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GOLD REBOUNDS AS INVESTORS BUY THE DIP AFTER ETF SELL-OFFGOLD | Prices Rebound Despite ETF Outflows 💰 Gold prices recovered after an earlier dip triggered by the largest single-day ETF outflow in five months, signaling profit-taking and a technical correction. Despite investor caution, the metal maintains bullish momentum while trading above 4101, supported by safe-haven demand amid uncertainty ahead of U.S.–China trade talks. Technically, as long as gold trades above 4101, upside targets remain 4124 → 4163 → 4189. A clean 1H close below 4075 would shift momentum bearish, opening room toward 4053 and 4011. Pivot Line: 4101 Resistance: 4124 – 4163 – 4190 Support: 4075 – 4053 – 4011
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SroshMayi
Is gold about to experience a new rally?Is gold about to experience a new rally? Currently, the gold market is experiencing significant volatility at high levels, and it's time to choose a direction, as shown in the chart. After a series of sharp gains, there has been a significant technical pullback this week, but the core logic driving gold's long-term upward trend remains unchanged. Policy expectations are in focus: The market currently generally expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points at next week's meeting. This is the most important event currently hanging over the market, and any unexpected announcement could trigger significant market volatility. Beware of volatility amplification: Due to unstable market sentiment and major events expected next week, gold price volatility has significantly increased. Exchanges have also increased margin requirements for gold futures, which may force some leveraged traders to exit the market, further exacerbating market volatility. As shown in Figure 4h: Technical Analysis: Strong support exists in the $4,000-4,050 range. The pullback from the high has formed a bearish flag pattern, with significant resistance above. Current Position: After plummeting from its all-time high of $4,379 to $4,010, gold is currently stabilizing above the key psychological level of $4,100. Support and Resistance: Key Support: $4,080, $4,030, and $4,000 are three key support levels. If $4,000 falls below, the correction could intensify. Key Resistance: Upside resistance lies near $4,170 and $4,220. A break above $4,220 could lead to a retest of $4,300. Technical Pattern: Short-term consolidation. The key trading strategy for Monday (October 28) is range-bound trading. Key Trading Strategy: Buy on dips: If gold can hold between $4,090 and $4,100 after Monday's opening, consider building a position in batches, with a short-term target of $4,150 to $4,170. Short on rallies: If gold rebounds to resistance near $4170 or $4220 and shows signs of resistance, consider shorting with a small position, with a short-term target below $4100. Risk Management Tips: Stop-loss for long positions: It is recommended to set a stop-loss below $4080. If the price falls below $4080, be wary of the risk of a further decline to $4030. Stop-loss for short positions: It is recommended to set a stop-loss above a key resistance level (such as $4220). Important Tips: Trade cautiously and maintain a small position: With the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision expected early next Thursday (October 31st), market uncertainty is extremely high. It is recommended to reduce positions and avoid heavy holdings before mid-next week. Avoid chasing highs and lows: In the current volatile market, chasing orders is extremely risky and can easily be wiped out by short-term fluctuations. Always wait for the price to retreat to support or rebound to resistance before taking action.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Timo_Weber01
The Ultimate GOLD || Intraday Trading Plan (10/23/2025)Welcome to Trade with Decrypters! DETAILED AND COMPLETE ANALYSIS ( 5 TRADE SETUPS ) Central Bank Buying Central banks added net 19t in August led by Kazakhstan (14t), Bulgaria and El Salvador, Q3 on pace for 1,000t+ annually up 41% from historical norms. BRICS drivers like China (300t+ YTD) and India's $100B reserves fuel de-dollarization and inflation hedges; Poland reaffirms targets amid risks. Silver links to EV/solar boom (+70% China demand). Outlook: Unfazed 1,000t buys lift prices into 2026. ETF Inflows & Sentiment Gold ETFs hit $472B AUM in Q3 (+23% q/q) with $64B YTD inflows, September $17B record led by North America/Europe; Asia minor outflows. Safe-haven rush amid trade wars, minor profit-taking post $4k peak. RSI 75 overbought, $3,900 support holds. Silver +$2B YTD on industry bets. Forecast: Gold $4,200 test, silver $50+. Macro & Geopolitical Events Fed Oct cut vs. 2.9% inflation/shutdown-delayed jobs—labor firmer but risks grow. Trump's China tariffs fuel wars; BRICS stalls de-dollarization but boosts gold; Ukraine/Mideast hikes energy/inflation. Drives 50%+ YTD metals gains; tariffs add 1–2% CPI. Silver Deficit Fifth straight deficit at 118M oz in 2025 (down 21% YoY), demand stable 1.20B oz vs supply +3% to 1.05B oz, industrial record 680M+ oz from solar/EVs. Renewables offset jewelry drops Futures & Options Flow CME gold OI ~528k contracts, steady amid volumes; CVOL moderate, call/put skew bullish for rate-cut squeezes Fundamentals & Forecast Gold +51% to $4,062, silver +43% to $48—via 1,000t+ CB buys, inflation, cuts, 7% GDP deficits. De-dollarization/geo-risks dominate. Projection: Gold $4,400 Q4, silver $57 mid-2026
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by DECRYPTERS
Technical Analysis – Rising Wedge Breakdown ProbabilityAnalysis Pattern: A rising wedge has formed with converging trendlines — higher highs and higher lows narrowing into the apex. Volume: Noticeable volume contraction during the formation, which often precedes a breakdown. Current Position: Price appears to have made an upward breakout attempt, which may turn out to be a false breakout, a common precursor to a sharp downside move. Projection: Once the lower trendline breaks decisively, a fast and impulsive decline toward lower support zones is probable — as shown by the projected path in red. Summary The structure suggests bearish momentum building up beneath the surface, with the recent false breakout likely to trap late buyers. If confirmed with a close below the wedge support, this pattern could trigger a strong downside wave, potentially retracing the entire wedge formation. Disclaimer This analysis is for educational and technical discussion purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice or a trading recommendation. Please conduct your own research or consult a certified financial advisor before taking any trading positions.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by shiva560060
5
Technical Correction – Bullish Structure Remains IntactHello everyone, after a strong rally to new highs, gold (XAU/USD) is entering a necessary corrective phase before deciding its next direction. On the H1 timeframe, price is temporarily consolidating around $4,090 – a key support area where buyers are beginning to show signs of defence. From a technical perspective, the overall bullish structure remains intact as price continues to form liquidity zones followed by FVG fills. The $4,090–$4,080 zone still acts as the short-term defensive line for buyers. If this area holds, gold may rebound to retest $4,120–$4,130 – a region where selling pressure previously intensified. Ichimoku Cloud remains below price and has yet to signal a bearish reversal, indicating that this move is still a correction rather than distribution. On the news side, gold continues to receive medium-term support from expectations of a Fed rate cut in December, a cooling US dollar, declining bond yields and lingering geopolitical risks. While US–China trade dialogue may offer temporary signs of easing tension, institutional capital still favours defensive positioning, keeping gold within its broader uptrend. In the short term, I prioritise the scenario of gold extending its correction to gather liquidity around $4,080–$4,090 before potentially resuming its upside. Only a decisive break below this zone with strong bearish momentum would expose the psychological level at $4,000. What do you think about gold’s current trend – is this just a healthy pullback or an early warning of a deeper decline?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by EmmaChartist
14
Gold (XAU/USD) Bearish OutlookGold is currently showing signs of weakness after forming a double top pattern, followed by a strong bearish impulse. The recent recovery appears corrective and is now approaching a key resistance zone around the 4,185 area — a level that previously acted as strong supply. The price is forming a potential right shoulder, suggesting a continuation of the broader downtrend. If rejection occurs from this zone, we could see a move back toward the 4,050 – 3,950 support range. 🔹 Resistance: 4,185 🔹 Support: 4,050 / 3,950 🔹 Bias: Bearish below 4,185 🔹 Potential Target: 3,950 Structure remains bearish unless price breaks and holds above the resistance zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Charts_M7M
2
XAUUSD 1 HOUR TIMEFRAME CASESTUDY📅 23 Oct 2025 | 1H Chart | Yogiraj Trading Academy After a strong reversal confirmation, Gold has perfectly respected the Inverse Head & Shoulders structure on the 1-hOUR chart. As highlighted earlier, the key breakout zones of 4323 and 4380 acted as the decision points — once broken and sustained, the market confirmed trend continuation. 🔍 Technical Breakdown: Timeframe: 1 hOUR Pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders Breakout Zone: 4111–4150 Current Status: Breakout confirmed; retest expected Next Target: 4173+ zone If breaked 4293 Stop-loss Zone: Below 4050 (structure invalidation) Use Stoploss And Trail Always ⚙️ Market Psychology: This setup shows how markets transition from accumulation to expansion. Traders who entered prematurely during consolidation faced whipsaws, while disciplined traders who waited for neckline breakout confirmation entered at optimal risk-reward points. 🧘 Lesson from This Case: Confirmation > Prediction. Patterns reflect emotions — fear at lows, greed near breakouts. Structure-based entries build long-term consistency. 🚩 Yogiraj Trading Academy Insight: At Yogiraj Trading Academy, we integrate Technical Analysis + Trading Psychology + Discipline to guide traders toward independence and emotional mastery. Always trade with risk management, clarity, and patience — the real pillars of professional trading. 📊 Watchlist Levels: Support: 4080 / 4050 Resistance: 4185 / 4283 Continuation likely if sustained above 4200 ⚔️ Trade at your own risk with proper discipline and capital protection. #YogirajTradingAcademy #XAUUSD #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketPsychology #HeadAndShoulders #TrendContinuation #TradingMindset
OANDA:XAUUSD
by YOGIRAJ_TRADING_ACADEMY
The triangle pattern breaks and looks at the directionLast week we repeatedly emphasized the importance of paying attention to the rising trend line of the 4H cycle. Until the price falls below this trend line, we will maintain our bullish stance. Although news of easing trade tensions between China and the United States over the weekend has brought a slight cooling to the market's tense mood, this has only temporarily suspended the bullish counterattack. Whether a real and effective consensus can be reached still requires attention to the APEC summit at the end of the month. At the same time, the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut this week is almost a foregone conclusion, which has provided some support for the rise in gold prices. This has also contributed to the current relatively flat trend in gold prices, without as much fluctuation as last week. In addition to the rising trend line that we have been paying attention to, there is also a small downward trend line in the 4H chart, which makes the current trend fall into a triangle consolidation range. The short-term support below is 4060-4050, and the trend suppression above is 4120-4130. Before the triangle pattern breaks to determine the future trading direction, we can sell high and buy low around this range. The current hourly moving average is arranged downward, and it is expected to test the lower support again. If it falls back to the lower support and does not break, we can consider going long on gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Perfect_Allen
Gold daily K-line stopped falling, and the slow bull correction On Friday, the market corrected for 2 hours, finding support near 4045 on the lower 2-hour band, before retracing upwards. Next week, tomorrow, the 3-hour correction will gradually begin. Currently, the 3-hour BOLL is moving sideways, further oscillating within the range. Once the 3-hour correction concludes, the 4-, 6-, 8-, and 12-hour bands will begin to correct. Ultimately, the next bullish and bearish trend will unfold during this 4- to 12-hour correction. On Monday, we'll initially focus on the 3-hour BOLL band range. Currently, the range is between 4155 and 4050. Within this range, the market will continue to fluctuate, with buy low and sell high being the primary strategy. Therefore, a buy low, sell high strategy within the 4155-=4050 range should be sufficient. Technical Analysis: 1: The 3-hour correction is evident, with the BOLL range moving sideways, within the 4050-4155 range. Buy low, sell high is a viable strategy within this range. 2: The 4-hour Stochastic and MACD lines are both blunting, indicating a temporary sideways trend. The central axis of pressure is near 4145 . 3: In the daily K-line chart, the Stochastic is blunting and moving downward, signaling a bearish bias. The MACD is initially forming a death cross and moving downward, signaling a bearish bias. However, the central axis of the daily K-line is holding support, currently moving up to around 4085, followed by support around 4000. Overall, the technical outlook suggests a range-bound trend within the 3-hour chart, followed by a gradual upward trend within the 4-hour chart, followed by a volatile upward trend within the daily K-line. This is the corresponding signal of the current market; but the specific approach is mainly to wait and see and respond as needed!
TVC:GOLDLong
by AnalystDavid_
Analysis of the latest gold price trends today!Market News: In early Asian trading on Monday (October 27), spot gold prices opened sharply lower, falling nearly $50 to $4,058 per ounce. Over the weekend, China and the United States reached a preliminary consensus on the safe resolution of several key economic and trade issues. Market optimism regarding the international trade situation has significantly increased, dampening safe-haven demand for gold. In addition to trade factors, improved geopolitical dynamics and investor profit-taking have also weakened the appeal of London gold prices. Overall, international gold prices may fluctuate and adjust in the short term, but in the long term, the Federal Reserve's easing cycle and lingering potential risks may support a rebound. Expectations of a Fed rate cut, moderate inflation, and uncertainty surrounding the government shutdown provide a buffer, preventing a gold price collapse. Technical Analysis: From the daily chart, last Friday closed with a small bearish star candlestick pattern. Today's Asian session opened lower and closed higher, forming a "lower shadow," echoing the previous low of $4,044, forming the initial stage of a short-term double bottom support. While the MACD indicator maintains a death cross, the green momentum bar shows signs of narrowing, indicating that selling momentum is fading. The middle Bollinger Band is near $4080. The current price has returned above the middle band and has not fallen below the key support of the 10-day moving average ($4050). The daily buying trend structure has not been broken, and the low-open-high trend further confirms the strength of buying below. On the hourly chart, after a low Asian session, the price quickly dipped to $4058, forming a bullish candlestick pattern with a long lower shadow. Subsequently, the price continued to rise along the 5-day moving average, breaking through the resistance of the 20-day moving average and the middle Bollinger Band. The Bollinger Band opening is currently showing signs of widening. The MACD indicator has formed a golden cross below the zero axis, and the red momentum bar continues to expand, indicating sufficient short-term rebound momentum. However, it is important to note that the hourly RSI indicator is approaching the overbought 70 level, and the price is facing pressure from the previous range above $4100. A short-term correction may be needed, which provides technical logic for a short-term sell strategy. Overall, today's short-term gold trading strategy recommends selling at high rebounds, supplemented by buying at low pullbacks! Gold Intraday Trading Strategy: Short-term gold buy at 4005-4010, stop loss at 3995, target at 4080-4100; Short-term gold sell at 4135-4140, stop loss at 4150, target at 4060-4030; Key Points: First Support Level: 4058, Second Support Level: 4025, Third Support Level: 4000 First Resistance Level: 4100, Second Resistance Level: 4138, Third Resistance Level: 4165
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldenSpaceship
XAUUSD Update - Bullish Scenario to reach 4500 levelIf next week, 3997 support still holding, so a bullish continuation may appears. If market will make a bullish continuation, the target is fibo extention zone at 4500-4600 zone. Stay carefully as price still consolidation at 4161 - 4005 zone ( Triangle pattern ) . Waiting for a confirmation is more wiser. Have a blessing week ahead ! * This scenario could be cancelled if selling pressure continues and the price makes a deeper correction.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by RogueXXX
Gold Testing 4,210 Support as Bulls Eye Another Leg HigherHey Traders, in today’s session we’re keeping a close watch on XAUUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 4,210 zone. Gold continues to trade within a broader uptrend, and the current pullback appears to be a healthy correction toward a key support and resistance confluence at 4,210. Market structure: Momentum remains bullish, with price forming higher highs and higher lows. The ongoing correction could provide a trend-continuation entry if buyers step in near support. Key level: 4,210 — a decisive zone where previous reactions have sparked renewed buying interest. Outlook: A sustained bid from this area could pave the way for another push toward 4,300 and beyond, keeping Gold aligned with its dominant bullish trajectory. Trade safe, Joe.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by JoeChampion
9
Gold analysis with trading ideasAfter nine consecutive weeks of strong gains, gold has entered a sharp correction phase. Driven by intense selling pressure, its nearly three-month winning streak has officially come to an end. However, given the persistently high levels of global geopolitical and economic uncertainty, the likelihood of a significant further decline in gold prices remains low, as safe-haven trading activity remains robust and dynamic. Currently, trade negotiations between the U.S. and China are still ongoing, while President Trump has announced the termination of all trade talks with Canada. Meanwhile, due to the U.S. Congress’ prolonged failure to pass an appropriations bill, the release of economic data continues to be disrupted, shifting traders’ focus back to central bank policies once again. From a technical perspective, following the formation of a "double top" pattern on the 1-hour chart, gold has been oscillating under the resistance of the pattern’s neckline. Despite the bullish CPI data last Friday, gold bulls failed to push prices above the 4,160 level, indicating that short-term bullish momentum is still under significant pressure and gold is likely to remain in a wide-range consolidation. Looking at the 4-hour chart, after prices fell from the "double top" pattern, they rebounded with support from the acceleration line: the lower boundary of the range was reclaimed last Thursday, followed by a second bottoming-out and rebound on Friday—signaling that the short-term support at the lower boundary has been basically confirmed. The key range currently lies between 4,060 and 4,170, and these two levels can be regarded as the dividing lines for short-term bullish and bearish trends. A break above 4,170 would suggest strengthened rebound momentum, potentially leading to a further test of the upper channel edge around the 4,300 area. Conversely, a break below 4,060 may trigger a continued decline toward the 4,000 support level—this forms the core framework for the current market movement. Today’s trading strategy will revolve around the 4,000–4,170 range, prioritizing short positions at higher levels and long positions at lower levels. If prices break above 4,170, it will indicate that gold bulls have regained control, requiring a timely strategy adjustment to enter long positions on pullbacks.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Henry_Matthew
2