comments were clearly hawkish-pragmatic — signaling patience and data dependence after recent rate cuts. Any unexpected remarks reaffirming a “higher for longer” stance would strengthen yields and the dollar, adding downward pressure on gold. Weekly Focus Wednesday: ADP Employment Report (Private Sector Jobs) Friday: University of Michigan Sentiment (Preliminary) Saturday, November 8: 40 days of government shutdown — a potential psychological risk event if the political stalemate continues. My View Gold is holding the line at 4,000 — not breaking, not bouncing. The market is waiting for a catalyst, and this week’s U.S. employment data might be it. Until then, I’m watching 4,015 for a breakout and 3,995 for a breakdown. Expect volatility to rise sharply midweek as traders reposition for the next macro leg. “Gold is quiet today, but quiet markets rarely stay quiet for long.” #Gold #XAUUSD #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #Forex #Commodities #ADP #Fed #Powell #GovernmentShutdown
BLACKBULL:XAUUSD
by rdiciero
October 31st Gold Intraday Short-Term Trading Guide!!!Gold prices retreated from around 4044-46 during the day, hitting a low of 3988 in the morning. Currently, it's oscillating within the 4000-4126 range. Today is the weekly and monthly close, potentially triggering a significant price movement. From a trend perspective, short-term gains remain limited. A further dip to 4000 is possible amidst the consolidation. A break below 3986/3960 could lead to a move towards 3920-3900. The recommended strategy is to sell on rallies, but be aware of the risks. US Session Trading Strategy: Sell near 40120-25, stop loss at 4035, target 4000-3990, continue to look for further downside if the price breaks through.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AnalystDavid_
1
Gold Weekly Summary and Forecast 11/8/2025In my last week's weekly post, I expected gold to test 3939 and rise from there as shown below. Gold indeed bounced from there. However, the movement is very slow in the past week. Especially for the last two days, price is ranging from 3970-4020. Nevertheless, gold closed the week with a positive note. And it is clearly bouncing from the previous channel top as well. Therefore, I expect gold to rise sharply next week. For next week's trading strategy, I will only look for buying opportunities.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by SteadyFund
Continue to accumulate along the 4058 trend line⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold (XAU/USD) faces renewed selling pressure after an early Asian uptick toward $4,046, pausing this week’s rebound from its lowest level since October 6. The US Dollar (USD) holds near a three-month high following the Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance, weighing on the non-yielding metal. Additionally, optimism over easing US–China trade tensions dampens safe-haven demand. Still, lingering worries about the prolonged US government shutdown could limit USD strength and offer some support to gold prices. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: market accumulation time, sideways around 4000. ended october with volatility ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4058 - 4060 SL 4065 TP1: $4050 TP2: $4040 TP3: $4020 🔥BUY GOLD zone: 3887 - 3885 SL 3880 TP1: $3900 TP2: $3910 TP3: $3925 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable sell order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
3
DeGRAM | GOLD is forming a new local ascending structure📊 Technical Analysis ● XAU/USD is forming a rising channel, holding firm above 3,960 support after rejecting from the resistance near 4,046. ● The pattern suggests a continuation of the uptrend as long as price sustains above the channel base, with potential breakout targets toward 4,138. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Gold remains supported by a softer dollar and cautious market sentiment ahead of key U.S. employment data, which could further boost safe-haven demand. ✨ Summary ● Long bias above 3,960; targets 4,046–4,138. Rising structure and weaker dollar fundamentals reinforce short-term bullish momentum. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by DeGRAM
1
Gold is heading towards my Targets / #5,100.80 mark aheadTechnical analysis: As I announced that correction is over on Gold (Fed or not), Price-action has recovered half of the post Fed losses on the E.U. session opening as DX was taking big Daily candle hit. However the rise is still not proportional as DX and global futures are still on Higher levels. This leads me to believe that on the Short-term, there is a stronger connection of Gold to DX, rather than Bond Yields, so I will keep an eye for pressure zones on DX as I did for past few fractals. Technically the Hourly 4 chart was isolated within invalidated / former Descending Channel on it’s Higher Low’s, as Resistance currently has to give away since last couple occasions it provided rejection twice (#4,027.80). I am expecting strong Bullish move to take place throughout next week. Despite the Bearish Fundamental outcome on announcements this week (Fed Rate cut was Bullish however hawkish stance from Powell had much more after-effect on Gold), Gold continues to Trade near the #2-Week High’s. This indicates that this and last week's aggressive Buy-off on DX was largely a pre-pricing of those Fed Rate numbers. What's obvious, as the current week is coming to a close, is that the consolidation since yesterday’s session is just above the Daily chart’s Support Zone (#3,975.80 - #3,988.80) which lifts the probabilities for an aggressive Buying sequence ahead, especially all lesser charts turning Bullish now. Interestingly, the Weekly candle percentage will be flat almost on zero percent if Gold continues to soar. I remain fully Bullish on the Short and Medium-term, in addition my Technicals are showcasing Bullish signs as I expect Gold to continue rising (Buying every dip) on Buying pressure from DX on expected spiral downtrend, Bond Yields as well struggling to make Bullish comeback). My position: I have been monitoring Gold from sidelines as mentioned throughout yesterday's session Highly satisfied with my Profit, as I spotted that #3,988.80 is showcasing strong durability, I have started Buying Gold with aggressive Scalps from #3,988.80 - #3,992.80 many times with at least #15ish orders delivering excellent Profits. I do believe Gold will continue soaring as long as Support zone is intact with #4,052.80 mark as my next Short-term Target.
TVC:GOLDLong
by goldenBear88
GOLD - Stop Trading Gold For NowGOLD - Stop Trading Gold For Now For now, stay away from gold. I just see that something strange is happening and the reason is just some manipulation and nothing more. Below is what I am reading, but it doesn't make sense: 💬A thaw in US-China trade relations has kind of pulled the rug out from under the gold price due to a drop in safe-haven buying flows," I would suggest to stay away from gold for a while and see what happens first. ⚠️It could be a bull trap and it could fall lower or it could be a bear trap and it could rise aggressively again. It's all happening for no apparent reason. For the time being gold is positioned like it can drop more but I don't believe it too much At the moment we have no confirmation on how it could take shape but it is back around a strong area and the psychological price is 3900 - 4000. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
FX:XAUUSD
by KlejdiCuni
31