XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for September 10thGold Technical Analysis
Daily chart resistance: 3650/3700, support: 3539
Four-hour chart resistance: 3680, support: 3612/3589
One-hour chart resistance: 3650, support: 3633
Gold News Analysis: Gold prices experienced a roller-coaster ride on Tuesday, volatile gains to new all-time highs before retracing gains. During the Asia-Europe session, gold prices fluctuated between 3630 and 3660. During the New York session, gold prices briefly reached a new all-time high of 3674 before falling back below 3630, ultimately closing at 3626. Despite the revised employment data released by the US Department of Labor falling short of market expectations, gold bulls took advantage of the opportunity to take profits. The rebound of the US dollar index from a near seven-week low and US Treasury yields from a near five-month low also gave gold bulls pause. Furthermore, the continued rise of US stocks to new all-time highs has slightly weakened gold's safe-haven demand. Investors are currently focused on the upcoming US inflation data this week, leading to increased wait-and-see sentiment.
Gold prices plunged sharply yesterday. Whether it's peaking or correcting to continue rising, the continuity of the bearish trend is crucial. Currently, we believe it will continue to rise after the correction. Therefore, the key to bullish and bearish trading is the 3589 area. A break below it would signal a market peak, at least on the daily chart.
Gold Trading Recommendations: Based on the current 4-hour analysis, short-term support is currently focused on the 3612-3589 range. The short-term bullish trend line has moved up to around 3589, and we should continue to follow the bullish trend from this level. Monitor support reactions at various levels and buy on dips.
Buy: near 3633
Buy: near 3612
Buy: near 3589
GOLDCFD trade ideas
GOLD 3 DRIVE Pattern Observed IN 30 MINS TIME FRAME🔹 Pattern Observed
You’ve marked a 3-Drive Bearish Pattern (classic reversal structure).
Price has just completed the third drive up near 3,621–3,625 zone.
Immediate support marked: 3,575.
Below that, expectation is for impulsive fall.
🔹 Short-Term Outlook
Bearish Bias: The 3-Drive is a reversal pattern, so once the last drive completes, probability is for sharp downside.
Trigger Level:
Below 3,575 → breakdown confirmation.
Immediate Target:
Around 3,475 (as you marked).
That’s ~100 pts drop = ~2.8% downside.
Intermediate Support:
3,511 zone.
Extended Target:
3,390 (double confirmation level).
Final: ~3,316 (deeper harmonic support).
🔹 Trading Plan (Intraday/Short-Term)
Entry: Below 3,575 on breakdown candle.
Stop Loss: Above recent high 3,625 (risk ~50 pts).
Target 1: 3,511 (risk:reward ~1:1.2).
Target 2: 3,475 (risk:reward ~1:2).
Target 3 (Extended): 3,390 (risk:reward ~1:3+).
🔹 Key Notes
If price does not break 3,575 and consolidates → pattern can fail, leading to sideways or even new high.
Need to watch for strong bearish impulse candle with volume to confirm.
Pattern failure above 3,625 = stop out.
✅ Conclusion:
Gold has completed a 3-Drive Bearish Pattern. Below 3,575, expect an impulsive fall first to 3,475, then possibly 3,390–3,316. SL should be kept above 3,625 to protect capital.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
The above analysis is provided purely for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security, index, commodity, or derivative. Trading in options, futures, and commodities carries significant risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Please do your own due diligence or consult with a registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Gold - Supply lined up for a sell🏷 Bias: Bearish intraday setup
Gold is pushing into a supply pocket, showing signs of exhaustion after the liquidity sweep. Expecting a fade lower before any larger buy zone reaction.
📊 Technical Breakdown
Supply Zone: 3648 – 3652 acting as intraday resistance.
Price Action: Clean rally into supply, forming lower highs.
Projection: Likely rejection from current levels, targeting downside continuation.
Buy Zone 1: Marked lower around 3610 – 3612 for potential bullish reversal interest.
🎯 Entry & Exit Zones
Short Entry: 3646 – 3650 (supply zone test).
Target 1: 3636 – 3632 (first demand pocket).
Target 2: 3612 Buy Zone 1 (deeper liquidity grab).
Reversal Opportunity: Strong reaction at Buy Zone 1 could give a fresh bullish leg.
Sell according to the recovery from 3,675 to 3,516 - 3,4181. Overall Trend
Gold (XAU/USD) is still in a strong uptrend since late August.
The ascending trendline (dashed gray) indicates steady bullish momentum.
However, price just touched resistance (red trendline) around 3,675 – 3,680 and pulled back.
2. Technical Pattern
A possible Double Top is forming around 3,675.
After failing to break resistance, price started a corrective move down (as shown by the blue arrows).
A deeper pullback is possible if the short-term uptrend line is broken.
3. Key Fibonacci Levels
0.786 (3,586): first minor support.
0.618 (3,516): strong support, often a key retracement point.
0.5 (3,467): neutral level, price may react here.
0.382 (3,418): aligns with the marked SUPPORT zone (blue box). High probability of a bounce.
0.236 (3,358): deeper support, likely only if selling pressure is strong.
4. Scenarios
Bearish correction (short-term bias):
Price could retrace to the 3,516 – 3,418 zone for a support test.
This area is likely to attract buyers again.
Continuation of bullish trend (long-term bias):
If price holds above 3,418 – 3,467, it may rebound and retest 3,675 – 3,700.
A breakout above this resistance would confirm the long-term bullish continuation.
5. Trading Strategy (for reference)
Buy with the trend: Wait for a pullback into 3,418 – 3,467, then look for bullish reversal signals (Pin bar, Engulfing) to go long.
Short-term Sell: Possible to short the retracement from 3,675 toward 3,516 – 3,418, but stop loss should be placed above 3,680.
👉 Summary: Gold is correcting after hitting resistance at 3,675. The critical support zone is 3,418 – 3,467. Whether price holds here will decide if the long-term uptrend continues.
XAUUSD Intraday Analysis Resistance Rejection & Pullback ScenariGold (XAUUSD) – Intraday Analysis: Resistance Rejection and Pullback Scenario
Gold has been trading in a strong uptrend channel since late August, but today’s price action is showing the first signs of exhaustion. On the H1 timeframe, price reached a key resistance zone around 3,670 – 3,680 USD/oz and immediately rejected, breaking out of the rising channel. This signals a potential short-term pullback.
Key Technical Levels Resistance:
3,670 – 3,680 (major rejection zone).
If bulls manage to break above, the next upside target will be 3,720 – 3,750.
Support:
3,600 (psychological level + EMA20 H1).
3,540 – 3,550 (recent swing low + Fibonacci 0.382).
3,500 (major support with confluence at Fibonacci 0.5).
Trading Strategies Bearish Setup (preferred intraday scenario):
Look for short positions if price fails to reclaim 3,670 – 3,680.
Entry zone: 3,635 – 3,650.
Targets: 3,600 → 3,550 → 3,500.
Stop loss: above 3,685.
Bullish Setup (alternative scenario):
Consider longs only if price holds firmly above 3,600 and shows reversal signals.
Entry: 3,600 – 3,610.
Target: 3,660 – 3,670.
Stop loss: below 3,590.
Indicator Confirmation EMA20 vs EMA50 (H1): a bearish cross will strengthen the pullback outlook.
RSI (H1): already leaving overbought territory, supporting a correction.
Fibonacci retracement: 3,550 and 3,500 are crucial pullback levels to watch.
Conclusion: Gold is showing rejection at the 3,670 resistance area, with high probability of a pullback toward 3,600 – 3,550. Short setups remain favorable, but traders should stay flexible in case bulls defend 3,600 strongly.
- If you find this analysis useful, remember to follow for more updated strategies and save it for reference during today’s trading session.
Gold Breaks New Highs, Momentum Still Favouring BullsHello friends, the past week has been quite rewarding for gold as it surged through major resistance levels and printed fresh highs. On the H4 chart, the trend looks very clear: price action is holding firmly above the Ichimoku cloud, with Tenkan sitting comfortably above Kijun, and the cloud slope widening further. Multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) remain unfilled below, showing that buying momentum is powerful and liquidity is being left behind — a signature of a strong rally, not just a short-term move.
In terms of price action, the immediate resistance lies between $3,535–3,560. A clean H4 close above this area may unlock the next natural expansion towards $3,580–3,600. On the downside, layered supports are found at $3,520–3,505, then $3,485–3,470, and deeper at $3,440–3,420, coinciding with the upper edge of the cloud, often tested during medium-term uptrends.
Fundamentally, the environment still favours buyers: safe-haven demand is rising, the Fed is expected to ease policy sooner, and the USD is weakening, all adding fuel to the bullish case. Unless gold closes back into the cloud and loses the $3,440–3,420 zone, the probability of trend continuation remains high.
Do you think gold can stretch further from here? Share your thoughts below!
Intensifying Bear Grip: Can 3610–3600 Save the Bulls?Gold started to retreat from around 3675, and has now retreated to the lowest point of 3620-3610. According to the current market performance, we can clearly see that the rebound high point of gold after the retreat is gradually decreasing, and the control of the short position is further increasing. Yesterday, according to my trading model, my prediction that gold may usher in another 600pips retreat has been realized, and we have also won a big victory in the short transaction. It can be said that we have become the first echelon to reap the dividends from the short transaction. Then, will the high-rise building that the gold market has worked so hard to build collapse?
In fact, from a macroeconomic and technical perspective, gold's bullish trend remains intact, supported by expectations of rate cuts and safe-haven demand, which will, to a certain extent, limit any potential pullback.
From a capital perspective, some funds may be taking profits, but the current retracement is far from panic selling. Furthermore, as gold gradually retreats, a large amount of funds that have not yet entered the market in a timely manner may flow into the market, further pushing up gold prices.
From a technical perspective, after the pullback, the rebound high of gold has gradually moved down from 3655 to 3650 and 3640, while the retracement low has also moved down simultaneously. The current lowest has reached around 3620, and there are signs of further pullback. However, we need to note that in the short term, gold is still technically supported in the 3610-3600 area, while strong support is in the 3590-3580 area. Therefore, from a short-term perspective, the retracement space may not be sufficient, so I do not advocate shorting gold directly. On the contrary, we can wait for gold to rebound to the 3640-3650 area and then moderately consider shorting gold, because as gold gradually retreats, the 3635-3645 area has become the current short-term resistance area.
Therefore, for short-term trading, since gold has rebounded after touching 3620 many times, and is technically supported by the 3610-3600 area in the short term, we can consider starting to try to go long on gold in the 3620-3610 area; after gold rebounds to the 3635-3645 area, we can moderately consider shorting gold.
XAU/USD. Wyckoff.30 min timeframe used for this analysis to determine short term cycles. (short summary below).
GOLD’s unexpected rally put into Wyckoff.
After the slight pullback marked (RED ARROW) Gold entered accumulation phase followed by an aggressive mark up. Then a short distribution.
We are currently in the start of mark down phase.
Selloff should continue until price meets with 200SMA, at that point sellers are exhausted and anticipation for next accumulation phase should begin.
Overall XAU maintains its bullish standpoint and is correcting normally shaking out short term sellers and profit takers.
Next mark up should begin when movement rebounds 200SMA (volume conformed).
(short summary);
•Long position at confirmation
•Stop order under 200SMA
•Resistance 3,672
Mark up phase will test 3,672 and breakout is confirmation of up trend continuation and new highs. Ride the trend and TAKE PROFITS when movement shows exhaustion and reversal signals.
Gold at Crossroads: Tensions Mount, PPI LoomsHello traders, it’s going to be a key session. Let’s unpack the story:
🌍 Geopolitical Shockwave Fuels Gold
An attack in Qatar today added another layer of tension to already fragile markets. Safe-haven demand spiked, driving Gold to a fresh ATH at 3674. Risk flows are now elevated, and traders are bracing for what comes next.
📊 Structural Map – Where We Stand
Gold is currently boxed in between two macro fortresses:
🔼 Upside Fortress: 3675–3700 supply wall, with higher resistance at 3715–3725.
🔽 Downside Fortress: Strong demand at 3595–3580, and the deeper HTF stronghold around 3555–3535.
⚔️ Intraday Battlefield
The short-term fight is locked between 3630 and 3650.
Holding above 3650 → opens the road back into 3700.
Losing 3630 → exposes Gold to a deeper dip toward 3595.
The broader bias remains bullish, but only if buyers defend 3630 with conviction.
📅 Core PPI Ahead
Tomorrow’s Core PPI release could act as the spark that decides this standoff. If inflation surprises higher, USD strength may pressure Gold lower. If weaker, Gold could break higher and extend into uncharted territory.
🎯 What This Means
Gold is caught between supply and demand fortresses. With geopolitics and news in play, this is no ordinary consolidation.
💬 Do you expect Gold to push straight into 3700+, or will it reload lower before the rally continues?
👍 Drop a like if this gives you clarity.
🔔 Follow GoldFxMinds for daily sniper maps and HTF breakdowns.
Together we sharpen the edge, one level at a time 🚀✨
Gold Hits Record Highs: $3,600 per Ounce and Still Climbing!On September 5, 2025, gold reached new record highs — $3,599.77 per ounce — thanks to unexpectedly weak U.S. labor market data. This data reinforced expectations of an imminent Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cut, which traditionally supports gold prices by reducing the yield of alternative assets.
5 Reasons Why Gold Is the Main Asset of 2025:
Expectation and implementation of Fed rate cuts: Weak U.S. employment data has strengthened expectations of a monetary policy easing, favorable for gold as it lowers alternative asset yields.
U.S. dollar weakening: As the dollar depreciates, gold priced in USD becomes more affordable for holders of other currencies, boosting demand and prices.
Rising geopolitical and economic instability : Growing global uncertainty drives investors into safe-haven assets, with gold remaining the traditional hedge against risks.
Central banks’ active gold purchases : Central banks are diversifying reserves, reducing dollar holdings, and allocating more into gold — creating a steady base demand.
Increased demand from ETFs and institutional investors : Rising inflows into gold ETFs indicate growing investor confidence in gold, further strengthening price dynamics.
The main drivers of gold’s growth remain Fed rate cut expectations, dollar weakness, and active central bank gold purchases. The breakout above $3,600 per ounce has cemented gold’s status as the key safe-haven asset of 2025 .
According to FreshForex , the current trend creates favorable conditions for opening long positions in XAUUSD while maintaining strict risk management.
short correction, continue to create new ATH⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) consolidates near record highs just below $3,600 on Monday, pausing after Friday’s surge. A modest US Dollar rebound and upbeat equity sentiment cap gains, though expectations of aggressive Fed rate cuts and continued central bank buying underpin the metal. Overbought conditions may limit fresh upside ahead of key US inflation data later this week.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Selling pressure, short-term profit taking at ATH 3600. Gold price adjusted down to accumulate for the upcoming big uptrend.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3612- 3614 SL 3619
TP1: $3600
TP2: $3590
TP3: $3580
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3563-$3561 SL $3556
TP1: $3570
TP2: $3580
TP3: $3590
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold continues to rise, setting new record highs.Gold continues to rise, setting new record highs. The market is currently consolidating, but the overall structure remains bullish. The rally has been supported by a weaker U.S. dollar and growing expectations of aggressive Fed policy easing.
However, the overbought conditions and potential profit-taking could limit further upside in the short term. At this stage, gold is consolidating, and the fundamental background remains stable. Since market-moving news is difficult to predict in advance, traders should closely watch technical levels.
Support Area Price may retest lower support zones before resuming its uptrend The next possible upside target is around 3675.
You any find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of Luck Buddies.
Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis.
Gold 09/09 - Waiting for a pullback to Buy safely| New ATH ahead🔎 Captain’s Log – News Context
FED : The probability of a September rate cut is now almost certain, reinforcing confidence that flows will continue moving into Gold.
Dollar : Dropped to a 7-week low due to FED rate cut expectations, adding further support for Gold.
US Economic Data : No major news today, the market focus remains on interest rates.
⏩ Captain’s Summary: Gold remains in a strong uptrend. However, Vincent advises waiting for a pullback into support to Buy safely , avoiding chasing price at higher levels.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis
Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone) :
Quick Boarding: 3654 – 3656 (Short-term Sell scalp)
Storm Breaker Peak: 3673 – 3675 (Sell zone – potential new ATH)
Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone) :
Buy Scalp Dock: 3615 – 3617
Main Golden Harbor: 3597 – 3599 (Strong support)
Price structure remains bullish after multiple BOS – Break of Structure. Current highs may trigger short-term profit-taking waves before Gold pulls back to Golden Harbor and then rallies toward ATH 367x .
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Scenarios
✅ Golden Harbor (BUY – Priority with trend)
Buy Scalp: 3615 – 3617 | SL: 3598 | TP: 3620 → 3623 → 3626 → 3630 → 36xx
Main Buy Zone: 3597 – 3599 | SL: 3589 | TP: 3660 → 3663 → 3666 → 3670 → 36xx
⚡ Quick Boarding (SELL Scalp – Only at resistance)
Sell Zone 1: 3654 – 3656 | SL: 3662 | TP: 3650 → 3647 → 3644 → 3640 → 36xx
Sell Zone 2 – Storm Breaker Peak (ATH test): 3673 – 3675 | SL: 3682 | TP: 3670 → 3667 → 3664 → 3660 → 36xx
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The interest rate winds from the FED continue to power the Golden sails. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3597 – 3599) is the safe haven for sailors trusting the bullish tide. Quick Boarding 🚤 (3615 – 3617) is just a short ride before the voyage resumes. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3654 – 3675) may bring big waves, but it’s only suitable for technical scalps – as the main current still carries Gold toward new highs.”
XAUUSD – M30 Intraday Trading Plan | MMFLOW TRADINGMarket Pulse:
The US jobs report confirmed a clear slowdown in labour market growth. According to CME FedWatch, there is now an 88% probability the Fed cuts rates by 0.25% in September, and 12% for a 0.5% cut. Lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold – fuelling demand further.
Gold has already gained 38% YTD, after rising 27% in 2024. A weaker USD, aggressive central bank accumulation (led by China, which extended purchases for the 10th consecutive month in August), loose monetary policy, and rising global uncertainty continue to build a solid base for this bullish trend.
👉 Bottom line: Macro flows + liquidity both favour the BUY side.
Technical View (M30):
Price is respecting the ascending channel, printing higher lows.
3616–3596 is the structural support; only a breakdown here shifts the trend.
Liquidity clusters sit at 3653–3655 and 3675–3677, likely to trigger short-term SELL reactions before the broader uptrend resumes.
Execution Plan (Today):
🔵 BUY ZONE: 3618 – 3616
SL: 3610
TP: 3624 → 3630 → 3635 → 3640 → 3650 → 3660 → 3670+
🔵 BUY ZONE: 3598 – 3596
SL: 3590
TP: 3602 → 3606 → 3610 → 3615 → 3620 → 3630 → 3640 → 3650+
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3653 – 3655
SL: 3660
TP: 3648 → 3644 → 3640 → 3635 → 3630 → 3620
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3675 – 3677
SL: 3681
TP: 3670 → 3665 → 3660 → 3650 → 3640
Summary:
✅ Bigger picture: Bullish trend intact – look for buys off liquidity support zones.
⚡ Short-term: take quick SELLs around liquidity resistance for intraday setups.
👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for precision plans: BUY with structure, SELL with liquidity.
Can gold continue to rise? Where are the opportunities?Gold prices continued their upward trend yesterday, rising without a pullback. We missed out on this rally. While regretful, I have no regrets. At times like these, we must remain cautious.
The price of gold is now at a record high. Without the previous top position as a reference, it is difficult to judge from where it will pull back, so we would rather do nothing than make mistakes.
Of course, if a good trading opportunity arises, we must seize it.
Looking at the trend range on the 1-hour chart, we are currently trading above the range. Therefore, my advice is not to chase the rally; it's best to wait for a correction and stabilization before entering the market.
3630 is today's low, and 3640 is yesterday's high. Therefore, we can wait for gold prices to retest the 3630-3640 range. If it stabilizes, we can enter the market. Otherwise, if it breaks, we'll look to the 3600 mark.
Gold Analysis (XAU/USD):Gold continues its rally for the third consecutive week, currently trading at $3,663, with the overall trend remaining strongly bullish.
🔺 Bullish Scenario:
As long as the price holds above $3,629, the trend remains bullish with the potential for further upside.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
If the price breaks below $3,629 and holds, the next target could be around $3,600 as the lower support level.
📌 Key Buy Zones: 3,630 – 3,645
📍 Key Sell Zone: 3,628
Gold Buys Buys and BuysLast week proved to be euphoric for Bulls , this week too im expecting gold to go down just a little lower to collect buy orders and go up to 3600. So when u see gold going down this week don’t start selling mindlessly wait for solid buy entry.
Now there are 4 buy areas in which I’m interested :
If Asia bulls decided to push the price than you can expect that price will go up from level 3585 to 3600 and upside levels which I’ve given.
Level 3572 is a good buying area if gold decides to cool down a bit and collect buy orders but only enter if u see a good rejection.
If price keeps going down than expect 3500 to tap as it’s a strong support level and than if u see a good rejection than buying this level will give easily 500-1000 pips.
Just keep risk minimum and be stress free.
Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis – September 2025Although short positions may not look highly convincing on the chart right now, we must remember that every bullish trend requires corrections to sustain momentum.
After pushing into the 3600 channel, gold has formed its first double top. While buying may still be considered lower risk here, sellers could find opportunities within the 3655–3665 range if risk management is respected and strategies align.
For additional confirmation, wait for at least a 1H close below 3648, provided it occurs before another attempt at the recent highs.
🎯 Targets for this setup:
TP1: 3628
TP2: 3615
TP3: 3597