Trade ideas
(XAU/USD – Gold Spot, 1-hour timeframe)...(XAU/USD – Gold Spot, 1-hour timeframe), here’s the breakdown:
Current price: Around $4,337
First target (near-term): Around $4,284
Second (main) target: Around $4,205
These target levels are marked on my chart with blue arrows labeled “Target Point.”
📉 Interpretation:
The chart suggests a bearish (downward) move — likely following a correction from the peak labeled “2.”
The Ichimoku cloud and marked arrows indicate a short-term pullback, with a stronger support zone near $4,205–4,210.
Hellena | GOLD (4H): SHORT to support area of 4040.Gold is actively rising and I believe that before the impulse ends we should see the correction that many are expecting.
As of today, I see the completion of the higher order wave “3” and the approaching start of the correction in wave “4”. It makes no sense to put any distant plans in the correction and I think that the support area of 4040 looks quite attractive.
Fundamental context
Gold continues its rally and recently broke new highs, fueled by expectations of U.S. rate cuts, global uncertainty, and safe-haven demand. Central banks are still actively increasing their gold reserves — this structural demand adds support even if price pullbacks occur.
Supply growth is modest — mining output is constrained, and recycling of gold is not enough, which limits the downward pressure on prices.
Given this backdrop, the chance of a correction rises as momentum stretches — but the underlying fundamentals remain favorable for further upside once the correction completes.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Gold – 24 Hours of Chaos: From 4400 to 4000The last 24 hours in Gold trading were absolutely insane. After retesting the 4400 zone all-time high last night, XAUUSD literally collapsed, dropping straight to the 4000 zone in just one day — a 10% move that’s unheard of for gold (at least I haven't seen).
1️⃣ Technical Picture
Once the price broke back below 4200, it confirmed a double top formation, and the selloff accelerated dramatically toward its measured target around 4000 — a level also supported by the ascending trendline that started in late August.
2️⃣ Current Context
At the time of writing, gold already rebounded nearly 1300 pips from the low, which means there’s no attractive level to enter long right now, even though the recovery might continue in the short term.
3️⃣ Key Levels to Watch
• Resistance: 4200 zone – now turned into a major resistance. If the price revisits this level, I’ll be looking for short setups, ideally on intraday spikes.
• Support: 4000 zone – if the price dips again before testing resistance, it could offer long opportunities from this confluence area.
4️⃣ Trading Plan
In short, we’re in a wide range between 4000 and 4200, both levels offering potential trades but in opposite directions. For now, I’ll stay patient and wait for price to get closer to one of these extremes before taking action.
⚠️ Final Note
Volatility is off the charts, so if you decide to trade XAUUSD these days, adjust your stop losses and targets accordingly. This is not the time for tight stops, is time for patience, and flexibility. 🚀
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Record day here on Gold with price accelerating downside wiping gains above 4200 which was a key level for bulls to defend. The move however, was long awaited and although we didn't get it from the top, we got the break on the bias level and then consequently completed out targets surpassing the extension of the move and hitting the target we had given for the bears.
Now, very important close here with support below at the 4104 level and resistance above at the red box which is circled. 4120 is the level that needs to cross to begin some form of retracement, otherwise, we continue with the move downside targeting the next red box.
From Camelot this morning:
Price: 4270
RED BOXES:
Break above 4275 for 4283, 4295 and 4303 in extension of the move
Break below 4256 for 4250✅, 4233✅ and 4210✅ in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
GOLD fell nearly $300, the biggest one-day drop since 2021The precious metals market witnessed a sharp decline in the trading session on Tuesday (October 21), when the spot gold price fell more than 5%, marking the sharpest decline in 4 years. This correction came after many consecutive weeks of increase, when gold continuously set new peaks and reached overbought levels on technical indicators.
As of the time of recording, the spot gold price decreased by 5.21% to 4,129.05 USD/ounce, after falling below the 4,100 USD/ounce mark at one point, meaning a loss of nearly 300 USD compared to the highest level of the day. Previously, on Monday, gold had peaked at about 4,381.52 USD/ounce, before turning down nearly 3.8%.
Strong Dollar Slows Gains
The stronger US Dollar has made dollar-denominated gold more expensive, weighing on demand.
Weakening safe-haven sentiment has also contributed to the sell-off. Expectations of a meeting between US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping next week to ease trade tensions have dampened demand for the precious metal. In addition, the peak gold buying season in India, one of the world’s largest consumer markets, has ended, dampening physical demand.
Markets lose position data, volatility soars
The partial U.S. government shutdown has left traders without access to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s (CFTC) weekly speculative positioning report, data used to measure hedge fund participation in gold and silver contracts. The lack of positioning data makes the market more sensitive, especially when speculative buying increases during volatile times.
The volatility has pushed short-term volatility in the precious metal to its highest level in months. Options trading volume on the world’s largest gold ETF exceeded 2 million contracts for two consecutive sessions, a new record, suggesting investors are rushing to hedge or take advantage of volatility to seek profits.
Experts warn of the risk of a deeper correction
According to Bloomberg Intelligence strategists, gold ETF holdings are still below historic highs, suggesting there is still room for a bull run. However, they warn that “every rally has its limits,” and that excessive speculative buying often turns into selling pressure when economic data improves.
“If upcoming economic reports show a stronger-than-expected U.S. economy, a deeper correction in gold is entirely possible,” the report said.
Silver also under pressure after a strong run
Silver, the metal, has risen nearly 80% since the start of the year thanks to tight supplies and rising investment demand that has followed gold’s slide. The widening price gap between London and New York has prompted traders to move the metal to the UK to ease supply and demand pressures.
According to exchange data, treasuries linked to the Shanghai Futures Exchange recorded the largest silver withdrawals since February, while inventories in New York continued to fall, reflecting a restructuring of global supply amid the market correction.
In short, after a long rally and high expectations, the gold market is entering a “necessary cooling” phase. While the long-term trend is still supported by geopolitical risks and loose monetary policy, short-term volatility is likely to remain high as the market reassesses yield expectations, inflation and the health of the US economy.
Technical Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
The daily chart of gold shows that after a strong increase to the peak around 4,380 - 4,400 USD/ounce, the price has entered a rather deep technical correction phase, touching the Fibonacci support zone of 0.618 around 4,110 USD/ounce corresponding to the EMA21 line.
The strong bearish candle has been partially absorbed, indicating that the selling pressure is weakening and the downward momentum is showing signs of slowing down.
The RSI indicator has escaped the overbought zone and is approaching the neutral level (50), reflecting the state of re-accumulation after the correction. As long as the price remains above the 4,036 - 4,110 USD/ounce zone, the medium-term bullish structure has not been broken.
Overall, gold is in a "breathing" phase after a steep increase, and if it holds support at $4,110/ounce, the prospect of returning to the main uptrend in the coming weeks is very positive.
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4231 - 4229⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 4235
→Take Profit 1 4223
↨
→Take Profit 2 4217
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3949 - 3951⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3945
→Take Profit 1 3957
↨
→Take Profit 2 3963
XAUUSD – Sharp 5% Drop as Traders Take Profit Ahead of US CPIMarket Context:
Gold (XAU/USD) slumped over 5.5% on Tuesday, marking its largest daily decline in months as traders took profits ahead of the upcoming US CPI data (October 24).
The US Dollar Index (DXY) rebounded 0.36% to 98.94, making gold more expensive for foreign buyers.
This correction also coincides with renewed optimism over potential easing of US–China trade tensions, after President Trump confirmed plans to meet Chinese leader Xi Jinping next week.
While this sharp move caught many traders off guard, it appears to be a healthy correction within a broader bullish structure, as investors remain cautious before major data and the upcoming Fed policy meeting next week.
Technical Outlook (M30):
After the heavy selloff from the 4,375 high, gold found near-term support around 4,003 – 4,010, forming a potential accumulation base.
The pair now trades near 4,150, showing early signs of recovery toward key confluence zones.
Key Technical Levels:
OBS Sell Zone: 4,338 – 4,340
CP Zone Down / OBS Sell Zone: 4,259 – 4,260
CP Zone Up / OBS Buy Zone: 4,092 – 4,094
Deep Buy Zone: 4,003 – 4,008
The current structure outlines a 5-wave projection, where price may complete Wave II near 4,092, then advance toward Wave III at 4,259, followed by a correction (Wave IV) and another push toward Wave V near 4,338.
Trading Plan:
🔹 BUY ZONE#1 (Short-Term Recovery)
Entry: 4,092 – 4,094
Stop Loss: 4,080
Take Profit: 4,145 → 4,259 → 4,338
🔹 BUY ZONE #2 (Liquidity Sweep Scenario)
Entry: 4,003 – 4,008
Stop Loss: 3,990
Take Profit: 4,090 → 4,259
🔹 SELL ZONE (Countertrend Reaction)
Entry: 4,259 – 4,260
Stop Loss: 4,272
Take Profit: 4,145 → 4,092
Summary:
The recent 5% correction is viewed as a profit-taking phase ahead of CPI data, not a structural breakdown.
Gold is expected to stabilise above 4,092, with buyers likely stepping in near the OBS Buy Zone.
Focus remains on 4,259 for a short-term reaction and 4,338 as the next potential liquidity target if momentum continues.
📊 What’s your view — is this just a healthy retracement before CPI, or the start of a deeper shift?
👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily institutional-grade setups and smart money structure updates.
XAUUSD – Sharp 5% Drop as Traders Take Profit Ahead of US CPIMarket Context:
Gold (XAU/USD) slumped over 5.5% on Tuesday, marking its largest daily decline in months as traders took profits ahead of the upcoming US CPI data (October 24).
The US Dollar Index (DXY) rebounded 0.36% to 98.94, making gold more expensive for foreign buyers.
This correction also coincides with renewed optimism over potential easing of US–China trade tensions, after President Trump confirmed plans to meet Chinese leader Xi Jinping next week.
While this sharp move caught many traders off guard, it appears to be a healthy correction within a broader bullish structure, as investors remain cautious before major data and the upcoming Fed policy meeting next week.
Technical Outlook (M30):
After the heavy selloff from the 4,375 high, gold found near-term support around 4,003 – 4,010, forming a potential accumulation base.
The pair now trades near 4,150, showing early signs of recovery toward key confluence zones.
Key Technical Levels:
OBS Sell Zone: 4,338 – 4,340
CP Zone Down / OBS Sell Zone: 4,259 – 4,260
CP Zone Up / OBS Buy Zone: 4,092 – 4,094
Deep Buy Zone: 4,003 – 4,008
The current structure outlines a 5-wave projection, where price may complete Wave II near 4,092, then advance toward Wave III at 4,259, followed by a correction (Wave IV) and another push toward Wave V near 4,338.
Trading Plan:
🔹 BUY ZONE#1 (Short-Term Recovery)
Entry: 4,092 – 4,094
Stop Loss: 4,080
Take Profit: 4,145 → 4,259 → 4,338
🔹 BUY ZONE #2 (Liquidity Sweep Scenario)
Entry: 4,003 – 4,008
Stop Loss: 3,990
Take Profit: 4,090 → 4,259
🔹 SELL ZONE (Countertrend Reaction)
Entry: 4,259 – 4,260
Stop Loss: 4,272
Take Profit: 4,145 → 4,092
Summary:
The recent 5% correction is viewed as a profit-taking phase ahead of CPI data, not a structural breakdown.
Gold is expected to stabilise above 4,092, with buyers likely stepping in near the OBS Buy Zone.
Focus remains on 4,259 for a short-term reaction and 4,338 as the next potential liquidity target if momentum continues.
📊 What’s your view — is this just a healthy retracement before CPI, or the start of a deeper shift?
👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily institutional-grade setups and smart money structure updates.
GOLD Finally Made Reversal Pattern , Short Setup To Get 400 PipsHere is my 4H Chart On GOLD , And finally the chart made a reversal pattern The price creating a very clear reversal pattern ( double top) and the price made a very good bearish price action now from good res area so we can enter a sell trade after the price back to retest the neckline to can use a small stop loss and targeting 200 to 400 pips , this is a good bearish movement after this massive movement to upside without any correction , so we will sell this pair for the next weeks .
Lingrid | GOLD Consolidation Period Following Retracement ?OANDA:XAUUSD is pulling back after a failed retest of the 4,380 resistance zone, showing weakness at the upper boundary of the market structure. The market forms a descending correction within a potential consolidation phase following pullback, staying below the downward trendline. Price may attempt a rebound toward upper zone of consolidation at 4,135 before another wave up if momentum remains neutral. Overall, gold reflects a temporary correction inside a broader upward trend.
⚠️ Risks:
A sustained break below 4,000 would shift short-term sentiment back to bearish.
Unexpected shifts in US inflation or bond yields could spark sell off gold.
Thin liquidity may trigger false breakouts within the consolidation range.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
GOLD → Retest 4060 within the range. What are the expectations?FX:XAUUSD is forming a correction from the Asian session, with the price testing the important 4060 zone ahead of two key events: US inflation data (CPI) and the results of US-China trade negotiations.
Key factors: US inflation (CPI): Low data will support gold (expectations of two cuts in 2024), but high figures will strengthen the USD and weaken gold (rates for a rate cut in December will decline).
Progress in negotiations between China and the US could weaken gold, while failure would bring back demand for safe havens. US sanctions against Russian oil are supporting oil prices and inflation expectations.
Gold is in wait-and-see mode. Growth is likely with weak CPI or a failure of negotiations. Strong CPI and progress in trade will reinforce the correction. The mood remains cautious ahead of events.
Resistance levels: 4090, 4150, 4163
Support levels: 4060, 4002
The important zone of 4060 - gold is forming a false breakdown. If the bulls hold their defense above this zone, it could trigger growth towards the resistance of the range. Otherwise, we can expect a retest of 4000K, and the reaction should be aggressive...
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold remains strongly bullish🟡 Gold remains strongly bullish!
Both the RMBS Smart Detector and TSD (Trend Strength Detector) indicators are showing strong bullish momentum.
The $4,000 area looks like a solid support and could be an attractive entry point for those who missed the rally.
This post is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
Gold mania ends in a $4000 reality check? Thousands queuing for hours in central Sydney to buy gold last week was a potential warning sign that gold was vulnerable to correction.
Today, gold prices saw their largest one-day fall in over ten years. After several failed attempts to break above 4,400, resistance held and momentum reversed sharply.
The first key support now potentially sits near 4,000 (200% retracement).
Despite the correction, long-term outlooks might remain positive. Ongoing inflation risk, lower interest rates, geopolitical tensions, and U.S. government dysfunction are still ever present. This might be why Goldman Sachs raised its December 2026 price target to 4,900 per ounce, up from 4,300, citing
Silver also slumped more than 7%, marking their biggest daily loss since 2021, as overbought signals flashed extremes.
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold has seen a sharp and powerful rally over the past few weeks and continues to trade in a bullish structure.
From a fundamental perspective, there are still no major signs of weakness, as macro factors continue to support gold’s long-term uptrend.
However, from a technical standpoint, a short-term correction appears increasingly likely.
On the 4-hour chart, gold has recently broken its ascending trendline and is now trading below a key resistance zone.
If price pulls back to retest the broken trendline and then breaks below the 4180 support level, we could see a deeper move toward the next support zone.
Volatility in gold has been extremely high in recent days, with sharp intraday swings.
It’s advisable to avoid aggressive entries at the moment and wait for clearer confirmation signals before taking new positions.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
XAU/USD Update 1Next move on the way, focus on proper risk management & stay discipline. Wishing you successful trades..!
Key Reason:
1. Price deeply grab all SSL.
2. Overall market structure was bullish.
3. Trendline respect.
4. 1H Fresh zone for buying.
5. Once price tap in our zone then switch into smaller time frame and look for bullish confirmation. Bullish move expected.
This is not a financial advise. Let's see how it will work.
GOLD Daily Plan (Oct 20, 2025) | Buy Setup from 4235–4225 Target🧭 DAILY TRADING PLAN – GOLD (XAU/USD)
Date: Oct 20, 2025
Main timeframe: M30 – H1
Strategy: SMC + Volume Profile + Fibo retracement
1. MARKET CONTEXT
After a sharp drop from 4370 → 4200, price formed a temporary bottom around 4179 and started building a corrective structure.
Currently, price is consolidating between 4240–4260, located near the Value Area Low of the previous session.
On the Volume Profile, the POC (Point of Control) from the prior session is around 4296, aligning with the Fibonacci 0.618 level — this is a major resistance zone and a good target area or reversal point.
2. MAIN SCENARIO (BUY SETUP)
Reason for entry:
Price is reacting from a small demand zone (4235–4225) with increasing volume, showing signs of absorption from buyers.
Trade plan:
Entry: 4235 – 4225
Stop Loss: 4218 (≈6–7 points)
Take Profit 1: 4288
Take Profit 2: 4296 (POC + Fibo 0.618 confluence)
Take Profit 3: 4316 (first supply zone on Chart 1)
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: around 1:2.5 to 1:3
3. ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO (SELL SETUP)
If price fails to hold above 4220 and breaks structure to the downside:
Entry: below 4215 after confirmation (CHoCH / BOS on M15)
Stop Loss: 4222
Take Profit: 4199 → 4179 (previous low & liquidity pool)
4. SUMMARY
→ Focus on the buy setup from 4235–4225 as long as price holds above 4218.
→ Be cautious taking longs near 4296–4316 (supply zone).
→ If bearish momentum returns, switch to the short scenario targeting 4199.
Analysis and trading position for gold
Hello traders
The structure of the one-hour time frame is bearish for now
The algorithm for one-hour sellers has also been activated, but it has not yet pulled back to its equilibrium. In one hour, there are two pullback ranges, 4207 and 4232, which you can look for a trigger sell (this range has high validity until the defined TP is touched. If it gives the target first, this range will be merely a reaction). From these areas and TP, the one-hour sellers of this algorithm are defined at 4040, which is one with a daily support, the one-hour seller is liquidating here, which is also the daily support, so we can expect a good move from this support.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
A fantastic start to the week with price following and the indicator levels on the dip before resuming the move upside into the regions we wanted. We did say yesterday that the move on Friday was a little suspicions and we had a feeling they would correct the move this week, little did we know it would happen in one day.
We have now broken above the level after updating traders suggesting scalps only for the short from the hotspot, which worked well but we're a little stretched now. Support here is way down at the 4310-6 level and resistance stands at 4355 which is where we may get a potential RIP back into support before further advances in price.
KOG’s bias of the week:
Bullish above 4230
Bearish below 4220
RED BOXES:
Break above 4255 for 4265✅, 4270✅, 4284✅ and 4304✅ in extension of the move
Break below 4237 for 4230, 4220, 4210, 4206, 4185 and 4177 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG






















