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Gold Market Direction Gold is still in bear market 📉 and now is just making a ranging pullback. This week is done making a big move but next week we will definitely see a huge drop 📉 of no new trend changes to kill the drop. But now we still having bearish market. My strategy for market direction is work amazingly well and no mistakes made hence brokers are failing to catch me. Gold is still a bearish market. Now they want to trap the buyers. Sell the market if you see any opportunities or text for any information.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by Pioneer09663
Gold (XAU/USD) — Symmetrical Triangle Between Key Buy&Sell ZonesGold continues to consolidate within a tightening symmetrical triangle. Price is currently testing the $4,000 region, with clear supply and demand zones identified: • Strong Sell Zone: 4,020 – 4,040 • Strong Buy Zone: 3,920 – 3,940 A confirmed breakout with volume could define the next short-term direction. Until then, structure remains neutral, with reactive scalping opportunities around the edges. #XAUUSD #Gold #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #Trading
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SilentScalpers
Gold trapping both Buyers and SellersTechnical analysis: As I announced possible Selling correction on Gold however Short and Medium-term remains Bullish, Price-action has recovered half of the opening losses on the E.U. session opening as DX was taking big Daily candle hit. However the rise is still not proportional as Bond Yields and global futures are still on Lower levels. This leads me to believe that on the Short-term, there is a stronger connection of Gold to DX, rather than Bond Yields, so I will keep an eye for pressure zones on DX. Technically the Daily chart was isolated within broken / former Descending Channel on it’s Lower High’s, as Resistance has to break since last couple occasions it provided rejection twice (#4,027.80). I am expecting strong move to take place throughout next week. Despite the Bullish Fundamental outcome on announcements last week, Gold continues to Trade near the #2-Week High’s. This indicates that last week's aggressive Buy-off on DX was largely a pre-pricing of those Fed Rate numbers. What's obvious, as the current week will come to a close, is that the consolidation since Friday’s session is just above the Daily chart’s Support Zone (#3,964.80 - #3,977.80) which lifts the probabilities for an aggressive Buying sequence ahead, especially as Weekly chart (#1W) remains marginally Bullish. My position: I have Traded Scalp orders mostly throughout yesterday’s session Buying #4,005.80 on multiple occasions towards #4,015.80 and #3,992.80 aggressively towards #4,000.80 benchmark. I have Bought #3,964.80 as well as I maintain Buying every dips strategy. I have accumulated enough Profits this week and will not Trade today, comfortably taking early weekend break.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by goldenBear88
XAUUSD My Trade Head and Shoulders TradeENTRY XAUUSD - 06/11/2025 9PM - NY H1 CLEAN HEAD AND SHOULDERS FIB 78.6 THE BEST LEFT RIGHT SHOULDER A. M SHAPE ICT REJECTION Gold holds near $4,000 as US shutdown, layoffs boost safe-haven demand Gold peaks $4,019 as a weaker US Dollar and lower Treasury yields lift Bullion. US shutdown warnings from Republican leader boost safe-haven demand for Gold. Mixed Fed tone and softer jobs data revive December rate cut bets, supporting the Gold outlook. The US Challenger report by Gray & Christmas showed that employers fired over 150,000 people in October.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by EZIO-FX
StevenTrading – Gold Confirms Uptrend Across Multiple TimeframesStevenTrading – Gold Confirms Uptrend Across Multiple Timeframes Hello everyone, StevenTrading is back with the latest insights on the gold market. While USD speculators continue to bet on the decline of the greenback – even challenging the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance – gold is seizing this period to strengthen its position. Although Chairman Powell signals maintaining tight policies, most strategists still believe that the USD will remain weak in November, creating a favorable environment for the precious metal's uptrend. 📰 Fundamental Analysis – Cash Flow Perspective Cash flow is shifting from USD-valued assets to safe-haven assets, with gold being the top choice. Financial instability and divisions within the Fed keep inflation expectations high, reinforcing gold's medium-term uptrend. 📊 Technical Analysis – Structure Break & Trend Confirmation On the technical chart, gold has broken the downtrend line on the H4 timeframe and surged past the strong resistance zone around 3990–4000, confirming an expanded uptrend across multiple timeframes. Currently, the price is hesitating around the trendline – a sign that the market is attracting liquidity before continuing its rise. The medium-term price target is aimed at the 418x zone, where the confluence between FVG and major resistance occurs. However, the 4080 area is a crucial zone to closely watch for price reactions, especially if short-term distribution signals appear. 🎯 Trading Scenario (Action Plan) 🟢 BUY Scenario – Buy with the uptrend: Logic: Price has confirmed a resistance break and re-tested the breakout zone, presenting an opportunity for trend-following buys. Entry: Buy 4000 SL: 3990 TP: 4035 – 4050 – 4080 – OPEN 🔴 SELL Scenario – Only for short-term reactions (Scalping): If the price reacts strongly at the 4080 zone, consider short selling with short-term targets in the liquidity zone – prioritize quick exits, do not hold positions overnight. 📌 Steven's Notes The primary trend remains upward in the medium term, but monitor price reactions on smaller timeframes (M15–M30) to optimize entry points.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steven-GoldTrading
Nov 6, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential Opportunity📊 Analysis: Yesterday, price held firmly around the 3927–3930.5 zone, and as expected, a short-term rebound followed, reaching a high of 3990. For today, watch the 3980 level closely — if price holds above 3980, I’ll consider that bullish momentum is starting to build, and will look for buy setups on pullbacks into support. However, if price breaks below 3964, it would suggest renewed bearish strength, and I’ll switch to selling rallies into resistance. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: • 4020 – Resistance • 4012 – Resistance • 4000 – Psychological level • 3994 – Resistance • 3971–3980 – Support zone • 3964 – Key support • 3956 – Support • 3947 – Support • 3927–3930.5 – Major support zone 📈 Intraday Strategy: SELL: If price breaks below 3964 → target 3960, with further downside toward 3956, 3951, 3947 BUY: If price holds above 3980 → target 3985, with further upside toward 3990, 3996, 4000
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ombabibi
Gold - Sell around 3966, target 3940-3900Gold Market Analysis: Our strategy for gold yesterday was bearish, and the market followed our expectations. We placed four short orders: selling at 3981, 3999, 3945, and 3958. The rhythm of gold trading is crucial. Even if you're certain of the direction, you need to find its rhythm, because now even a small rebound can be as high as 30 points. Yesterday, gold plummeted to around 3928, closing with a large bearish candle on the daily chart. Today, the Asian session saw another rebound, but the daily chart pattern suggests an initial rebound followed by further declines. The daily target is a break below 3900. Based on the current indicators, gold still has significant downside potential. The daily moving averages are starting to decline, so we're not considering bottom-fishing for now. Continue selling today; following the trend is the only way to profit in the long run. Today, pay attention to two levels: 3966, a resistance level based on chart patterns and the first resistance level in the Asian session; and 3975, the high of yesterday's US session rebound. Additionally, the daily moving averages are around 3985, indicating that all resistance is shifting downwards. Selling today could lead to new lows. Support levels are 3928 and 3945, resistance levels are 3966 and 3975. The key level for market strength/weakness is 3966. Fundamental Analysis: Today, focus on the ADP employment data, a leading indicator for non-farm payrolls. Also, pay attention to the new crude oil inventory data. Trading Recommendation: Gold - Sell around 3966, target 3940-3900.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldenSpaceship
Calm before the StormGold remains trapped in a tight consolidation around the psychological 4,000 level as markets prepare for this week’s ADP Employment Report and other private U.S. data that will still be released despite the ongoing government shutdown. Price action is perfectly balanced — neither bulls nor bears are in full control — but structure still leans slightly bearish while the Federal Reserve’s tone remains hawkish and the dollar stays firm. Technical Outlook Gold continues to oscillate between 3,995 and 4,015, with repeated rejections at both boundaries. Buyers keep defending the 4,000 area, while sellers continue to cap upside moves near 4,015–4,020. A daily close above 4,015 could trigger a short-term breakout toward 4,035–4,045, while a sustained move below 3,995 would expose 3,985–3,965 and possibly 3,950. Momentum remains neutral and volume light, signaling that gold is coiling for a 25–30 USD move once the range breaks. Fundamental Context Even with the U.S. government shutdown, key private indicators like the ADP Employment Report and the University of Michigan Sentiment Index will be published this week. The ADP data on Wednesday (8:15 ET) will likely set the tone: • A strong print above +100K could reinforce the Fed’s cautious stance, strengthen the USD, and weigh on gold. • A weak or negative print could revive safe-haven demand and push gold toward 4,050–4,080. Until then, markets remain quiet and balanced, waiting for a catalyst. Powell and Fed Dynamics No official Powell speech appears on the Fed’s agenda this week, but his latest comments were clearly hawkish-pragmatic — signaling patience and data dependence after recent rate cuts. Any unexpected remarks reaffirming a “higher for longer” stance would strengthen yields and the dollar, adding downward pressure on gold. Weekly Focus Wednesday: ADP Employment Report (Private Sector Jobs) Friday: University of Michigan Sentiment (Preliminary) Saturday, November 8: 40 days of government shutdown — a potential psychological risk event if the political stalemate continues. My View Gold is holding the line at 4,000 — not breaking, not bouncing. The market is waiting for a catalyst, and this week’s U.S. employment data might be it. Until then, I’m watching 4,015 for a breakout and 3,995 for a breakdown. Expect volatility to rise sharply midweek as traders reposition for the next macro leg. “Gold is quiet today, but quiet markets rarely stay quiet for long.” #Gold #XAUUSD #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #Forex #Commodities #ADP #Fed #Powell #GovernmentShutdown
BLACKBULL:XAUUSD
by rdiciero
XAU/USD — Bullish Continuation Setup (4H Chart)Gold (XAU/USD) has been consolidating near US $4,000 after rallying strongly to new highs above US $4,300 earlier this quarter. Price has since formed a falling wedge / triangle pattern, signaling potential bullish continuation if buyers regain control. Technical Outlook Price is compressing between converging trendlines, with clear zones marked on the chart. Buy confirmation: a breakout and close above 4,020–4,040 would signal bullish momentum. If confirmed, price could extend toward 4,120–4,180, followed by 4,250+. Buy invalidation: a breakdown below 3,940 would negate the bullish setup and expose the 3,900–3,860 support zone. The overall structure remains constructive — a breakout above resistance would complete the wedge and potentially resume the broader uptrend channel. Fundamental View (November 2025) Fed policy: The Federal Reserve held rates steady in October but hinted at rate cuts in early 2026, a dovish tilt that supports gold. Macro conditions: U.S. inflation (~3.2%) remains sticky, and bond yields are easing — reducing pressure on non-yielding assets like gold. Safe-haven demand: Continued geopolitical tension in the Middle East and strong central-bank purchases (China, India, Turkey) add structural support. Short-term risk: A brief U.S. dollar rebound may cause intraday volatility, but sentiment remains broadly bullish. Trading Plan Bias: Short-term bullish continuation Breakout trigger: Above 4,020–4,040 (confirmed breakout) Targets: ‣ TP1: 4,120–4,150 ‣ TP2: 4,180–4,250 Invalidation: Below 3,940
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NubisTrader
Gold Weekly Summary and Forecast 11/8/2025In my last week's weekly post, I expected gold to test 3939 and rise from there as shown below. Gold indeed bounced from there. However, the movement is very slow in the past week. Especially for the last two days, price is ranging from 3970-4020. Nevertheless, gold closed the week with a positive note. And it is clearly bouncing from the previous channel top as well. Therefore, I expect gold to rise sharply next week. For next week's trading strategy, I will only look for buying opportunities.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by SteadyFund
GOLD Short-Term Pullback 🔹 COT (Commitment of Traders) (Last update: September 23, 2025 – data not refreshed due to the CFTC shutdown) Gold (COMEX) Non-commercial longs: 332,808 (+6,030) Non-commercial shorts: 66,059 (+5,691) → The latest available data (outdated) showed an increase in both positions, with a stronger rise on the long side — indicating institutional accumulation in late September ahead of the October rally. Although outdated, the COT report still reflects a mildly bullish structure, but no longer captures the current market dynamics after recent volatility. 🔹 FX Sentiment (Retail Positioning) 58% long / 42% short 📌 Retail traders remain moderately long on gold. This supports a short-term contrarian bearish bias, aligning with the ongoing corrective move in price. 🔹 Seasonality Historically, October and November tend to be statistically bullish months for gold, with average gains between +2% and +4% over 10–20-year periods. 📌 Seasonal conclusion: the context remains bullish on a seasonal basis, with potential for recovery once the current correction stabilizes. 🔹 Price Action After the strong bullish impulse that pushed XAU/USD into the 4,350–4,400 area, price entered a phase of consolidation/distribution. Current structure shows: Key resistance: 4,250–4,300 Main demand zone: 3,950–3,900 RSI remains neutral but continues to lose momentum, consistent with a possible minor bearish leg before a new bullish wave. 🎯 Main Scenario: Expecting a continuation of the corrective phase toward 3,950–3,900, aligning with the daily demand area and a likely institutional reaccumulation zone. From there, a potential bullish resumption could emerge within November’s seasonal strength. ⚙️ Invalidation: daily close below 3,850, which would compromise the medium-term bullish structure.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by EdgeTradingJourney
7
October 31st Gold Intraday Short-Term Trading Guide!!!Gold prices retreated from around 4044-46 during the day, hitting a low of 3988 in the morning. Currently, it's oscillating within the 4000-4126 range. Today is the weekly and monthly close, potentially triggering a significant price movement. From a trend perspective, short-term gains remain limited. A further dip to 4000 is possible amidst the consolidation. A break below 3986/3960 could lead to a move towards 3920-3900. The recommended strategy is to sell on rallies, but be aware of the risks. US Session Trading Strategy: Sell near 40120-25, stop loss at 4035, target 4000-3990, continue to look for further downside if the price breaks through.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AnalystDavid_
1