Gold Under Pressure Sell Setup Near 3975XAU/USD is positioned near 3975, showing potential for a downside move as selling pressure builds and short term bullish momentum fades. If the current resistance holds, the pair could test the next support zone.
Key Levels:
Sell Entry: 3975
Take Profit: 3950
Stop Loss: 3995
Reasoning:
Technically, Gold has stalled near 3975, forming a local ceiling. Price action suggests that sellers may push the pair lower toward 3950.
Fundamentally, gold is facing headwinds from a firm U.S. dollar and rising interest rate expectations. Diminished haven demand and improving market sentiment in risk assets further limit upside potential.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Trade ideas
Chart Analysis (XAUUSD-15 M)🟢 Chart Analysis (XAU/USD – 15M)
Current Price: $3,964
Resistance Zone: $3,980 – $3,983
Support Zone: $3,950 – $3,951
Major Support: $3,910
📊 Technical Outlook:
Price Action:
Gold has rebounded strongly from the $3,910 zone, forming higher lows — a sign of short-term bullish momentum.
Structure:
The chart shows a range-bound pattern between $3,950 and $3,983.
A breakout above $3,983 could trigger a bullish continuation, while rejection here could push the price back toward $3,950 or even $3,910.
RSI Indicator (53.47):
RSI is currently neutral but trending upward — indicating mild bullish strength.
A move above 60 would confirm momentum toward $3,983.
Volume:
Recent candles show increasing volume on bullish moves, suggesting buying pressure is returning.
🎯 Trade Idea (1:1 Risk–Reward Example)
Scenario 1 – Buy Setup:
Entry: Above $3,966
Take Profit (TP): $3,978
Stop Loss (SL): $3,954
Bias: Bullish above $3,960
Scenario 2 – Sell Setup:
Entry: Below $3,950
Take Profit (TP): $3,938
Stop Loss (SL): $3,962
Bias: Bearish below $3,950
🧭 Summary:
Gold is consolidating within a tight range.
➡️ A break above $3,983 will likely open room for upside momentum.
➡️ A drop below $3,950 can shift bias back to bearish, targeting $3,910.
Overall Bias: Neutral to bullish (as long as price holds above $3,950).
At the moment, D1 and H4 are synchronized — bearish bias. Target
Analysis at 09:00 (UTC +2)
At the moment, D1 and H4 are synchronized — bearish bias.
Target: D1 Fractal.
The continuation of the bearish structure looks logical, but there’s a caveat.
The W1 IMB has been mitigated, and on D1 a lot of liquidity has already been taken.
Considering the aggressive rally since August and the current correction on W1, there’s a high probability that a bullish setup may start forming from the current price level.
However, we have a problematic zone — FTA / D1 IMB.
For confident longs, the price needs to secure a close above this zone.
Until that happens, the short scenario remains valid.
For today:
There’s an H4 bearish BPR, from which we can expect confirmation for a move lower; inside it there’s an AH, which could be a potential entry point.
Asian session narrative: it swept its own liquidity and built a bullish sentiment. The upward move looks strong, so to confirm a short we need bearish confirmation on H1, since the long may still continue.
A local long from the H1 IMB toward AH is possible if the zone gets tested and AH remains intact.
If the price closes above PDH, the bearish scenario will start to lose strength — we’ll need to wait for more information.
Every zone I’ve marked requires additional confirmations on lower timeframes (LTF).
Concept: Smart Money
Gold facing pressure ahead of US - China meetingChina's purchase of its first US soybean cargo this year, ahead of a meeting with the US, signals expectations for a constructive dialogue and a positive outcome on the sidelines of the APEC summit.
Optimism over a potential trade breakthrough may continue to pressure gold prices.
However, the ongoing data blackout leaves the Fed cautious, heightening volatility in the near term.
XAUUSD failed to breach the EMA, but the higher swing low signaled diminishing bearish momentum. If XAUUSD holds above 3900, the price may retest the resistance at 4020.
Conversely, if XAUUSD closes above 4020, the price may retest the next resistance at 4150 and reverse the trend.
By Van Ha Trinh - Financial Market Strategist at Exness.
Gold /XAUUSD long🎯 Idea Summary:
· Direction: Long
· Instrument: XAUUSD (Spot Gold)
· Primary Timeframe: 4H
· Bias: Bullish (Counter-trend bounce)
📊 Technical Rationale:
· Market Structure: The longer-term trend is still bullish, but price has corrected into a major support zone. Looking for a bounce.
· Key Levels:
· Support: $2315** (Previous Resistance), **$2300 (Major Psychological & Swing Low)
· Resistance: $2340** (Recent Swing High), **$2355 (21 EMA)
· Price Action / Pattern: Price is approaching the $2315 support. Watching for a bullish reversal candle (like a hammer or bullish engulfing) for a confirmation signal.
· Confluence:
· The $2315 level coincides with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the last major up-move.
· RSI is entering oversold territory (<30), suggesting selling pressure may be exhausting.
⚙️ Trade Setup:
· Entry Zone: $2315 - $2320 (On a bullish confirmation candle)
· Stop Loss: $2305 (Just below the key $2300 psychological level and the Fib level)
· Take Profit Targets:
· TP1: $2340 (First resistance, take 50% off)
· TP2: $2350 (21 EMA & next resistance)
· Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:2.5
💡 Narrative / Fundamental Context:
This is a mean-reversion play within a bull market.The confluence of a major Fibonacci level, prior support, and oversold RSI creates a high-probability zone for a technical bounce. A break below $2300 would signal a much deeper correction is likely.
Disclaimer: This is my personal analysis and not financial advice. Trading commodities like gold carries a high level of risk. Always do your own research (DYOR) and manage your risk appropriately.
WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY Gold is at no trade area, FOMC interrupted the buy signal yesterday so it may not to buy for long, maybe a buy to 3955 then it starts selling, the major buy will start from any moment after 1st November and if it fails then we will sell for a longer time but looking at last week CPI y/y and reduced rates yesterday the buy will likely start with momentum after November 1,
i will update it from November 1 if the buy hold or if it decides to sell more .
Methodology: Smart Money Concept (SMC) 📊 Technical Breakdown of the Analysis
1. Market Context
• The chart is XAU/USD on the 5M timeframe.
• A BOS (Break of Structure) to the upside was followed by a ChoCH (Change of Character) to the downside.
• This shows a possible liquidity trap where buyers were induced before price shifts bearish.
2. Liquidity Zone
• Below the marked lows there is Sell-Side Liquidity, where retail buy-side stop losses are resting.
• A Fake Out already occurred, sweeping liquidity.
3. Point of Interest (POI)
• A 5M Order Block (OB-5M) is marked inside the Resistance Zone.
• This is the key institutional area for a potential rejection.
• Planned Sell entry: 3,997.
4. Trade Management
• Stop Loss (SL): 4,013, above the resistance zone.
• Take Profit (TP): 3,951, aligned with liquidity targets.
• Risk/Reward (R/R): 1:2.88, solid for intraday setups.
5. Price Narrative
• Price is expected to retest the OB-5M rejection zone at 3,997.
• After that, the projection is a bearish move with a distribution phase.
• Final target: liquidity sweep around 3,951.
🚀 Motivational Note
“Patience is your edge: wait for price to reach your zone, trust the plan, and let risk management protect you. Consistency comes from discipline, not prediction.” ✨📉💪
GOOD LUCK TRADERS ;)
XAU/USD – Gold awaits confirmation before the next big moveAfter moving into the new day, the market’s behavior remains within expectations, showing no significant change in the overall structure. On the H1 chart, gold continues to fluctuate around $3,940, facing a clear short-term resistance near $3,990–$4,000 and a higher resistance zone around $4,070–$4,120.
From a technical perspective, the price is attempting a short-term pullback. If buyers manage to hold above the intraday support zone of $3,920–$3,910, a corrective rally toward $4,000–$4,070 could unfold. However, failure to sustain above that area could trigger another leg down, targeting $3,870 and possibly $3,820.
The RSI remains neutral, showing no strong momentum shift yet, while EMA lines suggest bearish pressure remains dominant until a breakout above $4,070 occurs.
This makes the current phase a liquidity-building zone before a decisive move either way.
Key Levels to Watch
Resistance 1: $3,990–$4,000
Resistance 2: $4,070–$4,120
Support 1: $3,920–$3,910
Support 2: $3,870–$3,820
Trading Strategy
Scenario 1 (Bullish): Wait for a confirmed break and retest above $4,000 to aim for $4,070–$4,120.
Scenario 2 (Bearish): If price rejects the $4,000–$4,070 zone, consider short positions toward $3,870 with tight risk control.
Gold traders should remain patient and let price action confirm direction before committing to new entries. Remember, clarity often comes after liquidity sweep — stay disciplined and react to confirmation, not prediction.
XAUUSD: The Bullish ABCD Pattern Signals Potential Price SurgeHey everyone, it's Erik!
The price has decreased within the bullish ABCD pattern, a pattern that often indicates that the sellers have exhausted their strength, with their momentum weakening near the bottom.
Recently, the price broke above the upper trendline, signaling that buyers are starting to intervene, shifting the market dynamics in their favor.
If the price stays above this recently broken level, we could see a significant rise. My target is for the price to reach around 4,130, a reasonable level based on the current setup.
XAUUSD Coiling - Preparing for the Next Big Move?Asset: CFDs on Gold (XAU/USD)
Timeframe: 15 Minutes
Gold is currently consolidating in a well-defined range after a recent move. The key levels for the next major directional move are now clearly established.
Key Technical Levels:
· Resistance: ~4012.00 (Recent swing high)
· Support: ~3915.00 (Significant swing low, a double-bottom formation)
· Intermediate Support: ~3886.00 & ~3844.00
Trading Thesis & Scenarios:
The market is at a decision point. A breakout from this consolidation is expected to dictate the short-term trend.
· Bullish Scenario (Long):
· Trigger: A decisive 15-minute candle close above 4012 resistance.
· Confirmation: Look for a retest of the breakout level as support.
· Target: Projected move towards 4050 - 4080.
· Bearish Scenario (Short):
· Trigger: A decisive 15-minute candle close below 3915 support.
· Confirmation: This would confirm a breakdown from the range.
· Target: Projected decline towards 3886, with a further target at 3844.
Current Market State: Waiting for a confirmed breakout. Trading inside the range is risky due to potential false moves. The preferred strategy is to wait for price action confirmation at the boundaries.
What are your levels to watch? TVC:GOLD
GOLD Bull Market Over?Gold has fallen yet again today. Busting through some major technical support.
Gold is falling for 3 main reasons;
1. Trump / XI (USA vs China) meeting is expecting positive negotiations.
2. Mega Cap Tech Earnings: markets love to chase tech higher.
3. FOMC rate cut expectations.
We believe gold had a strong chance at retesting the daily 200 MA.
Picked up some GLD calls today.
Gold’s Correction Is Exhausting SellersGold is not collapsing. It is cleansing. After an explosive rally that pushed XAUUSD above 4380, the metal has undergone a sharp but orderly retreat to the 3940 zone. This pullback has flushed out weak hands and reset overbought conditions without breaking the core structure of the uptrend. The data across timeframes confirms that buyers are regrouping, not retreating.
On the daily chart, price has found support near the 20-period SMA at 4069, but more importantly, it has held well above the 50-day SMA near 3780. This wide cushion shows the underlying trend remains intact. The RSI has fallen from extreme highs above 90 to neutral territory near 35, eliminating the overbought pressure that threatened a deeper correction. The MACD histogram has turned deeply negative, but this reflects momentum exhaustion, not bearish conviction. Volume has declined on the down moves, signaling lack of aggressive selling.
The 4-hour chart reveals a critical detail. Price recently tested 3886, the low of the last major swing, and bounced sharply. This level now acts as strong technical support. The RSI on this timeframe has bottomed near 18 and is curling upward, while the MACD histogram has flipped positive for the first time in days. These are early signs of accumulation. The current price hovering around 3940 is not a sign of weakness but a consolidation phase where the market digests the prior move.
Weekly structure remains overwhelmingly bullish. Despite the recent drop, the close above 3886 in the prior week preserved the higher low pattern that began in early 2024. The 10-week SMA continues to rise steadily, now near 3776, and price remains well above it. Even the monthly chart shows no reversal signal. The latest monthly candle closed at 3858, still deep within the upper half of its Bollinger Band, and the OBV remains in an uptrend, confirming volume-backed strength.
This setup points to a resumption of the primary uptrend. Short term, gold will likely reclaim 4025 within the next 5 to 10 days as the 4-hour MACD crossover gains traction. Medium term, a retest of 4250 is probable within 4 to 8 weeks, targeting the previous consolidation zone that now acts as support-turned-resistance. Long term, with all major moving averages sloping upward and no structural damage done, gold is on track to challenge 4500 by the end of the first quarter of 2026.
The current dip is a tactical opportunity, not a strategic warning. The trend remains firmly in gold’s favor.
Gold Bullish reversal 4h | Story Description
Last week, everyone was talking about how Gold was done.
Charts were bleeding, candles were red, and social feeds were full of bearish calls.
It looked like the market had completely switched sides — but deep down, it was just another correction.
I kept watching the chart patiently… price was moving inside a downward channel for days — nothing but slow pressure.
But guess what? Today, that story flipped.
Gold finally broke above the channel, showing signs that buyers are stepping back in control.
The correction seems to be over, and the market is trying to breathe again.
Right now, as long as price holds above 3970, I believe bulls can push toward 4040, maybe even 4160 in the next leg.
Sometimes, trading isn’t about catching every move — it’s about understanding when the storm is ending.
That’s where patience pays off.
Let’s see if buyers can keep control this time.
⚠️ For educational purpose only — not financial advice.
Gold at Crossroads: Supply Pressure vs Demand Rejection1. Market Structure
Overall, gold is currently in a corrective phase following a strong bullish rally. The latest move formed a Higher High (HH) around 4,350–4,360, followed by a sharp rejection — signaling that supply pressure has started to take control.
2. Supply Zone & SELL Potential
Strong Supply Zone (4,336–4,350): This is a key resistance area where price previously faced heavy rejection. If price retests this level, it could provide a potential SELL setup, especially if a clear reversal candle such as a bearish engulfing or shooting star appears.
However, if this zone is broken with a solid bullish candle, the market could likely print a new All-Time High (ATH) in line with the medium-term bullish momentum.
3. Golden Ratio Supply Area (around 4,246–4,264)
This area acts as both a Take Profit zone for prior long positions and a directional confirmation zone. A failure to break above could trigger another rejection and deeper pullback, strengthening short-term bearish pressure.
4. Secondary Reaction Area (around 4,150)
This zone has been tested three times, confirming a strong short-term supply presence.
Plan: wait for a strong bullish breakout candle above this area to validate a continuation move. If another rejection forms, price could head back toward the Demand Area (4,065–4,043).
5. Demand Area (4,065–4,043)
A key level for potential BUY setups. Look for a clear bullish reversal candle before entering. If this zone holds, the market could rebound higher.
But if it breaks down, price may extend lower toward the Major Demand zone (3,974–3,986).
6. Major Demand (3,974–3,986)
A strong base zone capable of halting further downside movement. Suitable for swing BUY setups with a favorable risk-reward ratio, as long as price stays above this level.
Trading Plan Summary
BUY PLAN:
Wait for bullish confirmation near Demand Area (4,065–4,043) or Major Demand (3,974–3,986).
First targets: Secondary Reaction Area (4,150) and Golden Ratio Supply (4,246).
SELL PLAN:
Wait for clear rejection or reversal candle near Golden Ratio Supply (4,246) or Strong Supply (4,336–4,350).
Target: Demand Area (4,065–4,043).
Conclusion
Gold is currently in a neutral strategic zone, squeezed between strong supply and solid demand. The next directional move will largely depend on how price reacts around the Secondary Reaction Area and Demand Area.
The key principle: don’t predict—react to confirmation.






















