GOLDCFD trade ideas
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold is trading around $3,626, under pressure after failing to reclaim the $3,658 resistance yesterday. Price has slipped below the 50MA (pink), turning the short-term structure more bearish.
Bulls need a sustained recovery back above $3,644 to regain momentum. A break above $3,658 would confirm strength, targeting $3,674 and $3,690.
Immediate support sits at $3,617, followed by the key $3,594. A clean break below would expose the next support at $3,564.
📌Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
$3,644
$3,658
$3,674
$3,690
Support:
$3,617
$3,594
$3,600
$3,564
🔎Fundamental Focus
Attention is firmly on U.S. CPI data (today). This will be a decisive driver for gold.
⚠️ Expect sharp intraday volatility as markets position around inflation expectations and Fed policy outlook.
World gold price increasedThe US economy said that the PPI index in August decreased by 0.1% month-on-month, much lower than the 0.7% increase in July and the 0.3% increase previously forecast.
The US PPI index in August increased by 2.6% year-on-year, much lower than the 3.1% increase in July and the 3.3% increase previously forecast. The core PPI index (excluding energy and food prices) increased by 2.8% year-on-year, much lower than the 3.4% increase in July and the 3.5% increase previously forecast.
China's CPI and PPI index decreased in August and were lower than forecast, showing that the economy is still in a state of deflation, so the government of this country needs more support measures to boost consumer demand, including further monetary easing policies.
For the US economy, after a long period of persistent high inflation at around 3%, in August, unexpectedly, an inflation measure, PPI, decreased sharply compared to the previous month. PPI is an index measuring input costs of production. When this index decreases, it predicts that consumer prices will decrease in many types of goods and services when delivered to consumers.
Sept 11, 2025 -XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential Opportunity📊 Analysis:
The market showed indecision yesterday — it broke below the previous day’s low but failed to close bearish.
Today’s session may stay choppy within 3620–3650, and bullish momentum looks weaker, though no clear breakdown has formed yet.
Watch the 9 PM ET close for confirmation and focus on 3635 as the short-term pivot.
📌 Summary:
Market is in a range-bound phase, trading may be tricky.
Bullish strength is fading, but a strong bearish signal is still missing.
If 3635 breaks, light short setups can be considered.
Within 3620–3650, price action is messy — stay cautious, secure profits early, and protect positions.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 3657 – Resistance
• 3650 – Resistance
• 3646 – Resistance
• 3642 – Resistance
• 3635 – Support / Pivot
• 3626 – Support
• 3620 – Support
• 3615 – Support
📈 Intraday Strategy:
SELL: If price breaks below 3635 → target 3630, with further downside toward 3626, 3620, 3615
BUY: If price holds above 3646 → target 3650, with further upside toward 3653, 3657, 3660
👉 If you find this helpful or traded using this plan, a like 👍 would mean a lot and keep me motivated. Thanks for the support!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is my personal view, not financial advice. Always use proper risk control.
Gold prices have entered a wide range of 3330-3360.Gold prices have entered a wide range of 3330-3360.
As shown in Figure 4h:
Gold prices remain strong today.
Although gold prices fell sharply yesterday due to profit-taking, they have risen again today.
The impact of news and sentiment has largely reversed.
The market has returned to volatility, and gold prices are currently holding generally high around 3650 points.
I believe gold is unlikely to break new highs today.
The market needs a buffer zone for adjustment.
Sideways trading at high levels is the most likely pattern for gold prices going forward.
Based on this:
For Wednesday's strategy, I believe we can try a short position.
Sell: 3360-3370
Stop loss: 3380
Target: 3350-
This strategy is for intraday reference only.
With the revision of non-farm payroll data, tomorrow's CPI data will be a key focus.
Gold prices are forming a converging ascending triangle pattern, and the possibility of an upside breakout remains high.
This week, there's a strong chance that gold prices will break through the 3700-3750 range.
Therefore, buying low remains the prevailing strategy.
For this reason, it's crucial to clearly identify all key support levels.
Currently, key support levels for gold are: $3640, $3625, $3600, $3580, and $3560.
We can identify a high-probability range for gold price fluctuations: $3330-3360.
Key support levels to watch: $3625-3630.
I would most likely enter a position in this range.
However, if a pullback breaks through this range, gold prices could fall to $3580-3560.
Therefore, we should closely monitor this range when entering a position.
Pay attention to 3655,there will be callback if it doesn't break#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold tested the support level of 3630-3620 and stabilized before rebounding again, which is consistent with my previous judgment that gold must experience a correction if it wants to rise again.📉
In the short term, the market focus is still on the basis points of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut to be announced next week. 💻Therefore, before clear data is released, the market is unlikely to experience significant fluctuations.📊
Although gold is currently fluctuating sideways around 3645,⚖️ in the short term, we should pay attention to the hourly moving average, which tends to stick together and move upward. 🌈Therefore, if gold falls back again in the short term to test the support level of 3630-3620 below, we can still consider going long. 🚀
On the upside, the first thing to watch is whether gold can effectively break through 3655. If it can effectively break through, it is expected to continue to test the short-term resistance range of 3665-3680. 📈Conversely, a failure to break above 3655 could lead to consolidation within a range.🐻
Gold prices are expected to fluctuate significantly: 3660-3600.Gold prices are expected to fluctuate significantly: 3660-3600.
Gold bulls clearly took advantage of today's positive news to take profits, causing the price to drop sharply by nearly $50.
Gold prices are likely to fluctuate significantly in the coming days.
Intraday Strategy:
SELL: 3645-3650
SL: 3660
TP: 3635-3628-3615-3600
The above strategy is suitable for intraday trading. Contrarian short selling depends on market sentiment, which in turn determines the intraday trend of gold prices.
When short selling, it is important to remain vigilant and exit as soon as profits are seen.
As shown in Figure 2h:
Gold's key support area is around 3628-3630.
The key turning point for gold prices is in the 3580-3600 range.
The market is likely to continue to fluctuate widely over the next day, with a high probability of repeated fluctuations and momentum accumulation, making trading more difficult. I believe that over the next few days, we should focus on key support and resistance levels to buy low and sell high.
Gold prices may struggle to reach 3670+ in the short term.
The likely range of fluctuation is 3600-3660.
A wide range of fluctuations is the most reasonable approach to future gold price trends.
THE ROLE OF EMOTION IN TRADINGThe Role of Emotion in Trading
Trading in the forex market is not only a test of analytical skill but also a battle of emotional control. While charts, strategies, and indicators provide logical frameworks, emotions influence decision-making at every step. Understanding how emotions impact trading is crucial for long-term success.
1. Why Emotions Matter in Trading
Trading involves risk and uncertainty, which naturally triggers emotional reactions. Unlike regular jobs with predictable outcomes, forex trades have probabilistic results, creating anxiety and excitement. Traders often lose money not because of poor strategy, but because emotions override discipline.
2. Key Emotions in Trading
Fear
Fear of losing leads to hesitation and missing good opportunities.
Fear of giving back profits can cause premature exits.
In extreme cases, fear results in paralysis – avoiding trades altogether.
Greed
Encourages traders to over-leverage or chase unrealistic profits.
Leads to holding positions too long, ignoring exit signals.
Often results in big drawdowns after a few winning trades.
Hope
Keeps traders stuck in losing positions, expecting a reversal.
Prevents acceptance of small losses, which then grow larger.
Creates a “gambling mindset” where traders trade on wishes, not logic.
Regret
Regret from missed opportunities creates frustration and overtrading.
Regret from losses encourages revenge trading – trying to win back money quickly.
Constant regret damages confidence and decision-making ability.
3. How Emotions Affect Trading Behavior
1. Overtrading – entering too many trades due to excitement or FOMO.
2. Breaking Trading Rules – abandoning plans under emotional pressure.
3. Poor Risk Management – risking too much out of greed or desperation.
4. Inconsistent Decisions – switching strategies mid-trade.
5. Mental Burnout – constant stress leading to fatigue and irrational actions.
4. Managing Emotions in Trading
Have a Trading Plan : Clear entry, exit, and risk rules reduce emotional decisions.
Use Risk Management : Risking only a small percentage per trade prevents fear-driven panic.
Keep a Trading Journal : Track emotional triggers, wins, and losses to learn patterns.
Practice Patience : Not every market condition requires action.
Detach from Money : View trading as probability, not personal validation.
Take Breaks : Step away after a big loss or win to reset emotions.
5. Professional Trader’s Emotional Discipline
Professionals treat trading as a business, not a lottery.
They know losses are part of the game and do not personalize failure.
They focus on long-term consistency, not individual trades.
By controlling emotions, they turn volatility into opportunity, while amateurs let volatility control them.
6. Conclusion
Emotions are inseparable from trading. Fear, greed, hope, and regret will always surface, but the difference between successful and unsuccessful traders lies in how they manage them. Technical skills and strategies may open doors, but emotional discipline keeps a trader profitable in the long run.
Gold’s strong startAs we mentioned in the previous analysis, gold needed a correction and was likely to enter a range — which indeed happened. Now, with the start of the week, gold has managed to rise again and break out above the range. At the moment, it’s not the right time to enter; the best entry point would be around 3657, but only after confirmation. ✅
Gold - Sell positions are on the table for a short time🟡 GOLD – Multi-Timeframe Breakdown
🔎 Bias: Bullish, waiting for retracement
The higher-timeframe trend remains bullish, but price is showing signs of cooling off after tapping into supply. The focus is now on identifying optimal discount zones for continuation buys.
📅 Weekly View (W1)
Strong break of structure (BOS) to the upside.
Price created a new swing high above resistance.
Expectation: pullback into swing range before continuation higher.
📊 Daily View (D1)
Major resistance at 3,650 has held initially.
Price is riding a bullish trendline with clean demand zones below.
Daily demand at 3,500–3,520 remains valid for a deeper correction.
⏱ 8H View
Price rejected major resistance and is now retracing.
Sitting just above 3,600 support.
Demand zones layered beneath, aligned with lower-TF confluence.
⏱ 1H View
Clear 3-zone setup:
Buy Zone 1 (Shallow) → 3,610
Buy Zone 2 (Preferred) → 3,590 (aligns with 71% retracement + demand)
Buy Zone 3 (Deep) → 3,570 liquidity grab before reversal
Current PA suggests sellers may push lower before buyers step in.
🎯 Trade Plan
Wait for retracement into Buy Zone 2 (preferred level).
Watch for bullish confirmation (candle reversal / liquidity sweep).
Short-term target: retest 3,650 supply.
Medium-term target: 3,700+ continuation if structure holds.
XAUUSDXAUUSD If the price fails to break above 3664, the short-term price is likely to decline. Consider selling in the red zone (high-risk trade as the main trend of gold is still strong uptrend).
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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The Power of Price Action: Reading the Market Without IndicatorsIn the trading world, many traders get caught up in countless technical indicators such as RSI, MACD, and Stochastic… However, at the core of every price movement lies Price Action – the art of reading the market purely through price and volume, without relying heavily on indicators.
1. What is Price Action?
Price Action is the art of analyzing and making trading decisions based on pure price movement. Traders focus on price patterns, market structure, support and resistance levels, and especially candlestick signals, instead of depending on formula-based indicators.
2. Why is Price Action Important?
Primal nature: Price is the most direct information from the market, not lagging like indicators.
Flexibility: Applicable across all markets (Forex, Gold, Stocks, Crypto…).
Simplicity & effectiveness: Helps traders cut out the “noise” from overly complex tools.
3. Core Elements of Price Action
Support and Resistance Zones: Where supply and demand meet, shaping trends.
Market Structure: Uptrend, downtrend, consolidation, or breakout.
Reversal & Continuation Candlestick Patterns: Offering signals for entries and exits.
4. Key Candlestick Patterns
Doji: Reflects indecision, signaling a possible reversal or continuation.
Pin Bar (Long-tailed candlestick): A long wick shows strong rejection, a reliable reversal signal.
Engulfing: A candle that fully engulfs the previous one, demonstrating dominance from buyers or sellers.
XAU/USD Bullish Trade Setup Buy from POI Zone towards 3668TargetXAU/USD (Gold) – 1H Analysis
✅ Trend: The market is in a clear bullish trend with higher highs & higher lows. Price is trading above both EMA 70 (3,547) and EMA 200 (3,486), confirming strong upward momentum.
📌 Key Levels:
POI Buying Zone: 3,554 – 3,576 (strong support area)
Target Point: 3,668 – 3,669
Support Line: Still respected, adding confluence to the bullish setup.
📈 Strategies Applied:
Trend Following: Bullish as long as price stays above EMAs.
Support & Resistance: Buying zone aligns with strong support.
EMA Strategy: Price above EMAs = buy signal.
Price Action: Retest of POI zone before moving up.mm
🎯 Trade Idea:
Entry: Around 3,555 – 3,576 (buying zone)
Stop Loss: Below 3,547 (EMA 70 / zone invalidation)
Target: 3,668 – 3,670
⚡ Summary: Market remains bullish, correction into the POI zone is a good buying opportunity aiming for new highs.
XAU/USD Analysis: 3 Reasons Why Gold’s Rally Might PauseXAU/USD Analysis: 3 Reasons Why Gold’s Rally Might Pause
Today’s XAU/USD chart shows that gold continues to set records in September. The price has risen above $3,650 per ounce for the first time in history – one of the main drivers being expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut on Wednesday, 17 September.
Easier monetary policy is generally seen as boosting gold’s appeal – this has pushed XAU/USD nearly 6% higher since the start of September. However, the chart highlights three reasons why further upside may be limited.
Technical Analysis of the XAU/USD Chart
1. Long-term channel:
Over the course of 2025, gold price movements have formed an ascending channel (shown in blue), and today XAU/USD is trading close to its median line. This is where supply and demand typically balance out. Buyers may consider the post-September rally overstretched, while sellers could view the all-time high as an opportunity to take profits.
2. Rectangle pattern target reached:
The range between $3,250 and $3,440 that developed mid-year can be interpreted as a rectangle pattern. Following the bullish breakout, the implied target of $3,630 has already been achieved.
3. RSI signals risk:
The RSI indicator is close to forming a bearish divergence.
Given the steep angle of the orange support line, a correction – for example, towards the psychological level of $3,550 – might occur.
In summary, gold’s upward momentum may start to slow. At the same time, given the market’s inertia, traders may have little reason to expect a decisive shift away from bullish dominance. Still, next Wednesday could bring surprises.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
DAILY CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
After completing our 1h and 4H chart this week, please now see update on our daily chart idea that we have been tracking. This chart idea has also played out to perfection!!
Sunday we advised that 3433 had now produced a candle body close above this level leaving gap target open for 3564 - This target is now complete!!
🔹 GAP TARGET 3564 - DONE
We will now look for a body close and/or ema5 cross and lock above this level to confirm a continuation. Failure to lock will confirm a rejection into the lower Goldturns for support.
Thanks as always for your support.
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
BUY strategy analysis – Fix Range PoC Zone & TrendlineBUY strategy analysis – Fix Range PoC Zone & Trendline
The reason I decided to BUY at this area is:
-It’s the Fix Range PoC Zone – the price level with the highest traded volume, showing strong market interest.
-This zone also intersects with the rising trendline, reinforcing support from both volume profile and trend structure.
👉 When Volume Profile + Trendline converge, it creates a high-value zone to BUY with the trend.
💡 This isn’t random – it’s a confluence point, where the probability of success is at its highest.
CURRENT CONTEXT🔭 CURRENT CONTEXT
- Main trend: Strong uptrend, maintaining Higher High – Higher Low structure on H1 & M15.
- Current price: 3650, has broken above VAH and the previous high at 3580, now showing signs of consolidation at the top area.
VOLUME PROFILE: Key zones to watch:
🔺 New short-term resistance: 3652–3660
🟧 Nearest POC support: 3550–3535
🟩 Medium-term Demand Zone H4: 3480–3485
🎯 4 GOLD TRADING SCENARIOS (H1 - M15)
🟩 Scenario 1 – BUY pullback at POC support 3550–3535
🔹 Conditions:
Price retests POC 3550–3535
Bullish Pin Bar / Engulfing candle forms on M15
Volume shows bullish support (rising volume at the bottom)
🔸 Reason:
This is the nearest volume-balanced POC
Previously a breakout zone → may now act as strong support
✅ Entry: BUY around 3540–3550
TP: 3595 / 3620
SL: 3528
R:R ratio: around 1:2 or higher
🟥 Scenario 2 – SELL reaction at 3660–3665
🔹 Conditions:
Price retests 3660–3665
Reversal candle pattern on M15 (Bearish Engulfing / Pin Bar)
Weak breakout volume, strong wick rejection
🔸 Reason:
This is the new short-term top, likely to see profit-taking pressure
Overbought in the short term after steep rally
✅ Entry: SELL around 3660
TP: 3600–3585
SL: 3675
R:R ratio: 1:2
🟧 Scenario 3 – BUY breakout if price clears 3665 strongly
🔹 Conditions:
H1 or M15 closes above 3665 with increasing volume
Breakout + Retest pattern appears
🔸 Reason:
Breaking above distribution zone → continue pushing up to form new HH
Main uptrend continuation
✅ Entry: BUY after close above 3665, retest 3660
TP: 3690 / 3705
SL: 3652
R:R ratio: 1:1.5 or higher
🟦 Scenario 4 – Deep SELL if POC 3535 and 3515 break
🔹 Conditions:
Price breaks below 3535 and 3515 (LVN) with strong volume
Retest of 3535 fails to reclaim
🔸 Reason:
Losing balance zone + LVN → could trigger a medium-term correction
Next target is Demand Zone 3480–3485
✅ Entry: SELL around 3530 (if retest fails)
TP: 3485
SL: 3545
R:R ratio: 1:2
🧷 RISK MANAGEMENT
- Trading around 3650+ requires tight SL, avoid FOMO
- Only trade with clear setups (Pin Bar / Engulfing / Breakout confirmation)
- Prioritize BUY if price stays above 3550–3535
- SELL only if weak volume confirmed or clear reversal patterns
DeGRAM | GOLD above the channel📊 Technical Analysis
● XAU/USD is climbing within an ascending channel, holding above 3,600 support after reclaiming the mid-range trendline.
● Price momentum is targeting the 3,620 resistance; a breakout could extend gains toward 3,640, keeping the short-term structure bullish.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Gold is buoyed by softer US inflation expectations and a slight pullback in Treasury yields, while investor demand for safe havens remains firm amid geopolitical concerns.
✨ Summary
Bullish above 3,600; targets 3,620 → 3,640. Invalidation on a close below 3,580.
-------------------
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Gold Hits New ATH – Is a Bearish Crab Reversal Next?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to rise today after the release of the
ISM Manufacturing PMI index formed a new All-Time High(ATH) .
The question is what price range could the new ATH price range for gold be in?
Gold is currently moving near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ)($3,557-$3,531) .
From a pattern analysis perspective , it looks like Gold is completing a Bearish Crab Harmonic Pattern . In fact, if we find a trigger at point D of the Bearish Crab Harmonic Pattern , we can confirm this pattern.
From an Elliott wave theory perspective , it looks like Gold is completing wave 5 . This wave 5 could act as the end of the main wave 3 .
I expect Gold to drop to at least $3,501 in the coming hours .
Second Target: $3,481
Third Target: Support zone($3,474-$3,466)
Stop Loss (SL) = $3,559(Worst)
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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