XAUUSD – The Bullish Momentum Continues, Targeting 3,700 USD?Hello traders, as we can see, gold surged strongly yesterday , breaking through key resistance and closing near the highs. Safe-haven flows continue to pour into the precious metal, while the USD weakens on expectations that the Fed may soon ease its policy. This development further strengthens the belief that gold remains firmly in an uptrend.
The US PPI report forecast shows producer inflation dropping sharply from 0.9% to 0.3% . This signals that the Fed may cut rates sooner, weakening the USD and further boosting gold. Amid global uncertainty, gold continues to stand out as the safe-haven asset of choice.
On the H4 chart, XAUUSD is still moving within an ascending channel, consistently forming Higher Highs and Higher Lows. The price is currently trading around 3,647 USD, holding firmly above both EMA34 and EMA89. The 3,630 USD zone has become a key support level, where a slight pullback could occur before the next leg higher.
The most reasonable strategy is to Buy on dip around 3,630 – 3,635 , with a stop loss below 3,610. Short-term targets lie near 3,680, while the extended target is 3,700 USD – a major resistance level where profit-taking pressure may intensify. With this setup, the risk-to-reward ratio is highly attractive.
Wishing you all successful trades!
GOLDCFD trade ideas
GOLD (XAUUSD): Time For Correction
Gold nicely respected 3600 psychological level.
The market was rejected from that on Friday
and formed a bearish imbalance candle before closing.
I think that we can expect a retracement at least to 3577 level.
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Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 7, 2025
Momentum
• D1: Momentum is still declining → a corrective move may occur before turning bullish again.
• H4: Currently in the overbought zone → a main downward move is expected tomorrow.
• H1: About to enter the oversold zone → a short-term upward bounce may appear tomorrow morning.
Wave Structure
• D1 timeframe:
o Price is forming a 5-wave structure (i, ii, iii, iv, v) in black.
o Currently, wave iii (black) is in its final stage.
o Waves i, ii, iii were formed after a momentum cycle → the next corrective cycle will likely indicate where wave iv (black) will end.
• H4 timeframe:
o Price may be completing wave v (purple).
o Once wave v (purple) finishes → the market is expected to enter corrective wave iv (black).
• H1 timeframe:
o As in the previous plan, the ABC correction in blue looks like a 3-wave structure, but there is also the possibility of a Flat pattern forming.
o In a Flat scenario, price may break above the previous high and then reverse downward.
o Currently, price showed overlapping moves followed by a strong breakout → suggesting two possible scenarios:
Scenario 1:
o Wave v (purple) is unfolding, with price heading toward the wave v target.
o Two target zones: 3614 and 3678.
o In this case → avoid counter-trend trades, wait for corrective wave iv (black) to complete and then enter Buy positions in line with wave iii (black).
Scenario 2:
o A Flat structure is forming.
o Wait for wave C to complete wave iv (purple).
o H4 momentum supports this scenario (decline to oversold then reversal).
o Wave C targets: 3553 and 3530 → ideal Buy entry zone.
Trading Plan
1. Buy Zone 1: 3353 – 3350
o SL: 3340
o TP1: 3596
2. Buy Zone 2: 3532 – 3530
o SL: 3522
o TP1: 3552
keep growing, new ATH 3648✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 09/08/2025 - 09/12/2025
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) surged to a record high of $3,600 on Friday after weak US Nonfarm Payrolls data fueled speculation of aggressive Fed rate cuts. The metal trades at $3,594, up 1.30%, as soft labor data drove Treasury yields and the Dollar lower. The 2-year yield, most sensitive to Fed policy shifts, slid over 11 basis points to 3.48%, reinforcing expectations of imminent easing.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price hits new ATH 3600 and still maintains uptrend, bullish momentum thanks to interest rate cut in September
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $3648
Support: $3508, $3465
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
GOLD | Waiting for PullbackPair: XAUUSD
Bias: Bullish overall
HTF (4H): Market extended; expecting corrective pullback.
MTF (30M): Inducement forming into $3,500–$3,465 demand zone.
LTF (5M): Look for CHoCH + OB entry confirmation inside that zone.
Targets:
1. TP1: Next clean 5M highs that form if price holds — first leg confirmation.
2. TP2: Extended leg to $3,600–$3,640+ — higher-timeframe liquidity zone.
Mindset Note: Don’t chase highs. Let the market collect liquidity in the pullback zone, confirm via 5M structure, then step in. Patience > impulse.
Mitigation: Where Smart Money Reloads“The first touch after a shift is often the cleanest. But only if you know where to wait.”
After a ChoCH or Break of Structure , price often returns to the origin of the move.
This return is called Mitigation — where big players close remaining positions and open new ones in the direction of the fresh trend.
Why Mitigation Matters
Most traders jump in immediately after a BoS, afraid of missing the move.
But professional traders understand something crucial:
The market almost always comes back.
Mitigation is where the market “refuels” before continuing.
It offers:
Smaller stop losses (tighter risk)
Clear invalidation points
Cleaner entries with better risk-reward
How to Spot Mitigation Zones
Find the last opposing candle before the strong move (bearish candle before a bullish rally, bullish candle before a sell-off).
Mark its open–close range as your mitigation block.
Wait for price to return to this area — patience is key.
Drop to a lower timeframe (M15 or M1) and wait for confirmation (ChoCH/BOS) before entry.
Practical Example (Gold)
Suppose Gold breaks structure upward (BoS).
Instead of buying the breakout, look left to locate the last bearish candle before that strong rally.
Price often revisits this candle’s range.
When it does, observe lower timeframe structure:
If it holds, that’s your entry — right where smart money is filling orders.
This is why the first pullback after a BoS is often the cleanest trade — it’s not random.
It’s the market completing unfinished business.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
Have you seen this play out on your own charts?
Share your thoughts — where did price last revisit a zone before making a big move?
$GOLD: Projections of Compression & Release 🏛️ Research Notes
Price is at fib boundary derived from its structure that covers growth patterns. Several attempts were taken place to push higher and ended up as lower highs.
Contraction of fractal cycles and amplitude.
Topologically, the compression to a point of proportional release in fibonacci proportions and scaling law 1:1 to original triangle would look like a cube. And let's limit for now with that horizon.
Probabilistic Filter - Another layer of fibonacci channels to inherit roughness of observed temporal pattern which then rhymes with extended series.
The longer the price fluctuates in these geometric boundaries, the more accurate the colors tend to reflect the outcome.
For measuring percentages of swings I used this modification of Zig Zag.
3,417 – 3,360 (final defense for buyers).1. Price Structure
Gold has surged strongly from 3,360 → 3,657, forming a steep uptrend inside a rising wedge channel.
Currently, price is near the upper boundary of the wedge and has just made a pullback.
2. Pattern & Technical Signals
A rising wedge pattern is visible, which often signals downside pressure when price touches the upper boundary.
The recent candlestick shows a long upper wick, indicating strong selling pressure around the 3,657 top.
The blue arrow on the chart highlights a potential correction back toward the wedge’s lower trendline.
3. Fibonacci Support Levels
From the rally 3,360 → 3,657:
Fib 0.786 = 3,573: short-term support, likely to be tested.
Fib 0.618 = 3,508: key medium-term support.
Fib 0.382 = 3,417: if this breaks, the short-term uptrend could reverse.
Red zone (3,360 – 3,417): a strong demand zone, may attract buying interest again.
4. Possible Scenarios
Scenario 1 (primary):
Price continues to correct down toward 3,573 – 3,508, then rebounds if the trendline holds.
Suitable for trend-following buys if reversal signals appear around the 0.618 Fib.
Scenario 2 (breakdown of wedge):
If price breaks below the wedge and Fib 0.5/0.382, it could drop back to 3,360 – 3,417.
In that case, the short-term bullish trend weakens → short opportunities may open up.
5. Conclusion
Gold is currently in a correction phase after a strong rally.
Key levels to watch:
3,573 – 3,508 (decisive for holding or losing the uptrend).
3,417 – 3,360 (final defense for buyers).
👉 Short-term: wait for price action signals around 0.786 – 0.618 Fib zone to consider buying with the trend.
👉 Medium-term: if 3,417 breaks, bearish momentum could return.
XAUUSD | ATH Hit – Wave 5 Complete, ABC Correction Ahead?Gold has completed its Elliott 5th wave, reaching a new all-time high. A smaller ABC correction is now expected. While the main upside trendline is still intact, it has already been tested 3 times — giving high probability that at least a short-term break could occur. Targeting wave A’s resistance level could form a bull flag for continuation higher.
Possible correction zones:
• 3550–3580 area, where multiple supports and trendlines align
Additional confluences:
• RSI trend breaks to the downside across multiple timeframes, dipping below 50%
• Stochastics have stayed overbought for an extended period
• MACD showing a potential double-top formation, failing to reach new highs
Disclaimer: This idea is for educational purposes only. Please do not place trades solely based on this setup.
Gold will it be the Bull/ bears with upcoming Retail Sales m/m Today's reading on the CPI didn't move the Market as expected, as the reading came in neutral.
I am waiting for next week's Tuesday Retail Sales Data This will be my spark plug. If Retail Sales come in hotter than the last reading of 0.5 % yields and the gold will have to mitigate the 3,600–3,565 zone. But if the reading comes in coller than the previous reading of 0.5 %, then bulls will take over the bullion and drive it all the way to our 3,660–3,680. handle
Bulls setup will be (if price holds above 3,620 and breaks 3,642)
Trigger: 4H close above 3,642 (RTO zone).
Buy pullback into 3,635–3,642.
Targets:
TP1 → 3,660
TP2 → 3,675–3,680 (liquidity zone)
Stop: Below 3,620 (fair value gap invalidation).
But if the reading on Tuesday comes in Hotter than the previous reading of retail sales
This will be my bearish setup
(if price rejects 3,642 and breaks 3,620)
Trigger: Strong rejection from 3,642 OR 4H close below 3,620.
Entry: Sell pullback into 3,620–3,630.
Targets:
TP1 → 3,603 (discount zone retest)
TP2 → 3,565 (unmitigated liquidity zone)
Stop: Above 3,642.
Note will still be waiting for the Fed cut on the 17th. That said, if Gold does what it does and mitigates the liquidity, I think on the 17th, we will have enough fuel to rocket to the Moon
XAUUSD-LONG IDEAXAUUSD is really bullish on higher time frame and also the structure on 1Hour time frame is very prominent making a higher high and higher low sequence. the divergence formed on 1 hour time frame has not shown any weakness in structure and now the divergence is going to be diluted if this structure break. I think there is still a very good opportunity in buying gold. Rest of thing are mentioned in the chart along with Take profit and Stop loss.
XAU/USD on Fire — Next Stop $3,750?Gold (XAU/USD) on the 1H chart is currently maintaining a bullish structure, with price trading around $3,644 after bouncing from the $3,610 support zone. This area has repeatedly acted as a demand level, confirming that buyers are defending dips. The market has been forming higher lows and higher highs, which reinforces the bullish bias.
On the upside, the price faces resistance around $3,674–$3,700, which aligns with the marked take-profit zone. If bulls manage to push above $3,700 with momentum, the next extension target could be near $3,750, a psychological level and a historically reactive price point. On the downside, $3,610 remains a key invalidation level; a break below could shift momentum back toward sellers.
From a momentum perspective, recent buying signals around the lower zones confirm continued interest from institutional buyers. The recent cluster of selling signals near $3,670 reflects short-term supply pressure, but price behavior shows that demand is gradually absorbing that.
________________________________________
✅ Trade Setup (Bullish)
• Entry: $3,645 – $3,650
• Stop Loss: Below $3,610
• Take Profit 1: $3,674
• Take Profit 2: $3,700
• Extended Target: $3,750
________________________________________
Risk handling is critical here. The setup offers a 1:1.5 to 1:2 risk/reward, depending on entry execution. A smart approach would be to book partial profits at $3,674, then trail the stop-loss to breakeven. If price breaks above $3,674 convincingly, use a trailing stop strategy under each new higher low on the 1H chart. This allows traders to lock in gains while still staying exposed to the larger bullish move.
In short, Gold remains poised for a bullish breakout, with strong upside potential if resistance levels are cleared. Careful trade management with partial exits and trailing stops will ensure traders maximize profit while limiting risk.
________________________________________
XAUUSD Update NFP Effect "other consideration" RETESTAfter the NFP data was released, gold experienced a significant increased and touched 3600 level.
How will the price react after this surge ?
It's have a possibility that the price will correct to retest previous support. This could occur before the gold price continues its upside movement / bullish continuation.
Have a blessing week !
Sell around 3692 with TP 3505 Gold forming daily basis new all time highs this very cautious for retail traders because they will pump before FOMC meeting rate cut decision then during the press conference they will dump to 3505 area slowly dumping more towards 3300 area if news against gold and Trump drama will over and out this old gambling of. Trump
XAUUSD sell on pullbackXAUUSD has got strongly rejected from 3675.00 with one single move to level 3619.83 with break of structure, upon daily close, as with the higher timeframe it has started an uptrend. As price started pullback from the daily rejection, it is highly likely price continue to drop to daily support at 3619.83 or below. As 4h price approaching FVG we may find lower timeframe down trend with series of lower high and lower low.
Possible trade selling opportunity from 3640.00 to 3619.83
Bullish market Hi traders
Given the sharp and strong upward trend in gold last week and the fundamental news in the market, I expect gold to rise this week as well.
I think as long as the psychological support level of 3500 holds for gold, it is not far off to see the 3640-3660 level.
Gold may make a correction to 3565 or even deeper correction to 3539 and then move towards the stated targets.
One scenario is shown with a green line and the other with a purple line on the chart.
Possible positions this week
A:Suitable prices for BUY positions
1)3565
2)3539
B:Suitable prices for SELL positions
1)3640-3660
(Of course, with approval from the market and the type of candles)
This is just an analysis and everyone is responsible for their own work.
Hoping for a good and profitable week.
Gold will continue to grow inside upward channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. The market context for Gold has been firmly bullish since the price broke out of its prior consolidation range, a move that originated from the deep buyer zone. This breakout shifted the market structure, initiating a new impulsive phase that has since been neatly contained within a well-defined upward channel. The price action for XAU has been respecting the boundaries of this channel, creating a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows. Currently, after being rejected from the channel's upper resistance line, the asset is undergoing a healthy correction movement. This pull-back is guiding the price back towards a significant confluence of support, where the ascending support line of the channel converges with the horizontal support zone near the 3485 current support level. The primary working hypothesis is a long scenario, based on the expectation that buyers will defend this area and maintain the integrity of the uptrend. A confirmed bounce from this dynamic support would signal the end of the correction and the resumption of the primary bullish trend. Therefore, the TP is logically placed at 3610 points, representing a new structural high and a measured objective for the next impulsive wave. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
The Power of Price Action: Reading the Market Without IndicatorsIn the trading world, many traders get caught up in countless technical indicators such as RSI, MACD, and Stochastic… However, at the core of every price movement lies Price Action – the art of reading the market purely through price and volume, without relying heavily on indicators.
1. What is Price Action?
Price Action is the art of analyzing and making trading decisions based on pure price movement. Traders focus on price patterns, market structure, support and resistance levels, and especially candlestick signals, instead of depending on formula-based indicators.
2. Why is Price Action Important?
Primal nature: Price is the most direct information from the market, not lagging like indicators.
Flexibility: Applicable across all markets (Forex, Gold, Stocks, Crypto…).
Simplicity & effectiveness: Helps traders cut out the “noise” from overly complex tools.
3. Core Elements of Price Action
Support and Resistance Zones: Where supply and demand meet, shaping trends.
Market Structure: Uptrend, downtrend, consolidation, or breakout.
Reversal & Continuation Candlestick Patterns: Offering signals for entries and exits.
4. Key Candlestick Patterns
Doji: Reflects indecision, signaling a possible reversal or continuation.
Pin Bar (Long-tailed candlestick): A long wick shows strong rejection, a reliable reversal signal.
Engulfing: A candle that fully engulfs the previous one, demonstrating dominance from buyers or sellers.
GOLD at Support , holds or not??#GOLD.. market just reached at his current supporting region.
That is around 3612 to 3618
Keep close that region and if market hold it in that case we can expect again bounce from here.
NOTE: we will go for cut n reverse below 3612 on confirmation for further 20 points dip..
Good luck
Trade wisely
Break of Rising wedge XAUUSD breaks the H1 Rising wedge pattern and almost Overbought on D1.
All eyes no 3640-3645 zone.
What possible scenario we have?
• XAUUSD on undisputed bullish rising wedge I'm selling from 3635-3640 range and my Targets will be 3615 the 3605 with two session if golds remains below 3635-3640.
• secondly if H4 candle closes above 3645 then our analysis will be invalid and market will test the lower trendline at 3680 .
All the entires should be taken once all the rules are applied
THE KOG REPORT - NFP THE KOG REPORT – NFP
This is our view for NFP, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price.
For this months NFP, due to the aggressive stretch on gold upside, we’re only looking for the extreme levels to attempt the trade. Even then, we’re of the view that we will let this play out for today and next week look for a clean reversal before getting in and taking what is needed.
We have the immediate level of support below 3550-40, which needs to be held in order to attempt the upside levels of 3580-5 and if that level is broken 3603-10. It’s that higher level that we feel if attempted, could present a decent opportunity to attempt the short trade, unless broken of course.
Lower down, the red box bias level is sitting at 3540 which needs a clean break below to then confirm the bearish move has started and we can then either capture the retracements in attempt to target the 3480-5 level or, wait lower for price to exhaust, and once a clean reversal is formed, attempt the long trade back upside.
The ideal scenario here is a break above the 3585 level an attempt on 3600, exhaustion there and then a possible short for next week. It’s been a choppy week but we’ve hit all of our bullish targets so lets observe more than we trade today.
RED BOXES:
Break above 3555 for 3561, 3568, 3576 and 3588 in extension of the move
Break below 3540 for 3533, 3530, 3520, 3506 and 3490 in extension of the move
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As always, trade safe.
KOG